UAE

Consistent-Sun5188

Wow, $23.8 billion TAM is nothing to sneeze at. This UAE test flight isn’t just a flex.. it’s a legit stepping stone into that massive market

Stankoman

Still an over-hyped and under delivered company. The whole UAE was a shit show. No pilot, no transition to flight. Just a vertical takeoff and landing. Those Arabs are going to be pissed after they find out what the hell is going on and how misleading Archer is.

RobloxSakara

People forget $10 was resistance forever. Now it’s holding like a base. Add in that Olympic deal, UAE progress, and Stellantis behind them? This could age really well

Zealousideal-Sky-973

Nc to see the numbers backing up the hype. UAE test feed + government backing + big market potential = recipe for a solid long term play in urban air mobility

Luckypiniece

212% run in 9 months, 38% in 3 and the chart’s still holding higher lows. As long as volume stays up and they keep stacking announcements like this UAE flight, it’s got legs into earnings IMO

victorjs22r

Nobody anywhere does or would ever use it as a currency?? What are you living under a rock? Ripple is literally partnered with Bank of America, SBI Holdings, Santander Bank, UAE Exchange, Saudi British Bank, American Express, PNC, just to name a FEW partnerships with Banks and Financial Institutions all for the purpose of improving liquidity issues and cross border payments efficiency. Not to mention Ripple’s role in the Federal Reserve’s Faster Payments task force and participating in FedNow trials. They’re literally in the process of obtaining a Federal Reserve Master Account. To say no one actually uses or would ever use XRP, and crypto as a whole, is a complete understatement my brother in Christ.

victorjs22r

Man, where should I begin…. I’ll first start by saying I agree with everyone here and believe you should definitely have a 3-6 month emergency fund set up first, and I’d even add on to that and say that if you have any debt, pay it off and stay away from debt. Now, Xrp… If you don’t know much about it, it’s a digital currency created by a company called Ripple Labs. Although unlike most other cryptocurrencies I’m sure you’ve heard of, XRP was designed with a very specific purpose and goal which is to move money across borders quickly and cheap. ESPECIALLY between banks and financial institutions. The world currently experiences several problems when sending money internationally such as high fees, delayed settlements, through a more complex messaging system (SWIFT). It’s ancient tech. Just scratching the surface here. XRP fixes this, it was created to do so. Banks and institutions could send money and settle transactions internationally within seconds and with minimal fees. We can already see a large network of global financial entities and governments partnering with Ripple. Bank of America, SBI Holdings, Santander Bank, UAE Exchange, Saudi British Bank, American Express, PNC, just to name a FEW of its partners. Shall I mention that Ripple has collaborated with the Federal Reserve as they were selected to join the Fed’s Faster Payments Task Force back in 2017. Ripple is now attempting to secure a Federal Reserve Master Account. I could get into more detail about what all of this means, but I’m at work and trying to move quickly through this lol let me stop and say DYOR, don’t trust me you don’t know who I am, or anyone else here. DYOR. Anyway, my favorite part is when you start to look at the relationship between Ripple Board members and US Gov & Regulatory bodies. Gregg Kidd was a former Senior Analyst at the federal reserve payments department, he is now a Chief Risk Officer for Ripple. Rosie Rios was the 43rd US Treasurer under Obama, now a part of the board of directors for Ripple. Michael Barr, ex former Ripple Advisor who went on to become an Assistant secretary for financial institutions at the us department of the treasury. Lauren Belive, former White House official, now the Head of US Public Policy and Government relations for Ripple. There’s more but you get the idea. The biggest hurdle Ripple is currently facing (which is all bs anyway) is its current lawsuit with the SEC. Which I’ve been following for years and won’t get too much into because I’d be here typing for hours. It’s all smoke and mirrors and bs, Ripple has pretty much already won the lawsuit and they’re now just dotting their “I”s and crossing their Ts. But because of this lawsuit xrp has struggled being adopted on the scale which it was designed to do and is ready to do so. I can only imagine what’ll happen when the lawsuit is over. Gotta wrap this up and get back to work, like I said DYOR. Don’t take my word for it, look into the claims I’ve made. Connect the dots, and it’ll click. Goodluck bb.

iaintdan9

If they can handle UAE heat + dust, that’s a strong case for wider deployment. These conditions are brutal on hardware ✈️

Luckypiniece

Props to them for testing in real conditions. If Midnight can handle UAE heat and dust, it should be good to go in a lot of other cities too

Luckypiniece

Props to them for testing in real conditions. If Midnight can handle UAE heat and dust, it should be good to go in a lot of other cities too

Super_Act9151

MCRP - NYSE listed UAE stock focused on robotics. IPO just several months ago. As understand from public news, there is some deal making with Dubai police (waiting for some kind of city law to launch those robots). [Micropolis |](https://investors.micropolis.ai/)

Super_Act9151

MCRP - NYSE listed UAE stock focused on robotics. IPO just several months ago. As understand from public news, there is some deal making with Dubai police (waiting for some kind of city law to launch those robots).

