BTC

PassengerRecent7002

This highlights the impact of Gamma Squeezes and Delta Hedging in regulated markets. Unlike native crypto perps, ETF options force Market Makers (MMs) to buy/sell the underlying ETF shares to remain neutral. When the BTC price dropped, MMs' delta exposure decreased rapidly, forcing them to dump excess IBIT shares into a thin market to stay hedged. Combined with the Yen Carry Trade unwinding (increasing borrowing costs), this created a liquidity trap. While crypto Twitter looks for on-chain whale movements, the real selling pressure originated from institutional delta-neutral rebalancing in the TradFi plumbing.

T_E_R_A

Buy BTC on a bullish pullback. Do not buy in a bearish market! People generally buy at random and get suprised when it dips more. Or average it down and don't put all your investment in at once. Buy it bit by bit as it dips.

mbingtx

BTC always btc

synthwave_man

The bear also gets weaker every cycle. Thats why i wpuld be very cautious with low targets of 50k or lower. There's a possibility that BTC will never drop to these levels again, and instead is forming a bottom in the 60-65k range.

iamjide91

I'm not. I really don't think it will go that low. Not when we've seen BTC signal a buy on the weekly chart. I made an X post about this [here](https://x.com/crypto_lajide/status/2020971106052735116?s=20). AIOZ is another one I'm bullish about. Love the fundamentals.

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Post is by: Popcornio and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r0ukz3/long_term_crypto_portfolio_advice/ Hey guys, I’ve always followed crypto but only recently started putting money into it. I’m planning to invest about 10% of my monthly salary into a long term portfolio and hold it for the next 5 years. The coins I’m looking at right now are: * BTC – 30% * ETH – 30% * SOL – 25% * Render – 7.5% * Celestia – 7.5% Just wanted to hear some thoughts. Does this look balanced enough or should I adjust anything? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

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Post is by: kh_ibrahim94 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r0u8i2/long_term_crypto_portfolio_advice/ Hey guys, I’ve always followed crypto but only recently started putting money into it. I’m planning to invest about 10% of my monthly salary into a long term portfolio and hold it for the next 5 years. The coins I’m looking at right now are: * BTC – 30% * ETH – 30% * SOL – 25% * Render – 7.5% * Celestia – 7.5% Just wanted to hear some thoughts. Does this look balanced enough or should I adjust anything? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

DD-777

I don't understand the connection between energy, computational power, and how that makes BTC valuable. Those are required for it to function properly, and I can't think of an instance, at least not off the top of my head, where the fuel necessary for a thing to function makes it more valuable.

Fit-Poet6736

my portfolio consists of BTC, ETH, NEXO and some other altcoins, along with stables. if you are looking for long term holding, I can recommend those as the nexo wallet gives you interest while you hodl

CryptoBrown87

Always study BTC first as well as any other form of investment

DD-777

Are the "chain of digital signatures" not appropriate for describing BTC? Essentially, the blockchain/ledger is a chain of digital signatures with it showing who currently owns a BTC and who previously owned it. Well, maybe not who but a current hash and a previous hash along with some other relevant data related to the BTC exchanged if I understand it right. Energy and computational power, Satoshi mentioned it in their paper; but it does seem hard to conceptualize. Why would anybody care for energy and computational power in this sense? Those are already spent in the process of maintaining and adding to the blockchain.

Used_Rhubarb_9265

You bought the literal top in May 2021. BTC was at $64k, ETH around $4k. Both crashed 70%+ after that. You’re break-even because of timing, not because holding doesn’t work. If you’re gonna keep holding anyway, at least earn something on it. I use Nexo and get like 8-10% on BTC/ETH while holding. It’s CeFi so there’s risk but beats 0% for another 4 years.

PuzzleheadedBell4057

20% total Crypto for me. 5% ea BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP. It's gonna be one of these that's gonna become the most adopted. It's more than likely gonna be BTC. But who knows. Yahoo used to be the #1 search engine. Excite used to be the #1 social media platform. Books-a-Million was bigger than Amazon. I wanna stake in on more than just one Crypto. Better chance of being in the winner that way.

avatar_leo

Indirectly yes, Strategy acts as a leveraged BTC proxy, so stock moves can spill into sentiment, but ETFs are the primary direct BTC price channel.

