BTC

elidevious

Lots of people will be able to retire in 4 years because they bought a BTC ETF next year.

GroundbreakingPage41

Tbh this whole sub is mostly ETH maxis, they’re in extreme denial about the fact that it’s not BTC 2.0. It just doesn’t have the reputation or brand value of BTC, it also is inferior technology compared to newer chains. Why would anyone choose ETH as a safe cryptocurrency to invest in when BTC exists? Why would they choose ETH for defi/trading when it’s slowly losing ground to Solana? This sub loves to shit on SOL but numbers don’t lie, it won the volume game this past bull run and just performs better. ETH barely beat its ATH and its days are numbered, those who can’t drop it are in for a rude awakening.

Simple-Judgment-5331

I saw that Andrew Tate had 80 BTC longs liquidated in the last week lol

reliable35

Bear is here.. I’m expecting BTC to bottom around $40-45k…. Most Alts will fall another 80-90% from here.. being postive..

Proof-Law-6761

Believe it or not, all these posts about telling people what to do with their money may turn people off - which means less BTC buyers. These posts are dumb and have an opposite impact of what you are looking for.

QryptoQurios2020

He doesn’t really care about the US dollar fiat numbers. He only cares about the total amount of Satoshis he is holding and I am sure he will pile up more as other people sells. There is only 21 million BTC in the whole world. That’s it.

sgrinavi

35% Off my peak - sucks, but is expected - what's driving me crazy is that my stocks are down about half that for really no particular reason. What alts do you own that are down less than BTC on a percentage basis?

gilbur61

Crazy how the whole “just hold and wait forever” mindset worked for early BTC… but I wonder if it can still work when markets move faster, cycles get shorter, and liquidity is way more fragile today

thistimelineisweird

The best form of crypto will be when your preferred form of credit pays in fiat and settles with whatever crypto you have as your (or, most likely, their) default platform. You're paying $10 US. You (or the credit company) are transmitting $10 equivalent in the method of your choosing. The retailer will still get $10 US at the end of the day whether that's actually $10 US or $10 linked to a stablecoin. They won't care. I suppose if some business is into it and wants to accept tokens as alternative (like BTC on a price appreciation hedge) they can, but the vast majority of transactions are going to go on behind the scenes without most being the wiser. Most will just see the $10 coming faster and cheaper and move on with life.

Flashy-Butterfly6310

Why not both? Put your BTC as collateral on AAVE, lend ETH, swap for rETH. You're done.

Shift_Tex

The Bitcoin standard is free on Audible I think or one credit. It is by far the best explanation of not only BTC, but the global monetary framework that has been in place since the fall of the gold standard. It’s all based on nothing.

baIIern

Many thought that the ETF money will stay in BTC but man were they wrong. It's probably mostly people who wanted to speculate with Bitcoin and not hodlers

gospodinDark

He told you stories that BTC will be for million, but sold them on panic sale.

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bitusher

Bitcoin is very useful , I spend and replace it almost everyday >with the rising popularity of stablecoins? Stable coins are not really a separate currency Tether or other stablecoins unlike dollars is considered an altcoin and doesn't perfectly track USD so can double your taxable events . This is especially true if you live outside of the US Tether or other stablecoins are centralized , likely fractional , and can depeg and lose all or most value like we have seen before and with other stablecoins Tether or other stablecoins are not private like people assume and is less fungible and can be seized. Tether or other stablecoins lacks a lot of the insurance that fiat has Stick with fiat trading pairs like BTC/USD or BTC/Euros >My impression of bitcoin is it has two use cases. Bitcoin has many use cases : p2p money, timestamping ledger , investment asset , payment rail, and smart contract platform >Bitcoin has no tangible value, Bitcoin has tangible value . The whole "intrinsic value" marketing slogan is a myth. PMs and Gold are very useful elements. Bitcoin is a very useful currency. "intrinsic value" is a misleading term that many gold bugs like to use that seems to either suggest there is some "inherent value" in something physical or that gold has alternative usecases other than as money it can fall back on. Gold is a useful element and Bitcoin is a useful technology. Both derive their value subjectively from humans. Just because something is physical in nature doesn't mean that it has value to humans. Many physical things have negative value like trash that people pay others to take from them. Even very useful resources can sometimes have negative value like we saw with crude oil futures temporarily. https://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Subjective_theory_of_value >With the advent of stablecoins, stablecoins are centralized , insecure, not as fungible , reversable, and can easily be seized

