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My GTI would kick your ass on a track. You won't dust me in an SUV, lol
Good. I bought 1K more shares of GTI today
What Beetle? Maybe one day it will come back. Would be a great EV, especially if it buzzed when driving slow. The Golf/Rabbit is only sold as a GTI/R model in the NA market. ID Buzz should have been 15k cheaper and offer more for the price.
I threw 6x6s and bags of concrete in a VW GTI…these fuckers running trucks to drive 5 minutes because “they need the space for their golf bag” makes me laugh
You’re right it just states as expeditious as possible, somewhere I got Jan 30 in my head. Either way, not NOT buying these stocks IS the best investing strategy to date lol. Even trading is tough here. Long trades in down trend can lead to a lot of small losses that add up - that’s what happened to me. Just holding my GTI shares I bought 5 years ago and some call options for 2028
Cannabis is a commodity and trades like so- when are we going to realize this? That’s why all companies for the most part are flat to declining rev & before someone says GTI grows, it’s cause they participate in a majority of limited licensed states so they haven’t had to compete and they are able to control their competitors within their store. Same reason they are heavy heavy in whole sell. GTI would get swallowed whole in MI for example.
Looks like GTI’s breach was worth $19.3m less than AWH’s breach though haha
From the 8k from Feb 6th referenced in this release: “Item 8.01. Other Events. On February 5, 2026, Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) was notified that an award was issued in favor of its counterparty, Green Thumb Industries, Inc. (“GTI”), to a confidential arbitration matter. The dispute revolved around a side letter (the “Agreement”) entered into by the Company and GTI in June 2018 as part of the Company’s capital raise at the time, which provided for, among other provisions, purchase obligations by the Company from GTI. The arbitrator found that both the Company and GTI breached their obligations under the Agreement, awarding GTI approximately $22 million of damages and the Company approximately $2.3 million, resulting in a net award to GTI of approximately $19.7 million.” Not sure why GTI wasn’t pushing this good news
De-risked. In good b/s position while waiting for S3. Continuing to grow the international opportunity. If you want safety and security, go to GTI. I bet the market will reward the scale curaleaf is building.
I actually did read the filings. You're right that the leverage looks "comical" compared to a fortress balance sheet like GTI’s, but calling it scary right now ignores the fact that they literally just **de-risked the next three years.** The whole "debt wall" argument died this morning because they just **secured commitments for $500M in new notes** at 11.5%, which **kicks that 2026 maturity bucket all the way to 2029.** Institutional lenders aren't in the business of charity; they wouldn't oversubscribe a half-billion-dollar deal if the company was a guaranteed zero. And while everyone is waiting for S3 like it’s the messiah, Curaleaf is **already out-earning their interest** under current laws. They pulled in over **$104M in operating cash flow** through the first nine months of 2025 against about $75M in interest. Even with the new $500M note adding roughly **$57M in annual interest**, their current trajectory of **$330M+ in quarterly revenue** and stabilizing margins **means they can service the debt out of existing operations**. Plus, they’re the only ones aggressive enough to **stop paying the 280E tax load** entirely while they fight it in court, which gave them a **$110M cash cushion** to bridge the gap to this refi. You’re also forgetting that they have a massive head start in Europe while everyone else is fighting for scraps in oversupplied US states. Their **International revenue jumped 56% to $25.5M last quarter alone**, and they’re sitting on **50% adjusted gross margins** in that segment. While the US bears wait for a political miracle, Curaleaf is already scaling in Germany and the UK. That **Euro-revenue is a secondary engine** that isn’t 100% dependent on the Executive Order or the DEA’s timing. Is it a high-beta, high-leverage play? Absolutely. But the "imminent collapse" thesis just got pushed back three years by a **successful $500M raise.** **Yes they are dependent of Schedule 3 coming**. and have pushed their can 3 years back to time it. now do you want to take the other side of their bet is the question? **Schedule 3 is on the way**.....
