BTC

Kareni_Davis

The math works until it doesn't. The real question isn't whether BTC outperforms 11.5% over 12 months - it probably will. It\`s whether you can psychologically handle watching your liquidation price during a 30% drawdown without panic-closing at the worst moment.

richardto4321

Most people don't understand that it's still an assymetric bet. The chances of BTC going to zero are much lower than the chances of BTC going to $250k+ in 5-10 years.

AutoModerator

Post is by: talissman_7 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1todewo/update_6_days_ago_i_shared_a_6month_analysis_of/ Hey everyone, Last week I posted an EDA showing the Top 5 news triggers based on a 6-month sample of CoinDesk headlines mapped to 1-minute BTC candles. While the 15-minute volatility decay was clear, a lot of you (and my own tests) pointed out a massive flaw: 6 months is just one market regime. It’s not enough data to prove if a strategy is actually robust or just overfitting a bull run. So, I left my pipeline running, dealt with the Binance API rate limits, and scaled the dataset to cover **2 FULL YEARS (May 2024 - May 2026)**. That is 3,773 high-impact news events strictly aligned with T0, T+5m, T+15m, and T+1h price action. **The brutal takeaway across 3,700+ events:** The initial conclusion holds up even stronger across a 2-year timeline. If you are manually trading breaking news, you are simply exit liquidity for algorithms. The actionable price impact (the alpha) is absorbed almost entirely within the first 10-15 minutes, regardless of whether it's a bull or bear market. By the time a human reads the headline and opens an exchange, it's over. I’ve updated my Kaggle notebook with the new 2-year charts so you can visually see how the volatility decays over a statistically significant timeframe. You can check out the updated analysis and the code here: [**https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/yevheniipylypchuk/bitcoin-news-vs-1m-btc-price-action-2025-26**](https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/yevheniipylypchuk/bitcoin-news-vs-1m-btc-price-action-2025-26) For the quants here: do you still try to trade news sentiment on lower timeframes, or have you completely moved to macro trends? Would love to hear your thoughts on the expanded dataset. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

james8807

the real question is...what is the total current value of their BTC holdings

Ced-Invest

Fully with you on the mechanism. The "AI sucked liquidity" framing was always a narrative shortcut for a duration and rates story, the actual flow data backs you up. ETF inflows being positive most of 2025 is the part nobody quotes because it ruins the clean rotation arc. Where I would push back slightly is on the marginal corporate treasurer decision, not the macro flow. That layer of buyer was making a single basket bet on "AI exposure" through NVDA. Now they have to pick a lane inside AI, and BTC sits there as the one allocation that does not require picking a winner inside a fragmenting trade. Not a rotation story, more a relative attractiveness of the simplest non-equity bet versus a basket that just got harder to construct. Agreed the macro driver dominates. The AI fracture is just one input that quietly improves BTC's case at the margin.

beerbaron105

I still hold both, however I no longer use my icy white CC, there are better reward cards out there for me, I unstaked my Cro and I am waiting for a bullrun to dump it. Bittensor will be a long, long term hold like BTC, it will be worth $20k-50k in next 5 years and will keep going up, decentralized AI is the future

HSuke

They can. They've been selling STRC whenever it's over $100, which they call "ATM". Historically, they've used this to buy BTC, but they could use it to replenish the cash reserves. And the reserves are what pays the STRC dividends. Kind of like a pyramid-adjacent scheme.

mmmenterprises

I did and lost 1.35 BTC as a result Paid for a life lesson

HSuke

My bets are on: * 70% chance of selling STRC * 25% chance of selling BTC (there's a chance now that mNAV is under 1.22) * 5% chance of inventing something once again to attract new ~~bagholders~~ customers

Lops1dedFuture

10x from here means $800k+ BTC. Possible? Yes. Probable in the next cycle? Much harder to argue. The math gets less friendly as the market cap grows.

gigasawblade

It is backed by an asset, so legally all is good. Asset itself is questionable, but no-one can prove that. The feeling is valid of course, there are small things that look shady, many of the the metrics they use for example. Like related to post - why in BTC-per-share metric share includes debt but not cash? Using cash to pay debt should have zero impact on this metric, amount of BTC and shares didn't change, yet BTC/share increased.

blaziken8x

Ah, that makes more sense. I bought BTC and ETH when it dipped too, but I kept buying, and they seem to be stable enough right now.

