DXY

Creepy-Key-2294

To me it looks like the bottom is being bought now, in relation to a usd deprecation coming in the years ahead. By the bottom i mean a large bottom, from 60-100k area, so for eg once Gold appreciates to say around 7000-8000 I see BTC to double from this base. I wouldn't be thinking that DXY deprecation as a catalyst as most other currencies will move together.

badjano

DXY is a better indicator IMO

DyehuthyTV

OP confuse 2 things: * 💡 **Fiat currency "value" = aka purshasing power (inflation!), that always** 📉[Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power of the Consumer Dollar in U.S. City Average (CUUR0000SA0R) | FRED | St. Louis Fed](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SA0R) 👀 **over time.** * vs * 💡 **FX market exchange (*****FX pairs*****), foreign currencies vs US Dollar (*****world reserve currency, bretton woods*****)** Countries like Argentina, Venezuela or Zimbabwe (*high inflation!*) his purshasing power going 📉 at a faster pace? Yes, this depends on two things: monetary policy and fiscal policy. This is reflected in the FX exchange market? Yes and no, it reflects the "value" between currencies, but not the purchasing power of each currency over time. Here all Fiat currencies goes 📉💡 even the US Dollar! 💡⚠️ X Tweet 👇🏻 - Watch the screenshot! (*old screenshot!*) * [Charlie Bilello on X: "Global currency returns against the US Dollar over the last 10 years... (G20 currencies highlighted) " / X](https://x.com/charliebilello/status/1535637392220110850) 📊👀💡 Why do Foreign Currencies lose "value" against the US dollar (*US Dollar is the world's reserve currency, in the FX exchange market*)? * [The Dollar Index (DXY Index) Explained, and What’s Dollar Milkshake Theory?](https://www.jameslavish.com/p/-the-dollar-index-dxy-and-dollar) 📚👀💡 Worth reading it! * Foreign countries trade in US dollars; if they made their currencies stronger, they would make themselves an "expensive" country. Also this carry side effects, read the article! :D

duboilburner

Looks like some dollar strengthening to me. Check it vs. DXY index. Partly mechanical repricing due to dollar strength but then it gets compounded by traders supercharging the move when they see such a dip starting. Dollar has actually been strengthening while Bitcoin has also been going up since early September, but DXY is breaking out to new highs from the recent trend. Just enough to start maybe forcing a mechanical repricing lower due to relative dollar strength. Whether or not this trend continues for very long is hard to say. I'm not really a currency guy, I just try to find correlations that help explain certain market moves, when the DXY makes bigger moves, it does seem to have a reasonable correlation with stocks and bitcoin having a mechanical repricing. When the dollar weakens significantly, assets need to reprice higher in a hurry. When the dollar strengthens significantly, the opposite. Things reprice lower. Not a 1:1 correlation, but certainly the stronger moves in DXY you can see the opposite happening in stocks and BTC.

Oregon-izer

if your so high on hopium that you can’t see the next rug pull coming as the DXY breaks 102, you just ain’t that bright. Im not saying don’t buy BTC. just don’t overpay for btc.

colemusic1

I’m merely stating the reason BTC may be moving up or down based on macroeconomics, and that it’s becoming increasingly more sensitive to fluctuations in DXY, the bond market and oil futures / inflation fears (as per my original comment. The rest of what you said has literally nothing to do with anything of what I was saying, I wasn’t even saying anything about BTC itself lol.

colemusic1

DXY fluctuates all the time in multi year cycles. BTC is a volatile asset, yes, but it’s still sensitive to macroeconomics. BTC doesn’t simply ignore inflation fears, it in fact has benefited quite a lot recently from oil futures going -14% in just 5 days. So BTC can, at times, ignore macro completely if we’re in a full on euphoric bull run and a FOMO frenzy, but it’s becoming increasingly more sensitive to macro factors, especially inflation fears that we now have happening in October

VettaQ

The indicators with the most consistent tracking record are the boring ones: DXY, US 10y real yields, and a global liquidity aggregate (M2 or central bank balance sheets). Stablecoin supply is the endogenous one worth adding - it measures dry powder actually inside the crypto system rather than conditions outside it. The trap is treating any single correlation as structural. BTC's correlation to Nasdaq has swung between roughly 0 and 0.6 depending on the window and the regime - risk-on/risk-off phases tighten it, crypto-native cycles (halvings, ETF flows, exchange events) loosen it. A fixed "BTC follows X" rule breaks exactly when you size up on it. What worked for me: pick 2-3 indicators, fit the relationship on a rolling window, and treat the current beta as a regime reading rather than a law. When the rolling correlation snaps back toward zero, macro stops being the driver and positioning or on-chain flows take over - that regime switch is usually the more useful information.

colemusic1

The dollar is increasing in value, not losing it. When DXY rises, it makes it more expensive for foreign currencies to buy USD denominated assets like BTC, and when US10Y also rises in tandem with that, it makes it more attractive to funnel liquidity into bonds / less volatile assets. [This is the current reading of how much the USD is strengthening against major foreign currencies](https://imgur.com/a/lCgJCSU)

colemusic1

For those wondering why today’s had a sudden smack down: [check up on DXY, US10Y and oil futures.](https://imgur.com/a/RmYMaCF) All three have soared, but **particularly DXY and US10Y.** US10Y just hit a 19 year high and we just got further reports that October may have a 25bps fed rate hike. So put simply; this isn’t just BTC related. This is global financially related. Any growth stocks / high beta assets, including BTC, are getting smacked by this and we may genuinely see a hit in October if we see macro get even more fucked up. But please don’t be that person that thinks “October dump is because of a cycle.” If it does happen, it’s because US10Y is the highest it’s been since 2007, and trust me that’s no joke.

colemusic1

Oh my actual god 😂😂😂 I can’t even talk about macro like DXY or oil futures without it being considered irrelevant. Just retarded

ForcedZucchini

DXY is just relative to other world currencies. What's happening in the markets is a devaluing of all fiat currencies.

jadepig

That doesn’t contradict what he said though. DXY measures the USD against other 6 fiat currencies. 

