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Notable events from last 24 Hours
Crypto Market Enters Turbulent Week, Expect Big Losses
[Satire] Investing in ice cream outperforms bitcoin during bear market years, analyst finds.
Bitcoin-friendly PPI data boosts bulls as Ether price fights for $2K
Bitcoin-friendly PPI data boosts bulls as Ether price fights for $2K
I Miss the Simpler Days of Crypto: When Macro Analysis Wasn't a Thing
PPI Numbers Fall Lower Than Expectations, Market Reacts Negatively as Bitcoin Holds $25,000
important dates to watch out for this Month!
Crypto Markets Analysis: Bitcoin’s Improving Health May Be Thanks to 'Dr. Copper'
Bitcoin sees new 4-month high as US PPI, retail data posts 'big misses'
FED Pivot Off The Table? PPI Data Hot Markets React
BTC price tests $17K on PPI as Bitcoin analysts eye CPI, FOMC catalysts
BTC price tests $17K on PPI as Bitcoin analysts eye CPI, FOMC catalysts
Bitcoin price hits $17K on US PPI as trader warns of 'final capitulation'
Bitcoin price hits $17K on US PPI as trader warns of 'final capitulation'
8:30 am everybody is waiting for this, if you don't you probably don't know what you are doing then.
BTC price wobbles on US PPI as Bitcoin futures open interest hits peak
important upcoming dates to keep an eye on!
Eurozone inflation shows no signs of slowing down. BTC is gaining more attention as investors flee to safer assets.
Mentions
The market is correcting because you & your people are emotional. Nothing in the data has changed, if anything, latest CPI & PPI were lower than expectations & new trade deals are being negotiated one country at a time. Your snapshot in time isn’t even 90-days long & you’re acting like you know something
I'm thinking around May 10th+- a few weeks when April CPI, PPI, unemployment, etc. are released encapsulating 'Liberation Day' we boom
PPI came in so good. So naturally futures are in the red.
CPI/PPI numbers this week as well..these do have some of the early tariff shocks.
CPI, PPI and Consumer Confidence have not been priced in for after the tariffs went into effect. We are on the precipice of a bear market. April is going to be a tumultuous month.
You will know about 9 hours when first markets open. I expect usual dump followed by big dump because of Burgers' CPI, PPI, PEE, gaps data, LOO, POO numbers.
Not buying into this low volume suckers rally. I am waiting for then Burger gaps, Burger CPI, XPI, GPI, PPI, UPI, IPI, PAPI numbers and data before making my move
Ah CPI number aren’t that b…. TARIFF!!!. Oh look PPI better the exp…. TARIFF!!!! Hmm looks like some good crypto news with some reserv……. TARIFF!!!! Hey an American Crypto conv……. (Sucking each other’s dick) TARIFF!!!!!!!
it's all information at this stage. annoucements are not facts. Bills have to be read in House & Senate etc. Putin has a laundry list of terms, 200% tariff on EU imports. CPI and PPI are Feb data - before all the stuff kicked off in earnest. People know life is going to get more expensive. Flight to cash, gold or - as I read today - certain property markets are booming. We're still the minority in the world, many people just don't know about, some are strongly opposed and the rest couldn't be arsed about crypto.
How? I really don't understand ... if this isn't manipulation / price suppression I don't understand what is. I know no one shows shit about fuck but please give me your best explanation of how the hell is massive institutional / governmental adoption, ETFs, BTC strategic reserve, digital asset stockpile, lower CPI, lower PPI, Ukraine / Russia ceasefire causing us to dump. Please don't tell me the T word ... even that seems to be somewhat on track to be resolved, no? What the flying f\*ck!???
PPI data was not good. Could indicate falling prices.
Most bullish crypto administration in history. CPI and PPI were both good, and we STILL dumping 😂
nah it's February data so most of it was before all this nonsense kicked off. I don't think Fed's going to signal interest rate cut just yet. Probably be a small uptick in CPI and PPI (Thurs) but "nothing to be concerned about". Yet.
Yeah. Some type of black swan is always out there. I think FED will follow. Too strong a dollar risks global credit crunch. Economy here is worse than people think. We’ve prob already been in a recession for awhile. Maybe no cuts from FED imminent, we’ll see how PPI and CPI come out. But they’ll prob end QT.
What result are we hoping for on the CPI and PPI that could actually help the crypto market ?
CPI & PPI this week. All hopes pinned on JPow and praying ole tariff eyes doesn't open his yap or tweet. Let him play golf and leave us all alone
Economy slowing and FED is going to start easing. My belief is that CPI and PPI come in low this week. FED is dovish at the March meeting. Maybe even a cut.
USA CPI Wednesday, PPI Thursday. Looks like we might have a small up before then. Not sure it will hold though xD
Prob be pretty quiet until CPI and PPI are released.
