IMO

HesitantInvestor0

It's been a combination of investor psychology, self-fulfilling prophecies, and coincidence IMO. If people believe in the 4 year cycle, why would they buy now and not in October? Why would they sell in Q4 three years later? As long as people broadly believe it, it's going to happen until a bigger buyer breaks the trend. On the coincidence front, if you look at the highs and lows over the last couple cycles, there were really clear signs outside of any kind of bullshit theories. Rates rising, equities dropping like a rock, FTX, war, blah blah blah. It has diverged a bit over the past 9 months and I think that's because so many got burned by leverage and derivatives. Essentially, the reason things don't get totally priced in is because of the tension between people who believe in the 4 year cycle, people who don't, and people who aren't even thinking about it. It will break eventually, and there will be a ton of angry people who get caught on the rough side of a bad trade, either waiting for a time to buy that gets bid up early, or selling too early and watching it continue going, or trying to hold and sell at the right time and watching it drop hard earlier than expected. There's no legitimate reason for a 4 year cycle. The halving is irrelevant at this point, more or less. So now it's just about how long it takes for people to stop believing in it. All it will take is one time being completely blindsided, and it will happen eventually.

SilverXGold-US

Great question ! Although 2-3 x returns IMO are inevitable I also believe DOGE could 5x in that time. Bitcoin is hard to see at 300k in 4 years . DOGE has already proven it’s done it at current price levels , Bitcoin has not at 60k

TvAGhost

If you're looking for the orange with the most possible juice, and have belief in bitcoin, haters will hate, but im holding ASST and MSTR for an amplified bet on bitcoin. That's my 2 cents. ASST is the cleaner bet IMO. no debt. 1 preferred stock giving amplification to the common. And a large possibility of huge growth since it is a much smaller treasury than MSTR. It will also be easier for it to 5-10x in bitcoin holdings over time compared to MSTR. Ultimately up to you if you truly dont care about owner and want pure amplified performance I would recommend ASST. /r/striveASST

Gehrman_JoinsTheHunt

Sure, but a person with that mentality would have likely sold at $100, $500, $1,000 etc. I'm not here to argue the intrinsic value of it. No one has ever convinced anyone to change their mind IMO. I simply play the volatility to make money.

absurdcriminality

ZachXBT is making millions on X but he is just one guy. Still, it's a role that is always needed in the space IMO. If you can do it quick and still be detail oriented there are good bounties to claim. Seems like a more profitable path to take instead of finiding a job and getting paid like 2k a month for work that is worth much more

No_Knee3385

This is a thing on a lot of wallet monitoring applications. This is a pretty simple feature. IMO this should be one of many features with customizability; addresses, tokens, amounts, contract deployment, etc.

Alfador8

I suspect AI will end up being "good enough" that the majority of people won't care. The cat and mouse game of AI detection will always be a thing, and there will be niche communities that adhere to it, but people (especially those who grow up with AI) won't put enough economic pressure on platforms to filter it out and we end up with 99.99% of content on the internet being AI generated. My biggest concern is that AI will have inherent biases that shape content, and we already have large swaths of the population outsourcing their thinking to AI. It's a recipe for a particularly lame type of dystopia IMO.

ellis1884uk

Used them all (except coldcard) Trezor is the best IMO And i say this as someone who used paper, and then Armory and Electrum to store coins

SamQuentin

Clarity act is dead until at least 2030. IMO

suspicious_Jackfruit

I would be very surprised if it still was in 2030, top 20 mayyyybe. It will never have a bullrun again like it did, why would it? Can you really see everyone meme culture youtuber crypto bros peaking again? the only realistic hope is that the entire cryptocurrency market 10x at its peak and it would also benefit from the increased liquidity in the whole space IMO

No_Knee3385

Best case scenario you hit par value at top of the next bull cycle. IMO at least. I could be wrong but alt coins have proven time and time again on each cycle they do worse and worse

Prestigioussr

Yep, IMO now it is a great price to enter with DCA strategy, but dyor always!

SupportWonderful2536

ahh, and why did some miners signal early in 2017? IMO, I think it was because they knew bitmain had the AsicBoost advantage and segwit activation was the way they would neutralize the bitmain advantage (and the exact reason why bitmain was against it). I clicked on the other 2 links you shared regarding the bip110 list. I would not put too much weight on those. I think its just one dude making a list. I dont think its anything official.

