Reddit Posts
The Exact Day Oil Will Spike to $150
Oil dropped 8% this morning, does that actually change anything for the Fed on Wednesday?
Mixed stock futures after a losing week. Is Wall Street too calm?
SPY is pumping on 1/3 normal volume while $8B in dark pool prints load. You are the exit liquidity. Stop buying.
SPY is pumping on 1/3 normal volume while $8B in dark pool prints load. You are the exit liquidity. Stop buying.
U.S. crude oil dips below $70 as tankers transit Strait of Hormuz
CME Announces Plans to Offer 24/7 WTI Oil and Gold Contracts
Over 100% USO (US Oil Etf) Shares Sold Short. Yolo MCL (Wti Micro) Long for $96 k
Strikes against Iran... and oil taking +0.91%... Did I missed something?
Iran's Fars News Agency sets out the nation's 4-step plan
Very different spreads on USO and BNO calls
Oil just surged after CENTCOM struck Iran, is anyone actually positioned for this or did everyone get washed out on the dip?
Middle East route risk hit tanker freight first, then BWET & tanker stocks moved
OXY at $60 with oil at $107. GameStop 2.0? Hereβs why I think the oil price is completely wrong and what Iβm doing about it.
10Y yield keeps stalling at 4.6%. Is the bond selloff running out of steam?
$204,420 Oil Yolo (BZ / BNO) (MCL / USO)
VENTURE GLOBAL ($VG): THE EASIEST ENERGY PLAY OF 2026?
Crude Long-Short Strat betting on US Export Restrictions
WTI rebounds sharply as ceasefire turns hot
Crude Long-Short Strat betting on US Export Restrictions
Recovery or Relief Rally/ Dead Cat Bounce?
Recovery or Relief Rally/ Dead Cat Bounce?
trader is up $565K on a single DOWN position on WTI oil today
Every Time the President Moved Markets with Social Media.
Every Time the President Moved Markets with Social Media.
If oil stays elevated, NXXT revenue math starts looking very different
VENTURE GLOBAL ($VG): THE EASIEST ENERGY PLAY IN YEARS?
Oil is back above $110
The Strait of Hormuz disruption isnβt just a supply shock, itβs a pricing multiplier for companies tied to fuel delivery
Goldman just moved their Hormuz normalization assumption from mid-May to end-June and called the inventory draw "extreme."
Trump, Twitter & Truth Social: How to Move Markets like a Pro
Higher oil prices do not just help producers, they reshape the whole chain
Oil moved lower short term, but the structural constraints are still there
Oil pulled back today, but the setup underneath it did not really change
Tracking energy trends and domestic production growth
Why NXXT is back on my radar: Macro conditions support energy names
Friday priced a ceasefire that didn't hold. What that weekend toggle means for Monday's open.
Prediction market contracts were pricing out $120 oil all week before today's crash. Is anyone using these as leading indicators?
Trump says Hormuz is permanently open. Crude isn't convinced.
Oil drops as Hormuz tensions ease, but is the risk really gone?
Oil dumped hard on βStrait openβ news, but the structure tells the real story
Genuine question β is anyone else buying silver here? The thesis feels unusually clean
China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years
US stock market futures after Iran War peace talks end without a deal
My perspective on oil prices from now until the end of 2026. Information compiled from multiple reputable news sources
South Korea is moving toward a major oil deal with Kazakhstan to reduce reliance on the Middle East
What Smart Money Is Really Doing This Week (COT + CME OI/Volume)
The Strait of Hormuz Premium: Why the Tape is Trading on Vibes, Not Volumes (CPI 3.3% Breakdown)
Stock Market Recap for Thursday, April 9, 2026
Stock Market Recap for Thursday, April 9, 2026
Stock Market Recap for Thursday, April 9, 2026
09 APRIL 2026 , WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST LOSERS PRE-MARKET ?
WHY YOU SHOULD SELL YOUR OIL !!! , BEFORE YOU GET BURNED AND BURIED IN IT ?
