Reddit Posts
Why HYPE is surging, and what could crash the whole run
Is Kendu entering its Renaissance?
The 100/200 SMA Cross is here. Are we hitting the previous ATH earlier?
This is the day of treason, the day 80K of bitcoin got dumped to stop it from going to a mill.
What are your expectations for the next alt season? Are we gonna make up for the lack of one last cycle? Is it gonna be a specific niche? Or is it gonna get even more disappointing?
Since somebody just posted a completely completely wrong list of past halvening cycle highs and lows, I decided to ask Chat GPT to give the real numbers. Here they are.
The truth of Bitcoin & the cryptospace as a whole right now!
Poor Canadian Retiree - I would like your thoughts.
Does difficulty make a new ATH before the halving? The case for no.
It ain't gonna happen, but an ath in October would be fucking hilarious
What do you think the new bottom be after the next bullrun? [speculative]
Why is Monero joining the THORChain a big deal?
It feels like Altseason is never going to start. Is the altcoin market officially dead?
Mando btc a ≈86500 y luego continuar bear market
Privacy coins are rotating as a sector, not just Zcash
I backtested buying BTC at 30%, 40% and 50% drawdowns vs weekly DCA
I have accumulated 5% profit over the last 6 years, and this is my analysis
Rejected 3 times, then the impulsive BOS broke through and it became the floor. Wyckoff named this over a hundred years ago.
What Wyckoff taught a century ago about reading tape just flagged this month's close as one that matters
If even $80k is too high, how can this thing ever recover to ATH?
Analyst Bitcoin Price Predictions: Who's On Track and Who's Not
What do you actually do when Bitcoin drops 30–40% from ATH?
Ai will influence most people in selling and buying turning this up coming cycle in the worst !
The AI-predicted BTC dip everyone’s waiting for might be the real risk this cycle.
I’ve got to be the most unlucky Bitcoin buyer
There will be no pullback, the 4 year cycle is dead and has been since we made a new all time high before the 2024 halving.
BTC's done the same three things every cycle since 2017, new ATH, brutal drawdown, then a full reclaim past the old high
Bitcoin's biggest short squeeze since 2021 traced back to its actual trigger: a Treasury bond buyback announcement, not crypto news
Follow up on the BTC range post, this is what a level finally letting go looks like
Saitama Inu - the OG 2021 community found a new Saitama on Robinhood Chain and started grinding
Even with the recent drop, the 100 week moving average has not sloped downwards
Every BTC ATH retest has swept the lows before holding
This fall the crypto market is going to top out again, right?
CATE: The cat version of DOGE that’s already pulling in retail before the bull run - My full thesis and Breakdown (Credit @lunavora)
BTC's sitting on the one level I actually care about right now
Here is my Bitcoin price prediction 2026
built a free live currency & crypto converter. Looking for honest feedback.
If you could only hold 3 to 5 altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH) for the next bull run which would you choose ? And why? (optional)
new alt coins that pump 20-30x and then drop
Why Robinhood Pepe (REPE) Is Positioned to Hit Hundreds of Millions and Potentially Billions as Robinhood Chain Thrives
RWA Tokenization Just Hit a New ATH: $32B On-Chain (Excluding Stablecoins)
Bitcoin Cycle Timing and Low-Price Projection
Why are you bullish on crypto in the macro environment?
Bitcoin failed to 2x its ATH from peak-to-peak between 2021 and 2025, despite all the bullish predictions it would go much higher. If it does return to a bull market, how high will it reasonably go by 2029?
My BTC is not even nearly close to an alarming number.
BTC halving cycle / 4 year cycle / and Elliot wave theory
Stablecoin Market Cap Holds Near ATH at $315.4B Despite the Selloff
Continuous government adoption of Bitcoin means that it will grow in perpetuity
If you were to take out a loan against your bitcoin bought in a four year cycle low bear market during that cycles ATH with a high LTV & then let it be liquidated, wouldn’t that be better than selling that amount because of taxes?
If you were to take out a loan against your bitcoin bought in a four year cycle low bear market during that cycles ATH with a high LTV & then let it be liquidated, wouldn’t that be better than selling that amount because of taxes?
Stock ATH, falling soon and rotate back to bottomed Crypto?
BTC dominance looks very different when you exclude stablecoins
The Shiller P/E Ration at ATH 🚀-Why does it matter
If your still waiting for it to go lower to get in then you will never own any BTC
Crypto Is Getting Smoked Right Now, But This Isn’t the End
BTC around $60k while stocks are at ATH, what happens if equities finally CORRECT?
Mentions
What did you do? Sell BTC to rotate into alts for the alt-season that never came? Just curious what made you sell and how you were able to lose money despite BTC hitting a new ATH.
That’s just how it’s always been. BTC can go both ways, rapidly. You made a good entry at 64k. That’s half of what others have fomo’ed in at the last ATH. If you don’t need the money and the gains, leave it in and sit out any volatility that might come your way in the next 2 years. We’re at a place right now where the possibility of going higher is far greater in the next couple of years. Ignore the daily/weekly price volatility.