Electronic_Quote399

Old blood, man. First rule of meme coins is not to get attached. Grab em while they're hot, ditch em when they fall flat. Not saying you gotta sell your bag. But if you're gonna keep trying and keep flipping meme coins, gotta be putting your money into new meme coins. Doge is a little more than a memecoin now and pengu is still new enough, something like pepe though, is a lost cause IMO. Id move onto something new

SupportWonderful2536

Again, I dont really care one way or another, just pointing out how I see this playing out. Its very easy for a node to flip so that is no real barrier. True for any node runner (exchanges, miners, wallets included) BIP110 blocks are backwards compatible so the risk is the opposite of what you say (ie. if you mine a BIP110 block, its valid under current rules and not the other way around). Its the safest way for them continue without disruption. Pretty clear risk-reward decision here for the miners IMO. afaik, f2pool was against segwit and they bent the knee to the nodes in the end. 2017 history suggests miners will follow the nodes rules. Why would it be any different this time around? Again, dont really care. It just seems to me that peoples emotions are getting in the way of seeing the reality of the situation.

SupportWonderful2536

Its not my UASF :P I'm just pointing out pool risk/reward decision matrix. Of course, anything can happen, but I cannot imagine pools risking found blocks for <0.5% in spam fees. Pretty clear IMO.

Gritts911

IMO the biggest risk is a wrench attack. Some criminals are smart enough to know what it is.

Little-Customer-8760

I purchased 50k in a lot of different crypto assets in 2021. Some good, some bad. I sold everything earlier this year and made a profit of 35k. If I was smarter I could have walked away with profits of 80k. But I’m grateful that I walked with profits and not losses. If I could do it all over again I would have taken that 50k and just dumped it into an index fund. Doing that would have allowed me to not stress, constantly looking at charts. Crypto is stressful and completely unpredictable. And unfortunately I just didn’t get in early enough to get crazy 10x pumps on my coins. Those days are likely behind us for good IMO. Some people will disagree. I will also say, if you’re dead set into getting into crypto, just stick with BTC. Have a game plan and stick to it no matter what. It’s incredibly easy to say you just want to double your money and get out, but you will 100% get greedy and wait to see if it will 3x, 4x, 5x. And the reality is that by waiting to see what happens, you’ll likely start losing profits. Getting into crypto is an interesting study into the human psychology of risk/reward, and will make otherwise smart people make incredibly risky and dumb decisions. Again, my advice is to stay away and put money into long term stocks. This is just the opinion of someone that invested and payed attention to the chats every day for 5 years. It wasn’t really worth it.

General_Wolverine69

IMO chance is 99% that it will not, lol, no one will bid against

Enough_Background777

I don't buy crypto, but BTC has to be near the bottom rn. It's held up quite well, IMO

ZombieSnack81

I think this will just pivot into ETFs and banks with a long term look. IMO it is actually a good thing, we don't want a single player owning so much.

d3lta8

Most of us have gone all in at a high number at some point in the past years and held, now is better than later IMO. If you have the balls and the patience, jump in brother ⚡️

shelby_xx88xx

Clarity Act getting passed will be the catalyst that signals the bottom IMO. DCA right now if you believe in BTC. These are the exact times you look back at later and think "why did I not buy more". Trying to time the top or bottom is a fools game. The big mistake I have to overcome is not selling more when we are ripping up and establishing a war-chest of USDC to DCA in times like this. For me, the greed and never wanting to sell is the real challenge. HODL in down-trends like this is nothing. I just wish I had my USDC war-chest to scoop up the cheap BTC right now. I will have to be content staking and earning my DeFi yields and being patient.

BallSmashingForever

People are PISSED they didn't come up with this idea first. They are trying their hardest to bust Saylor. IMO Saylor is a wiley devil, and he will prevail.

TT_________

IMO if we don't reach low 50s anytime soon then we will have a deadcat bounce and go much lower in Q4 making it the cycle bottom.

EntertainerWrong1238

Overall even if the price might go lower is not a bad time at all to buy Bitcoin at this levels. Bellow 70k is cheap IMO

TT_________

IMO If we don't go low 50s, the bottom is not in yet and we will have a dead cat bounce going to sub 50s in Q4.

Romanizer

Was bound to happen, IMO. If a company doesn't have an operative cashflow (I am assuming software is negligible), the valuation has to happen based on the balance sheet which very simplified is assets minus obligations. As long as there is no growth projection built into the Bitcoin part, mNAV should always be <1.

