IMO

aaaanoon

IMO ALTs pumping as a whole, are for when the world as a whole has hope for the future. I cashed out.

Fit-Poet6736

it's the nеxo card IMO, has debit and credit mode (in credit mode you use the card to borrow, so no taxes on selling crypto), has 2% cashback. can use it to spend both crypto and fiat from it, so worth giving it a shot

BainTrain55

IMO that’s actually when the bear market will be at its lowest. Bull market won’t happen for 2-3 years.

MiamiHeatAllDay

I believe it already has changed humanities timeline and it will continue to, for some it’s nominal and for others it’s a large change. IMO a lot depends on where you are a citizen. If you live and can participate in western markets, you probably won’t see too much of a change outside of speculative opportunities. For those citizens of countries with currency that is not stable crypto has changed their lives by enabling them to store their money in stable coins. I believe it was also plenty them up to participating in the western markets and invest in companies with little to invest. Just my .02

insubordinate_kralc

IMO…If those coins get compromised, then they get compromised… supply shock and all. It’ll all be okay whoever gets those coins if/when qc comes online deserves the reward.

insubordinate_kralc

IMO…If those coins get compromised, then they get compromised… supply shock and all. It’ll all be okay whoever gets those coins if/when qc comes online deserves the reward.

ihsan_builds

The right shape for someone coming from stocks, 20% allocation, BTC + ETH, long-term. One thing to push back on, "DCA or buy at extreme fear" is the same trap as "DCA or wait for the right entry". They're opposite strategies. Fear/Greed index is interesting in hindsight but useless in real time, extreme fear can stay extreme for months while price keeps falling, IMO. Pick DCA or level-based buying, not both. If you DCA, buy on the same day every month regardless of price or sentiment. If you wait for levels, you'll probably still be waiting when BTC is $200k. Skip the "key price levels" idea entirely for a long-term holder. Levels matter for traders. For a 5-10 year horizon, every entry in the last 8 years looked terrifying at the time and obvious in hindsight.

UC_DiscExchange

Far more advantageous IMO to just simply hold STRC and not pay taxes for at least a year when it can be long-term cap gains.

grotness

>You might be right that the core ethos of DLTs has been abandoned… but if that’s the case the whole industry is cooked anyway. We just end up with 50 different centralized chains built for 24/7 stock trading and the exact same predatory middle-men taking a cut. This is what Ethereum is saying they won’t be part of. I don’t have a crystal ball to see how this all plays out but IMO what EF is doing is commendable. Yeah, this is essentially what I think. It's really unfortunate because despite the obvious benefits that most crypto natives think is the value proposition these days (Instant, 24/7, borderless), if you've been around long enough or if you *truly* understand what the point of crypto was supposed to be, the most valuable thing of crypto by a long shot was a trust-less, self regulating system where peers could interact without having to route through the institutes that have been extorting the people for the past 300+ years. >but if that’s the case the whole industry is cooked anyway It already is man. Look around. Memecoins, perps & unregulated gambling markets is what the open market forces have decided is crypto's main use in its most current form. What does that tell you? Decentralisation was never valued or prioritised when we hit mass adoption. Gambling and speculation was. Get rich quick and dopamine feedback loops is the only thing that crypto has been mass adopted for. We missed the target. >what EF is doing is commendable. They more or less always have been. One of the only big players that are *still* only in it for its purpose. Innovative digital infrastructure that distributes power and authority amongst the people. I don't have a crystal ball either. But there is not a single indicator anywhere showing that the technology is heading towards mass adopted for the *right* reasons. The world isn't ready for it in its current form. And neither is crypto. Either we need to mature, or someone needs to remove the friction, make it idiot proof anr have it work at scale. So much so that an 80 year could use it. Philosophically speaking , its still way ahead of its time

jekpopulous2

While I partially agree with this… you seem to be overlooking security - which is IMO the greatest benefit to a trustless / decentralized system. If you’re using HYPE (for example) you just have to trust that their chain is safe because they don’t publish the code for their order books, oracles, or consensus mechanism. They don’t disclose how many people are on the multi-sig that can emergency freeze the chain or who even has the keys to it. If you’re a retail trader playing with house money that may not matter much… you’re getting fast, cheap trades without much friction. If you’re a market maker risking billions of dollars by putting it on-chain that matters a lot though. That’s why even despite bearish narratives the majority of capital is still deployed on ETH. JP Morgan isn’t going to deploy hundreds of billions in RWAs onto a chain controlled by a handful of competitors with a multi-sig. The entire industry is currently walking a fine line between trust and greed. You might be right that the core ethos of DLTs has been abandoned… but if that’s the case the whole industry is cooked anyway. We just end up with 20 different chains with 24/7 stock trading and the exact same predatory middle-men taking a cut. This is what Ethereum is saying no to. I don’t have a crystal ball to see how this all plays out but what EF is doing is commendable.

