BTC

Samrat011

Another sign that the institutional adoption phase of Bitcoin is still expanding. Every new ETF channel makes BTC easier for traditional portfolios to access.

Illustrious-Boss9356

Ive always understood a Maxi to be someone who doesn't believe in altcoins with a founding team and premine. Not someone who literally has 100% of his capital in BTC.

JohnnieTimebomb

What helps is that my BTC is holding it's value whereas all my alt coins are currently worthless

nikikins

Only if you sold all your BTC and had to start again and then got "hacked" by posting your private keys online by 'accident' and are now dca-ing your way back.

JeremyLinForever

Best - buy BTC directly Best option if you can only buy ETFs - If you have to buy ETFs because of brokerage or self directed 401k, FBTC

MattBonne

They are such hypocrites, I won’t buy any MSBT. Plus it’s always better buy BTC directly and self custody rather than any ETFs

BetonWorker

The only guy who could mine BTC without a computer, R.I.P Legend! 😥😥😥

uamdarasulka

yeah top tokens — BTC ETH SOL XRP etc. derivatives positions not spot wallets, so you see actual leveraged bets not just transfers. i built a tracker that pulls positioning data across tracked wallets and alerts me when the consensus shifts. it's at [swarmintellect.com](http://swarmintellect.com) if you want to check the breakdown. no meme coin influencers, just the wallets with actual money behind their positions

ChanceCash6708

What are you're transaction fees by investing daily in BTC?

Rare_Rich6713

Feels like we’re entering a new phase of DeFi where how yield is generated matters more than just how much. Everyone’s talking about ETH restaking, L2 growth, and protocols like Lido/Aave/EigenLayer, but I think a lot of people are still underestimating what’s happening on the Bitcoin side. Bitcoin is still the largest idle asset in crypto, and historically it hasn’t really participated in DeFi beyond wrapping or custodial solutions. That’s starting to change. What’s interesting about newer BTC staking models like what Babylon is exploring is that they don’t require you to bridge or give up custody of your BTC. Instead, they use Bitcoin’s own security assumptions to plug into other systems. That’s a pretty big shift compared to the wrap it and trust someone model. If DeFi TVL is back above $100B largely driven by restaking and yield-bearing primitives, then unlocking even a small % of BTC liquidity could materially reshape those numbers. The real question isn’t just TVL growth anymore, it’s where the next untapped collateral base comes from. And BTC is the obvious candidate.

One-Formal-824

only BTC and Nexo :)

Forbidden76

True but BTC is based on a idea. If people decide not to believe in that idea any longer....its dead. Probably the highest risk you could hold in a portfolio right now. Its why many of the wealthy refuse to touch it.

ubermensch1001

The biggest variable I feel is that governments now realize if they don't get in on the BTC train sooner rather than later they risk being severely left behind.

awh52955

Digital USA dollar kills everything.  Walmart will never accept BTC. List goes on and on

nbkdk6q

You might want to consider adjusting your DCA amount each month or every 2-weeks based upon the price movement over that period. Specifically, you increase your DCA in proportion to the magnitude of the drawdown. For example, if you started your DCA at $10 and after one month BTC is down 20%, you should increase your DCA for the forward month by 20%, so your DCA adjusts to $12 per day. If for the next monthly window BTC is down again, you increase your DCA accordingly and let the magic of compounding your DCA amount work while the prices are on sale. And then if BTC is up for the next monthly period, you can choose to either 1) do nothing to your DCA amount or 2) lessen it proportionally

linux_n00by

are we looking at prices the same as BTC? i .ean if its adoption, the peoce will be low right.

guzaoow_mama

The best thing you can do is study BTC for a couple of hours so that u UNDERSTAND what it is and whats going on. Once you understood it you will be ready to make your decision

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Post is by: Crypto_future_V and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1s00fcb/xrp_to_100_how_realistic_is_that_given_current/ I keep seeing the $100 XRP narrative come up, usually tied to regulatory wins or potential ETF flows. But looking at it from a market structure perspective, it raises some questions. XRP is currently around $1.45, so a move to $100 would mean something like a 60x–70x increase. That’s not impossible in crypto, but it usually requires strong and sustained accumulation beforehand. One argument I’ve seen (including from former Ripple executives in past discussions) is that if that kind of upside was widely believed by sophisticated investors, you’d expect to see more aggressive positioning already. So far, I’m not sure on-chain data or large holder behavior really reflects that kind of conviction. For comparison, even with early BTC moves, accumulation phases were visible before major expansions. Genuinely curious how others here think about this: Do you see $100 XRP as something the market could realistically price toward over time, or is it more of a long-shot narrative? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

FromThePits

If the choise stands between holding deflationary fiat currencies like USD/EUR or hard money like BTC, I think the answer is quite obvious.

