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AI +8.7%, memes green, low caps starting to move, what are you watching?”
Built a model to predict $100+ BTC moves for Kalshi hourly contracts. Backtests look good, so what am I missing?
The BTC Power Law Curve from Beginning to 10/1/2026
I wanna know everyone's luckiest and unluckiest BTC experiences
Since somebody just posted a completely completely wrong list of past halvening cycle highs and lows, I decided to ask Chat GPT to give the real numbers. Here they are.
Bitcoin’s narrative may be flipping - its about time
Redone BTC Power Curve Using Data up to 2020 for the Confidence and Prediction Intervals as Requested
We opened a bar in Vilnius where you can only pay in crypto. Lightning works. No cards, no cash
I generated hundreds of crypto trading strategies and open-sourced 416 of them with full reports. Only 10 passed a brutal 7-stage validation
BTC is at $76K right now. Can it get back to $100K by Christmas?
Buckle up boys, rocket ship incoming!!! (I sold)
Advice for starting a long-term investment
Why is the IMF obsessed with El Salvador not adopting Bitcoin? They previously forbade them from making it legal tender, accepting tax payments in BTC and from using their government-sponsored BTC wallet, amongst other things.
The truth of Bitcoin & the cryptospace as a whole right now!
For 7 hours and 41 minutes in March 2013 the Bitcoin network was split in two
Properly getting into Bitcoin — where do I even start? 😂
I tracked a full week of Bitcoin mining with 200+ TH/s — here’s what surprised me most
Next week we're publishing the list of everything Bitcoin has been "called" that turned out wrong (Ponzi, tulips, only for drugs, boils the oceans). What are we missing?
Update on my weekly NEXO/USDT technical analysis
what is BTC doing wrong ? why dont they fill the whole block first and then calculate the merkle tree
Strategy Acquires 1,665 BTC and Repurchases $152 Million of STRC
Bitget Resumes Withdrawals In Phases After Security Incident
$100 a week for a year buys about 0.063 BTC. For that to be worth $1M, Bitcoin needs to hit ~$16M. So why do people stack small?
What are you guys doing right now with the crypto market?
Discussion: Best exchanges for buying BTC and your preferred wallets?
bitcoin is in the midst of an aggressive uptrend when priced in gold, its only true competitor
A clean, fast Bitcoin-only dashboard — no altcoins, no signup, always free
I built Visualize Bitcoin: Bitcoin explained as a live 3D machine you can walk through
Poor Canadian Retiree - I would like your thoughts.
Built a small Chrome extension to check BTC and other altcoins without opening another site
Bitcoin is up 38% since Jim Cramer said he was selling. On August 3, 2026, Cramer said he was selling his Bitcoin over quantum computing fears. BTC was trading around $63,000. It has since surged to $87,000, a gain of $24,000 over the past 49 days.
Ledger Nano X Was Offline for Over Six Months — Yet My BTC Was Still Transferred Out Ledger Could Not Tell Me Which Device Signed the Transaction
Technical analysis actually works
Uptober: BTC has closed green in 10 of the last 13 Octobers. But we've got a potential Fed hike on Oct 27 and 10Y yields over 5%. Does the pattern hold this year?
Bitcoin is (again) running ahead of retail attention
Bitcoin art built on Bosch's Garden of Earthly Delights
"Shielded Bitcoin" Whitepaper just legitimized Zcash as a threat to Bitcoin
Is your BTC actually accessible to your family, or just theoretically theirs?
If one wanted to convert their BTC into ETH, is there a difference using CEX like Coinbase vs doing it on a DEX for tax reasons?
Your "fair share" of Bitcoin cost about $323 at the October peak. Today it's about $215. Same 256,000 sats.
Looking for help recovering an old Hotmail account and an old Bitcoin wallet (2009–2011)
I think I was hit by a scam on Electrum that I have never seen before
Complete beginner. Want to learn crypto trading but terrified of losing money. Where do I even start?
Only 20 of the top 50 alts have beaten BTC over the last 90 days, so I don't think this is altseason yet.
I bought BTC and ETH very early. Then I discovered leverage and gave it all back.
Would anyone be interested in a small Bitcoin brainwallet puzzle challenge?
