Reddit Posts
Micron earnings strength + current semiconductor exposure in my portfolio
Micron (MU) earnings really changed the mood in my portfolio
Watchlist Update | What Am I Still Focusing On After the AI Pullback?
5500% gain on $ORCL calls (Acct hit $725k). Rolling the bag into $LITE before Broadcom earnings.
NVIDIA just put $2B into a single optical supplier ($LITE). The AI trade is rotating to the networking layer.
Is it normal for semiconductor and AI infrastructure stocks to 10x in such a short time?
55x on ORCL calls. Trimming and rolling into LITE for the AVGO catalyst.
5,500% GAIN on calls ! Acct sitting at $725k. This doesn't even feel real anymore.
Real portfolio alpha comes from conviction: When that "nice profit" actually turns into a 10-bagger
Sivers Semiconductor AB : Retail investors carry the stock
NVIDIA Q1 Revenue and EPS Beat Expectations Gross Margin Hits 75%, Data Center Revenue Reaches All Time High
Humble 14k gain with LITE after earnings drop recovery
Anyone watching LITE? Is optical communication the next big trend?
$NNE nuclear’s revival and the next bottleneck AI play
The AI bubble is going crazy. Nvidia says it doesn't want to sell to China, but in reality, the Chinese don't want Nvidia anymore...
why i think optic fibers still have more room to run: dd
INDI why i think its 10x company to buy
INDI why this company is now 3x and whi it will be 10x in next 3 years
INDI semiconductor in my opinion is hidden gem
GOOGL earnings April 29: TPU launch and ad recovery point to breakout, or is it already priced in?
3 straight wins! Tesla Inc. breaks 400; Lumentum Holdings Inc. & SanDisk Corporation swings fully captured—profits locked in!
Optical communications — the most overlooked AI trade right now?
Is Photonics just getting started? $LITE and $COHR
Stocks 3x ++ potential in next year
VPG Next bagger Humanoides witg new 63$ target by analist
LITE Stock: Lumentum Orders FULL Through 2028?! AI Demand Is Exploding
After hours moves - bought: USO, short: LITE, CIEN, SNDK, WDC
Okay… LITE kinda caught me off guard today anyone else watching this?
TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential
TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential
TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential
Are we seeing some massive Short Squeeze activity, or not?
My thoughts - AMS-osram for a EU Photonic play and great industrial execution track record
+$12.8k in 2 hours trading shares only. SNDK WDC MU STX LITE COHR
Nvidia to provide 1 gigawat of AI chips, make 'significant investment' in OpenAI rival Thinking Machines Labs
Changes to the S&P 100, S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600 indices are out.
$LITE, $COHR, and $VRT added to S&P 500
Best ideas for AI bottlenecks
Why Co-Packaged Optics and Linear Drive Optics will be the next AI bottleneck
LITE has been on fire 🔥 the last year. One of the top pick and shovel plays for the AI gold rush
$LITE - Optics & photonics are the new memory & storage.
Who will be the biggest beneficiary of the Rubin platform?
The Entire AI Buildout (Google, NVDA, MSFT) Is dependent on this $700m Monopoly - $15 -> $150 PT.
MAX OTM CALL YOLO into AXTI - THE SINGLE Point of Failure of the Entire AI Buildout - A Small $700m Company NOBODY KNOWS
Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)
LITE could be one of the best artificial intelligence infrastructure investments in 2026.
Optical Tech Performance - Nov 29 #LITE #CRDO #COHR
Didn’t want to put a WSB-size gamble on it, but anyone else putting a few K on IREN calls before ER tomorrow?
Lumentum $LITEs it up: 200G Lasers, Key Supplier of NVIDIA Optics, and the Exploding Demand for Optical Networking
Lumentum (LITE) develops lasers and optical components for data centers.
Lumentum (LITE) develops lasers and optical components for data centers.
Everybody Walk The Dinosaur - Oracle Turned On Lights To The AI Party
[Discussion] Top 10 Stocks with Growth Potential Amid AI and Policy Tailwinds (Research Sharing)
$NVDA Going forward, we see a favorable setup for NVDA in 2H25 as Blackwell Ultra ramps and networking strength continues (NVLink and Spectrum-X),” the analysts said.
Due Diligence on Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) - Potential Supplier for Apple’s AR Headset
Due Diligence on Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) - Potential Supplier for Apple’s AR Headset
Brokerages That Use Citadel / Virtu Execution For Orders Q1 2022
Brokerages That Use Citadel / Virtu Order Routes Q1 2022
Interactive Brokers - Am I Reading This Right?
Some GME DD LITE for yer mornin... Ape!!
