BTC

Suguha_chan

It really surprises me how BTC behaves in this time while the stock market is down

matthegc

Same thing happened to me….some bad option plays, made me realize to stop stress trading and start saving and investing long term with BTC….been about a year and it’s the one investment that never stresses me out and I can’t wait to see how much I’ve accumulated at random times before moving to cold storage. It’s a gift to myself, is honestly how it feels.

Forbidden76

Nope because I know gold will be worth more than BTC someday..

JerseyJimmyAsheville

If you study Bitcoin, the 4 year cycle has always been at the heart of what I do since 2021. I haven’t been perfect, so a little early, so a little late, but have always profited enough to buy more. The key to Bitcoin is patience through all volatility, try to set targets…based on knowledge, and trust yourself. For example BTC currently sits 44% down from it ATH, with 6 more months of Downside risk. We are much further ahead of the normal cycles that have been down 32%-40%, so we could bounce up to 12% and be within parameters of previous cycles…but Bitcoin will dovwhat Bitcoin does. Regardless of prices, Bitcoin will hit its lows between August to November, whatever that price is…could be $80K, could be $60K, could be $40K. Bitcoin traditionally has been down 70%+ from its ATH during its previous cycles. But Bitcoin did not grow as expected this cycle, so will it only drop 50% this cycle? With 6-7 months of a known 12 month bear cycle, it appears to be on track for a 70% retracement. Just my observations and opinions of course. Good luck!

TheMuel7

My mate got talked out of buying 1000 pounds worth of BTC when it first came onto the markets. His work mate who sat next to him told him about it, he went home and told his flatmates, they told him not to do it. Not sure how many tens on millions that would be worth now… but like i say to him … you would have sold most of it when it hit $3 then the rest when it hit $10

Opethamenos

You are hitting a soft spot there. I don't want to politicize the discussion, but everything indeed is a class struggle. The more the higher earners gain from asset appreciation, the more out in the risk curve the rest need to go to find some financial hope. I disagree with your view on BTC, as privatized money can not be a tool to answer the needs of an expanding society, but do agree in its merit of being an asset that can increase in value faster than traditional means. This may be a tangent, but thanks for sharing your thoughts 😊

NurUrl

The global Macroeconomics burns and the fact that BTC is holding on at 70/69 is impressive.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

Getting a hold of a lot of Yuan is not something that's easy or accessible for everybody. What would be easier for you to get a hold of and sell back: $1M in Yuan or in BTC?

Survivalist2

Uhh too complicated for me, i think i am just staying on BTC.

rsincognito

Focus on the real world and real work, Make money, take money buy BTC sent to cold storage and forget about it. Study the topic of “delayed gratification”. Live humble, be patient, you have already Won. (Well I know at least I have.”

llawenotsbcj

It appears you haven’t checked the price of BTC in about 2 months. Welcome to the show.

gravity_surf

still gonna have to fork that mf which is BAD FOR BTC. not complicated.

BlazingPalm

Great questions - the answers are all customized to your situation. I believe BTC is the future of money and we’re still early for a transition so massive. Emotions and fears can be helpful, but they should be tempered. I think DCA and HODL strategy take the emotion out of it and are super easy for most to understand and implement. But basically, the plan is to get rich slowly, but faster than traditional stocks and bonds (real estate would be great, but I can’t yet afford shit in that space). I think we all are living in a very unique time with regards to BTC and it’s quite the generational opportunity. Also, it’s unbelievable and despicable what the US “leadership” is imposing on the world and it seems like the goal is to speedrun the collapse of the dollar. I wish to my own detriment that the US dollar will last longer, but it seems to be melting at an alarming rate, just like the polar icecaps. I am grateful for an escape hatch in this misery.

k0zplay

I cant imagine how that guy feels paying 20,000 BTC for pizza

Opethamenos

Writing down targets did not work well for me, cause my targets were not met unfortunately. BTC never reached 150k for example. What I decided to do this time is to separate my portfolio in 3 sectors. * BTC Core - I never sell this, just accumulate * BTC Tradable - This can be sold * Alts - This can be sold and ideally should be $0 once bear market signals Then I assign percentages with respect to my total portfolio per market condition (say 8% for bear, 12% for base, 15% for bull). This will make sure you limit your exposure to only what you feel comfortable with AND will force you to start taking profits as the crypto assets increase in value. Once your crypto portfolio crosses your percentage threshold, you start seeling Alts, then BTC tradable.

