BTC

neverhodlHQ

Hey everyone. We built NeverHodl — a composite BTC cycle indicator that combines 37   on-chain, macro, and sentiment signals into a single 0-100 score. Free, no signup.            Quick data dump for anyone tracking the cycle right now: \- BTC NHCI Score: \~32 (what we call the "bottom zone")   \- MVRV: 1.42                                                                                  \- NUPL: 0.29                                                                                  \- Fear & Greed: 22                                                                            \- Global M2 (Big 5 central banks): expanding                                                  For context, the score was in this same range during Dec 2018 ($3,200), March 2020 COVID   ($4,000), and Nov 2022 FTX ($15,600).                                                         Not financial advice — we literally never say buy or sell. We just show where the data says    we are in the cycle and let people decide for themselves.   If anyone wants to verify the data: we have a public API, no auth needed. Just google         "NeverHodl" — the dashboard and API are free.   Happy to answer questions about the methodology or any of the 37 indicators.

Fijiambed

The market cap of BTC is $1.4 Trillion while the market cap of META is $1.6 Trillion, the shorts are able to manipulate META like a yo yo. So buying bitcoin leveraged, Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) etc. plus not tucking your BTC into a private wallet and leaving it on the exchanges, allows the hedge funds to manipulate the market. Then once the retail looses hope in BTC then the shorts buy to cover, rinse and repeat.

lambdasintheoutfield

This question can get as deep as you want it to be. There is macroeconomic uncertainty. The average person doesn’t have the extra funds to invest and when they do they don’t have the risk appetite for bitcoin. Then, there was a shock to the underlying decentralized philosophy of Bitcoin. Microstrategy, BlackRock and other huge hedge funds have scooped up a significant amount of BTC. If you factor in their collective share, unrecoverable bitcoins due to holders passing away, losing their keys the amount of Bitcoin holdings IS concentrated in a small handful of players. That adds more uncertainty in the long term future. Historical trends like 4 year cycles (due to the halving) work until they don’t. What has remained true is BTC has indeed remained a hedge against inflation. Inflation is a constant upward force on the price, as well as BTC itself becoming more scarce as people mine more blocks. The other downward forces are strong, but likely won’t always be since many are temporary. Personally I DCA and treat is a determining factor of which FIRE bracket ill ultimately fall into. Classic investment rules still apply.

hopelesslyhip

Flows of money chasing AI assets & all the scams /risk/ complications of crypto and poof... No more crypto gains. Although BTC and crypto are two very different things most who haven't spent the time to think about it all lump them together.

nomoredamnusernames

Yep. Overlaying a chart of M2 and a BTC chart with a 90 day delay gives you almost perfect symmetry.

RBUL13

BTC is unalive ☠️

Z08Z28

Money never leaves the market, it just rotates into different sectors. BTC had its monster run recently built on the Trump admin(BTC friendly) coming into office and the Biden admin(anti-BTC) leaving. Trump made many promising statements and actions but they haven't advanced as quickly or as well as the market expected so money rotated back out. Big institution is still buying. Many people expect BTC to bounce off the trendline at 71-73K(depends on the date) if it doesn't hold the 100 day MA. It broke through to the downside on the 50 day that it had been above for a month. Without a promising outlook on the Iran "war" BTC will probably hit the upward trendline started in February and hopefully stay in the channel and bounce upwards.

adamADHT

Check out Nexo - I can’t remember the exact terms but I believe they are currently doing 0% apr on loans using BTC as collateral

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pond_slider

Bitcoin is something that’s called a speculative asset, meaning its worth is tied to what others feel that it is valued at a given time. It’s kind of like a Pokemon card. A single card could be worth $1,000, $50, or $0 depending on who the audience is, and those prices can fluctuate at any given time. So right now, people are willing to pay about $75K for BTC, but a year from now, it may be worth $100K to people or it may be worth $50K. Unfortunately, there’s really no way to tell, which is why many people will say that placing your money into cryptocurrency is more similar to gambling than investing.

Bero_Survivor

Honestly, this is how it should be done. ETFs are convenience wrapped in counterparty risk. Holding spot BTC in cold storage is the actual point. Hope more states and countries follow Texas on this one. Not your keys, not your coins — even for governments.

