Reddit Posts
Inflation might not be tamed yet. And the numbers coming out right now are probably not the numbers JPow was looking for.
Congratulations OPEC+ on your latest production cut (WTI down 2.5%)
Occidental OXY, W&T WTI, and Talos Energy TALOS Oil Spill
Why December data for November PPI / CPI are likely to print negative readings & YoY PPI is likely to approach deflationary territory
Oil Volatility Amid Middle East Tensions: My OXY Options Strategy
WTI Oil at US Cushing is at levels not seen since 2014, inventory so low, its hard to remove from storage - WATCH OIL FUTURES
Fed Reiterates Its Goal of 2% Inflation Rate and Will Most Likely Raise Interest Rates Before the End of the Year
U.S. crude oil prices top $90 a barrel for the first time since November 2022
Saudi's Production Cuts: Have We Felt the Full Effect Yet?
My husband trades highly leveraged WTI oil CFDs and loses money every single day. What can he trade instead that won’t ruin my fucking life?
Why the Oil Rally Might Not Be as Bullish as It Seems
Oil Reaches New 2023 High on likelihood that Saudi Arabia or Russia will extend cuts
Correlation between WTI price and US SPR refill
CME Group: if you think WTI is a manipulated commodity or a necessity- it once upon a time was until 1983
Oil Price Analysis: Speculators, OPEC+, and Future Uncertainty
As USO sees its largest fund outflow, WTI crude oil nears $67/barrel on a downtrend
3 Under-the-radar penny stocks that may be sleeping giants
Avila Energy PTRVF or VIK Canadian exchange
OPEC+'s Challenge: Sustaining Oil Prices While Avoiding Disputes
Crude Oil Spotlight May 31, 2023. OPEC+ meeting just got much more interesting.
Crude Oil Spotlight May 31, 2023. OPEC+ meeting just got more interesting.
What to do with current OILU positions if I feel WTI Oil has a soon leg up over the next 6 weeks?
Trade Like a Boss with These Tips from the Oracle of Omaha
Oil's Dramatic Open Leaves Traders Puzzled After WTI crashes
Public Trading Operations for Next Week (4.24-4.28):
Public Operations for Next Week (4.17-4.21)
Market Recap 4/11/2023 - Analysts lowering SP500 earnings estimate again, hedge funds most short since August 2022
YOLO Rehab's market recap 4/11/2023 - Analysts lowering SP500 earnings estimate again, hedge funds most short since August 2022
Next week's trading (4.10-4.14) + how to deal with oil production cuts
Record Inflow of Funds into Gas ETFs: Easy Money or a Dangerous Game?
Next week's public operation (4.3-4.7)
Closing: U.S. stocks close slightly higher on Friday, Deutsche Bank situation in focus
Saudi oil giant Aramco posts record $161 billion profit for 2022
SPY Technical Analysis for Monday March 06, 2023 - Market watchers eye 200 Moving Average backtest
THE CASE FOR GOING LONG CRUDE OIL (UNITED STATE OIL FUND)
(BEARISH) Todays Economic Release Numbers, Explained & Reviewed
What could be the impact on the stock market if Fed Chair Powell strikes a more hawkish tone in his address this week?
US still buying back oil at $70 to replenish reserves?
Jan-13th Wrap-Up: Risk-On & CTAs Buying... But SPX Earnings Revisions Point to Hard Landing...
Jan-13th Wrap-Up: Risk-On & CTAs Buying... But SPX Earnings Revisions Point to Hard Landing...
Jan-13th Wrap-Up: Risk-On & CTAs Buying... But SPX Earnings Revisions Point to Hard Landing...
Jan-13th Wrap-Up: Risk-On & CTAs Buying... But SPX Earnings Revisions Point to Hard Landing...
Jan-13th Wrap-Up: Risk-On & CTAs Buying... But SPX Earnings Revisions Point to Hard Landing...
🕵️♂️ I SPY, TSLA TA - Monday December 12, 2022 CPI, FOMC, and OPEX week
Should a person be investing in oil now that it is at a 1 year low? My personal opinion: Yes
Oil prices drop to pre-Ukraine crisis level, currently WTI is at $74, lowest price of the year. Something to keep an eye on for the next CPI
2023 in the eyes of Wall Street's most prospective analysts of the year. and his top 10 deals
How can inflation be brought under control when it seems like we are heading towards higher oil prices?
