Reddit Posts
PokeFUN.lol : my first memecoin is
Both the (4th) Rainbow Chart and Power Law chart failed this week. Only the Diminishing Returns theory has survived every cycle.
If you rotate into alts this cycle, what's your actual exit rule — not the entry?
[Showcase] Built a lightweight SOL/BTC/ETH ticker bot for Discord sidebars
Many exchanges are facing MiCA compliance issues and Bitpanda is giving 5% for EU who move assets to their exchange
MiCA is forcing a venue migration in Europe, and Bitpanda is paying 5% in BTC to relocate assets for EU users
How do i calculate how much i'll pay in mining fees knowing the amount of btc i'm sending and the sat/vbyte rate?
How to "leak' a small amount of BTC every year.
My BTC is not even nearly close to an alarming number.
Every time I need cash for something it's always when BTC is at the worst possible price ...
How are you positioning in the current market environment?
Is this $10.6B BTC options expiry actually a gamma trap, or are people overplaying the $54k call?
10x Research just put the cycle bottom at $55,000 by October, while Polymarket has 64% odds BTC hits $55K or lower before 2027.
It's not over till Stradegy sells a lot
Every major exchange and lender collapse from 2014 to 2023. The pattern is always the same.
Anyone else notice how differently BTC and alts behave when volatility spikes?
What is the relationship of BTC with NASDAQ?
We keep finding suspicious activity while listing tokens on our crypto app
Can MSTR create a ripple effect on the whole stock market should it collapse to nothing?
BTC is not a store of value, it’s a Story of value which we create to sell to the next person at a higher price.
BTC halving cycle / 4 year cycle / and Elliot wave theory
BTC halving cycle / 4 year cycle / and Elliot wave theory
USDC earning stuck in pending at OKX
Fear & Greed is at "Extreme Fear" — what's actually driving this selloff, and the one corner of the market that's still green
BTCUSD drop till 35k. Is it Possible?
S&P cracking, Iran deal dead, Fed hawkish. A bloodbath is coming and this is the most exciting development of the decade
Has Anyone Replaced Impulse Purchases with BTC Purchases?
I wish I had bought BTC in the early 2010s. I didn’t even know what investing was back then. I never feel like I’m doing enough.
Binance.US charged me a ~5% spread on a BTC Convert transaction. Support admitted it was unusually high. Is this normal?
What the hell happened? Thousands of BTC appeared in my wallet. What is the scam here?
MSTR and STRC are a feast or famine greedy scheme. Awesome in a bullrun, catastrophic in a bear market. It can amplify a rocket ship during good times, but could now potentially amplify into a death spiral.
Stop panicing about BTC price please
Built a small BTC scalping bot (57% win rate) — looking for feedback before scaling
Am I the Only One That See's An Unreal Buying Opportunity Right Now???
core PCE tomorrow, consensus is hot, and everyone already seems sure it tanks crypto
The MSTR mess has exposed some important truths and lies not just about Bitcoin but Cryptocurrency more widely.
Is BTC/USD a Fair Comparison?
Long term holders are accumulating BTC very aggressively!
A conversation with a colleague who believes he bought "2 whole Bitcoins"
Update: From wanting 100% BTC to looking for a balance Thoughts?
Bitcoin Sent to Unknown Address After Trust Wallet Purchase
Congress just Banned a Central Bank Digital Currency. How Bullish do you think this is for BTC?
BTC Desk Network Live | Bitcoin Markets, Treasury Watch & BTC Data
A quick question for those that believe the future global currency will be only BitCoin
Cboe reportedly weighs perpetual futures for BTC and ETH as U.S. crypto rules shift
Mt. Gox to FTX: a writeup of the major crypto custody collapses
Blockchain.com hides my BTC on a legacy wallet – funds visible on-chain but not spendable
Bitcoin is showing who's really build for this lol
There Are No Bitcoins: The Myth of Digital Money
Be honest! How many of you are actually profitable? Tell me how long you've been trading for and what market
Crypto AI Trader — AI Bitcoin & Crypto Trading Dashboard
Why I bought IBIT for the first time today.
Judging by the posts on here, we are either at or close to the bottom
Continuous government adoption of Bitcoin means that it will grow in perpetuity
If you were to take out a loan against your bitcoin bought in a four year cycle low bear market during that cycles ATH with a high LTV & then let it be liquidated, wouldn’t that be better than selling that amount because of taxes?