Western-Source710

Looks like OP got deleted account? You're not OP are you? All I know is, if I had an average at $120k.. I'd be DCA'ing and averaging down hard right now at these prices. I'm still holding, too. No plans to sell. I refuse to invest into the overly tech heavy overvalued, speculated, SP500 that is also getting pumped by retirement plans. SP500 at ATHs -- BTC at like a 40% or so discount from it's ATHs.. and if the SP500 is being inflated by what I mentioned above (mainly the speculation, but retirement accounts, too), then why not just go ahead and invest into the "most speculative asset of all time, Bitcoin"? especially while it's at such great discount? Not being rude to you by the way, great job holding and keep that up! Just expressing some thoughts on why it seems like a better idea to be buying BTC at the moment, \*IMO\*.

honeybunnylux

IMO, the hardest part for beginers is to sell and make realized profit.  I saw numerous people that can't control greed, and don't sell when in profit and then when it drops they got scared that it will go to zero and sell with a loss.  Set your targets and stick to them. You don't have to sell all but return your investment and get yourself some treat.

fishyflu

Tbh, this sounds like an amazing narrative that could work and hit at least 500k if you have a good starting budget and experienced dev team. A dev I know launched a token about a coin made out of actual dog shit and livestreamed the coin, it went to like 750k and the guy made over 40k just from the creator rewards. But stuff liek this would only work on a project launched on Pumpfun IMO, cuz that's where the degens are, so the problem now is you won't be able to mint tokens since the smart contract is standard and won't allow that. Also their livestreams have moderation now, so you can't stream everything... Gone are the days of people eating shit on stream, shooting guns, having sex or eating dog food while barking from a cage.

NShizzzle

It’s past the point of any hold being life changing money. But still a very sound long term investment IMO.

Dubb18

I'll give some lesson-learned examples. I once bought and sold BNB between $30-$40 to go all in on another coin. That coin is now down 99%, and if I had kept some BNB, I'd be sitting on a nice profit right now. I once bought several ETH at sub $1K and went all in on another coin. That coin is now down 99%, and if I had kept some ETH, I'd be sitting on decent profit there too. I now diversify my portfolio. I have bought some high risk tokens that are currently down, but I've also kept stuff like AVAX and SOL in my portfolio which have some solid fundamentals and some good upside (IMO) over the coming years. Also, I don't have all my savings in crypto. Also have it in an IRA, 401K, and other stuff.

josef3110

IMO this is a very good development! Degen money is not what crypto really needs. If one want to use crypto money for payments the high volatility that degen money created was very bad.

Medium_Change4574

Hopefully, it's for the better of the industry long term. If they can't wipe him out they will just let crypto die if no real use cases are found IMO

PMmeuroneweirdtrick

Keeping through cycles is a mistake IMO. Rotate out then come back in.

Present_Particular80

It’s just 0.7 Bitcoin. Or you have 700 Bitcoin. IMO never plural.

K42st

Because like I’ve said a thousand times exchanges are regulated so if they suspect coins coming into the exchanges are stolen or dubious they would be obliged to cooperate with authority and if the coins turn out to be legit then no issues. What about P2P 🤭 good luck selling a million plus coins I thought you said it will crash the price. I think after this brief conversation you look like the naive one. If you only did a little bit of homework on quatum computers you’d realise they are miles away from having the amount of stable qubits needed to get anywhere near close to cracking BTCs signatures, please don’t msg me back with some random report on qubits because here is the distinction qubits and stable qubits is buzz word. My opinion honestly let them drain all the wallets, let the market soak up the supply and back to normal with the stronger quantum resistent address formats and that IMO is the way it will go. BTC always becomes stronger!

memberlogic

Bitcoin already has a massive market cap of roughly $1.6 trillion without having meaningfully fulfilled it's goal of becoming a widely used peer-to-peer electronic cash system. IMO it doesn't have much room to grow anymore and only serves as a store of value - just a far more speculative alternative to gold or other inflation hedges without actually having intrinsic value.

AngryBuddist

That's a bad take IMO, the dude is doing well, either way it's probably more money than he has time to spend, keeps his mind sharp instead of watching more TV, but hey what do I expect from r/CryptoCurrency.