Nam_Jhi

man... the economics are shifting. With backing from United, Stellantis, and the UAE, Archer isn’t just chasing the ultra wealthy. They’re building infrastructure for broader adoption. Still early but not the same old heli story

wrongrobertpatrick

Found it 🤓 • Archer's Midnight eVTOL aircraft flew today at Al Bateen Executive Airport in Abu Dhabi. • Archer's flight test operations are focused on evaluating the aircraft's vertical take off and landing (VTOL) performance in UAE-specific conditions, including high temperature, humidity and dust exposure in advance of commercial deployment. • Senior leadership from the UAE General Civil Aviation Authority (GCAA), the Abu Dhabi Investment Office (ADIO), the Integrated Transport Centre, Abu habi Aviation and Abu Dhabi Airports attended the flight test, along with representatives from Archer's regional partners.

Affectionate-Idea690

[According to the report,](https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.henleyglobal.com/publications/henley-private-wealth-migration-report-2024/londons-wealth-exodus&ved=2ahUKEwjf3vquoZyOAxVRmWoFHeVeHVoQy_kOegQIABAO&opi=89978449&cd&psig=AOvVaw1MuGLCG0ijGCK2Cb7kB89I&ust=1751479940943000) the UAE, USA, Italy, and Switzerland are popular choices. Henley & Partners notes that cities like Paris, Dubai, Amsterdam, and Geneva, as well as retirement spots like Florida and the Algarve, are also popular choices. [The Washington Post ](https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/05/31/rich-billionaires-london-starmer-taxes/)mentions that one expert raised concerns that future generations might regret being "blasé about the departure of people who create jobs".  No jobs, lol, europoors about to be even more poooooor reason: high-net-worth individuals (HNWI) * **Changes in UK fiscal policy:** The abolition of the non-domicile tax regime and potential further tax increases have been cited as key motivators for HNWIs to relocate. * **Declining economic confidence:** Both Brexit's lingering effects and broader economic uncertainty are playing a role in millionaires choosing to leave the UK. * **Attractiveness of other jurisdictions:** Countries offering favorable tax regimes, appealing lifestyles, and investment migration programs, such as the UAE, USA, Italy, and Switzerland, are attracting migrating millionaires. * **Diminished quality of life in London:** Concerns about rising crime, an overburdened healthcare system, and aging infrastructure are contributing to the decline in London's appeal for some wealthy residents

Neat-Emu-8731

used to brush this off as hype but the UAE/Indonesia deals + that Olympic tie in makes me think this isn’t just vapor. Still early, but the setup’s getting harder to ignore

KRAtbcC

I used to think AG was just a good storyteller but man's actually delivering. UAE deal, FAA progress, that Jetex partnership? He's been busy

racks_long

Elon's search history, July 1st: >what happens when get deported USA luxury house for sale camps bay private jet charter to south africa how much how to get rid of citizenship USA can i get extradited by south africa back to the US list of countries that do not extradite to the US can i live in dubai as a south african citizen who do i need to bribe in the UAE government for UAE passport how to "disappear" off earth and assume new identity surgery to look like different person, Austin TX best face surgeon, austin TX

Risko4

Right now? Not too many great places, but other 30 years theres Poland and Germany in Europe, China and India, not really sure about UAE, probably nothing in the rest of Africa or Oceania.

Scott7894

Where are the interest rates of England, Spain, France, Russia, Israel, Iran, South Africa, Germany. South Korea, Libya, UAE, and others? Why is he showing us the shit hole countries?

Zestyclose_Ship6486

Jetex, Indonesia, UAE… they’re not playing local games anymore. AG and team are setting this thing up like it’s gonna scale worldwide. That’s not your typical startup move

gosumage

Thanks. Why do you say no dilution risk when they are buying SmartBridge with shares? There will be a 50-60% dilution when it closes. Or do you think this is already priced in? The drop from May peak seems to be aligned with increasing costs for UAE/SEA expansion, not the acquisition. Outside of this it looks like a good play as long as they give specific and positive updates in July earnings.

