IMO

Hot_Sacks

Great take. IMO, outside of the forced sellers, the group that's creating the biggest consistent sell pressure is OG VC capital with huge gains already just rotating some of their holdings into AI and other sectors to de-risk, diversify, and potentially catch the next trend. However, they likely still have a ton of BTC exposure. If you listen to some of the later-stage OG's, who got in around 2015/2016, VC's in Silicon Valley were already balls deep into Bitcoin around 2012-2014 and bought in the single digits.

the_rhino22

IMO this has been apparent since the block size wars. Everyday money has to move fast and nearly free at extreme transaction volumes. It was decided then that those features were second rate to decentralization, and that’s okay. You don’t need to be able to buy your coffee with bitcoin for it to have a legitimate place in a long-term portfolio if you’re able to shift your perspective to fiat hedge rather than fiat replacement.

GIGAbtcHodl

IMO some % lump sum and then DCA

Self_Blumpkin

Terafab sounds so logical. They’re already launching satellites for starlink. Sending compute to space is an incredible idea IMO

R4ID

>I often see people talking about $1,000+ XRP Im a large supporter of XRP, you need to block those people. >If XRP settles transactions in a matter of seconds, doesn’t that mean the same XRP can be reused many times throughout the day? If that’s the case, why would the price need to be extremely high to support large transaction volumes? Theres lots of things you need to consider. The first being, The more liquidity and overall "volume" XRP has, the higher its price will be, The higher the price, the less volatility because you are now using Less overall XRP to move the same value. (and extreme example) If XRP is 1 Dollar and I want to move 1 million USD into say Thai bhat, I need 1 million XRP to do that. If XRP is 100$, now I just need 10,000 XRP. essentially the higher value it has the less slippage and more efficient it becomes. >For example, if banks, payment providers, tokenized asset platforms, and other institutions start using XRP for liquidity and settlement, what exactly creates the need for a much higher valuation? Volume due to the amount of XRP in existence. The liquidity problem is usually as follows, The more people using it, the more volume and liquidity, this then leads to more people being able to use it because More people are pushing volume/liquidity through the system. aka Liquidity gets more liquidity, if ur a big bank you might not use it because it cant handle ur needs yet, but smaller banks can use it due to lower volume needs, they provide more liquidity and more volume on the network which then allows the next bank along the chain to do the same. The smaller banks do this because fees and costs are lower for them on the network than traditional systems. So now they can undercut the market and take market share away from the bigger guys. This repeats on a loop until the big banks are forced to either join the system or continue to lose market share. > Is it the amount of liquidity sitting on the books? Institutional reserves? Market makers? all 3 and more, XRP has Order books and AMM, it has the first ever built in DEX on chain (and first DEX in the world) it actually invented the concept before DEX was even a term (the same is true for stablecoins which also didnt exist/ had no name back in 2012) >I’m just trying to understand the mechanics behind the high price predictions. IMO a "high" price prediction is something above 15$. Anyone pushing something above that you should just openly mock, downvote, and block imo. They are pushing fantasy.

Traditional-Fan-9315

Honestly probably not. That was speculated for quite some time. I don't think they'll even charge anyone. It's a negotiating chip IMO.

Bogumil_Jakubik

Not the last low this year, IMO

Different-Result-859

I just read that you are not even sure if it is the original SD card... But no harm trying. This is easiest to check IMO Let me just confirm the facts: 1. Do you know which parts of the HTC phone is dead? The screen? Battery? 2. Do you recall if the Bitcoin Wallet app that comes with this wallet is there even if the phone is dead or uninstalled? If it is installed, recovery is much easier. If it is uninstalled, it is very much harder. 3. You have checked your emails. Some versions of the Schlidbach wallet send you the backup by email. If you have not checked the emails that was in use in 2012, that can be the missing piece you need to unlock the wallet.

SensitiveAd6131

IMO it’s going to 62K and then slowly climbing to 70k (Give or take) by 26/06/26

Deep_Reading_3975

Not a fan of bitcoin but I am a fan of a good process. Especially one that is actually followed for longer than say a week or two - or until it struggles for one hot second. - Well done!! If you’re gonna buy anything, even crap (IMO :-) at least buy it with some rigor and discipline (not being sarcastic) 👏 👏 ✌🏻

DankgisKhan

The problem is that there is not infinite money in the world. In order for crypto to keep hitting 2-3x previous highs, you need exponentially more money entering the market. The American institutional money in the market right now (currently exiting) is as big as it gets. There is no bigger fish. There is nobody left to push it much higher. And even a dramatic reduction in supply wouldn't be enough to sustain these historical patterns. IMO, I think the patterns will continue on a smaller scale. But I don't see BTC hitting 250k, then 500k the next cycle, etc. There's just not enough money in the world to sustain that.