Dude I was going to add "and why is it a golf GTI" but i thought youd make fun of me
Yes I agree GTI is a buy and hold but Verano Cresco ascend and curaleaf will feel the impact from 280e removal the most- also I wish companies broke down their 280e on a state level cause some states like IL allow for 280e reductions on the state level
So usually I am not one to read to much into things, but being from KS this caught my eye, and made me actually bullish on S3 being implemented sooner than later. KS filed a bill to not create a medical market or legalize in anyway but to reschedule it from 1 to 3 on state level. I believe KS would be the last one to do anything in regards to the plant so this is a bullish signal to me in my opinion. I will be buying Cresco, opening 15-20 call positions, and buying Verano, possibly GTI.
Yeah, I’m not from FL so I wouldn’t know. What I was doing a while back was looking up menu’s just to get some price comparisons, around the same time I was look at the data that came out for brands within FL. I saw trulieve dropped a slot, Verano moved up a few and Cresco moved up. Granted it breaks out the brands and the product category, & i looked at just flower but it was weird to see Verano so low given their store count (second behind trulieve) & weird to see trulieve give up market share due to their foot print. To your point Cresco started focusing more in fl and GTI started 2-3 build outs, both are moving up fast. Then theirs jungle boys which is smaller than everyone mentioned but are top 5.
I’ve accumulated my GTI, won’t change my plans 😂 It’s been a very painful wait for S3, may it bear from near term fruits 🍎
you both could be right, and wrong. events could see spikes and big pullbacks until things evolve to a tipping point, and the winners (imo tcnnf, cresco and GTI) thrive in a big growth industry that currently chugs along with one arm behind its back.
GTI and Glass House don't have significant tax or debt issues. I'm just pointing out a couple red flags in MRMD to counter king's pump. Usually a comment like that is purposefully leaving out relevant information. MRMD could also take on some debt if they needed. I am not very confident in them long term though. Imo they waited way too long to pivot to hemp considering they had pretty good edible brands. Hopefully they can pull it out, but they seem too risky to me.
No!!! Add GTI. RYM is a total gamble. GTI wins either way hemp ban goes
>C'mon bounce, c'mon carveout, c'mon S3... Missing big picture - licensing revenue is starting to flow in and GTI is looking for M&A now which should increase RYM revenue depending on what they buy. Beverage revenue is not the ticket to massive stock price appreciation here. I've recently entered back into a position and its more long term for the licensing revenue and M&A
Is this a good time to enter GTI? Was thinking of 4 buys to leave some powder to average down.
It can, I think that the $5’s are a “hopeless “ price for GTI. I may be wrong. Wouldn’t be the first time.
waiting for $5.xx to add tbh. Happy with the size of my current GTI stack at these prices...
I added GTI. I will throw everything at it once it breaks $6.75.
Also doesn’t help that our “best” companies like Trulieve and GTI trade 80-100000 shares a day. So easy to push around.
GTI currently do not manufacture the drinks, they use third parties to bottle and ship them. Hence why senorita sells in a bunch of US states and Canada. Depending on how the hemp ban plays out they can continue to use their existing bottlers or find new ones in States that allows this carve out. This isn't new to beverages - Coke doesn't bottle their own products and rely on bottlers in every country to do all that work for them. They just provide the formula and sales/marketing spend. Same will happen here in my opinion
Can someone help me understand this. This press release comes just days after the city of Chicago announced a hemp ban with a carveout for drinks. That's great for Chicago and this one arena within the city, but what about shipping these products across state lines after the federal hemp ban goes into effect? Will GTI be manufacturing these drinks in the state at that point?
Just got back into GTI, can beat these prices... Yes, you can make money off these dips!
I'll have to go dig up the quotes, but pretty sure Can't Trust was teasing some other sort of big beverage partnership after they partnered with Breakthru. I wonder if it could've been Boston Beer's planned entry point, but after the fake walls happened Boston Beer ended up partnering with Entourage Health. That's pure speculation, but I keep looking for GTI/RYM connections to Boston Beer, given the public interest from Ben and Boston Beer's interest in moving their current THC beverage into the US hemp market. I know Breakthru is one distributor for Boston Beer, but not sure how deep their relationship goes.
not driving a Golf GTI for sure...
