Reddit Posts
Looking for help recovering an old Hotmail account and an old Bitcoin wallet (2009–2011)
I think I was hit by a scam on Electrum that I have never seen before
Complete beginner. Want to learn crypto trading but terrified of losing money. Where do I even start?
Only 20 of the top 50 alts have beaten BTC over the last 90 days, so I don't think this is altseason yet.
I bought BTC and ETH very early. Then I discovered leverage and gave it all back.
Would anyone be interested in a small Bitcoin brainwallet puzzle challenge?
0.5 BTC Reward (~USD 40,000) for Recovering the password (hashcat)
What % of a BTC do you think will be life changing in 20 years?
i backtested 75 crypto trading strategies against just holding the same coins, 2017 to 2025. 8 came out ahead, none by more than luck would explain
Selling Bitcoin vs borrowing against it during a rally?
52 Bitcoin Were Rescued. Now Their Owners Face a Problem the Blockchain Can’t Solve.
Friendly reminder: Not your keys, not your coins 🔒
BTC going up while the macro data gets worse, anyone else find this uncomfortable rather than exciting? right???
I cant access my crypto.com account i have 2 BTC due to changed email address, i have funds from 2021 and cant access my BTC i need to cash it out.can i get my account back, any thoughts thanks 4 feedback
Built this for people to buy US stocks from outside the US, looking for feedback
Did Spot ETFs ruin the point of Bitcoin, or saved its adoption path?
I sold off all my bitcoin at break-even and I wish I didn't
Bitcoin ETFs just absorbed 11,500 BTC in their biggest buying day in nearly two years
How Big is America's $40 Trillion of Debt? (BTC Animation)
I've been rebuilding Bitcoin's cycles as something you can trade through — help me decide what goes in it
Does difficulty make a new ATH before the halving? The case for no.
Tested a trend-following bot on paper for 6 weeks. Binance fees alone were 10 to 12% of the account every week
Bitcoin is at $86K. Are we seeing real demand or just a short squeeze?
What's the future of BTC if El Nino continues to get worse (which it will)?
For HODLers: want to know your portfolio risks?
BTC tapped $84K but the Coinbase Premium just went negative. The rally is being driven by offshore leverage, not US spot buyers.
Holding BTC long term, but how do you decide when to take some profit?
BTC breaks $82K resistance, hits 8-month high of $86K — but leverage is piling back in fast
Ten days ago all three of my BTC timeframe scans named the same resistance zone. On 21 Sep price broke through it
BTC at $86k off the $58k low is a big win, but 2019 says the road up isn't a straight line
BTC down 4% in 2026 (Best BEAR Market of ALL TIME!)
7 years, 5,417 trades, 51.4% win rate — full backtest of my BTC/ETH/BNB signal bot, including the bad stretches
How many people who said “I'll buy Bitcoin when it crashes” actually bought when it crashed?
Which alt coins are you stacking in 2026 in preparation for the next bull run?
24.465 BTC disappeared from my Trezor. This is the story of what happened next.
24.465 BTC disappeared from my Trezor. This is the story of what happened next.
BTC is back at $82K, real breakout or just another fakeout?
Never ending wait for BTC to pierce 82.5 K
Built this shadow box ticker 8 years ago. You slide a Bitcoin across the glass to unlock its hidden mode
This is absolutely insane. If you invested $1,000 in Nike in 2013, you’d have $1,390 today. If you invested the same $1,000 in $BTC that same year, you’d have $6 MILLION today.
I checked how "anonymous" my Bitcoin actually is. My cold storage is 2 hops from Coinbase's KYC desk, and I bet yours is too.
I checked how "anonymous" my Bitcoin actually is. My cold storage is 2 hops from Coinbase's KYC desk, and I bet yours is too.
Bitcoin’s Greatest Mystery: The Man Who Never Existed
During the Great depression bread was worth like $50.
What if the rise in Bitcoin is just because of the decline of the value of the dollar?
I built a site so I can understand the crypto market better. Do you find it valuable?
$ASKR – an AI token that actually has a working product (one API for Claude, GPT, Gemini + more)
What’s your informed opinion about why bitcoin moves downwards?