Bero_Survivor

A few mechanisms that are actually suppressing it right now: Liquidity drain. The US Treasury is pulling roughly $150B from the financial system in the coming weeks. Bitcoin acts as a leading liquidity indicator — when liquidity contracts, risk assets fall first and fastest. Fed policy shift. Rate hike talk for the first time in years means the cost of holding non-yielding assets goes up. Institutions rebalance out of BTC first. Geopolitical risk premium. The Iran situation pushed oil up and inflation expectations higher. That's the worst macro backdrop for any risk asset. None of this is a fundamental problem with Bitcoin. It's a liquidity and macro problem that Bitcoin happens to be caught in. The cycle clock still matters more than any of these individually.

justforgigs96

The plumbing on the BTC backed loans are still pretty bad IMHO. You mentioned 11.5% APR - which is far lower than many brokerages offer today. For example if you had Robinhood - they offer margin at 5% (at the low end) and even upwards of 4.8 or 4.5 if you have a bigger portfolio. So if you have a decent-sized portfolio there and you were interested in getting more BTC price action exposure: you could always get something like IBIT or a similar BTC ETF for 5% margin. If you're adamant that you only want to get spot BTC back and you don't have any other collateral beyond your own BTC, then I suppose that's the only place where it makes sense to consider. Ledn/Strike seem to be decent options for that. And while we've been at a bear market and have gone through a huge crash, that would be the ideal place to get it rather than waiting for it to run up again.

LordJamPunt

Bro…buddy…if BTC dies they all will die so maybe be a little less myopic and little more supportive.

Pingon25

Dude because it is cycle. And BTC is right on time 🤑

Sharp-Perception5658

Well, when i said "stocks" I was thinking more in line with the Indices themselves. However, yes, in the way you put it, I agree with you. There are definitely the occasional large cap movers....but I think the majority of large caps are lucky if they make 10% per year. We're just in very interesting times right now because we're at the forefront of the "autonomous/robot age". I'm sure, industrial stocks probably overperformed while the industrial revolution was in full swing too. Also, we remember how dot com stocks performed during the "internet age". I think I simply miss the days when bitcoin was gaining 2,000% during a typical bull cycle. I started investing in Bitcoin in 2015, so perhaps I'm still stuck in the past. You said that you started investing in BTC in mid-2017. Are you still holding? Are you bored by the current cycles as it compares to previous cycles?

Chancho300

Quantum is coming for BTC. BTC isn’t shiny anymore. AI is the new shiny thing

SlickRicc

He’s right about the President’s harmful rhetoric towards crypto but Bitcoin isn’t a “bubble”, people say this everytime it hits a low. If you’re looking for actual reasons aside from the cycle just look at the general state of the economy, not the stock market/crypto. The CPI continues to increase, rate troubles with the federal reserve, crude oil situation slowly getting worse, a lot of people will want to stay in fiat in light of all that. It’s honestly so much to explain, it’s not as simple as “why isn’t bitcoin going up?”. It was intended to be a global borderless currency so naturally it’s going to be affected by global events. BTC has a really long way to go but it’s not “over”.

Reasonable_Band1536

Could you get a loan from your bank? I received a $24,000 cash advance for 21 months at 0% APR. go in and tell them you are looking to invest. See how much in which you qualify. DCA into BTC.

Reasonable_Band1536

Could you get a loan from your bank? I received a $24,000 cash advance for 21 months at 0% APR. go in and tell them you are looking to invest. See how much in which you qualify. DCA into BTC.

Syonoq

Even if things cost less in BTC, it doesn’t mean they’re cheaper.

2xfun

I’ve done a really cool painting once… it’s pretty rare …  Scarcity with demand is meaningless. Unfortunately Idiocracy took over our society and most people don’t know the culprit of all the economic issues: the fiat standard … they also can’t tell the difference between clown coin and BTC …

devCheckingIn

Yeah and there's a good chance Saylor will sell BTC this week which will probably cause a panic.

SN617

BTC loan terms vary way more than people expect. LTV ranges from around 30% to 75% depending on the lender, rates are all over the place, and the custody model matters a lot (some hold your keys, some use multisig or qualified custodians). The big risk to watch is liquidation. If BTC drops enough, you can get margin called and lose collateral. I actually built borrowonbitcoin.com to answer exactly this question. It compares 13+ lenders side by side on rate, LTV, and custody so you can see the tradeoffs in one place. Worth doing your own homework on any of them too.

PrestigiousDegen

I had almost 4 BTC at one point in my life started purchasing back in 2018.... I had to sell them all since to pay for various emergencies, wife, kids, home ownership etc. the what-ifs that go through my mind are less frequent lately as the price trends lower but my family's health and well-being is more important in the long run than numbers on a screen.

