IMO

OrangePillar

5000 is a lot to have on an exchange, IMO. If your plan is to hodl long term, I’d say a cold wallet is a good choice. If you’re still accumulating consider a bitcoin-only exchange with free recurring purchases like Strike.

RevolutionaryArea532

IMO, spot Bitcoin has a better risk/reward proposition than STRC.

Ecliphon

IMO it’s fine to advertise their service because this is an interesting insight. Its something I haven’t seen many companies do

RussellUresti

Tell me what past performance has led to Space X being valued at a $2 trillion market cap. You're telling me their previous earnings and consumer trends supports that valuation? IMO, past performance really only accounts for a small percentage of a company's valuation. The vast majority is a story about how the future, an unknown thing, will play out. That's why a stock can crash when a CEO is shot. Or a top company can go broke when it's realized that they've been cooking the books. Or a war breaks out and oil prices skyrocket. These events change the story of the future they had assumed.

wchurchi1966

I am a CPA but that was not my area of practice. I would probably get a good tax CPA in that case and damn sure get in front of it. I don’t like the IRS as pen pals. They(IRS) get stupid AF not responding on dumb things IMO. Not sure the cost, but tax CPA’s should know their shit and can defend the situation.

TvAGhost

Strive is debt free, it is also smaller so more scalable. They only have 1 preferred instead of strategys 5. And they are newer (IPO at huge overvaluation in sept) but quickly becoming a top treasury. IMO the most bullish in the game right now.

rhetheo100

IMO. There is value as the dollar continues to devalue. My opt in number is 57,000

KateR_H0l1day

It’s a great time to buy in, just IMO of course, I bought more this morning.

Romanizer

Yes, that's basically what I tried to say. There is no event in the near future that could lead to Strategy going bankrupt over night. After the cash reserve runs empty in Spring of 2027 and they somehow can't raise more capital (hasn't been a problem for now), they would need to start to sell Bitcoin. To go bankrupt in the near future, Bitcoin needs to crash to and stay in the four figures for at least two years from now. Increasing by 4% when monetary inflation grows by 7%+ is not that unrealistic, IMO. This means it has to fail and all governments, corporations and asset managers and financial experts need to be completely wrong about it. Bitcoin itself is conceptionally unassailable, so there really is no argument against it growing further. But of course nobody has a crystal ball, so who knows.

Prior_Parsley3960

No idea. Was a major loss IMO. \*it was back for a minute and then gone again

Unique-Sorbet-9963

IMO Chainlink will definitely bounce back. It is the primary interoperability chain that all major institutions will utilize. I say this holding 5,000 of them with half of those bought recently in the $8 range. But all other alt coins are basically meme coins at this point. Oh and ZCash. I believe this will be the future of privacy. I hold that as well.

makeshiftballer

Lump sum up front is perfectly fine, this is a long term play. Price short term literally does not matter. You are missing a significant opportunity not DCAing right now, and when we inevitably (IMO) get back to ATH you'll regret not adding to your stack now. 

Puppyofparkave

The only coin that actually does something IMO is HYPE and even that’s been trading sideways so long I sold at a loss

ArturoScozzafava

This kind of narrative will probably move the bottom ahead by a few months. IMO July will be the lowest we see this year

Intelligent-Eye-90

Honestly, everyone buying AND shorting rn is a gambler IMO.

bdemon40

IMO, the better time to withdraw is in the next bull market AND IF you want something more valuable worth giving up the Bitcoin for. Why convert back to dollars at the ATH and let inflation start killing your purchasing power again?

undeadkarlmarx

If you have no credit card debt and a steady, secure job that pays more than enough to cover your monthly expenses, then IMO it’s not a crazy idea to reduce your emergency funds at times like this when btc is cheap. Note: reduce, not eliminate. So if you normally keep 6+ months expenses in cash, maybe you can get by with 3-4 months in a bear market. You’ve just gotta be able to hold.

mdeeebeee-101

It needs a deeper discount to set the tinder for a rel sustained breakout. These are all bear traps IMO. 50 or sub-50k will hopefully be the lowest baseline but macro factors at 50k pullback could move it lower.