No-Contribution1070

Really? I don't mean to be rude, but how are you invested in Crypto but seemingly oblivious to what U.S.G. has in store for BTC?

blaziken8x

Bro buys BTC and ETH at peak, just to sell at bottom and now buys AI stocks at peak. lololol I bought Samsung and Intel stock when they were a flaming dumpster fire and now I'm up 260% on samsung and 370% on intel, but I don't think I would be willing to put more into them at this point. But I am putting more money into BTC.

Suspicious-Case3861

My advice slow down and read, take a deep breath. Again BTC will not be solely purchased through trad contract funds and crypto is and will be purchased direct on chain. Do you understand? M2/gliquid will go up, so will crypto market cap? It has too, it's simply timing the market something you don't seem to be able to do, hence stick to your advisor and equity funds.

Saiyan_Gunner

well done too many alts led to a shocking cycle. AI stocks have been crazy easy gains for a while now and looking at the capex I don't expect a slowdown for now. I took most of my money out myself, sold BTC between 110-120k and diversified into my global and US etfs.

palebloodslayer

How is it inevitable tho? He had BTC, which will go up if you hold long enough

verysillyman

Micron another new high, BTC another dump

MediumLibrarian7100

This is getting boring now. Still completely dodging the actual point. The argument isn’t BTC is dead or no liquidity ever… It’s that new liquidity now enters and stays concentrated through institutional rails instead of cascading freely into broad alt rotations like before. Saying just buy BTC or Trump will print doesn’t change how the plumbing works now. You’ve contributed literally nothing to the discussion again.

Buster_xx

Microstrategy is the biggest scam. They won't show proof of reserves. Michael Saylor is also on the Epstein list. Just buy BTC. Ignore this crap

Suspicious-Case3861

BTC is directly linked to global liquidity. Stop saying things like payment rails that's for alts when they build cfds of tokenized assets that won't really bring much since hardly any will charge gas. yes most of the market has coins that are useless just simply don't invest in them and stick to A grade crypto or projects with actual momentum. Again BITCOIN is linked directly to global liquidity fed will print their way out under trump. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to position right now.

Naughty_Necessities

I can help you with it but will take 50% BTC from the recovered BTC . Incase interested, let me know

ChangeHeroOfficial

MicroStrategy is clearly operating with a very long-term conviction in Bitcoin, using cash reserves instead of selling BTC signals that the core strategy has not changed at the same time, leverage and debt structures always introduce timing pressure, especially in volatile markets

NurUrl

Buy Spot BTC. in Another Side w/e is perpetual or options, you Short BTC...

riscten

Not infinite lol. This is a finite geometric series. At 50% LTV, you're basically doing `x/2⁰ + x/2¹ + x/2² + x/2³ + ... +x/2^n` meaning that at most you can double the BTC collateral, basically opening a 2x leveraged position.

Medium_Change4574

Alts wanna run so bad but BTC is a little bitch

ChangeHeroOfficial

rising bond yields usually reflect macro stress, and Bitcoin being mentioned in that context is interesting over time BTC keeps behaving more like a macro asset than people expected if this really is part of a larger cycle, it will only become clear in hindsight

palebloodslayer

If quantum computing can break BTC, it will break everything. Including bank and government systems

Suspicious-Case3861

Not to be disrespectful but it's pointless discussing global liquidity because if you don't understand what's happening you never will, fyi I bought the bottom and am already up over all and have been for a while I can weather a retrace but anticipate the next BTC cycle to be impeccable

MrFrydenlund89

Had a 20k short on BTC back in 2022. Went out drinking with a friend, talked about Bitcoin, felt bad and turned it into a long when I got back at 3am. Got liquidated.

TheRadishBros

I hate Michael Saylor so much. He’s going to set BTC back by years.