Does anyone actually feel safer keeping BTC on an exchange vs a hardware wallet or is that just cope
I’ve Been Trying to Break My BTC Thesis Since August — Here’s What Survived
I’ve Been Trying to Break My BTC Thesis Since August — Here’s What Survived
“Before you call that BTC candle bullish, look at what actually caused it”.
BTC/USD: Is $81.3K the breakout level?
Mentions
Just remember. The possibility of theft does not justify theft. If those BTC are basically stolen from people with a fork just because there is a risk of theft, that should be the end of Bitcoin.
In my area, homes have a CAGR of 3.5% over the past 20 yrs. Shift it to past 15 and it’s 5.5%. With the way I expect the govt to handle the debt, really good chance that CAGR is 10% over next 20 yrs… hoping BTC will rise too, but the returns could look a lot better on paper than in reality
Shrimp < 1 BTC, Fish 1-10, Sharks 10-1k, Whales 1k-100k, Exchanges 100k+. So no plankton tier yet, you're at least a shrimp 😄
man who bought civics in 2016 is probably crying right now, car worth less than a trip to mcdonalds in BTC terms
Yeah, don't do anything with futures or leverage now. Safest is to put all in BTC, or you can spread it out into BTC, ETH, and SOL and get a little higher ROI. And then just hold for years. And while you're account is slowly growing, you can educate yourself about futures and options. But stay away from them until you are not a beginner anymore. Honestly, only people that are experts in the market with years and years of experience should do futures or options. If you trade 24/7 then maybe after a few years of experience.
The breadth approach is the right instinct, but there is a sampling trap in it: the top 50 today is not the top 50 from 90 days ago. Coins that got crushed fall out of the list, so counting today's top 50 over the last 90 days quietly drops the worst performers and biases the 40% figure upward. The cleaner version is to freeze the top-50 list at the start of the window, then count how many of those beat BTC. You usually get a lower number, and the gap between the two counts is itself a useful measure of how violent the rotation was underneath.
Imagine getting a house loan in BTC 😂
Bitvavo could be worth looking into, especially for EUR deposits and withdrawals. I’d compare its fees and BTC withdrawal costs with a few other exchanges before deciding.
I think that you're misguided and not understanding what everyone else sees as consensus. Yes it gives an idea of the difference, but it is a poor comparison. Both can be true. It's a very poor comparison, and poor post. But yes, I can still see that BTC has grown in value whilst these have become worth less in BTC. But there is no frame of reference for how much change there has been. No cost in £/$ to see what the cars themselves are worth in Fiat. Which is fine, if using two identical examples. But given that we have two completely different vakue cars from different manufacturers, a decade a part with no cost reference - it's a fucking pointless post. If I could be arsed I'd gladly make one showing how much a kitten was worth in BTC in 2015 vs a lion cub in 2026. It would be about as useful in indicating accurate growth as using a watermelon as a phone.
I think that you're misguided and not understanding what everyone else sees as consensus. Yes it gives an idea of the difference, but it is a poor comparison. Both can be true. It's a very poor comparison, and poor post. But yes, I can still see that BTC has grown in value whilst these have become worth less in BTC. But there is no frame of reference for how much change there has been. No cost in £/$ to see what the cars themselves are worth in Fiat. Which is fine, if using two identical examples. But given that we have two completely different vakue cars from different manufacturers, a decade a part with no cost reference - it's a fucking pointless post. If I could be arsed I'd gladly make one showing how much a kitten was worth in BTC in 2015 vs a lion cub in 2026. It would be about as useful in indicating accurate growth as using a watermelon as a phone.
Why would she need $900k to buy 900k BTC? And yes, it’s fake.
This will be a nice tool depicting the BTC flows in the (36) months to come!
You should use a hardware wallet and check the dest address on the hardware wallet screen.. If you own more than a BTC, there is no excuse for using a software wallet. Sorry for your loss
A modern lamborghini and a modern Renault clio are not comparable just because they're modern. Likewise a modern tesla and a 10 year old civic are not comparable just because they each were new at the time. That's a very stupid position to take. A modern mansion costs more than a modern flat. So showing a flat in BTC 10 years ago and 6 bed house now - are they comparable because both were new at the time? No. They aren't even close. In comparisons, you use two items that are comparable. A new tesla 10 years ago and new tesla today. In all honesty the two different car idea is a bad one too. It should simply be a 2026 tesla, and how many BTC it would have cost 10 years ago vs now.