HughHonee

That sounds way more of a fatal flaw to the most people in our current culture. While I do understand and agree with things being user friendly, I dont think bitcoin needs to be more user friendly, most especially if it compromises positive features in doing so- When the much better solution IMO is people learn some comprehension and basic computer skills. Which they struggle with those things than yes I absolutely recommend they not maintain total control and responsibility of storing their money- i stand by that even outside of advocating bitcoin.

BizDev1

Nope. The seed phrase goes into a sealed wax stamped envelope that is only opened by the beneficiary. No one can be trusted with the seed phrase IMO.

seansy5000

Bottom is not in. Expect somewhere in the 30’s IMO.

BizDev1

The minute you hit send on that email, you had already lost ALL control over that wallet. IMO, your friends are not the culprits.

BizDev1

Guess you need to stop kicking yourself. Lesson learnt they say but it’s too expensive a lesson IMO.

BizDev1

IMO, the email does not have to be compromised. Once a seed phrase hits the internet via email or other digital medium, there could be tens to a few hundred servers holding a copy of that information. Anyone such as a system’s or network administrator could get hold of it. Hope this helps.

cestbondaeggi

Marketcap is utterly meaningless and is only useful for pointing out unit bias. If peopel are willing to pay 10 million for a bitcoin, then the marketcap will be 21millionX 10million. It's irrelevent to what buyers are willing to pay. The second paragraph is spot on. IMO the ETF was the last big milestone. Everyone has heard of bitcoin. The space was basically DOA in 2018 but DEFI summer happened, people got rich, and interest got renewed and scammers came back. The same could happen again but as of right now I'd say it's over.

No_Knee3385

For DCAing yes. You'll never time the bottom so now is a great of time as any to begin buying. IMO a 4-6 month DCA

schizophrenicbugs

Since CZ was forced to leave Binance the company has kinda gone to the shitter, but it's still the most reliable exchange available IMO.

Backieotamy

ETH, XRP, SOL, HBAR. IMO LINK, AVAX, SUI are decent as well but I am only diversifying so much.

Thecrookedpictures

I mean it is and it isnt. The manipulation doesn't come form retail a lot of the time IMO. It's often way more nefarious. But yes the retail is ultimately the liquidity lol

Optionbulls

The bottom was 58,800 IMO

generateduser29128

They're building out new infrastructure for AI. Honestly, that just reads like a big investor scam to ride the current hype. They have no moat and the whole thing IMO doesn't make sense.

PeteyPab305

IDK, I'm holding out to see a dead cat which I think is happening rn, then a move to high 50's than up, it takes months to get out of a bear market, and if the fed hikes rates, I wouldn't expect a parabolic recovery for a while, SPCX is a liquidity black hole, people chasing quick money, on literal shake-down, won't realize the stock market is broken, until they lose and all these large companies use retail money to build out USDC positions, that's what the government wants, they want our reallocate bond market domestically, when the clarity act passes is when BTC will regain value. I'm just DCA'ing like I would any asset, im closing in a small position about 0.1BTC at ruffly 70k avg cost, and most of the network is underwater, usually signals a bottom, so we are close, but idk if it won't just chop sideways til macro conditions are better. JUST IMO.

doghairpile

My take being a bitcoin bear: the big hedge fund /smart money has left the building. It’s been flat so who’s holding the bag? Retail. There’s no catalyst to pump it. AI is the hot shiny toy. I’ve been hearing for years oh mass adoption blah blah. Uhh…when? The flatness lately is telling IMO. My grumble with the crypto world is a lot of the gurus and shit got lucky and never learned when to take profit/be happy with gains (even small) or taking the bigger picture into account. Not to mention nobody full ports into a single asset. Celebrities aren’t launching their pump and dump coins anymore. There’s a much larger world to investing and it’s not easy but crypto shouldn’t be the only hill to die on.

CaptainK718

Portfolio diversification is the answer. But having a 0% BTC allocation IMO seems silly.

SpoopyNoNo

IMO not a big deal for everyone else; for BTC it could potentially be. I mean you’ll have to join the fork that’s quantum resistant, leaving behind Satoshi’s and many more dead/inactive people’s wallet.

coredweller1785

I like the way this is laid out and is clear. My question tho is where are the prices from. That would def clear some confusion up for me. IMO the today prices are too low so ppl will look at it a bit skeptically even tho the point is still poignant.