WHY YOU BETTER SELL YOUR OIL BEFORE YOU GET BURNED ?
09 APRIL 2026 , WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST LOSERS PRE-MARKET ?
Israel launches 100+ strikes on Beirut, oil still crashes 16%. Make it make sense.
Efficient market hypothesis Vs Reflexivity Vs TACO
Too much winning, we are tired of winning Mr President
Options positioning going into the heaviest catalyst week of the Hormuz crisis
In a surprise to no one, Tasnim News Agency (Iranian news agency) is reporting Iran has rejected ceasefire initiative
SqueezeFinder - April 6th 2026
Futures Trade - Long Brent (BNO / BZ) Short WTI (USO / MCL)
Soaring energy costs are rattling investors. Why the βfood price shockβ could be worse
Trump jawboning oil back under $100 β WTI traders in shambles
WTI just broke Brent and nobody's talking about it $USO $XLE
I asked Gemini to predict market reaction to Trumpβs 48 hours ultimatum to Iran
Institutional Flow Report: Major Rotation into 10Y Treasuries and S&P 500 Re-accumulation π
Ran an advanced historical simulation on WTI, we could have all been rich if we just saw the signs
3 MONTHS LATER WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST WINNERS FOR SMALL CAP COMPANIES , THOSE ARE A STEP CLOSER TO A LAMBO ?
WHAT ARE THE BIGGEST WINNERS TODAY PRE-MARKET AND WHY ?
Good luck on Monday boys Brent crude hit 140 π’ today.
WTI oil price above Brent oil price - A rare sight
Oil Yolo - Closed out USO and BNO Calls and Went Into $107,340 Brent Futures Contract
Any ideas on why WTI oil is prices above Brent this morning?
Quick rise in crude oil prices, in response to Trump speech or something else?
Oil keeps pushing higher⦠is this now the real macro risk?
Why I remain an S&P BEAR after this morning's Department of Defense press briefing
Why I remain an S&P BEAR after this morning's Department of Defense press briefing
Why I remain an S&P bull after watching the DoD press briefing this morning
The market regime just shifted to risk-off for the first time since 2022. Here is what the data says historically happens next.
Mentions
# OIL MOONING /s (WTI +0.22%)
I'm shorting hard on WTI, so yes it wil go to the moon
I've had a $WTI CSP sold for a $$1.50 strike which seems to be serving its purpose (premium without assignment) well. $WTI is rocking & rolling...
Short oil? WTI is only at the mid $80s, the path to $100 seems more probable than the path back to $60.Β
Your premise is directionally correct, but fundamentally wrong. If you look at the last couple auctions for bonds, as mentioned through this thread once or twice, they've been healthy issues. Bid to cover, primary dealer, tails... All within expectations for GOOD auctions. This means there are enough buyers for current US debt. Period. Until this changes and it will most likely change suddenly. I'd argue that with yields hitting record highs, it was unsurprising that Bessent intervenned on the morning of the 20yr Bond auction (fresh, not a reissue) as the 20yr has had problems which bleed over into the stock market. This occurred on May 21, 2025 with what was an overall -2% drop in the S&P500. (Market was up +0.5% before closing down 1.5% on a 1.2 basis point increase) The May 21st auction had a tail increase of 1.2 basis points, which set a new record and sent the markets spiraling. Prior to yesterdays auction, record highs had been reached, so a new record high on the tail was all but guaranteed. Bessent defused that bomb in the AM. I bet you weren't thinking about the bomb he was trying to defuse or you would have mentioned it. So, he wasn't trying to gin up more demand, he was trying to control yields for a bond auction which has gone nuclear. And he was successful at that goal. The auction went fine, with a tail of a basis point or so, but no new record. Healthy bid to cover and low primary dealer take. The auction went fine and there are NO issues on the demand side. Where you are directionally correct are the yields hitting record highs and the severity of the structural problems they expose. In the past year, $3T-$4T has been added to the debt, we are getting close to tipping points for debt servicing vs governmental functioning. If you know "starve the beast" this could be the plan. However, I don't think this plan really was meant to happen during an active war with Iran that has exhausted our weapons stockpiles. They are very, very expensive to replace. And with oil prices working their way up, the SPR releases working their way down (for structural reasons the pumps can no longer be run fast), this is where "starve