ETH

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Post is by: Altruistic_Rule8916 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wmgdq6/today_crypto_analysis/ **Massive Green Day Across Crypto – BTC Back Above $85K, Alts Leading the Charge (Sept 21, 2026 Market Update)** What’s up everyone, Just checked the boards and it’s looking like a proper risk-on day. Broad-based green across the board with some serious outperformance from the alts. Here’s the snapshot from the major pairs (USDT): | Pair | Last Price | 24h Change | |------|------------|------------| | **BTC** | $85,989.52 | **+6.67%** | | **ETH** | $2,741.43 | **+6.20%** | | **SOL** | $118.56 | **+9.46%** | | **ZEC** | $1,530.95 | **+6.34%** | | **XRP** | $1.5014 | **+8.78%** | | **NEAR** | $4.111 | **+10.66%** | | **SUI** | $1.0458 | **+26.86%** | | **BNB** | $797.31 | **+5.78%** | # What’s driving the move today \- Bitcoin finally punched back above the psychological $85k level with solid volume (2.17B on the pair). After the choppy action we’ve seen recently, this feels like real buying pressure rather than just a short squeeze. \- Ethereum is keeping pace but lagging BTC slightly on percentage terms — classic mid-cycle behavior. \- The real fireworks are in the mid-caps and ecosystem plays. **SUI** is absolutely ripping (+26.86%), **NEAR** is up double digits, and **SOL** continues its strong relative performance. These aren’t random pumps — they’re the names that have been accumulating quietly for weeks. \- Even privacy plays like ZEC and the more traditional large-caps (XRP, BNB) are participating. Breadth is healthy. This looks like a classic “everything is green” session rather than a narrow BTC-only move. When you see SUI, NEAR, and SOL leading while BTC is also strong, it usually means risk appetite is returning. # Short-term technical read \- BTC reclaiming $85k with a strong daily candle is constructive. Next real resistance sits in the $88k–$90k zone. Support now flips to the previous breakdown area around $82–83k. \- SOL holding above $115–118 is key. A clean daily close above $120 would open the door for a run toward previous local highs. \- SUI’s move is extended on the daily, so some pullback/consolidation wouldn’t be surprising, but the strength of the trend is hard to ignore. # Medium-term outlook (next few weeks to months) I’m leaning bullish for the remainder of Q3 into Q4 2026 for a few reasons: 1. **Macro tailwinds** – Risk assets have been finding buyers on dips, and crypto is starting to catch a bid again. 2. **Relative strength in alts** – When SOL, SUI, and NEAR are leading, it usually means capital is rotating into higher-beta names rather than just parking in BTC. 3. **Structure** – Many of these charts have been compressing or building higher lows. A strong weekly close this week would confirm the shift from range-bound to trending. **Bull case**: BTC grinds toward $90k–$95k over the next 4–6 weeks while SOL and SUI continue to outperform. Altseason metrics start flashing properly. **Base case**: Continued chop with higher lows. BTC holds the $80–85k zone and we get rotational strength rather than a straight parabolic move. **Bear case** (lower probability right now): Failure to hold $82–83k on BTC and a sharp rotation back into stablecoins. Would need a clear catalyst. # Personal take Today feels like one of those sessions where the market is telling you the sellers are getting exhausted. The fact that even the more “forgotten” names (ZEC, NEAR) are participating is a healthy sign. I’m not chasing the SUI candle here, but I’m watching for pullbacks to add to higher-conviction names. Curious what everyone else is seeing. Are you treating this as a relief bounce or the start of something more sustained? Stay safe out there and manage risk. # #Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #Solana #SOL #SUI #NEAR #XRP #BNB #CryptoMarket #Altcoins #Bullish *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

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Post is by: Rossnator and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1vKp_-YXOJfPKi6-vzAmhgv7weMsybpBA/view?usp=sharing **Disclosure:** I built this trading bot and I'm the person behind the paid signal service associated with it. I'm disclosing that upfront because the subreddit requires affiliations with products/services being discussed to be made clear. I'm sharing the backtest because I'd like the methodology and results to be scrutinized rather than just posting a performance screenshot. **SMC Bot — BTC, ETH & BNB perpetuals** • 5,417 total trades • 51.4% overall win rate • +0.029R average expectancy • 1:1 risk/reward • 7 years of data across different market conditions The rules are fixed and there is no discretion after entry. I'm not presenting the 51.4% win rate as something extraordinary. At 1:1 RR, it's a relatively small statistical edge, and the full dataset includes losing periods and drawdowns. For 2026, the current win rate is 57.8%, but I'm keeping that separate from the long-term result rather than using one year's performance as the headline. **The full backtest result is attached in the link below**, including the complete trade-by-trade history so the numbers can be checked directly. There are no guarantees about future performance. This is simply the historical result of the rules applied to the dataset. I'm happy to answer questions about the methodology, SMC criteria, backtesting process, or how the live signal service differs from the historical test. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

fatsopiggy

Not sure but I remember he was making money in 2018-2019 when everyone was yolo bull. He also rotated lots of ETH into BTC in 2018 and then again in 2022 and traded back.

zeroboundss

For me BTC $250k, ETH $15k

RandomJoe7

IMO it's gonna start bleeding out more and more. Yes, during bull run it will go up again (but like last cycle, not as much as others or how it used to). It's just going to bleed a lot slower than the typical "alt/memecoins" because of how established ETH was/is, but I don't see it over-proportionally booming again. BTC is the main dog, and every cycle will have new random hype alts that come and fade away.

IDFGMC

Just pointing out that ETH is not dying.

RandomJoe7

You won't catch me holding that heavy ETH bag again after last cycle, and I'm not the only person thinking like this. It performed horribly!