don123xyz

If you used it, no need to cry now. The btc would have been lifesaving now and allowed you to buy houses etc. but, if you had bought houses, then in another ten years, when BTC will be generational wealth, you'd be crying about buying houses.

bbrout

The DOW is dropping while BTC is holding at about $70k give or take. Too early to tell. BTC will probably fall a bit with the DOW but then hold and recover while the DOW goes into a death spiral. And this information is strictly for entertainment purposes only. Eh.

Warrior_witha_Garden

Ok unless you’re paying in cash. The dollars in is bank account is KYC !!! What are we taking about ? Unless he’s going to buy a gift card and pay in that or cash. Good luck. Most people take some form of digital money which is 100% KYC. You break the chain on the BTC regardless

Opethamenos

I have been deciding in the moment cause my initially defined exits rarely hit. For example, I was expecting BTC to reach 150k this time to completely get out of the "tradeable" part of my crypto portfolio. This never happened so I was left with the uneasiness of having to come up with a plan in the moment when the trend started to change. I am finding that setting targets is a recipe for disaster. Looking back, it would have been better to think in terms of percentages of your total prtfolio and how much you are willing to risk at any given market condition. 8% of total in bear, start accumulating more up to 12% when things stabilize, 20% in bull and as soon as you reach the threshold, you rebalance. I am trying to build automated tools to achieve that, and I need to remind myself that it is better to shave off a bit at a time as prices go up and a lot when the market changes, since I will never perfectly buy the bottom and sell the top.

Warrior_witha_Garden

Your missing the point stables remove friction. You have to mix on the BTC side regardless. You don’t think the dollars in digital form are monitored and surveilled ? The Dollars are kyc unless your doing p2p meet ups in Cash !

Opethamenos

Thank you all. Reading through the replies, it feels like most approaches fall into a few camps (had AI summarize it for me). * Some people keep it very simple and just stick to BTC or DCA, * others rely on signals like whales or market positioning, and * some try to define rules ahead of time with checklists, limits, or preset orders. But the common thread seems to be that the real difficulty isn’t knowing what to do, it’s actually following through when things start moving. A lot of us seem to drift from the plan even if we had one initially. Things like written rules, limit orders, or checklists help, but they still rely on you being consistent and paying attention at the right time. That’s where it seems to break down. For me at least, the open question is less “what’s the plan” and more “how do you enforce it in practice?” Almost feels like you need some kind of accountability loop, otherwise your “plan” just turns into a suggestion. Curious if anyone here has found something that actually keeps them accountable over time, not just in theory.

Skepsis93

I still occasionally use litecoin to pay for things. I still see more support for BTC, LTC, and ETH in online marketplaces than I do for monero. But it's still pretty sparse overall when it comes to places accepting any crypto.

NaabKing

This is a Plus for Bitcoin, because you can verify how many are in existance (and noone found a bug to multiply/inflatw BTC in existance), you cant say the same for Monero tho.

Suprachiasmatic_Adam

I have a bit in altcoins to quell the FOMO just in case, but nothing compared to my BTC holdings. It's hard, but after watching a few cycles and seeing how it all plays out it gets easier.

DeepBlueAlpha

especially with the stock market dumping. War, oil, stocks.... still BTC stays strong.

EuroTrash_84

In 2016 had enough to buy 3BTC. Bought 0.3BTC instead because I chickened out. Buddy of mine bought 3BTC in 2016, now he's a multimillionaire.

AmazingfurnitureCT

DCA BTC ESD (every single day)

davidmthekidd

BTC always corrects 85% at the end of the bull cycle, so do the math, 127k btc minus 85%.