BanzaiKen

You say this but I was screaming at the HR lady in 2023 that Fidelity says it can convert my 401k to BTC now with my company's blessing and showing her charts that I firmly believed it would go from 25k to at least 80k next halving.

McBurger

Same here my guy. 15 years in the crypto space. I still look back at some of those transactions in my wallet where I had 35 BTC. So many ups and downs, can’t tell you how many “wins” I had where I perfectly sold the top, where I perfectly rebought the bottom. It’s so easy I always said. And without fail, without warning, without expectation, the price would always shoot up to its next level up and I’d miss the pump. Rebuying in. I’ve made a respectable tidy sum on crypto, but like you, not nearly as much as if I’d done nothing. I’m a few orders of magnitude short as if I’d done nothing. That’s the hardest part, is doing nothing. Literally all I had to do was nothing, and I was too damn clever to even do that. Fortunately I’m much dumber now. Daily auto DCA remains in place. I’ve finally found the winning play, 14 years later.

_Commando_

If BTC price stays below 70k for 4 years then MSTR would be in trouble because they need to make that payout to investors every 4+ years and thwir strat ia based on BTC price going up a min 50% per yr.

Odd-Parking-90210

>...and a bunch of them in BTC still think quantum hacks are fictitious boogeymen... Well, there is a lot of random noise in and around and coming from Quantum Computing, both literally and figuratively. More and more of it, actually. The path to breaking Bitcoin is logarithmic, not exponential. It may truly never get there.

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Post is by: nama99 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1p43om3/quick_question_for_active_btc_traders_would_a/ I’m trying to streamline my own routine and wanted to get feedback from this sub. Every morning I jump between multiple tabs — news, OI changes, whale flow dashboards, ETF data, sentiment, Twitter, etc. It’s noisy and takes way too long to get a clear picture. I’m experimenting with generating a **1-page BTC morning brief** that includes: • major overnight news • OI + perp positioning changes • whale netflows • ETF/flow context • likely scenarios (bull / bear / chop) • levels to watch **Not selling anything** — just trying to see if other people would actually find something like this useful in their daily prep. **Questions:** 1. Would you read something like this daily? 2. What info *must* be included to make it genuinely useful? 3. If you already get your morning context somewhere, what do you use? If anyone wants, I can share a redacted sample screenshot too. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; A solo Bitcoin miner achieved an extraordinary feat by solving block 924,569 with a modest hash rate of 1.2 terahashes per second, earning 3.146 BTC worth approximately $266,000. This is remarkable given the dominance of industrial-scale mining operations. The miner's success was described as having odds of 1.2 million to one per day. This year has seen several solo miners achieve similar successes, highlighting the potential for individual miners in a competitive industry. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

AbbreviationsLive475

BTC Match Making 🤔 I think I just stumbled on a niche lol

-mentalbreakdance-

Totally agree with you. Veterans have seen this movie before: sharp corrections, even deep ones, are completely normal in crypto, especially during bull runs when euphoria gets out of control. This isn’t even that extreme yet. And yeah, the strict “4-year cycle” dogma died the moment BTC printed a new all-time high months before the halving. The script has changed. 1. We’re still sitting on massive unrealized institutional and ETF inflows that haven’t fully rotated back in yet. Every healthy correction in this cycle so far has been bought aggressively by institutions who are structurally under-allocated. The moment sentiment flips from “capitulation” to “dip-buying opportunity,” that dry powder comes rushing back in. 2. Macro liquidity is turning bullish again: Global M2 money supply is expanding, central banks (especially the Fed) have pivoted toward easing, and rate cuts are basically priced in for 2025. Crypto thrives in a “risk-on + liquidity” environment, and we’re heading straight into it. So yeah, the current bears will turn into raging bulls faster than most expect; history doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. Seen this exact movie in 2016–17 and 2020–21. Same script, new actors.

