BTC

kshucker

Not wrong as far as the price history of bitcoin goes. You made the right choice in my opinion. My gameplan through the cycles has been to sell around this time after a bitcoin halving, turn to USDC and then buy back into mainly BTC and dabble in ALT’s in about 2 and a half years after I sell. Has never failed me.

Aggressive_Spell2314

Things were very different back in 2017. Don’t feel bad for selling. I‘ve been on this bitcoin journey since late 2022, so not that long. But even just a few years ago, there was so much FUD - Gary Gensler FUD, Operation Choke Point 2.0... etc. Jamie Dimon was trash talking Bitcon and now we see JP Morgan accepting BTC as collateral. How absurd. Keep stacking and Hodling!

SpartanMoonMan

I tried reading The Bitcoin Standard…made it about 10 pages before my brain went into power saving mode. And that’s coming from someone who puts most of their spare wealth into Bitcoin. I just need a one page, hit me with the highlights summary. Either way, I don’t exactly need convincing that BTC is the best investment on the planet right now

ttv_CitrusBros

Whole point of BTC is decentralizing. Shouldn't be in an exchange in the first place.

HSuke

If you care about reporting taxes, get it in fiat or USDT. Reporting BTC will be hell since you have to track your input and output prices for accounting.

Fictional-adult

They need ~$1.2b per year to make dividend payments. They can only get that money by taking on debt or selling BTC. When the company was trading at a premium to BTC that was no problem, but trading at a discount it makes far more sense to sell coins.  Strategy has about $1.4b, so they are ~18 months from potentially being forced to sell.

duckitman

I did this in 2020. I don’t know why people are saying it’s a bad idea. I was able to buy more BTC faster than I would have been able to sticking to DCA from paychecks. If you think BTC will outperform the stock market, why wouldn’t you do this? Just make sure you can actually afford the payments and have a long time preference and you should be fine with this strategy.

MusicIsVice1

BTC is the way to go! Thats why institutions hate it.

MusicIsVice1

Thats why they are against of **BTC**

Fit-Credit-7970

Leverage in crypto is like playing with fire - thrilling until the cascade hits. You nailed it: whales dumping spot to trigger margin calls is a classic liquidation trap. (Ever wonder why BTC tanks in seconds? That’s your answer.) The market’s turned into a leveraged casino, and retail’s often the bait. I’ve been testing [Banana Pro](https://pro.bananagun.io/) lately - their sniper logic and MEV protection give you a fighting chance in this chaos. It’s not just about speed, it’s about staying invisible when the sharks start circling. If you’re trading, might as well bring a bazooka to the knife fight.

PsychologicalCall426

Leverage in crypto is like playing with fire - thrilling until the cascade hits. You nailed it: whales dumping spot to trigger margin calls is a classic liquidation trap. (Ever wonder why BTC tanks in seconds? That’s your answer.) The market’s turned into a leveraged casino, and retail’s often the bait. I’ve been testing [Banana Pro](https://pro.bananagun.io/) lately - their sniper logic and MEV protection give you a fighting chance in this chaos. It’s not just about speed, it’s about staying invisible when the sharks start circling. If you’re trading, might as well bring a bazooka to the knife fight.

imfuckinglying2u

One of the best necromancers to ever roam Erathia. She's the one bringing BTC back to life every time it dies (477 times so far).

machilipatnam_mayaba

Between 2012–13 I used BTC to place IPL bets on Bet365 since it was banned back home. Ended up losing around 12K USD and thinking about how much bitcoin I burned back then still stings lol

_IscoATX

Wdym? It’s not a card service. For cash, there’s your standard bank transfer period for funds. For BTC it’s just straight to the network. However long it takes on chain. They also offer free transfers once a month. Those may or may not be slower but they’ve always settled in 15-20 min for me

Quantum_Pineapple

Nah that doesn’t track because BTC would also rise in value as demand increases via adoption. People holding raw BTC will always come out ahead as long as you DCA in my honest opinion.

dannydsan

All these alt's are just people cashing in on free money but there will be a few that stand out and stand the test of time. There more uncertain people are about the future of the economy, the higher BTC and Gold will go. Alts are being drained because of uncertainty about the future, whether that's AI fears, World War III, Strained world economy, etc.