0.5 BTC Reward (~USD 40,000) for Recovering the password (hashcat)
What % of a BTC do you think will be life changing in 20 years?
i backtested 75 crypto trading strategies against just holding the same coins, 2017 to 2025. 8 came out ahead, none by more than luck would explain
Selling Bitcoin vs borrowing against it during a rally?
Mentions
As BTC doesn’t inherently generate value, I’d be hugely skeptical of any platform that tells me I can earn for staking it.
In that case, paying in dollars, instead of buying BTC is "basically selling bitcoin" too.
They'll want the store of value and limited externalities of BTC
The whole thing is ridiculous. I feel for you. I am Scottish, but currently a tax resident of The Netherlands. The situation is causing me nightmares. I cannot believe I moved to the one country that thinks this punitive behaviour is remotely acceptable. I am an academic, I still have a (modest) property in Scotland - I am planning to move back there, taking my expertise and my BTC with me. It will cost me my job, which is bad enough.
Your money is gone. Bybit is easy. Yoi can download the app and learn it then ask him to open the app and show you. He probably lost it all on futures. Move on. When u wanna buy BTC, do it yourself.
That money is gone, regardless of what BTC is doing it sounds like he had zero intention of returning it.
SOL and LINK would probably be my strongest holds from that list. I like SUI and PYTH too, but I'd personally add some BTC/ETH as the boring core and maybe ONDO for RWA exposure. I'd probably trim CRO before adding another L1 since you're already pretty heavy there. Category-wise I'm watching RWA, oracles/data and AI/compute the most. I keep most of this kind of mixed bag in Tangem too, mainly because once you're holding across this many ecosystems having it in one place becomes pretty useful. Also 90% guarantee is brave 😂 nothing in crypto gets that percentage from me.
Because they simply don't want people to trade BTC.
Bitrefill fee / Most gift cards / Face value + small rate spread Check estimated BTC price
Appreciate the feedback - I used live Kalshi pricing to qualify profitability for the period that was available, and simulated for those which were not. I also completed both a parameter sweep, and out-of-sample lockbox, testing 3 separate 12 month periods and achieved repeatable results... It was nice to see win rate and profitability consistent across all 5 classified prediction tiers... Had to make some tweaks to the tranche target when BTC was in the low 60s v the mid 80s, but my targets are \~$150 OTM, and that means something different when the price is 20% lower... Otherwise, everything was in line. Currently placing $25 live predictions, and paper trading a simulated account with $5k placing 7% positions. Will post update on live results when they're in.
Could it also be more as BTC rises due to FOMO? I’m really only interested on the way up, surely there will be dilution however we’re talking large hedge funds and sovereigns stacking at this point so maybe a lot of the sleeping coins just get gobbled up. 250k isn’t a predicted upper limit from what I hear, it’s more like 1M/per.
First of all: How does someone put themselves in the hands of another person's whims, like this, voluntarily? If you give money to friends or family, you better expect not to ever see it returned. He's not taking advantage because you're a girl; he's taking advantage because you're gullible, and I hope you learnt this lesson. If you ever get your money back, you need to drop your "friend" for good. Crypto apps don't continuously charge fees for holding crypto. There's only transaction fees, and you should have two, one for buying BTC and other for selling BTC. I don't know specifically about Bybit, but it should be around 0.1%, or approximately $3.60 each transaction, given your amount. Learn about BTC [(here, for example)](https://www.babypips.com/crypto), your country's tax rules on this specific topic, THEN install Bybit, Kraken, Coinbase or other exchange and learn to do things yourself. Start with small amounts and learn from there. It's your money, your life, your future and nobody will ever be more concerned about it than you.
I was in your position 30 yrs ago but no btc. I travelled in my 20s and loved it. You are mad not to go.... I ended up travelling 75 countries and working in the Uk. Made tons of money. I have BTC bags full and other assets. Now have kid and family and cant do it. So please decide to go...
At the 21M BTC cap, there are 2.1 quadrillion sats, but that isn’t one sat per purchase—the same units circulate repeatedly. On-chain amounts are whole sats; Lightning tracks millisats. Blockspace and fees are more practical constraints than the total unit count.
People in this thread don't even understand basics and then say there are only X and Y possibilities. Absolutely not. You will pay a daily funding rate if you bought BTC with margin.