MMTLP Asset Value Calculation - Realistic Minimum For Holding Into Nextbridge
History shows holiday trading favors the bulls
Stocks rise as Fed minutes signal rate hike slowdown
Stock Market Today (as of Nov 22, 2022)
Can we flip previous resistance into support ? WTI
WTI looks strong and they haven't even released their earnings
how fast do oil futures get reflected in the oil supply chain
CNBC Pro Goldman’s Jeff Currie reveals ‘the best’ hedge against inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical risks
Diamondback Energy for the Win. (FANG)
U.S. Stocks Climb on Better Than Expected Inflation Data
Going to Consult a Tarot Card Reader/Psychic for Investment Advice
Going to see a Tarot Card reader/Psychic for Investment advice, what should I ask?
Triggers multi-markets (WTI oil, spy, dow, GBP/USD).... some worked well, others need tweaking. r/MMsHedge
MMTLP - Submitted For Your Approval: The Tale Of The Mega Squeeze.
SPY, WTI oil, DJI, GBP/USD options
🕵️♂️ I SPY TA - Wednesday October 05, 2022 - )DTE Scalpers Delight
Resistance In View For WTI Crude Oil Futures
WTI - Whilst everyone is looking one way.... don't forget to look the other!
Mentions
DD: Permian Resources ($PR) – Delaware Basin Pure-Play With Room To Run ⸻ Intro Permian Resources (ticker: PR) isn’t some random E&P chasing scattered acreage. They’re the largest pure-play operator in the Delaware Basin, which is the western half of the Permian Basin (West Texas + Southeast New Mexico). If you’ve followed shale at all, you know the Delaware is the crown jewel — some of the best rock in North America, stacked pay zones, great infrastructure, and tons of room to drill. PR has been growing into this position through smart acquisitions and strong operational execution, and right now they look set up to benefit from both scale and efficiency. ⸻ Why Care? 1. Acreage & Focus – Over 470,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin, all contiguous and in the “core of the core.” They don’t waste time on fringe plays. 2. Low Costs – They’ve been steadily bringing down lease operating expenses and drilling costs. That’s crucial in shale, because cost creep kills margins when oil dips. 3. Acquisition Game – PR just bought $600M worth of acreage and wells from APA in New Mexico. This wasn’t random land grab — it’s right next door to PR’s existing operations, meaning they can slot it in seamlessly. 4. Production Growth – That deal and ongoing development allowed PR to raise their 2025 oil production guidance to ~178,500 barrels per day. More oil, same infrastructure, same crews = more cash per dollar spent. 5. Shareholder Returns – Base dividend of $0.60 annually (~4% yield). They also buy back stock opportunistically when it trades cheap. ⸻ The APA Bolt-On This deserves its own section. In June, PR closed a deal with APA (Apache’s parent) to acquire ~13,000 net acres and ~12,000 barrels of daily production. Why it matters: • The acreage is directly next to PR’s current blocks in Lea and Eddy counties (New Mexico side of the Delaware). • Integration is straightforward — same crews, pads, and infrastructure. • Production bumps up right away, without them needing to drill new wells. Most acquisitions in shale destroy value because they’re expensive or far from your core. This one is the opposite: it’s accretive to cash flow and strengthens PR’s position as the top Delaware Basin operator. ⸻ Financial Health PR isn’t over-levered. Net debt is about 1x EBITDA, which is conservative compared to peers. They also just got an investment-grade rating, which lowers their cost of borrowing. That matters if oil gets volatile again — they won’t be forced into fire sales or equity raises. They’ve been printing solid free cash flow each quarter, even at mid-$60s oil. That means the base dividend is safe, and there’s room for buybacks and debt paydown. ⸻ Oil Price Sensitivity This isn’t magic — PR still lives and dies by oil prices. If WTI drops back into the 50s, free cash flow takes a hit. But because their acreage is in the Delaware core, they can survive downturns better than most peers. At $75 oil (a reasonable mid-cycle number), PR throws off well over a billion in free cash flow annually. Put another way: at today’s ~$14 stock price, the market is valuing them at a high single-digit free cash flow yield. If they just keep executing and oil holds steady, there’s a case for the stock in the $20 range over the next year or two. ⸻ Long-Term Bull Case • The Delaware Basin isn’t going away. It’s the most economic shale play in North America, and PR owns some of the best acreage in it. • They’ve proven they can integrate acquisitions without blowing up costs. The APA deal shows discipline. • Balance sheet is clean, dividend is covered, and management owns a big stake — they’re aligned. • As pipelines and marketing contracts shift more barrels to Gulf Coast pricing, PR should realize better netbacks (meaning higher prices per barrel compared to peers stuck in Waha discounts). ⸻ Risks • Oil price risk – obvious, and the biggest one. • Execution risk – if drilling or integration slips, costs can creep up fast. • Macro/regulation – federal regs in New Mexico or broader Permian could add headaches. ⸻ Bottom Line Permian Resources is one of the most compelling mid-cap E&Ps out there: pure Delaware Basin, low costs, smart acquisitions, shareholder-friendly capital returns, and a balance sheet that can handle oil price swings. At ~$14/share today, the market is pricing PR like a steady operator, not like a company that just grew production, raised guidance, and set itself up for higher netbacks in 2026. If oil stays anywhere in the $70–80 range, the math points to upside into the $20s, plus you’re paid a dividend while you wait. I’m long PR. Not financial advice, just sharing my DD.