vasco_

I think putting it like that is slightly misleading: they sold 704 for tax reasons (as they explicitly stated in a SEC filing) and bought 2 days later 810 btc back, at a slightly higher price. Technically they did sell, but the reality is that they got a tax cut and increased their amount of BTC.

ivmo71

I remember BOA accounts wouldnt link to coinbase for the purchase of BTC.

mcfreiz

Stick to BTC and take profits near all time highs

inadyttap

$200k BTC is inevitable, it’s going up forever Laura, forever.

Low_Masterpiece1560

While accumulating your emergency fund, and saving for a down payment, your investment goal should be to avoid big losses. For now, I suggest limiting your exposure to volatile risk assets such as BTC in your investment portfolio to well under five percent. My suggestion: 70% t-bills, 14% gold, 14% broad stock index (such as VTI) and 2% BTC.

KMark0000

I sold all BTC at/around ATH this time :) (I bought it ATH last time lol)

Intelligent-Radio159

No, that would incur a taxable event, I borrow against my BTC to pay back debt. Fiat for fiat

glastrie

I see what you mean but if you DCA and keep liquid it shouldn’t matter. I disagree because you shouldn’t have all your wealth on BTC. so it means jack shit to me, in 5-10 years i would outpace you in profits because i didn’t get eaten up in taxes and fees, good luck landing on 15-35% tax bracket with constantly moving it around. just let it sit, you already know that in 5-10 years we will be in new grounds, is your patience really that low?

DrSpeckles

How can you say projects you actually use and BTC in the same sentence?

Robotoverlordv1

Japan has already said they're gonna print. China has already said they're gonna print. Trump has already said he's going to print. The clarity act is coming. This is literally the most bullish macro landscape in the history of BTC. If you're buying the FUD rn have fun being poor.

imfuckinglying2u

Vidomina got rekt last night, no save scumming allowed :( Gotta start amassing skellies from scratch. BTC better be above 90k when I'm back.

RetiredAvocado

What is your deal with $50 worth of "no kyc?" Nobody gives a damn about that. If you were talking 50 grand worth and trying skimp on taxes or something then it's (still ass) but understandable. Nobody is tracking your $50 worth of BTC.

Skeewampus

If Strategy never sells any bitcoin than how do they actually make any money in the future? On paper their value will grow but what happens to their software business? It appears to be slowing shrinking over the past several years. As they lean more into being a BTC holdings company I would imagine their revenue from software collapse.

road22

There is a huge amount of wealth just waiting for the price of BTC to drop more. All weak hands have sold. The shorts are making 5x compared to what the longs have lost last month. We are going sideways for a while before the FED starts QE again.

Nick700

They sold those 704 Bitcoin for tax purposes and then two days afterwards they bought 810 BTC...

CallousBastard

Was here for the last 2 cycles, held through both. I took my profits this time and sold everything in early November while BTC was still a bit above 100K. I could be completely wrong (nothing new for me) but I felt like this year's bull run was winding down.

TinaJewel

Take profit and sell everything but BTC. You do not want to be holding those alts during bear market

devCheckingIn

I think it's reasonable to accept that there is risk being long on BTC.

esraa_11

That shows how strongly they believe in Bitcoin’s long-term value. If a major firm like Strategy CEO says only a decades-long slump would make them sell, it means they see BTC as a long-term strategic asset, not just a short-term trade. It’s interesting to see institutional confidence staying that strong

Ikki_The_Phoenix

Nothing is making money out there. I'm going to stick with BTC and saving up money for the next bull

clem_the_man

so it starts: from never having to sell BTC to having to sell BTC after a long crypto winter. my guess is: if BTC does not recover until they used all the money from the USD reserve they have to start selling.

Alarming_Teaching_13

How does him wanting 50k in physical cash support BTC?