LifeHeroo

Market will drop till BTC 37K

MK2809

This cycle feels so much more manipulated. BTC falls from 120+ to 80 in just over a month. I think the drop a month after the 2021 high wasn't as big as that

ririderose

Yup… and when bitcoin hit those levels (that is if it’s still around ) guaranteed gold will well over 20K and the equities markets will be off the charts …. BTC does not straight line go up in a bubble all its own … will BTC hit 1 million , yeah most likely , if it doesn’t collapse but so will a lot of things … inflation isn’t over people , it’s how the wealthy plan on taking ownership away from us … Think big picture , not just BTC big picture

meshies

These are all legitimate concerns and I think it is the biggest risk atm. It is making my outlook on BTC dwindle fast ngl.

Optimal-Bit3327

Eth is the ginger stepchild of BTC.

Emergency_Egg1281

i have been made fun of for this in the past but im betting large on it.....The play is CORE !! just look at their website and then BTC homepage. Core is directly tied to bitcoin. It's even made up of small bits of BTC that come from completing a mining block of 3.12 BTC. a portion of that .12 BTC is part of the CORE token. Core came out and was a steady 2 to 5 dollar token. It started dropping then bumping up and down for a while at .50 or better. NOW with BTC under pressure its been down as low as .13.... thats cents !! Ask your AI on your phone to explain the CORE token and its relation to BTC. . I seriously think this will be a big winner in the not to distant future.

Sothisismylifehuh

Incorrect. You try and scoop up any BTC at the price you deserve.

quintavious_danilo

My BTC average is $25k so yeah. We’re still good and will continue to be.

HeroeNoMore

Nah. Whales are enjoying their well earned, years-of-investment-in-BTC money. Same thing you and me would do if selling our BTC would leave us with billions of USD.

Pali1119

Multiply both sides by infinite, then *Your money = $1 x infinite = you have infinite money*, whereas with BTC you'd only have $21 mln. Math apparently ain't that easy for you huh (btw before math grads appear from the shadows, I know "infinite" is not a number nor variable, so calculating with it is not this simple)

ilikecrispywaffles

Nice, I'm 60% BTC 20% SOL 20% ETH Oh.. and tiny bit of XRP

Emergency_Egg1281

^ this 💯. And, to the idiots that think Trunp is manipulating the market...HE DOESNT HAVE ENOUGH CASH TO MOVE A MULTI TRILLIOB MARKET !!. Who is ? I personally think its opposite. Bezos and his 7 or 8 pals. Things that have been happening that should move the market up have not. Pos. Job report Thursday was a planned pump day for many including me. SO, what in getting at is right now the opposite of what OP is saying is just as likely...BTC moons big on a random day....just because.

Mundane-Reality-2294

Jealous in a good way! 😄 So I guess the next goal is 0.2 BTC?

DwightsShirtGuy

According to this guy, BTC is going to do… something

The1WhoDares

Hey I don’t look @ my losses… but I’m down mmm prolly like 200+ $k @ the moment. But I’m buying so I’m not worried. This is the best opportunity. I hope BTC goes down more!! Lmao 😠

Impossible_Nature849

Yeah, right around 0.1 percent of my net worth is in BTC, and while I'm not mega-rich or anything, I am certain that I have a higher net worth than anyone on this sub fantasizing about becoming a Bitcoin overlord.

Normal_Ant_4612

Lmao all this fear and BTC hate coming from the crypto sub? Tells me all I need to know.

Happy_Discussion_536

Regards and doomers here will soon understand why BTC was invented when QE3 money printer gets turned on soon.