HumanNo109850364048

Yeah so why that guy says BTC price irrelevant to mining operations LOL

Mundane-Visit-152

Yeah, that’s pretty much how I see it too. On my side the daily is mixed, not aligned enough to justify bias — so it’s a stand-down for direction. When that’s the case, my filter basically tells me: don’t trust HTF follow-through yet. On the hourly, I treat that range as execution only, not conviction. If the range breaks with alignment flipping, I engage. If it keeps rotating inside the range, I ignore it — no guessing the “next big move”. What I like about the tool is that it shows this explicitly: daily = mixed → hourly setups are fragile. Once daily starts aligning, the hourly suddenly becomes much cleaner. If you want, I can show you the BTC panel so you can see exactly how it’s flagging the current state.

avatar_leo

APR reflects lending demand, not BTC price expectations.

Odd-Matter-9700

I dont understand what you mean. You wanted to offer 1.0000 BTC for one ticket? :-P

GreenStretch

With BTC, you either have it or you don't. No income, no cash flow. People who can issue or exploit debt will probably buy up the BTC and and hope it soars so they can pay it off with a tiny fraction of their bitcoin.

GreenStretch

Don't put that much of your savings into BTC unless your goal really is to sabotage and delay your wife's plan of buying a house. Which brings its own problems.

Dry-Caterpillar9862

\> Now, I’m not going to bother to go look it up, but BTC was created primarily because of disillusionment in third-party financial companies and money after the 2008 crash. This is why I thought you were trolling. What are you doing writing this whole post if you're not willing to research something this basic? \> It was supposed to replace money and remove third-parties. However, in 2026, BTC is incredibly valued in my opinion because people keep putting money into it. The very thing that BTC was supposed to replace has become its backing. Again, Bitcoin is for everyone. \> Thus, its value is backed by a constantly devaluing asset, and the only reason that it holds any increasing value is because of a collective effort to increase its value by having people constantly put money into it. Its not a hedge against anything, but its hedge like effect will only exist for the people who cash-in before the rest do. Another example of why I thought you were trolling. You're writing as if you think this is a ponzi. Here's a bit of AI slop for you A Ponzi scheme is a type of investment fraud (a scam) where: * The operator promises high returns (often with "little or no risk") to attract people to invest money. * Instead of actually investing the money in a real business or generating real profits, they use new investors' money to pay "returns" or "profits" to the earlier investors. * This creates the illusion that the investment is working and making money → early people get paid → they tell others → more people join → the cycle continues. It only lasts as long as enough new money keeps coming in. Eventually it collapses when: * New investors slow down or stop joining. * Too many people try to withdraw their money at once. * The scam gets exposed. Named after Charles Ponzi (who ran a famous one in the 1920s), it's illegal and unsustainable — unlike legitimate investments (stocks, real estate, etc.) that actually produce value or income. If Bitcoin sounds like it checks those off, well I'm sorry but you have more research to do. We are talking about electronic cash that cannot be stopped, seized, controlled or banned. This is the People's money for anyone (including people you don't like) to transact freely. Michael Saylor beautifully describes it as digital property. Like a digital Manhattan. I should be awake for another hour or so if you have questions.

Dry-Caterpillar9862

Alright, I'll try. \> Bitcoin, perhaps even cryptocurrency in general, is simply a chain of digital signatures representing current and previous ownership Bitcoin is a ledger and is not cryptocurrency. I know that's what all the normies think but Bitcoin stands alone by itself and the vast majority of cryptos are worthless scams. The Federal Reserve is essentially a ledger for the dollar between all the US banks and their transactions. I'll reference The Creature From Jekyll Island. \> solution to the trust placed in third parties to ensure the legitimacy and validity of exchange of currency via the internet between two parties, ensuring that money was not double-spent on the internet, which is typically easily avoided with physical cash It's important to know why Bitcoin is so important as a replacement for this role. The banking system requires days to settle transactions while Bitcoin takes under an hour in a trustless manner for way cheaper. It's near instant and nearly free with lightning. \> In this new system, cryptography and hashing are used to create, secure, and document the exchange of Bitcoin via a network of trusted computers, known as nodes, that collectively ensure that documentation is fundamentally unalterable and decentralized by having them collectively hold more CPU than attackers and outpacing attackers by adding new transactions much faster than attackers can keep up Miners create the new blocks with the transactions they choose to include (this would be the CPU power you reference). Nodes are like the enforcers of the security of the network. They scrutinize the new blocks, checking for any discrepancies and reject the ones that don't pass. \> 21 million will ever exist; however, it also is valuable because of its security and transactability as it can be, theoretically, exchanged across borders at any time and by anyone with some form of internet connection Theoretically? It's not theoretical anymore. You can even transact with a ham radio, if you knew how/needed to. Russia and other countries can use Bitcoin to circumvent sanctions. Bitcoin is for everyone, including everyone you don't like. \> I remain skeptical because of the lack of backing as nothing other than the digital signature exists when evaluating value. It's backed by energy and computational power. \> 20% of all the BTC that will ever be created is owned by institutions Blackrock/Fidelity, etc. do not "own" any Bitcoin, they custody for their clients. That 20% number is false. According to River, \~70% of Bitcoin are held by individuals. The rest are categories like Satoshi wallet with 4.6%, estimated lost Bitcoin \~7.5%, etc.

