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Looking for penny stocks with insider buying? Check out these 4 stocks insiders are betting big on, including a basic materials stock with over $1M in play.
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NDLS is doing debt restructuring, and might be on track to 2$
I love me some Japanese pan NDLS as well friend. 👍
Now that the fake meat is beyond us let’s take a look at some pasta **$NDLS** , already had some desert with **$DNUT**
Well I can tell you this. I tried, and failed, to use my Microsoft 365 Copilot (paid license) to advise me on how to use my Power Automate Premium service to build a bit of an automated process to help filter info. I can't get past the fact that it keeps telling me to click options that don't exist, or to do steps that aren't possible. AI is *so* not ready to take over the world. On to more humorous topics: Your best bet is to use Excel's auto-correct spell checker feature. Every time you type a 1, it substitutes with a 2. This will boost your margins significantly. If I figure out how to predict the future I'll let you....well actually....check your left pocket. Future me put a piece of paper there. The paper reads: "Buy 1 share of NDLS today. When the world runs out of food, this company will save us all.".
Hey guys what is happening with NDLS
Next meme is NDLS get ready
BLNK, NDLS are on some highs rn; nd I dont see them stopping after todaY!
NDLS popped half way to their price evaluation of 2$ today with little trouble. FEMY is still valued way higher then where its at, and BLNK had a comeback today after slamming into the 1.7 floor around 6am!
Seriously though how is NDLS undervalued (valued at 2$). I also noticed Femy had a 7-8$ valuation awhile ago, and honestly I see it in 2026; or under a different administration thriving.
Meat is still hot, but I’ll pick **NDLS**
Who bought NDLS? Or was it only me
With the next : NDLS
NDLS NEXT , only 47 shares in circulation and MC : 36M$...we can make a fortune with pasta !!
Beautiful !! next NDLS
came for the meat stay for the noodles switch to $NDLS
Alright gang, its been only green; and I accidentally caught a free 200 extra dollars on NDLS in a quick day trade. Ima go spark up and enjoy the fact my honey moon has now been paid for in full (Will update march 2026 when we go!)
check out $NDLS better entry point and price target
Okay, idk what's going on with NDLS. I knew it was undervalued but its at 1.07 already from .7
you liked the DNUT and the BYND youll love the $NDLS
you came for the meat you’ll stay for the $NDLS
go to $NDLS, its rotating
its over => $NDLS is the real deal now
BLNK is up, FEMY is meh, DFLI has ground ti make up, NDLS are up 50% cause F*** you.
Yall think NDLS could be closer to a 1$? I've seen 2$ price predections!
Controversial opinion... NDLS could bounce back after its debt restructuring.
Alright someone on here said Noodles&Co \*NDLS\* is the next meme dream - yay or nay
Lmao. NDLS. Volume sucks
Hello!! You should do a NDLS DD , I would enjoy that
Today Menu Primo NDLS Secondo BYND Desert DNUT
NDLS at $23, my dd was that I liked their Mac n cheese. Sold at $13 a few weeks later. I was devastated, realized I was an idiot. It’s a penny stock now.
ORGN, NDLS, and GGR from least risky to most risky, but still risky
ORGN, GGR, and NDLS; all very risky bets, but hopeful they hit. Would be nice if they all get to at least $1
Same on the ADIL. See what premarket brings. Watching ABP, NVNI, ADIL, and will probably take a position in PSTV premarket. Also took a position in NDLS today.
For less than a box of noodles you can buy $NDLS
For less than a box of noodles you can buy $NDLS
NDLS will be back at 2021 price ;)
Noodles 🍜 Becky love noodles. NDLS get it together ❤️
I can’t believe $NDLS went up 16% with terrible earnings AND nasty food lmao
They made mistakes and they had one foundry, yes. But what about second foundry? Seriously, if you don't think they will work a few "lessons learned" I'll be very surprised. Not to mention they have US government backing this time. So they aren't going to die. Will they moon? Especially at about 54% fair market value. I think so. But don't take this as financial advice. I have some great wins (NVDA, TSLA, CMG early) but have also has some real failures (NDLS, PBPB, KSCP, DIS, the list goes on....)
Foil hat time. CMG split their stock in order to short it. PBPB and NDLS would never.