That could be true, but you would expect the whole sector to be charged up with institutional investor buyers, especially with GTI.
Nah, long term Cresco and GTI
What was the last major M&A news for the MSOs (not counting political/rescheduling)? Was it really the GTI and Circle K deal? Things have gotten boring af. When mega merger?!
Any GTI or GLI with a 6 speed. Bonus for an intake and a stage 1.5 tune but leave the exhaust stock.
She would have to bounce a hundred for me to break even. Fortunately I only lost 1k in a wash sale. I put all my power into GTI & TCNNF
Trulieve, GTI and I think Acura, off the top of my head. I think Trulieve has given multiple times
I am also invested in Cannara, Rubicon and Auxly (and also VFF, and GTI) Auxly is my biggest position right now, I think they are the best value in the sector right now. Tangible Book Value 176M, Market Cap of 196M, and posting consistent profits. The thing that worries me is that I don't really see a downside, and that usually means I am missing something. But I think the only reason they are trading so low is because they were in a terrible financial position before Imperial bailed them out and they were really bad for dilution in previous years. To the point they have 1.3 Billion shares outstanding currently and they had 631 million shares in 2020. But they have really turned around and are no longer in a position where they should need to dilute anymore. So I think the very high share count, and how fast the price has jumped has scared people from jumping in and moving it higher at the moment. I expect as they continue to be consistently profitable the concerns around the share count will go away. Cannara is my old favourite. I've been in them since before the reverse split and I've been slowly picking up more. They look really good. I don't think they are in as good of a position as Auxly because they still need to build out a lot of capacity and keep growing marketshare. But they are consistently profitable. I was worried about their debt earlier, but with them resolving the convertible debentures they look really good. They had a stock option fluff a month ago, which I don't fully understand the significance of. I think they are pretty close to fairly valued right now, but they have been performing really well and don't see that changing anytime soon Rubicon Organics is the one I am a bit concerned about. They have incredible products, but I have been in them for a few years and I am down on them a bit (Cost basis 0.60). They were supply constrained and had no more capacity and were still not consistently profitable. Now they are building out the old Medipharm Labs facility they purchased, so they will have some expenses related to that. I expect them to lose money next year because of that. They will also have some risks associated with the additional costs of the new facility, so they will need to grow marketshare rather quickly to cover the expenses of the new facility. They have shown that they are more than capable, and I expect them to succeed, but I expect more patience with this one, and there are risks things can go wrong. Their balance sheet is in an okay spot, but they don't have as much wiggle room as the larger and better capitalized companies. So overall, I like all 3. My investment thesis for the past few years has been to target the profitable companies that are executing well in their niche. It seems to have started to work in 2025. I expect they will shine more in 2026 as they separate themselves from the pack more. They already know how to win, and with the ability to use cash from their operations to invest in growing the business, they are in a great position to win more.
I'm surprised beverage revenues were down for TLRY, thought this was market was growing crazy fast (from RYM/GTI reporting) but maybe that's just in the US... this kinda surprises me though.
20% here. The rest is in a 401K. If I lost everything here I'd still be ok. However, I'm not too concerned about that because I own only GTI.
Just curious what % of your investments/savings are in weedstonks? I like to tabulate everything quarterly (not including defined pension). Looks like I have 1.23% in RRSP and 3.83% in TFSA accounts. It used to be sooo much more like 4 years ago but thats how i fucked my accounts up. Thank god for Google and Trumps's DOJ really, that helped restore my shit. Anyways, I got some GTI and some CGC call options for Jan 2028, plus like 100 MSOS for a trade. If this gap closes, I'll probably add MSOS as a trade but also maybe long dated CRON calls. I've liked Kovler from the start ( bought these back in like 2019 or whatever before covid and before MSOS) but not sure if the MSOs and state-by-state thing will work long-term for S3 and FDA. I could be wrong, but I'm holding the best MSO operator so I dont need them all. I also feel like a strong alcohol/tabacco/pharma company will know how to navigate this well so hence CGC/CRON calls. What's your strategy and how much % are you betting on this sector?
