BTC

Warm_Pressure_3977

There was actually a small ALT cycle around April 2024 and little in 2025. I don't think it's the ALT cycle that was the issue but more the drop that followed. Most Alts are down 90%. Will they come back? Honestly, I agree with you and say no. Meme crazy is done. Retail has been burned. Useful projects - ETH, SOL - which both have issues, NEAR, and others in top 100 - possibly but even some of them will vanish. BTC will be fine. True, alt run in in earlier cycles was during QE not QT. Rates are higher, everything costs more and lots of macro uncertainity. If that goes away, can we run? Sure. Too bad it won't be for a long time.

QuirkyGlove3326

Buying anything other than BTC or ETH.

Tubby94

Don't you see what's going on with BTC backed digital credit? We are still in early innings.

Strevolution

the real question is how will the BTC burn if the wallet is cold? 🤔

FriendsMade_MeDoIt

2.5% on BTC is tempting but I’m still paranoid about parking a decent stack on exchanges long term. A couple of my friends use Kraken and trust it way more than most platforms though, so I get the appeal if it’s just a portion you’re comfortable risking. Feels more like a “better than letting it sit” move than something I’d go all in on.

ImDeepState

Yep. Early is buying BTC at $0.74 or $7.40, not $74,962. No one getting in now is early. The real question is if it is still worth buying?

StaticAutomatic202

Actually, it does. Even if we take BTC to zero from here, if there is value to be found in RWA and money to be made, that specific sector will have to become independent from the rest of the market eventually. Most companies from the dot-com bubble are not around anymore, but the bubble itself didn’t kill the tech industry…

AutoModerator

Post is by: Ced-Invest and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1tpbq4t/anyone_using_ai_tools_to_crosscheck_their_smc/ Curious what tools people here are running to validate their SMC structure work. I picked up the habit of cross-checking my own reads against an AI analyzer after marking the wrong leg on a daily range twice last month. Posting in case it is useful, and in case someone has a better workflow than mine. The one I have been running on BTC and ETH for the past 3 weeks: https://investisseur2-0.com/en/smc-ai-analyzer. Free, no signup, you paste a chart screenshot. What it does well: liquidity pool tagging (SSL, BSL, equal highs and lows), FVG detection on H4 and Daily, last BOS and CHoCH, and a non-binding bias derived from the structural read. The FVG auto-marking is where it saves me time. I tend to miss small displacement FVGs when I am tired. What it still fails on: OTE premium and discount when the swing range is ambiguous (which leg do you measure?), order block versus breaker block in choppy zones, Wyckoff phase C nuance (spring versus failed spring), and anything narrative-aware. It does not know ETF flows or macro context. Sanity check on today's BTC tape: it tagged the $73.8K to $74K SSL pool as next draw, FVG April 24 at $76.8K to $77.4K unfilled below, $584M long liquidation cluster sitting on the sweep target. Matches what I had marked manually. The structural read is solid. Where it falls short is flow context. Six straight days of BTC ETF outflows, $1.26B gone, 2026 net inflows collapsed from the $2.44B April record to $536M. Pure SMC reads structure not flow. The tool stayed structure-bullish while the flow says institutions are reducing risk. Anyone else running their charts through an AI analyzer? What are you using, and where have you seen yours break? Especially curious about anyone running the same framework across FX and crypto. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

FromThePits

It's a visualization of the dwindling supply of BTC. 20 million have been released in 17 years, but only 2.5 million is still accessible on open exchanges. 17 years more and you will probably struggle to find significant bitcoin in the wild. It will become institutionalized, extremely valuable and largely owned and utilized by hedgefunds, governments and cooperations ..unless you secure your fair share, while you still can. So.. got yours?

altcoinomy-noe

Of course, with the initial BTC collateral acquired through a bank loan.

RichBrokeRich

Keep your short term spending in secure options, like a HYSA. Dumping trip money into BTC is going to hurt if it takes a dive as you get closer to your trip.

CrazyAppel

with Kraken no, the reason u can get 2.5% apy on Kraken is because there is no insurance regulation in place for CEX custodial services, meaning if Kraken goes insolvent, you will be labeled as an unsecured creditor and you wont get anything reimbursed. This is why ETFs and TradFi pegs came to existence, because then you can offload risk to a regulated entity so the custody is their problem not yours, if BTC then crashes, you have options for insurance coverage etc... which you simply don't have with CEX like Kraken.