KateR_H0l1day

With the STRC success, and Strategy buying BTC in volume, many investors are happy to get a steady income stream thanks to BTC. This is giving valuable support to BTC, that’s not been seen before in the downturn, the normal cycle has been disrupted by ETF’s and BTC-TC’s. This is not to say there won’t be another leg down, because I think it will go down again, but not to levels many are predicting! Just IMO of course 🤷‍♀️

Minimal_Gains

Lighting is not the scaling solution for BTC, it was/is a nice try, but BTC really needs something better.

Mr--Clean--Ass-Naked

anything not BTC is seen as a threat to BTC maxi's rofl Kaspa FTW also shoutout to bittensor

Btcmot

I don’t need a scientist to know BTC is going up, i don’t need a fortune teller to tell me a date by it will go up, i hold BTC and those facts are evident to anyone who takes the time to look back at the history of btc. Education has nothing to do with why or when…. Except education about BTC itself.

riscten

Power law is still holding up as long as the price doesn't dip below the bottom it predicts. Right now that's about $55K and by EOY it'll be $70K. As long as we don't go below that, we can still expect BTC to sit around $1M by 2035.

Alfador8

> if you understand bitcoin AND the powerlaw you cannot be NOT bullish for the next 10-20 years I understand both but I am unconvinced the power law applies to Bitcoin moving into the future. It feels to me like the stock to flow model, which had past data that fit well (until it didn't) despite excluding important variables. That being said I am very bullish on BTC in the next decades. I just believe the power law model will not always provide valuable forward looking information.

bvandepol

Meanwhile it will take BTC 20 years to achieve this..

bvandepol

Kaspa is what crypto was supposed to be. A fast, decentralized, and secure PoW chain with a fair launch, no VCs, and real scalability. While BTC, ETH, and SOL all make trade-offs, Kaspa delivers on all fronts. 10 blocks per second instead of 1 every 10 minutes. Smart contracts without relying on L2s. And it simply doesn’t go down. Hard to ignore if you care about fundamentals.

Bodhisluttva

This isn’t the sub to ask. They’ll tell you it’s always a good time to buy, to HODL and never sell, etc… But this is actually a great time to enter the market. Just be prepared that the “price” will go down before it goes up. It’s good for you though. I started buying BTC at $55,000 and had to stomach it going down to $16,000 before it went to $120,000. Set up an account with Strike or River and buy regular/automatic weekly amounts. Ignore the price as much as possible. Ignore charts except for maybe the 200 week SMA. When it’s close to the SMA line, it’s a particularly good time to buy.

Big80sweens

You should have at least 30 BTC

Total-Ordinary7163

I am too. A few days ago, I moved all the BTC I had on exchanges over to Bitkey. Now I’m starting DCA again.

Total-Ordinary7163

[https://x.com/ki\_young\_ju/status/2019881322118840510?s=20](https://x.com/ki_young_ju/status/2019881322118840510?s=20) MARA no longer discloses its average mining cost directly, but it can be back-calculated from figures in its 10-Q. \- Cost per petahash per day: $31.3 (cost to maintain 1 PH/s for 24 hours) \- Avg. Bitcoin mined per day: 23.3 BTC \- Avg. operational hash rate: 50.4 EH/s (50,400 PH/s) 50,400 × $31.3 ÷ 23.3 = **$67,704** per BTC The "purchased energy costs per BTC" they disclose ($39,235 in Q3 2025 for owned sites) is an IR-friendly figure that isn't fully accurate, as it excludes other operating expenses.

Sufficient-Award6291

I can't predict whether is it a good time to buy btc. I can only guarantee you two things. BTC will never ever collapse to zero. And BTC will definitely hit another ATH in the future (we won't know when but it will).