Certain-Use8674

After Binance force-settled my original short position, a remaining positive/net long ZEC balance was still left on my account. At that stage, there was already no compensation being considered for the losses on the short position, so I simply wanted to realize the remaining losses, fully exit ZEC, and move on. In the legal email, Binance stated that the remaining assets “could be transferred out at my convenience.” Based on that wording, plus earlier support discussions, I understood that I would still be able to internally liquidate/convert the remaining ZEC exposure. Because of that, I partially transferred the remaining ZEC long exposure from Isolated Margin into Spot, expecting I could later convert it into USDT or another supported asset like BTC or ETH. But after transferring into Spot, conversion of ZEC into USD/USDT or any other supported pair was no longer available on my account. After realizing the Spot conversion was not working, I personally tried using the force close/liquidation option on the remaining ZEC that was still left inside Isolated Margin, and that portion was successfully converted internally into USDT. If I had known earlier that internal force liquidation was still possible, I would never have transferred part of the remaining ZEC exposure into Spot in the first place. Now support says the remaining ZEC can only be transferred externally to another wallet/exchange, even though this was never clearly explained earlier. I also followed up with Binance Legal again regarding this issue, but unfortunately have not received any reply so far. At this point, what frustrates me most is not even the unsupported-asset policy itself, but the inconsistent handling during the migration/restriction process. I simply wanted to close the position, realize the losses, and regain access to my liquidity, but instead the situation became more complicated at every step. The remaining ZEC is now stuck in my Spot wallet, where I cannot trade, convert, or internally liquidate it into USDT/BTC/ETH. Support is now saying I can only transfer it externally, but I currently do not even have another crypto exchange/wallet account available. Would genuinely appreciate if anyone could suggest any practical solution on how I can move or convert the remaining ZEC from my Spot wallet into USDT

Ziggy_N

BTC addresses are shortened values of RIPEMD 160 hash function. The address 1111111111111111111114oLvT2 corresponds to the RIPEMD 160 value of 0, which is mathematically impossible, therefore a key to that address cannot exist. You're welcome.

Ziggy_N

Burning 100 BTC has literally zero impact on the global market.

Ziggy_N

The latter is most probable because that's the usual reason for burning BTC.

Ziggy_N

That's laughable. The usual reason for burning BTC is backing up the value of tokens you emitted.

Ziggy_N

What is most probable is that some company emitted $8M worth tokens and backed them up by burning equivalent number of BTC.

Ziggy_N

I don't see any forensic implication. $8M is not much for emitting tokens backed by BTC burning.

Ziggy_N

Maybe he needs it to emit tokens that are backed by BTC burning.

alpeshnaper

This doesn't include everyone but at the end of the day most people under 30 own nothing let alone have extra cash to buy BTC.

Ziggy_N

You don't have to burn coins to prove ownership, signing a message with BTC addresses is proof enough. Burning them will not save anybody from trouble because it means that he controlled them in the first place.

MediumLibrarian7100

I like how they cited Okamoto in how to make a mint and then named the creator of BTC something that rhymed with his identity.

Sidivan

100% Hal IMO. I was big into MojoNation at one point and when BTC came out, I \*didn’t buy in\* because I felt like it was an iteration of mojo. At \*minimum\* it was Hal building out the framework.

MediumLibrarian7100

I thought this but if you read over the decades of early emails all the way up until 08, all of these names were back and forward discussing relevant concepts but not able to piece it together into something as perfect as BTC. Most hit back on the forums when it initially dropped. All but a couple of names. Like Hal 🧐

Porcellanidae

Probably the bankers' fee is a yearly fee.  If you just buy and hold actual BTC you only pay fees during transactions and exchange. 

DebugDiag

Now move it to a cold wallet, so those BTC become truly yours.

Quick-Scientist-3187

New Hampshire passed HB 302 for approval but the NH Treasury hasn't followed through with any BTC purchases. The major of NH population is old/elderly & they would freak the f out essentially. I miss that TX sun! Spent 14yrs down there. Way to go Texas!

blurred_rabbit

Just gotta be patient. There is always a new catalyst, Supply and Demand kicks in. BTC will hit new all time highs.