FitCompetition1804

It’s called hedging against BTC not reaching certain expected price targets. Makes plenty of sense if you have plenty of dry powder to significantly reduce your dollar cost average if your large limit orders execute. Especially if you don’t have a previous BTC position like myself. If you bought 10 years ago and most of your stack is from then, sure I’d have a different approach. If you’re lucky enough to time the actual bottom, of course that’s preferred. How many people in 2022 were left in the dust because they swore BTC was going to $10k? Anything below $75-80k this year is on sale IMO if you expect to hold for the long haul. I’ll triple to quadruple my position if BTC reached the low $40k range vs not dipping below much further from our lows this year. Both scenarios are possible. At least I’ll have a position either way and that’s the strategy behind doing both.

ahhhaccountname

This is why IMO a banking system to manage your wallets is important. Only issue is that crypto enjoyers hate banks

Emotional_Perv

Fuck bitcoin, it’s too late. That tulip is gonna drop dead and leave people holding empty bags. ETH SOL are better long term bets IMO. Do your own research, look for crypto that has uses: smart contracts, d’apps, look into crypto that supports DeFi. Don’t gamble on shit or meme coins. Don’t follow my advice or anyone else’s.

classified_x

IMO it may not be the end but sell at any price until it drops more could be wise

Hot_Sacks

Great take. IMO, outside of the forced sellers, the group that's creating the biggest consistent sell pressure is OG VC capital with huge gains already just rotating some of their holdings into AI and other sectors to de-risk, diversify, and potentially catch the next trend. However, they likely still have a ton of BTC exposure. If you listen to some of the later-stage OG's, who got in around 2015/2016, VC's in Silicon Valley were already balls deep into Bitcoin around 2012-2014 and bought in the single digits.

the_rhino22

IMO this has been apparent since the block size wars. Everyday money has to move fast and nearly free at extreme transaction volumes. It was decided then that those features were second rate to decentralization, and that’s okay. You don’t need to be able to buy your coffee with bitcoin for it to have a legitimate place in a long-term portfolio if you’re able to shift your perspective to fiat hedge rather than fiat replacement.

GIGAbtcHodl

IMO some % lump sum and then DCA

Self_Blumpkin

Terafab sounds so logical. They’re already launching satellites for starlink. Sending compute to space is an incredible idea IMO

R4ID

>I often see people talking about $1,000+ XRP Im a large supporter of XRP, you need to block those people. >If XRP settles transactions in a matter of seconds, doesn’t that mean the same XRP can be reused many times throughout the day? If that’s the case, why would the price need to be extremely high to support large transaction volumes? Theres lots of things you need to consider. The first being, The more liquidity and overall "volume" XRP has, the higher its price will be, The higher the price, the less volatility because you are now using Less overall XRP to move the same value. (and extreme example) If XRP is 1 Dollar and I want to move 1 million USD into say Thai bhat, I need 1 million XRP to do that. If XRP is 100$, now I just need 10,000 XRP. essentially the higher value it has the less slippage and more efficient it becomes. >For example, if banks, payment providers, tokenized asset platforms, and other institutions start using XRP for liquidity and settlement, what exactly creates the need for a much higher valuation? Volume due to the amount of XRP in existence. The liquidity problem is usually as follows, The more people using it, the more volume and liquidity, this then leads to more people being able to use it because More people are pushing volume/liquidity through the system. aka Liquidity gets more liquidity, if ur a big bank you might not use it because it cant handle ur needs yet, but smaller banks can use it due to lower volume needs, they provide more liquidity and more volume on the network which then allows the next bank along the chain to do the same. The smaller banks do this because fees and costs are lower for them on the network than traditional systems. So now they can undercut the market and take market share away from the bigger guys. This repeats on a loop until the big banks are forced to either join the system or continue to lose market share. > Is it the amount of liquidity sitting on the books? Institutional reserves? Market makers? all 3 and more, XRP has Order books and AMM, it has the first ever built in DEX on chain (and first DEX in the world) it actually invented the concept before DEX was even a term (the same is true for stablecoins which also didnt exist/ had no name back in 2012) >I’m just trying to understand the mechanics behind the high price predictions. IMO a "high" price prediction is something above 15$. Anyone pushing something above that you should just openly mock, downvote, and block imo. They are pushing fantasy.

