BTC

usedmattress85

Disagree. I sold it all at $113k and rebought in the $60’s. I’ll basically double my BTC bag without spending a dollar. I’ve done this through multiple cycles and it made the difference between good results and lifechanging results.

palmdata

0.01 BTC UTXOs are easier to manage than a pile of dust. i'd consolidate only when fees are quiet, keep change above your own dust threshold, and avoid making lots of tiny deposits that need future cleanup. for a 15-year hold, label the outputs and keep a simple record of which wallet or backup owns them.

SteveW928

I can. If BTC loses the attributes that give it that value, then it becomes worthless. I don't think quantum computers are much of a thing to be a threat in the first place. But, the community/development losing the plot is now a real threat I never imagined it would be.

palmdata

the honest answer needs the exact snapshot date and CPU hash rate. in 2010 one desktop could find zero blocks for a year or multiple blocks by luck, so 24/7 uptime alone does not translate to a fixed BTC number. compare the machine's share of network hash at each difficulty, then account for solo variance and electricity.

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Post is by: Patriot_tech and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wfbhpf/weekend_crypto_watchlist_review_building_monday/ Reviewing your crypto positions each weekend helps separate noise from structure without chasing every green candle. Start with a clean three-step process that keeps the focus on data rather than emotion. First, trim the list: keep only coins showing either rising on-chain activity or clear support above the weekly VWAP. Remove anything that has lost its narrative or key level. Second, note BTC dominance and total market-cap trend; if dominance is climbing, altcoin setups usually wait. Third, mark one or two Monday catalysts such as funding-rate extremes or major options expiry so you know where liquidity might shift. For Monday itself, pick a single focus area rather than scanning everything. Many traders choose to watch only BTC perpetual funding and spot volume on the first hour; that single lens often reveals whether risk appetite is returning or fading. Pair the observation with a simple rule: if funding flips positive while volume stays below average, reduce position size until confirmation arrives. This habit keeps the weekend review short and the Monday plan concrete. Check free tools on YouTube for additional market structure templates. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

colemusic1

Correct, it isn’t, but that simplistic scenario is exactly that, ridiculously simplistic. MC is mark to market valuation. The fact it isn’t an account balance doesn’t mean BTC wouldn’t require an insane increase in aggregate demand to pay that price relative to demand. Aside from this, BTC going 4-4.5x within this next cycle’s bull run is something you need to think about from a base case let alone a euphoric case. Nothings impossible, but it’s highly improbable. And that’s not to say BTC wouldn’t reach $350k, I actually absolutely believe it will someday. But this coming cycle? That’s stretching

K42st

They aren’t as big as the US, the US has over 48 trillion in regional pension assets alone that is more than 70% of the combined total accumalted across major global duristictions. Thats without mentioning the insurance companies, just the US pension funds and their insurance companies allocating small percentages into buying spot BTC would moon it over time. So not really America is huge when it comes to global finance.

RetiredAvocado

Cap is not an account balance. It's not where money goes INTO or OUT of. A simplistic scenario to talk BTC to $300K would be for all sellers to stop selling for anything less than $300K and then next trade will instantly print that price point. And the inflated market cap. Even on $1 worth of trade @ $300K/BTC.

RetiredAvocado

Why do you care what AI tells you? No single person mined 50000 BTC with a $299 eMachine. And if someone did, the coins were useless and worthless. They weren't cared for. And when they did have some value they were sold. Not any single human on earth mined 50000 BTC in 2010 AND kept all that BTC until 2026. Not a soul. Impossible.

