BTC

nora_falcon_1992

solid breakdown. The shrinking drawdown percentages each cycle is something that dont get talked about enough, and the ETF flow data backs up why the floor might genuinely be higher this time around. Ive been dcaing too but lately been using aΙphasquared to adjust how much I put in based on their risk score. When risk is low I go heavier, when it's elevated I scale back. Takes a lot of the emotional guesswork out of it especially during weeks like this where everything feels like the sky is falling. the Peter Brandt $60k retest scenario is interesting to me. Even if that happens, a 53% drawdown from ATH would still be the shallowest correction in BTC history by a wide margin. That alone tells you something about structural demand changes. Whether the bottom is in or we grind lower through the summer, the playbook hasn't rly changed for people with a multi-year horizon.

MaleficentSkirt8383

Saylor made 2 mistakes: spent $1,5B cash reserves in a wrong moment and sold BTC in a bear market at his average cost, while preaching “Never sell your Bitcoin”. But he still has 5M worth of cash to pay dividends before he needs to start selling BTC (recently added another $100M to cash reserves). He needs \~ $160M per month for dividends which is not a huge amount to be sold via OTC. And unlike Luna he has a 4% of BTC supply to keep his ponzi running.

iris_real_1998

Really solid approach. The dynamic dca idea is something I've been doing too and it just makes so much more sense than throwing the same amount in every week regardless of where we are in the cycle. i actually started using alphasquared for this because it gives you a risk score that tells you when to size up your buys vs when to pull back, which takes a lot of the guesswork out of it. Your 20-40% correction thesis on the AI hype unwinding is interesting. Even if it plays out differently than expected, having a plan for how youd respond to that kind of drawdown matters way more than nailing the prediction. That's kinda where the rebalancing you mentioned comes in clutch. How are you splitting between BTC and alts right now?

HSuke

Unlike UST, STRC doesn't have a true peg. The "peg" prevents the price from going above $100, but doesn't do anything to prop up the price below $100. Limited upside. Unlimited downside (until $0). If it goes above $100, Strategy sells it and makes a profit (which they usually use to buy BTC) If it goes below $100, it's up to the market to decide its value. If it goes far below $100 because the market doesn't want to price it higher, well its holders are shit out of luck. Better be praying for a dividend increase.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

STRC and MSTR could be much larger than Luna and FTX combined. MSTR owns 4% of the total supply of BTC (over 840K BTC). Luna owned one tenth of that (about 80K). FTX owned 0. Customers had a total of around 100K BTC entangled during the downfall. Plus, an MSTR fall would have a ripple effect into other funds, custodial markets, and ETFs.

Arsenal75

Yes if you look at the charts they will go to 1.mUSD in 2028. Its the law of 'uo and down' that applies to BTC

LibertyWithLiquidity

Year 2036: BTC falls from $1.1M to $700k. r/Bitcoin-user for the 3,726,451st time: "Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin?" What do you even expect the answer to be in a Bitcoin sub? "Yeah no, buy the S&P instead." Like what??? Are these even real people?

MeanderingMantis

Sorry my friend but thats that. Its why BTC is solely the users ownership.. Next time plug any leaks you may have, and look at putting your NTC in old storage

CatButtHoleYo

Yes, you can exchange 1 BTC for 1 BTC.

Dazlik

The GoMining Card gives you cashback in mining power. Every purchase can increase your TH, which in turn increases your BTC mining rewards. Add in support for BTC, USDT, USDC, and GOMINING, plus Apple Pay and Google Wallet integration, and you've got a crypto card that's actually tied into a mining ecosystem. The best thing you can possibly use is to start a bit small. Make sure to use my code for a 5% off your first miner. WTW703N otherwise, start small, see how you like it and then proceed. I have a 1500th farm and I am very happy with gomining

CL1FF0

Is this an exchange rate for which I can purchase BTC? Thanks for all the help

parcelwing

prompt Chat GPT pro or Claude something like \`\`\`give me your theoretical but realistic max bitcoin valuation in today's dollars assuming it totally conquered gold as the store of value and also zapped out all "store of value" part of real estate beyond its intrinsic value based on rents and construction costs as well as any other realistic use cases\`\`\` and see for yourself for a detailed breakdown of the numbers. At $6M per coin, bitcoin would represent about 1/4 of the world's total wealth. This is an insanely bullish but theoretically possible maximum. A more realistic goal by 2050 or so would be $2M in today's dollars. Anyone who thinks they are going to be rich by holding a single coin is delusional. BTC is a great long term investment, but it's no longer the 100x wealth compounder every 4 years it used to be, and those days will never return.