Traditional-Fan-9315

Honestly probably not. That was speculated for quite some time. I don't think they'll even charge anyone. It's a negotiating chip IMO.

Bogumil_Jakubik

Not the last low this year, IMO

Different-Result-859

I just read that you are not even sure if it is the original SD card... But no harm trying. This is easiest to check IMO Let me just confirm the facts: 1. Do you know which parts of the HTC phone is dead? The screen? Battery? 2. Do you recall if the Bitcoin Wallet app that comes with this wallet is there even if the phone is dead or uninstalled? If it is installed, recovery is much easier. If it is uninstalled, it is very much harder. 3. You have checked your emails. Some versions of the Schlidbach wallet send you the backup by email. If you have not checked the emails that was in use in 2012, that can be the missing piece you need to unlock the wallet.

SensitiveAd6131

IMO it’s going to 62K and then slowly climbing to 70k (Give or take) by 26/06/26

Deep_Reading_3975

Not a fan of bitcoin but I am a fan of a good process. Especially one that is actually followed for longer than say a week or two - or until it struggles for one hot second. - Well done!! If you’re gonna buy anything, even crap (IMO :-) at least buy it with some rigor and discipline (not being sarcastic) 👏 👏 ✌🏻

DankgisKhan

The problem is that there is not infinite money in the world. In order for crypto to keep hitting 2-3x previous highs, you need exponentially more money entering the market. The American institutional money in the market right now (currently exiting) is as big as it gets. There is no bigger fish. There is nobody left to push it much higher. And even a dramatic reduction in supply wouldn't be enough to sustain these historical patterns. IMO, I think the patterns will continue on a smaller scale. But I don't see BTC hitting 250k, then 500k the next cycle, etc. There's just not enough money in the world to sustain that.

BrightTomatillo1221

Thanks for sharing - sMiles. Just took a deep scan on this product. IMO, sMiles is way too much. My philosophy for my app/service is to encourage humans to run more and hodl BTC more. Two things only. I can't be a financial advisor or institution advising to HODL. But I can give out free SATS for something I believe in, like we give offerings at church. But there MUST be Proof of Work. So I came up with Proof of Human - each run must validate heart rate, GPS, cadence. You must run at least 1km at a 10min/km pace. That's easy for 90% of people. If you think my philosophy erred in honoring Bitcoin value, let me know. I'd love to know other perspectives.

50sat

For me USD is a permanently risk-on asset now. If you can't put whatever financial holdings you have into useful, physical stuff (I really can't afford to park a bunch of idle money and call it capital myself) then try to get a basis in something you think will have value regardless. For a bunch of reasons I'm piling into ETH. The thing I like to say is "eth is gas" and leave it at that. ETH powers a tremendous portion of the 'global market' right now and it's heaviest in the most forward-looking sectors. Like I said, I can't afford to park physical metals right now. Not sure it's a good time to be acquiring developed land for short term profit. I have some paper metals. The dollar can collapse without taking down the financial system entirely and if that happens I'd rather have paper gold than paper money. Meantime I'm looking towards building my post-dollar future in defi. As far as the kool-aid comment - people rushing to turn anything that represents a tangible asset into USD right now are, IMO, giving away their stuff. If you want something more tangible to understand what I'm talking about - learn about the plaza accords and how tanking the USD brought work ... a certain type of prosperity back to the US. The "Mar-A-Lago Accord" is kind of a joke I think but IMO the USD is a high risk asset as long as Trump has any influence. Fire up the printers and capture title to assets is how you clean up after a wringing out a fiat economy.

Kitchen_Net_GME

IMO he should have zoomed out more. On the weekly that line is there since 2019. And has touched it 3 times prior. And then again recently. Just adding additional info

LAndoftheLAke

IMO Yup once the fed and gov tries to print us out of this upcoming oil crisis it will shoot up. Printer goes burrrr, bitcoin go burrrr

Serenaded

Memes are perma dead IMO. The only people still buying memecoins are a very small community of scammers. There will be 1 or 2 memes, but you will never get a memeseason again like we did 2 years ago. I think some alts will come back. Not all, but say the top 20 will.

Investormaxxer

Don’t care much about the white paper as it’s already outdated IMO (not that decentralized anymore).