Like I said I could be wrong, I don’t have a position in GTI anymore so I no longer keep up with them.
Not sure how I feel about such a low liquidity stock doing buybacks during the same period where insiders are also selling millions of dollars in their own shares. I understand selling at the end of the year is not as unusual as other times, but it still seems like a bad look. I would love to know the exact timing of GTI's buybacks.
As a GTI holder, 280E removal is amazing 😁…GTI is paying in full and should save at least $70M annually off 2025 numbers. In this sector, $70M in cash to reinvest is substantial. I also think the larger opportunity is in sentiment - a drug being S3 vs S1 makes a stronger case for banking and other reforms and reduces stigma. It’s very fair to say sentiment is hard to assess but it has an impact.
I’m just going to stick to buying VFF and GTI. Both seem to have solid management, significant cash on hand and are profitable. The only other speculative cannabis company I have in my portfolio is TerrAscend, which interests me since the CEO has such a big ownership stake, is cash flow positive, trades on the TSX and since Canopy US has optionality. I don’t like their debt ratio, but it may not matter once 280E is done and they become net profitable.
I’m buying GTI. Too many things can go wrong for Trulieve still. I see this being stalled again.
Me thinks the 280E they owe + debt is going to weigh on their future growth for awhile with the exception of FL going rec So far there’s been no mention of forgiving 280E owed Still a very safe bet, an one of the winners / survivors…but don’t think ultimate winner is fair without referencing at minimum a shared “winning scenario” with GTI and Cresco, their balance sheets are going to let them to continue to invest and grow while reform catches up
Looks like some insider selling at GTI from President, Chair/CEO, and General Counsel. For [Ben](https://archive.fast-edgar.com/20251230/A92ST22C5222T2N2222322Y2GBELZ222A272/) and [Anthony](https://archive.fast-edgar.com/20251230/AVZZP22CR22282Z2222U22ZZMLFKZ26I9B72/) it says they sold like $2M worth of super voting shares? [General Counsel](https://archive.fast-edgar.com/20251230/A3ZK222CZ222E2Z2222H22ZZVTTHZPGSB272/) sold about $160k.
DeSantis makes me nervous; that's the only reason I don't go all in on Trulieve at the moment. A 50/50 split with GTI and Trulieve is where I feel comfortable.
I was watching GTI & Trul a little whlle ago, as they were hanging .001 apart & within 10K vol of each other. Minimal movement over about 10 minutes. Finally went away and came back maybe 20-30 min, and vol jumped 100k on each with higher SP. Could be something. Or could be something where timing when nobody else is doing anything for later. Just hanging out in the meantime.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I've noticed very recently in the last several trading sessions that GTI seems to have slightly decoupled from MSOS as far as price action is concerned. I mean, they are both down today but I'm used to seeing them trade almost in lockstep.
Yep, I already hold GTI and will be buying Trulieve on Monday, hopefully on the dip!
I went back and studied the timing of major announcements coming out of the Trump administration, and the pattern is hard to ignore. The executive order was announced on the exact same day Congress mandated the release of the Epstein files, December 19th. We already know there are millions of pages still under review, and the administration has openly admitted it needs “a few more weeks” for redactions. That delay isn’t random. Once the final tranche of documents is released, I expect Trump to immediately move to formalize Schedule III into law, not just as policy, but as a media counterweight. This is how narratives get buried. Big revelations are rarely allowed to stand alone. Notice how Nigeria was bombed on Christmas Day over oil, another example of how global events are conveniently timed to dominate headlines and redirect attention. Markets react faster than the public connects dots. On that basis, I loaded up on GTI and TCNNF.