Dziabadu

BTC solved Russian asset takeover in Cyprus in 2013 - this is why it pumped to $1000. BTC rose when FED printed stimmie cheques. It's anti currency debasement. BTC solved Canada trucker crisis. And so on...

poundsdpound

Rule 1 is if you involve your real currency (such as dollars) with a BTC, then don't involve your friends or your relatives you believe you can trust with your BTC as well. Leave them out of it. Just you investing in your Bitcoin and nobody else involved

gr3nee

Shit man, I am also in that lost 0.1 BTC to scammers gang, very not proud of that moment, but what can you do..

GiraffeKnuckle

How much BTC was it in curious?

moviemaker2

You are correct that Ledger is the worst wallet on the market, but this didn't happen *because* OP used a Ledger. 5 minutes of competent research reveals why no one should use a Ledger, therefore Ledger users are a self-selected group of people who can't do competent research. There's large overlap between people who are dumb enough to email their seed phrase to multiple people and people who are dumb enough to buy a Ledger. Using Ledgers and loosing your BTC are highly correlated, but one doesn't cause the other.

Rocko210

Who said this was the bottom? The BTC chart says that will come in September and October

Arphinator

It isn’t. BTC solved double spend. The financial crisis was caused by complex products (basically wrapping bad debt in other stuff until it looks good >> CDOs).

Different_Umpire9003

They emailed the seed phrase to friends. 1.4 BTC

Whole_Historian_7185

If Strategy fails the fall in BTC will be temporary. Time to buy-buy-buy. Long term ( years and decdes) it will only a minor blip. Bitcoin is much bigger a Saylor and Strategy

IShootWide

Even the most supportive BTC treasury CEO admits that Bitcoin will never be used for transactions. ‘One executive put it as ”no one wants to wake up and find out that the value of their sale from yesterday is 10% less valuable today.” This is why Tesla stopped accepting bitcoin after just 5 weeks.

HSuke

Microstrategy's supposedly "less-volatile" STRC dividend stock has been falling 1% daily even when BTC is barely moving or even going up. For an investment advertised as a "money market alternative" to replace savings accounts, this shit is so volatile. Absolute shit stock.

whimsyn

I asked if she made a call on BTC, and she said no I “traded” 🤷‍♀️

RandomPlayerCSGO

For a short? I would close it, use half the profit to increase BTC holdings, and keep the other half in stablecoin to buy more in case it goes under 60k in the near future

Lord_Gudda

57k for shorting BTC in 1 day sounds like sick leverage or just a huge order. Shorting so close to the end of the bear cycle is pretty risky. Take those profits.

MulderXfil

Nada de que se vio comprometido... Fueron tus amigos.. Uno de los dos te lo robo... O los 2.. Depende de cuanto tenias , y si alguno de tus dos amigos ha llevado un tren de Vida alto... Y se ha comprado muchas cosas... Ese es... Ahora si tenias 1000$ en BTC ni te merece la pena llevarte mal rato... Dalos por perdidos y ya está... Y cambia de amigos... Cual de ellos te ha dejado de llamar habitualmente, puede que sea ese... Deberías recoger pruebas y denunciar... Podría haber sido comprometido el correo , SI... Pero es poco probable.... - 99.9% tus amigos. - 0.1 % hackeo de correo

prayerrwow

That's bait post..... There is no way you are stupid enough to send it to few people and expect this to work. Just educate your wife about BTC and what to do if you die ffs

Grassyhome

Quantum will very likely break BTCs security. BTC and most other crypto would become way less desirable. Had to sell. Hate watching it go to near zero.

IInsulince

I don’t understand what you mean by “helping anybody get to 21 million”? What do you mean by that? Yes, the toal supply cap of Bitcoin will eventually be 21 million, the number isn’t my confusion, it’s why you think any of MARA’s actions are supposed to be in pursuit of that? MARA doesn’t care about 21 million, they care about what’s best for MARA, and for them, right now, they think that’s buying BTC.

