Reddit Posts
WTI, Brent, or Bitcoin: What’s actually worth trading?
SGX cleared by CFTC to offer BTC and ETH perpetual futures to US institutions
[Technical Idea] Transitioning from Miner-Ruled Consensus to Node-Runner Consensus with Mercenary Miners
I track perpetual open interest across four venues every day: ETH's book just closed at 70.2% of Bitcoin's, rank 1 of my 73 sessions, while funding sat on its median
Why There’s Not Going to be a Class Action Lawsuit Against CoinKite
Crypto Card with good cashback in stablecoin?
Bitcoin Has a 21 Million Cap. A Hacker Just Minted 46.1 Billion “Bitcoin.”
The most expensive sentence I ever said to myself: "I just feel like it's the bottom."
Alternatives to Boltz.exchange Lighting to BTC
Converting "real" BTC into ETFs in an RRSP or TFSA (Canada)
Weekend Crypto Watchlist Review: Building Monday Clarity
Weekend Crypto Watchlist Review: Building Monday Clarity
Someone turned fake L-BTC into ~4,000 real bitcoin with a cache key that had no length tags
Someone turned fake L-BTC into ~4,000 real bitcoin with a cache key that had no length tags
Someone turned fake L-BTC into ~4,000 real bitcoin with a cache key that had no length tags
Trump's $5K "dividend" could be bullish for BTC — but can this thing actually happen? lets break it down
BTC keeps hanging around $80K despite ETF outflows. Is that actually bullish?
The Clarity Act vote is in 2 days and X is acting like it's the end of the world.💀
Elon asked “How much for some anime Bitcoin?” in 2020. There’s now a token that tries to answer that — and it pays holders in actual BTC.
Why is Monero joining the THORChain a big deal?
Built a TradingView dashboard to track BTC Macro Institutional Accumulation
Built a TradingView dashboard to track BTC Macro Institutional Accumulation
When do we think the actual BTC bottom is coming? What’s your playbook?
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Predictions 2026-2030 | Data Backed Forecast
Altcoins are still struggling to catch up with BTC
Bitcoin Market Discussion: What are you watching at current levels?
US Core CPI Hits 5-Year Low - BTC Surges Above $79K, ETH Reclaims $2,600 as Crypto Market Adds $127B
How to Buy a House Without Selling Your Stack: Better x Coinbase 250% BTC Mortgage Explained
The keys worked. The signatures were valid. So what actually failed in the ~4,000 BTC Liquid incident?
Waiting is the actual job that most dont have the patience for.
CPI Day: With Oil >$100 and PPI Hot, is the Altcoin Season officially delayed, or is the bottom finally in?
What's the closest you've ever come to losing your Bitcoin forever?
Is $STONK actually onto something or is this just another short-lived pump?
Crypto Exchange | Crypto to Paypal, Wise, Zelle, Revolut, Cashapp, Venmo
Sent BTC to a Previous Address. Is there Anything I Can Do?
Bitcoin Meme called Buy The Cat is going to bring retail back to Bitcoin. Here's my analysis.
How a 5-Field Log Keeps Crypto Decisions Honest
Watching BTC ranges — what metrics do you glance at first?
Built a TradingView dashboard to track BTC macro accumulation using inter-market data. What do you think of this logic?
Giving someone bitcoin also means letting them sell it
The cost of cracking Bitcoin's encryption just got cut in half in two months. ~7M BTC already have their public keys exposed. Do we freeze them, or let them get taken?
Bybit restricts accounts even if you follow their Live Support instructions (My case: 42 days of silence and regulatory escalation)
How do you keep BTC reading notes without a pile of tabs?
How do you keep BTC reading notes without a pile of tabs?
I took profit when BTC hit 81K now I am taking More money back in Short position haha
If BTC isn't actually in my wallet, what's really in there?
Roble Regal’s “20 BTC” Trading Handbook challenge is looking more and more like a scam
Question: Which crypto would you actually trade, if you had to compete for a few weeks?
Beware of Monero bots/dark web groups shilling and downvoting Zcash! They did this 9 years ago against BTC too to sucker folks
Will SL be hit during high market moments?
anyone else noticing weird order book depth on perp venues during recent volatility?
I own a tiny bit of BTC, but somehow my confidence is enormous 😂 Please don’t ask me how much I own.
People Tune Out When You Talk BTC. They Lean in When You Talk About Why Their Money Keeps Losing Value
Bitcoin GPU mining: our measured performance gains and how Hybrid Solo rewards work
Is Crypto Still a Safe Haven for Investors in 2026?