Monero-Hub

That feels like a much bigger statement than simply holding ETFs. If more states start buying and custodying actual BTC, it could be another sign that Bitcoin is gradually being treated as a strategic asset rather than just a speculative investment.

retireontop

BlackRock is not selling. Their customers are. This is meaningless. If BlackRock recommends to their customers to sell or buy, that is meaningful. Aside from this, outflow is meaningless. The price tells the story. I saw Mark Cuban the other day saying he got rid of almost all of his Bitcoin holdings. This guy has proven himself to be an opportunist. He saw what JP Morgan did and he's doing the same thing. Talk bad about it to help drive the price down, while buying at discounted prices behind the scenes. We should all hope that prices go down. Surf the wave of high profile FUDders. DCA more at lower prices. If you need this money in the next 3 years, you shouldn't be buying BTC now, unless you're treating it like roulette. If you don't need the money soon, keep on keeping on.

KrustyLemon

Why are you putting on money in DOGE...it was created as a parody coin of BTC with no real intentions / plan.....

Grunblau

Back in the day, XLM would pump before BTC did, sometimes, BTC might even dip a bit. I speculated that this was because XLM/BTC was used as a trading pair. The ideal price was 0.000005 BTC At the time and would spike as high as 0.000008 BTC. I still have some of my old sell orders sitting there…

Medium_Change4574

The risk/reward in alts is better from here, nobody wants to buy BTC here thanks to Saylor but the risk appetite is still growing cuz stocks surge. 2025 got me rekt but I ain't gonna capitulate my bags to BTC near the BTC.D top aftee 5 years of HODL. This is a degenerste gambler's thought though, rationally just leaving crypto behind alltogether is likely wa

devCheckingIn

Alts will go nowhere if BTC sh!ts the bed every two days. Remember 2025?

account009988

Sell BTC for ETH?

Charlie_Yu

I remember the days where BTC just 10x in a year. Now even the enthusiastics can’t see BTC to 10x to 700k. The good days are over, just forget it

soks86

Yes, well, the supply is still limited. It's the only asset in the world that's mathematically defined. Most predictable and best non-productive place to store assets. With the markets in turmoil risk looks good to people, once they're risk averse again then BTC will be swelling with buyers once more.

SpontaneousDream

ATHs against BTC, ETH, and all others too

Churn

Your BTC gets slashed? What the hell does “slashed” even mean here?

Gangaman666

💯 BTC and XMR only for me. But I do think ETH has a future. Im Just not a fan of POS coins. The rest is noise to me.

leeharrison1984

I cashed out from 2017-2021, and it's funny people are still having the exact same arguments as back then. The only difference is the token prices(less BTC) are 1/4 what they were back then. Literally nothing has changed.

TheresNoSecondBest

>Many people say Bitcoin can't be used for anything, but I just bought a pair of High End loudspeakers for my HiFi audio system. I think it has been the best purchase I have ever made using BTC. It made me very happy. I think buying a nice audio system has been the best use case for BTC that I can think of. These people clearly never used bitcoin before, making the conversation a waste of time. >Currently my crypto allocation is 90 % BTC and 10 % ETH. Holding shitcoins over long period of time is a great way to lose money. Bitcoin only is IMHO the best way. It gives less support to the scammers like Vitalik, who premined 72 million ETH before letting anyone else to use the network.

GenevieveC_Snow

2.5% APY on BTC is meh. Question is what generates that yield, if it's rehypothecation of your coin in their lending book you're taking counterparty risk for 2.5%

Imaginary-Tour4481

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askolein

Buy BTC XMR ETH only real demand for these supplies Rest (XLM ALGO XRP LINK) is full bs

Scagnettio

XMR would be so much better. Or a safe swap between BTC and XMR but this would probably require some changes to BTC which Block stream would never allow.

DecisionBubbly5623

Going from ETF exposure to actual cold storage BTC feels like a pretty big signal tbh. There’s a difference between owning exposure and owning the asset.

Rare_Rich6713

Every chain needs to prepare for QT, its closing in fast. Honeslty these days I'm mostly into QAN because its quantum resistant from scratch. I hope BTC start something regarding this as well.

Icy-Length-4947

Tracking P&L across three exchanges is the wrong thing to optimize. Consolidate where you trade instead. I moved my BTC perps to markets xyz specifically because one account meant one P&L, no journaling needed. Or just automate imports via API into a spreadsheet.

mrjune2040

Bitcoin was created in 2008, the Samsung S3 was released in May 2012, and BTC traded at $5-13 (so not 'a few cents') for the rest of the year. Your story has a bunch of holes in it.