Even-Refuse-1877

BTC is not for you. Go but QQQ

GetRichorGetHighTryn

No idea what this garbage is but that 1BTC can get you half the house it would have got last year

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Post is by: AIautoagent1 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1u7jmgt/cbdc_adoption_is_accelerating_to_98_of_global_gdp/ The quiet story that matters right now: we’ve gone from 87 countries exploring CBDCs in 2022 to 146 today, covering 98% of global GDP, according to the Atlantic Council tracker. That’s basically the entire monetary system re-architecting itself in real time. Concrete moves: China’s e-CNY is in advanced pilot with millions of users and integration into everyday apps; the ECB is moving from “investigation” to design/legislative work on the digital euro; the Bahamas, Nigeria, and several Caribbean nations already have live CBDCs. Emerging markets see this as a way to cut dollar dependence and bypass US-controlled rails (SWIFT, correspondent banking). At the same time, the Fed is still publicly cautious, but Congress, the BIS, IMF, and WEF are all publishing serious work on design, cross-border use, and governance. This isn’t theoretical anymore; it’s plumbing work for a new settlement layer. From a macro/crypto lens, CBDCs don’t “kill” Bitcoin — they legitimize the digital asset concept while hardening the state/fiat stack. They likely accelerate de-dollarization at the margins (bilateral CBDC FX corridors, non-USD trade settlement), which reinforces the long-term case for neutral collateral like BTC. Institutions already get this: we have US spot BTC ETFs, corporate treasuries nibbling, and TradFi research explicitly modeling BTC as a hedge against monetary debasement and political risk in the payment system. CBDCs make money more programmable for governments; Bitcoin makes money more portable and seizure-resistant for individuals. Those are opposite design goals. How I’m positioned: CBDCs speeding up makes self-custody non-negotiable for me. I keep everything off exchanges in self-custody on a Ledger — the whole point of crypto is the exit: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=earning-hq&utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=cbdc&utm_content=ledger. For anyone just getting positioned, Coinbase is the most compliant US ramp: https://coinbase.com/join/earning-hq?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=cbdc&utm_content=coinbase. Curious how everyone here is sizing CBDC risk: Are you increasing BTC allocation? Rotating out of KYC’d venues? Or treating CBDCs as macro background noise rather than a direct portfolio input? Ledger and Coinbase links are affiliate links. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Henrik-Powers

Step 1: start over, imo get a BTC only wallet. Step 2: DCA back in

Ge_Yo

BTC and ETH make sense. Any thoughts on QANX for the remaining 10%? I think the focus on post-quantum security gives it a strong fundamental case.

hoop254

With BTC, things are not usually as they seem. In my opinion (NFA), yes, it is a fine time to open a long position in BTC, but be prepared for a potential 20-30% drop before the next bull market begins.

Staggeredmk4

What happened is in your title. Your seed was compromised and they stole your BTC. You can follow the trail from addresses, but good luck actually tracking it down. Did you have your seed stored digitally? A digital photo of it?

ChangeHeroOfficial

Classic Saylor 😄 he's been consistent on this, BTC is a store of value, not a yield product

ChangeHeroOfficial

Even if it doesn't lead to immediate action, the fact that central banks are discussing Bitcoin as a reserve asset shows how much the conversation around BTC has evolved over the years

That1voider

Per all the analysis/opinions I’ve listened to as well as my own knowledge as I’ve been following closely since 2020, my prediction is a bottom of 47k in early November. I’ve increased my DCA amount by 5x and looking to lump sum a good chunk of change before the holidays. I’m being decidedly reckless this year. I’m nearing 30 years old and despite a good job in the top percentile of my age, I cannot afford a home in my area. Of all the risky plays I could make to increase my wealth, I understand BTC the most & believe it has the best chance of changing my situation. Gl to all

quebeckkk

Well, you either follow up with them, or alternatively, without any access for the HD, you abondon the idea to recover your BTC from the HD.

