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Automatic Data Processing Inc
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FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
FOMC Week… 1-26-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, DXY/ US Dollar and Cl/ Oil Futures Weekly Market Analysis
What I'm watching for the week ahead. JOBS NUMBERS WEEK.
Everything I'm watching for the week ahead incl. Some Expectations
I forgot to roll over my 401(k) when I got laid off six months ago.
US stocks rise as disappointing ADP payrolls point to future rate cuts
More minimum wage hikes are coming across U.S. states in 2024, from California to Nebraska, Delaware, Maryland and Hawaii.
Jobs & inflation report will weight on the Markets.
U.S. job growth slowed sharply to 177,000 in August, below expectations
Economy Private sector added 324,000 jobs in July, well above expectations, ADP says
The Crash this Fall is Now a Mathematical Certainty, but First, We Go Up
Analyzing Today’s Economic Data: US Economy Grapples with Trade Deficit Decline and Recession Concerns
EUR/USD: Uncertain Technical Outlook Ahead of US Jobs-Focused Week
[Macro] Will a US jobs data miss cause the stock market to fall or rally?
[Macro] Will a US jobs data miss cause the stock market to fall or rally?
Market Recap - 6/1/23 - Stonks only go up?
With the May ADP release again beating expectations, what do you think of tomorrow's non-farm payrolls data?
Likelihood of Bank of New York selling Petrochina H shares that underly delisted ADR shares?
Payrolls rose more than expected making Fed hike more likely - Bloomberg News
Payrolls rose more than expected making Fed hike more likely - Bloomberg News
Sell in May and Go away? Banking Crisis take two, FOMC, calendar of events and VIX 52W low … 4-28-23 SPY/ ES Futures, and VIX Weekly Market
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 10th, 2023
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 10th, 2023
Why Appian ($APPN), Snowflake ($SNOW), and Shopify ($SHOP) all stumbled today
Private payrolls rose by 145,000 in March, well below expectations, ADP says
Private payrolls rose by 145,000 in March, well below expectations, ADP says
SSGA is reclassifying a few stocks to different GICS groups
Are the bulls back in control?... 3-3-23 SPY/ ES Futures Weekly Market Analysis
Nomura ~ Massive NFP Beat = Rates Higher for Longer?... (FULL REPORT)
NOMURA Research (FULL REPORT) - Payroll Surprise Supports "Higher for Longer" Thesis...
NOMURA (Full Report) - NFP Beat = Higher for Longer?
Nomura - Payroll Surprise Supports "Higher for Longer" Expectation (Full Report)
Nomura ~ Massive NFP Beat = Rates Higher for Longer?... (FULL REPORT)
Non-agricultural! Will jobs, wages cool further and the markets and the Fed be happy?
Private payroll growth slowed to 106,000 in January as weather hit hiring, ADP says
11M vs 10M Job Openings. ISM Manufact 47.4 vs 48. ISM Prices Paid 44.5 vs 39.5. ADP 106K vs 178K + FOMC Predictions.
Private payroll growth slowed to 106,000 in January as weather hit hiring, ADP says
Apple and Amazon Earnings, a Federal Reserve Decision, January Jobs Data, and More for Investors to Watch This Week
Stocks with bullish signals from US markets
Stocks with bullish signals from US markets
Insider Trading Weekly Update #021: Execs Dump $ADP, $NVCR, $AZO, $DDOG; Largest Trades + Sector and Market Cap Overviews From The Past Week
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning January 9th, 2023
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning January 9th, 2023
U.S. stock futures steady as traders eye nonfarm payrolls report
1-5-23 SPY/ ES Futures and Tesla Daily Market Analysis
ADP jobs report December 2022: Inflation is Out Of Control!
Private payroll growth surged by 235,000 in December, well above estimate, ADP reports
10.46M Job Openings vs 10M. ISM Manufacturing 48.4 vs 48.5. Prices 39.4 vs 42.6. Employment 51.4 vs 48.3.
2-6 Jan. Detailed Economic Calendar for the Coming Week
2-6 Jan. Detailed Economic Calendar for the Coming Week
Expected Moves this Week: SPY, QQQ, Record Put/Call Ratio and Early Assignment.