BrightTomatillo1221

Thanks for sharing - sMiles. Just took a deep scan on this product. IMO, sMiles is way too much. My philosophy for my app/service is to encourage humans to run more and hodl BTC more. Two things only. I can't be a financial advisor or institution advising to HODL. But I can give out free SATS for something I believe in, like we give offerings at church. But there MUST be Proof of Work. So I came up with Proof of Human - each run must validate heart rate, GPS, cadence. You must run at least 1km at a 10min/km pace. That's easy for 90% of people. If you think my philosophy erred in honoring Bitcoin value, let me know. I'd love to know other perspectives.

50sat

For me USD is a permanently risk-on asset now. If you can't put whatever financial holdings you have into useful, physical stuff (I really can't afford to park a bunch of idle money and call it capital myself) then try to get a basis in something you think will have value regardless. For a bunch of reasons I'm piling into ETH. The thing I like to say is "eth is gas" and leave it at that. ETH powers a tremendous portion of the 'global market' right now and it's heaviest in the most forward-looking sectors. Like I said, I can't afford to park physical metals right now. Not sure it's a good time to be acquiring developed land for short term profit. I have some paper metals. The dollar can collapse without taking down the financial system entirely and if that happens I'd rather have paper gold than paper money. Meantime I'm looking towards building my post-dollar future in defi. As far as the kool-aid comment - people rushing to turn anything that represents a tangible asset into USD right now are, IMO, giving away their stuff. If you want something more tangible to understand what I'm talking about - learn about the plaza accords and how tanking the USD brought work ... a certain type of prosperity back to the US. The "Mar-A-Lago Accord" is kind of a joke I think but IMO the USD is a high risk asset as long as Trump has any influence. Fire up the printers and capture title to assets is how you clean up after a wringing out a fiat economy.

Kitchen_Net_GME

IMO he should have zoomed out more. On the weekly that line is there since 2019. And has touched it 3 times prior. And then again recently. Just adding additional info

LAndoftheLAke

IMO Yup once the fed and gov tries to print us out of this upcoming oil crisis it will shoot up. Printer goes burrrr, bitcoin go burrrr

Serenaded

Memes are perma dead IMO. The only people still buying memecoins are a very small community of scammers. There will be 1 or 2 memes, but you will never get a memeseason again like we did 2 years ago. I think some alts will come back. Not all, but say the top 20 will.

Investormaxxer

Don’t care much about the white paper as it’s already outdated IMO (not that decentralized anymore).

Kitchen_Net_GME

That consolidation period in 2024 when we essentially traded between 55-65 for 8 months is going to be very difficult barrier for those hoping we dip much beyond that. IMO

Practical-Method6449

Yeah, if we learnt something from these cycles is that people always tend to overestimate tops and lows Just watch sentiment. Look youtube and reddit, NOW is the time everyone starts talking about massive drops, btc failing, etc. IMO all that pesimism is already priced in. If what every doomsday 30k drop predicter says is true, they would just short and get massively rich. The most rational view is that we are at or just around the bottom

JohnnyStrides

I don't think the astrology charts tell us much of anything. Does it go back up to $70-80K? Does it drop to $50K Does it stay at $60K? Support levels work until they don't. Nobody except maybe some very influential whales have any clue and to pretend otherwise is foolish IMO.

Aitech_diana_girl

SOL seems finished IMO. But BTC will come back as always.

harvested

IMO there is no reason to own/buy STRC right now, you are capped at about 11-15% upside with 100% downside risk. vs. Spot bitcoin uncapped upside bottom range + less downside risk.

r3v3rb_1

BTC is digital gold and IMO you should own some of both. All other crypto projects are nothing more than small teams trying to monetize their centralized network. Gold is an established store of value and should be respected as such. BTC is still in its infancy so volatility is to be accepted. Sure, initial intent is to be a medium of exchange but its behavior has mimicked gold more so than currency. And sometimes we just need to remember that a lot of these posts come from over invested, under diversified, highly emotional and impatient positions because in reality, this 5 years window from the OP is quite meaningless.

ripple_mcgee

If you believe the war in Iran will get worse, then wait. War > oil causes more inflation > rate increase likely > risk-off. If you believe it is going to get better and soon, then 60K per btc is 50% from ATH, buy. Peace > return to stability > macro conditions favorable for rate cuts > risk-on. IMO, trump and his team are walking disasters and things are going to get worse before they get better. Despite this, I'm going to take a bite at 60K.

HauntingAardvark521

We shall see. IMO, we will for sure see sub 50k when the stock market eventually corrects and we see a sustained bear… but we’d need a black swan to see sub 40k. Maybe mstr get liquidated, coinbase gets hacked, who knows.

Suitable_Acadia_190

On some exchanges yes, but on all the ones I've used over the last 10 years the average has been around 5,5% per annum. Which is incredibly cheap as to borrow $1000 and buy whatever with it for 1 year and at the end of the year only owe an extra $55 is a steal IMO.

