BTC

SeemedGood

Gold is gold because it has been used as money for most of recorded human history. BTC is not (and thanks to Blockstream) will never be that. It’s not “digital gold” or anything like it. Rather, it’s just another speculative financial asset which is ultimately (thanks to Blockstream) controlled by the Banking Cartel.

u_spawnTrapd

If they’re not tech savvy, ETF is honestly the smoother experience. It just looks like any other stock in a brokerage account, so checking price and buying more feels familiar. CEX works too, but even the simple ones still have extra steps like transfers, 2FA, wallet stuff if they ever go that route. That’s usually where people get stuck or nervous. I’d think about whether they actually care about holding the BTC directly. If not, ETF is way less friction. If yes, then pick the simplest exchange possible and maybe walk them through it once so they’re not guessing later.

Few-Sky-976

$300K is not that much anymore, it is about 4 BTC now. I'd just do this: o 1. Open a Coinbase account. Get it all set up with your KYC info. Connect it to your banking account for future withdrawals. 2. Turn on the Advanced Tradi g toggle switch for better fees. 3. Have Claude explain how Coinbase lowers your fees every hour or so after a big trade. You enter your 1st larger trade as a "maker", then wait an hour, Coi base will lower your rate. 4. Make the next large maker trade, wait an hour, Coinbase will lower your rate again. 5. Claude taught us this strategy of DCAing our Bitcoin sales to sell at the lowest fees possible by taking advantage of how coinbase lowers their rates for higher volume traders. Those lower rates stay in effect for 30 days, too. 6. Coinbase is better at supplying clear tax reports at year end, which you will need. 7. We use Ledger for our hardware wallet. 8. You can get even better rates if you sign up for Coinbase One at $30/month, but it wasn't worth it for us. It might be worth it for you, though.

GooodNiightaringding

PQ alternatives for https and the like already exist, just waiting to be deployed. "Normal people" don't need to know about this stuff because it won't affect them. For crypto it's different. Even chains that switch to PQ in time still require user action. A vulnerable wallet cannot be "upgraded", it has to be replaced. So what do you do with wallets that don't switch in time?  And then you have chains that don't have a working PQ plan. Like, I don't know, Bitcoin? No matter how big of a BTC maxi you are, beyond acting like quantum computers are just FUD there is no way to avoid very difficult questions for a community that's historically had a difficult time making any meaningful changes to their chain. Of course this topic is especially relevant for crypto.

AutoModerator

Post is by: OkMagician7867 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sctzqz/ive_been_posting_daily_onchain_analysis_for_3/ 3 days ago I said BTC $65K is the most important level in crypto. That post blew up. So let me do something rare on this sub — actually come back and check my own work. What I got right: Smart money short divergence — confirmed for 30+ days now. Top trader ratio sits at 0.85 (short biased). Retail? 1.56 (long). This gap hasn't closed. It's widened. Every historical instance of this divergence lasting 30+ days resolved in favor of smart money. Every single one. Regime BEARISH — still confirmed. Daily EMA ribbon: 8 < 21 < 55. MACD histogram at -127.5. Nothing has flipped. BTC moved +0.44% in 48 hours. If you went long on Day 1, congratulations — you made less than a savings account. "Don't open new longs" — correct call three days running. Boring? Yes. Profitable? Also yes. Capital preservation is alpha when the trend is against you. What I got wrong: I missed geopolitical risk entirely. My system is on-chain focused, and Trump just dropped a 48-hour ultimatum on Iran. This is a potential black swan that doesn't care about support levels. If this escalates, BTC doesn't politely test $65K — it gaps straight through it. I also implied Fear & Greed would keep dropping. It bounced from 9 to 12. Still Extreme Fear, but I was wrong on the direction. I'm owning that. What changed today: BTC is at $67,121 and looks stable. That's the trap. Here's what's underneath: Smart money: still short (month straight) Retail: still leveraged long 4H MACD just flipped positive — this is the ONLY bullish micro-signal Bollinger Band width at 12.15% — a BIG move is coming, bands don't say which direction BTC difficulty up +3.87% while hash rate declines — miners under stress The 4H positive flip will make people think "reversal." It's not. It's a micro-bounce inside a macro downtrend. The kind that liquidates early longs before the real move. The $65K thesis still stands. But now there's a new variable: if Iran escalates in the next 48 hours, support levels become decorative. What I'm doing: Still zero BTC exposure. Position sizes cut 50% across everything. Watching Iran headlines more than charts today. If geopolitics calm down AND $65K holds with volume — first long entry. If either fails, $62,800. Three days ago I gave you the level. Today I'm telling you: the risk just upgraded from technical to geopolitical. And geopolitical risk doesn't respect your trendlines. What are you watching closer right now — charts or headlines? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

thatguy9158

It is literally always a good time to buy Bitcoin. Optimal time? Nobody knows. But it is always a good time to buy relative to non-Bitcoin options. Don't overthink it. Put all expendable cash in Bitcoin, and read "The Big Print" to get enlightened why, and then go find all the other ways to liquidate your other asset holdings and convert cash to BTC

flinginlead

Possible you use the BTC core wallet? If so the hard drive should have a wallet.dat on it. I would backup the hard drive first. Then see if the thing boots maybe you can simply log in and open up the wallet?