SpontaneousDream

r/ethereum can't even come up with a slogan to shill their shitcoin. These idiots don't even understand what they are holding lmfao. See below >Ethereum’s problem is that its slogans usually explain technology instead of why someone should want to hold the asset. >Maybe the pitch needs to be simpler: >BTC is digital gold. ETH is digital gold with an engine. >Or: >ETH combines the scarcity of gold with the utility of oil. >Or: >ETH is productive digital gold - an asset you can hold, stake, and earn yield on while it powers a digital economy. >That hits much harder IMO than “world computer.” >Any other ideas?

cryptotouchline

Mostly still BTC for me, but I’m increasingly interested in AI infrastructure/token economy plays going into 2026. Feels like the market is slowly shifting from pure speculation narratives toward compute/inference economics. This article explained the idea pretty well IMO: [https://businesscommunity.ai/ai-token-industry-explained/](https://businesscommunity.ai/ai-token-industry-explained/)

HesitantInvestor0

The power law IMO works mostly because the band is ridiculously wide. It's like saying the population of earth in ten years is going to be between 2 billion and 20 billion. You've allowed for both a massive catastrophe as well as an unbelievable surge in births. I think it's straight up dog shit and makes no sense whatsoever.

OrangePillar

The wallet-associated apps always have sketchy sellers, IMO. I would choose an exchange over those in almost all cases. If you’re just looking for BTC, I’d recommend a BTC-only exchange, also.

Romanizer

No, just move to resistant address formats as most are quantum resistant from S2PKH onwards. Ethereum and other coins are much more exposed here. There already is a solution as I said which is already tested and ready to be deployed, however it's not really an urgent matter, IMO. Shorter block time usually is a trade-off that is not worth it security-wise, but this is already known for 10 years.

TripTryad

TBH that should have happened two cycles ago. A bit late for it now IMO. Besides, any splinters went to discord because forums and sites are nearly dead these days outside of reddit.

vitras

IMO this is a bad idea if you don't already have the cash to cover the difference. If BTC has another drop and you get margin called, you're fucked. You could MAYBE take out the BTC loan, close on the house, then open a HELOC that would cover a potential margin call. Let the HELOC sit as an emergency line of credit. Actual percentages and loan amounts are going to make a huge difference here. If origination fees for a mortgage are like $15k, but the difference in the APR between the mortgage and BTC loan are high enough, it'll erase any benefit from this, IMO. Just go with the mortgage and don't make it so complicated. Keep DCAing your bitcoin without the potential catastrophe of a margin call.

Same-Sun-2361

I think that Bitcoin gets labeled speculative and Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, but its price swings wildly. One system risks slow dilution. The other risks extreme volatility. IMO

TheDadThatGrills

Adoption is a good thing IMO. This bill adds legal protection for crypto developers working on decentralized projects, no longer forces banks to consider crypto as liabilities (yes, they have to consider crypto as liabilities by law today), and removes the regulatory ambiguity paralyzing the crypto ecosystem.

AInception

I feel like the store of value narrative is the most toxic thing in crypto. Bitcoin was designed to be a development platform. But people threw Satoshi's roadmap in the trash to push their parasitic methods of self enrichment in instead. I mean the Lightning Networks, MTGOX, all your altcoins, and things like Binance, should never have happened or else been on-chain feeding into Bitcoin's long-term sustainability. Miners today get paid out using a temporary subsidy. The whole reason the temporary subsidy was put in place was with the idea that when it ran out, blockspace was going to be so financially lucrative you'd have people paying $1000s for a single transaction so they could make +$1 in profit via their own work and developments. Because people don't do this and you can't make money with BTC blockspace. BTC was forced not to scale. Now transactions only pay for 1-2% of the cost to secure the network today with the subsidy making up the other ~99%. This is all because of the Store of Value narrative IMO, at least that emerged during the heat of when 3rd parties were leading people off-chain in droves to accomplish scaling way back when. The whole speculation that lead to Bitcoin's current value was whether or not it was going to achieve sustainability once the subsidy was gone. Something thought to be impossible, that challenges our idea of interventionist ideals and central banks. Today, core devs are discussing whether or not to intervene to double the coin supply (the subsidy) or even migrate to POS before the mathmatically inevitable collapse. Core devs and researchers are claiming 2 more halvings until security enters a death spiral. It's hardly a SOV now. The subsidy will effectively drop to 0% over the next decade. Lowering BTC's security by 98%-99%, lowering the difficulty to seize control of the network, and greatly impacting its still-speculative value seeing as it never actually achieved its break-away velocity. The only alternative hope to maintain security is each BTC becoming worth trillions of dollars, but there's no good reason for that to happen with 99% of all coins in circulation already. I miss the 'BUIDL' narrative back when everyone wasn't just here to 10X their money with their head in the sand. At least it felt like there was a chance to do something. Do nothing=take over the world is a braindead take.