MariachiArchery

Not freaking out when the market moves 5-10% overnight, that is for sure. I got in before the 2017 run up. I watched BTC and ETH 20x, then retrace 90-95% the following year. I held BTC from 20 to 3.5 and ETH from 1.1k to $80. I also watched like 90% of the ICO bullshit go to zero, and take pretty much every alt with it. The vast majority (about 95%) of projects from this time were removed from exchanges, and about 80% of them were just straight up scams to begin with. What did I do when it all came crashing down? I just sat there. I didn't do anything. The fundamentals of this space didn't change, I still thought it was a good investment, so I just waited. I did DCA into a bit more BTC, but as the price started to rise again, I decided I didn't have the risk apatite for more of this asset class, so I've just stayed put. And to be frank right now, I feel overexposed. Stayed put through the 2020's boom and bust too. No regrets what so ever. This market has shown me that all I need to do is wait, and not overexpose myself. When people say "don't invest what you can't afford to lose", you need to listen, because this shit can pull back 80% *fast.* You need to be very ready to keep your money in the market. Don't chase alts, stick to ETH and BTC, don't get emotional, be patient, and you need to be certain that the money you have going in, isn't money you'll need any time soon, because anything can happen, and the worst thing for you, would be needing to sell a loss because your dog got sick or some shit.

Financial_Design_801

BPCE Group— France’s #3 bank is opening the gates. Users will soon be able to trade BTC.

Grunblau

I realized the futility of trying to time perfect entry and exit. Weight 75% plus in BTC. Try speculate less and only hold projects that you actually use so you understand what is hype and what is real.

wtjones

Obviously, never tried to withdraw $50,000 worth of BTC from Coinbase when prices are falling.

AutoModerator

Post is by: dannydsan and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1pg001d/crypto_alt_season_theory_nonserious/ It's very simply actually... Do you ever notice how ALT season happens only when BTC starts making new highs? As it stalls at the high for some months, the peak of the ALT season is usually happening, and slowly dies down then BTC makes a long seasonal higher low while ALT coins are the same price they were pre BTC high. Ultimately it's just a way to distract real investors out of BTC by inciting people to make bigger gains, and gradually making it a world currency. Ultimately, the alts end up feeding BTCs growth. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

tacocat_-_racecar

Don’t buy bullshit coins looking for a get rich quick scenario. Stack BTC and if you absolutely have to f with alts do it very cautiously.

PapiMak

DCA BTC with a side of ETH.

piggleii

Just checking the DOGE/BTC chart. And it hasn't even fully retraced its pump from the 2021 bull market. That's impressive.

Archer_solace

I mean I guess any selling isn’t good but 704 BTC is a drop in the bucket.

tacocat_-_racecar

Wonder if there is access to the BTC ETF through the 401k plan? If so that would be awesome. But I’d rather hold my own BTC

goingdoge

If you’re trying to mine actual Bitcoin with an RX 7600, sorry bro… you’ll find gold in your backyard sooner. Your GPU can mine other coins via NiceHash. It pays you in BTC so you still feel like a Bitcoin miner🤣

HSuke

MicroStrategy sold 704 BTC in December 2022 when Bitcoin was $17,800. Not sure if selling 1 year into a bear market counts as a decades-long slump.

coinrock6

Cash is so dead. It just hasn’t realized it yet. I had some cash on hand from the sale of household items. It came to about $20,000. I haven’t used a bank in over 30 years, but I had to open an account in order to put the cash into the system. Opened a savings account, deposited it, and then tried to send it to one of my brokerage accounts so I could invest it. Bank only allows $3000 transfers, and $5000 per week. Bank wires were $50. It took a month to send my money between accounts. I’ve never had any problem sending $BTC around the world for pennies, 24x7x365, unlimited value. Wish the world would wake up and stop using the ancient money.

terp_studios

This blogpost is from a year ago and they get many things wrong. Mainly, their BTC holdings are valued at about $58billion, not $17billion. Be careful who you believe on the internet. Or don’t, and just keep whining and spreading incorrect information.

RealityGrand3745

so the meaning means BTC will dominate ?

