BackComments / Mentions
>inflation driving down wages
>gas prices driving down wages
Home prices = mortgage prices = wages
>unemployment scarily low (recession indicator)
>yield curve inversion (recession indicator)
>inflation spike (recession indicator)
>oil spike (recession indicator)
>giant 200%+ fed rate raise within 100 days, absurd 2.7%-6%+
So in reality wages are going down, the price of homes is going up, the price of
mortgages is going up a light speed with the fed 100% raising rates by 50 basis
point twice in the next 75 days, and a recession is absolutely on the horizon
i.e. a spike in unemployment, and people think prices are stuck where they are
or (haha) going up forever? Additionally, the % of these homes being bought by
investors is much higher than usual. The normie investor is seeing the inflation
meme and the inflated stock market and wants to protect their gains with
housing, but they've bought into a bubble. Somewhere there is a chart of
disposable income, which spiked during covid when the stimmy checks came out,
but is now falling below the trend line quickly due to rising costs. Housing
market's gonna get dabbed on.
And no people aren't sitting on mountains of cash. They are selling their homes
and rerolling into larger ones using their inflated home value, all they had to
do was add a little onto their current mortgage and use their equity. New home
buyers from the last 8-10 months are gonna get dabbed on and stuck in their
homes for neigh a decade like in 08. Sure, their payments will be low, but their
house will become an anchor.
I think the FED's solution to inflation is to crash asset prices. Don't let
currency inflate, just dump asset prices through the floor. Inflation =
reduction in buying power. Crashing assets = reduction in buying power. What the fuck is Haven? Glad you fucking asked. Haven is an advanced fork of the
original (and the goddamned best) private cryptocurrency, Monero. Yeah yeah, I
know. Another fucking Monero fork. So. Fucking. What?
Here's what fuckface; Haven has introduced the world's FIRST motherfucking
PRIVATE, ALGORITHMICALLY BACKED STABLECOIN, xUSD. If you don't understand the
implications of this, maybe you shouldn't be playing with cryptocurrencies. In
addition to the currently active and fully functioning xUSD, Haven has
implemented a wide variety of other algorithmically backed stable assets such as
xGOLD, xEUR, xCNY, xBTC, and fuckload of others. Not to mention it is being
bridged to the only fully decentralized L1 DEX in existence - Thorchain - very,
very soon. Obviously not priced in yet, since it will be the first
private/fungible stable asset in the only true DEX environment. Yes, it is so
important that it's even ahead of Monero.
The utility that this offers, especially in the face of what's to come, is
immense. I know fully that Haven will be instrumental in fighting back against
freedom curbing attempts. Klaus fuck off.
Fuck CDBCs
Fuck the FED
Fuck ECB
Let’s get motherfucking rich, anon With the FED raising interest rates, along with their hawkish stance on rate
hikes seems to suggest that corporate liquidity (read blackstone) in the housing
market seems to be drying out in the near future.
Interestingly the mortgage markets have already priced in 5-7 rate hikes and
this makes sense because the FED is finally tightening its balance sheet.
According to my calculations, we will see a negative yield curve between the 2
year and 10 year treasury bonds in next 3 months.
With that in mind, a negative yield curve in general suggests an impending
recession in 12-18 months, if we look at historical data.
What's interesting to note here is that the FED can't print their way out of
this anymore because of a strong domestic labour market in America.
With all that in mind, I'd say that you should be ready to face stagflation for
next 12 months or so and then, inevitably, there should be a steep correction in
the housing market, if my yield curve calculations are correct.
TL;DR : IN JULY 2023, AMERICAN HOUSING MARKET CRASHES. YOU READ IT FIRST HERE. ShittyBitty is trying its damned hardest to break 40k and it keeps getting
rejected hahahaha. EVERY. TIME. Bitcuck will literally NEVER be above 40k again,
investors are realizing how fucking ridiculous it is to pay thousands of dollars
for an imaginary internet coin. We are heading into the deepest recession since
the Great Depression, people are struggling to pay for food, and you fags think
tons of money will magically flow into your internet tokens. LMAOing at your
life. When the FED announces 75 bp tomorrow this fake economy will collapse, and
BTC will go sub 30k as all you redditor HODL moonboys finally capitulate and
start living in the real world. Open your fucking eyes, you deluded cultists,
you have been played, tricked to hand over your wealth.
>TLDR for you redditorfags: sell now before the gigadump tomorrow, the economy
is collapsing Anyone else got the feeling that, once again, we are on the brink of "something
happening" and for yet another inexplicable reason, once again, it just keeps on
"not happening"? And some time later we all have forgotten about all the
tensions building up to this moment right now and keep wondering what the fuzz
was really all about because, well, nothing happened once again?
I've had this feeling several times post 2008 and each time, well, each time it
could have been succinctly explained what will cause "the happening" and each
time, well, the outcome was pretty much fucking nothing.
