OXY

drew-gen-x

I just sold my positions in $OXY, $HAL, and $KMI this morning. Crude Oil might go higher but I like to buy when crude oil is under $60 and sell when crude oil is over $100. Buy low, Sell high.

dansdansy

It's very reminiscent of the Russia/ Ukraine conflict's initial effects on the energy market. I'm not expecting crude prices to shoot up and stay up above 120 but I do expect $90 to be the new floor for awhile. Seems like that kind of dynamic is priced into stocks like OXY.

Catatafish

Going all in on OXY at open

NorCalAthlete

Not sure on what ticker OP's talking about. I've got some OXY calls that are doing ok, but they're not jumping from $1 to $15 (yet, we'll see when market opens)(doubt they'll spike that high).

aqua995

OXY propably rises next

aqua995

OXY also going so strong

aqua995

OXY will follow Oil

aqua995

Hold OXY and enjoy the upwards momentum

Iscratchmybutt

i'm hedged. 25% in BTC, and sprinkled some OXY, WMT. we gucci

ymi2f

Snort some OXY calls

Iscratchmybutt

OXY is the only thing in my portfolio that's up. but it's only 1% of my portfolio

Iscratchmybutt

my tech stocks are down but BTC climbing up + OXY mooning so my body T and we still gucci uh huh

2toneSound

A quick way to explain my luck with trading? I picked OXY instead of USO 😭

Dick_Wiener

Will OXY be up more than 2% tomorrow?

Upset-Chemist-4063

Literally sold my OXY positions in November to harvest some losses 🤦‍♂️

Ok-Poetry-4721

OXY

thewaterb0yyyy

OXY is lagging

odp01

Up until 3 weeks ago I was bag holding OXY for 3 years. Apparently the other wars weren't as war-y as this one!

bclinton

I sold all my OXY 2500 shares last Monday during premarket for 56.70. Bought into XLE and a few hundred more OXY shares when it dipped to 53. So far so good.

Portfoliana

oil at 350 would mean gasoline at like $12/gallon which would destroy demand long before we got there. every time crude spikes above $100 it accelerates the exact substitution effects (EVs, renewables, efficiency) that cap the upside. the 2008 spike to $147 literally kickstarted the shale revolution. i have about 8% of my portfolio in energy (mostly XLE, small OXY position) and im happy with that exposure. but 'generational wealth' calls in a commodity that has a hard ceiling set by demand destruction are how people blow up their accounts. the best energy trade right now is probaly the next 6 months not the next 6 years

somewhere_cool

Go to your local oil store and buy a barrel In seriousness, buy USO or UCO for direct exposure to oil futures prices. Buy XOM, OXY, XLE for exposure to producers which will lag oil prices a bit but should benefit longer term by high prices and snap upwards like a rubber band.

thewaterb0yyyy

Depends. USO been rippin but stocks that typically mirror it like OXY aren’t

aqua995

OXY goes brrrrrrrrrrrr

NewMoney_Rich

Got OXY

Exists_out_of_spite

Oh I'm definitely buying. Picking up MSFT at a PE of about 20 is a rare opportunity to not be missed. If I can get more at a PE of 15 because the stock price continues to drop, so be it. I work, don't spend much, have no debt, and have bought much scarier stock dips then this. Im just also heding with a bit of SPY puts and OXY shares. Ya know, cuz shit happens.

soad1331

You sell OXY?

Atomic_Hot_Sauce

When to sell my OXY shares? Sumone halp? Seeking finanshul adveyes

Iscratchmybutt

OXY finna moon to $80. FIG too

Sleepycoiner

Bought calls early too.. only they were on HAL and OXY. Made NOTHING on those garbage bins. Should have found out about this

dansdansy

I wouldn't necessarily recommend buying here, but I've been holding OXY since around $40. If you're looking to go leverage on oil staying up, US shale names will benefit from higher prices.

IndependentUsual7444

This isn't how I expected my OXY calls to print

somewhere_cool

The rubber band is going to snap on all of these oil producers that haven't risen with oil prices soon... OXY, XOM, XLE, etc going to fly up either in power hour today or mon-tues

Kiwirepme

Thoughts on OXY? Ot some calls expiring on the 13th and wondering if i should cut my losses or let it ride through the weekend.

Nova-JC

Bought calls on OXY this week for the oil pump not knowing that USO was the pure play lmao 🤡

Sleepycoiner

Is this why OXY hasnt moved all week?