AsbestosDude

Its not private, its the most public transaction network ever conceived Decentralized is a structure, doesn't mean its private. Monero is private, BTC and most other currencies are public. Everything you do on public blockchain is fully tracable 

MediumLibrarian7100

People were using stables more than bitcoin even in the old liquidity architecture… most assets are traded in pairs w BTC but the data shows even then people opt for stables

Cygnus__A

You still cant really use BTC to buy anything..

BainTrain55

2026 BTC chart looks surprisingly similar to the 2022 pattern. Last bear market between May 27 - June 17, it dropped 23%. If history repeats that would bring us down to 59,000. Which is the 200 WMA. Interesting.

ArmedWithBars

Made a ton of money off btc over the last decade. Regardless the reason it's not trusted and will never be trusted as a currency is because it's too volatile. Imagine USD's buying power swung 30%-50% either way in a year. Nobody would trust USD or want to use it. Buyers don't want to spend a currency that can explode upwards in buying power. Sellers don't want to accept a currency that can tank in buying power. That's just the downside of a currency backed by nothing besides consumer faith. It's not backed by a government, it's not backed by a military, it's not backed by a tangible physical object. At the end of the day it's numbers on a screen that are dependent on both internet and electricity to have any semblance of use. This doesn't even address the sheer amount of btc centralized ownership there is already. Companies tried using BTC as an acceptable currency, that fell apart during the post covid btc crash when said companies watched their btc reserves crater in value against USD. Besides illegal transactions, btc has had zero practical use besides being glorified gambling where people can bet USD that they'll be able to get more USD down the road. A significant portion of its "value" today is based purely on people buying it to sell it for more at a later date, not because they want a decentralized currency.

BainTrain55

2026 BTC chart pattern looks shockingly similar to the 2022 pattern. Last bear market between May 27 - June 17, it dropped 23%.

sramp17

I’m no BTC pro myself, but sounds like you have a lot to learn and may be better off leaving it in the exchange for now unless you have a large amount sitting there

Capwnzzi

BTC is a technology. ya'll see what i'm saying about asking 'reddit' for advice financially? these dudes are broke and don't have a clue. buy bitcoin, hold that shit, thank me later, ignore all retards in the middle. friendly advice from a very wealthy individual, took me 6 years, will take you less if you buy today and have conviction on what you're buying, talking about 200-1000% gains in the next few years, but not anything insane like turn 1k into 1 million that's not investing that's gambling if that ever happens. i would certainly stay off reddit for financial advice, you see how well that worked during 2021 WSB fiasco where they infiltrated reddit, banned EVERY SINGLE original member, and then psy-op'd it to death by banning anyone who posted constructive criticism at that point or anything against their agenda. i recommend you learn how to invest or trade independent as you wont be able to rely on strangers for help really ever as they give advice not answers. i been around for a long while even though i'm only 35, been here since this bean sprout of what's called the internet first sprouted leaves, always on the fringe and learning about life in ways others often miss. 1500+ followers on WeBull that I use to post bitcoin TA and rant about politics <3 Dogecoin sleeper pog champ btw, definitely worth adding risk to portfolio with this coin but dont go crazy and sell when it pumps as doge is not bitcoin, nothing is bitcoin except bitcoin, remember that.

NonVideBunt

I should have exited. Have a bag of BTC, ETH, and ADA and keeping my fingers crossed it eventually goes up but ah well. Very small part of my net worth.

Caffeinated_Sugar

Actually invest in BTC. Got spare money? Invest! Then get a cut of profits as a paycheck. Easy(-ish) life!

HSuke

I think they took the opportunity when it came. The holders of the convertible debt must agree to the early payback. I estimate it'll take 2 months of STRC ATMs to rebuild their reserve assuming they don't buy anymore BTC for the next 2 months. Doing this also hurts their all metrics like BPS. But it might take much longer if they keep buying BTC in a bear market instead of saving cash like they just did last week. The timing of this debt repayment is really weird. Ideally, they should've done it during the STRC ATM week of the month so that they can replenish it quicker.

Mister_IO-_-

This is just leveraging with extra steps. Either way the BTC are bot actually yours so be careful

longReshape40

The OG Bitcoin maxi just doing bitcoin maxi things. Adam will always be among the biggest proponents and defenders of BTC.