DecisionOne9006

That's why you need to start off with 2.5 million, then invest 300k into BTC. Duhhhh

isaacvictory

Bear market teach me on how to hold and sell not real token. BTC yield in coindepo is one of my smartest move and it offers high interest rate without locking your asset. Some sell out some hold tight.

justforgigs96

Great reminder. Worth noting that for those familiar with how Wealthfront does automated TLH for stocks - the same concept applies to Bitcoin but with an even bigger advantage. Since BTC isn't subject to wash sale rules you can sell and immediately rebuy, no 30 day wait required like with stocks. And for anyone dollar cost averaging regularly, the math gets compelling fast - BTC's volatility means there are almost always recent lots sitting at a loss relative to your purchase price. The spread cost on a sell/rebuy is typically a rounding error compared to the tax deduction you're capturing, especially if you're offsetting W-2 income at ordinary rates. The $3k annual deduction against income alone is worth thousands in real dollars depending on your bracket, and unused losses carry forward indefinitely.

AmazingfurnitureCT

Every day is a good day to buy BTC. Do it while you can

Rare_Rich6713

They have been saying this for years still BTC is still here. It’s best to buy early most especially now that it’s starting to gain relevance in Defi.

justforgigs96

Yeah so I'm personally super into this - if you have a large position especially it's wise (especially considering the tiny spread that exchanges take) & considering that if you're a W2 (in the US) $3,000 can be deducted against income & the rest carries forward indefinitely (so a $30,000 loss can carry forward for a super long time). The key insight is you sell and immediately rebuy, so your BTC exposure never actually changes — you're just resetting your cost basis and capturing the loss on paper. Considering the volatility of the asset, if you're dollar cost averaging, you're basically spinning off a few thousand per year in pure tax alpha.

dras333

😂 I asked this when I bought 10 at $1600 after spending 250 BTC for some weed and trashing a hard drive with 1000+ on it that still gives me anxiety to this day. It’s always the right time but never feels like it.

Bulky_Dingo_4706

BTC has been stagnant since March 2021.

justforgigs96

Great callout by the OP. The real unlock is combining this knowledge with automation - most people who know TLH exists still do it manually, which means they either miss the dip window or don't bother at all. When you systematize it you're essentially running a tax optimization engine on autopilot. BTC's volatility stops being a source of stress and starts being a mechanism the community is actively weaponizing

Bulky_Dingo_4706

BTC has been stagnant since 2021.

Hot_Variation6479

1MVL8Ni8wkAcz1UcRJTrrXx8d5qmrVcg5G BTC address

PovasTheOne

I checked my crypto after seeing this post and honestly, its still overvalued af. 2021 and more recently the 2024 pump and crash just soured me on this whole fucking market. I dont take it seriously at all and i think its as trust worthy as a gipsy. Fuck BTC too.

andys811

Exactly, why I said it's nuanced because saying mining is unprofitable is generally true but at the same time a false statement because it depends on a variety of factors, if your solo mining and hitting block after block, statistically improbable, but not impossible, or if you have dirt cheap electricity, or if the price of BTC goes up or the price or electricity goes down. If the amount of people in your mining pool decreases you'll get a larger percentage of rewards on mined blocks, and sure there's some other subtle that could affect profitability but saying it's not profitable is just dumb even if most miners are currently operating unprofitably. It's like saying football (soccer) players don't make money, sure a lot of people who play football don't make money, but the ones that do make a boatload and it would be silly to say that as a statement without highlighting the specifics

highlvlproblemsolver

Just to clarify, when you use Bitcoin to pay for something, the IRS treats that as a taxable disposal, same as selling it. Since BTC dropped between when you bought and when you spent it, you actually have a small capital loss you can claim. As for the 1099-DA, Cash App may not have issued one for multiple reasons (one would be reporting thresholds potentially), but you're still required to report it. I would recommend looking at options to automate this tracking process.

DekiEE

BTC is the smallest issue when encryption is cracked by QC. Banking, infrastructure and military would be the first targets. Also quantum proofing the protocol would be a non issue if it would be on the horizon. There would need to be a cut off and fork for old wallets not being updated, but this would be a small price to pay. Also, quantum computing is the new nuclear fission. It’ll be ready to use soon ™️

pudelguru

If it makes you feel better, my husband bought 100 BTC at 1 dollar and lost the passphrase for the wallet then overwrote the harddrive when he couldn't find it, THEN threw it in the trash. RIP.

highlvlproblemsolver

Personally I have a CPA that is specialized in crypto (this is my second year using him and he's been solid) & have an app that automates my DCAing + importantly does tax loss harvesting for me automatically Since there's no wash sale rule currently - the community can weaponize BTC's volatility on the way down during dips.

soccerguy510

Always hold BTC. Always hold ETH. Sell when greed is high. Buy when fear is extreme. Use DEXs and wallets to sell & buy. Always have cash ready.

highlvlproblemsolver

So in a situation like this - technically the on-chain data is all publicly available so if you were to know the BTC address, you can literally see every UTXO, every transaction, and down to the exact block it was confirmed in. HOWEVER, Cash App, like pretty much any custodial platform, holds their BTC inside of pooled wallets so the address that the blockchain shows isn't your literal address; it's Cash App's. This isn't going to be as convenient as it should be but I would recommend, in a situation like this, to look straight to the platform itself, meaning Cash App & pull your transaction history CSV directly rather than just the 1099. I have had a similar problem myself & am building a tool specifically for Bitcoin holders dealing with this. If you want I can take a look at your situation.

pfftlolbrolollmao

I agree wholeheartedly, BTC being cracked would be the least of our worries. This talking point is absolute fear mongering and I hear it all the time from "bro" morons that can't read below a headline, absolutely convinced that they've got it figured out. Sorry, this triggered me I realise.