Safe_Plate7841

Point is wealth creation often comes from concentration; wealth preservation usually comes from diversification. His conviction in bitcoin is not unreasonable to create the former, IMO.

Botlenose

Like I always say about this topic, maybe you should look at what it would actually take for that to happen. It can happen, but bitcoin would need to crash below 20k and sit there for potentially years, before they’d start liquidating. The odds of that scenario are pretty low IMO.

ryfle_

Probably start at 45. 40 will be close to the bottom and not last long. IMO.

SteveW928

I watch it out of interest, but you have to ask yourself.... "Has any fundamental of Bitcoin or the economic/monetary system changed?" If the answer is no, then you probably haven't missed anything, and are thinking more like a trader. There are things to be concerned over (IMO), like the 'monetary vs data' battle over what Bitcoin is, or ideological infiltration/corruption of Core node software (essentially the default for most people). Or, things like mining centralization. Those are real things that could impact those Bitcoin fundamentals, so should be watched. (Or, if you're a Bitcoiner, get involved and protect your investment!) Changes in gov't policy or markets should be watched, but ultimately Bitcoin will chug along no matter what they do (short of actually fixing the monetary system, which is near zero chance, IMO).

_Stylite

The reality with a bottom in any market is that you can never know until it’s over. Assuming BTC recovers predictably, consider your options: Buy now and risk further losses for being early, or catch the bottom perfectly (yeah right) Wait until price action declares any signal at all that the bottom has happened and things are recovering (multiple green days, a green week, a green month etc). You may be late, but will still catch nearly all of the upside movement, minus a day or a week, and potentially reduce your downside risk and drawdown by a lot. The choice is yours. IMO it is best to buy into a strong or recovering market, not one that is still actively dropping lower each week…

SYNDK8D

AI would use a stable coin rather than use a high risk asset IMO

Subject-Chest-8343

Well, the 70% drawdown is commonly cited as a trend continuation... As in we had 80% in 2018, 75% in 2022, so now we should have 70%. But the bull run was much shorter this time, so only a 50-55% drawdown would make sense. I know bear market usually lasts until end of year, and given the current sentiment, it wouldn't be surprising. But it doesn't necessarily mean we go much lower, we could go sideways. IDK, we're still roughly at the 200wma, and looking at the order book, looks like buyers are going to be lined up well before we approach the 40's. It honestly looks like much of the current selling is ETF holders capitulating to rotate into AI stocks, but bitcoin whales are lining up to catch the dip. IMO, the way history could repeat itself would be a stock market crash at the end of the year like in 2018. I could see that happening if Iran war escalates and/or AI bubble pops. Then there could be people forced to sell their bitcoin, but so many people are waiting to buy the dip in october, that I really wonder how deep it could go.

OrangePillar

5000 is a lot to have on an exchange, IMO. If your plan is to hodl long term, I’d say a cold wallet is a good choice. If you’re still accumulating consider a bitcoin-only exchange with free recurring purchases like Strike.

RevolutionaryArea532

IMO, spot Bitcoin has a better risk/reward proposition than STRC.

Ecliphon

IMO it’s fine to advertise their service because this is an interesting insight. Its something I haven’t seen many companies do

RussellUresti

Tell me what past performance has led to Space X being valued at a $2 trillion market cap. You're telling me their previous earnings and consumer trends supports that valuation? IMO, past performance really only accounts for a small percentage of a company's valuation. The vast majority is a story about how the future, an unknown thing, will play out. That's why a stock can crash when a CEO is shot. Or a top company can go broke when it's realized that they've been cooking the books. Or a war breaks out and oil prices skyrocket. These events change the story of the future they had assumed.

wchurchi1966

I am a CPA but that was not my area of practice. I would probably get a good tax CPA in that case and damn sure get in front of it. I don’t like the IRS as pen pals. They(IRS) get stupid AF not responding on dumb things IMO. Not sure the cost, but tax CPA’s should know their shit and can defend the situation.

TvAGhost

Strive is debt free, it is also smaller so more scalable. They only have 1 preferred instead of strategys 5. And they are newer (IPO at huge overvaluation in sept) but quickly becoming a top treasury. IMO the most bullish in the game right now.

rhetheo100

IMO. There is value as the dollar continues to devalue. My opt in number is 57,000

KateR_H0l1day

It’s a great time to buy in, just IMO of course, I bought more this morning.