RandomJoe7

You won't catch me holding that heavy ETH bag again after last cycle, and I'm not the only person thinking like this. It performed horribly!

aaj094

I don't see ETH as just an alt. It stands head and shoulders above the others and has institutional interest too that is nowhere in the same ballpark as other alts.

IDFGMC

Are you being serious? ETH is #1 in defi capital, developer adoption and institutional integration. Whether or not all that translates to significant price apprehension remains to be seen but ETH is certainly not dying.

GodBlessPigs

I think it would be foolish to not own BTC AND ETH

RandomJoe7

ETH? good joke, just another alt coin that's dying a slower death than the memecoins

final_lionel

I'm tired of altcoins after years accumulating. I think ETH and SOL can outperform BTC if you want to try. XMR too but it's delisted from most CEX now. I have a big bag of LTC. I don't know what to think about LTC. For me it's undervalued

Mr_Footies

So ETH to then moon it is.

Illustrious-Option-9

Yep! That's the same with ETH, people getting hypnotized by any article that suggests increased ETH adoption. But ETH adoption has no strong correlation with the price. As long as they are improving performance and lowering the fees, ETH price is doomed to decline or stay stable, with occasional burst whenever something bigger happens in the side lines.

zooka19

Eventually trimming ETH and XRP to buy more BTC and a tiny bit more of HYPE (and maybe XLM). "Last time to buy BTC @ \*insert price at the time of the post\*"

Zapitnow

I see the ETH and BTC price has risen quite a bit. So, good time to short?

Peturio

Did run your bag through our portfolio risk analysis at [Sentralis.io](https://sentralis.io) assuming an equal dollar amount in every coin, since you gave no sizes. (You can use the free account if you want to use different weights)- Canton has under a month of price data, so the figures cover the other 21 coin. Simulated one year forward from current volatility and correlations, with no price trend assumed, the worst 5% of outcomes lose 61% or more. Just under half of the simulated paths pass through a 50% drawdown at some point in the year, and 94% pass through a 30% drawdown. One in five paths ends the year at double the starting value, and four out of five of those still went through a 30% drawdown on the way. All simulation figures are model estimates under those assumptions, not predictions. The basket runs at 66% annual volatility against 43.5% for BTC. Correlations between the 21 coins over the past year average 0.62, with the large names at 0.8 to 0.9 with each other, so the spread across 21 names removes far less risk than the count suggests. Your plan to keep only BTC and ETH cuts the volatility to 50% and the share of paths through a 50% drawdown to three in ten. As a check on which names carry the most downside, the coins that fell hardest in the bear market from October 2025 to July 2026 were ARB, SUI, AVAX and PYTH at 77% or more, while HYPE and Morpho ended that window higher.

xanokothe

This sub likes BTC, gave up on ETH, hate XRP, hold SOL in secret, and used to praise DOGE but changed its vision because of politics

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Post is by: Able_Paramedic_8815 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wm5472/im_17_and_need_guidance/ I have figured out the jist of Crypto Currency, Blockchains, Staking, NTFs and Coins, that type of stuff, although i also acknowledge that what i've figured out is NOT enough to comfortably make decisions or purchases related to cryptocurrencies. I downloaded Metamask so i have my own wallet, im currently interested in ETH due to its seemingly beginner friendly nature, staking mechanic and for the fact that i can actually afford 1 ETH to get my toes in the water unlike bitcoin or other non reliable currencies (not saying bitcoin's unreliable lmao). I guess my questions to this community are how can i learn more about crypto trading without some douchebag guru telling me how i can make him rich and what exactly can i do with ETH that i might not know about? I know there are blockchain games and whatnot although im not sure what that really means. Any help is appreciated, please be nice if anything i say is considered idiotic or whatever again im just trying to figure this shit out right now. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Prior_Parsley3960

since OP only posted a link: **Importance:** ⭐⭐⭐⭐☆ — another serious **privileged-key / bridge-security failure**, with one compromised authorization path apparently exposing multiple related AI-crypto projects. * **What happened:** The same attacker cluster drained about **8.72 million FET (\~$1.5–1.6M)** from Fetch.ai's Ethereum TokenConversionManagerV3 and received an unauthorized mint of roughly **408.5 million NTX (\~$450K)** from NuNet. On-chain investigators link the incidents through the same recipient wallet. * **How the FET attack worked:** This wasn't primarily a cryptographic break. Fetch.ai's `conversionIn()` reportedly accepted authorization from a **single ECDSA signing key**, while lacking an amount-limit check found elsewhere in the converter. Once the attacker possessed valid signing authority, one transaction could release the converter's FET. * **Why NuNet matters:** Just 28 minutes later, NuNet's deployer minted **408.5M NTX to the same receiving wallet**. That strongly connects the incidents operationally and suggests compromise of shared or related privileged infrastructure rather than two random smart-contract exploits. The precise route by which the attacker obtained those privileges is still under investigation. * **Market impact:** NTX collapsed by more than **70%** and reached a record low, while FET fell only about 5% amid a broader crypto selloff. Much of the proceeds were converted into approximately **546 ETH (\~$1.44M)**. * **Bigger picture:** September's reported crypto-exploit losses now exceed **$333M**, although the previously discussed \~$320M Liquid Network incident accounts for the overwhelming majority. # Bottom line This looks less like **“Fetch.ai's blockchain was hacked”** and more like a dangerous architectural weakness: **high-value operations ultimately trusted privileged signing credentials without sufficient independent on-chain safeguards.** The cross-project aspect is the bigger warning. If one compromised backend/key could authorize operations across multiple related ecosystems, the real blast radius may extend beyond the \~$2M initially reported.

