MSOS

TCNNF_Moon-_

Looking like the market makers want a 4.50$ MSOS close. Seeing some relative strength emanating

heliumbox

We're at 30% 10 day volume, 18% 90 day at noon on MSOS, GTI only 72k shares traded, TRLV slightly higher at just over 50% its average on it's earnings day... Really wouldn't take much. Not Wishing it or expecting it... but wouldn't take much.

skyplt29

I would be surprised to see a ten percent decline on MSOS today...but then, stranger things have happened in this sector. Let's see how it plays out. At this point I could not even venture a wild ass guess!

skyplt29

Wait one holy second! I thought there was a descending death triangle forming a knee and jerk on the MSOS chart that suggested a Bolinger Band doohickey was going to result in an inverse biggus diccus that would inevitably bring MSOS to max pain of under 4? Hence I sold yesterday at 4.28 happy to get out before the inevitable crash and burn. Oh look, it's sitting on 4.42. Sheesh, when will I learn!

No_Cell6708

What's that? You weren't paying attention to Cronos cooking up an order of Spinach in the north? Too bad. But there's still hope. "But it's an LP" The LPs have been to war. Leaders have emerged. You really think GTII is experiencing price compression? MSOS have not seen real price compression yet. As regulation in the US develops, interstate commerce + real competition will be a very rude awakening for many current players. The risk is real. The LPs, on the other hand, know how to compete at mass scale. The big players are all rocking million+ sq ft, purpose built facilities that are highly automated and highly efficient. This is how cannabis will be produced at scale in the US eventually and certain LPs are writing the playbook for how to design and run these facilities. There is a ton of value in the lessons they've learned and it's become clear that some LPs are significantly more well run than others. That's right. It's time to learn more about Auxly Cannabis again and why you want to get in before Q2 earnings next Thursday. (Igbgmn) Growing revenue at 20%+ 55-56% Gross Margins (all domestic sales so no international tax advantage - best in the business - most others are very happy if they can hit 42-45%) 28% FCF margin (the highlight imo) I'm expecting $40-$50m FCF (at least $50m+ in operating cash flow - planned expansion capex of $10m that will increase production capacity) in 2026 against a $285m market cap. ($290 EV). That is a juicy FCF yield. Best selling brand in Back Forty, while showing the ability to continue to grow others (all their own) Fantastic CEO in Hugo Alves. The man is on point and does not mess around. Very restrained and focused. Can easily expand capacity by 50% plus on current footprint. Also has a lot more space on their owned land to continue to expand. It would cost more to build their facility now, than the market cap of the entire company. The value and growth propositions are both there. Auxly is writing the playbook for how to build the most efficient adult rec mega-facility in the world.

Kbarbs4421

Revisit those charts. RYM is up roughly 20% of last week's low, as opposed to MSOS being up roughly 8% of the low. I'd also argue that both are not responding directly to this bit of news. Also, the hemp delay is just a temporary reprieve as of now. Signs of upper level political support, but no certainty as of now. So, again, this particular bit of news is one factor among many that are influencing price action of late. Finally, I've noticed that RYM's intraday moves seem to inverse MSOS fairly often. Overall, they trend similarly but the volatile price action seems to happen separately. Just a causal observation and not something I've tracked closely enough to know if it's legit or not.

Thumbszilla

It's notable that today's MSOS pump was on half the volume of Wednesday's MSOS dump. That's what's known as a "volume divergence"... Which suggests the rally might lack broad market conviction. A high-volume test of the lows followed by a lower-volume bounce often indicates a temporary reprieve rather than a sustainable trend reversal. Buyers did not step in with the same force that sellers applied the day prior.

UsedState7381

Advisor shares (MSOS ETF) will be ringing the opening bell of NYSE next Monday. https://advisorshares.com/events/

iYoloNDX0DTEs

MSOS needs to go back down lmao. I can’t have dogshit leading my port in gains.

skyplt29

This might be a signal to buy MSOS! Let me explain. I just sold those shares I bought at 4.20 yesteday for 4.28 just now. I thought we were passed all the BS but apparently not. That dive down to 4 yesterday rattled me a bit primarily because I thought there was a better chance of 5 than 4. Apparently I was wrong. Given many who post on here are bearish about MSOS, I admit that between those suggesting a trip to a "max pain" tomorrow of 4 as well as the 'Bollinger Bands" suggesting a weak "head and shoulders" might result in an Inverse Biggus Diccus...well, you win. I am going to take my 8 cent win and hide. This would fall under the "if I only did the opposite of what I normally do in weedstocks" strategy. My selling is a buy signal for sure.