Pistarino17

# Confronto neutrale: Fiat vs Bitcoin # Moneta Fiat (€, $) **Cosa la sostiene davvero** * **Obbligo fiscale**: lo Stato impone tasse → devi procurarti quella valuta o vai in prigione * **Corso legale**: per legge nessuno può rifiutarla per pagare debiti * **Monopolio della violenza statale**: tribunali, polizia, esecuzioni forzate * **Sistema bancario a riserva frazionaria**: il credito crea domanda continua di valuta **Punti deboli** * **Inflazione**: le banche centrali possono stampare a volontà (M2 USD +40% nel 2020-2022) * **Censurabile**: conti congelabili (es. camionisti canadesi 2022, sanzioni) * **Svalutazione storica**: lira → 2000:1 vs marco tedesco in 50 anni * **Richiede fiducia nello Stato emittente** (vedi Argentina, Venezuela, Libano, Turchia) # Bitcoin **Cosa lo sostiene davvero** * **Scarsità matematica**: massimo 21 milioni, non modificabile * **Decentralizzazione**: nessuna autorità può stamparne di più o congelarlo * **Effetto rete**: \~15 anni di storia, \~$1-2 trilioni di capitalizzazione, milioni di utenti * **Costo di produzione reale**: il mining consuma energia elettrica misurabile (≈150 TWh/anno) * **Adozione istituzionale**: ETF spot approvati (USA gennaio 2024), riserve aziendali (MicroStrategy, Tesla) **Punti deboli** * **Volatilità estrema**: -80% nel 2022, pessimo come unità di conto a breve termine * **Velocità transazioni**: \~7 TPS on-chain (Visa ne fa migliaia) → richiede Lightning Network * **Consumo energetico**: dibattito aperto su sostenibilità * **Concentrazione**: \~2% degli indirizzi detiene \~95% dei BTC * **Rischio regolatorio**: gli Stati possono limitarne l'uso (Cina l'ha bannato)

SheKnows9797

Honestly your current approach already sounds closer to “responsible long-term allocation” than most people in crypto. The main thing I’d be careful about is changing it just for “tidying it up” rather than because your thesis on any of those assets has changed. A few thoughts: * BTC heavy + ETH + some privacy exposure (XMR/ZEC) already gives you diversification across different narratives * SOL/BNB are more ecosystem / platform bets, so swapping into them is less about simplification and more about shifting conviction * “Set and forget” only works if you’re actually comfortable holding through full cycles without reacting to short-term sentiment If anything, the bigger question is not “should I condense” but “do I still believe each of these has a reason to exist in my portfolio 5–10 years from now?” If yes, there’s not a strong need to optimize it further.

maxime_kaiser13

Probably the situation in the Strait of Ormuz is a part of the reason why BTC rebounds. However it is probably a temporary pump, let’s stay vigilant

Jrockareed

Lesson learned. I scratched my BTC info onto the inside of my dresser.

Andrewshwap

I’ve given up on alts. I’ve held onto alts since the 2021 drop. I sold some for profit but kept AVAX & others hoping to gain some more profit. Only alts I would consider are ETH, SOL, LINK, HBAR. I think I’ll just stick with BTC from now on

Alfador8

Yeah I don't think a ban is in the cards. I think they'll just incentivize and encourage the use of CBDCs (probably via UBI) and that will be enough. If it's not enough they may put onerous taxes on BTC to discourage its use among the masses while they (and people who understand what's happening) hoard it. In the long run it won't matter. Bitcoin is engineered to optimize the properties of good money and the consequences of that are inevitable.

TheresNoSecondBest

>On February 24th of that year I asked #bitcoin-otc to trade 2500 BTC for $25 and no one wanted I How many blocks did you mine overall before this date?

New_Answer7917

Why not get back in when BTC is low as fuck?

tadeup

BTC and ETH only, anything else to the dumpster

alfonsomg

BTC has been falling again for a few months, which, in spite of sounding weird, goes according to the plan

seaningtime

I think he's going to cause a massive crash in BTC one day

BuyIndependent2319

On February 24th of that year I asked #bitcoin-otc to trade 2500 BTC for $25 and no one wanted I

1moreApe

HYPE BTC ETH. Forget the rest

Soft-Contract1024

Spacex owns about 18,000 BTC on their balance sheets so it will only increase their value as well along with other revenues including starlink

Patient_Craft2195

This is actually an underrated point. The standard BTC dominance chart on TradingView includes stablecoins which artificially suppresses BTC's real market share. When you strip out USDT, USDC and other stablecoins the picture looks very different. People calling altseason based on dominance dropping should check which version of the chart they're looking at — they might just be watching stablecoin market share grow, not alts winning.

neuportal_ai

good catch actually checking the denominator, most people quoting BTC.D never do. stablecoins ballooning during chop mechanically drags dominance down even when nothing's changed for bitcoin itself — so "dominance falling" often just means people parked in USDT, not that alts are catching a bid. strip the stables out and look at BTC vs the real alt market cap and the picture flips more than half the time. it's one of the more misread charts out there honestly.

p0tsa

Everytime my dad says BTC is a scam, im going straight to market to buy some more. Im taking my dad insults as buy signals.