OwlSuspicious9254

ETH looking bullish AF

zoppytops

I’d DCA into BTC and ETH every week. Once a month is prob fine, but I like doing once a week to catch more of the price variation

KidAmulet

Bitcoin is kinda done. It helped solidify the industry, but there are much better blockchains out now. From now until the next cycle top, you'll be lucky to get a 3x out of BTC (somewhere between $200 and $250k). Better to spread it out into ETH, SOL, and ZEC. Moderate to bull case estimates from now until next cycle top: ETH: $10-15k = \~4-5.76x SOL: $600-1,000 = 6-10x ZEC: $10-20k = 6.66-13.33x All three of these are not really going down the risk curve. They are all blue chip assets.

crimeo

> Fuck alts + > since 2020 = lol, ETH, the main alt, has outperformed BTC since 2020

Sophie_Cookie

BTC/ETH, but mainly BTC really

Striking_Fail6689

BTC and ETH that’s it , don’t touch others

Right-Fault2799

You could buy ETH first and then swap it for USDT or USDC once you have it in a compatible wallet That may be easier than trying to buy USDT directly with PayPal

ServingTheMaster

BTC and/or ETH, hold. Offline hardware wallet.

Blackiris-Code

First I'm not very bullish on crypto. I think the last global crypto market cap ATH is not far from being the highest ever. And on the 10~20 years horizon I am bearish on PoW networks. The Ethereum ecosystem will probably grow and stay strong for a very long time if not forever, but it doesn't seem very likely to me that the coin ETH captures much value from the ecosystem growth. With how ETH functions at the moment I don't see it getting a lot of value.

TasteLegitimate3964

keep it extremely simple: pure BTC or a 80/20 BTC/ETH split. since you don't want to follow news or trade, avoiding altcoins entirely will save you a lot of headache

VettaQ

Two separate questions get tangled here: why ETH is up, and why your other coins are down. For the second one, a useful check is to stop measuring in USD for a minute and measure each holding against ETH or BTC. A lot of the long tail has been bleeding against the majors for a couple of years regardless of headlines - liquidity and narrative rotate, and when nothing rotates into your bucket there just isn't a bid. ETH had its own flows this window, so it decoupled from the tail. None of that tells you what to buy or sell, but 'my coins are broken' vs 'my coins are the wrong beta bucket' are different problems, and the second one is the more common answer.

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Post is by: olyvian and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wlj5ro/i_built_a_site_so_i_can_understand_the_crypto/ Every site I used shows the market a few coins at a time, and I wanted to see the whole thing. So I built a site which has the whole top \~1000 on one page, with a bar at the bottom that rewinds the ranking to any day this year and plays it forward. You can look up one coin's RSI anywhere, but I could never see whether that coin was oversold or the whole market was. So there's an indicators page where every coin in the top 1000 is a small dot with its logo on one chart, rank along the bottom, RSI up the side, and the zones are coloured so you can see how much of the market is overbought or oversold. Same timeline bar at the bottom, drag it to any day this year or press play. I can't attach an image here, so this link opens the chart set to June 8, the most oversold day this year, with 1000-ish coins on it: [https://coingmi.com/indicators/?d=2026-06-08&n=1000](https://coingmi.com/indicators/?d=2026-06-08&n=1000) That day 28% of all coins were under RSI 30 and another 36% under 40. BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, LTC and AVAX all in the oversold band. You can drag a box around a bunch of coins to follow them, and the bar shows their average change from that day as you play forward. I drew a box around everything oversold on June 8 and pressed play to today: those 204 coins are up 67.7% on average (192 of them are still in the top 1000, the ones that dropped out aren't counted, and it's an average, so a few coins that did 10x pull it up). Obviously June 8 turned out to be about the best day to buy anything this year, so don't read too much into it. The point is you can try it on any day and with any set: the overbought ones, the top 100, one sector. There are 15 indicators in the picker, RSI is just the one everyone knows. MACD against its signal line went in this week, so you can see what share of the market is above its signal line on any day (it went from 88% to 9% inside a month at the start of the year). Also distance from the 90-day average, how far below the one-year high, correlation and beta to Bitcoin, 30-day change against Bitcoin's, volume vs the month before, etc. You can show the top 100, 200, 500 or all 1000, and the coins you follow stay highlighted when you switch. I'm looking for feedback, so if there's something you'd want added, or something that would make this more useful for you or others, let me know! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

liquid42

BTC & ETH, and nothing else.

Blackiris-Code

I'm not especially bullish on ETH, but it would give a lot of useful informations to learn about the details of how Ethereum evolved and why changes were made, and past and present debates about what to do for its future. Since Ethereum appeared it has something to do with pretty much everything that happened in the crypto world.

MrCeilingTiles

Btc/ETH

Traditional_Most105

If you want the safe way with less upside go BTC and ETH. If you want something with more upside then look on altcoins that are in the top 50 or top 100, make sure they are not memecoins, have a working project behind them, a trending narrative, good tokenomics and either put all your available money on one, or diversify and hold long term. For example some of my goins i will hold long term and dca on them are LINK, HBAR, TRAC, NEAR, TAO. I am not mentioning them to influence you. Do your own research. I dont know if its a good entry point now. But if youre gonna hold long term and dca on any coin you choose then it doesnt matter.

Rich_Signal_1512

Just DCA the whole $400 into BTC every month and don't overthink it. Splitting with ETH sounds more "balanced" but for beer money it's really just doubling your setup and security surface for a diversification benefit that barely matters at this size. Most exchanges let you automate recurring buys so it runs itself. Only real thing worth doing manually every year or two is moving it off the exchange into your own wallet once it adds up to something you'd actually care about losing. Past that, just set it and forget it is the whole strategy.

anon1971wtf

ETH no longer has energy signature, SOL never had it in the first place. It's more like investing in a company, rather than saving money with an open blockchain

Agile-Common-1448

PayPal → ETH/PYUSD → wallet → swap to USDT

--Ivxry--

Buy one of the top three. BTC, ETH, or SOL. Everything else is basically irrelevant

oneawesomewave

Buy "Mastering Bitcoin" by Andreas M. Antonopoulos for 25 USD Wair until you understand how crypto work Buy a hardware wallet like Ledger or Trezor roe about 100 USD Buy 100 USD of BTC Learn about Smart Contracts, cheap Udemy courses are available for around 25 USD Buy ETH for 125 USD. Buy POL, SOL or ADA for 25 USD. Dabble with smart contracts. Buy two cryptkitties and start a cat farm. The last one wasn't entirely serious. The rest is.

