ETF

jsands7

My… and this isn’t a joke… my staples delivery guy that comes into my office once a month WILL NOT STOP TALKING about the entire world economy moving to XRP. and I’m pretty sure he cashed out his entire 401k and put it into XRP, and I bought like $1000 of an XRP ETF just to get him to leave

TopAlert2383

We may have had higher BTC this cycle but the last cycle everything pumped to crazy amounts. SOL hit 258 and only hit 300 this cycle, AVAX was at 150 and struggled to hit 50 this cycle. Trust me when I say 2021 was way more exciting than 2024/2025. You could turn 1k into 10k in a month back then. What I'm saying is money is made from pushing it down as low as possible and then pumping it back up. Newer people hate seeing their bags drop that much in value, but its necessary for true wealth to be built. If BTC hits 30k and your coins will be down 90% or more. That's when you buy and hold. But if Saylor gets liquidated we see sub 10k BTC and altcoins close to 99% losses and then everyone will say crypto is dead. Thats when smart money will start buying. As time goes on less and less chains will recover and thats cause the market will pick winners and losers. We dont need 20k different chains. 10 at best is what's needed and ETH is taking a huge chunk of that with L2's and L3's. SOL, HBAR, ETH and BTC have their own ETF so my money is on them being the chosen few.

thereisnospoon7491

Interested outsider here. Has there been or is there any way to show that this is true, I.e. that there *are* actually millions of people who have adopted bitcoin and are storing in exchanges/ETF wallets?

SnooChickens7147

Spot on. Single-day outflows are just noise, but a four-week streak suggests a regime change in institutional appetite. We’ve moved from 'price discovery' to 'liquidity rebalancing.' Using flows as a lead indicator for momentum shifts (like that $60k to $70k move you mentioned) seems like the only way to read the ETF era. Until that net-outflow trend snaps, aggressive adds feel like fighting the tide.

EliteTechUniversity

Why not just purchase BITO or an ETF that pays you a dividend. Check out normalfinance.io for liquidity pools to hold that BTC

EmuFlaky2922

My $.02 - overall BTC low will touch 200WMA. 35-50k at some point. At least once. If btc hits 50k soon it’ll likely be bullish short term to 90s. And then cool off, correct again, probably remain stable. If it remains stable around 67, I’d say that’s a good valuation for the entire year. If it wicks or dips and returns then that’s a steady price. If/when we correct lower buy baby, buy. Hindsight is 20/20 - what an investor or influencer says is the lowest target, even with experience, charts, and social credit, may not come to fruition. Considering this is the best year for accumulation, buy every dip and DCA. When BTC had that last leg down to 15-17k in nov 22, it was there for like a month and then stabilized in the 20s. People waited for lower like 12k (RIP Gareth Soloway).. many believed him. And there was clout and charts and talk… omg was there talk but insolvency everywhere. But it remained steady and not long after that was one of the most insane bull runs due to the ETF in ‘23. You could have bought at 25k and still 5x. I saw this somewhere: In bull markets- bad news hurts price momentarily but overall it goes up daily/weekly/monthly. In bear markets- good news helps price momentarily but overall the price goes down. Write down targets and stick to them. Legit. Write them down when and where you will BUY and SELL. selling feels great - I won’t be doing that for a bit probably. End rant!!!

asseousform

Wealth consolidation of bitcoin is highly skewed by exchange and ETF wallets holding large amounts in custody for customers. Using BTC wallets to measure wealth consolidation would be like considering banks to be individual holders when measuring consolidation in USD, when in reality they hold for millions of people.

Few-Beginning-6478

Like half of the left column is from MSTR and the FUND/ETF column is for exposure to (mostly) individual investors in the BTC sphere.

