WTI

the-quiet-desk

Your section 4 is the lead, not the footnote, and the number in it is stale by about an order of magnitude. WTI is at 87.83 as I write, down 8.60% on the day, with a range of 87.13 to 97.15. Brent is down 8.42%. Gasoline is down 6.86% and heating oil 7.22%. That is not "down around 1%" and it is not a possibility to watch. It is the largest single input into today's tape. Which creates a problem for the thesis above it. If the rally were mainly about political uncertainty resolving, you would expect it to be broad and roughly proportional. Instead the composition tracks energy intensity almost exactly. The Dow, the most transport and industrial heavy of the four, is leading by a wide margin. An 8.6% collapse in crude is a disinflationary shock, it pulls rate cut expectations forward, and it lifts equities and gold in the same session, which is why gold is up over 3% on a strongly risk-on day. Those two things do not usually coexist and today they have one shared cause. I am not saying the election did nothing. I am saying attributing the whole move to it, when the most violent price action in any asset class today was crude, is probably misreading which shock is doing the work. On section 1, the gridlock claim deserves more scrutiny than it usually gets. The stat making the rounds is that the S&P averaged 21% over two-year periods of divided government since 1950 versus 18% under unified control. Since 1950, there have been 38 two-year Congresses. Split into two buckets, against a two-year return standard deviation around 23%, the standard error on that difference is roughly 8 points. The observed gap is 3. It is noise. And 21% versus 18% over two years is 10.0% annualized against 8.6%, which is the equity risk premium either way. The honest version of that chart is that congressional control is not detectable in equity returns, which is more useful than a preference. Section 2 is the strongest part of your post and the dispersion is sharper than you have it. S&P 500 up 1.74%, semiconductor ETF SMH down 2.72%, quoted a minute apart. A 446 basis point spread on the same tape. But the split is not "AI stocks." Microsoft and Apple printed all-time highs today. What is being sold is the capital expenditure supply chain, not the AI complex. That distinction matters because it tells you what the market actually repriced: not whether AI works, but whether the buildout happens on schedule. Hyperscalers are arguably helped by a slower, cheaper buildout. The people selling them shovels are not. A way to separate the two explanations by the close. If today is mostly oil, energy equities finish deeply red on a day the index gains close to 2%, and the front end of the curve falls more than the long end. If today is mostly the election, you would expect the move to be broader and energy to participate in it. \-- The Quiet Desk

Western_Coffee_5445

US Oil WTI 3 month chart, go peek for yourself, you got played

jrex035

Absolutely unreal price action in energy markets today. WTI down almost 9% and Brent down over 9%. Refined product prices make even less sense, gasoline is down 7% today and now the cheapest its been since early *March*, diesel down more than 7% close to hitting the August lows despite US diesel stockpiles at the lowest level in decades, below 100m barrels. The market is insanely overreacting here, this is more extreme price action than we saw during the MOU.

Spy300

He's still going to attack Iran again and send WTI to 150+.

GovernmentGoblin

**Yesterday, 15 minutes before the market close, someone bought $1.1B worth of Oil Shorts Dec contracts.** **Today, the prez announced he would no longer fund Israel and oil WTI contract prices tanked from $99 to $94 this morning** **at** **market open.** **The person who bought the shorts yesterday made over $45+ Million Dollars in 5 minutes of market open this morning.** **Congrats to them, lmao.**

Glum-Cash3869

BNO calls expiring in 6 months. do not mess around with WTI oil trump can manipulate US oil easily but if he does Brent oil will skyrocket even more

Spy300

>Citigroup Inc. predicts the Treasury will announce cuts to sales of 20- and 30-year bonds starting this month [[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/wall-street-braces-biggest-treasury-200001753.html) ✅️ Cut long end issuance on Nov 4th QRA and then send WTI to 150+.

Life-Trade-6514

Midterms is the clearing event. Always was. Once it's over, we can continue. It cant be the war, we've done nothing but go up on war news. Inflation is bad but that was only a day or two of modest drops. It cant be earnings because earnings have been fine and they were all murdered anyhow. It cant be oil, we've done nothing but go up even with WTI hovering around 100. Sometime this week, someone will produce earnings in the semi area and they will jump. That would be a great indicator that we are back to the ups. Maybe not to ath but at least a few days if not weeks of upward momentum.