Salamandrine88

Drift and rsETH were the actual stress test and CeFi held up because their risk isn't recursive the way DeFi composability is. When one protocol blows up contagion runs through everything that accepted it as collateral. Pulled my borrowing off Aave after rsETH, moved to Bybit Loans for USDC against BTC. Fixed rate, no contagion path. Trade-off is custody but fine for borrowed positions Tether contracting for the first time since 2018 is the data point that actually matters. Real deleveraging at institutional level

Medium_Change4574

Exactly. Bear cases grow, bull cases fade (digital gold, hedge against inflation, ...). BTC lost the plot. One day the only crypto worth buying could be memecoins because they are a plain and simple gamble and nothing more, as stupid as that sounds. Everything else is not worth it compared to equities.

jclaslie

Does it really matter if BTC just keeps taking and the whole industry goes down with it?

devCheckingIn

If you zoom out on the chart you see that BTC spends about three years in a combined bear market / price recovery phase. Then there's about a year where it trades around or above the previous ATH before dumping again. Compare it to the stock market indices where corrections are generally shorter, and for the most part the charts are up and to the right. Why hold an asset that's going to have three years of doldrums? Only gold and silver are worse than that.

Confident_Worker_203

The idea of BTC as «hard money» with a supply cap always made sense to me, but it took me longer to realise that fiat will inevitably be inflated on a permanent basis. Then I was unsure whether BTC could survive from a technical perspective. The latter concern disappeared after its 2020 comeback. Crypto more generally clicked for me when I realised it essentially implies that it ideally is a technology to «automate trust». It can potentially - in certain cases - verify that something is true, where before you either just had to trust it or needed some other way to verify validity.

Mattie_Kadlec

I know it's just a coincidence but Saylor has the exact amount of BTC right now

Medium_Change4574

Why would institutions and big money want to buy BTC in the future just to make a single sucker like Saylor ultra rich? Dude is literally slowly killing BTC. Maybe he's a government psyop after all, "kill BTC by using their own money"

BetterSeesaw

A millionaire with 0.16 BTC. Keep on dreaming boy

trunksta

Plenty of reasons to move coins do you know how many types of BTC addresses there are

Proximus84

I've never understood how people are so comfortable transferring these huge BTC amounts in single transactions, when one number/letter wrong could ruin your life.

Numerous_Ruin_4947

There goes BTC's security budget. Meanwhile ETH staking supply is at an ATH. BTC is trading at a 6x snowflake premium against ETH.

LearnBitcoinCom

An address for which no private key is known, effectively removing any BTC sent there from circulation. [https://www.learnbitcoin.com/glossary/burn-address](https://www.learnbitcoin.com/glossary/burn-address)

Technical_Leader6979

depends on where you are tbh. like if you're in the US or EU the big exchanges work fine for cashing out, but I have a friend in Nigeria who basically can't use half of them so he's stuck with P2P options. for me it's mostly about fees and speed. i used to just sell on coinbase but the spread was killing me on larger amounts. switched to doing P2P trades on BitValve for a while and it was... fine? not fancy but I could pick my payment method and negotiate rates directly which helped. the trust thing is real tho. nobody wants to send crypto and then get ghosted waiting for fiat. that's why i think reputation systems on P2P platforms matter more than people realize. escrow helps too obviously. privacy is another big one depending on your situation. some of those smaller cash-out sites have pretty invasive KYC for what amounts to just selling your BTC. kinda defeats the purpose for some people.

devCheckingIn

The mining companies have pivoted to AI, that's why they're pumping with tech. Most have announced contracts where they're moving away from BTC mining to datacenter / AI work. Their electricity infrastructure is very valuable to AI.