Mentions
Same. Also SNDk and LITE
LITE appears to be the only good nasdaq play left
When $MRVL, $COHR giving better optical connect, why need $LITE
$LITE is $GME or $SMCI ? How much revenue compare to $IBM $META $ORCL or even $MRVL
i think the entire sector is cheap. LITE and COHR are down quite a bit since peak. They have good revenue growth and proven record with Nvidia backing. If you are more risk adverse i think those are great bets. AAOI is an american fab so that helps them a bit especially with this admin.
Gladly share my experiences since very applicable. I bought LITE and COHR at least 5+ years ago due to Augment Reality (remember Facebook changed it's name to META for the metaverse - yes, deserves a chuckle). I held and held and honestly forgot about them but I was at big losses on them. But I only held because I was heavily investing in other areas and didn't need to sell those to buy other stocks; I had enough cashflow to keep investing in other areas. Fast forward to mid last year and the AI trade went beyond Mag 7 and NVDIA and the chip stocks exploded including Fiber / Laser companies which is what LITE and COHR are. Those stocks are still in my portfolio up over 1000% right now and were up way more a few weeks back but have cooled off somewhat. My point on my experience is to sell if you need the money for something else where you believe the returns will be better than holding. But if they are good companies and you do not need the money at the moment, hold and who knows! But besides those two I have other stocks that I know are not going to come back and I'm still holding for two reasons. Some are dividend paying so I'll keep collecting the dividend until it doesn't make sense anymore. The others I'll sell towards the end of year, assuming things didn't turn around for them, for tax purposes and use those loses as offsets to the realized gains I have for the year. But it will be strategically based on my realized gains, I'll sell enough to offset those gains and hold on to others that I don't need for the offset. That's why I wait until end of year when I know what the realized gains are going to be.
LITE should just buy AAOI
> even though there hasn’t been any material sector related bad news - nothing that would indicate a slowdown Tons of negative news out, with the entire Ai infrastructure collapsing in a bear market: It started with FN (which is upstream of photonics), LITE (photonics followed), memory followed suit (MU, SNDK, WDC, STX), agentic CPUs had their 5 min of fame, before dumping... MU dumped on the news that Chinese companies are taking over People are rotating into the next bottleneck: actual use of Ai: software, robotics, ...
I'm gonna wait for a real market crash to pile more into photonics. I have a bit now and that's good enough. The idea is that they will grow to the size of LITE over years, not months.
Data centers need LITE but LITE is being lazy
Who caught those BTC/MSTR and LITE shorts
Short MSTR Short LITE
I’m only in LITE and i won’t bet against Jensen but you do gou
Yeah it's insane it was down 39 percent wtf I guess I feel better about my LITE
Oh it's way down like way way more down than LITE and COHR was so this is just a halfway recovery so far. It might be tbh
Micron makes memory, a traditionally cyclical commodity and no amount of AI hype will change that. They have no moat since memory is standardized and are 3rd in market share for DRAM & NAND behind Samsung and SK Hynix. SK Hynix holds a market dominant position in HBMM at 60% and just began trading ADRs on the NASDAQ. The best way to think about Micron as someone who has experienced these cycles before as a shareholder is they along with fiber optic component producers like $LITE are the last to know when the big boys are done buying. When prices are out of control, you'll hear the biggest buyers like Apple start making noise about using Chinese memory in products to negotiate and they will start being subjugated to lawsuits regarding price fixing which is definitely occurring at the low end (non-AI) related memory. It's a tough business that requires balancing spend on CAPEX vs. market pricing and trends 3-5 years out. The easiest way to trade the cycle is to buy when earnings are either negative or barely positive. A rule of thumb is to begin buying when the P/S approaches 1 or 2 as they clear out excess inventory. The sell signal is when the FP/E falls below 5 and gross margins are maxed out. Micron achieved 86% gross margins last quarter. For a piece of hardware you can't really improve on that number so how do earnings go up, you sell more high margin AI HBMM? Unlikely, due to the fact that both Tesla and META are renting out their compute indicating there is already excess in the market. I mean does anyone even know the name of META's AI? For coding tools it's Muse Spark. Household name, right?
I have bought so many AI hype stocks in April/May. But I couldn’t hold it. Including AXTI LITE MRVL COHR AEHR ANET AMAT ALAB AMD and decided I shouldn’t buy stocks, I should buy ETFs instead
Nah I closed, it all depended on the monday daily candle. I've embraced the bears for the week. Full porting LITE shorts.
Nah I closed, it all depended on the monday daily candle. I've embraced the bears for the week. Full porting LITZ for LITE shorts.
$LITE I think it's done profit taking?
Not a bad one to pickup as well as LITE CIEN etc
[LITE earnings play](https://imgur.com/6uxefta)
Just buy CRDO and ANET for high-speed copper, a mini ETF of ALAB, MRVL, AVGO, COHR, or LITE for CPO/laser. When you see a CPO/laser stock run reallocate to the runners. I'm thinking networking will take off based as data center builds get to the point of buildout and next gen NVDA, TPU, and Meta chips get installed.
anyone buying the dip on LITE?