NotMe357

Oil is trying to pump now. If WTI gets back above 100 tomorrow then its gonna be very interesting!

B111yboy

WTI moves so does fuel it’s been this way. It’s just more news drives the price one way or another due to post on social media and everything other outlet so it hits more people now vs before not everyone watch the news at 6pm or read a paper..so it’s bigger manipulation

boofles1

I mean Trumpncoild have not started this. It's weird manipulating the WTI price because it doesn't really effect the prices at the pump. But the Trump has just tweeted about WTI dropping 10% and maybe they will do a deal so we know this is pure manipulation and the price will be up tomorrow.

PassableForAWombat

The premarket behavior of WTI/USO sets the tone of the day my friend. If its stable pegged on a support then the day goes well until EOD easily. If its this jumpy then, well....

PassableForAWombat

Short WTI for a free visit with a bankruptcy auditor.

Spy300

>BESSENT: THERE'S VERY LITTLE A DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS COULD DO TO STOP AGENDA *We're sending WTI to 150+ no matter what*

DistrictDifferent625

I’m a landman. I live and breathe oil. It was $60 a barrel this time last year. WTI and Brent are the only things that matter. How much land you got bro? What’s ur royalty? Nothing? Yeah that’s what I thought

Spy300

>Citigroup Inc. predicts the Treasury will announce cuts to sales of 20- and 30-year bonds starting this month [[1]](https://www.livemint.com/market/wall-street-braces-for-biggest-treasury-sales-overhaul-in-years/amp-11793564884387.html) >"if you’re running the Treasury and your main power is issuance, if you don’t like where the yields are, you adjust your issuance.” ✅️ Cut long end issuance on Nov 4th QRA and then send WTI to 150+.

Spy300

>"iif you’re running the Treasury and your main power is issuance, if you don’t like where the yields are, you adjust your issuance.” >https://www.livemint.com/market/wall-street-braces-for-biggest-treasury-sales-overhaul-in-years/amp-11793564884387.html Bessent will cut long end issuance on Nov 4th QRA and then they send WTI to 150+.

Spy300

>“Buybacks are too small to really move the needle,” April LaRusse, head of investment specialists at Insight Investment, said in an interview. She put it simply: “if you’re running the Treasury and your main power is issuance, if you don’t like where the yields are, you adjust your issuance.” >https://www.livemint.com/market/wall-street-braces-for-biggest-treasury-sales-overhaul-in-years/amp-11793564884387.html Cut issuance on Nov 4th and then send WTI to 150+. Got it.

GregGirthman

If you examine closely only certain political animals are claiming production and shipment levels are back to prewar levels. Flying lawnmowers infact have damaged infrastructure, along with BMs. If its back to prewar levels, why is Brent/WTI elevated? Why is the orange fellow trying to open the straight is that did not matter? What pipelines? East/West at Yanbu? Been damaged several times. Production output is a fraction of hormuz an yanbu.

Glum-Cash3869

sell any investments tied to the price of WTI oil immediately on monday. you want to be holding brent oil only. trump can easily limit exports and crush WTI but brent is much harder to manipulate

DarkHampster

Trump I should have filled the thing up during COVID. There was a period in April 2020 where they were paying people to take WTI oil.

Spy300

*TRUMP PLANS TO RESUME STRIKES ON IRAN DAY AFTER MIDTERM >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

Exact_Entrepreneur66

WTI Crude at $105 and increasing!