Diligent_Fox_9072

If IKEA is any indication, I think the European Union (and prolly Canada too because they became such ungrateful assholes) would join Gyna in WW3 against the US. IKEA fell off so hard, it's a national liability. [At least US has South America (Venezuela will fall in line), Uganda, UAE, Kuwait, Singapore, South Korea, and Japan] Whoever wins will still have to deal with Israel.

jmd709

>Temporary tariffs can create short-term pressure on trade partners while also signaling long-term policy shifts, giving companies time and incentive to reevaluate global supply chains. The reshoring of manufacturing doesn’t happen overnight — it’s a multi-year process that benefits from predictability in policy direction, not just the permanence of the tariffs. A lot of words can be used to describe DJT’s tariffs but predictable is not one of those. That lack of stability and predictability is a deterrent for investments to increase manufacturing and even normal economic growth. Wall Street has a nickname for it because the only predictable thing is that he most likely won’t stick with a tariff after he announces it. Whether it’s incompetence or intentional deception, it’s not inspiring longterm investments in increasing manufacturing in the US. >If more manufacturing returns and more jobs are created, that’s more payroll tax, sales tax, and local/state revenue — all of which can support lower federal tax burdens. The largest spending cut they’re using for BBBill is to Medicaid and Medicare over a span of 10 years with those cuts delayed until after 2028. That rules out the payroll taxes being the type of revenue increases they’re referring to with tariffs. They cannot include cuts to social security in the bill because the senate is using budget reconciliation to pass it with a simple majority, but there were definitely talks about cutting social security as well. Tariffs are an import tax similar to a sales tax, Lowering the federal tax burden does not require an increase in state and local taxes. That is already being proven at the federal level with DJT, DOGE, GOP spending cuts now instead of waiting for an increase in manufacturing for that boost in the economy to trickle down to state and local governments in the form of taxes. >yes, the structure is imperfect, but that’s more a reflection of Congress than a Trump-specific issue. It’s his lengthy legislative wishlist packed into one bill. They were told that stepping out of line by not supporting DJT’s agenda would mean a Trump endorsed and Musk funded primary opponent. Speaker Johnson has been taking directions from the White House and getting assistance from DJT to coerce votes when there are holdouts. They’re acting as a department of the executive branch instead of being a separate but equal branch of government. It is a Trump-specific issue because they are not independent as intended. >Any tax policy is going to involve trade-offs. If the GOP prioritizes business investment, you can argue that it will eventually trickle down to workers through more hiring and wage competition. You are correct that I disagree with the trickle down approach because it has proven to be ineffective over and over again. Profits are the priority, not people. Predictability is also an issue that makes tax-policy an ineffective option when tax incentives that are used to promote growth are ended years ahead of schedule by the next administration. The BBBill includes spending cuts that do exactly that. The Infrastructure Act passed under Biden included an EV tax credit that benefits car buyers and auto makers that manufacture EVs in the US. That increased EV manufacturing in the US. The positive results are clear. That tax credit that was supposed to last an additional 5 years is being ended early through new legislation in the BBB. If legislation cannot be relied on predictably, why would any future tax incentives be considered reliable? >As for DOGE’s goal of cutting $2T in waste, that’s an ambitious target, and falling short isn’t surprising. But calling it “fraud” or saying it’s just for personal gain (Trump or Musk) requires more than circumstantial assumptions. I did not call it fraud. I said the point was to identify “fraud and waste” for GOP in Congress to use as spending cuts to offset new tax cuts and new spending in the bill. I also did not say it was only for personal gain. I said they both benefit from the new tax cuts those spending cuts were intended to go towards. The wealthiest man in the world did not volunteer for the DOGE task out of the goodness of his heart and the new tax cuts benefit the highest income earners. >In short, it’s fair to question motives, but it’s also important not to assume contradiction where there might be a layered, multi-pronged strategy. Tariffs, tax reform, and manufacturing policy aren’t isolated silos — they interact, and evaluating them in isolation can lead to oversimplified conclusions. It’s also important not to assume that someone in speaking the truth when there are clear contradictions and their relationship with the truth is so strained that it’s like there is a restraining order preventing them from getting within 200’ of the truth. Personal gain is the theme of Trump’s second term. Instead of transferring to blind trust or divesting before taking office, he announced his meme coin and has announced a stable coin while in office. There was a $2 billion deal made with his crypto company and a UAE firm during his first international trip. He is putting himself first in plain sight. His motives are clear.