colemusic1

It’s the fact that macro remains extremely hostile. \- US10Y closed at 4.97% on Friday. \- DXY closed flat on Friday and actually helped most FX pairings except for the euro. \- oil futures have been insanely repriced, now at > $100/BLL US10Y and oil futures are probably the two biggest high beta killers right now. I wouldn’t focus too much on the CMC greed/fear index. Yeah it’s nice to see how risk appetite is along BTC and the alt market but it can rapidly change intraday and it’s much better to see how macro factors have moved intraday, let alone over the last month

colemusic1

I’m watching purely: \- macro \- current bidding zones (seems roughly $76k) \- current resistance / rejection zones (currently about $82.5k - $83k) \- alt market behaviour \- data from net inflows/outflows of BTC ETF’s on brokerage platforms Macro is genuinely the biggest catalyst happening right now. With US10Y basically at 5%, oil futures now > $100/BLL, and DXY that had loosened but became a little tighter again, we’ve essentially got the worst setup possible for high beta assets like crypto or tech stocks. As for when I think the bottom is coming in? No one knows if it’s already happened this cycle or if we may see BTC completely unwind before the end of this year. But I personally doubt we’ll be heading back to < $60k levels based on the two leg downs we’ve had this year. Institutional spot buying via ETF’s is compressing price action and there is a ridiculously large amount of buying demand still existing in the mid $70k’s, so imagine the buying demand around $70k let alone $65k

Meto_Kaiba

At a glance, '26-'25 looks a little bit like '22-'21. BTC is still a volatile _____.

K42st

A nothing burger haha, believe me without the clarity act the big boys can’t allocate money into spot BTC which is a huge deal for BTCs price over the longer term 12 to 18 momths.

-johoe

The bug was introduced by a security fix on August 3rd. The problem was obvious: I asked AI to do a code review of this fix and it found the exploit in 3 minutes. This could of course be that the AI has already absorbed this information from the web, but when I asked the AI for similar exploits it only listed 7 similar exploits in the last 20 years. I believe I would have been able to spot this bug myself, but it's hard to say this in hind-sight. The security fix in August was silently introduced and probably only a small circle was reviewing it in secret. Ironically the bug it fixed was far less critical than the bug it introduced. Before, the worst an attacker could do was a consensus split (validators would accept an invalid but mostly harmless block). Thanks to the flaw in the patch the attacker could create an invalid block that spend 0.1 BTC sending -4000 BTC to an OP\_RETURN and 4000.1 BTC to himself as the change. This is a bit a security conundrum. The more eyes you have that review code changes the more likely you find bugs introduced by your change. But if the code change itself is a security fix, you don't want to have too many eyes on the code and probably not let a commercial AI review the changes.

Ok_Confusion_1777

I like that we're getting more products like this. That being said, I think it still makes more sense to simply collateralize enough BTC for the down payment and get a mortgage the normal way. With this product, you've essentially done a 0% down loan at the prevailing mortgage rate. Meanwhile, if you just collateralize for the down payment, that rate is \~4-5% percent and you're only paying the prevailing mortgage rate on a now smaller portion of debt.

financeguruIB

When BTC is above 83k alts will dance again. Till then nothing

sachruul

PayPal and CashApp are definitely just walled gardens that hate self-custody or direct wallet transfers. When I ran into the same off-ramp KYC traps trying to accept small BTC payments, switching to a dedicated gateway like Inxy saved us a ton of headaches with clean WooCommerce checkout and actual wallet settlement. It completely bypasses the middleman drama if your customers just want a straightforward crypto payment.