>Crude has been moving sideways, with Brent at ~$76 and WTI at ~$72–73 AI even getting the basic numbers wrong? Shocker.
A bit over $30 Brent is their drilling breakeven. If you want dividends it's $40 (so like $37-$38 WTI).
More sanctins on Russia. Watch WTI and US natural gas ..
Did quite well on WTI futures during the ‘15-16 oil glut. Now just do boring Boglehead things.
OPEC is declaring it's going to oversupply the next 6-12 months to gain market share. Simultaneously, US and China slowdowns are intensifying. Half a dozen oil desks at the major banks are forecasting WTI in the 50s sometimes in 2026. Could be a major opportunity to load up. Good news for inflation too.
Middle East volatility: In June 2025, Israeli strikes on Iran and ensuing threats to close the Strait of Hormuz sparked a sharp jump in oil prices—from around $69 to $79 per barrel—though prices eased once a ceasefire reduced disruption fears . Supply disruptions and smuggling: Iran’s oil smuggling increasingly undermines sanctions effectiveness. When enforcement tightens, covert exports dip—tightening supply and potentially pushing prices up India–Russia–U.S. dynamics: India, a major buyer of Russian crude, is facing rising tariffs (now at 50%) from the U.S., along with sanctions pressure. This is leading to a shift toward Middle Eastern sources by refiners like Reliance . US-China trade thaw: A 90-day tariff truce between the U.S. and China has relieved fears of demand-sapping trade wars, driving oil prices slightly higher to ~$66.90 (Brent) and ~$64.20 (WTI) . OPEC+ strategy: In July 2025, OPEC+ production rose by 335,000 barrels per day—slightly below target—indicating a cautious approach to avoid supply gluts . Spare capacity as a buffer: Higher unused production capacity among OPEC countries helps stabilize prices by offering a cushion against supply shocks .
Sounds too much like WTI for my liking :-
>Best Case: >TLT gains 50% to 100% from rate cuts on 66% of my portfolio If you had timed it perfectly in late 2018, when it seemed rates were going to rise, and then gotten your exit in July 2020 you’d have made ~50%. So basically you need to time your trade on two major events. “Best case” is probably too optimistic here. >Base Case: >AMD calls go to $0 if NVDA outcompetes AMD like in past AI failures such as MI300 >TLT rises as rates come down, which recovers the call premiums and results in break even in about 2.5 years Yeah, this is very close to the same as the best case in terms of what you need from TLT. You still need a ~47% increase in order to break even. >Worst Case: >AMD calls go to $0 >TLT drops because inflation spikes, resulting in a 30% loss there as well. This is unlikely in my opinion but possible. What sort of things could spike inflation again? Things like, I don’t know, another round of massive deficit spending? Or maybe inflation will rise if we deport a ton of the low cost labor that has been brought in to artificially cap wages across a wide band of industries. Or maybe the government imposes some huge new tax on the importation of goods from a handful of the largest suppliers of said goods. But those things wouldn’t happen, right? At least not all at once. This one should have been your base case. Inflation is already embedded across most consumer goods and it’s not coming down. The best weapon against inflation is a drop in energy prices since they are the major input cost for basically every non-service business on the planet. WTI is already pretty cheap here. HH nat gas is $2.96. When I left that business *11 years ago* it was…about $2.85. It’s not getting much cheaper from here. There is no obvious naturally deflationary forces that will arrest what was started in 2020. Betting against persistent inflation while simultaneously believing that the UST will become **more** attractive after racking another few trillion dollars into the deficit is, uh, bold. An actual hedge would have been calls on NVDA plus a basket of all the smaller competitors to AMD. That way if your theory of their growth trajectory is wrong you will capture some of the upside from anyone else who gets their market share (which let’s be honest, that means NVDA right now). However if your theory is correct then you still might not get completely wrecked on that basket since you could get a rising tide effect that pushes the whole space up before investors start to separate out the winners from the losers.