Lord_Gudda

Stocks don't give a shit what crypto does. But if SPY falls or any of the other AI stocks...BTC will fall and ALTs will collapse.

para1131_F33L

You cannot burn BTC. There is no burn address. Sick of this fake announcement in all my subs.

jazy510

> Barely over it's last all time high it hit 0.14 BTC / ETH back in June 2017....

jonnyCFP

lol since I have no knowledge in trading patterns this might as well read “BTC Poop and scoop pattern” sets target for 250k minimum

longonbtc

It looks like they purchased BTC on a peer-to-peer cryptocurrency exchange platform. OP censored the username of the person that posted the sell listing. OP paid using Perfect Money. The screenshot even says "Bitcoins released" which means that the BTC was released to OP from escrow.

BaldBear_13

why? It is likely a passenger recording this video. The BTC van has driver on the left, and there are trees and houses on the right.

b1mm3rl1f3

Wow, 10th comment from that daily "BTC in a battle for $20k. Really wonder if it’ll hold." Ha. BTC really is just a loop, time and time again. You're right though, the sentiment right now is devastating. Feels like we're near, if not already at capitulation. Watching stocks run ATHs even had me questioning to switch over, I could've quadrupled my NW by now. Seeing OG's exit the space just smells like peak exhaustion. But you only ever hear an asset is dead after the price is already down. RemindMe! 2 years

Chuckychinster

I gotta be honest, it's hard to understand your criticisms when you're saying BTC is distinguished from these "centralized" coins. If you want real decentralization... options are thin. XMR is the only coin that I ever shill, and it's usually things like this. When people talk about crypto and what it was "supposed to be", if that's the line of thinking then XMR is the only coin I personally know of to preserve utility, privacy, AND decentralization.

Extreme-Benefyt

Mt. Gox losing \~850k BTC is still wild. Between hacks and the bankruptcy mess, a ton of people got wrecked and it basically hardwired the whole "not your keys" mindset into crypto

Otherwise_Rain431

Dude, everything is gonna be alright. Don't worry, ''they'' want you to feel like shit. Don't forget ''they'' are buying right now. And if BTC dips lower, ''they'' will buy the dip The impatient lose this game, the patient reaps the rewards Stay strong and DCA We'll be fine

Present-Ad-9703

Honestly this is why a lot of people eventually simplify back to BTC. Less moving parts, less chasing narratives, less temptation to overcomplicate investing.

reids1

Said the same thing when this was posted in the BTC sub yesterday (https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1to7tvn/once\_you\_realize\_there\_is\_a\_database\_600\_dead/) lol

Mirved

Who says they cant? There is no burn adress on the BTC chain. Its all just claims without any proof.

DuckHub42

Naaah man, do BTC only... jesus all these alts u listed are burning pit fires tht will never do jack shit besides lose money for the holders... was a big sol head but even i stopped , orange only and the rest stocks Dump the alts and get rich, mark my words

Space_L

Is it really worth waiting and buying BTC in November/December, when the price is supposedly at its lowest? Or should I just DCA?

Liskpro_com

Hey, really sorry to hear this. Losing 2 BTC is genuinely devastating and I hope you're doing okay. A few questions before giving up hope — "lost wallet" can mean different things: **There might still be hope depending on your situation:** - **Do you still have your seed phrase (12 or 24 words)?** If yes, your Bitcoin is NOT lost — you can restore it to any wallet instantly - **Do you have the wallet file (.dat or similar)?** You may be able to recover it with tools like Wallet Recovery Services - **Was it a software wallet?** Check old computers, USB drives, cloud backups — wallet files hide in unexpected places --- If the funds are truly unrecoverable, I'm truly sorry. But let this be the lesson for everyone reading: **the seed phrase is everything.** The wallet app is just software — the seed phrase is your actual money. **For future storage**, a hardware wallet makes this much harder to happen accidentally. Options range from Ledger/Trezor (~€70-150) to more affordable ones like Satochip (~€25, open-source, card format). The key is storing the backup seed phrase separately and securely — a dedicated device like a Seedkeeper can help with that too. Bleib stark, Freund. 🙏

erjo5055

Someone is mad that he's 90% shitcoins The most insane AltSeason is in the past, when there was genuine belief that BTC is old tech and might be replaced.