Kitchen_Net_GME

That consolidation period in 2024 when we essentially traded between 55-65 for 8 months is going to be very difficult barrier for those hoping we dip much beyond that. IMO

Practical-Method6449

Yeah, if we learnt something from these cycles is that people always tend to overestimate tops and lows Just watch sentiment. Look youtube and reddit, NOW is the time everyone starts talking about massive drops, btc failing, etc. IMO all that pesimism is already priced in. If what every doomsday 30k drop predicter says is true, they would just short and get massively rich. The most rational view is that we are at or just around the bottom

JohnnyStrides

I don't think the astrology charts tell us much of anything. Does it go back up to $70-80K? Does it drop to $50K Does it stay at $60K? Support levels work until they don't. Nobody except maybe some very influential whales have any clue and to pretend otherwise is foolish IMO.

Aitech_diana_girl

SOL seems finished IMO. But BTC will come back as always.

harvested

IMO there is no reason to own/buy STRC right now, you are capped at about 11-15% upside with 100% downside risk. vs. Spot bitcoin uncapped upside bottom range + less downside risk.

r3v3rb_1

BTC is digital gold and IMO you should own some of both. All other crypto projects are nothing more than small teams trying to monetize their centralized network. Gold is an established store of value and should be respected as such. BTC is still in its infancy so volatility is to be accepted. Sure, initial intent is to be a medium of exchange but its behavior has mimicked gold more so than currency. And sometimes we just need to remember that a lot of these posts come from over invested, under diversified, highly emotional and impatient positions because in reality, this 5 years window from the OP is quite meaningless.

ripple_mcgee

If you believe the war in Iran will get worse, then wait. War > oil causes more inflation > rate increase likely > risk-off. If you believe it is going to get better and soon, then 60K per btc is 50% from ATH, buy. Peace > return to stability > macro conditions favorable for rate cuts > risk-on. IMO, trump and his team are walking disasters and things are going to get worse before they get better. Despite this, I'm going to take a bite at 60K.

HauntingAardvark521

We shall see. IMO, we will for sure see sub 50k when the stock market eventually corrects and we see a sustained bear… but we’d need a black swan to see sub 40k. Maybe mstr get liquidated, coinbase gets hacked, who knows.

Suitable_Acadia_190

On some exchanges yes, but on all the ones I've used over the last 10 years the average has been around 5,5% per annum. Which is incredibly cheap as to borrow $1000 and buy whatever with it for 1 year and at the end of the year only owe an extra $55 is a steal IMO.

Rare-Quantity5503

Never believe new twitter accounts like this. One made in 2022 and one in 2025. If you base sentiment on people larping, you’ll crash and burn pretty quickly. Also their points are personal. Nothing really to do with the market IMO. Luna and FTX were worse IMO - the sentiment was that the system had failed. Before that it was that we hadn’t made it, or that we didn’t reach the goal. But the FTX Luna situation was on of, we made it, we went really mainstream and then we fucked it up.

InvoluntaryActions

well it actually has use and people use it to buy stuff with it in huge amounts. but it's directly tied to BTC so don't expect it to not behave similarly. to get xmr isn't easy and first you have to buy BTC to convert to xmr for 95% or more of it's users IMO

-M00NMAN

I don’t see it becoming worthless because of halving fomo, also retail is retarted so big players can easily scare them and bring prices low so they can repeat the process. Plus halving is encoded into BTC so it’s not like the miners or whomever can change the code. Is there a chance that cyrpto becomes worthless? With everything there is, but in this case it’s so low IMO. It’s worth the risk no doubt. This is my 4th cycle.

Serenaded

Kraken IMO. No point risking self-custody in this wild west for 0.2% more.

MasterDefibrillator

Have you looked at the stock market recently? BTC just dipped first, then the rest followed. Its largely in response to the kick off again of hostilities with Iran, IMO. 