Afraid_Stay1813

Bruh I don’t think people get how close ACHR is. $6B+ order book, UAE launch incoming, Palantir + Stellantis in the mix this isn’t your average SPAC pipe dream. FAA greenlight and we moon.

SPAC_Time

[Coindesk: Ex-Blackstone, Tether Execs Seek $1B to Build Multitoken Crypto Treasury: Bloomberg](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ex-blackstone-tether-execs-seek-124458376.html) \- MBAV MBAVW Some interesting information from the Bloomberg, and then Coindesk articles: "Tether Co-Founder Reeve Collins and an affiliate of CC Capital — an investment firm founded by former Blackstone co-head of private equity Chinh Chu — purchased sponsor interests in M3-Brigade in May, according to an [announcement](https://archive.vn/o/AG0aU/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/tether-co-founder-reeve-collins-and-cc-capital-affiliate-purchase-sponsor-interests-in-spac-to-acquire-digital-assets-302465801.html) at the time." "Chu has sponsored multiple SPACs, including deals for Getty Images and Utz brands." From Coindesk: " Multitoken companies are rarer and Brigade Acquisition would be among the first." "Former Hut 8 Mining CEO Jaime Leverton will run the company. Wilbur Ross, who served as U.S. Commerce Secretary, and Gabriel Abed, Barbados’s former ambassador to the UAE and current chair of Binance’s board, will act as vice chairs."

Dangerous-Ear-7829

$BEEM UAE Royal Family Backs Beam Global's Massive Middle East Expansion: $75B Market Opportunity

EggIsGettingRekt

They’re moving faster than I expected tbh. UAE flights this year would be wild 

Dangerous-Ear-7829

$BEEM UAE Royal Family Backs Beam Global's Massive Middle East Expansion: $75B Market Opportunity

Jaurant

Man, this post sums up the emotional rollercoaster of NVDA perfectly. I remember that dip to the low $90s too—felt like everyone was ready to call it a top, and now it’s casually knocking on ATHs again like nothing happened. The thing with Nvidia is that it really does feel like it’s in a league of its own. It’s not just riding the AI wave—it is the wave. The combo of unmatched GPU dominance, CUDA moat, and those hyperscaler + sovereign AI deals (Saudi/UAE etc) makes it hard to bet against them. That said, I’m not adding here personally. I’ve held long since 2020 and trimmed a little around $135 just to take some profit off the table, but I’m letting the rest ride unless we see another crazy valuation reset. I wouldn’t be surprised if we get more parabolic runs—especially if rates ease and the AI capex cycle keeps ramping. FOMO is real, but man, it’s tough to chase NVDA after this run without expecting some short-term volatility. Might be smarter to build a position slowly or wait for any future pullbacks. This name always gives another chance—eventually. But hey, if it really is headed to a $6T cap… we’ll all be looking back thinking $150 was a bargain

GratefulShorts

They only have one plane, they are nowhere near FAA certification, they update their patents when they notice issues in test flights, their factory is completely empty, they went from promising 250 aircraft’s by the end of this year to 10, their only contract is with the UAE (who notoriously does these lavish dream projects that go nowhere, see the mile long city) and the Olympics, their partnerships is an irrelevant collab with Anduril for creating an eVTOL for military use (probably going to Joby) and they are the only company I have ever seen make a public announcement that they are BUYING Palantir’s services. There’s also a company doing exactly what they want to do, BLADE! It’s been unprofitable since its inception and its only real revenue generator was when they started ferrying organs to hospitals during COVID. It’s a meme company built on meme bullshit to swindle stupid investors. They promise the world and yet they’ve only been able to deliver half an aircraft and an empty factory.

blorgcumber

Look at the Strait of Hormuz on a map. It’s the only sea access for Kuwait, Iraq, UAE, Qatar and Bahrain. There’s also Saudi oil ports on the Persian Gulf.

beerion

Yeah, I agree especially with Archer. It's gonna be well into 2026, if not 2027 before they're taxiing paying customers in UAE. That's a long time for people to get bored and lose interest.