AutoModerator

Post is by: mcnphoenix11 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1tp3fay/when_did_you_first_get_into_crypto/ I still remember the exact moment it clicked. It was the middle of 2017. I was working a dead-end job. One random night I was doom-scrolling Reddit when I stumbled into a thread about Bitcoin. At the time it was sitting around $4,000 and the comments were pure chaos, half the people calling it the future of money, the other half calling it a scam. Something about the idea of money that couldn’t be printed by governments or controlled by banks just… hit different. I didn’t understand the technology at all, but I understood the *why*. I scraped together $80 from my next paycheck and bought my first 0.02 BTC on Coinbase the next morning. That tiny purchase completely changed my life. I went from knowing nothing to staying up until 4 a.m. reading the Bitcoin whitepaper, learning about wallets, private keys, and why “not your keys, not your coins” actually matters. By early 2018 I was fully obsessed, not because I thought I was going to get rich (though I hoped), but because I finally felt like I had found something that actually made sense in a world that often didn’t. Almost nine years later, I’m still here. The price has gone up and down more times than I can count, but that original feeling, the idea of financial sovereignty and owning your own money, has never left. I’m really curious about everyone else’s story. **When and why did you first get into crypto?** Was it the 2017 bull run? A friend who wouldn’t shut up about it? The 2020–2021 cycle and stimulus checks? A random YouTube video? Or something else entirely? Drop your origin story below. I genuinely love reading these. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Negative_Salt_4599

Or you could do terrible and lose everything because it’s just gambling. You can’t make real money on BTC. Why not space stocks. It’s the new frontier.

cyger

Agreed AI, is in a major growth phase, and likely will be for the next 5 years or so at least. Of course we could have major pull backs, but the trend is up. Over the last couple of years I've sold a bunch of BTC for AI stocks. Also after last October I sold most of my alts and bought AI stocks and our up big. Still holding BTC and Solana bags, but AI exposure is a must (wait for a pull back though).

Civil_Store_5310

Nope, BTC, gold

SensitiveAd6131

Technology is a train with only one direction. Once any process can be upgraded it will be so. It doesn’t matter the bumps, regulations or anything really that steps in the way. I’d say we are very early and i’ll also say that right now it’s basically undercover. People only talk about price action and not about infrastructure which is what is really going to make it. I like to think of crypto or blockchain as a “city”. BTC would be the bank Etherum would be the computer Cardano would be congress XMR would be the red light district LINK would be the eyes of them all In the end Blockchain is an opportunity for humanity of scaping the vicious cycles that end civilizations, greed, printing money, corruption… It still presents challenges tho.. if the world is digital and on smart contracts there’s little to none room for negotiation. If the world is digital if you aren’t digital too you won’t exist and won’t be able to survive. I would apply buffets: Buy fundamentals and hold instead of chasing green candles. The cheaper you buy the better.

Spare-Dingo-531

> the true value proposition behind BTC is that it is limited in supply. The limited supply will be BTC's downfall. Once the security budget gets low enough, bitcoin will get reorganized by monero. Furthermore, because bitcoin has limited supply, each halving has diminishing returns. This is something you can even measure and quantify. The diminishing returns of each halving should catch up with bitcoin in the next 4 years, this previous cycle was the final cycle to get any returns. > of the fundamentalists have been stubborningly focused on not caring about price because they think it will follow with utility This is the reason why ETH is the L1 with the second highest market cap and the main reason why Ethereum will overtake Bitcoin one day.

Quick-Advertising-17

They probably have a shitload and are trying to pump it. Get people talking to raise interest, run stories about how BTC is even more valuable now that X number of coins are gone. Try to get the price up to find some new bag holders. Consider they have hundreds of wallets with a bunch of BTC in each, why not burn a few coins to see if they can get a pump going, and then once ATH is reached, dump the remaining to the new bag holders. Or maybe they're just bonkers.

turbo5vz

I'm an ETH holder, but have to admit that from a price action standpoint the true value proposition behind BTC is that it is limited in supply. Otherwise, BTC has mostly failed in all other practical utility aspects. ETH can do far more in all areas, but the hype stage has long been over. It took years just to somewhat taper off the inflation stages after staking. Alot of the fundamentalists have been stubborningly focused on not caring about price because they think it will follow with utility.

Low_Carpet9764

All alts outside of top 100.. outside of BTC/Eth and the main utility ones better off being in stocks

Far-Photograph-2342

Honestly .01 BTC is already more than most people will ever own 😅 Everyone starts somewhere, and stacking consistently for 6 months is way more important than trying to time the perfect entry.