XXII78

No it didn't. DXY is still up ~0.6% since Warsh spoke.

symonym7

DXY jumped 2% with the rate hike. 1 BTC = 1 BTC

colemusic1

Yeah you genuinely are right though, I wouldn’t get my hopes up either. US10Y is > 5% again, and DXY soared like +0.70% when warsh’s conference ended and it ended up being hawkish. But oil futures dropping is at least one of the three macro tailwinds that has helped a lot of relief. If that starts soaring back up again though we may get smashed again 😅

colemusic1

Anything can happen to be honest. But frankly, with warsh coming out and the world getting the news that fed rate hikes are hawkish, and macro (DXY, US10Y) started soaring is what I’d expect to smash the shit out of crypto / tech stocks. But BTC has genuinely been super resilient. The fact it was able to sit there and hold at $77k for however long it was recently is actually unreal considering US10Y is now above 5%

MaxiMaxLaurent

I hope this time we really pump and it’s not another back and forth pump and dump. Getting tired of the liquidation chasing. Not a good sign that all the news hasn’t exactly been going our way lately. And now even DXY is going up. People keep saying it shows how resilient BTC is if it can hold up to all the bad news. But it might just confirm that perps are getting a little too dominant thanks to the low volume and diminishing retail.

JashBeep

FWIW, I am completely unphased by bitcoin being accepted or regulated by governments and corporations. There are a set of people who are super focused on news cycle, hype and short term trading. That's just not me. I regard most laws at temporary in the face of something as immutable as bitcoin. For several years there was a meme where China would repeatedly ban bitcoin. What matters is that all of the bitcoin is secured by the bitcoin network and that the bitcoin rules are enforced. As long as that holds true, I think it will continue to gain adoption and value. When governments and corporations accept it, they bend the knee to a system beyond political control. At the same time, they empower themselves against the machinations of the global fiat monetary system. Let me say "if" bitcoin becomes more successful, it will continue to be adopted by corporations and governments. That would be an inevitable outcome of success, any way you look at it. It is not a well reasoned position to say it should only be used by individuals. You can have concerns about manipulation of the value, but you need to recognise that you're measuring it in fiat terms. It is unbelievably difficult to unlearn how to denominate value in something other than currency. I could just tell you to look at GLD/BTC or the average wage denominated in bitcoin or your average house price denominated in bitcoin or your iphone, car, whatever you like. When you denominate in bitcoin, everything gets cheaper over time. At least part of the reason why this is true is because bitcoin has a tailwind because fiat will continue to be debased. There is a certain insistence, even within the bitcoin community, that the USD denominated value of bitcoin is what matters. It is vastly overstated. The majority of people are not from the US. They do not want to buy USD denominated goods and services. In that regard, bitcoin has further tailwinds because most other currencies debase faster than the USD. Having said that, you can use USD as a proxy to understand it's value, but it's an approximation only. It carries with in the problem that the dollar itself fluctuates (see DXY) and debases (see GLD/USD). A good way to be fleeced of your bitcoin is to focus on the short term USD denominated value and trade it based on news cycles, hype, speculation etc. The volatility will destroy you. OTOH, if you see the rules of bitcoin and you like those rules, if you think that's what actually matters and it's a good thing that people should have to give them freedom from financial repression, bitcoin is the superior monetary technology. That's how I see it and so I think it will continue to gain adoption and value will accrue to the network. Everything else is noise.

colemusic1

It’s the fact that macro remains extremely hostile. \- US10Y closed at 4.97% on Friday. \- DXY closed flat on Friday and actually helped most FX pairings except for the euro. \- oil futures have been insanely repriced, now at > $100/BLL US10Y and oil futures are probably the two biggest high beta killers right now. I wouldn’t focus too much on the CMC greed/fear index. Yeah it’s nice to see how risk appetite is along BTC and the alt market but it can rapidly change intraday and it’s much better to see how macro factors have moved intraday, let alone over the last month

colemusic1

I’m watching purely: \- macro \- current bidding zones (seems roughly $76k) \- current resistance / rejection zones (currently about $82.5k - $83k) \- alt market behaviour \- data from net inflows/outflows of BTC ETF’s on brokerage platforms Macro is genuinely the biggest catalyst happening right now. With US10Y basically at 5%, oil futures now > $100/BLL, and DXY that had loosened but became a little tighter again, we’ve essentially got the worst setup possible for high beta assets like crypto or tech stocks. As for when I think the bottom is coming in? No one knows if it’s already happened this cycle or if we may see BTC completely unwind before the end of this year. But I personally doubt we’ll be heading back to < $60k levels based on the two leg downs we’ve had this year. Institutional spot buying via ETF’s is compressing price action and there is a ridiculously large amount of buying demand still existing in the mid $70k’s, so imagine the buying demand around $70k let alone $65k

T_sauce9112

Omg, imma pray for u. And leave my chapgpt anaylsis here The price is going back to 1.10 around September 11-16 is my time horizon. We have HUGE catalyst that can most likely push BTc to the down side. Sept. 10 — U.S. PPI Sept. 11 — U.S. CPI Sept. 15–16 — Fed Sept. 17–18 — BOJ 1. September 10–16 is the obvious macro danger window This is probably the cleanest scheduled catalyst cluster. The official BLS calendar has PPI September 10 and CPI September 11, both at 8:30 a.m. ET. Then only four trading days later, the Fed meets September 15–16, with the decision on the 16th. And because this is a quarterly meeting, we also get the new Summary of Economic Projections/dot plot. 2. Japan may be the underappreciated one This is the catalyst I'm most interested in investigating further. Japan's bond market has been undergoing an enormous regime change. Japanese yields are at multi-decade highs, the yen has recently strengthened sharply, and markets are debating additional BOJ tightening. Why should a BTC trader care? Because for years investors could: borrow cheap yen → convert it → buy higher-yielding/risk assets → lever the trade. When Japanese rates rise and the yen strengthens, that trade becomes less attractive. Investors unwind: risk assets sold → currencies converted back to yen → yen appreciates → additional carry trades become painful → more deleveraging. That's the yen carry unwind. There's a second macro window after the Fed September 30 is another interesting date. BEA releases both the final Q2 GDP/corporate-profits data and August Personal Income and Outlays, which includes the Fed's preferred PCE inflation measures. Bureau of Economic Analysis And JOLTS arrives September 29. Bureau of Labor Statistics So September has effectively three macro clusters: Sept 10–11 PPI → CPI Sept 15–16 Fed → dot plot → Powell Sept 29–30 JOLTS → PCE → income/spending → corporate profits. That's a lot of opportunities for volatility. Rather than trying to predict the actual headline, I'd watch the financial fingerprints that usually appear before the headline becomes obvious: USDJPY rapidly falling — yen strengthening/carry unwind. Japanese yields rising — BOJ/liquidity stress. US 2Y rising — Fed repricing. DXY rising simultaneously — tightening global dollar liquidity. High-yield spreads widening — actual credit stress. VIX rising while equities haven't fallen much — hedging occurring before spot selling. BTC Coinbase premium weakening again — institutional spot bid disappearing. BTC OI remaining elevated while price falls — liquidation fuel building. ETF inflows continuing while BTC stops responding — absorption. If three or four of those begin moving together while BTC remains unable to clear $82–83K, it's highly probable we will sweep lower liquidity at 72k-75k This is my base case. We are bot breaking downside structure until Dec-Jan

