BTC

TrapHouse9999

Because it is. They need new money to buy Bitcoin so it can jack up the price which they then can loan against (BTC is their backing asset).

ljungbergsghost

And BTC earning per coin will still be zero.

ljungbergsghost

No it’s not. It’s billions in cash earnings per quarter. BTC quarterly earning 3-31-26 where….zero.

jonesmatty

Yes, then it dropped down to 15k and I got margin called. It isn't worth risking your hard earned BTC!. Don't do it.

FitCompetition1804

Shitcoins are finally recognized as being Shitcoins, and Bitcoin does what it does in its 4 year cycles. If BTC is struggling 3 years from now, then I’ll start getting concerned and asking similar questions.

inteliboy

A semiconductor stock has almost done a 5x in 6months. BTC just aint all that anymore.

MariachiArchery

The BTC maxi's are right. ETH is the only alt. ICO's are unregistered penny stocks. Take 2FA seriously. DCA. Anything 'algorithmic' is a in fact not algorithmic. Buy the dip.

Halyth2705

lol true, i though beside BTC, some tokens in Ordinals also made other invest too, it's still BTC ecosystem

Nearby_Ring_8054

Yeah this is smart approach. I learned this lesson hard way when I needed money for equipment last year and BTC decided to tank right when I was ready to buy 😂 Now I keep travel money separate from investment stuff - maybe start moving trip budget to cash like 2-3 months before you need it? That way you still get some potential gains but don't risk being stuck with expensive flights because market had bad week 💀

quiethandle

That's literally the business model. It works if BTC goes up ~10% per year (which it certainly hasn't lately, MSTR is at roughly a break even and they've been at this game for a couple of years) Now, why doesn't anyone else ever do to this with any other asset? You could do it with real-estate, you could say, we're going to buy all these properties, and bank the increase in prices of the properties as revenue, and it works great so long as real estate goes up 10% per year. I mean, surely no one has ever tried that before, and certainly not in 2005-2008.

carriwitchetlucy2

I think a lot of people make the mistake of mixing investing money with goal-specific savings. BTC can absolutely grow your money, but it can also make budgeting unpredictable if the market suddenly swings hard. If flights and hotels are important to you, stability matters more than potential upside.  Personally I’d probably leave some money in BTC but slowly move the actual travel budget into cash as the trip gets closer. That feels like the best balance between risk and peace of mind. 

MarioWilson122

BTC can absolutely drop, but acting like 40k–50k by October is guaranteed feels like people copy-pasting the old cycle onto a different market. This isn’t the same retail-led cycle anymore. ETFs and institutional flows changed the structure. That doesn’t mean “number only go up,” but it does mean old drawdown expectations may not hit the same way.

sethjr10

Start by using a trusted exchange like Bybit, Binance, or any exchange you prefer(dyor) deposit a small amount you can afford to lose, buy major coins like BTC or ETH, and focus on learning before chasing profits.

Minute_Locksmith5224

My friend, there are only 2048 possibilities, less actually. BTC recovery is easy.

Saffuran

Block time is always going to be a major factor in vulnerability to hypothetical quantum attacks. Ethereum has a 12 second block time, Solana's block times are measured in milliseconds, Bitcoin's block time is 10 minutes. It's that incredibly long BTC Block window that makes it the most vulnerabile and BTC is also the slowest and most resistant to change.

NorthcoteTrevelyan

BTC needs to sort out its damn market correlation! Jk obvs, but not inflation hedge as hoped so far, not safe haven, high beta with markets. So with equity behaviour, yet nobody knows how many coins o/s as they get lost forever, massive amounts owned by ??? Decent chance Mossad/KGP/other boogie man behind it all. Can it just behave like gold at least?!