ManakAhuja

Even if BTC is 130k right now, I would buy more!

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Billionaire real estate investor Grant Cardone has listed his Golden Beach, Florida mansion for 700 Bitcoin, equivalent to approximately $48-49 million at current BTC prices. The seven-bedroom oceanfront property features a six-car garage, private beach access, and an infinity pool. Cardone, a Bitcoin advocate, believes BTC will outperform fiat currencies over time and sees this as a strategic move. This listing highlights the growing adoption of cryptocurrency in luxury real estate transactions, particularly in crypto-friendly markets like South Florida. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

skaterwindow

Most people I know split it by use case. For long term holding, hardware wallets like Ledger or Trezor are still the default. For everyday use or small amounts, software wallets like Electrum or BlueWallet are common since they’re simple and reliable. Personally, I keep most BTC in self custody, but I’ve also used Nexo when I wanted to do something with it without selling, like quick swaps or liquidity. For pure storage though, self custody wallets are hard to beat.

Prahasaurus

>Thanks in advance, from a teacher looking to help out my retirement. I hope you don't teach your students to rush into long-term investments based on Reddit comments. If you are seriously considering Pepe, ADA and XRP, it's clear you have no clue about crypto, and are just gambling. Stop looking for advice about crypto here on Reddit. It's like asking Reddit for legal or marriage advice. Start using crypto and see what is actually happening. You'll soon learn there are really only 3 ecosystems with actual activity: BTC, ETH, and SOL. BTC has limited activity but is the most well known. It has failed to provide much utility and now is rebranding as "digital gold." ETH has by far the most utility, over 60% of all stablecoins, the vast majority of tokenized real world assets, the most advanced DeFi, and will likely form the foundation of future asset tokenization. But few know this because they watch Tik Tok and don't actually use blockchains. SOL is very popular with memes, is not as decentralized as Ethereum but has captured the low end market. It's token is highly inflationary but could improve over time. My advice: 40% BTC, 40% ETH, 20% SOL. But you should take 2-3 months and research yourself before investing anything.

OpticallyMosache

I'm a perma bull but you should DCA over the next 6-9 months because price will probably keep falling. If it starts going up, pause your DCA. Don't chase it. Most likely will be temporary and resume downward later. Save your DCA for the deep red weeks. The reason some of us are up big on BTC is because we buy in the bear when everyone else is running away and we pause our buys in the bull (and some sell some) You'll be positioned for the next bull.

DigitaICriminal

PoW is the only way that make sense and works. PoS sucks Also Kaspa use way less energy then BTC Kaspa will be optimized to some optic mining which is next thing..

ourcryptotalk

2 BTC, god damn it how I'm jealous of you.

JonnyBigBoss

This is exactly why I've been so calm through all the ups and downs recently. My BTC is significantly outperforming all my other assets even on a down year. When I see people doubt it I just laugh. 

yallmyeskimobrothers

I think you underestimate the amount of capital fluctuating throughout the system. While Strategy definitely is injecting a lot of money into BTC, it is basically pennies in the grand scheme. Just days ago Gold and Silver traded 3x the entire market cap of Bitcoin in a single trading session. And even that is a shadow of how much money flows every single day. Bitcoin is still very much in it's infancy, and the market has never dealt with a truly finite asset before. This is showing up in the price fluctuations and institutions falling back to what is familiar, like precious metals. Bitcoin is the only time we have or ever will see pure supply and demand economics. When the market doesn't yet know how to value it, messy price action will follow. But once the market figures it out, faces will melt.

PermissionPlusFour

BTC 110% past 5 years. VTI 75%.

Electronic_Stay4605

Yeah well cool untill someone walks passed you and zaps all your BTC.

Raymikqwer

As someone that wasted a lot of time with shitcoins. Just go BTC and ETH.