TomorrowLow5092

Altcoins have gone the way of NTF's. Super sized data centers are popping up and data flow is the product to own. Ask AI what coin to own over next 10 years and it's BTC and ETH. Everything else is noise.

Knerd5

Damn adding the BTC you bought right to the collateral is actually a damn smart move.

TheDigitalPoint

I would have bought Bitcoin. When BTC was $1, I thought, “That’s stupid… fake money that appears out of nothing can’t be worth that much.”

scaste9

XRP in 2017, of course I sold everything and moved to BTC

Present-Ad-9703

11.5% is pretty steep honestly. Leveraging BTC works great until volatility turns against you fast. A nasty drawdown plus liquidation risk can get ugly real quick.

xgtele

With 400 Mh/s (2 GPU) he cannot mine 1 BTC per day in May 2013.

Intelligent-Radio237

This take is directionally right on one thing: the market structure changed, but the conclusion of “alt season is dead forever” is way too absolute. Crypto is not trading in a normal cycle. We’re in one of the strangest macro/political regimes in decades: Trump-era policy volatility, fiscal dominance, tariffs/geopolitics, sticky inflation, and a bull market happening while the Fed has still been draining liquidity through QT. The old “retail buys BTC, profits rotate into ETH, then alts, then microcaps” model may be weaker, but liquidity does not need to look identical to 2017 or 2021 to create another speculative cycle. In fact, the argument ignores the bigger setup: COVID money printing and fiscal stimulus created a massive inflationary aftershock. The Fed then tightened aggressively, but risk assets still found a way to rally. That is not proof crypto is dead — it is proof the system is being repriced under a new inflation/liquidity regime. Commodities are also waking up from a multi-decade base. If the 30-year commodities cycle is breaking out, capital will not just hide in bonds and cash. Hard assets, scarce assets, energy-linked narratives, monetary hedges, and inflation-sensitive trades all become more relevant. Bitcoin already fits that framework. Select altcoins can too. Yes, ETFs trap some liquidity in BTC and ETH wrappers. But they also legitimize the asset class, bring in larger pools of capital, reduce career risk for institutions, and create second-order effects. Institutions do not need to ape microcaps for retail to come back. Retail follows price. Price follows liquidity. Liquidity follows macro. The “40 million tokens” argument is valid, but it does not kill alt season. It kills lazy alt season. The future probably is not “everything pumps.” It is selective, narrative-driven, and more brutal. But that is different from saying the opportunity died. The real mistake is assuming structural change equals permanent death. Markets evolve. Liquidity changes shape. Speculation migrates. In 2021, the dominant trade was cheap money, stimulus checks, and retail leverage. In the next cycle, it may be inflation hedges, commodity scarcity, AI/crypto rails, real-world assets, stablecoin infrastructure, energy, DePIN, tokenized finance, or whatever narrative fits the macro moment. Alt season is not dead. The free-money, zero-rate, 2021-style casino is dead. That distinction matters.

tidiss

Just take unsecured loan with your bank, you will get better APR and you can't get liquidated. Taking BTC backed loan doesn't give you any benefits compared to bank loan.

joos_hubert

I would frame this less as "borrowing against BTC" and more as "taking a leveraged long BTC position at 11.5% with collateral risk." If it were me, I would calculate the exact BTC price where something bad happens: margin call, forced liquidation, or urgent collateral top-up. Then I would assume that moment happens at an inconvenient time, not when I am calmly sitting at my desk. 11.5% is also a real hurdle. BTC has to beat the APR, fees, spread, tax friction, and the stress cost of managing the position. The cleanest version is where you can repay from outside income or cash without needing BTC to go up on schedule. The platform details matter a lot here: custody model, whether collateral can be rehypothecated, how fast you can add collateral, what happens during a wick, and whether early repayment is simple. I would decide based on those mechanics before deciding based on the bullish view.