Listen, I am engulfed in the micro of cannabis, usage trends, cannabis v alcohol, state by state regulations, I also have a BDSA subscription so I see state by state brands private & public brands and how each performs in each category. I have a background in accounting and a CFA level 1. I understand investing and filings. My opinion- just an opinion- is that these public companies need a moat. Everybody sells same product, it’s a commodity. Like coffee. Best brand and quality wins. Also A moat doesn’t happen until interstate commerce happens. This allows these MSOs to divest assets since they won’t need to be vertically integrated in each state which is a game changer & would help tremendously towards a profitability path. Would also entice strategic partnerships. Also “smart money” will not invest directly in these businesses (specifically mso’s, they already got burnt w LPs), they will wait for alcohol or tobacco to take stake, then increase their exposure in said company, perfect hedge. Hot take: federal legalization is years away so no company will be able to import cannabis to the US but the US can export. That will give companies some edge. Diversification and being in able to compete in competitive markets will go a long way. Everyone hypes up GTI (I have a position) but nobody talks about how they are mainly in limited licensed states, 80 Percent of rev comes from same store sells, so they control who they compete against. There’s other Tier 1 ops who actually compete in markets. Thanks for listening to my Ted talk. Lmao.
My entry into the sector was before MSOS was created. I hold 1/2 the shares I bought in GTI from like 6 yrs ago. Ive tried to invest more when things were getting talked about SAFE, StATES, BIDENs EO to review S3… but everytime MSOS goes lower and I sell before I loose too much. I absolutely suck at trading. The money I lost in MSOS over the years trying to catch “the” catalyst is substantial, and I’m talking like 10-15% losses each time for years adds up. I’m here cuz 1- I’ve always been here, and 2-I’m in that spot where I’m coming close to going into the red on MSOS around 3$. I’m just warning people it’s the fucking same thing over and over … until it aint
Recognizing it’s just a day haha; I’ve longed for the days when GTI, Trulieve, and Cresco would see most of the capital allocation while others falter. Cura, Verano, and Jushi all down a bit while they’re up. Again, it’s a day so it doesn’t mean anything but this is the future I expect once institutions can / do invest in the sector
Interesting to finally see GTI at +5%, while Cura is down 2% and Verano down 1.6%. Normally those two have higher beta when the industry rises. Just a single day haha 😆…but man, I’ve been waiting for this to become the norm long term (not necessarily others negative, just seeing the investment allocation swing massively to GTI, Truleive, and Cresco).
Some adds: 1. Future growth in the US looks amazing; the legal market is only $34B (and that was done on schedule 1). The illegal market is cited at somewhere between $60B to $70B ish. Alcohol is $250B. Legal marijuana are going to eat into those as more states move forward. 2. This sector gets talked about like it’s trash, it’s not when you look at good individual companies. S3 is incredible for GTI, they have $220M in cash and no debt due until 2029. S3 saves a lot of money 💰 3. While less concrete 😂; S3 being pushed by a republican president should REALLY motivate democrats on the issue. S3 should optimistically make it easier for SAFER to pass.
Avg Tilray holder? I've been around this sector for longer than you've probably been investing. It's clear you have no financial literacy or concept of accounting when it comes to share structure. The amount of O/S in 2019/2020 has very little relevance to what it is now, which is 116 million. Based on your flair I'll assume you own GTI, which has double the share count. See how stupid I sound? Please read up on share structure.
I’m waiting. I didn’t load there as I needed Trump! I am looking forward to seeing this. I’m long term on GTI.
Or maybe it’s cause the sector hasn’t been profitable for 10 years almost. And all the smart money saw Canada burn through millions worth of investments. GTI is the only profitable one and that’s if you don’t want to get into them being the heaviest in limited license states. Every state they try to whole sell in they do poorly. Over 80 percent of rev comes from their stores cause they control who to compete with within their store. Don’t kid your self this is trade only sector. It’s happen over and over yet, people think it’s gonna change. Adapt, trade the sector, stop holding bags.
I’ve been gaming out similar scenarios, and also plan to rotate out of this sector heavily and stack up more chips, cloud, mega cap index and smarter picks like VTI, SPY, VOO, QQQ - if weedstock prices recover and I can minimize some losses and plan to sell pretty much all my LPs, MSOS , and will hold / keep my cresco, GTI, Trulieve long shares.