Tony_rr

I am one of those people, I bought in 2013 for like $250 a BTC then sold for like 4x in 2013, I thought I did good. Very few had that much foresight.

gihkal

Exactly. How much data does the cremation institute have on individuals crypto information ? Hopefully very littl. This is the beauty of crypto. I don't need an institute or a lawyer to ensure their security or transfer. They have no idea what we're transacting. 1 in 4 BTC is including Satoshis coins that could come online any second.

schrodingersbadger

I can see you are an intelligent/well informed individual. Quantum computing is ABSOLUTELY a threat. I own a decent amount of BTC. That being said, I am not sure Bitcoin will be able to make the network quantum safe in time. When began asking the same question as you, I ran into another crypto currency called Quantum Resistant Ledger (QRL). I have since been DCAing into QRL. One thing that gave it a lot of credibility in my book, was the fact that Lockheed Martin (the defense contractor) has a patent that uses QRL blockchain for quantum resistant communications. QRL was also mentioned in the Google paper on quantum computing and blockchains. Don’t take my word for it, ask an AI about it and do your own research.

PovasTheOne

There are only so many times the market can fuck over millions of retail investors until the retail investors learn their lessons. Also this whole ‘ crypto winter’ and bull run cycles need to stop. Tell me with a serious face right now that you could HONESTLY recommend crypto over the stock market? Whatever money i’ve made in Crypto has been basically eaten up by taxes and the biggest lesson i learned is tO STAY THE FUCK AWAY FROM CRYPTO. Only reason i still hold what i have is hopes of rate cuts pumping it up a bit. From now on i am in stocks only. Though tbh the economy is in a spot where i think stacking cash is also a good idea. Buying at the highs as these is always risky. If the crypto market ever matures and the exchanges will stop promoting shitcoins, memecoins, hypecoins, etc, then i’ll reconsider about Crypto. Also whoever is new here and wants to invest in crypto, do yourself a favor and stick to BTC only.

canadas

Well a lot. I'd probably be retired if I did everything right, but what are the odds of that. I"ve both gained and lost from alt coins, a smart/ person with good timing can for sure make money, I've lost. It was fun to gamble on bitdice and whatever back in the day when BTC was $500 If I could go bac in time, I'd be better off to to literally nothing and wake up today

One_Design5834

You're not understanding my point; I'm telling you this from the perspective of someone who has lived with inflation since birth and has even seen 200% year-on-year inflation (in Argentina). My point is that the more money is printed to stop the economic recession they are experiencing and will continue to experience due to this same process The more the paper money (dollars) loses value day by day because of the amount Money created without backing; which leads to a greater circulation of money that will eventually be reflected in the market This will happen gradually, but in 5-10 years, the 2.5T market could reach, and will reach, 8-10T USD. Not because it's a good market, but because of the growth of circulating money. Now, do you really think that even if it grows to 5T, most of it won't be channeled into BTC? Do you really believe that, or are you still stuck in the church?

Aus_Dave

We are still in a bear market for BTC so wait for it's final leg down, potentially around Oct, then buy Solana.

Choice_Potato_6279

S&P only, unless you swing trade your BTC portfolio will underperform most of the time.

panthera_N

2026: BTC 50k.......ETH 1k 2028: BTC 180k.....ETH 3.5k

Frosty-Cone

I think the alts pumping also brought in new investors. They’d look at bitcoin going up thousands of percent and would invest in alts to find the ‘new bitcoin’, thinking they’d missed the boat with BTC (they were wrong). Regardless of how useful those alts actually were. Definitely less dumb money coming in.

Illustrious_Way3898

Look at the TRX vs BTC chart. Oh my!

West-Possession-9974

This Friday there's 6.25 billion in BTC options expiring. That average between calls and puts right now sits at 75k. If you think market makers aren't actively hedging to keep it in-between the 394 million puts at 75k or 532 million calls at 80k until Friday then youre just wrong.

nugymmer

Comparing an alt coin with the S&P index and BTC oh my!

nugymmer

You are not holding BTC? If so, that is a problem. Don't hold worthless alt bags. They are not going to make you rich! Unless one gets caught up in an ETF frenzy.

nugymmer

Depends what you hold. BTC, sure. Alts, doubtful. Hope you are holding the right ones. Or you'll be left behind while the market moves on up.

nugymmer

Anyone who talks down BTC gets the profits they deserve - that is, if they get any profits at all and not left holding a worthless bag of nonperforming deadwood.

nugymmer

Inflation? I see, the price of alt coins has gone up, right? I don't see that at all. BTC maybe. Well of course it has to be BTC cuz that's the only one that has basically thrived and continues to bring in real profit as long as you are not buying in at the top. The most liquid of crypto. The only one a beginner should even bother with. The rest is just the noise of a busy casino.