CocaGelada_

BTC em 2020 🧡

Nice_Material_2436

I've been trying for years but crypto bros aren't ready for the truth. Jamie Dimon wants to see crypto die in a fire and yet his bank serves as a BTC AP. Does he look like someone who read the BTC white paper and suddenly saw the light or is he on a side quest to suck whatever liquidity is left out of exchanges?

cryptoETH_jazz

So you are underinvested in equities…? WTF does it matter how BTC gets liquidity… does it? Green is green

OstralexO

BTC 2009 to spend on drugs on the dark web. Obviously no longer have the BTC or the drugs. 1/10 would not recommend looking back now but at the time I was in heaven.

Long-Scholar-2113

He's a software developer, and most software developers who mined BTC early are billionaires.

DecisionBubbly5623

50% LTV at 11.5% APR to buy *more* BTC sounds less like investing and more like volunteering for emotional damage 😅

itzcrazy047

10BTC that is huge

cyger

Yes, too many coins now, so tokenomics are poor. Plus innovation seems to have slowed. I've been in, since 2015, and saw the evolution of smart contracts, ICOs, Memes, NFTs and DeFi. Now those were exiting times and I made a lot of money in staking rewards. But I've sold almost all alts save for a good junk of Solana. I'm mainly in BTC for its store of value. But I've also moved a majority of assets out of crypto and into AI plays over the last couple of years, because that tech is in super growth phase now and has a higher TAM then crypto.

MadSL1m

BTC hell yeah!

Ok_Distance336

Eh doesn’t make sense unless you’re able to stack full coins These days BTC just seems like fed coin

otetmarkets

Yeah, I’m seeing it too. This cycle feels more like rotation than one big story: BTC is mostly macro plus ETF narrative, ETH is a slow grind, and alts are quick isolated pumps when liquidity shows up. That might be “maturity + tighter risk appetite” more than weak conviction. What do you think would actually unify it again, rate cuts, a real killer app, or a new rails narrative like RWAs?

Sea-Development-8046

Fire up your Crystal Balls everyone. OP wants to know what the price of BTC will be in 2035.

StackingSats1300

I used Strike. I got funded in a few hours, and added the BTC I bought back into the collateral at the click of a button. My liquidation number is sub 40k. That being said, it's nerve-racking watching that number go down. Have a plan.

Cornishchappy

BTC in 2013. I've still got some left.

hypersignals

The piece I would add is that the "AI capex sucked liquidity out of crypto" thesis was always partly cope. NVDA going vertical and BTC going sideways was correlated with the same Fed posture and the same dollar trajectory, not a direct capital rotation. If you look at the actual marginal flows in 2025, crypto ETF inflows were positive in most months, the underperformance versus equities was duration mismatch and leverage unwinds, not a clean capital rotation story. So the fracture in the AI narrative is real and probably bullish at the margin, but I would not expect a clean mirror-image rotation back into crypto. The macro driver matters more than the AI sub-narrative.

No_Paleontologist560

BTC @ $600 2017 but stupid me invested into Trade Coin Club and lost it

Patient_Craft2195

BTC

Temporary-Sweet-8573

BTC in 2018

Blockchain_Batman

FOMO entry into Bitcoin is ironically how most disciplined long-term holders started, the difference between winning and losing was simply never selling when the same crowd that got you in started panicking out. Holding BTC as a structured long-term allocation rather than a trading instrument is not a consolation strategy, it is exactly what the conviction thesis was built on from day one

Fit-Poet6736

BTC along with NEXO in 2018, still holding both

GIGAbtcHodl

government started talking about BTC a lot

GIGAbtcHodl

BTC, yes

PMmeuroneweirdtrick

If BTC goes to 100k it's because equities have rallied. And equities will rally harder.

GeoSystemsDeveloper

**Daily crypto TL;DR:** * ⚠️ Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in 'Fear' (30-40) * 🚀 US-Iran de-escalation talks aid crypto, BTC stabilizes near $77K * ℹ️ Upcoming US inflation (PCE) and consumer confidence data eyed by markets * ⚠️ Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $1.26B outflows last week, longest streak *News summary from the* [*HODLings app*](https://www.geosystemsdev.com/products/hodlings/)*.*

Traditional-Roll-620

Yeah I did this recently... In general my strategy is to take out loan that I can 100% re-pay neverthless BTC price... Will this be good strategy we will see.. I use firefish btw. You can get good deal there ... 11.5% seemes high