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Post is by: LukasHartmann_ and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/cryptoskam/comments/1wf5x4u/crypto/ r/cryptocurrency, r/bitcoin: BTC — $76,800 (▼ -0.62% 24h) Current positioning: Bitcoin is trading above the monthly VWAP (76,488) but below the weekly (78,177) — neutral phase. Market outlook: reversion toward the weekly VWAP (78,177) or extension toward support. Key zones • Monthly (1d/30d): support 62,716, VWAP 76,488, resistance 82,300 • Weekly (4h/7d): support 76,047, VWAP 78,177, resistance 80,560 Scenarios • Bullish: a clean breakout through first resistance 80,560, then 82,300. • Bearish: a loss of first support 76,047, then 62,716. Levels derived from Binance daily and 4-hour candles. Not financial advice — always DYOR. r/cryptocurrency, r/ethereum: ETH — $2,481 (▼ -1.78% 24h) Current positioning: Ethereum is trading above the monthly VWAP (2,419) but below the weekly (2,499) — neutral phase. Market outlook: reversion toward the weekly VWAP (2,499) or extension toward support. Key zones • Monthly (1d/30d): support 1,869, VWAP 2,419, resistance 2,666 • Weekly (4h/7d): support 2,406, VWAP 2,499, resistance 2,666 Scenarios • Bullish: a clean breakout through first resistance 2,666. • Bearish: a loss of first support 2,406, then 1,869. Levels derived from Binance daily and 4-hour candles. Not financial advice — always DYOR. r/gold, r/investing: XAU — $4,409 (▲ +1.02% 24h) Current positioning: Gold is trading below both monthly (4,418) and weekly (4,433) VWAPs — bearish bias. Market outlook: continued pressure on lower support band. Key zones • Monthly (1d/30d): support 4,292, VWAP 4,418, resistance 4,671 • Weekly (4h/7d): support 4,333, VWAP 4,433, resistance 4,538 Scenarios • Bullish: a clean breakout through first resistance 4,538, then 4,671. • Bearish: a loss of first support 4,333, then 4,292. Levels derived from Binance daily and 4-hour candles. Not financial advice — always DYOR. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

ConcernSquare2474

Dead Internet + Shitcoins = Crypto Fear & Greed Index Please don’t post that metric every day, like it is in particular a good BTC metric. It’s not! If anything, check BTC chart weekly and monthly RSI instead.

Professu5

We will see $60-65k one more time because of macro. Rate hikes and AI headwinds over the next quarter and yields and Iran war are all issues for risk on assets and that includes BTC. That’s going to be the real “you’ll never see these prices again” timing…

Meto_Kaiba

Sure. It's a meme. From the top to the bottom of the picture is a progressively smarter situation to be in. One sat = 1/100,000,000 of 1 BTC.

Chrysalis1111

Grok says there are 100 000 to 110 000 miner adresses with exactly 50 BTC on them, never moved, so safe to say that these are lost adresses from before the first halving (these include all Satoshi coins). So yes, 15 mill is the max of Bitcoin actually in existence.

PeteyPab305

That would be what the lightning network is for? And why would I use an unstable depegged currency to settle in, and potentially lose money just for holding it? I might as well hold the BTC at that point?

Ok_Application6123

You're very optimistic thinking that BTC will go as high as 350k next cycle. I mean, it could definitely happen but according to the historical trend it shouldn't go above 300k

MediocreAnalyst2121

The it solves the exact same problem as BTC, it’s literally a fork of BTC, but does it cheaper, faster, and with optional privacy. If you ever consider using BTC to do a transfer, just use LTC instead - that’s the use case. I generally don’t want to use stuff like USDT, so I use LTC for transfers.

Boars-of-Canada

Why would you not try to ask if you base you whole personality on BTC?

enryold

I'd separate the regime trigger from confirmation so one composite score cannot hide conflicting signals. For the regime, track BTC dominance alongside ETH/BTC and an equal-weight basket of ALT/BTC pairs. For confirmation, add breadth the percentage of that basket above its medium-term average and spot-volume participation, then require the condition to persist across more than one close. Stablecoin inflows can provide context, but they do not show whether capital will rotate into alts rather than BTC. I've built a trend following algo that I released public few week ago (TrendingCoin.blog) that helps with the per-coin relative trend check. It compares systematic trends in both USD and BTC. It does not ingest dominance or stablecoin flows or send Telegram alerts, so your script would still own the macro trigger.