Yes, with one important distinction - they could see the transaction, but not your physical location. If the original person knows the addresses or keeps a watch-only copy of the wallet, they can see when BTC moves and where it goes on-chain. They won't see "he spent this in a hotel in London" unless they have some outside information connecting that address to the real world. Also for realism, Bitcoin uses inputs and change, so it doesn't always look as simple as "$500 left the wallet and the rest stayed there."
Hi, it's 4 adresses with more than 100K BTC. So yeah multiple exchanges. You can check it at the "Who hodls what" section the website [btcflow](https://btcflow.skyex.fr)
Yeah, and in your novel, be sure to clarify that BTC ≠ cryptocurrency
At €200–€300 monthly, avoid withdrawing immediately to self-custody every purchase. Creating micro-UTXOs under 100,000 sats leads to heavy fee drag later when mempools spike. Instead, leave purchases on your reputable platform until reaching 1,000,000 to 3,000,000 sats (0.01–0.03 BTC) before making a lump-sum withdrawal to cold storage. For self-custody with privacy, Ginger Wallet is well-suited for this accumulation tranche: its built-in coordinator charges 0% coordinator fees on inputs up to 0.03 BTC with free remixes, letting you consolidate and break transaction graph links from your purchase platform before archiving to long-term storage.
High leverage BTC short sellers went aggressive, got squeezed, and were forced to buy.
I see others have already answered your question here. I am curious to know what's the theme of your novel if you can share. 👀 Really amazing that you are using including narratives like crypto and BTC in to make it more relevant for today's audience.
I tried to found an Satoshi emoji but the chad one is better :) Thanks you for your feedbacks! 1- it already exists on the website in the first section "who hodls what" ([btcfow](https://btcflow.skyex.fr) 2- ETFs don't have a separately tagged address on-chain, their BTC sits in custodian wallets (Coinbase Custody, Fidelity, etc.), so it's likely already folded into your Exchanges or Whales cohorts without being distinguishable.
The chad emoji for Satoshi is just woww. Liked how you have focused on such small details 🫡 Since you asked for some suggestions: I see you have date ranges till 2 months. You planning to show overall BTC holders as well? One more doubt: Your stats also account for the BTC ETF buys and sells?
best bet is just dollar cost average BTC, buy every month no matter where it is. BTC is likely going to go higher than it is. just long term invest in BTC first and then later on you can decide if you want to start trading any other crypto currency’s which j would advise against
Markets trade expectations more than headlines. If the hike was heavily expected, a lot of the selling can happen before the actual announcement. Then when nothing worse shows up you get the weird looking green candle after “bad” news. I wouldn't take one move as proof BTC stopped caring about macro, but holding up this well after a hike is definitely better than the alternative.
You might diversify your BTC across different holdings, especially for larger amounts. Use at least two hw wallets from different companies; ledger, trezor, and bitkey. Put some in ETF's; Blackrock, Fidelity for example. Maybe some in an exchange but personally I would put exchanges and hot wallets low on my list. It's very unlikely all would be hit at once and if one gets hit, you conserve your losses and the remaining still goes to the moon, hopefully!
so basicly, Satoshi can now send her BTC without a trace of him moving it? 🤔
Sideways is just BTC charging up for the next run, let the weak hands get bored and sell. I spend the quiet days browsing weird houses on zillow I can't afford yet
>Now users must use OTHER app to move into L-BTC and then somehow swap into BTC addres.. or smth..? It is ducked up situation for sure. But you don't need "OTHER app to move into L-BTC", your sats are already in Liquid. The swapping from liquid might currently be difficult not because of Breez, but because of liquid being recently hacked and the federation is missing about 15% BTC. So not many people are willing to exchange L-BTC to BTC.