MakCapital

Depends on the data you're looking at but the most popular shares on Uniswap revenue are tracking how much in fees the protocol is generating across its multiple contracts. Not gas to the L2 a specific contract lives on. Not value captured by token. Simply fees collected by all related contracts. More important to track fees distributed back to the protocol's token (via buybacks, burns, distribution for holders, or all of above). Something like Uni needs to distribute majority back to LPs. Majority doesn't reach the token. When you compare to projects like HL the difference is drastic. Also important to recognize that just because an Ethereum L2 is generating enormous fees from user activity that value isn't actually captured by Ethereum (ETH). It's instead directed to the operator of that specific L2. Users don't even need to pay in ETH anymore (wouldn't matter either way, but reduces use case for ETH). Robinhood is slurping up 99% of all execution fees from it's own L2. Doesn't matter which protocols their users prefer. They still get gas fees on a crowded network struggling to scale. Not to mention what they make from tokenization, and the value from voting power over companies that their tokenization provides them. Win win for companies like Robinhood. Not so much win for ETH. A bit of winning for Uni holders. At least until the new L2 honeymoon phase ends and users move back to decentralized networks that actually scale. When/if that occurs, RH will just issue across all scalable networks.

BeenALurkerTooLong

People say Bitcoin but neglect the environmental impact. Each transaction burns the equivalent of half an iPad. Ethereum doesn't have that problem, which is why I have been rotating out of Bitcoin and into Ethereum. You can buy a version of ETH that has build in yield, so it might be a perfect long term beer money solution (rETH, wstETH)

A_Honking_Goose

75% BTC 25% ETH would probably be your best bet. Or just 100% BTC,

magma_lakes

BTC + ETH (and maybe some XMR). Get some BC3 as "practice" if you're not comfortable with BTC yet: https://bc3.network

jekpopulous2

Because the narrative this cycle is centered around RWAs. Outside of ETH the coins that you’re holding have zero DeFi relevance. If you look at the chains people are actually using (ETH, HYPE, SOL, LIT, ARB, etc…) they’ve all been doing pretty well.

Traditional_Most105

But you answered to yourself. You bought at their ATH. That means if their ATH wont be reached and over it then they wont turn green. I joined crypto back in july for the first time. At that time i was lucky that BTC was at 55000 i think and most alts were low. I bought also hbar. Now mine are in the green zone because i bought low and now they rose up. Its simple as that. If BTC is high people are more comfortable putting their money in alts. If BTC drops they sell. Same with ETH. But an altcoin could also rise up even if BTC and ETH are low cause it might get adopted the project behind it and demand of the coin increases.... So if your entries are at the ATH then to go 8n the green zone they need to surpass their ATH.

Fine-Comparison-2949

Think of your dumbest friend and always remember there's someone dumber that's shilling an ETH L2/sidechain token. 

HorsedickGoldstein

I’d stick with BTC and ETH

SpontaneousDream

Hyperlend. If you prefer to do it on Hypercore, you can supply HYPE, borrow USDC at 5% and then use that to short ETH on perps. I wouldn't go that route though

Honest-Mess-812

Bitcoin. Maybe a small amount of ETH and Solana as well.

LavoP

ETH probably. BTC is safest but it’s not good if you want to actually enter and learn about crypto. ETH is the right way to get into crypto applications, adoption, and tech.

BZ-go

ETH

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Post is by: SmartFlow_ICT and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wkfsgy/ethusd_smt_divergence_with_btc_midterm_correction/ Hey everyone, sharing my ETH analysis using ICT & Smart Money Concepts. Hope it helps someone. 📊 Bias: Bearish (mid-term correction within a bullish trend) Reasoning: Yesterday, crypto markets saw a sharp pump. Now the market is due for a correction. Ethereum has formed an SMT divergence with Bitcoin: ETH made a higher high, but BTC failed to take its major high. This signals weakness and a potential pullback. Price is currently in the Premium zone, above the 0.25 Fibonacci level (2593.78). The 1H Order Block sits around 2445 – 2434, which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci level. This is our ultimate correction target. Key Levels: \- Resistance / Invalidation: 2662.15 \- Current Price: \~2615 \- Support 1 (0.25 Fib): 2593.78 \- Support 2 (50% Fib): 2543.44 \- Support 3 (0.75 Fib): 2493.10 \- 1H Order Block / Target: 2445 – 2434 Trade Plan (Short): \- Entry: 2625 – 2645 (on pullback + M5/M15 MSS) \- Stop Loss: above 2662 (or 2675 conservative) \- TP1: 2593 \- TP2: 2543 \- TP3: 2493 \- TP4: 2445 – 2434 Confluence: ✅ SMT divergence with BTC (ETH higher high, BTC failed) ✅ Price in Premium zone (above 0.25 Fib) ✅ Mid-term correction within a bullish trend ✅ 1H Order Block as final target ✅ Clear bearish MSS on LTF for entry Invalidation: A close above 2662 with a strong body and BTC making a new high would cancel the bearish scenario. Note: This is a mid-term correction within a bullish trend. After the correction completes, I'll be looking for buy opportunities from the discount zone. Disclaimer: This is educational analysis, not financial advice. You are fully responsible for your own trading decisions. Happy to discuss in the comments if anyone has questions. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

silverGameOfThrones

There is a 1. Real CryptoCurrencies like Bitcoin Dash Zcash Litecoin etc which "has a point" and there is 2 Other ETH clones 🗑( see scam ) which only designed for money go up pump and dump.