How are companies currently selling medical cannabis in states where there are legal medical programs?? The companies have medical licenses awarded by the states. Look at existing MSOs in state medical programs, cresco, GTI, ascend, etc they all have state medical licenses. Trulieve is the largest in Florida medical program for example. From what I’m reading between the lines with rescheduling EO and how CSA works- they will mostly leave the states to decide on the state level programs.
I think people are confusing GTI being conservative with them not having a 280E play. It is true that Ben Kovler pays the taxes in cash so they don't owe the IRS. That is exactly why they don't have the massive debt that Trulieve has. But saying they don't have uncertain tax positions is just wrong. Check their 2024 10-K in Note 11 (page F-40). They literally have a line for $76.8 million in unrecognized tax benefits. That is the uncertain tax position. They paid the cash, but they flagged it on the books so they can go after the refund later. Also check their 2023 10-K, it was there too at $66.5 million. In 2024 alone they paid $130.6M in income taxes , which is nearly double their GAAP net income of $73.1M for the year. It seams by keeping those unrecognized tax benefits on the books while paying under protest, they are basically giving the IRS an interest-free loan that they will claw back the second Schedule III is official.
GTI is not carrying uncertain tax provisions, don’t group them in there
Similar story here, but I was able to exit my older positions with higher avg and have retained newer positions with relatively low avg. However, as fate would have it, I bought some (TSND, VRNO, and GTII) at open with the intent to trade in and out today and am now stuck with those. I am cool with TSND and GTI and can hold these long-term, but Verano am not very happy about.
I think the IRS will still come back at them for the unpaid tax amounts accumulated pre-rescheduling. And if the companies' arguments prevail, technically GTI can use the same arguments to claim a tax refund. But I still think it is best to treat uncertain tax positions on the companies' balance sheets as debt. So
I’ve been in since 2017 and this is the most bullish event that has happened in the last 8 years, including Canadian legalization. I only hold GTI, so the future is bright with Minnesota just coming online, Virginia in the near future, and the end of 280e essentially confirmed today. There’s too much retail in this sector so there’s always an irrational response to everything - short term traders and people who bite off more than they can handle that get shook out as soon as anything looks the slightest bit scary. I’m holding at least until my price target is hit which is significantly higher than where we are.
Bought more GTI. This is huge; MSOs had an effective tax rate of 50 to 70% with schedule 1. Vs the usual federal corporate rate of 21%. A lot of questions on what this does for sentiment as well (eg if SAFER getting passed easier). And more critically, there’s certainty unless you believe it won’t be acted on. You have to have certainty as a biz.
CBD hemp good news : RYM down Medical good news: TCNNF down GTI goes up the least, falls as hard with the rest
a bunch of money losing companies can now lose slightly less money = who gives a shit. I only hold GTI because they're actually financially sound and should re-rate another 50% higher on this news and 280e. This "sector" was dead years ago.
Huge. Just bought more of GTI when I saw the small dip haha. Goodbye 280E (eventually). And hello national medical value recognition; research is going to show S3 is very harsh.
You are absolutely right. In terms of Florida, GTI is showing a lot of strength in their OMMU numbers, especially looking at a volume per store basis. I think they will surprise to the upside in the circumstance that Florida goes rec. They also have to balance sheet to buy a smaller operator there to scale quickly
If only Dan wasn't so bitter at GTI for Ben calling him out.
I guess you're not familiar with private placements? Please refer to Apollo's GTI purchase a few years back.
I’m 100% with you on GTI. In my head I’ve had the $30 mark pinned. It seems far fetched, but from a valuation standpoint point with the right hype fueled run, I think we can get there. That would essentially make it $7B valuation. Very stretched, but can definitely happen
GTI is valuable as long as the states they operate in have limited licenses. They have no moat at all, and Ben Kovler is a complete loose cannon. Wall st doesn't like that usually.