I do agree, FANG is the top E&P in the Permian. They have been reducing debt and have one of the lowest breakevens for WTI. With that, I still prefer tue vertically integrated over pure upstream
$WTI at $3 per share.... literally wired money to buy it that cheap. Heard the word "entango" and didn't understand that it didn't mean anything and it was still the best investment of my life. Sold at 3x gains.
It simply jumped the most before the Iran strikes last month. My premise is entirely sector driven. SM, WTI, REI, and even the big players should gain biggly if true.
Putting together the value of EU imports of U.S. crude oil, LNG and metallurgical coal gives a 2024 total of around $64.55 billion.This is about 26% of the $250 billion the EU is supposed to spend on U.S. energy a year under the framework agreement. Can't wait to be swimming in WTI and breathing Henry Hub
The refineries are setup for heavy crude (eg:Canada tar sands) which is cheaper to buy. Whilst lighter crude like WTI attracts a higher price, hence is exported.
Ok but that happened to coincide with a massive spike in oil to **$140** because of Russian sanctions and disruption to crude market. You depend on something like that happening for oil to pay off. WTI is in the $60s now.
y/y cpi forecast is 2.6, core y/y 2.9. My first thought is holy shit cheap energy prices are keeping inflation from going crazy. God bless the Saudi's and hillbillies pumping WTI. So tomorrow cpi will be 2.5, core will be 2.8. Markets will pump because beat expectation and no July cut already priced in. Bers will bitch and complain that inflation is going crazy and demanding societal collapse. The rest of us will buy calls at open and make 20% tomorrow.
No, we bought and sold WTI and NG. Original inception of the company was to create an energy backed crypto. It failed due to leadership and we pivoted to trading alone. I worked on the short side of the market. We liquidated at 110 close to the high of 22. I had founder shares due to joining when there were 7 employees not including investors.
WTI. Dirt cheap and about to be part of oil and gas part of the BBB.
In the last 48hr, crude oil WTI prices have rebounded off the $64.30/barrel level 3 or 4 times.
It's why i'm heavily invested into DVN. FCF continues down to $40-45 a barrel WTI. Anything over $70 and dividends and buybacks historically increase.
Bears: wOrLd wAr 3 ☝️🤣👆 As WTI can't stop free falling.
I'm not a conservative. Voted for Harris and hate him. On literally execution of everything even Gaza. You're just braindead and ignoring reality. Look at WTI moron.
Taxes and fees average $1.21 per gallon in California. 42 gallons in a barrel. The taxes and fees equates to $50.82/Bbl. A WTI price or market price today at $66. All the unrest in the Middle East and absorbing all the costs to find, drill, produce and transport the oil and CA adds another $50 in taxes and fees for doing nothing of value to the end product.
It has nothing to do with insiders, and the crude oil market is so big that there is no possible way for some insiders to influence it. You do realize that oil was highly overvalued if there was no closure of the Hormuz right? Like it's a binary event, if Hormuz is disrupted, then WTI crude oil is worth $80s. If it is not, then crude is worth $60. WTI had already run up to near $80 just on fear of Hormuz disruption, meaning there was no fundamental support for it to be there. Since everyone is waiting for Iran to retaliate, but most professional traders had already taken positions in anticipation of a Hormuz closure, it would thus highly depend on what kind of retaliation Iran will make. Now Iran did retaliate, but it was only a few missiles, and not some attack on many other bases. Now you realize why traders call these "Sell the news" events? For oil to keep moving higher, news must be some sort of huge retaliation, real closure of the Hormuz not some announcement by random officials, or destruction of other ME oil infrastructure. Any other news meant a sell the news because the news is not as bad as feared.