Romanizer

Yes, that's basically what I tried to say. There is no event in the near future that could lead to Strategy going bankrupt over night. After the cash reserve runs empty in Spring of 2027 and they somehow can't raise more capital (hasn't been a problem for now), they would need to start to sell Bitcoin. To go bankrupt in the near future, Bitcoin needs to crash to and stay in the four figures for at least two years from now. Increasing by 4% when monetary inflation grows by 7%+ is not that unrealistic, IMO. This means it has to fail and all governments, corporations and asset managers and financial experts need to be completely wrong about it. Bitcoin itself is conceptionally unassailable, so there really is no argument against it growing further. But of course nobody has a crystal ball, so who knows.

Prior_Parsley3960

No idea. Was a major loss IMO. \*it was back for a minute and then gone again

Unique-Sorbet-9963

IMO Chainlink will definitely bounce back. It is the primary interoperability chain that all major institutions will utilize. I say this holding 5,000 of them with half of those bought recently in the $8 range. But all other alt coins are basically meme coins at this point. Oh and ZCash. I believe this will be the future of privacy. I hold that as well.

makeshiftballer

Lump sum up front is perfectly fine, this is a long term play. Price short term literally does not matter. You are missing a significant opportunity not DCAing right now, and when we inevitably (IMO) get back to ATH you'll regret not adding to your stack now. 

Puppyofparkave

The only coin that actually does something IMO is HYPE and even that’s been trading sideways so long I sold at a loss

ArturoScozzafava

This kind of narrative will probably move the bottom ahead by a few months. IMO July will be the lowest we see this year

Intelligent-Eye-90

Honestly, everyone buying AND shorting rn is a gambler IMO.

bdemon40

IMO, the better time to withdraw is in the next bull market AND IF you want something more valuable worth giving up the Bitcoin for. Why convert back to dollars at the ATH and let inflation start killing your purchasing power again?

undeadkarlmarx

If you have no credit card debt and a steady, secure job that pays more than enough to cover your monthly expenses, then IMO it’s not a crazy idea to reduce your emergency funds at times like this when btc is cheap. Note: reduce, not eliminate. So if you normally keep 6+ months expenses in cash, maybe you can get by with 3-4 months in a bear market. You’ve just gotta be able to hold.

mdeeebeee-101

It needs a deeper discount to set the tinder for a rel sustained breakout. These are all bear traps IMO. 50 or sub-50k will hopefully be the lowest baseline but macro factors at 50k pullback could move it lower.

HughHonee

That sounds way more of a fatal flaw to the most people in our current culture. While I do understand and agree with things being user friendly, I dont think bitcoin needs to be more user friendly, most especially if it compromises positive features in doing so- When the much better solution IMO is people learn some comprehension and basic computer skills. Which they struggle with those things than yes I absolutely recommend they not maintain total control and responsibility of storing their money- i stand by that even outside of advocating bitcoin.

BizDev1

Nope. The seed phrase goes into a sealed wax stamped envelope that is only opened by the beneficiary. No one can be trusted with the seed phrase IMO.

seansy5000

Bottom is not in. Expect somewhere in the 30’s IMO.

BizDev1

The minute you hit send on that email, you had already lost ALL control over that wallet. IMO, your friends are not the culprits.

BizDev1

Guess you need to stop kicking yourself. Lesson learnt they say but it’s too expensive a lesson IMO.

BizDev1

IMO, the email does not have to be compromised. Once a seed phrase hits the internet via email or other digital medium, there could be tens to a few hundred servers holding a copy of that information. Anyone such as a system’s or network administrator could get hold of it. Hope this helps.

cestbondaeggi

Marketcap is utterly meaningless and is only useful for pointing out unit bias. If peopel are willing to pay 10 million for a bitcoin, then the marketcap will be 21millionX 10million. It's irrelevent to what buyers are willing to pay. The second paragraph is spot on. IMO the ETF was the last big milestone. Everyone has heard of bitcoin. The space was basically DOA in 2018 but DEFI summer happened, people got rich, and interest got renewed and scammers came back. The same could happen again but as of right now I'd say it's over.

No_Knee3385

For DCAing yes. You'll never time the bottom so now is a great of time as any to begin buying. IMO a 4-6 month DCA

schizophrenicbugs

Since CZ was forced to leave Binance the company has kinda gone to the shitter, but it's still the most reliable exchange available IMO.