MelangeBot

It's just a bart. Soon BTC will go back to 60k to close the bart. But alts have already closed their barts, so when BTC dumps back to 60k they will all go even lower. There is a slow consolidation happening from alts in to BTC, the last alt will probablly be ETH. BTC can maintain a 50k price point as long as the money comes from alts getting further wrecked. But once all alts have been wrecked then what?

always_ready_rob

You are assuming people will buy exact bottom and top lol. If it goes to 55k many people are gonna wait for 40k and get sidelined when it goes up, or end up buying higher. I also said to have money left to buy the dips, so the difference may not be that much it all. For the most people my point stands - it wont matter much, especially with alternate reality of buying much higher or getting sidelined for the bull market. And BTC will not go as high as 350k.

tapakip

It's 77k right now. If it's 50-50 that the bottom's in, that means we have a chance of seeing prices below 58k. If they hit something like 55k, and someone is waiting to invest 22k, it very much matters when they buy in. It'll be the difference between owning 2/5th of a BTC versus 2/7th, as an example. If we get up to 350k next cycle, that means cashing out with $140k vs $100k, a pretty big difference.

ConcernSquare2474

Dead Internet + Shitcoins = Crypto Fear & Greed Index Please don’t post that metric every day, like it is in particular a good BTC metric. It’s not! If anything, check BTC chart weekly and monthly RSI instead.

cubeeless

BTC to $400k!

Individual-Leg-6216

BTC and some in SPX6900 would be worth it

OkDescription5692

Mining was basically free money back then if you already had a computer, buying meant you needed to figure out how to send cash to some sketchy site without getting exit scammed. Plus the whole reward halving wasn't even a thing yet so 50 BTC per block just kept rolling in

hello-operatorz

My brother and i often exchange BTC P2P, its not illegal or going to get you flagged or anything like that.... If I buy a pizza or some steaks and we have dinner, he often pitches in or reimbursed me with Sats. Its just an exchange or assets, like money. It is money, a more perfect money! Finding someone you trust to exchange is the hard part.

Suprem3NE

Wait so essentially you’re getting a loan against equal value BTC- paying 5% interest on it….. so whatever you make that year over 5% is profit?

Firm_Yogurtcloset835

Leaving your PC on 24/7 doesn't guarantee you'll manage to mine even a single block. It’s a war! Whoever has more computing power has a better chance, but there are no guarantees. It’s a completely different scenario. But just imagine—suppose you managed to mine every block in a full day: an average of 144 blocks per day times a 50 BTC reward per block. But that doesn't exist, and it never will. Back in 2010, the same guy from Pizza Day discovered that mining with a GPU was much easier... and the network scaled the difficulty. And so it goes.

FitCompetition1804

Yes but BTC has remained resilient. Going to take a whole lot more than that. A large stock market crash triggered by the oil market may do it. Added inflation just seems to pump the market further.

FitCompetition1804

I’ve had laddered limit orders starting at $54k down to $42k for many months so they’d hopefully execute in that type of scenario. I’ve since cancelled them as I’m reassessing my strategy. With my daily DCA and spot buying at lower levels since February, I have half of my position in BTC and the other half in cash for those daily DCA orders and larger buys if we dump again.

Firm_Yogurtcloset835

It’s hard to say... but after "Pizza Day" (May 2010) and the moment a speculative asset pegged to the dollar (1 dollar = 1 BTC) emerged, it really started attracting attention in 2011. However, I know a lot of people involved in IT—myself included—and back then, I honestly didn't know anything about it. I realized it depended a lot on the country, too... So, I think those involved were still a minority back in 2011.