Ah shit had no idea. Ironically I’m the CFO of a midstream company in Texas. Still can’t find $1.99 per gallon gas anywhere even when WTI hit $60. GTFO
Here’s the key events- from an Investopedia article In 2020, worldwide demand for oil fell rapidly as governments closed businesses and restricted travel due to the COVID-19 pandemic. An oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia erupted in March when the two nations failed to reach a consensus on oil production levels. In April, an oversupply of oil led to an unprecedented collapse in oil prices, forcing the contract futures price for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to plummet from $18 a barrel to around -$37 a barrel. By the summer of 2020, oil prices began to rebound as nations emerged from lockdowns and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) agreed to major cuts in crude oil production.
Currently sitting at 9% down. $67.20 for WTI.
WTI down 7% today, how’s that closure going?
WTI crude oil just went down 7.3%, wtf
I see stiffness and weakness in the WTI division
More not knowing how to adjust properly.. WTI is moving quite well too.. maybe I will keep it like that?
Leveraged WTI is already a wild ride, and now you’re wondering if you bet on the wrong horse while Brent’s out there reacting to geopolitical stuff like the Strait of Hormuz. It’s frustrating when you realize after the fact that the oil you picked might not be the one most senstive to the headlnes you’re watching. And yeah, switching’s posible, but doing it mid-swing could lock in losses or just shift the risk without really solving the core issue. What’s bugging you more right nowfeeling like you missed the “right” trade, or not knowing how to adjust without making it worse?
Iran should blow up their own oil refineries to pump WTI crude to 100 LOL
Dumb question: WTI or Brent? 🤔
I wouldn’t chase it. Tons of people are still long but there isn’t much that would suggest massive downside yet am either. WTI is up currently 20 dollars a barrel since beginning of may best thing u can do is wait a week or two imo. U do u tho
Only ended up losing 500 on that oil short instead of 1k plus. Too much uncertainty to stay in tho. WTI could easily do 80-85 before all of this is over. Our country is a joke.
I expected WTI to be up more.
Do some bargain hunting tomorrow morning if S&P drops with the gains from the August WTI future contracts I got Friday for 73.50
W&T (WTI) was at about $1 but I have :pepe frog no balls:
USO and WTI will likely move with it, oil futures as well. Bought some call spreads on USO like a week ago waiting for this to happen
Taco's first move after oil hits $100 will be to ban oil exports. Brent will then hit $150, WTI -$12 and pump prices will be $10/gal. The US oil industry will collapse and Canada will buy Vermont with it's oil profits.
How does closing its only source of revenue help iran... Artificially trying to spike the WTI doesnt benefit the iranians at all, since they cant sell if they close of their pipelines. The only one benefiting from this would be the saudis, russia and USA, iran would hv basicly lose 3 weeks of oil revenue for nothing.
I’m actually invested in WTI crude oil futures on NYMEX with leverage, so it’s a direct commodity futures trade. But yeah, USO or UCO are solid alternatives if you’re looking to gain exposure to oil prices without trading futures directly
That speech last night??? "Mission Accomplished 2.0"..... Remember how that worked out. Now along with high grocery prices, tariff increased costs, WTI is up 21% in the last month...I don't think it's coming down soon...there aint no 1.98 a gallon regular on the horizon anytime soon... Wouldn't ride in a subway or a underwater tunnel crossing any time soon....someone can do a LOT of damage with ONE lone person. Think about it.
Welp WTI most likely on its way to 80 pretty soon.
**ChatGPT: Oil will likely gap up $10–15 → WTI $85–90+ from this news**
Those are Futures but you can do WTI and others for options, could have made a fucking mint last week but oh well.
I don't usually buy at open, I wait at least 1 hour because premiums are more expensive at open. I held OXY overnight, I got lucky because WTI crude oil futures went up overnight due to the war in Middle East. Compounding winners means, I win some, I lose some but overall, if my port is up by a few % points each day, it compounds and that say 2% today is worth $2, but 2% in 2 weeks is gonna be worth $4. I have a link on my profile, if you would like to see how far it can go.
Your lack of knowledge with the WTI and Brent,
Feeling the temptation to post like I'm Mohamed El-Erian: "WTI up 0.74%, reflecting a troubled oil market at a crossroads. Volatility will be high due to the geopolitical uncertainty. #economy #markets" "Powell speech underscores the importance of structural macroprudential policy with the multi-year coordination of multilateral development banks and financial institutions. #finance #equity"
WTI oil is pumping and spy is going to pump ibto close then dump after hours. Those two things are in tension with each other. If US oil is parabolic it means war. But MM will fuck you during market hours. Exit now.