Strive (ASST) Acquires 759 More Bitcoin For $50 Million
Mentions
March 2020 COVID crash \~10.5–10.6 million BTC in loss 2022 (FTX bottom) \~10.5–10.6 million BTC in loss Current (2026) \~10.69–10.83 million BTC in loss I think we are near the bottom.
After being skeptical about this angle for a while, I now think there is probably enough money anticipating an easy move trade back to $80K, $100K for it to actually happen. Look at how much SPCX moved this week just on trading activity, and it’s larger than BTC
The reality is we could linger sub 70k for quite a while from here. Hell, even buying at 70-80k isn't even really all that bad. With that said, I think a lot of people are also severely underestimating just how fast this could get back to 100k+. Just 15 months after the collapse of FTX in November 2022 BTC was already setting a new all time high.
Buying around the 200 week moving average has always been a fantastic place to be accumulating. In fall of 2022 I did a large lump sum purchase of BTC at a hair under 20k, 19.9 to be exact. Was it the exact bottom, no, but it was pretty damn close. I also continued to dollar cost average there through fall of 2023. Maybe we dip to 55k, but there's a possibility this could be the bottom as well. However, if in 2028 BTC is at 250k would it matter if you were buying at say 65k or 60k or maybe 56k? The answer is no. This is the reason why dollar cost averaging aggressively during phases like this is a better method than trying to perfectly time the market, which is impossible to do btw.
Happy to break down the plumbing for you. The bill isn't changing Bitcoin’s code, it's rewriting the legal and financial rails around it so big money can actually deploy. First, it gives the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over digital commodity spot markets. This removes the SEC’s regulatory gray zone, giving pension funds, endowments, and corporate treasuries the formal compliance they need to clear their strict fiduciary duties. Second, it creates a federal framework for fiat backed stablecoins. By giving stablecoins banking level guardrails, it legitimizes the main liquidity engine of crypto, allowing traditional fiat to safely rotate into spot BTC at a massive scale. Finally, it sets clear rules for qualified custodians and updates bankruptcy codes. This allows major U.S. banks to safely handle crypto custody and settlement without risking their charters. Like I said before, the elites aren't passing this to protect retail. They are building an institutional-grade financial highway so they can safely deploy billions into the asset class without breaking federal law.
BTC right now it’s basically a high beta tech stock. When people want risk assets with great return they pile in…else they sell or don’t care about it. Honestly most crypto it’s based on hoping for a greater fool to buy off you at a better price. That’s why meme coins are a thing. Meanwhile stuff like HYPE, ETH, TAO doesn’t get as much love as I think they deserve. They bring interesting stuff to the table!
What new structural rails are being introduced for BTC with this regulation? Please enlighten me Btw “structural rails” is redundant and nonsensical. In fintech we call these “rails”
Moving the goalposts to a political rant just because your macro thesis got dismantled is wild. You're completely conflating how you feel about Trump's wealth transfer politics with how global liquidity actually flows. Markets don't care about Trump's kickbacks or whether retail gets hosed, markets care about structural rails. The Clarity Act isn't a "nothing burger." It creates a bulletproof, legally compliant highway for institutional money. If Trump's goal is to enrich his elite donors, those elites need massive, regulated vehicles, like stablecoin frameworks and SEC/CFTC boundary lines, to safely dump billions into the market. You are literally arguing that elites want to make money here, while simultaneously arguing they won't pass the exact regulatory rails required for them to do so. Saying the wealthiest Americans are going to capture the upside *is* the bull case for the price of the underlying asset. They pump the asset class to enrich themselves, and BTC holders catch the beta. Editing your comment to turn a failed liquidity argument into an anti Trump diatribe doesn't make your initial take any less mid curve
Nobody cares about BTC anymore. Money is going to semi conductors and memory. Guaranteed gains with continued block buster earnings and long dated contracts. MU will double before BTC does at this point.
This completely misreads how market liquidity and institutional capital work. The Clarity Act isn't about changing Bitcoin’s definition, it's about building a legally compliant highway for big money. Right now, hundreds of billions from pension funds and corporate treasuries are sidelined because they legally cannot touch regulatory ambiguity. Drawing clear jurisdictional lines between the SEC and CFTC instantly greenlights that capital. On top of that, the bill’s stablecoin framework creates a massive, regulated fiat on ramp. That is a direct liquidity multiplier flowing straight into spot BTC. Thinking a literal transformation of U.S. financial law won't move the needle or get priced in is classic mid curve logic. Markets price in regulatory finality fast, and that incoming flood of compliant liquidity will absolutely dictate the peak of this cycle.