Interesting_Drag143

If you wanna invest into BTC, just DCA.

JuxtaposeLife

One simple stat: 995,434 unique BTC moved on chain the week ending July 20th 2025. Last week only 435,779 unique BTC moved on chain. The week prior it was 460k, the week prior to that it was 490k Maybe I'm the only one who sees an incredible level of support building, dwindling supply sell side from every coin age cohort, and massive upside coming very soon... but then again I'm just looking at the actual data, and not making up stuff on charts, and hopes about perceived 'patterns' from 3 cycle points. The real data doesn't lie.

crunchyeyeball

It depends entirely on your electricity cost, but I made a very rough estimate a few months back, so feel free to tweak the numbers as needed: Current total network hashrate is ~800 EH/s: https://mempool.space/mining A single S21 Hyd (shipping Jan 2025) costs ~$5,000 and performs 319 TH/s while consuming 5.1kW: https://shop.bitmain.com/product/detail?pid=000202412231137387516ms95pU1066E EH/s and TH/s refer to the hashrate, where E & T are SI prefixes indicating 10^18 and 10^12 respectively: https://www.nist.gov/pml/owm/metric-si-prefixes so, ***on average***... New bitcoin are (currently) created at a rate of 3.125 BTC every 10 minutes (600 seconds). So it takes 600/3.125 seconds to create 1 BTC = 192 seconds. The network as a whole hashes at a rate of 800 EH/s, which is 800x10^18 / 319x10^12 = 2.5x10^6 times more than this *individual* miner. Therefore the individual miner would need 192x2.5x10^6 = 480x10^6 seconds = 133,333 hours to create 1 BTC. It consumes 5.1kW while doing this, which is 5.1x133,333 = 680,000kWh At a price of ***$0.1 per kWh***, this would cost ***$68,000***. Plus the initial hardware purchase cost of ***$5,000***. Plus any extra infrastructure (power, storage, maintenance, etc.). ...and on average it would take 133,333 hours (~15 years) for this *specific* single miner assuming no further changes (reward, difficulty, etc.). Of course, other mining rigs will have a vastly different hashrate & power consumption, and different miners will have *vastly* different electricity prices.

Electrical-Cat-6660

It’s always good to buy, simply because when you buy, you accumulate BTC. The price you pay for it now will seem minimal compared to its value in 10 years.

SoloSingedOnly

"it goes up in value so you have more Bitcoin" 1 BTC = 1BTC. Must not forget it.

Odd-Fun-1482

Any time BTC is -30% within a 3 month time span people are claiming it's dead. Bear markets tend to do that. Let people sell if they want. Watch them buy back in when it starts to climb again.

Narino78

BTC never feels cheap to buy. I wish I bought at $700, $7000, and in the future I will wish I bought more at $70,000.

Sally_Lessey

When you ask a question like this. It means that you don't know enough about BTC, don't blindly follow the trend. Truly understand people have been in silent action

cheesypuff357

looking at your post history....if you spent the same amount of time on BTC that you do on your other hobby, you'll know BTC is a buy at anytime

d1rtball

Don’t listen to people on here. 99% of them are morons, and too emotionally compromised to give any reliable insight. The people who are waiting for $50k to buy are confident it will drop there. The people who bought after the last big crash in February will tell you it’s going to a new ATH this year. No one knows what will happen in the short term. Eventually prices will go back up above $126k to a new ATH, but when that happens is anybody’s guess. So if you plan on holding longer term, yes right now is still a good time to buy. If you hold until the next macro peak atleast, you will most likely double your money or maybe more. Maybe a little less. Bitcoin gets more popular and more reliable everytime it hits a new ATH. Gold has about a $17T market cap. BTC’s market cap is $1.42T. If people all over the world start valuing BTC like they do Gold, the prices will be huge one day. I just bought about $13.5k in BTC in February at about $65,500 avg cost. Even if we didn’t hit the bottom in February, the chances of me doubling my money next macro peak are high. I plan to sell and then buy again once it crashes 40-50% again. The main goal is to increase the amount of BTC I have. So by the time it’s really high in 10-20-30 years, I can sell and retire comfortably

Jellydude25

If you actually bought and have held bitcoin for 11 years congrats. Yes I’d say you are. How may BTC do you own?

