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Youre right, DXY down, GLI up, equities at ATHs, gold at ATHs. Rate cuts being priced in. Cpi and ppi came in cool while the job market is looking rough. Bonds are coming down, sol, xrp and sui etf all launching this year. Tommy Lee advocating for ethereum, WLFI built on solana will definitely result in a big solana pp, iso 20022 will help fuel hbar, xlm, xrp, Ada, link etc. As long as youre holding something its bound to go up atp
Ofc, that's why I couple it with GLI and my own TA, id never use it to predict higher prices. I don't really consider the 2013 cycle as I think it's way to early, and yes ur right in the 2017 cycle It never retested it, but my point still stands that's it acts as a health check And it's not about how many times it tags it necessarily, my point is what happens when it tags it If it "goes straight thru as nothing were there" and prints a weekly close like that then it's the start of a bear market Haha definitely not my sell signal, if it lost it id just probably gamble a short And yes that's my point, it shows the trend, if GLI points higher and all momentum indicators are cooked, and BTC is dropping hella (which can ignite fear making it harder to buy) but hits the 50WMA id 100% assume a successful retest (bull market still intact) and just simply buy the dip
Nice. I recommend looking into the levels of leverage built up in the market as well to tell how frothy its getting. Think futures funding rates and binances usdt margin loan interest rate. What you'll find is the 4 year cycle is just the liquidity cycles which should be correlated to your GLI indicator if that stands for global liquidity. People on reddit think the 4 year cycles are to do with the halvening which i completly disagree and can prove wrong very easily.
Just saying.. I use GLI and combine with my own TA to get a rough estimate of the cycles whereabouts, I don't predict the cycle top by using pre determined dates given from the "4 year cycle" doesn't mean it's dead though
How about if we can use it with other indicators like GLI?
Im with you on this one... Global M2/Liquidity historically leads BTC price action by +/- 2ish months... Global M2 is touching ATHs again. GLI is catching up... Old man mango is tanking the markets, flooding the US with 100s of 1000s of unemployed people. These numbers will be hitting economic reports in the upcoming weeks/months... Me, Im expecting the fed to be forced to act and cut rates d/t spiked unemployment. This is bad news for the US economy and inflation. But Kommrad Donald doesn't give a shit about the US, or its people. He's in it for Putin/Thiel/Elon etc. His Oligarchs don't care about us. The US is fukked... Im buying BTC, as much as I can afford. This is our opportunity.
I'm just staring at the GLI on TradingView and every day the line keeps going up with very good velocity. Do with that info what you want.
Liquidity is inbound… BTC price lags it, but GLI is spiking again… We need an excuse to print a good stank of USD… right now we’re setting the stage… 100s of Thousands of newly unemployed people just hit the streets. These numbers will be reflected in upcoming economic reports. It’ll pressure the Fed to cut % and stimulate the economy…which will happen. In the meantime, the entire market overall has taken a whopping. More pain possibility in the next week(s)… but there’s no way Donny doesn’t pump his markets… the boys bout to eat. Donny gon feedem. Sit tight
But now we're bottomed out on GLI
That's the past. We're now post-inauguration, GLI bottoming out, and tariffs heating up inflationary concerns.
GLI is bottoming out. BTC is a liquidity sponge. So, yep, that's what it feels like to me. And I don't see liquidity loosening up as long as inflation is sticky, and a global tariff trade war isn't going to help with that.
My base assumption is not that a bull would be resumed. Maybe one last gasp rally if GLI ticks up, then bear in 2026