King-esckay

I have done similar with BTC and nexo Nexo loan interest is very high, but no repayments are required. I borrowed at 50% ltv but had reserve in my wallet if needed The interest is 19%, you can get it lower through loyalty, etc you alao earn interest on any surplus BTC BTC was 20k at the time, each month, i bought the amount of interest charged by nexo in BTC After about 18 months, I paid back the loan for approx 1/3 of what I had borrowed. My loan was for business purposes

GoblinBreeder

The money for most didn't come from just investing in BTC. Crypto culture and wealth for the average person revolves around degenerate shitcoin investing.

Blockchainauditor

Can you be more specific - which "'Apollo;' Cryptocurrency" are you referring to? When you say "wallet", do you have the private keys/ seed phrase? I see you say you found it on an exchange (which exchange?) and converted it to BTC, but you can't "send" it. How will having a different wallet help if it is on an exchange you can't move it from?

mrestiaux

What I like is even though we’re in a bear market, BTC is still up on its 5 year high.

clemain

There’s GoMining, which is a cloud mining platform. It lets you mine Bitcoin without owning any physical hardware. You can also earn BTC through their staking/earnings features. If you want an extra 5% hashing power on your first purchases, $20 off your first $100 spent, and 30 days of Platinum+ for free, I’ll leave you my referral code, but there’s absolutely no obligation. Definitely do your own research! 😃👍

Several-Structure282

Wasn't BTC meant to be used to replace Fiat?

soocannabis

They're all shitcoins with no value, besides BTC

Ville_the_human

Or just sit on your hands, wait for BTC to climb over 100k, and say "Oh my, wish I bought it at 66k".

ConsciousSkyy

Damnnn dude those coins are all down very bad against BTC…and now you’re asking about SOL?? Did you not learn your lesson the first time?!

bigballin919

Avoid drugs at all costs and stack BTC

ConsciousSkyy

I don’t mean to offend but are you new to crypto? Holding altcoins is generally a bad idea given their risk and underperformance against BTC. All of those coins you listed are down bad against BTC and I don’t see any reason for them to outperform. They’ve already “pumped” and have dumped now for years on end. Look at the charts…

ecrane2018

What do you have upholding the chain integrity, what is encrypting the ledger? If you have none of that you are just trying to be a governmental issuer of a currency without any of the backings of said government, I use USD because it has the backing of the government giving it value, I like BTC because it has its encryption and scarcity giving it value, I like gold because it has more uses that just a store of value. You are essentially providing/creating nothing as someone with no 0 pull for influence.

Squeiner

If you don't have an actual reason to run a node you'll prolly abandon it after a couple weeks.  People don't run nodes because they reached a particular amount of BTC. What do you want out of your node? What are you hoping to achieve?  Don't just run a node because you think you're supposed to do so. It's ok not to run a node.

Internet_is_tough

Well, treat bitcoin like your bank account, keep everything in BTC. Liquidate for fiat only when you need cash. Never try to time the market don't trade BTC even long term. Find a good stable source of income and DCA all your savings. By 45 the latest you will be retired

hamiguamvh

Don’t let the doom and gloom stop you from wanting to do your best and experience the world. And especially don’t let it stop you from wanting to have a kid. I never wanted kids, thought it was too messed up a world and too much responsibility. I’m 42 now and have a 6 month old boy. Holy shit I almost missed out on the greatest experience life has to offer.  Oh ya and don’t buy shit coins.  Buy BTC, hold and make sure you diversify into other investments as well. 

SpontaneousDream

>Eth did pretty good vs btc in 2021. And Solana did good vs bitcoin more recently. I think at least part of why Ethereum has done so poorly is due to central bank interest rats being high, which sucked money away from the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Lol you are cherry picking one single year. And that was 5 years ago lmfao. ETH/BTC is -8% in that timeframe. Ethereum has not done poorly. I love Ethereum and use it all the time. It has grown exponentially in TVL, transactions, usage, etc. **ETH,** the token, has done poorly, and that's because it doesn't accrue any value from network activity. There are zero buybacks of ETH. There is a *very* small burn but its negligible and easily offset by new ETH being issued for staking rewards. So that leaves you with what? A gas token that has no monetary premium (and never did). You don't need large amounts of ETH to transact on the network. So theres no reason at all to hold ETH. Idk how anyone can hold it, especially given how poorly it has performed against BTC and USD- even worse when you account for the risk of holding ETH. But like I said...keep buying? Lol I need people to take the other side of my short. K thanks!