If only I was mature enough to not believe the world is ending in 2012, maybe I would've try to buy some BTC coins as well, I was 11 yrs old that time btw 😂 and I was so scared that I would die without being an adult 😭😭😭
He bought Bitcoin with margin probably and is paying a daily funding rate. I would bet he didn't buy actual BTC but perps.
Only 3 possibilities here. 1. He scammed you by buying a perpetual futures position not a spot position in BTC and your money is gone. 2. His account was one of the ones that got hacked but the exchange was able to reverse most of the damage, so It's possible he didn't do what he was instructed to to redeem anything they recovered. 3. He just straight up scammed you. The percentages are not in your favor either way. Hindsight is 2020, but never mix friendships with "business"! It takes exposure to getting screwed to learn from certain mistakes. I've loaned friends money over the years and still have never been re-payed by more than one. It needs to be life and death before that happens again and I'm the point person. If this helps someone else please take the position to never mix money with friends/family.
I believe those terms are worse than getting a normal mortgage + BTC loan.
I would like to cast my vote for OP to become CEO of BTC and jack that price up, son!
I miss when we could send BTC and it would confirm within a few seconds. I am also in agreement, crypto is just not the same and 2017 was a crazy time for the ICOs and scammers. I just wanna get out and be done with this bs. It was a fun experience but my mental well-being has suffered tremendously.
I don’t believe there are any fees holding spot BTC in bybit. There is fees on leverage. I think your “friend” scammed you and either lost it all on leverage or just spent it.
Hard to believe it’s been ten years. I still have coins. I also have EFTs in my investment accounts. I am very comfortable with my state of being. I’ve got a number in mind where I will likely divest most of my BTC. I don’t have kids so no “generational wealth” to pass on. Maybe give a few coins to the niece and nephew.
This is like saying you gave your friend $3,600 in cash to put in his bank savings account to keep safe for you. Utterly ridiculous both in doing it in the first place and it would have been just as easy to put in to BTC yourself.
the thing about price predictions is that NO ONE KNOWS if it's going up or down and anyone who thinks they can predict the price is even more clueless. the only question should be: will BTC have a smaller OR larger place in society in 10 years / whatever your investing timeline is.
Hardblock! Simple UI and BTC only which is all ya need down here!!!
1 BTC = 100.000.000 Satoshis (sats)
Just google how to earn interest from deposited BTC on Bybit…. Just google and you have your detailed answer
Yeah that part makes sense but to me the whole stinks because of the stuff about fees for holding the BTC
Because paying a loan at minimum rates for years will cost you an absolute bucket load in interest, and if you had the money just to pay it all back whenever you wanted you could have just used that money to buy BTC and not have the loan at all. Your concerns are your 'credit' are what make this a bad idea for you. It's only a good idea if you're not bothered about your credit (i.e. let's say you plan to move abroad so your US credit score is irrelevant and there's no realistic way for a creditor to get their money back). Then it's a freeroll. It's decidedly not a freeroll if you're paying interest and actually intend to repay no matter what happens to the BTC price.
It's a women, and was probably hyped up after last years ATH that they could put in a couple thousand and get back a lot more, so gave the money, and now that it's been a few months and is at the same price they don't want to wait longer and want their money back. but don't understand how BTC cycles work and wouldn't be making anything, and after trading fees and potentially network fees for transfering to cold storage and back is probably less capital than originally was put up. Most likely the investor/holder is wait for a high price point to sell to take a commission after holding an investment for someone else that doesn't understand it could take years to get a decent return on BTC. Just a honest possibility if shes not being scammed.
Damn. The IMF is made up of people who want to buy the BTC for themselves.
There is an old proverb: Fastest way to lose a friend is to borrow him/her your money. Once borrowed then trust will crack with first kickback. Especially when the topic is about larger amounts. There's a huge difference to borrow $200 or $2000+ First of all Bybit is an exchange platform and used to buy/sell crypto for fiat (it's a notion in crypto world for traditional currencies). Exchanges aren't meant to use for long term investments as these funds might get easily seized or freezed when AML (Anti Money Laundering) suspicion ais activated by platform provider. Yes, it's true that BTC value fluctuates but it should not be a reason or excuse not to return back your money. You borrowed money (made a deal) If that deal was made for fixed period and it's overdue then your friend just broke a deal with you. If you borrowed in sense to share profit (he would return more if BTC value raises up)- it's still very bad deal. And you took risk at your own. Next time make your own account on Exchange, Buy BTC and transfer them to your own hardware wallet- That's more safer way because sometimes "Friendship" and "Business" just cannot go hand in hand together as conflicts of interest between parties involved are quick to evolve.