T_sauce9112

The price is going back to 1.10 around September 11-16 is my time horizon. We have HUGE catalyst that can most likely push BTc to the down side. Sept. 10 — U.S. PPI Sept. 11 — U.S. CPI Sept. 15–16 — Fed Sept. 17–18 — BOJ 1. September 10–16 is the obvious macro danger window This is probably the cleanest scheduled catalyst cluster. The official BLS calendar has PPI September 10 and CPI September 11, both at 8:30 a.m. ET. Bureau of Labor Statistics +1 Then only four trading days later, the Fed meets September 15–16, with the decision on the 16th. And because this is a quarterly meeting, we also get the new Summary of Economic Projections/dot plot. 2. Japan may be the underappreciated one This is the catalyst I'm most interested in investigating further. Japan's bond market has been undergoing an enormous regime change. Japanese yields are at multi-decade highs, the yen has recently strengthened sharply, and markets are debating additional BOJ tightening. Eurasia Business News +1 Why should a BTC trader care? Because for years investors could: borrow cheap yen → convert it → buy higher-yielding/risk assets → lever the trade. When Japanese rates rise and the yen strengthens, that trade becomes less attractive. Investors unwind: risk assets sold → currencies converted back to yen → yen appreciates → additional carry trades become painful → more deleveraging. That's the yen carry unwind. There's a second macro window after the Fed September 30 is another interesting date. BEA releases both the final Q2 GDP/corporate-profits data and August Personal Income and Outlays, which includes the Fed's preferred PCE inflation measures. Bureau of Economic Analysis And JOLTS arrives September 29. Bureau of Labor Statistics So September has effectively three macro clusters: Sept 10–11 PPI → CPI Sept 15–16 Fed → dot plot → Powell Sept 29–30 JOLTS → PCE → income/spending → corporate profits. That's a lot of opportunities for volatility. Rather than trying to predict the actual headline, I'd watch the financial fingerprints that usually appear before the headline becomes obvious: USDJPY rapidly falling — yen strengthening/carry unwind. Japanese yields rising — BOJ/liquidity stress. US 2Y rising — Fed repricing. DXY rising simultaneously — tightening global dollar liquidity. High-yield spreads widening — actual credit stress. VIX rising while equities haven't fallen much — hedging occurring before spot selling. BTC Coinbase premium weakening again — institutional spot bid disappearing. BTC OI remaining elevated while price falls — liquidation fuel building. ETF inflows continuing while BTC stops responding — absorption. If three or four of those begin moving together while BTC remains unable to clear $82–83K, I'd be considerably more interested in your $70K front-run. This is my base case. We are not going up until at least demecember into January

Cool-Bath874

Oil futures applied a bit more to high beta stocks (semi’s and other high growth tech stocks) more than it does to crypto. This morning was a sudden DXY surge that led to BTC dropping my instantaneously. CL1! Is actually down -1.87% today

Cool-Bath874

I tried to make a post about this, but DXY has risen this morning and a mod removed the post because apparently I’m not allowed to talk about price action and news

PuzzleheadedBid4049

this is actually interesting way to frame it, i like how you admit the statistical weakness upfront instead of hiding it the overlapping window problem is real, one thing i tried before is bootstrapping the daily returns but that gets messy with the autocorrelation too, maybe block bootstrap would help but never got it working clean your macro weights feel heavy on DXY but i guess that makes sense for BTC historically

katamarijuana

Key metrics I personally track. **- BTC/USD w/ 200-Week Moving Average** Shows long-term fair value. Price above = overvalued. Price below = undervalued. [Link](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/i/200WMA) **- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)** Bitcoin tends to move opposite the dollar. Falling DXY = bullish for BTC. Rising DXY = bearish. [Link](https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=TVC%3ADXY) **- MVRV Z-Score** Market Value / Realized Value Shows if BTC is historically overvalued or undervalued. Above 7 = potential top (overheated) Below 0 = undervalued (strong buying opportunity) [Link](https://charts.bitbo.io/mvrv-z-score/) There's a few others like Bitcoin Dominance and Dormancy Flow that may be useful to you. I don't like looking up each metric every time I want an update, so I've used Grok to get live values. It cant get on chain data but some data is available. You can verify yourself using different resources. I then take the Grok response and then copy/paste into a Claude chat that helps me process it in a short consumable format.

YogSothothIsTheKey

Bitcoin non lo scambi soltanto con i dollari ed uscire dal dollaro se sta per perdere valore non è stupido.Spesso quando il DXY è sceso Bitcoin è salito in passato,pensare che possa succedere di nuovo non è irrealistico.

Proof-Teach3172

Yeah, BTC has gotten a lot more macro-sensitive over the last few years. Once you had institutions and spot ETFs piling in, the flows just started behaving like any other risk asset — so when CPI prints hot or Powell sounds hawkish, BTC tends to dump with the rest of the risk-on basket. The DXY and 10Y yield have become pretty reliable tellers for short-term direction. That said, I don't think it's purely macro-driven anymore. You've still got halving-cycle dynamics, exchange balances, and on-chain flows doing their own thing underneath. It's more like macro sets the wind direction, and BTC's internal structure decides how much it leans into it. One thing I find useful is paying attention to how liquidity actually behaves around key levels — not just whether price broke support, but whether there was real depth sitting there to absorb the move before it happened. I've seen Candora is going to roll out something called Liquidity Mirror that tracks how order book liquidity builds and withdraws over time, which sounds like it would give a much clearer read on where pressure is really forming. Curious to see how it pans out when it launches.

SerenityCerulean

DXY and GLI says otherwise. Every bear run was majority caused by decline in global liquidity index. This is the first time GLI is increasing whilst we are having a bear run. Which then makes me believe we aren’t having the usual bear run and it’s getting harder to see lower prices at current state.