Bitcoin perp experiment starts soon with 3x leverage
BTC stuck under $82K resistance again, Fed hike odds above 60%, oil spike on Iran, this is not a "sell into strength" market
Dollar Devaluation - Bitcoin as the Gold of 1933 Roosevelt Play
Is home Bitcoin mining really over, or is its purpose changing?
Drew some lines, decided BTC dies from here. Either I'm a genius or I'm funding a long's Lambo.
For people in high-inflation countries: do you actually spend crypto, or convert to a stablecoin and just hold?
I think the coins that refuse to move are more useful than the ones pumping
RWA perps just passed $2T this quarter and I barely see anyone talking about i
🚨 BTC SCAM ALERT Never send Bitcoin to someone promising to “double” your BTC. If they guarantee profit, assume it’s a scam. #Bitcoin #BTC #ScamAlert
What needs to happen for ETH to break 4K in the next few months?
Strive buys 1,375 Bitcoin, increasing holdings to 24,532 BTC
Where is all the Kaspa community today as the price dips
Every rounding bottom BTC's ever had took longer to build than the move that followed it took to play out
I feel like I’m missing something really obvious about Bitcoin
I feel like I’m missing something really obvious about Bitcoin
Introducing BTC PoW Lab Pool: Hybrid Solo rewards and an interactive mining dashboard
Introducing Find Mining Pools: compare Bitcoin pool terms with their sources
Mentions
There are closer to 20.1m BTC right now... in about 3.7 years you can round up to 21m
Trump did not promise a strategic bitcoin reserve of 4 million BTC or removal of taxes on bitcoin in his election campaign. During his election campaign he said, “If I am elected, it will be the policy of my administration to keep 100% of all of the bitcoin the U.S. government currently holds. This will serve as the core of the strategic bitcoin stockpile. No bitcoin will ever be sold, only purchased and secured.”
I read the white papers at 15 years old cuz I found an article about BTC. (Long time ago) I also immediately knew it sounded like a scam to outsiders, and not to even try to tell other people about it, because you’ll get the same response. I understood exactly what a bitcoin was and what the ecosystem looked like immediately. It’s just not for everyone. I didn’t even buy in because I wanted to mine and mining had already become specialized. I still plan on buying a mini rig. I was interested in a full size machine but it’s just too much electricity. Bitcoin was cool back then. I really wonder what it’d be like to meet this community irl. Either way the price action is written into the white papers itself if you can build some inference skills. Gosh.
Well, BTC is less volatile nowadays, but it still has a lot more potential upside compared to traditional investments like the S&P. There will still be swings, but not like 10 years ago when everyone was seeing 10x or even 50x on their investment within 2 years. If that's what you're expecting, then I'm afraid you're gonna be very disappointed.
.21 equates to every current millionaire. If every current millionare had 0.21 btc that would be all the BTC.
To answer your first question. Last cycle we had rumours of a BTC ETF, and then the actual ETF listings. Both the rumours and the listings had associated upward pa. I see pretty clear parallels with the clarity act.
Does BTC in exchanges like Binance or Coinbase count as Funds&ETFs or individuals ?
Post is by: _SG9 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wgeacz/i_track_perpetual_open_interest_across_four/ Method first, so you can pull it apart: I read the four venues' open interest and funding at each UTC close (Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, OKX) and rank the ETH/BTC ratio against its own 73-session window; ETF flows come from the daily fund files; correlations run over 969 pairs of daily closes. At the September 12 close, 23:59:01 UTC, ETH perpetual open interest was $11.910bn against Bitcoin's $16.971bn. That is 70.18%, rank 1 of the 73 complete sessions since July 3, against a window median of 60.9% and a minimum of 54.4%. It happened on every venue. Between the September 4 and September 12 closes ETH open interest rose 6.1% on Binance, 7.0% on Bybit, 12.1% on Hyperliquid and 9.6% on OKX, while Bitcoin fell 7.1%, 6.5%, 6.3% and 3.1% on the same four. It is also not a price artifact: ETH/BTC rose 6.0% over those eight days while the ratio rose 15.3%, and the dollar size of the Bitcoin book shrank outright. Against the underlying asset the ETH book is 3.888% of a $306.3bn market capitalisation and Bitcoin's is 1.086% of $1,562.2bn, so ETH's is 3.6 times as large relative to its own coin. Funding did not follow. Open-interest-weighted ETH funding