GeoSystemsDeveloper

**Daily crypto TL;DR:** * 🚀 US-Iran peace agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz boosted risk sentiment and rallied crypto markets. * 🚀 Bitcoin price recovered and surged to a two-week high near $67,000 following the US-Iran deal. * 🚀 MicroStrategy purchased 1,587 additional BTC for $100 million, signaling strong institutional confidence. * 🚀 Altcoin market recovered as Ethereum and others mirrored Bitcoin's upward momentum with renewed risk appetite. *News summary from the* [*HODLings app*](https://www.geosystemsdev.com/products/hodlings/)*.*

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Post is by: GeoSystemsDeveloper and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1u7ab3s/daily_crypto_tldr_june_16_2026/ **In short:** * 🚀 US-Iran peace agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz boosted risk sentiment and rallied crypto markets. * 🚀 Bitcoin price recovered and surged to a two-week high near $67,000 following the US-Iran deal. * 🚀 MicroStrategy purchased 1,587 additional BTC for $100 million, signaling strong institutional confidence. * 🚀 Altcoin market recovered as Ethereum and others mirrored Bitcoin's upward momentum with renewed risk appetite. *News summary from the HODLings app.* *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Phantasizer

Even if that were possible, if you didn’t manage to import it with the key on a piece of paper, why would it work now, with maybe a part of the key from your memory? I get that it’s tempting, but I would just accept that these 50 BTC are lost forever and you have to find another way to become a millionaire. 

Patient_Craft2195

Hate to say it but a private key is an extremely complex alphanumeric string. Even if hypnosis works for general memories, the human brain doesn't store random characters with that kind of precision — it's not like remembering a face or a feeling. The key is effectively gone. That said, at today's price that 50 BTC is worth \~$5M, so a session with a memory specialist costs a few hundred dollars — still worth the lottery ticket honestly.

BuyIndependent2319

I don’t even know what I would do if I had access to 50 BTC. Buy a Tesla maybe? I can do that anyway

GreenBullOne87

Dude I did the same thing. Over traded and lost a lot of money. Realized I would have made more if I wasn’t chasing green candles so I just held the coins I had. That didn’t work either lol. I turned $5k into $600 now. I got in at a bad time though also. I’ve been slowly starting to DCA into some of my better coins but for the most part I’ve just been buying a ton of BTC and ETH.

SpontaneousDream

hype once again the only coin making new ATHs against USD and BTC

Gr8WallofChinatown

I’ve been in the space since 2013. You are disingenuous. There is not much good in crypto. 1. A stupid statement. Traditional finance makes up the entire world of course there will be MLing. However, the entire preface of the existence of the origin crypto is to be a p2p alternative to banking system. It was originally designed to be a ML system. Especially (at the time) it was touted to be “privacy” (due to not knowing who owns the wallet address”. Now today it’s a bastardized world just designed to extract as much money as possible from the next person. 2. I personally think they shouldn’t own any stocks or crypto outside of a 401k. Bitcoin is a COI. You have grifting (mostly maga) politicians all pushing for bitcoin and for the government to buy bitcoin (and allow 401ks to buy bitcoin). You have BTC mining companies lobbying Ted Cruz and Co to siphon tax dollars and cheap land and energy to mining companies which strain energy grids at the cost of tax payers. You then have Trump launching scam coins to money laundering and scam which is against the emoluments clause. 3. It was clear. You’re stating a stupid Coinbase talking point. I never said bitcoin is a security as it doesn’t fit the howey test. The howey test is simple and most crypto falls under that. 4. Good luck with that? How stupid of a statement is that. Oh it’s corrupt and Thiel and pedo elite owns it so let’s do nothing. 5. Also a stupid statement. The existence of bitcoin ETFs are fine as they are regulated. The 401k and pensions being used as liquidity for it is not fine. Also the Pelosi is not the best trader and that’s just another internet bullshit talking point. You have 4 republicans worth more than her. 3 of them more than 2x her net worth. MTG when from 700k net worth to 25 million dollar net worth in her short time.

PreferenceOk2716

The speaker lineup says a lot about how much attention BTC Prague is getting this year. Having people like Michael Saylor, Jack Dorsey, Jack Mallers, Adam Back, Jeff Booth, and Natalie Brunell in one event shows how broad the Bitcoin conversation has become.