No_Cell6708

CRON teaching th MSOS how it's done

iYoloNDX0DTEs

There are zero guarantees in life: inverse leveraged ETFs tanking, and MSOS being a flaming pile of shit.

iYoloNDX0DTEs

Some dude analysing MSOS thinking “max pain” matters on one of the worst ETFs in history.

Thumbszilla

Highly recommended video to check out. He correctly called the last flush to $3.08 to the penny months in advance (his video history proves it). Excellent chart based analysis with a strong case. A reminder that price targets aren't guarantees, they're probabilities. [MSOS Death Cross Looming... $3.11 Price Target Update](https://youtu.be/PjsQ9H5RXL4?is=NYzE2EllRGMnpcxi)

jamminstein

Here are the primary reasons, in order and in my opinion, that these stocks can be pushed around, or at least move in whipsaw fashion and have been in a prolonged downtrend: 1) Virtually no institutional investment (MSOS, WEED, etc. do not count). The vast majority holding and trading the MSO's are retail traders or small shops. There is no support that you get being included in various mainstream ETFs and Funds (Small Cap 600, Russell 200, etc.). 2) The point above relates to #2, no guidance from NYSE, NASDAQ, FinCEN on uplisting, Safe Banking, etc, leads to larger funds not being allowed to buy and the high amount of retail trading impact and very little price support. 3) This one relates to #2 above as well, the opaqueness of retail moving to Schedule 3. Once this is settled and if Schedule 3 is law, then hopefully we get clear decisions from NYSE, NASDAQ and FinCEN that allow for banking uplisting, not for just carve out medical components of MSO's but for the companies on the whole. 4) Decreasing margins and a race to the bottom. Many legal markets are oversaturated with too many dispensaries and too much product. Supply and demand along with commoditization of cannabis here decreasing margins and profitability. In the long term, underperforming companies failing, going bankrupt, or being bought out will correct this, and lead to price support but it will take quite a bit of time. 5) Uncertainty around legal intoxicating hemp products. Way easier and cheaper to buy from gas stations and shops than from licensed dispensaries. Additionally, in states that have legal intoxicating hemp readily available there is little to no motivation to legalize actual cannabis fro medical or recreational use.

BHOmber

Used some spare cash to buy some ITM Jan MSOS for the first time in a while. Also slangin' TRLV calls on the remainder of my initial position ~3.50 usd. Need more capital for my GTI averaging lol

Thumbszilla

Man... MSOS tested the upper and lower descending wedge lines, tested the lower and middle Bollinger bands, had a stop loss flush, and closed back in the middle of the descending wedge on a very red day for the sector. Max pain remains $4.00 for Friday. The next 2 days of trading are going to be crazy.

Thumbszilla

$3.11 MSOS price target

Loose-Dream7901

RYM has more cash on hand than some MSOS on a 20+M run rate. You don’t understand this complexity of this agreement. Conjecture is a poor word choice.

skyplt29

Good old Tilray...it never fails to fail. I was feeling like I may have "missed the boat" selling 30% of my shares last week for 4.50USD. Yet here we are. Though I will not be buying it back, I am looking at MSOS at 4.20USD. Notwithstanding the "Oh look, it's 4/20 tee hee", I happen to think it is more likely to hit 5 than 4. I believe we may get something (not a lot, but something) on 17 Aug. Well, here goes.

Thumbszilla

Via Gemini: These earnings look solid, but not spectacular. Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF) posted respectable numbers that suggest stability rather than explosive growth. Here is a quick breakdown of their Q2 2026 earnings: * Revenue: They reported $306.7 million, representing a 4.6% increase over the same quarter last year. * Net Income: They managed a GAAP net income of $4.9 million ($0.02 per share). In the cannabis sector, simply turning a profit while Schedule I tax rules are still in effect is an achievement. * Cash Position: They have a very healthy cash pile of $283.6 million. This is crucial for surviving the current legal limbo and potential D.C. Circuit Court delays without needing to dilute shareholders. * Normalized EBITDA: This came in at $84.3 million, or 27.5% of revenue, showing solid operational efficiency. The Good: GTBIF is proving they can operate profitably and increase revenue despite the crippling 280e tax burden still theoretically hanging over the industry. Their massive cash position gives them a massive safety net. The Bad: A 4.6% year-over-year revenue increase is relatively flat. Investors in this sector are typically looking for hyper-growth to justify the risk. Furthermore, a $4.9 million net income on over $300 million in revenue highlights exactly why 280e relief is so desperately needed. These earnings probably aren't the catalyst needed to break MSOS out of its downtrend today. Because GTBIF is one of the top holdings in MSOS, flat-to-slight-beat earnings are likely to be absorbed by the broader bearish technical structure.