the beast" runs into real-world expensive problems that require gobs and gobs of money to solve. Which you can't do if you're starving the beast. Bessent, this morning, by indicating that he could increase the size of the bond repurchases (which are done at a discount, say 55%-70%, so not at par), pretty much indicated that the magazine is "empty". There's little to jowbone in the oil market because the SPR is constrained by physical limits on the pumps imposed by the drawdowns. Pull too fast when the SPR is low and you'll get oil/brine slurry which cavites the pump vanes literally tearing them apart. We're going to be restricted to 500k bpd draws, if we want to use the SPR. Haven't even gotten to the cavern integrity due to the brine solutions eroding the walls and support. It is actually possible for the SPR to collapse on us, rendering all the oil inaccessible, if we draw to fast. So, Bessent can't talk down the bond market, SPR is bottle-necked from draws. You're left with Presidential IEEPA authority which would crash the market if deployed PRIOR to extreme market events. You don't deploy the bazooka when the stock market is at record highs, it's sorta like the crash has to happen to grant the authority. Think of it like a nuclear bomb, which is topical, and stunningly accurate. It should be in response to another nuclear bomb and expressly not because you feel like it. A first use nuclear doctrine would destabilize the world quite quickly. Congress is divided. So they are off the board. The Fed will respond and not act pre-emptively. That would be very, very bad for presidential politics as it would be the president steering the fed through his actions, as opposed to the fed trying to optimize their dual mandate in response to political policy. Where does that leave us? We have a jawboned stock and oil market. Stock market is near record highs after a record run up - include a 5% week based on good corporate earnings and a peace deal which never came. The oil market is jawboned like crazy. Participation in the futures markets are a fraction of what they should be and crack spreads are at record highs - which means that the futures market for raw materials may be mispriced the market for intermediate and finished products is not. This could be exceptionally dangerous. Could. We don't know, hasn't happened before to my knowledge. My base expectation is when this corrects it will be violent. On the other hand, most futures are cash settled, not oil settled (outside of CME), so Brent/WTI need not experience a violent correction: there's no real oil to deliver. Just paper. And this difference may be (most likely is) what the administration is betting on. You can infinitely fake a fake market not dependent on deliverables. Does not help diesel at the pump, or LSFO in the bunker which reflect reality, so you'll be impacted even if the benchmarks are "faked". Where does this leave us? Good question. But not where you think we are. This can go on for quite some time. But Bessent is out of ammunition. Donzo. Trump is equally constrained. It could be days, it could still be weeks. The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. It is my belief, however, that we hit tops. If Bessent is out of ammo, his magazine has run dry, and the jawboning is undone in hours not days, the Iran conflict (affecting oil) is functionally strategy-less, flailing and potentially ill-equipped to muster a response (which cedes the initiative to Iran), this sounds like tops. And, I do know a bit about the military - certainly more than most. I suspect we pulled out of the Korean exercises because we are unable to support them having previously moved many of the THAAD, Patriot and Naval assets to the Middle East. I don't know what else went, but with drawing prevents the embarrassment of showing up without pants and rifles (by this I mean batteries, jets and carrier strike groups) which would leak to the press, given the massive scale of the exercises. I'm gonna call tops. I don't know if this is going to be a crash or a tumble, but I haven't even gotten into private credit imploding and AI bonds/financing. All of this happening at the same time (and more) is a rare, rare, rare storm reminiscent of the GFC.
>BESSENT STATES: WE WILL BRING DOWN THIS IRANIAN REGIME. >u/Spy300 5 points 1 month ago >Here's the plan >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Fed holds rates >- Send WTI to 150 >- Task forces redefine inflation >- Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression** I am the Oracle.