Old-Pomegranate3634

Somoene told trunmp today oil has gone up to 104 WTI. He said higher is better. Things only go up under me

Spy300

TRUMP: YOU KNOW, INFLATION, CERTAIN LEVELS OF INFLATION, WILL ALSO PAY OFF THAT DEBT VERY RAPIDLY. VERY RAPIDLY >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

beeArebel

tomorrow bulls may get STI from WTI fucking them over

Albany-Expression

Lmao do you have any idea how much oil Russia produces. Do you remember during Covid when Russia went “lmao fuck you” to Saudi and increased production and crashed the entire oil market? WTI was -$37 a barrel. So what you’re saying is objectively wrong. Oil production is never at full capacity and controlled by global powers to hover at a price they like. Not knowing that is wild. Destroying a major city refocuses geopolitical risk. People stop caring about the sand people and leave the area etc. like I said, oil plummeted this summer when people lost interest. If you think that Iran has any sort of leverage on the US then you need to go to a care home. Dissolving Russian sanctions ends the war through Russian pressure on Iran. The US agreeing to look the other way on Taiwan ends the war because china tells Iran to fuck off. Agreeing to both puts the shah back in power in Iran. If you think this is just some unwashed goat herders shooting 1990s missiles at some Indian staffed boats keeping the world on their knees then I don’t know what to tell you because you have swallowed too much lead and are succumbing. I can only make you comfortable at this point.

yourgirl696969

Black Friday tomorrow boys. I shorted gold at close. I have a feeling the panic over potential strikes this weekend is gonna be brutal. WTI might hit 105

IndependentUsual7444

WTI heading to 125 soon

AdhesivenessOk1997

WTI close to dropping below $100

jrex035

Very interesting price action in energy markets recently. Despite the deluge of headlines about last minute efforts to find a deal, energy prices have been effectively flat all week. Both Brent and WTI were down more than 2% this morning, but BNO and USO, the etfs that let traders buy these on the stock market, are both down way leas than that and are currently surging. BNO is currently down .25% while Brent is down 1.45% and USO is down .8% vs WTI which is down 2.2%. Despite flat energy prices this week, energy equities have been pumping after strong earnings reports

AdhesivenessOk1997

When WTI breaks under $100 the party starts

Spy300

TRUMP: YOU KNOW, INFLATION, CERTAIN LEVELS OF INFLATION, WILL ALSO PAY OFF THAT DEBT VERY RAPIDLY. VERY RAPIDLY >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

Spy300

TRUMP: YOU KNOW, INFLATION, CERTAIN LEVELS OF INFLATION, WILL ALSO PAY OFF THAT DEBT VERY RAPIDLY. VERY RAPIDLY >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

Ok_Cry7572

Israel’s election is a catalyst I’m watching for $WTI and US equities. My read: if Netanyahu loses power, I’d expect some geopolitical risk premium to come out of oil, possibly a softer VIX and a modest rally in US equities—provided markets see the outcome as reducing the risk of further escalation.

fomoandyoloandnogrow

Are you kidding some WTI

Spy300

>BESSENT: THERE'S VERY LITTLE A DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS COULD DO TO STOP AGENDA *We're sending WTI to 150+ no matter what*

AdhesivenessOk1997

Get it while you can. WTI still +100 gold is under $4500

AdhesivenessOk1997

Get it while you can. WTI still +100 gold is under $4500

Spy300

TRUMP: YOU KNOW, INFLATION, CERTAIN LEVELS OF INFLATION, WILL ALSO PAY OFF THAT DEBT VERY RAPIDLY. VERY RAPIDLY >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

Spy300

TRUMP: YOU KNOW, INFLATION, CERTAIN LEVELS OF INFLATION, WILL ALSO PAY OFF THAT DEBT VERY RAPIDLY. VERY RAPIDLY >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative Real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

SkillNo1358

I can make oil in my backyard guys, oil crisis has been solved send WTI to 0

Cdecar06812

Oil futures WTI down a $1

Diligent_Onion_5149

WTI below 100 would be nice!

Dear-Original-1024

Iran markets all spiking: Chance of US invasion in 2026 up to 20%. WTI 2026 all time high 15%(!). Full airspace closure 2026 40%. There's only 10 weeks left.