UsedState7381

Decent volume on MSOS now, seemingly due to AG Blanche's nomination. But max pain is still $4, we need a whole lot more volume than this to recover from the dump of early July. Oh well.

No_Cell6708

Green Thumb earnings today and only a single comment in here? Any of ya'll actually pay attention to what these businesses are doing or you just buying MSOS as a meme still? One of the sectors of all time Irwin Simon did 9/11

skyplt29

Tilray is the perfect example of the insanity that is going on in the market right now. On Friday one major investing house issued a strong buy, another issued a strong sell. I am reminded of a line in Dire Straits song Industrial Disease..."two men claim their Jesus, one of them must be wrong." Trump was going to drop lots of bombs on Tehran. Blanche was going to be blocked by his own Republican bunch. Lots of black clouds. This morning it appears peace is on the menu, Blanche is back in the running, and the Dow is on a tear. Sunny days! SpaceX is perhaps an even better example of how insane things are right now. If FoodCooker thinks Tilray's numbers don't add up he should take a look at SPCX yet I see it is up 3% today yet there is about a 20% share unlock coming up. I am not buying SpaceX as I think (not unlike Facebook when it first came out) it "should" decline to 50USD or so once folks give their head a shake and look at the numbers. But like Tilray, how do you put a price on a company who has yet to make a profit? It's about investor sentiment and today looks like another Tilray type of day. Of course I am kicking myself for selling 30% of my Tilray shares on Friday (in fairness, those 30% were bought under 4.20USD). The problem with remarks like FoodCooker's is that they begin to seep in over time when the stock price falls every week for six months in a row. What has me perplexed about today is MSOS is pretty much flat; but then, most of the shares of those companies are in the closed Canadian market. Canopy is modestly up, but not on fire like Tilray. I can only conclude that whatever is happening with Tilray is not related to any developments in the US cannabis market as MSOS would reflect that. CGC seems to move that way as well. So my only real question today is why would Tilray run, Canopy follow a bit, but MSOS not budge. I guess we are to the point where this sector is no longer moving as one.

Thumbszilla

[This graphic really shows that MSOS still has some room to fall yet](https://x.com/i/status/2083989185749246319)

Mr_Snow___

MSOS\~ Bidens Term: -92.12% Second Trump Term: +17.83% Wut? Can someone explain for us slow people please and thanks in advance. (yep, still -38.43% from election night. Got it)

Thumbszilla

[Agree or disagree that we have a confirmed MSOS head and shoulders with the price breakdown that follows currently playing out?](https://x.com/i/status/2083956333187854753)

No_Cell6708

We should have an earnings calendar pinned to the top of the subreddit. Think some of the MSOS are up this week?

TreGet234

Huh yeah, MSOS dipped there too. Congrats. Hope it keeps going up. I can't buy it now though without risking becoming a giant bagholder.

skyplt29

I'll take it! I have no idea why this is doing what it is today...Cresco is down, Canopy is down, and MSOS is only up a percent. Perhaps someone saw something more in that Q Report than what I did. Glad to see it, won't argue against it, just don't understand it. I am tempted to unblock FoodCooker just to read his apocalyptical rationale, be fun to read. That being said, I wound up blocking him as I was having a difficult time reading his posts when I was losing money everyday with this stock for the last six months.

i-love-you-sm

Thumbszilla - “We have a double dog death X axis 47 Omaha snowball pain spontaneous combustion today. Buy MSOS at negative $1.67 soon. The end is coming for you all!” Foodcooker - “TLRY TLRY TLRY gluck TLRY TLRY TLRY gluck TLRY TLRY TLRY gluck TLRY TLRY TLRY gluck. Vote for my savior Trump 2028! TLRY TLRY TLRY gluck” Competitive Ant - “I have no positions here. You’re all so dumb. My dog is smarter than you’ll ever be. Give me your most reasonable takes on this sector, and I’ll tell you why you’re wrong and why my class goldfish from 3rd grade is smarter than you all.”