The clarity act will do absolutely nothing to affect the current BTC cycle, or be priced in. Please tell me why you disagree
The reality with a bottom in any market is that you can never know until it’s over. Assuming BTC recovers predictably, consider your options: Buy now and risk further losses for being early, or catch the bottom perfectly (yeah right) Wait until price action declares any signal at all that the bottom has happened and things are recovering (multiple green days, a green week, a green month etc). You may be late, but will still catch nearly all of the upside movement, minus a day or a week, and potentially reduce your downside risk and drawdown by a lot. The choice is yours. IMO it is best to buy into a strong or recovering market, not one that is still actively dropping lower each week…
It’s going to get dam ugly for Saylor and his ponzi style investment plan, his empire is collapsing on its knees. He’s been in the red more than being in the green. Only fools will buy his trash stock that has no backing other then BTC which is very volatile
In general, if BTC starts to creep back up going into 2027 they will absolutely weather any storm. A 1 month or even 6 month "crash" is nominal - the internet traffic says otherwise. The reality is Saylor says all sorts of crazy shit and makes things more complicated or at least makes the "business plan" look more like some tweet storm. I would say MSTR is high risk, high reward - what changed? Not much.
I don’t think the thesis is really about him trading in and out of cycles. MicroStrategy’s structure is more about long-term balance sheet exposure to BTC, so “timing the bear” is not really the core strategy people assume it is. Some retail investors prefer simpler approaches like just holding through platforms such as Nexo instead of trying to predict when large holders will sell. In practice, forced selling narratives tend to show up more in fear phases than reality.
Most people don’t lose on alts because of entries — they lose because they don’t define exits in advance. What tends to work better is pre-setting rules before emotion kicks in: taking profits in ladders, rotating some back to BTC when strength fades, and having a time-based exit if the thesis doesn’t play out. Some also use platforms like Nexo to simplify the “hold vs rotate” decision, since it lets them keep assets earning while they wait for clearer exit signals. The key is deciding it while you’re still objective, not in euphoria.
[https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/LTCBTC/?timeframe=ALL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/LTCBTC/?timeframe=ALL) When measured against BTC it has performed horribly just like every other shitcoin. It's been dead for a long time. Stay poor I guess
Same here, constant chart watching just adds stress. I started treating part of my BTC as long-term and using Nexo for passive holding, which helped me stop checking prices so often. Zooming out really helps.
Most people don’t actually spend BTC directly yet. They either sell it for cash or use services like Nexo cards that auto-convert crypto when you pay, so it works more like a normal card in real life. Direct BTC payments are still pretty limited.
Hard to predict exact numbers for 2029, but BTC usually moves in cycles driven more by liquidity and adoption than straight-line growth. Some people also use platforms like Nexo for holding through cycles instead of actively trading, which fits that longer-term approach. If momentum returns, it’s usually about multiples of the previous cycle rather than fixed targets.
As long as BTC has no intrinsic utility, I don't see it getting out of this pattern. The reason stocks keep growing is because they have intrinsic utility with actual profits. That's not something Bitcoin has.
Yes, you are crazy. Nobody is paying in stablecoins, and Bitcoin is not a reserve for stable coins or anything. Nobody is going trade BTC which triggers a taxable event, convert into stable coins then transfer it. That is ridiculously inefficient for paying for something.
The diminishing returns are obvious. But holding BTC makes it harder to see - as we have that leaning towards being optimistic on the assets we hold. No one in their right mind wants to be left holding the bag at the cycle top, so people will sell earlier each time. Seeing everyone knows how the cycle works, can this pattern last forever?
Yup and BTC hit under 10k. It's a poor man's market.
This is where Bitcoin really fails, if you buy Bitcoin just to pop it into Phoenix and then spend it on Bitrefill you're creating uneccesary hassle and fees. You're not avoiding centralisation, you're moving the centralisation to your Lightning wallet and Bitrefill. The honest answer is that you should go on [BTCmap.org](http://BTCmap.org) and spend BTC in person.
Only reason you’re seeing this is an influx into BTC. Alts are dead
BTC is down from its 2021 top. Lmaooo. Investment? You mean speculation
Banks can lose your money? Well if you got it like that spread it around. One thing OP didn’t mention is FDIC insurance. And if that doesn’t pay, forget BTC that’s gone too along with the internet.