Not me. I went all in on oil when WTI hit $68. Then I moved a chunk to gold and silver when gold dropped to $4,000 and silver dropped to $55. Iβm up 47% over the last few months.Β
BREAKING: Oil prices up 3% >u/Spy300 5 points >Here's the plan >- Do a fake ceasefire >- Fed holds rates >- Send WTI to 150 >- Task forces redefine inflation >- Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression** β οΈ.
I'm with ya... There are some other Oil stocks that actually follow logic... WTI up, stock price up... This thing does not. Oil prices nearly irrelevant to this thing... Ya think its gotta go up...it just sits there. Scalping, yes. Swing or LTH, no
There's no way itβs going past $65.00, bud. There is a peace deal between Oman and Iran coming out within two weeks. Remember, WTI and Brent are already pushing towards $100.00. If no peace talks happen over the next weekend ill buy 200k on margin. My word. Ill post it here
>TRUMP: 'WORLDβS MOST POWERFUL RESET!!! Listen to the words. WTI 150. Emergency rate cuts.
US Oil WTI - Dec 2035 (USOIL) 85.26
TRUMP INSTRUCTED HIS TEAM NOT TO ENGAGE IN TALKS WITH IRAN UNTIL IT IS READY TO SIGN A DEAL >u/Spy300 >Here's the plan >- Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week >- Drive oil down 10% >- Fed holds rates >- Send WTI to 150 >- Task forces redefine inflation >- Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression** β οΈ Told you.
TRUMP: NO TALKS OR CONVERSATIONS GOING ON, OR SCHEDULED WITH IRAN >Here's the plan >- Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week >- Drive oil down 10% >- Fed holds rates >- Send WTI to 150 >- Task forces redefine inflation >- Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression** β οΈ They call me the Oracle
bear bc the ceasfire deal ended trump refuse to extend it, WTI oil jumped to 85
Brent crude and WTI rising
WTI should release an LLM. Are they a stupid company?
WTI opening red because strait was always open, oil flows freely everywhere
Does anybody know why Brent is down 4% on Robinhood perps while WTI is flat?
Tankers are expensive. Average price premium for WTI in Asia over Texas is about $5/barrel. This is much lower than what it currently costs to move a barrel of oil to Japan. So if WTI crude is like $80 in Oklahoma, and you can sell it for $85 in China, but it costs you $10 to ship it there, you actually make more selling it here at the lower price.
Dollars is dying, 2 year is dying, 10 year is dying. Now we just need WTI to go under 80$.
ADM. BRAD COOPER CALLED FOR RENEWED STRIKES ON IRAN'S GAS, OIL AND ELECTRICITY INFRASTRUCTURE - ISRAEL'S CHANNEL 13 >u/Spy300 10 points 15 days ago >Here's the plan >- Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week >- Drive oil down 10% >- Fed holds rates >- Blow up Kharg Island >- Send WTI to 150 >- Task forces redefine inflation >- Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression** LIKE A BOSS
ADM. BRAD COOPER CALLED FOR RENEWED STRIKES ON IRAN'S GAS, OIL AND ELECTRICITY INFRASTRUCTURE - ISRAEL'S CHANNEL 13 >u/Spy300 15 points 2 months ago > - Do a few weeks of a fake ceasefire / peace talks > - Get the puppet fed chair confirmed > - Blow up kharg island / Invade / Start Iranian revolution **<-- (You Are Here)** > - Send WTI to 150 > - Puppet fed chair cuts to 1% >β οΈ This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression**. [[1]](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1sxes3c/what_are_your_moves_tomorrow_april_28_2026/oimpwpg/) I am the *Oracle*.
