BTC

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Post is by: Deusexmachine21 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1s5qh6l/i_got_tired_of_checking_3_different_sites_for/ Ok so a bit of context first. I've been trading on the side for about a year now (nothing crazy, mostly BTC ETH and some alts) and I realized I had this really dumb morning routine. Every day I'd open CoinGecko in one tab, CoinPaprika in another, CoinLore in a third, and sit there comparing prices across the three like some kind of spreadsheet goblin. Why 3 sites? Because they don't show the same numbers. I noticed this one morning when BTC was showing a $100+ difference between CoinGecko and CoinLore. Not huge, but it made me wonder — which one is right? And during volatile moments the gaps get bigger. So I started checking all 3 to get a better picture. The problem was it took me like 20 minutes every morning to do this manually. Open tabs, scroll, copy price, paste, repeat. Like it's 2005. I kept telling myself "there has to be a better way" and finally last month I actually did something about it. **What I built:** I set up 3 scrapers that pull crypto data from each site automatically and dump everything into a spreadsheet. They run every morning at 7am while I'm still asleep. By the time I check my phone, the data is already there — price from each source side by side, 24h change, volume, market cap, everything. Here's what the spreadsheet looks like: [https://i.imgur.com/roq5YyS.png](https://i.imgur.com/roq5YyS.png) The whole thing runs on Apify (it's a platform for running data tools) and the free tier covers everything. Each run costs about $0.002 and takes 3 seconds. I've been running all 3 daily for a few weeks and my total cost is... $0.00. Their free credits cover it. **How it works (it's stupidly simple):** 1. Go to apify.com, make a free account (no credit card) 2. Open one of the scrapers (links below) 3. Click "Try for free" 4. You see a form — leave the defaults or pick your coins 5. Hit the green Start button 6. Wait 3 seconds (seriously) 7. Click Export → download as CSV 8. Open in Google Sheets or Excel 9. Do the same for the other 2 scrapers That's literally it. I felt dumb for not doing this sooner. Some screenshots so you can see what I mean: * The scraper page: [https://i.imgur.com/o4XzviV.png](https://i.imgur.com/o4XzviV.png) * The settings form: [https://i.imgur.com/Sq62EVx.png](https://i.imgur.com/Sq62EVx.png) * Results after 3 seconds: [https://i.imgur.com/Tp4NyPA.png](https://i.imgur.com/Tp4NyPA.png) * The data table: [https://i.imgur.com/nZocCIK.png](https://i.imgur.com/nZocCIK.png) * Export options: [https://i.imgur.com/G3evUzE.png](https://i.imgur.com/G3evUzE.png) **The 3 scrapers I built (all free):** * **CoinGecko** → [https://apify.com/makework36/coingecko-scraper](https://apify.com/makework36/coingecko-scraper) — gives you price, market cap, volume, 24h change, ATH for top 100 coins * **CoinPaprika** → [https://apify.com/makework36/coinpaprika-scraper](https://apify.com/makework36/coinpaprika-scraper) — gives you price, rank, percentage changes (1h, 24h, 7d, 30d), ATH * **CoinLore** → [https://apify.com/makework36/coinlore-scraper](https://apify.com/makework36/coinlore-scraper) — gives you price in BTC, circulating supply, max supply Each one pulls different data which is why I use all 3. CoinPaprika has better percentage change tracking, CoinLore gives you the BTC price and supply data, CoinGecko has the most coins and the ATH data. **Optional but worth it:** you can set up a schedule so they run automatically every day. Click the Schedules tab in Apify and pick your time. Mine runs at 7am. You can also connect it to Google Sheets through their integrations so the same sheet updates every day without you doing anything. I won't lie — the first time I opened my spreadsheet and the data was already fresh without me doing anything, I felt like a wizard. **What it actually costs:** * Apify account: Free * One scraper run: \~$0.002 * All 3 daily for a month: \~$0.18 * Free monthly credits: $5.00 So yeah. Free. **Why I'm posting this:** Honestly I just think it's useful and nobody talks about this kind of automation for retail traders. Everyone's talking about bots and algorithms but sometimes you just need your data in a spreadsheet without spending 20 minutes every morning like an idiot. I built these scrapers because I needed them. But I'm curious: * Does anyone else compare prices across multiple sources? Am I overthinking this? * What sites do you check manually that you wish would just dump data into a spreadsheet? * If you try any of these, let me know if they work ok — I'm always fixing and improving them Also I've built like 50 other scrapers for random stuff (flight prices, job listings, SEC filings, product reviews, etc). If there's something you wish existed, tell me. I'm kinda addicted to building these at this point lol *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