The diminishing returns are obvious. Unless you still hold BTC, in which case the desire to be optimistic will prevent you from seeing clearly. No one in their right mind wants to be left holding the bag at the cycle top, so people will sell earlier each time.
Post is by: Positive-Fee-4831 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1ugq3f5/high_frequency_crypto_tick_data_15s_sync_sample/ High-Frequency Synced Crypto Tick Data (1.5s Interval Sample) Overview This dataset provides institutional-grade, high-frequency cryptocurrency tick data captured with zero drop-outs. The feed is synchronized across multiple top assets, offering precise timestamps down to the second. Ideal for quantitative researchers, algorithmic traders, and backtesting high-frequency market models. Dataset Features Data Type: High-Frequency Tick Data (Time & Sales) Granularity: \~1.5-second logging interval (Continuous feed) Format: JSON Lines (.jsonl) Source: Coinbase API v2 Synchronization: Multi-instance synced edge nodes to prevent data gaps. Columns Included time: UTC timestamp format amount: Current asset price in USD base: Crypto asset symbol (e.g., BTC, ETH, SOL) currency: Quote currency (USD) 💳 Get the Full 7-Day / 30-Day Premium Matrix Bundle This repository contains a 1-Hour Sample File meant for format testing and latency analysis. We maintain a full, uninterrupted multi-asset historical feed for Top 10 and Top 40 Cryptos. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Send me BTC and I'll give you some shit
That's because the future of crypto success is trading hedged, and trading with massive leverage in perpetual futures markets. And the only way to win doing that long term is with a hedged strategy. Hedge funds are always the long term winner. Any market that rewards "HODLers" for holding for a few short years is temporary fluke. The only real winners are either hedge funds or extreme long term investors (decades). That being said, BTC isn't going anywhere. It's the future of humanity.
this is why I keep a stablecoin float for actual spending and let the BTC sit long term. treating crypto as a spending account and as a savings account at the same time makes both jobs harder.
Tangem Pay works great. You would sell your BTC for USDC and spend the USDC with your Tangem Visa
True. And even then, "selling" would be using BTC to pay for life expenses, not cashing out. I just figured I'd start with conventional wisdom for the novice person's sake.
No, it is not smart to out $15k on two assets. That being said do whatever you want, but don’t try to predict BTC.
The big players are trying their best to shake out retail to buy BTC at lower prices. It’ll go up eventually just keep holding bros.
Bitcoin is an interesting asset, I mostly monitor it to gauge the market’s sentiment on risk for a given time. I am here to see where Bitcoin investors think the price is going and hear reasonable arguments. But I also reserve the right to call bullshit out when i see it. If there was a liquidity crisis i imagine everyone would sell their BTC and buy real assets
The issue here is that this is a midterm election year and btc was always going to bleed this year and bottom and q4. People needed to sell Q4 of last year and come back next year. But I will be back to buy the bottom of BTC this Q4. Nobody is telling the newbies about the 4 year cycle. 2026 is going to be red, just like 2022, and 2018 and 2014. Those are always the bear market bottom years. (technically the 2014 bottom snuck barely into Q1 25 but the cycle is still the same each time)
My rule is written before I buy: take out the initial on the first big move, trim more when everyone starts calling for insane targets, and never wait for the perfect top. Some goes back to BTC and ETH, some stays in stables. I use Nexo for part of that when I’m sitting out, but the main point is simple: don’t let a 5x turn into a round trip.
BitcoinII ($BC2) and LitecoinII ($LC2) for me. They’re fair-launch, Layer 1 Proof of Work coins using the same code as BTC and LTC sitting at veeeery low market caps.
As opposed to? When BTC goes 60k to 120k to 60k what is changing about it's 'fundamental value'? They think it will go up they buy to make money.
Large private equity like Blackrock JPM etc are quietly buying up BTC. It will be the little guys that panic sold who get reamed when it blasts off again. I personally feel like these corrections are good for the market. Just when everyone declares BTC dead for the thousandth time it will start pumping
True, but id argue the broader stock market averaged much higher than usual annual returns and that might not be the case the next 4 years. BTC could outperform in such an event.