So how will 2022 play out?
>more war that nobody will give a shit about any more in 4 weeks
>FED hiking rates in .25 increments every quarter that will not collapse any
markets and will turn out as a complete nothingburger
>price inflation keeps on being rampant and everybody will get tired about
complaining and simply hold the pain like harold
basically:
>you will own less and you will adjust to it over time
>oil and other commodities (except gold & silver, of course) slowly rising
without many drawdowns [prediction: oil stable $500 end of decade]
>money printer go brrrrrrrrr is the new base noise level and not worth
mentioning any more
So pretty much a whole lot of fucking nothing.
Also, we all will adjust to being demoralized.
It'll be the new normal.
Tell me what you think.
>inb4 I'm a complete faggot
Hm. Haven't heard that in a while, desu. Okay so in one month we had
>Executive order greenlighting US agencies to regulate crypto, defi,mining
>USA announces digital dollar coming
>UK banning Bitcoin ATM's deeming them illegal
>UK introducing a bill to regulate mining crypto, voting this monday
>4 billion hedge fund opening shorts on Tether, calling their bluff, zero fuckin
response from Tether
>Russians leaving internet
>Ongoing economy wars, a slight possibility of conflict escalating, but most
likely Ukraine capitulating
>Arthur Hayes pleading guilty to bank fraud and it's going to jail, his plea
deal turned 10 year sentence into 6-12 months, he has to fuckin snitch to DOJ or
SEC on crypto behind the scenes tricks
On top of :
>China ants banned from Binance 1st January 2022
>China banned mining
>Kazachstan banned mining when China miners moved there
>Communists basically rug pulling crypto everywhere
I don't want to be negative Nancy here, but is this China hustle 101 ?
Tether is unloading massive overpriced bags of useless tokens through bank in
China on clients globally, where in the same time China residents can't buy or
sell crypto legally on their soil.
They left the mining network, Pootin went full schizo and disconnected from the
internet and attacked Ukraine.
Like who the fuck can spin this as macro bullish ?
When FED rises rates this week and DXY pushes 100+ with US stocks dropping
combined with all the shit above it's game over for crypto for years or actually
over.
>whoever posts "priced in" , "cope" , "seethe" , "dilate" or other mumbo jumbo 1
sentence response is sucking homeless dick on the low LINK is about to explode.
Do you understand?
90% down vs. ETH/BTC. Meanwhile, the company has fully acted on its first mover
advantage. Eric Schmidt as its advisor, scaling for a global role.
Fears of war have allowed central banks to put off fears of inflation in favor
of war spending, and Russia is positioned to take the blame for rising oil
prices instead of the FED.
You realize how all of this puts BTC in a parabolic position, given this third
wave of inflation we're already seeing the beginnings of? And do you remember
what happened to alts last time BTC went parabolic, back in 2017?
Do you understand how undervalued LINK must be in this environment, to undergo
price suppression and correction for nearly two years, despite being one of the
most pivotal projects in the entire space?
Do you have any idea what's about to happen? It is the perfect storm,
encapsulated within 2022. I hope you've got some LINK, or at least some alts.
When BTC dominance breaks down, which it always has in the parabolic runs...
Fortunes will be made. There may be inaccuracies in my understanding of the fall of the USSR but as I
understand it the Soviet Ruble was intentionally inflated well beyond the
breaking point (like USD), when the collapse and of the state was announced
Russian citizens were issued stock in the industries. The citizens were so poor
and their currency so weak they mostly sold their stock to men who would become
the Oligarchs in exchange newly printed Russian Rubles. The collapse was
orchestrated and as a mechanism to transfer the state's assets to the private
ownership of the people who ran the state.
Today, the USA has inflated the $ through a series of massive bailouts by
printing money that can never be repaid to the FED, and taxpayers are on the
hook for an unpayable debt which is so drastic the USA can't even make the
quarterly interest payments and has to continually vote to raise the debt
ceiling. The bailouts went straight into the pockets of Wall St., who used it
for stock buybacks of major industries, and most recently, to acquire massive
purchases of single family homes.
This activity echoes the advent of the Russian Oligarchs. Money is printed,
given to them, they buy real assets, our dollar is weakened, and we owe the
debt. If the dollar collapses and the USA disbands like the USSR did, the debt
is gone, but they will still own everything.
You will own nothing.
Is this what we are seeing? Is this the reason for this “war”? Another
justification to print a shit load of USD and do a controlled demolition of the
USA like they did to the USSR? Then, of course, replace our laws and remove 1A,
2A, and add all of the domestic terrorism and anti-white speech laws they have
in Russia (In Russia it is illegal to advocate for the self interest of ethnic
Russians).
If so, judging by the current timeline the USA has maybe 7 more years. In that
time what assets could be accumulated to ride the collapse out best? Any
insights to the fall of the USSR where parallels could be made? NOVEMBER
>Moontubers says 100K bitcoin december minimum.