You bought the cycle low. Atleast wait for above prior ATH. Anywhere above prior ATH is better than selling now
I’m reading that it could go either way, like btc back to 45k and also ATH run. How do I believe now 😭 I don’t need the money but I want to make sure I book profits
Nearly everyone goes through the same education. You missed the boat with BTC but you believe the hype of sh\*tcoins and that they can make up for what you missed. The reality is most sh\*tcoin never even managed to better their 2021 ATH during the 2025 bull top. It's an expensive lesson but usually mandatory before you fully understand why there can only be one. There's BTC and everything else that came after is an inferior copy.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 8th:** 2026 - $80,979 2025 - $123,355 2024 - $62,132 2023 - $27,935 2022 - $19,417 2021 - $53,968 2020 - $10,916 2019 - $8,229 2018 - $6,652 2017 - $4,610 2016 - $619 2015 - $242 2014 - $353 2013 - $137 2012 - $11.8 2011 - $4.0 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.63 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 970512; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.77 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.57MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.17 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.72 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 16-Oct-2026 (within 1,200 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 3.57% to 137.45 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $253,059 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $43.43M; which translates to $0.0443 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 79,488 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 104,707 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,473 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 981 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $28.74 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 703,247. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.56 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.34; with the median values being 0.43 sats/VB & $0.07 respectively. There are currently 20.10M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.90M to be mined. There are currently 4.20M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.88% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,644,345 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.05M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 08-Oct-2026 is $22,200. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,413. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,235 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 12.35 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 35.83% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 40.23% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 367 days since the last ATH.
Post is by: chainglance_cm and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1x0udgi/why_hype_is_surging_and_what_could_crash_the/ If you've been on crypto twitter at all lately, you've probably seen the hype around HYPE (yes, I did that on purpose). And since it started pumping, everyone's doing the usual thing, zero research on what it is or why it's going up, and just shilling the fuck outta it or getting shilled. If you've been watching from the sidelines with some FOMO but want to understand what's actually driving this before you make a move, I did some research and here's why HYPE is suddenly so big (feel free to add or correct anything). **What Hyperliquid is** Hyperliquid is a perp DEX, and it's the one that finally made on-chain perps feel as smooth as trading on Binance. Instead of building on top of an existing chain, the team built their own L1 designed purely for trading, with a fully on-chain order book. That's what lets it match CEX speed and fees while you still keep your own keys and skip KYC entirely. That combo is why volume migrated over so aggressively, and today it handles a huge share of all on-chain derivatives activity. It makes money the way any exchange does, through fees on every trade. **What HYPE is** HYPE is Hyperliquid's native token. You can stake it to help secure the chain, use it to vote on protocol changes, and holding it gets you lower trading fees. The real reason people care, though, is what the exchange does with its revenue. **How the buybacks work** Hyperliquid uses its trading fees to buy their own token, HYPE, off the open market and then burns it, which means those tokens are gone for good. It's basically what Apple does with its stock as well. Buy back shares, fewer left in circulation, each one owns a bigger slice of profits. So more trading means more fees, more fees mean more HYPE bought, and the circulating supply keeps shrinking. There's a buyer in the market every single day that never sells. And since in HYPE’s case, the bought tokens get burned, there are fewer HYPE left over time. If demand stays the same but there are fewer tokens to go around, the price goes up. In one recent 24-hour window, Hyperliquid bought and burned 112,580 HYPE, worth about $10.15 million. Total removed so far is roughly 49.25 million HYPE, around $4.45 billion worth. **The second, bigger buyback engine** This is the main catalyst behind the recent run. Every leveraged position on Hyperliquid needs collateral, and most traders use USDC for that. Add that up across the whole platform and Hyperliquid is sitting on billions in USDC at any given time, all of it earning yield. For a while that yield wasn't doing anything for HYPE holders. Then in August, Hyperliquid switched on a system called AQAv2, which sends 90% of the yield from roughly $5 billion in USDC reserves straight into automatic HYPE buybacks and burns. It went live on August 26, with the first payout scheduled for October. So now HYPE has two buyers working at the same time, one funded by trading fees and the other by yield on deposits. The more the platform gets used, the harder both of them buy. **What else added fuel** While AQAv2 is the biggest catalyst behind the recent surge, a few other events added even more momentum. Hyperliquid launched tokenized NVDA, QQQ and SPY that trade 24/7, pulling in people who'd never used a perp DEX. US regulators also gave tokenized stocks a lot more legitimacy this year. The SEC and CFTC put out guidance in January and March, and in September the SEC announced a five-year exemption for platforms trading tokenized securities. None of it approves Hyperliquid directly, but it took the whole category out of the gray zone. On the TradFi side, Bitwise and Grayscale launched spot HYPE ETFs (huge credibility booster), so every dollar going into them buys real HYPE. And Bloomberg just listed Hyperliquid's perps on its Terminal, putting it in front of basically every fund manager (more credibility). All of