Firm_Yogurtcloset835

Mining... without a doubt. But today, with Bitcoin well-established, there is critical analysis surrounding the project; try going back in time, though. Think about your age back then, the state of the global economy, technology, and access to information. We barely even heard about Bitcoin's existence in 2009 or 2010... it was a very specific niche within the cryptography community. Even knowing that mining back then yielded a reward of 50 BTC, the coins had practically no value; when it started, they were worth mere cents. That is why so few people from that era held onto their coins and benefited from the appreciation. Those who persisted—and witnessed the asset's value shift in the speculative market from cents to hundreds of dollars—were the ones who realized the profit. True enthusiasts of the project—those not swayed solely by the "profit"—are rare... Looking back, if you somehow did come across information about Bitcoin, did you truly understand and believe in the project?

faisal_yk26

Mining, easily. In 2010 a regular CPU could still find blocks and the reward was 50 BTC each. Difficulty was low enough that a home machine mined coins at essentially the cost of electricity. Buying was the harder path. Exchanges barely existed, Mt Gox only launched in July, and there was almost nothing to buy with.

abercrombezie

Check Liquid Bitcoin's X account, last update was 2 days ago. [https://x.com/Liquid\_BTC](https://x.com/Liquid_BTC)

Exact_Physics4224

Last November BTC 111k to 80k in 1 month. My guess is the next catalyst is war related. I personally think 1 more flush before catapulting. This current pump is lacking volume. I’ll send you a nice chart via DM

Commercial_Mix_5689

Because once you get BTC everything else is a joke.

nemodigital

Is it really funny when it's always the same silly formula? Saylor Moon fighting and running from bears to snag the BTC made with AI. I'm tired boss

Gears6

> Maybe it's just me but even if I would cash out / trade my BTC in 20 years and the worth would be millions, I wouldn't buy a super expensive car, a yacht or a huge mansion. It's just stupid. I prefer the 10 years old Volvo of Gustavo Fring lol Those of us, that isn't inflating our lifestyle are very similar that way. We invest, we creep up in wealth, and we live a modest life. I wouldn't want a mansion either, nor a fancy car. I'll take a modest home with a beach/ocean view though. Waking up and seeing that every morning is huge, but beyond that why so much materialism that does nothing, but clutter your life and increase your anxiety. That's why I prefer my old car too. I don't have to baby it like I did when it was new.

Practical-Power4143

BTC,won't moove that much anymore,it will be like gold and silver,average steady,as more and more people got the coin

DifficultSquash1517

I only got about 25% of what I wanted into BTC at 60k. That rip higher came out of nowhere 😮 I put another 20% in at 76k so I dont get locked out by another green dildo You know you got a proper amount in when you are content whether it moves higher or lower from here🤔🤷 I buy btci at extended levels to the upside such as now, for the cc hedge .....and ibit at extended levels to the downside for more pure exposure

Exact_Physics4224

Happens all the time, would take a scandal similiar to FTX or equivalent. BTC has not even hit a weekly uptrend yet

anymonero

SOL/BTC isn't below 2022 lows?

LeMoofins

It’s over bro. Crypto is on the way out. We might have a pump, maybe even see new BTC ATH, but our cultural moment has passed and the opportunity was not seized.

Paratrooper2000

Should I convert my ETH to BTC if I plan to hodl for 2+ years?

Able_Breakfast_3314

Well technically you dont need to show ID to mine for BTC etiher

Bibibis

Which cannot be said for BTC nor ETH. So who's the meme coin here

Deori1580

BTC Power Bottom

Get_the_nak

Do you mean the ACTUAL bottom or the lowest before Uptober?  We have seen below 60k and now we’re fighting for 80k.  Investors ate adding BTC to their portfolio (Don’t add more than 5% is the new advice).  This is going north fast!

creative_usr_name

Lack of regulations makes the BTC transition potentially quicker. The problem is what to do with all the vulnerable coins that don't make the transition.

One_Emu5299

DCA, and make sure you diversify and don't have all your money in BTC

creative_usr_name

Don't trust, verify applies to using BTC not obtaining it. In Satoshi's days anyone could mine easily on their home PC, or get it P2P, no one was buying from exchanges with KYC. ACIS miners have changed who is mining, but not how, and not how transactions work. No one is stuck on exchanges unless they choose to stay. There are more self custody options than ever (not necessarily all perfect)

palmdata

miners are still doing the boring math: ~$36.5/PH/day means a 200 TH box is about $7.30 gross/day before power, pool fee, and rejects. wall watts plus a 24h accepted-share report beat the BTC headline.