SpontaneousDream

Look at ANY altcoin/bitcoin chart, then get back to us. They all bleed out against BTC. ETH/BTC, for example, had it's ATH back in **2017.** It has literally bled out for 9 years straight. You would've been better off buying BTC with its "diminishing" returns. But hey, you do you. I personally love suckers like yourself because there always has to be another buyer to my short. So thanks for the free money? Lol

BTC-Stacker69

I buy everyday. I am the BTC stacker 69.

iwakan

I was a supporter of bitcoin almost certainly before you had even heard of it. Bought my first 25 BTC for 20 dollars total, in early 2011. Maybe I have some experience that it would be worth it for you to pay attention to.

Inevitable_Moment_11

Buying a payment , transfer option Many coins and tokens are much more efficient. BTC is pure hype and manipulation.

OkMagician7867

Solid take on the fear vs. engagement split — that's the part most people aren't paying attention to. One thing worth adding: top traders on Binance are actually net short right now at 0.87 L/S, while retail is sitting at 1.73 long. That's a pretty wide gap and historically it doesn't end well for the retail side. And yeah the miner selling is a big deal that nobody talks about. MARA and Riot need cash for their AI pivot regardless of what BTC does — that's not the kind of sell pressure that stops because sentiment improves. I'm watching the same $65K level. Right now 4H StochRSI is at 97.78 which screams overbought inside a bear trend. If the 21 EMA around $68.3K rejects this bounce, we get there pretty quick. The Schwab piece is interesting though. New institutional rails showing up while retail is at peak fear — that's usually how bottoms start forming. Just not always on the first test.

Delicious-Window-307

I bought 3.7 BTC at 113.5k… golden hands

InvestAISavvy

Fear & Greed at 9 and people are still DCA'ing — honestly that's probably the right call. BTC social dominance just hit its 1-year high, which usually means smart money is quietly accumulating while everyone else posts memes about holding to zero.

InvestAISavvy

The Fear & Greed at 9 is telling one story, but the social data is telling a different one and that's what I keep coming back to. BTC social dominance just hit 28.7% — near its 1-year high. Engagement across major platforms is running about 12% above the daily average. Sentiment is at 68%, which isn't euphoric but it's not capitulation either. So you've got maximum fear in the index but *attention is increasing*, not decreasing. People aren't looking away — they're researching. That divergence between fear and engagement usually resolves in one of two ways. Either it's accumulation behavior before a move up, or it's rubbernecking before a bigger leg down. Your $65K level probably decides which. The miner sell-off angle is real — MARA and Riot are dumping BTC to fund AI data center pivots, so that's structural sell pressure that won't stop just because sentiment improves. But on the other side, Schwab is about to launch spot BTC trading and the Clarity Act draft is expected this month. That's new institutional access showing up right when retail is at maximum fear. Galaxy Score sitting at 60.7 — not great, but it was at 18 back in February. Slow recovery while price grinds sideways isn't nothing.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

BTC holding up surprisingly well, despite bears calling sub $50K for weeks, war, and stocks tanking. Holding pretty steady. Even silver is more volatile than BTC right now. I'm sure it will eventually drop back. But bears here who were waiting for $50K all this time, have probably long been liquidated by now. And the bears waiting to buy low thinking it was gonna be sub $50K, are probably confused. Now watch this thing still have a brief relief rally, and then those bears panic buy high timing it all wrong again lol. It would be so typical of r/cc

stereoagnostic

Did I miss something? Price action continues to be boring and sideways. Same BTC range for two months now.

joos_hubert

There isn’t really a magic amount. Running a node is less about how much BTC you own and more about whether you want to verify things yourself instead of outsourcing that trust. My take: \- if you just bought BTC and want secure storage, fix custody/backups first \- if you want more privacy and sovereignty, start looking at a node sooner rather than later \- if you won't connect your wallet to it or maintain it, don't romanticize it too much So I'd say: start when you're curious enough to actually use it, not when you hit some portfolio number.

Choice_Potato_6279

Yeah it's gonna end up along with neo, iota, vet, nano graveyard like all the other reddit coins. What's funny most reddit hated coins are doing pretty good - BNB and TRX, still though it's better to go all in Bitcoin than alts that barerly match BTC performance.

Quietlion79

Hey there, I appreciate your response! It is quite real as this is a close friend and we did manage to regain access to her coinbase exchange and saw in the transaction log that approximately 14.5 BTC should still remain in her wallet. The last transaction was a withdrawal of 1.5 BTC wallet>exchange>fiat in early June of 2013, and the first transactions were a few months before. I appreciate the perspective on the TOR browser, I wasn't sure how that worked. I was thinking that looking for certain files on the drives would be the best bet, but I would assume that there are no universal wallet files, so figuring out what company she used for her wallet would be a good first step. Do you know what file names I should look for? I believe I have backups of both drives, but I am thinking about doing it again, as I want to be certain I have the entirety of each drive. She is an "analog" person and this is almost 13 years ago, so she is trying to remember what and where things are. She seems to think that there may have been a different "section", assuming she means partition, that the wallet may be on. Using basic diagnostic tools, I believe that I saw two partitions on each drive, so I want to make sure I make an exact clone. I don't think Time Machine will do it, so I was looking into third party software. Any thoughts? I see Super Duper mentioned. The text file is strange indeed. I thought maybe her friend used it as another layer of security, hiding the seed phrase in it, with another document that indicates the numbers of the words in the seed phrase. She mentioned another document (she says she recorded everything meticulously) with VINs on it (she is into cars, so she relates everything back to cars) that were a series of letters and numbers, perhaps? Still looking for that. Thanks for the word to the wise! That was part of the reason why I thought getting the old laptop working was the best bet as it was all original, working and trusted. Yes, it may be that time, but finding a place that is not just going to vanish once her BTC is recovered has to be a minefield, let alone knows what the heck they are doing!

