BTC

Historical_Candle511

Satoshi and other whales owned a substantial percent of the market in the past and today... It doesn't seem to have stopped people from appreciating the importance of BTC.

EarningsPal

BTC in 2027-2029 will be like BTC in every other 4 year cycle.

JoeSchmoe314159

Correct me, but isn't BTC mining processor-heavy instead of GPU-heavy?

ElanInsights

That is exactly it - and in the meantime the price consolidation in the low 70's is a very good sign. Add in an end to the war, and increased liquidity coming to pay the debt / deficits and refloat this year's bond turnover, we could be looking a very, very good fall 2026 to spring 2027 for BTC.

deviapto

Never ever leave any funds on Binance. Not your keys, not your BTC.

procabiak

Oh it'll come eventually. He's creating his own Hunt brothers scenario and cornering himself while announcing it very loudly. The moment he needs a tiny bit of liquidity to pay those STRC dividends he promised (that is, he has no more reserves in fiat), is when we can string him along for cheap BTC. I'm expecting sharp dips to $20k/btc during the ex-dividend week from 2027 upwards (when the cash reserves are dried up) followed by bounces back to 120k right after. You can't reveal ex dividend dates and expect the market to not react to it. STRC will never work.

No-Masterpiece2246

And I'm assuming you think BTC is technically the best coin? lol BTC has like 1/4000th the capacity and speed of SOL At 1000x the cost

ozera202

Pump the shit coins ffs , no one gets into crypto for boring BTC ….. we want our alt / shit coin season 😤

No-Masterpiece2246

Sure they do. Blackrock, Strategy, and other ETFs own like 30% of BTC supply. Read up on how Gold ETFs rigged the price with "paper gold" for over 30 years. Oh, and the top 10 BTC miners are corporations which are listed on NASDAQ.

Defiant_Ice_4860

Trend values for 2027 January is 160k, 2028 215k and 2029 300k or so. Let’s use a lower trend value of 0.7 and do a simple calculation. Year one average price: 90k BTC left after 20k: about 0.77btc Year two average price: 131k BTC left after 20k: about 0.62 btc Year three average price: 180k BTC left after 20k: 0.51 btc Year four average price: 246k BTC left after 20k: 0.43 Are you getting it? This is an asymptote.

procabiak

The wealth tax will hit you before it hits them. Let's not. BTC is the only wealth tax you need. The billionaires and upper millionaires are cocky as hell and don't think much of BTC at all. They won't be buying, until the very last minute.

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Post is by: dustyllanos27 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1skexxw/3_things_i_changed_in_my_ai_agent_strategy/ Been using an AI agent on 1024EX beta for about 6 weeks now. First 2 weeks were meh. Then I realized the problem was my instructions, not the agent. Here's what I changed: \*\*1. Added time filters\*\* Before: "Trade BTC momentum when RSI crosses above 50 with volume confirmation" After: "Trade BTC momentum when RSI crosses above 50 with volume confirmation. Only enter positions when current 4H volume exceeds 120% of the 20-period average for that specific time window. No entries between 23:00-05:00 UTC on Saturdays or Sundays." Result: Eliminated garbage trades during dead hours. Win rate went from 52% to 61%. \*\*2. Made the exit criteria dynamic\*\* Before: "Stop loss 2%, take profit 5%" After: "Adjust stop loss and take profit based on current ATR. Minimum stop loss 1%, maximum 3%. If ATR is elevated above 2x the 20-period average, tighten stops to 1.5% maximum." Result: Agent started taking faster profits in volatile conditions and letting winners run in steady trends. Average loser shrank from -$35 to -$19. \*\*3. Told it when NOT to trade (this was the biggest one)\*\* Before: Nothing about when to stay out. After: "Do not open new positions when BTC's 4H Bollinger Bandwidth is below \[threshold\] (compression phase). Wait for expansion before considering entries." Result: Stopped getting chopped up during ranging markets. Week 3 losses dropped significantly. \*\*The lesson:\*\* These agents are literal. They do exactly what you tell them. The more specific and detailed your instructions, the better the output. Treat it like writing a spec doc, not a wish. hope this helps anyone else testing this stuff. feel free to ask questions. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

No-Masterpiece2246

Also this is a brazen challenge to the Petrodollar, usually that is grounds for assassination like with Qaddafi and Saddam. Bt the way, the article is hypothetical, there's no proof Iran has even collected any BTC for tanker transits.

Puzzleheaded_Tale_53

Completely agree with this take. You can hold BTC and still be against billionaires. In fact, I feel it is incumbent upon BTC hodlers to be anti billionaire since BTC is the most egalitarian of all forms of currency.

richardto4321

This guy's a legend. I got into BTC around the time his talks came out. Too bad I was not smart enough to be ultra bullish on it at the time.