You’re basing your assumption on an N of 4. This no different than saying “I know 4 people who all died in a car crash driving a Ford… so all Fords are death traps. I know a lot of very smart people who made money in stocks ….. I also know a lot of stupid people who made money in stocks. Do stocks attract smart or dumb people ? Have you tried reading (whitepage, credible sources that both support and reject BTC, etc ) yourself and coming to your own conclusions / opinions ? If you haven’t researched on your own - start with the Bitcoin Standard. Also, posting this in a “Bitcoin” forum will get you biased answers.
I think that was one reason why the bullrun was subdued. I also think a lot of investors who would have otherwise been interested in Bitcoin and crypto went to ai. The 10x gains in companies with unclear valuations, and wild speculation is supposed to be our thing! As for the hopeful next bullrun a lot of people are predicting diminishing returns based on the power law model. I just wonder if it's possible that a lot of the capital that's been placed in AI companies that may or may not be profitable get re-distributed. Obviously it's not all going to come rushing into Bitcoin but I could see a lot of people who are looking to reallocate as the AI trade begins to look like a bubble seeing BTC 55-60% off it's ath being attractive. Then maybe we could get a more impressive bullrun
It's because they introduced STRC. As long as BTC goes up, they could issue new shares of STRC to get cash to buy BTC. If BTC goes down, they will need to find cash to pay for STRC's 11.50% semi-monthly dividend. They've recently come out they have 10 months of cash reserves for dividends. If BTC keeps declining and their cash reserves shrinks, they will need to start selling their bitcoin to cover. The recent sale of 32 BTC triggered a mild panic. Imagine Saylor having to sell thousands of BTC to fund STRC. It would be a doom spiral for MSTR.
I hate people, but when BTC behaves like this, it forces me to fill the void that is my life with the drivel of others as well as my own awful voice. Nice reply👍🏻
Yeah, we should be looking at BTC earnings. Oh wait 🤣
U/true-lychee might be referring to block # 149,097 BTC was almost dead back then..the block took 141 minutes to be mined
Yes, I agree it's time to buy, but I'm not sure BTC is the big-ticket item this time around. It depends on how far this AI trend will go. If it keeps going through BTC's next cycle, you'll likely still make money on BTC, just not as much as you could have on AI.
I don't think measuring high to high is a valid predictor at all. I prefer measuring ratios of lows to highs. The first two cycles were ridiculously explosive in this regard. The third cycle was like a 20x. This most recent cycle was an 8x from low to high, about $15K to about $125K. I'm anticipating a 4x to 6x from whatever the low is established to be during this bear period. That's my worst case. I think Powell actively worked to defuse the BTC bull market during this cycle, and Walsh is likely to be more cooperative to the next cycle. We could see up to 10x from the lows of this cycle with appropriate federal money policies. Assuming a $45K low, I expect somewhere between a $225K to $275K high as a worst case. Best case with the right policies, I see up to $400K.
Just what would happen when the last BTC is mine. Running the network doesn't cost much. But the idea is that BTC would cost so much that even the small amount means something. So if let's say energy is free. Then the previous BTCs were already mined at a price and theoretically as long as people still using it it should be more than that price so it could stop growing. Note that BTC have gone in price less than what it takes to mine it. But also that's relative because energy prices are not the same in all countries, and also it's a supply and demand like any other commodity or currency. If people decided they don't want it it doesn't matter that it took 60k to make you have to sell for a loss.
BTC failed to even keep up with the broader stock market over the last 2 to 3 years. It isn't looking very optimistic right now
looks like you have enough of BTC and don't want any more of it :)
From the website “Monetize BTC. Live big. Tax-free Bitcoin loans against your policy. Take a Bitcoin loan against up to 90% of your policy's value, with no fixed repayment schedule. In many jurisdictions, borrowing isn't treated as a taxable event. Your Bitcoin works for you while you're alive, not just after. “
Sold 32 BTC, price tanked, bought another 1000+ at discount...
The last part isn't true anymore. No one has lost money holding 4 years. In 2022/23 bear market BTC dropped to $15k-$17k which was below the 2017 high of $20k. Again, during this 2026/27 bear BTC hit a low so far of around $58k which is below the 2021 high of $67k.
At this point what is the bull narrative anymore? It’s not retail since Trump convinced everyone that crypto is still a scam by making a new one. It’s not a US reserve BTC treasury since Trump lied about doing that. It’s not the ETFs because that already happened. I’m running out of narratives
Hey! Your concern is fair. A BTC-backed loan is always a tradeoff: you get liquidity without selling, but the collateral still needs to be controlled in a way that makes the loan enforceable. So I’d compare the parts that actually matter: collateral policy, LTV, liquidation level, alerts, repayment flexibility, and whether the collateral is reused. CoinRabbit gives you the borrow-without-selling route with fixed APR, visible LTV/liquidation levels, risk-zone alerts, and no rehypothecation. It’s not the same as untouched self-custody, but it can make sense when liquidity matters more than selling BTC outright.