Glass_Culture_6209

BTC in 2021 ! Still holding and hodling!

captn03

BTC in 2020

Tight_Log_6305

BTC back in 1863

Fun_Manufacturer_122

BTC in 1992

gymbaggered

Buying BTC at 160 and selling at 190

joos_hubert

Wrapped Bitcoin is basically BTC represented on another chain, usually so it can be used in DeFi apps that Bitcoin itself cannot directly interact with. The important part is that you are no longer just holding native BTC. You are also trusting the wrapper design: who holds or controls the real BTC, how minting/redemption works, what chain the wrapped token lives on, and what happens if liquidity dries up. It can be useful, especially for trading or lending on smart contract chains, but I would treat it as a different risk bucket from cold BTC. For anything involving borrowing or collateral, I would compare the collateral path very carefully: native BTC, wrapped BTC, bridged BTC, custodian risk, liquidation rules, and exit path. Liquidium is one Bitcoin-backed borrowing option I would include in that comparison, mostly to compare collateral design and cross-chain assumptions against WBTC-based apps. The wrapper risk is the thing beginners usually underestimate.

MaB_arreca

https://preview.redd.it/4w6hfmge1g3h1.png?width=1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=7bec1c2437f774b98ad7d0d3796b2bb99a7cb48b The price tap the entry and is pushing down but It sitting now on an important demand around 76450. Today the market is pricing risk on environment, it could be bullish for BTC. If the price break 75990 It could continue pushing down. Let see what happen

cyberaholic

Using a decent portion of my BTC holdings to buy BCH around Aug 2017 to hedge against a future in which either of them did well

Adorable_Ms_G

Diversifying it is. BTC ETH SOL and some altcoins☺️

Patient_Craft2195

Quantum is the new "Bitcoin uses too much energy" — a real issue blown way out of proportion. By the time quantum can break ECDSA (15-20+ years minimum), Bitcoin will have already migrated to post-quantum signatures. The only coins actually at risk are the ones in addresses with exposed public keys, which is a known and fixable problem. Real question: would you rather hold BTC or fiat through the next decade of AI + monetary chaos?

Express_Mulberry9109

I BTC still equals 1 BTC, but since the real inflation rate is higher than 10%, I think no need to hold 0.5 BTC, only less than 0.5 BTC can you make your life better and if you hold 0.5 BTC you will exceed 90% people in the world.

Electronic_Quote399

Well, the good news is we just recently burned a whole bunch of BTC then. 40-60 good wallets at least. 😉😉💀💀

AutoModerator

Post is by: Ced-Invest and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1tnyxcg/anthropic_blacklisted_by_the_pentagon_over_safety/ The Pentagon just declared Anthropic a "supply chain risk" because the company would not let the DoD use Claude for autonomous weapons and mass surveillance. Eight other firms got the contracts: SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, AWS, Oracle, Reflection. For crypto traders this matters more than it looks. Through 2025 the dominant macro narrative for why BTC underperformed equities was that long duration institutional capital had a better story to chase: AI capex. NVDA went vertical, BTC went sideways, the capital rotation thesis was clean and one-directional. In 2026 that thesis is fracturing in a way that has not been priced into crypto yet. NVDA printed an $81.6B revenue quarter on May 20, 85 percent year over year, and the stock dipped on margin concerns. The AI trade is no longer a single narrative. It is segmenting into defense AI, consumer AI, sovereign AI, safety constrained AI, each with its own capital allocator and its own risk profile. What that fragmentation does to crypto allocation is the open question. The argument for BTC as a single coherent macro asset gets stronger relative to a fragmented AI thesis. The marginal corporate treasurer who was choosing between buying NVDA shares and putting BTC on the balance sheet now has to choose between five different AI plays and BTC. That is a slightly different decision tree. The other side: if defense AI becomes a real budget line, that is fiscal expansion flowing into US tech directly. More government deficit financed AI capex means higher yields, dollar pressure, exactly the macro environment BTC has been struggling in. So I am not convinced either way yet. Curious if anyone here has actually updated their AI vs crypto allocation framework on the back of the Pentagon deals. The clean "BTC loses to AI capex" trade looks less clean now that the AI bucket has visibly split. What is your read? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

BriBumer

Some advices are as expected. I just wonder about the Hype hate… I was expecting to get some shit talk about Rise. Maybe eth (because old and still no BTC flip, which many expected last years) But not hype. 🤣

DiddysAfterparty

Does this confirm people who own BTC are regarded?