GratefulShorts

They only have 1 plane, all their contracts are meme bullshit like flying Olympic swimmers and setting up a UAE taxi service, they are nowhere near FAA certification, their partnerships are with meme companies unrelated to actual business progress (they announced they bought palantir’s services…) There’s already a helicopter taxi service operating in the largest city as a public company currently! It’s blade! And they’ve been unprofitable since inception with their only real money maker being a contractor for fucking organ transplants! This company has nothing but dreams, it has nothing tangible to show for its efforts except for an empty factory and one prototype.

MindPitt314

We can thank China for the Strait not being closed. They have more influence with the oil pumping countries of Oman, UAE, and Iran. Specifically, China who is a primary beneficiary of Iran’s cheap oil. Trump even said China can continue to buy Iranian oil. Like China wouldn’t if he said no.

Distinct_Ordinary_71

You expected that after they lost all their air defences to Israel that they would somehow be able to close the straits which would involve fighting off the air forces and naval assets of: Israel, The USA, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain and the allies of all of the above?

krutacautious

China really doesn't want a nuclear powered Iran. China has never helped or involved itself in Iran's nuclear energy program. Iran-China relations are good mainly because Iran-Russia relations are strong. China has invested heavily in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, so Iran acquiring nuclear weapons would threaten Saudi Arabia. By the way, Israel's second-biggest trading partner is China, with 25% of new cars sold in Israel coming from China. Iran-China relations aren't based on mutual respect and trust, Iran has actually been a rather unreliable partner to China.

Adexavus

Ceasefire is already over lol. 11:30 UAE time, Iran broke the ceasefire missle salvo in route

ensui67

They neutralized Iran’s abilities for warfare. Hamas, hezbollah, now Iran. Israel has systematically dominated the region to establish itself as the sole military power. Now, we will be back to what was going on prior. The UAE amongst others were working diligently to create an alliance in the Middle East as, together, it will be better for business. Decades down the line, Middle East oil will no longer be as geopolitically important. As that influence wanes, each of the Middle East countries will need an off ramp. Having Iran being this ideological thorn on everyone’s side is bad for business. So, no one is coming to their aid as their military is being dismantled. Now, back to the regular programming and everyone can push forward with Ai capex investing.

Infinite-Fly9864

Weirdly people are not buying pony.ai which shows great advancement in the robotaxi line. With contracts from China main cities with real evidence of it testing through busy traffic and advance technologies and, UAE and now going to Singapore and Malaysia. When PONY really starts going . It's a no brainer now to buy the dip

Xijit

Russia would be giddy as fuck at the economic and political profit they could gain from transporting Iranian Oil to China. Plus Iran and China could effortlessly negotiate a Pipeline or Railine through Afghanistan (Taliban needs money and wouldn't dare fuck with Chinese infrastructure) at a fraction of the distance it currently takes to ship it, not to mention Iran also has ports and shoreline south of the Strait that they can launch Oil tankers from. Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE all would have to negotiate with militarily hostile nations to arrange access to ports outside of the Arabian Sea. Neither China or Russia will lift a finger to stop Iran, so the only way to physically keep them from cutting off shipping through that straight would be a land invasion, and if that happened China would eat the oil shortage by shutting off power to residential buildings at night & use the opportunity to invade Taiwan.

keijikage

to be totally honest the preparation for the launch was all over the tape from 11:15am indicating that a strike was today, to Qatar shutting down airspace by 11:35am, cancellation of flights to the UAE at 11:58am, planes from the US, UK and France scrambling to air defense from 12:16-12:32pm, and then the launch reported of 6 missiles at 12:37pm which was obviously not meant to overload air defenses (at which point USO took a dump). Even though the administration is leaky as a sieve, this thing was broadcasted hours in advance between the rhetoric and with how much it was hitting the tape. Add in the weird statement near market open about watching oil prices and anyone half paying attention would've leaned toward this being a symbolic attack meant to de-escalate the situation.

Longjumping-Bonus723

CRCL + COIN will make millionaires 🌐💹💰 "The timing is also impeccable: the Senate just passed the “Genius Act,” a bill that opens the door for widespread adoption of stablecoins, which could send the value of platforms like WLFI into the stratosphere. Adding to its legitimacy, USD1 is already being used as a payment method for the UAE’s sovereign wealth fund, MGX." Or $WLFI if you trade crypto. 

neverCominDown7

Sirens are still sounding at ALL US bases across the Middle East, including Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE and Oman

IJustSignedUpToUp

A good chunk of the Saudis oil plus all of Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and UAE all have to go through the straits. If you back them in a corner they won't even try to blockade it like the 80s since they know they'll get fucked, they'll just use anti ship missiles and drones. Oil will still flow, but the insurance on the tankers will skyrocket and go into final price of light sweet.