Odd_Papaya8305

i was so confident that XOM and OXY would rebound this week but it was already priced in 😥

wmzula

Okay listen, remember covid? How everyone thought OIL is dead, OXY was 8$ !!!! We all went JKS and PLUG and shit... ans now is SaaS is dead, AI is king feels very familiar

LarryStink

Its uncanny how similar this is playing out to historical context.  Oil supply shock -> inflation risk -> fed hikes/holds rates -> easy money credit blows up -> markets fall -> unemployment -> earnings weaken -> markets fall -> more unemployment -> fed printer sets up next cycle.  Its still early innings, and if there is a miracle early end to the war than the thesis is discounted. Otherwise we dont spy 700 for a few years. And the bottom target depends on how bad things get going forward. Could be 500$ or could be 350$ spy by the time its all said and done. Not sure if Warren buffet is an actual oracle but his timing to cash and OXY stake is also as uncanny as the way this is all playing out. 

BigShmokeBuffer

Oil ripping, but OXY is flat? I understand nothing… it’s kinda my thing 😎

KaotikRush0198

Oil prices popping but OXY up 0.05% today 🤡

wonkwonk2stonkstonk

OXY is that sleeping giant thats about to get up and hit

Cav829

Just go with XLE. It's easier. For my personal portfolio, I've always bought CVX, but it's gotten way too expensive lately as they bumped the most after Venezuela. XOM looks very over-extended. OXY has room left to run.

Iscratchmybutt

OXY finna spike up

somewhere_cool

XLE, OXY, USO are good starters

Odd_Papaya8305

Are XOM and OXY sectors cooked?

2PacAn

Companies like FANG and OXY are producing the vast majority of their oil in the Permian basin. They do not have to worry about any of those other factors but their stocks are still down.

ICameSawAbstained

Yields. Spikes in yields cause PE ratio normalisation across the board and punish Capex and debt heavy industries. Oil stocks are particularly sensitive to yields. Additionally, unless it's a domestic producer like OXY, the margin crush will eat away any increase in gross revenue. 🍀

Odd_Papaya8305

Can XOM and OXY gap up again pls

Content-Pop-690

Just Yolo OXY broski

mneymaker

Couldnt help but sell the OXY and QQQ puts gains were good. Held the SPX and STNG though. Too bad i didn't have the conviction to make a gas play yesterday i was 50-50....

Iscratchmybutt

might average up on OXY

Iscratchmybutt

OXY calls still. $60 by end of march

Artistic-Contact-270

OXY

illGermanWhipAddict

Trades done - AAPL put, AAPL put, AMZN long, SPY put before Nvda earnings, and now XLE and OXY (oil exposures) contracts before Iran war.

Top-Positive6537

Hopefully it rips I’m in OXY

Scribble_Box

Got out of my OXY leaps with 90% gain. Now oil is going to skyrocket. Your welcome.

Any_Pomegranate1134

this is a good play this is basically up 15% so far , management buying since last year , production looking good , strong buy from analysts , price target is $2 from 0,850. waiting for it to go above or at least $1. if it doesn't pass $0.80 is going to be dumped other investors bought into OXY , pioneer natural resources and Trio Petroleum better choice according to the crowd.

dansdansy

Yep, I saw crude under $60 a barrel, LNG way down and OXY under $40 after the subsidiary sale and I was like "I will definitely take that bet"

somewhere_cool

OXY, XLE, and tankers are way too cheap at the moment. Could get big bags by the end of the 🥭 presser if you buy this dip

Timely_Primary521

**TL;DR:** OXY (Occidental Petroleum) is likely to **gap up** Monday due to geopolitical events in the Middle East. The U.S. and Israel hit Iran, and in retaliation, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, halting 20% of global oil supply. Oil prices are set to spike, and OPEC's minimal supply increase won't calm things down. OXY’s breakeven is around $40/barrel, and with oil at $80, they are positioned to profit massively. Additionally, if regime change in Iran leads to reconstruction contracts, OXY is well-placed due to its Middle East operations. The author holds OXY calls and plans to take profits on Monday's price jump, but is holding longer calls for potential post-war opportunities. **Risks**: Ceasefire may come quicker than expected, OPEC might increase supply, and OXY has debt from its Anadarko deal.

Dick_Wiener

I ain’t buying the OXY is flat while oil is up 5%, they closed the strait, and shut down Saudi oil refining.