Backieotamy

ETH, XRP, SOL, HBAR. IMO LINK, AVAX, SUI are decent as well but I am only diversifying so much.

Thecrookedpictures

I mean it is and it isnt. The manipulation doesn't come form retail a lot of the time IMO. It's often way more nefarious. But yes the retail is ultimately the liquidity lol

Optionbulls

The bottom was 58,800 IMO

generateduser29128

They're building out new infrastructure for AI. Honestly, that just reads like a big investor scam to ride the current hype. They have no moat and the whole thing IMO doesn't make sense.

PeteyPab305

IDK, I'm holding out to see a dead cat which I think is happening rn, then a move to high 50's than up, it takes months to get out of a bear market, and if the fed hikes rates, I wouldn't expect a parabolic recovery for a while, SPCX is a liquidity black hole, people chasing quick money, on literal shake-down, won't realize the stock market is broken, until they lose and all these large companies use retail money to build out USDC positions, that's what the government wants, they want our reallocate bond market domestically, when the clarity act passes is when BTC will regain value. I'm just DCA'ing like I would any asset, im closing in a small position about 0.1BTC at ruffly 70k avg cost, and most of the network is underwater, usually signals a bottom, so we are close, but idk if it won't just chop sideways til macro conditions are better. JUST IMO.

doghairpile

My take being a bitcoin bear: the big hedge fund /smart money has left the building. It’s been flat so who’s holding the bag? Retail. There’s no catalyst to pump it. AI is the hot shiny toy. I’ve been hearing for years oh mass adoption blah blah. Uhh…when? The flatness lately is telling IMO. My grumble with the crypto world is a lot of the gurus and shit got lucky and never learned when to take profit/be happy with gains (even small) or taking the bigger picture into account. Not to mention nobody full ports into a single asset. Celebrities aren’t launching their pump and dump coins anymore. There’s a much larger world to investing and it’s not easy but crypto shouldn’t be the only hill to die on.

CaptainK718

Portfolio diversification is the answer. But having a 0% BTC allocation IMO seems silly.

SpoopyNoNo

IMO not a big deal for everyone else; for BTC it could potentially be. I mean you’ll have to join the fork that’s quantum resistant, leaving behind Satoshi’s and many more dead/inactive people’s wallet.

coredweller1785

I like the way this is laid out and is clear. My question tho is where are the prices from. That would def clear some confusion up for me. IMO the today prices are too low so ppl will look at it a bit skeptically even tho the point is still poignant.

FitCompetition1804

It’s called hedging against BTC not reaching certain expected price targets. Makes plenty of sense if you have plenty of dry powder to significantly reduce your dollar cost average if your large limit orders execute. Especially if you don’t have a previous BTC position like myself. If you bought 10 years ago and most of your stack is from then, sure I’d have a different approach. If you’re lucky enough to time the actual bottom, of course that’s preferred. How many people in 2022 were left in the dust because they swore BTC was going to $10k? Anything below $75-80k this year is on sale IMO if you expect to hold for the long haul. I’ll triple to quadruple my position if BTC reached the low $40k range vs not dipping below much further from our lows this year. Both scenarios are possible. At least I’ll have a position either way and that’s the strategy behind doing both.

ahhhaccountname

This is why IMO a banking system to manage your wallets is important. Only issue is that crypto enjoyers hate banks

Emotional_Perv

Fuck bitcoin, it’s too late. That tulip is gonna drop dead and leave people holding empty bags. ETH SOL are better long term bets IMO. Do your own research, look for crypto that has uses: smart contracts, d’apps, look into crypto that supports DeFi. Don’t gamble on shit or meme coins. Don’t follow my advice or anyone else’s.

classified_x

IMO it may not be the end but sell at any price until it drops more could be wise

Hot_Sacks

Great take. IMO, outside of the forced sellers, the group that's creating the biggest consistent sell pressure is OG VC capital with huge gains already just rotating some of their holdings into AI and other sectors to de-risk, diversify, and potentially catch the next trend. However, they likely still have a ton of BTC exposure. If you listen to some of the later-stage OG's, who got in around 2015/2016, VC's in Silicon Valley were already balls deep into Bitcoin around 2012-2014 and bought in the single digits.

the_rhino22

IMO this has been apparent since the block size wars. Everyday money has to move fast and nearly free at extreme transaction volumes. It was decided then that those features were second rate to decentralization, and that’s okay. You don’t need to be able to buy your coffee with bitcoin for it to have a legitimate place in a long-term portfolio if you’re able to shift your perspective to fiat hedge rather than fiat replacement.