You would have to think GTI is ready to immediately apply for refunds from the IRS at the very least for the first couple qtrs this year, but maybe as many years back as they can - similar to what Trulieve did
you both are right/ how he stated above & you about truelieve (GTI is paying & a couple others but not much)
You make it all sound like it’s a certainty. It’s not. While I agree it’ll be wise to hold on beyond today (assuming Trump doesn’t shit the bed one way or another) there’s still a shitload of uncertainty. Some of these companies may deliver on a 5x+ while others will probably go under. There are lots of other ways to make money. I 3x’d my money on RDDT in less than a year. The only weed stock I’ll be holding beyond break even is GTI
IF this rescheduling happens and the 280E taxes are gone I will be interested to see how that plays out for GTI. That’s a huge windfall compared to their peers and they would be strongly positioned to use that capital in a marketed that opened up wider. My gut tells me the government says “too bad so sad” and the money will be locked up in litigation though.
GTI hit $15 last summer before the election on hope alone. You would certainly think that it would blow past that with actual reform. But that's now how the stock market works, what you think will happen, is often the inverse of reality. That's the big reason why most "traders" lose money.
I think Trul got the Kim Rivers Trump relationship going for them and any Magas probably sinking money into them as they’ve never heard of GTI
This is almost always the case. During the massive drawdowns GTI is less impacted.
Any reason GTI is trailing Trulieve in SP? It will be interesting to see the stock price of the two companies by Friday.
I do think GTI will be first to ipo bc of keeping everything in good order w taxes etc and having the most attractive financials generally speaking w the debt considerations of the others etc
GTI has the best fundamentals, but when it comes to “best technicals” that would be subjective based on one’s trading strategy/investing plan 🤷♂️
If things don’t go our way, GTI should hold up the best on any drawdowns. Should, at least
My point is that the depressed stocks already ran. Now Curaleaf is valued way more than GTI, and on an enterprise value Trulieve is too. But compare their ebitda margins and GTI comes in way higher than Curaand very similarly to Trulieve. It’s silly
GTI flat while every other t1 MSO up 5+ % makes no sense. Especially after they’ve already run so much harder
Trulieve isn't more expensive than GTI. You should be looking at market cap, not share price. GTI is still has a higher valuation, but just barely.
Trulieve turns profitable the moment 280E no longer applies under Schedule 3. That said, GTI is way underperforming on this run up and I’m not entirely certain why. Only thing I can attribute it to is being a smaller percentage on the MSOS etf than Trulieve.
Dumb question, but how is Trulieve more expensive than GTI? I get the FL aspect but imo there’s no chance FL is passing rec with Desantis and GTI can actually churn a profit
Cresco and GTI are my conviction plays and CBSTF is a gamble. I don't want to get guessing a percentage, but I feel bullish enough long term that i don't mind holding Cresco and GTI if there is a long term down trend again. With that being said, I have a sell ladder set up on both names to start selling small lots on each name if it gets to 2.20 on Cresco and 14 on GTI. i will continue to hold a major position for upside potential but this way I can mitigate some downside risk if it does drop, which will give me cash to buy back lower if there is some bad news in any way. By resolution, I mean once the question of whether there is any type of bifurcation that is clearly answered I'll buy heavily.
I'm certainly concerned about this being a sell the news event. People will quick to call that PTSD but I'm calling it a sound acknowledgement. I have ladders set up to sell if Cresco hits 2.25 and GTI hits 14. If they don't get there, I'll be riding this back down again unless the news is so bad it mandates selling lower. I'll continue to maintain a large core position because I do believe in both companies long term, but am derisking for a retracement to have a significant amount of cash to buy back in if it does. Anyone who has been here for more than 3 years knows this could be a sell the news event and if you've been here longer you 100% know this could be a sell the news event. Albeit... this feels different.
The bullish signal I see about this rally is that those 86k shares are a very small % of the total volume traded on GTI yesterday. That means there was a LOT of buying outside of the ETF. Maybe it's all the standard retail investors, but I don't think most of the retail investors that follow this space closely have enough capital left to offset that volume difference, so it's got to be new investors with high capital.
GTI has the vehicle to uplist quickly in $RYM
I'm green now on one of my GTI buys in 2022. My Cresco buys in 2022 are... not
You nailed it, I feel the exact same way. GTI and Cron trade very similarly too - with relatively low volatility, and I feel like Cron would be one of the very few I would consider for a long term investment on the Canadian side