High speed networking. CPO: LITE, ALAB, COHR, MRVL, AVGO High Speed Copper: CRDO and ANET and above. I'm in all, big. Especially CRDO.
Fidelity SEC filing just reported two huge stakes in COHR and LITE 🤔 end June
Ok..officially deeply concerned about my $LITE holding. Fuck!
Is LITE on sale or stay away?
Asia Retail has driven alot of the spikes in alot of the names. Look at the optics names. People seem to have forgotten about COHR and LITE ... I have SNDK puts at 1000/1100/1200 (sold 3 contracts each today).
I started averaging down LITE at 900👍
LITE only one worth buying... but it doesnt stop the bleeding
$LITE is indeed heavy right now for me...
Is there anybody else here who has LITE calls shitting the bed?
LITE is really burning me damn
what is this dumping bullshit again on WDC LITE AAOI? market pumps for 4 mins then sells? wtf is that
What’s happening with LITE?
Fullport SIVE, LITE, AAOI Probably some others
Anyone buying the dip on LITE or other optical names?
Yeah i just blindly trust leopold on this. There are lots of miners-turned-data center, no clue why leopold likes this one in particular. Sive should be available on otc market? As SIVEF With sive i'm blindly trusting serenity on x. But all the beaten down semi stocks in that space are probably a good buy. I don't like the questionable pe ratios of the smaller players though, but the big ones like LITE should be plenty profitable already.
I'm doing my part! Leveraged to the balls in $LITE on this dip
Why didn't anyone tell me to invest in LITE a year ago, rude as fuck
No. Just smart. BTC went from $126k to $60k from October 2025 to today. During this period of time NVDA went from $184 to $196. During this time AMD has 2x'd. LITE has 5x or more.
yeah fair point on the integration, infinera gave nokia an actual InP fab in sunnyvale cranking out PICs (lasers + modulators + detectors on one chip), so they are more vertically integrated than COHR/LITE who mostly sell components. that part's legit and a good callout but "hasn't had its run" is where i gotta push back. NOK is already up \~140% this year, like $6.50 to almost $16 in may. and it ran for the exact same reason, nvidia dropped $1B into it back in october at $6.01 a share. it already got the nvidia stamp, the pop happened the real problem imo is nokia is huge and does a million things, mobile networks, fixed, cloud, optical. the infinera/InP piece is a tiny sliver of total revenue. so even if photonics goes parabolic it barely moves the whole company. you're basically buying a slow diversified telecom that happens to own a great fab. cool fab, super diluted bet so honestly nokia might be the worst of both worlds here, already ran AND the photonics is buried inside the giant. infinera as a standalone wouldve been the play but nokia already ate it in feb 2025
He's talking about NOKIA and it hasn't had it's run yet so I think he's onto something. You're right COHR, LITE, AAOI, and other have had their run with more to go because of this optical infrastructure play. But NOKIA is positioned to be able to supply single InP chips that fold lasers, modulators, and detectors into one solid piece whereas COHR, LITE, and others supply the individual components. I'll have to dig deeper into NOKIA but sounds promising.
honestly you're not wrong about the direction, just late. the thing you're describing is co-packaged optics / silicon photonics (moving data between GPUs with light instead of copper). real bottleneck, real thesis problem is the market already ran it. nvidia dropped \~$4B into Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR) back in march, both up like 100%+ this year, both got added to the S&P. not exactly a hidden gem anymore also gotta say it... "household name that sold everything and went all in, won't say the name yet" is kinda how every pump n dump post starts lol. whatever it is just look at the 1yr chart before you assume you're early. it probably already mooned with the rest of the optics names the actually interesting part of your post is indium phosphide. THATS the chokepoint, china controls like 70% of indium and put export controls on it, wafer prices spiked \~250%. that's the closest thing to the memory shortage setup. but it already hit the news + china keeps easing it in batches, and the only smallish US substrate play is AXT (AXTI) which is tiny and whippy ***tldr*** you're thinking about it the right way but by the time a bottleneck is this easy to explain on reddit it's usually already priced in. naming the bottleneck isn't the edge, finding the part that hasn't run is. and in optics that ship mostly sailed early this year
There aren't apples to apples products, but this is legacy cable business that will still be needed. LITE, COHERENT, and MRVL are ones building the COS packages. But what the OP wrote was outright bullshit, hence the pussy deleted everything. Legacy fiber will still be needed other parts of the data center stack.
AAOI is clearly not the strongest photonics play by that description. I can’t apply forward multiples anywhere near LITE and COHR because AAOI merely provides the components for CPO rather than offering it themselves. You mentioned two things: transceivers business and lasers. Transceivers are disrupted and their lasers are sellable only if LITE and COHR are sold out of CPO. That’s not a convincing investment for me.