SpontaneousDream

Ethereum nowhere to be found, yet ETH sits at over $300B market cap. Borrowing ETH to supply HYPE has been a craazy profitable trade

TheresNoSecondBest

I'm guessing you're in the states. Install Strike and set DCA. Carry on with it for a few years. Watch this to understand the problem. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YtFOxNbmD38 Now, I don't like influencers and would say stay away from anyone talking about shitcoins, yes even ETH is a premined and centralized shitcoin. Also, don't listen anyone predicting the tops and bottoms. Nobody knows where bitcoin will be next week, month or year. There's one guy that is worth watching: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJWCJCWOxBYSi5DhCieLOLQ Watch every single video from that channel.

lynchrw

iska is relative. For every USDC the is one US dollar behind it which is audited. After the last short squeeze when BTC had that big runup ithe leveled out . then there was the upcoming cloture vote and pending FOMC intewar rate action. so I played it safe for a few weeks convert a majority of my crypto holdings to usdc and then they the usdc and earned a family steady 6.9%, which ain't bad really, while BTC was meandering around. So right after the cloture vote and the FOMC meeting I convert from USDC back to Crypto in a certain plan Ed distribution(BTC , ETH and SOL). Plus I keep between 15 and 20% of My overall holdings in USDC and that USDC I still lend and and earn interest on. just a strategy that seems to work to help mitigate downside risk. the bottom line for me ustc is a great place to be somewhat safe probably safe as you can earn a steady good interest rate as opposed to a bank which is less than 2% or money market which is also terrible interest rates and not even insured in some cases. oh one more thing I do with USDC or my rationale behind it. as the portfolio grows I'm maintaining that 15 to 20% in there from gains or new money to help ensure I have money to pay any taxes later the year

colemusic1

There has been a significant amount of things that have changed. IBIT is genuinely no speculative BTC ETF anymore. It’s got $100B+ in assets, and we have live data now that is showing us how much inflows/outflows is happening intraday. And that’s a huge deal. And that doesn’t mean cycles don’t matter, they still do. But what it does mean is we don’t have any data on how cycles can/will run when this has only been happening since 2024. ETHA (ETH ETF) is also attracting a significant amount more inflows lately, and they even have ZEC on there now too. This is a big deal for BTC specifically though because it exposes BTC to millions of more investors who otherwise don’t own a crypto exchange account and maybe don’t want to. They simply just login to their brokerage platform, buy some IBIT and call it a day. If you want to know how significant this genuinely is right now from live readings of the top 5 most actively traded stocks / ETF’s: • IBIT (spot BTC) • BITO (BTC futures) • NVDA • INTC • SPCX

anymonero

> If ZEC flips ETH in price at any point It did in 2016

wakerone

Compare the final quote, not the advertised fee. Check the exchange rate, spread, network fee, withdrawal fee, payment-method fee, and minimum withdrawal. P2P can be useful where bank rails are limited or privacy and payment choice matter, but it is not automatically cheaper. I would do one very small transaction first and write down the actual ETH received after every deduction.

LTP-N

You're too emotionally invested. It's all a gamble, nobody cares about use-cases or morals or any BS like that, so ZEC flipping ETH literally means nothing in the grand scheme of things.

CoinGate_Gift_Cards

A dedicated phone helps, but it’s still a hot wallet. For long-term storage, a hardware wallet with an offline seed backup is generally safer. You can use different wallet apps for BTC, ETH, SOL, etc. while keeping the keys secured by the hardware wallet. Also keep long-term holdings separate from any wallet used for DeFi or frequent transactions.

Logical_Lemming

If ZEC flips ETH in price at any point that'll probably be the last straw that makes me sell all my crypto and never look back.

totalmarc

i think it was BTC3L/ETH3L.

GroundbreakingPage41

This sub is all ETH and then BTC, been that way for years. ETH boys still holding out for their bags to pump.

Impressive-Fig-9532

Not biased at all... /s "If you want me to be completely and totally honest here, about what I actually believe, I think that after just doing a quick Google search, it seems as though some high net worth individuals and hedge fund managers got together and decided they were going to buy Zcash and disclose their holdings, and then that got the other market participants which were mostly retail to join in on the fun, figuratively speaking." right.... What exactly do you think bitcoin is? First few years of bitcoin it went no where. Then Winklevoss, Silbert, Naval, the usual VC suspects got involved in 2012-2013.... Then the corrupt El Salvador government, Blackrock, Michael Saylor the biggest dotcom scammer billionaire creating a ponzi like financial instrument to pump billions into it to bring it to 100K You think all these coins out there, ETH, BTC, SOL, BNC, etc are where they are because of the "community" and not being pumped billions by institutions?

fan_of_hakiksexydays

Knowing ETH, it might not even hit $3K next bullrun lol.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

There's definitely some good reasons for ZEC to pump, but you guys should definitely look at the reasons why ZEC is pumping before jumping in. It's not so much that the news is about anything that exceptional, despite bagholders now trying to call it the "invisible Bitcoin" lol. It's a lot of your typical alt coin news and "partnerships", governance voting, someone famous mentioning ZEC, VC and funds who put money into it, etc...except that it all came out at once. One of the main tech reasons is that the network upgrade should now fix the major security issues, and reduce the block time. So it's not so much that it's doing something exceptional or groundbreaking, it's just that it won't be as shitty. But ultimately the big reason is the ETF. Even in 2026 crypto ETFs are still a big deal. An alt coin getting an ETF is still gonna create a major pump. Whether the pump can sustain is another story. We've seen what happened to ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, BNB, LINK, etc...

TexasBoyz-713

Who hits $2.5k first, ETH or ZEC?