closed September 13 at 0.005941% per eight hours, about 6.5% a year, against a 31-day median of 0.005682%, the 53rd percentile. That is an ordinary carry cost, and nobody is paying a premium to be long the perpetual, which is what a short perpetual leg inside a delta-neutral carry book looks like from the outside. The ETH spot ETFs took $189.3M on CPI day, 1.54% of $12.28bn in assets, the cash leg such a book needs. Bitcoin's funds went the opposite way, minus $482.4M over four sessions, 0.5% of $93.58bn. Where I would argue against myself: \- Open interest reports size and never side, so a directional crowd cannot be ruled out, only priced. One that wanted the exposure badly would normally bid funding above its median. \- 73 sessions is the whole claim. My constant window starts July 3, when the venue count went from three to four. \- ETH's 30-day correlation to QQQ is plus 0.012 against a 0.476 trailing 252-day baseline, the 1.28th percentile of 548 days, and to the dollar index minus 0.622. Out of a 969-pair scan roughly ten first-percentile hits are chance alone; the cluster means survive that better, 132 crypto against US equity pairs averaging 0.105 and 22 crypto against dollar pairs averaging minus 0.402, both the 3.6th percentile. \- Friday's CPI print cuts against the dollar-channel reading. In the 60 minutes after the 12:30 UTC release Bitcoin rose 0.85%, gold rose 1.27% and the dollar index fell 0.11%, a dollar-weakness reaction. \- Nearly half of the raw ETH exchange-inflow tape over the last four weeks, 47.7%, is one address depositing every day. Every figure above excludes it. Polymarket and Kalshi both read 79.5% for a 25bp hike on Wednesday, stamped 12:58 UTC today. data + full method: [https://kresmion.com/daily-brief/2026-09-14](https://kresmion.com/daily-brief/2026-09-14) *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Well, just not much new bitcoin. Plenty new fiat though. And yup, few understand. Gimme as much BTC exposure as possible. 😎
Just read about MSTR. It's give or take 1.5 leverage on BTC, and look how volatile the stock price is. Now imagine if the leverage were 3x.
Yes. They're all betting on the price of BTC, settled in fiat. Being scammed by the whales
I just want to add re-reading your post, just do the effing post-nuptial…..or maybe even better, no nuptial agreement at all! You are free to hold that BTC to your hearts content and never tell her about it as long as you keep it in BTC. Whatever you spend of it after marriage, don’t buy other assets with it! If you spend it use it to pay bills or so there’s nothing she could take.
BTC is a currency. Used for exchanging goods and services. And a poor one at that. And it can’t even keep up with the US Dollar over half a decade. I understand all that I need to.
Incorrect. 1 BTC would be worth $42M in that scenario, not accounting for GDP real growth and inflation.
It's misleading, but it's not inaccurate I hope. If a human works an entire lifetime to afford 0.0017 BTC, that's on them.
Try not to be in the 7.7% of lost BTC, guys.
Why moving everything to BTC? Can store assets in one wallet, almost any of them. If you have Ledger, try Guarda. Using it with ERA Wallet, it's a hardware one, and loving such features as predictions
Given the assumption (premise) that Bitcoin replaces store of value and unit of account for all transactions globally (\~$900T USD of value), 0.0017 BTC would represent \~$42,857,142.85 of todays USD Better way to think of it is 0.0017 BTC would buy what today $42.8 million buys... but if that happened USD would not really have a value anymore. Bitcoin would be what everything is priced in (given the premise).
I've got time on reddit. If every human on earth owned that much BTC, then what? We would all be called 0.0017 and there would be no more r/namenerds needed.
If there's 21 million times 100 million of something, where something is something that is in hot demand such as BTC, then why does 21 million matter more as a number than 100,000,000 times 21 million units?
Bitcoin is public ledger. If you intend to do something with it, at least some research is recommended. Here, 99% of people are some greedy toons that want quick dollars. They are not interested in BTC, but dollar.
What is the purchasing power of 0.0017 BTC in this hypothetical?
Is this one AI speaking with another AI? Nor above graphic, nor your comment have any sense. Bitcoin is highly concentrated. Only a handful of addresses hold vast amout of bitcoin. To put into perspective, 2000 individual wallets hold 60%+ of BTC. Good luck you all!!
I think govts secretly have more. China, Russia, NK, Europe, S America… all the continents, all the govts- BTC is at least on their radar.