Short NDLS with everything you have and cover when it hits $1-1.10/share
Hey, I just make out your post from 10 years ago, Im buyer of this company since march 2024 (the new ceo is here) . I just want to let you know to Keep an eyes on $NDLS (Noodles and co) (-64% floating capital) it means the shortsqueeze is close.. I checked the volume profile, we can have a short squeeze around 5$ , A new ceo is here since March 2024, they will announce earnings on 8 May , I guess Q1 2024 will be difficult because in 1 month a new ceo can't do a lot but the stock could explode soon..I just post here and wait your feedback about this low stock ! Note : If this stock reach the Marketcap of Cheesecake factory the stock will up around 38$
You have two options: invest in a safe company like [NDLS](https://marketchameleon.com/Overview/NDLS/?lu=true&pap_aid=stormofnegativity&pap_cid=11111111) or go all in on a volatile stock and pray for the best. Either way, your future is looking pretty bleak, regarded.
> I wonder how many people think they are investing in the next TSLA in terms of gains Several years ago there was a fleet of restaurant IPOs that came out and it was clear everyone wanted "The Next Chipotle" - none of them (NDLS, PBPB, Zoes Kitchen, LOCO, bunch of others) were. They weren't even close - one or two got bought out well under where they IPO'd, the rest are still well under where they went public. 2020/21, you had a repeat with "The Next Tesla" - and you had a ton of companies go public via SPAC or otherwise and everyone scrambled to buy anything EV related. Now they've all cratered and in the worst case scenario you will have a number of 0's. Again, none of these things were the next Tesla. There's also been a lot of "the next Amazon"'s over the years, which hasn't gone well in most cases either.
It's CARTs fault they didn't go public in 2020/21. ARM and CAVA too expensive and there's been a lot of restaurant IPO flops (PTLO about -60% from 2021 IPO price, SHAK has barely done anything since going public 8 years ago, BROS -42% since 2021 IPO, the whole class of "people looking for the next Chipotle" from 2014 like NDLS, LOCO and PBPB that cratered, etc.)
This sounds like Noodles & Co. That shit stank. But hey, some nice insider action picking up on NDLS, maybe we just found a nice play.
NDLS eh? I bought them almost ten years ago at $30 something, I think on a motley fool stock advisor recommendation, and cut it loose at around $6 a couple years back. Fool made it sound like they could be the next Chipotle, but I've only ever seen a couple of their restaurants. Why are you bullish on them now?
I prefer small caps in general anyway. Recently added NDLS at $3.40 and DLTH at \~$5.75. I've also been bag holding HZO for a while. I like a low P/S ratio. Margins have been in a slump for these but should bounce back strong if the market improves. I generally avoid biotech/anything healthcare related. I do have a small amount of CRSP shares which are leading my portfolio for losses.
Noodles ($NDLS)- check their PE compared to other fast food companies. Also McDonalds since the economy is bad
Why do I keep hearing about NDLS??
This is the best piece of advice you’ll hear bulls. Go by calls on NDLS cause that’s all u regards will be eating soon.
It was at that moment, drunk in that dark alley with his pants around his ankles and a homeless man’s hands on his shoulders that he realized maybe going for munchies at this time of night was a bad choice. Calls on NDLS
Thoughts on NDLS? I like it because their EV/R ratio is very low
Anybody else like Noodles and Co (NDLS)? Their market cap/revenue ratio is less than 1 which seems really "growthy" (Chipotle's, for reference, is around 26). Stock went up 25% from Thursday to close Friday but it feels like a $8 dollar stock to me.
I am a bot. You submitted a picture of a banned ticker, NDLS. The market cap of NDLS is **408475214** This check will fire if you included unnecessary pictures that have bad phrases or a bad crop with news about cryptocoins, for example. Repost with the useless pictures omitted if you did that. Yell at /u/zjz if it's above 1 billion-ish market cap and not related to crypto/pennies/OTC.
[Noodles & Co.](https://order.noodles.com/), ticker NDLS. I have no fucking idea why they could not make a business out of it the way Chipotle did with their Mexican slop kitchens, everyone loves noodles
I was trying to figure out to capitalize of this market and it hit me and this can't literally go tits up What if I made calls otm on $NDLS because half you ducks including myself will probably be fine dining
What I'm hearing is calls on NDLS?