CPI and PPI this week. Hope all y'all are buckled up and got yer helmets on!
Rate cut(s)???? Lol we were forecasted to have 2 rate cuts in 2025 just 2 months ago. Now it's only one. And those chances decrease with every passing day. Inversely, our odds of a recession are increasing. The CPI and PPI reports next week will be very interesting. Overall the sentiment in the market is NOT bullish.
CPI/PPI comes out next week, then the FOMC interest rate meeting the week after. Buckle up.
Brother. I derisked after hot PPI in December. My contrarian views have always saved my ass. Right now, everyone and their mother are shouting the bull market is over. This is exactly the kind of sentiment when I bid the fear. 30% corrections in a bull cycle is normal. Unless you entered last year, this dip is nothing. But then I should thank you confirming that majority of retail is scared shitless. Which is a good sign for continuation. Besides we're filling the wide CME gap of 77k to 80k as we speak. Once this fills, we likely have a good chance of reversal. Also today's PCE data is crucial on deciding if the fed will be dovish next FOMC.
Does anyone know any important dates like PPI etc? Forexfactory is showing so many things
Given high CPI and PPI numbers on top of low consumer/retail numbers (showing slowing in the economy) is not an environment BTC usually thrives in. BONDS went up 3% Friday so if we continue this stagflation sentiment then BTC will not be an investment option
In the end, what matters is the PPI. Because everything that increases in prize to produce will at least in the same dimension trickle town to the consumers. CPI is a lie by the politicians to calm the masses.
Core PPI wasn't terrible, it met expectations and we're already oversold rn so this price action is not that weird
Higher than expected PPI. Inflation numbers again missed. First move is up right now. Weird? Are the forecast numbers fake? In reality big players were probably expecting just way worse numbers so it's now "better than expected"... ?
PPI 0.4 Actual, 0.3 Forecast, 0.2 Previous Inflation is kicking our butts
PPI was bad but seems to be priced in
PPI today. And the forecast isn't looking great. So we'll probably pump 😂
PPI report is tomorrow and the reciprocal tariffs (supposedly)
PPI report is tomorrow and the reciprocal tariffs (supposedly)
Nothing can stop BTC, bad CPI for ants? Bring on the bad PPI and employment data tomorrow!
Key upcoming economic events in the next week Feb 11: FED chair Powell testifies. Feb 12: CPI inflation data Feb 13: PPI & Jobless Claims Feb 14: Retail Sales Data
Nothing to see here except market doing market things on a Friday, bots/algos running the show even though everyone has been predicting no rate cuts for several months now. Chinese CPI & PPI tomorrow as well. Might be more pain coming.
You don't have to take my word for it. A little research will show the expectations of a rate cut rose to 94% after the PPI numbers were released.
PPI overheated, fear of inflation creeping back up, rate cut expectations adjusted
Don't worry too much about PPI numbers unless the MoM is absurdly high, because PPI goes higher almost every month and it always has. [Here's the data going back to 2011.](https://imgur.com/skjfAyF) So no, modest PPI increases aren't going to stop the bull run.
PPI is ALWAYS rising. Pull up USCPPI on TradingView.
PPI inflation data very bad (3 instead of anticipated 2.6 which was already terrible). Probably rate cut next week still going to happen but starting January we might be fckd. Would not be surprised with market topping earlier than expected but who knows when. We know what happened last time PPI inflation was rising (hint: check out charts for 2022).
PPI not very good this time.
That's a macroeconomics top. 9 November was PPI release for October 2021 print. First print above 6%. Transitory no more. They front ran the Fed by selling everything. They were right, QT + 525 BP hikes in less than a year
The second peak was to be ANOTHER Pi Cycle Top. But on 9 November 2021, the PPI report for October 2021 was released. >6% inflation. The Federal Reserve was forced to pivot from 0% interest rates and limitless QE to over 5% Fed Funds rates and 100billion+ per month of QT. Since Bitcoin is based on expanding global liquidity for demand, it doesn't do well in QT, recession, and M2 money supply contractions. The second Pi Cycle Top never came because the global economy pulled the rug of liquidity from beneath it.
>FTX was one of the largest, if not THE largest financial crime in history. Nonsense. Lehman Brothers hid $50 billion loans disguised as Sales. Madoff tricked investors out of $64.8b. Saytam falsified accounts to the tune of 50 billion rupees. Enron hid debts off the balance sheet costing investors $74 billion. WorldCom inflated assets by over $11bn. Regulators in the United States, the UK, and the European Union fined banks more $9b alone for rigging Libor rates that underpins trillions in loans. The mis-selling of PPI cost industry $50bn. The Savings and Loan Crisis of the 1980 cost taxpayers an estimated $130 billion to clean up. The Volkswagen Emissions Scandal cost them $30 billion in fines, settlements, and buybacks. The Perkins Elmer Stock Fraud is estimated to have cost investors $10bn. Danske Bank money laundering scandal saw $236 billion laundered through the Estonian branches. The subprime mortgage scandal that rated bad debt as good leading to the global financial crisis of 2007–2008.probably the largest financial crime history where hardly anyone was jailed for was probably the largest. One so big that it lead to and fueled the adoption of Bitcoin in the first place. Despite the disproportionate volume of coverage on FTX collapse i the fact investors will recover all funds lost in the collapse has barely been mentioned. Storm in teacup, which the media have managed to convince people that FTX, SBF and their demise were disproportionately bigger than they were.