DoubleFamous5751

I bought OXY a few weeks ago too to get some Buffett stability in the port as well 😆

mneymaker

Do we see $60 ??? :D I call OXY my Buffet ingredient so i can tell my friends i am an investor and not a degen sophisticated gamble

mneymaker

i dont expect it to be more than 50% in total. Except some crazy action in OXY or STNG if shit hits the fan. My QQQ puts are the first to be closed hopefull for 70%+ return

CaaCCeo

Buying more GLD today. Continue holding my biggest position OXY 😚

Iscratchmybutt

I’ve been bagholding OXY for 2 years… now’s my time to shine

mneymaker

OXY weekly calls, STNG March calls, QQQ 595P 3 DTE, SPX 6700 expiring March 30th. What do i close on open?

Iscratchmybutt

OXY calls

ub3rm3nsch

What is the OXY upside if Brent crosses $80?

KD_Hub

Iran Strait chaos fuels lotto calls: OXY/CVX Mar $10c - oil spikes print if Hormuz holds shut, breakevens safe. Momentum runners rip: INBX (559% YTD tear), QBTS quantum hype holds - weekly $5c above pivot.​ Puts trash overhype: MSFT/AMZN bloated multiples crack on rotation—Mar $400p MSFT under 420.​

KD_Hub

OXY gap play hinges on Strait closure spiking Brent past $80 - Permian breakevens \~$40-60/bbl print fat margins if sustained. OPEC's token 206k bpd bump signals no flood, but de-escalation chatter or surprise supply kills the pop fast. ME history (Oman/Qatar ops) positions for recon contracts if regime flips, though Anadarko debt lingers drag.​ Calls front-run headlines clean - size profits at gap highs.

Safety-International

I was tempted to swap some XOM calls for OXY calls since XOM is leading and oxy was lagging behind and it still is, that would of been worth it

beejee05

Me selling my OXY calls last Friday…

downundafumunda

i came out of a 5 year hibernation and DDed BOMBS tonight dont be sleeping on March 20 OXY calls and PSKY 30 strikes for Sept....

jizzy-mittens

Well here's a thought... Buffet has been buying OXY so..

downundafumunda

so hear me out because i think monday is going to be absolutely nuts for OXY and i havent seen anyone talking about this yet for anyone who wasnt paying attention this weekend — US and Israel hit Iran friday night. like ACTUALLY hit them. khamenei is dead. operation epic fury. b2 stealth bombers the whole thing. and heres the part that matters for us: iran closed the strait of hormuz in response if you dont know what that means — 20% of the worlds oil moves through that strait every single day. its closed. done. ships cant get through. right now theres 750+ ships just sitting in the persian gulf. \~450 tankers, 170ish container ships, 200 bulk carriers, even 14 LNG carriers. just floating there. hapag lloyd suspended transits. maersk suspended. CMA CGM told their ships to shelter in place. the US navy literally told commercial shipping they cannot guarantee safety anywhere in the gulf three ships already got hit near the mouth of the strait. insurance premiums for war risk went up 50-100% overnight so OPEC had their meeting today (sunday). everyone was watching to see if they'd flood supply to calm things down. they debated releasing anywhere from 137k to 548k barrels per day. they went with 206k. thats basically nothing. thats SA saying "yeah we hear you" without actually doing anything to move prices. oil stays high. brent crude was trading around $80 OTC sunday. OXY closed in the mid 50s friday. do the math on what monday morning looks like. heres why i like OXY specifically over other energy names — their permian basin breakeven is around $40/barrel. at $80 brent theyre printing pure margin. but the bigger picture is what happens AFTER the initial spike. trump told the daily mail this is a "four week process." hes literally talking about regime change. theres already talk about reza pahlavi the exiled crown prince as the replacement. if that happens iran has 150 billion barrels of reserves that come back online and guess which countries companies get those reconstruction contracts? not china. not russia. american companies. OXY has middle east operating history. they are literally positioned for both sides of this trade. short term = oil spike. long term = reconstruction contracts in a new iran thats friendly to US interests oh and if you missed it — the big beautiful bill that passed last summer already killed green energy subsidies and went all in on fossil fuel. the legislative framework for american energy companies to dominate post war iran is already law i already own OXY calls. been in since before the strikes. looking to take profits on the gap monday because i think the initial spike is where the easy money is. but im holding some april calls for the longer thesis risks obviously — ceasefire could come faster than expected. trump says 4 weeks but who knows. OPEC could do an emergency meeting and actually release real supply. OXY also has significant debt from the anadarko deal so theyre not risk free even in a good environment anyway thats my take. do whatever you want with it. i just think most people are going to wake up monday morning and panic search "oil stocks" and OXY is going to be the answer positions: OXY calls. taking some profits monday, holding april expiration for the reconstruction thesis

ApprehensiveBat5970

AAL puts, RHI puts, PSKY to the Moon MORE ON THAT LATER. OXY Calls, NCLH Puts DHT CALLS TO THE MOON

Iscratchmybutt

OXY calls

Sufficient-Dog-2337

This guy fucking gets it!!! GLD and OXY!!!