Thumbszilla

MSOS completed a MA 21 / MA 100 death cross today. The last time that happened in February it fell an additional 22ish%.

Thumbszilla

The chart shows MSOS trading between $4.24 and $4.02 tomorrow. We've all seen what seems to happen after MSOS has a solid green day, so combine those two things and it looks like it's a red day tomorrow. It's also notable that last Friday MSOS had a max pain price of $4.50, opened at $4.36 and closed at $4.26. Tomorrow the max pain price for MSOS is also $4.50, and it closed today at $4.21.

KAI5ER

MSOX is a short term hold. MSOS long..

UsedState7381

It's hilariously easy to predict when this guy is going to try to pump MSOS again 

Thumbszilla

If the trend on the charts holds the absolute top of this MSOS pump is around $4.27 before heading back down

AmbassadorGloomy8915

Bought a shit ton of MSOS today, that’s all I wanted to say 🤷‍♂️

UsedState7381

A 20% flush down from yesterday's close would bring MSOS to about $3.20.

skyplt29

And here I was feeling good about my MSOS buy yesterday! Good times.

Thumbszilla

GTBIF had a MA 21 / MA 100 death cross yesterday. The last time that happened in February it fell an additional 17ish%, and the death cross before that in November it fell about 20%. MSOS is now 2 cents from a MA 21 / MA 100 death cross. The last time that happened in February it fell an additional 22ish%.

skyplt29

Yesterday I bought the same number of shares of MSOS that I already owned (average buy price yesterday was 4.03USD). This effectively brings my overall average cost to just below 5USD. I have sell orders in starting at 5.50 and ratcheting up in ten cent increments, last sell order is 6. I believe two major factors are in play that is driving this sector into the dirt. Something not getting a lot of talk on here is Todd Blanche's challenges. The other is more obvious, Warsh's handling of the Fed Reserve. Then of course is this quagmire in Iran. I chose to buy yesterday when my emotions were suggesting to just sell and move on from this sector. I fully appreciate why some are. It is just bad news after bad news. DCA has not worked so well for me (so far). It might be another folly buying more MSOS. However, given MSOS hit 5.77 the first week of June, should there be some decent news on 17 Aug I do believe getting back to high fives is realistic. I am taking a closer look at Charlotte's Web today. I will be looking into the status of what might be coming up with the extension of the hemp loophole in the Farm Bill. Seems as though a one year delay is in the works. Perhaps Mitch McConnell's team will put a Bill on his lap, then make a loud noise to startle him awake then snap a picture of him apparently endorsing it? He is making a greater farce out of this administration...an octogenarian unable to leave his care facility and no video. Yet apparently good to govern. Kind of reminds me of Iran's leader. Couldn't help the sarcasm, but watching the news these days is like watching a sequel to the movie Hunger Games. Sadly, these characters are real, and they are having a real impact on the average person's daily life. Crazy times. Holding onto the idea that S3 for recreational cannabis is on the way and MSOS will get to the high single digits. For those of you who believe double digits for MSOS is possible, I admire your optimism. This sector has beat optimism out of me. If I can escape with a modest gain I will run. Hopium? Copium?

No_Love_Gained

MSOS, boon that continues to be a bane for this industry.

Thumbszilla

After this week max pain for MSOS is between $3.00 - $4.00 through November 20th. It sure looks like the options market doesn't think we'll have an ALJ / DEA outcome before then, and it's probably correct. [https://optioncharts.io/options/MSOS](https://optioncharts.io/options/MSOS)

skyplt29

I suspect it was stop losses getting triggered. These have a way of exacerbating things. It was not the report I was hoping for (one day I would love to see a pre-EBITDA profit), but that first hour of trading today was tough to watch. I didn't buy any more Tilray today, but did buy some MSOS at 4USD. We are three weeks away from getting something about S3 hearings.

UsedState7381

He claimed to have been adding to his cannabis position at least since the beginning of this month, but considering the large dump MSOS had at roughly the same time, and he didn't tried to pump it again, I believe that he either sold already or is just adding very little. Then comes the flush down to sub $4 maybe tomorrow or Friday, and he will try to pump it again...So he can fully exit if he haven't sold yet.