Far-Photograph-2342

Man… losing 2 BTC after holding it yourself must feel absolutely brutal 😔 A lot of people joke about wallets and seed phrases until something like this actually happens. Hope somehow you still find a backup or recover access one day. Stay strong.

Far-Photograph-2342

Honestly that’s the part that makes it feel so strange 😅 Someone held those BTC for more than 10 years, survived all the crashes and bull runs… and then deliberately destroyed them. Hard not to wonder what the story behind that wallet was.

Creative-Zombie-4212

That has to be the average dude on this subreddit <1BTC talking about BTC is the truth 😂

Northtan53

BTC when Satoshi decided to by a pizza from me...

Middle_Armadillo_841

Thanks a lot, what do you think about DCA when the BTC fear and greed index is in fear or extreme fear only, instead of always?

StructureTrader

Heads up that "ICT" in crypto threads usually just means "ICT concepts" borrowed from forex/futures trading — things like order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity sweeps, and dealing ranges. It's a methodology originally developed by Michael Huddleston that got popular in traditional markets and traders started applying it to crypto since BTC especially tends to respect those same institutional footprints pretty well on higher timeframes. The core idea is that price doesn't move randomly — it's engineered to grab liquidity sitting above highs and below lows before reversing, so you're looking for those sweeps and then waiting for displacement back into inefficiencies (FVGs) or mitigation of order blocks to enter. Whether you buy the full ICT narrative or not, the actual price behavior it describes is real and worth understanding.

f2pool-CSR2

You can still mine BTC now with ASICs.

TheresNoSecondBest

>My dumbass just lost his wallet with 2 BTC You didn't lose it, mate. You gave it away to a "friend" who stole it from you.

no_thanks88

I am assuming buy and hold, not trading. I am pretty sure there was an intra day pattern in BTC chart ,if you look the history back from 2021 to 2025, that it could give you 8000% return. For buy and hold, if you take into account the volatility you have to withstand, the returns were not on par with expectations. And this is for BTC, if you look at top 20-30 ( not taking into account random shitcoins) the returns were negative in the vast majority. I understand the argument of diminishing returns. And I hear you, maybe for BTC the 80% return ( is enough in 4-5 years( for reference traditional markets double every 7 years roughly…) but there was no altcoin bull market at all this time.

_GOREHOUND_

So, let’s recap: first you wrote that your “dumbass lost his wallet”, then later on you commented that your best friend sold the BTC you once bought together. Honestly, not sure what to make out of it… I want to believe, but you ain’t making it easy, mate.

PuzzleheadedHuman

Nice expansion on the sample. A few methodology notes (I work on data at Coinpaprika, fwiw): The 2-year window catches one full cycle, but regime mix matters more than length. If you split 2024 vs 2025 vs 2026 you will probably see post-ETF news desensitization that washes out in pooled stats. A 3-state HMM on realized vol gives a cleaner conditioning variable than calendar buckets. Two other knobs that move results a lot: headline timestamp source (CoinDesk publish time can lag the wire by 30 to 90 seconds on big stories, worth cross-checking against Reuters/Bloomberg if you have it) and whether you de-overlap clustered events. 3,700 events over 2 years is roughly 5 per day, so 15-min windows are overlapping constantly and inflating the apparent reaction. Worth running the same study on a mid-cap altcoin basket too. Reaction half-life there often runs 2 to 3x BTC and the asymmetry between bullish and bearish prints flips. Happy to compare notes on methodology in DM if useful.

Substantial-Rip-4064

For everyone who asked, i lost the wallet bc i Trusted my Best Best friend… My Best friend since we was Born… we got the wallet togheter and 2011 we Both buyed 2 BTC… Now this mf just selled everything and get the life, I Dream of. This mf did a big betrayel on me and I could Never Trust somebody like i once did. Well ive just learned my lesson…

TechnologyMinute2714

Why the tf would anyone invest in crypto when the markets are already basically acting like crypto, they're already bringing enough yield and has (partially) some backing behind them compared to crypto which is just pure speculation risk-on market. If you're a degen retail gambler with $100, you go to Polymarket, if you're a rich whale you go to NASDAQ. If you're Michael Saylor you go to BTC. If you want store of value you go to gold.