12-30-22 SPY/ ES Futures and Tesla Weekly (and yearly) Market Recap and Analysis
United States ADP Employment Change 127K (forecast: 198)
Private hiring increased by just 127,000 jobs in November, well below estimate, ADP reports
Nonfarm payroll tomorrow 8:15 AM, Employment Situation Report from DOl on December 02 8:15 AM
Key Themes in the Market to Watch this Week:
Expected moves this week: SPY on Jobs Number, Salesforce, Snowflake, Crowdstrike and more
$ADP SMA10 & SMA20 Crossover on OceanAlgorithm.com
ADP and ZipRecruiter Data: Hiring is still booming in some industries, but falling in others
ADP Research shows a surge in leisure and hospitality hiring. Does this undercut the idea of a Fed pivot?
Stocks Stage highly regarded Rally Ahead of Fed Meeting
Expected moves this week. SPY, QQQ, AMD, Starbucks, Roku, Draftkings and more
economic news + notable earnings for this upcomming week.
Notable earnings and economic news for this upcoming week.
Expected Moves this week: SPY, QQQ, Google, Amazon and more.
Wall Street Newsletter S02E02 : The perfect date & levels to buy SPX for the "Bear market rally 3"
Mohnish Pabrai bought 5% of TAV Airports(Turkish Company), here's the DD of the business.
In Case You Start Hearing 'Stagflation', Here's A Primer
The Recession No One Will Discuss; As Equity Investors Rush To Exit
Looking for options in anticipation of upcoming bad job report.
Companies added 455,000 jobs in March, slightly more than expected, ADP says
Mentions
Sources are aligning with Challenger. Look at ADP, Jobless Claims, and JOLTS. Markets became more accepting of private data sources, such as Challenger, during the government shutdown.
Private sources are really more important than ever with the legitimacy of bls numbers being called into question so much. ADP, Revelio, and Challenger reports can paint a pretty fair picture of the jobs outlook, and its not looking good.
The government still hasn’t released official jobs data because the January 2026 report was conveniently “delayed” due to the partial shutdown. So we’re basically flying blind while they sit on the numbers. Meanwhile, private data did come out this morning, and it’s ugly. U.S. employers announced 108,435 layoffs in January, up 118% year over year and 205% from December. That’s the worst January since 2009. At the same time, companies announced just 5,306 new hires, the lowest January ever recorded. On top of that, ADP showed private sector employment grew by only 22,000 jobs in January, badly missing expectations. So while the government drags its feet on releasing the data, the private numbers are already screaming that the labor market is cracking.
And the Fed payroll number is almost always higher than ADP, but regardless, there’s a net gain in job jobs
100% the jobs report was leaked. Gov shutdown merely just delayed when they’ll report it, they’ve got the data already. The ADP report was bad.
I dont have much cash to buy, but when I get paid and the market is still like this, then I am buying: -Intuit -Microsoft -Netflix (If it drops below $75) -McDonald's -Levi's -ADP
Employment numbers were half of what was expected according to ADP
ADP jobs report was ass, tech valuation don’t matter if no one can buy it lmao.
Really hate ADP, can we compare data from Intuit?
The ADP jobs report has the market spooked. Fucking 🥭 and his shit policies.
__**Here's some important context to keep in mind:**__. In 2005, the US had 293 million residents, which was at a 0.93% growth rate. *(293,000,000* * *(0.93 / 100))* is an increase of ~2,724.900 residents. These people are now 20 years old, so are entering the workforce. So *(2,724,900 / 12)* is +227,075 new working age people per month. The US currently has a 62.3% labor force participation rate. ***(227,025*** * ***(62.3 / 100))*** *brings the number of needed jobs a month at 141,436 to keep employment levels perfectly steady.* Today's payroll report from ADP indicates 22,000 jobs were added to the US market for January. *((22,000 / 141,436)* * *100)* is **only 15.55% of the needed new jobs to maintain employment levels.** **But Goof, why do you use 2005 population/growth numbers?* That's what we have census data for, which is the most accurate count we have for ~18-22 years ago.