And2Makes5

BTC and ETH are low risk. Run from PEPE and ADA.

OpticallyMosache

Maybe...it's hard to make an accurate assessment when price is collapsing. At its ATH, the sentiment was just as irrationally optimistic and it is irrationally pessimistic now. Even if I gave up on BTC as an investment to make me rich, I'd still hold at least 1 in cold storage forever. In the future, that 1 BTC in cold storage may find its value and use. Couldn't hurt to have 1 to diversify outside the traditional system/guardrails. Il If price fell to $15k, people on the fence should still try to have 1. Get 1 and then move on with life.

Intelligent-Ad6619

lol sorry no. Its not because it’s super liquid. Volatility is the price of liquidity? SPY is super liquid too….BTC drops because it’s seemed as a riskier asset class. BTC is appropriate for people with very high risk tolerance. Period.

OptimalPlantIntoRock

Yes. At first it was simply a “precious metal” - now it has utility along with silver, platinum, copper, et cetera. In the world of AI and virtual reality will BTC (and some others) eventually have “real” utility?

SWT_Bobcat

Think about all the “conservative” investors out there in Bitcoin ETFs. This is not a joke….so many people putting a conservative 3% of their portfolio in Bitcoin etf in a Roth IRA thinking it’s their play money. A million dollar portfolio has 30k in BTC ETF which loses 20%…lost 6K on a million dollar portfolio and don’t even notice. There are billions of dollars out there in Bitcoin ETFs with negligible loss at all even at 50% BTC drop. I call this baked in diamond hands du to mass adoption. Large amount of small holders that just not worth fucking with to sell at a loss

OpticallyMosache

Have any of you been browsing the BTC sub? That's a grim place. Very little optimism, encouragement, or humor. In 2020-2023, I was a regular poster there and had fun even in the bear. This altcoin sub seems way better. Am I wrong?

OddRecognition6214

One thing I've found interesting analyzing this: sentiment data actually supports the "uncertainty" framing more than either side. I've been running Granger causality tests on crypto sentiment vs price for a while now, and the strongest finding is that price leads sentiment by roughly 15 hours — not the other way around. The crowd reacts to price moves, they don't predict them. What that means for the "cycle" debate: when everyone is arguing about whether the cycle is broken, they're anchoring on a narrative and then cherry-picking sentiment to support it. But the data shows sentiment is a lagging indicator, not a leading one. What sentiment IS useful for is measuring extremes. When fear hits extreme levels while price stabilizes, that divergence historically precedes rallies. We're actually seeing mild signs of that right now — Fear & Greed at 9, BTC down 22% from 30-day high, but selling pressure fading. Whether the cycle is "broken" or not probably matters less than whether the crowd is positioned irrationally. And right now they're scared — which historically is where the interesting opportunities show up.

lowFPSEnjoyr

waitin for a clean level can make sense but markets rarelyy give perfect entriees. i have found it helps to think in ranges and time instead of one price for BTC. keeping dry powder is fine but i also like small staggered buys when volatility spikes. yield on stable funds can help but counterparty risk matters in a bear. curious what rules you are using to decide when to start scaling in?

After_Height9724

I lost over 2BTC on stake in 2022

Doritos707

I bet you that a direct purchasing parity/power between what you described and normal fiat/gold strategy would show that the bitcoin still wins vs a continuous decline of purchasing power type of asset. Not to mention the lack of mobility and ability to liquidate from said diversifying assets. Im all up for lands and gold for retirement. ETFs can and do and will crash and can and do tend take much longer to recover than BTC

Stray14

Pepe or XRP. Mate buy BTC or ETH and go away for 10 years. Simple. Get on with your life and treat it like a pension. If you intend to throw money out the window, you should do just that, have a couple of beers, a joint and then just toss it on out, you’ll have much more fun than buying any form of meme, scam coin. Buying those coins is like torching your wallet. WAKE UP MATE!

devCheckingIn

I don't think people want BTC to change much?

jd999g

Itd too much work to look everyday at stuff like xrp, ada, pepe, fartcoon,doge. You lose almost every time, and when you won, its not as good as BTC. But dont forget SOL its looking like a great buying opportunity to hodl

Low_Carpet9764

If you were buying in bear market BTC massively outperformed S&P.

el_rico_pavo_real

This is easy to say Ex-Post Facto. No one has a crystal ball. That’s my reason for having a long term hodl and accumulation strategy. I also have no interest in converting my BTC back into paper. So for me, it’s not a badge of honor, it’s a strategy.

erjo5055

This is very fair. Most alts are reliant on loose money supply and euphoric speculation. Ultimately BTC is the king.