Time_Basis2535

GL DCA BTC what you can afford every single day

nugymmer

Nah. Warren Buffet advised against it.  Stick with what brings in consistent and reliable gains. Only BTC has truly done that. It's always making new ATHs. Can you say the same thing about other cryptos? Sure, let's try.

simple_steps1

0.001 BTC at 19 years old is probably gonna age better than most people's savings accounts

nugymmer

Just stick to BTC. Assume everything else is too good to be true, or a scam, even if it appears not to be. That seems to have been a winning strategy over the last several cycles.

Icy_Giraffe_21

I've seen one wallet over a month ago send 4534.301 BTC worth at the time of transaction 403M...in one shot...I almost threw up

JacpSB

Well brother any amount of BTC is life changing, whether you lose it or not. You life will be forever changed. Just don't yourself up too much

R4ID

Lol, The solution is to fork and freeze the coins. Nothing says "an alternative to government controlled money" like freezing BTC wallets and their holdings. The maxi's refused to listen to people who keep saying that quantum is going to reck them in the long run.

cool_eta

Start by buying the biggest coins: BTC, ETH, and SOL. Personally, I don’t really like being exposed to Ethereum. I prefer focusing on Solana, since it’s an ecosystem I’ve been living in, working with, and supporting for a long time.

Kurdistan0001

What did you expect to people hold in a BTC fanatics subreddit?

OccasionalXerophile

Sentiment will rotate to Quantum resistant crypto. BTC needs to get its finger out and plan for the future, pronto.

TripTryad

You aren't wrong, I have a deep 6 figure position in MU that is just defying gravity in the way alts do in legit alt seasons. People just need to understand its okay to pivot back and forth to equities and back to crypto to keep growth going without having to 'endure' crypto bear markets. Theres no reason to not be in equities this year when we all know the four year cycle means that BTC and alts with it should bottom towards Q4 of this year. Multiply your money until November and then swing in with your larger fiat position and buy a TON more BTC than you would otherwise be able to. Then ride 2027 and 2028 up. Rinse and repeat.

twincam-110

I am a true believer in BTC I have not moved any out of my wallet but i can if needed

justcurious3287

There’s no reason why you can’t load up on both SCHG and BTC. They’re both great. The crypto market is godawful right now, but that won’t be forever.

devCheckingIn

Says right there "Sell BTC -> Buy USD". Everything you need to know about a company that has realized it's "strategy" doesn't work if BTC trades worse than a stablecoin. Saylor wanted his "institutional adoption" and to kick retail to the curb and he got it. Good luck!

Diligent-Leopard-140

I usually treat cash as its own allocation bucket instead of trying to manually recalculate every position. So if my normal allocation is: BTC 40% ETH 30% SOL 30% and I want 20% cash, I mentally scale the invested portion down to 80% and keep the relative weights the same underneath. That means: BTC 32% ETH 24% SOL 24% Cash 20% Makes it easier than individually deciding what to trim each time, but still takes some work on my end.I do this in spreadsheet like once in 2-3 months.

ihsan_builds

The right shape for someone coming from stocks, 20% allocation, BTC + ETH, long-term. One thing to push back on, "DCA or buy at extreme fear" is the same trap as "DCA or wait for the right entry". They're opposite strategies. Fear/Greed index is interesting in hindsight but useless in real time, extreme fear can stay extreme for months while price keeps falling, IMO. Pick DCA or level-based buying, not both. If you DCA, buy on the same day every month regardless of price or sentiment. If you wait for levels, you'll probably still be waiting when BTC is $200k. Skip the "key price levels" idea entirely for a long-term holder. Levels matter for traders. For a 5-10 year horizon, every entry in the last 8 years looked terrifying at the time and obvious in hindsight.