Opethamenos

After the last cycle, I realized my worst enemy is freezing with indecision,which was a result of not having a target to limit my exposure. When you accumulate in Bear markets and BTC and SOL are 5% of your portfolio ad you know there is upside, buying is easy. But at bull, when suddenly crypto is unhealthily 25% of your portfolio, then you should actually sell and rebalance. Holding is fine for a core position that you want to keep, but damn me if I go another cycle without risk management. And actually this time I am building tools to keep me accountable.

Galavanta

if you actually look at btc cycles it gets easier over time,altcoins have crazy swings but most just bleed out versus BTC in the end. I just track risk with the aΙphasquared score, upsize when risk is lower, and ignore the noise. Most of the best altcoin charts just look like trainwrecks after a couple cycles anyway. FOMO doesn't last when you keep seeing the same patterns.

Remyleboo99

I don’t think anyone can deny that at times like this, BTC being green (or very close to green) is phenomenal! Still at 69/70! The resilience is strong! I really think 60k was the bottom. If there is any slight pump it’ll get into the mid 70s again in no time!

Opethamenos

I completely agree but what is the plan? Just accumulate and wait? And go through the cycles with your BTC swinging from 5 to 20% of your networth? I mean there must be some risk management involved in this. When do you know you are overexposed? When do you know you allow yourself to play with alts and leverage? That's what I am trying to answer for myself.

BlazingPalm

One of the more interesting things to me about BTC investing is how boring and simple it is. You likely know the basics: DCA, don’t get overextended, don’t panic and don’t needlessly sell. It’s almost too easy and today’s retail folks have a short time preference and need for speed, so all kinds of other strategies exist. I would ignore everything except BTC and do some nibbling with leverage (max 5-8x) to get your trading rush. That’s about it. Keep it simple.

Warrior_witha_Garden

you can buy BTC directly on DEX's with USDC... Robo Sats with the lowest fees are paid in USDT and USDC. I dont think stables are great but what they do better than anything is on boarding. Sure you can export inflation via the dollar. but its a 100x easier to buy btc with a stable coin than some shitty African currency. Stable coins might extend dollar dominance but it will also be its decline, because those dollars can exit the system quickly. I am not advocating for stables. I am advocating for the cheapest spread and ease of use. He could try and use strike if its accepted. You still need to get those dollars to the person that wants them. You can try cash app or strike but many people stopped accepting because of reporting requirements. Not the biggest fan of coinbase but you can deposit the 500 to coinbase then covert to USDC. then send that USDC to anyone in the world MUCH easier than cash or ACH is all im saying. hold the stables and send to robosats and boom your done.

wancruz

BTC’s BIP 360 testnet shows quantum-resistant transactions are becoming tangible. The real edge will be with ecosystems **actively running testnets with quantum-ready tools**, preparing assets for next-generation threats.

uamdarasulka

yeah top tokens — BTC, ETH, SOL, that range. not meme stuff. i mostly watch derivatives positioning, like when $600M in longs stack on SOL while ETH gets shorted hard, that's a clearer signal than any chart. i built [swarmintellect.com](http://swarmintellect.com) to track exactly that if you wanna check it out

Rare-Distribution679

Same here… Got scammed out of 6.15 BTC (my whole stack) back in 2023. Now I’m broke! 😭

Joseluis0378

had 16 BITCOIN equivalent in shitcoins IN 2018 between Kucoin and Binance, people used to tell me to swap yo BTC I didnt listen, all went to crap, do not buy SHITCOINS JUST KING BITCOIN….

Opethamenos

Yeah, I have tried setting frequent review reminders too. I ended up ignoring them after a while as they were out of context and untimely. I am trying notifications based on daily or weekly BTC regime changes (bear, base, bull) so at least I know when to pay attention. I have found that acting on the plan is actually the hardest thing. Also, I am thinking that I would need a simulation of some sort to help me create targets. How do you set written targets? You expect something to double and sell then?

ZealousidealCarry390

Fees vary: large exchanges like binance are \~0,1-0,26% on trades, but spreads and funding methods can add extra costs. No-KYC platforms may look cheaper but carry higher counterparty risk and limited support. If your goal is simple buy/hold (BTC/ETH), platforms like CEX.​IO, etc. are easier to set up and use. Pick based on what you value more, and move funds to self-custody once your balance grows.