UsedState7381

Alright, MSOS down to $4 means I'm adding a little to it, along with my other positions. If we dump today, you know who to blame 🫠

skyplt29

At this point I think Irwin Simon must realize he has lost the support of retail investors. I would not be surprised if Carlsberg (20B market cap) eventually bought Tilray for its distribution channels in North America...then sold off the cannabis and wellness portfolios. It's to the point where they would likely break even and get a strong distribution network. But who knows at this point. It's hard to push back against those who have been (and still are) negative on Tilray. You have been proven right. Perhaps a self-fulfilling prophesy. At some point the hatred becomes contagious. I am not sure what Tilray can do at this point. They've lost the confidence of most retail investors...and so far no interest in this sector by institutions. I honestly believed yesterday's report, and call, were not that bad. Not great, but not dump at the open bad. I was apparently wrong. That was a tough hour watching Tilray hit -8%. Wow. Sure hope this sector turns around. I just picked up more MSOS at 4. I did not think that would be possible a few weeks away from more clarity on S3 for recreation. Not sure what will change the trajectory of this sector. Oh, and a warm thanks to Iran for poking the pig once again. Three day ceasefire. What a world.

UsedState7381

Max pain for MSOS is still at $4.5, so yeah we probably flush down to sub $4 to stop hunt and then bounce back up to $4 to $4.50 by tomorrow.

Flyinbro

**Market makers have a unique, highly constrained relationship with the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) because the underlying U.S. cannabis operators (MSOs) cannot legally list on major U.S. exchanges like the NYSE or Nasdaq.** While market makers actively facilitate liquidity for the MSOS ETF itself on the NYSE Arca, their ability to "touch" or manipulate the underlying holdings is fundamentally restricted by institutional barriers, unique structures, and federal law

Thumbszilla

Will the MM's go stop loss hunting under $4 with MSOS today? Perhaps Thursday?

volckerwasright

MSOS is getting very close to oversold on the yearly. This coincided with sharp rallies the previous two times. I’m looking to enter on any kind of bullish continuation on expanding volume

youngbutgood

Thank the gods for getting me out of TLRY when they pumped on Trump's executive order. I switched over to MSOS, which is still down 10% but I guess better than being down 75%.

UsedState7381

Max pain remains at $4.5 for MSOS so maybe not. I believe we maintain the $4 to $4.5 level until the mid to end of August. Flushes down to sub $4 would be bought up, unless we have any really bad news for us.

volckerwasright

Feels like we're close to the big puke that seems to mark local bottoms. If we see MSOS ~3.75 I think its prudent to expect MSOX to initiate another reverse split.

skyplt29

I certainly feeling touched by MSOS!

UsedState7381

MSOS may touch $4 today, seems to be going that way already.

Kbarbs4421

Sector seems pretty beat down right now. I'm anticipating a bounce and maybe even a run on rescheduling certainty. Have a mix of equity and options plays on RYM, TRLV, CRON, SNDL and MSOS, the majority of which are intended to be near/mid term volatility trades. And then i continue to hold some core positions in GTBIF and CRON. Big picture, I will continue to trade the sector's volatility cycles until that trade no longer works. I'd probably walk away altogether if I didn't understand the market participants and emotional cycles so damn well.

Kbarbs4421

RYM, TRLV. Bit of CRON and MSOS.

Thumbszilla

MSOS is now 12 cents from a death cross, and GTBIF is now 6 cents from a death cross.

AmbassadorGloomy8915

Can’t sell MSOS calls at this price, but at least it’s a good time to load up on shares. How are you guys trading MSOS right now? Selling puts? I’ve been interested in maybe selling puts, but I’m not as experienced with it as calls.