AutoModerator

Post is by: Ok-Idea9394 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/Q_DecouplingPairs/comments/1r90421/thesis_the_real_reason_crypto_dumped_nvidias_2026/ **\[INTELLIGENCE BRIEFING: A synthesis of hard data, thermodynamic limits, and verifiable order-flow logic. Read carefully.\]** Let's address the elephant in the room. Jensen Huang recently teased that Nvidia is preparing several **"never-before-seen chips"** for GTC 2026. The mainstream AI crowd expects another GPU node shrink or a memory bandwidth bump. But if you look at the **Thermodynamic Limits**, **Nvidia's actual software commits**, and the **recent violent liquidations in the Crypto market**, the logic points to a structural shift: **Nvidia is building a dedicated Hardware-level QPU-GPU Gateway / Quantum Error Correction (QEC) ASIC.** Here is the deductive reasoning, the whisper-network connection to the crypto crash, and the open challenge to the skeptics. # 1. The Crypto Dump: Smart Money Heard the Whispers Before we get to the physics, let’s talk about the tape. Why did the crypto market experience such massive, coordinated dumping recently? The mainstream media blames macro rates or ETF outflows. **They are wrong.** Crypto "whales" and institutional insiders have a whisper network. They know that the only existential threat to Bitcoin's valuation model is a structurally viable, fault-tolerant Quantum Computer. Until now, the consensus was that this threat was 15 to 30 years away. But if Nvidia is about to bridge the Quantum Error Correction gap in 2026, **that timeline shrinks from "decades" to "2-3 years."** The recent crypto dump was smart money pricing in this exact technological viability. They are front-running the realization that the encryption-breaking compute standard is arriving ahead of schedule. **Long Quantum, Short Crypto.** The Great Decoupling is literally playing out in the order flow. # 2. The Scientific Facts: The Latency Bottleneck Quantum Error Correction (QEC) is the only way to achieve fault-tolerant quantum computing. It requires identifying and correcting errors on physical qubits in real-time. * **The Physics:** To maintain a logical qubit, the "Syndrome Extraction" (measuring errors and applying the fix) must happen within a **microsecond window** (typically under 10 microseconds for superconducting systems). * **The Problem:** Traditional GPUs, communicating over standard PCIe buses, simply cannot process this feedback loop fast enough. The physical latency is too high. * **The Solution:** You need a dedicated chip—a gateway—that sits physically closer to the dilution refrigerator (Cryo-CMOS compatible) and uses direct photonic/RDMA links to decode errors instantly. # 3. Nvidia & Jensen's Trail of Breadcrumbs Jensen doesn't build hardware without building the software moat first. Look at the R&D footprint over the last 18 months: * **The CUDA-QX Launch:** Nvidia launched **CUDA-QX**, a dedicated software library specifically for Quantum Error Correction. Why build a massive software ecosystem for something 30 years away? Because they intend to shorten that timeline with hardware. * **The NVQLink Revelation:** Nvidia unveiled **NVQLink**, pushing GPU-QPU interconnect latency below 4 microseconds via RDMA over Ethernet. This was the protocol prototype. * **The Missing Piece:** NVQLink is currently an architecture standard. To scale it to millions of qubits, Nvidia *must* release a dedicated silicon chip (an ASIC or modified Tensor Core) to handle the QEC math natively. The quantum industry is already preparing for this. Companies like QuEra and Quantum Machines are actively integrating their control platforms with Nvidia's NVQLink to allow "real-time execution of quantum-classical programs." # 4. The Deduction: Why it is NOT just another GPU If Jensen's 2026 GTC announcement is just a classical AI chip, it absolutely cannot be called "never-before-seen." 1. **Node Shrinks are Predictable:** Moving to a 2nm process or stacking more HBM4 memory is the standard Moore's Law progression. We have seen this movie for 20 years. 2. **The Thermodynamic Wall:** We are hitting the Landauer limit for classical compute energy efficiency. To maintain the AI narrative, Nvidia must introduce a non-classical (non-Von Neumann) compute paradigm to drop the energy-per-token by 1,000x. 3. **The "Category" Shift:** A "never-before-seen" chip implies a completely new *category* of silicon. A QPU-GPU Gateway ASIC that operates across extreme temperature gradients to perform microsecond QEC decoding is the only technological leap that qualifies. # 5. The Market Implication: A Massive Catalyst for Hybrid-Quantum Pure Plays Let’s connect the physics to our portfolios. If Nvidia is indeed unveiling a dedicated QEC/Gateway chip, **this is a sector-redefining tailwind for companies focused on Quantum-Classical Hybrid Computing (like $RGTI, $IONQ, and $QBTS).** Building a stable quantum processor is hard enough. Building the ultra-low-latency classical control infrastructure to correct its errors is an engineering nightmare. If Nvidia commoditizes the "Control & Gateway" layer, these pure-play quantum companies no longer need to invent the entire full-stack wheel. They can focus purely on scaling physical qubits and simply **"plug-and-play"** into Nvidia’s enterprise infrastructure. This instantly transforms hybrid-quantum companies from "experimental science projects" into **immediate, deployable compute nodes for the AI industry**. Nvidia becomes the toll road, but these quantum hardware companies become the only vehicles capable of driving on it. # 🛡️ The Steel Man Challenge I will be perfectly candid: **This is a deduction based on order flow, thermodynamic limits, and corporate R&D footprints.** I do not have a leaked schematic from Santa Clara. But as an investor, you don't wait for the press release; you front-run the physics. If you think Nvidia is just going to release "a slightly faster GPU" and call it "never-before-seen," I invite you to challenge this thesis. Bring your papers on CMOS scaling limits. Bring your arguments on why classical IO can handle surface code error correction. Let’s stress-test this in the comments. The blueprint for the 'Great Decoupling' is already written in the laws of physics. **Perhaps in the near future, we will witness the exact hardware that bridges this gap.** Don't let the noise shake you out of the infrastructure of the future. 🦅🚀 *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

DemandNew8116

sure. but as another maxi just commented me elsewhere, not your keys not your coins. ETF's & Microstrategy WILL eventually get 6102'd. I would bet my entire stack this happens somewhere in the next 50-100 years.

KusanagiZerg

Not your keys, not your coins. The coins that exchanges hold are owned by them. You just own an IOU. If the exchange goes bankrupt they won't give you your Bitcoin. They will sell it to cover their outstanding debts because it's THEIR Bitcoin to sell. If you want to include this under Individuals why have one that says ETF's & Funds? Part of that is also "owned" by individuals.

ghostchihuahua

better yet, do your own TA, understand the markets, its actors, its regulators, its power-players and mf ETF's for instance...

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth funds, Mubadala Investment Company and Al Warda Investments, increased their holdings in BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) during Q4 2025, despite a 23% crypto market decline. Their combined exposure now exceeds $1 billion, signaling a strategic shift to include Bitcoin as a core treasury asset. This move aligns with Abu Dhabi's broader embrace of digital assets, supported by updated regulations and infrastructure investments, positioning the city as a global hub for digital finance. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

user_name_checks_out

[Abu Dhabi Funds Buy The Bitcoin Dip](https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1r7x3qr/abu_dhabi_funds_buy_the_bitcoin_dip/) [Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund increases Bitcoin ETF to over $1 billion](https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1r7wcz4/abu_dhabi_sovereign_wealth_fund_increases_bitcoin/)

Cptn_BenjaminWillard

I don't think so. I'm a fan of ETH ETF's, but this one will only be staking a portion of total Ether to balance inflows and outflows. So sure, it could technically damper churn, but if a third of the assets are not being staked to account for inflows and outflows, it would take a pretty large upset to hit the choke points.

cypherx1

This staked ETF is extremely bullish for eth because it includes a lockup period which will reduce volatility in outflows and sell pressure.