After_Height9724

You’ll be alright man I lost 2BTC on stake in 2022. You’re young and have a lot of time to recover. Id give up everything to be that age again

GreenStretch

Just finished my third cycle. Really nothing other than bitcoin is worth it. Two of the biggest coins, ETH and SOL didn't get very far past their 2021 highs this cycle. ADA didn't come close to matching its $3 peak last cycle. New coins for the next cycle might make money, as SUI did this cycle. After we're deeper into the bear, buying older coins at really historically depressed prices and selling them in the next cycle might be profitable, but the chance of any of them being long term holds like BTC is not great. Coingecko top 100 coins since their all time high. [https://www.coingecko.com/en/highlights/all-time-high-crypto](https://www.coingecko.com/en/highlights/all-time-high-crypto) If you haven't looked at past 10 ten lists to see lots of forgotten coins check this out. [https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/](https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/)

Mazdachief

BTC isn't gold

Leading_Scientist_16

67 and just retired. Big BTC and BTC proxies in my 401k. You make a good point. I’m thinking about it a lot these days.

FaradayPhantom

No, but the consensus is that BTC will be worth more long term than the previous ATH. So if you’re willing to suffer the roller coaster for the run up, then you should be willing to hold for the larger ROI.

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Post is by: internetmoney- and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r0o2p7/btc_perps_in_fear_mode_chop_bounce_not_breakout/ BTC hovering around **$70K** today—bouncing from \~$60K lows earlier this month, but still choppy and range-bound (\~$68K–$72K). 24h change flat/slightly up, funding rates near neutral to slightly negative (around -0.007% avg), signaling cautious/bearish perp positioning with no big long squeeze yet. **Sentiment vibe**: Mostly **fearful/cautious**—down \~20% YTD from 2025 highs, heavy deleveraging, derivatives stay defensive even after the rebound. Extreme fear on indexes, but some call this the "weakest bear case ever" with long-term bulls eyeing $150K+ EOY. Oversold signals flashing, volume light on the bounce—more relief than conviction. **Perps play (high-leverage warning—risky!)**: * Neutral-to-bearish short-term bias. * **Long scalp** if holds $69.5K–$70K support → target $71.5K–$72K resistance (low lev 5–10x max, tight stop). * **Short** on rejection at $71K–$72K → potential drop to $68K (but squeezes possible). * Best move? Small scalps or sit tight—chop city after flush. Better for spot DCA than 40x gambling right now. Extreme fear often sets up big moves, but timing perps here is brutal. What's your take? Stay safe. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

CutFabulous1178

“BTC is a Failed Project” BTC price $600,000

Sos418_tw

Look, I’ll bite. I’ve been staring at the 2026 charts and the math is starting to look a bit grim. Not gonna lie, seeing the S&P 500 pull similar numbers without the heart-attack 50% drawdowns is making me question my entire existence. The diminishing returns are the elephant in the room. If the upside keeps shrinking but we still get Chop City volatility, why would Big Money pick BTC over physical gold? Gold is actually winning the inflation hedge narrative right now, which is pain for us. Plus, the post-halving miner incentive problem is a massive black box. If block rewards vanish and fee markets don't pick up the slack, how is the network actually secure long term? Genuine question. We can’t just rely on Michael Saylor being the infinite bid forever. TL;DR: BTC volatility is still high but returns are flattening compared to TradFi. Miner security is a question mark. Am I getting rekt by my own logic?

No_Giraffe_4647

This is the point if you have invested in a risky asset your target figure for retirement should be at least twice the one you would need on diversified ETF portfolio for instance. So instead of targeting 1 million in ETF/ mutual fund you will need 2 million worth of BTC or even more to balance that risk

t0m0hawk

Also sitting on some FBTC. Its awesome that we have it available. That's why all the fud around the drop has been hilarious - theres a lot of capital in BTC. This is an asset that's here to stay.

watch-nerd

BTC isn’t a hard asset, though. And it has failed to correlate with inflationary

inbeforethelube

This is part of it but you don't even have to get all doom and gloom to see why BTC for trade makes sense. If Country X wants to trade with Country Y the only option is the EuroDollar. Trading in BTC completely eliminates that as you can trade in BTC and convert to your local currency immediately without a middleman. Today the EuroDollar handles that, you go from X currency, to Y, then to Z, then do Euro or Dollar, the other trading partner does the same. What BTC changes for trade is immense.