That_Jicama2024

I was working with a bunch of guys who were into BTC. We were by a coffee shop that was offering 1 free BTC with a cup of coffee. Two of my buddies went. I didn't.

tapakip

Only if you borrowed too much. If you borrow 20% of the value of your BTC, for example, BTC would have to drop over 75% to liquidate you. That's not happening.

tapakip

It's not some sort of voodoo. They liquidate you if the amount you borrow hits 86% of the value of your BTC. So put into simple terms, here's an example. Let's say you borrow $43,000 against BTC worth $100,000 at the time. Your usage rate is 43%. Now let's say BTC falls in value by half, 50%. Instead of being worth $100k, it's now worth $50k. So instead, your $43,000 borrowed is now up to 86% of the value of your BTC holdings, because they are down to $50,000. Before that point, you can either pay down the loan, or add more Bitcoin. Bitcoin is volatile, but not so volatile that you need to worry about this on a weekly basis. It's also a good time to borrow if you are worried about liquidations, because we are near the bottom of the bear market. This isn't 6 months ago when we were around $125k. We might go down to 50k, but you'd still be fine in that example above. I've been using their lending for over a year, no problems. The rate fluctuates but is always around 4-7%, give or take. WBTC is simply a smart contract enabled version of BTC and nothing to be afraid of. They need to be able to liquidate and control your BTC and they need smart contracts to do that. Morpho is an established lending platform on crypto. Any other questions let me know.

Flat_Flounder_581

This may work for US individuals but does not work for US corporations. Capital losses can only be used to offset capital gains on the corporate side. So BTC treasury companies like MSTR are tax inefficient. Net gains are taxed but net losses are not deductible.

damianoko31

I wouldn't say I should have bought more than I should have held. When I was 15 I probably anonymously bought something like 0.5 BTC. After a few months I sold it for SOL and then bought a new computer. It was great but 0.5 would have put me half a coin closer to 1....

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Post is by: dustyllanos27 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1skbhwn/is_anyone_elses_ai_agent_way_too_conservative_or/ Running an agent on 1024EX beta for about 2 weeks. Momentum strategy on BTC. The agent is profitable (+3.1%) but it passes on SO MANY setups. Like, I can see clear breakouts that meet all my criteria and the agent just sits there. When I check the logs it's always something like "insufficient volume confirmation" or "risk-adjusted return below threshold." In the last 10 days it took 5 trades. I would have taken probably 15. On one hand — it's profitable and the trades it DOES take have a high hit rate. On the other hand, I feel like it's leaving money on the table. Anyone know if there's a way to make it more aggressive? Or is this just... the point? That it's supposed to be the disciplined version of you? starting to think the agent's biggest feature is stopping me from overtrading and I'm not ready to accept that emotionally *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Crazerz

Talk to literally any person in your life in real life, ask them if they think it makes BTC look more legitimate, lol.

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Post is by: Accomplished-Eye5567 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1skai50/1b_bridged_dot_polkadot_was_just_exploited/ Per Arkham, An exploiter managed to mint over 1B bridged DOT on ETH and drained over $240k worth of Ethereum from LP’s. This is awful and I hope all those affected are okay 🙏 It also highlights a major reason I founded and built LeoDex. I firmly believe that ALL swaps and crypto trading need to move away from bridges and on to crosschain protocols that allow you to trade native assets In an era of AI, mythos, etc. this is only going to become more common. Bridges are code and code has never been more vulnerable than it is today. I firmly believe in not your keys, not your crypto. When your crypto is in a bridged form (not native), it is constantly “someone else’s keys”. It is the keys/security of the contract you rely on. When tokens are native in your wallet, you’re relying on the core protocol + your keys. Much safer bet on DOT vs wDOT for example. Then when you trade, you shouldn’t need to bridge. You should just trade DOT to USDT or DOT to BTC. Whatever you trade, it should be native. Your wallet -> swap onchain -> back to your wallet. Thoughts and good vibes to all those affected. I hate hearing news like this and it’s exactly why I do what I do *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

unknowngloomth

Wow, that's wild. That's bearish for BTC then?

unknowngloomth

So, BTC holders will be screwed over? I've been holding BTC for a long time

Icy_Annual_9954

So when BTC drops fast, due to a temporary incident, are you liquidated then? This is hampering me from taking a loan. When a whale drops shit, while having a thin order books, you are directly affected then?

unknowngloomth

It can happen if BTC's price goes up like crazy...

mookbrenner

I want BTC to reach a point where a single company couldn't tank the entire market.

bananabastard

I want BTC to reach the point where Strategy making another $1B purchase only gets them hundreds of new coins.

TheresNoSecondBest

>Why does it say I need to ‘wrap’ my bitcoin (is that a bad thing)? That's IMHO a bigger problem than the liquidation itself. You have to exchange your BTC for a shitcoin token created by a shitcoin casino, running on top of another shitcoin. At that point, **you won't own any real bitcoin**. And for the whole duration of the loan, you'll hope the shitcoin won't lose peg to bitcoin, something we've witnessed before. Using wrapped bitcoin means Conbase gets to keep your BTC while you lose due to liquidation or the peg not holding up.

haliker

Jewish families are connected with Central banking around the world. You really though 20-40M in transactions in BTC or Yuan was going to undo the stranglehold Israel, the US Petrol Dollar, and the IMF have on the global economy?