Prestigious_Mine_321

⚡ GLOBAL MACRO ALERT: Bitcoin vs Sovereign Liquidity If you are wondering why BTC is struggling to break out despite positive retail sentiment, look closely at the DXY (US Dollar Index) and the US Treasury Net Liquidity flows right now. We are currently witnessing a massive macro divergence. While spot order books show accumulation, global sovereign liquidity expansion has cooled down over the last two weeks. Historically, BTC cannot sustain a massive bull run without a net positive injection from the Fed's Broad Money supply (M2) and a weakening dollar. Watch the macro indicators, not just the 15-minute charts. If DXY holds this resistance and liquidity injections stall, we might see a liquidity sweep of the lower bounds before the next macro leg up. Data doesn't lie.

United-Swan-3288

I wouldn’t buy a damn bit of this anytime soon. No serious HODLer would advise you to jump in now. DXY absolute raging bull market with a new $250 Bill being released tomorrow, you’d be insane to put $5k in right now.

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Post is by: Ced-Invest and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1ueigl2/core_pce_tomorrow_consensus_is_hot_and_everyone/ May core PCE lands tomorrow 8:30 ET. Consensus 0.37% MoM, 3.3% YoY which is flat to April. Hottest monthly in a bit. And the take I keep seeing is the same one everywhere. Hot number, dollar stays bid, crypto legs lower. Maybe. BTC opened around 62.5K this morning, lowest in two weeks, ETH 1,670ish, DXY back over 100. So some of that is already in the tape. What I cannot shake is that the same people calling for a hot print are also calling May the peak. So this could be the last bad one, not the start of something. And the hawkish part is not a secret anymore. Dot plot went to hikes, roughly 68% odds on a Sept hike, dollar at a one year high. Everyone is already on that side of the boat. Also crypto has not really traded the rate path the last few weeks. Feels more like the dollar plus all the cash getting hoovered into pre IPO AI names. A soft PCE does not fix that. Could still light up a pile of shorts though. Not saying long it. Buying blind into a release is gambling with extra steps. I just think in line or soft is the outcome nobody is set up for. anyway. anyone actually positioned for a miss tomorrow or is everyone short into it *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

piggleii

DXY pumping or something or other.

xcrunner2414

The double bottom is actually almost perfect (I mean… PERFECT) on the DXY-corrected Bitcoin chart.

heyheyshinyCRH

Geopolitical and macroeconomics, DXY and oil are up which mean higher inflation. Higher inflation means interest rates stay higher for longer or potentially get hiked. Hiked rates means the cost of doing business is higher so investors typically pull away from risk assets and since Bitcoin is the highest risk asset there is, they bail on crypto. A lot of that money is going into bonds since the yields are high, they're locking in those rates. This month the bank of Japan is certainly going to be hiking rates which means a carry trade unwind. Yen is the most borrowed currency in the planet so when that happens, big money pulls profits to pay back their loans. That's what's happening right now. It's getting priced in.

bbrout

It did go from 20k to 3k once. But there were events driving that. I don't see any particular event driving this. Gold is down. Stocks are level kind of, war in Iran been going for a while. dollar steady on DXY. Bond yields rising steadily. So I can't see a particular event. Do you see anything that may have caused this dip?

Lonely-Contact162

u/DreamingTooLong Amazing burn on the kid! He even became a trader after your message to gain extra credibility, haha; Since you mentioned bubble, I am curious on your opinion. Considering sharp fall in DXY ( on a yearly timeframe) and long term devaluing of dollar as well as crazy influx of capital by gvmnt into AI, is it a bubble or a fair valuation of an unfairly subsidized good in capital system?

devCheckingIn

Alts are driven by algo-trading on BTC, just like how BTC is algo-traded to other things like the DXY or IGV or QQQ or whatever. Unless you get "organic" buying demand you're not going to overcome the algorithm. But you're not going to get organic buying demand unless the red candles go on vacation. FOMO is necessary to get parabolic moves and you need retail for that. That's what helped drive gold and silver. I agree with the general sense that alts are useless, but they're no more useless than Bitcoin. Where there's speculation, they'll go up. None of this crypto crap has real value like Nvidia or Apple or whatever.

heyheyshinyCRH

Yea probably. With oil remaining high, DXY going up, and no rate cuts, this will be a bad year for crypto. Watch out for the carry trade unwind in June.

Dry_Corgi9590

Real yields are probably the single most important variable right now. When real yields rise, Bitcoin tends to get crushed because the opportunity cost of holding a volatile zero-yield asset goes up. When real yields fall, Bitcoin tends to rally. This has been the cleanest signal lately . Dollar strength used to have a clean inverse relationship with BTC, but that correlation has been breaking down in 2026. We've seen periods where both move together or even positive correlation. The DXY is breaking out toward 101 right now, and how BTC responds will tell us a lot about whether decoupling is real . ETF flows have fundamentally changed the reaction function. Institutional investors now drive price action, and they think in macro terms. When $1 billion left spot Bitcoin ETFs in a single week recently, that wasn't crypto news doing it. That was macro pressure and profit taking . Inflation scares are where it gets interesting. Bitcoin has shown it can act like digital gold when inflation is monetary in nature (excess printing). But when inflation is supply-driven (energy, goods), BTC often trades like tech beta. The label matters less than what's actually causing the inflation . The real answer to your last question: Bitcoin acts most like an independent asset when real yields are falling, liquidity is expanding, and the shock is about sovereign credibility or capital controls. It acts like a risk-on trade when real yields are rising, the dollar is strengthening, and the market is just repricing Fed expectations. So it's not one or the other. It's both, depending on the regime. That's what makes it interesting. And harder to trade.

otetmarkets

Not wrong, it just means the CPI print didn’t change the rate path much because the market treated it as a small beat and largely energy-driven. BTC is reacting more to liquidity and positioning, so I’d watch 10y real yields and DXY, plus your 80.5k hold or 82k break levels.