If you are afraid losing money then you wont make money. Same goes if you are reckless and dont care losing money. You have to care enough that your choices are based on learning and research and you have to not be afraid in order to put money you can afford losing and not put savings and money you need for your life. I only do spot trading which is basically buying a coin and i personally hold long term and when it goes up to a price i think its best for profits i will sell. I use kraken for exchange as i want the safe way instead of having a wallet i might mess up. I started back in July this year and i did my research and i learned a lot before i put more money in. I used chatgpt to learn faster (it makes mistakes but if you know what to ask it it can be helpful for learning). I used it to learn more about crypto in general. Either put your money in BTC or ETH which are safer bets with less possible upside or do your research on a coin from the top 50s. Do your own research, dont listen to anyone who tells you to contact him and help you its probably a scammer. Just learn more, pick a safer coin, add very small amount to try and you see how it goes. Learning and researching wont make you make more money but it will help you understand more, make safer choices and identify scams. Dont act on the hype of social media. Listen to it but always do your own research. And most important accept any negative consequences. The crypto market is so volatile that it could go either way...
1. Do only spot trading as a beginner or even advance investor. The idea being that, as long as you don't sell (when you're at a loss), you don't actualize it for real. Its only paper losses. Leverage and futures has destroyed people instantly and still is. 2. Learn technical analysis to analyse charts, the 4 year cycle, liquidity rotation from BTC => ETH => major caps => small caps 3. Timing is important. Great time to enter the market now. 4. Invest in long-term horizons and remember to take small profits on the way up and reinvest. 5. Blockchain backer is a great analyst to learn from on Youtube.
Anyone else actually enjoy the boring Bitcoin days? After enough years in BTC, sideways feels almost relaxing 😂
KYC/AML rules and the recently introduced MiCA regulation aim to regulate the crypto market and prevent money laundering and tax evasion. Do you think these regulations will be relaxed or tightened over the next 10 to 20 years? I’d say they’ll get stricter, making it increasingly difficult to buy and sell unregulated BTC. I’m just an ordinary guy you know. I want to accumulate BTC now and be able to sell it easily later whenever the time feels right. Should I look for people on P2P exchanges to sell my BTC for cash? But what would I actually do with, say, $500k in cash? And yes, those are the kinds of sums I’d like to have accumulated in 10 to 20 years. I just want to cash out and be done with it. I have no intention of playing Robin Hood or anything like that.
Avoid LEVERAGE. AVOID OPTIONS. JUSR BUY AND HOLD BTC
This time round, just SOL and BTC. Got fed up of all the sh*tcoins dragging my portfolio down.
You don’t have any money, you don’t know what you’re doing - there is zero point in “becoming a trader” Put $100 into BTC and check it again in 10 years
AI and BTC mining use very different hardware (GPUs/TPUs vs SHA-256 ASIC) so you can't just switch their compute like that.
I no longer have the confidence I once had in BTC because of how retarded the developer community is on both sides of any debate. I started diversifying into owning acreage. It seems as though holding btc in 2026 is basically putting the fate of your entire net worth in the hands of a small group of retard developers. Some of them want to increase the supply cap with tail emissions. Not a safe bet imo.
You're right, my example was bad but you get the point. Short term outperformance against BTC shouldn't count as altseason when they are generally still down massively from ATH, so the index should rather consider data that indiciates that altcoins are showing major growth to actual new highs (like TOTAL3ES). Hope we will see that again this cycle..
No the F it's not. Stop pretending BTC (or any Crypto project) is trying to have any utility. There's a reason Satoshi left the project way back at the beginning, and most definitely lost his keys bc he also thought it was dead. There's only one reason anyone gets into this space, and it's to make more fiat via profits.
Comparing to what? I mean, do you think you will be better holding 100k USD than 1 BTC when ASI happens? That is all you need to decide. The rest is not related to BTC.
By the morning of the announcement, futures traders had it at over 90% odds, so it was priced in weeks earlier. That's partly why BTC was sliding in the run-up. Once the Fed actually did it, the uncertainty was gone and the "sell the news" crowd had already sold. A small 25bp hike also looks nothing like 2022, when they kept hiking every meeting. Add oil dropping and Trump-Xi optimism, and a relief bounce makes sense. So yes, three things usually happen at once. The trick is to ask what the market expected, since the event itself matters less than the gap between the expectation and what actually happened.
Start by not trading. Start by not calling it crypto and sticking to BTC only and start by having a buy and hold strategy. Once you’re comfortable with that strategy, and you see some gain in value of your portfolio by simply sitting and holding Then and only then should you consider the possibility of diversifying out of BTC and or trading If you know, nothing about trading then you will be I’m a short pass to losing money Buy and hold patiently is a strategy that can be used by novices and still get gains.