GeoSystemsDeveloper

**Daily crypto TL;DR:** * ℹ️ Bitcoin social sentiment is highly bullish but the Fear & Greed Index shows extreme fear, signaling a potential contrarian red flag. * ⚠️ Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded 10 consecutive days of outflows totaling over $2.97 billion, pressuring BTC prices. * ⚠️ Escalating US-Iran tensions have pushed oil prices above $100, intensifying global inflation fears and crypto market volatility. * 🚀 Large Ethereum holders have accumulated nearly $2 billion worth of ETH, reaching a 10-week high despite ongoing ETF outflows. * ⚠️ JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon vows to fight the Clarity Act stablecoin bill over concerns with yield offerings and AML requirements. *News summary from the* [*HODLings app*](https://www.geosystemsdev.com/products/hodlings/)*.*

talissman_7

By "digesting", I mean how the order book reacts to a news shock based on the current market regime. In a flat market, a news spike gets faded (mean-reverts). In a trending market, the momentum sustains The "action taken" is simple: macro news drops -> check BTC's instant reaction -> if the HMM regime confirms a trend, long lagging alts like SOL or LINK. They take 15-30 mins to absorb that same capital rotation

LongBeachJohn

Nice. I just sold 0.1 BTC to buy new loudspeakers. I think they will hold up their value much better than BTC.

Cold-Operation-7470

Crypto lagging stocks for a while doesn’t mean it’s dead it’s still one of the few asset classes that can evolve insanely fast in a short time. People called it over after every major slowdown, yet BTC went from “dead” to new ATHs multiple times. And honestly, if institutions, ETFs, and governments are still building around it, that says a lot. The hype cycle cooled off, sure. But cooling off isn’t the

JustAnotherRandom611

Saylor is absolutely not considering the SHORT Term of BTC and what Walmart just did these last few years. BTC starting at pennies on the dollar in 08-09 - to actually being worth $125,000 per coin back in October - he's looking at the upside of BTC for the next 10-20-30 years and even after he's gone. It will absolutely WRECK what Walmart will do in 10-15 years.

JustAnotherRandom611

The idea of just bouncing around the investments is more to the point - like how much did you actually make in Crypto and then have to pay in taxes to then buy super HIGH costs of AI stocks as they are going up. No on is able to truly TIME the markets and the BIG 7 are currently propping up the Market and even while BTC and ETH are down in the dumps - I'd argue better to just hold some positions in those, or hit some of the smaller but top 20-30 Coins because the returns their could be huge -- XRP, ADA, LINK are the three I'd definitely just throw a few bucks in and just hold for the next year or so in the event a bigger crypto bull run.

Select_Aide_6548

Some people have BTC and they want cash. So they're not doing it for the 4-5%. If you WANT to buy BTC, 4-5% might seem cheap. But if you WANT to 'buy' CASH, then \*MAKING\* 4-5% (rather than having to pay someone) seems like a gift. I see a lot of people on P2P sites where if you want to sell BTC, they'll buy it at 4-5% \*under\* the BTC price. So from that perspective being able to sell for more than the market price is great.

Select_Aide_6548

I've been trying so hard to find an easy way to buy BTC with cash, venmo, gift cards, etc. What's insane is when I started with bitcoin (2013) it was actually \*EASIER\* to buy/sell in person. Governments have done a good job (even though it sucks for us) of locking the hell out of getting in/out of BTC easily. I went to robosats as it was suggested but it seems like a mess. I've tried other P2P sites to meet in person but those are all sketch. Going to try some of the apps suggested here as alternatives.

u_spawnTrapd

A 12% move in BTC feels dramatic, but historically it’s still pretty normal volatility. Markets also don’t always react to the headlines people expect. Sometimes it’s just positioning, profit taking, leverage getting flushed out, or large holders reducing risk after a run. I’m always a bit skeptical when people try to tie every move to a single macro story. A lot of the time the explanation only becomes obvious in hindsight.

u_spawnTrapd

The operating business part is what makes this more interesting to me. A lot of Bitcoin treasury stories end up being mostly about financial engineering, so I'd want to see consistent revenue growth and a clear reason customers keep buying the product even if Bitcoin goes sideways for a few years. The biggest mistake I see is when the Bitcoin narrative starts overshadowing the actual business. If the company can stand on its own and still steadily add BTC from cash flow, that's a much stronger story in my opinion.

XXII78

Since BTC is live 24/7, and CME is M-F, the weekend price action can leave behind a "gap" where there is no candle body. Historically, bitcoin has _almost_ always filled the weekend gaps left in the CME. It might mean something, it might not. Either way, the idea of going to 20k isn't very popular, so hey, why not?