AsSheDoes

Be careful buying non kyc BTC. Like don't put it on exchanges or comingle with wallets that could eventually go to exchanges or have ever been associated with exchanges. That will flag your accounts and worse. P2P is essentially considered pirate 2 pirate. And while there is good to be said about it, you will have to be very careful where you spend it. It's very hard to launder crypto. Not yelling you what to do. But really read on self sovernty of your crypto.

gatot3u

Orange Shark = Buy BTC. Copy!

Fun-Analysis-182

Your coins aren't lost, and it's not a SideSwap issue. Liquid paused peg-outs while the federation runs a staged recovery from this week's bug, so nobody can move back to mainchain BTC right now. No public ETA that I've seen, they're reopening functions in stages, so watch Blockstream's official status for when pegs come back.

moonRekt

I guess I’m fortunate that I don’t have nearly 3x my houses value in BTC to use as collateral on a loan and am instead stuck at a 3% loan?? As unpopular as it is, I’m long Coinbase because I do think someday these products may make sense, but gotta say I’m not sold on this proposition but it’s worth looking into and thank you for the post

SeveredBrain2020

Better off selling BTC and rebuilding your stack.

tedusam

"Money" is used for crimes much more than BTC. You have no idea what you're talking about.

Successful_Taro8587

I literally bought like $50 when BTC was at $58k thinking I would save the big money for when it goes lower. I'm crying on the inside....

Truth-Quest

Defintely agree. If we think deep enough i think we will realize that everything is actually just a meme. BTC is a meme - it has value because enough people believe in it. Not too long ago bankers, CEOs and every mom n pop was saying "but BTC has no underlying asset - its intrinsic value is 0" - but now the same bankers are selling btc products. What changed? The belief. Same with dollar. Its a meme and it has value because enough people believe 

throwaway12three4

I went with Fidelity. They have proven BTC assets. After reading up on how they do their holdings it just fits my needs. It also makes it much more of a simple process if something happened to me. My wife won’t have to dig for BTC. If something happened to both my wife and myself, they BTC would probably be lost. My kids could struggle to recover them.

HalcyoNighT

It will follow BTC's lead. Nothing burger.

Griimbald

$50–100/month is totally fine to start. I’d keep it simple with BTC/ETH rather than spreading $5 across 10 different coins

hodler1992

Maybe it's just be but even if I would cash out / trade my BTC in 20 years and the worth would be millions, I wouldn't buy a super expensive car, a yacht or a huge mansion. It's just stupid. I prefer the 10 years old Volvo of Gustavo Fring lol

Brawlah

I have a feeling we have a leg down coming at the beginning (tues/wed) of next week. Hopefully that doesn't lead to too much,but it may. Until BTC hits 81,800 ,no bull run is confirmed imo. I'll pay a little extra and load up once it does. Until then,weekly DCA in.

JimmySki6166

When BTC is at 100k, you’ll wish you purchased @ 75k. When it’s at 200k, you’ll wish you purchased at 100k. Everyone has their own situations, believes. Some like BTC, some do not. You like wine, I like beer? It’s all relative!! Good luck!

GaRGa77

Trezor has BTC only firmware, cold card wasnt the only one

unknowngloomth

You mean big boys like TOM LEE? And they're massively underwater. So what's the point? BTC at least hit new ATHs. So it's understandable that big players prefer it over any other alt.

TravelNo6952

I'm curious what people think the reason will be to break below 50,000. It held in a low range for 3 months during a difficult macro economic environment. I'm generally bearish on BTC and don't buy into the "it will be worth 1 million in 3 years" hype, but I also don't see it hitting the 40k range without some kind of major unforeseen economic event.

Active-Ad8057

BTC code/ block chain will be compromised by AI ( so I've read )

Laukess

>No margin calls if BTC dumps. They only touch your BTC if you miss payments for 60+ days.