Aazimoxx

Because the ledger of a privacy coin like Monero is not publicly transparent - only the parties to a transaction get its details. So in the simplest sense, if you have Alice send Bob tainted Bitcoin and get Monero in exchange, then Alice sends that Monero to Steve, Steve has no practical way to tell the tainted BTC had anything to do with that. Steve may then go and convert that Monero back into BTC via his own exchange, for example. Because blockchain and cross-chain analyses are a thing, if each of those transactions were say ~138k worth, and transferred in one lump sum each time within a short period of time, then it would be possible to surface a strong statistical likelihood that the ~133k or so BTC that Steve just got from his exchange, is in fact the 'value' of that initial ~138k of tainted BTC that Alice attempted to launder, minus the various fees and conversion margins that took a chunk out of it along its journey. This is simply from analysis of public BTC activity, with no insight into internal exchange records, or privacy coin transactions, which are opaque. If instead Steve held onto some of that Monero and transacted with it in various other amounts, such as converting 50k to BTC and withdrawing it to his bank account, spending 10k with a computer store via bitpay, and converting 20k to ETH to send to his brother's wallet to pay back a loan, and leaving the remaining 60k in his Monero wallet, then the chances of any chain analysis tying together Steve's money and the initial tainted BTC Alice interacted with, is close to nil.

Peturio

This is a little late reply, but hope it helps. Did run your portfolio through our portfolio risk engines at [Sentralis.io](https://aentralis.io) (free accounts are available so you can play around with the scenarios yourself) and this is the result: At yesterday's prices the eight positions are worth about $29.9K. XRP is 48% of that value and ETH is 32%. The other six coins together make up the remaining 20%. Whether this portfolio will make 2x or 3x, who really knows? But it's possible to measure how wide the range of outcomes is for these coins. I simulated one year forward from their current volatility and correlations, with no price trend assumed in either direction. In that simulation 14% of the paths end the year at 2x or more, and 4% end at 3x or more. In the same simulation 47% of the paths end below today's value, and 11% end below half of it. Four out of ten paths go through a drawdown of at least 50% at some point during the year. If the coming year resembles a reshuffle of the last one, which was a bear market, 1% of the paths reach 2x and about half of the paths end below half of today's value. All simulation figures in this reply are model estimates under the stated assumptions, and they are not predictions. A 3x within one year needs a strong bull market on top of what the simulation assumes. Despite the portfolio holding eight coins, in reality it behaves like one position. Over the past year XRP, ETH, BTC and SOL had pairwise correlations between 0.83 and 0.90. In the replay of the bear market from October 2025 to July 1 every coin in your portfolio fell between 50% and 88%. That period on your current holdings gives a loss of 64%, which would take $29.9K down to about $10.8K. BTC alone lost 51% in the same period. Most commenters told you to swap the XRP for BTC, so I ran that version as well. The loss in the worst 5% of one-year outcomes goes from 61% to 55%. The share of paths with a drawdown of at least 50% goes from 41% to 29%. The share of paths that end at 3x goes from 4% to 2%. The swap lowers the risk somewhat, and it lowers the chance of a 3x as well. The portfolio would still rise and fall with the rest of the crypto market.

Peturio

This is a little late reply, but hope it helps. Did run your portfolio through our portfolio risk engines at [Sentralis.io](https://sentralis.io) (free accounts are available, so you can play around with the different scenarios yourself) and this is the result: At yesterday's prices the five positions are worth about $49K, split HYPE 36%, SOL 26%, PUMP 19%, LIT 12% and SKR 7%. LIT and SKR have less than a month of price history in our data, which is too short to model. The risk numbers below therefore cover the HYPE, SOL and PUMP positions only,( 81% of the portfolio). Several commenters treated this portfolio as one single altcoin bet, and the data does not fully support that view. Over the past year the pairwise correlations between HYPE, SOL and PUMP were between 0.51 and 0.66, while BTC, ETH and SOL were at 0.86 to 0.90 with each other over the same period. The difference showed in the replay of the bear market from October 2025 to July 1. SOL fell 66% and PUMP fell 78% in that period, while HYPE gained 29%. That period on your current weights gives a loss of 26%, against 51% for BTC alone. The 26% loss in depends entirely on the rise of HYPE. If HYPE had fallen as much as SOL did, the same replay would show a loss of about 69%. The cost of holding these three coins is volatility. Together they run at about 81% annualized volatility, which is close to double the 43.5% of BTC. I simulated one year forward from current volatility and correlations, with no price trend assumed in either direction. In the worst 5% of simulated outcomes the three positions lose 69% or more. Seven out of ten simulated paths go through a drawdown of at least 50% at some point during the year, and one in five goes through a drawdown of 70%. All simulation figures in this reply are model estimates under the stated assumptions, and they are not predictions. You wrote that you can manage a drawdown and would start to DCA into it again, so the drawdown sizes matter for how much cash you keep aside. One in four simulated paths ends the year at double the starting value or more. 97% of those winning paths still went through a drawdown of at least 30% on the way. A 30% drawdown is therefore what this portfolio does even in a good year, and a 50% drawdown is what it does in most years.

fan_of_hakiksexydays

There's even more longs at risk for ETH if we drop. It only needs to go below $2,350 to start triggering some major liquidations. https://preview.redd.it/qpmy75r1i2qh1.jpeg?width=1273&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=04673ada3cf7b334b936bd5febec7c147d84b7c1

RatherCynical

This is a stupid way to frame it. Crypto sources its funds from ordinary banks. People put their savings into DeFi because when banks pay 0-2%, NOT using DeFi is losing money to inflation. That's where all the ETH, DOT, ADA, AVAX, FTM, MATIC, NEAR, and every other NFT going crazy comes from. Without that money, no alt-season. Because we shifted regime from nearly 2 decades of 0-2% interest to a 4%+ interest regime, the death of alt-season happened in 2022. It's never about "crypto being a lifestyle". It's about the money valve getting firmly clamped shut

Despaciito

77k + today. Look at all the shorts. Same with ETH. Just 10 bucks away from triggering 700 mill in shorts

Hanno54

Was a pain but managed to get them out and to an exchange and converted into ETH or a stable coin (again a pain, had to use a bridge and what not) but managed to sell around .27 or .29

ubermensch1001

I don't own any Sol but it's the big alt outside of ETH.