Hmm First Crypto Youtuber and X folks talking about locking profits to not regret missing the tops. Those talks after we had only 5-6 days of real bull. 😩 Stock market corrected yesterday because of PPI and Jerome Powells remakes that rate cuts might be paused. And BTC followed, the ETFs had outflows of 400 million yesterday. People are already de-risking. Bull sentiment already dying?...
Dump started at market open , not at release of PPI
Interesting that the probability for a rate cut in December is still at around 80% despite PPI being worse than expected ... I mean inflation is lagging and not reducing rates now is also a risky call, but still interesting 🤔 Then I don't understand why we are dumping. Because another sell off?
“The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.”
Since when is it not good if the PPI number are above the prediction?
April 12th, 2021, was the Pi Cycle Top crossover day. It was 2 days off the top. November 9th and 10th were PPI/CPI release dates for the October prints. That was when the market realised an inflation pivot was happening. November 22nd, 2022, was the CVDD date at the bottom.
Your friend is right that, over the past century, the historical average for CPI inflation has been around 2-3% per year, but recent economic trends reveal a more complex picture. Inflation in the past few years has indeed risen significantly above this average, with rates in the U.S. and many other countries climbing above 7% due to a combination of supply chain disruptions, rising energy costs, and expansive monetary policies implemented during the pandemic. So, while the long-term average may appear stable, recent data shows a much sharper inflationary trend, making the higher figure more reflective of today’s economic reality. Moreover, CPI is just one measure of inflation, focusing on a basket of consumer goods and services, and other measures like the Producer Price Index (PPI) or the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index often reveal slightly different rates. Each metric has unique strengths and limitations depending on what part of the economy is being evaluated. It’s also worth distinguishing between core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, and headline inflation, which includes them. Core inflation can sometimes make inflation seem more stable, while headline inflation better captures the real, often rising, costs that consumers face. This is a crucial distinction as it highlights how actual consumer expenses can vary widely, even when long-term inflation rates appear relatively low. Additionally, recent shifts in the global economy add new layers to this conversation. The emergence of the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) as a competing economic bloc has implications for the value of the U.S. dollar and, by extension, inflation. BRICS countries are increasingly trading in their own currencies to reduce dependence on the dollar, which could affect its value and buying power internationally. If demand for the dollar falls, it could lose some value, making imports more expensive for Americans and potentially pushing inflation higher. Finally, even at a seemingly small 2-3% annual rate, inflation compounds significantly over time. A 2% inflation rate means prices would double roughly every 35 years, so inflation, even at lower levels, represents a substantial erosion of purchasing power in the long run. Together, these factors underscore why the 7% figure you mentioned, while recent, reflects more accurately the real and potential inflationary pressures of today’s global and economic environment, making it a critical point to bring up in your conversation with your friend. I generated this with chat gpt Inputs: 1. what is a good response to this: I was having a chat with a friend recently about inflation. I talked about how it’s roughly +7% per year and he argued that it was only +2%. After a bit of research I found that my friend was correct, according to the last 100 years of CPI data. What am I missing? When I speak to this friend again, what do I need to explain to poke a hole in his understanding of inflation/cpi? 2. Redo in paragraph form and include the creation of BRICs and its compettition effecting the dollar lol
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next month. Last Friday’s unexpected flat PPI data led to a collective rise in the three major U.S. stock indices. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 both hit intraday record highs. Over the past week, the Dow Jones increased by 1.21%, the S&P 500 rose by 1.11%, and the Nasdaq gained 1.13%, marking the fifth consecutive week of gains for all three indices. The cryptocurrency market followed the U.S. stock market’s upward trend.
Pre election + mixed CPI/PPI data + SPX, Nasdaq, DJIA breaking records + China stimulus + institutional needs to make lots of money before the storm which is coming soon
My take is the macro view. News happens every day CPI, PPI, Middle east conflicts. All markets react to that day to day news. I think the main story is the long term trend of currency debasement and monetary deflation. As long they keep printing money BTC is gonna keep going up.