Rare-Quantity5503

Never believe new twitter accounts like this. One made in 2022 and one in 2025. If you base sentiment on people larping, you’ll crash and burn pretty quickly. Also their points are personal. Nothing really to do with the market IMO. Luna and FTX were worse IMO - the sentiment was that the system had failed. Before that it was that we hadn’t made it, or that we didn’t reach the goal. But the FTX Luna situation was on of, we made it, we went really mainstream and then we fucked it up.

InvoluntaryActions

well it actually has use and people use it to buy stuff with it in huge amounts. but it's directly tied to BTC so don't expect it to not behave similarly. to get xmr isn't easy and first you have to buy BTC to convert to xmr for 95% or more of it's users IMO

-M00NMAN

I don’t see it becoming worthless because of halving fomo, also retail is retarted so big players can easily scare them and bring prices low so they can repeat the process. Plus halving is encoded into BTC so it’s not like the miners or whomever can change the code. Is there a chance that cyrpto becomes worthless? With everything there is, but in this case it’s so low IMO. It’s worth the risk no doubt. This is my 4th cycle.

Serenaded

Kraken IMO. No point risking self-custody in this wild west for 0.2% more.

MasterDefibrillator

Have you looked at the stock market recently? BTC just dipped first, then the rest followed. Its largely in response to the kick off again of hostilities with Iran, IMO. 

Ricola63

I personally think ETH is done. I am out of step with many -I know that but I will share my opinion here. I think ETH grew on the back of the fact it had little serious competition. But it is, undeniably, Structurally and Technically full of flaws and those flaws are being increasingly exposed... I mean.. What Network is ETH anyway? Optimism? Polygon? or... take your pick. Each with their own rules, standards and biases. My background is in technology and when I look at ETH it is blatantly technically riddled with issues that make it practically unusable by the vast majority of businesses for serious use cases. And these L2\`s are there as band aids to cover those problems up, BUT THEY DO NOT FIX THEM and that is becoming increasingly problematic. . Yes, yes. I know. ETH has significant Enterprise use, but IMO that is due to community size, brand recognition and frankly many years of relatively poor options. All that has changed and when regulation arrives that is going to become increasingly obvious. It actually sickens me to see the Blackrocks and Fidelities of this world jumping on the band wagon and pumping ETH ETF\`s to the market when such deep flaws are totally apparent to anyone who spends a little time researching. IMO, five years from now neither Blackrock nor Fidelity will be using ETH.... Perhaps I should not be surprised.

Optionbulls

It could go to something like 48,000 IMO but it hasn’t dropped below my 58,802 trend line. I’ve been following BTC since November of 2009 and regret not HOLDING or DCA.

CompetitiveYou6288

It's the end of Ethereum IMO. Remember when everyone was calling for the flippening a few years back? It finally happened, except that it was Eth that got flipped by another coin. "The silver to bitcoins gold" and "the number one alt coin" just don't have the same ring to it anymore. All that's left is to watch it slowly fade away down the rankings like so many other alts have done before...

SteveW928

The fundamentals haven't changed. Miners moving to AI is a good thing, as it is likely to help regain more reasonable decentralization. The biggest risk right now, IMO, is the ideological capture of Bitcoin Core (node software). Aside from that, as I said, the fundamentals haven't changed. If Bitcoin was undervalued at $120k, it's crazy-undervalued at $60k.

Nice_Assumption_6396

It shouldnt be about putting multiple eggs in one basket or high conviction because you can easy get "high conviction" by watching a few bull posters without knowing anything about the token. Personally over the past few years everytime a new coin emerges I always do extensive research on it and looking into tokenomics and understanding how it works and I almost never end up investing because most coins aren't as good as people make it seem. If you just want to stay diversified into this asset class without doing a whole lot of research or portfolio management just stick to bitcoin. IMO I would definitely dump ADA (dead defi for years), doge (only pumps when gains hype), and Onyx. Chainlink DOES have real use cases and dominates bringing real world data on chain but still has little price driving tokenomics and theres still a chance a similar project like Pyth takes its spot so honestly put that in bitcoin too.