GIGAbtcHodl

IMO some % lump sum and then DCA

Self_Blumpkin

Terafab sounds so logical. They’re already launching satellites for starlink. Sending compute to space is an incredible idea IMO

R4ID

>I often see people talking about $1,000+ XRP Im a large supporter of XRP, you need to block those people. >If XRP settles transactions in a matter of seconds, doesn’t that mean the same XRP can be reused many times throughout the day? If that’s the case, why would the price need to be extremely high to support large transaction volumes? Theres lots of things you need to consider. The first being, The more liquidity and overall "volume" XRP has, the higher its price will be, The higher the price, the less volatility because you are now using Less overall XRP to move the same value. (and extreme example) If XRP is 1 Dollar and I want to move 1 million USD into say Thai bhat, I need 1 million XRP to do that. If XRP is 100$, now I just need 10,000 XRP. essentially the higher value it has the less slippage and more efficient it becomes. >For example, if banks, payment providers, tokenized asset platforms, and other institutions start using XRP for liquidity and settlement, what exactly creates the need for a much higher valuation? Volume due to the amount of XRP in existence. The liquidity problem is usually as follows, The more people using it, the more volume and liquidity, this then leads to more people being able to use it because More people are pushing volume/liquidity through the system. aka Liquidity gets more liquidity, if ur a big bank you might not use it because it cant handle ur needs yet, but smaller banks can use it due to lower volume needs, they provide more liquidity and more volume on the network which then allows the next bank along the chain to do the same. The smaller banks do this because fees and costs are lower for them on the network than traditional systems. So now they can undercut the market and take market share away from the bigger guys. This repeats on a loop until the big banks are forced to either join the system or continue to lose market share. > Is it the amount of liquidity sitting on the books? Institutional reserves? Market makers? all 3 and more, XRP has Order books and AMM, it has the first ever built in DEX on chain (and first DEX in the world) it actually invented the concept before DEX was even a term (the same is true for stablecoins which also didnt exist/ had no name back in 2012) >I’m just trying to understand the mechanics behind the high price predictions. IMO a "high" price prediction is something above 15$. Anyone pushing something above that you should just openly mock, downvote, and block imo. They are pushing fantasy.

Traditional-Fan-9315

Honestly probably not. That was speculated for quite some time. I don't think they'll even charge anyone. It's a negotiating chip IMO.

Bogumil_Jakubik

Not the last low this year, IMO

Different-Result-859

I just read that you are not even sure if it is the original SD card... But no harm trying. This is easiest to check IMO Let me just confirm the facts: 1. Do you know which parts of the HTC phone is dead? The screen? Battery? 2. Do you recall if the Bitcoin Wallet app that comes with this wallet is there even if the phone is dead or uninstalled? If it is installed, recovery is much easier. If it is uninstalled, it is very much harder. 3. You have checked your emails. Some versions of the Schlidbach wallet send you the backup by email. If you have not checked the emails that was in use in 2012, that can be the missing piece you need to unlock the wallet.

SensitiveAd6131

IMO it’s going to 62K and then slowly climbing to 70k (Give or take) by 26/06/26

Deep_Reading_3975

Not a fan of bitcoin but I am a fan of a good process. Especially one that is actually followed for longer than say a week or two - or until it struggles for one hot second. - Well done!! If you’re gonna buy anything, even crap (IMO :-) at least buy it with some rigor and discipline (not being sarcastic) 👏 👏 ✌🏻

DankgisKhan

The problem is that there is not infinite money in the world. In order for crypto to keep hitting 2-3x previous highs, you need exponentially more money entering the market. The American institutional money in the market right now (currently exiting) is as big as it gets. There is no bigger fish. There is nobody left to push it much higher. And even a dramatic reduction in supply wouldn't be enough to sustain these historical patterns. IMO, I think the patterns will continue on a smaller scale. But I don't see BTC hitting 250k, then 500k the next cycle, etc. There's just not enough money in the world to sustain that.