Those NYC cost numbers are actually insane. When a power bill hits $800, people stop caring about the 'soft landing' headlines and start worrying about survival. You made a great point about the psychological impact. These 'jitters' aren't just numbers on a screen; they lead to a massive pullback in consumer spending. That is exactly why this ADP miss is such a systemic warning. If hiring stalls while the cost of living is still vertical, the economic engine simply runs out of fuel. A deep recession is a scary prospect, especially after such an artificial bull run. Thanks for sharing the ground-level perspective.
it’s funny how you’ve spent more time digging through my post history to find 'Ben 10' threads than actually looking at the ADP macro data. If you think a person can’t have interests outside of finance while building a project, that’s your lack of perspective, not mine. Going through a stranger’s profile just to avoid discussing a 50%+ payroll miss is the definition of a 'fucking creep.' The numbers are real, the structural cooling is real, and your inability to stay on topic is also very real. If you have nothing to say about the economy, maybe stick to the subreddits you think I belong in. Markets run on data, not your desperate profile scouting.
Exactly. The 'soft landing' narrative is basically a fairy tale at this point. When you pair restrictive interest rates with sudden tariff overhead, you’re not looking at a landing; you're looking at a structural stall. The 50%+ ADP miss is just the market finally being forced to look at the reality that the window isn't just closed—it's shattered. We’re moving beyond 'optimistic projections' into raw damage control now.
It’s honestly sad how some people are so jaded that they think any person with a brain and a data-driven opinion must be a bot. You can keep shouting 'AI' into the void all you want, but it won't change the 50% ADP miss or the fact that I’m actually putting in the work to build something. If you find it impossible to believe that a dedicated analyst can track macro trends, that says more about your limits than mine. Stick to the data, or don't—the markets don't care about your skepticism, and neither do I.
Exactly. It’s the new favorite excuse for people who can't handle a data-driven discussion. Apparently, having a coherent thesis on the ADP miss (22k vs 48k) is too much for some to process, so they just default to the 'AI' label. It’s a lazy way to avoid talking about the actual macro risks we’re seeing in the labor market right now.
Spot on. The BLS downward revisions from late last year were the first cracks, but this ADP miss (22k vs 48k) feels like the acceleration of that trend. While BLS is the official benchmark, ADP gives us a raw look at the private sector's immediate reaction to the current fiscal environment. We’re moving from a 'cooling' phase into a potential 'contraction' phase. The consistency between these two data sets is what should have everyone on edge.
Spot on. Offshoring is the 'silent' factor that these ADP numbers don't fully capture. With domestic overhead and tariffs making it expensive to hire locally, firms are moving digital and back-office roles abroad faster than ever. We're seeing a decoupling where a company’s productivity grows, but its domestic payroll shrinks. As someone building in the fintech space, I see this shift daily—it's not just about cheaper labor anymore; it’s about bypassing the domestic regulatory and fiscal friction. This 'big wave' you mentioned is going to make the NFP data even more volatile this year.
I’m not suggesting 3.8% is the only problem, but in an economy already hemorrhaging from trade wars and an AI-inflated bubble, it acts as the 'last straw.' When the engine is already stalled, as you put it, even a relatively low rate becomes a mountain for companies struggling with overhead. The ADP data isn't an isolated event; it’s a symptom of the 'convergence of failures' you just described. We aren't disagreeing—I'm just pointing out that the Fed’s lag effect is finally meeting the real-world friction of a broken system.
Exactly. Capital hates a vacuum, but it hates unpredictability even more. When fiscal policy (tariffs) and geopolitical shifts move faster than a business can adjust its supply chain, you get exactly what we see in the ADP miss—hiring freezes and 'wait-and-see' stagnation. It’s impossible for a Founder to plan for the next 5 years when they don’t know who their trade partners will be in 5 months.
DOJ will serve an indictment on ADP for fake and negative data.
ADP is a $100B+ market cap company that processes payroll for over 1 million businesses globally. They report based on actual paychecks being cut, not political opinions. Liquidity in the labor market doesn't have a party affiliation—it only has a bottom line. Let's stick to the macro data; the political noise belongs in a different sub.
FAKE NEWS. FAKE NEWS. FAKE NEWS. ADP is a well known Obama supporter.
The Fed always says 'no cuts' until the data forces their hand. The market isn't pricing in a cut for this week; it’s pricing in the inevitability of a U-turn. Data like this ADP report is what builds the pressure for that eventual pivot, regardless of the current hawkish rhetoric.
>a surge of 74,000 hires in the education and health services category Those two categories are literally the only thing propping up the labor market at all right now, and they're blatantly unsustainable. Conversely, ADP reports **57k** fewer professional services jobs, 8k fewer manufacturing jobs, and 5k fewer information jobs. That's not a good trade at all.