SensitiveAd6131

The internet was absolutely useless in 99% of the projects wtf are you talking about? They went to absolute 0. Blockchain? 1. Voting will be in blockchain not only in national levels but on your typical neighborhood community. 2. Making a company is MUCH easier 3. Makes no sense to wait days for a trade or to buy an asset. All finance assets must be digitalized. 4. Wills, where do you store the information you need to send to your relatives when you die? Do you trust a human? Why do you have to pay x to trust on y random person? 5. AI agents, what’s a brain without a body? are si agents going to create bank accounts? I don’t think so, how are they going to validate that the information is trust worthy? Blockchain (eg: LINK, IOTX, PEAQ…) 6. Fake news, copyright, how will you trust any information? how can you protect your intellectual property? Blockchain. 7. IOT in pharmaceutical temperature control, food industry… 8. Property over digital assets, what the point in buying stuff you don’t own so you can’t sell? 9. Have you every bought a property? Do you know how ineficiente, cost and time consuming it is? 10. You have to give your data to every company that needs it for everything. In a couple of years? Smart contracts that verify that you are 18+, that you meet the requirements for the mortgage you are looking for or to prove if you’ve payed your taxes. all this information should be proved with identity privacy guaranteed by smart contracts secured by blockchain. The internet was never meant to be secure. There are millions of possibilities, the fact that you can’t grasp them are only a reflection of you and they point up how your only motivation in this space after so much time has, is and will be only money. So much time watching charts and numbers and you’ve hadn’t had any time to actually study in what the fuck you are “investing” Sorry to put it this bluntly but it is what it is. You would for sure be one of the same guys that watching how 90% of .com companies stocks went to 0 would have said that internet was a scam and amazon was shit. IMO the space hast even purged itself enough. Now, what will you do? are you the guy that after the crash invests in amazon, google, or Cisco, or are you the guy that will get scared away? Either way it doesn’t matter to me. I learn every day, will still learn every day and will invest with conviction in the projects in which I truly believe, even if they stay in red for years IDGAF. In 05-15 years from here people will still say it was luck

tqlla3k

That’s great, but is the world using less electricity now? No. Now all that power and compute is on ai, and ai is where the money is now. Eth owned it, and they gave it away. IMO without little guys involved in eth, there is no hype and that’s why the prices are where they are. Ridiculous lows compared to bitcoin.

Ok-Sympathy9768

I know it’s an awful feeling and it sucks..But at this point, you may have no choice but to hodl.. this not financial advice; IMO, the chances bitcoin gets back above 120k is far greater than it going to zero( it may take a few years though, but probably sooner)…. Bitcoin feels like a bimodal trade .. in the next decade bitcoin is either going to zero or to a million, and you bought it at 124k. Pot odds favor hodling…. Also, the amount of money is a matter of perspective.. I sold off almost my entire stack in tranches from 90k -70k ( with a little exposure left in ETFs) and lost well over a million in profits, for me that amount was significant, for others it’s not, for some people 1k is significant.. I did what I had to do because I couldn’t go through another down cycle and at this point it was still significant profits to take off the table from my perspective. If you did not get your BTC exposure in a tax advantaged account, if you sold it and tax harvested the losses and rebought in again, this possibly can help save you money and be a good strategy… but not sure and definitely not financial advice.

VOdysseusV

Not totally sold on Bitcoin going down much more. I understand the four year cycle but now we have institutional investors. With the clarity act around the corner, institutional buyers, ETFs, banks and brokerages steadily offering services, inflationary environment and interest rates coming down by a forced fed. I could easily see BTC hovering for a while then rapidly shooting up. This pro crypto environment is not on shaky ground anymore. Everyone claiming BTC going to 40-50K could be wrong. IMO. This seems simply like a puppeteer moving markets to get discounts before the clarity act passes. (Supposedly July 4th). The government/business world seems very crypto forward. To me, all of this is just a buying opportunity. But time will tell.

Cedar_Wood_State

IMO people are selling to chase the next 10bagger when they see how quickly these AI related stocks go

Available_Win5204

Bitcoin isn't "boring," it's completely devoid of any development or uses. It's boring because it's gridlocked. This isn't by design, it's because the community is completely cucked by price speculation. Currently all crypto is good for is speculation and dumping on poor people. Bitcoin is just as good at this as any other. You are dumb as dirt if you think the current valuations has anything to do with its "utility." Literally every cringey bagcoin narrative has been destroyed over the last 5 years. Internet money? Nope. Store of value? Nope. Inflation hedge? Nope. Digital gold? Nope. I get it, you need something to convince people of, but if you're dumb enough to think there is actually some underlying play here beyond gambling, you're an idiot. The most unfortunate part of it is that it is a gigantic waste of energy. If you hold bitcoin you've got blood on your hands IMO.

Optionbulls

Ai itself isn’t a bubble but the financing behind it is. Limits are going down while rates go up after these models learn what they need from the human input. Use them while you can before priced out lol BTC is in a weird position because of oil and space c and these ai stocks IMO.

Traditional-Fan-9315

Clarity Act has been promised for months. Won't be signed into law till next year most likely IMO

Investormaxxer

Not a great idea (IMO)

Lavayo

Largely agree with you, except people still own risky assets. How anyone can buy micron with a RSI of 99 instead of BTC near the 200 WMA goes beyond me. IMO one of the two has far more risk and it's not what the market is doing right now. SpaceX IPO is similar.