Start by not trading. Start by not calling it crypto and sticking to BTC only and start by having a bite and hold strategy. Once you’re comfortable with that strategy, and you see some gain in value of your portfolio by simply sitting and holding Then and only then should you consider the possibility of diversifying out of BTC and or trading If you know, nothing about trading then you will be I’m a short pass to losing money Buy and hold patiently is a strategy that can be used by novices and still get gains.
Nice work. Are you using today's top 50 or the one from 90 days ago? Today's has survivorship bias baked in, since coins that pumped into it count as winners and the ones that dumped out vanish. Also worth stripping stables, wrapped BTC and LSTs, since they can't beat BTC by design. Your Dec 2024 point is the solid though.
TradingView has a paper trading mode, and Binance and Bybit both have demo accounts if you want to poke at futures without real money. Give it a month and compare your results to just buying BTC and doing nothing. Most people lose to the "do nothing" strategy, and it's way better to find that out with fake money. I'd skip futures for now. With $300 and leverage, a random wick can liquidate you even when you were right about the direction.
Forget buying things when BTC hits millions. I’m just waiting for the dip to buy the dip of the dip.
Post is by: Intelligent_Chard383 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wqhp7t/complete_beginner_want_to_learn_crypto_trading/ I've been lurking this sub for months and finally decided I want to actually start trading instead of just reading about it. Problem is I have maybe $300 to start with and I'm honestly scared of blowing it all on day one because I have no idea what I'm doing. I've seen people talk about spot trading, futures, leverage, and it's overwhelming. Is there a way to practice without risking real money first? And what should a complete beginner focus on, just buying and holding BTC, or is it worth learning futures? Any advice appreciated, sorry if this gets asked a lot. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
The rule of 4-5% withdrawals predates Bitcoin by fifteen years and is based on stock market data going back to 1926. The point of 60-75k safe withdrawals is based on the $1.5mil valuation (1.5M x 0.04 = 60k while 1.5M x 0.05 = 75k). The discussion of the relative value of $1.5mil is not tethered to the market volatility of BTC. When the conversation is over your head and you don’t understand what is going on, it is ok to keep your mouth shut. In fact, most people prefer it as it prevents highlighting their stupidity.
Corto: es una herramienta divertida con memoria selectiva, no un oráculo. Contexto: nació en 2014 como un **meme** en Bitcoin Talk — alguien pintó bandas de colores sobre un gráfico logarítmico y les puso nombres ("¡Estás loco si vendes!", "Máximo de burbuja", etc.). Después varios la refinaron con regresión logarítmica. **Lo que sí tiene de fondo:** BTC ha crecido en escala logarítmica desde su origen, así que una regresión log "atrapa" el precio hacia el centro de las bandas razonablemente bien. **Lo que nadie te cuenta:** * Es *curve fitting*: la recalibraron después de casi cada ciclo. El arcoíris de 2017 "falló" en 2021; el de 2021 ya fue reajustado. Siempre afilan el pasado, nunca predicen el futuro. * Solo funciona mientras BTC crezca secular. Si entra en fase de madurez (tipo oro), las bandas dejan de tener sentido. * Cero fundamentos: no ve halvings, flujos de ETF, macro ni adopción. Es el precio pasado dibujado bonito. **Cómo usarla bien:** como termómetro de sentimiento, no como señal. Bandas inferiores = históricamente zona de acumulación paciente. Bandas superiores = zona donde la euforia te cobra caro. Pero ni eso es garantía: en 2021 tocar la banda roja no impidió que siguiera subiendo un buen rato después. Si tu plan es "compro en verde, vendo en rojo", funciona hasta que deja de funcionar — y nadie te avisa cuándo es ese momento. Úsala como mapa del clima, no como pronóstico.
ok sure but the word "offer" makes it sound like a hypothetical situation where someone is offering above market price, rather than the price of BTC just being higher at some point in the future
Take the offer and use the fiat to buy 0.1 BTC lol
This is just BTC dominance sitting elevated, capital crowds into BTC early in a move and alts only get a real bid once it flattens out. Watch the dominance chart rolling over as your signal, that's usually when rotation into ETH and the majors actually kicks in.