this means more volume, more fees and more USDC sitting as collateral, which all ends up as more HYPE bought and burned. Open interest just hit a record $18 billion. **What could go wrong** Things look really promising right now, but there are a few risks that could stall the run or kill it entirely. Hyperliquid Labs is selling 3.75 million HYPE (about $340 million) OTC to a single unnamed institution. The whole bull case is built on supply shrinking, and this adds more than a month's worth of burned tokens back into circulation in one go. It won't hit the order book directly, but OTC buyers often get a discount and can sell for a quick profit once they're able to. On top of that, the team selling a big bag right as the price nears ATH doesn't exactly scream confidence. And plenty more supply is still locked, so this won't be the last time. All USDC on Hyperliquid comes in through a bridge, and bridges are among the most hacked contracts in crypto. A hack would hit user funds and the reserves funding the new buybacks. The validator set is small and closely tied to the team. In March 2025, they delisted the JELLY token and settled positions at a price they picked to stop a manipulation attempt. It protected the platform, but showed a few people can override the market. The same SEC guidance that legitimized tokenized stocks also says they're securities, and Hyperliquid offers them offshore without SEC registration. Stricter enforcement could turn that growth driver into a problem. And it all depends on activity. If volume dries up, both buyback engines slow down. With all that said, what you do with this info is up to you. And if I missed something or got anything wrong, drop it in the comments. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
You're right that it's not a law of nature — anyone who treats new ATHs as inevitable is selling you something. But flip the question around: the ATH is measured in dollars, and the dollar is guaranteed to lose purchasing power over time. Bitcoin doesn't have to "go up forever." It just has to hold its value while the measuring stick shrinks. That's the story.
Same here, during the pumps (+6% - 9%) from previous weeks, I DCA'd from taking profits, and planning to buyback and DCA til we get back near ATH.
As long as your government keeps printing more money, anything, including your TV subscription and favourite burger will hit another ATH. As long as Bitcoin stays decentralized and censorship resistant, there's no a better alternative. TLDR: **Bitcoin has no top, because fiat has no bottom.**
Both can definitely be true in many ways. You can die next week. Bitcoin can stay in the $100k range for the best décadas (and I doubt you'll own a trillion dólares by then). BTC Will hit a New ATH, I'm pretty sure. But logically that makes no Sense.
I blame the ETF for most alt coins not hitting there previous ATH.
Then you know it was all mined or bought fairly by him. You also probably know it continued on to ATH after the announcement. It increased to 420. His average sale was 205$. He announced after the price was already 350. Look I know it was a time where the community was still jumpy- he was doing something never done before- but it was almost 10 years ago. At some point you gotta realize that he’s put millions back in since then and Litecoin will never have a founders bag again.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 7th:** 2026 - $83,221 2025 - $121,451 2024 - $62,237 2023 - $27,969 2022 - $19,547 2021 - $53,806 2020 - $10,669 2019 - $8,246 2018 - $6,603 2017 - $4,427 2016 - $617 2015 - $243 2014 - $336 2013 - $136 2012 - $11.8 2011 - $4.30 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.67 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 970376; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.89 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.58MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.17 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.72 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 16-Oct-2026 (within 1,336 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 3.43% to 137.27 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $260,064 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $43.1M; which translates to $0.0444 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 79,624 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 105,284 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,094 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 971 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $28.39 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 681,633. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.74 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.37; with the median values being 0.51 sats/VB & $0.08 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.20M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.88% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,608,314 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.04M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 07-Oct-2026 is $22,191. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,386. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,202 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 12.02 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 34.06% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 44.11% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 366 days since the last ATH.
There was a sell wall around 87-90. Think of it this way, some people bought at 125,110,100,95,90,…. All the way down. Some of them just wanted a quick buck and instantly saw a -25%-50%. Those are the ones selling when they breakeven or lower loss. I think these are the same ones who will fomo buy in a year when we break the previous ATH. I would love it of it can go down to 77 so i get a lower purchase.
It‘s not that stupid! It was definitely valid until the last ATH!
OP bought at ATH+364d, not in 2025.
If you believed it, mistakes aside, why would you rush to buy at an ATH?
Loading the spring on the eve of ATH
Yes, *you* make perfect sense. The other guy sounds a little like a zealot, or an ATH-FOMO-buying bag holder. I mean, I get it. The only hope for those who are already ass-deep in this thing is to recruit enough fresh meat (liquidity) to pump it to a price at which they can get out unscathed - or perhaps only mildly scathed. That's going to require hype, a lot of hype, even coordinated hype, because there's no underlying asset supporting any of this, and any practical use-case scenarios have evaporated long ago.
ATL 2015 to ATH 2017 = 1064d ATH 2017 to ATL 2018 = 364d ATL 2018 to ATH 2021 = 1064d ATH 2021 to ATL 2022 = 364d The pattern would print this cycle's ATH on the 6th of October 2025. People want to believe otherwise but the simulation will repeat itself. History repeats itself.