GaRGa77

I would keep BTC separated on a BTC only wallet

Hot_Arm3894

**\*\*\*UPDATE**: Hey everyone, thanks again for the incredible feedback on our previous concept! Based on your suggestions and the massive structural changes post-ETFs, we realized general altcoin indexes were causing way too many retail fakeouts. So, we worked to pivot and rewrite the script. We just launched the live version today, completely focused on a Pure BTC Macro Accumulation model (**integrating a 5th engine for stablecoin inflows to track real exchange dry powder**). It cuts out all the altcoin noise and is engineered for extreme selectivity. We’ve also opened a public live data feed to track these 5 parameters so the community can audit the layout in real-time. Since we can't drop direct links here, we've pinned the access point directly on our Reddit profile bio for anyone who wants to monitor it. **Would love to know your thoughts on this new Bitcoin-only direction!**

Objective_Basil_8414

Honestly the most alarming comment in the thread. Two BTC on an exchange you can't even name is worth an hour of your time this week. Searching old emails for the signup or deposit confirmation usually surfaces the name straight away.

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Post is by: Hot_Arm3894 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://www.tradingview.com/x/zwhcBewU/ Hi guys, After studying how institutional money completely changed market dynamics post-ETFs, we realized traditional retail indicators cause way too many fakeouts. So, we spent the last few weeks coding a TradingView Pine Script. Instead of just looking at standard price charts, the script aggregates 5 specific inter-market metrics in real-time to find a clean mathematical convergence before calling a macro bottom: 1. **Macro Trend**: Price relative to the 50-Week Moving Average (50 WMA); 2. **BTC Dominance**: Tracking if Bitcoin is actively draining market liquidity (BTC.D > 10 SMA); 3. **Binance Volume Spike**: Monitoring institutional spot buying volume crossing above the 20-day average; 4. **Retail Sentiment**: Monitoring an RSI basket of 5 major altcoins against BTC to spot retail panic-selling; 5. **Stablecoin Inflow**: Tracking the aggregate market cap expansion of USDT + USDC against their 20 SMA to detect institutional dry powder moving onto exchanges. The script is engineered for extreme selectivity. The signal (Orange Triangle) triggers ONLY when all 5 conditions hit a perfect 5/5 convergence. In the last 5 years of market history, it has triggered only 4 times. However, the real daily value of the dashboard for a trader is data consolidation. Instead of wasting time opening 5 different charts every single day to check stablecoin caps, volumes, dominance, and retail RSI, you have everything aggregated in one single, clean on-screen table. Right now, we are currently at 2/5 convergence (NO SIGNAL). Dominance is flat, volume is average, and retail hasn't capitulated yet. **\*\*\*UPDATE**: We've just opened a public live data feed where we track how these parameters evolve day-by-day so anyone can check the layout in real-time. Since Reddit filters direct links, we've listed the access point directly on my Reddit profile bio for those who want to monitor it. No strings attached — just looking to see how it performs for you. We’d really love to get the community's perspective on this technical setup: \- Do you think aggregating these 5 specific metrics into a single dashboard is an efficient way to save time and track the macro buildup? \- Is the on-screen table layout clean and readable enough for quick daily checks? \- What other macro or on-chain metric would you consolidate into this stack? **Thanks in advance for your insights!** *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Substantial_Taste779

huh? do you understand BTC?

Szangalar

What happens to the big addresses, which won't upgrade to PQ, and those BTC could potentialy be stealed? This is simply not so easy as you think it is, and Bitcoin being decentralized means that coordination between the nodes, miners and community for any critical change is HARDER, not easier. Banks are centralized entities, for them to do upgrade is far easier, because they don't need to coordinate with their clients or marketing to make PQ transition. You have it all backwards without ansering any question (conviniently). "It's going to adapt and it's going to do so easily and readily - if for no other reason than it can." Claiming that doen't make it true. So far Bitcoi has in fact failed on any important improvements. If proposition to increase block size, to make it more scalable and usable didn't go through, then much more complex change like PQ, that has many issues with old wallets, seems much harder. "As Quantum Computing improves, they could just augment the Difficulty Adjustment." The thing that is mostly endangered are ECDSA signatures, not Difficulty adjusment - this is another way Bitcoin is not sustainable with halvings, as security budger is pretty much halved every 4 years (and tx fees are less than 1% of reward for miners almost all the time).

