Reddit Posts
Pre-Market Gainers and Losers for Today (October 8, 2026) π π
Bending Spoons (BSP) and the 2.7x ARR Airtable deal
Bending Spoons $BSP (if your broker gots it)
[DD] Short the overvalued italian shitco software basket $BSP
[DD]: Shorting the most levered overvalued Software Shitco $BSP
Mentions
I was going to invest in BSP. I was only waiting for my next paycheck, but now Buffet pumped it to the moon already ππ
BSP. 1 share I was using to track it bc watchlist too long
Oh how I wish I bought $BSP
If Berkshire Hathaway is really such a good trader they would just sell their $BSP for $200m gain! Itβs that easy!!
LW | Lamb Weston Holdings - Current Price: $47.87 - Current Market Cap: $6.60B - Bull Target (12β18m): $65β$75 - Bear Target: $32β$37 - Upside: +36% to +57% - Downside: -23% to -33% - Reward-to-Risk: ~1.6:1 - Success Probability: 60% (estimated) - Expected ROI: +12% (estimated) - Forward P/E: 14.46 - Debt-to-Equity: 2.16 π΄ - Dividend Yield: 3.18% - 1-Year Return: -25.9% π΄ - 5-Year Price Return: Approximately -15% π΄ - Profitability: Profitable π’ - Revenue Growth: +2.6% π‘ - Free Cash Flow: Positive π’ - Price Trend: Long-term downtrend π΄ - Bull-Case Market Cap: $9.0Bβ$10.3B - Comparable Companies: Conagra, McCain Foods - Risk: High - Conviction: 5/10 - Grade: B- Lamb Weston produces frozen potato products for restaurants and retailers. I see turnaround potential following improved guidance, but elevated debt, weak shareholder returns, and modest growth limit my conviction. --- GEV | GE Vernova - Current Price: $1,004.73 - Current Market Cap: $267.6B - Bull Target (12β18m): $1,250β$1,400 - Bear Target: $750β$850 - Upside: +24% to +39% - Downside: -15% to -25% - Reward-to-Risk: ~1.6:1 - Success Probability: 70% (estimated) - Expected ROI: +17% (estimated) - Forward P/E: 47.81 - Debt-to-Equity: 0.28 π’ - Dividend Yield: 0.20% - 1-Year Return: Approximately +66% π’ - 5-Year Return: N/A (2024 spin-off) - Profitability: Profitable π’ - Revenue Growth: +13% YoY π’ - Free Cash Flow: Strongly Positive π’ - Price Trend: Strong long-term appreciation π’ - Bull-Case Market Cap: $333Bβ$373B - Comparable Companies: Siemens Energy, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries - Risk: Moderate-High - Conviction: 8/10 - Grade: B+ GE Vernova manufactures power generation equipment, gas turbines, and electrical grid infrastructure. I like its exposure to accelerating electricity demand, strong cash generation, and manageable debt, but its premium valuation prevents an A grade at today's entry price. --- BSP | Bending Spoons - Current Price: $38.01 - Current Market Cap: $22.84B - Bull Target (12β18m): $48β$55 - Bear Target: $25β$29 - Upside: +26% to +45% - Downside: -24% to -34% - Reward-to-Risk: ~1.3:1 - Success Probability: 55% (estimated) - Expected ROI: +5% (estimated) - Forward P/E: 23.11 - Debt-to-Equity: 3.94 π΄ - Dividend Yield: 0% - 1-Year Return: N/A (July 2026 IPO) - 5-Year Return: N/A - Profitability: Profitable π’ - Revenue Growth: +427.5% YoY, acquisition-driven π‘ - Free Cash Flow: +$453M π’ - Share Dilution: +13.6% YoY π΄ - Price Trend: Volatile since IPO π‘ - Bull-Case Market Cap: $28.8Bβ$33.1B - Comparable Companies: AppLovin, Adobe, Constellation Software - Risk: Very High - Conviction: 5/10 - Grade: B- Bending Spoons acquires and operates digital businesses, including established software and internet platforms. I like its profitability and cash generation, but substantial debt, acquisition dependence, and limited public trading history make the reward-to-risk unattractive at this valuation. --- ENSIF | EnSilica - Current Price: $1.25 - Current Market Cap: Approximately $165M - Bull Target (12β18m): $1.80β$2.20 - Bear Target: $0.65β$0.80 - Upside: +44% to +76% - Downside: -36% to -48% - Reward-to-Risk: ~1.5:1 - Success Probability: 45% (estimated) - Expected ROI: +5% (estimated) - Forward P/E: Approximately 19.9 - Debt-to-Equity: 21.82 π΄ - Dividend Yield: 0% - 1-Year Return: Positive, approximately +69% on London-listed shares π’ - 5-Year Return: N/A (2022 listing) - Profitability: Weak/near breakeven π‘ - Annual Revenue: Approximately Β£27.8M - Free Cash Flow: Not reliably established - Price Trend: Strong recent recovery, highly volatile π‘ - Bull-Case Market Cap: Approximately $238Mβ$290M - Comparable Companies: Sondrel, Alphawave IP - Risk: Extreme - Conviction: 3/10 - Grade: C EnSilica develops custom semiconductor chips for industrial, automotive, and communications applications. I see potential in its specialized chip-design capabilities, but extreme reported leverage, limited scale, and thin OTC liquidity make this too speculative for my preferred investment strategy.
the 2.7x multiple is pretty interesting when the thing is still growing 20%+. most companies with that kind of growth don't go for discount prices like that what i wonder is how many airtable customers stick around after BSP starts messing with the pricing model. they have a reputation for cutting costs hard and sometimes the product gets worse after. seen it happen with other acquisitions they did the debt load is the part that makes me nervous. 4 billion in net debt is not small even if the ipo cash helps a bit. i was looking at this one too but not sure yet
BSP is rocketing over last few days, ahead of their first earnings and now well above IPO price. Seems pretty overpriced but maybe reaction to Airtable deal?
BSP is a measure of the worth of CEOs and marketing. BSP is saying the age of agentic AI is making them worthless, so they can just coalesce the top few expensive roles and automate them. The Marketing, HR, and Executive consistently provide the no value and only cost to these pipeline companies. BSP is on to something by just going through and buying companies to fire their C-Suite.
I bought the dip in Constellation SoftwareΒ a month ago. Good to see that you speak in favor of them. As for BSP, might be better to wait for the initial buying pressure to die down. I find it harder to be short than long in general, so if I decide to short this I'll do a put spread
extremely thorough DD which historically means BSP hits 80 by friday
Hope yall got into BSP