Ricola63

I personally think ETH is done. I am out of step with many -I know that but I will share my opinion here. I think ETH grew on the back of the fact it had little serious competition. But it is, undeniably, Structurally and Technically full of flaws and those flaws are being increasingly exposed... I mean.. What Network is ETH anyway? Optimism? Polygon? or... take your pick. Each with their own rules, standards and biases. My background is in technology and when I look at ETH it is blatantly technically riddled with issues that make it practically unusable by the vast majority of businesses for serious use cases. And these L2\`s are there as band aids to cover those problems up, BUT THEY DO NOT FIX THEM and that is becoming increasingly problematic. . Yes, yes. I know. ETH has significant Enterprise use, but IMO that is due to community size, brand recognition and frankly many years of relatively poor options. All that has changed and when regulation arrives that is going to become increasingly obvious. It actually sickens me to see the Blackrocks and Fidelities of this world jumping on the band wagon and pumping ETH ETF\`s to the market when such deep flaws are totally apparent to anyone who spends a little time researching. IMO, five years from now neither Blackrock nor Fidelity will be using ETH.... Perhaps I should not be surprised.

Optionbulls

It could go to something like 48,000 IMO but it hasn’t dropped below my 58,802 trend line. I’ve been following BTC since November of 2009 and regret not HOLDING or DCA.

CompetitiveYou6288

It's the end of Ethereum IMO. Remember when everyone was calling for the flippening a few years back? It finally happened, except that it was Eth that got flipped by another coin. "The silver to bitcoins gold" and "the number one alt coin" just don't have the same ring to it anymore. All that's left is to watch it slowly fade away down the rankings like so many other alts have done before...

SteveW928

The fundamentals haven't changed. Miners moving to AI is a good thing, as it is likely to help regain more reasonable decentralization. The biggest risk right now, IMO, is the ideological capture of Bitcoin Core (node software). Aside from that, as I said, the fundamentals haven't changed. If Bitcoin was undervalued at $120k, it's crazy-undervalued at $60k.

Nice_Assumption_6396

It shouldnt be about putting multiple eggs in one basket or high conviction because you can easy get "high conviction" by watching a few bull posters without knowing anything about the token. Personally over the past few years everytime a new coin emerges I always do extensive research on it and looking into tokenomics and understanding how it works and I almost never end up investing because most coins aren't as good as people make it seem. If you just want to stay diversified into this asset class without doing a whole lot of research or portfolio management just stick to bitcoin. IMO I would definitely dump ADA (dead defi for years), doge (only pumps when gains hype), and Onyx. Chainlink DOES have real use cases and dominates bringing real world data on chain but still has little price driving tokenomics and theres still a chance a similar project like Pyth takes its spot so honestly put that in bitcoin too.

SensitiveAd6131

The internet was absolutely useless in 99% of the projects wtf are you talking about? They went to absolute 0. Blockchain? 1. Voting will be in blockchain not only in national levels but on your typical neighborhood community. 2. Making a company is MUCH easier 3. Makes no sense to wait days for a trade or to buy an asset. All finance assets must be digitalized. 4. Wills, where do you store the information you need to send to your relatives when you die? Do you trust a human? Why do you have to pay x to trust on y random person? 5. AI agents, what’s a brain without a body? are si agents going to create bank accounts? I don’t think so, how are they going to validate that the information is trust worthy? Blockchain (eg: LINK, IOTX, PEAQ…) 6. Fake news, copyright, how will you trust any information? how can you protect your intellectual property? Blockchain. 7. IOT in pharmaceutical temperature control, food industry… 8. Property over digital assets, what the point in buying stuff you don’t own so you can’t sell? 9. Have you every bought a property? Do you know how ineficiente, cost and time consuming it is? 10. You have to give your data to every company that needs it for everything. In a couple of years? Smart contracts that verify that you are 18+, that you meet the requirements for the mortgage you are looking for or to prove if you’ve payed your taxes. all this information should be proved with identity privacy guaranteed by smart contracts secured by blockchain. The internet was never meant to be secure. There are millions of possibilities, the fact that you can’t grasp them are only a reflection of you and they point up how your only motivation in this space after so much time has, is and will be only money. So much time watching charts and numbers and you’ve hadn’t had any time to actually study in what the fuck you are “investing” Sorry to put it this bluntly but it is what it is. You would for sure be one of the same guys that watching how 90% of .com companies stocks went to 0 would have said that internet was a scam and amazon was shit. IMO the space hast even purged itself enough. Now, what will you do? are you the guy that after the crash invests in amazon, google, or Cisco, or are you the guy that will get scared away? Either way it doesn’t matter to me. I learn every day, will still learn every day and will invest with conviction in the projects in which I truly believe, even if they stay in red for years IDGAF. In 05-15 years from here people will still say it was luck

tqlla3k

That’s great, but is the world using less electricity now? No. Now all that power and compute is on ai, and ai is where the money is now. Eth owned it, and they gave it away. IMO without little guys involved in eth, there is no hype and that’s why the prices are where they are. Ridiculous lows compared to bitcoin.