Decent-Treat-3298

As a miner ,  i am mining as we speak. And his point of trading rather than mining is partly true. So, i do both. If you can get low electric and have paid off hardware you can be buying BTC @ 40-60k a coin. Or lower depending on electric bill and hardware costs. Its not for everyone obviously. 

VastJuice2949

Hold BTC

UpperHandLab

That’s the real issue. It’s not whether you can trade BTC well. It’s whether your edge survives friction. On a 5-minute system, most prop firm models become a hidden tax. Fees, spread, payout rules, trailing drawdown, execution constraints — all of that can turn a good strategy into a bad business model. So the better question is not “can prop firms work?” It’s: does your edge still exist after costs, restrictions, and rule pressure? If BTC is the only instrument where you actually have a proven read, I would be careful about forcing that edge into a structure that was not built for it. Starting with your own $1,000 may be slower, but it gives you cleaner data, cleaner feedback, and fewer artificial constraints. That matters a lot more than most traders admit. A lot of people confuse access to capital with access to a real edge. Those are not the same thing. The edge is first. Then you test whether the environment lets it survive.

IncurableCrush

Lost $400k putting 1mm into MSTR at close to BTC ATH then trying MSTR Options then selling for a loss and moving it all to MSTY then sold that dog and put it into MSTW

atlasayn

The cycle isn't dead but it's getting noisier. We track this with a multi-factor approach: MVRV, days since halving, ATH drawdown, 200W SMA distance, and supply in profit %. By those metrics we're in a POST-PEAK / LATE-CORRECTION zone — not the clean "up only" mid-cycle most people expect. The real shift is macro coupling. BTC/SPX correlation swings between 0.55 (moves with stocks) and near-zero (independent). When coupling is high, a Fed decision matters more than halving supply math. When it's low, on-chain metrics dominate. Knowing which regime you're in matters more than whether "the cycle" exists. The 4-year structure probably persists as a loose framework, but the amplitude and timing are getting distorted by ETF flows, institutional rebalancing, and macro regime shifts. The cycle is real. The clockwork precision people expect from it is not.

praise_the_most_high

Seeing this meme while BTC hovers around 67k is wild!

nplbmf

I’ll assume you’re looking at coinbase. So, If you buy $1000 now they’ll sell to you at the worst price with the highest fees. You’ll end up with $950 in Bitcoin value (calm down I’m just using $’s for example). Then, when you sell, they’ll sell it for you at the worst price for the highest fees. If you went in and out with your $1000 in the next hour, you’d end up with probably $900 and a confused look. You’ll need at least $70-$75k BTC to guarantee profit.

ReplacementFormer861

Exactly right and this is the most underrated part of the current cycle. The 2022 bear market had a body count. Terra, Celsius, Voyager, FTX, BlockFi all gone within months of each other. The contagion was structural. This drawdown has no equivalent. No major exchange has failed. No stablecoin has depegged catastrophically. No celebrity CEO is in handcuffs. The bear case now is purely macro. Iran, oil, rates. Those are external headwinds not internal rot. When the macro clears the infrastructure is still intact. That is a completely different recovery setup than 2022 where you had to rebuild trust from scratch. The one risk worth watching is whether the miner AI pivot creates structural pressure on hash rate. If the companies securing the network keep selling BTC to fund data centers that is internal damage accumulating quietly.

Yannick_1989

According to BTC rainbow chart yes, but with the potential towards more downside : [https://www.blockchaincenter.net/de/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/](https://www.blockchaincenter.net/de/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/) The question is : do you/we beleive in the rainbow-chart ?

harl_vann

The only bad times to buy bitcoin are 1. when the price of BTC is near its all time high 2. when you have no money you can afford to tuck away for 4 or 5 years.

-909-

Yeah on Bisq I believe you can buy Bitcoin with Amazon gift cards, if that's the kind of thing you mean. No KYC verification needed. I've never used that method myself, I think trades require a deposit from both parties so I'm not sure how that works. Maybe you need to use BTC for the deposit so it might not be a viable way if you don't already have any.

HandIllustrious2326

Think of it like this, i bought at 124k and im 50% down from my purchase. I STILL continue to buy today despite analysts predicting 40k price because i believe in BTC long term and think it is a very cool idea and the #1 digital asset in the world and the world will definitely become more digital so why wouldn’t you invest in the #1 digital asset?

el_shaq

Curious to know how does the higher inflation we may be experiencing in the following months from the oil crisis factor into this equation? Way less people will have some disposable income to buy their sats, which ends up proping up BTC price?