RealityGrand3745

So what about the us reserve coins like BTC and similar

HSuke

On December 22, 2022, MicroStrategy sold 704 BTC

BastiatF

You can get 0.5 physical BTC in 10 minutes

Joy_Boy_12

And when BTC hits 100M 0.01 will be 1M. I hope I'm wrong but 220T market cap sounds too much for any asset in the world 

gmazz

Dec 2023 to Dec 2025 S&P 500 2 yr return - 50% BTC 2 yr return -103%

Known_Click

Idk if people have amnesia or if this FUD it’s going from new investors who doesn’t know that Strategy was already underwater on 2022 in their BTC and they didn’t sold a single thing.

Easik

Loans are a last resort and probably about even with the likelihood they sell BTC. All of their BTC is unencumbered (aka they have no collateralized loans). They have 21 months of cash to pay debt obligations and that's assuming they can't raise more money. So we have a loose guarantee they won't sell BTC in the next 21 months. I can't see BTC being worth less than what MSTR paid for them ($77k) in 21 months, but I guess anything is possible.

iwakan

Your chart confirms what I said, that BCH outperformed BTC in timescales relevant to my trade and that I would have lost money if I had been bullish on BTC.

Suspicious-Holiday42

How ironic that BTC is the one thing that has no tariff

Rocko210

LOL, it’s been bad since 2023. Only BTC, BNB, and ETH have moved.

PricklyyDick

They were underwater on their BTC just a couple years ago lol.

kizo1212

Wait what?? 20 BTC? Am still struggling to have 1

Unusual-Section468

I do a similar thing. I dca 50% and keep 50% of what I want to put in BTC. I buy dips with the saved amount

DeepInEther

Haha. I get excited when BTC drips, weird right?

JohanBlazer

I just farted, pretty sure it reshaped BTC destiny,

MuddiedKn33s

I’m the same, but there is a valid argument around the opportunity cost of leaving cash uninvested for the purpose of buying dips. I do think that this is a reasonable approach for relatively volatile investments, e.g. BTC vs index funds.

Superchief440

Agreed, which is why I am buying BTC today at $89k when I sold 8 years ago for $1k.

Easik

100% agree with you . I "know" that the market (S&P, BTC, QQQ, etc) will be down 20-30% over the next 6 months. I have placed bets accordingly. And at this point, I think it's a 50/50 chance I have the timing right and about a 70% chance I lose money even if I'm right.

Prabuddha-Peramuna

I keep it pretty simple. My reference point isn’t tied to ATH or a fixed price if BTC drops \~15% from *wherever it currently is*, I buy. That’s my baseline.When price trends upward, I do update the ceiling, but not constantly. I only move it if BTC makes a **clean new high and pushes at least 4% beyond the previous top**. That way the system stays adaptive without becoming hyperactive.During strong trends, I also tighten the pullback threshold. Instead of waiting for a full 15%, I’ll scale into smaller 5–10% dips so I stay involved without buying blindly at every candle. For profit-taking, I’m long-term focused. I don’t sell just because price moved up a little. Instead, I use a simple rule: **every time my portfolio is up 30% overall, I pull out 20% of those profits.** It keeps me disciplined, locks in gains during strong runs, and still lets the majority of the position compound for the long term. So the framework isn’t about timing the perfect moment; it’s about buying intelligently at meaningful discounts while keeping the rules flexible enough to adapt to trend strength.

Easik

I don't have a position in MSTR. I don't think his model benefits stock holders, he'll continuously destroy shareholder value to get more BTC. They are absolutely on a race against time and BTC price appreciation while simultaneously contributing to BTC price appreciation. I wouldn't bet on him selling BTC in the near term though. If they can start generating revenue with BTC backed financial instruments, it'll make the business a bit more investable / palatable from a risk perspective.