BrightTomatillo1221

Thanks for sharing - sMiles. Just took a deep scan on this product. IMO, sMiles is way too much. My philosophy for my app/service is to encourage humans to run more and hodl BTC more. Two things only. I can't be a financial advisor or institution advising to HODL. But I can give out free SATS for something I believe in, like we give offerings at church. But there MUST be Proof of Work. So I came up with Proof of Human - each run must validate heart rate, GPS, cadence. You must run at least 1km at a 10min/km pace. That's easy for 90% of people. If you think my philosophy erred in honoring Bitcoin value, let me know. I'd love to know other perspectives.

50sat

For me USD is a permanently risk-on asset now. If you can't put whatever financial holdings you have into useful, physical stuff (I really can't afford to park a bunch of idle money and call it capital myself) then try to get a basis in something you think will have value regardless. For a bunch of reasons I'm piling into ETH. The thing I like to say is "eth is gas" and leave it at that. ETH powers a tremendous portion of the 'global market' right now and it's heaviest in the most forward-looking sectors. Like I said, I can't afford to park physical metals right now. Not sure it's a good time to be acquiring developed land for short term profit. I have some paper metals. The dollar can collapse without taking down the financial system entirely and if that happens I'd rather have paper gold than paper money. Meantime I'm looking towards building my post-dollar future in defi. As far as the kool-aid comment - people rushing to turn anything that represents a tangible asset into USD right now are, IMO, giving away their stuff. If you want something more tangible to understand what I'm talking about - learn about the plaza accords and how tanking the USD brought work ... a certain type of prosperity back to the US. The "Mar-A-Lago Accord" is kind of a joke I think but IMO the USD is a high risk asset as long as Trump has any influence. Fire up the printers and capture title to assets is how you clean up after a wringing out a fiat economy.

Kitchen_Net_GME

IMO he should have zoomed out more. On the weekly that line is there since 2019. And has touched it 3 times prior. And then again recently. Just adding additional info

LAndoftheLAke

IMO Yup once the fed and gov tries to print us out of this upcoming oil crisis it will shoot up. Printer goes burrrr, bitcoin go burrrr

Serenaded

Memes are perma dead IMO. The only people still buying memecoins are a very small community of scammers. There will be 1 or 2 memes, but you will never get a memeseason again like we did 2 years ago. I think some alts will come back. Not all, but say the top 20 will.

Investormaxxer

Don’t care much about the white paper as it’s already outdated IMO (not that decentralized anymore).

Kitchen_Net_GME

That consolidation period in 2024 when we essentially traded between 55-65 for 8 months is going to be very difficult barrier for those hoping we dip much beyond that. IMO

Practical-Method6449

Yeah, if we learnt something from these cycles is that people always tend to overestimate tops and lows Just watch sentiment. Look youtube and reddit, NOW is the time everyone starts talking about massive drops, btc failing, etc. IMO all that pesimism is already priced in. If what every doomsday 30k drop predicter says is true, they would just short and get massively rich. The most rational view is that we are at or just around the bottom

JohnnyStrides

I don't think the astrology charts tell us much of anything. Does it go back up to $70-80K? Does it drop to $50K Does it stay at $60K? Support levels work until they don't. Nobody except maybe some very influential whales have any clue and to pretend otherwise is foolish IMO.

Aitech_diana_girl

SOL seems finished IMO. But BTC will come back as always.

harvested

IMO there is no reason to own/buy STRC right now, you are capped at about 11-15% upside with 100% downside risk. vs. Spot bitcoin uncapped upside bottom range + less downside risk.

r3v3rb_1

BTC is digital gold and IMO you should own some of both. All other crypto projects are nothing more than small teams trying to monetize their centralized network. Gold is an established store of value and should be respected as such. BTC is still in its infancy so volatility is to be accepted. Sure, initial intent is to be a medium of exchange but its behavior has mimicked gold more so than currency. And sometimes we just need to remember that a lot of these posts come from over invested, under diversified, highly emotional and impatient positions because in reality, this 5 years window from the OP is quite meaningless.

ripple_mcgee

If you believe the war in Iran will get worse, then wait. War > oil causes more inflation > rate increase likely > risk-off. If you believe it is going to get better and soon, then 60K per btc is 50% from ATH, buy. Peace > return to stability > macro conditions favorable for rate cuts > risk-on. IMO, trump and his team are walking disasters and things are going to get worse before they get better. Despite this, I'm going to take a bite at 60K.

HauntingAardvark521

We shall see. IMO, we will for sure see sub 50k when the stock market eventually corrects and we see a sustained bear… but we’d need a black swan to see sub 40k. Maybe mstr get liquidated, coinbase gets hacked, who knows.