Disastrous_Cheek8226

This is almost certainly not a burn, it's someone moving coins to a wallet they don't have the keys to anymore or intentionally making them unspendable. Real bitcoin burns don't happen the way people think they do since you can't actually destroy the coins, you just send them somewhere no one can access. The wild part is that someone sat on 107 BTC for over 11 years and then decided to do this, which either means they forgot the keys to their original wallet and moved everything to what they thought was a secure place, or they had some reason to want those coins permanently off the market. Either way it's a massive opportunity cost since bitcoin went from like 5 bucks to 60k plus in that time period. If I had that kind of capital just sitting around untouched for over a decade I'd be checking on it way more often, but clearly this person either didn't care or forgot entirely until something prompted them to move it.

loficardcounter

i don't understand why other folks are berating you about your use of BTC to gamble. man, the ball is in your court! don't listen to the naysayers. i use BTC to place bets at Metaspins because confirmation times are fast and the fees are low. consider these aspects before settling for a site. as long as you gamble responsibly, you'll be good.

Sea_Variety_1691

i mean 2 BTC is a lot more than the average persons life savings. Sorry that happened bro

Low_Carpet9764

Most people defending small cap cryptos are poor and it’s their entire bag or they are the dev themselves. The wide consensus amongst any kind of serious investor is BTC/ETH then some of the banking alts with maybe one meme as a fun gamble. Nobody should have a primarily altcoin portfolio today

Numerous_Ruin_4947

There are only about 6 ETH for every 1 BTC, yet people act like BTC should trade at 50+ ETH forever? Bitcoin is increasingly becoming Saylor’s leveraged Ponzi trade, while miners’ real purchasing power keeps getting squeezed after every halving. It is nice that people think Bitcoin mining just runs on autopilot, but that assumes miners will keep choosing BTC over AI-related infrastructure that may be far more profitable. Energy is not getting cheaper. Hardware is not getting cheaper. Infrastructure is not getting cheaper. But the block reward keeps getting cut in half.

AbsoluttIkkeMeg

Congrats, and keep going. When I reached a target amount I had, I stopped stacking so much and decided to live more comfortably. I bought a house and a new car and in general my expenses increased a lot. I miss the stacking phase tbh. Stacking BTC feels better than material possessions, so enjoy the process :)

LowLebenSteezin

Pro tip , cancel the trip , put 90% of liquid non essentially assets into BTC . Live frugal and HODL . 20 years from now, drive a Porsche, bang hookers, and maybe leave a a little in the cold wallet for the kids. No need to thank me later, I'll be balls deep in the suite next door.

Chaoslava

Exactly. ETH went 5 bucks ahead of ATH and the only coin that did something interesting was BNB. Everything else just floundered. Even BTC only doubled in price from its previous ATH, last cycle it was more than 3x its old ATH.

HannahMD

DCA into BTC and ETH is honestly the most sensible starting point for a long term position, you don't need to overthink price levels the fear and greed index timing sounds logical but in practice it's hard to execute emotionally when everything is actually crashing and the news is terrible

BetterSeesaw

Yeah, you don’t know where the BTC price is in 6 months. If it’s down 50% you’ll feel very bad selling at a major loss.

no_thanks88

There was no bull market this time. Or at least the bulll market as the vast majority of people have it in mind. Very few coins surpassed their old ATH and even for BTC the sentiment was it will reach at mimimum 150k and that was the most conservative estimate if you check what the consesus was here few mobths back.

tron1977

That’s what I did. Private cruise in the Galápagos Islands, thanks BTC

stevorich09

yes, alot of early supporter of BTC sold early

bdude94

WHEN I BOUGHT LSD ON THE DEEP WEB HAHA.. jk, but the amount of times people say that.. My whole run in 2017-2018. I had turned 3k into like 50k pretty quick. Would’ve been more but I genuinely thought shitcoins were the future, so a lot of them I never sold and just ended up holding bags. I margin traded without really knowing what I was doing, so I was essentially just gambling and ended up turning that 50k into 20k pretty quick. Then I believed John McAfee saying BTCP was the ticket to early retirement, so I bought ZCL with all my BTC to hold for the BTCP fork. Such a stupid idea. The value went up a lot at first and it actually seemed like a genius move, but what I should’ve done was sold at the peak, convert it all back to Bitcoin, throw it on a cold wallet, and my current self would be happy. Instead I held through the fork. Sold the ZCL a few days later for next to nothing, the BTCP was basically worth nothing too, and you could barely even trade it on exchanges.

quintavious_danilo

Expect BTC to rise throughout 2028, maybe a little earlier. Just be patient, now is a great time to buy.