Remember, good CPI means we can print oil. WTI to 0 today π₯°
The average WTI oil price for the full month: β’ June β $84.81 β’ July β $80.46
@Mods to add to the Stocks Everyone should be paying attention to now due to this development; $USO $XLE and $WTI will be good ones to try and get in on the coming oil price moves
Speak for yourself I bought $USO, $XLE, and a ton of options for $WTI back in April and made sure to Dollar Cost Average all the way down through May-July because if there is 1 thing you can **BANK ON** its a Donald J Trump Business Deal ***Failure***
**10Y: 4.733% β** **20Y: 5.294% β** **30Y: 5.279% β** **WTI: $84.32, +2.47%** **Brent: $89.87, +2.28%** **DXY: 99.57, basically flat** **VIX: 15.48** **Gold: $4,362, actually down 0.64%** **Bitcoin: \~$64K, basically flat** TLDR: Buy Calls
WTI heading to much higher level after having corrected in wave 2 to 74...go long with stop of 67 for target of 100+-- Elliot wave international https://preview.redd.it/kzehzoqeimih1.jpeg?width=526&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b77aaa897ab00748f2a3069e2ac7e78342b7b724
WTI heading to much higher level after having corrected in wave 2 to 74...go long with stop of 67 for target of 100+-- Elliot wave international https://preview.redd.it/e0lgfsougmih1.jpeg?width=526&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=be7b96d7855430f45a3ac4e03b13250d1283b06c
Where the fuck is Bessent? Oil WTI is above 80$ now!
WTI above 80 incoming
Thank you WTI, my morning stress routine of 1 hour going long and short is already done π
I've traded options on EURUSD futures and WTI futures for years, gets really fun at delivery when having to hedge ITM options, roll before last trading day etc...
Send WTI to 150 Japan dies Carry Trade over Spy 300
PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS "WE MAY HAVE TO" **SEND** OIL PRICES HIGHER. >Here's the plan >- Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week >- Fed holds rates >- Task forces redefine inflation >- Blow up Kharg Island >- Send WTI to 150 >- Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression** TRUMP HAS CALLED WARSH REPEATEDLY SINCE HE BECAME FED CHAIR, SOURCES SAY -- WSJ TRUMP HAS SOUGHT WARSH'S COUNSEL ON ISSUES SUCH AS IRAN WAR'S EFFECT ON ECONOMY, SOURCES SAY -- WSJ
What will WTI do ? Up or down
RSI, WTI, 10yrs bonds, the tricky one is figuring resistances
>Trump says "we may have to" send oil prices higher. Bro even used the word send. *Send WTI to 150*
I lost 800$ on oil calls Iβm very sad guys I had made around 550$ during the pump Bet heavily that WTI could hit 100, but nah man Kept on going down
I basically flat out donβt believe any Axios headlines but WTI gonna go to $0 anyway
WTI heading to $0 and also means strait was never closed or it was never important . All those βexpertsβ been lying
Crystal ball. Dow retrace to 54000, WTI oil retrace to 81
Yeah obviously itβs not gonna hold at super high prices. But if you can reasonable predict that a ceasefire wonβt hold or an empty threat wonβt be carried out, you can reasonably buy or short USO, or WTI, or even Exxon and make your own gas money
US WTI CRUDE EXTENDS LOSSES, FALLING AS MUCH AS 4.5% Insiders know wars over
Note that every last times oil gold and spy were up together overnight/pre market, it was gold and spy that dumped at open WTI fading rn, if it rebound @ 80,30 and reclaim intraday ATH before open you might want to wait before going ape calls
WTI (+0.7%) - Its over