FunkyGrass

According to history, BTC has died more than a hundred times….

DKZeusInvestor

Buying just because some people are saying that BTC is dead is simply irresponsible. Buying while the trend is down also does not make sense. Buying under the above two conditions is even messier. So that is your investment strategy?

Imagination_Drag

Ummm. $MSTR has been single handedly trying to prop up BTC and has been trying to make it look like a store of value / global macro hedge. With multiple purchases every week over the last couple of months Just go look at their purchase history. They are in a desperate race to prop up the price. If they don’t all of bitcoin goes to $20-30k. If they do prop it up and other buyers start to think it’s bottomed it will recover Quite the interesting game to watch https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Atlas-Sphere

Look at the volume. The only thing keeping BTC above 70k is Saylor and he won't be able to spend more than a billion every week.

ReadingTheSign23

It’s a nice twist on DCA, kind of “buy a bit more on dips, less on pumps.” Only thing is the adjustment is pretty small compared to how much BTC actually moves, so it won’t change your average that much. Still solid if it helps you stay consistent, that’s what really matters.

Ok_Dish1650

BTC is now a stablecoin pegged to 70500 until the end of times

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Post is by: UniChartz and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/Bitcoin/comments/1rzmizy/bitcoin_stuck_in_a_rising_channel_continuation_or/  BTC is currently trading inside a rising channel after a sharp sell-off, which usually looks like a relief bounce rather than a strong trend reversal. Price is respecting the channel structure, but each push up is getting weaker and facing rejection near resistance. At the same time, momentum indicators are starting to roll over, showing signs of exhaustion. If this channel breaks to the downside, there’s a good chance we revisit the key demand zone below. That area could decide whether we get a real bounce or continuation of the downtrend. Curious how others are seeing this, is this just a bear flag or the start of a recovery?” *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Frog-bitcoiner

You have 8 BTC. Then Hodl  You may be able to retire in 10 years

Total_Television_942

Unlikely. But last 14 years BTC won against gold

Dazzling_Oil1500

Stack BTC is quite wise. Secondary advice try to buy in local downs and bottoms . Volatility is opportunity for you to buy low. Other rule don't put all money to it. Do diversification or you can mine Bitcoin that is also and option with good hosting. I know the best one but I am not going to do advertisements ;)

Ok-Meaning-7061

BTC historically goes below the 200W MA and slightly lower then its year prior ATH. does it every cycle.

AlbertiApop2029

I just checked my astrology charts. $52,878.70! I just hope we keep quietly plugging along until August if it's quiet, we might see $80k-$100k, imo. If it's $35,000 in July of this year, I'm emptying by bank accounts and buying BTC.

Ok-Meaning-7061

this is how you win. the hard part is knowing when to sell ....... but if you DCA into BTC its a great long term play regardless.

Pretend-Cucumber5146

I once took at a 15k loan to buy bitcoin when it was at 7k. I bought 2 BTC. Then defaulted on the loan and freaked out and sold it when it dipped. Then lost all my money to fees and short term loan interest. If i would have kept that i would have 140k now even with the dip. I feel your pain.

luforyou

These and other chats are echo chambers seeking validation on what price to enter. The reality of BTC and most “hard” assets is psychological, and often end up being group think-driven.

BlazingPalm

Totally, best wishes to all. I see BTC as a global public currency though- anyone can use it. “Bad guys” and “good guys” alike and everyone in between.

Jason_DeHoulo

1. I see I though you meant 6 months red in a red which is untrue. 2. 6 months sideways trading is nothing. Your stat is hilariously cherry picked. Zoom out to 1 year ago and it's still up 10% after this dip 3. Even if you want to keep that 6 month timeframe, SPY has still hilariously outperformed BTC

Blue_Sea699

So, do you think holding BTC for the long term makes more sense?

Dismal_Equal1739

There's truth in this. I have thought of the same thing. If you want to sell a nice car, can you charge 1 BTC for it and have any clue about what that would mean back to your business over the coming year? I'm a big bitcoin believer, but I have been trying to wrap my head around this same issue.