(pt 2 - it got long, sorry!) But anyways, let's run with your definition of simple alpha and your timeframe using the 20% stop-loss and compare it against the SPY during those time periods. * NDLS - [overpeforms the SPY during the period of the grant](https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/NDLS#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). * GIII - [underperforms SPY during the period of the grant](https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/GIII#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). * WEX - over performs the SPY but those gains have been erased (couldn't link it due to character limits). * LRMR - [underperformed the SPY during the period of the grant](https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/LRMR#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-). Obviously there's something here, but what I'm looking for is some stronger signal to say: * Of these 9 stocks, invest only in these 5. * Here's how much of your portfolio you should allocate to each.
Appreciate the points. My understanding of basic alpha for investing is just Return(you) - Return(baseline). This is also what Investopedia says and the wiki bot below lol. Obviously, you can include risk (which I pointed out that I didn't) and get a more accurate picture, but I always thought that was CAPM or something. Regardless, I agree with your point that I didn't include risk and you could (or should) to get a more accurate picture. Never seen that website before, but it's pretty cool. However, the proper calculation is using the date the grant was issued as the start date for each holding (not January 1st, 2017) and then I used 3 years from the grant date as the end date (not today) because most performance grants have a 3-year expiration. If you wanted to get more specific, you should use the expiration date for each stock as the end date. In practice, you would probably want to still be even smarter and incorporate some sort of stop-loss which would (possibly) increase the overall returns and (definitely) shorten the time frame. I haven't run this specific analysis, but at a quick glance you can see that a 20% stop-loss (for example) would get you approximately the following returns for each stock $STKL - 0% returns after \~9 months $MITK - 40% returns after \~9 months $GIII - 96% returns after \~24 months $BOX - 5% returns after \~18 months $WEX - 78% returns after \~36 months $TREE - 48% returns after \~9 months $NDLS - 150% return after \~15 months $HSKA - 0% returns after \~15 months $LRMR - 50% returns after 5 months About 52% returns with an average hold length of 15 months (verses \~20% for the SPY over 15 months). Obviously, this is a really dirty way of doing any calculations, but even looking at the chart you created you see the stocks listed here crush the SPY from 2017-2019. I think your criticism still holds though. Basically, more work needs to be done to 1) eliminate noise through more data and 2) figure out better ways to calculate the returns. This post was simply the first step :)
Hey OP - first off, I love your out-of-the-box thinking here and you got me thinking about this as an exploitable strategy. One thing that I did notice though is your alpha calculation - it seems to be calculated as **Return(stock) - Return(SPY)**, which is not the entire story. Take a look at the Wikipedia page for the equation for [alpha](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alpha_%28finance%29), where you need to take into account beta and the risk-free rate (which means you need to calculate covariance of returns between the stock and the benchmark). To take it a step further, if I had a [portfolio with equal asset allocation of your suggested stocks](https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio?s=y&timePeriod=4&startYear=2017&firstMonth=1&endYear=2021&lastMonth=12&calendarAligned=true&includeYTD=false&initialAmount=10000&annualOperation=0&annualAdjustment=0&inflationAdjusted=true&annualPercentage=0.0&frequency=4&rebalanceType=1&absoluteDeviation=5.0&relativeDeviation=25.0&leverageType=0&leverageRatio=0.0&debtAmount=0&debtInterest=0.0&maintenanceMargin=25.0&leveragedBenchmark=false&reinvestDividends=true&showYield=false&showFactors=false&factorModel=3&benchmark=-1&benchmarkSymbol=SPY&portfolioNames=false&portfolioName1=Portfolio+1&portfolioName2=Portfolio+2&portfolioName3=Portfolio+3&symbol1=STKL&allocation1_1=11&symbol2=MITK&allocation2_1=11&symbol3=GIII&allocation3_1=11&symbol4=BOX&allocation4_1=11&symbol5=WEX&allocation5_1=11&symbol6=TREE&allocation6_1=11&symbol7=NDLS&allocation7_1=11&symbol8=HSKA&allocation8_1=11&symbol9=LRMR&allocation9_1=12), I'd actually underperform the SPY (alpha of -4%). If, with the benefit of hindsight, [this is the ideal asset allocation with an alpha of ~16%](https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/optimize-portfolio?s=y&goal=2&benchmark=-1&benchmarkSymbol=SPY&constrained=true&symbol5=WEX&symbol4=BOX&lastMonth=12&historicalVolatility=true&symbol7=NDLS&symbol6=TREE&symbol1=STKL&endYear=2021&symbol3=GIII&symbol2=MITK&mode=2&comparedAllocation=-1&startYear=2017&symbol9=LRMR&symbol8=HSKA&timePeriod=4&historicalReturns=true&robustOptimization=false&historicalCorrelations=true&firstMonth=1&groupConstraints=false) * How would I know to overweight MITK and BOX, given that one CEO reached their goal and one didn't? * How would I know not to allocate anything to LRMR and WEX, given on paper, they seemed to have crushed it based on that table?