PERCEPTOR16

ATH for consecutive months BTC in red is what this is saying

ThreeTonChonker

Wars, market manipulation, Jane Street, etc. None of it BTC’s fault. None of the problems are even crypto related like past bear markets (FTX for example). Feels like a planned accumulation phase by market makers who are probably currently dumping their positions in gold. Here’s what makes sense to me: if I was a market maker and see BTC as the ultimate long term asset, I want to shake loose anyone on the fence before the price makes fence sitters rich enough to have an opinion. Wouldn’t be surprised if a switch is flipped with the SAVE act, new fed chair, Iran war ends when the US pulls out and Trump declares victory, maybe these FUD bots disappear off social media, and a few major players add BTC to their payment options. The infrastructure has slowly been added to platforms like PayPal with crypto on and off ramps to make this the quickest bear rugpull of all time. Unfortunately this is out of the hands of retail but retail has proven to be the most cowardly holders so it’s no surprise.

TheRicFlairDrip

Its a hedge against oil, higher electricity prices cause mining costs to spiral higher and thus need then to sell more BTC to cover their OPEX. I see short term bearish even during next epoch difficulty adjustment to further tighten mining hash.

megamegadork

It’s fun to understand and end around accumulate aroudn even then. I’ve added .15 BTC without spending a dime. Just people are FUNNY. I’m not the only one who sees it for what it is. Idk who “you people” is.

AnxiousSeason

I’d simply say that you can go in wisely. But hold back a piece just for the moment when BTC spikes down to 55 or something. But also consider smaller DCA now. This is the accumulating phase. So accumulate but slowly. Wait for the inevitable temporary dip.

Cnario

Do you know BTC?

Dominic669

Just ignore bro they don't want to educate them selves, They will just criticize you because the thing they know about BTC is "buy the dip"

mickalawl

The customers hold the ETF. Morgan Stanley dont own the BTC. I.e. they are in it for fees. And also can capture margin on customer buys and sells. So more middle man layers and value extraction which is the opposite of the original decentralised goal i guess. But since people are only in this for gambling speculation its better to let Morgan provide custody services to grandma. The whales will be seeking to next force these ETFs into 401k or something. Again opposite of freedom and decengralised but expected when the crypto echo system has been captured by billionaire tech bros that are part of the current corrupt admin. All true to its p3do roots though i guess?

MedicatedLibertine

I bought in last night at 96800. Happy with that. I plan on setting up a fortnightly BTC buy and get back into crypto.

TP_Crisis_2020

Yeah, every home I've ever bought (3), including the most recent one in 2018, have been VERY firm on only liquid assets being considered. I mentioned my BTC to the loan officer for the most recent one and he laughed at me like the Spiderman newspaper boss.

cubeeless

BTC to $400k!

econoDoge

I see Trumps ascent to power and reelection as a failure of the Democratic party and US Institutions in general ( eroded by money backed interests ) rather than a whole swat of the population being dupped overnight or showing their true colors, if you want to go deeper the current state of affair is a direct continuation of the civil war and a political/socioeconomical system that makes absolutley no sense for the current US population \*an experiment as they sometimes call it) , maybe it will take another 50-100 years but my money is on the US splitting along religious/economic lines. Alos let's not kid ourselves that Kamala was going to do any better for the crypto class, at best things would be the same, also if an asset class can't survive political and economical turmoil, does it even deserve to exist ? BTC is supposed to be digital GOLD ( which is up 50% ) and not shitting the bed scared.

TattooedCFO

I’m waiting personally until I see the result of the Clarity act legislation. That will either start an uptrend worth buying into, or result in a steeper discount to accumulate more economically. Either way BTC over time will appreciate, so long term any price in this range is very attractive if you plan to hodl long. Personal thesis is buy when it is valued at the full BTC level, sell when we value it by the Sat.

fringecar

It very much represents how the administration views fiat. My move? Increase my total portfolios share of BTC by 1%. So, not nothing, but we aren't talking a 5-10% jump.