FriendsMade_MeDoIt

I get the analogy, but in my friend group it never really feels that one-sided in practice. yeah BTC is the anchor everyone checks first, but most of the actual activity people I know do isn’t on it. like nobody I know is sending BTC around daily or building on it, it’s more like the “store of value” everyone references while everything else is where the experimenting happens. when BTC dips, everyone panics, but when alts run, that’s when the group chat actually gets active lol. also not totally sold on PoW being strictly winner takes all. feels more like BTC won the “trust layer” spot, but other chains carved out different roles instead of competing directly. agree with your last point though, the ecosystem matters both ways. BTC sets the tone, but without everything orbiting it, it’d probably feel way less alive overall.

DirtyD8632

Depending on different parties to store my stocks means nothing. Holding Bitcoin gives you no more optionality than stocks. Hell the optionality with crypto comes with a fee whereas stocks most places have no fees. No one is buying bitcoins to just spend it which is the same reason people buy stocks. In the end the only difference is BTC has fees and is very volatile while stocks are safer. There is nothing wrong with either of them but they are the exact opposite of each other but the same as well when it comes to investing. Two sides of the same coin is all.

joos_hubert

APY is honestly not the first thing I’d look at. I’d care more about liquidation rules, how much buffer I have at the starting LTV, who actually holds the collateral, and whether I have a clear way to repay without depending on BTC going up fast. A cheap loan with bad liquidation mechanics is way worse than a slightly more expensive one with room to breathe.

Sea-Development-8046

I'm in agreement. I don't mine BTC, I just keep DCA'ing more.

n3lz0n1

then run the old QT wallet, leave it as it needs to download the database (blockchain)…. the file size could be more than 1 TB ? not so sure as last time I used it was in early years of BTC

Unusual-Piece-93

Totally agree. My grandfather died, my sister died, found a computer I used in high school and bought some BTC with = the computer I stole last night from a house with a bitcoin bumper sticker or using an address from the dark web. please help me steal their bitcoin before they move it to another wallet.

BalancedAngle

Yeah it’s legit, but still risky if BTC drops fast, coinbase uses morpho, and wrapping just means your BTC gets turned into a usable token. Rates are low but you can still get liquidated. I tried a small loan once and it worked fine, but I was constantly checking prices lol.

tonyler_

You refer to cryptography while I refer to tokens (BTC, eth, sol etc).

Flash-Ranger

Yeah it kinda does feel that way, and there’s some truth to it but it’s not as clean as “institutions = floor”. This cycle is way more driven by institutional flows than before. ETFs, funds, corporate treasuries etc are moving billions, and those players don’t trade like retail. they scale in, rebalance, and hold longer, which naturally dampens volatility and creates more consistent bid zones. On top of that, ETF mechanics matter a lot. when money flows in, issuers literally have to buy spot BTC, which creates real structural demand instead of just speculative leverage. that’s part of why dips get bought faster than in older cycles. Another layer is supply. a chunk of BTC is now locked in ETFs, corporate holdings, or long-term wallets, so the tradable float is tighter. less liquid supply = easier for price to bounce when bids show up. Macro is the other big piece. BTC is now behaving more like a risk asset tied to liquidity, rates, and global flows rather than just its halving cycle. when macro conditions stabilize, you get buyers stepping in systematically. But it’s not a guaranteed “floor.” same mechanism works both ways. when institutions de-risk or ETF flows reverse, price weakens just as mechanically. So yeah, compared to previous cycles there is more structural support, but it’s conditional support, not a hard floor. it holds until flows flip.

chufruity

It’s a risk for financial sovereignty. You took the first step when buying Bitcoin, so it’d be better to use it as intended, no? Binance si great for buying/selling BTC, but you really should just get a simple hardware wallet and lock it in a safety deposit box if you’re worried

Huge_Bet9746

Don't think it it would be easier for China to pay in BTC than a currency they can just print...

Huge_Bet9746

Yeah but China buys 90% of Iran's oil exports all priced in... Yuan. That only leaves 10% of exports which could realistically be paid for in BTC and that's only if they decide to use BTC instead of yuan or another crypto

Independent-Funny342

Sounds useful in theory, being able to exit locked LP early definitely adds flexibility for teams and early investors. The real question is how deep and reliable that buyer liquidity actually is across different market conditions. Personally, I’ve moved more toward simplifying things and reducing stress around timing altogether. Instead of relying on secondary liquidity solutions, I prefer keeping a portion of capital in more predictable setups like CoinDepo earning fixed BTC yield, so I’m not constantly forced to rotate based on unlocks or market cycles

tgm0

Use an online calculator to calculate how much power you will draw mining BTC with your rig and DCA the same amount weekly or monthly buying BTC directly. Less stressful, more reliable and most probably you will also end up with more bitcoins than just mining.