longonbtc

**Every time you receive a bitcoin transaction, you get a UTXO** (it's a transaction output and it's unspent). So you will get one UTXO every time you withdraw bitcoin from an exchange to your wallet. --- UTXO is short for unspent transaction output. When you send a bitcoin transaction, you build it with inputs and outputs and each input is a UTXO. --- Every time you spend a UTXO or UTXOs (send a transaction), the leftover BTC will be sent to a new change address that is controlled by your same wallet that you used to send the transaction. For example, say you have a 0.09001000 BTC UTXO (unspent transaction output) and you want to send 0.06 BTC to Bobby. You send spend the 0.09001000 BTC UTXO and send 0.06 BTC to Bobby and you spend 0.0001 BTC on the transaction fee and the leftover 0.03 BTC will be sent to your change address that is controlled by the same wallet that you sent the transaction from. UTXOs need to be spent in full. Think of it like breaking a bill. Say you have a twenty dollar bill and you want to buy something that costs three dollars. The merchant is going to give you back seventeen dollars as change. --- You can also consolidate UTXOs. For example, you build a transaction with 100 inputs (100 UTXOs) and 1 output. You will be left with 1 single UTXO after sending that transaction. You would have paid a pretty hefty transaction fee to send that transaction because the virtual size would be large because the transaction has one hundred inputs. It's best to consolidate UTXOs when the mempool is not congested and fees are low (like right now). --- The person above used ChatGPT to generate their comment and ChatGPT is does not always give accurate information. You can send a bitcoin transaction with 3 inputs right now with a fee of 35 cents worth of sats. And you can send a bitcoin transaction with 100 inputs right now with a fee of just $9 worth of sats. Fees would be higher during a high fee environment when the mempool is congested.

didnt_hodl

and what if the same amount of $$$ buys 4 BTC next year? we are going into the bear market and it usually lasts about a year

Drspaceman1717

What tweet would send BTC… we literally have Blackrock adoption, congress support and institutional demand. We need time, inflation and trillions of investment.

Hfksnfgitndskfjridnf

They really didn’t have a plan other than that though. Once you understand that, it makes a lot more sense. Remember this is the same guy who fraudulently reported revenues and profits during the dot com boom. This is the same guy who then spent the next 20 years sitting on 500 million dollars cash in his company doing nothing while it melting away to inflation. He apparently just learned what inflation was in 2020 and instead of simply trying to protect his 500 million in cash from inflation, he bought 50 billion worth of Bitcoin instead. This is the same guy that issued convertible bonds and claimed volatility is vitality under they saturated the market with them in a few months. Then switch to selling common stock at inflated prices until the market brought its multiple down. Then issued preferred stock to try and keep BTC yield going. Except he really was just repeating the same flavor of fraud he did during the dot com error, instead of inflating revenue and profits during, he was front loading his BTC yield metric. Which with the recent “USD reserve” capital has shown it for what it really was. All BTC yield since August has been wiped out, and the USD raise only covers 21 months of dividends. Saylor is just slinging mud and hoping something sticks. I’m sure he’ll come up with something else real soon to peddle for a few months before it stops working and he tries and come up with some other way to raise money from suckers.

Easik

Social Security? At any rate, it's a growth / risk equation. It's his thesis that BTC will be worth significantly more in the future and that he is positioning himself to offering BTC backed products to generate revenue. Is he wrong that the price of BTC will be higher in 10 years than it is now? I can't imagine BTC being under $100k in 10 years and I don't think anyone in this sub believes that it will be either.

Kind_Soup_9753

Most don’t understand inflation or de dollarization, so you’re ahead of the curve. I would recommend getting some BTC and transacting with it. Once you realize how it’s better than all alternatives your mind will be made up. We can gold plate lead so it’s fairly easy to fake, it’s hard to send anywhere and slow. Gold has also been taken from us in the past. Bitcoin is more than just getting rich it gives you peace of mind and financial freedom. You’re already looking at the solution and I think you know it.

Legitimate_Cry_5194

In my view it was always ridiculous to expect prices of 150K+ in this cycle that many were calling for. I was waiting for 138K to sell everything, eventually i came to believe that we won't get there or that it's too risky to wait for it in this cycle and i sold at 110K and called it a day. Made huge profits since i bought everything around 20K. That being said I'm worried about the future price action of BTC. That was my third cycle and i always was buying with huge conviction even at the abyss of the bottom of bear markets. Never have i felt so worried about the future prospects of BTC's price action, and that's way ahead of any meaningful bear market. Aside from that i believe we are going to test 50's in 2026. Might be lower. Stock market is almost at ATH's and we got 30% down from them. If there is some substantial pullback in the stock market there will be a lot of tears in the crypto sector. Last cycle retail was decimated and never returned, perfectly demonstrated by how ALTS performed this cycle. I'm worried if institutions get fucked by BTC in the next bear, whether it will be their turn to not make a return next cycle.