Who’s pumping WING? Cramer and MF? Their food is awful, already valued more than our beloved WEN at like 6xs less revenue, revenue down last quarter (just $74 mil) but riding the growth stock hype train. Should be valued more like NDLS.
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Rotation into Noodles & Company ($NDLS)
$NDLS, long shot but I think its the recession trifecta - guns, booze and ramen.
Yo Jay it’s ya boi, NDLS 🍝! Remember me? Right! From Philly! Hey Jay, you gonna finish that? 🍝👈 Nah nah, just askin’ 🤷🏽
I think with EVs it really turned into a "buy at any price" mania where even things that are weak basically mooned. I think people have this notion that everyone will be driving an EV tomorrow. Eventually that will be more and more the case as mandates push more and more people towards buying EVs and prices come down, but that's not tomorrow. It's not realistic for everyone to be driving EVs tomorrow from an affordability standpoint and from an infrastructure standpoint (think about all of the condos/apartment buildings where there isn't an option right now unless you're running a very long extension cord out to a car in a lot.) Eventually there will be chargers put in, but it's not going to be overnight. With a hot theme, people can be long-term right but if they buy too much into hype, they can wind up holding the bag for a while when the hype cools off and things move back towards reality. "Surely the EV industry is guaranteed" I wouldn't consider anything guaranteed, but with EVs making cars isn't an easy business. Tesla has had a number of periods over the years where things looked questionable - Musk discussed that he tried to talk to Apple about a bailout/infrastructure at one point a few years. It's a difficult business - the list of auto bankruptcies in the US (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_defunct_automobile_manufacturers_of_the_United_States) is a very long one and includes Fisker, which...recently went public again via SPAC. While a very different thing, the whole EV boom recently sort of feels in a way like the restaurant IPO boom of several years ago where people were looking for the next Chipotle. There were a lot of restaurants that went public - including NDLS (which Cramer once called "Son of Chipotle"...yeah, no.) One of the names of that group - WING - has gone on to do very well. Some of them were bought up under or well under where they went public. Some are still trading under where they went public. This period feels like people wanting the next Tesla. In a few years, I'll guess the same story plays out but probably a bit worse given the nature of the auto industry. You might get one or two success stories, a couple of deals (not necessarily at prices shareholders might like), some things that struggle and you're probably going to see some things that are added to that bankruptcy list. So, I think a lot of EV stuff has been obliterated lately to the point where it's technically oversold and might bounce but I think it's telling people you can't have a whole portfolio of aggressive growth. If you have an EV play, it's not "buy all the EV plays", it's "what are the one or two best, highest quality ideas you have for that theme?" "What is a reasonable allocation to those plays?" I think people also should consider diversifying away from "100% aggressive growth"; if things really do get better this year, being "100% aggressive growth" was the place to be last year (and then some - it was the best year for aggressive growth iinvesting I can recall) but may not be the case so much this year. That's not to say "abandon aggressive growth themes/names" by any means, but I think if things improve people have to look for opportunities to/maybe make a little room in their portfolio for some ideas outside of hype/tech that benefit from that.
NDLS (noodles and company) I love the stock because I love their buttered noodles and meatballs. I have introduced this dish to countless folks who love it now, so I’m just gonna blast my love for it out to all my social media network and it’s gonna 🚀. Lfg. Up 4% today. I am personally Holding calls for 3/19 $12.50. This isn’t advice I just love the god damn noodles and meatballs buttered