# Current Futures LevelsΒ [Investing.com](https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=3f404e798caa814505f39dc3c56e69897b70c1f60a03df4723e5bc40fdf93925JmltdHM9MTc4NTYyODgwMA&ptn=3&ver=2&hsh=4&fclid=202f7691-4acf-6f61-0d88-61fe4b546e57&u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW52ZXN0aW5nLmNvbS9pbmRpY2VzL2luZGljZXMtZnV0dXJlcw&ntb=1) * **Dow Jones Industrial Average (Sep 26)**: 52,635.00β―(+255.00,β―+0.49%) * **S&P 500 (Sep 26)**: 7,519.25β―(+46.75,β―+0.63%) * **Nasdaqβ100 (Sep 26)**: 28,404.25β―(+166.50,β―+0.59%) * **Russell 2000 (Sep 26)**: 2,938.00β―(β16.30,β―β0.55%) # Market ContextΒ [CNBC**+1**](https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=b69ff1cd49dfdf8caa0c61b3c4ee4e2c20dc30d2161992ee3fd2b7b3b5f3a973JmltdHM9MTc4NTYyODgwMA&ptn=3&ver=2&hsh=4&fclid=202f7691-4acf-6f61-0d88-61fe4b546e57&u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyNi8wOC8wMi9zdG9jay1tYXJrZXQtdG9kYXktbGl2ZS11cGRhdGVzLmh0bWw&ntb=1) U.S. equity futures are advancing ahead of key economic data and earnings releases. Investors are awaiting theΒ **July jobs report**Β and a busy week of corporate earnings, including McDonaldβs, Kraft Heinz, Costco, Walt Disney, Palantir, and semiconductor giant AMDΒ [CNBC](https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=b69ff1cd49dfdf8caa0c61b3c4ee4e2c20dc30d2161992ee3fd2b7b3b5f3a973JmltdHM9MTc4NTYyODgwMA&ptn=3&ver=2&hsh=4&fclid=202f7691-4acf-6f61-0d88-61fe4b546e57&u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyNi8wOC8wMi9zdG9jay1tYXJrZXQtdG9kYXktbGl2ZS11cGRhdGVzLmh0bWw&ntb=1). The rally is supported by optimism over economic resilience, but analysts note caution: Big Tech earnings were solid, yet investors are wary of sustained AIβrelated capital spending without clear earnings growthΒ [CNBC](https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=b69ff1cd49dfdf8caa0c61b3c4ee4e2c20dc30d2161992ee3fd2b7b3b5f3a973JmltdHM9MTc4NTYyODgwMA&ptn=3&ver=2&hsh=4&fclid=202f7691-4acf-6f61-0d88-61fe4b546e57&u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY25iYy5jb20vMjAyNi8wOC8wMi9zdG9jay1tYXJrZXQtdG9kYXktbGl2ZS11cGRhdGVzLmh0bWw&ntb=1). # Global & Commodity SnapshotΒ [Investing.com](https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=3f404e798caa814505f39dc3c56e69897b70c1f60a03df4723e5bc40fdf93925JmltdHM9MTc4NTYyODgwMA&ptn=3&ver=2&hsh=4&fclid=202f7691-4acf-6f61-0d88-61fe4b546e57&u=a1aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuaW52ZXN0aW5nLmNvbS9pbmRpY2VzL2luZGljZXMtZnV0dXJlcw&ntb=1) * **Euro Stoxx 50**: +0.31% * **FTSE 100**: +0.28% * **Nikkei 225**: +0.41% * **Gold futures**: flat * **WTI crude oil**: β6.70% * **Brent crude oil**: +1.22%
TradingView or Investing, both have WTI real time data. Investing even has futures real time data by the way.
WTI fell like a rock, oil glut imminent
WTI down 8% lol the commodities traders are supposed to be the sophisticated ones
Weekend Tech 100: +1% Weekend SP500: +0.80% Weekend Dow: +0.50% Weekend Brent/WTI: -7%
Algos fall for it every time lmao. WTI $88->80
* Do a few weeks of a fake ceasefire / peace talks * Get the puppet fed chair confirmed * Blow up kharg island / Invade / Start Iranian revolution <-- (You Are Here) * Send WTI to 150 * Puppet fed chair cuts to 1% * β οΈ This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression. \[1\]
"Time to FINISH THE JOB! Take Kharg Island. End this nonsense. Take the oil. No mercy!πΊπΈ " WTI unchanged
Old news and itβs because WTI is inching towards $90
As the prophecy foretold, it's WTI 150 and emergency rate cuts.