Those BTC wander directly to the wallets of the whales
Worth noting... 13.98M BTC distributed evenly among 8.31B people is **0.0017 BTC per human on earth**. If, in the future, Bitcoin becomes the main storage of value and world currency... an average human could work an entire lifetime in hopes of getting to 0.0017 BTC (today that costs $133.45 *"Might want to get some, in case this catches on"* \~Satoshi 2009
If you can afford to have that much money in crypto and especially btc then you should leave it as it is until it goes to the desired profit. Cause everyone in crypto space wants, expects, speculates and eventually put money in crypto space cause BTC eventually will go up. Even the negative people having invested money in want and expect it to go up one day and make them rich. Many also expect and speculate BTC will go up because they invested in altcoins and most altcoins thrive once BTC goes up thats why they invest money in them. So everyone expecting and speculating that BTC will go up one day could even become a self fulfilling prophecy if it didnt already became one. Its just every time people saying bearish stuff, bearish stuff happens or something different is expected to happen yet still they invest in crypto. Nobody knows what will happen but based on the history and psychology of the market and people it must go up... Maybe the same time it goes maybe a different time maybe never? No one knows. Thats why people speculate... So do your research, hear what people say with a grain of salt or search more thouroughly, make your own speculations, reach your own conclusions and decide your strategy thats good for you and your life. All have different plans. Some hold it and will hold it. Others sell when they make some profit cause they need money and feel that amount its ok for them, others want BTC to retire them... so listen to everyone but act on what you believe is best for you cause no advice is right until it is proven right.
2 or 3 BTC will make you a millionaire overnight? Sign me up
Buy some BTC, go online and declare HODL and To the Moon. Profit. Or not.
If that $0.02 order actually fills, BTC reaching $420,000 won't even be a dream anymore—it'll be mathematical inevitability.
5 years is a common metric. And BTC has not outpaced inflation in 5 years. Even with a cherry picked 7X in the middle.
0.4 BTC at age 25 already puts you ahead of 99% of your peers globally. Keep stacking satoshi by satoshi, that 0.5 BTC goal is closer than you think.
They want us to hold toxic fiat debt in a digital wrapper. They can keep their stablecoins, I'll keep my BTC in cold storage.
Don’t; you take profits from elsewhere an purchase BTC to preserve that value.
In my opinion, it is impossible for someone else to comment on this because we don't know all the details of your life and your financial situation. Also, we don't know what the price action and chart will look like for BTC in that time period and what the overall risk asset market will look like either.
10 Year Treasury touched 4.99 this morning. Normally a bad thing for Bitcoin but BTC is up and the market is down this morning. The economic eggheads say that this is different because the market is losing confidence in the dollar and a rotation out of equities is coming.
Joking right? I can sell my BTC and BTC related ETFs right now for a profit.. in seconds. Havent realized their losses? You think 99% of holders are in the red? And that they are unable to sell and realize those losses? They purchased it.. but theres no demand to sell it? Bitcoin has billions of dollars in volume, daily.. Buttcoiner with invalid takes huh?
Bitcoin reflects the dollars true value. Change my mind. $1 = BTC 0.000013
It can be traded for goods and services as long as the vendor accepts it. That would again start redistribution. I would gladly sell him a service for 1 million BTC because they are going back to >$1million/BTC.
Now b4/if clarity act passes. Dca is great but whenever i can lump some BTC I do asap.
J’ai déjà 0,4 BTC objectif maintenant c’est 0,5 BTC (j’ai que 25ans)
Hectic, you know more than me and I've been stacking BTC since 2017
You don't get it. It's a small step towards looser guard rails. Of course BTC will find itself within that ecosystem in time, along with a bunch of other shitcoins... He'll make a presser along the lines of "it's going so well, we're gonna let bitcoin in, you know, it's the orignal and it's the best" and then all those bribes he's received can just flow right on through. If you don't think that's going to have consequences an interface for corruption you're about 20 years behind the current model of how things work.
It's like investing. DCA is the way. If you try and time the BTC market, you have to be right - twice.
If there’s one extra thing you would like to understand from a finance perspective too; “not your keys, not your coins” applies to spot buying, but not spot ETF buying. What I mean by that is if you buy BTC via an exchange (such as coinbase, kraken pro, binance, CoinSpot etc), then yes there is custodial risk and therefore best to be kept in a wallet where you know your own seed phrase kept on paper. But you also do not need to have seed phrases if you’re buying bitcoin ETF’s, such as IBIT on brokerage platforms like IBKR. There’s roughly $100b+ in bitcoin based ETF’s which is pretty huge. And the reason I’m noting that is that some people just don’t want to have to bother with exchanges or wallets, so they settle for something they can buy directly on a brokerage platform where custodial risk doesn’t exist. It’s becoming increasingly popular among Wall Street to go this route
For long-term holding, optimal UTXO management balances future spending fees with strict transaction privacy. Stacking small, recurring purchases creates numerous dust outputs that incur steep fees during high mempool spikes and expose your entire purchase history when consolidated. Aim to consolidate into chunks around 0.01 to 0.05 BTC during low-fee weekend windows. If those inputs carry exchange KYC history, consolidating directly links all purchases into a single cluster. Using CoinJoin via WabiSabi clients—such as Ginger Wallet for out-of-the-box mixing or Wasabi with custom coordinators—breaks that graph before final cold storage sweeping.