Per ADP payroll data, manufacturing payrolls have contracted for 32 straight months. lol. [](https://x.com/KevRGordon/status/2019038961549836568/photo/1)
omg the ADP non farm jobs miss??? 22k vs 45k+ est. for Jan…….
Breaking: ADP reported only 12 jobs created. All were at Wendy’s.
Is uber recovering because the ADP jobs report was bad and more unemployed people means they can continur to pay their contractors shit?
ADP employment change was lower than expected in January 🔹 ADP Private Payrolls: 22K vs. 45K est. (41K prior) https://preview.redd.it/jualcdp7bhhg1.jpeg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a714ccebc84b60aaf6ffafa5133efa32180a4f86 Absolute shit.
Oof January ADP jobs report seems way low
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jan) 22K vs 46K EST
**Week of 2/6 Market News and Data** **Hello WSB members, this upcoming week we have some quite few reports and data coming out and lots of earnings reports.** **Monday 2/2:** - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jan) - ISM Manufacturing Prices PMI (Jan) - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan) **Tuesday 2/3:** - JOLTs Job Openings (Dec) **Wednesday 2/4:** - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jan) - S&P Global Services PMI (Jan) - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan) - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jan) - Crude Oil Inventories **Thursday 2/5:** - Initial Jobless Claims **Friday 2/6:** - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jan) - Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan) - Unemployment Rate (Jan) ***Have a great week WSBers***
**Week of 2/6 Market News and Data** **Hello WSB members, this upcoming week we have some quite few reports and data coming out and lots of earnings reports.** **Monday 2/2:** - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jan) - ISM Manufacturing Prices PMI (Jan) - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan) **Tuesday 2/3:** - JOLTs Job Openings (Dec) **Wednesday 2/4:** - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jan) - S&P Global Services PMI (Jan) - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jan) - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jan) - Crude Oil Inventories **Thursday 2/5:** - Initial Jobless Claims **Friday 2/6:** - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jan) - Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan) - Unemployment Rate (Jan) ***Have a great week WSBers***
Alright, convince me not to full port into ADP shares
Why ADP dumping pre-market onearnings beat?
Why is ADP dropping pre-market? They beat estimates
Futes could be up or down 2% and it won't matter until 🥭 talks and we get ADP and consumer confidence
Raising tariffs. He's going to talk so much shit tomorrow before open. Could be a perfect storm with ADP and consumer confidence soon after. Powell is probably going to talk shit after they don't raise rates just to fuck with 🥭 Calls
Been debating whether i want to full port into ADP but i'm too chicken shit and will probably not try to play earnings
Own some shares from a terrible investment over a decade ago dont really want to get rid of it if I can avoid it. Ally has started charging me a monthly fee NON-TRANSFERABLE ADP# H006645 $20 bucks a month since the company (ient) went to being its own transfer agent?? Emailed the company and they want a stock certificate before accepting any transfer seems like its more trouble than its worth, anyway to keep the stock or is it time to dump it
So what's the play with ADP earnings next week?
What's the play for ADP earnings next week?
Just loaded up a little into ADP. Someone convince me not to full port into ADP. Chart looks good, it's sitting on major support around the weekly and monthly MA around 250. Earnings next week
Small to mid size employers it is common Plan admin by TPAs Plans that want to reduce admin complexity to reduce risk of loan default so a list would be ADP, Paychex, guideline etc to limit employee borrowing
> if the numbers can be trusted is another story. The last government jobs report was actually slightly *worse* than the ADP numbers (+37k private sector vs +41k private sector in Dec 2025), so they're probably reliable.
ADP weeklys will be in the toilet, CPI will come in frustratingly high. Stagflation it is.
Biden’s were off by 5-15% vs trumps 5-500% when compared to ADP payroll data. The government numbers have become disconnected from reality. Biden’s were biased. Not imaginary.