3sides2everyStory

"Comes out?" I think it's blatantly obvious. And the fact that Blanche and the DOJ outright refuse to formally investigate is flagrant corruption in plain sight? One big "Kiss my a$$" to the Constitution. If crypto we're a brand, the Trump Family association has been a disaster. As for the public turning against crypto... That ship has sailed. Institutional investors have rotated into AI, degens have moved over to Polymarket. And the general public believes it's a scam and wants nothing to do with it. The sad truth, most of it is. Lots of bad actors and manipulation. If you are a long-term investor/believer, hodl on and keep some powder dry. We are in the bear cycle, but the bottom is still in front of us somewhere IMO. DCA and enjoy your life.... YMMV

Eksander

Your heart is in the right place, but it is actually completely irrelevant whether the max supply is 21M or 20M (excluding Satoshi ~1M). If he sold right now, it would be a gift for bitcoiners. Those who understand that what matters is the protocol, not the USD price or the "immaculate conception" would get a second opportunity while others panic. If he does not sell, then there are 1M less coins, which is fine, although it remains as a source of lingering FUD. Comparing btc early mining with orchestrated pre-mints is not accurate IMO

Tim-Rocket

>Last cycle we bottomed at around -33% from 200 WMA, I expect this cycle to, at least, revisit the 200 WMA. (Currently sitting at \~$58K) But, we've got to keep in mind, this time is actually different because of institutional players. But I do not know how this will play out. IMO there's 2 scenarios, on one hand we might not dump as much, because they (institutionals) are in it for a long term. On the other, we'd get a dump as we've never seen before, forget the Germany flash sale, forget FTX. If this happens we'll see what Buffet means with "blood on the streets". 200 WMA revisited. Alea jacta est. This summer seems to be readying up to be quite interesting. [Original comment.](https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1qjypcb/comment/o155aq1/) (Jan 22)

express_sushi49

If you zoom out far enough, every system of currency is a scheme. The dollar’s power is from the belief that it has value, simple as that. Do you think all of the old people allocating BTC to 5% of their portfolios/retirement funds know diddly squat about blockchain technology or give a flying fk about decentralization? The answer is a big fat no. It might still matter to some, but the majority of money going in is doing so to set & forget. In time, BTC will behave exactly like a slightly more volatile SP500 ETF if it doesn’t already. Tokenization and stocks IMO will have a convergence point where it all just blends to being the same crap. And we’re already seeing tokenized stocks, so we’re kind of already there.

captain_baratheon

If buying pressure stays the same , yes . Correct me if I’m wrong, but bitcoin doesn’t get more scarce since the supply is fixed at 21 million. In fact, as more gets unlocked through mining it becomes more available . Fundamentally I think things are still sound, except for that thing Bessent said about stealing folks wallets and freezing the crypto exchange Iran was using . IMO the hands dumping bitcoin right now are foreign governments that were scared by this .

Otherwise_Wave9374

Curious how much of that 100M is real "agentic" behavior vs automated scripts with a new label. If its genuinely agents executing payments as part of workflows, the big missing piece IMO is user-controlled permissions (limits, allowlists, revocation) so you dont end up with a self-driving wallet. We have been following the agent payments space a bit, a few notes here if youre interested: https://www.agentixlabs.com/

Accomplished-Stick67

IMO STAY AWAY FROM ALL ALL CRYPTO!! Not buying any crypto until Late August early September. The cycle of Bear digital assets hasnt even begun yet. Most investor dont realize ALL investing equity goes into a liquidation duration when Wars or major geopolitical conflicts extend the 4 month period. Happened with Iraq, and Ukraine conflict. However, this has more international exposure which will drag ALL investing sectors down. Picked a bunch of bonds last 3 months, they look prime to run. GL

SmokingAces207

Not true, you got euro. Much better currency IMO and you got yen etc

cvsisi

No one knows - but that’s what retail is waiting for IMO

Vetrol_

All the interresting levels below the current price I'm anticipating a Weekly bull div later this year, simulair to the 2022-2023 bottom. $50K-$48K has the highest probability IMO, $38k-$40K zone second. https://preview.redd.it/tm9du67ue15h1.jpeg?width=1600&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0a5961153f3b58172d45dbe76104a1f6fd2782f3

Gold-Improvement5887

Meme coins kinda ruined everything and since there are so many new projects, the inflow money gets very diluted. IMO everything's dead besides BTC and ETH

jarvismode

If all you care is the gain go elsewhere. Not a single world about the most powerful feature… can you self custody the sp500? In the long run people will understand the real risk profile of bitcoin and IMO the volatility will fade away (and people will cry for the volatility to come back exactly as you’re doing now)

ChillerID

I agree. IMO, $QRL is by far the most legit quantum-safe project.

