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Vintage Wine Estates: High Risk High Reward Under $2 A Share
Argo Blockchain - post IPO - a longer term bitcon play, not a short term play
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Checking in on VWE, looks like the situation isn't getting better?
Most interesting for me today, is to look at where $VWE is going.
MNTS, VWE, ATIP, SNAX... So Many to choose from!
Vintage Wine Estates (VWE)....
Similar to that of the other comment about HLTH. Then when it comes to VWE, the change of management / CEO could work as and / or trigger a catalyst. Not so far though. Stop for that is at 0.31. 👍 I guess the reason why it picked up FSR (no entry yet though) is that the outcome is rather binary for them; similar to that of a biotech company.
Any particular reasoning behind VWE and FSR?
>VWE I think VWE had a lot more going wrong than just the buyback. Good to note, but not necessarily similar in situation.
I have positions in DNMR, HLTH, SLVTF, TYGO and VWE. And I’m scaling in more once the price action starts. All of these stock have been / are in a weekly or monthly squeeze, and I think they will move strongly in either direction. The move will also be fueled by low volumes and high short ratios for most of them. 👍
I have the following positions (stocks trading below $1) right now, and I have a Gain to Pain Ratio of 10 for all my positions, so my price targets for these are in all cases >= 200% from current levels. - XXII, long term Calls - VWE - HLTH - DNMR
My current long positions, with profit takers ~ 10 ATRs from entry and tight stops, are: - $EBS - $HLTH - $XXII - $AHCO - $DNMR - $VWE Fairly low volume, and high short ratio, on some of them, so, if volume on buying side take off, it will trigger more buying. And, if price go against my direction, risk is limited.
I hope people have bad math when VWE splits. Love to make up some of my massive warrant losses on this one.
[Vintage Wine Estates Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2023 Financial Results](https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231013788448/en/Vintage-Wine-Estates-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2023-Financial-Results) \- VWE VWEWW
VWE announcing that they are still working on correcting numbers…..from 2022.
Surprising shitty performance from companies like $VCSA $SOND real companies making real revenue. obviously overvalued at the start, but down 96% seems steep. Anyone else btw saw some weird spikes at the end of the day due to rebalancing of ETFs/quad witching? examples: $ALLG $GBTG $VWE $GETR
I think PGY was pumped hard on twitter how it should be valued like upstart. I bought a few 1000 MTTR and some VWE.
What happened with VWE. Now at 0.9. Thought they had turned it around?
Man, every time I think I’ve learned something I still hesitate. ORGN basically lied to everyone or is incompetent. I gave VWE the benefit of the doubt and they basically did that twice. Considering dumping all my ORGN. Seems eerily similar.
Lol, ORGN you’ve now become pals with my bud VWE as horrible investments.
Someone else mentioned BLND. I see a lot of potential there myself. Look at its founder, the huge option deal he got (strong incentive to follow through), and the expansion of the products themselves I also like at current valuations VWE, JOAN, YOU, TDCX Here's a Finviz search for all IPOs from past three years that are only 0-10 percent above their 52 week lows: https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=111&f=ind_stocksonly,ipodate_prev3yrs,ta_highlow52w_a0to10h&o=-marketcap
big $VWE move on new CEO announcement. Unfortunately sold most of my shares after booking a tidy 15% gain but still, juicy.
[Vintage Wine Estates Provides Business Update and Preliminary Outlook for Fiscal 2024](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2023/07/20/2708590/0/en/Vintage-Wine-Estates-Provides-Business-Update-and-Preliminary-Outlook-for-Fiscal-2024.html) \- VWE VWEWW [Vintage Wine Estates Appoints Seth Kaufman as President and CEO](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2023/07/20/2708592/0/en/Vintage-Wine-Estates-Appoints-Seth-Kaufman-as-President-and-CEO.html)
$VWE hosting a conference call and business update tomorrow. Bad/good news? Price has been trending up a bit since the announcement on 13/07.
Is it me or was VWE's earnings another shit show?
I think my best options trade ever was VWE. Back in September of last year I played puts on their earnings. 9/16/22 exp. Bought five $5 puts, for $0.10 a contract. Sold two at $0.70, two at $0.90, and one at $1.00. So $50 turned into $420. Can’t complain!
I have 40K to free up. Thinking of picking 4-8 tickers to spread it in. Thinking about ORGN MTTR PLBY VCSA VWE and some others. How shit of an idea is that?
Granted VWE has been a disaster since going public (like most deSPACS unfortunately) but market cap is nearing what they were willing to sell off of assets - $50 million. Just sold $10 million worth of land March 6th.