Independent-Funny342

Tbh that kind of volume looks good on the surface, but it’s not really sustainable since it’s mostly artificial activity rather than real demand. You might get short-term attention, but without actual buyers or utility it usually fades just as fast as it pumps. That’s why I’ve been leaning away from pure meme plays lately and focusing more on consistency—like keeping a portion in platforms such as CoinDepo earning fixed BTC yield instead of relying on volume spikes. Way less stress than trying to keep momentum alive all the time

tenor_tymir

For me it was when i first heard about BTC when it reached $250 and I was like “nah, ain’t throwing my money away on made up internet money“. I was intrigued through, did some research on my old computer and slow internet connection and figured it‘s too much of a hassle to get something that will probably turn useless anyways. To be fair, it wasn’t easy for an average joe like me to buy or mine BTC back in the day, so i skipped the idea … and look where we are now, still working on my first 1.0 BTC. 🙈

bitcoinbrisbane

Like others have said, 1. copy the file to somewhere offline like a usb drive or 2 2. copy that file to the bitcoin core / bitcoin qt folder. Mac and Windows are different 2.5. If it asks for a wallet password, you'll need to try brute force that. 3. Start bitcoin core! Note that it might take a day or two for the chain to catch up so might say 0 BTC until it does Good luck

Illustrious_Day9513

BTC dropping hard. Usually flushes weak hands before the next leg up.

Sixhaunt

or they would be too afraid about what would happen to them if their name got out, like everyone assumes they have a ton of BTC somewhere

DirtyD8632

But if you store your money in stocks it is guaranteed to go up as well. BTC is really nothing but that at that point if you are doing nothing but holding.

DirtyD8632

It use to be different but for a few years now crypto reacts just like stocks do so essentially it is a stock without anything actually backing it because the backing of bitcoin is just some numbers basically vs an actual physical business for stocks. BTC does gain more than stocks but it can also lose more as well. There will be a point in time where the halving and increase in pricing will break trend and become less profitable. When that is no one know though but it is bound to happen. Interest it as an investment not a stock or a crypto or whatever just like I treat my IRA, 401 or stock purchases I make myself. The end goal is to diversify because you never know what will happen.

Visible_C33

i think the bigh sharks loaded at \~60k levels...dont wanna sell... but I dont care abt them, I am long BTC holder...it is the IDEA abt BTC., not who buyts and sells (yeap, it is important for the price) . but if there is IDEA and CONCEPT behind, sooner or later, the price will be right.

jackfirefish

Get debanked for your political beliefs and then you'll understand the importance of BTC.

Narrow-Ad6797

I was a higher level cannabis dealer, grey area legally, not fully illegal just... Not fully legal either. I started excepting BTC in like 2020, and I tried so so so hard to get the legal money to throw at KYC buying, I didn't know about p2p. I was ready to buy a full coin. Uhhhh if only

mokahless

>I thought BTC mining paid out 50 BTC [...] The fractional BTC wasn’t until mining pools came Pools started in 2010 and were the norm in 2011/2012. Everything about my comment assumes a pool. >when the hash rates went up and difficulty levels rendered PC CPU mining obsolete and GPU I've already responded to a variant of this in your original post: >"not meaningful" CPU mining in 2011/2012 would probably have net at least 0.1BTC after a while or 0.01 after a bit. Not worth it for anyone back then of course, but worth looking back on now . >and dedicated ASIC mining machines were needed later on. ASIC didn't immediately invalidate FPGAs or GPUs. It was a process as the difficulty slowly rose as more and more units came online. So same thing with the CPU to GPU transition. >The powerful mining pools would win the award and distribute the 50 BTC among the pool participants, therefore fractional BTC Satoshis. This, is indeed how a pool works. What's your point?

Buchkizzle

Because it's a 24 hour market is much more responsive/volatile. However, this is a great great great buying opportunity. If you are a true believer you should be overjoyed right now to be able to get BTC at this price. Would you rather be buying it at 150k?

Flashy-Potatoe-Queen

What is the USD and EUR backed by? I don't trust a bunch of elites to have the keys to my front door, why should I trust them with my life savings? POW is giving power to a fair and unbreakable network rather than a few rich people's kids. I'm not hardcore into BTC because I'm a real cypherpunk.... But I'd use BTC over fiat anyday in terms of trust.

psinguine

Back when Bitcoin was $100 my wife asked me if we should start buying it. And the worse part is that at the time we talked about putting in $50 a month each, cuz that was affordable. One full BTC every month. It is insane to think about what that would be worth now.

RetiredAvocado

Depositing and withdrawing can occur indefinitely at 100%. Generally withdraw means move, not sell. Paper should be saying sell when it means sell, rather than saying withdraw. "1 BTC at current trend price (~$131k) delivers at least as much retirement income as a $500k equity portfolio" Uh-huh $131K, shuure. Also the paper must assume some level of NGU somewhere. Probably extrapolated from fat initial returns. Past performance guarantees future results right? Right?