Ok-Sympathy9768

I know it’s an awful feeling and it sucks..But at this point, you may have no choice but to hodl.. this not financial advice; IMO, the chances bitcoin gets back above 120k is far greater than it going to zero( it may take a few years though, but probably sooner)…. Bitcoin feels like a bimodal trade .. in the next decade bitcoin is either going to zero or to a million, and you bought it at 124k. Pot odds favor hodling…. Also, the amount of money is a matter of perspective.. I sold off almost my entire stack in tranches from 90k -70k ( with a little exposure left in ETFs) and lost well over a million in profits, for me that amount was significant, for others it’s not, for some people 1k is significant.. I did what I had to do because I couldn’t go through another down cycle and at this point it was still significant profits to take off the table from my perspective. If you did not get your BTC exposure in a tax advantaged account, if you sold it and tax harvested the losses and rebought in again, this possibly can help save you money and be a good strategy… but not sure and definitely not financial advice.

VOdysseusV

Not totally sold on Bitcoin going down much more. I understand the four year cycle but now we have institutional investors. With the clarity act around the corner, institutional buyers, ETFs, banks and brokerages steadily offering services, inflationary environment and interest rates coming down by a forced fed. I could easily see BTC hovering for a while then rapidly shooting up. This pro crypto environment is not on shaky ground anymore. Everyone claiming BTC going to 40-50K could be wrong. IMO. This seems simply like a puppeteer moving markets to get discounts before the clarity act passes. (Supposedly July 4th). The government/business world seems very crypto forward. To me, all of this is just a buying opportunity. But time will tell.

Cedar_Wood_State

IMO people are selling to chase the next 10bagger when they see how quickly these AI related stocks go

Available_Win5204

Bitcoin isn't "boring," it's completely devoid of any development or uses. It's boring because it's gridlocked. This isn't by design, it's because the community is completely cucked by price speculation. Currently all crypto is good for is speculation and dumping on poor people. Bitcoin is just as good at this as any other. You are dumb as dirt if you think the current valuations has anything to do with its "utility." Literally every cringey bagcoin narrative has been destroyed over the last 5 years. Internet money? Nope. Store of value? Nope. Inflation hedge? Nope. Digital gold? Nope. I get it, you need something to convince people of, but if you're dumb enough to think there is actually some underlying play here beyond gambling, you're an idiot. The most unfortunate part of it is that it is a gigantic waste of energy. If you hold bitcoin you've got blood on your hands IMO.

Optionbulls

Ai itself isn’t a bubble but the financing behind it is. Limits are going down while rates go up after these models learn what they need from the human input. Use them while you can before priced out lol BTC is in a weird position because of oil and space c and these ai stocks IMO.

Traditional-Fan-9315

Clarity Act has been promised for months. Won't be signed into law till next year most likely IMO

Investormaxxer

Not a great idea (IMO)

Lavayo

Largely agree with you, except people still own risky assets. How anyone can buy micron with a RSI of 99 instead of BTC near the 200 WMA goes beyond me. IMO one of the two has far more risk and it's not what the market is doing right now. SpaceX IPO is similar.

3sides2everyStory

"Comes out?" I think it's blatantly obvious. And the fact that Blanche and the DOJ outright refuse to formally investigate is flagrant corruption in plain sight? One big "Kiss my a$$" to the Constitution. If crypto we're a brand, the Trump Family association has been a disaster. As for the public turning against crypto... That ship has sailed. Institutional investors have rotated into AI, degens have moved over to Polymarket. And the general public believes it's a scam and wants nothing to do with it. The sad truth, most of it is. Lots of bad actors and manipulation. If you are a long-term investor/believer, hodl on and keep some powder dry. We are in the bear cycle, but the bottom is still in front of us somewhere IMO. DCA and enjoy your life.... YMMV