IBAN-IBON64

0.3% qui ne comprennent pas le BTC

metamorphosis

Yeah same here , checked charts ... nothing unusual happened in last few months that's different to other alts or mind eve ln I fact when compared against BTC it value increased in last few days https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/stellar/btc?chart=type%3Dprice%26mode%3Dline%26timeframe%3Dd30

AuthenticityBTC

1. Yes, having more routes increases your reach and decreases the number of hops. Once you reach a certain point of interconnectedness, I feel that increasing channel sizes allows you to be more "useful" to the network as it allows you to process larger transactions. I have not done any math or experiments on this, but more of a feeling. 2. Bit of both - the largest transaction I've processed is 200m sats (2BTC), and regularly get 1BTC transactions. There are days I'll run through 500-600m (5-6BTC) on a single channel, and have had a record of 1.5b on a single channel (15BTC) in a day. 3. I don't really have a system - to smaller nodes I look at their average channel size, and who they have channels open to, trying to minimize overlap. I typically start with smaller channel sizes and scale up - and scale down. 4. If I'm doing 100%+ volume on a channel in a day, I know it's time to scale up. 5. I do use LNDg still as my only rebalancing tool. I would like to experiment with other tools, just lack of time as well as risk aversion. 6. I believe a number of people have experimented with this on the PLEBNET telegram, and talked about 5 minutes. Multiple smaller increments are better. I have my adjustment set to every 2 hours, as LNDg isn't the best tool for rapid changes 7. I think more importantly are the channels you have open. Many older nodes have become more restrictive in allowing channel opens, or disallowing them altogether. Being grandfathered in is huge. 8. I haven't factored that into my rebalancing or looked into it to be honest. I do try to minimize by failed HTLC's, but my aim isn't to be a perfect professional node. This is just a hobby/public service for me.

AutoModerator

Post is by: Sad_Significance2541 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/Stellar/comments/1tshy4u/time_to_start_thinking_seriously_about_xlm/ XLM is now partnered with the DTCC, this probably the most Historic Financial News the World has seen since Sub Prime Lending Crisis or the Founding of the Central Back. This is a complete overhaul of the worlds economic system spearheaded by the SDF. This means a substantial market share or majority share of the securities and bonds market will be flowing through the stellar blockchain. The DTCC is not one of the best clearing houses in the world. It is the BIGGEST clearing house in the world. Why would they have choosen XLM if they did not think it was the best defi platform to power the worlds economy. Most notably the NYSE, were not talking about the Chinese stock market here were talking about the Largest Stock Exchange on the planet. Furthermore let's take a look at other major partnerships, like visa and Mastercard. What person in the free world does not use these everyday? Who better to connect these remittance rails than a project already operating and live in over 190 countries worldwide. (SDF) We also have moneygram who abandoned XRP in favor of the Stellar Blockchain... I wonder why, could be many reasons but fact of the matter is the 2nd largest remittance leader in the world Moneygram is now partnered with XLM. We also have Wisdom Tree, Franklin Templeton and IBM. People... think about it for a minute!!! These are not small fish, these are the damn TITANs of Industry! People that have pets with better diets and Healthcare than most of your kids ever will. XLM is Fast, nearly free, transparent, non profit, scalable, us based, iso2022 compliant. SDF has been recognized as secure and efficient by world governments and ngos alike. And already has ties and infrastructure built to run governmental economies. I personally feel XLM with this partnership has not only secured its futures but has earned a spot in the top 3. I also believe we will make it and with this news. Sooner rather than later. I own several cryptos but I now believe more than ever XLM is going to the top. I know alot of naysayers out their will laugh. But just remember market makers profit on uncertainty, if people could truly predict them, they wouldn't be profiting off your money. I also believe there will be other cryptos players in the new system, but for the moment I can only be certain of XLM and couple of others. I believe we will easily break a dollar any day now, maybe $10 or $100. Im not sure in my lifetime if we would ever break a $1000. But I never imagined gamestop trading at $1000 or Dogecoin in the top 10 either. So who am I to say, my 8 ball batteries are still charging. But what I do know is that we are in the wild wild west of crypto and BTC is ancient and will someday be dethroned. I am hoping for XRP, but I feel XRP has not been making friends of traditional finance lately. Time will tell. A lot of people believe XLM and XRP are linked but we may be witnessing a decoupling. Mind you, I could be wrong about everything, ya never know and my fortune teller im pretty sure is on pharmaceuticals I think. But even a broken clock is right twice a day. Regardless I dont wanna lead anyone astray so at the end of the day you guys do you, stay safe and frosty out there everyone. Remember the night is dark and full of terrors. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Remarkable-Opening69

Two different projects that aren’t BTC so they catch hate here.