It's ridiculous to even think putting money on a project that is 95% off its ATH or talk about it being in an "altseason". There are people that invested $10000 in ADA and are now worth $900. If they were worth $400 6 months ago it's not an "altseason", it's a dead cat bounce inside a gigantic long term bear market of a dead project. Next let's yolo put money on terra luna classic since it's 200%+ from its 2025 low, who the fuck cares if its worth $0,0000471 compared to $100 in 2022.
By your reckoning, a “season” depends on when someone bought their coins rather than how the coin performs, so OP’s question is entirely subjective? If ADA went up x5 from here, it would still be well below its ATH. Would that be “Alt season” for everyone, or only those that bought at a lower price? If 80% rise in 4 months isn’t Alt season, what percentage would be enough? I guess that one man’s Alt-Season is another man’s doldrums!
365 days ago was a good day. Looking forward to the next ATH.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 6th:** 2026 - $85,676 2025 - $124,753 2024 - $62,819 2023 - $27,947 2022 - $19,955 2021 - $55,361 2020 - $10,604 2019 - $7,988 2018 - $6,588 2017 - $4,371 2016 - $613 2015 - $246 2014 - $330 2013 - $138 2012 - $12.5 2011 - $4.70 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.72 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 970203; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.86 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.58MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.17 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.72 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 17-Oct-2026 (within 1,509 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 1.36% to 134.52 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $267,737 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $43.06M; which translates to $0.0445 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 79,797 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 105,601 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,274 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 969 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $28.79 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 680,305. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.81 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.38; with the median values being 0.53 sats/VB & $0.08 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.85% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,587,114 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.06M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 06-Oct-2026 is $22,180. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,351. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,167 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.67 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 32.11% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 48.36% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 365 days since the last ATH.
Bought the dip, then the dip dipped, so I bought the dip of the dip. See you all at the new ATH in a couple of years.
By your reasoning if i a coin falls from 1000$ to 1$ and then goes to 1,8$, that's really great and we are in an altseason. The ignorance in the sub is mind numbingly gigantic. ADA is 91% off it's ATH.
Happy ATH day to those who celebrate
Galaxy made an announcement that it was a client doing end of life reorganization. If I had a giant chunk, I'd sell around an ATH also. Everyone isn't out to get you man, go touch some grass.
I was looking to day and we are barely a year from the last ATH. This sideways movement between 60-90 could keep going for a while. I know everyone wants a big hike this winter but IMHO we have about 6 more months of sideways. But thats just me.
Still down 90% from its ATH, and I think that's part of the problem with a lot of alts.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 5th:** 2026 - $85,679 2025 - $123,513 2024 - $62,090 2023 - $27,416 2022 - $20,161 2021 - $51,515 2020 - $10,793 2019 - $8,152 2018 - $6,622 2017 - $4,328 2016 - $613 2015 - $240 2014 - $321 2013 - $137 2012 - $12.7 2011 - $4.90 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.72 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 970073; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.94 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.58MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.72 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 17-Oct-2026 (within 1,639 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 1.03% to 134.08 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $267,747 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $42.43M; which translates to $0.0443 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 79,927 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 106,634 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,216 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 958 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $30.55 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 662,369. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.91 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.40; with the median values being 0.53 sats/VB & $0.08 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.85% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,579,703 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.06M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 05-Oct-2026 is $22,170. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,306. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,167 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.67 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 32.11% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 48.37% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 364 days since the last ATH.
Everyone thinks because we Made a higher high by 3% and are holding the MA and basing their entire "bull market has officially started" off technical analysis is a fuckin retard. This market always finds a way to dump on everyone, everyone was so sure the bear market was going to continue even lower but it did the opposite, now everyone and their grandmothers are calling for ATH, what's the difference? Be my guest and open a 40x long on btc right now and i'll see you in the streets my friend.
If this is an actual story nice work! Lots of us with similar situations. I know mine has been. Started buying in 2016 and only time I get asked is when it’s super low. Nobody says a word when it hits a new ATH. Let them laugh while we stack.
Anything under 100k is a great buy Anything under last ATH once we breach 100k is a good buy Beyond that I would hold and TP
Volatility is great. Just DCA if you don't know/care what the market direction is. You may want to stop DCAing or even take some profits as the price reaches new ATH or is at price discovery zone, but it'll depend on your goals. With time you'll understand if (and how) this is the best asset... or it isn't.
lol I was so confused because I didn't read the "not" and I was like "wtf is this dude on about" but yeah clearly tokenization is the next big catalyst and we're already seeing projects take advantage and the market recognize it. CARDS tokenizing TCG, nearing ATH. PONS, STONK, and PUMP both starting to pair coins with tokenized stocks, some of the best performers recently. ENA, KMNO, ARB(via RH), doing well because of tokenization. I mean, you don't really need to go all-in, but if you're picking coins off fundamentals, there is a good chance your bags will be tied in to tokenization in a few ways.