bootlegstone89

If institutions think it’s a scam, why are they committing billions in engineering and legal resources to build on-chain infrastructure? You don’t build real product on something you privately believe is worthless. There’s a difference between market makers profiting from volatility and institutions actually integrating the rails into their core operations. The latter is happening, so I dont understand how you see it that way. No one sensible is arguing for overnight replacement of the banking system. The realistic near-term use cases are settlement efficiency, tokenised assets, cross-border payments. That’s not ‘decentralise everything’, that’s just infrastructure improvement. IMO, the flaw in your thinking is the treating it as binary. The interesting crypto use cases aren’t about burning down the banking system, they’re about making specific parts of it more efficient. You can believe decentralised settlement rails are useful without believing central banks should be abolished.

GIGAbtcHodl

no, please don't enter. The more people enter, the less of BTC will be left for us, we want more... Now on a serious note, IMO always a good time to enter

Hot_Sacks

Much earlier in Bitcoin’s life, the chances of it going to 0% were higher. At this point, the probability of that happening is very, very low IMO. It would likely take some kind of a black swan event. Something that corrupts the network or protocol layer, as corporate and individual adoption has become so high, that if the underlying structure continues to stay stable, it should increase in price over time. The network has become VERY resilient. It has been tested hundreds of times, and it comes out stronger. This is why people like Saylor equate it to a monetary virus. Satoshi was or is a genius. Bitcoin truly is a marvel of systems engineering. Of course nothing is guaranteed. Everything has risk. The question you need to ask and try to figure out is: what is the probability of certain events happening.

Jayfree138

I'm interested in why people dont understand it. Why they dont make the connection that other cryptos dont have a fixed supply and bitcoin is far ahead in adoption. At any point many other cryptos could just print more like the dollar does. Why is that better than the dollar in any way? IMO the only two useful cryptos are bitcoin and stable coins. Why does anyone trust other cryptocurrencies at all? THAT is what makes no sense to me.

TT_________

Personally I see 1 more big drop going sub 60 before marking a new ATH. IMO index funds along with many stocks will go down in the later half of the year.

SST114

Yeah it's been different objectively. Ppl expecting the exact same are being dorks IMO lol As for where it goes next? Don't know, higher long term tho.

Odd-Farm270

Take some profit IMO. Maybe rotate some to safer assets if the money is much to you.

Significant_Cat_8436

Things like the Clarity Act are always sell the news. Probably wont see meaningful gains in price until Q4 at the earliest IMO. Things are not any different than they have been in previous cycles/mid terms.

Jake_IbuyFear

I'm using Ledger, best one IMO

OkAngle2353

This post is a nothing burger. * If the individual lost their seed or it got stolen, there is a thing called a hardware (cold) wallet and they can transfer the coins out to a new seed and there is also a thing called a hidden wallet, even if someone stole the seed; they will not know the passphrase necessary to access the hidden wallet (that is of course, the individual elected to use a hidden wallet; which I highly recommend). * The holder(s) of the seed/cold wallet is the beneficiaries. I would imagine kids know about crypto and how to access a wallet. IMO, there is absolutely no need for attorneys/lawyers in this instance. * Address-poisoning is just people being dumb. Some rando sends you a coin/token using a address that mimics your actual address. Instead of actually going through the process of obtaining a actual address, people just fuck around and find out. The destination doesn't get swapped, it gets swapped because the individual didn't care to actually check the address before sending. * Scams, happens to some of us. Just don't be dumb. * Well, not of you don't know your passwords. I personally use a password manager and the only password that I know is my master password. Even then, the hostile would also need my yubikey; which would have been left behind in the event of coercion. * "Oh, then they could just hack into your password manager". Highly unlikely. I specifically use a password manager that is not dependent on the internet or a server. The only way you would get my passwords would be if you had physical access to my computer or my various devices.

brufordev

It's a tiny reward for a huge risk. Even if it's only a fractio nof your portfolio, it's not worth the hassle for such a small reward IMO

IndependentSpeck

I recommend Coldcard Q for all serious investors. If you keep the batteries separate, the thing will never cause you concern as you currently have. Also, it's got all the bells and whistles. If you have a stack you really want to protect, it's technically better in every way as compared with Ledger. Trezor's good, but you have to buy a specific version for BTC only, and it's not exactly airgapped like the Q is. The coldcard Q is the best IMO and IRL.

