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US Lawmakers Propose the 'ARMA' Bill to Build a 1-Million-Bitcoin Strategic Reserve
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill Reintroduced In Congress As ARMA With 20-Year HODL Requirement
White House: Bitcoin Reserve Announcement Is Imminent
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Do you feel if the ARMA bill passes it will change anything?
Like ARMA/Bitcoin act and the Clarity Act getting passed into law? Clarity act is likely passed by years end and it’ll be a race into Bitcoin.
Clarity Act, ARMA Act, Adjustment of risk weighting in Basel III, rotation back into risk assets out of the AI/Space plays, QE or rate cuts seem to be unlikely.
Right, and we'll just disregard the fact that there are over a dozen other states at this very moment working on legislation towards creating BTC reserves. We'll also disregard that the U.S government is looking to pass ARMA with the intention of purchasing 200k BTC per year for 5 years, a total of one million, with the intention of holding it for at least 20 years. We also aren't even talking about Michael Saylor or Strategy, we are looking at the big picture. You'll see all of this play out within the next 2-6 years. It's actually insane to me that you really don't understand this, I'm going to assume you are a troll because there's no way someone would argue like this given the facts I presented.
You are making yourself look like an idiot just like that other moron on here. Keep denying where this asset is clearly going in the not too distant future when it's becoming insanely obvious that it's a generational opportunity. You'll probably completely disregard ARMA, the U.S and state governments looking to pass legislation to buy and hold Bitcoin and all of these other insanely bullish catalysts.
In what time frame? You have to seriously consider that the remaining supply to be mined is rapidly diminishing while demand is rapidly increasing. Disregarding Strategy, the U.S government is looking to purchase 1 million coins, the ARMA act breaks this down. There are U.S states that are actively accumulating Bitcoin or are working on legislation to be able to start doing so. Factor in public companies that are accumulating and holding, such as SpaceX, and also other nation states and governments + tradfi institutions and individuals. That's insane when you consider there are less than 1 million coins left to be mined.
The math behind a $300k+ target isn't just blind hope, it’s basic supply and demand dynamics. Bitcoin has a strictly fixed supply, and its daily issuance cuts in half every four years. When you introduce a massive demand shock into a highly illiquid, hard capped asset, like the U.S. government actively buying 1 million BTC for a Strategic Reserve via the ARMA bill, the price has to move exponentially to clear that demand. It's just understanding how a structural supply squeeze works.
The math behind a $300k+ target isn't just blind hope, it’s basic supply and demand dynamics. Bitcoin has a strictly fixed supply, and its daily issuance cuts in half every four years. When you introduce a massive demand shock into a highly illiquid, hard capped asset, like the U.S. government actively buying 1 million BTC for a Strategic Reserve via the ARMA bill..the price has to move exponentially to clear that demand. That’s not dummying up, it's just understanding how a structural supply squeeze works.
The BITCOIN Act and ARMA bill introduce a mandatory 20 year lock up on federally held BTC while outlining budget neutral ways for the Treasury to actively buy more. When the world's largest superpower passes a bill to accumulate 1 million BTC as a sovereign reserve asset, the market supply shocks. Just sit back and watch global game theory plays out in real time.
Tell me you don’t understand asymmetric upside without telling me. The CLARITY Act and the new ARMA bill aren't about beating the S&P next week, they are about permanently codifying a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for the US Treasury. When the world's largest superpower passes a bill to accumulate 1 million BTC as a sovereign reserve asset, the market supply shocks. Have fun holding your index fund while global game theory plays out in real time
The one million threshold is probably not as far off as many people think. We are in the early stages of accumulation by both tradfi and governments, including the U.S government. By the 2028 halving, less than 2 years from now, there will be roughly 650k BTC remaining to be mined and by 2032 this drops to about 320k. Within this time frame, you will see widespread adoption by tradfi institutions and the major governments of the world will have actively been accumulating. If the U.S government passes ARMA and begins accumulation for the BTC reserve, you will for sure see other nation states doing something similar. In addition to this, there are already U.S states that are either actively accumulating, Texas, or in the process of passing legislation to start BTC reserves. Again, you will all see this play out within the next 2 to maybe 3 BTC halvings. Now, factor all of what I mentioned above with the fact that most BTC is already being held by wallets that are clearly looking to lock these assets into cold storage for the long term. This means that there is a dwindling supply available to an ever growing pool of demand. What's insane is that we aren't even specifically discussing Microstrategy either, which has effectively captured the bond market by offering a BTC product with fixed yield. Within the next 2-3 years we will see a new all time high. However, I do NOT expect this to take decades before we see the 7 figure milestone. There is so much that has changed since 2022 and previous cycles that I do believe we are not going to see this play out as before.