Traditional_Hair_453

UAE closed

neverCominDown7

UAE planning to shut down air space

ConchFritter33040

It is being addressed right now - they are working on FAA approval here in the states. Also, their major market right now is the UAE where they plan to be up and flying at the end of this year/beginning of next.

ConchFritter33040

You are right Rupperrt, that distance is too far and no, that is not what this is about. It is about decreasing commute times in congested urban ares. Instead of sitting in traffic on a freeway, you can bypass the traffic and within a fraction of the time be at the airport. There are plenty of wealthy individuals who would pay for this service. And it isn’t just in the US. It looks like the biggest market currently is the UAE. This is also likely the market ACHR gets started in.

rodimusprime88

How can Iran close the straight when they share it with UAE and Oman? Universal support or volun-told?

Prestigious_Box5654

Hormuz will force China, UAE, and Saudi's to react instead of turning the blind eye. Goal achieved, in my opinion.

Personal_coach

Thanks to Vitamin B2, Qatar, Saudis and UAE are buying US 10 year now. Top in 10 year is in bois. Act accordingly. #aRtOfThedEaL

I_am_Nerman

When Mango did his mid-east tour last month in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE I bet he promised bunker busters in exchange for investment

Melonskal

> China gets more oil from Russia than they do from Iran. First of all why are you only talking about Iran? Closing the Straits would also block Saudis, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq etc which would be a lot more than Russian imports. Secondly, Russia can't scale up their exportera to China, you can't just snap your ginger and imediately scale up oil exports by an additional 6 million barrels of oil a day compared to current Russian imports 2200.

Nidalee2DiaOrAfk

if you dared to do that, you realise every country along the straight, would approve absolute bombing to smitherines yes? They too rely on this, the UAE aint gonna let that go.

coralreeftv

China sending its own naval fleet to the middle east pretty much leaves its coastline exposed. Not something that’s worth risking for them when Taiwan is already pissed about their military drills around the island. Also, if Iran blocks the strait,the Saudis, UAE, Qatar, Israel, and the US will get involved (possibly NATO+). That’s not something worth getting involved. China can always buy oil somewhere else.

muftu

But isn’t a part of it controlled by the UAE? How do you prevent vessels from sailing through their waters?

Alkthree

I seriously doubt Iran's ability to close the strait, even more so their ability to keep it closed. The Saudis have the ability to route their oil to Europe via pipeline, and although Qatar, UAE and Kuwait don't have this option, together they account for less than 5% of daily crude exports. Sorry to disappoint but this is probably nothing but a buy the dip situation.

LeagueAggravating135

For a country that needs money to bomb another country. That is getting bombed themselves now, closing a massive income lane. Is sort of funny. Not like the UAE is going to just sit there and go sure. Given they lost their air space, one can only assume their counter measures for sinking potential ships in the strait would get bombarded by next week. If this were true.

Appropriate_Fox2462

Qatar, japan, korea, UAE, China and many more countries all use the straight to ship a large percentage of their goods and oil. Calls on Iran not closing shit. They will launch some easily intercept-able drones at some military bases to look like they did something and that will be it or they will be wiped out.

DrXaos

Possibly but the eventual result will be UAE, Iraq and Kuwait exporting once again with Iran’s terminals wrecked.

xNOOPSx

I can't imagine that Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, or the UAE would be happy about this.

Venice_LA

fade oil , OPEC will cut. Saudi/UAE asked for this

dearkosm

It would be interesting to see how they would lock down the water. Also they shared it with UAE.

Fritja

Yes, but China does and uses that strait so that would bring the US into direct conflict with China and China has just added 600 nuclear warheads and will surpass US in nukes in the next ten years. My best is on China whipping your ass. >OPEC members Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia. The UAE and Saudi Arabia have sought to find other routes to bypass the strait. https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/iran-parliament-approves-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-a-key-oil-chokepoint-report-2744622-2025-06-22

Rin-Tohsaka-is-hot

No, that's not how it works. They would lay seamines, just like duri nobody gets through. Iran isn't capable of enforcing it any other way, it's shared with the UAE. Even if they did have full territorial control, other gulf states (or the US) would just take it by force. This is the same thing they did in 1972.