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; BlackRock and Coinbase will retain 18% of staking revenue from BlackRock's upcoming Ethereum ETF, ETHB, with the remaining 82% going to investors. ETHB, which could become the largest Ethereum ETF, will generate staking yields estimated at 2.8% annually. The ETF will stake 70-95% of its Ether to balance yield generation and redemption requests. This move follows SEC guidance clarifying staking products are not securities. Concerns have been raised about Wall Street's influence on Ethereum governance due to such ETFs. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

Comprehensive_Pea424

Amateur investors worry a lot about volatility and profitability in short periods of time.  Looking at the last 5 years, BTC appreciated by ~20%, while the S&P 500 total return was ~76%.  For many people, 5 years is a "long" period, and holding an extremely volatile and risky asset to get a return of 1/4 of an S&P 500-indexed ETF is unacceptable.   The trend is for more and more people to sell, especially if the bear market continues or the drawdowns become more brutal

AutoModerator

Post is by: Algo_Mas and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r8lwek/btc_will_probably_fall_to_50k_within_a_few_weeks/ As of February 18, 2026, analysts from Standard Chartered and Canary Capital warn that Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 within weeks due to a "capitulation phase" among institutional and retail investors. A primary driver is the massive sell-off from Bitcoin ETF holders; with an average purchase price near $90,000, many are facing steep unrealized losses and are exiting their positions as the market trends downward. This exodus is compounded by a "risk-off" sentiment in global markets, fueled by U.S. economic uncertainty and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair, whose hawkish stance on interest rates has dampened hopes for near-term monetary relief. Technically, Bitcoin has already broken critical support levels, including the $72,000 mark, which has now flipped into a strong resistance zone. Market analysts note that there is very little historical support between the current price of roughly $66,700 and the $50,000 psychological floor. Furthermore, Bitcoin miners are under intense pressure to sell their holdings to cover skyrocketing energy costs driven by the expansion of AI data centers, adding a constant stream of sell-side liquidity that could trigger a "flush" toward the $48,000–$50,000 range if the current $60,000 support level fails to hold. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Nomad0001

It’s an inverse ETF. There’s no short squeeze.

BaldGuyAce

Yes, but ETFs are mostly individuals using their retirement accounts. Almost every person I know who "owns bitcoin" actually just has exposure through an ETF using their retirement or their brokerage accounts.

KateR_H0l1day

I’ve put in some lower and much lower limit buys over the last week. I cancelled some lowish ones this morning that were there from a few weeks ago. Simply because they were getting too near to be activated, and reanalysis of my thoughts to the potential lows we’ll see during the next 6-10 weeks. One thing to think about is what normally doesn’t happen in past cycles that can alter the narrative. For example: we have never gone through this part of the cycle where ETF’s were a factor, plus the number of BTC-TC’s that are in the game now. Another one is the concern that this US Administration has regarding Mid-Terms. I quietly confident that Trump & Administration will be doing what they can to ensure their strategic role for the remainder of the term. Such things as Tax Breaks, the total market stimulus, including BTC. Just some musings from a random internet stranger 🤷‍♀️

BacchusAndHamsa

So the promise of stablecoins proved to be a farce and now you're scared. Good, invest in something good and don't return to stablecoin. Pick an ETF of your choice. 4% would be a high ranked bond fund.

Master-Monitor112

ETF from black rock are selling massive outflows.

DemandNew8116

well if you look last year or so, the ETF's and companies have made a huge dent in individual ownership

Therighttodo

Let's fix that with facts: - Charlie sold at an average of half the ATH, and he was transparent about it from the start. Since then, he's been using his money to support the Litecoin Foundation. *I can't share links to YT sources here (Reddit keeps removing my comment then) but you can find them in my other comments on my profile, or let me know on chat if you are curious.* - With Charlie Lee having sold his stash, Litecoin had a stronger case for being treated as a commodity (and thus not a security under the Howey test), so the Litecoin ETF filings had a plausible path in the US regulatory landscape even before the SEC's Sept 2025 generic listing standards. - Litecoin rose to the 400s (twice - in 2017/2018 and in 2021) from the 100s-200s where Charlie sold most of his holdings - regardless of his selling. The market clearly didn't care, so neither should you.

Therighttodo

Let's fix that with facts: - Charlie sold at an average of **half the ATH**, and he was transparent about it from the start. Since then, **he's been using his money to support the Litecoin Foundation**. *I can't share links to YT sources right here, Reddit keeps removing my comment, but you can find them in my [other comment](https://np.reddit.com/r/litecoin/comments/1r2fi1g/comment/o54p5r7/).* - With Charlie Lee having sold his stash, Litecoin had a stronger case for being treated as a commodity (and thus not a security under the Howey test), so the Litecoin ETF filings had a plausible path in the US regulatory landscape even before the SEC's Sept 2025 generic listing standards. - Litecoin **rose to the 400s** (twice - in 2017/2018 and in 2021) from the 100s-200s where Charlie sold most of his holdings - regardless of his selling. The **market clearly didn't care**, so neither should you.

Therighttodo

Let's fix that with facts: - Charlie sold at an average of **half the ATH**, and he was transparent about it from the start. Since then, **he's been using his money to support the Litecoin Foundation**. Sources: https://youtu.be/nBFIEM5HrzI?t=557, https://youtu.be/BdSaZIKm33o?t=737, https://youtu.be/rHRo9TGUFi0?t=4367. - With Charlie Lee having sold his stash, Litecoin had a stronger case for being treated as a commodity (and thus not a security under the Howey test), so the Litecoin ETF filings had a plausible path in the US regulatory landscape even before the SEC's Sept 2025 generic listing standards. - Litecoin **rose to the 400s** (twice - in 2017/2018 and in 2021) from the 100s-200s where Charlie sold most of his holdings - regardless of his selling. The **market clearly didn't care**, so neither should you.

Therighttodo

Just parroting vague internet talking points. Let's fix that with facts: - Charlie sold at an average of **half the ATH**, and he was transparent about it from the start. Since then, **he's been using his money to support the Litecoin Foundation**. Sources: https://youtu.be/nBFIEM5HrzI?t=557, https://youtu.be/BdSaZIKm33o?t=737, https://youtu.be/rHRo9TGUFi0?t=4367. - With Charlie Lee having sold his stash, Litecoin had a stronger case for being treated as a commodity (and thus not a security under the Howey test), so the Litecoin ETF filings had a plausible path in the US regulatory landscape even before the SEC's Sept 2025 generic listing standards. - Litecoin **rose to the 400s** (twice - in 2017/2018 and in 2021) from the 100s-200s where Charlie sold most of his holdings - regardless of his selling. The **market clearly didn't care**, so neither should you.

ryoma-gerald

The rapid growth of ETF is scary

NilNow

Absurd that all the “legit” sources keep trying to make Zcash happen. I’m sure it doesn’t hurt their thesis that they themselves have holdings and filings in for an ETF.