_felagund

As a bear, I think something fishy going on, BTC shouldn’t have fallen when M2 increased a month ago

ajkom

\> Do you think the biggest BTC mining pools don't talk to each other? They don't need to. Proof-of-work is self-evident. Comparing proof-of-stake to POW in this post context is laughable.

road22

greyscale just sold 440,000 BTC. Its going to take some time for new investors to absorb that. Its amazing BTC is still above 80K.

Strict_Anybody_1534

Most 'influencers' on X have very little Bitcoin and rely on social conformity/scams to aid their cause/produce income. Most folks I know who have numerous BTC including myself are not actively posting on X, recording podcasts or doing public appearances. All I Know is in the next 10-20 years, Bitcoin will be much much higher than it is now.

Churn

That probably explains the app, the BTC balance, the currency, and the comma placement. Now tell us about the stock you are concerned about?

Brilliant-Cause1997

I've been investing in BTC every weekly basis in the Coindcx App.an Indian Crypto application.

donjoe0

\- Why Microstrategy is not a "distressed junk bond" \- What Saylor means with the latest "we're not a fund" tweet, and what the major difference is vs. owning a BTC ETF (spoiler: you gain vs. lose BTC over time) [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGOsXq2l0lI&t=575s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGOsXq2l0lI&t=575s)

WiseChest8227

So every single person who bought a BTC ETF is down? That is not good news.

Coixe

I’m not saying he’s great but when you get older it’s not uncommon to move assets around. He might be a total scam, but it’s not because he took some profits on his BTC at the ripe age of 78. We don’t know what he did with the money and we don’t know how much BTC he kept.

ubermensch1001

I don't think we are going into a bear market like everyone is expecting. I still am holding to my thesis of this going into next year given the variables I mentioned. I've added a bit to my positions since the October 10th crash but nothing crazy. The only thing I'm holding from last cycle is BTC, I also added more aggressively to this the 2nd half of 2022. and a little here and there along the way. This is more my long term hold, so I don't obsess too much about this. My main alt pick for this cycle was ADA, I bought it up aggressively in 2023 and 2024 and added during the lows of this year, my average is under 40 cents. It's been a relevant alt for a couple cycles now, was/is well off from it's highs of 2021 and I really like the staking with it. ETH is another one for me. I had some of this last cycle but exited that quite a while ago when it was still trading strong compared to BTC, so I converted it over into that. Most of this cycle it really wasn't worth touching in my opinion. Even in early 2024 it was still trading above .05 to BTC. However, I bought some back in April when it was at cycle lows at under .02 to BTC AND at $1400. At this point, I'm already well positioned and not all that worried.

002_timmy

Yeah, he sold BTC at $90k after saying it was going to $250k by EOY

YogurtclosetTall2558

Start with BTC and ETH, buy on a schedule, learn custody. If you dip a toe into alts, keep it small and pick utility. Ocean for governed data access, Akash for decentralized GPUs, Render for GPU work, Bittensor for AI services.

UWhuskiesRule

It’s just noise. The tariffs have been running inflation up so the Fed has been unable to lower rates.. Dec 1, the Fed ends QT and then we get a rate cut in December. With the sky falling and people panicking, BTC is 33% below its ATH as a low.. for those of us that have been in for a while, this is nothing.. just stack and chill. And you can bet BTC will be at least $350K within a few years.

NHLBigFan

Hasn't he done what (according to Jordi Visser) early Bitcoin holders have been doing i.e. selling BTC with huge profit to diversify investments.

road22

I think a lot of whales are scared of problems developers have now with KNOTTS. Also they are watching BTC become institutionalized, and that means loss of privacy and rehypothecation (paper bitcoin) to manipulate price. This opens the door for extreme leverage and BTC has become a CEX casino with the house always having advantage and short term holders buying at the top and getting crushed. We invited Wall Street to the party, and when you pray for rain, you better learn to deal with the mud.

wtfamidoingngoing

I'm buying on the way down and the way up to $1M = BTC. Just buy and hold if you don't need the cash. Sell when you need the cash, hopefully at a profit.