swdee

You don't really understand [what they have published](https://ethereum.org/roadmap/future-proofing/quantum-resistance/) and or how that relates to BTC. First of all they are not replacing ECDSA signatures with BLS. Ethereum is already using BLS signatures which are vulnerable to quantum attack and will replace them with leanXMSS. leanXMSS is purely a hash based signature scheme. This is for the consensus layer used by validators -- BTC is mining based so does not have this problem. For KZG commitments they have no specific solution, other than moving to hash based functions or to lattice based encryption schemes. Lattice based encryption is believed to be quantum resistant, but is not proven to be, this is largely due to the fact there is no working quantum attack so you can't prove what does not yet exist. For ECDSA account signatures Ethereum exposes the public key on the transaction which makes it vulnerable to quantum attack. Only BTC's original and old P2PK transactions have this same fate, the main concern is over Satoshi's coins, however the majority of the network uses hash based (P2SH, P2PKH, P2WPKH, P2WSH) transactions so are already quantum safe. Ethereum is looking to use Hash based transactions too. ZK-Proofs use vulnerable encryption schemes. So overall, Ethereum has a bunch of problems BTC does not have and has already solved with respect to quantum resistance. So you analysis of this announcement is complete garbage.

Stereo-Gito

They have investors to keep happy but they also know a halving is coming in a little under 2 years and we may never see this low of a BTC price ever again. Get it while you can

devCheckingIn

BTC performed poorly today as well.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

But BTC seems to be reacting less and less to the stock market lift. We are seeing bigger rallies in stocks, with ATHs, and now BTC barely reacts and gives up its little gains more quickly. And to be fair, in the past BTC has dipped and even crashed hard while stocks were going up, so it definitely wouldn't be a first.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

If history repeats, wouldn't that bring the price down below $30K? Last bear market BTC dropped to 78%. Slightly less than the previous bear market, which was less than the one before. So 78% from $126 would be $27K. Even if it continues on the pattern of being slightly less intense, it's still around $35K.

Zeewass

The counter argument is that Crypto never made sense in the first place but people still bought into it and will continue to do so and with that said, new ATH's will continue to be reached. There were many skeptics like you in the early days of BTC and look at where it is today.

zoominpacks

Trezor has a BTC only one + you choose what coins you want on it…

Accomplished-Eye5567

Miners and other parties own a lot. I think BTC is decentralized enough in terms of hodlers that these corporate buyers could never buy up 50% of the network This is the beauty of bitcoin. Even if they did (which I find extremely unlikely), the network could always fork them out if they started acting malicious. All of this is unlikely to ever happen though. BTC would be $10M per coin before they could buy out 50% of the supply

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Post is by: Bitter-Entrance1126 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1toh3bb/the_950m_liquidation_data_hides_something/ total headline: $950M in 24h liquidations, mostly longs. boring. everyone saw that. the interesting part is the breakdown. BTC and ETH liquidations were mechanical, 2-3% drop clips leveraged longs, totally expected. but XRP had $50M+ wiped in long liquidations while only dropping 1.2%. that's massive liquidation for a tiny move. people were way too levered on XRP. meanwhile LINK had a whale open 162K LINK ($1.53M) long on Hyperliquid plus $4.73M in pending limit orders. DOGE had a $2.75M whale long opened the same day. while retail was getting destroyed, specific wallets were targeting individual alts with concentrated positions. retail gets flushed, whales selectively accumulate into forced selling. those whale entries tend to outperform, they're buying at artificially deflated prices from liquidation cascades, not from genuine selling. not saying ape into LINK or DOGE. saying the flow data looks more like selective accumulation than panic. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

thistimelineisweird

No, you see, if he wins Ohio's governor race then Ohio can build a BTC reserve as exit liquidity for his tokens. Big brain. 

Crypto_future_V

More companies like Strive stacking heavy BTC is super bullish following Saylor playbook strengthens the whole market keep going

devCheckingIn

Ironically the only part of my crypto stock portfolio that's doing well are the mining companies, and that's only because they're pivoting away from BTC to AI.

devCheckingIn

Many alts in the top 10 performed as well or better than BTC in the last cycle. That's just the price action. Yeah I wouldn't hold alts long-term but it would also depend on when one got in. Who knows where BTC will be 5 years from now.

eyeballs79

Congrats! Why do you feel bad for leaving it on Strike? Have you considered staking your BTC on Hemi to earn yield?