Fair point, institutions clearly mattered for BTC's run to its ATH. But BTC had years of grassroots belief before they showed up. Institutions tend to follow a community that's already proven it won't leave, they rarely start one. Whether this one gets there is still unproven, but I'd rather be early and wrong than late and right.
It's just a feel-good fairytale. Without institutional buy-in, that 125k ATH would have come years down the road, not when it did in October 2025. Grassroots buy-in can move certain stocks with enough momentum (as in the GameStop short squeeze) but the crypto market overall, nah, not a chance. The dream becomes real only when institutions start believing the same thing as you and me.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 4th:** 2026 - $86,480 2025 - $122,425 2024 - $62,067 2023 - $27,799 2022 - $20,337 2021 - $49,113 2020 - $10,670 2019 - $8,206 2018 - $6,577 2017 - $4,229 2016 - $610 2015 - $238 2014 - $329 2013 - $137 2012 - $12.9 2011 - $5.0 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.74 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 969949; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.92 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.57MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.72 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 17-Oct-2026 (within 1,763 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to remain at 132.72 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $270,251 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $42.57M; which translates to $0.0435 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 80,051 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 107,155 total Bitcoin nodes; with 24,902 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 980 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $30.55 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 668,198. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.89 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.39; with the median values being 0.54 sats/VB & $0.08 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.84% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,587,446 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.08M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 04-Oct-2026 is $22,159. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,262. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,156 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.56 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 31.47% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 49.76% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 363 days since the last ATH.
Have you looked at just borrowing against the BTC over selling it? Just thinking in two years when it’s most likely going back to a new ATH or been there you’d be better off still owning it.
Most coins never reached their ATH even before 2025.
Slow money or no money. Am gonna need about need about 10 more bull bear cycles before I can retire. I got nest egg money, but if bitcoin breaks its ATH anytime soon, we sure ain’t cashing out. Pretty much I need Bitcoin to hit $1 million, and even if it did, I would probably hold out until $10 million. My time horizon is 20 years.
I'm in the 3rd type too honestly. Price going sideways for months doesn't tell me much, it's all just noise till it breaks one direction hard. A new ATH is the only signal that actually matters, everything else is just people drawing lines on charts and hoping.
And it would have been liquidated with the price drop after ATH.
who made a great decision? 99% of alts never saw their ATH again, do basic research next time.
It's not too late!!! We are still like 30%+ down from ATH!! People, do NOT allow the abject terror of staying on absolute zero haunt you for life. Don't be a Chihuahua, be a honey badger!
If we're entering the generational blow off top phase of the stock market ala 1999-2000, I think you will end up being closer to correct than wrong. 250k is aggressive, but new ATH by Summer 2027 is my current base case, which also assumes the stock market is about to go ballistic into a new ath that will be in place for a few years.
It's a women, and was probably hyped up after last years ATH that they could put in a couple thousand and get back a lot more, so gave the money, and now that it's been a few months and is at the same price they don't want to wait longer and want their money back. but don't understand how BTC cycles work and wouldn't be making anything, and after trading fees and potentially network fees for transfering to cold storage and back is probably less capital than originally was put up. Most likely the investor/holder is wait for a high price point to sell to take a commission after holding an investment for someone else that doesn't understand it could take years to get a decent return on BTC. Just a honest possibility if shes not being scammed.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 3rd:** 2026 - $84,851 2025 - $122,267 2024 - $60,759 2023 - $27,430 2022 - $19,624 2021 - $48,200 2020 - $10,549 2019 - $8,260 2018 - $6,503 2017 - $4,317 2016 - $612 2015 - $239 2014 - $360 2013 - $131 2012 - $12.9 2011 - $5.0 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.70 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 969752; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.72 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.58MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.72 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 17-Oct-2026 (within 1,960 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 0.26% to 133.06 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $265,160 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $41.6M; which translates to $0.0423 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 80,248 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 106,953 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,874 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 985 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $31.54 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 687,749. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.89 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.43; with the median values being 0.56 sats/VB & $0.08 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.84% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,555,119 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.09M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 03-Oct-2026 is $22,148. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,214. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,179 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.79 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 32.76% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 46.93% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 362 days since the last ATH.
Sure but the math is always right. Are we 50% under the last cycle’s ATH? Yes? Congratulations, it’s a bear market, time to buy. And with diminishing returns and flatter bear markets, next time it’s advisable to start buying at -40% already. No need for any experts.
Luckiest: I sold a chunk at almost exactly the current ATH- right at $125K Unluckiest: I thought to myself “yay free money” and put it back in a few days later when it dipped below 120K :O
ATL 2015 to ATL 2017 = **1068d** ATH 2017 to ATL 2018 = **363d** ATL 2018 to ATL 2021 = **1061d** ATH 2021 to ATL 2022 = **376d** ATL 2022 to ATL 2025 = **1054d** ATH 2025 to ATL 2026 = **?** (370d on average)(**October 15th?**)
Can someone ELI5? Shouldn't you only pay tax once, on profit, when you sell? BTC is so volatile, are they going to tax based on the yearly ATH? How could this possibly work?