AI stocks are the new BTC. BTC is the new gold
Over the last year I have converted 6 0z of gold to BTC. Gold had its run. BTC is still 30 % off
why it increases more than those other things is simply because of the ease of access AND scarcity. At some point bitcoin becomes a profit center as more people turn to it for any number or reasons. In theory, all of those other things keep becoming more productive, more available, and/or less demand by shrinking populations. In contrast, BTC just needs to capture more market share and keep spreading. That’s basically it.
Personally, I wouldn't sell a profitable asset just because another one is dipping. Gold and Bitcoin serve different purposes in a portfolio. I've learned that patience, diversification, and risk management matter more than trying to catch the perfect entry point. Why not keep some gold and gradually build your BTC position instead?
This is what you will run into. Those of us dipping a toe and moving on are not the whales you are looking for. There were enthusiasts and there was something else. Could be forced HODLing through semi-lost keys or true visionaries. Either way you aren't going to get the historical record you are looking for. Kudos for trying though. I formatted the drive holding my wallet.dat after mining (unsuccessfully) in that time frame but holding multiple BTC freely given by the faucet because I came to the conclusion that everyone was right and it was a scam. Just a story and no system logs. Write a dissertation on that ;)
All this time over a coin that 100s of coins do the same , some even faster. BTC is manipulated.
Bro BTC was literally created as hard money. Not fiat. Fiats collapse is exactly why the technology was created
vol-neutralized momentum across coins and one called low BTC-beta alts plus BTC. worth an update since that comment though, the crypto benchmark itself turned out to be wrong. someone else on this thread pointed out the 18 coin basket is a today-survivor list, so i rebuilt it point in time back to 2017 using historical market cap snapshots. holding what actually existed each year, bitconnect and nem included, returns 20%/yr instead of the 79%/yr the survivor basket shows. so the honest hurdle for these strategies is way lower than i originally benchmarked against also ran your other point, dropping each strategy's single best year and re-annualizing what's left. 0 of 46 strategies that were ahead of buy and hold stay ahead once their best year is removed. the crypto one you're asking about is the extreme case, every single year of its 9 year run was positive, so there's no 'rest of the series' left once you pull the best run out your fear/greed number holding up better is interesting though, might be a genuinely different effect to what i tested, i only had directional momentum and vol signals not a sentiment index
I think the altseason index sucks, it basically alerts an altseason when alts make a 2x across the board after -90%. It should rather be based on BTC pairs or ratios like TOTAL3ES
ASI is a lie. Don't fall for the bait.. think of it as a the BCH to BTC AI is a tool. BTC is a tool - both only as good as the application it's applied to (BTC > AI btw.. just to be clear. AI promotes inflation and wealth inequality, BTC seeks to bridge it) BCH was a fabricated lie pretending to do more than the tool it replicated. ASI is the same The ASI branding is just AI with a new hat on..
Acho que justamente em outubro o BTC irá subir buscando novas máximas.
Get off coinbase BTC will go up, promise. I am in the hospital till end of the week. Go out to a park, smell the bushes. Once I get out Sunday, check back at it again.
Yes, I can imagine, because I bought BTC and ETH in March 2016. I am still holding, leverage will never get me.
Cheers. One mental trick I use is if I am thinking "should I sell or should I hold?" or in bad times "should I buy or keep my powder dry?", I think "why not both?" and sell (or buy) some and keep some, From a mindset perspective, it means that I am happy with any movement. A year or so ago, I had sold about 30% of my holdings for a decent profit. When it fell, I thought to myself "Great! I will replenish my BTC at a lower price and keep the difference as profits (or reinvest them to have a bigger stack)". If it had kept going up, I would have thought "Great! I'll sell some more and have even more profits." So I am always fairly happy about my investments. And probably most importantly for both mental health and my investment strategy, not stressed and always second guessing myself. I admit that's a bit of a cheat. The same logic that I use to tell myself "anything is a win" also means anything is a loss. But if you can get yourself to think that way you will be both happier and are likely to do better.
I’ve lost roughly the equivalent of 4 BTC. I started out with less than one BTC. I lost it all.
There's another Reddit page called Bitcoin is money. many people there call the hard fork Bitcoin and the original BTC Bitcoin is a scam. A very delusional lot over there.