joeg26reddit

Fyi some research UAE’s Fujairah Terminal Another main alternative is the United Arab Emirates’ 1.5 million b/d outlet to Fujairah, which lies just outside the strait and is home to the world’s largest underground oil storage facility, with capacity to hold 42 million barrels of crude. Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (Adnoc) developed it for an estimated cost of $1.2 billion. Adnoc’s 400 km long crude oil pipeline carries Murban crude from the Habshan oil fields to Fujairah. The pipeline has been pumping crude oil since 2012 and has 500,000 b/d of spare capacity. The so-called Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline was built with the purpose of enabling crude exports from outside Hormuz, offering advantages for vessels that would otherwise have to make the trip into Gulf waters, thereby cutting journey times and the cost of tanker insurance. Beyond energy, closure or disruption of transit traffic in Hormuz would affect Jebel Ali Port, which is the 10th-largest container port in the world. Iran’s Jask Port, Iraq's Blocked Pipeline The Jask Oil Terminal on the Gulf of Oman was officially inaugurated in July 2021 by former Iranian President Hassan Rouhani. Iran has the capacity to export an estimated 350,000 b/d through it, via the Goreh-Jask pipeline. Iraq’s 650,000 b/d Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline has been closed since March 2023 due to a payment dispute between Ankara and Baghdad and now also contractual disputes between Baghdad and Erbil, which would need to be resolved.

zeroscout

Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and UAE all ship oil through the Straight.   And it's not just the quantity but the type of oil.   What I'm really interested in seeing is how many people associated with the administration purchased call options on oil futures before the strikes?

RaindropBebop

We have one carrier taskforce in the Arabian sea with another on its way. The Strait borders Oman and the UAE and is economically strategic for Saudi Arabia, as well. I just don't see a reality where they're allowed to mine or blockade the Strait.

Minute_Juggernaut806

IIRC theres emirates rail, connection UAE and SA to the north-eastern side of UAE to bypass the strait all togethor

AzyncYTT

This isn't Iranian crude only, Kuwait, SA, Qatar, Iraq, Iran, and UAE also all ship out of the straight

StuartMcNight

Who is going to ramp up production to cover for 90% of Saudi exports + Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar, UAE?

Personal_coach

US 10 year top is in. Saudi and UAE will be big buyers now.

StuartMcNight

Well… the strait leads to a dead end where you have the only ports of Kuwait, Iraq, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar and the port that ships 90% of Saudi Arabia’s oil. There’s no “other route”.

phaskellhall

If only they just invested in tourism, manufacturing, services, and logistics, perhaps they wouldn’t even need nuclear weapons. Who are they worried about? Stop the terrorism and become the UAE.

_trafalgar_law

Well, for 2024 USA - 29.185 trillion China - 18.80 trillion Not to mention the Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, UAE. It's a potential threat to US's dollar supremecy. It's baring fangs and ready to attack. Did you wait long enough or do you want analyst's report which are available if you had fuckin googled.

Awkward-Kiwi452

The UAE might have something about that

Double_Dousche89

Yeah, but they’re only 1/3 of the vote as Oman and the UAE would also have to agree and consider considering the UAE and Trump have become very close allies. I doubt that this will be fully implemented.

Fattyman2020

Except for the UAE and Egypt.

Top-Meaning2626

Can we lift the sanctions on Russia and let the UAE make up for the loss

CartoonLamp

How would the UAE and Qatar put up with that

TomatoSpecialist6879

Depends what rest of the middle eastern countries will do, Oman doesn't care about Iran and the main users are mostly on US side(Kuwait, UAE, Saudis), bar Iraq.

CartoonLamp

How would the UAE and Qatar put up with that

KachThebest69

UAE and Qatar bases also very close

CancelOk9776

All I know is that oil prices will rise sharply, if Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz. The strait forms a narrow maritime corridor between Iran and Oman and is the main export route for crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from major producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, and Iran!

inappropriateshallot

Honestly, we have the power and resources. If we call upon UK which owes us bigtime, why don't we just go and liberate the rest of the middle east- besides UAE obviously.

Mean__MrMustard

This won’t happen. Especially as the closest US allies in the region like Saudis or UAE have plenty of problems with Iran as well and are probably happy about this development or can at least easily live with it.

ensui67

Crypto is trading. Just a slight drop to support levels and holding. If the strikes were successful as advertised, this is likely over for Iran. Probably bullish as there will be stability in the Middle East after this. No big baddie affecting the UAE and Israel alliance, along with the other countries that saw Iran as a threat.