Spy300

BREAKING: Donald Trump is now considering striking Iran as soon as tomorrow, >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- Negative Real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression >*TRUMP: YOU KNOW, INFLATION, CERTAIN LEVELS OF INFLATION, WILL ALSO PAY OFF THAT DEBT VERY RAPIDLY. VERY RAPIDLY*

Tallwhitedude123

Prewar WTI and Brent was in the $60s. People forget but there was actually a DEMAND problem of oil and an oversupply. Today’s oil prices are 100% driven by SUPPLY SHOCKS. Remove those supply shocks and oil drops to the $70s and will eventually settle back in the $60s over time. Either way, even in the $70s CPI inflation readings will plummet, bond yields will plummet, and borrowing costs for all Americans will plummet fueling economic growth

Tallwhitedude123

Ukraine was bombing Russian oil since before the Iran war. The Iran war is the main issue and if the Iran war ends tomorrow then yes, oil markets price that in immediately and oil prices drop. Prewar WTI was in the $60s range. I don’t think it goes that low but upper $70s most likely and that will reduce CPI a lot. Therefore the bond market prices all this in instantly and you see the US 10yr treasury drop to 4.5% within 1 day

_SirShackleton_

Bro, are you insane? SPR at 1982 operational low and a looming middle east escalation. Houthis just struck Aramco refineries and the east west pipeline again. We already had 147 USD WTI before todays equivalent would be 200+ USD.

Ok_Cry7572

AstroZan on X 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗗𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗹𝘆 #𝗪𝗧𝗜 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗧𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗨𝘀? 𝟭𝟬/𝟮𝟰/𝟮𝟲 🔴 𝗧𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗟𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘀 — 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 The monthly #WTI chart shows oil testing a powerful, long-term descending resistance line originating from the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) oil price peak. Following that historic top, WTI established a lower high after the COVID dislocation, followed by a third lower high in April 2026. See the three red circles marking these major tops. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗶𝗴 𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: Why should oil suddenly break above this multi-decade resistance when the Iran conflict, at least in its current form, has not produced a disruption comparable in scale to the GFC or COVID? 🔴 𝗧𝗵𝗲 $𝟭𝟬𝟯 𝗟𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹 — 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗥𝗵𝘆𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴? WTI is currently trading near $103, a historically important price zone. Notice the horizontal red line connecting three major resistance tests. Each previous encounter was followed by a significant price breakdown. 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗲𝗮𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸, just as oil bulls anticipate a geopolitical breakout on renewed Iran war fears? The chart suggests the risk may be to the 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡𝗦𝗜𝗗𝗘, not the upside. 🟢 𝗠𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘄𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲, 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝗦𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗗𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹! Friday's price action in $SMH, $SOXX, and $DRAM supports the broader bullish equity reversal thesis. Remember: 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘀 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗼𝗳 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻. On Friday, semiconductors demonstrated relative strength. $VXN behaved better than $VIX, while $SOXX and $SOXL closed positive despite the VIX remaining near 20. This is a 𝗕𝗨𝗟𝗟𝗜𝗦𝗛 𝗗𝗜𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗚𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗘, suggesting that underlying market strength may be developing even as fear remains elevated. 🚀 𝗠𝘆 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 $𝗦𝗠𝗛 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝘀 𝗙𝗹𝗮𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴! My custom $SMH coiling/compression indicator currently shows compression 𝟮𝟱𝟬% 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 than at the March 30 bottom. It is also 𝟮𝟬% 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 than at the July 29 bottom. This degree of compression suggests 𝗘𝗫𝗣𝗟𝗢𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 𝗨𝗣𝗦𝗜𝗗𝗘 𝗦𝗤𝗨𝗘𝗘𝗭𝗘 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗞 heading into next week, particularly if the bullish semiconductor signals are confirmed. ⚠️ 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗜 𝗔𝗺 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴: The principal short-term risk to my bullish outlook is an unexpected escalation with Iran, potentially involving a sudden, decisive, one-and-done military operation or leadership-targeting strike. Such an event could trigger a 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗳𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗵, followed by a 𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗘-𝗗𝗔𝗬 𝗩-𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗣𝗘𝗗 𝗥𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗬 as the initial panic subsides. This will keep the long geometric structure in tact with a daily price wick. One speculative political scenario is that @netanyahu and @realDonaldTrump could view the approaching elections as a narrowing window for decisive action. Should Netanyahu lose his bid for another term, a caretaker government could face greater political constraints on launching further strikes. 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼, 𝗺𝘆 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗮 𝗿𝗮𝗽𝗶𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗮𝗹, rather than a sustained breakdown. 𝗠𝘆 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸: 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 #𝗪𝗧𝗜. 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘀. 𝗨𝗽𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗾𝘂𝗲𝗲𝘇𝗲 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗘𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀. I will discuss the $SMH chart and its extraordinary compression setup in a separate post later today.