UnitedStatesAirFurs

BTC at $75k, XRP at $1.30, ETH at $2400 The Internet: Is crypto dead? 3:

Carterlil21

Use it. I do leathercraft as a side hobby and make art. Id love it if people would buy from me using crypto. I'd definitely use a platform akin to etsy that provided discounted services / goods to those willing to transact in crypto. I still remember selling something on Facebook marketplace for ETH in covid. I don't think it's up since the transaction, but I loved that someone bought using crypto

Big-Occasion-4682

r/krakensupport Please help! My account is too new to create a standalone post. My ETH withdrawal has been held for 8 days (the stated timeframe was 7 days, so it is severely overdue). The live chat bot blocks me from human support. Can you please urgently escalate my Ticket #22733922 to the relevant team? Thank you!

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Post is by: Cezariu and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1whxlsm/betting_on_reversion_started_to_make_sense/ Started out with a pretty standard trend-following setup (EMA/MACD crossovers) across a bunch of coins. Back tested it with real fees and slippage and it just didn't hold up, barely broke even at best. Switched to something way simpler: betting on short-term reversion instead of trend continuation, just on BTC and ETH, on 30min and 1h windows. Actually tested it properly this time, trained on one chunk of history, tested on a separate later chunk, so it's not just curve-fit nonsense. It held up out of sample, nothing crazy, low-to-mid 50s% accuracy, but that's actually enough to matter for fixed-payout bets where breakeven sits around 53-54%. Been running it live for about a month now, roughly 160 calls tracked, 55% hit rate so far. Keep position size small (a tenth of bankroll per bet) and it auto-pauses itself after a handful of losses in a row so a bad stretch can't do much damage. Not getting into the exact logic since that's the part I'd rather keep to myself, but that's the gist, betting on reversion, not trend, and actually validated before going live instead of just vibes. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

anon1971wtf

There's no real security in ETH since mining ended. If I get two Ethereum chains in contention, I have to go to social media to decide whom to trust to follow a chain True chain of Bitcoin has the highest energy signature. It's trustless, you only need surface information about state of double SHA256 and 70MB of block headers to calculate weight of Bitcoin chain you heard in equivalent Joules and dollars, you can discard lighter fork without listening to any social media noise

cyger

Yup agreed, in for like 10 years now, but so glad I sold most of alts, over the last couple of years. The final nail in the coffin was last years 10/10 manipulation. Still holding mainly BTC, SOL, and some ETH, but also went heavily into AI stocks over the last couple of years. AI agents may boost SOL and ETH big time eventually, and maybe soon, but otherwise 99.999% of tokens are crap.

cyger

So glad I sold most of alts, including 50k moons a couple years ago. The final nail in the coffin was last years 10/10 manipulation. Still holding mainly BTC, SOL, and some ETH, but also went heavily into AI stocks over the last couple of years. AI agents may boost SOL and ETH big time eventually, and maybe soon.

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Post is by: Cezariu and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1whq99c/built_a_small_meanreversion_bot_for_btceth/ Been running a side project for a couple months now and figured I'd share since this sub tends to appreciate the "show your work" angle more than most. Started out trying a classic trend-following setup (EMA/MACD crossovers) on a rotating watchlist of top futures pairs. Backtested it with realistic fees + slippage and it just didn't survive, barely broke even at best on any timeframe I tried. Pivoted to a simpler statistical mean-reversion approach on just BTC and ETH, 30m and 1h horizons. Chronological train/test split (not just in-sample curve fitting), and it actually held up out-of-sample , nothing crazy, low-to-mid 50s% accuracy, but consistently above the \~53.5% breakeven line you need for fixed-payout products (I was mainly looking at this for MEXC's Event Futures, binary up/down, fixed \~85% payout, no leverage). Since then I've had it auto-posting every call AND every result live to a Telegram channel, no cherry-picking after the fact, you see the call before it resolves. All-time so far: 88 correct / 71 wrong, \~55% accuracy across both symbols/horizons. Not a money printer by any means, it's a thin edge, and I size small (1/10 of bankroll per bet) specifically because the edge is thin and variance is real. Not trying to sell anything, it's free to watch, but I'd rather not get into the exact signal logic publicly, hope that's fair. Mostly curious if anyone else here has played with mean-reversion on short crypto timeframes and gotten similar/different numbers. If you want to see it running live, contact me Not financial advice, past performance doesn't guarantee future results, standard disclaimer applies, this is a hobby project not a signal service. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

TripTryad

Alt coins for me, were what they were always intended to be. A way to create more bitcoin during bull markets. But that part gets drowned out by the true believers and the ones arguing with them. The vast majority of BTC I own by this point was made from swinging into alts in 2015, 2017, and 2020. ESPECIALLY 2015. Nothing is ever going to top the ETH/Antshares double whammy in 2015 and 2016. WATTBA 🙏🏾

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Post is by: StrikingInteraction4 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/binaryoptions/comments/1whlsgg/has_anyone_else_tried_swivr/ I’ve been testing it. It offers 5- and 15-minute BTC, ETH and SOL binary markets with low fees and low vig. If anyone’s interested in testing it out, you can onboard here: https://swivr.trade/waitlist Seems pretty cool, what other sites do you generally trade on? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

CG-Saviour878879

I mean just get and hold BTC and watch it appreciate over time. Otherwise stake ETH.