Prior_Parsley3960

**FBI announces major crypto scam crackdown** * The FBI says it dismantled multiple international scam networks involved in: * romance scams * fake crypto investment schemes * online extortion * human trafficking-linked scam compounds * Authorities report: * \~300 arrests * \~2,000 trafficking victims rescued * billions of dollars in fraud disrupted **The biggest claim** * The article states the FBI seized **127,000 BTC** connected to Cambodian businessman Chen Zhi. * At current bitcoin prices, that would be worth well over **$10 billion**, making it one of the largest asset seizures in modern law-enforcement history. **Why I'd treat this cautiously** * A seizure of 127,000 BTC would be an enormous event. * That amount would represent a meaningful percentage of all bitcoin held by governments globally. * Extraordinary claims like this typically generate: * DOJ press releases * FBI announcements * major coverage from multiple mainstream outlets * on-chain analysis from blockchain researchers

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Post is by: Animalverse and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://animalverse.social/community/p/36039/ Todd, Back, Sassaman, and Finney Named Satoshi in 3 Investigations That Found No Proof Three investigations. Four suspects. Zero proof. Between October 2024 and April 2026, an HBO documentary, a New York Times investigation, and a feature-length film each named a different person as Satoshi Nakamoto and all three came up short. https://animalverse.social/community/p/36039/ \#SatoshiNakamoto #Bitcoin #BTC #PeterTodd #AdamBack #HalFinney #LenSassaman #Crypto #Blockchain #CryptoNews *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Ready_Log4016

I follow whales on blueblocx, and one thing I've noticed is that most of them aren't just sitting there waiting for $1M BTC. A lot of them move funds, take partial profits, rotate positions, or rebalance over time. The really big holders tend to be more strategic than the "never sell" narrative suggests.

SweetCorona3

BTC is also older and there are a lot of "lost" BTC that could flood the market and there's nothing we can do to prevent it

mamandemanqu3

The only fucking thing that matters in crypto is BTC and SPX6900 You can join the mission or watch it go up without you but we’ll never pretend we didn’t try for 2+ years to get you onboard.

SweetCorona3

until they flood the market with millions of "lost" BTC from old accounts

Nemozoli

I would say having lived through 2018, Covid AND FTX and having disposable income these times, it is really your fault. Those were not two, but three severe downturn events that marked your Bitcoin journey. Yet you didn't believe it would pull through... this means it is a question of understanding the basics and the underlying principle of the coin. I did the same journey, starting in 2017. I cashed out my initial investment at the December peak to be sure... it all felt so hyped. Then in 2018, appalled at the dreary prospect of losing all my remaining "investment capital", I turned to shitcoins in the hope they would fare better. They did not... During Covid I was in "home office" with 50% reduced wage, barely making it with the family, no extra money for BTC. When FTX came, I was finally in a better place financially, so when $16k came after the FTX downfall, whatever I had, I dumped in Bitcoin! Even liquidated my pension fund which was not doing very well... best financial decision of my life! I could do this because I understand how Bitcoin works and how fiat money doesn't.

BITCOINSCAM_CHECK

Yeah, web.lumiwallet.org is a fake site. Real Lumi is lumiwallet.com. You typed your seed into a phishing site — that’s why it’s gone. For anyone reading: NEVER Google "wallet login". Scammers buy the top ad. Only use links from bitcoin.org/en/choose-your-wallet And if someone DMs you "I can recover it" - block them. That's scam #2. Once BTC is sent, it's gone. Sorry this happened man. DM me if you want me to check any site/app before you use it again. Free while I’m building my checklist. Not financial advice. When in doubt, don't type your seed.

BITCOINSCAM_CHECK

Yeah, web.lumiwallet.org is a fake site. Real Lumi is lumiwallet.com. You typed your seed into a phishing site — that’s why it’s gone. For anyone reading: NEVER Google "wallet login". Scammers buy the top ad. Only use links from bitcoin.org/en/choose-your-wallet And if someone DMs you "I can recover it" - block them. That's scam #2. Once BTC is sent, it's gone. Sorry this happened man. DM me if you want me to check any site/app before you use it again. Free while I’m building my checklist. Not financial advice. When in doubt, don't type your seed.