Good_Roll

Crypto is good if you don't trust the government or wish to transact in good and/or services that the government has prohibited. That's pretty much it IMO.

United-Assignment227

40k then decision time. theres no real demand for it with AI and quantum gobbling up the speculative money. with AI, spx and nasdaq are severely underpriced given what the current demand is. my expectation is that AI keeps eating while btc continues downwards. long term i think the party is mostly over. AI is in its infancy and actually delivers earnings. i'm a buyer at 30 - 40k and anything much lower than that is just dead money IMO

Mattie_Kadlec

IMO, the easiest way to look at it is like financing a car vs. taking out a margin loan. You lock in the asset at today's price and pay it off in monthly installments. If the market dumps, you don't get liquidated, if you just keep making your scheduled payments on time.

Medium_Change4574

2023 and 2024 were better than 2025 though IMO, maybe this cycle will also start pretty early given how equities surge

demet123

IMO trying to answer your questions is a waste of time. There are multiple answers and they’re all true and false 😆 What’s important is to ask yourself if the ‘fundamentals’ are intact: Bitcoin is still immutable, still transmissible, still hard, still trustless. Don’t be the lettuce hands, be the diamond hands.

Jaded_Bullfrog3978

Not only did we peak near 60 twice two bull markets ago, we had months of accumulation near it again before the last bull market started. IMO it’s possible we go below it briefly but not for more than a day or two. Again nobody knows.

TT_________

IMO right now most of the bitcoin holders are traders hence the volatility of the price. As time goes on there will be less traders and more holders and that would create alot more trust. The biggest growth I see is when the 4 year cycle break with less than 50% pull back. Which IMO won't happen until 2030+. Only at that point I can see more people borrowing against bitcoin rather than selling and that's when it would change everything.

Sidivan

100% Hal IMO. I was big into MojoNation at one point and when BTC came out, I \*didn’t buy in\* because I felt like it was an iteration of mojo. At \*minimum\* it was Hal building out the framework.

Gehrman_JoinsTheHunt

Everyone? That's a stretch IMO. ETFs are great for people with a large percentage of net worth in tax advantaged accounts. Traditional brokerage accounts also make inheritance and beneficiary planning a lot cleaner.

Medium_Change4574

Stocks + alts IMO

kowalabearhugs

IMO, it does. Most so-called stablecoins are centralized ledgers.

BioRobotTch

IMO it will be introduced by a layer 2 where a smaller number of nodes perform the calculation which can reduce compute costs massively since it is deterministic it should not be hard validate if economic incentives are set correctly. Privacy might be undervalued right now but it is just a matter of time and history for its value to increase.

Medium_Change4574

Agree Stocks > Altcoins > BTC from here IMO

Friendly-Maximum-544

IMO and with our analysis I am looking like , BTC continues to hold above the $73K–$74K zone. If buyers stay in control, a move toward higher resistance levels looks increasingly likely. A break below support, however, could open the door for a deeper pullback.

Gehrman_JoinsTheHunt

I've been a long-term hodler since 2016 but have become somewhat jaded in recent years. That's not based on market price, I've made my money. But so many of the bitcoin narratives re: hedge for inflation, digital gold etc have failed to materialize. IMO the concept of cycles and halving-based priced predictions are no longer applicable. It just isn't playing out that way anymore. The proportion of new mining is so minuscule relative to the total supply. That becomes even more skewed as time goes on. Holding the ETF vs a hardware wallet is a completely personal choice. Risks and benefits on both sides. I held actual bitcoin for nearly a decade, but switched to the ETF for the benefits of a tax advantaged account. Also the traditional brokerage allows for better inheritance/beneficiary designation. The allocation is also a personal choice. You've gotta decide what your conviction is around bitcoin (regardless of price), and then diversify accordingly. I personally dedicated about 25% of my net worth to bitcoin years ago, and stopped buying - I just hold. Others do 100% and continue buying. There is no wrong answer, just different choices with different results.

aaaanoon

IMO ALTs pumping as a whole, are for when the world as a whole has hope for the future. I cashed out.

Fit-Poet6736

it's the nеxo card IMO, has debit and credit mode (in credit mode you use the card to borrow, so no taxes on selling crypto), has 2% cashback. can use it to spend both crypto and fiat from it, so worth giving it a shot

BainTrain55

IMO that’s actually when the bear market will be at its lowest. Bull market won’t happen for 2-3 years.