Arch_Lending

You can keep rolling the loan. As the price of BTC increases, the LTV gets lower.

Cevapi-Lover

I accept BTC for this bug bounty hehe

IBAN-IBON64

Switch en BTC

BenL90

Monero and DogeCoin has it's own utility, BTC also use Lightning but the privacy is still better in Monero at some point. It's still low and cheap so people keep using it to trade. If you ask about stability, it's different case, but cheap enough to transfer value, well, people use it.

vicanonymous

In short, Bitcoin's (and many other cryptos) ledger is completely transparent. That means that transactions leave a trace. This means that if a BTC has been used on the darknet, and later ends up in your wallet at some point, will merchants or exchanges now want that Bitcoin? It's unlikely.

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BaldBear_13

BTC gained and lost 10% of its value, twice, since the latest war started. It lost 25% of its value in the first week of February. It lost almost half its value since summer. That is not what most people would call "stable". It creates plenty of opportunities to profit from speculative trading (timing the market), but

TheKaotiicImpulse

BTC & XMR. It’s not a bad idea to diversify but BTC should be your main stack. If a project can genuinely show its use case and you’re intrigued, look into it but don’t take away from your BTC stack.

climbsolo1

Had planned to meet up with a guy at a coffee shop to buy 1,000 BTC for $1,000 on a USB wallet to add to some I had mined. Ended up not going as something else came up.

jessewalker2

And if accounts linked to Satoshi liquidated tomorrow? What then is the value of your BTC? Intentions matter.

matthegc

I definitely paid heavy tuition to learn that one….all in BTC now.

Opethamenos

The thing is that even BTC can drift easily. To manage risk, you need to set limits. eg. I want 20% of my portfolio to be crypto. In bull markets, this can creep up and at that point if you want to manage risk, you need to start selling/rotating/rebalancing. In bear, the same stack of sats can be well below your target.

matthegc

The dollar will always devalue…..because the government will never stop printing money….they are addicted to printing more money. BTC to USD conversion rate will always increase because of this.

jkl2035

That’s my worry - for BTC current estimations are 3-4 years for migration, I don’t want to come to a point we are too late

1stFunestist

Well crypto broes realized that sucker, American dream infected middle class is now poor and unable to hold tbe bag (that is why BTC lost so much value, no mor byers among the silly) so they found a new powerfull ally, this administration as both are unscrupulous con artists. So this administration made the US gov to hold the BTC bag for all interested, the crypto broes, the orange one and his allys and all those billioners with pocket crypto they play with. The US will hold the bag with money from tax payers. That is the plan.

Mattie_Kadlec

I mean.... You are probably right, since you are working on this yourself for so much time, but is your math based on a scenario where no changes are made to the network in the coming 10-20-30 years and nothing new gets built on top of BTC to create new demand for block space? Or did you factor in those changes as well? I'm genuinely curious and not trying to present a counter-argument

Mattie_Kadlec

Agreed. So much stuff can be built on top of BTC and create new demand we can't even project right now.

semanticweb

Best thing about proof of work is that owing BTC will not give control over the network. How elegant and thoughtful design by Satoshi.

_This_Is_Ridiculous

OP mentioned he has been in BTC since 2013. This is just an engagement bait post.

Jacks_CompleteApathy

Being honest, the goal is financial freedom regardless of whether that's USD or BTC, and it depends how old you are. I don't want to spend the rest of my good years slaving away waiting for a new world order.

n111gab00tytw3rrk

>According to Beni, the rise of inscriptions and ordinals proves that block space possesses “significant value beyond payments.” I also see this is a highly overlooked fact about block space demand. In the case of oridnals and inscriptions, a very small group of people created a product that made people willingly pay way above average fee price for block space. In the coming years I'm sure we will see different things be built on top of BTC and this should, in the long-term, create enough demand to make mining sustainable from fees alone.

ar_weth

Well, i bought 100g of weed for 6 BTC on dreammarket. I could have been rich but i decided to get high instead. Just move on with your life. You can't change the past

ArticMine

> There is always some kind of narrative that wants to make you sell your BTC for cheap I ended up selling my Bitcoin for dear in terms of Monero back in 2014 and 2015. Hindsight has demonstrated to me that this was a sound financial decision.