Gatorm8

Wait you think it’s rigged because of prediction markets and not the actual big players in the stock market with crypto ETF derivatives??

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Bitcoin's price is at risk of dropping to $50,000 as institutional demand wanes, indicated by the negative Coinbase Premium Index. The cryptocurrency has formed a bearish pennant pattern on the daily chart and remains below key moving averages. Futures open interest has declined significantly, and spot Bitcoin ETF outflows have increased. Analysts suggest Bitcoin has not met expectations as a hedge against inflation or market stress, contributing to its potential further decline. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

Dapper_Volume_1325

In EU I would just go with a solid ETF, you can be way more sure that they will not start with nothing when about this than about btc. Probably go invest some € per month in both etf and btc.

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Wall Street is advancing into political prediction markets with ETF issuers like Bitwise, Roundhill, and GraniteShares filing for election-linked funds. These ETFs will focus on U.S. elections, including the 2028 presidential race and 2026 midterms, offering contracts tied to political outcomes. While these markets attract liquidity and interest, concerns about manipulation and insider trading persist. Regulatory challenges are also emerging, with the CFTC asserting authority over prediction markets amid state-level enforcement actions. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

user_name_checks_out

[https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1r7wcz4/abu_dhabi_sovereign_wealth_fund_increases_bitcoin/](Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund increases Bitcoin ETF to over $1 billion)

should-happen-2025

1- To actually own it (any other way you got a IOU) 2- To pump the price (using ETF, MSTR, or leaving it on exchanges allows for paper btc games which makes it harder for price to skyrocket I think more ppl need to think about point #2, I feel like it's greatly under-discussed

Nagemasu

I mean, if it wasn't my entire wealth, sure. To have 20mill in savings means I'd have many millions more in other investments. How much you hold where doesn't really matter, what matters is how diversified you are - over or under? The idea of worrying about how to store 210 btc is insane and implies that's a significant portion of their wealth. I could not give a shit about owning that much, I'd sell 150 btc, stick a few mill in ETF's, keep a couple hundred thou in my bank, and hire someone to mange the rest. Leave the rest in btc and pretend it doesn't exist because as if I could fucking spend the millions I already have access to.

CutFabulous1178

Just Buy the ETF. It is more convenient. And security wise yes it is still “safe”

turribledood

Ffs, how do people still not know how the ETFs work? BlackRock doesn't own BTC. BlackRock's **ETF customers** own BTC via IBIT, (and others) and BlackRock rakes a fat expense ratio off of those customers.

No-Pepper6969

Considering I swapped some coin to ETF, this chart doesn't reflect that I still hold individually thru Business and ETF

Cute_Win_4651

I’m currently DCAing the fidelity coin ETFs in a ROTH IRA so if I swing trade them or hold long term into retirement I won’t have to pay capital gains taxes on the gains so currently adding FBTC, FETH and FSOL and I’ll add XRP once they get a fidelity ETF , obviously there is the pro and con of not holding the coin but swing trade or long term hold seems like a smart option to do in a ROTH account, Would love some opinions on this approach it’s also a small portion of my portfolio and plan to swing and long term trade these 3 positions

Potato_Donkey_1

I'd like to have a more nuanced look at this. Funds and ETFs also represent individuals who just decide that an ETF is a more convenient way for them to hold. In the US, at least, my understanding is that government holdings are from acquisitions by seizure and forfeiture. The changes are more nuanced than you might think at first glance.

Sharlach

ETF shares are owned by individual's too. This chart makes no sense.

hodler1992

Sorry are you regarded? Not bad to pay taxes on your unrealized ETF profits? Certainly billionaires wouldn't care but this is the most effective way to destroy any possibility to save some money for retirement. "Not bad" he said gosh

KateR_H0l1day

It depends on how they’re measuring to get their numbers! For example, you can easily say/see Strategy as a Business or ETF in the numbers and IBIT, & the BTC-TC’s etc in the ETF’s. However, those are just holding companies for retail, and retail defines when to sell, where retail sells MSTR & Strategy retains its BTC holdings. Whereas, IBIT etc. have to sell BTC to fund the retail sellers, so interpret the numbers how you will.

Sas_fruit

I don't get it. Why negative? Also why ETF matters

Godrayoae123

Solana has actual users, does more than all others combined, ETF, a mobile phone huge community….. the chances of it being here next cycle are not bad. We can say the same for those unfortunately. Good luck with timing well that rotation. I’ll be keeping a good eye on BTC/SOL pair

Goodintentions86

Hi all, I’m a European expat living long-term in a country where Bitcoin trading is heavily restricted locally. I still maintain bank accounts in Europe and would only use offshore funds — no local banking rails involved. I’m looking at Bitcoin purely as a 10+ year hold, not trading. Before moving forward, I’d really value input from anyone who has navigated similar cross-border situations. A few questions: 1. If someone lives in a restrictive jurisdiction but uses a regulated exchange abroad (e.g., Kraken, Coinbase) with offshore funds, what practical risks should they realistically consider? 2. Does accessing an exchange via VPN from such a country tend to create account compliance issues in practice? 3. From a long-term perspective, would a spot Bitcoin ETF (like IBIT) be a more sensible route in this situation compared to holding BTC directly? 4. For those who’ve faced regulatory gray areas where they live — how did you think about balancing sovereignty/self-custody vs. minimizing life complications? I’m not looking for legal advice — just real-world experience and thoughtful perspectives. Thanks in advance.

Hot_Philosopher3199

Yup. I SC'd a long time, but now that the ETF's are available, I am much more at ease. And I sell Covered Calls on IBIT, so that's a bonus.

FTFOatl

I have bought into this as well. I can SC, but I don't have the confidence that my family can SC so ETF it is.