>Alot of inocent victims arraives.
>Now cryptomarket behaves like S&P 500 and his scum institutions.
>Start the mass sell in 69K
>Long x Short Ratio 4.0
>FED FUD
>S&P 500 pump. BTC don't do anything. S&P 500 dumps, BTC dumps.Obviously
manipulated.
DECEMBER
>"Everybody" is fucked already, but "we are still in a bullish trend" and shit
makes every victim hold.
>China like fucking always, act like absolute imbecils and ban crypto
definitvely in the edge of his autism.
>Mass chongs sells. Ching chong bobo posters spam in /biz.
>Plan B and Plebit Wagmi Shit still "in play"
>Long x Short Ratio 3.5
>Evergrande FUD (not anymore)
>FED FUD
>S&P 500 pump. BTC don't do anything. S&P 500 dumps, BTC dumps.Obviously
manipulated.
JANUARY
>Huge big Red Dildos keep coming. They do not want to stop.
>Normies thinks, "hey. wait a minute, wtf? Not enough?"
>No, not enough. Shake out intensifies.
>Every single soul in earth wants to multilate and kill moontubers.
>Institutions like always, are just garbage.
>Well, Long x Short Ratio 0.8. Guess what? Yes, manipulate the price up. Late
Bobos got fucked.
>Yeah, FED FUD
FEBRUARY
>Russia x Ucrkraine FUD (not anymore)
>Yep.FED FUD.
> 16/02/2022 ~ 17/02/2022 - Long x Short Ratio 2.0 or around that... and...
We are dumping.
If you look close, there is no patern. There is no meme chart drawning. There is
no real FUD.
The only real thing is institutions that are manipulating the price. Crypto is
over, even if we reach 400K tomorrow.
They dump the price if there is liquidity below and pump if there is liquidity
above. Almost simple as.
There is no desentralized finance in pratical means. It's trully over. Jerome Powell started the project in 2008 as an Bipartisan experimental program
to battle hyperinflation. Early 2010 the program was accepted officially.
The concept is that by creating a "luxury"asset class, you centralize money
which is not actively useful for the economy and it will be mostly owned by
individuals who can afford to lose it.
By technically breaking bitcoin, trillions of, mostly, usd will evaporate
without doing any serious damage to the US economy, since there is no
underlaying value. This is why the fed is not and never was worried about
inflation, why US never really invested in crypto.
Tether is part of it, this is why the FED allowed it to exist. Perhaps other
stablecoins too, my info is old.
The event will be that some random guy will notice one day that there is at
least 1 more bitcoin in circulation than is mined. The amount of "fake" bitcoins
will rise exponential and panic will crash all crypto. Some human will get the
blame, probably someone of the bitcoin core team.
Mainstream media will push the narrative every day how many billions are gone.
Memes about fed moneyprinters getting fed by hodlers will dominate social media
and the general audience will happily embrace the narrative that the crypto
crash canceled out the moneyprinter.
US wins the game in every way. Delinquencies rate in mortgages, consumer credit, credit cards, and business
loans are down in every segment of the market. Except for Hinds County,
Mississipi but that's because it's 61% of at risk population.
As long as the delinquency rate remain under 1.2% nationally, the housing market
prices will keep rising.
But, considering :
>the inflationary trend on the housing market, that means that the collateral
being assests in the banks financials is creating a larger and larger
asset/liquidity ratio. Thus banks being banks they are overleveraging their
liquidities creating a risk.
>The interest rate hike from the FED will lower velocity of money and and
variable mortgage rates will take a hike, presumably increasing the rate of
delinquant mortgages.
>With higher rates of delinquencies and higher mortgage prices, the housing
market will slow down and enter a deflationary phase, especially in high prices
single family homes in the suburbs and B & C type properties.
Conclusion : by 2027 we will enter a mortgage crisis and now bank are even more
overleveraged than in 2008. Meme stocks with P/E ratio over 10 will collapse.
The FED will buy back every single delinquent mortgage to avoid a complete
collapse but the housing market will crash between -15 to -30% depending on the
areas. Low density areas will mostly remain unaffected.
Screencap this. Stock market/Crypto dump was caused by the "FED interest hike later this year".
It is presumed they'll raise interest rates, but when? it is unplanned but MAYBE
sometime in March.
Now if CPI data comes better than expected, guess what? they'll pursue their
mission accordingly, by not raising interest rates.
Regardless, IMO they're BLUFFIN. They cannot raise interest rates, the only
reason they said it was to pump up their own bags (USD, FIAT) or in pursue to
reinstate confidence in USD. They are only discussing a potential raise, it's
not set in stone. It would cost the government billions of dollars, they're
borrowing dollars. 29t in debt.
I don't think the bottom is in just yet but soon will. Things seem to have been
pricing in lately. Millionaires will be made. GL.