PeopleNose

I never claimed anything, just pointing out how easily one can get into BTC by themselves "Any one can take the blockchain code and create a secondary Bitcoin network." Soooo.... do you know how the block chain works...? Or are you just playing devil's advocate? Uhh, ya anyone can fork the blockchain, but that doesn't mean that your fork can do anything else (like communicate BTC changes to others). You can write you have 10 billion BTC, but everyone else's blockchain will disregard the bogus math It might help to learn how it works before talking about it... 😮‍💨

Bagmasterflash

There was a whole book on the hijacking. You should read it. There isn’t a book on the misalignment of the incentive structure with small blocks. Maybe I’ll write it when BTC/BCH gets back to 10%. That should open everyone’s eyes to the ponzi BTC is and put actual bitcoin where it needs to be to free the world from the financial oppression of governments and Cental Banking.

HandIllustrious2326

With one tweet BTC could moon to 150k or crash down to 60k. What im saying is that no one knows the future, so we should just stack like you said.

dj_destroyer

I started doing this January 1st (because of this guy as he or someone reposts it frequently) so I'm at \~0.0918 BTC bought for about $10k CAD. Even though I've been in this space since 2017, I now finally understand why people "*feign"* happiness when it dips -- they're not lying but rather actually legitimately excited at the chance of getting sats for cheaper. I'm buying every day no matter what, so it's nice to see when those orders return 25k (recently) sats instead of 17k sats (October 6th). As long as the longterm thesis doesn't change, it's literally just getting them on sale. When BTC is $1M in 2035-2040, I'll likely have a full BTC from this alone. The best part is I used to eat out for breakfast and/or lunch and now I just make it myself. Healthier and cheaper -- plus I might be a millionaire in 10-15 years because of it. Take that avocado toast!

23_skido-o

"Trust that doesn't depend on anyone" If you exchange BTC for a good or service, you are still required to trust the person you're transacting with.  That makes BTC similar to any unit of exchange.   So what makes a blockchain unit of exchange more useful than, say, those created from the proceeds of bond sales?

Easik

Not true, they can issue more bonds or use existing BTC as collateral for a loan. There's obviously situations where both aren't possible, but they aren't inherently obligated to sell BTC just because of BTC price.

MorgulKnifeFight

If you are buying on the exchange you are fine, but you don’t really possess the Bitcoin until you transfer it to an address you control. In other words, you possess an IOU from the exchange. Some people like to transfer their crypto out of the exchange and take custody of it themselves, mostly using a hardware wallet. When you transfer money to an address on the blockchain (for instance to an address you have generated with your hardware wallet) - that address is a UXTO, and it will contain the crypto amount you transferred. If you were to transfer money later, say transferring it back to the exchange so you can sell it for fiat, you will pay fees to the miners that are processing your transaction, per UXTO. So, if you have UXTOs that are large, like $1000 worth, you will pay a smaller set of fees than if you have a lot of very small UXTOs. This is why if you want to daily DCA AND do self custody, you will want to leave the BTC in the exchange until you hit a certain amount. This is why you sometimes hear stories of someone transferring a large amount of crypto and end up spending $1,000’s in fees. Also, one strategy is to wait for times when market fees are very low and consolidate UXTOs. One last thing! It is possible to have a UXTO that is so small, it is less than the fee needed to process it. This makes it basically unspendable. This is commonly called “dust” Managing UXTOs is really important to learn about if you plan to self custody your investments. If you trust the exchange, you can let them worry about it. I myself like to manage my own assets. I even have one large IRA account that has >1BTC that I have self custody of using multiple hardware wallets. The UXTO that holds it has to be signed by 2 out of 3 hardware wallets. I hold 2, and the IRA/Bank holds 1.