2peg2city

If I told you BTC would 3x it's old ATH and eth wouldn't even break it's ATH two years ago would you be surprised?

Ohms2North

So he should $2.25M worth of BTC to hopefully make $27500 a month, while at the same time predicting that BTC will hit $250K next year, which is a 3x from here. So if he just held his btc it would be worth $7.75 next year. Wut?!

SpontaneousDream

Putting their ETH "to work" by it's very nature devalues their ETH holdings. You need to sell some of that ETH to actually realize net earnings from staking or DeFi, because no one in their right mind sees ETH as actual *money.* That's why they sell to stablecoins or BTC...

SeriousGains

Seems considerably worse than that, as ETH will undoubtedly go back down to at least 1.7k and it’s long term value is seriously in question. I don’t believe BTC’s really has been, despite the drawdowns.

GeorgeOrrange

you know what could stop you from using it? mass adoption, because it certainly wouldn't scale. this doesn't seem likely to be an issue because everyone who has studied BTC knows that even at these low txn levels, it's too capital inefficient to do much of anything other than hoard it, and there are better options out there for fulfilling Satoshi's vision

mushy-shart-walk

I hope not. My Roth is maxed and I need BTC low until January so I can max it around this price.

Aaata-

No matter what people say, cycles are built into BTC because it has no intrinsic calculable value like stocks or real estate. This is why it pumps and dumps this hard in periods aligned with the halving. This cycle it did a 750% gain on its low of 17k, eventually people take profit, then people see their unrealized pnl disapear and panic sell, some capitulate at a loss and some just hodl through the bear market but there is nothing measurable that can attribute a fair value to BTC and stabilize its price. 40-45k is a reasonable level for the low of the bear market we just entered, might be more, might be less.

priedits

Now it’s time to short the alts, but yeah.. just BTC from now one

1RogueArborist

1/3 of anything is a foolish allocation... That almost never ends well. (unless it's Apple in 2003) How do you value BTC so you know when to get in? What are the metrics? What's the Intrinsic value, and if there is somehow no "bid" one day, what liquidation value does it have? That's how you determine an entry point. Unless... its all emotion and hype.

anonymousFinPro

You are at 1% BTC, not bad.. if you prioritize investing and do it regularly, you can move the number up soon!

Lurkinglurch80

This does make me laugh. Just a few months ago it was all; Bitcoin ETFS outpacing everything, Bitcoin Rising Faster Than Gold, Bitcoin growth outpacing.... Etc etc now it's the world is ending, Bitcoins going to zero, record numbers pulling out of BTC ETF's etc etc. It's all knee jerk reactionary news articles. There is something going on but try to find facts not speculation. I suspect there is something going on around the MSCI consultation around the exclusion of companies who have more than 50% investment in digital assets such as BTC. Exert: MSCI has published a preliminary list of companies that are potentially impacted by a recent consultation on how it treats companies with significant holdings in digital assets. For non-index constituents on this list, MSCI has stated they will not be considered for inclusion in the MSCI All Cap Index as part of the November 2025 Index Review.  The companies on the preliminary impacted list (which includes both current index constituents and non-index constituents under scrutiny) reportedly include: MicroStrategy Sharplink Gaming Riot Platforms Marathon Digital Holdings  MSCI is continuing to review its data sources and will provide further updates. The final decision on the consultation is expected to be announced in January, with any changes taking effect in February.  So this could be a massive offloading by these and other companies to

b1mm3rl1f3

Bro sold BTC for 2 surgery centres and a billboard😂 even Grant cardone replied sounds like poor dad to me and he’s a real estate guy. Kiyosaki is managing risk but honestly the old school gold crowd just doesnt understand modern digital assets

Polysorbate800

Tom Lee says BTC $100k by end of 2022

Tall_Run_2814

People say the exact same thing EVERY CYCLE, lol. Forget about the price action and what people are saying and just look at the metrics. BTC is now held by corporations and countries. Even projects like ETH and SOL are earning $4 million a day in revenue in the mist of the market plummeting. Crypto is just code my friend and code is not going out of business.

northcasewhite

I remember people on Reddit mocking Tim draper for 2 years for buying BTC at $600. And these were Bitcoiners who held Bitcoin. At that time people couldn't imagine what was to follow.