South-Monitor-1589

Easy. Just BTC. All the others will go to like zero

Saffuran

Extra things to consider for your dashboard if they aren't already in place: 1- Lookback period of 6 hours It can take a long time for pay/settlement before the ship can actually cross Hormuz. A lookback period looking at all transactions in the 6 hours prior, totaling between 950,000-2,050,000 USD in equivalent value would be one way to filter down results. THEN you make sure to remove duplicates (if 2 or more ships are crossing within the same six hours, this prevents the same transaction IDs from registering twice). The extra range helps account for fluctuations in BTC value. 2- Exclude known exchange wallet addresses for bitcoin Either manually input a text file or have some other service feed your dashboard with known exchange addresses -- this will filter out a lot of false positives coming from Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitstamp e.t.c. This may help create a clearer picture of what kind of crypto related settlements may be taking place with the crude tankers crossing Hormuz -- at least for the ones that haven't been turning their trackers off.

MCL-Jonathan

Don’t touch, won’t touch, just stick with Bitcoin ($BTC) if you want peace of mind!

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Post is by: caronjeannine15977 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sjt4aq/scam/ honestly thought my USDT and BTC were gone forever after a fake trading platform blocked my withdrawal. Got help and was able to recover my funds. Contact: +1 (343) 519-5815 \#CryptoRecovery #CryptoScam *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Shoveltrouble74

Keep it simple, buy BTC approx 500days before the next halving, and sell approx 500 days after the next halving. (Always keep 0.1 of a BTC if you can) rinse and repeat. It’s boring but that’s what the previous cycles have done like clockwork…

eris-discordian

Did you back test this strategy, let's say with actual market data from the last 5 years? Even buying near the last bottom in 2022, one would run out of BTC in about 20 months.

L00PYLL0YD

For sure. Short term volatility. Long term greatness... Iran are clever for opting for tolls via BTC payment. Their own currency has been debased significantly and they know asking for it in the hardest asset, is a smart thing.

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Post is by: mykie223 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sjq7xd/why_are_all_of_the_major_blockchain_tech_startups/ This is the last thing I wanted to do on my weekend, but here I am. The enshittification of mainstream blockchain companies has gotten so bad that despite spending an entire weekend, you simply cannot buy cryptocurrency. Perhaps for others with a large percentage of their portfolio already in crypto, you'll be fine; but for any NEW user or NEW account, you WILL NOT be able to buy crypto. On Friday, April 10th, I had one goal in mind: see how difficult it was to purchase bitcoin/ethereum anonymously in the United States. I program. I read. I write. I work in private equity. In college I was even a VP in a blockchain club at an Ivy League university. I attend expos, conferences... I am extremely engaged in this space, to say the least. I have even held multiple coins in my wallet for years. I am by all means a capable individual who is well educated in blockchain, finance, and tech. **Yet, the enshittification has gotten to a level so high that I literally cannot purchase any amount of any cryptocurrency.** I couldn't care less if this is some elaborate scheme to prevent Americans from exiting their United States Dollars. If I had to guess, that is exactly what is happening. After spending the weekend failing at every attempt to purchase coins anonymously (Mastercard and Visa will automatically deny ANY blockchain purchase with gift cards, as does PayPal), I finally gave up. I closed VNC and opened up MY PERSONAL iPHONE and used my personal Coinbase, MetaMask, Uniswap, and even Robinhood accounts. Here is what I found: 1. **Robinhood:** I've lived in Florida for one year. Robinhood denies me access to ANY blockchain features claiming that I have lived in a state that does not support cryptocurrency transactions in the last 45 days. It has been over 365 days. This is blatantly false. 2. **Stripe (Link):** Among the worst of them all. You give them everything — ALL YOUR PERSONAL DATA — and they reward you with an "Unknown Error" code at the very end of your purchase, with no ability to contact support or talk to a human about the decision. If this is happening to me, it's happening to every other person out there even considering entering the space. 3. **Coinbase:** I swore never to touch Coinbase after I made a substantial BTC purchase at the BTC conference to engage in some of the events going on there, and they froze my ability to USE MY BITCOIN for an entire week for NO REASON. I get it, you want deposits. The longer you park your funds there, the better the balance sheet looks. I totally get it. However, **I am not your guinea pig.** I made the decision to use your service at my will, and that will ends the moment you tread on my rights and hold my hard-earned money. I will never forget it, and I will never forgive it. Here's the problem with these companies: they spend all this time worrying about what features they're going to provide, how many dicks they're going to ride, and how much confetti they're going to pump up our arses — yet 98% of them fail to meet the basic necessities of the very basic services they advertise. Why does this happen? Well, the only conclusion I can draw is that they simply do not give a fuck. By the time your worthless life crosses paths with their worthless service, they're at a point where any material value they attribute to your purchasing power as a consumer is so low compared to their stock options and their new credit score that they couldn't give two fucks about your experience on their platform. When the SEC comes in and tells them they MUST do things to protect against A, B, C, and D — even though A, B, C, and D matter nothing to the end user — they are going to choose the alternative that fucks you the most, rather than protect your experience as a consumer. The whole TOS thing and the claim that "HAHA you don't have to use our service, we'll be fine!" is kind of bullshit, because all of these companies are struggling right now and laying off people en masse because the general population has simply given up on any prospect of engagement with these firms. I am just astonished. When does it end? I remember being a kid and making a purchase took literally minutes. Why am I spending my entire weekend — of so few I get — attempting to purchase something that is supposed to be the future of transactions? Has this space really devalued this much that I cannot even purchase bitcoin with my dollars? How the fuck can I build a diversified portfolio if I can't even spend my USD? I am at a loss for words, truly. I am just infuriated. I'd rather Western Union the sketchiest offshore service out there than spend another hour attempting to purchase Bitcoin in 2026 using Moonpay, just to be met with an "Unknown Error" code at the end of sharing my SSN and facial biometrics. At this point I'd buy BTC from a guy in a trench coat in a parking lot. I am so tired of this shit and am moving my money as far outside this ecosystem as possible. Thanks for reading my rant. I'm going to go spend the remainder of my weekend watching Wall-E with my GF instead of spending another hour trying to buy BTC with fiat. Fuck this decade. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