Well my take.. being very realistic, within 24 to 36 months we reach maybe 225 000$.. within 24 for sure claim back durably the previous ATH at 126k$
The only things guaranteed in life are: Killer ATH’s Surprising awful crypto winters
It’ll be around the previous ATH in June of 2028, and around $200k in fall 2029
Well who doesn't think the cycle wont continue. Will it get back to ATH? YES, Will it get above ATH YES! When No one knows for sure but if rate cuts are on the radar, then YES that will help it rally. 2 more years of DJT so we are ok for 2 years with a LOT of pain in between and LOT of volatility. DON"T buy if your planning on holding, it will drop 3-5k ++ along the way so set you limits lower, let it rally, buy it when it falls DCA in. Don't do what I did and after ATH not take enough profits. Anyone remember OCT 10th crypto liquidation? It happened b/c the 4 year cycle ended. Will it happen again yes? Will it happen in 4 years? Most Likey. Can it happen between now and the next 4 years? A meltdown, yes. The liquidation event and we just keep going down Possible. THIS IS THE HIGH-RISK HIGH-REWARD. This is Crypto.
Thanks for the question. The BTC that Saylor buys doesn’t directly influence the price; the price is manipulated and driven by funds through ETFs and settlements, such as on October 10, 2025. MSTR has announced purchases at levels that aren’t optimal, but they’re doing so as if they didn’t have the premium data needed to get good prices. MSTR and ASST move in tandem with BTC, but these stocks hit their peak before BTC reaches its ATH. BTC is the crypto bait, and many people will continue to buy just to see it rise again.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 2nd:** 2026 - $84,514 2025 - $120,681 2024 - $60,633 2023 - $27,531 2022 - $19,044 2021 - $47,711 2020 - $10,576 2019 - $8,393 2018 - $6,556 2017 - $4,409 2016 - $611 2015 - $237 2014 - $375 2013 - $123 2012 - $12.8 2011 - $5.0 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.70 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 969638; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.79 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.57MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.76 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 03-Oct-2026 (within 58 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 0.24% to 133.07 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $264,106 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $41.69M; which translates to $0.0422 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 80,362 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 108,779 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,875 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 988 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $29.77 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 688,460. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.9 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.42; with the median values being 0.54 sats/VB & $0.08 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.84% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,566,843 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.14M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 02-Oct-2026 is $22,137. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,172. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,183 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.83 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 33.03% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 46.35% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 361 days since the last ATH.
Don’t fall for bull traps. It won’t reach new ATH til next halving. I know we all want to be optimistic but patience is the only way to win. April 2028
This looks like someone took the original 4chan post and edited it in paint. The font is wrong. The colour of the font is wrong. What the old 4chan post actually said is similar to this, but more vague. Also, go look at a chart. The days in between the ATL/ATH were not this consistent. In fact, the number of days in those ranges have been decreasing each cycle.
Holy fuck man…just DCA and count your blessings. ATH will probably be 150/160, do what you want w that info. You can get in now and gain 100%, OR you wait for potential 40k to 3x but may never happen and have nothing.
Lol, obviously I’m not claiming the chart gives an exact number. The point is that with diminishing returns, something in the $180k–$220k range seems more realistic to me than expecting another 3–5x from the previous ATH. $200k is just a rough target, not a prophecy.
why do my thoughts matter? My thoughts are that it will not, the bad actors shot all of their shots they had to suppress the price, now it can only go UP. I have a running bet that it will get to a new ATH by EoY. The last three months in a year were always bullish, barring price supression. But why can't you think for yourself?
Sounds like it is your speciality tbh. First off, last cycle peak to prior cycle peak, was almost a 2x. It wasn’t even a 2x so not sure where you get your 2.3x. But had you bought on the way down and back up to prior ATH your buys would be in the range of 6x to almost a 2x. Pretty good return. Secondly you miss the point of the chart. There is exactly one metric that matters on the chart. It’s the bottom line. That hasn’t broken. So it’s a good indicator of a floor price for the time being. It would be less of an indicator if it broke in a significant way but it hasn’t. This is the “important trend” Thinking we’d get the growth we got from the mid 2010s is naive, but still ample room for ample growth without any macro catalysts. Anyways I do fine following power law floor + cycle theory it’s worked out great for me. Unfortunately I’m only 35 so I don’t get to cosplay as some economic mensch because I didn’t get 30+ years of brain dead gains
The dip is now. We are 30% away from the ATH
Don’t be salty because you purchased at the ATH
Oh man, the next wave of ATH meme's are gonna be something else with the availability of genAI.
I need a new ATH before I declare bull.
BTC is a liquid asset. If you need money you sell, and if you don't you buy. Even when it hits the next ATH it won't be a straight line up.