Hot_Philosopher3199

Don't. ETF. I SC for years and I am much happier with ETF.

h311s

I have both so please educate yourself before starting such arguments my ROI on bitcoin even with the recent crash is much much higher than ETF or stock

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; ProShares has launched KRYP, an ETF based on the CoinDesk 20 Index, which tracks the performance of the 20 largest and most liquid cryptocurrencies, excluding memecoins, stablecoins, and certain other coins. KRYP offers diversified exposure to these cryptocurrencies with quarterly rebalancing to capture emerging leaders and limit concentration in any single coin. The ETF invests in cryptocurrency derivatives rather than directly in crypto assets and carries risks associated with the volatile and unregulated nature of the crypto market. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

skeetm0n

Dumb question - how are proof of reserves relevant when speaking of buying BTC directly, as in, not an ETF?

GPThought

thats actually a valid take. not everyone should be managing their own keys. ETF gives exposure without the risk of fat-fingering a send or losing a hardware wallet. the purists hate it but for regular people its probably the safer play

dsk83

blackrock is only buying for clients on behalf of ETF?

100problemss

Except people are smart enough to self custody and end up getting it stolen or losing the key. What I’m trying to say is there is a good chick of people who should just buy bitcoin ETF and not worry about seed phrases, wallets, etc.

Givefreehugs

You should grab one of all three crypto coins listed on EDX if you can. Most banks and most ETF bundles will have those three, and they’re about to be bridged with each other through BIT_OS and LitVM.

slashduel

I borrow against my stocks no clue what you're talking about. I don't want to pay capital gains taxes on my stocks. Borrow against them, and use cash to invest more without putting much risk into it. Sorry but my sp500 ETF isn't getting liquidated anytime soon.

watch-nerd

Are you buying an ETF or actual BTC?

Jesus__Skywalker

> The halving will still have its effect why would it though? I mean there are less than 1.3 million btc to be mined, around 5%, so 95% is done. Prior to the ETF's there was only retail to move the market, which is pretty small. So there was NOTHING larger than BTC itself guiding it, so it made sense that the mining rate would be impactful. But now btc is guided for the first time by not only something larger than itself, but MUCH LARGER than itself. Large enough that a new ATH was formed months before the halving, which not only never happened. But it was never even close to happening before. Wall street's control of btc is so strong that I truly can't imagine that the halving means shit now. Doesn't make sense for it to be impactful other than the psychological novelty of it

pineal-activated

Not claiming this progression is going to happen in lock step…. But here are examples: Dot com crash (2000-2002) then took 15 years to achieve 2000 peak Global financial crisis (2008-2009) s&p took 4 years to reclaim highs Covid crash 2020. 5 months Bitcoin drawdowns 2011: 94% 2014: 86% 2018: 84% 2022: 77% 2017 peak to ath 3 years 2032 peak to ath 2 years Market structure is set for faster: ETF, high frequency firms, institutional custody, 24/7 derivatives Faster collapse, shallower drawdown, cycle shirks

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Harvard Management Company reduced its stake in the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF by 1.46 million shares in Q4 2025 and initiated a new position in the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF with 3.87 million shares. The combined crypto ETF exposure totaled over $352 million at year-end. Analysts suggest the move reflects diversification, relative value positioning, or institutional constraints. Harvard's adjustments signal growing institutional interest in digital assets, with Ethereum offering broader smart-contract ecosystem exposure alongside Bitcoin's store-of-value role. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

vk1l3s

My view is: I wouldn’t put all the eggs in the same basket. I am not an expert but I would put most of it in an All World ETF/index fund as it’s less risky and some to Bitcoin. If you are able to add even 30€-50€ to this every month it would be great. Now, if you teach your kids when they are teenagers what compound interest, commitment and patience is and they keep doing this themselves when they reach 20 and have a part time or full time job, they might me able to afford their first car, the deposit to a house… I have explained all this to my sister so she could apply it with my nephew (who is still not a teenager) as well. Hopefully he will keep investing in the future…

Fiach_Dubh

believe it or not, only 10% of private gold was sold to the state upon that 6102 order. An even smaller amount was seized, and only from vaults/safety deposit boxes that were drilled and forceably opened. The real problem for gold holders was portability and exchangeability. they had a hard time moving their now "illegal" wealth out of country to sell. Bitcoin doesn't suffer from these issues as much, given it's digital nature. BUT people who store their paper Bitcoin on exchanges like conbase, or in ETF's - they would be vulnerable to a 6102 attack by the state. Which is why self custody is king. If you don't hold your Bitcoin, you don't own it. not your keys, not your bitcoin.

Reasonable_Egg0168

My personal opinion if it was me -- put 50% in a Bitcoin Spot ETF and 50% in an S&P 500 ETF

d33ply_xyz

blackrock's IBIT alone holds $54B in AUM, roughly 786,300 BTC in custody. they control 59% of all spot bitcoin ETF assets. wells fargo, bank of america, and even vanguard are now distributing bitcoin ETFs to clients. the thing satoshi built to bypass institutions is now a product those exact institutions package and sell for management fees

