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The advantage TRAK has is that their system is already in and they added the capability while other competitors have to knock on doors and get their system in. Is it a Google kind of moat no but the valuation and current trajectory makes sens.
Mark Gomes talked about TRAK on his 4/24 YouTube live show on Friday. He starts talking about multiple players in the ecosystem around 46 mins in.
Subject to change during power hour, but for now: - JEF call - LW put - MTN put - PAYX call - PRGS was a put, now diagonal, but increasingly less sure... - SPIR call - TRAK call - UNFI call - WIMI call Subject to adjustment at 12:30 est Disclaimer: this is not investment advice to buy sell fold spindle or mutilate any stock. This is for entertainment purposes only, cuz *Gambol!*
I'm deep on an FSMA compliance play - $TRAK
More VOO, SP500, and VTII.. Maybe increase exposure to nuclear energy etfs. For sure dcaing more aggressively into TRAK
I used to use TD Ameritrade's stock screener, now Fidelity - when I researched in 2022 that's how I found TRAK, AEHR, HDSN, and a few others that I'm no longer holding but generally were good buys for a few months. Once the filters narrowed results down to 20-30 companies, I'd research them individually to see what the investment story would be to back up their numbers. I'd come up with an idea of the type of company I wanted to buy (depending on the environment), some of those things: - In 2022 when gas was insanely expensive, rates were rising and companies with higher capex and debt were getting pummeled, I searched for companies that fit those criteria that I thought would benefit when things reverted to normal. This is how I found HRI, AEHR, and CROX - My other 2022 thesis was finding small caps that were growing earnings more than revenue with a small % institutional ownership and higher % insider ownership. This led to HDSN, and AEHR again - 2023 I was most interested in finding small caps that pay a dividend, same institutional ownership/insider ownership factors. I found one of my best investments this way, TRAK (used to be PCYG when I bought it) Actual factors I use now: - Dividend yield greater than 0.1% (Just has to have it in some form, amount doesn't matter so much) - Less than 50% institutional ownership (you're most likely not finding a discount/mispricing if they've beat you to it) - Higher insider ownership, the better - Growing revenues/earnings, even if just slightly (Use PEG for this) - PE in the 10s to teens - Market cap < 10B and > 300M, favoring smaller ones - Filtering for the sector and industry - like in a rising rate environment, I was looking for insurance companies to invest in (like PLMR) but recently I'd be looking for things benefitting from rates coming down instead Some of these stocks did way better than others. I got in on AEHR at \~$10 initially but underlying deals falling through made the runup to $50 fall apart. HDSN was absolutely amazing and tripled but then refrigerants fell back to normal prices and they're down significantly from their peak again. Some that I found were my absolute best investments that have more than outweighed the losses, like CELH at $90 pre split, TRAK <$10, CROX in the 40s, HRI in the 90s, etc. TLDR! - Find a thesis for the environment, especially considering interest rates - Find factors that benefit from your thesis (like the current environment being just the beginning of a larger move, or things that would benefit massively from returning to normal) - Filter for those factors to find stocks that fit - From that pool of stocks, back up your quantitative research with qualitative - listening to earnings calls, does their product have legs, see how active their subreddit is (crocs), find and weigh the risks, then size your position reasonably (only a few % max, I'd do 3-5% but with a smaller portfolio at the time)
Thoughts on Repositrak $TRAK?
Continuing to dca into $TRAK.
No. Looks kind of like WFCF (Where Food Comes From). Interesting business and probably more regulatory tailwinds (which the front page of the TRAK website mentions), but I guess my question is how big of a business is this over time? It went public in the late 1990's, ran from 2009 to 2011, lost about 40%, then ran again from 2013 to 2017, then lost about 70% and is now ramping up again. So - interesting business, nothing against it just not quite understanding what the long-term looks like. How big is the opportunity, what does the growth look like over time, is there a consistent growth story that can be built on over time or is this something that is boosted for a time by new regulatory changes? Genuinely dunno. Good luck with the investment.
Anyone else got TRAK in their long-term portfolio?
Is anyone paying attention to $TRAK?
Well, it's offset by 20 shares of VT for the rest of the margin (and half a share of META, 61 of TRAK)
FB, MSFT, TRAK, LIFFF are my plays.