Crypto_Signal_Radar

Good point on the DXY — dollar strength is a headwind for crypto that doesn't show up directly in the internal data I track. Worth adding to the watch list alongside tomorrow's ETF flows. The synchronized dump thesis is possible but hard to time — that kind of coordinated liquidation event is visible in hindsight, rarely in advance.

colemusic1

utter bullshit? there’s halving cycles for a reason mate. they do not determine direction, but give structure. check the halving cycles of: - 2012 - 2016 - 2020 - 2024 And, 1. then maybe you’ll reduce the hostility for literally zero reason and see i’m not “trying” to sound convincing — i’m merely stating that actual blunt facts about a volatile asset that has historically had consistent halving cycles where deep corrections can be as much as -80% (which is less likely but not impossible nowadays due to institutionalised flows into ETF’s since 2024 + much deeper liquidity than those earlier cycles). 2. No one is able to “predict” a market or which way the crypto market is going to head in, we can only go off all factors combined: where we’re at from the LAST halving cycle (2024), how BTC is trending now, macro factors (like DXY & bonds, not to mention broad index ETF’s). It’s for direction, not a guarantee. The whole point i’m making is to get a general grasp on what might be a favourable entry relative to where its last cycle’s high was (going from $126k -> $60k -> then finding a range at $65k - $70k for weeks would be a reasonable time to start dca’ing). That’s not “beating the market”, that’s trying to not time tops or lows, but accepting you won’t time either of them — **and that’s a shitload better than blind DCA’ing into BTC at ATH.** I don’t know why you’re getting so hostile about it or think i’m trying to come across as “lucky”, i’m saying there’s a very big difference to blind DCA’ing into broad index ETF’s over a highly volatile asset. That’s why I even said it’s not a wrong decision, it’s the question of whether you’re getting the most realized gains out of it. Take a breather mate, no one’s attacking you 🤣

colemusic1

There’s a big difference between saying: “it will” versus “it may be affected” i’ve been tracking every macro factor — from DXY, US10Y, AUDJPY, SPX, QQQ. A global risk off catalyst doesn’t necessarily mean that crypto “will” get hit, it means it’s sensitive to this and “may” take a hit from it. We’ve seen days in the past 4-6 months since this deep correction where both DXY/Bonds have tightened significantly and yet we saw BTC expansion on these days. We’ve also seen days where both major macro factors have loosened immensely while BTC stayed flat to slightly negative. It’s a directional tool, not a certainty. Don’t treat it like one.

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Post is by: Environmental_Bat399 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1su7beh/what_tools_do_systematic_crypto_traders_actually/ I've been building trading bots for a while and wanted to share what my current stack looks like — curious what others are using. **Price data**: Binance API (free, fast, reliable). Hard to beat for real-time candles and order book. **On-chain**: Honestly skipping the expensive stuff (Glassnode $800+/mo, Nansen $150/mo). For most systematic strategies, on-chain data adds noise more than signal unless you're doing whale-tracking specifically. **Sentiment**: Fear & Greed index + funding rates. These two alone capture most of the crowd positioning signal. **Regime classification**: This is the one I think most people are missing. Knowing whether you're in a bull, bear, or chop market *before* your strategy runs changes everything. An EMA crossover that prints in a trend gets destroyed in a range. I built an API for this — [Regime](https://getregime.com) — that runs 10 signals (SMA cross, funding, F&G, dominance, stablecoin flows, volume, volatility, liquidations, DXY) and outputs bull/bear/chop with a confidence score. Updated every 5 minutes. Try it yourself: curl -s https://getregime.com/api/v1/market/regime | jq Free tier gives you BTC + ETH with 500 calls/day. Pro is $49/mo for all 20 assets + real-time + signal breakdowns. **Execution**: Custom bots on Node.js. I've also built a [Freqtrade integration](https://getregime.com/freqtrade) for anyone using that. What does your stack look like? Especially curious about what people use for regime/market-state classification — most solutions I've seen are either too simple (just RSI) or too expensive (Glassnode + custom analytics). *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

LiquidityCompass

Feels a bit overfit tbh. You’re mixing macro (Hormuz, oil, DXY) with a super tight short-term trade plan. If this was really a macro-driven move, it wouldn’t depend on a $1–2k range and a specific entry window. BTC holding here is interesting, but that alone isn’t “institutional support” — it can just as easily be a range before the next move. Right now it looks more like compression under resistance than a clear long setup.

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Post is by: Disastrous-Prune-529 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1skmamr/i_built_a_macro_scoring_system_that_outputs_a/ For the past few months I've been building a system that tries to answer one question: *what is the macro environment actually saying about BTC right now?* Not vibes. Not Twitter. A deterministic score. **How it works:** The system pulls data across 6 categories and weights them into a final score from 0 (strongly bearish) to 100 (strongly bullish): * **Inflation / Economy** — CPI trend, real rates, recession signals * **Fed Policy** — rate trajectory, liquidity conditions, balance sheet * **DXY** — dollar strength as a BTC headwind/tailwind * **Risk Sentiment** — equities, credit spreads, fear indicators * **Liquidity** — global M2, financial conditions index * **Bitcoin-specific** — on-chain signals, dominance, funding rates Each category produces its own sub-score. The final verdict also includes a confidence level and the key signals driving it. **What I deliberately avoided:** Letting an LLM decide the output. The scoring logic is rules-based and auditable. LLMs are only used in one place — classifying macro headline sentiment — and even that feeds into the score as a minor weight, not a judgement call. **Current output looks like:** Score: 67/100 Bias: Moderately Bullish Confidence: High Key drivers: Softening DXY, M2 expansion resuming, Fed pause confirmed Headwinds: Elevated real rates, risk-off equity positioning Supports current / weekly / monthly timeframes and stores snapshots so you can audit past calls. Still in late-stage development. If this sounds useful to you — whether you're a trader, running a small fund, or writing a newsletter — I'm looking for a handful of people to try it and give honest feedback. Drop a comment or DM if interested. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Constitutionofpalm

to be fair, the dollar in your pocket changes value constantly…. you’ve just chosen to ignore it. The chart on trading view is DXY. Everything reacts to the market…. literally