Eksander

Your heart is in the right place, but it is actually completely irrelevant whether the max supply is 21M or 20M (excluding Satoshi ~1M). If he sold right now, it would be a gift for bitcoiners. Those who understand that what matters is the protocol, not the USD price or the "immaculate conception" would get a second opportunity while others panic. If he does not sell, then there are 1M less coins, which is fine, although it remains as a source of lingering FUD. Comparing btc early mining with orchestrated pre-mints is not accurate IMO

Tim-Rocket

>Last cycle we bottomed at around -33% from 200 WMA, I expect this cycle to, at least, revisit the 200 WMA. (Currently sitting at \~$58K) But, we've got to keep in mind, this time is actually different because of institutional players. But I do not know how this will play out. IMO there's 2 scenarios, on one hand we might not dump as much, because they (institutionals) are in it for a long term. On the other, we'd get a dump as we've never seen before, forget the Germany flash sale, forget FTX. If this happens we'll see what Buffet means with "blood on the streets". 200 WMA revisited. Alea jacta est. This summer seems to be readying up to be quite interesting. [Original comment.](https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1qjypcb/comment/o155aq1/) (Jan 22)

express_sushi49

If you zoom out far enough, every system of currency is a scheme. The dollar’s power is from the belief that it has value, simple as that. Do you think all of the old people allocating BTC to 5% of their portfolios/retirement funds know diddly squat about blockchain technology or give a flying fk about decentralization? The answer is a big fat no. It might still matter to some, but the majority of money going in is doing so to set & forget. In time, BTC will behave exactly like a slightly more volatile SP500 ETF if it doesn’t already. Tokenization and stocks IMO will have a convergence point where it all just blends to being the same crap. And we’re already seeing tokenized stocks, so we’re kind of already there.

captain_baratheon

If buying pressure stays the same , yes . Correct me if I’m wrong, but bitcoin doesn’t get more scarce since the supply is fixed at 21 million. In fact, as more gets unlocked through mining it becomes more available . Fundamentally I think things are still sound, except for that thing Bessent said about stealing folks wallets and freezing the crypto exchange Iran was using . IMO the hands dumping bitcoin right now are foreign governments that were scared by this .

Otherwise_Wave9374

Curious how much of that 100M is real "agentic" behavior vs automated scripts with a new label. If its genuinely agents executing payments as part of workflows, the big missing piece IMO is user-controlled permissions (limits, allowlists, revocation) so you dont end up with a self-driving wallet. We have been following the agent payments space a bit, a few notes here if youre interested: https://www.agentixlabs.com/

Accomplished-Stick67

IMO STAY AWAY FROM ALL ALL CRYPTO!! Not buying any crypto until Late August early September. The cycle of Bear digital assets hasnt even begun yet. Most investor dont realize ALL investing equity goes into a liquidation duration when Wars or major geopolitical conflicts extend the 4 month period. Happened with Iraq, and Ukraine conflict. However, this has more international exposure which will drag ALL investing sectors down. Picked a bunch of bonds last 3 months, they look prime to run. GL

SmokingAces207

Not true, you got euro. Much better currency IMO and you got yen etc

cvsisi

No one knows - but that’s what retail is waiting for IMO

Vetrol_

All the interresting levels below the current price I'm anticipating a Weekly bull div later this year, simulair to the 2022-2023 bottom. $50K-$48K has the highest probability IMO, $38k-$40K zone second. https://preview.redd.it/tm9du67ue15h1.jpeg?width=1600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0a5961153f3b58172d45dbe76104a1f6fd2782f3

Gold-Improvement5887

Meme coins kinda ruined everything and since there are so many new projects, the inflow money gets very diluted. IMO everything's dead besides BTC and ETH

jarvismode

If all you care is the gain go elsewhere. Not a single world about the most powerful feature… can you self custody the sp500? In the long run people will understand the real risk profile of bitcoin and IMO the volatility will fade away (and people will cry for the volatility to come back exactly as you’re doing now)

ChillerID

I agree. IMO, $QRL is by far the most legit quantum-safe project.

Good_Roll

Crypto is good if you don't trust the government or wish to transact in good and/or services that the government has prohibited. That's pretty much it IMO.