No-Masterpiece2246

Agree about onchain vs custodial ETF trading But maybe that just dampens volatility? Or that just means any coin with an ETF will not pump? If people don't make profits rotating into alts, they won't. But it doesn't mean pumps won't happen in alts, it just means BTC/alt price ratios will drop.

No-Masterpiece2246

And they're leveraged, so every drop in BTC double or triples their default risk

flowexplorer

\> I know a lot of people are anti leverage, but I'm interested in hearing from anyone who's done this before. Interested in hearing what, whether the price went up and they made money? Yes, you can use leverage on BTC. If you're up for the risk, go for it.

rawkiteer

How did you hold BTC "for YEARS" and make a loss?

k33ba

Been thinking of doing this myself, if I sold all now id take a small loss on current positions but overall would have profited doing crypto but no where near what im doing on stocks withing a tax free stocks ISA. I know some comments here are that Ai sector will slow down/top out and im sure it will be doesnt mean money will rotate back to crypto. Will probably go more into space or quantum or hell knows what's next. I think crypto hasent given actual use cases beyond BTC being 'digital gold', which i think will continue. Its just too inaccessible to the majority and therefore restricting money flow. Making it more accessible probably involves solutions that goes against the whole decentralisation

Early_Aardvark_4026

One critical parameter you will need is the liquidity LTV. Let’s say your collateral will be liquidated when LTV rises to 80% which means BTC price drops about 30%. Can you quickly take action for these flash crash events (it can happen on 24 hours)? There are 2 risks: platform risk and cash risk. If you prefer taking this leverage, calculate your buffer again and have a good plan for such events.

Ok_Golf_6467

It's coming for sure. I just went risk on and got a nice bag of Virtuals Protocol. TAO and NEAR are obviously good too! BTC is still bearish but AI is doing a mini run right now

jeremiahcp

Don’t listen to the naysayers here. Tech stocks are currently in a major boom, and AI is driving much of that momentum. It makes a lot of sense to shift at least some money into tech stocks tied to AI. Over the past five years, some tech sectors have outperformed BTC, and at this point, I am starting to question how much long-term upside crypto really has left. The massive gains crypto saw in earlier cycles already appear to be showing diminishing returns with each new cycle. Eventually, crypto may simply normalize and behave more like the broader market. AI, on the other hand, could prove to be a revolutionary technology with enormous room for long-term growth. Of course, the AI boom could also collapse, but if it does, it will likely drag much of the broader market down with it, including crypto. So at this point, I am not convinced crypto offers a major advantage over investing in AI-driven tech, especially when the broader market itself is increasingly tied to the success or failure of AI.

czarchastic

I sold most of my stack at $100k after buying at $20k. I plan to buy again this fall. BTC isn’t for people who only hold for 6 months.

HSuke

Oh. Now you're asking the smart questions and going down the misleading BPS metric rabbit hole. BPS is calculated as: (Total BTC) / (Assumed Diluted Shares Outstanding) Diluted shares includes convertible debt, so paying that off increases BPS. The problem with BPS is that it doesn't account for cash reserves or for preferred shares (except for the convertible STRK). It also doesn't account for BTC price. It's a misleading metric that can be manipulated. For example, they can keep selling and diluting STRC, and it just increasing BPS, which is why BPS is currently increasing. https://np.reddit.com/r/MSTR/comments/1thtje5/the_measuring_problem/ https://x.com/thelogman/status/2053156489422848062

Michael-Blurry

Skip it, buy one of the remaining bitcoin miners or the ones that have mostly repositioned as data infrastructure. You can get direct exposure to crypto without buying BTC and eth isn't worth parking $ there. Hut8, KEEL (bitfarms) SLNH are all more volatile and have massively outperformed BTC in the past few years.

No-Masterpiece2246

But low fees just means nobody is using BTC. That's not a good sign either.

jeremiahcp

Just DCA into BTC and don't worry about price, plan to hold for 4 years or longer.