wiseoldfox

[Oil Prices Today: WTI & Brent Crude Benchmarks](https://www.oilpriceapi.com/oil-prices-today)

saynonutty

Sounds like you are viewing WTI Oil price. This post is referring to Brent Crude Oil. They move roughly the same most times just have a price gap. This is what I have seen in my limited time viewing this fiasco.

getdealtwit_2003

That's WTI crude, not Brent.

Bichael-Murry

how to make moniez from WTI to Brent spread difference tbh tbh tbhhhhhhh next time i'll ask for physical delivery

slashinvestor

Yes... The key reason is arbitrage and the only thing that matters is price. Have you ever wondered by Brent trades at a premium to WTI? "Brent crude typically trades at a premium to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) primarily because of **geography and transport logistics**, even though WTI is technically of slightly higher quality (lighter and sweeter). \[[1](https://www.xtb.com/int/education/the-wti-and-brent-divide-how-two-oils-shape-global-energy-markets), [2](https://infinox.com/global/en/wti-brent-crude-oil-key-differences)\]" So think of it as follows: A futures contract is trading at 100 on the open market (assuming no interest payments on the futures trade). On the OTC at the same time the futures contract trades at 101. There is an arbitrage of 1 comparing the open market to the OTC market. A big trader will buy on open, sell on OTC at the exact same moment. You as a public participant will only see the trade going long, but not the one going short. So you cannot make an assumption on the direction of the market. The only real indicator is the underlying price because if the derivative deviates from the underlying somebody will offset to close the deviation. IMO if you are going to trade based on price think about what price is. Don't go for all of this BS technical analysis with its cool and whacky names using obtuse maths. Think of what price represents and how to describe it. Think of way option prices represent and how to describe it. I know math so I just code my own algos and models. But I were you I would vibe code this with an AI. That way you can develop your own maths and models. Use the KISS principle. When I read this box I thought, "ok that's too nuts", its overcomplicating things. [https://www.amazon.com/Volatility-Correlation-Rebonato-September-Hardcover/dp/B014GG80FK/ref=sr\_1\_3](https://www.amazon.com/Volatility-Correlation-Rebonato-September-Hardcover/dp/B014GG80FK/ref=sr_1_3)

Sufficient-Skill9530

Which is when you want to buy. You get in when WSB hates something. You don’t buy things frequently discussed on WSB. For example, WSB hated oil when WTI hit $68 this summer while the war was still going on. WSB hates uranium and gold now, which should tell you something. 

Ok_Cry7572

𝗜𝘀𝗿𝗮𝗲𝗹𝗶 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 — 𝗧𝘂𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆, 𝟭𝟬/𝟮𝟳/𝟮𝟲 📉 𝗢𝗜𝗟 & 𝗣𝗢𝗟𝗜𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗟 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗞 — #WTI $USO 𝗧𝘄𝗼 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗢𝗶𝗹: 🔴 𝗕𝗶𝗯𝗶 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝘀: #WTI breaks out above current levels as geopolitical risk premiums rise. 🟢 𝗕𝗶𝗯𝗶 𝗟𝗼𝘀𝗲𝘀: #WTI resumes its decline, potentially repeating the reversal from March's $115 peak. - 𝗠𝘆 𝗧𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀: A Netanyahu defeat could reduce the likelihood of immediate military strikes during a caretaker-government transition. - 𝗡𝗼 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲𝘀 = 𝗙𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘂𝗺, with #WTI potentially maintaining a longer-term floor near $80. - The next major geopolitical risk window, in my forecast, arrives in 𝗦𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟳.

jrex035

Brent crude is pushing $116 if closes at current prices, we'll have a new 52 week high (handily beating the May 4th close of $114.44). WTI is well off it's highs from earlier in the crisis but has firmly pushed past the politically sensitive $100 mark to $102.4. We're 11 days out from election day, Trump has already pulled out all the stops trying to keep a lid on prices and we're still grinding higher

0201037464793921170

The strategy to win midterms is allowing WTI crude to break $100+?