What? The private sector jobs report such as ADP takes into account over 26M payroll figures and data. BLS survey is only 60K jobs.... ADP has a larger sample which means its most reflective of the data. Also with the new executive order RESTORING ACCOUNTABILITY TO POLICY-INFLUENCING POSITIONS WITHIN THE FEDERAL WORKFORCE from the White House putting into place Schedule F. Any SES or policymaking position which is the top 50K positions that make all the decisions within the Executive Branch which is about 1.5M of the 2.2M federal workforce can be fired at will by the president with no cause. The reason he fired the BLS head prior Erika McEntarferz. The now Acting Commissioner, is William J. Wiatrowski has met with the president several times already. What do you think POTUS told him? I bet my bottom dollar do what I say and report good numbers or your fired. I don't blame William J. Wiatrowski he probably just wants to keep his job and not be unemployed. The USA is becoming like Argentina and Turkey and just fakes its government numbers when their private sector mechanism report the real figures. [https://www.adpresearch.com/how-representative-is-adp-employment-data/](https://www.adpresearch.com/how-representative-is-adp-employment-data/) [https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/bls-vs-adp-jobs-reports-divergence-opportunities](https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/bls-vs-adp-jobs-reports-divergence-opportunities) [https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ces\_cps\_trends.htm](https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/ces_cps_trends.htm) [https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/restoring-accountability-to-policy-influencing-positions-within-the-federal-workforce/](https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/restoring-accountability-to-policy-influencing-positions-within-the-federal-workforce/) [https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/16/ex-bls-chief-said-she-was-blindsided-by-trump-firing-00567852](https://www.politico.com/news/2025/09/16/ex-bls-chief-said-she-was-blindsided-by-trump-firing-00567852)
probably the ADP jobs report being not hot
ADP also runs the entirety of $BALL payroll too
The large-ish company i work for just switched to ADP - that would have likely added to their numbers even tho its not technically real job growth \~10k in manufacturing
My company switched to ADP this month/ last month. I wonder if they count that
correct, and they certainly aren't going to improve after this ADP number
The best possible numbers for ADP btw, there is still recorded growth so the economy doesn't look like its in terrible shape, but still below estimates so as to spook the fed into considering rate cuts
US ADP Employment Change Actual 41k (Forecast 50k, Previous -32k)
ADP +41k Good enough, we pump
ADP numbers gonna make it go up no matter what.
ADP employment report in four minutes...
ADP & job openings today but does it even matter
You down with ADP? **yeah you know me**
How important is this ADP data? I want blood
I'm asking Gemini again. Asked it this morning, it said "buy HLT Jan09@290 and sell it 3.10" It's got some interesting ideas about the ADP Jobs data expected tomm.
ADP employment, Job Reports, and US factory orders tomorrow
**Week of 1/9 Market News and Data** Hello WSB members, Happy new years to all of you, may this year be a profitable year for all of us! This upcoming week traders, firms, hedge funds etc, get back to the trading desk, which means we get back to normal after the two short weeks. This week we got some few data and reports that are interesting, we also have some quite few earnings coming up this week, not really interesting, but its the early start of the new earnings season. **Monday 1/5:** - ISM Manufacturing Prices & PMI (Dec) **Tuesday 1/6:** - S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) **Wednesday 1/7:** - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Dec) - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices & PMI (Dec) - JOLTs Job Openings (Nov) - Crude Oil Inventories **Thursday 1/8:** - Initial Jobless Claims **Friday 1/9:** - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Dec) - Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) - Unemployment Rate (Dec) Have a great week WSB members
**Week of 1/9 Market News and Data** Hello WSB members, Happy new years to all of you, may this year be a profitable year for all of us! This upcoming week traders, firms, hedge funds etc, get back to the trading desk, which means we get back to normal after the two short weeks. This week we got some few data and reports that are interesting, we also have some quite few earnings coming up this week, not really interesting, but its the early start of the new earnings season. Monday 1/5: - ISM Manufacturing Prices & PMI (Dec) Tuesday 1/6: - S&P Global Services PMI (Dec) Wednesday 1/7: - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Dec) - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices & PMI (Dec) - JOLTs Job Openings (Nov) - Crude Oil Inventories Thursday 1/8: - Initial Jobless Claims Friday 1/9: - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Dec) - Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) - Unemployment Rate (Dec) Have a great week WSB members
Lol. I would rather just hold VTI over ADP. What made you put all 7,000 in one stock? Also congratulations on contributing to your Roth!
Guess we gotta wait for ADP and fed minutes on Wednesday for anything to get goin…
ADP isn't the government.
Market figuring out that GDP and inflation numbers are fake? BLS and ADP data will continue to diverge.