NilNow

I love that the parents keep repeating that everyone got paid back 120% so nobody was hurt. When in actuality, victims were paid back at BTC=16k prices once BTC hit $100k. And others committed suicide before they saw any money back. I get that they have to do whatever they can for their son…but also, people did get hurt here on a massive scale.

Electrical-Cat-6660

The only thing you know for certain is what’s already happened….and BTC is currently sitting at a discount! Don’t wait for tomorrow as it may never come.

vertderp

Each dollar is also worth same dollar. Except you can buy less with each dollar.BTC also can buy less. What is your point?

xarips

I cant wait until Saylor owns the entire BTC supply

NHLBigFan

OP, did you know BTC was 60K in February?

SuddenSeasons

I am in the same boat as OP with about $1500 - I paid for Usenet with change I had left from buying drugs. Now I have the change from that  I'm someone who lost about 4-6 BTC to the feds during Silk Road. 

Cryptocaller

My “gambling brain” bought 5 BTC at $2500’ish per coin. You’re funny.

bbrout

We have a rising US dollar and a falling DOW. Also, the bond market looks weak. Perhaps people are losing faith in the American economy and don't think of treasuries as a safe haven. So, in a crisis everyone turns to the USD. And BTC drops a bit along with selling stocks. The gamble is all or nothing. Which appears to have the more stable future: USD or BTC? Just thinking out loud.

MoneyOptimal6395

When the money printer turns back on I bet many alts do very well against BTC.

DrSpeckles

If that is what you are interested in, yes. The OP is talking more about BTC as a replacement currency. That too has been decided, and it’s not good for BTC.

Commercial-Ad90

At this point BTC value is so tied in with institutionalization now that if I go down we all go down. No way cold holders get off Scot free if ETF collapse

Commercial-Ad90

If the US Government lets Fidelity collapse, along with my ETF and half of Americas retirement savings, I’m wishing I bough gold and guns, not BTC. I hope you or beneficiaries also don’t learn that cold wallets aren’t 100% risk proof either. The honest answer is we are both taking on risks, just different risks.

Additional-Channel21

I think part of it became more visible after BTC started being treated as a macro asset. When liquidity rotates between risk assets and defensive assets, sometimes BTC and gold temporarily diverge.

Commercial-Ad90

Yes, ETF storage has risks, but so does cold storage. I know in a perfect world people don’t lose wallets, and wallets don’t get destroyed, but it happens at an alarming rate. In a perfect world the US government doesn’t allow major financial firms Fidelity to collapse, and therefore my ETF, but I guess that could happen. TBH, if I’m preparing for that I’m probably looking for gold, not BTC. Everyone has to ask themselves which risk is higher to them. I want to make sure my funds don’t go to an abyss if something were to happen to me or my wife unexpectedly.

Commercial-Ad90

I agree with you. I don’t and I have never said I do. Just like a S&P 500 ETF share owner doesn’t hold 500 stock certificates of US companies, I don’t own any BTC directly. I have and will continue reap all the same rewards as a cold wallet holder, so I don’t mind the semantics. As long as the retirement is funded, the and the home is bought, everything worked out perfect. Plus I don’t want my wife (or kids if something happened to her too) kids trying to get into a cold wallet if something were to happen to me.

Additional-Channel21

I actually run something similar on crypto. I keep part of the portfolio in BTC while simultaneously holding some PAXG as a kind of cross-asset hedge since their intraday behaviour often diverges. It’s not a perfect hedge obviously, but it helps smooth some volatility during certain market phases.

Fritzbox5000

I'm undecided as well. I listened to both arguments and both seem plausible to a certain degree. If you increase the block size, transactions will get faster, but a node will increase in size as well. This increase will be so huge, according to BTC maximalists, that only large companies could afford to run such a big node, leading to centralisation. If you keep the block size, transactions become slow and you rely on L2 third party technologies like the Lightning Network to buy a coffee instantly, which also means centralisation. So Bitcoin itself becomes rather a store of value, the digital gold, rather than a P2P cash system. There are some upgrades like SegWit to improve transaction speed and still, it's a problem which cannot be solved without a second layer. I still tend to favour BTC over BCH since I don't see a big problem in using the Lightning Network similar to PayPal to do smaller transactions and use the main layer for bigger transactions. An increase of the block size and hence the reduction of verification nodes in the hands of big companies are a much bigger threat than the Lightning Network, because it would put the Proof of Work aspect in danger, at least imo. I don't think that an increase in Bitcoin above 21 million would ever happen. It is one of the flagship properties of Bitcoin and investors would immediately sell their Bitcoin if such news would even circulate. Yes, it is code which can be forked and in fact, BCH and BTV are actually hard forks, but the "original" BTC still exists, because the owners of BTC don't have any interest in such changes. It's still a difficult topic nonetheless.