F4NT4SYF00TB4LLF4N

As BTC becomes more adopted, it increases in its value, and thus becomes less subject to price swings (and growth potential).

Deeds2020

BTC is fungible currency. So is USD and Iranian Rial. Demand for mediums of exchange are fluid. If someone somewhere uses it for war, or rent/own costs, or food, or cigarettes, or going on vacation, it doesnt matter. They are competing currencies that people use to buy things. If you meant to type: "its sad that people spend currency on war." Then yeah. We aren't disagreeing about that. I don't know you or care about your background. Nothing personal. I'm sure you're great. I just saw your contribution to the conversion was trying to retreats using bitcoin with war profiteering. Bro if you think of life like that, they just use money to buy and sell metal and wood and explosives and transportation and fuel. You should go to every thread and tell them that they are just tangential war profiteers.

user_name_checks_out

Sounds like he fucked up too. If he owns multiple Lamborghinis and Ferraris then he is burning through that 16 BTC pretty fast.

Ge_Yo

Self-custody comes first. What’s evolving now is how BTC can remain in your control while still taking part in on-chain finance, with TBVs moving in that direction through native collateral use cases and lending and borrowing.

chubs66

Second rule of BTC: there's a decent chance you don't have the skills or discipline to manage your own wallet and will lose your BTC to lost passwords or hacking. Pick your poison.

blaziken8x

General consensus is that mining is not worth it in this day and age unless you have the latest crypto miners. (10 years ago with old laptops and graphics cards yes, today no) In my opinion, the best way to make money in crypto is to get a part time job or a side hustle and use that money to accumulate BTC. Basically, bring in money from other sources and buy BTC (you can also look into dollar cost averaging, a lot of people seem to be doing it)

justforgigs96

For any new product in the crypto industry, initial cautious cynicism is justified. I'm a solo engineer who loves BTC & initially built this originally for myself and some family/friends, got enough good feedback that I figured the broader community should know it exists. Yeah I use AI tools like any engineer in 2026, but the product, the thesis, and the post are mine. For the majority, just HODLing is more than enough to win with BTC. I'm just spotlighting a secondary utility of the asset for people who want to squeeze a bit more out of their tax situation while they wait.

justforgigs96

I'd like to walk through these with you one by one in more detail: Regarding "deduction" vs "credit" language - I've updated the sentence to align with this in the post so that this term is clear and unambiguous for anyone in the community reading. I think that's reasonable - although the notion of the rest being locked in carryover is underselling it (because we all will sell some of our VOO, Google, or BTC or whatever eventually at some point and trigger capital gains) so the economic value is there. Alternatively if we never sell lots with capital gains, and pass off to our heirs they get a step up in basis and the harvested loss is effectively free money. Next, you'd cited IRC Section 7701(o) - this is where there's quite a bit of nuance. It sounds like you're referring to the two-prong test (and questioning whether BTC TLH violates them). It's important to point out here that (as a result of Patel v Commissioner) the IRS would need to first prove "Why should ESD apply to a straightforward property sale?". And the answer is -> It shouldn't because this is a standard realization event in a system where Congress explicitly allowed it. So although the IRS has the authority to challenge transactions lacking substance, the combination of the Patel relevancy threshold and the objective financial reality of exchange fees and BTC's huge volatility makes a successful ESD challenge against a retail investor executing straightforward TLH highly unlikely under current law. Now to be clear - with former President Biden's "Build Back Better" bill and some others, this was raised up to close the loophole as you said. And if that day comes, this kind of software loses its core relevance/value proposition & I'll be looking to solve other problems in the BTC space. Lastly with regard to the security risk that you're citing this is worth addressing because it's a legitimate concern for any tool in this category. Firstly the user controls the entire private repo (not me or any outside party). They can audit every single line of code or have a trusted engineer of their choice audit every line of code. Their keys will never leave their own infrastructure. Next, the idea off having funds drained is architecturally infeasible. Reason being - on the self-hosted version where an API key is created, permissions are set at the time of creation (not possible retroactively) and if you select read only permissions, the exchange cannot execute any sell orders on your behalf via that API key, and certainly not withdraw funds or send to outside parties. If users select full execution mode, they select (deliberately very specific) permissions, which allow only for A) Read permissions, B) Sell & Rebuy permissions, C) We say very explicitly what NOT to select (e.g a withdrawal capability) to prevent any hypothetical security threat. Additionally some exchanges like Strike don't even allow selecting withdrawals as an option on your API keys creation. As for 'lead gen' - guilty as charged my friend. I built something and I think it's useful. That's the whole post.