EazeeP

Wrong. the US goal in Iran is to seize the global oil spigot. Venezuela in January -> Iran in February. Neutralize every supply channel outside the dollar system within 90 days. Achieve a compliant successor government and complete energy dominance. The oil thesis was the obvious layer. However, when you zoom out & view the last four years as a single sequence rather than isolated geopolitical events, the architecture of the grander US plan becomes visible. 1st was Europe, which laid the groundwork. The Ukraine conflict provided the justification for sanctions that collapsed Russian pipeline gas from 150 billion cubic meters to 40. Then Nordstream was destroyed, which rewired the entire European energy system permanently. The US went from supplying 28% of Europe's LNG in 2021 to 58% by 2025, exporting a record 111 million MTs, the 1st country in history to break 100 MT. Europe was transformed from a customer with options into a captive market now purchasing its survival in USD. 2nd was Syria. The fall of Assad severed the critical node connecting China's Belt & Road Initiative to the Mediterranean. The trilateral railway linking Iran, Iraq & Syria, designed to bypass Western maritime chokepoints, was completely destroyed. This isolated Iran geographically & cleared the path for what came next. 3rd was Venezuela. In January the US effectively took control of the world's largest heavy crude reserves. The US Gulf Coast has the most advanced refining complex on earth, specifically built for heavy sour crude. Phillips 66, Valero & the rest are now positioned to process hundreds of thousands of barrels of Venezuelan crude daily. The US captured a massive strategic reserve & solidified its position as the dominant exporter of refined petroleum products, an industry worth $110 billion in 2025 alone. Venezuela & Iran were the two major oil supply channels that existed outside the dollar system. Both produce heavy crude sold primarily to China & evaded US financial supervision. Both now being neutralized within 90 days, which leads us to.. 4th is Iran & the Middle East energy shock. Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field, the world's largest natural gas reservoir. Iran retaliated against Qatar's Ras Laffan, the single largest LNG facility on earth, responsible for a fifth of global supply. QatarEnergy's own assessment is that 17% of export capacity is gone and recovery will take up to 5 years. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. European gas prices spiked 70%. Asian spot prices doubled. The only remaining scaled supplier? The United States. If Iran falls & a successor government is installed that the US controls or influences (the Delcy model described weeks ago) then roughly 40 to 45 million barrels per day of global production out of 103 million is effectively under US control. OPEC becomes irrelevant because the US coalition is now the marginal producer. Now add the gas dimension & it goes beyond oil. This war is solidifying the petrodollar system as it evolves into a hybrid petro/LNG-dollar. The old system was built on Saudi crude priced in USD. The new system is built on American crude plus American gas from the Gulf Coast, with no alternative supplier of comparable scale. The dependency is deeper because LNG infrastructure requires long term contracts & regasification terminals that lock buyers into supply relationships for decades. Europe & the Pacific allies (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, etc.) cannot pivot away as there is nowhere left to pivot to. They're now locked into the US energy system. The market confirms this. DXY went from 96 to 101. Gold down ~20% from its January all time high. Bitcoin down 20% on the year. Brent above $100. European & Asian institutions are liquidating precious metals and crypto to buy dollars because they need dollars to buy the only remaining scaled energy supply. The world is selling its gold to buy American energy in American currency. The dollar is now being weaponized through energy dependency. The structural repricing is happening regardless of how the conflict resolves. But the US grand strategy goes deeper.. Artificial intelligence is a physical industry. It runs on power and chips. Data centers require massive uninterrupted baseload electricity, primarily provided by natural gas. Semiconductor fabrication requires helium & rare earths. By choking the Strait of Hormuz & crippling Middle Eastern LNG & helium production, the US is systematically degrading China's ability to power its data centers & fabricate semiconductors at scale. The US is energy self sufficient, especially with newly captured Venezuelan reserves & expanding Gulf Coast capacity running on domestic gas. On the other hand, China is import dependent & every joule it imports effectively now transits chokepoints the US Navy controls.. Iran was the Belt & Road's overland energy bypass, the corridor that allowed China to mitigate the Malacca Trap. With Iran neutralized that corridor is severed. China faces a world where its compute infrastructure competes for scraps on a depleted global LNG market, while American data centers run at full capacity on domestic energy. Russia is next in the sequence. A post-war Iran reopening under US influence competes directly with Russia for the same refineries in China & India at lower cost. Iran's production costs are lower. Russia loses its last structural advantage in heavy crude & its economic lifeline. Additionally, under the Iran war cover, Ukraine has been opportunistically destroying Russian energy infrastructure & all signs point towards Russia being at the end of the line. The message from Washington becomes very simple: we dismantled two regimes in three months, your economy is about to get crushed, sign the Ukraine deal. Then Trump sits down with Xi holding every card. Complete energy dominance. The hybrid petro/LNG-dollar fortified, Iran cleared, Russia cornered, & China facing the Malacca Trap fully closed with no remaining energy bypass. Israel & the GCC are absorbing the kinetic cost of a conflict whose primary beneficiary, counter to the mainstream narrative, is actually America (First). Qatar offline for 5 years reprices the entire global gas market in favor of US exporters for the remainder of the decade. The Gulf states face years of rebuilding. Europe faces its 2nd energy crisis in four years. Sure, the average American might face temporary moderate inflation & higher gas prices. But if you are the architect of the US empire & you view the rise of China & Chinese ASI as an existential winner takes all scenario, the collateral damage is acceptable cost. Whoever controls the energy corridors controls the monetary system. Whoever controls the monetary system & the energy supply simultaneously controls the compute infrastructure that determines which civilization builds ASI first. The US is seizing all 3.

DeathFood

Weird considering DXY is up since the start of the war. 97.7 to 100 in a month Maybe the commonly held talking points aren’t actually true?

Obtusk22

Spot on. DXY affects too

Suitable_Criticism72

That’s a fair assessment. The difference between "resilience" and "true momentum" is a fine line right now. To lean into that macro-heavy perspective and spark some debate, you could ask: Do you think we need to see oil and the DXY actually cool off before BTC can break its correlation with macro fear, or is the fact that it's holding the high 60k range despite those headwinds the 'clean' signal we're looking for?

colemusic1

Keep an eye on these on TradeView: - DXY (most important), if it’s going up then the crypto market is fighting against it and struggles from it. But this also benefits ETF’s such as S&P500 - US10Y (U.S government bonds, also super important): if it goes up, it also means the crypto market can take a hit here - QQQ (also important): if it’s going down, chances are the crypto market may also struggle too, now that BTC has heavier ties to ETF’s than it did years prior. So, Just basically download the app, keep an eye on those 3. Whether or not the stock market (individual stocks or index funds such as S&P500) or crypto goes up first is hard to know, but when DXY & US10Y is rising in month to month charts, these two are the most important factors for realising if the crypto market is risk on, or risk off. Other things matter, like the war etc, no denying that much. But those two macro factors single-handedly are the most important factors for knowing if BTC will not only: - rise again - but actually sustain its rise rather than break back down - it’s weird because DXY going up = typically bad for crypto, yet good for stocks/ETF’s