If you come from buy-and-hold stocks, don’t feel like you need to trade crypto constantly. A lot of people treat BTC and ETH as longer-term positions and keep smaller, riskier coins to a limited part of the portfolio. The main difference is crypto is far more volatile, so position size matters a lot.
Exactly. The other guy commenting could easily be holding a big chunk of IBIT, mind you it doesn’t seem to indicate that based off how he phrased his comment haha, but your point still stands. I’d go on to argue holding IBIT through IBKR is essentially as safe as you can possibly hold BTC
Honestly, small caps are the best for that. BTC can only hype.
mexc has been solid for this rally. ZEC volume there actually jumped to #3 right behind BTC and ETH, so liquidity is surprisingly deep. Plus 0 fees and up to 100x leverage if you're playing the squeeze/swings.
Bitcoin doesn't need it very true. It will put a shit ton of liquidity into the crypto markets though. Which will pump BTC
Ummm there is serious money for btc and crypto. 50/50 Shot Option calls are way up this week. If it gets the 60 votes.. BTC and the crypto market will see a big jump and momentum
LTC uses same amounting model as BTC UTXO and Cardano uses EUTXO so LTC is better than ZEC ore XLM ore XRP
you're describing taxable events. there's no way around that. however when you withdraw from your future TFSA, your gains at that point will be tax free. consider also an in-kind transfer of BTC or another asset into a TFSA generally would not solve the issue either; an in-kind TFSA contribution is treated as a disposition at fair market value, and any gain must be reported.
The main and most real use case might not be realized, and it is if BTC or another main crypto become the main reserve currency. Then we will have a finite money supply not under the control of a govt for the first time.
Yes I try to spend less. One car could be 1/2 BTC instead.
I dont need to make money with it, i am investing since 20 years, and every asset i am in outperformces BTC in the last 6 Years. So you i hope you lose everything, if not i dont care, i am doing good without it. I simply don't see it, if you really make huge bank from now on good for you, i am still doing more then well without it.
I use to recommend always using a hardware wallet / cold storage, however... over the past decade I've seen some horrible forgotten seed phrase and password issues. I now just tell people to keep their Bitcoin on brokers like Robinhood, Gemini etc. There are also Bitcoin IRAs I use now, [Public.com](http://Public.com), and you can also get access to BTC via the ETFs in IRAs.
Hide your BTC behind 24 words.
I lost all hope for “crypto” after dabbling in the ecosystem for awhile and realizing being in crypto is such a lifestyle, most people are just never going to dive in. That being said, I will continue to stack BTC and I keep some ETH I don’t have strong conviction for but figure it’s will enough established, might as well have some exposure
In this scenario, a single miner successfully mining blocks for one year, with a reward of 50 BTC every 10 minutes: 199,584,000,000. Note: not even Satoshi has that much.
I've been in Bitcoin since it was $400. People have been saying things similar to your comment since before I got in. It doesn't take as much capital as you think to raise the price. Number is very wildly but it's anywhere from 10 to 25 x for a capital invested to price achieved multiplier. Also, you're having BTC MC increase in a bubble vs what will happen elsewhere. NVDA, or another AI stock, will be even bigger then it's current $5 trillion dollar market cap when BTC eventually hits its 4 year cycle high in 2029. Lastly, we are in an inflationary death spiral in the US and this will only contribute to asset price inflation.
Well, it can go down or up, who knows. As long as it's technology doesn't develop or gain more value in different markets, it's price will always depend on BTC and ETH.
Curious what it's worth now? I have a buddy that threw out his laptop years ago that he mined BTC on. He said he only had 9 or so on it.