Hey! This is exactly the situation where selling feels the worst: you don’t actually want to exit BTC, you just need cash because life picked a bad week. I’d still keep an emergency cash buffer first, but borrowing against crypto can be useful when the need is short-term liquidity. With CoinRabbit, you can borrow against BTC and other supported assets instead of selling outright, with fixed APR, visible LTV/liquidation levels, and risk-zone alerts. The key is keeping LTV conservative so the loan stays a liquidity tool, not extra stress.
I hope some day they'll teach in schools why house prices inflate. It's not because the houses got better. MSTR may be ahead of a long curve if BTC gains broad acceptance as a universally attainable hard asset.
Might be time to recognize BTC has failed its thesis as a store of value.
Trigger a short squeeze and watch BTC shoot up like a firework along with MSTR.
Its top line is predicting $600k. And BTC price just broke through the bottom line yesterday
We as humans (I assume most of you are) look for patterns in things. And if you look at Bitcoin price history there seems to be a 4 year pattern. Is that pattern going to continue? Who knows. Is it a valid predictor? Nobody knows for sure. I am fairly certain we are close to the bottom, but I am just guessing (gut feeling). I do have waterfall purchases set up on an exchange to purchase set amounts at 59k, 58k, 57k, all the way to 50k. That way if it does fall rapidly, at least I will have purchased some more BTC on the way down as it gets cheaper. I don't expect them to activate anytime soon. And when the prices rises I will have to reset my waterfall prices.
BTC has effectively failed it's thesis as a store of value. It will be extremely difficult to break the ATH simply because there are so many people looking to get out or at least lighten their bags without taking a loss.
I agree. Before there was new countries coming online and all the fantasy talk that all the countries of the world was going to use BTC, etc etc. That isn’t happening and people losing the fantasy world and accepting that this is just a speculative gamble. The highs are getting lower and rebounds not so volatile. This would be good for those daydreaming BTC being a currency as it would need to be “boring” without big price swings and trade sideways.
You do realize the price of BTC is down \~42% since the 1st day of Trump’s 2nd term, right?
yeah don't calculate it from the BTC amount, calculate it from tx size. I usually just leave a little extra buffer because Electrum can show the actual fee before broadcast anyway, and at 2 sat/vbyte even a chunky normal tx is still way under right now
Very easy to make those low effort posts at these times, I am wondering if you'll post anything when BTC is back at 100k+ , MSTR is back at 400 and STRC stays above 100 for the whole duration of the bull market
“It’s coming back. BTC is going to 1 million.” He says with a whimper. Just remember that wisdom was banned one person at a time from these subs. It’s an echo chamber of financial ignorance.
To be fair, the hype was dead in 2022 when BTC dropped to 16k. I am not saying anything is a given but we will see if the cycle breaks down this time around. So far it hasn't.
The end of 4 year cycle is Oct/Nov of this year. Don’t act like BTC is dead and MSTR won’t pump again during the next bull run. Let’s see what ages like milk.
That’s a horrible way to think about it… BTC has no intrinsic value, just like fiat. It is entirely dependent on people’s desire and willingness to use it. You can measure its value in what someone is willing to trade you for it. People are using dollars because it’s a good substitute for that. How many tvs, cars, pizzas, etc you can buy with btc has absolutely gone down. It would be completely different if we were in a deflationary environment, but we are not. The amount of goods and services you can consume with a single dollar has (and continues) to go down, and the amount of single dollars you can get for your bitcoin has (and continues) to go down as well.
Then why do you get downvoted to hell in BTC subs for saying that it’s only utility is to facilitate illegal activities?
Why do we continue repeating these same conversations? Like for years I have heard the exact same conversations about BTC every time it moves up and down.
The entry is the easy part 😂 I try and keep it simple, it’s boring but it’s worked for me. Don’t hang on to the losers plain and simple. When everything else is pumping and the one you’re holding is doing nothing, get rid of it because in no time at all they will all lose 70+ percent of their value. I pick 3-5 alts with conviction and hope 1 or 2 hit like crazy. My first buy was doge at 4 cents, sold it all at 42 cents. It rose to 70 cents or something like that…now I layer the sells. My target price sell 50%, and then 10-20% I’ll sell at different levels and some leftover in case it goes absolutely crazy. Most of it just goes into BTC to hold long term.