BuiltToSpinback

The 1000 BTC was valued at $66 million

True_Bodybuilder8095

Yeah, including stablecoins really distorts the picture BTC dominance looks way more stable when you strip that liquidity layer out.

Aeschbacher15

>Between March 4 and March 25, 2026, the company had sold a staggering 15,133 Bitcoin for an aggregate sale price of roughly $1.1 billion How are they only valued at $66 million if their BTC sales alone generated more than $1 billion? I'm confused

Realistic_Fee_00001

Sad history, Imagine what could have been if BTC stayed true to the mission. 😥

SatoshiNokomata

Had almost 30 BTC back in 2013…sold in a panic, so the knowledge of future would be more valuable than simply having possession…

siorge

most polymarket markets resolve on announcements (for example, in the case of Strategy BTC buys, many people lost money because the company bought BTC before, say, May 31, but announced it June 1, and the market resolved on the announcement of a buy, not the buy itself) it is a clusterfuck overall

TheManBL2020

It'll be back. 1 BTC = 1 BTC

Adonael

Nice chart, thanks for sharing. Yeah, people calling for altseason while BTC was dumping and at the same time while dominance was falling (because stablecoins market cap stayed the same) was weird to watch.

Ok_Percentage4090

Sounds like BTC Prague is basically side quests everywhere. You walk in thinking you’ll just check a few booths, then suddenly you’re debating uptime, power rates, custody, and mining infrastructure with 12 tabs open in your brain. Also “wear good shoes” might be the most honest Bitcoin conference alpha here lol.

Catbatt

Moral is, don't invest in shitcoins. I dabbled in altcoins in the beginning. I was about 70% into BTC and 30% into alts. I made some money on some, and lost some on others. Overall probably just more or less broke even. I was an idiot who hoped to make a lot of gains in little time and who thought that I missed the boat in Bitcoin. It was at about €3000 at that time. It would have been much better spent and peaceful had I just DCA's 100% in Bitcoin from the beginning. Luckily I was smart engouh to "only" allocate 30% into alts, but even that I regret. It should have been 0% into alts. I 've been into cryptocurrencies since 2017 and I remember how during that 2017 bull market so many projects were "Revolutionary! Will dethrone Bitcoin!" only to all sink into irrelevance, never to come back from the abyss. Same happened with different shitcoins in the 2021 bull market. The reply to pretty much all questions like "which coin should I invest in?" or "should I buy this coin?" or "When is a good time to buy this coin?" is just to not buy that coin unless it's Bitcoin and invest using a DCA strategy.

Truth_Wombat

Jake Pahor gives good commentary on crypto cycles. This post is worth a quick read (starts with why he skipped SpaceX IPO then gets onto the BTC price and his view on the low). https://open.substack.com/pub/cryptosuperhub/p/why-i-skipped-the-biggest-ipo-in?

gordonfr_

But people need to pay their bills with weak money and could buy productive assets like stock with it. Isn't the current and future USD price for BTC all that even matters? Maybe I did not get the more religious aspects of BTC yet.

TheresNoSecondBest

I don't do charting but if you need a top up on your Hopium, here are apparently charts showing [how BTC price could hit $100K before October](https://cointelegraph.com/markets/these-bitcoin-charts-show-how-btc-price-could-hit-100k-before-october).

airestotle092

10.7 million BTC at a loss. 2018 and 2022 bull markets started when atleast 10.5 million BTC were at a loss. It could consolidate for several more months but if your planning to hold when it hits $300k, $50k or $60k doesnt matter just buy now

fidisna

please ask this guy to pump BTC

svagis

Polymarket users have zero power because everything is decided by holders of third party UMA tokens Same exact kind of drama happened a couple of weeks ago with MicroStrategy BTC market

PuzzleheadedHuman

Nice project. The scoreboard is only as defensible as the price oracle behind it, so the resolution rules are where this lives or dies - and they are exactly what an influencer will attack when they dislike their score: \- Touch vs close: does "BTC hits $120k by Q3" count if it wicked $120k for one minute intraday, or does it need a daily close above? Those produce very different accuracy numbers. \- Which venue: a single exchange's print can diverge from the broader market on wicks and on low-liquidity alts. A cross-venue reference stops one venue's bad tick from flipping a call between hit and miss. \- Survivorship: calls on coins that later delisted or went to zero are the most important to score, and they are the first to vanish from most price APIs. If you publish the exact resolution rule next to each score, it gets much harder to dispute. Disclosure: I work on data at Coinpaprika, so per-exchange OHLCV history is my corner.