Impetusin

Just fyi last time BTC mooned they diluted their stock big time. A lot of options traders got slaughtered by that

Individual-Flower-66

BTC can be your savings account and your spending acc at the same time if you keep saving in it for years!!!

Ready_Log4016

You're not the only one. BTC moves slower sometimes while other stuff pumps harder short term. That's usually when people get emotional. Just focus more on long-term conviction and actual flows on blueblocx instead of comparing btc to every random coin pumping this week

GEB82

5% BTC.. fuck ETH…thank me later…much later…

Ok-Yogurtcloset-8023

CIA created it out of a need to fund projects quicker. It’s not easy moving cash or gold and BTC was the answer. The decentralized money movement always existed and finally found something good to get behind. It was win win for the government and the people

Negative_Salt_4599

Crypto is more gambling than a casino almost less it’s ETH or BTC. It’s all just a scam. Just a digital scam.

TrapHouse9999

Because it is. They need new money to buy Bitcoin so it can jack up the price which they then can loan against (BTC is their backing asset).

ljungbergsghost

And BTC earning per coin will still be zero.

ljungbergsghost

No it’s not. It’s billions in cash earnings per quarter. BTC quarterly earning 3-31-26 where….zero.

jonesmatty

Yes, then it dropped down to 15k and I got margin called. It isn't worth risking your hard earned BTC!. Don't do it.

FitCompetition1804

Shitcoins are finally recognized as being Shitcoins, and Bitcoin does what it does in its 4 year cycles. If BTC is struggling 3 years from now, then I’ll start getting concerned and asking similar questions.

inteliboy

A semiconductor stock has almost done a 5x in 6months. BTC just aint all that anymore.

MariachiArchery

The BTC maxi's are right. ETH is the only alt. ICO's are unregistered penny stocks. Take 2FA seriously. DCA. Anything 'algorithmic' is a in fact not algorithmic. Buy the dip.

Halyth2705

lol true, i though beside BTC, some tokens in Ordinals also made other invest too, it's still BTC ecosystem

Nearby_Ring_8054

Yeah this is smart approach. I learned this lesson hard way when I needed money for equipment last year and BTC decided to tank right when I was ready to buy 😂 Now I keep travel money separate from investment stuff - maybe start moving trip budget to cash like 2-3 months before you need it? That way you still get some potential gains but don't risk being stuck with expensive flights because market had bad week 💀

quiethandle

That's literally the business model. It works if BTC goes up ~10% per year (which it certainly hasn't lately, MSTR is at roughly a break even and they've been at this game for a couple of years) Now, why doesn't anyone else ever do to this with any other asset? You could do it with real-estate, you could say, we're going to buy all these properties, and bank the increase in prices of the properties as revenue, and it works great so long as real estate goes up 10% per year. I mean, surely no one has ever tried that before, and certainly not in 2005-2008.

carriwitchetlucy2

I think a lot of people make the mistake of mixing investing money with goal-specific savings. BTC can absolutely grow your money, but it can also make budgeting unpredictable if the market suddenly swings hard. If flights and hotels are important to you, stability matters more than potential upside.  Personally I’d probably leave some money in BTC but slowly move the actual travel budget into cash as the trip gets closer. That feels like the best balance between risk and peace of mind. 

MarioWilson122

BTC can absolutely drop, but acting like 40k–50k by October is guaranteed feels like people copy-pasting the old cycle onto a different market. This isn’t the same retail-led cycle anymore. ETFs and institutional flows changed the structure. That doesn’t mean “number only go up,” but it does mean old drawdown expectations may not hit the same way.

sethjr10

Start by using a trusted exchange like Bybit, Binance, or any exchange you prefer(dyor) deposit a small amount you can afford to lose, buy major coins like BTC or ETH, and focus on learning before chasing profits.