Purple-Dry2373

L' hai detto.. Tutto in BTC adesso

Beginning-Farm-8625

You said "stability", but I'm impressed by the fact that bitcoin has RISEN since Feb. 28, when the US started attacking Iran, while most stocks have fallen (except for oil and defence stocks, which I don't own), and also gold has fallen. BTC has risen about 6% since Feb. 28, while gold has fallen 12% to 15%. I don't like war, but it's nice to see some green when I look at Coingecko.

xxaripss

We are so ridiculously early that its fucking scary man Normies dont even realize BTC will soon be the currency of the world. Everyone will be spending using BTC only. Cash will die. FIAT will die. Michael Saylor quite simply **IS** The KING of the Universe

Icy-Way3920

For some reason, just like when the ukraine war started, Bitcoin ended up being one of the Assets many Iranians fled to when the Rial lost all its value. but Liquidity still doesnt have truly bought into the ''Gold alternative'' narrative yet. honestly, most market participants have a Dissensus when it comes to it, you have the old school BTC elite that uses it mainly for value extraction still ''Send it, Blowoff top, nuke it on top of normies'', you have the newer Blackrock-esque Wall street participants that dont really like too much volatility and are mostly the ones buying up the old school elite. when we had several of these ''Old wallets'' nuking all their supply, that was that old school BTC elite i was talkign about. they are gettign pretty much bought out since no matter how much ammo you think you have, you dont have more then Blackrock and Co. So BTC behaviour has been changing already alot and will continue to do so, until the most influential participants come to a consensus how it should be behaving, and a true unified ''Rain man'' is formed, just like in any market. its still in a war on who wins, and we all know it will be Blackrock and friends, and at that point, it will be most likely alot less volatile as it has been before. i mean it kind of is already, people are losing their shit, but we are at above 60k still, BTC was above 60k for 2 years, the 15k low was in 2022, literally 4 years ago now. before that the similar low between 2021 top and 2018's bottom was only 2 and a half years apart. It either becomes a mix of Risk Asset/Safety Haven Asset, or just a simple more volatile Gold. as of now its still doing whatever, even if we try to put a name to its current behaviour, its pretty much still a war between the old Rain man and the new forming one.

Supreme-Muffinator

The sad part is that almost everyone in this space has a version of this story. The guy who sold at $30 to pay rent. The one who lost keys to a hard drive. The one who panic sold the 2020 covid crash. The numbers are different but the feeling is identical. What makes yours particularly hard is that you made a genuinely responsible decision at the time. Student loans and reliable transport to a better job aren't irrational choices - they're exactly what a sensible 24 year old should be doing. You just happened to be holding an asset that would go on to do something nobody could guarantee it would do. The people who held through 2018 weren't necessarily smarter. A lot of them just didn't need the money badly enough to sell. Conviction is a lot easier when you're not choosing between crypto and keeping the lights on. The 0.3 BTC you clawed back matters more than it feels like it does right now. Most people never get back in at all - they just watch from the sidelines and add it to the regret pile. You're still in the game.

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Post is by: EXPLORE_ALL_NOW and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rzdep5/nations_dont_go_bankrupt_they_devalue_17_years_of/ BTC to a million by end of year is close. Who stood steady? And who showed doubt? **Do you understand what JPMorgan just said in plain English?** **$40 to $150 billion in loans**—the ones that funded companies that hired humans to do jobs—are about to blow up. Because AI is replacing the humans that generated the revenue that paid back the loans. Read that again. > This is the chain nobody's connecting: > It went from "AI will take some jobs" to "AI might collapse the credit market" in about 18 months. Maybe less. 2008 was banks gambling on houses. 2026 is banks gambling on humans still having jobs. And they're losing that bet. *Nations devalue.* *Debt doesn't disappear, it gets transferred.* *The question is: who holds it when the music stops?* Old Dual Accounting Banking will be void and only blockchain stay alive. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

AmazingfurnitureCT

DCA BTC ESD (every single day)

Derivlens_01

The decoupling thesis sounds good until you check the derivatives data — BTC funding rates and OI are still moving in lockstep with risk-off equity selloffs, not against them. Until leveraged crypto positioning stops mirroring macro fear, it's the same trade with more volatility.