MiamiHeatAllDay

I believe it already has changed humanities timeline and it will continue to, for some it’s nominal and for others it’s a large change. IMO a lot depends on where you are a citizen. If you live and can participate in western markets, you probably won’t see too much of a change outside of speculative opportunities. For those citizens of countries with currency that is not stable crypto has changed their lives by enabling them to store their money in stable coins. I believe it was also plenty them up to participating in the western markets and invest in companies with little to invest. Just my .02

insubordinate_kralc

IMO…If those coins get compromised, then they get compromised… supply shock and all. It’ll all be okay whoever gets those coins if/when qc comes online deserves the reward.

insubordinate_kralc

IMO…If those coins get compromised, then they get compromised… supply shock and all. It’ll all be okay whoever gets those coins if/when qc comes online deserves the reward.

ihsan_builds

The right shape for someone coming from stocks, 20% allocation, BTC + ETH, long-term. One thing to push back on, "DCA or buy at extreme fear" is the same trap as "DCA or wait for the right entry". They're opposite strategies. Fear/Greed index is interesting in hindsight but useless in real time, extreme fear can stay extreme for months while price keeps falling, IMO. Pick DCA or level-based buying, not both. If you DCA, buy on the same day every month regardless of price or sentiment. If you wait for levels, you'll probably still be waiting when BTC is $200k. Skip the "key price levels" idea entirely for a long-term holder. Levels matter for traders. For a 5-10 year horizon, every entry in the last 8 years looked terrifying at the time and obvious in hindsight.

UC_DiscExchange

Far more advantageous IMO to just simply hold STRC and not pay taxes for at least a year when it can be long-term cap gains.

grotness

>You might be right that the core ethos of DLTs has been abandoned… but if that’s the case the whole industry is cooked anyway. We just end up with 50 different centralized chains built for 24/7 stock trading and the exact same predatory middle-men taking a cut. This is what Ethereum is saying they won’t be part of. I don’t have a crystal ball to see how this all plays out but IMO what EF is doing is commendable. Yeah, this is essentially what I think. It's really unfortunate because despite the obvious benefits that most crypto natives think is the value proposition these days (Instant, 24/7, borderless), if you've been around long enough or if you *truly* understand what the point of crypto was supposed to be, the most valuable thing of crypto by a long shot was a trust-less, self regulating system where peers could interact without having to route through the institutes that have been extorting the people for the past 300+ years. >but if that’s the case the whole industry is cooked anyway It already is man. Look around. Memecoins, perps & unregulated gambling markets is what the open market forces have decided is crypto's main use in its most current form. What does that tell you? Decentralisation was never valued or prioritised when we hit mass adoption. Gambling and speculation was. Get rich quick and dopamine feedback loops is the only thing that crypto has been mass adopted for. We missed the target. >what EF is doing is commendable. They more or less always have been. One of the only big players that are *still* only in it for its purpose. Innovative digital infrastructure that distributes power and authority amongst the people. I don't have a crystal ball either. But there is not a single indicator anywhere showing that the technology is heading towards mass adopted for the *right* reasons. The world isn't ready for it in its current form. And neither is crypto. Either we need to mature, or someone needs to remove the friction, make it idiot proof anr have it work at scale. So much so that an 80 year could use it. Philosophically speaking , its still way ahead of its time

jekpopulous2

While I partially agree with this… you seem to be overlooking security - which is IMO the greatest benefit to a trustless / decentralized system. If you’re using HYPE (for example) you just have to trust that their chain is safe because they don’t publish the code for their order books, oracles, or consensus mechanism. They don’t disclose how many people are on the multi-sig that can emergency freeze the chain or who even has the keys to it. If you’re a retail trader playing with house money that may not matter much… you’re getting fast, cheap trades without much friction. If you’re a market maker risking billions of dollars by putting it on-chain that matters a lot though. That’s why even despite bearish narratives the majority of capital is still deployed on ETH. JP Morgan isn’t going to deploy hundreds of billions in RWAs onto a chain controlled by a handful of competitors with a multi-sig. The entire industry is currently walking a fine line between trust and greed. You might be right that the core ethos of DLTs has been abandoned… but if that’s the case the whole industry is cooked anyway. We just end up with 20 different chains with 24/7 stock trading and the exact same predatory middle-men taking a cut. This is what Ethereum is saying no to. I don’t have a crystal ball to see how this all plays out but what EF is doing is commendable.

Western-Source710

Looks like OP got deleted account? You're not OP are you? All I know is, if I had an average at $120k.. I'd be DCA'ing and averaging down hard right now at these prices. I'm still holding, too. No plans to sell. I refuse to invest into the overly tech heavy overvalued, speculated, SP500 that is also getting pumped by retirement plans. SP500 at ATHs -- BTC at like a 40% or so discount from it's ATHs.. and if the SP500 is being inflated by what I mentioned above (mainly the speculation, but retirement accounts, too), then why not just go ahead and invest into the "most speculative asset of all time, Bitcoin"? especially while it's at such great discount? Not being rude to you by the way, great job holding and keep that up! Just expressing some thoughts on why it seems like a better idea to be buying BTC at the moment, \*IMO\*.