__Ken_Adams__

Depends what you're referring to when you say cold wallet. If you're using a hardware wallet then you don't need a second phone. The keys stay on that device & are safe even if it's plugged into a compromised device. If you're talking about using the phone as a "cold wallet", then technically yes it can work as that but you have to know what you're doing to be sure it remains "cold". Obviously connecting to the internet with it even just once will cause it to no longer be "cold", but that's not the only way so that's where the "know what you're doing" comes in. IMO an air gapped version of Linux is a better cold wallet, but it also depends how much you're trying to secure. I've kept around a couple thousand at a time in warm wallets on my main phone for over a decade with no issue. However, that doesn't mean there isn't still risk so that's the amount I'm comfortable trusting my warm wallet with. I wouldn't store much more than that on it.

IndustrialPuppetTwo

In fact it's really just the opposite. Unless you want to learn the hard way like most of us and loose thousands of dollars only invest in Bitcoin. IMO I'd wait because it's most likely going to crash. Come September start buying in if it's below $70k. It might end up at $50k, if it does buy more, but it will cycle again so plan on holding for years to come. If you are in your 20's and have money to throw away then DCA in Bitcoin but don't mess around with shitcoins. If you have to mess around with something else then buy ETH when it tanks and maybe even BNB. Just stick to BTC ;)

JimOnJ

Its clear you didn't read this post. I referenced 6 difference launchpads and 4-5 projects to make a point. Here's the TLDR; Ownership coins are the only asset that allow founders to access capital, while providing token holders with a claim protected by code and law. IMO, anything outside of BTC and ownership coins is a meme coin.

olduvai_man

Agreed. Shorting now is very dangerous IMO so just sitting on my hands and stacking cash.

Visible_Wolverine2

IMO I t’s not early, but it’s not “too late” either. Welcome!

Dmarine999

This is right. I've been in and out of BTC a few times over the last decade. Some at gain and some at loss. I like to think if I'd gotten in when it was $2, I would have held it all the way to $100k. But there's no way I would have done that. When you are looking at 50000x your money, I'm selling fo sho at some point on the way up. At least, my younger self would have. I'm now older and more financially secure. I keep my BTC holdings at about 10% of my total savings (taxable + retirement). Diversification still matters, IMO.... I may be wrong, but if BTC goes parabolic again, that 10% becomes 50% and I'm still Gucci.

maninas

I hereby grant you permission and my blessing to rich. IMO such are the only people who should be. Furthermore the filthy rich are a plague for the society.

thejuggernotkid

Being hyped up online, IMO it’s just gonna be a bubble and collapse. Worse case scenario it’s just a rug pull. I stuck 20 bucks in it as I’m comfortable losing it lol. I doubt it hits a cent.

c0brachicken

Bitcoin is the gold standard, the ones that have utility, show me one project that is making the world a better place. All the rest are basically scam rug pulls IMO. I think some of them could have been a good idea, then the founders screwed up, or stole everything. I wouldn't trust anything besides BTC.

Ok-Raisin-85

Did you go to the last one in Nashville? Personally I thought Nashville was a much better city for it. Right now the Whale Pass is the best value. It's a little expensive but the premium networking pays for its self. You figure one conversation that gives you one tip is going to earn you back the $3,000 investment. The Whale room and the VIP afterparties is where most of the networking happens IMO. My first conference was Miami in 2021 and I haven't missed one since!

Defenestrate69

Are you up on the stock? IMO sell whichever you have the least losses with

BattleCreek-michigan

Saylor will pull the best trade off in history when bitcoin gets to 150k and he takes 20 billion in profit and buys more MSTR SHARES MAKING ALL MSTR RICH 🤑! IMO

AngryFker

it all depends on stock market and only. thing rallied hard. vix is 17. not a time to buy IMO and I would not underestimate the power of "sell in may and go away" paradigm

Ok-Active-7489

From a pure technical perspective bitcoin needs to break monthly 20 EMA of 82-83k and holds us support for us to really have a bull run going. IMO

BroadDistribution867

The scarcity of the asset plus difficulty adjustment plus retail / institution / nation wide jurisdictions fomoing into it, will make it unpredictable and IMO 25% is not unreasonable for a while...

HesitantInvestor0

The answer is because retail moved from Bitcoin to MSTR and STRC last year and most of them are 50% underwater still. All the hope they've got revolves around Saylor sending them to the moon. I'm not even against owning some MSTR, but Saylor is an absolute car salesman and anyone who thinks he's a super genius is huffing gasoline. He's IMO one of the big reasons Bitcoin has been lacklustre the past year. People rightly see Saylor as being bad for the space.