MushroomDizzy649

The main problem with selling the majority of one’s stake isn’t waiting for the bottom, it’s the uncertainty of knowing when to go back in. Also, what are you going to invest in? BTC has been the fastest horse for the last 16 years. It’s a dangerous game to play hopping on and off and I hope it works out for you.

718Brooklyn

They’ll move to stable coins that they control. Honestly, I’m bummed that BTC as the global currency didn’t happen. It was naive to think that the institutions wouldn’t just own it all and then assuming that a 2009 technology would eventually become obsolete.

kweniston

If the dollar collapses, BTC can go to infinity. Just like a loaf of bread.

Relevant-Flatworm926

what does this mean for BTC?

RealPrinceZuko

It all comes down to liquidity and the federal reserve. More money being printed = everything is more expensive and the dollar becomes even more worthless. BTC and crypto in general can pump hard off any favorable policy change (lower interest rates and QT ending/QE beginning for example). We all know our fiat system is designed to fail at some point. The goal is to get that money into other assets before that collapse.

RocksteK

Sold around 40% of my BTC and 100% of ETH, some at near the top. Now I think I’ll wait at least six months to buy back in at what I hope will be much lower prices. Then, in 2028 I’ll sell again. Do this with stocks as well.

EthanOrtane

Chat GPT says: Good question. There’s no single reason, but a combination of macro, market-technical, and sentiment factors seem to be driving Bitcoin’s ~30% drop. Here are the main explanations, according to analysts: --- Why Bitcoin Has Fallen ~30% 1. ETF Outflows Big outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs have put downward pressure. When institutional funds redeem, that can translate into real selling in the underlying BTC. 2. Macro Risk (Risk-Off Sentiment) Investors are turning more cautious: uncertainty about U.S. interest rate cuts is weighing heavily. There’s broader risk aversion, especially in “riskier” assets like crypto, as some capital moves to safer places. Strengthening U.S. dollar and higher bond yields make Bitcoin relatively less attractive. 3. Leverage & Liquidations A lot of long (bullish) leveraged positions got liquidated, which accelerates the drop. This kind of cascade (“liquidation cascade”) is particularly brutal in crypto because of leverage. 4. Profit-Taking / Whales Selling Some large holders (“whales”) are taking profits after the big run-up. On-chain data suggests long-term holders are moving coins to exchanges, which could mean selling pressure is building. 5. Liquidity Thinning Market “depth” is lower: there are fewer orders supporting the price, so even modest sell pressure can move BTC significantly. When liquidity dries up, big sell orders have a bigger impact. 6. Macro / Geopolitical Risk Trade tensions (e.g., tariffs) are adding to economic uncertainty. Higher inflation or sticky inflation concerns are complicating expectations about central bank policy. 7. Cycle Dynamics Some analysts point to Bitcoin’s “natural” four-year cycle: after a big bull run, a correction or “cooling” phase is normal. This could just be part of a broader cyclical pullback, rather than something “fundamentally broken.” 8. Sentiment & Fear The market’s mood has shifted: fear is creeping back in, especially after leveraged liquidations and ETF redemptions. Some traders are panic selling or closing short-term bets, which contributes to downward momentum. --- Why It’s Especially “Sharp” Right Now The scale of leverage makes corrections more vicious: leveraged long trades get liquidated quickly, which then pulls the price down even faster. ETF flows are very visible: when big funds withdraw, it signals to the market that institutions are less confident. Macro uncertainty is higher than usual: if investors aren’t sure what the Fed will do, risk assets suffer. There may also be whale profit-taking, which is particularly powerful when combined with thin liquidity. --- Risks & What to Watch If you're trying to evaluate if this is a “dip” to buy or a more serious decline, some key things to watch: ETF flow reports (are inflows coming back or continuing outflows?) On-chain data (whale wallet movements, exchange inflows/outflows) Macro data (interest rate decisions, inflation, economic risk) Liquidation events (if there are more, it could worsen) Technical support levels on BTC price charts (where buyers might step in) --- Bottom line: The drop looks to be driven by a mix of profit-taking, ETF redemptions, macro risk, and liquidations, not necessarily a breakdown of Bitcoin’s long-term case. But it's a sharp move, and many of these risks are real right now. If you like, I can pull together recent (last 3-6 month) on-chain and macro analysis that explains whether this is likely a temporary pullback or a deeper correction — do you want me to do that?