Web3Prep

This is not a supply shock. It’s a signaling event. 107 BTC is irrelevant for price. 5 coordinated spends from dormant 2014 UTXOs into a canonical burn address is what matters. The market implication is near-zero. The forensic implication is huge 🫆🫆🫆

hl2oli

Which coin has stayed in the race almost as long as BTC? Doge. Doge is not risky, but you will need to be ready to sell, when it actually does bounce back up

Novel_Board_6813

What kind of weird bank OP is using that need management approval and 3 days in advance to use some money? Get a credit card, OP I wonder how often OP uses BTC to buy groceries and what not

Conversation-Quiet

After reading The Bitcoin Standard. I can foresee that BTC will be just as power of a currency as Gold. 🤯

Salty-Ad6128

BTC to 100k

ConfidentAffect2604

Hey everyone, ​I currently hold 27.7 SOL with an average buy price of $123. Obviously, with the current market drawdown and SOL hovering right around the critical $80 - $82 support zone, my position is down. However, I view this macro corrective phase as a solid accumulation window to fix my average. ​I have an extra $1,500 USD ready to deploy, and I’ve decided to go all-in on Solana rather than diversifying into BTC, aiming to lower my break-even price. ​Given the high volatility this weekend and the general market fear, I set up a split limit-order strategy on the exchange instead of buying everything at market price: ​Order 1: $400 filled/set at $81.50 (to catch the current support in case we bounce here). ​Order 2: $600 set at $75.50 (anticipating a quick wick down if $80 psychological support cracks). ​Order 3: $500 set at $68.50 (targeting the local bottom we saw earlier this year). ​My questions for the community: ​If the market reverses from here and only my first $400 order gets filled, what is the best way to deploy the remaining $1,100 without FOMOing in at $90+? Should I raise my limit orders to the next resistance-turned-support (around $85-86) or shift to a strict weekly DCA ($275/week) for the remainder? ​Do you think the $68-70 zone will hold as the macro bottom for SOL in this cycle, or are you guys laddering orders all the way down to $50 just in case BTC capitulates further? ​Would love to hear some technical or structural feedback on this plan. Thanks in advance!

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Post is by: Horus-Bastet-369 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://youtube.com/watch?v=4HOYkeaVDbs&si=Zovza9zJ-BoFeYZK 📚 Conviction scoring turns scattered signals into one reliable number so you stop guessing and start stacking real evidence. In this video you'll learn why single signals fail, how stacking five or more independent signals lifts win rate, and exactly how the scanner calculates the 8.0–11.0 scores you see on HOME, BAT, and ZAMA. 📈 Inside the video: \- What conviction scoring actually is (not the textbook version) \- How a high-conviction setup looks on the chart — volume expansion, whale candle, RSI divergence, CMF, higher lows, BTC decoupling \- The mistake most traders make trusting one indicator \- How the scanner uses this across 600 coins \- Real examples: HOME at 11.0 (+11.37%), BAT at 9.0 (+14.20%), ZAMA at 8.0 (+10.02%) \- When it fails — honest limitations ⏱ TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 Hook — HOME hit 11.0 before most traders noticed 0:25 What is conviction scoring? 1:30 How a high-conviction setup looks on the chart 3:00 The mistake most traders make 4:15 How the scanner uses it across 600 coins 5:30 HOME — 11.0 confluence, full trade setup 6:30 BAT — 9.0 confluence, decoupled from BTC 7:20 ZAMA — 8.0 confluence, graduated sizing 7:50 When it fails — honest limitations 8:00 What to learn next 🔗 TOOLS I USE: → Trade on Bybit: [https://shorturl.at/L3TkD](https://shorturl.at/L3TkD) → TradingView charts: [https://shorturl.at/ZAxY6](https://shorturl.at/ZAxY6) → CoinLedger: [https://shorturl.at/73iQn](https://shorturl.at/73iQn) 👇 What concept should I explain next? Drop it in the comments. ⚠️ Nothing here is financial advice. Crypto is high risk — always do your own research and manage your position size. \#crypto #cryptotrading #tradingeducation #confluencescoring #technicalanalysis *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Ok-Illustrator-3149

Nunca, habrán 21.000.000 de BTC !

TheRealMacresco

Nice data gathering tool to see what people are looking at. How is it BTC relevant though?

EdgeQuiet2199

If you can keep growing revenue while steadily adding BTC to the balance sheet, that’s a much more compelling story than trying to force a Bitcoin narrative from day one.

nova_fintech

If you don’t mind me asking, how do y’all accept fiat? And how do you turn it into BTC (assuming you do)? I don’t think square offers automatic conversion