Beneficial_Major9999

BTC is on a death bed IMO. yall gonna be holding the bag. let’s look at the facts BTC was always a shill from the establishment since 2012-2013 Barry Silbert (stopped shilling btc shilling zcash now) Winklovoss twins (stopped shilling btc shilling zcash now) El Salvador’s corrupt president Michael Saylor, a known criminal who scammed billions during the dotcom era BLACKROCK Follow where the “evil establishment” that shilled BTC in the 2010s is going and if you see what they are shilling it’s zcash

314_999

me too. its getting spicy. by the way, is true that startups are not financially fully covered? thats 2 funny IMO.

Ok_Neighborhood3041

I struggle to see how btc could rise beyond its ATH. Stocks are at ATHs and btc is struggling to break $80k again. IMO stocks and btc no longer being related is bearish for btc 

HammerMikk

The whales are there for a reason! Zero trading fees is also a pretty good selling point IMO.

Rebubula_

So what makes you most confident is it’s a risky asset with high volatility? Can’t you say the same about alts in theory? BTC has more than speculation, IMO

AutoModerator

Post is by: PowerTrade_options and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/u_PowerTrade_options/comments/1sys14r/options_volume_the_cheat_code_for_this_altcoin/ Watching the 1-minute candle on a random altcoin is a great way to lose your mind (and your margin), at least for those whose sentiment take over the strategy, like me. If you want to know where the big money is *actually* moving before the price action hits the tape, you have to stop looking at the "what" (Price) and start looking at the "how" (Options). The market has changed (not necessarily improved), and isn't just retail apes anymore. It’s institutional. And institutions don't buy spot; they hedge and leverage using options. That's why options volume is the ultimate "BS detector" for the crypto market. # 1. What Options Volume actually tells us Think of options volume as the "Intent Layer" of the market. * **High Call Volume:** This isn't just people "feeling bullish." It’s people betting actual cash that a specific price target will be hit by a specific date. * **High Put Volume:** This is the insurance. If you see a massive spike in Puts while the price is pumping, it’s a sign that the "smart money" is expecting a correction and is buying protection. It's important to note that options are quite capital efficient, so you get a leverage bet without the liquidation risk (as long as you are buying options and not selling), so it's a very useful tool to hedge and make directional bets without blowing your account. # 2. Trending Now: The Altcoin Plays Particularly when BTC is sideways-chopping, the real action is in the high-beta alts where the options chain is exploding right now: * **Solana (SOL):** With the **Alpenglow upgrade** around the corner, we’re seeing a massive stack of $120 Calls for June. When you see a "wall" of calls like that, it acts like a magnet for price. Also tells you a lot about the sentiment, which is quite bullish. * **Bittensor (TAO):** The AI narrative is back with a vengeance. TAO options volume has tripled this week. The 25-delta risk reversal shows traders are paying a premium for calls over puts—this is pure "greed" and a sign that the momentum has legs. * **Hyperliquid (HYPE):** Since it’s basically the home of on-chain derivatives, watching HYPE options is meta-analysis. If HYPE volume spikes, it means the whole DeFi ecosystem is gearing up for a volatility expansion (and a personal favorite of mine, I think Hyperliquid has really changed the game). # 3. How to use this to your advantage You don’t even need to trade the options themselves to win. Use the data to trade spot: * **The Max Pain Theory:** Markets tend to gravitate toward the price point where the most options expire worthless. If SOL is at $85 but "Max Pain" is $100, there’s a statistical pull upward as market makers hedge their delta. * **Look for the Volatility Smile:** If implied volatility (IV) is rising but the price is flat, a massive move is brewing. Don't get caught sleeping—that's usually the "quiet before the storm" where a 20% candle is born. # The TL;DR Trading based on "vibes" and Twitter influencers is a recipe for disaster. With these, you usually rely on stale data or overused tools. Options data is the only place where people have to put their money where their mouth is. If you see a massive cluster of OTM (out-of-the-money) calls on a trending alt like TAO or SOL, the market is literally telling you where it thinks it’s going. There are no guarantees, of course, but it's an important tool to add to your analysis IMO. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Suspicious-Can-7079

Yeah imo btc/eth is a much better interpretation of the risk on/off right now then the stock market. IMO btc/eth is a better indicator of where true sentiment lies and right now both seem to be waiting on a clear indicator on the direction in Iran whether it'll be short term conflict or a long drawn out conflict that really cause a prolonged energy crisis. eth btc are both waiting on clarity in regards to the Middle East as well as things like the clarity act You can see it plunge with boots on the ground or a euphoria run on clear resolution of both

Suspicious-Can-7079

Oh no you're right with this admin there's a ton of hedging, positioning going on. But they aren't distributing right now, it would be much more volatile, I guess you could lean towards just consolidation but imo with how much the US as a government needs the btc thesis to play out IMO what you're seeing is accumulation mixed with hedging, it can obviously go lower but this is where you see buying the dip. Saw this a bunch in data center stocks last year, bunch of purchasing shares with puts to offset the potential and likely downturns but positioning nicely for the current run up.