OrangeForeva

WTI Oil 102.5. VIX 20. Any pump is not to be trusted.

LostFaithlessness201

WTI Crude Oil erection candle coming up

Glum-Cash3869

WTI to $120, then the US announces an export ban, WTI/USO/USL crash hard and Brent goes to $160+

Sufficient-Skill9530

You can ignore data centres and it’s actually not priced in for the current new reactors being built today. Not planning to be built, underway today. And the whole idea that the market is smart and prices thing accurately is bullshit, look at oil, WTI went to $68 which was lower than before the war started in June/July. Now, that doesn’t mean that uranium equities are going to rip, markets, especially commodity markets, are manipulated as f. 

Sufficient-Skill9530

I can’t believe you guys haven’t been buy and hold oil producers and refiners since WTI pulled back to $68 in June/July. It was the most obvious entry point ever. At $68 it was less than the price before the war started and people were talking about $40 oil like it was not only a possibility, but high probability. Instead you guys all thought SOXL and MU at the top. Many such cases. 

Spy300

US Strikes on Iran to Target Nuclear Infrastructure, Missile and Drone Depots, and Energy Facilities, Officials Say >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- Negative Real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

yourgirl696969

By oil manipulation, do you mean WTI should be way way higher?

yourgirl696969

WTI coiled up all day. It’s gonna skyrocket tomorrow. Be careful y’all. Especially with Russia getting their staff out of Iran’s nuclear plant

Spirited-Lawyer-8281

WTI back over $100. Don't know if anyone has noticed but this fuel price spike is now two months longer than what Biden had. Trump is fuq.

Provolone-Jones

WTI is $14 cheaper than Brent. Something is going to break soon.

jrex035

Not saying that can't be a factor, but do you think its just a coincidence that Brent is up 4% today, diesel is up 3.7%, gasoline up about 2%, WTI up 2.5%, etc? Asia is dangerously exposed to any shortfalls in energy out of Hormuz, which is certain to happen if, or more likely *when* the conflict escalates again

Western_Coffee_5445

US Oil WTI - Dec 2036 (USOIL) 100.00

ten7four

Algos going full panic mode whenever WTI hits 100 is so funny. Once it breaks through for good it's gonna rocket to 103+

0201037464793921170

WTI Crude > $100 now, VIX almost 20.

OGWFORLIFE

Shorting WTI Crude around 100 just free money or what?

LostFaithlessness201

Mr Orange probably has done a future long trade on WTI for higher prices now so probably not in his interest lol

Jacobpapi

99\*WTI

AdhesivenessOk1997

Gold is dropping further and WTI to 104 soon

AggravatingCrow897

🚨 **BREAKING: MY TECH PORTFOLIO HAS FILED FOR EMOTIONAL BANKRUPTCY.** 🤡📉 😱 **VIX:** 18.56 (+11.34%) — Fear is back on the menu. 🛢️** WTI Oil**: $99.56 (+1.90%) — Almost $100 a barrel. 🔥 **Brent Oil:** $112.29 (+2.07%) — Apparently inflation needed a sequel. 💀 **10-Year Yield:** 5.073% — Bonds are beating my tech stocks. ⚰️** 20-Year Yield**: 5.433% — Even the bond market is bullying me. ☠️** 30-Year Yield**: 5.376% — I’ll be paying for this dip until retirement. Meanwhile, my tech portfolio is down so much that Robinhood stopped showing me charts and started recommending therapists. I’ve bought the dip four times this week. **Apparently I’ve been buying the stairs on the way down.** Anyway, see you degenerates at market open. I’ve still got buying power and absolutely no survival instincts. 🫡📉

Spy300

BREAKING: TRUMP DECLARES THE US IS NOT NEGOTIATING WITH IRAN AND THAT SOMETHING MAJOR WILL HAPPEN "SOON." >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150+ >- QE / YCC for Negative Real rates ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

k3t4mine

Every time WTI has climbed over $100 the past few weeks, I see a statement about talks/diplomacy from their Foreign Minister bring it back down again. He's got to be a US asset, why the fuck does he keep jawboning their only leverage away. Is he even real? Maybe he's just a psyop.