Xennenial

They have plenty of ways to generate cash, I wouldn't worry about that. Even if they actually sold some of their BTC, it's not like the would get on Coinbase and start spamming the sell button. The sales would be privately brokered and sold directly to large institutions rather than sell orders on the open market.

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Post is by: AngrilyShaky and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1tofhe8/galaxys_q1_2026_crypto_leverage_report_is_wild/ Spent way too long reading the Galaxy Q1 leverage report this weekend. Honestly worth it. The big picture: crypto lending shrank again. Two nine-figure exploits (Drift, LayerZero/KelpDAO) basically lit Aave on fire — people pulling stables, yanking WETH, full panic spiral. The surprising part: BTC, ETH and SOL all bled hard since October, but CeFi loan books held up better than DeFi. Wild flip from a year ago when everyone was writing CeFi's obituary. Who actually grew: barely anyone. Maple, Coinbase, Nexo, Milo — all the smaller names. Tether even contracted for the first time since 2021, which I didn't expect. There's a story in here about who actually weathered Q1 well that the report doesn't fully unpack. My takeaway: the "DeFi is eating CeFi" story took a real hit this quarter. Two years ago it was "why would anyone use a centralized lender." Now it's "maybe some of these guys actually knew what they were doing." Funny how fast the narrative flips when an exploit drains nine figures in a weekend. Pulled some funds off Aave after the rsETH thing myself and haven't moved them back. Where's everyone else borrowing/lending these days? And for the people who stuck with DeFi — what changed about your risk management? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Stoic-Mindset

BTC in 2014. Unfortuntaly, I had to sell it many times.

czarchastic

The fact that this guy lost money on BTC is very telling, lol.

Aerocryptic

If there’s no organic demand for your alt, then it probably is destined to die. BTC did rise from an organic demand / speculation call it what you want. FOMO happens at the late stage of an uptrend market when retail finally wakes up.

devCheckingIn

Alts are driven by algo-trading on BTC, just like how BTC is algo-traded to other things like the DXY or IGV or QQQ or whatever. Unless you get "organic" buying demand you're not going to overcome the algorithm. But you're not going to get organic buying demand unless the red candles go on vacation. FOMO is necessary to get parabolic moves and you need retail for that. That's what helped drive gold and silver. I agree with the general sense that alts are useless, but they're no more useless than Bitcoin. Where there's speculation, they'll go up. None of this crypto crap has real value like Nvidia or Apple or whatever.

Upset_Albatross_9179

I think their "strategy" is very simple. They buy BRC. If BTC goes up they make money. If you buy shares, they'll use that money to buy BTC. If BTC goes up shareholders will make money. They might get creative with loans, but that's the fundamental thing. I don't think there's really a ponzi / pyramid element to it. Older shareholders are not profiting at the expense of newer shareholders in an unusual way. If BTC goes up the business is sound and all shareholders profit. If BTC does not go up they fail in a fairly ordinary way. The funny thing about it is the exclusive focus on one asset, BTC. Why not just invest in a BTC ETF if you want to abstract away from direct BTC ownership? But I think you can hand wave that they \*could\* and are choosing not to, and guess maybe it's because they think MicroStrategy will do a better job of actively managing BTC holdings, paying dividends, etc.

Aerocryptic

The altcoin market needs to mature and can’t grind eternity on BTC’s back. Let 99.9% of them die so we can ride the very few future winners. Retail doesn’t matter anyway. All they’re doing did since 2021 was buying the worst shit this market can offer

devCheckingIn

Saylor's been buying BTC since 2020 and is in the red. He could have bought Walmart stock and done better.

alanispul

Stop throwing your money away in alt projects!! BTC and ETH is the only way to go!

Drumroll-PH

My first crypto was also BTC, mainly because I didn’t really understand anything else and just followed the same Bitcoin is the future narrative everyone was talking about. I still hold a small amount, but over time I started treating it more like long term exposure rather than something to actively trade. Looking back, it was less about strategy at the start and more just getting comfortable with how the space works.

bpg2001bpg

Hypothetically, when someone cracks Satoshi's wallet and makes the first transaction, how long will she have to spend all of it before BTC is worthless? 30 seconds give or take?