honeybunnylux

IMO, the hardest part for beginers is to sell and make realized profit.  I saw numerous people that can't control greed, and don't sell when in profit and then when it drops they got scared that it will go to zero and sell with a loss.  Set your targets and stick to them. You don't have to sell all but return your investment and get yourself some treat.

fishyflu

Tbh, this sounds like an amazing narrative that could work and hit at least 500k if you have a good starting budget and experienced dev team. A dev I know launched a token about a coin made out of actual dog shit and livestreamed the coin, it went to like 750k and the guy made over 40k just from the creator rewards. But stuff liek this would only work on a project launched on Pumpfun IMO, cuz that's where the degens are, so the problem now is you won't be able to mint tokens since the smart contract is standard and won't allow that. Also their livestreams have moderation now, so you can't stream everything... Gone are the days of people eating shit on stream, shooting guns, having sex or eating dog food while barking from a cage.

NShizzzle

It’s past the point of any hold being life changing money. But still a very sound long term investment IMO.

Dubb18

I'll give some lesson-learned examples. I once bought and sold BNB between $30-$40 to go all in on another coin. That coin is now down 99%, and if I had kept some BNB, I'd be sitting on a nice profit right now. I once bought several ETH at sub $1K and went all in on another coin. That coin is now down 99%, and if I had kept some ETH, I'd be sitting on decent profit there too. I now diversify my portfolio. I have bought some high risk tokens that are currently down, but I've also kept stuff like AVAX and SOL in my portfolio which have some solid fundamentals and some good upside (IMO) over the coming years. Also, I don't have all my savings in crypto. Also have it in an IRA, 401K, and other stuff.

josef3110

IMO this is a very good development! Degen money is not what crypto really needs. If one want to use crypto money for payments the high volatility that degen money created was very bad.

Medium_Change4574

Hopefully, it's for the better of the industry long term. If they can't wipe him out they will just let crypto die if no real use cases are found IMO

PMmeuroneweirdtrick

Keeping through cycles is a mistake IMO. Rotate out then come back in.

Present_Particular80

It’s just 0.7 Bitcoin. Or you have 700 Bitcoin. IMO never plural.

K42st

Because like I’ve said a thousand times exchanges are regulated so if they suspect coins coming into the exchanges are stolen or dubious they would be obliged to cooperate with authority and if the coins turn out to be legit then no issues. What about P2P 🤭 good luck selling a million plus coins I thought you said it will crash the price. I think after this brief conversation you look like the naive one. If you only did a little bit of homework on quatum computers you’d realise they are miles away from having the amount of stable qubits needed to get anywhere near close to cracking BTCs signatures, please don’t msg me back with some random report on qubits because here is the distinction qubits and stable qubits is buzz word. My opinion honestly let them drain all the wallets, let the market soak up the supply and back to normal with the stronger quantum resistent address formats and that IMO is the way it will go. BTC always becomes stronger!

memberlogic

Bitcoin already has a massive market cap of roughly $1.6 trillion without having meaningfully fulfilled it's goal of becoming a widely used peer-to-peer electronic cash system. IMO it doesn't have much room to grow anymore and only serves as a store of value - just a far more speculative alternative to gold or other inflation hedges without actually having intrinsic value.

AngryBuddist

That's a bad take IMO, the dude is doing well, either way it's probably more money than he has time to spend, keeps his mind sharp instead of watching more TV, but hey what do I expect from r/CryptoCurrency.

SpontaneousDream

r/ethereum can't even come up with a slogan to shill their shitcoin. These idiots don't even understand what they are holding lmfao. See below >Ethereum’s problem is that its slogans usually explain technology instead of why someone should want to hold the asset. >Maybe the pitch needs to be simpler: >BTC is digital gold. ETH is digital gold with an engine. >Or: >ETH combines the scarcity of gold with the utility of oil. >Or: >ETH is productive digital gold - an asset you can hold, stake, and earn yield on while it powers a digital economy. >That hits much harder IMO than “world computer.” >Any other ideas?

cryptotouchline

Mostly still BTC for me, but I’m increasingly interested in AI infrastructure/token economy plays going into 2026. Feels like the market is slowly shifting from pure speculation narratives toward compute/inference economics. This article explained the idea pretty well IMO: [https://businesscommunity.ai/ai-token-industry-explained/](https://businesscommunity.ai/ai-token-industry-explained/)

HesitantInvestor0

The power law IMO works mostly because the band is ridiculously wide. It's like saying the population of earth in ten years is going to be between 2 billion and 20 billion. You've allowed for both a massive catastrophe as well as an unbelievable surge in births. I think it's straight up dog shit and makes no sense whatsoever.

OrangePillar

The wallet-associated apps always have sketchy sellers, IMO. I would choose an exchange over those in almost all cases. If you’re just looking for BTC, I’d recommend a BTC-only exchange, also.