Only if your using someone elses PPI and ID
PPI wasn’t too bad. Slight pump on the numbers
tldr; This week, three key US economic events could impact the crypto market: the release of September's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core Producer Price Index (PPI) data, and initial jobless claims. The CPI report, expected on Thursday, will provide insights into inflation, influencing Bitcoin and market strategies. A higher-than-expected CPI could limit the Fed's ability to lower rates, affecting Bitcoin's potential upside. Additionally, the PPI data will indicate inflationary pressures at the producer level, potentially impacting crypto mining costs. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.
#Today's activities US PPI US Initial Jobless Claims ZEN ZEN 5.0.4 Release
tldr; Bitcoin remained stable over the weekend, trading between $54,000 and $55,000. Upcoming events include a Presidential debate and the release of U.S. economic indicators like the CPI and PPI. Market analysts from Presto Research suggest Bitcoin is undervalued due to its record-high network security despite prevailing macroeconomic concerns. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.
Prices going up also doesn’t mean that, margins does. If they just have higher costs from PPI going up, it doesn’t work that way. The majority of companies outside of certain ones are feeling inflation.
PPI and CPI numbers are very good and below expectation. Crypto doesn't give a shit man. Zero movement. Let it be a bit worse as expected and we dump 🤣😐😐😐😐
Why should it? PPI came in way better than expected
life goes on. CPI PPI FOMC at least i learnt what the hell these are.
PPI https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar
PPI in general isn't the indicator people care much about. CPI, and to a larger extent, PCE are the ones that have a larger impact on investors
So where was the dump and / or pump from the PPI data?
0.0% vs 0.2% forecast (PPI)
High PPI would have a negative effect on BTC price, but it's only one factor of many.
CPI/PPI and other bullshit data doesnt matter. Up or down we are 100% going down. Yes even when its positive because ‘sell the news!’. That is how weak this market is. Time to short
I'm off my tits on PPI right now!!!
My prediction today is, we continue to tick downwards until about 30 mins before the PPI, then huge green 15 min candle followed by a huge 15 minute red candle back down.
My guess is a slight uptick in inflation for Aug. Also PPI is tomorrow and inflation report on Wednesday.
I believe they come out Wednesday. PPI numbers will be tomorrow. And retail sales numbers on Thursday. Busy week ahead!
PPI will come out tomrrow, and CPI in wednesday, how will Bitcoin's price react short term?
PPI Tuesday and CPI Wednesday will give us some inflation numbers. Then we are expecting some sales numbers from big-box retailers like Walmart which will help the market gauge consumer spending and sentiment.
24 mins to PPI pump and dump 🔥
And the most funny thing even where is good news like 2 weeks ago when we’ve had better CPI and PPI then expected we still dumped lol. This so called ‘bullrun’ it doesnt matter Bad news = dump. Bad news = dump.
It doesnt matter also if we get good news like good CPI and PPI. It just keeps dumping. It means too many traders, and the retail gets used as exit liquiditiy again.9
I mean what is even going on at this point man? No crypto related bad news (actually a lot of good news that some institutions are buying now), CPI and PPI are cooling down, the us government talking about crypto, traditional markets at all time highs. What the actual fuck is wrong with you crypto???
PPI also at 2.2% now.. traditional markets green. How unfortunate that now the miners decided to sell ... 😔 When they stop and the traditional markets have a dump we go low...
Great PPI report, let's send it -99%!
Crypto be like: Negative CPI & PPI: Dump! Positive CPI & PPI: DUMP!
dumping on bullish PPI. crypto is king
Very bullish PPI release today after yesterday's very bullish CPI! YoY Growth: 🇺🇸 PPI (May), 2.2% Vs. 2.5% Est. (prev. 2.2%) 🇺🇸 Core PPI, 2.3% Vs. 2.5% Est. (prev. 2.4%) MoM Growth: 🇺🇸 PPI (May), -0.2% Vs. 0.1% Est. (prev. 0.5%) 🇺🇸 Core PPI, 0.0% Vs. 0.3% Est. (prev. 0.5%)
And PPI won’t show any major surprises. On a side note, truflation is down around 2.3% now
Don't forget... PPI is released Thursday morning. Could really drop a turd in our punchbowl.
PPI coming out Thursday morning. Rumor is it's gonna be high.
Use accusative PPI from 1980 through 2024. Then apply that to the avg 1980 spot gold price.
Damn damn fed minutes yesterday is killing everything in sight. He said because of sticky inflation rate cuts are unlikely this year. There is NOTHING more important than high interest rates, inflation and the feds response to these. At some point the fed will begin cuts and the market as well as crypto will explode. We need bad or lower numbers. PPI, CPI, Jobs numbers so the fed can begin cutting which he is dying to do but stopping inflation is much more important. Don’t hold your breath!!! This year.
A reminder CPI & PPI will be announced in 2 hours and 23mins. That means quite of volatility is to be expected. Set your stoplosses now!