Dick_Wiener

If oil is up 15% - do y’all think OXY will be up 15%?

Kind_Initiative_7567

Buffets OXY buy finally gonna pay off ?

Lost_Grand3468

To a degree, yes. Oil sensitive stocks are up 30% over the last 2 months as this has been building. A company like OXY probably spikes 10-15% on Monday now that it's happened, but thats just about the limit of what we'll see. Broader market de-risk probably only 2-5%. Might continue to bleed at a slower pace until a more concrete end comes into sight. That could theorhetically happen before Monday open.

HesFromBarrancas

Buy OXY in January, long USD & short tech. All you needed to do.

LowImprovement4220

So from my very limit knowledge I say calls on XOM,CVX and OXY cuz u know high oil price = higher profit for oil companies and puts on DAL,AAL,UAL and LUV cuz u know high oil prices = big loss on airlines cuz u know they need fuel to fly

Pleasant_Arugula7571

The Hormuz angle is the one that matters most going into Monday and isn't getting enough attention yet. Oil majors and top trading houses have already quietly suspended crude shipments through the Strait. Four trading sources told Reuters. No press release -- they just stopped scheduling voyages. That's the signal, not the headlines. The mechanism: Hormuz doesn't need to be physically blocked. Ships stop moving when war-risk underwriters step away. Lloyd's syndicates pulling coverage makes voyages uneconomical regardless of what the water looks like. We saw this exact dynamic in the Red Sea for 4 months in 2024 -- no ships were sunk but freight rerouted around Africa anyway because insurance disappeared. For Monday specifically: \*\*Energy longs:\*\* XLE +4-8% base case, OXY/DVN +6-12% on higher operational leverage. These open gap up and hold if AIS transit data stays suppressed. \*\*Avoid chasing airlines short:\*\* DAL/UAL will already be down 4-8% at open on jet fuel math. Position is crowded by 9:31am. The relative value trade (long XLE / short XLY) is cleaner. \*\*VIX:\*\* +20-40% on the binary outcome uncertainty. Consider 60-90 day call spreads for convexity rather than spot VIX. \*\*The key data to watch -- not headlines:\*\* AIS tanker transit counts through Hormuz (baseline \~20-22 laden tankers/day) and war-risk insurance quotes. If transits normalize within 3-5 days, oil gives back half the spike. If they stay suppressed into week 2, revise up everything. Running full scenario models with probability breakdowns at [geopulselabs.com](http://geopulselabs.com) for anyone who wants the full causal chain and sector impacts.

AmneziaaizenmA

OXY

Falstaff1400

What were those oil stocks that popped last time Israel started attacking Iran a few months back? $OP, $OXY or something?

vegetto712

I only have OXY, how should I feel

Odd-Block-2998

Department of War is surely efficient. SPY +3% on Monday, rip my QQQ puts and OXY calls.

PushAble2463

OXY is obvious… chevron etc. but they are all at close to ath. Watch natural gas prices (!) maybe go CRK, looks in a perfect techincal spot for a good pump based on euphoria. Shipping rates will be up no question about it too

ManBearPig_1983

So OXY calls were the move. Buffet knew…

Level_Counter3062

Tickers to prop up SPY on Monday ExxonMobil (XOM) Chevron (CVX) ConocoPhillips (COP) Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Schlumberger (SLB)

R_J23

Got a position with $OXY 2 weeks ago based on them closing this in the future at the time, should go up insanely as 20% of the oil goes through there

Top_Category_2526

Bought OXY at $70 bag holding when everyone is making billion.... Having sleep for dinner since then

Atomic_Hot_Sauce

Hormuz is going to close and I have OXY shares. Do I sell on Monday? No shot China and russia lets it stay closed

vanceraa

I was this 🤌 close to OXY calls on friday but I thought anyone trying to topple a regime wouldn’t showboat so much about it Forgot it’s mango so retardium is baked in

Glittering_Bonus_700

OXY calls at market open!

IndependentUsual7444

OXY 55 on Monday

HesFromBarrancas

Long OXY was all you needed, and we’ve had people buying the tech-dips right into last week. Market structure turned January 28. Down out of Feb OpEx was always the road forward.

NochillWill123

I was staring at OXY short dated calls like a mad man before close and didn’t pull the trigger