TheresNoSecondBest

>I have no clue about bitcoin Welcome aboard. We all have been where you're at right now. Read/bookmark this guide and make sure to learn along your journey. Congrats on the move, it's never too late, [despite new people thinking otherwise](https://old.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/rskpuf/i_have_only_600_bitcoinsi_missed_the_bus/). ONLY INVEST MONEY YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE. Invest in your knowledge, learn about Bitcoin as much as you can. The Bitcoin Standard book is a must read. So is Broken Money by Lyn Alden. Also, **don't reply any DMs**, emails, private messages on other social media, promising to buy Bitcoin from them or get rich quick by investing into some website. They all are scammers. Even the hot Asian chick, he's a scammer too. **Price wise, nobody knows what the price will be tomorrow, next week or at the end of the year.** **Try "Bitcoin ONLY" strategy for at least the first 210,000 block cycle**, you'll sleep much better. Newcomers lose so much money, holding garbage tokens just because someone on YT told them to. If you don't like losing money in [failed coins](https://www.coingecko.com/research/publications/how-many-cryptocurrencies-failed), avoid. Going DCA is probably the best approach, IMHO. Once a week works best for me, but I'm getting paid weekly. If there's a 10% drop in the price since my last buy, I usually double my buy. This [DCA calculator](https://dca.bitnob.com/) might help to decide what will work best for you. In a few years, even $10 dollars a month can make a massive difference. This [DCA blog](https://er-bybitcoin.com/) is pretty interesting too and compares buying bitcoin VS stocks. Now, don't buy some fake bitcoin at a spot ETF place or similar, **get the real thing** that you can withdraw anytime you want. Register at a proper exchange and buy real Bitcoin. Any of these will do [https://bitcoin-only.com/get-bitcoin](https://bitcoin-only.com/get-bitcoin) Install (or buy - in case you're getting Bitcoin in Thousands of $) one or more of these wallets. **A few good wallet choices:** [https://blockstream.com/app/](https://blockstream.com/app/) \- Top Security Features, Open Source and Non-Custodial [https://bluewallet.io](https://bluewallet.io/) \- excellent, easy to use wallet, Open Source and Non-Custodial [https://www.sparrowwallet.com](https://www.sparrowwallet.com) - top desktop wallet [https://electrum.org](https://electrum.org/) \- Solid choice, Open Source and Non-Custodial, one of the oldest and most trusted Bitcoin Wallets. I prefer the desktop version but it works on mobile too. **Lightning wallets** to consider (cheaper and faster transactions, great for small amounts): [https://phoenix.acinq.co/](https://phoenix.acinq.co/) \- Phoenix - very good wallet, uses Tor for extra privacy, easy for anyone new [https://blixtwallet.github.io/](https://blixtwallet.github.io/) \- Blixt - great UI, fast and clean. The app runs a full LND node on your phone and you have the ability to easily open channels to whatever nodes you like. [https://zeusln.com/](https://zeusln.com/) Zeus - impressive wallet with many features, can even generate Nostr keys [https://breez.technology](https://breez.technology/) \- Breez - excellent POS for small business owners as well as integrated Bitrefill Note: Breez does also a hybrid liquid/LN wallet called Misty Breez - the sats being on liquid means no need for channels although the payments take a few extra seconds. You'll also can get a free customable LN address. While talking about hybrid wallets, there's also Aqua Wallet although not IMHO as good as Misty Breez. There are also custodial LN wallet but I would honestly avoid using them because you have to trust the wallet operator not to steal your money. Their only advantage is that they are incredibly easy to use, although it might cost you big one day. To keep up to date with spending wallets, visit r/TheLightningNetwork at least once a while and perhaps r/RGB in the future. **Hardware Wallets** (to store larger amounts): [Trezor](https://trezor.io/) \- Easy to use, no matter how new in Bitcoin you're. Use the Bitcoin only firmware as it's safer than a multi coin software. [ColdCard](https://coldcardwallet.com/) - air gapped, Bitcoin only, has advanced features but a new user will do fine with one of the great tutorials available. [BitBox02](https://bitbox.swiss/bitbox02/bitcoin-only/) - another great little device, opt for the more secure Bitcoin ONLY version (less coins = less code = less chance for a hidden bug or a backdoor) [Jade](https://blockstream.com/jade) - air gapped, fully open source, Bitcoin only, great features. There's a newer version called Jade Plus, it has much better camera and overall is a better, although a bit more expensive, option. You can even [build it on your own](https://github.com/Blockstream/jade/), if you feel adventurous. [Seedsigner](https://github.com/SeedSigner/seedsigner) - another DIY, fully open source, air gapped, Bitcoin only hardware wallet, not for you if you're just starting up but something to consider later. [Krux wallet](https://selfcustody.github.io/krux/) - one more DIY hardware device, I love this one for many reasons. Similar to Seedsigner, it's fully open source, air gapped, Bitcoin only hardware wallet, that is not for you right now if you're just starting up, but something to consider at a later stage and/or to up the security of your bitcoin. There's also Ledger, but I wouldn't recommend it as it's not fully open source, keep and already leaked customers' details, recently said they're capable of sending customers' keys out just with a firmware update, etc. **Stay away**, save yourself a headache in the future. Whatever wallet you'll decide to buy, purchase DIRECTLY from the manufacturer, no eBay, no Amazon. Make sure the device is NOT preset, and you will generate your own seed words. Write them down on any piece of paper as well as the receiving address. Now wipe the wallet and generate a new wallet. If the seed words are different from the first set, you're safe to use it. Find an option to set a passphrase and use it. This will boost the security to another level. Never store the seed words and passphrase together. Use a different medium if possible. If somebody finds both, they'll be able to steal your coin. This little device will hold the keys to your money, that's the reason why you have to be a bit more careful. Also, no worries, if it breaks, you can replace it - as long as you keep your seed words and passphrase(s) safe. Welcome to the rabbit hole and don't hesitate to ask if you have any questions anytime during your Bitcoin journey. Also, [check the sidebar](https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/about) that's filled with lots of great info and if you have any questions, visit r/BitcoinBeginners or r/Bitcoin and look for the answers.

RespectFront1321

People/BTCers like to pull that chart up all the time. But it doesn’t change the fact in the last year or so it has moved from #30 to #10, above ADA. Is up 70% over 1Y while BTC is down -28% . No other of the (dozens?) BTC forks can be found in the top 100 but yet BCH is #10. BCH has a dynamic block size algorithm, smart contract capabilities and on-chain tokens while still having the same core functionality as BTC. In May this year there will be another VM upgrade. So yeah very likely and not just because of hopium but quality upgrades and independently funded development. By comparison BTC’s future is bleak, Lightning failed all it did was promote custodial wallets, TapRoot didn’t solve anything. There’s an ETF and Saylor keeps buying, yet it keeps going down? Digital gold narrative also failed, down 50% in ~6 months doesn’t inspire confidence.