AggravatingCrow897

WTI crude: $99.47 🛢️ Brent crude: $111.71 🔥 10-year Treasury: 5.09% 💀 Nasdaq futures: -500 points 📉 Oil is going to the moon, bond yields are through the roof, and tech stocks are getting slaughtered. **Apparently I invested in everything except the things that go up.** At this point, my portfolio needs a bankruptcy attorney, a therapist, and a Costco gas membership. 💎🙌

Spy300

>US TROOPS AND DIPLOMATS EVACUATING THEIR MIDDLE EAST POSTS - NBC NEWS >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150 >- QE / YCC for Negative Real rates [[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/bessent-likely-cut-us-long-224054989.html) ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

MrT_IDontFeelSoGood

They’re doing everything they can to keep WTI below $100

Spy300

US STATE DEPT IS PREPARING TO ISSUE AN ORDERED DEPARTURE OF SOME PERSONNEL AND FAMILY MEMBERS AT US EMBASSIES ACROSS THE GULF >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Trapped Fed hikes only 25 bps to establish credibility >- Task forces redefine inflation to PCE Trimmed Mean >- Send WTI to 150 >- QE / YCC for Negative Real rates [[1]](https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/bessent-likely-cut-us-long-224054989.html) ✅️ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression

Spy300

>BESSENT: THERE'S VERY LITTLE A DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS COULD DO TO STOP AGENDA *Were sending WTI to 150+ no matter what*

NurUrl

WTI is moving up... could re-touch dreaded 100$... the BS deals no longer hold power on the market like in the past :/

bejammin075

The article is so ridiculous. WTI briefly surging to $110 while dozens of vessels are attacked are surely a sign that peace is imminent /s

Shot-Consequence-613

WTI was never 111. Quit spreading fake shit you’re complicit

Hot_Ambition_6457

WTI almost back up to $100 BTW. Wiping out the whole day's price shift

Hot_Ambition_6457

Market waiting to see if $WTI is going to hold onto some of today's discount or not. Oil sold off but also seems like no news for it so spot prices already rebounded about halfway.

Hot_Ambition_6457

WTI stabilizing here would be nice but it looks like it might rip back up and undo all these stock gains

hodd01

WTI down 3.3%, SPY up .6% in 20 mins. feels like its Trump TACO insider trading time

sloanemonroe

WTI is up 6%

PassableForAWombat

Anyways. WTI gonna go nuts, OPEC chain was cut at ARAMCO.

TheVenetianMask

Uuh... WTI? Are you ok?

Glum-Cash3869

remember to only invest in BRENT oil. trump can ban crude/diesel exports at ANY TIME and crush the price of WTI oil and your USO and USL calls are worthless. brent oil will moon whether no matter what he does

Sea_of_Light_

I tried EFT with WTI Crude Oil 3X Lev USD. Bought in when it was around 50 Euro. It kept dicking me around for weeks (decrease, decrease, rising, rising right slightly below the amount I bought in, back to decrease, decrease. Got so frustrated I sold with below one Euro loss (when it kept edging me). Left me shaken that I couldn't get a win with something as solid as oil. Checking the EFT now, it's around 70 Euros. Now I am convinced I'm a curse that sinks stocks.

Federal-Watch

Also, I’m not going long on anything on a day when WTI pumps 2% and already above 100

Waiting4Reccession

WTI is over 100 and is around the price that trump usually drops some fake news to send it back to 90

Low_Plastic363

Houthis are fucking shit up again. WTI back to $103 and Brent back to $110. 10y bouncing back up into the 5.15% zone. French bonds up 50 bps in a month (and spread with Germany bonds is growing, which could lead to a spiral). SPY - up 0.50%. It could be a lot worse.