> > They have the first mover advantage for DeFi. EVM chains had full programability at launch, while UTXO chains didn't get comparable programability until many years later. > And that doesn't make you hesitant at all to see UTXO be completely supplanted by other models? No? Why would it? They moved first, but don't scale well. It was an open question for a long time whether you could even do the things EVM could do on UTXO. But we learned/proved it can. And now... we're building? What about that situation would make me hesitant? It makes me confident. I know the use-cases have demand. EVM proved it. But UTXO actually scales so, long term, DeFi that requires massive scale will almost certainly be on UTXO. > And yeah, now the other methods have the most infrastructure and tooling but that wasn't always the case. I mean, if Vitalik knew the benefits of UTXO back then and still chose to go another route for Ethereum, what does that tell you? He knew the benefits of UTXO for scaling, but didn't know what kinds of applications would take off with EVM, nor did he know whether UTXO could reach similar levels of programability. Like I said, it was an open question whether UTXO could support advanced programability until much much later. > And yes, Ethereum is exploring UTXO-style features, but like I've explained already to the Cardano maxis, it doesn't exactly make me think "UTXO = right, accounts = bad" when the blog referenced literally says "This property is worth borrowing, and Ethereum can have it without giving up accounts. For payment workloads that do not need persistent state, native UTXOs bring the permanent state usage down by roughly 99.8%." Of course ETH doesn't want to give up accounts, because that's what all their infrastructure and tooling is built around. The fact that they recognize UTXO as merely a scaling option for simple constructions is shortsighted, but still proves the original point you wanted answered: do authorities recognize UTXOs better scaling properties? Yes, they do. Even if ETH just moves its basic send/receive functionality to UTXO (not all its smart features), it would scale much better. Moving to pure UTXO DeFi would basically mean throwing away their entire ecosystem, so, again, of course they're not going to do that. > UTXO went from virtually 100% market share of usage, to less than 1%(pretty much no matter how you measure it) and the way it's trending is that if it exists at all it will only be supplementary on chains that are natively based in other models. A lot of that has to do with the Bitcoin hijacking. Adoption was increasing exponentially until ~2016 when we hit the blocksize limit. The fact that UTXO chains have gone to the wayside is probably due to the perfect storm of BTC being hijacked and EVM unlocking a TON of new use-cases. But that doesn't say ANYTHING about EVM's long term viability. It just means it got the first mover advantage.
ErikBKL said: “1.5m usd is a wow fucking wow life changing amount. It's incredible. I wish we get there. If that's the bearish case - wowowowow” You responded to him: “1.5m usd with a family of 4 is for me not fuck you money... it's not enough..” A reasonable person would assume you are disagreeing with his statement and stating hat $1.5mil is “not enough”. We could pretend that this was a misunderstanding but you replied to my initial response with: “My means differ from yours ;-). I don't live frugal (and I dont want to)”. Then you go on to say: “Let's take a realistic example. Mom & dad 30yo with 1.5mil in their account and kids around 5 years old following the 4% rule (and that's only 60.000$ which is NOT enough for a family of 4,” So I’m assuming that you disagree with the original statement and haven’t just been arguing a point because you think I’m devilishly handsome and want me to continue interacting with you. If you are expecting to retire early in your career then why do you care about the price of BTC in 20 years? And if you make so much money that $60-75k is meaningless then why worry about the cost of retirement? But as a wise man once said: “So first read before you emotionally react”. 😁
If you truly believed in BTC you would auto buy and only plan to sell when you have an urgent expense to pay for. You can’t time markets. And you even say you plan to hold for years and are already contemplating exit. Auto buy, don’t panic sell. That’s all anyone needs to know. BTC has worked similarly to legacy, just that the penalty for panic selling is more severe because of the volatility. The solution: don’t panic sell. Best of luck.
me personally would firstly allocate a big % to BTC however do like ADA, AVAX and LINK.
Hey! Dominance is better read as relative performance than as a literal map of capital flows. It can rise because money is moving into BTC, because altcoins are falling faster, or because both are happening at once. Crypto-backed borrowing is one example of activity that the metric does not capture. Borrowing stablecoins against BTC on CoinRabbit changes how that BTC is being used, but it does not create an altcoin-to-BTC purchase. I’d compare dominance with spot volumes, stablecoin supply, and BTC/alt performance before drawing conclusions about where capital moved.