the fee for a 3600 BTC buy is way less than 100$ unless he transferred it off the exchange during a high fee network environment and is facing the same problem now, Most likely he is wanting to holding it to 100k and take profit think he deserves some kind of "investment commission" and honestly if you held a BTC investment in cold storage for some for nearly a year, and haven't yet made a profit, or any incentive to do so I can kinda see why he doesn't want to sell it for a loss especially if he made promises that it would go up and make her money, but it take years not a partial year and he probably over promised what the investment could return and would actually make nothing or even pay out of his own pocket to pay it back at break even price. or he was trading leverage or futures and paid perpetual fees to keep it open on a higher position he was controlling and lost capital to fee's and is being honest and needs it to go higher to even break even.
I will keep your BTC. I am not a citizen in the EU. You can trust me.
There are no fees, unless he's been using leverage. Also, unsure why you gave it to your friend to invest instead of just doing it yourself. Opening an account is very easy. Honestly, it sounds like your friend is hiding things, and you should confront him about it. Ask him to be extremely clear about what he's done, how he invested it, and that the money belongs to you. All that being said, it looks like you picked the back end of the bear market to start investing. All evidence points to a new bull market starting. I would not be surprised if BTC is double what it is within a year or a year and a half. Obviously, take random internet stranger's advice with a grain of salt, but I'd do some research now before deciding to sell.
Given people are swing trading BTC in 15 minute intervals, it sure seems like it does sometimes.
That dude's mohawk is the star of this video not BTC
Eh? How is using a standard mathematical equation with actual real BTC historical prices reverse engineering? The Power Law exists on its own. I didn't make it up and I didn't do any manipulation of BTC prices to make this chart. It shows the actual prices over time. PERIOD!
Do you invest in other things as well VOO VT GLD? You sold BTC to buy the Camry?
I agree with ya and your probably gonna get some grief in the comments. Its not risky for you or maybe anyone with any foresight to build a plan around the manage the debt. Thing is its many people cant balance a check book let alone manage their debt on well anything. I borrow against my BTC for my daily expenses and short bitcoin to pay the borrow back and avoid liquidation. People act like its the most irresponsible complicated financial alchemy or that im going to lose everything. When really anyone with enough bitcoin and a few books on risk management could probably also pull it off.
But how should they even proof you own BTC? Tell them you lost the keys. End of story. This sounds very sketchy to me.
Yes, but all that cost is included in the purchase price; after that, it has zero cost of ownership forever, unlike BTC, which will cost terawatts of electricity every year forever.
\- The worst-case 36% unrealized gains tax appears to be dead; the Dautch government reversed that plan in October 2026. \- Crypto will likely mov to realized-gains taxation by 2030, meaning you only pay tax when you actually sell \- Untill then, the current system taxes a deemed return of about 6% at 36%, which is far smaller than the nightmare scenario you feared. \- Use the tax-free threshold: roughly €59,357 per person (€118,714 for partners) is exempt from Box 3 tax. \- Keep a small evro cash buffer to cover the predictable annual deemed-return tax instead of selling Bitcoin. \- Consider a Bitcoin ETF/ETP during the 2028-2030 transition window if self-custody crypto stays under deemed-return tax longer than listed products. \- Talk to a local Dutch tax advisor now to check how debts, partnership structures, and transitional rules affect your specific situation. \- If the mortgage still makes you nervous, selling part of your BTC to build a cash cushion is rational risk management, not a failure.
How do they know you have BTC if it is in a cold wallet? Maybe I'm dumb but I have all of mine in a cold wallet and will just sell it in another country to avoid capital gains taxes or p2p.
Why sell it now? If BTC goes to 200k, sell it and then pay whatever taxes you owe.
You may need to recalculate, because you’ll pay 36% on the notional yield of deemed return (fictieve rendement). If your BTC goes up to 200k and you deduct the tax free allowance of 60k then the notional yield of deemed return is 6% of 140k, which is 8.4k. That 8.4k is taxed by 36%, so the actual amount of taxed you’d have to pay is 3k.