Vino1980

Getting to 1 Bitcoin is probably not possible for at least 90% of the people. I think .1 is the new 1 BTC. Bitcoin would have to drop to $50k and you could do it. Buying now is like buying when it fell from $64k to $20k. At least you're off zero, DCA, next top will be $150k.

HornetWestern5544

Promise you 2.1 BTC wouldn’t have changed your life brother. Head down keep grinding

Suguha_chan

It really surprises me how BTC behaves in this time while the stock market is down

matthegc

Same thing happened to me….some bad option plays, made me realize to stop stress trading and start saving and investing long term with BTC….been about a year and it’s the one investment that never stresses me out and I can’t wait to see how much I’ve accumulated at random times before moving to cold storage. It’s a gift to myself, is honestly how it feels.

Forbidden76

Nope because I know gold will be worth more than BTC someday..

JerseyJimmyAsheville

If you study Bitcoin, the 4 year cycle has always been at the heart of what I do since 2021. I haven’t been perfect, so a little early, so a little late, but have always profited enough to buy more. The key to Bitcoin is patience through all volatility, try to set targets…based on knowledge, and trust yourself. For example BTC currently sits 44% down from it ATH, with 6 more months of Downside risk. We are much further ahead of the normal cycles that have been down 32%-40%, so we could bounce up to 12% and be within parameters of previous cycles…but Bitcoin will dovwhat Bitcoin does. Regardless of prices, Bitcoin will hit its lows between August to November, whatever that price is…could be $80K, could be $60K, could be $40K. Bitcoin traditionally has been down 70%+ from its ATH during its previous cycles. But Bitcoin did not grow as expected this cycle, so will it only drop 50% this cycle? With 6-7 months of a known 12 month bear cycle, it appears to be on track for a 70% retracement. Just my observations and opinions of course. Good luck!

TheMuel7

My mate got talked out of buying 1000 pounds worth of BTC when it first came onto the markets. His work mate who sat next to him told him about it, he went home and told his flatmates, they told him not to do it. Not sure how many tens on millions that would be worth now… but like i say to him … you would have sold most of it when it hit $3 then the rest when it hit $10

Opethamenos

You are hitting a soft spot there. I don't want to politicize the discussion, but everything indeed is a class struggle. The more the higher earners gain from asset appreciation, the more out in the risk curve the rest need to go to find some financial hope. I disagree with your view on BTC, as privatized money can not be a tool to answer the needs of an expanding society, but do agree in its merit of being an asset that can increase in value faster than traditional means. This may be a tangent, but thanks for sharing your thoughts 😊

NurUrl

The global Macroeconomics burns and the fact that BTC is holding on at 70/69 is impressive.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

Getting a hold of a lot of Yuan is not something that's easy or accessible for everybody. What would be easier for you to get a hold of and sell back: $1M in Yuan or in BTC?

Survivalist2

Uhh too complicated for me, i think i am just staying on BTC.

rsincognito

Focus on the real world and real work, Make money, take money buy BTC sent to cold storage and forget about it. Study the topic of “delayed gratification”. Live humble, be patient, you have already Won. (Well I know at least I have.”

llawenotsbcj

It appears you haven’t checked the price of BTC in about 2 months. Welcome to the show.

gravity_surf

still gonna have to fork that mf which is BAD FOR BTC. not complicated.

BlazingPalm

Great questions - the answers are all customized to your situation. I believe BTC is the future of money and we’re still early for a transition so massive. Emotions and fears can be helpful, but they should be tempered. I think DCA and HODL strategy take the emotion out of it and are super easy for most to understand and implement. But basically, the plan is to get rich slowly, but faster than traditional stocks and bonds (real estate would be great, but I can’t yet afford shit in that space). I think we all are living in a very unique time with regards to BTC and it’s quite the generational opportunity. Also, it’s unbelievable and despicable what the US “leadership” is imposing on the world and it seems like the goal is to speedrun the collapse of the dollar. I wish to my own detriment that the US dollar will last longer, but it seems to be melting at an alarming rate, just like the polar icecaps. I am grateful for an escape hatch in this misery.