Similar_Scar7089

There's better books IMO. Broken money, The Big Print, The dollar end game

west_coast_ghost

Shit got bought up like it was boxing day lol. The cost of the position is only really $5M, gonna take a lot more than that... if it was $50M spot unleveraged, or 50M @ 10X maybe start to wonder. IMO looks more like some degenerate coin toss type shit.

Accomplished-Eye5567

Yeah it pushes the need for alternatives IMO that are decentralized and onchain. Not to replace USDT but to be a hedge on oversight

mypussydoesbackflips

IMO it should be implemented seamlessly to things like League of Legends and such My friend got banned on there and lost thousands of dollars in skins just didn’t make sense

pudelguru

DCA is the way. Put in what you can afford and let it sit. IMO it will go up and well, but not the same gains seen historically. NFA/DYOR ofc.

rote_it

It's a pretty typical bear market bull trap IMO. Patience is critical to avoid fomo.

OffThread

You buy at 95K, sell at 75K to tax a loss of 20K this year. Then buy at 75K right away. No loss in bitcoin amount, 20K in tax write-offs for future gains. IMO you'd be stupid not to sell it and re-buy it.

GodBlessPigs

Wow, it might be different? I like BTC and own some, but it isn’t going to last more than 100 years IMO.

jekpopulous2

This is partially true. If Kelp was 3/5 this hack most likely wouldn’t have happened… but would have been possible if the hacker simultaneously poisoned the RPCs feeding multiple DVN’s. The reason it’s not completely true is that this only works for standard DVN’s like the one that Kelp was using. There are also ZK-Light Client DVNs (Polyhedra, Succinct, etc…) that require a zero-knowledge proof to confirm that the transaction is part of the chain's consensus. This makes it insanely difficult to trick them because on top of poisening multiple RPCs the attacker would also have to forge a valid ZK proof. Most 3-5 setups are far more secure as they include at least one ZK-Light Client. Where Layer Zero fucked up is that they let protocols choose their own security model when they should be forcing them to use at least one ZK-Light Client. IMO the blame can be shared. It’s Kelps fault for not using the tools available to them and it’s also L0’s fault for not forcing them to use those tools.

cyger

Only $100k? I'm thinking more like $200k, and faster than anyone thinks. Since October retail has been dumping like crazy. Institutions have been buying like crazy. Now MSTR has owning 1M BTC in sights. IMO the trad 4 year cycle is dead, and BTC is going to pump like crazy soon. I can't wait. Note I was some of that retail, selling over 100k and shifting to AI stocks. I think both will do great.

GIGAbtcHodl

I think most of us went through a similar route... and the ones who come back are the ones who will stick IMO

Nomadictionnn

Bro honestly I was that guy in 2019 chasing no-KYC everywhere. Used some random exchange I won't name (it's dead now anyway) cause they had no verification as a selling point, deposited 0.8 BTC which was like $7k at the time and one day logged in to find the site just gone. **No emails, no support, nothing. Reported it and got laughed at cause I had zero recourse, no KYC meant no paper trail for me either lol.** IMO. I'd rather do verif on all top tier exchanges(binance/bybit/bitmex) and sleep at night. If privacy really matters, buy on a legit exchange and self-custody, that's where real privacy lives. Skipping KYC on a custodial platform just means you're trusting strangers with your money and no way to find them if they disappear. Learned that one the expensive way.

riscten

I'm not a fan of BS Green as a companion wallet. The UX is extremely restrictive. Give it a try, but also download Blue Wallet and Nunchuk. These are far more flexible and functional. Jade itself though? Best wallet on the market IMO.