I forgot my codes, didn’t protect them & lost almost 12BTC & 80+ ETH in 2017. I had forgotten I had bought ENJ at ICO at 4c. Happened to find it on an exchange years later and it was 100x’d. Sold immediately into BTC for revival
noticed something weird in BTC but specially in ETH-- every September the last few years so last 6 Septembers: -16%, -11.6%, -12.3%, -2.2%, +5.3%, -5.6%. only one green (2024). thought it was just "sell in september" nonsense until i checked what the Fed was doing each time. every single one of those months had an FOMC meeting mid-month and the tone of it basically called the direction. 2023 they held but talked hawkish -> red month. 2024 they cut 50bps out of nowhere -> the one green one. 2025 they cut again but it was already priced in and ETH still bled after. this year we've got the Sept 15-16 meeting coming and it looks like the sketchiest setup of the bunch. hike odds (not just hold, an actual hike) sitting around 70-87% depending on source. haven't seen that in any of the last few years. new fed chair too, apparently more hawkish and less predictable than powell was. if it actually hikes, my gut says something like 65-70% chance the month ends red, 30% it doesn't, mostly depends on how hawkish/dovish the presser sounds after since the hike itself is basically priced in already. not a call to do anything, just thought the pattern was interesting. anyone else been watching this or am i just seeing noise...and i think BTC also did same from past few years
Yeah, that's it. The bug let someone mint fake Liquid-BTC and cash it out for real BTC, so they paused peg-outs while they rebuild the ledger and make sure only legit coins can leave. Once the reserves line up again, pegs should reopen.
They are giving you a dollar loan worth 1x BTC with above market interest and you loan them 1.5x BTC unsecured and interest free. Yeah, sounds like a good deal.
Disagree. I sold it all at $113k and rebought in the $60’s. I’ll basically double my BTC bag without spending a dollar. I’ve done this through multiple cycles and it made the difference between good results and lifechanging results.
0.01 BTC UTXOs are easier to manage than a pile of dust. i'd consolidate only when fees are quiet, keep change above your own dust threshold, and avoid making lots of tiny deposits that need future cleanup. for a 15-year hold, label the outputs and keep a simple record of which wallet or backup owns them.
I can. If BTC loses the attributes that give it that value, then it becomes worthless. I don't think quantum computers are much of a thing to be a threat in the first place. But, the community/development losing the plot is now a real threat I never imagined it would be.
the honest answer needs the exact snapshot date and CPU hash rate. in 2010 one desktop could find zero blocks for a year or multiple blocks by luck, so 24/7 uptime alone does not translate to a fixed BTC number. compare the machine's share of network hash at each difficulty, then account for solo variance and electricity.
Post is by: Patriot_tech and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wfbhpf/weekend_crypto_watchlist_review_building_monday/ Reviewing your crypto positions each weekend helps separate noise from structure without chasing every green candle. Start with a clean three-step process that keeps the focus on data rather than emotion. First, trim the list: keep only coins showing either rising on-chain activity or clear support above the weekly VWAP. Remove anything that has lost its narrative or key level. Second, note BTC dominance and total market-cap trend; if dominance is climbing, altcoin setups usually wait. Third, mark one or two Monday catalysts such as funding-rate extremes or major options expiry so you know where liquidity might shift. For Monday itself, pick a single focus area rather than scanning everything. Many traders choose to watch only BTC perpetual funding and spot volume on the first hour; that single lens often reveals whether risk appetite is returning or fading. Pair the observation with a simple rule: if funding flips positive while volume stays below average, reduce position size until confirmation arrives. This habit keeps the weekend review short and the Monday plan concrete. Check free tools on YouTube for additional market structure templates. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Correct, it isn’t, but that simplistic scenario is exactly that, ridiculously simplistic. MC is mark to market valuation. The fact it isn’t an account balance doesn’t mean BTC wouldn’t require an insane increase in aggregate demand to pay that price relative to demand. Aside from this, BTC going 4-4.5x within this next cycle’s bull run is something you need to think about from a base case let alone a euphoric case. Nothings impossible, but it’s highly improbable. And that’s not to say BTC wouldn’t reach $350k, I actually absolutely believe it will someday. But this coming cycle? That’s stretching
They aren’t as big as the US, the US has over 48 trillion in regional pension assets alone that is more than 70% of the combined total accumalted across major global duristictions. Thats without mentioning the insurance companies, just the US pension funds and their insurance companies allocating small percentages into buying spot BTC would moon it over time. So not really America is huge when it comes to global finance.
Cap is not an account balance. It's not where money goes INTO or OUT of. A simplistic scenario to talk BTC to $300K would be for all sellers to stop selling for anything less than $300K and then next trade will instantly print that price point. And the inflated market cap. Even on $1 worth of trade @ $300K/BTC.