SorryWerewolf4735

It's a choice that the decentralized community can make. They can continue on whichever fork they think is "right". They can completely fork the code to maintain the old blockchain. This happened with BTC/BCH. This happened with ETH hack. This happened with SIA miner fork. This happens all the time.

No-Anteater509

Restarted my weekly reoccurring BTC purchase today for the first time in over two years. Never sold a single sat

FoompaDoomp

BTC price was $110k at the time this was posted. Three weeks later, it's now $84k.

b1mm3rl1f3

Tom Lee says BTC to rebound to $200k by January's end. We're about to cut rates and unleash QE in Dec + the drop is completely unsustainable. Known as the parabolic arc pattern, typically retraces 62%-79% and I think this could be what hes basing his prediction on

malte_brigge

Cool, so anyone who is 40 and hodling BTC right now with your time horizon can look forward to having a real good time at 70 years old. Either that, or you plan to have kids and grandkids to pass it on to. I hope so.

110010010011

Miners have always been selling. That’s how they pay for mining. The profit margin is non-existent or slim so the majority of the BTC mined needs to be sold to cover the overhead. But given how low the block reward is now, there is very few freshly mined BTC being sold each day relative to the rest of the market. It’s retail panic that’s powering this drop, same as always. Sure, there have been major catalysts in the past like the Mt Gox hack, the China bans, and the FTX collapse. What’s different this time is we’re not seeing such an obvious cause (yet) other than “by now in the four year cycle, Bitcoin has always peaked.”

Alexbobica

BTC is a safe investment. Honestly, ETH is the biggest disappointment of the circle. However, the entire game is now centered on ETFs. Could be good investments. Good luck.

floppypretense

Stablecoins aren’t killing crypto. They’re finally giving it a real use-case. They’re the infrastructure, not the competition. BTC/ETH don’t need to be currencies to matter. BTC is a store of value, ETH is the settlement layer for everything being built on-chain. Their volatility doesn’t make them useless, but it just means they’re not meant to replace day-to-day money. What’s actually happening is that institutions are shifting from pure speculation to productive on-chain assets: tokenized treasuries, bonds, real estate, revenue-sharing… all the “real world” stuff. And this is where stablecoins are the fuel. Once you have stable on-chain money (USDC, USDT, etc...), you can invest it into actual assets, which is why platforms like Fractionvest, Ondo, etc... are popping up. So no, stablecoins aren’t destroying crypto. They’re the bridge to the phase where crypto becomes useful, not just volatile charts.

jeffereeee

You haven’t lost anything unless you sell at a loss. If you keep what you have bought, then that BTC. Is still the same amount of BTC

qzuc

Binance fee is always 0.00003 BTC per each withdrawal, btw set a specific amount of BTC to be transferred to cold wallet once reached so you pay less fees.. also for each transaction it's advisable to use a different public key to maintain some kinda privacy

RedditTooAddictive

Lost 300k since ATH means 40k down per BTC means 7.5 BTC before buying 2 more

ARoundForEveryone

Down? I haven't been underwater in crypto...ever. Individual coins/tokens, yeah. But my total wallet has never been in the red. Started buying before it really blew up in 2017. Sold some near the peak and dabbled in day trading a bit. Bought more - weekly DCA - for years. Sold more to fund a down payment on a house and a holiday vacation. Continued DCAing for years. Sold the rest of my BTC back in June around the $100k mark. Have a handful of alts, but all my BTC is gone. And I'm not down a penny. I'm up a few million pennies.