EcstaticCell1511

Yes I love the smear campaigns against BTC keeps prices low.

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Post is by: Own-Net-9076 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sjng2l/a_summary_of_the_cryptocurrency_market_over_the/ Crypto Market Summary for the past week (April 5-12, 2026): The market experienced significant volatility due to geopolitical news. Prices fell at the beginning of the week due to US-Iran tensions, then surged thanks to ceasefire news, boosting the total market cap by approximately $100 billion in a single session. • Bitcoin (BTC): Fluctuated around $68-72k, closing the week up about 4-7%, reaching a 3-week high (\~$71-72k) before a slight correction. • Ethereum (ETH): Increased more strongly than BTC (approximately 6-8%), rising from \~$2100 to over $2200-2280, holding support at the 0.236 Fibonacci level. • Most altcoins were in the red (75-80% of the top 50 coins declined), altcoins were weaker than BTC/ETH. Whales were less active, with retail investors buying in. The BTC ETF had positive inflows in March but slowed down in April. Overall: The week saw a short rally thanks to risk-on from ceasefire, but volume was low, and sentiment was cautious due to macro factors (US CPI) and geopolitics. Forecast for next week (April 13-19, 2026): The market will remain sideways/consolidate around the current level, heavily dependent on: • US economic data (CPI, inflation). • Middle East peace progress (Strait of Hormuz). • US regulatory news (Clarity Act). Positive scenario: BTC holds above 70k → tests 75k, ETH continues to underperform thanks to DeFi/L2 catalysts. Negative scenario: If bad macro news → pullback to support at 65-68k BTC. In general, many analysts predict April will still be difficult (Q1 was the worst quarter in many years), but there are signs of long-term accumulation from institutional factors. We recommend monitoring volume and major news events, and avoiding high leverage. Data is for reference only; the crypto market is very risky! My Homepage: More Videos I wish everyone success and the awareness of the importance of taking responsibility for themselves. Thank you! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

xcommon

you seem pretty histrionic, tbh. It took wall street and the establishment 20 years to figure out how they could use BTC as a vehicle to get rich to the detriment of their customers. The people could have read the wp and adopted it in the mean time. The price of their ignorance is being late to the game. Everyone get BTC at the price they deserve.

southernwx

That would imply there’s a 99% chance that BTC maintains a nominal value of 60k or more for the next 3 years … And further, OP suggests the nominal value won’t fall below 60k in the next 30 years at 99% success which is more incredible. This is incredibly suspect and frankly if the market was 99% sure their downside was only to 60k, it would be more expensive today.

Big-Finding2976

If you buy 1 BTC now and sell $20,000 worth of it a year there's a chance you'll have no BTC left in three years.

MathematicianKey6222

Why should i? BTC etf is way more comfortable. No Need for seedphrase no fear of losing Everything

JerkyJunkie

The flash drive could be a ledger, it’s the most well-known/marketed cold storage device. So most of the public not involved with bitcoin, just might assume it’s just a flash drive for bitcoin. Just the easiest way to make this all understandable for normal people, through their comedic writing. Without losing too much timing with the nuance of BTC, political correctness lol.

SousChefRyGuy

Maybe that’s exactly what they want? The shady pricks move all sorts of money all types of ways. This, could be exactly what they want. This is clear speculation on all of us because none of us were there and created BTC. Interesting and fun to do though.

Boring-Bus-3743

😂 etfs and strategy are buy 5-15x the daily issuance of BTC. If demand stays the same that will double in a few years with the next halving. Unless they are off loading millions of BTC it would be hard to "crash" the price

Fiach_Dubh

drop the "BTC" it's cleaner

InvestAISavvy

The mean reversion piece is what gets me. In equities, buying at the top absolutely destroys your safe withdrawal rate for decades. The fact that BTC's power law growth is steep enough that mean reversion closes the gap between peak buyers and bottom buyers within about two years is a genuinely interesting finding. I've never seen anyone model it that way. The one thing I'd stress test harder is the inflation assumption. You're using 7% cost of living growth as your base case, which matches M2 expansion historically. But we're in a world right now where CPI just printed 3.3% with energy driving most of it and the Fed stuck at 3.5-3.75% debating hikes again. If real inflation stays structurally elevated above the 2% target for the next decade, that 7% assumption might actually be conservative.