QuestionNational1283

Buying 0.5 btc for 500, trading like a hero (in a bull market) till 6 BTC and then losing it all on a margin call. At least now I know I am not a good day trader. Expensive lesson

devCheckingIn

The point he's making is that alts are algo-bound to BTC w/ some beta-multiplier and since BTC can't hold a green candle for any more than a half-day, alts are constantly being dragged down with it. This is the story all through 2025 and why retail is nowhere to be found. Ironically, BTC maxis like Saylor seem to think this is all good for the market because the fewer the participants, the better in their minds.

Medium_Change4574

But does Micron have a ponzi like BTC with STRC

Civil_Store_5310

He's entitled to though.. He's not the cornerstone of BTC he's an investor

Kareni_Davis

The math works until it doesn't. The real question isn't whether BTC outperforms 11.5% over 12 months - it probably will. It\`s whether you can psychologically handle watching your liquidation price during a 30% drawdown without panic-closing at the worst moment.

richardto4321

Most people don't understand that it's still an assymetric bet. The chances of BTC going to zero are much lower than the chances of BTC going to $250k+ in 5-10 years.

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Post is by: talissman_7 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1todewo/update_6_days_ago_i_shared_a_6month_analysis_of/ Hey everyone, Last week I posted an EDA showing the Top 5 news triggers based on a 6-month sample of CoinDesk headlines mapped to 1-minute BTC candles. While the 15-minute volatility decay was clear, a lot of you (and my own tests) pointed out a massive flaw: 6 months is just one market regime. It’s not enough data to prove if a strategy is actually robust or just overfitting a bull run. So, I left my pipeline running, dealt with the Binance API rate limits, and scaled the dataset to cover **2 FULL YEARS (May 2024 - May 2026)**. That is 3,773 high-impact news events strictly aligned with T0, T+5m, T+15m, and T+1h price action. **The brutal takeaway across 3,700+ events:** The initial conclusion holds up even stronger across a 2-year timeline. If you are manually trading breaking news, you are simply exit liquidity for algorithms. The actionable price impact (the alpha) is absorbed almost entirely within the first 10-15 minutes, regardless of whether it's a bull or bear market. By the time a human reads the headline and opens an exchange, it's over. I’ve updated my Kaggle notebook with the new 2-year charts so you can visually see how the volatility decays over a statistically significant timeframe. You can check out the updated analysis and the code here: [**https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/yevheniipylypchuk/bitcoin-news-vs-1m-btc-price-action-2025-26**](https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/yevheniipylypchuk/bitcoin-news-vs-1m-btc-price-action-2025-26) For the quants here: do you still try to trade news sentiment on lower timeframes, or have you completely moved to macro trends? Would love to hear your thoughts on the expanded dataset. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

james8807

the real question is...what is the total current value of their BTC holdings

Ced-Invest

Fully with you on the mechanism. The "AI sucked liquidity" framing was always a narrative shortcut for a duration and rates story, the actual flow data backs you up. ETF inflows being positive most of 2025 is the part nobody quotes because it ruins the clean rotation arc. Where I would push back slightly is on the marginal corporate treasurer decision, not the macro flow. That layer of buyer was making a single basket bet on "AI exposure" through NVDA. Now they have to pick a lane inside AI, and BTC sits there as the one allocation that does not require picking a winner inside a fragmenting trade. Not a rotation story, more a relative attractiveness of the simplest non-equity bet versus a basket that just got harder to construct. Agreed the macro driver dominates. The AI fracture is just one input that quietly improves BTC's case at the margin.

beerbaron105

I still hold both, however I no longer use my icy white CC, there are better reward cards out there for me, I unstaked my Cro and I am waiting for a bullrun to dump it. Bittensor will be a long, long term hold like BTC, it will be worth $20k-50k in next 5 years and will keep going up, decentralized AI is the future

HSuke

They can. They've been selling STRC whenever it's over $100, which they call "ATM". Historically, they've used this to buy BTC, but they could use it to replenish the cash reserves. And the reserves are what pays the STRC dividends. Kind of like a pyramid-adjacent scheme.

mmmenterprises

I did and lost 1.35 BTC as a result Paid for a life lesson