That is where we can agree to disagree. Some Republicans have already introduced legislation to make taxes payable in cryptocurrencies. Look at Utah and Colorado for example - they just recently started to allow it. If the US government started buying Bitcoin (they really might because of the ARMA act), then Bitcoin will accrue value so fast that any serious government would be foolish to reject payment in Bitcoin.
This is what makes the most sense to me, but we are very close to the bottom now, maybe another 3 months or so. Once they make their easy gains there, I expect a huge rotation back into crypto. With the clarity act, ARMA and QE, I really think this could rebound back in a relatively short period of time. I'm expecting a new all time high for Bitcoin before the 2028 halving.
well besides ETFs being introduced theres also the ARMA Act. thats a pretty big one in the room with us.
I don’t think much will happen with BTC until US interest rates are confirmed and this god awful war with Iran is truly done, and oh yeah, the clarity act and even more importantly, the ARMA blooms. It could be the one thing the republicans do better than Dems: pave the road for finance.
The only thing that lost was your expectations of what bitcoin should be doing on your timeframe. Bitcoin and AI are not related in any way other than both existing on the internet. There isn't any reason why bitcoin should go up because AI is. I also don't understand the general belief that bitcoin lost because the price hasn't performed as well as other assets. The first thing to point out is bitcoin ran before anything else in 2024-2025 and only hit the bear market on October 10th. That killed a lot of people's conviction and was a sort of black swan event. Funnily enough, most of the major banks getting into bitcoin announced it THAT SAME WEEK. The entire thing was obviously coordinated to crash the price and shake retail out of their coins, and it's working. Just look at this thread, long term holders thinking about selling. Mission accomplished. Bitcoin has had more adoption since the ETFs than anyone expected. The price action has been underwhelming, but the reason is purely because long-term holders saw $100k as the milestone to finally capitulate. There were A LOT of coins sold over the past year from long-term holders and short term retail. Insitutions have been accumulating significantly throughout though. Then you also have nearly every major financial institution building bitcoin products or already released products. Finally, the US govt favorability towards bitcoin and the bitcoin reserve/ARMA, the military stating bitcoin is an important national security tool for power projection, and new structured income products popping up and will only continue to grow. By all accounts other than the price action, bitcoin consistently been winning. Bitcoin has been traded like a tech stock erroneously. It is not a tech stock, it's a long term debasement hedge. Not a short-term hedge, a long term one. This could take years, maybe decades. If you got into bitcoin with hopes of getting rich, but you can't tolerate the underperformance compared to other assets where you could have made money, then maybe you shouldn't be holding bitcoin. I feel it to, it sucks to see assets do what bitcoin used to do, but the present is the conclusion. Bitcoin can 5-10x again. As long as bitcoin's protocol is still intact and secure, it will still be around and people will continue to notice its resilience.
dont look up the ARMA bill, your emu brain is gonna be fried
**Summary:** The White House is preparing a formal announcement regarding the **U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR)**, with Patrick Witt, Executive Director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, stating that the administration has cleared a major legal hurdle. Announced via executive order by President Trump on March 6, 2025, the reserve currently holds approximately **328,372 BTC** (about 1.6% of global supply), acquired through law enforcement seizures and criminal forfeitures. The order prohibits the Treasury from selling these assets. Key points include: * **Security Urgency:** The push for a formal reserve structure was accelerated by recent thefts, including a **$46 million** cryptocurrency theft from the U.S. Marshals Service in late 2025. * **Legislative Push:** To make the reserve permanent beyond the current administration, Congress is considering the **American Reserves Modernization Act (ARMA)**. This bill would authorize the Treasury to purchase up to 200,000 BTC annually for five years, with a 20-year lock-up period. * **Timeline:** If ARMA passes, the U.S. could begin its first open-market Bitcoin purchases in **Q4 2026**, becoming the first nation to actively accumulate Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
yat siu makes a solid point on alts outgrowing btc collectively, animoca's got skin in the game with all those investments like solana and opensSea. been following their web3 push for a while, makes sense as an index play for the space since picking single winners is tough. reminds me why diversification beats all-ins even in crypto cycles. still, gotta watch the risks with alts volatility. ive been eyeing projects building real infra like $ARMA, metaverse with onchain identity and asset portability tying into that bigger alt ecosystem yat talks about. feels like the kind of modular layer that could scale in a multi-chain future. not shilling just aligns with the thesis
A homie I played ARMA 3 with shilled me ETH at 38$