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Investing in $DUOL is betting that $DUOL will grow faster than ai forever
If $DUOL break 117-119 it’s next likely support is 80-90s. Long term $DUOL is facing the same threat as $CHGG which dropped 40% today
Dow Jones Rises After Key Economic Data; AI Stock Soars 23% On 'Dramatic Change' In Sentiment
Hot Stocks: TUP, ANF slump on financial figures; DUOL surges; SRPT climbs on FDA decision
Insider Trading Weekly Update #019: 8-Figure Dave And Busters Buys, Largest Trades + Sector and Market Cap Overviews From The Past Week
Insider Trading Weekly Update #019: 7+ Figure D&B/Duolingo Purchases, Largest Trades + Sector and Market Cap Overviews From The Past Week
Insider Trading Weekly Update #018: Sales From $TSLA Execs, Largest Trades + Sector and Market Cap Overviews From The Past Week
Kahoot! Academy and Kahoot!’s new marketplace - The newest "Creator Economy" monetization going live in days, expected dual listing in US anticipated the same day
KHOTF flying up 20% on Oslo exchange - I've been meaning to write some DD on this potential 15X bagger that is expecting a secondary listing in US in the next few weeks
I scanned 150 charts this weekend to buy the dip (or sell CSPs), here are some names I'm looking at: DLO, HOOD, DUOL, RSKD, DNA
Robinhood Sold my $160 DUOL Put Option for $300 Less Than What It Was Long Before The Market Close. The Price They Sold It For Was At Least $100 Less Than The Highest Bid Price About 5 Minutes Prior. Support Won't Allow Me To Call Back Because They Are Leaving The Support Ticket Open.
Robinhood Sold my $160 DUOL Put Option for $300 Less Than What It Was Long Before The Market Close. The Price They Sold It For Was At Least $100 Than The Highest Bid Price About 5 Minutes Prior. Support Won't Allow Me To Call Back Because They Are Leaving The Support Ticket Open. F-U Email in image.
Robinhood Sold my $160 DUOL Put Option for $300 Less Than What It Was Long Before The Market Close. The Price They Sold It For Was At Least $100 Than The Highest Bid Price About 5 Minutes Prior. Support Won't Allow Me To Call Back Because They Are Leaving The Support Ticket Open.
What are your stocks on your Watchlist that just keep rising for no obvious reason?
Mentions
I saw at tweet that said “We invented gyms when physical labor became obsolete for most. We’ll need the same for our brain.” $DUOL?
DUOL or CRWD, which is more regarded that’s the one I’m picking
DUOL price target to 575$? I want what Argus is smoking 🚬
Anyone know what happened to DUOL?
DUOL proving you don't need to be immediately correct on a short position, just patient.
Market hitting all time highs and my best trade is still a short lol $DUOL
The past 27 DUOL articles on Schwab are just insiders selling lol
DUOL finally imploding. Fucking hell that shit will be worth nothing in 2 years.
I have been waiting 2 months but I'm finally in the money on DUOL puts. My 450's and 460's ... my moonshot 360's are up. God I hate that stock the way people hate TSLA. Bought the day of the top when it was 541 for the long dated poots so I'm fairly excited and rubbing my outer thighs while not blinking (like a person does when they are aroused).
https://preview.redd.it/w6xlmqy99q8f1.png?width=569&format=png&auto=webp&s=5150086ea6688dd8c4dfde26d8f1df5ea3350436 Keep going down you piece jack... DUOL DIE
"makes absolutely no sense to use in isolation for a public company with a high growth rate" The issue is you are using it in isolation. DCF is primarily a way of valuing a business or investment where there **does not exist** a market price. There is absolutely no point in using DCF for a public company in a sector where you can simply compare P/E. If there was an unnamed chocolate bar on the shelf without a price, yeah sure I could weigh the chocolate bar and compare it to the price of chocolate, this would be the equivalent of DCF. Now if I see a chocolate bar on the shelf with a price and a name tag, I have the ability to check that price to other chocolate bars, that would affect my value judgement. What you are doing is the equivalent of melting a Hershey's bar and weighing it, then calculating the value of the cocoa. This is absolutely useless as a strict measure of value, because that doesn't tell you what other people are going to buy the Hershey's bar for, and odds are your valuation is going to be significantly lower than what people might actually value it at in reality. What you should be doing, is investigating the disparity between the fundamental value (i.e. the cocoa, or in this case you can use the DCF, net equity, asset valuation, etc) and the market value, this is step 1 of any sort of useful analysis. Once you have a list of possible drivers for that value, you can start to assess the ficklety and overall reliability of those drivers, and then use that as a basis to take a position. Simply spouting out the DCF (for which I believe your calculation is still way overshot, even considering DUOL has a minus net debt of $400m), is not valuable analysis.