I wish I had put more money into ORGN then VWE that’s for sure.
My account says they are almost as bad as VWE.
This $VWE sell-off is a little excessive don't you think?
My broker did me a favour by making both SNAX and VWE unavailable for purchase with no intention to add it 🗿
Yeah, VWE just killed me. It’s most annoying when you are relying on numbers produced by the company only to have them be wrong. I tried to go based off of numbers and chose a somewhat boring/predictable company and still got burnt. Never again going in that hard on one company.
Holding so many losers right now. Hoping for some recovery to go back to index fund investing which was all I did before Covid. Longer I hold them, though, worse they keep getting (yes, looking at you VWE!).
$VWE down 40 percent? What now again.
Freakin VWE again red. I don’t get it. Low volume but still makes no sense to me when so many others are recovering some.
Why can’t anything I have go up 15-20% in a day? C’mon ORGN and VWE!
VWE you get discounts on wine and invites to events, etc. depending on how much you have.
I like VWE overall as simply a solid pick and ORGN as a boom or bust I’d call it.
VWE now getting a beatdown. Suspect tax write off at end of year as volume has been higher then the norm the last 2 out of 3 days where it’s had sudden drops.
Huge insider sell with VWE…..1 share for $3.72. Does that even have to get reported?
I suspect more insider buys with VWE. Heavy volume (for it) last two days and share price jumps near end of day. Before they seemed to be buying at open as it’d jump right out of the gate then level off.
$VWE hittin' the boons this week let's go!
VWE nice bounce since ER. Insider buy as well so must be getting their confidence back in their own numbers, lol.
VWE insider buy again finally. Hopefully means they are gaining confidence in their numbers again after the previous earnings mishap. Not a ton (10,000) but nice to see it.
$VWE is great! May enter into a small position myself pretty soon. I held them for awhile when they were at $10 and sold at $11. Remember, we were the OG $VWE brothers!
VWE appears to be back on track after last earnings. Fingers crossed no more hiccups. I know a lot like ORGN as well (me included).
VWE got a downgraded PT of $4 a day before earnings then the same guy gave a pt of $3.50 after good earnings. Up over $3 now in two days. PTs based on sentiment are so dumb. What’ll be funny is if he now goes and upgrade the price to like $9, lol.
Needs to get beaten to a pulp first probably. Not enough eyes on it until it becomes a really, really good play? Reminds me a bit of VWE (before their accounting mishap). Put up good numbers but no one cared and just drifted lower or stayed flat.
I’ll take it VWE, but we got a looooong way to go.
VWE did well. CANO not so much. Big mistake going in on that buyout rumor.
I’d have to figure that out but I’m down about $60k right now. I should say that VWE is trying to come for that title though.
I’ll trade you my VWE shares for yours. It’s a great deal, I’m telling’ you!
ive added some shares of SKIN, ORGN, RKLB and VWE over the past couple weeks for the long haul. any other beaten down low caps you guys adding? i was thinking about BKSY
VWE* People gotta drink in recessions
Lol, VWE got downgraded by D.A. Davidson,"in part due to the empirical evidence in this work showing that few SPAC stocks have rebounded from the levels VWE currently sits." "This work" was a screen of 288 stocks that went public via SPAC, 73% went below $4 and only 34 reached $4 again. This is what it has come too....I mean it's not wrong but dumb at the same time. I thought investing was supposed to be based on the company? I mean I used to.....
Annoying as I wanted to start a small starter position in TPBA. Now wondering if it will even get listed after merge. The broker refused to trade VWE, admittedly they were right on that one 😂
Is VWE a buy down here? I added some SKIN and RKLB the other day. VWE is the last on my list
Someone just market ordered VWE warrants, lol. Now no one sell at the bid and it’ll make my account look a little better.
No problem. Hindsight is 20/20. I could’ve taken smaller losses but too late for that now. I have a few positions like your DNA but VWE is the one that really hurt my psyche after finally having a good play/gain with CFIV. It completely wrecked my portfolio to below atl.
VWE warrants keep jumping up end of day the last few days. Very odd. Not large spreads.
I unfortunately did not have a lot of liquid cash at the beginning of the year, but I had bearish sentiment since the beginning of the year/late last year. I threw some cash into my brokerage accounts at the beginning of the month since I’ve been getting paid at my new job and have been playing short term bearish positions plus some earnings plays. I got lucky and played puts on RENT, VWE and IRNT last week plus my short term market hedges turned $160 into $1430. I’ve rolled most of that profit into some other ER plays plus some mid term bearish positions, and now taking most of my money and parking it in mid to long term bearish positions. Hoping it all works out
Are you trying to take videos of your $VWE wine collection?