TCNNF_Moon-_

MSOS should be at 6$ right now and it is infusion see it not See y’all late September

noobstockinvestor

Hey Sky! Been a while. Came by the weedstocks thread today and was glad to see you're still around. I vaguely remember you exiting the sector, when did you jump back in? I currently hold no shares in any weedstocks including Tilray - I sold a while back when the opportunity presented itself. I do however have some calls in Tilray and MSOS. This sector always dies during the summer and usually comes roaring back for a mini pump in the second half of the year. Instead of keeping so much cash locked up in these trash stocks, I decided to allocate it mostly in ETFs, dividends stocks and small positions in Microsoft/meta. It was the best decision I've made and am glad I am out of this sector. It taught me alot about risk management and I am glad I learned these lessons young. My plan is to play this sector with options so my losses are minimized, cash is free and the risk is contained. If it goes to zero, then whatever its less than 1% of my portfolio. Summers are always brutal but if you are back in heavy, I hope you have an opportunity to walk away with some gains. I managed to recover my NW by utilizing the previous pumps as well as an unexpected windfall from Pokémon cards that ran up 1000%.

Thumbszilla

The MSOS options market has been a cash cow for the MM's, but the real prize right now are all those shares waiting for them in a stop loss flush below $4.00.

Thumbszilla

My understanding for MSOS is that a close below the $4.35 - $4.40 area breaks the month's long support level and there's little / no support again until $4.00. Based on the chart I think we'll have a small bounce back into the $4.40's but I find it doubtful that the MM's will let this go over $4.50 by tomorrow's close due to opex. Thoughts?

AgentBlackwell

Can’t believe MSOS dropping this low again. 

Thumbszilla

Considering we're easily a month (but more likely 2-3 months) from the hearing outcome it could get bumpy in the near term. $MSOS: 20 cents from a death cross $MSOX: Death cross happened last week $TRLV: Death cross happened last week $GTBIF: 13 cents from a death cross

Thumbszilla

In your opinion will MSOS touch $4 in the coming weeks?

No_Cell6708

Canadia LP enjoyer new to MSOS. Could someone give me their takes on Green Thumb and Trulieve, or point me to solid DD posts? Both seem to be generating a lot of cash at this point and stand out from the others imo - but what are the downside risks? It's my understanding Trulieve has been accumulating a tax liability that they may or may not have to pay (280E similar to Canadian excise tax?). What do their growth prospects look like as of now? Are any other operators worth looking at?

UsedState7381

I wonder how much that 70% move up on Trulieve would go for MSOS. This is great news, about fucking time we have institutions starting to move in.

Thumbszilla

As I sit here and look at the 1 year MSOS pattern it sure looks like it is still consolidating and that it could easily drop back down to $3.50... especially since we're not likely to hear any decisions until the end of August or September. It is plain as day where the range tops out and bottoms out over the last year. I could easily be wrong. Thoughts? [MSOS 1 year chart](https://photos.app.goo.gl/soK9XCUFVPdP6k967)

skyplt29

Guilty as charged. I truly thought oil was going toward the 50s (Drill Baby Drill, including Alaska) which prompted me to exit some (not all) of my stocks in this sector. I also believed that after many years S3 was going to finally propel weedstocks upwards...perhaps not to the insane highs of 2018 or 2021, but something like MSOS to 10-15USD. Boy was I wrong.

skyplt29

My Saturday review of another dismal week in weedstocks for the ten of us left on this subreddit. SpaceX topped out around 200USD about a month ago and is now sitting 124USD so I guess we aren't the only ones feeling poorer. I can so identify with the schmuck who bought SpaceX on the 17th of June not realizing they got in at the peak of that Ponzi scheme. Weedstocks is not the only place where the "greater fool theory" plays out. In a weird way it makes me feel a little (just a little) better about owning weedstocks. Charlotte's Web has gone from .92USD to .23USD so far this year (I sold at .72 for a slight profit on my .67 buy). MSOS went from 5.75USD to 4.46USD in the last month, but its been hovering around 4.50 to 5.50 based (from what I can ascertain) on how the options market is doing. My break even point on MSOS is 6USD. I really thought we would be trending higher with the S3 hearings and was hoping to see 8 (that's where my sell order sits). I am still kind of amazed by what a nothing burger the hearings turned out to be (so far). I can only imagine most retail investors have been burned so many times in this sector that until S3 becomes a reality (along with uplisting, 280e, and SAFER) there will be no change in stock price trajectory. I am wondering if Todd Blanche's less than stellar hearings (the Epstein meeting did not go so well) were driving weedstock prices more than the S3 hearings last week. Hard to figure out anymore. Meanwhile, Trump wants to lay a tariff on Canada because of alleged 'wilful negligence' associated with wildfires. I guess Canada is the only country dealing with climate change. Wildfires in the USA are probably due to Democrat malfeasance? I only bring this up because every day brings a new dose of insanity with that guy. What happens if Spain wins The World Cup? Will he refuse to give them the trophy? Afterall, he wants nothing to do with that country. I guess the upcoming elections in November will be declared null and void due to Chinese interference? This will conveniently result in Democrats not taking back the House and thus the crook remains unimpeachable for two more years. What's this got to do with weedstocks? Risk tolerance. I am watching my weedstocks portfolio decrease at the same time as it costing me more to put gas in my car or buy groceries...I have never been so concerned about my economic stability. It is like living in an episode of The Twilight Zone. My challenge is I don't see next week getting any better for weedstocks. Perhaps now is the time to pile into SpaceX? I am kidding.