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Post is by: NewMJay and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: http://infototrader.com Salut à tous, Je développe InfoToTrader depuis quelques mois et je voulais partager l'outil ici pour avoir vos retours directs. C'est quoi concrètement ? Un tableau de bord tout-en-un pour traders, accessible directement dans le navigateur sans installation. L'idée de départ est simple : arrêter de jongler entre 5 onglets différents pour suivre un actif. Tout est centralisé — prix, actualités filtrées, calendrier économique, niveaux clés, corrélations, indicateurs macro. Les 3 mode de trading C'est ce qui différencie InfoToTrader de la plupart des agrégateurs de données : **M**ode scalper Session en cours, fenêtres de volatilité par actif (ex : overlap London/NY pour l'or ou le forex), événements intraday avec countdown en temps réel, alertes priorité haute. Tout ce dont tu as besoin quand tu as 30 secondes pour décider. Mode day trader : Semaine économique complète, actualités filtrées par actif (pas de bruit inutile), radar réseaux sociaux avec détection de divergence sentiment vs fondamentaux. **M**ode investisseur : Indicateurs macro mis à jour (taux Fed/BCE/BOJ, DXY, US10Y, VIX), analyse fondamentale, scénarios haussier/baissier/range avec probabilités pour chaque actif. Ce qui est couvert 35+ actifs : Or, Argent, WTI, Brent, Gaz Naturel, Cuivre, Blé, Maïs — EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD — S&P 500, Nasdaq, CAC40, DAX, FTSE, Nikkei — Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP — Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, TotalEnergies, LVMH. Ce qui rend l'outil unique * Adapté par actif : les niveaux clés, corrélations et événements affichés sont spécifiques à l'actif sélectionné. L'Or n'a pas le même calendrier que le Nikkei. * Sentiment Dynamique : calculé en temps réel à partir de la tendance des prix, de la position vs niveaux S/R et de l'agenda macro du jour — pas un score statique sorti de nulle part. * Niveaux clés dynamiques : recalculés à chaque mouvement de prix via Camarilla Pivots, pas des niveaux figés mis à jour une fois par semaine. * Fuseau horaire : tous les horaires s'adaptent automatiquement à ta zone — un trader en Asie voit les mêmes événements aux bonnes heures. * 100% Gratuit, pas de compte, pas d'email requis, ça s'ouvre et ça marche. Ce qui arrive prochainement * Analyse IA contextuelle par actif (Claude AI) — en cours * Application mobile * Alertes Telegram/Discord Lien : [infototrader.com](http://infototrader.com) Je lis tous les commentaires et je réponds à chaque question. Si vous trouvez un bug, une donnée incohérente ou une fonctionnalité qui manque, dites-le moi directement ici c'est exactement pour ça que je post. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

uncapchad

DXY's at 100. US Treasury yields are up. Nobody's de-dollarising. Maybe later but definitely not now. Market’s focusing on consequences of this war - inflation and potential interest rate hikes. Bitcoin has many advantages one of which is being able to transact instantly, especially if you self-custody. Tokenised gold may get there but it just doesn't have the market Bitcoin has.

SuperbDependent8663

DXY is just strength compared to other OECD currencies - look at gold.

Sea_Procedure_3471

DXY is back above 100, and we couldn’t hold levels. Disgusting.  Can’t wait for the end of the year. High inflation, low rates, and a weak ass mother fuckin dollar. 

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Bitcoin remains resilient at $71,000 despite macroeconomic pressures, including a surging U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above 100 and 10-year Treasury yields exceeding 4.2%. Risk assets like Nasdaq-tracking QQQ and oil near $100 typically face challenges under such conditions. MicroStrategy (MSTR) added 11,000 BTC using funds from its Stretch (STRC) security, while crypto exchange Coinbase gained 2%. Market signals suggest potential for an explosive move in Bitcoin's price as it holds steady amid these headwinds. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

DelapidatedNoodle

DXY just exploded up. Now we're going bear market.

OkBuy4754

Laddered exits beat vibes. Mine: 20% at 180k fib, 30% DXY>105, trail rest on 50-day MA breach. Written plan netted $40k this cycle.

Fit-Welcome1436

Honestly, this crash isn't just a random correction. If you look at the Nasdaq correlation and the recent tariff announcements, it’s a perfect storm. We’re seeing massive liquidations of over-leveraged longs because people expected the '2026 recovery' to be a straight line up. Macro uncertainty is king right now, and until the DXY cools off, I don't see a bottom...

JellyfishStill2690

You get it! 👍🏽 The USD probably has only half a decade at best in the right environment. We're up to our necks in inflation and a fiat currency war with BRICS nations. We know who. Tomorrow should be interesting when the market opens. This shit with Iran will make the DXY and oil act funny maybe.

Several_Region_3710

Fair point — gold has had a great run. My framework does incorporate cross-asset signals (DXY, gold, SPY) as context for crypto positioning. Different thesis though: I'm not trying to pick the best asset class, I'm trying to generate alpha within crypto using on-chain + macro signals

PutAdministrative809

There is no $150B “refund hole” and the Fed does not print money to fund tariff rollbacks. Treasury operations are not QE. If tariffs were adjusted, that does not automatically create a sudden liquidity injection. Refunds are not instant, not guaranteed, and not funded by the Fed turning on a printer. If this were a real liquidity shock, we would see it in actual plumbing. Fed balance sheet expansion. Meaningful reverse repo drain. Sustained DXY weakness. Credit spreads tightening. Lower real yields. That is what liquidity looks like. Not a headline. Also, crypto has historically moved in a 4 year reflexive supply cycle tied to the halving and liquidity conditions. Markup, rotation, blow off, contraction. If we are entering the contraction side of the cycle, liquidity tightens and alts underperform. A single macro rumor does not override structural cycles. This isn’t about politics. It’s about mechanics. Liquidity is measured, not imagined.

derpinard

I'm going to give you one metric that currently has a 100% correlation with metals, crypto, and stocks: DXY. Everything hinges on market expectations of future rate cuts. If DXY hugs the 97 points floor, it's good to be long. If it rallies, everything drops. I'm not joking — until there's an official policy, you're trading the dollar in so many disguises.

randskarma

DXY is trending up.

goldenbuyer02

and how do you know if we havent bottom? DXY is below 96, MVRV Ratio is 1.31 and fear index is 11. It just doesnt make sense to keep going down.

goldenbuyer02

i think the same, we won't go below $65k. DXY is below 96, MVRV Ratio is 1.31 and fear index is 11. It just doesnt make sense to keep going down.

midnightsystem

Trump promised American crypto people that he will be a pro crypto president, and yet he is the mastermind of this crypto catastrophe. First, the pump and dump Trump and Melania coins, Second the war which strengthen the DXY. Third, the pardon of CZ, which allegedly in collution with trump, give trump crypto market, and the will be free. Fourth, more altcoins are being created, which divide the liquidity of altcoin and crypto market as a whole.

GBR2021

Actually, EUR/USD changes 1X % within a year all the time, both ways. You're just subscribing to the lastest fad to parrot and I think we're up for a DXY bullrun.

devCheckingIn

Meanwhile bad jobs numbers don't even more the markets / DXY anymore.

