Reddit Posts
Here is a Market Recap for today Tuesday, December 14, 2021
Here is a Market Recap for today Tuesday, December 14, 2021
Fed will crash the market tomorrow? Well, i dont think so....... can anybody share their thoughts pls? see my line of thinking....
Revenue to shit by 50% - RKT put for 500% gain
WMT will likely hit 100% Fib retrace.
Tax impact of today's (Dec 13th)( sale ($906.5M, 934,091 shares) by Musk
🕵️♂️ I SPY TA - Monday Dec. 13, 2021
$3T CBO Build Back Better, Dec 15 Federal Reserve, Put/Call ratio going up???
TD Ameritrade’s ThinkOrSwim OFFLINE “Undergoing Maintenance”:
TD Ameritrade’s ThinkOrSwim OFFLINE “Undergoing Maintenance”: 🚨BREAKING🚨
Whole Market Analysis + My take on recent market correction
BLACK THURSDAY 12/16/2021 (Why I think the market will start a 30-50% next week)
BLACK THURSDAY 12/16/2021 (Why I think the market will start a 30-50% next week)
BLACK THURSDAY 12/16/2021 (why I think the market will start a 30-50% correction next week)
FOMC Minutes | What should you keep an eye on going forward
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning November 22nd, 2021
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning November 22nd, 2021
Rising inflation and betting on the fed tapering and rising rates
FOMC spells almost the same as FOMO
FOMC Meeting November 2, 2021 Jerome Powell Opening Statement
Josh Brown says retail, transportation demand is coming back amid rising prices. Bigger event for professional financial commentators content then actual Fed Chair FOMC Press Conference.
FOMC press release, explained by an Autist
Big move ahead ...FOMC Today, What is there left to repeat that we already don't know?
Big move ahead ...FOMC Today, What is there left to repeat that we already don't know?
$IWM Is Doing Something Big - WHY YOU SHOULD CARE
Atlanta Fed lowers Q3 GDP to 0.2%. The consensus forecast was 7% in August. May be time to lay off on call FDs until after FOMC next week.
FOMO CORP.’S $FOMC TARGET LUX SOLUTIONS PARTICIPATES IN MAJOR WEST COAST UTILITY INCENTIVE PROGRAM @ipoguy
GOOD NEWS: $FOMC FOMO CORP.’S TARGET LUX SOLUTIONS PARTICIPATES IN MAJOR WEST COAST UTILITY INCENTIVE PROGRAM @IPOGUY
Mentions
1) Wait till FOMC statement at 2pm ET 2) See whether the market is mooning or tanking 3) Leverage myself to my personal risk tolerance with 17DEC puts or calls accordingly
I ain’t scared of no FOMC.
as a ber who makes money. Wouldn't hawkish FOMC be good for bulls in the long term? Yeah we might see some volatility in the short-term but would be better for long-term growth. Short-term bulls are fuked but if you have tech LEAPS at good strikes/entries you shouldn't worry.
And FOMC is on the list again .... Hey OP bot, people are NOT talking about the stock FOMC, they're talking about the Federal Open Market Committee. (Who thinks that OP will respond to this comment?)
Why not wait til after FOMC?
I am going to watch tomorrow's FOMC meeting just for Jeanna Smialek
The FOMC meeting will be the same as every other FOMC meeting. No new information whatsoever. If the market is optimistic going into it, chances are that optimism continues. If it’s pessimistic, that probably continues as well.
Y’all putting too much pressure on FOMC
alright i'm gonna predict rn, AAPL post-FOMC meeting dump to $160 because fuck me and fuck you thats why.
Don't think the VWAP is going to matter much either way given that there is big FOMC news coming up short-term
Mini fake pump at the open then dump after 10:45am. More dump after FOMC.
How to play FOMC every month: buy puts or calls at 1:55pm… doesn’t matter. Sell at 2:25 for 10%+ gainz when IV spikes
Technically spy is up 24% for the year. Even if it drills 5% by years end it’s still a good year. -Jerome Powell (thinking about tomorrow’s FOMC as he drops a deuce)
As someone also holding uvxy, are you counting on an adverse reaction to FOMC?
Good time to cut my losses but I’m going to hold big tech calls through FOMC because I’m not a quitter.
BeRs R fUk posters are the same ones betting their first born we'd never see NVDA under 290. Yet here we are. FOMC tomorrow. Tonight's gap down will be painful unless you're holding puts. Nothing good can come from tomorrow's meeting. Fed used the entire tool set and if they prop up any longer we turn into the United States of Venezuela.
For the 85th time, if you think that this has mostly been an Omicron-induced move, the wrong stuff has been the most volatile since "time to retire transitory." Maybe since I've seemingly repeated this too much lately...I'll get a break tomorrow...oh who am I kidding, the odds are against this being a normal FOMC (but I can hope, maybe we will see hedges get dropped tomorrow after the statement).