SpontaneousDream

No definitely not on a CEX. I personally like Aave. And sure they might both be at roughly 50% of ATH against USD, but ETH is wayyy below its ATH against BTC

Commercial-Ad90

Because many people, include very trustworthy, influential people like Warren Buffett has cautioned against it. Thankfully, both the public and major financial firms have shown their gradual acceptance bitcoins value. That being said, no one knows the future. There could be some regulatory, governmental, or external factor that causes a bitcoin collapse, even though many people, including myself believe in bitcoin. So it’s not as simple as “why doesn’t just everybody put all their money in a super volatile when it drops a bunch because it always goes back up.” Bitcoin is only down 50% from is AHT. There’s been points where bitcoin has dropped 95% before rebounding so of course people are going to be cautious about how concentrated they keep there money in BTC.

EcstaticCell1511

Imo ignore the BTC purists that are all BTC in cold storage or nothing. There are many more people who lost their coins via mishandling via self custody vs centralized exchange collapses. The wild west days of MT GOX are over imo. Stick with FBTC or IBIT and you'll be fine.

ImoutoCompAlex

Yep. Took a 9k profit on my oil futures today. Will probably rotate back into BTC after it goes sub 60k to trade the bounce.

riscten

>bonus points if it’s in a tax deferred account and you could hold the keys to 1+ BTC in your own wallet Completely agree, but this doesn't exist yet.

iwakan

People need to understand that there is no fundamental difference between BTC and altcoins and anyone thinking otherwise is in a cult.

oopssomething

Aha where would you do such a thing, is it possible on a CEX? Also why would anyone want to buy ETH over BTC, they are both 50%'ish of ATH

InvestAISavvy

Max pain is $68K on tomorrow's expiry. Basically the price where the most options contracts expire worthless, costing buyers the most. It tends to act like a magnet into expiry because market makers who sold those contracts hedge in ways that push price toward that level. With $14B in open interest rolling off, that's about 40% of Deribit's total OI disappearing in one shot. Once it clears, the "pin" comes off and BTC can actually move directionally again. The real question is what happens Monday. We've got Fear & Greed at 13, $450M liquidated in the last 24 hours (mostly longs), ETFs posting $171M in outflows, and the April 6 Iran deadline hanging over everything. The Sacks departure just adds policy uncertainty on top of macro uncertainty. A lot of forced selling happening right now. Whether that's a setup for a relief bounce or more downside depends on whether funding rates flip negative over the weekend.

Commercial-Ad90

How many people actually exchange BTC directly for a good or service? 99% of wallet owners are sending it to an exchange for currency just like the EFT holders. At least The EFT holders don’t have to worry about them or their beneficiaries losing their wallet or getting scammed.

ys2020

Can you move the coins to your wallet from the ETF? Can you pay me with BTC from your etf? If the answer is no, then no, toi don't hold any Bitcoin. 

SpontaneousDream

You don't need much at all. Supply BTC, borrow ETH. Then sell ETH to buy more BTC. Then repeat as per your risk appetite

SpontaneousDream

Unless you held BTC only, you absolutely should have sold. ETH, XRP, and SOL are all decimated on the ratio against BTC. You **lost** money by holding them and by not buying BTC.

Wolverine1850

I wouldn't call myself a wholecoiner if I only own the equivalent of one Bitcoin in ETFs. That said, I don't think it matters too much and is up to persona preference. Yes, self custody is superior, but there are some people that should not be custodying their own BTC, sorry. Holding in a retirement account and letting Blackrock handle custody risk may be best. Before a bunch of you rage at me, are you seriously comfortable with your grandma holding one Bitcoin in self custody on a hardware wallet, exposing her to wrench attack risk? I'm much more comfortable with her holding IBIT in her Roth.