Successful-Win-8035

Get outta here Eth and BTC. TON is taking aim to dominate during this drop!

Awkward_Potential_

They'd be able to try to get to 2 BTC much easier.

dormango

Of course it did. People spent billions with ftx to thinking they were buying bitcoin only for ftx to fraudulently pass the money to alameda for them to trade with and not purchase and hold BTC as they should have.

t0m0hawk

Not just boomers. Super advantageous to be able to have some BTC exposure in something like a TFSA. A lot of flexibility with no taxes on gains. This millenial is super stoked about BTC ETFs.

Blockchainauditor

There is a humor tag. The August 2010 10,000 BTC for two Papa Johns Lazlo pizza trx is well documented, the parties known, and NOT the first transaction.

Distinct-Presence52

Listen here teach, your gonna want to ape that 5k into 3 coins. 2.5k into BTC, 1.5k into ETH and the last 1k into something like XLM or NANO. Now you can always drop my suggestion for the last 1k and do whatever you like with it but keep the btc and eth for longterm holding. Extra points if you wait for a nice low point when buying the eth and btc, set a limit order so it buys as soon as the price is where you want it to be.

Nzo2006

Consider me very new to this. But i am also expecting and waiting for it to go down further more possibly to the >50 range then i will start buying maybe a bit more comfortably , Albeit I don’t do BTC but everything is connected to it either way. I always read , every time people are waiting for it to go down the opposite happens 😂 , We will live and see.

GPThought

Sovereign wealth funds getting into BTC is the ultimate validation. These are the most conservative, long-term-oriented capital allocators on the planet. When they start treating Bitcoin as a legitimate reserve asset, it's game theory in action - once one major fund moves, the FOMO for the rest becomes existential.

imwco

Yes because while 1BTC = 1 BTC tomorrow $1 does not equal $1 tomorrow

CutFabulous1178

One Day, Max Fear BTC Price $600,000

penty

Check out the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/ The 2023 ver isn't perfect but it's a good quick indicator of what seems outlandish and what isn't. It lists the BEST case BTC equals $1 million but Apr 2028.

penty

Way back in 2012-13, that's how I decided how much to buy. Figuring if 1 sat eventually equals 1 penny how much is 1 BTC worth... Then screwed up the decimal and solved for 1 sat =100k.

KaijuNoza

Self custody. Never leave your BTC on the exchange the exchange can fail and you lose. If you want an easy way to self custody use Bitkey

PovasTheOne

Anyone still into shitcoins at this point is a moron ( me ) BTC maxi is the only, imo, reasonable investment strat in Crypto.

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Post is by: VibinNoodle and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r0l6vr/so_i_guess_were_all_waiting_for_btc_at_50k/ It's pretty clear we are in a downtrend and a lot of people seem fixated on that $50K BTC level before they start loading up. Fair enough. Nobody knows if we actually get there, hover around $70K longer, or briefly dip lower and reverse hard. What most people do agree on is that BTC is not done long term and new ATHs will come eventually. I am also waiting for lower levels and setting cash aside to wait for a better entry level, but at some point I asked myself why that cash should just sit there doing nothing. If the plan is to buy later anyway, earning yield in the meantime simply increases future buying power without adding market risk. So I decided keeping my USDC on Nexo is the best startegy for now - earning interest while the market figures itself out. No rush, just letting time work until we get a price zone that makes sense to buy in. Also, since this is my first "active" bear market, I was wondering if there are any better setups/ strategies out there? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

RandomLemonHead

See my response below. Transaction fees would have to be absurd to replicate the mining revenue, that alone would either require a "maxi" like price for BTC and/or exponential volumes from here. Or the price of doing a BTC transaction will be so high that the actual utility of BTC will be mitigated.

Either_Junket6500

BTC on the daily is kinda in no mans land, the 50 and 100 daily ma are above $86k, even the previous low was above $80k. I'm looking at the hourly, the range it has been in for a few days and the moving averages looking for potential entries. What's your view like? https://preview.redd.it/q4ff03gpsjig1.jpeg?width=1884&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=254579100551fb4de01ffb213075216fb80e996d

RandomLemonHead

Right now there are 900 bitcoin mined per day, so $63M, however only about 3 BTC in fees generated per day so $210K if I'm reading this right. So the amount of fees generated would have to increase by 300X to support the same on-chain revenue for miners. Granted that could be via price appreciation or more transactions, but also say 50-100 years the price of power will be substantially higher. So we are talking about maybe a 1000-2000X increase in transaction revenue to sustain the network long term. That is a big barrier in my opinion.