I have a couple of times. If you plan to use all/part of your BTC for a down payment, they will require you to liquidate the BTC before underwriting. Things are slowly changing with some lenders but that was my experience. Otherwise, they won’t even list it as an asset.
I can't believe that 17 years after it was launched people are excited about a vending machine that accepts BTC. Like this is cool after 3 to 5 years, but at this point it just highlights what an absolute failure BTC has been for payments adoption (and Insay this as a holder).
I think for those who have sold BTC to get hands on dollars, don’t have any other option. They need more USD to suffice down payment. Personally, at this stage, I’d probably take a loan against my BTC and not sell it (taxable event), but I started buying in 2017, so have a decent cost basis to do this without feeling too concerned.
Do clients that do this want to turn BTC to usd? Or are they only doing it because they have to in order to buy/ qualify for a home?
If you plan on using the funds that are currently sitting in bitcoin that presents an issue. They need to be “seasoned” ie., those funds once converted from BTC to usd, need to be sitting in your bank account for (I think) 60 days before the mortgage lender will accept them. Just because you have assets as BTC, itself, shouldn’t present an issue, if you’re not using those assets towards down payment.
Sell BTC and buy IBIT. The bitcoin ETF counts as a stock. You can also try do defy the government, although heroic, you'll be severely punished.
It's not the same. You have to \*effectively\* realize your gain/loss every year instead of only when you sell. You pay the taxes as if you sold, regardless of whether you actually do. A system which nominally treats every dollar the same at the end of the day will leave you with less wealth if it collects those taxes earlier, simply due to the time value of money and who possesses how much and when. Imagine a scenario where Bitcoin does 100x, which it absolutely did between the lows of 2014-2015 and the highs of 2017. Say, you bought 100 BTC at $200 each at the bottom in 2015, and paid $20,000 total for all 100 BTC. Consider that by 2016, it's $2,000 -- up 10x. (Yes, this didn't happen until early 2017, but hey.) Congrats, your holdings are now worth $200,000! Under this new law, you'll have to pay 36% of the unrealized gain. The gain is 90% of the $200,000, or $180,000, and 36% of that is $64,800. You owe $64,800 in taxes. You started with only $20k! You don't HAVE $64,800! So, you have to part with some of your investment in order to come up with it: you sell 32.4 BTC for $2,000 each to come up with $64,800 to pay the tax. There is no \*additional\* tax on this sale, because realizing this gain has the same tax burden that the government was going to charge you on the unrealized gain anyway. Great! You now have 100-32.4 = 67.6 BTC left over, worth a total of $135,200. You have \*clearly\* enjoyed an increase in the value of your holdings, so you should feel good. Now it's the end of 2017, and BTC has gone up another 10x, landing at a unit price of $20,000. Congrats! You have 67.6 BTC now worth $1,352,000. You haven't made any money yet, but you \*totally\* could if you \*just\* sold. You remember, though, that everybody is forecasting BTC to be $30,000 by mid-2018.... oh yeah, and one more thing, too... it \*is\* that time of the year again, and you owe 36% taxes on your unrealized gains, which are 90% of $1,352,000. This new tax burden is $438,048. Remember, though, you don't HAVE $438,048. You only started with $20,000 a couple years ago, and as a true Bitcoin maximalist, you haven't been selling along the way (except when the government forces your hand, of course) and have no other investments or large sources of money from which you can draw to pay this tax. So, you do what you must, and you sell exactly 21.9024 BTC for $20,000 each to get the $438,048 you then send onward to your tax authority. At the end of the day, you have 67.6-21.9024 = 45.6976 BTC to your name, worth $20,000 each, for a total of $913,952. For your initial 20,000 investment, having a BTC stack worth this much truly is incredible, and you should feel \*good\* for having HODL'd your way to accomplishing that. So, let's compare your $913,952 result to the result you'd have if you were in a more normal jurisdiction, which charges 36% on only \*realized\* capital gains. You'd have been able to keep more BTC for longer: you'd have been able to keep your BTC all the way through the date you sold, owing taxes only on the gains realized in the sale. You'd still have 100 BTC at $20,000 each by the end of 2017, or $2M, which is a bit more than double what you have after paying the taxes on unrealized gains. Granted, these BTC would be highly appreciated, and you'd owe 36% on the realized gain (which is 99% of the total at this point due to the 100x growth) if you were to sell them, so, liquidated, they're only worth 2e6\\\*(1-.36\\\*.99) = $1,287,200 to you, but this is still dramatically more ($373,248 or 40.8% more than the $913,952) than if you were to realize gains every year. That said, you only held through this much growth by being a true believer. 