Aquinoxia

Been in the crypto game since 2020. Invested in VET, ADA, XRP. I have never actually put money in BTC however. Thinking about doing it. Do we think it'll dip further or should I just go for it now? Any other suggestions for more secure coins? SOL?

RoofRich1571

The '9-minute' headline is great for clicks, but the real technical nightmare isn't the hardware scaling—it’s the **social consensus** of 10 million 'lost' coins. Sure, we can patch the protocol with BIP-360, but how do you migrate **Satoshi’s 1.1 million BTC** or the billions in 'zombie wallets' that don't have an active user to sign a transition transaction? If we don't migrate them, they become a permanent 'bounty' for the first state-actor with a stable Qubit array. If we *do* hard-fork to burn or lock them, we’ve just turned Bitcoin into a centralized database managed by a committee. The 'Gods' of cryptography are basically telling us we have a choice: 1. Maintain 'Immutability' and let Quantum computers slowly drain the foundations of the network. 2. Maintain 'Security' and admit that the 'Code is Law' era died the moment we had to manually intervene to stop a Shor’s algorithm exploit. I’m looking forward to the 2028 'Civil War' where half the network refuses to upgrade because 'Quantum isn't real' while the other half watches their cold storage turn into a public donation. At least the **Symmetric encryption** crowd can laugh at us from their AES-256 bunkers while we're arguing over which multi-sig flavor tastes less like defeat. Is Bitcoin actually 'un-hackable' if the only way to save it is to break its primary promise of decentralization?

coffeebadger21

Use the gift card to buy a pizza for a Bitcoiner and they'll reimburse you with BTC.

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Post is by: Low_Secret1252 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sc9alc/i_tested_a_crypto_prediction_market_and_wasnt/ I think most people are looking at crypto the wrong way. Everyone stares at charts… but nobody looks at what people are actually *betting on*. I’ve been testing this prediction market app → [https://cryptopredict-547816944334.us-west1.run.app](https://cryptopredict-547816944334.us-west1.run.app/) It basically shows: * where people think BTC/ETH are going * how confident they are (with real stakes behind it) * shifts in sentiment *before* price reacts Caught a bearish flip before the last dip just watching sentiment move. Not saying it’s magic… but it’s way more useful than scrolling Twitter for “alpha” Curious how others would use this: Follow the crowd… or fade them? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

LongjumpingAnt1517

45k target has been floating around since BTC started struggling with the 80k zone😬. the interesting thing isn't the number, it's that the market moved before most X analysts started talking about it. whether that means prediction markets lead sentiment or just lag more informed circles, i still can't tell

Commercial-Ad90

This and your previous post seems more like a man rambling about a business idea for a sector he’s passionate about, rather than legitimate business plan that has started gaining traction. What people have you talked to. What substantive deals have you signed, if any? What actionable next steps are you providing to executives? What immediate, tangible value are you showing them, how are you/BTC gonna make them money?

OkMagician7867

Your numbers are close but our data paints a darker picture: retail L/S is actually 1.73 (not 1.65) vs top traders at 0.87 short. That's one of the strongest contrarian sell signals in recent history — smart money isn't waiting, they're actively positioning against retail. Funding "near zero" is misleading — all 3 majors (Binance, OKX, Bybit) are positive. Longs paying shorts across the board. Low liqs and flat OI aren't safety signals — they mean the flush hasn't started yet. BTC daily MACD at -187 (deepest negative this cycle), 4H StochRSI 97.78 overbought inside a bear trend = textbook trap. SOL L/S at 3.09 with $4.16B in longs is a liquidation cascade waiting to happen. The real level isn't $65K — it's $65,712. If that breaks, $60-61.5K is next. F&G at 11 (Extreme Fear) is the only mildly bullish data point. Everything else says: this isn't consolidation, it's distribution.

infernal_celery

Setting up a Bitcoin system for yourself. If you look for beginners materials, you get lots of basic advice of “use a hardware wallet and never spend”, which is a start but it’s useless info for adoption. If you stop there, that lets people get to “number goes up” but not really to everyday use.  After a while, you start wondering “is this it?”. I imagine many people give up there and think Bitcoin is just a speculative thing.  You then see YouTube shorts of dudes paying at market stalls with BTC but there’s no explanation of using Lightning wallets as a separate current-account-style system. So that diverts people to centralised wallet services, thinking that this is how BTC is used as actual cash payments, which kind of misses the point of the whole Bitcoin project. (Not that there’s anything wrong with a payments app - I use Strike - but knowledge of Lightning self-custody should be bundled in early on). Most materials assume a lot of computer literacy, so most guides refer to CLI which your regular dude doesn’t use. That’s not comfort-inducing when you’re starting out, especially if you’ve just put your wages into BTC. Makes it feel like you’re playing in stuff that’s beyond you.  Guides never talk about things like why an exchange might delay your withdrawals (probably because most authors don’t understand financial services regulation), why stolen funds are a problem for converting to fiat because tracing is so simple, or anything like that which is important for Joe Average to know about early on. It’s quite often that you see Reddit posts from people wondering why [x] has delayed their withdrawals, getting frustrated. That’s not a Bitcoin issue directly but it is a friction that could discourage people from further use. This could easily be overcome by explaining expected KYC and AML regs in beginner materials.