Why do you care what AI tells you? No single person mined 50000 BTC with a $299 eMachine. And if someone did, the coins were useless and worthless. They weren't cared for. And when they did have some value they were sold. Not any single human on earth mined 50000 BTC in 2010 AND kept all that BTC until 2026. Not a soul. Impossible.
It’s the fact that macro remains extremely hostile. \- US10Y closed at 4.97% on Friday. \- DXY closed flat on Friday and actually helped most FX pairings except for the euro. \- oil futures have been insanely repriced, now at > $100/BLL US10Y and oil futures are probably the two biggest high beta killers right now. I wouldn’t focus too much on the CMC greed/fear index. Yeah it’s nice to see how risk appetite is along BTC and the alt market but it can rapidly change intraday and it’s much better to see how macro factors have moved intraday, let alone over the last month
I’m watching purely: \- macro \- current bidding zones (seems roughly $76k) \- current resistance / rejection zones (currently about $82.5k - $83k) \- alt market behaviour \- data from net inflows/outflows of BTC ETF’s on brokerage platforms Macro is genuinely the biggest catalyst happening right now. With US10Y basically at 5%, oil futures now > $100/BLL, and DXY that had loosened but became a little tighter again, we’ve essentially got the worst setup possible for high beta assets like crypto or tech stocks. As for when I think the bottom is coming in? No one knows if it’s already happened this cycle or if we may see BTC completely unwind before the end of this year. But I personally doubt we’ll be heading back to < $60k levels based on the two leg downs we’ve had this year. Institutional spot buying via ETF’s is compressing price action and there is a ridiculously large amount of buying demand still existing in the mid $70k’s, so imagine the buying demand around $70k let alone $65k
At a glance, '26-'25 looks a little bit like '22-'21. BTC is still a volatile _____.
A nothing burger haha, believe me without the clarity act the big boys can’t allocate money into spot BTC which is a huge deal for BTCs price over the longer term 12 to 18 momths.
The bug was introduced by a security fix on August 3rd. The problem was obvious: I asked AI to do a code review of this fix and it found the exploit in 3 minutes. This could of course be that the AI has already absorbed this information from the web, but when I asked the AI for similar exploits it only listed 7 similar exploits in the last 20 years. I believe I would have been able to spot this bug myself, but it's hard to say this in hind-sight. The security fix in August was silently introduced and probably only a small circle was reviewing it in secret. Ironically the bug it fixed was far less critical than the bug it introduced. Before, the worst an attacker could do was a consensus split (validators would accept an invalid but mostly harmless block). Thanks to the flaw in the patch the attacker could create an invalid block that spend 0.1 BTC sending -4000 BTC to an OP\_RETURN and 4000.1 BTC to himself as the change. This is a bit a security conundrum. The more eyes you have that review code changes the more likely you find bugs introduced by your change. But if the code change itself is a security fix, you don't want to have too many eyes on the code and probably not let a commercial AI review the changes.
I like that we're getting more products like this. That being said, I think it still makes more sense to simply collateralize enough BTC for the down payment and get a mortgage the normal way. With this product, you've essentially done a 0% down loan at the prevailing mortgage rate. Meanwhile, if you just collateralize for the down payment, that rate is \~4-5% percent and you're only paying the prevailing mortgage rate on a now smaller portion of debt.
When BTC is above 83k alts will dance again. Till then nothing
PayPal and CashApp are definitely just walled gardens that hate self-custody or direct wallet transfers. When I ran into the same off-ramp KYC traps trying to accept small BTC payments, switching to a dedicated gateway like Inxy saved us a ton of headaches with clean WooCommerce checkout and actual wallet settlement. It completely bypasses the middleman drama if your customers just want a straightforward crypto payment.