2017 had several 30+% drops, each of which looked like the end of the bubble, before ultimately achieving the 100x rise from the 2014-2015 goblin town days at the bottom. You \*know\* Bitcoin is going to continue to rise, so you hold. You hold through the first 50% crash to $10k and through all the bounces thereafter, through the crash below $6k and all the way through the $3,122 crash floor. You never sold except for when the government made you. You don't get your money back which you paid in taxes. You just get a tax credit against future gains. It's a \*very\* good thing you were forced to sell along the way to pay the taxes instead of drawing from money you may have stored elsewhere, because you have kept your BTC activities siloed within that initial $20,000 outlay you scraped together in 2015 to buy your initial 100 BTC. Just remember that you have only 45.6976 BTC after all the volatility, out of the 100 you initially paid for. By keeping your activities confined to the $20,000 you initially brought (aka, selling BTC to pay taxes), you have prevented yourself from going bankrupt by effectively giving 54.3% of all of your initial BTC to the government. This is the best case scenario. Now, let's consider a worse scenario -- let's consider what it might be like if you paid all the taxes along the way from \*other sources of funding\* you had available to you. You buy 100 BTC for $20k in 2015. You owe 36% of 90% its total value of $200k in 2016 to pay the tax on unrealized gains, so you sell $64,800 worth of other investments you have (say, your index funds or whatever. Maybe you take out a big HELOC against your house if you have one, etc) to pay the tax. You pay the tax. Then in 2017, the value rises 10x again. You now owe 36% of 90% of the total value of $2M. This tax burden is $648,000. So, you sell your entire house to be able to keep all your bitcoin. Now, in 2018 and 2019, your 100 BTC loses value, dropping to $312,200 in total value at the bottom. This $312,200 position is one which you paid $712,800 total over two years to be able to satisfy the tax burdens of simply continuing to hold it. What do you have to show for it? You have an after-tax loss of $400,600. Sure, you can EVENTUALLY get that back if you make enough gains to cancel the loss, but it's not like bitcoin (or any other investment you can be lucky enough to predict ahead of time) does 100x returns every other year. It will take you a LONG, LONG TIME to get $400k in gains to be able to claw that money back from the government, and in the meantime, you have $400k less wealth working for you, growing to generate those gains. Dollar-days in the market are what produce your returns, and if you could even weather that $400k loss, not having that $400k for such a long time is a huge impediment toward gaining it back. This is literally a scenario in which you could have sold your house and given all the money to your government in taxes, only to end up in a position where you have exactly none of the profit you ostensibly paid taxes to keep access to. Unless you have a lot more millions than you were ever using to dabble in BTC, this would be positively catastrophic.
Sauf que chez eux on ne va jamais rien chercher. Alors que nous on se fait même pomper un malheureux BTC, alors qu’il nous aira fallut de longues années d’économies pour l’obtenir. Allez pomper le gens pleins aux as je leur dis.
If they’re anything like the American tax department (IRS), they won’t have any way to prove you own that bitcoin, so long as you never spend it within the jurisdiction of the Netherlands for any goods and services. What teeth does the government have to come after you if you do not declare ownership of any cold storage BTC?
Honestly if you are not burned out, I would stack 1-3 more years and then travel for 1 year using some of my BTC money (coming from cashing out a small portion of your stack when the prices feels high enough (100k ? 150k ? 200k ? Up to you my friend)
What is so special though, if BTC has diminishing returns, wouldn't it just be a slow moving safe haven digital currency with market makers grip all over it?
Hopefully you had fore vision and sold the cold wallet to an African prince years ago. So it shouldn’t be a problem as you no longer own any BTC.
I fear that this same situation spreads and the law to make impossible to self custody is to get everyone to exchange their BTC to an ETF. Blackrock
His hair probably accepts BTC as well.
Wouldn't make any difference in BTC consensus being controlled by Blockstream and a handful of huge publicly traded corporate BTC mining farms.
When BTC hits $1 million, a Satoshi will be worth one cent. Thats pretty divisible.