StealthExplorer

Got tired of trying to predict a bottom, now I DCA weekly and keep a stash of STRC for black swan dump when I will flip that into BTC. If it doesn't dump, no issues. Not watching any signals/charts/influencers. No one knows.

Objective_Basil_8414

The uncomfortable version is that altseason was never a season, it was a liquidity condition. 2017 and 2021 both ran on cheap money plus a wave of new buyers who had no clean way to get leveraged BTC exposure, and ETFs absorbed that second group entirely. Also worth noticing: "would I buy this same bag today at this price with fresh money" feels like a totally different question from "should I sell", even though it's the same decision. That gap is the disposition effect, not analysis.

yankeevandal

If quantum is cracking BTC it's also cracking AES128 so many, many other areas are profoundly at similar risk.

dannyBitcoin21

When people stop trading and believe in something…. BTC 🤝 SPX6900

PotentTurnip

According to the BTC Power Law chart, we're around the bottom now. However, take that with a grain of salt.

LowEggplant7207

Choppy sideways action until November then BTC will start rising towards 250k by 2029

ximogui

My feeling is - everyone who owns BTC right now either believes that we are in the start of the bull market or is waiting to buy more on one "final" capitulation before the bull market begins in October. What that structure means - any actual dip in BTC will get bought aggressively. Even on high inflation news that makes a rate hike almost certain, BTC is flat. If there were going to be new lows in September, rate hike would be the catalyst. The market is shrugging it off right now. It's possible the macro environment deteriorates to a degree that we carve out new lows in December/January, but it feels like bad news is good news in BTC world right now. 30Y and 10Y at 20-year highs causing BTC traders to expect eventual QE. If war ends and 30Y/10Y fall, also supports risk-on. Either way says BTC up. Also, something I think 4-year cycle purists have been missing is that BTC traders have started to front-run expected cycle times. We saw fresh ATHs way earlier last cycle then in previous cycles. Also, the heavy sell-off in February seemed to be front-running the bear market. We didn't meaningfully move below the Feb low of $60k all year. I expect that dynamic to continue, meaning ATHs end of 2027/early 2028. No one wants to be behind the trade.

Witty-Internet-8708

Use CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap for a quick dashboard, then use TradingView when you need charts. The important part is deciding what “movement” means: price change, volume, performance versus BTC, or derivatives activity can tell very different stories. For any headline that might affect a trade, trace it to the original source before reacting. Check the issuer or protocol announcement, exchange notice, SEC or CFTC release, or status page instead of relying on a screenshot or summary. Then compare the event with spot price, volume, open interest, funding rates, and ETF flows where relevant. Save the headline, timestamp, source, and your interpretation in a notes file. A news event is information, not automatically a buy or sell signal.

LukaBrasi87

Waiting for BTC to crash below 40,000. Will DCA more aggressively then and wait for the next cycle.

TeachingWhich2776

1. Never Sell 2. BTC Markets or Independent Reserve are the best platforms to buy in Australia

devCheckingIn

Dogecoin does have utility though. It's a proof-of-work network like BTC but with an inflationary supply (with a decreasing rate of inflation), meaning it's a cryptocurrency designed for spending and transactions. Now with stablecoins taking the spotlight maybe it's not so useful anymore.

GabeDef

Tether prints its own coins to buy BTC. It is a scam used to inflate BTC prices. Prove me wrong.

Worldx22

If BTC is $80k you can expect to pay $95k

ForVictori

In other words they rehyp your BTC? No thanks. I’ll stick with Ledn