FFElite93

Why would opec block their own straights lol? Saudi-Qatar-UAE is a US ally

Elifellaheen

Started rotating out of a lot of US positions in late Feb. Aside from India, LATAM, and Europe, Vietnam and Indonesia are two I like. Both are picking up manufacturing as companies move supply chains out of China. Young populations, growing middle class, and better macro policy make them strong long-term plays. Vietnam's turning into a serious export hub. Indonesia’s got resources and a solid domestic demand story. Also watching the Gulf, UAE and Saudi. Oil cash is getting pushed into tech, infrastructure, and tourism. Saudi’s Vision 2030 is actually moving. Markets there still feel underowned and early in the cycle. Still heavy in US but see it as a 100% necessary hedge to be geographically diversified now.

winston73182

Saudi has cut more production than Iran produces, UAE says they can also produce >2M bpd more, and Qatar is about to unleash more new LNG on the world than anyone else produces currently.

Hercules1579

Man how can the same dude that killed the Iran nuclear deal, which was literally working, turn around and be the one that escalates the whole thing like this? That deal had Iran’s nuclear program on pause, they were being inspected, everything was under control. Trump pulled out for no reason, just ego and politics, and now here we are bombing nuclear sites and dragging the whole region back into chaos. They just hit Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. These ain’t little spots. These are deep underground facilities. The kind even Israel couldn’t get to alone. The US sent stealth bombers and dropped bunker busters. That’s not some assist, that’s direct war energy. Iran ain’t gonna take that on the chin. They already promising payback. Could be drones, missiles, cyber hits, proxy attacks, whatever. They got reach in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, and they not shy about using it. Every US base in the region just became a target. Meanwhile most of the Middle East mad as hell. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE, Turkey, Iraq, even they speaking out against it. France and Germany pulling their people out. You know it’s serious when allies start evacuating. Only folks cheering are Israel and a few anti-regime Iranians outside the country. Everybody else is either panicking or pissed. This wasn’t some strategic move, this was throwing gasoline on a fire he started years ago when he tore up that deal. And oil about to go up too. Strait of Hormuz gets touched and we all gonna feel it at the pump. Whole thing is reckless, short-sighted, and dangerous.

dancinbanana

Do they need to control *all* of the strait or do they just need to control *some* of it? The strait at its narrowest is only 33 km across, and the shipping lane at that point is only 2 miles wide. That’s not a whole lot of “territory” they need to assert control of frankly, especially if they’re not even trying to hold it for longer than it takes to scuttle some ships and lay some mines over a 2 mile wide strip Also, that part of the strait is also “inside” a semicircle of Iranian territory (hard to describe but look at a map of the strait and my description should make sense) while the only other countries that touch this part of the strait are parts of the UAE and unconnected Oman. Land wise, Iran has all the territory it needs to exert considerable influence on *this part* of the strait, without needing to invade other countries And yes, I don’t doubt the US military is ready for a case like this. My concern is that any such plan may inadvertently make Iran take this course of action (for example, preemptive strikes from us forces may provoke Iran to start this plan, whereas waiting could lead to a safer defusal). The safest way to protect the strait is to make sure Iran doesn’t *want* to sabotage it; any other plan is inherently more risky

wholewheatscythe

World? Heck, the UAE could reopen it on its own, without help. Of course, they would get help from the other GCC countries and America, but they’d probably be able to handle it in their own. Iran has to realize that.

kytheon

UAE, Yemen, same same

natmaster

No they cannot close the straight of Hormuz. There not just USA military bases there. Even if they did, it only accounts for 50-70% of oil exports from Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Oman - nothing else. Those exports mostly go to china. They all go to countries that currently aren't even mentioned in the conflict. This would piss off China, and lead to higher oil prices. China turns oil into cheap goods, so they would be hurt for sure. However, since Texas' vast oil is in more expensive fraking field, this will only make Texas super rich and ensure USA is net exporter of oil not importer.

KickEffective1209

>Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Kuwait They would also benefit from short term sky high oil prices.

RijnBrugge

Given that the entire middle east will help out with that, it becomes quite feasible. No way the UAE, Bahrain and Iraq could stay out of it.

Over-Month-9965

My apologies I meant the UAE. But the original point stands that its pretty narrow, and they'll just mine the area. Plus even a week or two of disruption is enough.

Thadlust

Iran is open to diplomacy insofar as they get to keep their nuclear program and their regime. If Iran gets nukes, KSA and Turkey get nukes next and maybe even Iraq and UAE and suddenly the whole region is a tinderbox.