Once you go the ETF route there is also no way back, if you want to rotate back into cold storage BTC you have to pay 36% realized gains tax...
AI will be good for BTC long-term. Once AI trading agents start being used more frequently institutionally; they seem to value BTC higher than human traders.
Did you ever report that you actually hold the BTC on any documentation in the first place, did you KYC before you bought it. I guess I'm asking did you acquire it through a centralized exchange or decentralized exchange?
100% agree. And you're right, it is likely mathematically impossible for even *current* BTC owners to each own a single bitcoin, let alone in the future as adoption increases.
"If the value drops, this does not affect you in any way” This is the biggest weakness. It doesn't affect your ability to hold the Bitcoin, assuming the loan is unsecured/fixed-payment debt. But it absolutely affects your economic position. Suppose: Borrow $100,000 Buy $100,000 of BTC 7-year loan BTC falls 60% You still own the same BTC, but your asset is now worth $40,000 while you still owe the lender substantially more than $40,000. That's economically important even if there is no liquidation. The relevant comparison isn't “do I still own the same number of bitcoins?” It's: net worth = BTC value − remaining debt A 60% drawdown therefore creates a very large increase in the amount of your future income that is effectively committed to servicing a now-underwater investment.
You are priced out if your goal is to own 1 BTC. That will never happen. Those of us who are whole coiners are in a very elite club and we choose this distinction with pride.
That is one of the core reasons BTC exists, the first and only private property in our history. Keep it in your cold card, when appropriate, move to a more free country. Fuck the state, don't finance the parasytes. I'd rather take everything with me to the bottom of sea to give one cent to a parasyte. My blood is mine only.
What would happen if, let’s say, hypothetically, you suddenly found 1 BTC you had no idea about and sold it right away? Like if it was 200k and you went digging in an old HDD and BAM, 1 BTC. Might be worth “losing” your BTC for a bit.
Modern CoinJoin protocols resolve coordinator trust cryptographically rather than requiring distributed consensus. In WabiSabi, the coordinator utilizes keyed-verification anonymous credentials. During round registration, the server validates input amounts, but output addresses are submitted over separate Tor circuits with blinded tokens. The coordinator mathematically cannot correlate inputs to outputs, nor can it steal funds because clients only sign valid transactions paying to their own keys. Open-source implementations like Wasabi (with modular coordinators) and Ginger Wallet (featuring a built-in coordinator with 0% coordinator fees under 0.03 BTC and free remixes) enforce this strict blind trust-minimized architecture.
I'll leave it for others still. I don't like debt hanging over my head as I feel less free with more obligations to lenders. Not interested in taking loans for investments of any kind, BTC included
Governments know hyper inflation is coming and they’re blocking exit ramps to prevent capital flight. First of all, giving up your sovereignty to hold their fiat currency is a trap, and selling your stack because you’re afraid of paying earnings is a decision made out of fear, which has never benefited anyone except those spreading the fear. If this passes it will likely be fought in courts. People richer than you will lobby against it. It doesn’t make any sense how if you haven’t realized any gains that you can be taxed on hypothetical gains. Also, even if they know what you once bought, they can’t prove what you still have (until you sell it.) so it seems patently unenforceable. In your example, BTC more than doubles its price. I’d rather pay 1/6 or 1/3 of my BTC if compelled to and still maintain most of my purchasing power, then sell now and watch my purchasing power erode before my eyes.
For over a decade, after Mt. Gox and QuadrigaCX, I swore I'd never buy into it. And some had (falsely) explained early on that if I didn't want my wealth on an exchange, I'd need to run a full Node to hold it myself. Then one day I happened to explain these fears to ChatGPT, and he told me about "Cold Wallets." Where no exchange/bank has my wealth; heck, even "I" don't have my wealth- it's all out on the BlockChain. But with the keys that only I know/have... only I can transact with it. So now I have 4 Nerd Miners, 8 Bitaxe 602s, a Nexus L1 (mining Scrypt -> BTC), and a few hundred in cash ... all feeding into a Ledger wallet.
I think a BV can be a solution indeed, and setting one up might already make sense for smaller amounts of BTC than many think. You can further optimise it by trying to inject it in the BV at the highest BTC price you can, as long as it happens before 1st of jan. 2028.