With AI, foreign language learning is going to be a thing of the past. As a bilingual person, the language apps are probably the worst way to learn a language. I would bet the farm DUOL will not exist in 20 years.
Citron is a prominent short of DUOL so you're not alone in questioning the valuation. That said, Citron's reasoning is flawed and incorrectly assumes that AI translation eliminates the desire -- not the need -- for language learning. Like with art and music, people may want to acquire language skills for non-transactional purposes. Whether this warrants the current valuation is a good question, but there is reason to think that AI translation expands the market for language learning because it will knock down cultural barriers and expose more people to more languages. Your later comment explores this by exploring other motives, but it seems like you remain unconvinced of growth potential? 5 billion online users is a lot. What most people forget is that even popular consumer services only capture a small fraction. For instance, Yahoo! Finance is one of the largest websites in the world -- yet "only" has < 10% of online users. We may model DUOL more robustly if the prospect of a short squeeze rises, but we have focused on clearer opportunities for now.
I’ve never been a big fan of using multiples, although it does have its merits. Instead, I’ve always preferred doing the very traditional discounting of free cash flow. Over the long run, I feel like it’s a better way to value a business than a multiples-driven approach. And to add to that — is DUOL a SaaS or an ed-tech company, or does it lie somewhere in between?
I agree that it has gotten a little pricy, but $110 is pretty darn low if you are comparing it to the market. Analysts are expecting $3/share GAAP earnings this year, and they have $6.55 TTM free cash flow per share. a PE ratio of ~37 is low for a SAAS stock with 37% growth rate. https://publicsaascompanies.com/saas-multiples/ has a pretty good sample of SAAS companies based on growth rate, DUOL is richly valued by that metric but the share price would be about $270 if it was on the trend line. It is also hilarious to me when people say things like "You can't get fluent with Duolingo". Yeah, the only way to be fluent in a language is to live a substantial portion of your life in that language for an extended period of time. Duolingo is effective at getting a foundation and up to a B1/B2 CEFR score depending on the course. That is far from useless. Frankly, the classroom isn't a great way to become fluent either.
I haven't looked too deeply into the DUOL but I would actually comp this company against gaming companies, not education companies. It's "edu-tainment" as I've heard it, 10% education, 90% entertainment.
I saw DUOL at $180 a while back and felt it was ridiculously expensive and considered buying puts but ultimately decided against it. Tech stocks in general are untethered by reality, see: CoreWeave.
DUOL makes zero sense to me as well but it's been irrational for so long I don't think it's actionable
DUOL puts? That AAPL translation is legit, who needs to learn new languages anymore..
Can someone genuinely explain the DUOL bull case? I get it’s a cool popular app, but is this not the definition of future bagholding. I literally love the app, would love to buy the stock, but how tf is this worth $25 billion?
Die DUOL you over hyped idiotic stock
going to load some $DUOL puts soon. The PR catastrophe from a few weeks ago is going to show up in their earnings. (also lol 250 p/e)
DUOL puts have fucked me badly... who is buying DUOL seriously... the PE is 250.. really people think this shit will go up even more?
introducing the Trash 7 - TSLA, PLTR, CVNA, DASH, DUOL, SHAK, BROS
High growth tech companies are usually overvalued, DUOL investors are looking to make money, not make a value play, and they have succeeded. The question is whether growth is about to stall. I am thinking about buying puts if it keeps rising.
I actuakly bought DUOL a few weeks ago at 325$. Went up 62% to 540 or so. I didn't have so much invested but now I really wish I did.
What if Google, AMZN or even Netflix decided they wanted to enter that industry? There are no switching costs to DUOL, what would justify the PE ratio then? And regarding SPOT I wouldn't touch it with a 20ft stick... YT , Amazon and apple music, heck even SoundCloud, are much better, it's just a matter of time the growth story is over.
Why tf would you give DUOL a multiple like Netflix? What's DUOLs moat? Cause it doesn't have any... In about no time the market will get flooded with AI language learning apps...