ATH was October 6 2025 lol
not even close to the ATH from 2025? you sure about that 126k number because i think you mixing up something there, the ATH was not that high in 2025 your algorithms sound fancy but if you not gonna explain the distribution curve then whats the point of bringing it up, just feels like you want people to trust you without showing the work
The problem is the several graphs that get reposted here frequently. They are stating that the bear market (ATH to Low) always lasted exactly 365 days. These numbers are obviously wrong, but that's what many have trusted in now.
Great move on your part my friend. Can’t wait until we hit the ATH.
Just remember, that the new ATH will likely be disappointing as well. It will be max 3x from the last bottom, maybe 4x in 2029. So, not sure why everyone is celebrating the fact that BTC did not hit 40k.
the cause is these coins are down 99% from ATH. It can pump 300% in a week and a lot of people still wont break even
40k until ATH! Woooohoooo... Yeeehawww!
El decaímiento es ahorita... esta vez las mulltiplicaciones en ATH sólo alcazarán x3.5, la próxima x1.5. Y después menos. Hasta su cese de producción de BTC en 2140. El asunto es que ahora que Institucional ya tiene a BTC bien agarrado, y lo seguirá cogiendo hasta hacer en algún momento lo que quiera con el; es que lo harán pedazos pasado entre 2033 y 2040, para que?, para volver a tener inmediatamente después esas multiplicaciones salvajes del inicio, con los fundaderos/hackers haciendo x1000, ó la primera rueda en la Bolsa haciendo x300.
No one can say what’s going to happen but my take, which is absolutely worthless, is that it’s gonna have another dip, 15%-30% before going to another ATH
Yea I don’t really get this. There’s a graph showing diminishing returns and the ATH to previous ATH going down every 4 years as halvings effect supply. Last time the ATH to ATH was 2.3x. You would assume this cycle it’ll be less than 2.3x. 1.4 to 1.6x potentially. Not sure how having the power signs on the Y-axis is helpful. Logarithmic progression shows fine.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, October 1st:** 2026 - $84,001 2025 - $118,649 2024 - $60,837 2023 - $27,984 2022 - $19,312 2021 - $48,117 2020 - $10,619 2019 - $8,343 2018 - $6,590 2017 - $4,404 2016 - $614 2015 - $238 2014 - $384 2013 - $140 2012 - $12.4 2011 - $5.0 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.69 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 969454; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.75 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.56MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.76 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 03-Oct-2026 (within 242 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 0.63% to 133.60 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $262,503 per block. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 80,546 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 107,635 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,816 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 976 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $30.38 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 692,788. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.81 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.40; with the median values being 0.43 sats/VB & $0.06 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.84% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,546,896 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.19M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 01-Oct-2026 is $22,127. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,127. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,190 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.9 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 33.44% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 45.46% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 360 days since the last ATH.
So what is the narrative now? Everyone has heard of bitcoin at this point ... and the hate is at ATH... What is the catalyst?
It will consolidate first in area I mentioned, then probably target is new ATH around $300000 maybe January or February 2028
It will consolidate first in area I mentioned, then probably target is new ATH around $300000 maybe January or February 2028
Oh, sorry, the 50 laws of power dictate 1 gajillion dollars. My bad. And Johnny Kowasaki on YouTube says it’s going to infinite and beyond. 2017 ATH to ATH was 17x 2021 ATH to ATH - 3.5x 2025 it was 1.8x 2029 - could be closer to 1.5x - aka: 189,200 What would break the model would be orders of magnitude of additional capital which could happen in 3-4 unlikely ways. But, by all means, if a power law says $400k and an unprecedented 3.18x of previous ATH, cool. That is just not anything any reasonable financial institution would forecast. And for your boys over at Fidelity talking power laws and shit, they need to put their money where their mouth is. No one pushing allocating to 401k at fidelity or other large institutions. So they can forecast a number, but they’re not on track to allocate the $ that would hit their forecast. To move Bitcoin from a $2.5 trillion asset class to an $8 trillion asset class requires trillions of dollars in *new, realized net inflows*. So without the treasury, 401k, or other global hard allocations - no, there is not going to be a broken diminishing returns model. The multi-hundred-thousand-dollar predictions for 2029 are banking on a total structural break in how the market operates. Without those unprecedented anomalies, the math points to a much lower, flattening peak.
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, September 30th:** 2026 - $83,716 2025 - $114,056 2024 - $63,330 2023 - $26,968 2022 - $19,432 2021 - $43,791 2020 - $10,784 2019 - $8,294 2018 - $6,626 2017 - $4,339 2016 - $610 2015 - $236 2014 - $387 2013 - $142 2012 - $12.4 2011 - $5.10 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.68 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 969310; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 9.88 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.56MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.76 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 03-Oct-2026 (within 386 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to increase 0.1% to 132.89 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $261,611 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $41.11M; which translates to $0.0430 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 80,690 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 107,381 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,484 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 956 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $31.78 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 690,640. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.74 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.38; with the median values being 0.41 sats/VB & $0.06 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.84% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,538,444 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.17M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 30-Sep-2026 is $22,116. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,088. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,195 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 11.95 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 33.66% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 44.97% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 359 days since the last ATH.