AAOI management confirmed $471M/month in revenue by mid-2027. This doesn’t even include laser revenue. LITE currently trades at 10-13x forward PS. Apply even half that multiple to AAOI’s annualized run rate and you’re looking at a market cap that puts the stock well north of $500. Execution = 5X in 12 months
I’m well aware of this. LITE and COHR make lasers too. Why would anyone buy lasers from AAOI when LITE and COHR offer CPO. AAOI’s best answer is NPO.
Everyone forgot about $LITE... i am here to remind you.
In your view the winner is either AAOI or COHR/LITE
Exactly, the goal here with co-packaged photonics is to reduce copper travel and improve tokens per watt. AAOI is trying to answer with NPO, but that’s still less efficient and a bet that CPO won’t work. It’s being out-innovated and out-funded. They’re having to rely on significant dilution to scale their manufacturing of a disrupted technology. The best they have is the InP laser demand they can exploit. But with CPO, why would anyone, other than PET for example, need to use their lasers? LITE and COHR are global leaders here lol
Damn was looking at LITE calls an hour ago might be too late now
need them to spend more on LITE i just bought some today
If you ignore MU, the AI/Leopold trade has been dogshit for weeks now. Look at the performance of AAOI XE WDC LITE IREN CRWV NBIS etc.
Need a pop on LITE... shit has to go up soon
this is how i felt about LITE at end of last year. Almost tripled since. Ppl felt that way when SNDK was 1000, look at it now. Buying into momentum has paid way more than catching falling knives like MSFT
LITE rolling over. Market literally only wants memory and storage.
Look into LITE as well. Been hearing good things, but it's expensive rn to even buy.
I’d like to get into SPCX but not above $100. I’m taking the sidelines on this and hoping there’s a correction that closely matches Morningstar’s fair value price. Maybe 50% drop in 6-9 months? RKLB seems like a good alternative in the interim. As for some of the other names here, I took a more broader approach taking SOXQ, FLKR for some exposure to these companies and a small position in LITE as well. I’m trying to figure out what else to buy.
i like the CPO stuff, they been taking a beating, AAOI LITE
Sold a LITE put into strength and I am glad that I bought a protective put right before close to save my profits.
I sold all of my LITE. Keeps trending down with lots of volatility
Picked up some LITE and COHR today as long-term plays PICs are the future
They corrected 10% last week, this is continuation. I loaded all those calls Thursday, they shook me out of my LITE, but I held onto AAOI and AXTI and made bank today. Prob give it all back in the morning if I'm not careful.
Photonics stocks all ripped today for no particular reason. Maybe institutions preparing to rotate in after MU earnings. Either way I’m balls deep in AXTI and CIEN. Small position in LITE.
Sold my Lite down 800 this AM, but made 2k on AAOI, and 1k on AXTI so it worked out in the end. Paper handed that LITE call though.
what happened in photonics? saw my port was green somehow and saw LITE and COHR popped off
LITE red to green dildo 👀
wtf is going on with LITE? should be $1000+
Me too but LITE All the fiber optics are playing musical chairs
Marvell is almost like AVGO, LITE and CRDO all in one. A great hold and with a lot of momentum still on the way.
LITE 6/18 1000c MU 6/18 1100c Thoughts on these?
calls on LITE might be a good choice
I wouldn’t bet on an insane spike but I expect a modest run similar to LITE and COHR who joined in march . I don’t expect it to crash like HOOD did (damit hood, so sad)
Lasers save the day! LITE and AAOI saving my port again.
thats the second large tech company in 2 weeks to raise money for data center. That is combined 120billion between them and google. Not including Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, hyperscalers, etc. Semi hardware is on sale right now, you're going to feel like a dumbass if you miss out. Specifically $LITE, $MRVL, $INTC, $NVDA, $AVGO, $MU $SNDK $WDC ton others that I'm missing but for real they are telling you they are raising Capex. That money is going to companies.
this stock moves so retarded. I bought a few jan 27 50 calls. I'm not sure if the orders appear in the 26 revenue yet or FY27. It was kinda mixed information in the companys call regarding this dilution. They will start to ship CPO-switches eoy26 (announced at Computex) same as AAOI, LITE, COHR etc. I'm hoping next ER is good and raise next years guidance and expect to have margins going up.
rode LITE back from 800 to 850 and i'm ready to do it again if it dips
> Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta. thats what i thought actually, glad we're on the same page. it was the same during the last optoelectronics consolidation. wish i kept my $LITE shares
I think part of the reason was a report at Compux or whatever it's called report saying 800V and CPO were delayed. You saw the light stocks (MRVL, LITE, AAIO, COHR) hit the hardest. I assume the 800V stocks too but I don't watch them. On top of that, we are in a massively hot market so it makes sense there would be some short-term pull backs with spaceX and potential rate hikes in the near future.