That's basically Power Law chart's top line, and it's off by an order of magnitude predicting $600k BTC now. https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/ Don't do this.
BTC —-> bc1qv8zzh4jvl99gvnlh0mdepn5z3cpncx2khlngcd
If he can't survive a normal bear market from BTC, then he was never gonna make it
Post is by: Historical_Blood_408 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1ugfrvv/if_you_rotate_into_alts_this_cycle_whats_your/ every alt-season thread is about what to buy. nobody talks about the exit, which is where everyone i know actually gave the gains back last time. do you use a hard "sell into Xx" ladder, rotate back to BTC at a ratio level, or go time-based? trying to write the rule down now while i can still think straight, instead of improvising at the top. what actually worked for you vs what you wish you'd done. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
[This YT channel](https://www.youtube.com/@JoeNakamoto) has been documenting BTC use around the world. Small cases, but still legit. And still very early.
I manage a position based on chart probabilities and ignore alts completely unless BTC profits start flowing into the alt sector. Alts are simply used as a sweetener for BTC profits. If BTC surges and holds sideways for an extended period alts have more potential to have a moment. Otherwise they simply oscillate and sweep lows over and over on ultra low volume and liquidity as a whale occasionally swings through to pump and dump in the noobs butthole.
Nope, paper Bitcoin is just an IOU When s hits the fan all the customers get roasted, whilst they keep the actual BTC. Not even mentioning that they might over promise and under deliver in terms of selling IOU and holding actual BTC
They have a cash reserve for 10 months of dividends. After that they have nothing. They can't raise anymore money through selling pref shares, because the interest would be at like 20%. They cant raise much more money through the issuence of common stock, because the stock already crashed lik 90% and selling more would just put into a death spiral. They cant sell any meaningful amount of BTC because it would crash the market. They sold just 32 BTC a few weeks ago and it sent shockwaves through the crypto world.
Here I will try again. Where does the **purple band** start **at the current price of BTC, 59,9K** on **the rainbow chart**. Please tell me
Ive paid 3.5 BTC for an ounce of weed before , its just another Friday for me buddy. Try not to panic sell over the weekend.
>What exit target are people looking at? There is no exit for me. Ever. There is exchanging BTC for things I need, as I need to. And always leaving everything in BTC. Through all the ups and downs forever.
Obviously I’m familiar with a log graph. Go tell me where the purple band starts at the current price on BTC, or any of the color bands. Go tell me where they were when BTC was $70K, from that graph. My point is that the log scale of the y axis is chosen to make the model appear to have cleaner fit, meanwhile it’s unreadable garbage for anything practical.
Yep all of top crypto moves with BTC, but people argue because they want to buy the one that will go 3x or 4x when BTC goes 2x. If you look at something like dogecoin, that is right now at 7.5 cents, it's not that crazy to think it might easily go to 20-30 cents during next BTC ath.
Is there a chart that puts a line through the ATH peaks? Because, it seems like if we were to do that, we'd get about 200-250k BTC in a few years.
By my own viewpoint BTC biggest problem is that it's not widely applied as main payment method. So that will push bitcoiners to see it as investment for future. If majority of payments would done in BTC then the situation would drastically change. There is also one thing that gives a reason to have concerns: Worldwide usage could put BTC network under stress that it can't handle because every transaction must be confirmed and then blockchain info updated. Usually average confirmation takes about 10 minutes ore more. So I think that there must be some changes made to BTC in it's core system. It should be instantly sent from sender to recipient or at least recipient must get a valid confirmation that transaction is valid and will be executed accordingly. There is a workaround like bitcoin Cash but it does not replace BTC because has no the same value and uses it's own network too.
If you could see this coming from a mile away and had any clue what BTC is going to do, you'd be a billionaire. You can't time the market.
You'll be up 80-120% at the next BTC ATH, on all of them probably. I was in this position last cycle.
I’m dollar cost averaging in every week until 2030. if BTC goes the way some of the biggest fund managers in the world say there’s a good chance I can free up my time, not slaving away at work everyday. If it flops and I lose well I still gotta work anyways… but here we all are reacting to you… who’s wife’s boyfriend makes sure you make a fresh batch of fries to put in the bag