I think moving BTC into a BV is the way. Especially if you have a BV already, but I think creating a BV might be worth it if you hold >€10k BTC. Agio deposit or sell to BV for cash, before 1st of January 2028. You'll pay VPB + box 2 over the profit when you sell or get it out, which is slightly higher than box 3 tax, but at least not on unrealised gains. It is utterly ridiculous that this is necessary. I never minded paying my fair share of tax for society. But how politics and especially box 3 is currently handled and milked is enraging. I am very motivated to make sure that from now on forward I avoid every euro of tax payment in NL I legally can.
always just dca what you believe in. BTC and SPX6900 for me.
So if they pay tax at $100,000 USD/BTC, would you get a tax credit if it falls to $50,000 USD/BTC?
Bitcoin is a weekly purchase in my opinion, and has been for years! You can never have enough BTC in my eyes!! Hopefully my daughter will reap the benefits of my daughter
Taxing unrealized gains on crypto but not stocks is insane. If buying a BTC ETF or stock provides the same exposure without the unrealized tax hit, then honestly just do that. Protecting your finances comes first. You can always move back to self-custody if the law changes. Do not let ideology wreck your finances.
The main issue is that banks do not count BTC as a qualifying asset. You need to convert enough to fiat and let it sit in your bank account for 2 to 3 months so it appears as "seasoned funds." That is what most lenders want to see. It is a hassle, but that is the current reality.
At the 21M BTC cap, there are at most 2.1 quadrillion sats. A sat doesn’t have to buy a whole item; it can represent a tiny fraction of its price. Lightning already tracks millisats, while finer on-chain units would need a protocol change. Divisibility isn’t the bottleneck.
I'll make my plans based on the reality as it is, rather than some hypothetical doomsday scenario. Don't be under the mistaken impression the government is the only one who gets stronger over time. New ways to avoid taxes also pop up. It's an arms race, essentially. Run your BTC through a mixer. Go to someplace hot and sunny where they really don't give a damn where your funds came from and sell there. You'll probably claim you'll be extradited though as you seem like one of those ridiculously paranoid types who believes the authorities know everything and have the power of god.
Keep in mind majority of commenters here have chump change. So they will cash out through gift cards or meeting a guy for P2P transaction. The only way to do it is a legal grey area, like opening a business in Dubai or some other nonsense (Or in netherlands themselves if their business are taxed different and can hold BTC). Either way people who are not yet rich enough for these schemes to make sense from financial stand point are screwed.
I have way too much BTC so let me post on Reddit and tell a bunch of people I don’t know…..I’ll be cool then right?
This is one reason I think Bitcoin life insurance is interesting. Self custody solves one problem, but creates another if you die or become incapacitated and nobody can recover the BTC. I work at Meanwhile, so obviously biased, but seeing this problem firsthand has made me think differently about keeping 100% of your bitcoin behind seed phrases. You don’t have to choose one or the other.
No, he can spend BTC on paying for goods or services out if his country
$100-$500 every 2 weeks. Am thinking about putting the money in then buying every Monday a percent no matter what. If a person truly believed in the viability of BTC long term, short term price fluctuations are meaningless compared to the long term picture. A person would still be rich if they DCA'd since the creation on BTC despite the highs and lows.
You are the naive one if you think you will benefit from any significant quantity of BTC without paying taxes.
I would hold off on selling until you get real news. It looks like this is going through the court systems and nothing functional has been implemented. You may not get a ruling until 2028. You may also want to contact a financial advisor and look into owning a business that hold the BTC and understand what that would look like. I would say this is not the time to panic, instead this is the time to plan
As awful as it sounds. I would sell my BTC and invest some of it into a Bitcoin etf or similar. That would avoid the taxable event no?
It’s in a cold wallet, I know enough people in Netherlands and Germany that do P2P and cash. This is what they want. You’re just scared, and that’s understandable. As long it is in a cold wallet that hasn’t had transactions with CEX you’re safe. They think they can regulate Crypto, but thats far from reality. Why do you think they don’t do this with ETF and IBIT. Because that is what they want you to have. Fake contracts, just like Gold, Oil etc. Contracts are fake and they can regulate it. Gold has a fake price, and they can’t do it with BTC or any Crypto because there is an actual count of Tokens. So please, don’t let them win. Go find other ways around this. Like get a Paraguay citizenship its easy.