Yes. In the past, taper tantrums used to take the form of mass selling (price down -> yields up.) When Ben Bernanke first brought up tapering QE in 2013, hedge funds dumped treasuries as they tried to front-run the Federal Reserve, and interest rates spiked, causing Bernanke to delay tapering until markets calmed down. Now, an entire generation of money managers have been conditioned to believe that the Federal Reserve will always intervene to save the markets. So whenever FOMC members sound even the least bit hawkish, the bond market’s instinctive reaction is to rush into long-dated treasuries, daring them to tighten the economy into recession. (The bond market is signaling the economy can’t withstand more than a few rate increases before it collapses.) And based on the last 12 years of monetary policy decisions, the Federal Reserve obeys Wall Street, every single time, regardless of economic fundamentals.
Oh the great debate. Sell my 12/17 SPY 466c and QQQ 396c for currently 50% profit and possibly rebuy at a lower entry point tomorrow or roll the dice and hold for a after FOMC rally. This one is hard.
It isn't lol. People are saying "50bps next year is hawkish11!!1!1" It isn't. 100bps is the start of hawkish, and some FOMC members are calling for 400bps. Congress is foaming at the mouth to get inflation under control, and we're so fucking far from charted territory with rates at 0 and inflation speeding towards 10%. PPI just printed 9.4%, so next month CPI gonna put down a 7.3%+, and they know it.
Fuck yeah. Bulls portfolios go from -40% to -30% and the BeRs R fUk comments already starting. FOMC bout to tear some beautiful bull assholes 🤤🤤🤤
Any hawkish policy from FOMC is priced in and the market will start rallying before Jpow shows up.
Gee FOMC tomorrow? Why didn't anyone mention it? Couldn't be, you know, PRICED IN?
It’s a taper tantrum. In the past, taper tantrums used to take the form of mass selling (price down -> yields up.) When Ben Bernanke first brought up tapering QE in 2013, hedge funds dumped treasuries as they tried to front-run the Federal Reserve, and interest rates spiked, causing Bernanke to delay tapering until markets calmed down. Now, an entire generation of money managers have been conditioned to believe that the Federal Reserve will always intervene to save the markets. So whenever FOMC members sound even the least bit hawkish, the bond market’s instinctive reaction is to rush into long-dated treasuries, daring them to tighten the economy into recession. (The bond market is signaling the economy can’t withstand more than a few rate increases before it collapses.) And based on the last 12 years of monetary policy decisions, the Federal Reserve obeys Wall Street, every single time.
💎🙌 them puts, bears. It's obvious SPY had to bounce to 462 before the drop to 450. It goes straight to 450 and everyone ROPE. MMs catch more bees with honey. FOMC still tomorrow.
The market's relatively chill today. Wait for tomorrow's FOMC, there's gonna be some real volatility
Damn boys, they really setting us up to sell-off SPY through 460 into close. I'd avoid calls until after FOMC tomorrow.
SPY may be fine with the way it is set up (it's actually fine deeper and doesn't invalidate the potential for it to go higher until below 450), but I don't like the way things are trending underneath unless it's the start of a rotation. Although some things have been trying to get off the mat, so let's see... Maybe hedges will get dropped post-FOMC again. It would help.
I did take profits, dont want to gamble into FOMC. my point: yall traders retarded
Somebody from the FOMC must be leaking information rn. We're pumping hard rn.
Things will start at 2pm ET tomorrow unless FOMC a nothingburger.
Think there could be some jitteriness, but as long as Powell doesn't go killer hawk mode, I don't expect a protracted sell-off. If he walks the line (which is key) and says what the market is expecting for this December meeting, I think we'll see a rally through the end of the month. Fund managers likely did a lot of their selling for the year and after Powell's comments, they'll be looking for places to dump money going into the new year, considering the forecasted market conditions into 2022. I'd expect financials, muni's, retail and other cyclical sectors to have some nice tailwinds. However, I believe inflation data will continue to surprise to the upside into early 2022 and during January's FOMC meeting/announcement, that is when I think the Fed may start telegraphing loudly more and sooner rate hikes in 2022, causing a near-term correction for Q1 22. Just my 2 cents. We'll see!
I mean it’s not unreasonable for profit taking at ATH’s before FOMC.
140+ eoy as long as FOMC doesn’t fuck us.
Is it too retarded to grab a SPY weekly before FOMC meeting? I might be another rally like Friday.
this could play out both ways, you sell and the market dumps tomorrow when JPow talks during FOMC or it goes boom and you lose gains. My guess is the worst case scenario is priced in, everybody is expecting the FED to taper quicker than expected. Look back at the end of Dec.2018 chart, that scenario is plausible.
Excited for that fuckin fire sale tomorrow at FOMC, cash is king 🤑🤑🤑🤑
2pm EST tomorrow is the FOMC meeting proper
3.5% right before the FOMC, when the rest of my watch list is pretty red. Yeah, I think that's a good sign. Still a ways to go though.