Odd_Bar9513

How on earth could I have known that it would dip shortly after? It could as well have risen. Good thing if you are perfect timing every single dip and peak. People like you often just end up waiting forever for the ”perfect timing” and missing the train completely. I can’t get my mind wrapped on why you see the need to come and comment that. In the big picture BTC will rise anyway, so I will anyway end up being a winner.

lukesmit695

Look up videos from “BTC Sessions”

VeryThicknLong

Would we have to do anything as BTC owners if it went BIP360?

Think-Sector-6329

I think you're mixing a few things together, but yea, you'd probably still be able to buy BTC with it. Thebigger issue isn't actually whether bank digital money can buy bitcoin. it's that anything inside the banking system can still be watched, blocked, or frozen. That's the kind of the whole reason people care about self-custody in the first place. So yea, digital banking money might make access easier, but it doesn't remove control from the system.

AutoModerator

Post is by: mr_sung_ and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1sc4quh/april_2026_bitcoins_most_bullish_month_is_here/ Guys, the market is currently in Extreme Fear mode. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is sitting at extremely low levels (around 10-15), and Q1 2026 delivered one of the worst performances for Bitcoin with a \~23% drawdown. Everyone is turning bearish. But history tells a completely different story 👇 Bitcoin’s Historical Performance in April (2013–2025): ✅ Average Return: +12% to +13% ✅ Win Rate: 69% (9 green Aprils out of 13) ✅ Multiple years delivered +28% to +40%+ gains Right now, Bitcoin is trading around $66,500 – $67,000, holding a strong support zone. Whales and ETF inflows have consistently defended the dips. My Analysis: Even if Bitcoin delivers just its historical average return this April, we could easily see $75,000 – $80,000. A clean break above $75k would signal the start of a strong leg up, potentially pushing toward $100k+ in the coming months. Extreme Fear + seasonal strength + institutional inflows = classic accumulation phase. Those who are still waiting for a “better dip” are making the exact same mistake many made before the 2024-2025 bull run. This is the time to accumulate! FOMO is created when everyone is scared — and right now, fear is at its peak. Chart attached 👆 (Historical April performance + current support/resistance with upside targets clearly marked) What do you think? Will BTC touch $80k in April? Or do you expect more downside first? Drop your price target in the comments 👇 Like if you’re bullish! ❤️ Share this with friends who are missing the opportunity 😂 \#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #AprilBull #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

PlasticDisastrous232

I have a maximum of 2 trades per day, if that many. The key is that I follow Open Interest and use it to confirm supply or demand zones. I look for zones where OI is increasing, and after that the price leaves the zone, then I place a limit order. Situations like that, with really high-quality setups, happen a maximum of 2 or 3 times per day. Sometimes none at all — it all depends on how scattered the OI is. If there’s no clear picture on the chart, then it’s simply not a quality setup. I also try to avoid opening positions during the first 2–3 hours of the NY session because that’s when the highest volume and OI activity happens, and generally it’s the period of highest volatility, which can affect the OI at any moment. I much prefer to wait for the volume to calm down, and only then look for textbook supply/demand zones. I’ve also been burned enough times to confirm to myself that I should only trade BTC. No matter how good a zone looks on another coin, when BTC moves, it leads the whole market. So, in short: supply and demand zones during periods of high volume and open interest, avoiding the first 2–3 hours of the NY session. Entries with limit orders, and that’s it. Of course there are stop losses, but there are more wins than losses. The problem is that if you want to trade based on Open Interest (OI), then you have to do it intraday. The smaller the timeframe, the more up-to-date and relevant the OI data is. That’s why it doesn’t make sense to trade it on higher timeframes.

NoodlesOnTuesday

The level matters less than the confluence around it. $65K on its own is a round number, which has some psychological weight. But what actually makes it significant is whether multiple independent signals converge there. For BTC specifically I would look at: prior consolidation zones where price spent time (not just touched and bounced), volume profile nodes showing where most trading happened, and the monthly timeframe structure. If $65K is a low-volume pocket between two high-volume nodes, the price will move through it fast in either direction. If its a high-volume level itself, it will act as a magnet and consolidation point. One thing worth keeping in mind with crypto: traditional S/R concepts work differently with 24/7 markets. There is no opening gap, no overnight gap to fill. Levels get tested more frequently and more thoroughly than in equity markets. What looks like strong support on the 4h chart might just be a temporary pause in a larger move. I find weekly closes more meaningful than intraday wicks for establishing whether a level actually held. A wick below $65K that closes above it is very different from a weekly close below it.

betch123345678910

Got it. I’m skeptical that this is a case of finding a pattern where there isn’t a relationship, but I’m open to learning more. Are there any fundamentals underlying this law? What are the reasons to believe BTC price will rise in the way that this model describes?

betch123345678910

Got it. I’m skeptical that this is a case of finding a pattern where there isn’t a relationship, but I’m open to learning more. Are there any fundamentals underlying this law? What are the reasons to believe BTC price will rise in the way that this model describes?