Would’ve come close to wiping out my losses for the year if I’d held CFVI/RUM. Now I’m back near account lows again (darn you VWE!).
It's a shitty situation but it's becoming more apparent why so many companies went the SPAC route to go public. Management appears to be sorely lacking in a lot of them. Just so hard to tell with a lot of these companies where the true bottom is. Paysafe is my VWE and it still finds new lows, I also think a lot of these despacs will get snapped up before they have had any time to recover to near nav.
Since it was mentioned earlier in the week I've been keeping a eye on VWE. Oh man.
People expecting a miss on earnings with NAPA after VWE got massacred yesterday. Down big today.
Wow fucking RIP $VWE. This was one of the de-SPACs that held up best. Happens to all of em I guess...
I got excited for a bit about VWE. I spent a little bit of time looking into the company and did not like what I saw on the glassdoor reviews. Management and the owner came up for criticism often. Not sure what the outlook would be for wine drinking during a recession 👀
Ouch VWE. Didn't some regular in here have like 150k in common at 10/share?
All my CFVI gains wiped out on VWE. I’d love for just a few things to work out for my portfolio. A good move quickly destroyed seems to be the norm with my account.
I’m officially a major bagholder of VWE. Solid growth again but always something that they spend a good chunk of change on that hurts numbers. This time their accounting department got a major facelift.
Lol, market got people excited then rugpull. Not surprised and expected it after the good recent days we’ve had. Didn’t have a whole lot of profit to take, though, unfortunately so I’ll just watch my account go down again. VWE earnings tonight. Always released on bad days it seems.
$VWE has had a bad slide after holding up so well. In sorry.
VWE is one I had not heard of but is very interesting after going through the deck. They have many good things going for them. Founder led, great relationships, three distinct sales channels, repeatable M&A process to re-invest for growth. This is definitely one to watch. It has not bottomed out yet, but warrants would be a good play on a company like this because if they do get to 18 in the next 4 years and you bought warrants at $1 you could easily see 6-7x returns. This feels like a very safe play with good returns. Thanks for the recommendation, this is the kind of stock I was looking for when asking this quesiton.
ORGN, VWE (maybe not multibagger -though I can see $18 in a few years - but solid gains).
Man, VWE with the no recovery and now continued drilling.
Been a rough last month or so with the market rallying and VWE still dropping. Needs some eyes as the low volume has been hurting it. Good earnings and a stock buyback already. Should be much more comparable to NAPA. Hopefully it’ll catch on soon.
It is hard to to gauge, but sometimes these convictions come back and there is a tipping point. I so underwater on some, I kissed it all goodbye, mentally. watched $20k go to 3-4K. I don't even have enough volume to dump it and as long as they are moving forward for another 12 months, I'm going to ride and consider it an upside if they move. Nobody talks about this stuff. For me, I literally just look at what my port is worth today. ...Like today helps me cope with the loss and get real about chiseling in or out, and taking small 1-3k risky bets. The only good thing is, most of the 95% downers have bottomed, so I can stay sideways or up, because I'm not looking at the loss, but the daily performance now, and chiseling it. I suspect you are not alone. Folks are not generally going to say I have a massive 'F." somewhere. But it is a real thing here. Just try to focus on the now. Trust me, 'tis hard to say this is where I am at at now! But from my very grim lows this summer, I took 56K to 74k, by just being sad and setting a daily goal the last 8 weeks. Capitulation is weird. I obviously did it on ZNTE. But, had I held for another 9-10 months, it would have been ok. Nonetheless, I had money to buy $DNA. But that was the heyday META. It is the patience that kills us ...and the willingness that once it goes under so hard, to think: is this going zero? should I grab the remainder? Or, could the conviction play out? On something like VWE, knowing no details, it has higher hopes than some.
VWE warrants my latest position to be down 50% on.
I missed most of it because my large position (for me) of VWE cancelled out any sort of gains from smaller positions. I had no recovery so far.
As the resident VWE bull, this has not been a good month or so. Market recovered a bit but it just keeps going down. Warrants and commons. Perplexing to me but low volume cutting deep when there isn’t any sort of recovery to combat it. No earnings until September means they can’t really fight it that way. Market will probably head back down and even with good earnings it’ll do nothing. Mr. Wonderful mentioned it once and it jumped like 12% that day. Need some more of that.
I’ll take my VWE gains and put into AVPT to start the pump on that one.