UsedState7381

May be going that way, because we also don't have anything serious to look forward to until August 17th. More than enough time to dump MSOS down there.

Thumbszilla

Looking at the chart MSOS has bounced off this current support level several times and those bounces keep getting weaker. With us being several weeks from the hearing resolution it sure seems like the MM's want to blast it down into the $3's one more time.

Thumbszilla

Does MSOS bounce or break next week?

Thumbszilla

I don't know what you're looking at but there's a sizable amount of open interest twice in the next two months with a max pain price of $4 [https://optioncharts.io/options/MSOS](https://optioncharts.io/options/MSOS)

NoMi0941

These all look like amazing investments, and to have a entire sub reddit dedicated to all the amazing companies out there how cool ! Which stock is best ? TLRY ? MSOS? All the charts look like everyone has been making some great $ ! What a cool place

skyplt29

Somebody help me out here...trying to figure out what that odd color is on MSOS.

volckerwasright

Looks like a channel break on MSOS, pain for longs for the next few weeks. If we approach a ~16% drop MSOX will be due for another reverse split

AmbassadorGloomy8915

Really glad I sold MSOS 5$ calls on the 13th, almost bought back on the first dip, but also glad I’m just waiting till expiry tmr. My strategy honestly just consists of watching the charts trying to time the high and that’s about it. I was curious if anyone else who sold calls had some strategies that are more in depth than mine they wanted to share, i’m really interested on how to be more efficient selling them. Weed stocks specifically have some noticeable patterns and ranges and the longer I watch the charts the more comfortable I am timing the high, but I’m not really good with tracking catalysts. Selling MSOS calls for about a year and a half now.

Consistent_Pass4583

**$MSOS** (USA CANNABIS ETF) BUY BUY BUY!!!! [https://www.marijuanamoment.net/senate-democrats-file-bill-to-fully-legalize-marijuana-under-federal-law-as-trump-moves-to-merely-reclassify-it/](https://www.marijuanamoment.net/senate-democrats-file-bill-to-fully-legalize-marijuana-under-federal-law-as-trump-moves-to-merely-reclassify-it/) **"Senate Democrats File Bill To Fully Legalize Marijuana Under Federal Law As Trump Moves To Merely Reclassify It"**

Consistent_Pass4583

# $MSOS (USA Cannabis ETF) Calls it is [https://x.com/OracleNYSE/status/2077808484150624524](https://x.com/OracleNYSE/status/2077808484150624524) "Senate Democrats File Bill To Fully Legalize Marijuana Under Federal Law"

Different_Pack_3686

MSOS

skyplt29

Well...it is all guesswork at this point. I have been following closely, so will try and shed light on my 'educated' guess. The hearings just ended. They were closed door. I am shocked by how little coverage it got. Radio silence, even by those (MSOs) who will be impacted. I cannot help but think a 'gag order' was determined to be the best course of action by the CEOs. We've all seen what happens when someone raises Trump's ire. From what little I read, it seems as though the DEA was pretty straightforward about their rationale for S3...medical. I expect it will take at least a month to six weeks. First week of September is what I surmise...but like pretty much everything else in this sector, I vastly underestimated the levels of fuckery that have transpired, from fake walls to sniffer dogs to MSOS landing a penny or two just under max pain week in and week out.

No_Love_Gained

GTI has held up fairly well (compared to restvof tier 1 MSOS) these past few weeks of correction. I suspect any adhoc drops are being bought out quickly. Glta

rockum

I love that MSOS and GTBIF no longer move in lockstep.

UsedState7381

Completely understandable, I'm exhausted too. Usually, these are the times you'd like to gamble(up or down).  But whatever, I haven't bought more MSOS in months and I'm satisfied with the size of my position, so I'm adding to my other, unrelated stocks.