k0zplay

I cant imagine how that guy feels paying 20,000 BTC for pizza

Opethamenos

Writing down targets did not work well for me, cause my targets were not met unfortunately. BTC never reached 150k for example. What I decided to do this time is to separate my portfolio in 3 sectors. * BTC Core - I never sell this, just accumulate * BTC Tradable - This can be sold * Alts - This can be sold and ideally should be $0 once bear market signals Then I assign percentages with respect to my total portfolio per market condition (say 8% for bear, 12% for base, 15% for bull). This will make sure you limit your exposure to only what you feel comfortable with AND will force you to start taking profits as the crypto assets increase in value. Once your crypto portfolio crosses your percentage threshold, you start seeling Alts, then BTC tradable.

don123xyz

If you used it, no need to cry now. The btc would have been lifesaving now and allowed you to buy houses etc. but, if you had bought houses, then in another ten years, when BTC will be generational wealth, you'd be crying about buying houses.

bbrout

The DOW is dropping while BTC is holding at about $70k give or take. Too early to tell. BTC will probably fall a bit with the DOW but then hold and recover while the DOW goes into a death spiral. And this information is strictly for entertainment purposes only. Eh.

Warrior_witha_Garden

Ok unless you’re paying in cash. The dollars in is bank account is KYC !!! What are we taking about ? Unless he’s going to buy a gift card and pay in that or cash. Good luck. Most people take some form of digital money which is 100% KYC. You break the chain on the BTC regardless

Opethamenos

I have been deciding in the moment cause my initially defined exits rarely hit. For example, I was expecting BTC to reach 150k this time to completely get out of the "tradeable" part of my crypto portfolio. This never happened so I was left with the uneasiness of having to come up with a plan in the moment when the trend started to change. I am finding that setting targets is a recipe for disaster. Looking back, it would have been better to think in terms of percentages of your total prtfolio and how much you are willing to risk at any given market condition. 8% of total in bear, start accumulating more up to 12% when things stabilize, 20% in bull and as soon as you reach the threshold, you rebalance. I am trying to build automated tools to achieve that, and I need to remind myself that it is better to shave off a bit at a time as prices go up and a lot when the market changes, since I will never perfectly buy the bottom and sell the top.

Warrior_witha_Garden

Your missing the point stables remove friction. You have to mix on the BTC side regardless. You don’t think the dollars in digital form are monitored and surveilled ? The Dollars are kyc unless your doing p2p meet ups in Cash !

Opethamenos

Thank you all. Reading through the replies, it feels like most approaches fall into a few camps (had AI summarize it for me). * Some people keep it very simple and just stick to BTC or DCA, * others rely on signals like whales or market positioning, and * some try to define rules ahead of time with checklists, limits, or preset orders. But the common thread seems to be that the real difficulty isn’t knowing what to do, it’s actually following through when things start moving. A lot of us seem to drift from the plan even if we had one initially. Things like written rules, limit orders, or checklists help, but they still rely on you being consistent and paying attention at the right time. That’s where it seems to break down. For me at least, the open question is less “what’s the plan” and more “how do you enforce it in practice?” Almost feels like you need some kind of accountability loop, otherwise your “plan” just turns into a suggestion. Curious if anyone here has found something that actually keeps them accountable over time, not just in theory.

Skepsis93

I still occasionally use litecoin to pay for things. I still see more support for BTC, LTC, and ETH in online marketplaces than I do for monero. But it's still pretty sparse overall when it comes to places accepting any crypto.

NaabKing

This is a Plus for Bitcoin, because you can verify how many are in existance (and noone found a bug to multiply/inflatw BTC in existance), you cant say the same for Monero tho.

Suprachiasmatic_Adam

I have a bit in altcoins to quell the FOMO just in case, but nothing compared to my BTC holdings. It's hard, but after watching a few cycles and seeing how it all plays out it gets easier.

DeepBlueAlpha

especially with the stock market dumping. War, oil, stocks.... still BTC stays strong.

EuroTrash_84

In 2016 had enough to buy 3BTC. Bought 0.3BTC instead because I chickened out. Buddy of mine bought 3BTC in 2016, now he's a multimillionaire.

AmazingfurnitureCT

DCA BTC ESD (every single day)

davidmthekidd

BTC always corrects 85% at the end of the bull cycle, so do the math, 127k btc minus 85%.