I no longer DCA, instead I am opening multiple positions with 3x/4x leverage while we are -30% from ATH. That way when BTC doubles from here (approx 170k, not too crazy a taget) I will have oustized returns which I can use to add to my spot BTC. I’d gain more BTC for the same fiat invested.
Aah the ATH aka entry point
Started in 2018 it crashed and I panic sold for a loss, tale as old as time. Bought back in last year around ATH and have been DCAing since. Cost average is down from 118 to around 78z Do the research, don’t watch the chart, auto draft and check in 10-15 years. You ll be glad you did.
Not sp hidden, everyone knows Charlie sold his bags at ATH whole telling everyone to hold!
**Historical Bitcoin prices for today, September 29th:** 2026 - $83,290 2025 - $114,400 2024 - $65,635 2023 - $26,912 2022 - $19,573 2021 - $41,564 2020 - $10,845 2019 - $8,104 2018 - $6,602 2017 - $4,163 2016 - $606 2015 - $237 2014 - $375 2013 - $144 2012 - $12.4 2011 - $4.80 2010 - $0.10 **Additional Stats:** Bitcoin's current market cap is $1.67 trillion. Bitcoin's current block height is 969187; with the average block time for the last 7 days being 10.07 minutes and the average block size for the last 7 days being 1.57MB. Bitcoin's average block time for the year 2026 is 10.18 minutes. Bitcoin's mining difficulty is currently 132.76 trillion; with the next difficulty adjustment anticipated on 03-Oct-2026 (within 509 blocks). The mining difficulty is currently expected to decrease 0.12% to 132.60 trillion. Bitcoin's current block reward is 3.125₿, which is worth $260,281 per block. Bitcoin's average daily miners' revenue for the last 7 days is $41.87M; which translates to $0.0441 per terahash per sec. The next Bitcoin halving is anticipated to happen between 26-Mar-2028 to 20-Apr-2028 (within 80,813 blocks); the block reward will fall to 1.5625₿. There are currently 109,049 total Bitcoin nodes; with 25,799 being reachable nodes. Bitcoin's average daily hashrate for the last 7 days is 949 exahashes per second. Bitcoin's average daily trading volume for the last 7 days is $33.61 billion. Bitcoin's average daily number of transactions for the last 7 days is 673,377. Bitcoin's average transaction fee for the last 7 days is 2.8 sats/VB, with the average fee's USD amount being $0.40; with the median values being 0.41 sats/VB & $0.06 respectively. There are currently 20.09M ₿ in circulation, leaving 0.91M to be mined. There are currently 4.19M ₿ held by companies, governments, DeFi, and ETFs, representing 20.84% of circulating supply. There are currently 59,518,542 nonzero Bitcoin addresses that contain 165.18M UTXOs. Bitcoin's average daily price from 18-Jul-2010 to 29-Sep-2026 is $22,106. Bitcoin's average daily price for the year 2026 is $73,048. 1 US Dollar ($) currently equals: 1,201 satoshis; making 1 penny equal 12.01 sats. Bitcoin's minimum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $58,558.86 on 30-Jun-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (closing) price for the year 2026 was $96,929.33 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's minimum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $57,747.76 on 01-Jul-2026. Bitcoin's maximum (intraday) price for the year 2026 was $97,860.60 on 14-Jan-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily decrease for the year 2026 was -$10,317.60 on 05-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's largest daily increase for the year 2026 was +$7,853.29 on 06-Feb-2026. Bitcoin's all-time high (intraday) was $126,198.07 on 06-Oct-2025. Bitcoin is down 34.0% from the ATH. However, Bitcoin is up 44.23% from the lowest point since the last ATH. Bitcoin has not reached an all-time high in 2026. It has been 358 days since the last ATH.
Two years of 100$ a week Went all the way up with ATH and all the way back down. Set it and forget it
Works both ways. Diminishing upside (didn't even do a 2x from the 2021 ATH). Diminishing downside.
Stack on the essentials that supports the future like AI and information and the rails that the or anything with value will be sent on for information and infrastructure play ( chain link) AI play I choose TAO ( bittensorTAO) and BTC AND ZCASH for value in the future to hold for years, but I think the next 2 years especially the next 6 months will be a great bull market, I also have Canton (CC) and ATH for compute as a commodity and for the safe play I got silver and gold, plus (ICP) internet computer protocol an stocks are all crypto treasures like MSTR AND PURR
Put around $300K at $75K, BTC maxi. Waiting for ATH+ prices, which means sitting on the sidelines for a couple more years or so.
You shouldve sold when it reached ALT everyone in the space does it eg: you have 2 coins, make sure when you sell at ATH you have enough for 2 coins to buy buy more at the bottom, we have been following the 1064 day theory religiously. We are waiting for the next bottom in late october.