Badj83

I did exactly the same, OP. I’m in Canada, and this means any gains on my BTC will all be tax free, which I expect to be significant in 20years when I hopefully retire. I was a nyknycer before with Coldcard and all, but fuck that. It’s dozens of thousands of dollars I expect to save in the distant future. Don’t let gatekeepers shame you.

oopssomething

I dont have enough BTC to do that

TheresNoSecondBest

>But a cold wallet is just bitcoin on paper too right? Wrong, mate. >You still need to get it to an exchange before you can use convert it to something that can be traded to something of value. Here's how spending bitcoin IRL looks like: https://youtu.be/Tlhvnpi2ukA I'm using Bitcoin almost on a daily basis. Buying groceries, paying for meals, taxis, domains/hosting, VPN... Spend and replace is usually the name of the game so no, I'm not spending bitcoin while saving in cash. If you're thinking about spending some, here are my favorite directories: http://lightningnetworkstores.com/ https://btcmap.org - awesome map, you can even add your local vendors in, once you orangepill them. https://acceptlightning.com/list.html https://spend-sats.com/ https://spendabit.co/ https://directory.btcpayserver.org/ There's also an option of buying gift cards https://thebitcoincompany.com/ https://bitrefill.com https://www.egifter.com/buy-gift-cards-with-bitcoin - this one's least fave because they use a shitty custodian for payments but are handy for a few cards. Spend and earn some sats back: https://foldapp.com - save up to 20% Starbucks, Uber, Target , whole foods , Dunkin https://www.lolli.com – save up to 30% by spending BTC anywhere but primarily USA stores https://satsback.com/stores-list - save up to 20% by spending BTC anywhere but primarily Europe stores. >Ironically, you are much more likely to lose a personally owned coin through scams, getting lost Congrats, you and Celsius Founder Alex Mashinsky thinks like this.

FairBlamer

Dude you’re in the wrong here. The entire point of OP’s post is to transparently \*ask\* whether or not holding 1 BTC worth of IBIT is the same as “owning a bitcoin”. OP was abundantly clear in their language here: \>Finally purchased the \*\*equivalent of 1 coin\*\* via ETF.

SpontaneousDream

People need to understand that **altcoins have no bottom**. They will continue to bleed out against BTC for many years, as they have done so already. Maybe some do decently well against USD in the future, since USD is essentially an infinitely printed fiat shitcoin, but against BTC all altcoins get decimated over time. Seriously people if you're thinking of buying ANYTHING other than BTC, you need to look at the long term log chart of your coin/btc

SpontaneousDream

Shorting ETH against USD has been pretty easy money. Shorting ETH against BTC has been essentially free money for years on end.

Emergency_Scheme_670

Never. This is pretty dangerous when you think about it. ETF (like Blackrock's iShares) price tracks BTC but its not a hard peg like stablecoins. The relationship can be inverse at any point in time due to institutional risk, bad PR, regulatory action, liquidity crisis. Just look at ARKK, still hasn't recovered after 5 years. Stay away from ETFs.

Reasonable_Leg_4664

Technically you can have both. You can have an equivalent of a whole coin in ETF, bonus points if it’s in a tax deferred account and you could hold the keys to 1+ BTC in your own wallet. That would be best of both worlds. If you hold in the ETF for 10-20 years you’ll see the appreciation of Bitcoin and if you have one on chai. You can use it to loan against. The ETF can be treated illegal a normal but highly volatile asset and you can sell it as it grows.

wkndatbernardus

If someone can use an exchange like Coinbase to hold their coins, and is considered a wholecoiner, someone who invests in a spot ETF in the dollar amount of 1 BTC, is also one.

Ok-Mulberry5919

If its backed with BTC and has a delivery Option, Yes, you Are definetly.

UnboundFinance

Yes, to a degree. BTC often sets the tone for the whole market, so using BTC structure as context for SOL can make sense. But I wouldn’t trade SOL based on BTC alone. BTC can show the general direction, risk appetite and key market reactions, while SOL still needs its own levels, structure and relative strength/weakness analysis. So I’d treat BTC as the macro guide, not the full trading plan.