ArticMine

I prefer to track the actual data namely the fee in reward. This is the average fee percentage in the total block reward. Here is the data for Bitcoin, Monero and Bitcoin Cash. This data speaks volumes. 1) There is zero evidence overtime that transaction can replace the falling block rewards as claimed in the Bitcoin Whitepaper 2) The data from Bitcoin Cash and Monero shows that adaptive block sizes or large blocks do not solve this Bitcoin security security problem. I have been working on this question in Monero for well over a decade.and what the theory in Monero shows is that the fee in reward will fall or at best stay constant with an increase in adoption. We must keep in mind that in Monero there is a fixed block reward of 0.6 XMR per block. This is roughly equivalent to stopping the halving in Bitcoin at the current 3.125 BTC per block. This was added deliberately in 2014 because of very serious concerns by the Monero developers at the time, regarding this security issue. Many of the Monero developers at the time were former Bitcoin miners, 3) As for selling Bitcoin over this issue I sold out of Bitcoin for Monero back in 2014 and 2015 because of this security issue. My average cost of Monero in terms of Bitcoin is significantly **below** what it is trading at right now ~0.0049 XMR/BTC The security deficit in Bitcoin is real and I have not seen anything over the last 12 years to convince me otherwise. https://www.bitinfocharts.com/comparison/fee_to_reward-btc-xmr-bch.html#log&alltime

StaticAutomatic202

I guess you could say that Jonatan Randin was completely right here. BTC was at $74k when this came out and it's now at $70k. The fact that we didn't bounce back to the 74k levels after FOMC tells me that this was indeed a sell the news event. Even though I'm optimistic about BTC in general, the numbers aren't looking good, no matter how you look at them

Ourcrypto_news

I try to keep a small safety net outside BTC. Enough to cover emergencies, so I can sleep at night. All-in might feel bold, but it’s also a huge gamble.

Ourcrypto_news

I love this attitude. Dipping BTC just means more sats for the same money.

Ourcrypto_news

Honestly, reminding yourself that BTC is the reserve crypto makes it easier.

Ourcrypto_news

Could be a mix of priced-in factors and the natural resilience of BTC.

kawfeeman69

It's an awful large number against BTC. Lots of downward pressure. Wouldn't be bad for big boys to buy at $60k, $50k, $40k, and below. Let's see if the puts increase or decrease month over month.

Top-Care-8946

No couldn't imagine not at all :-) but anyway when all BTC is stacked up and trading needs to be done then delaying for transaction confirmations will occur. I am not expert about how much nodes must to be online for keeping BTC trading at current throughput level but if all BTC are mined then it will depends on how much holders have will to sell.

Heco1331

People dont understand that there are many reasons for this without "people betting on BTC crashing beyond 20k". The two most important ones, hedging existing portfolios, and buy relatively cheap downside gamma vs selling gamma in other strikes.

jacmusl

I'm not totally clear on how you're using your numbers here. But in order to get close to the number you propose I assume that you're buying $30,000 of BTC each year and the average value of the coin goes up by 12% per year. This you would invest $660,000 total and at the end of 22 years you would end up with 3.645 BTC which would be worth $3,518,100. This would mean BTC is worth $957,499 each. It's worth considering if you consider this number and the yearly return to be reasonable. The yearly return over the last five years: 2021: +59.67% 2022: −64.27% 2023: +155.42% 2024: +121.05% 2025: −6.34% This gives an average of 53.11% but Bitcoin is a HIGHLY volatile asset and you should never invest anything you can't afford to lose.

absurdcriminality

There is always some kind of narrative that wants to make you sell your BTC for cheap. Just don't fall for them. It's that simple

Cryptizard

But it lowers the throughput of the network by 50x because of the increased signature sizes. The entire point of BCH forking from BTC was because they wanted a larger block size and more transactions per block. Moving to post-quantum signatures brings it back down to _fewer transactions per block than BTC_. So what is the point of BCH then?