Don’t sell Use Compound Finance and get loan in usdt against BTC with 3.5% Annually Keep it under 50% and you should be good
i liked it better when BTC was above $100k
I would split the position into a long term portion and a portion you would genuinely be willing to sell. That removes the pressure to find one perfect exit price for everything. Moon can handle shorter term BTC directional views separately but that is very different from deciding what to do with actual bitcoin you intend to hold for years.
Price gets all the attention, meanwhile the network just keeps producing blocks through every cycle and headline. That consistency is probably one of the coolest parts of Bitcoin. Moon's BTC market sits on the price speculation side of the equation, while the underlying network just keeps doing its thing regardless of sentiment.
This is basically the universal Bitcoin experience. Nothing happens forever, patience finally breaks, then price immediately starts moving. Trying to perfectly time every short term swing is a fast way to make yourself miserable. Moon makes the directional bet explicit, while actually holding BTC is a completely different long term decision.
Price refusing to break while a seemingly bearish flow is hitting the market is often more interesting than the flow number itself. If sellers keep showing up and price absorbs it, somebody else is taking the other side. Reclaiming and holding 80K would make that resilience more meaningful. Moon's BTC market gives a continuous directional read but I would still watch spot structure and actual ETF flows before treating sentiment as confirmation.
LINK is weird, frontran even BTC on the August pump, now every upwards attempt gets sold off.
I respect your decision as well. I understand risk appetite, had to absorb the gut punch as I actually went red by 2% earlier this year, after the ATH back in October 2025. I just started investing, later than I should have, so taking a risk on BTC, balancing with stock and 401k to pad my retirement. All the best, and may we all prosper
Ik heb gehoord dat je met 10 BTC een pizza kunt kopen. Doe maar in plaats van fiat, want dan heb je tenminste gegeten
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I may be being a bit slow. You have the hash in that link. Presumably we put the password candidates through a hashing algorithm and aim to match the published hash or produce a different valid hash. What algorithm is used for this hashing and how do we validate the output? I used to know a fair bit about encryption (wrote a double ratchet messaging app) but it's been a while and I've never looked at how BTC does it. How embarrassing.
Yes bro i was just talking about the technicality that there just no BTC in no wallet on the all world ( in the sense of having fiat money in your physical wallet ). Your balance on you cold wallet is also a raw in the giant data base that is the blockchain.
trying to double your BTC by timing the market is going to end in failure and you will regret it unfortunately. you don't want to be that guy that says "i had so much btc at one point it i still had it today i'd be rich"
If someone does crack it I hope they’re honest, because you just handed the entire world a treasure map to 16BTC.
you can sell half and buy BTC
I’m winning, been DCAing since 2021. Sitting on .7509 BTC, up 31%.
Cold storage still makes the most sense for the stack I do not plan to touch. I keep the trading side separate because mixing long term BTC with short term moves is how I end up doing dumb stuff after a red candle. Been testing Moon for the market side and keeping custody as its own thing. Makes the setup boring but boring is good when BTC starts throwing 5 percent candles around
Flaunt your BTC. How many you holding?
I’m gonna HODL that. But it’s kinda cheap now. Wondering if i should move from Gold to BTC. I also am stuck with my silver investment. Cannot sell it at a loss. Gold is where im in a significant profit and can cash it towards BTC
1.0 BTC or more. Sorry, but 0.05 ain’t gonna cut it if you want to be wealthy. I’m assuming $1,000,000+ BTC at that time.
Never ever sell your BTC, it'll be a $21 million per coin by 2046 Watch this before you die https://youtu.be/hqoagNBtIps?si=Ir5eRU3XnHJLbMjf
I’m saying somewhere in the area of 500-800k Because after 2 halvings… let’s say each halving causes the price to double from the last ATH… and at that point a block will be 0.78125 BTC if a blocks purchasing power stays roughly the same (roughly 300k today) when a block is 0.78125 the cost for one bitcoin should be something more then 300k of buying power So my base case (on the low end) is around 500-800k USD
No, I mean that when BTC goes up I can move out of my parents basement.
Small alts have been out performing BTC. Usually they are after BTC/ETH/SOL. They still seem connected as a market but not lead by BTC anymore.