UsedState7381

MSOS traded less than 3M shares today, and the ALJ hearings ends tomorrow, between 15 to 30 days we will have a determination on full S3 or not. Fucking incredible, this sector is fucking dead.

skyplt29

"Anyone" on this subreddit who suggests "everyone" is doing something clearly does not know "anything" about "everything". I can only speak for "myself" as I don't know "anyone else" on this subreddit...it's not like we all go out to coffee together and discuss weedstocks or meet in someone's basement and do cult things. Nope, just making posts on weedstocks. I've been here since 2018 (in and out of LPs and MSOs as well as MSOS). I have had a few major wins (rode the Constellation 5B in Canopy taking me from 35 a share to 70 a share) and Aphria in 2021 from 8 to 18 (I jumped early on its way to 33...which would equate to 330 pre-split) but I also got burned big time. I was out on margin in anticipation of what was "supposedly" a sure thing (was even reported in the Globe and Mail) with a cigarette company about to do a major investment in Aphria only to get burned by Hindenburg. Then the whole carmalized lungs due to vaping fiasco. I think I can make a qualified guess that most retail investors have moved on to other sectors. Ten years of false hope and rug pulls. Personally, I am checking in far less, but not quite throwing in the towel just yet. I find it unbelievable we are a day before the S3 hearings wrap up and running at such low volume. This was the holy grail in 2021 when Biden got elected. I cannot see what could possibly happen in this sector that would ignite interest to the same levels of 2018 and 2021. Donald Trump could make a 3am Truth Social post about descheduling cannabis altogether and I think it would be met with a collective "meh". How long did the 20% tariff on the Strait of Hormuz idea last? Oh, that's right, all part of the "Art of the Deal". What a schmuck. I am an American citizen, and I cannot get over what a clownshow our government has made of cannabis reform...and not just the Trump train. Nixon made marijuana a Schedule 1 drug at the stroke of a pen to get 'hippies' and persons of color off the streets (where they were demonstrating against the Vietnam War). NO supporting evidence whatsoever. Now Schedule 3 takes DEA hearings, votes in Congress and the Senate, and Executive Orders. Meanwhile close to half of the 50 states just moved on and legalized. The last ten years or so I have watched both Democrats and Republicans turn this into a cluster fuck. In truth, I am surprised most of these MSOs have lasted as long as they have. I am not surprised that most retail investors have decided to move on. I'm here because I think there will be a "mini rally" when S3 news hits sometime later this Fall and maybe, just maybe I can get out with less of a loss. I own Cresco (1.40CDN break even). MSOS (7USD break even). TLRY (9USD break even). My most recent sells were about two months ago with Charlotte's Web at .72CDN (made 5 cents a share) and Green Thumb at 11.17CDN (made 17 cents a share). Not even close to FOMO on either of these companies. I'm just glad I got out with a small profit. I think Cresco and MSOS will hit my break even points. 50/50 on Tilray getting back to 9USD, maybe 8USD? I am going to hold and let the S3 play out as I do believe it will happen. Then if there is that "mini rally" I have my sell orders preset and hopefully they will fill.

StarMaker7

Obviously, the IRS will fight it; this is not unexpected or a surprising development. This issue will be settled in court, which will be a battle, and I believe MSOS will have to pay pennies on the dollar.

AmbassadorGloomy8915

Great day to sell MSOS calls, haven’t got to in awhile

AgentBlackwell

I just sold some calls against my MSOS, so you're welcome if we bounce.

Win11141

$MSOS

derprondo

Well at least $MSOS is bigly green.

volckerwasright

Short interest on MSOS right now is almost at a 12 month low. https://finviz.com/stock?t=MSOS&ty=si&p=d

Thumbszilla

It sure looks like people are starting to rotate into cannabis stocks ahead of the rescheduling hearing conclusion on Wednesday MSOS

p3pp3rjack

Are US cannabis stocks and/or the MSOS ETF heavily shorted? Where can I find this information?

Flyinbro

Holy crap this waiting game is awful. MSOS & MRMD are my main holdings at it has been nothing but underwhelming.

Thumbszilla

Whoa... MSOS is up 9% tonight https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSOS/history/

UsedState7381

MSOS up 8% on overnight market. LoL