SomeSteak3720

Just a single dad doing his best and hitting a rough patch. If anyone wants to help lighten the load, even a small BTC donation would honestly help more than you know. 🙏🏽 bc1q5qm2zfl7kj2d9lj4vzyhjg69qlftfu8kwhvsav

Dull-Assumption-964

Hello, Thank you for sharing your insightful questions regarding Bitcoin's origins and design philosophy. Your reflections touch upon some of the most fundamental aspects of its creation. You raise a critical point about Satoshi Nakamoto's intentions. The prevailing view among experts and the inherent design elements within the Bitcoin protocol strongly suggest an intentional effort to create a decentralized system. Features like the proof-of-work consensus mechanism, the distributed ledger, and the capped supply were engineered precisely to prevent control by a single individual or entity, thereby addressing the very 'situation' you described. This fundamental design choice is widely considered a cornerstone of Bitcoin's resilience and appeal. Your observation about artificial intelligence having a longer history than Bitcoin is accurate. While AI has evolved over many decades, Bitcoin introduced a revolutionary application of existing cryptographic principles to solve the problem of digital scarcity and trust. It is indeed true that the full scope of Satoshi's vision continues to be a subject of deep discussion and interpretation among "BTC experts." The anonymity surrounding Satoshi Nakamoto naturally encourages ongoing analysis of their published works and the system they created. Bitcoin's sustained relevance and significant market value over more than a decade certainly attest to the profound impact of its core design. Thank you again for prompting this thoughtful discussion. Your engagement with these foundational concepts is highly valuable.

MakeItMine2024

Mining for 3.5 years versus just buying BTC. It was highly profitable BUT like most miners spent a lot of time learning costly learning lessons still about 60k in the hole https://preview.redd.it/gsupde6p5f3h1.jpeg?width=1112&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=66a7849bc41e153eff12812388d850959892285b

Stephamation

"I got hacked and my funds were sent" how do you spend that BTC with that alibi? In the hypothetical that the tax man comes knocking, demanding answers, how do you explain that this money that was hacked from you, somehow managed to buy you something? Maybe I dont understand your reply?

sethjr10

Advising to buy chunks of BTC before pandemic covid era, but I didn’t buy anything for myself

Bluejumprabbit

Yeah, because liquidity is fragmented now too. ETF BTC, ETH beta, Solana memes, stable yield, and AI all have different buyer bases, so one trade is not dragging the whole market the way it used to. That usually means shorter narrative life

Suitable_Acadia_190

The manufactured FUD observation at the top is the most underrated point in this whole post and you moved past it too quickly. Coordinated negative sentiment doesn't appear randomly. It tends to cluster at specific structural moments — after a significant drawdown when retail is already scared, before a move that institutions want to execute without competition, or when a major position needs to be distributed into remaining buyer liquidity. The timing of FUD cycles in crypto has historically correlated with accumulation activity far more than with genuine fundamental deterioration. That doesn't make every bear case wrong. It means the loudness of a narrative is a terrible proxy for its accuracy. The 401k data point is the one I'd highlight above everything else on the institutional adoption list. Less than 1% of plans offering crypto exposure despite legal ETF access means the actual institutional wave hasn't happened yet. What's happened so far is the infrastructure being built to allow it. The capital itself is still sitting behind fiduciary inertia that will dissolve the same way every new asset class eventually gets normalized — gradually, then suddenly. The advisors at Morgan Stanley and BlackRock recommending Bitcoin to clients in 2025 would have been career-ending moves in 2019. The Ethereum stagnation point is legitimate though and worth sitting with honestly. ETH underperforming its prior cycle peak relative to BTC while carrying significantly more narrative weight is a real structural question, not just FUD. The answer probably lives in the L2 fragmentation of fee revenue, but that's a longer conversation. The Germany Bitcoin sale at $62k is going to be studied in finance courses for a long time.