USAF76-98

Totally agree with 5-10%. I’ve got 4.7% of my portfolio in crypto: BTC, SOL, MSTR & BMNR. Year to date, my crypto is -7.6% Anyone invested more than 10% is sweating bullets …

Prabuddha-Peramuna

You’re absolutely right that DCA works, and I’m not against it at all. It’s simple, consistent, and keeps people in the market. My point is just that **Value Averaging can be smarter**, especially when you adapt the pullback percentage to volatility and trend strength. It doesn’t have to be 15% it can be 5%, 8%, 10%… whatever fits the asset’s behaviour. And yes, BTC had a period where it moved almost straight up. But even inside strong trends, *most assets* (not just BTC) give plenty of pullbacks you can work with. VA isn’t about waiting forever for “10k BTC,” it’s about taking advantage of **normal retracements** while still participating in the long-term upside. Some coins go parabolic, of course that’s part of crypto. But over a long horizon, most strong assets still offer multiple accumulation windows that VA can use to build a better cost basis. So for me, it’s not about avoiding risk entirely. It’s about **maximizing long-term gains through smarter entries**, not just buying every candle on the way up. DCA keeps you in the game; Value Averaging helps you enter the game at better prices. Different tools, different goals.

ChillGuy383

BTC is great long-term, but terrible for 12-month goals. Lock in the house + safety net, then stack sats aggressively

ChillGuy383

**BTC** benefits as “sovereign-individual money”

iLikeTurtuls

The solution was there too! She offered a cashiers check which would work similar to transferring BTC. It’s posted in here to make banks look bad which, kind of is, but at the same time we can’t physically pull BTC out lol it’s the same as having money in your bank already.

SamGauths23

Bitcoin is a deflationary currency. While fiat inflates, BTC deflates. There is more and more fiat avalaible but less and less BTC available. In 100 years you will buy 2 breads and a bottle of milk for 1000$. Try to imagine what you could be buying with a single BTC in 100 years

rgnet1

So delusional. 9 years since fork and embarrassing with a $10bn market cap to BTC’s $1.9tn. Do you know how many existing bitcoin holders had to both not buy BCH and sell off their existing BCH from the fork into BTC to make that cap what it is? BTC isn’t perfect but it’s the “good enough” protocol, just like TCP/IP, that has the most secure network by the simple merit of largest decentralized nodes. If BCH hadn’t fragmented the bitcoin community (along with all other cash grab forks) and we’d all just agree that one imperfect protocol with the same mission is more important, BTC would be well into $2-3tn by now.

dee_lio

BTC FPC has it between 167,514 and 70,356 on 1/1/27 and between $229,249 and 96,284 on 12/31/2027. Source: [https://bitcoinfairprice.com](https://bitcoinfairprice.com)

iwakan

BCH has outperformed BTC so I would have lost money if I had done that instead of shorting against USD, dumbass.

VariatCA

Depends what he (and you) are talking about averaging down on. If you spent the last three years averaging down on ETH or BTC there's literally no way you lost money. Even ETH was basically sub-2k from May 2022 until the end of 2023, was ~2500 all last summer and was *well* below 3k for all of Feb->July of this year. Old, "dead" alts/memes with no support, sure, don't dig the hole deeper.

Signal-Accountant-33

From what I understand any prediction on future BTC worth or anything is like trying to predict future lottery numbers. You can make a hazard of a guess but nobody knows because the market is entirely unpredictable.

Historical-Radio-349

Then again, how many believed the BTC 100k prediction when it first breached 10k?

Easik

The Bank of Japan raising rates leads to less lending and money being repatriated back to Japan and away from US Equities (And BTC). Less lending means less m2 money supply. Additionally, now that Japan is actually paying interest for savings, it will further reduce the creation of money. Also the BoJ has been reducing it's purchase of JGBs, which is effectively QT as well by doing less QE. The fed cannot endless provide liquidity. The SOFR rate spikes are a sign of liquidity issues and they are pseudo addressing it by reducing the eSLR buffer rate to 1%, but this won't truly be in effect everywhere until March. The fed is worried about inflation and they have missed their target for 5 years, so they should be holding the rate stable until inflation comes back to their 2% target. I am shorting the market...