When I saw DUOL spike after earnings and then NEVER went back down I was incredibly pissed, I did not even have puts or shorts or anything of the like but they are a niche product with too high a valuation, do investors think every single person in the world will only use Duolingo? Like they’re the Netflix of learning languages? I cannot even compare it to Netflix bc Duolingo has no room to grow unless they start inventing their own languages. Anyway that’s just my rant, I’m not betting against this bird tho, it’s been clear to me that when institutions invest money they almost never sell, and bc they make so much money they don’t even know where to put the money so they put more into these overvalued stocks.
Calls on DUOL. Harvard is antisemitic. "We found so much funding waste there, *not by DOGE*, but other guys...oh, my guys". Boy Baron not getting in has him going full rage. Waiting for Harvard to be declared a na'tl security threat.
i sold DUOL a couple of months ago. took my profit but have obviously missed out on gains. i just fear that there isnt much of a moat here. i like the stock but it was overvalued in my non-expert opinion. also the float for DUOL is quite small. this makes it volatile. if sentiment were to change, it could tank hard
DUOL is now worth more than NVDA. Crazy
finally DUOL is tanking.. I've been eating shit the past 2-3days
Gotta love Duolingo DUOL. Been ripping ever since they pissed off all the TikTokers. All time highs likely again today.
So I originally had: 1. 100% allocation to the 2026 calls 2. Sold 50% of them to go $DUOL puts (profited more than holding) 3. Sold AMC 2026 calls also in profit before dipping under my entry level 4. Held cash 5. Re-entered these calls for Sept instead as lower premium Right now my 2026 calls wouldn't have yielded me as much profit as I'd have right now than my Sept call holding without all of the above steps
That's the thing, the assumption is "somewhere else" because of tariffs or xyz. PE compression is a natural cycle in a market. Too much risk being taken relative to GDP, the buffet indicator etc. What you're going to start hearing on reddit throughout the year is "their earnings and guidance were great why did they fall?". That's compression and it will happen regardless of tariffs. Something like DUOL at 250 PE is not reasonable and its one of the indicators we are just a frothy bubble of risk. COST is trading at a 60 PE, it's a very successful business that I love buts simply not worth 1k a share. Berkshire now owns 5% of the US treasury bonds for a reason, it's a safe bet at 5% guaranteed. There are also a few developing countries like Brazil that have their fiscal debt in order (and household debt), the EU building a military etc. Most companies in Japan trade at 14 PE, a few grow well and with dividends get to 10+% return almkst every year. Hell gold started climbing after the election not on liberation day, the dollar started to sink since inauguration. People are hedging risks for safer bets even for less of a return. Stagflation is still a specter looming as well that's possible by q4. We'll see but it's in the back of people's minds. Do as you will friendo, it's your money and your risk. Just keep your head on a swivel.
In stock analysis, PE compression refers to a situation where a company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreases due to a decline in either the stock price or an increase in earnings, or a combination of both. This can signal a change in investor expectations, a valuation being questioned, or a potential slowing of a company's growth rate. May want to learn about that term, it can also occur when institutions decide to take less risks. The value of the company may not have changed at all but the people placing the best may not continue to funnel money into companies trading at 60 P/E or 40 P/E etc You know we are in a bubble when DUOL is trading at 250 P/E. It's a language software company with a little AI. They are not more valuable than FOX, yet here we are.
DUOL can you please die already; you sell crappy language software. You've gone from 1.6 million a day to 1.05 and now 500k. Just go down like 200$. You're not worth 23.65 Billion and will never be.
Stocks like this tend to kill short positions. That said, I am a user of Duolingo, I pay for it. A couple of months ago I was struggling with a concept and asked ChatGPT for help. Within about 3 minutes I realized I was getting far better teaching and it was even providing me workbooks and quizzes. I have conversations with it too. After that, I shorted DUOL. I'm down like $2k.
citron short report on DUOL lol
I'm thinking about buying a DUOL put expiring in a month, thoughts?
Thoughts on DUOL?  poots?
$DUOL PUTS 
Check all of Duolingos socials, they wiped out all their content to shield from the mass protest of its users using AI. On top of that, Friday after the bell insiders started to sell heavy. And this tactic of being obscure and mysterious by shielding their socials is massively back firing! This plus Moodys, and general toppy feeling to DUOL is such a perfect catalyst for a blow off top
I am so glad I bought $DUOL puts at the top. Monday it craters. Anyone watching this whole PR disaster unfold real time?