Post is by: LukasHartmann_ and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/cryptoskam/comments/1wf5x4u/crypto/ r/cryptocurrency, r/bitcoin: BTC — $76,800 (▼ -0.62% 24h) Current positioning: Bitcoin is trading above the monthly VWAP (76,488) but below the weekly (78,177) — neutral phase. Market outlook: reversion toward the weekly VWAP (78,177) or extension toward support. Key zones • Monthly (1d/30d): support 62,716, VWAP 76,488, resistance 82,300 • Weekly (4h/7d): support 76,047, VWAP 78,177, resistance 80,560 Scenarios • Bullish: a clean breakout through first resistance 80,560, then 82,300. • Bearish: a loss of first support 76,047, then 62,716. Levels derived from Binance daily and 4-hour candles. Not financial advice — always DYOR. r/cryptocurrency, r/ethereum: ETH — $2,481 (▼ -1.78% 24h) Current positioning: Ethereum is trading above the monthly VWAP (2,419) but below the weekly (2,499) — neutral phase. Market outlook: reversion toward the weekly VWAP (2,499) or extension toward support. Key zones • Monthly (1d/30d): support 1,869, VWAP 2,419, resistance 2,666 • Weekly (4h/7d): support 2,406, VWAP 2,499, resistance 2,666 Scenarios • Bullish: a clean breakout through first resistance 2,666. • Bearish: a loss of first support 2,406, then 1,869. Levels derived from Binance daily and 4-hour candles. Not financial advice — always DYOR. r/gold, r/investing: XAU — $4,409 (▲ +1.02% 24h) Current positioning: Gold is trading below both monthly (4,418) and weekly (4,433) VWAPs — bearish bias. Market outlook: continued pressure on lower support band. Key zones • Monthly (1d/30d): support 4,292, VWAP 4,418, resistance 4,671 • Weekly (4h/7d): support 4,333, VWAP 4,433, resistance 4,538 Scenarios • Bullish: a clean breakout through first resistance 4,538, then 4,671. • Bearish: a loss of first support 4,333, then 4,292. Levels derived from Binance daily and 4-hour candles. Not financial advice — always DYOR. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
Dead Internet + Shitcoins = Crypto Fear & Greed Index Please don’t post that metric every day, like it is in particular a good BTC metric. It’s not! If anything, check BTC chart weekly and monthly RSI instead.
We will see $60-65k one more time because of macro. Rate hikes and AI headwinds over the next quarter and yields and Iran war are all issues for risk on assets and that includes BTC. That’s going to be the real “you’ll never see these prices again” timing…
Sure. It's a meme. From the top to the bottom of the picture is a progressively smarter situation to be in. One sat = 1/100,000,000 of 1 BTC.
Grok says there are 100 000 to 110 000 miner adresses with exactly 50 BTC on them, never moved, so safe to say that these are lost adresses from before the first halving (these include all Satoshi coins). So yes, 15 mill is the max of Bitcoin actually in existence.
That would be what the lightning network is for? And why would I use an unstable depegged currency to settle in, and potentially lose money just for holding it? I might as well hold the BTC at that point?
You're very optimistic thinking that BTC will go as high as 350k next cycle. I mean, it could definitely happen but according to the historical trend it shouldn't go above 300k
The it solves the exact same problem as BTC, it’s literally a fork of BTC, but does it cheaper, faster, and with optional privacy. If you ever consider using BTC to do a transfer, just use LTC instead - that’s the use case. I generally don’t want to use stuff like USDT, so I use LTC for transfers.
Why would you not try to ask if you base you whole personality on BTC?
I'd separate the regime trigger from confirmation so one composite score cannot hide conflicting signals. For the regime, track BTC dominance alongside ETH/BTC and an equal-weight basket of ALT/BTC pairs. For confirmation, add breadth the percentage of that basket above its medium-term average and spot-volume participation, then require the condition to persist across more than one close. Stablecoin inflows can provide context, but they do not show whether capital will rotate into alts rather than BTC. I've built a trend following algo that I released public few week ago (TrendingCoin.blog) that helps with the per-coin relative trend check. It compares systematic trends in both USD and BTC. It does not ingest dominance or stablecoin flows or send Telegram alerts, so your script would still own the macro trigger.
It's just a bart. Soon BTC will go back to 60k to close the bart. But alts have already closed their barts, so when BTC dumps back to 60k they will all go even lower. There is a slow consolidation happening from alts in to BTC, the last alt will probablly be ETH. BTC can maintain a 50k price point as long as the money comes from alts getting further wrecked. But once all alts have been wrecked then what?
You are assuming people will buy exact bottom and top lol. If it goes to 55k many people are gonna wait for 40k and get sidelined when it goes up, or end up buying higher. I also said to have money left to buy the dips, so the difference may not be that much it all. For the most people my point stands - it wont matter much, especially with alternate reality of buying much higher or getting sidelined for the bull market. And BTC will not go as high as 350k.
It's 77k right now. If it's 50-50 that the bottom's in, that means we have a chance of seeing prices below 58k. If they hit something like 55k, and someone is waiting to invest 22k, it very much matters when they buy in. It'll be the difference between owning 2/5th of a BTC versus 2/7th, as an example. If we get up to 350k next cycle, that means cashing out with $140k vs $100k, a pretty big difference.
Dead Internet + Shitcoins = Crypto Fear & Greed Index Please don’t post that metric every day, like it is in particular a good BTC metric. It’s not! If anything, check BTC chart weekly and monthly RSI instead.