If the US doesn’t involve themselves in the Middle East this weekend there is a good chance WTI touches 70 or lower.
Might add a micro futures short on WTI at close. A risky bet but it doesn’t have anywhere near the leverage of a mini or your average option fd
U guys think WTI can make its way to 65 in July? If the US doesn’t escalate the conflict in the Middle East I think it’s possible
WTI crashing. GG bears had your fun with markets closed. Reality coming in.
As far as I understand it: * WTI in 3 hours * Brent in 5 hours
As far as I understand it: * WTI in 3 hours * Brent in 5 hours
Funny how Brent futures market close exactly as Trump's new deadline hit the news and WTI futures plunged.
What's the ticker? WTI?
He better quit fuckin around with Iran/Isreal and tariffs if he wants rate cuts. Low oil prices are (were) helping mask inflation... WTI/Brent tickling $80 is going to pop that illusion real quick
WTI isn’t a company. It is an indicator of future contracts.
My oil WTI finally coming back (W&T),
WTI looking decent so far. Volume over 170% of avg, shorts take over 17 days to cover. I think this will be a good one. NFA, buy at your own risk
Couple options: verticals on USO bear put or bear call spreads aren't aren't terrible. Or, if you want preferential 60/40 tax treatment and good leverage, you should be able to apply for a futures account and go after /CL (West Texas Intermediate - WTI - crude oil futures).
US involvement will be limited to giving Israel trillions of dollars to back down. A direct US attack on Israel would mean WTI straight to $200 and pump prices straight to $10 a gallon. Even tacoman understands that will be unpopular.
So dull waiting for WTI to flush again 😴
WTI back to the 60a by EOW. I don’t make the rules 🤷♂️
WTI going back to $65. Sorry. We are headed towards global recession after all.
🥭 so scary. WTI futes rose a whole 1% on that scare 😱
Where’s the guy who told me WTI was going to 90 yesterday
Agreed!! Only thing I regret to not have gone short on WTI at sunday open. It was a very easy panic scalp.
All WTI has done since the 3:00 open is go straight down.. So there is that
WTI was sitting at 68 before Israel had their temper tantrum. Now the futures price has it sitting around 74 for WTI. That's not "barely touched."
> One important thing to note is the business becomes profitable at $80 a barrel of WTI. This goes up massively at $90, $100, etc. That's basically the gist of it. Now for the fun part.. What’s your source for this statement? OFS profitability isn’t directly linked to oil price like a producer’s would be.
I will play devil's advocate here, because it's really not that simple. Higher oil price can easily lead to higher inflation (because everything is transported by truck). Higher inflation means the fed may hold off on lowering interest rates. Feeling that that fed isn't going to lower interest rates may be negative to the S&P. The US isn't unaffected by the global oil price, do you think US producers aren't going to try to get the official WTI price? On the other side, higher oil price, since oil is traded in dollars, means that the DXY should go up, possibly reversing the weakening dollar.
WTI still up 2% which is pretty wild. I do wonder if the market decides to buy the dip on the AI trade tommorrow, if erl and defense stocks will rally alongside or sell
Hi regards, ChatGPT here. Forward Contract asked me to summarize crude futures for you degenerates, so let’s keep this simple: CLN25 (July WTI) is at $75 with 90% implied vol. CLU25 (September) is at $71 with 53% IV. That’s called backwardation, and the 37-point IV gap is stupidly rare. Normally you’d see 10 points tops. This kind of spread screams “someone’s expecting fireworks soon” — think geopolitics, bombs, embargoes, or Strait of Hormuz getting spicy. It also means the market sees this chaos as temporary, not a new regime. Traders are piling into short-term protection, but chill about the longer-term. That kind of skew only shows up in crises (like Russia-Ukraine, COVID crash, etc.). What would I do? Sell the fear, buy the chill: •Consider a short CLN25 call / long CLU25 call diagonal spread — you’re fading the near-term panic while holding cheap upside in September. •Or just go long CLU25, especially if you think the chaos doesn’t resolve cleanly. TL;DR: Market’s priced for WW3 this month and a yoga retreat by fall. Trade the calendar spread or fade the front vol. Don’t buy July calls unless you like paying $1,000 for a lottery ticket that already hit.