ThrowRA-hamburger

at this point saylor could probably tweet "100>99" and we'd all just nod like yeah makes sense. dude's basically turned MSTR into a bitcoin ETF with extra steps

Ok-Maintenance2034

completely wrong dude! And they were never going to take over swift fully! Again do your full research on what they are doing, They were in a lawsuit 5 years ago, institutions weren't givin the clarity they have now about what XRP is! Swift is so late to the game its not even funny and it wouldn't surprise me if they end up utilizing XRP anyway at times when chainlinks uses R3 and XRP... What was this big event 5 years ago to replace SWIFT? You think thats how it works? The legalities and rails are being setup globally now for a new finance system... Selling XRP right now would the most idiotic move ever lol.. Have you even looked at the data in South Korea recently? Japan? Have you seen the coiled up chart? ETFS just started...what do you think gave bitcoin its new alltime highs....the ETF money catches up... Xrp is heavily undervalued and its only going to grow and expand now that Crypto is being taken seriously by all of the institutions. Clarity act will be massive for Utility coins. if any thing stock up on more utility coins , dont sell them!

viloader90

One year is a stupidly short time horizon. But here's your answer: If you can manage it, BTC in cold storage is king. If you're too lazy or dumb to do it, ETF

Odd_Fun5012

I'd go with actual BTC instead of ETF tbh, you have more control over your coins and can move them around if needed 💀 Just make sure you know how to store them safely because losing access to 35k would hurt pretty bad 😂

Cold-Operation-4974

happened to my aunt. the whole family knows im like... obsessed with bitcoin and gold. im always telling everyone to buy it. im on the spectrum. its like the only thing i talk about. dont like republicans... buy gold. dont like democrats... buy gold. dollar is collapsing. everyone knows that annoying guy and its me. so when my mom said your aunt wants to ask you a question about crypto i thought i was going to explain how to download coinbase, or how to get the bitcoin ETF... you know... how to get a boomer from $0 invested to the point where they wanna know what a hardware wallet is and if its worth it for them... instead she is asking me how she gets her money out of this broker. sends me the link. its got scam written all over it. its also got a 200%+ return on her invested funds. **she met a guy. at a restaurant. in florida. he was from greece. "or something" and then now hes not answering the phone because hes out of the country. $180,000 she invested.** i told her if she ever gets her money back she can call me and ill help her make some money. **but how do i get the money out** *"u gotta go to a sportsbar on the beach and ask the sexiest richest mediterranean playboy out there"* **my mom thought that was hilarious.** this is a lady who back in the 70s didnt want my dad at parties because he didnt speak fluent english (this is in latin america). well dad immigrated to america and built a dope life for himself with kids smart enough to not get scammed by Giulio at the bar. at least i didnt tell her i didnt understand her english.

Mothchewer

If you want an intellectually honest answer? No one, the ETF firm providers aren't banks, and tge ones like JP Morgan are just subsidiaries, so all of the Bitcoin Spot ETFs the answer is no one. They would be liquidated and whatever NAV is left would be in your brokerage as cash.

Cptn_BenjaminWillard

Why do they care? If they were the ones investing, sure, the current price is regrettable. But large institutions typically think in time frames of years and decades when it comes to balance sheets. They would have known about 4-year cycle theory, and the value of holding. For the institutions who set up the ETF's, they don't care about outflows. They love flows. Money that's parked is good, but volatility is better for them. For brokerages, remember that the people who made the real money were often the ones who were collecting commissions.

GPThought

52% from ATH sounds scary but look at 2018 and 2022. we dropped like 75-80% from the top both times before the next leg up. 52% drawdown in a bull market is actually not that unusual for BTC — happened in may 2021 too and we still hit new ATH later that year. question is whether the macro supports another push. with rate cuts potentially coming and ETF inflows still positive even during the dip, this feels more like a correction than a bear market reversal. but nobody actually knows

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h311s

depends on the amount and risk ...if you really want to diversify you should go for other non crypto ETF...if you still want crypto which means more risk maybe you should pick 2 more max from the top 20

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Post is by: AdAncient6591 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r5g3ov/global_crypto_intelligence_report_february_15_2026/ ​MARKET SUMMARY: RISK-OFF VOLATILITY PERSISTS The global cryptocurrency market cap stands at $2.48T, reflecting a marginal 24-hour recovery of 0.86%. Despite this intraday stabilization, sentiment remains pinned in Extreme Fear, with the Fear & Greed Index currently sitting at a 9. Institutional outflows and high-beta liquidations continue to drive a cautious narrative as investors pivot toward higher-quality assets. ​SOLANA (SOL) SECTOR ANALYSIS Solana is currently trading in the $87.00 - $90.00 range, showing a 24-hour gain of approximately 2.75%. This follows a broader 45% correction from its January peak. ​Technical Positioning: SOL has faced intense selling pressure due to unwinding leverage in derivatives markets. Support is holding at the $85.00 level, while resistance remains firm near $95.00. ​Institutional Sentiment: Standard Chartered recently revised its 2026 price target for SOL to $250, emphasizing a shift from speculative memecoin activity to a micropayments powerhouse. ​Network Developments: Market attention is shifting toward the upcoming Firedancer and Alpenglow upgrades, which are expected to redefine network throughput and institutional utility throughout the remainder of 2026. ​MACRO INDICATORS ​Bitcoin (BTC): Trading at $70,321. Reclaiming the $70K level is considered critical for a broader sentiment reset. ​Ethereum (ETH): Hovering at $2,064. Spot ETH ETF outflows (estimated at $242M) continue to weigh on price action. ​Liquidity Trends: Capital is increasingly rotating into projects with documented technical density and long-term utility, as retail "pump and dump" cycles show classic capitulation signals. ​STRATEGIC OUTLOOK The current market cycle favors the "Working CEO" model of development. Infrastructure building during periods of extreme fear historically precedes institutional accumulation. The 2026 cycle is transitioning away from hype-driven narratives toward a "Proof of Work" standard in digital assets and sovereign branding. ​Thank you for your time, Thomas Harrison Founder of The Festive Official Brand. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

WormHole_15

Monthly DCA 0/-20% from ath --> 500€ -20/-40% from ath --> 1000€ -40%/-60% from ath --> 2000€ -60%/-80% from ath --> 4000€ over -80% from ath --> 8000€ When new ATH happen, I slowly move balance from BTC to MSCI ETF until 75%/25% proportion is reached.