CalaisZetes

Apparently it's an infinite pizza. As it gets eaten you can just divide what's left infinitely so it never runs out. Kinda meaningless to ask if there's more, or to say there's only '1' pizza. I don't think it's the same for BTC, just pointing out the flaw if you thought like u/Tough-Many-3223.

PaulblankPF

At this point the large percentage gains of BTC are far behind us. Nvidia has outpaced BTC since 2020. Good to be diversified at the least. Not selling once it broke 120k was pure greed and the old saying of “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful” still applies. Too much confidence things will be okay out there to be buying right now. The top was screaming top though with the greed last month.

dmbveloveneto

That would make sense considering it was the worst weekly candle in BTC’s history.  This is a BTC sub where everyone will circlejerk about it. In reality you need to start asking what other catalyst will move the needle here.  BTC and the broader crypto market has never recovered from the reputational damage of FTX and becoming engulfed in politics has only made it more polarizing. Pre-2022 there was broad curiosity in BTC. There was genuine excitement. Now ppl either wholeheartedly believe in it, or just think it’s radioactive and will never touch it. Even when BTC broke ATH’s, it never had the same buzz around it that it did pre-FTX. Additionally, there’s a growing chorus of concern around the ramifications that quantum computers will have. The inflection point is closer than most people realize. BTC needs quantum-proof cryptography yesterday because the concept will destroy its value well before it actually breaks anyone’s seed phrase. If you still believe in the four-year cycle, you would sell now because quantum computing will likely be able to break a seed phrase before the next cycle top.  So you need to ask yourself where you expect new money to come from, because the ppl who love it are already heavily invested, and those who don’t likely will never consider it. 

Emerald_Bitcoin

In theory It means you are in the 100 million club as only 100 million people can own 0.21 BTC but in reality it’s much less than that

bc1btc

Bro, everyone with half a brain knows this “guess my parking + DM screenshot + 0.2 BTC” is the oldest car theft reconnaissance scam in Dubai. Your Brabus is literally the #1 most-stolen modified car in the UAE right now. Theft rings pay good money for exact pillar numbers and levels in residential buildings. Zero people have ever received even 1 satoshi from these posts, but plenty of G-Wagons, Cullinans and Uruses have disappeared weeks later. Nice try though. Maybe next time post your home address too while you’re feeling generous 😭👋

Reefa513

Stop taking pictures of other people's cars, and no we don't want your fake .02 BTC you scammer.

Consistent-Stick-336

BTC not, blockchain maybe.

VIXtrade

You're not wrong about the growth in stablecoin market cap and transactions. Major financial institutions and governments are very interested in this trend. \>Could the current dive in value of BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA be linked to institutions timing the market and exiting ? does smart money unload their bags onto dumb money at the peak of the cycle? \> whats left to hope for in crypto? It kind of depends what your goals are. Want to see widespread mainstream adoption of blockchain technology? Its coming, but likely not the way you're hoping for. Hope to see BTC reach 1 million? Don't hold your breath. Hope to see the crypto market cap recover to 4.27 Trillion? Could take a year , 5 years, or never happen. Nobody knows. Maybe the crypto market stops crashing soon, rips higher for a short time before crashing further.

Tall_Run_2814

No one will ever know the exact lowest price, but you can clearly tell we're in a free fall right now. Just let it fall. Eventually things will get boring again and everyone accepts that "whatever amount" is the new price. I for one DCA, every week I buy BTC, ETH and SOL regardless of price. When there are major corrections and moves downward I increase my buys.