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Wich stock/ticker in oil sector will jump if US attacks Iran? I am focusing on Chord Energy !
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Well reasoned rationale! I like CHRD as well. Did you consider CF for fertilizer exposure?
Good question. Because I already had both LT and ST cap gains BEFORE the INTC trade. From selling puts to 🌈🐻s, a trade here and there, pocketing some gains from SHEL/CHRD after the Iran war, exiting T because I want to reduce my taxable gains, etcetcetc. Sure I pay a few dollars to close the INTC sold call, but that LOSS is **short term** capital loss which will offset my **short term** capital gains before my LT capital gains. That way I pay that 0/15/20% capital gains on my INTC calls and other stuff while my INTC call options losses wipe out the gains I make from selling puts. Tl;dr To harvest short term capital losses while realizing long term capital gains.
$SM SM Energy P/B 1 P/E (FWD) 5.5 Mkt 7.5B $MTDR Matador Res P/B 1.2 P/E (FWD) 9.38 Mkt 7.19B $CHRD Chord Energy P/B 1 P/E (FWD) 8.18 Mkt 8B $XOM Exxon Mobil P/B 2.4 P/E (FWD) 13.78 Mkt 633.2B $DVN Devon Energy P/B 1.9 P/E (FWD) 8.13 Mkt 29.36B I confess, my choice goes to SM Energy for its ultra-rigorous management, low P/B, buyback in place, 100% production on US soil, therefore without maritime transport costs, well-controlled CAPEX, hedge contracts around 50%... and a nice J.P. Morgan buy target at $40
#TLDR --- **Ticker:** VAL, NE, SDRL, CHRD (and 11 other Boomer Energy/Commodity stocks) **Direction:** Up 🛢️📈 (Assuming we avoid a deep global recession) **Prognosis:** Buy shares in companies that pull physical stuff out of the earth (Oil, Gas, Coal, Fertilizer) to farm Free Cash Flow and buybacks. **Diversification Strategy:** Absolutely zero. 15 different flavors of dinosaur juice and dirt. **Underlying Thesis:** A decade of severe underinvestment + industry consolidation = making real money *today* instead of paying sky-high premiums for tech companies that *might* be profitable in 2035.
I remember but I didn't buy even though I believed in Alphabet because I was heavy over weighted on google already. Diversify they said. So instead of jump pumping more cash into mag8 I bought stuff like CHRD, VOO, LVMUY, AXP, IWM/UWM/TNA, and BOXX/SHY.
Then it's fine. Stocks will go back up. 500 SHEL. 130 CHRD. My only issues are selling like 70 of my CHRD early and not having more of both. 5% of your portfoilo going up doesn't make up for the other 80-90% going down.
I made some updates to my agent/bot 9 days ago. Try it and ask what you want. On my post about SM Energy I said "Yesterday, I was talking about CHRD. Because I was failling top point a majour risk (Special Mandatory Redemption clause on the senior notes, which forces Chord Energy to buy back the debt at 101% of the principal plus interest if the EnerPlus/XTO acquisition fails to close by June 30, 2026), I have add a new chapter. Always good to update a tool."
True. US oil producers do not have transport risk issues !! About CHRD, what I see also is that the 5.6% short float is rising right as FCF yield hits 12.8%. It’s a mathematical anomaly that shorts are about to pay for if ... if the stock goes up. I am not pumping, just watching a potential squeeze, not made by retailers, just because the situation is critical around Iran. I guess XOM could also jump, it's safe, 1T is also a target. We will see.
In an event of an attack fundamentals will matter a bit less, lol. CHRD is a clean play though, zero middl east exposure. In general in oil sector refiners will probably have a mixed reaction, depedening on crude access. Tankers will enjoy a rates spike because of disruption in Strait of Hormuz disruption . Defense stocks go up, may be RTX, LDOS, PLTR . I have XOM, HAL, SLB, HON, MSFT, MCD all having subsidaries in middle east but not sure how much they would be impacted. But whatever it will be , will be negative. All the susbidaries I have for CHRD are 100% in US
Or just don't play momentum..... I've just been keeping my short note USTs around 10-15%. Extra money had been going into things opportunistically: energy (SHEL/CHRD), small caps, LVMUY, and select financials like AXP/BLK. Recently added to MSFT. Just don't buy what's being hyped by WSB. Remember kids, some folks are actually born with lower IQ, stunted mental development, and/or a mental health condition. But folks on WSB? You guys can CHOOSE to be not be retarded. Every day. Like just be ~~yourself~~ not retarded.
CHRD. American oil company. High dividends. 6%. Just announced another strong quarter best of luck. I am trying to do the same my friend.
Long CHRD, REI, PBR.
Buy the stocks of major trump donors or that are connected to Trump appointees. For me I've taken positions in LBRT, ET, OXY, LNG, HES, CSX, CLF, and CHRD. That bundle has outperformed the S&P 500 by 82% since I shifted money around a couple weeks ago.
Why would they be worthless? They got acquired by CHRD so would that not mean they are worth something? CHRD is still afloat. I don't know much about stocks though I am 18 and am just getting started with investing.
Finally added them to my ROTH along with CHRD and TPL. TPL is absolutely destroying everything in my portfolio in gains.
I am a conservative income investor, so I am like a fish out of water on this site. But I have been adding to my positions in $CNQ and $CHRD....a good entry point for income.
Have shares of FANG and CHRD figuring any supply chain disruptions would be mitigated by more output from N.America.
That's why some folks hold cash/bonds/PM/alts/puts so that in the case of a downturn they'd have money [to buy the dip](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/ilxnwo/yes/). XLU/JNJ/T/SGOV/BAC/CHRD/BIL/BOXX are all up for me. Selling covered options because I'm not selling the underlying to rise some funds. Will probably sell my BIL/SGOV for liquidity since margining up on a 1 day selloff is silly AF when you don't know if we'll get more downside.
You should be able to make some money of it, I just prefer a range of other companies that fit my personal investing preferences, and I'm sure some of my picks are far from perfect (CHRD for example)
I'm not super confident in the quality of remaining inventory in shale generally. Wells have high decline rates and gas ratios are increasing for most producers. I'm happy to be proven wrong, but it has been talked about alot on earnings calls, and Shubham Garg has some excellent analysis on these issues also. I will still hold some CHRD and PDCE regardless I think.
CCJ or URNM are easiest plays in Uranium. XOM is easiest for Oil, but there's probably better options amongst the Canadian producers (MEG?). CHRD, PDCE, CIVI are all riskier short-term shale plays that are printing cash still. ET or MPLX for midstream players.
I bought VLO, TA, CHRD, TNEYF, GXRFF before close. I'm feeling oil and energy is gonna be the move coming into the summer