I am full port on puts but separated on SPY CVNA and DUOL exp 6/20 hope this downtrend starts so I can make some $
Sometimes I’m on Duolingo and think “wow this a neat little app I’d love to own a piece of this company” and then I realize it’s priced like it’s the next NVDA. It’s actually regarded how expensive DUOL is.
Which one of you regard bought DUOL at 540... SHOW YOURSELF
Has anybody noticed how DUOL is up almost 100% over 1M?
another day, another day to yolo DUOL calls because tiktok hates it
DUOL about to hit more all time highs. BUYBUY
no better stock out there than DUOL. they fired half of their workforce for AI bots. nothing more bullish than that.
Hey BEAR... Take a look at DUOL that lightly traded guy may be due for a good correction.
# Watch if you ever want to see what algo trading looks like load up DUOL on the hourly.
is there a more insane stock than DUOL
so one of the best indicators if a stock is going to rip is the TikTok affect. DUOL has been getting tons of bad press and everyone is claiming to be deleting the app. The stock response? up nearly 100% in the past two months.
DUOL is unkillable holy shit
You forgot DUOL, CART and IONQ.
How come $DUOL is up so much in the last month?
I also use it for learning french! Way better and more comprehensive than DUOL.
Been a DUOL user for a few years, even pay for it. Decided to see what Chat GPT could do to help supplement and, my god, it's so much better than Duolingo. You just tell it what you're struggling with and it'll create lessons, quizzes, etc. Not saying short DUOL but don't buy it.
idk how DUOL is doing anything. i have their app completely unlocked with a free APK i downloaded lmao
DUOL at $500 because they announced they're replacing their contractors with AI lmao
I chickened out last minute on DUOL. Thank goodness I did.
😂I never said "hey everyone buy $DUOL puts", I just said I was thinking about it and bought a couple. And now, just posting my ideas. Sorry if you followed and lost $, but I can't guess everything right :P
MSFT, or DUOL 
DUOL ripped today and the answer to my own question is yes you should have bought months ago, dummy.
Well you could have been me holding $DUOL puts 💀💀 but I lost profits from earlier this week so it's alright. We'll get em next week 🙏
DUOL up 20% and trading at 250x earnings while the world becomes more protectionist 
$DUOL is getting to PLTR levels of regarded. Who tf is paying these prices for your phone to vibrate all nice when you say hola correctly. I literally use the app and like it, but what the fuck is the end goal for this company lol
I was talking about Duolingo (DUOL) lol
DUOL valuation is fucking insane. If I thought the market was crashing soon I’d short that one.
anybody own $DUOL? this fucking things pops, never bought tho
Duolingo going insane again DUOL
DUOL i think they meant lol , pumps done now flat
So funny, DUOL rips.. Market knows its the fastest way for us to learn Gynese
DUOL and RDDT never going below IPO price is what grinds my gear
DUOL ftw muthafuckas!! Woooo 
soooo many companies missing from thursday after the bell that are announcing earnings what gives....? OLED, MSTR, RMAX, LUMN, DUOL, ROKU, TWLO
- DUOL made the front page of Reddit a few days ago for posting about not renewing contract workers in favor of AI and becoming an “AI first” company. Bad for long term course quality, good for short term profits - tons of users are pissed and posting about canceling and losing their 1000 day streaks. Inverse Reddit (Ask Netflix how they feel about people complaining about price hikes and anti-consumer decisions) - Anecdotally I have more friends considering moving abroad and I’d bet on Q1 user numbers being a bit inflated as some americans react to 🥭 and attempt to catch up to the bilingual rest of the world
Down 20% on DUOL puts so far but I am 100% holding for tmrw *
DUOL is like what, at ATH? it really needs to homerun on earnings / revenues PLUS AMAZING outlook / guidance.
Truckers forced to learn English you say  bullish on DUOL
$DUOL dump below $370 soon again
$DUOL Short report by Citron Research
$DUOL is one of the most regarded things I’ve ever seen
If I buy DUOL do I learn Chinese? (I can't read)
Time to buy DUOL we’ll all have to learn chinese soon
since bad earnings a month ago DUOL has been bouncing off the 200ma. made some money shorting last week but i'm building another position what do you think
I get a feeling that in the following years more people will move to the EU and will have to learn a second language. leaps on DUOL. I have no DD, this is just a regards gut feeling