BringTheFingerBack

ETH killer

Meme_Pope

I used all my moons to be 1 ETH at $3400. To have gotten any amount of money off reddit is pretty wild thi

ParadigmPhoenix

A long I entered on ETH \~10k profit. I’ve had messages requesting to join the group I am a part of in the past & a new one is being created. Feel free to PM for his link I’ve spoken to him. Very cool couple groups lead by a guy who teaches alongside shares strategies.

ParadigmPhoenix

A long I entered on ETH 800%+ profit. I’ve had messages requesting to join the group I am a part of in the past & a new one is being created. Feel free to PM for his link I’ve spoken to him. Very cool group lead by a guy who teaches alongside shares strategies.

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Post is by: Confident-Total-8155 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1whcuji/still/ 🐂 $STILL — 5 ETH GIVEAWAY ✅ Follow X @StillBullCoin ✅ Like + RT ✅ Comment ✅ Join: https://t.me/StillBullCommunity https://ponsfamily.com/launchpad/0x9770d671988dC666d00fb592c2F9011AA69E26C6 🎁 5 ETH prize $STILL on PONS / Robinhood Chain \#STILL #PONS #RobinhoodChain #Memecoin *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

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Post is by: DazzlingNet1516 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wh261q/two_big_catalysts_this_week_the_clarity_act_vote/ Crypto has two pretty big events coming up almost back to back. The Senate is voting on whether to move the CLARITY Act forward, and then we’ve got the Fed rate decision right after that. The regulation side feels important longer term, but I’m wondering if the Fed still matters more for price in the short term. If the bill advances but the Fed comes out hawkish, does crypto still sell off anyway? What do you think will actually move BTC and ETH more this week? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

GrokM14232

A cloture vote is mostly a test of whether leadership has 60 votes to open debate, not a clean probability estimate for final passage. Even a 58-42 failure can be constructive if the holdouts are bargaining over amendments or jurisdiction, while 60-40 can still leave the bill stuck later. For BTC and ETH, imo the near-term move is probably more positioning cleanup than a lasting regulatory repricing unless the vote exposes a durable bipartisan coalition.

biggest_guru_in_town

*was you mean. It was ETH. Spot bot

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Post is by: _SG9 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1wgeacz/i_track_perpetual_open_interest_across_four/ Method first, so you can pull it apart: I read the four venues' open interest and funding at each UTC close (Binance, Bybit, Hyperliquid, OKX) and rank the ETH/BTC ratio against its own 73-session window; ETF flows come from the daily fund files; correlations run over 969 pairs of daily closes. At the September 12 close, 23:59:01 UTC, ETH perpetual open interest was $11.910bn against Bitcoin's $16.971bn. That is 70.18%, rank 1 of the 73 complete sessions since July 3, against a window median of 60.9% and a minimum of 54.4%. It happened on every venue. Between the September 4 and September 12 closes ETH open interest rose 6.1% on Binance, 7.0% on Bybit, 12.1% on Hyperliquid and 9.6% on OKX, while Bitcoin fell 7.1%, 6.5%, 6.3% and 3.1% on the same four. It is also not a price artifact: ETH/BTC rose 6.0% over those eight days while the ratio rose 15.3%, and the dollar size of the Bitcoin book shrank outright. Against the underlying asset the ETH book is 3.888% of a $306.3bn market capitalisation and Bitcoin's is 1.086% of $1,562.2bn, so ETH's is 3.6 times as large relative to its own coin. Funding did not follow. Open-interest-weighted ETH funding closed September 13 at 0.005941% per eight hours, about 6.5% a year, against a 31-day median of 0.005682%, the 53rd percentile. That is an ordinary carry cost, and nobody is paying a premium to be long the perpetual, which is what a short perpetual leg inside a delta-neutral carry book looks like from the outside. The ETH spot ETFs took $189.3M on CPI day, 1.54% of $12.28bn in assets, the cash leg such a book needs. Bitcoin's funds went the opposite way, minus $482.4M over four sessions, 0.5% of $93.58bn. Where I would argue against myself: \- Open interest reports size and never side, so a directional crowd cannot be ruled out, only priced. One that wanted the exposure badly would normally bid funding above its median. \- 73 sessions is the whole claim. My constant window starts July 3, when the venue count went from three to four. \- ETH's 30-day correlation to QQQ is plus 0.012 against a 0.476 trailing 252-day baseline, the 1.28th percentile of 548 days, and to the dollar index minus 0.622. Out of a 969-pair scan roughly ten first-percentile hits are chance alone; the cluster means survive that better, 132 crypto against US equity pairs averaging 0.105 and 22 crypto against dollar pairs averaging minus 0.402, both the 3.6th percentile. \- Friday's CPI print cuts against the dollar-channel reading. In the 60 minutes after the 12:30 UTC release Bitcoin rose 0.85%, gold rose 1.27% and the dollar index fell 0.11%, a dollar-weakness reaction. \- Nearly half of the raw ETH exchange-inflow tape over the last four weeks, 47.7%, is one address depositing every day. Every figure above excludes it. Polymarket and Kalshi both read 79.5% for a 25bp hike on Wednesday, stamped 12:58 UTC today. data + full method: [https://kresmion.com/daily-brief/2026-09-14](https://kresmion.com/daily-brief/2026-09-14) *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

phaskellhall

Are there NFTs that did useful things outside of photos that held up their value, and more importantly, are still being used today for the problem they solved? I’m genuinely interested. What NGTs are holding their value today? As someone who has owned ETH exclusively, I’ve given up on the sales pitch I was given in 2019 that etherium would act as the currency of the micro transaction world. It seems dollars buying tokens have won that game. So ETH itself doesn’t seem to be living up to the hype I originally bought it for. Are NFTs any different?