Joy_Boy_12

Joined on February 22, I remember that Bitcoin started to decrease and then on march to crash. I'll never forget when I saw BTC at 20-16k and I said I'll wait because it will fall to 10... My biggest takeaway is DCA no matter what 

Think_Willow8784

Consolidate all to BTC is the only way

TrixoftheTrade

1 BTC = 1 BTC Don’t chase the highs or run from the lows. Bitcoins value in a variable fiat is irrelevant in the long term.

momomojo54

Thanks for writing such a long and thoughtful reply. Cudos to you listening to all of that despite the garbage music. I have a question: when people say "rising prices" why is it measured in USD? Isn't BTC an alternative to the dollar?

Harfatum

ETH has currently about 121.8 supply and a sustainable 0.8% inflation rate which decreases over time. BTC's "supply cap" is either a fiction or the security budget will trend to zero, resulting in double-spends and other attacks becoming exponentially easier over time. There will be more than 21 million BTC and more than 122 million ETH; the only differences are that ETH isn't pretending that issuance isn't tied to security, and it also doesn't have to waste money paying miners to buy ASICS and electricity so it can afford a much lower security budget and therefore lower inflation in the long run.

AllMils

Condense to BTC, eth, sol. And some prayer beads

tap_the_glass

So Saylor? MSTR almost owns 1 in every 21 BTC that will ever exist

throwawayainteasy

I like how it tries to imply the (supposed) end of the Iran war and BTC being slightly down (or slightly up depending one time they hit post) are somehow inherently tied.

Leynnox

If clarity act passes, BTC will attract most of the liquidity, not sure it will impact alts a lot tbh, except killing all the shitcoins and memecoins

wolfofone

People should not be asking random folks what to do wifh their money. Get a fiduciary fee only financial planner / advisor and pay to not do their own research if thats what they want to do. People should never invest in something they do not understand and if they do anyway that is, in fact, their own problem. With that said random people should tell people that if they want to do anything Bitcoin is the only thing they should be looking into and that if they are going to buy BTC to do it on Strike, Gemini, etc and not some shady exchange no one has ever heard of lol. BitcoinBeginners sub is decent. But yes people do need to do their own research. They are the only ones ultimately that are going to have their best financial interests in mind.

numbersev

BTC dominance is 2% above it's annual low and alt coins are a bit higher than that low because ETH is less and more into other alts. For any true alt season you first have to wait for bitcoin to surge significantly. As money pours in it rotates from btc to eth to large/mid caps and then meme coins. The market is down quite a bit right now overall, meaning a good buy opportunity if you have conviction. Most alts are crap but some have utility. We're likely near the bottom. [https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/](https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/) What we're experiencing now (bit of a surge to $66k) could be a dead cat bounce where it's about to go into the $50ks. Of course could stay sideways or start to take off (Clarity Act).

zmagickz

No one can predict the future but 44k seems like a more than reasonable floor with a dampened ATH and cycle low The only way I see it going lower than this is if MSTR was forced to dump BTC or if AI has another strong 12-18 months. It is the shiny object right now

soccerchamp99

I consolidated to 100 pct BTC and have never felt better

AutoModerator

Post is by: DazzlingNet1516 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1u6zdx8/is_this_altcoin_rotation_actually_real_or_just/ BTC has been moving pretty sideways lately, but some mid-cap alts suddenly started waking up. I’m seeing random 15–30% moves, volume spikes, and a lot more people talking about “alt season” again. I’m not sure if this is real rotation or just traders getting bored while BTC waits for its next move. When I check volume and funding across a few exchanges, including Binance and MEXC, some of these alt moves look strong but also kind of overcrowded already. The part that makes me cautious is how fast sentiment changed. A few green candles and suddenly everyone is acting like the market is back. Are you guys treating this as the start of a real alt rotation, or are you still mostly staying in BTC/ETH until there’s a clearer confirmation? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Successful_Big_3423

That's because you have approximately 126 days left until the BTC bottom.

Fun-Distribution3407

In all, BTC is the future of global financial transactions as the failure of the USD is certain considering its current trajectory.