KateR_H0l1day

I’d say the opposite, it’s about conviction, do you believe BTC is going above $100K in the future?? If yes, obviously it’s a good time to buy, not as good as it was in the $60K range of course. However, there’s an alternative conviction, but it’s a fraction of the $100K+ ⬆️ which is it’s going to hit &30/40/50K ranges. MS & Strategy had another large buy last week, total conviction there. The market will always follow BTC for many years yet, there are some good alternatives that are low, have good fundamentals, and are still building/tweaking their product. I set three Alt lower limit buys last week, fully expecting not to hit anything anytime soon. One hit over the weekend surprisingly, but it was a spike down for a very short time period. It wasn’t much, but there are opportunities across the market, we’re firmly in the accumulation phase, just IMO of course 🤷‍♀️

KateR_H0l1day

I’d say the opposite, it’s about conviction, do you believe BTC is going above $100K in the future?? If yes, obviously it’s a good time to buy, not as good as it was in the $60K range of course. However, there’s an alternative conviction, but it’s a fraction of the $100K+ ⬆️ which is it’s going to hit &30/40/50K ranges. MS & Strategy had another large buy last week, total conviction there. The market will always follow BTC for many years yet, there are some good alternatives that are low, have good fundamentals, and are still building/tweaking their product. I set three Alt lower limit buys last week, fully expecting not to hit anything anytime soon. One hit over the weekend surprisingly, but it was a spike down for a very short time period. It wasn’t much, but there are opportunities across the market, we’re firmly in the accumulation phase, just IMO of course 🤷‍♀️

G000z

IMO everyone is still very bearish bought calls on Friday before close on the pullback 🥭 will announce the cease-fire of the cease-fire before market open.

DwightsShirtGuy

Too risky and interest and tax inefficient for that goal IMO.

Ok_Golf_6467

AI and memes are due for another good push IMO. I got a nice position in PENGU and VIRTUALS at these bear market prices

Objective-Choice6518

New ceiling IMO. We get to the 100 week EMA, then bounce back until october

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FitCompetition1804

Based on previous patterns during previous cycles. I know things have changed with institutional investments, but until the pattern is broken, it’s silly to ignore IMO. Also why I daily DCA, because like people who responded to this said, I nor anybody else knows for sure. I just have cash reserves ready to go if it does. Time will tell.

ricksy

If Strategy gets liquidated then BTC has failed. IMO the risk is overblown, especially given BTC is currently down \~50% from ATH and Strategy is perfectly fine, buying more than ever.

_father_time

Won’t tell you what to do but IMO Bitcoin is cheap right now.

jimmy_bean

I don't allowed is the right word, but has zero accountability is another thing IMO

GojoPojo

If you zoom out you’ll see eth ranged from like 100-500$ for years before breaking out to the thousands. IMO we’re close to breaking out into the 5 digit range once the clarity act is done

xNextu2137

IMO no. 1 is the best solution. Bitcoin not being able to withstand the test of time is the natural course of things. Freezing those addresses sounds like the egoistic "If I can't have it, then no one should!" I know y'all love Bitcoin, so do I, but freezing those accounts sounds like a very dumb move, a step backwards for the community

OpticallyMosache

You have XRP in a wallet whose keys are held by the Ledger device, right? If I hear you correctly, you want to transfer XRP to an exchange like Coinbase and sell for fiat? Go to your preferred CEX and create an XRP receiving address. Then take that address and use it to send from your ledger. Do a small test transfer and then reuse the same address for a larger tx. IMO - prices are going to continue to bleed. You might be happy to see you sold XRP at today's price versus where it will be at the end of the year. However, you might have to live with seeing where the price is 10 years from now. You'll come back. Said a prayer to our Lord Jesus for you.

AirwolfCS

IMO the call overwrite space is way too crowded for its own good. Maybe people don’t realize, but these funds and their popularity are negative influences on price and volatility, create tons of supply and stop any real rally immediately in its tracks. They generate tons of fees for the fund admins, make the market makers lots of money, but generally just vampire suck value out and bleed

rbmichael

It sounds like you're saying he used to have brilliant speeches but now his speeches are lame including this one 🤣 but I don't think you're saying that? This video clip is still good IMO since acquiring and spending Bitcoin without needing any conversion is a great end goal.

mrjune2040

The NewHedge site has a distribution estimation that tries to filter out exchange addresses etc. And they have it at just over 1 million individual addresses holding 1 BTC. But then you have to adjust for people who split across addresses and/or have multiple. IMO addressing that, there’s still probably way more than a million if you include exchange/ETF exposure (which will be significant).

courtesy_patroll

Sorta. The real critique is that for a billionaire with $10B estate, the embedded capital gains that grew for 40 years gets taxed once at the estate rate, a significant discount rather than being subject to estate and cap gains. The step-up permanently forgives the cap gains. Their heir receives the $100M and sells for $100M and pays nothing or continues to take low interest loans out on it.  IMO the heir did nothing to build that wealth, the system and the people working in it did more so tax that shit.

yetanotherdave2

This assumes the price is going to go higher and higher. Which means much more money going in. We've had recent all time highs considering the amount of money going in from funds it's not really gone up enough to support this kind of strategy IMO.