Permtacular

Selling some $200 in BTC to buy some Tron.

oopssomething

Bought CRO in September, I'm down 80% in almost 8 months. Nice average of over -10% per month. Would never recommend anyone to buy crypto and I only buy BTC now.

Curious-Still

Why not just make it a lottery to get 1+ BTC.  Not watching ads to get a fraction of a cent.

More-Ad-2831

You are correctly identifying your biggest threat (Operational Risk / Human Error), but your proposed solutions walk you directly into an even bigger threat: Systemic Counterparty Capture. If you move your BTC to Kraken or an ETF (IBIT), you are legally executing a downgrade in property rights. Under current commercial code (UCC Article 8), an ETF or exchange balance is not 'your' Bitcoin. It is a 'Security Entitlement.' You are demoting yourself to an Unsecured Creditor. If the custodian faces a liquidity crisis or a 'bail-in,' the secured creditors (derivative counterparties) have legal super-priority to sweep the pooled collateral. You get what's left. You are trading the risk of a lost seed phrase for the risk of institutional confiscation. There is a third option you are missing: You don't need an ETF; you need Collaborative Custody (like Unchained or Casa). It’s a 2-of-3 Multisig vault. You hold 2 keys, they hold 1. If you lose a key while living your nomad lifestyle, you aren't wiped out. The firm uses their 3rd key to help you recover the vault. But because they only have 1 key, they can never move, lend, or seize your Bitcoin. It solves your 'mismanagement' anxiety without surrendering your property rights to Wall Street. Don't trade atoms for paper IOUs."

u_spawnTrapd

Yeah it kind of feels like macro liquidity still drives the bigger moves. Stuff like rate expectations or dollar strength seems to hit BTC harder than most crypto specific headlines lately. Crypto news still matters, but more in the short term or for sentiment spikes. The bigger trend shifts usually line up with broader market conditions. Curious if that changes again once we’re deeper into the next cycle though.

moldyjellybean

Title is missing major part what crypto? Because I’ve seen USDT freeze funds, I’ve seen centralized crypto do centralized garbage. BTC maxis get created when centralized things fail

fredwhoisflatulent

Because 335k in BTC is supposed to be the same as 2500k in fiat by OP’s maths. If I have to wait until BTC is worth 2500k in fiat to retire, then it is not worth the same to me as 2500k in fiat now.

thetimsterr

Why are you selling 1.2 BTC to get $100k? If your portfolio grows to $2.5M, then that means that at the time of retirement, Bitcoin is $500k per coin. You only need to sell 0.2 BTC to withdraw $100k. Alternatively, just sell it all and invest into 4%-5% bonds and live happily ever after* *as long as we don't have crazy high perpetual inflation

whatwilly0ubuild

The 500,000 qubit estimate needs context because it obscures the real engineering gap. Current quantum computers have thousands of physical qubits but extremely few logical qubits. The difference matters enormously. You need many physical qubits to create one error-corrected logical qubit that can actually run algorithms reliably. The 500,000 number is likely physical qubits, and the ratio of physical to logical is currently terrible, somewhere around 1000:1 for useful error correction. So you're really talking about needing machines orders of magnitude more capable than what exists. The 6.9 million vulnerable BTC framing is somewhat misleading. These are coins in addresses where the public key has been exposed, meaning the address has been spent from at least once. Coins sitting in addresses that have only received and never sent are protected by an additional hash layer. The real vulnerability window is between when you broadcast a transaction and when it confirms, because your public key is exposed during that period. A sufficiently fast quantum computer could theoretically derive your private key and submit a competing transaction. The timeline uncertainty is the honest answer. Quantum hardware progress isn't linear or predictable. Could be 10 years, could be 25. Anyone giving confident dates is guessing. What actually matters practically. The cryptographic community has post-quantum signature schemes ready. The migration is a coordination problem not a research problem. Bitcoin's BIP-360 and similar proposals exist. The transition will be messy but the path exists. The chains that drag their feet on migration will have problems, but the industry has time to execute if it starts moving seriously.

steppe5

Broke: A 2011 BTC faucet that gives you 4 BTC a day for free Woke: A 2026 BTC faucet that gives you 0.000000004 BTC a day in exchange for all of your private data.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

Officially they are accepting stablecoins and yuan. There are also rumors that they accept other cryptocurrencies and euros. We already know the Iranian government has funds, and has wallets that have been using and accepting BTC, ETH, USDT, XRP, LTC, and TRX.

YSL_Crypto

Hopefully you have your seed phrase. If you do you can just setup another wallet with a new PIN using your seed phrase. Pin is for the physical device but the seed phrase is to access your BTC balance

IAmSomewhatDamaged

It’s fucking BEYOND nice, and it makes me feel even BETTER about starting to invest in BTC a few years ago. Thanks for the hard work buddy!

franktrollip

Hi, sorry but I don't know enough of those alts to be able to offer advice. May I ask how you've structured your portfolio? You say these are just the alts, so what % is BTC & ETH and any other big ones. You have quite a lot of alts. Did you research each one or are you following someone or something that suggests alts to buy. The only suggestion I can offer is that you look at what's included in some of the crypto indexes, like the CoinDesk 20 token that's made up of 20 top Cryptos. Maybe top 20 is a bit small but I don't know if there are others