BeginningMost6014

Pragmatically, yes, you like I, own 1 BTC via the ETF. Technically we do not directly own BTC so from a purists standpoint, not our keys, not our BTC. Your question really comes down to semantics and perception - valid arguments can be made both ways.

gottimw

It is bullshit, that's what it is. How is this celebrated here?! BTC was meant to be alternative to all this shit. And now you are riding dick of the very system BTC meant to challenge. SHAME

LinusVPelt

2. Gold just dropped 15% in 10 days, so it's not the greatest example. Stocks do the same in recessions or market crashes, their drawdowns is smaller, but their appreciation is smaller too compared to BTC. Volatility it's a problem if it's only down, Bitcoin appreciated exponentially in the last 15 years compared to other assets classes, so it's normal that it corrects more when it does. But risk-on assets behaves all like this. The major fiat currencies have lower volatility, but they are inflated over the long-term, so the fact that they don't lose vs Bitcoin is just a short/medium-term, temporary perception. In your example, someone who needs BTC as a mean of payment doesn't buy it only when they have to use it, but DCAs into it and then uses it when needed. And - even if they want to buy just before using it for making a payment - nowadays they can use futures to hedge (this is a typical case for large purchase scheduled for a precise amount of time like the sum of a real estate), and something they can also do with DeFi futures now. In the circumstance in which they absolutely don't want to hold the asset in advance, they cannot hedge, but cannot transact without using BTC (eg: Iran the past days): that's the price they have to pay for transacting when no other assets allows them to do so. But again, they can avoid it in many ways. 3. With Bitcoin security is an issue, you are right. But there are ways to mitigate that risk. Further, you absolutely don't hold Bitcoin in person or in an apartment/hotel room, you just need to remember your passwords/phrases to access it. If you need to make small payments once in a while you use Bitcoin's Lightning Network or a stablecoin. It's not that you 'withdraw' sums of BTC when you need to use it, and there are Lightning providers now allowing you to pay in a seamless way directly from wallets. Or perhaps I don't get well what is the problem you are reffering to.

Hitachi22

Saylor is the only one buying. He'll announce on Monday that they bought more at $75k even though the price hasn't seen that all week. Whoever is selling them the BTC is ripping them off. 

Radio_Clean

Your portfolio is only worth less if you’re counting in dollars. Not if you’re counting in satoshis. 1BTC = 1BTC

MiguelLancaster

> Move it off Coinbase 1 btc $2400 not 2400 BTC

CompetitiveAppeal663

I have some BTC in an Unchained Trad IRA……I’m going to convert it to a Roth IRA….the less it is worth, the less tax I need to pay. You can bet your ass I want it to keep tanking!!

Additional-Channel21

That idea makes sense and a lot of traders do use BTC as a guide for the overall direction. But correlations in crypto are not always stable. Sometimes an alt like SOL moves with BTC, and sometimes it completely decouples and does its own thing. You’ll often see moments where BTC is sideways or even dropping while a specific alt starts running because of its own momentum. TRX is actually a good example of that sometimes — it doesn’t always move the same way as BTC.

JuxtaposeLife

Worth noting, about 65% of all BTC sits with the 1yr+ crowd.

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TheCodifiedTrader

Same exact thing happen to me only with XRP, I had totally forgotten about it, bought in 2017. Logged in cause I kept receiving those same notifications, it was nice pocket change, traded for \~$2000 BTC and withdrew USD.

JuxtaposeLife

Don't get too exited Bears... this move is thin on activity from those who actually move the market (detailed data from my node, live data) who is active today Bitcoin UTXO activity by age band 2026-03-27, 02:00 EDT to 14:00 EDT 75 blocks 560,076 UTXOs active 437,066.80 BTC active Activity by age band: <7d: 412,005.97 BTC (94.3%) 7–30d: 10,042.20 BTC (2.3%) 30–90d: 10,663.73 BTC (2.4%) 90–180d: 672.87 BTC (0.2%) 180d–1y: 2,227.38 BTC (0.5%) 1–1.5y: 181.08 BTC 1.5–2.5y: 396.19 BTC (0.1%) 2.5–4y: 240.66 BTC (0.1%) 4–8y: 333.55 BTC (0.1%) 8y–2012: 271.12 BTC (0.1%) 2009–2011: 0.05 BTC Most activity is coming from coins younger than 7 days, with smaller but visible participation from the 7–30 day and 30–90 day cohorts.