Solid_Wolverine1639

The dollar is up 10% over 5 years up against a basket of currencies, DXY Yen euro pound krona Swiss franc and Canadian dollar

Critical-Win-4299

2026 it goes back to DXY for the most hated rally

derpinard

Crypto is just liquidity for institutions. Go watch the chart from tonight and put it against DXY. It has a nearly perfect correlation, technicals and trends be damned. To answer your question: crypto can only go up when the dollar is weak, yields are low, and there's excess cash in the system (M2). Without these prerequisites, it's literally a highly liquid, non-yielding asset that can be sold 24/7 to cover margins, so they'll keep selling it when needed until the macro environment changes.

Giozos1100

I can point to a chart and explain the gold movement vs the dollar. You cannot do that with Bitcoin. Go compare XAU to DXY. They move inversely because that's how value works. An asset can be undervalued or overvalued, but will still move within reason over time. Simply show me where Bitcoin has gone up as the dollar has fallen and then moved inversely. You say Bitcoin hedges against the dollar, show charts that prove this.

Giozos1100

Silver and gold just hit new ATHs while the dollar value is at a multi-year low. The dollar bounced and metals fell. That's exactly what you want to see. Compare DXY to gold or silver. They move inversely as they should. That is the definition of a store of value.

gcbeehler5

I don’t think you’re following what I’m saying. DXY is down about 12% over last year and bitcoin is about the same over that same period. There’s variations yes but as the dollar value has declined relative to other currencies so has bitcoin. Bitcoin is absolutely tied to the US dollar.

TheRealTheory001

april to nov BTC/DXY was up 75%. There's no escaping a bear market in a bear market.

gcbeehler5

Yeah, go look at bitcoin’s price relative to the DXY. The graphs over the last year tell the story.

devCheckingIn

Well, first of all, this isn't true. The DXY jumped +0.50% (which is a big move) between 10-11am ET while BTC plummeted 4% in the same hour. Second, the S&P 500 made an ATH on Wednesday, and equities are tied to the USD. The fact is, crypto is in a very unique position of being just about the only asset in a bear market.

devCheckingIn

That doesn't really make sense though if your currency is USD. When people talk about the dollar devaluing they're usually referring to the DXY, which is just a comparison to other currencies. Unless you're doing foreign exchange, or are measuring something in the other currency, it doesn't mean much. Unless you're talking about purchasing power, which is an inflation thing.

FuckM0reFromR

126k was the pump. Now it's dumping, along with the DXY lol

confusedguy1212

Is anybody else genuinely worried about Gold price ascent and DXY fall while crypto standing still? I for one am pretty jittery about this and I have a relatively far time horizon.

kgaoj

Look up DXY's performance in the last year lol. It has devalued exactly 11% in the last year as of Jan 28, 2026.

AlternativeLet3635

Upside of gold is discussed at $6000 as fast as it goes up it goes down. 20% upside. Bitcoin downside is around $10000 lower but upside is between $150 000 and $250 000 but this is speculation at best. The earnings and potential government shutdown are key factors. DXY is dropping best to not be sitting on too much cash, or carry too much debt.

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Arthur Hayes, former BitMEX CEO, suggests that potential Federal Reserve intervention to support the Japanese yen could lead to increased dollar liquidity, weakening the dollar index (DXY) and boosting Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Hayes theorizes that the Fed and U.S. Treasury might create dollar reserves to stabilize Japan's bond market, indirectly benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin. While his hypothesis remains unconfirmed, he believes such actions could drive asset price inflation, with traders closely monitoring Fed data for signs of this scenario. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

n4weed

The DXY is really going down. 

TexasBoyz-713

DXY seems to have just broke below a decade+ long support trend line that it’s bounced off of since 2011🤔

TexasBoyz-713

DXY seems to have just broke below a decade+ long support trend line that it’s bounced off of since 2011🤔

faiqR

Sheesh. Dollar is collapsing hard right now. DXY, USD/CHF, USD/EUR, USD/JPY all pointing down.

Aerocryptic

DXY chart looks heavy af. There might a slight relief for us there

jwz9904

DXY down 10% in 1 year. Shitcoin level

WordsHappenedHere

Bro hasn’t even bothered to pull up a chart of DXY since Trump took office. Fake Fox talking points

anon-187101

the DXY is *not* the inverse of BTC

elidevious

Dude, the stock market is literally at an all time high. So I don’t know what you’re going on about. The democrats were literally actively trying to kill crypto. Crypto is where the vast majority of my wealth has been made. So yeah, Trump has reversed what the dems were doing and is laying a foundation for crypto mass adoption. While the dems are still fighting. I’ve lived abroad for the past 15 years because I specifically don’t want to deal with all America’s problems. Additionally, I don’t vote because it doesn’t feel fair to participate in something that I’ve removed my self from. That said, it still affects me because of bitcoin and taxes. And you simply will not be able to convince me that Trump was bad for crypto because he rugged meme coin gamblers. I pulled off a 5x this cycle buying low and selling BTC hight. I see absolutely no problem. Besides, I think your world view is way too myopic and US-centric. China is in a deflationary housing spiral. People are rushing into metals to preserve their wealth. The Japan Carey trade is unwinding, further pushing the DXY dollar down. Frances’ debt is crippling Europe. Government around the world totally over leverage. I think we can agree Bitcoin is the solution to a lot of these problems. And I’m grateful, as an American, that Trump is establishing laws supporting crypto, stable coins, and Bitcoin. As for all the shit with ICE murdering people. My wife is a foreigner, and my son. The international conflicts, tariffs, and generally fuckery. Trump is a borderline totalitarian dictator and global bully. That makes me ashamed to be an American and super glad I don’t live there. I daily show gratitude to the country I reside in for the peace and prosperity it gives me and my family. I honestly wish you the best over there.

jwz9904

when DXY dumps, btc usually pumps but usual isn't usual anymore

Heapy

Seeing this market in the gutter as DXY keeps dropping lower is heart breaking.

gcbeehler5

I think the issue generally is, BTC's value is tied to the US dollar index and hegemony. That worked for a long time, until the crypto bros got their hooks into the US government, and their techno-dystopian views got baked into US policy. Now they are reaping what they sowed. Over the last year the DXY is down 13ish %, and so is Bitcoin. That isn't an accident. The premise for folks who have weaker currencies, may still benefit for some period, but as the US goes this path that may not be a lasting proposition.

MotanulScotishFold

Compare with DXY