WTI $100+ on Sunday night.
Execute Order 66 - Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week - Drive oil down 10% - Fed holds rates - Blow up Kharg Island - Send WTI to 150 - Task forces redefine inflation - Emergency rate cuts This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression**
if i hold WTI over the weekend im sure the U.S. and Iran will collude solely to destroy my port
Both straits closed Oil reserves multi decade lows No peace deal in sight WTI still 82 They really need to do something about the fakeness
My point was that oil fell off a cliff last week into the beginning of this week (more than 20% in 3 days) on *hopes and rumors* and yet now we're back to daily attacks and those rumors are dead, but WTI is still $9 cheaper than it was a week ago. Oh, and lots of bad things happened over this week too including damage to 4 Saudi O&G facilities, half a dozen attacks on tankers in the Strait and BAM, more strikes on tankers in the Black Sea, damage to Russian refineries and export terminals, etc etc etc.
WTI is $9 cheaper than it was a week ago, despite the situation being worse in every conceivable way
WTI has been good for me in the past, wait for a dip.
WTI a good oil play or does one just buy USO and pray?
want to buy QQQ to catch the dead cat bounce but sticking to WTI
TRUMP: WE'RE GOING TO BEAT THE FUCKING SHIT OUT OF IRAN. >u/Spy300 10 points 18 hours ago >Here's the plan >Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week >Drive oil down 10% >Fed holds rates >Blow up Kharg Island >Send WTI to 150 >Task forces redefine inflation >Emergency rate cuts >This is how you devalue your debt via financial repression Like a glove
Unconfirmed reports that a massive American/Israeli attack on Iran may be imminent. >u/Spy300 2 points an hour ago >Okay. Theyre free to send WTI to 150 now, as the next fed decision is after the task force results Told you
Okay. Theyre free to sent WTI to 150 now, as the next fed decision is after the task force results.
My entire point all along has been that they aren't meaningfully predictive. They're a product of how tight the current market is, not a guess for what the price of a given commodity will be in x amount of time. You started this conversation by saying "gasoline futures are only $2.20 next year, better watch out" as if those prices are a meaningful representation of what the market actually thinks the good will be worth by then. Which is why I highlighted just how much those prices have changed since the start of the year. >Last time you were 100% convinced we would hit $140 in forward futures and ended up being wildly wrong even with the conflict still on. You're right, I was sure that's where things were headed at the height of the conflict. Since then I've stopped making predictions about specific prices because clearly the market is factoring a lot more than just supply and demand and hedging risk. The fear of a TACO tweet sending prices down any second has kept a lid on upward price movement, which is why WTI fell $14 in 3 trading sessions on *hopes and rumors* of a new ceasefire, but is only up $6 even though we're back to shooting and massive inventory draws. Trust me, I've learned a lot over these past few months.
>but they pretty much are No, they aren't. They're not predictive at all, they're a function of market tightness *today.* That's why September WTI contracts were $57.4 at the start of the year, $82 in early March, $94 in mid-May, and $70 at the start of July. If futures curves are "predictions" boy they sure suck at it. I don't think you understand how this works at all to be honest.
Here's the plan - Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week - Drive oil down 10% - Fed holds rates - Blow up Kharg Island - Send WTI to 150 - Task forces redefine inflation - Emergency rate cuts This is how you devalue your debt via **financial repression**
WTI 150 and emergency rate cuts
WTI soon to be $0 as more missiles fly in the strait, place your bets accordingly
Short oil with HOD the 2x ETF once it's over 85, even over 80. Close in the 60s WTI. You'll 2x your account if you catch the top and bottom.
WTI is dropping which means war is over which means we should get +3% and all calls should print
You've been saying that for months. How do we know tomorrow is finally the day this whole WTI 150 rate cuts thing starts happening for real and they don't just drag this bullshit chop show on for another month?