29da65cff1fa

>BTC is the best asset to hold. but what is the second best??? i was in the same boat as OP.... waiting for alt season... the best time to dump your alts was 5 years ago... the second best time is now

TheIncredibleInu

Amazing advice, low time preferance and "it's boring" is indeed the correct mindset imho. Damn, can't imagine my sats being much compared to salary, prob will never be even close. Still, BTC is BTC and that's what's important in the end.

FitCompetition1804

I just started a few months ago as well. My strategy is daily DCA, which increases as prices move below the 7 day average. Then I have a decent amount of cash ready to go at various levels via limit orders starting at the upper $50’s all the way down to the mid $40’s. If they execute, great. If not I’m still in the game with my DCA, even if the total amount of BTC will be about half of what I’d have if all these limit orders execute before we exit this bear market. Once we are out of the Bear market, I’ll likely adjust my DCA to weakly at a significantly lower monthly total than what I’m doing with these daily DCA’s. I’m expecting that to happen towards the end of this year, so it’s accumulation mode until then.

PearlPunishDear

People love to act like this specific options expiry is some magical event that decides the fate of BTC, but it’s mostly the same old story: big OI into quarterly expiry, dealers hedged, then some volatility reset after it rolls off. What actually matters is who’s on which side. If a lot of calls are above spot and expire worthless, that can free up some selling pressure from hedges and let price drift up. If max pain is below current price and we move toward it into expiry, you’ll get the usual “options manipulation” takes all over again. The geopolitical angle is the wildcard, but it’s also kind of funny how BTC is marketed as “uncorrelated” until every macro or war headline becomes the new explanation for every 3% move. In reality it’s still just a high beta risk asset that sometimes pretends to be digital gold. Wouldn’t be shocked if we chop into expiry, get a fakeout move right after, and then everyone retrofits a narrative about how “the market finally priced in the Middle East situation.”

Express-Economist-86

If everyone in the world evenly got all 21m Bitcoin it would be about 0.00258 BTC each. For under $180 today, I can own their portion, forever. I’m delighted anytime I surpass 0.00258 BTC, the dollar can do whatever it wants. That’s just one more future I own.

cocouf

Well, you can look at the price of gas in term of BTC then. Except if BTC is not meant to buy anything...

Stereo-Gito

Turn off brain and keep buying BTC till the decade ends

Virtual-Metal9290

I first bought 100 BTC for $200 as a protest against the financial system. That was more money than I could afford to lose at the time. As it increased in price I succumbed to the temptations to sell chunks for small fiat gains. I played around with different wallets and other products because the tech was cool and powerful, but eventually sold or lost it all because I had lost sight of the revolution that originally brought me in and i wanted dollars. Now I'm one of those who does the boring DCA thing and will never regain the stack I once had, but it feels so much less risky than it did before. I have regained my understanding of the point of BTC so I spend and replace every chance I get and long for the day when we can have a BTC circular economy and are freed from the corruption that manipulates US monetary policy.

OutlandishnessLimp25

Nobody has a crystal ball, they didn’t sell to buy back at lower prices because they didn’t know. Just like you didn’t know your buys when BTC was at $76k would be down 13% in a matter of weeks. Buy, hold, add to your stack on dips, hold. Repeat. These prices are a gift imo—and I too don’t know for certain. However, I believe, my conviction, is telling me, for someone that can hold long term, say, 5+ years, these prices are solid. Bitcoin will be far higher than now in 2031+. HODL

Fit_Gold402

You know BTC is probably going to go lower to the 40s right?

CompleteMine6873

BTC $10k ETH $200 SOL $12 ALL LIKELY 2026

jgarcya

I've been buying the cycle lows since 2019. People who claim you can't time the market are full of it... The cycle from 2019-2022 my BTC average is $11,500. For this current cycle 2023- 2026.. my average is around $40k. This is all bc I don't dca! I don't buy BTC in year three of the cycle .. nor year 4. I buy years one and two of the cycle... I never buy the high or even near it. I may not buy the exact low... But I get close enough... And that is all that matters.

jewellui

The bottom takes time actually and when has BTC only ever dropped less than 50% from the ATH? Never. Theres little anchoring the price, we’ll see a 80% drop easily. People will capitulate, we are still early because there’s still some people buying.