UnusualReality1177

Nobody “trusts” random coins… they just trust their chances of hitting a 10x. BTC feels slow, alts feel like a lottery ticket. Same people come back to BTC after getting rugged a couple times.

oceanworld1985

Agree. Appreciate this post. I was getting mentally destroyed by all of their crap. I love BTC and hope it can change my life. I don't want to hear click bait etc

JimmyCrypto13

Personally, as a beginner, I recommend buying **BTC or ETH**. You can also consider Solana. About a year ago, I invested my $3,000 in **ETH** for staking on a European project [maxchain.eu](http://maxchain.eu) that's also available in the US. It generates a decent passive income, enough to pay for my car and other household expenses, plus you can conveniently withdraw it directly to your card. Ultimately, to each their own, but this is my personal choice.

isaacseaman

Noice strategy, just curious do you buy fixed BTC or USD equivalent ?

ReadingTheSign23

If you’re actually long term, the exact entry matters way less than people think, but the path there can still mess with your head. BTC could easily drop 20 to 40 percent at some point even in a bull cycle. That’s just normal for it. So the real question is whether you’re okay seeing that happen after you buy. Comparing it to a BTL property is kinda apples to oranges. Property gives you steady income and lower volatility. BTC is more like a high conviction asymmetric bet. If it were me, I wouldn’t go all in at one price. I’d probably split it over time so you’re not stuck stressing about whether 52k was “the top” for the month. Also worth asking yourself which one you’d regret more. Missing a BTC run, or dealing with a property headache. That answer usually tells you what you actually want.

Stats_DontCare0

Honestly the FOMO never fully goes away, you just get better at ignoring it. Every cycle there’s a new batch of alts that “outperform” for a while, then most of them fade hard. What helped me was zooming out. BTC feels boring, but boring is kind of the point. I’d rather miss some upside than constantly stress over picking the right alt at the right time. Some people keep a small “play” allocation for alts just to scratch the itch, but keeping the majority in BTC makes it easier to stay consistent.

KodaiClub

My brother holds onto a fallacy that he had 10 Bitcoin at the peak of his trading. Yes he had 10 BTC equivalent paper gains that he lost.  He has never let go of that anchor and it’s weighed him down for years. I’ve made and lost 10s of BTC. If I focus on the losses I’d be a miserable person.  Just a little lesson for those who need to hear it. 

Ok-Vegetable-8900

BTC only life is basically telling yourself ‘I don’t need altcoins… yet’ 😅. When FOMO hits, I put a tiny bet on Playtank just to scratch the itch, then back to stacking sats.

Riskismyapellido

Can u pls check the word "Petrodollar" and dig into actual data of USD-FX volumes? Yea, I plan accordingly. Long USD, long BTC

ReadingTheSign23

Feels like he’s basically describing a classic liquidity crunch first, then a flight to “hard assets” after the dust settles. In most real crashes, everything drops together at the start because people just need cash, so yeah BTC would probably get hit too. The rebound part usually comes when central banks step in and flood the system again. That’s when risk assets and narratives like “store of value” start running hard. Bitcoin tends to benefit from both sides of that depending on sentiment. 750k sounds more like a long-term moonshot than something tied directly to one crash cycle though. The timeline is always the part these predictions kinda gloss over.

Pyroll2206

You may disagree but BTC chart will go to the right this summer, fall and winter

bikotrading

You didn’t make a bad decision. You made the best decision with the information and situation you had at the time. It’s easy to look back now and see the upside, but back then Bitcoin wasn’t “obvious” — it was volatile, uncertain, and honestly pretty scary to hold through. You paid off debt. You improved your life. That’s not a loss. Most people who say they would’ve held 2 BTC from 2018 to today wouldn’t have. They would’ve sold somewhere along the way, panicked during drawdowns, or needed the money for real life. The real lesson here isn’t “you should’ve held.” It’s how powerful long-term conviction can be — and how rare it actually is. Don’t beat yourself up for not being perfect in hindsight. Almost nobody is.

maddafakkasana

The only prediction BTC enthusiasts know is that it will last even after the collapse of the internet, and it will outperform, if not outlast, most global currencies including rare earth minerals. There is no predicting BTC ups and lows, but it will continue to rise exponentially. If your vision is in staying in BTC for only 2-5 years, then you might get disappointed by it.