HumongousShard

This would be devastating for a stocks or even a broad market ETF portfolio I bet it will get watered down or scrapped by the next government before it has the chance to be enforced

Illustrious-Depth361

Bro, cold storage IS simple. Simple and beautiful, and perfect. My absolute best advice is to take a couple hours of your time to study and co sider cold storage once more. It's the most simple of all forms of conservation of your money. Easy method: - split your 24 words in 3 groups : A, B and C. - engrave A+B on one metal plate, B+C on a second and A+C on a third one. - store one at your home and the 2 others in a different geographical place (your parents basement, your office, your bank, a safe, etc) Get a TREZOR at home to get a new BTC address every time you move your purchase to cold storage. Take the time to really understand it. It ceases to appear complicated then. And boom, you have simplicity and the most robust form of self sovereignty. Not your keys not your coin. Can't trust banks with your future. If you're buying BTC because you think it's going up next year and wanna make a few bucks then okay. If you're buying Bitcoin because you want out of all of "this", then self custody is the way. Banks may fail you. ETF is paper bitcoin. YOU CAN DO THIS.

nafnaf0

Outflows from ETFs since the Oct 7, 2025 have been pretty small, only around 4.1% to today 2/15/2026. ETF selling hasn't been what has been driving price action.

BTCindicatorpanel

It’s just a worst-case scenario expectation, a social sentiment that usually plays out and forms a cycle. At least, that’s how it always worked before the ETF approval

Teqtoke

This whole thread is bananas. Like others said, if you just want to treat it as a short term investment to exchange back to fiat later, or get slight exposure, then get the ETF or buy on an exchange. Start thinking about self custody for larger amounts. But it is clear most people don’t really understand what Bitcoin is for, and why self custody matters. I suggest looking into this first. When CBDCs become reality and government controls our money, this is when this will matter. That said most of these coins are all KYC anyway, so there is that.

Small_Appearance2014

If you want simple, brokerage-style exposure, a Spot Bitcoin ETF is the easiest option. No wallets, no keys — just buy it like a stock. You get price exposure, but not self-custody.

GPThought

crowded shorts are literally free money for market makers. they just need to push price up 2-3% and the cascade of liquidations does the rest. last time shorts were this extreme BTC went from 26k to 48k in like two months. im not saying history repeats exactly but the setup is almost identical. record short interest + fear index in the teens + ETF inflows still positive = one hell of a squeeze brewing. not financial advice but if i was short btc right now i would not be sleeping well.

ithinkican2202

ETF

DA2710

They would buy ETF’s or mstr and call it Bitcoin

Cool-Duty-7416

Please don't. Invest in an SP500 ETF. Your 50 year old self will thank you.

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Post is by: AdAncient6591 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r4x80c/hardcore_data_report_updated_for_8588_reality/ ​The Human Variable: Despite the 46% drawdown observed in the early 2026 cycle, human-sentiment analytics maintain a 74-75% bullish conviction. Retail participants are shifting from reactionary sell-offs to strategic accumulation. In major hubs like New York and London, the focus has moved beyond speculative volatility toward Institutional Real-World Asset (RWA) integration. Humans aren't looking for a "pump"—they are looking for a sanctuary of value. ​The Computer Metrics: Algorithmic trading currently accounts for 70% of global volume, yet these systems remain trapped in high-frequency loops of failed transactions. Bots are currently range-bound between $78 and $88, unable to calculate the long-term impact of ETF-driven capital inflows that analysts project will push the floor to $250 by late 2026. The machines are pricing the short-term noise; the humans are building the long-term architecture. ​The Verdict: The bots are calculating the price; the humans are calculating the value. The charts are a distraction from the permanent Brand. ​Thank you for your time, Thomas Harrison Founder of The Festive Official Brand *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

turick

If you wanted real bitcoin and not an ETF, the only exchange I would trust is River. They custody all of their clients bitcoin, publish their financials, and publish Proof of Reserves every month. And their customer service is second to none.

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Risk appetite in financial markets has surged, with U.S. equities showing strong bullish positioning, while Bitcoin lacks similar institutional conviction. Data indicates a divergence between traditional assets and crypto, with Bitcoin's spot demand metrics and institutional flows remaining weak. Key signals for Bitcoin's recovery include sustained positive Coinbase Premium, consistent ETF inflows, and spot-driven price strength. Until these align, Bitcoin's upside remains fragile despite favorable macro conditions like lower inflation and stable liquidity. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

WeakEstablishment686

DCA is the best strategy, some people increase their DCA amount the lower bitcoin price falls. I would also recommend DCAing into an ETF like VT. Each $ you contribute at 14 will be worth $2, $4, and $8 at ages 24, 34, 44. Might not seem like much now or too long of a wait, but consistency wins. Once your total invested gets large (~$300-500k), doubling every 10 years (or much less in bull market runs like the past 3), can really start to build wealth.

Jhonny_Crash

Hey, newbie here. Why is leaving BTC on the exchange a bad idea? And how does an ETF differ in this case?

gtrttt14

There is no such thing as buy and hold anymore. See for example you buy 10 BTF’s today for $100 each and don’t watch it anymore in 10 yrs and it goes up and down.Now you are at retirement age and it’s $80 you lost out on the whole game. There are a lot of ETF’s,volatility is less and you need to watch the market closely. Buy low and sell high. Buy low again…..

Charming-Designer944

Invest via an ETF traded at your favorite investment platform and ignore that it is crypto. Handle it the exact same as another investment.

Legal-Net-4909

If you want simple brokerage style exposure and don’t care about self custody, a spot Bitcoin ETF might fit what you’re looking for. It removes wallet management entirely, but you’re giving up direct control of the coins