- Do a fake ceasefire during Fed week - Drive oil down 10% - Fed holds rates - Blow up Kharg Island - Send WTI to 150 - Task forces redefine inflation - Emergency rate cuts This is how you debalue you debt **financial repression**
It took 3 weeks for WTI march from the absurdly low pre-war price of $68 to $92 last week. This happened because the MOU died, the Omani shipping lane (where most of the dark oil transits took place) was shut down, a dozen tankers were hit, regional O&G facilities were struck repeatedly, the blockade on Iran restarted, the Houthis joined the war and slowed Red Sea transits to a crawl AND targeted multiple Saudi O&G facilities, and both sides were hitting each other daily. In the past 3 trading sessions half of those gains have been given up because of besides "peace is imminent" headlines. Hell, all the attacks on Saudi facilities took place in the last 4 days, including yet another attack that took place *today.* We're in the midst of the worst energy crisis in history, by far, with no end in sight, and WTI is trading at fucking $80 a barrel down more than 2% again today alone for no reason. The whole reason for having commodity markets isnt to keep prices as low as possible, or to manipulate them down in advance of elections to help the incumbent party, its to balance price against supply and demand and prevent shortages. Prices need to rise to prevent outright shortages which absolutely will happen if they continue to keep prices artificially low
I made the same mistake held IREN too long and was in a 2x ETF. It cratered 90% while everything else went up 10x. Watch oil, if it spikes to 85+ WTI get the inverse ETF HOD then close when it crashes again to 60s. You'll do close to a 2x with that one trade within weeks of the next pump.
Take what's left and short oil with 2x ETF HOD on every spike 85 WTI and 90+ WTI then close on the next crash to 60s and repeat.
More terrible advice. His life is not set. 1 million is barely a condo. He should take it and short oil with 2x ETF HOD on every spike 85 WTI and 90+ WTI then close on the next crash to 60s and repeat. He'll be at 2 million by xmas.
u/ty072599 Don't give it to your wife LOL what. Short oil at this point easy money 2x leveraged ETF like HOD every time oil is over 85 and 90 WTI. You'll be at 2 million on the next oil crash to 60s WTI.
Bro just short oil every time it pops over 85 and 90 WTI with HOD. Easy easy money.
No this is the best advice: Use it all to short oil when WTI is 90+ 85+ with HOD (2x inverse ETF). That's the best advice and easy money. Bro will be at 2 million in no time.
Use it all to short oil when WTI is 90+ 85+ with HOD (2x inverse ETF). That's the best advice and easy money. Bro will be at 2 million in no time.
Use it all to short oil when WTI is 90+ 85+ with HOD. This is the easiest money you will ever make. Then increase leverage on margin if oil goes over 100. You'll do a double by September.
Honestly do t understand WTI action at all but it sure sucks to be an oil bull right now
π―An 8% dip back to ~$83 isn't moving anything. Fed cares about sustained inflation prints. Would love to see WTI under $90 for a few weeks, but I think that's wishful thinking.
I doubt one day of oil prices changes the Fed. They care about sustained inflation, not a single geopolitical headline. What it does change is market expectations. If oil stays lower, one potential source of inflation pressure fades. That's less hawkish, not necessarily dovish. I think Powell's tone will matter far more than today's move in WTI.
I wasnβt paying attention but WTI fell like we are in an upcoming oil glut lol
WTI down 9.8% on Hyperliquid since Friβs futures close lol. QQQ up 6pts. Market is gonna rip this week, and Iβm a permabear. Donβt ever dismiss T$βs ability to manipulate the market for his buddies.
WTI doesnβt open for 8 hours. How would you know where oil is? Not trying to argue would like to know so I can track it.
WTI :clifford: :clifford:
Red af when? Mon open to Fri close? Fri close to Fri close? We have seen this movie before. There will be a TACO Sunday night/Monday AM and it will rip. WTI crude is already down 4.3% on Hyperliquid on rumors of a US ceasefire proposal.