Nice breakdown — this is exactly the kind of week where having everything mapped out ahead of time matters. Between dense macro (ISM, ADP, PCE), heavy cloud/AI earnings, and multiple Fed speakers, it’s really about scenario planning instead of reacting in real time. If you like tracking weeks like this, having an events calendar helps a lot. I use [https://catacal.com](https://catacal.com) to keep tabs on macro releases, earnings, conferences, votes, lockups, etc., so it’s easier to see where volatility might cluster and which days actually matter.
LRCX and AMAT as memory companies increase CapEx. TXN and ON as industrial onshoring picks up. NOW as enterprise IT spend gets focused and they prove to not be an AI loser. RKT as mortgage rates drop. And my dark horse… ADP as employment picks up and people realize no one is vibe coding a global payroll platform.
Are you telling me not only is the government full of shit (I'll buy that), but they've also infiltrated all payroll services like ADP, retailers like Amazon and Walmart, as well as media outlets including NPR? Or is it just more of the doomsday jerkoff that conveniently doesn't have the statics to back it because the government is somehow smart enough to coordinate and elaborate scam with all these other massive entities but not smart enough to not fuck the economy?
Before publishing their numbers, ADP should first check with the good folks running LinkedIn. That platform has 5 trillion jobs and climbing.
ADP Job Report: 3 jobs have been created in Nov.
ADP Report Worse Than It Looks: November saw a 32,000 reduction in US private employment. Small Business Signal: Employers with <50 workers cut 120,000 jobs, while larger firms (+50 workers) added 90,000. Small businesses are a leading indicator due to faster reaction times, less bureaucracy (WARN Act exemption), and limited capital access. Future Outlook: Expect deeper labor market slowing, with larger businesses likely to see employment reductions soon. Investment Thesis: Long VGLT, betting on rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE) to boost bond prices and lower yields. Today's Market (Dec 16, 2025): VGLT is at approximately $55.38. US 10-Year Treasury yield is around 4.17%. US 2-Year Treasury yield is around 3.50%. The S&P 500 closed Monday (Dec 15) at 6,816.51, slipping 0.16%.
Part of the reason for the numbers being so different are because large businesses are much more likely to respond to job surveys then small businesses. So in a case like what ADP outlines, where large businesses are hiring and small businesses are laying off, the government uses the data that they do have (large businesses) to guess the numbers for the non-respondents (small businesses). This is part of why the job numbers all across the world have been becoming less accurate, and having bigger swings when they correct errors later on from late responses coming in.
ADP Weekly Jobless Claims - Tuesday U.S. Jobs Report - Tuesday U.S. Retail Sales - Tuesday Micon $MU Earnings - Wednesday U.S. CPI Inflation - Thursday Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday
I just did the math on my salary and ADP has it at $115k a year and not the $110k I was promoted to I figure payroll dude didn’t realize but it’s going to make for a sad salary increase in April when ADP barely changes
I just did the math on my salary and ADP has it at $115k a year and not the $110k I figure payroll dude didn’t realize but it’s going to make for a sad salary increase in April when ADP barely changes
Ah I'd say we have reached the top. ADP jobs data negative last 4 of 6 months. You would have to go back to late 2007 to get a run like that outside of a recession. 2026 will be a big down year
ADP barely moves the market.
Look at what was happening before the ADP today. Someone got the report early I wish there was an instant way to track the insiders
That was an ADP report, not government numbers. Dumbass
Small-cap indexes reach new all-time highs as ADP reports small businesses lose 120,000 jobs due to tariffs
Apparently 🥭 is calling for new leadership at ADP
They couldn’t rig the ADP report, so they rigged the jobless claims instead
Jobless numbers match challenger. Beats across the board. Labor market improving? ADP seems to be the outlier here. Who am I kidding. Good news is good, bad news is good. Rate cuts no matter what. Calls.
Either the government or ADP is lying… and honestly I think it’s the government lol
All based on ADP usage numbers. Imagine paying for ADP as a small company. Lmao
Turns out ADP was nothing...🤷♂️
>Like last month, I knew the jobs report was gonna beat expectations by a mile. Part of the problem is that the market was looking for weak numbers that would make a rate cut more likely. That's why today's ADP report was considered bullish by many despite being a bit scary.
It was the ADP payroll numbers released this morning