KCConnor

Gratz. May it fulfill a dream for you in 4-8 years. I sold about 0.75BTC this bull run, that I bought 8 years ago, to buy land. I'd like to reacquire the amount I sold during this bear market. I've got about $25-$30K fiat set aside to do so. I'll start weekly allocations once I see prices starting with a 5 but I'm hoping to see mid 40's before the bear is over. If it hits 30's I'll take out a loan.

Aerocryptic

BTC has reached more than $1T MC in less than 20 years but it's not monetary tech. OK bro

lenissius14

I wonder how is doing is that mf who was posting a lot of posts about how BTC has already set it's course to the 80s

jgarcya

I agree we'll see BTC in the 40's... This is the forth year of the four year cycle... It last about a year from the ATH. So anyone that thinks 60k is the lowest of the cycle, they will be surprised.

CrearePluris

MARA selling BTC retiring debt https://www.theenergymag.com/news/market-news/mara-holdings-sells-1-1-billion-in-bitcoin-to-retire-1-billion-in-debt

stock-prince-WK

I’d buy 1 BTC at this range Especially with it dropping so hard the past week Then leave it. And let it grow. You will not regret buying at 66k

billybadassman

Bitcoin is not for you bro. Just pay off your debt, and invest the rest in the stock market/real estate. If the FOMO is that strong, buy a small percentage of BTC. From your post, this money is extremely important to you. If you gamble it all in Bitcoin and it crashes or doesn't go up fast enough...I imagine you'll be very depressed.

Lotsavodka

The whole crypto world and stock markets get manipulated every day by people and funds who have a lot more money than us. IMO they want our BTC for cheap and by the looks of things they are getting it. Who’s selling right now? I’ll never sell it unless it’s worth so much I can retire.

AutoModerator

Post is by: potato_drinks and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1s54ymj/near_future_predictions/ What ur guys near future prediction for the current cycle? Where do you think bitcoin will reach at its lowest and why? Whats ur next ATH guess? My guess is BTC will reach 40k\~ usd as the lowest low in the current cycle since before the halving it reached 16k so i simply two times it… What do you guys think? Lets make a fun little discussion about how and why we reach the new lows and highs So yeah ill add a tldr; Whats your guys new lowest low and highest high in the next couple years? And why? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

No-Wrap3568

Cypherock X1 BTC only edition is the best IMO, has the maximum use cases that a cold wallet can have and the architecture is more secure than most other hardware wallets in the market

Awkward_Potential_

Dollar death is a possibility. That would be bullish BTC but bearish living.

mansotired

imo april is going to be a bad month for BTC and in the summer, there will also be a severe dead cat bounce to 80k-85k

zfyl

if that passes - that is a bullish momentum hormuz - bearish (but i really dont see how Hormuz is connected to BTC or crypto - it is just random events moving fear of war)

Possible_Garage8923

These people are delusional in their thinking and have convinced themselves BTC is hitting 1M in the next decade which is why they actual believe that lower is better so they can accumulate more.

Itur_ad_Astra

You underestimate the ability of institutions to dump infinite paper BTC on the exchanges.

Itur_ad_Astra

Exactly. There could be 10X the amount of BTC in fake paper Bitcoin and nobody would know. And it's not just that paper BTC dilutes the real one. It's much worse than that. Because, if you have both the USD ***and*** the paper BTC printer, you can use them to manipulate the price wherever you want. You can just keep dumping it to cause crashes. You can buy as much as you want to create spikes. You completely remove the sovereignty bitcoiners love so much.

Virtual-Metal9290

I abandoned wallets that only had dust in them that wasn't worth the effort to transfer. Dust was anything up to 5 BTC.

CuriousLope

First of all, ignore the headlines.. Second, we now have a target on BTC (160-200K), before we didnt, bitcoin already hit the target on 88 and 110k Third, if you don't sell after the price reach the target, you will have to wait until bearmarket is over to sell again.

moldyjellybean

You summer child, this isn’t even close to max pain. There are people who bought near ATH in 2021 who are still in the green at 67k today so they haven’t even panic sold yet. What if they bought at 64k and it flash crashes to 40ish K and these might be tech bros who lost their jobs, can’t find jobs, and mortgages are due. BTC is going to be sold first.