AssumptionNo515

Yeah diversifying makes sense, especially with real estate giving you that steady cash flow monthly while BTC is more of a wild ride. I'd probably lean heavier into teh rental property since you can actually touch it and collect rent, but throwing some play money at bitcoin for the long haul isn't terrible either

uamdarasulka

Update: signal played out. BTC was \~$69,651 when the bullish signal fired — hit $70,840 overnight. Track record sits at 71.3% across 1,099 completed patterns. Every outcome published at [swarmintellect.com/accuracy](http://swarmintellect.com/accuracy)

eternal__blue

Same man except other drugs. Spent like 1 BTC on drugs.

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Post is by: Bcom_Mod and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/bitcoin_com/comments/1ryoeok/theres_596_million_in_puts_at_bitcoin_to_hit/ The third most popular options strike on Deribit right now isn't $60K or $65K: it's $20,000. At almost $600M in notional value, just sitting there. To be clear, that's a bet that BTC drops roughly 70% from current levels before March 27. It is deep, deep out of the money. In normal markets, you'd barely notice it. But $596M is not a rounding error. It's serious capital buying serious tail-risk protection. The overall options picture isn't bearish. Put-to-call ratio is 0.63, still leaning bullish, and the $75K and $125K calls have the biggest concentration. Regardless of those two price levels, someone is paying real money to hedge a scenario where the Iran war escalates into something that breaks markets entirely. Two ways to read it: either it's pure panic hedging from an institution that manages a massive crypto portfolio and needs downside protection regardless of cost, or it's a genuine signal that some players see a scenario where things get ugly enough that $20K becomes relevant again. The fact that we're sitting at $70K post-FOMC, with oil above $100, the Fed signalling fewer cuts than expected, and a war with no clear end date: I get why someone's buying insurance. Have you changed your positions since the war broke out? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

VibinNoodle

Coming from real estate you already think in the right timeframe - that mindset translates well here.Keep it simple for a first entry. Something like 70-80% split between BTC and ETH, rest in stablecoins as dry powder. DCA in over a few weeks rather than all at once.Whatever you're not deploying yet doesn't have to sit idle - I park stables on Nexo so they're at least earning while I wait for good entries. You're probably used to capital working for you anyway.

xxaripss

We are so ridiculously early man Normies dont even realize BTC will soon be the currency of the world. Everyone will be spending using BTC only. Cash will die. FIAT will die. Michael Saylor IS The KING of the Universe

JE2530

Probably because of this in photo. Bitcoin is genius, but I don’t think it was finished to scale before a few devs went rouge after Satoshi left. Just my opinion. I still think it has a use, but not as money and not as a store of value. We will see? The word honest is in the BTC white paper 16 times. Maybe we should ask Gavin! https://preview.redd.it/6w7y2dn6e4qg1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ebcb3586dcce395943873b713e61f1b16b7b8f60

Total_Television_942

Wow - 14 years...I wish you bought BTC and held for 14 years...

isaacvictory

Laziest way is just CeFi yield + hold. No validators, no rebalancing. Platforms like CoinDepo are basically deposit and earn — they still offer relatively high fixed BTC yields, so it’s fully hands-off. Simple setup: * Most in cold storage * Small % on CoinDepo That’s about as passive as it gets.

Illustrious-Boss9356

They're very different things. BTC is not a business it's a protocol that happens to be able to function as money. Just like how money cannot become greater than all of the businesses in the world, neither can Bitcoin. If there was infinite money, businesses would still exist and they would be worth more because there is more money floating around. As long as there is peacetime and rule of law is stable, profitable businesses will be one of the best investments.

Ok-Meaning-7061

Damn …. You made me feel better about selling my 1BTC

MaleficentPapaya4768

I was day trading bitcoin when it was in the $80-120 (dollars, not $k) range per coin, pushing trades of 5-10 BTC a dozen times a week or more. Finally got out of the trading game, set up a mining rig on an old PC, and eventually got all my bitcoin stolen in the Mt Gox hack. Life moves on. 🙃