Flash-Ranger

0.1 BTC will not fund a lifetime in the US, Germany, or Spain in 25 years. Mathematical projections invalidate this premise. VanEck models project Bitcoin at 2.9 million dollars by 2050. At this peak valuation, 0.1 BTC equals 290,000 dollars. A 2.5 percent annualized inflation rate degrades current fiat purchasing power by 46 percent over 25 years. Total financial independence in these jurisdictions currently requires 1.5 to 2 million dollars in capital. Adjusted for inflation, the requirement by 2050 is 2.7 to 3.6 million dollars. A 290,000 dollar nominal value functions solely as a localized cash buffer or partial real estate equity. It cannot act as a perpetual yield-generating asset for living expenses. To achieve a 3 million dollar purchasing power threshold by 2050, the requisite accumulation is 1.03 BTC under the 2.9 million dollar baseline, or 3.0 BTC under a conservative 1 million dollar model.

Flash-Ranger

Iran’s move to take BTC and USDT for Strait of Hormuz tolls—we’re talking $2 million per tanker—has basically nuked the idea of "anonymous" crypto for anyone in the shipping industry. Since the blockchain is public, OFAC is already blacklisting every address linked to these payments. If you’re a ship operator and you pay that toll, your wallet is permanently flagged. Here is how it’s actually playing out: 1. Automated Blacklisting: Major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance use Chainalysis to track every "hop" a coin takes. If you try to deposit BTC that originated from an Iranian state wallet, it gets frozen instantly. You don't just lose the coins; you get hit with a "Source of Wealth" audit that can take months to clear, if ever. 2. The Price Gap: We’re seeing a "two-tier" Bitcoin market. "Clean" BTC trades at market price, while "Hormuz BTC" is trading at a 10% to 30% discount on the gray market because it’s effectively toxic to the regulated financial system. 3. Corporate Suicide: For companies, it’s not just about the coins. If a firm knowingly accepts tainted BTC, they face secondary sanctions. That means the US can cut that company off from the entire dollar-based banking system. Bitcoin is still technically spendable, but the legacy financial world is successfully bifurcating the supply. It’s no longer just about owning Bitcoin; it’s about the specific history of the UTXOs you hold. If they touched Iran, they’re radioactive.

apurpleflyingcar

exactly the right question. to verify on-chain you'd need to correlate AIS passage timestamps with large BTC transactions,, looking for $1-2M settlements within minutes of a vessel clearing the strait. chainalysis and TRM labs are the only ones with the tooling to do this properly. the problem is iran likely uses mixing or intermediate wallets, and may prefer usdt over btc despite the public announcement. that's why the model stays a model for now

InvestAISavvy

Honestly the macro setup for BTC right now is weird. Consumer sentiment just hit 47.6 — literally the lowest reading ever recorded — and CPI came in at 3.3% with energy driving most of it. Normally that's the "hedge with BTC" argument but instead it's trading like a risk asset tied to ceasefire headlines. Every time diplomatic progress looks good BTC runs, every time talks break down it sells off. The social engagement numbers on BTC are massive right now but they're almost entirely driven by the geopolitical narrative, not adoption or on-chain stuff. Until the Iran situation actually resolves, BTC is basically an oil proxy with extra volatility.

TheresNoSecondBest

That's an BTC IOU, mate.

Bulky_Dingo_4706

I guess I should sell my BTC ETF.

This_Discussion126

Yeah I understand you would do it that way. But still 20k over 12 months, is still a big chunk of 1 BTC if the price is at the low end of the power model. Maybe my brain isn't mathing properly, but I don't know how you can have: "after 30 years of withdrawals, you still hold over 95% of your bitcoin."

Aggressive-Permit317

Iran straight up accepting BTC for Hormuz transit fees is low-key massive. This isn’t just another country ‘considering’ crypto, it’s actual state-level use as payment. Makes you wonder how fast this shifts the whole reserve narrative. Anyone tracking how this might ripple into prices short-term?

fajarsis02

Iran, Russia and North Korea are already blocked from SWIFT. Previously they proposed to be paid in Yuan for the tolls, but China felt unease with the proposal, so they switch to BTC. When the US also blocked China from SWIFT, that will be among the triggering event for BTC flying to Saturn..

ScholarPrize1335

The real annualized return on BTC over the last 5 years is 3.4% a year. Tell what beta value and standard deviation you would tolerate for an asset averaging that return? Your spewing technical analysis when there is zero evidence that it actually works. The more absurd the claim the more desperate the person making it appears. Good investments don't need to be sold...

FromThePits

Any estimates on how much BTC such a rig mines on a daily basis?

JerryCalzone

I'm holding on to a tiny bit of BTC and hope that at some point it gets more valuable - but one thing will never happen despite the price going down: it will never become less unless i sell it.

SenditSahil

never thought so many usecases would be there, just love being part of this changing new world of $BTC