Thanks. I’ll look into it. I’m leaning towards Brent crude instead of WTI crude but we’ll see. Hopefully we get some clarity on Monday. If crude pops again premarket then I’m just gonna sit back and watch
Did you guys know oil has a limit up. Particularly WTI
According to Google AI WTI oil futures open 11am NZT on Monday. So what happens in the next 20 hrs will be essential to what happens at the opening bell
Calls on oil. !benbet WTI crude (commodity) to $70 by 22nd of June 2025
I would trade the WTI, perhaps a long straddle @$75 with July expiry
WTI crude is up 7%, today, and you think the market will be green on Monday. Explain the unlikely scenario where this is possible.
Weekend thread so I'm allowed to do politics. Bibi making a serious strategic gamble declaring war on Iran. To drag up the old Machiavelli quote: "If an injury has to be done to a man it should be so severe that his vengeance need not be feared" Unlike Hamas he doesn't have the forces to permanently disable Iran and is relying on dragging the US into direct confrontation. If Taco tacos (and he already has some serious pushback on the right) Iran gets nukes and is extremely angry and motivated. Not hard to see Bibi's ego bringing about the end of the israel experiment. Also WTI to $200 after Ukraine takes the opportunity to obliterate Novorossiysk.
✅ Top West Texas / Permian Shale Plays (like EOG) Here are some publicly traded companies with strong operations in West Texas shale, especially the Permian Basin: ⸻ 🔹 FANG — Diamondback Energy Inc. • Pure-play Permian operator (Midland & Delaware Basins) • Excellent cost discipline and cash returns • Popular on Robinhood & Webull ✔️ ⸻ 🔹 PXD — Pioneer Natural Resources • Massive Permian footprint • Acquired by ExxonMobil (XOM) — but PXD ticker may still trade during integration • High operating leverage to WTI prices • Fractional shares and extended hours supported ✔️ ⸻ 🔹 DVN — Devon Energy • Permian + Delaware Basin exposure • Strong capital return programs • Trades heavily on most retail platforms ✔️ ⸻ 🔹 OXY — Occidental Petroleum • Huge West Texas acreage • Also owns Carbon Capture assets • Backed by Berkshire Hathaway ✔️ ⸻ 🔹 XOM — ExxonMobil • Now one of the biggest Permian producers after acquiring PXD • Vertical integration + refining margins can hedge downside • Fractional shares & after-hours: ✔️ ⸻ 🔹 CVX — Chevron Corp. • Large Permian stake, including Noble acquisition • Good dividend yield and integrated operations • Supported widely by retail brokers ✔️ ⸻ Honorable Mentions: • SM Energy (SM) — smaller-cap, high-Permian exposure • Coterra Energy (CTRA) — mixed gas/oil, solid West TX presence • Matador Resources (MTDR) — high growth, West Texas shale focus
Today was bloody for me today. Exited down on everything except WTI. I'm up 4% on WTI and holding. Have stop loss set but the iran israel thing could be good for an oil company.
This is exactly the kind of black swan event that rattles markets. • Dow futures tanked ~600–700 pts (~1.4%) immediately after Israel’s airstrikes on Iran — signaling how sensitive equities are to Middle East escalation . • Crude oil surged 7–8%+, Brent topped $75 and WTI hit $73–78, the biggest one-day spike since early 2022 . • Investors fled to safe havens — gold jumped ~1–2%, and bond yields dipped as people sold equities . Short-term strategy: expect more volatility. Watch: 1. Oil’s next move, especially if Strait of Hormuz becomes a target. 2. Flight-to-safety flows if banks and tech join bonds and gold, fear is rising. Longer term, it depends: does this settle quickly, or spiral into regional escalation?
So, is everybody just scared that a bigger war is going to kick off? Nobody is going to be helping Iran..Hamas, toast...Hezbollah, toast...Bashar al assad (syria) toast... the war should be contained to the middle east...and lets be honest, this shit has been happening for the last 30 years...fuck, the last 3000 years over there. Russia could care less about Iran...the Chinese can't do shit in the middle east. Even though stocks are getting a little rich, still lots of room to run, this "war" should not really affect much except oil prices, which is an over exageration because WTI is more or less based on US production..In my opinion. Unless there is another black swan event...this should fade away.
WTI is boarding and ready for takeoff....
Sweet! I wanted to buy WTI, but never traded futures before. My plan was to research today and by EOD, but Israely bastards attacked earlier. He