Opposite_Cold8616

If BTC is adopted globally, transaction fees will be enough to keep efficient miners alive. If not the entire premise fails. There isn't really an in between end goal. Since the last BTC won't be mined until 2140 or so, neither of us will live long enough to find out.

The_Bitcoin_Act

Total U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holdings sit around 1.27 million BTC (valued near $90 billion at prevailing prices), representing about 6% of Bitcoin's total supply.

Mundane-Visit-152

Yeah, that sideways BTC action is exactly the kind of spot where my tool helps. I built a small confluence filter that looks at higher-timeframe alignment and tells me one thing only: are conditions worth trading, or is it no-man’s land. When it’s mixed, I don’t even look for entries, it keeps me from forcing trades while price chops. I mostly use it on BTC to wait for the next real move instead of guessing direction. If you want, I can show you the BTC view I’m using and you can see if it fits how you trade.

Fantastic-Two1110

Even if BTC reaches 200k next cycle the return is dog shit. It's been killed by stocks and gold over the last 5 years. Dimishing returns of 50 percent every 4 years is shite considering how volatile and risky this is.

Quantum_Pineapple

Dude THIS. Not even just saying so because BTC.

We_DemBoys

My goal is to lock in my gains before I start drawing down in retirement.....which equals = selling my BTC. 😲 😱. Then only keep a smaller position in my portfolio...maybe 5% as a retiree.

RandomLemonHead

Sad! I am really having an existential re-evaluation on my BTC. I am emotionally invested and philosophically invested but I cannot shake these questions. Last week to me was the greatest indicator that the cycle is intact, prior I still had anticipation that we could recover. Ever since first entering the space I really haven't gotten a good answer to my questions about how the network is sustained once the mining rewards are 0 or essentially 0.

Either_Junket6500

I get you. Yeah that would be good to see. I've been watching BTC, but the last few days it's pretty much being going sideways, I'm hoping to get a good entry for the next movement, i feel like it's going to be a decent one either way.

Alexbobica

You are right. Sorry, around 20% into altcoins, low-caps. Generally speaking, those are approximate allocations. Mostly have my funds in BTC. I had 50% in BTC and 50% in ETH, but then I decided to improve BTC positions and have something in ETH still, but added SOL, 5% each.

TheRabbitHole-512

It didn’t, it just made users believe their balance in BTC was amount, they would have to withdraw their BTC for it to be real

nafnaf0

Yep, a while back I calculated around a $31k BTC price they would have real problems and be forced to sell, which could cause a further crash, which would cause them to be forced to sell even more...

Rare_Rich6713

Just DCA, go fully into BTC, stake it if you can. I feel the bottom is close.

nafnaf0

MSTR is a structurally leveraged Bitcoin vehicle. They do all sorts of crazy things to basically expand their ownership of Bitcoin. If BTC gets into bull market again it will trade for a significant premium to the net asset value of the bitcoin they own. In a bull run they will also attract additional investor capital allowing them further BTC accumulation, amplifying the premium. MSTR also generally offers corporate bonds but with zero coupons and sold at par. How do they do this? Because they offer conversion premiums to MSTR stock during the entire period of the bond. Some of their pas bonds have been basically entirely converted. People buy them because it gives upside exposure to BTC, but basically no downside risk (you just your money back but out the opportunity cost of the money). This allows MSTR to raise large amounts of capital a very low interest rates that mos others simply can not. Michael Saylor has said they generally want to be leveraged around 20% o 30%, which really isn't that high. This is just one of several products / schemes they have going. Michael Saylor and team have really cooked up all sorts crazy (unconventional) products / strategies.

northcasewhite

Just the like blocksize war created a massive alt rally in 2017. People were looking for an alternative to BTC. Look at how people are now looking into BCH. They will look for others too. Most people don't know that ETH was disliked by much of the community in 2015 and then in 2016 they started to see it as an alternative to BTC because of the small blockers.

MikaelAbou

I cannot fathom how some people really think they’ve figured it all out and that an asset could never possibly surprise. If anything can surprise its BTC. While you and 90% of others sell and expect lower prices, BTC will rip and leave you behind forever ✌️

nafnaf0

STRD is engineered to attract assets and improve outcomes for investors. I believe it is doing this at the expense of diluting the MSTR stock, but the capital they raise from sales of STRD is used to buy more BTC, which in theory then helps grow the stock.

XysterU

Sooooo anyone can steal your money by getting near your hand with an nfc device and you wouldn't even know it happened? I hope he did some authorization step on his phone before this. Id rather tap to pay BTC with a phone that requires a PIN/biometric to send BTC

RandomLemonHead

2nd response - I still think BTC IF ADOPTED has parabolic return potential and societal benefits, but that adoption is being threatened by the points Ive made above in my opinion.

RandomLemonHead

This is fair, but in some sense the money printing has continued to occur, inflation is high and BTC is regressing. S&P has a 100 year history of tracking money supply. Maybe it is just an unfavourable period for BTC right now and it will come back, but there is a lot of sentiment from investors noticing some of the shifts I've noted above. My resolve is really being tested, I rode the 2022 bear down the full way and added on dips the whole time. so its not paper hands from me, but more a re-assessment of where the next 5-10 years could go. Want to make sure I'm not missing blind spots.

DD-777

Hi, I'm interested in having my understanding of BTC critiqued, and I made a short document that sums up my understanding and thought about BTC. I would appreciate anyone's feedback on this, thanks. What is Bitcoin? Bitcoin, perhaps even cryptocurrency in general, is simply a chain of digital signatures representing current and previous ownership – of the Bitcoin token, I assume (Nakamoto, 2008). It was developed as a solution to the trust placed in third parties to ensure the legitimacy and validity of exchange of currency via the internet between two parties, ensuring that money was not double-spent on the internet, which is typically easily avoided with physical cash (Coin Bureau \[CB\], 2023; Nakamoto, 2008). In this new system, cryptography and hashing are used to create, secure, and document the exchange of Bitcoin via a network of trusted computers, known as nodes, that collectively ensure that documentation is fundamentally unalterable and decentralized by having them collectively hold more CPU than attackers and outpacing attackers by adding new transactions much faster than attackers can keep up (Nakamoto, 2008). These are hosted by everyday people, and they ensure that the system remains decentralized, which means nobody holds a high concentration of power. The initial issue with digital currencies, also known as cryptocurrencies, was that there was no way to check if a person had double spent their digital mint (Nakamoto, 2008). Nakamoto’s (2008) solution was a timestamp server that timestamped each transaction; published it publicly in a digital ledger; included the previous transactions timestamp as well; and was confirmed by a network of nodes that hold onto copies of the ledger as well – this is known as the blockchain these days (CB, 2020). These would done through a hash, a form of encryption that changes an input (i.e., transaction timestamps and digital signatures) into a solvable but incredibly difficult slurry of letters and numbers (Investopedia, 2025). Bitcoin, also known as BTC or XTC, is now considered a form of digital gold and protection from inflation (CB, 2023). Its value is derived in large part because of scarcity as only 21 million will ever exist; however, it also is valuable because of its security and transactability as it can be, theoretically, exchanged across borders at any time and by anyone with some form of internet connection (CB, 2023; Kelleher, 2025; Nakamoto, 2008). Furthermore, no government owns it so it cannot be devalued by increased distribution (i.e., the government cannot devalue BTC by making more than 21 million), and the limits of the cryptocurrency inherently make anti-inflationary (Kelleher, 2025). Personal Thoughts BTC has been an exciting topic from a personal standpoint as I see its value as a currency that restores the people’s control of money instead of relying in 3rd party institutions and centralizing control. However, despite its decentralization, security, scarcity, and seemingly agreed upon value in the current year of 2026, I remain skeptical because of the lack of backing as nothing other than the digital signature exists when evaluating value. However, one might argue that it does not matter as, despite the lack of any meaningful backing, 20% of all the BTC that will ever be created is owned by institutions; and cryptocurrency has become a topic of heavy discussion in policy and business (BitcoinTreasuries.net, 2026; CB, 2026). However, here’s the real kicker for me, and this is purely a thought on my part. Now, I’m not going to bother to go look it up, but BTC was created primarily because of disillusionment in third-party financial companies and money after the 2008 crash. It was supposed to replace money and remove third-parties. However, in 2026, BTC is incredibly valued in my opinion because people keep putting money into it. The very thing that BTC was supposed to replace has become its backing. Thus, its value is backed by a constantly devaluing asset, and the only reason that it holds any increasing value is because of a collective effort to increase its value by having people constantly put money into it. Its not a hedge against anything, but its hedge like effect will only exist for the people who cash-in before the rest do.