I still think SPY closes the year at 470. We'll probably dip 2% or so tomorrow on FOMC talk. Going all in after FOMC talk.
Who knew the FOMC was more intimidating than Thanos…
inb4 retail thinks FOMC is bullish like CPI and we have a stupid bounce before continuing the shitshow
it is likely that omicron was / is changing his course. otherwise, he'd be extremely hawkish. FOMC understands that covid is the cause of the inflation, cutting off support will compound the economic issues. it's likely that risk free rate goes lower before going higher in 2022
Imagine holding onto weekly calls before the most important FOMC meeting of the year knowing Elon is dumping millions of shares each day
Market is pricing the FOMC tomorrow
>Tomorrow at 2:30 p.m. ET: Chair Powell hosts live \#FOMC press conference: [go.usa.gov/xAse7](https://t.co/g8Ehzry4gl) https://t.co/bVeHrTIvW9 ^Federal ^Reserve ^[@federalreserve](http://twitter.com/federalreserve) ^at ^2021-12-14 ^12:16:04 ^EST-0500
nobody wants to trade right before a FOMC meeting
I will sell my puts before close I think. It’s 50/50 how the market reacts to FOMC and I want these profits locked in since I never make money
When is this FOMC talk so I know when to buy for Santa rally?
Yeah, they'll release a statement at 14:00 and JP will start a press conf half an hour later; sorry for nerding, minutes are longer and have more insights on what FOMC members discussed
Profit taking and indecision before FOMC is expected. I rode QQQ puts for a bit. We'll see what the end of day brings, but we all know tomorrow is the big day for anyone betting short/long
Unless SPY breaks 460 everything is fine. Just testing the gap and setting the table for the FOMC
So what time are FOMC minutes being released tomorrow?
FOMC leaking deets to their buddies who are taking their profits while they still can. Tomorrow retail gets the news but it's too late. Good news is if you can exit now SPY will have a really nice entry point this time next week. May even be good enough to buy shares and not eff with options anymore.
Just get this FOMC over with. Hawkish stance is fully priced in at this point, it can only go up from here.
I know we don't officially know the new FOMC tapering schedule and the new dot plot until tomorrow afternoon. But CLEARLY some dudes at the Fed are texting their buddies under the meeting table.
I have significant supports at 4580, 4530, and virtually no support again until roughly 4360. 4400s are lava. I would be surprised if we tested the 4530 support before FOMC. But crazier things have happened.
"The FOMC meeting begins Tuesday and concludes Wednesday, with the policy statement due Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET."
I’m great. Betting on bear week giving the FOMC was the play. Puts printing everywhere
Oh shit, looks like the pain's just getting started. F to bulls who forgot about the FOMC and 6.8% CPI YoY being bad.
Jesus just fast forward to FOMC already so we can stop panicking and continue the ride up.
That's mostly political theater. It's virtually guaranteed that the debt ceiling will rise. What we should be aware of is the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. That will either make or break the market. The US dollar has been going up and stocks down in anticipation to that.
FOMC participants selling during their meeting today probably. Hands under the table, all are busy with their phones.
I wish these FOMC/FED meetings were in the morning, so we could get them out of the way. Good luck everyone!
FOMC tomorrow and quad witching on Friday. BULLS R FUK
derisking before FOMC tomorrow I expect
They'll be dead come the FOMC, I'm sorry.
You think with PPI coming in over estimates ahead of FOMC that the fear will abate?
Okay, slight correction, accelerate tapering and also pull rate hikes forward. What did you see yesterday? There are no official statement from the Fed for a week (I think) leading into FOMC. I don't really understand what you mean by your 2nd paragraph...
It’s so hard to get a read on this market. I feel like it’s overreacting to FOMC this week, and it might open down big on Wednesday and then after fed meeting just go up bigly. What do you think about this?
SPY drop to 448.93 back on 12/3 setup to potentially support the FOMC sell-off. We shall see.
TESLA going to take a massive hit after FOMC
Ideally it gets close to the 460 before FOMC so I can sell before I potentially get IV crushed after the meeting.
Plan: buy stupid cheap FDs options in tech before FOMC speaks tomorrow. Hedge with some ridiculous OTM FD puts as cheap as possible.
Is FOMC releasing anything today or is it coming all yesterday?
The number of people here expecting FOMC will save them is beyond fucked. Higher PPI means rates have to increase
A little thing called the economic calendar on MarketWatch.com. Everyone knew FOMC is Wednesday and PPI was today. Both bearish catalysts. Y’all are retarded.
Right on. If I can exit these SPY 455p today or tomorrow, I will wait for after the FOMC then most likely load up on JD 6/17/22 85c. We've been through the China Delisting Phase numerous times and I don't see it happening because everyone likes monies. Chart looks like JD will bounce off $75 and head back to $95/100. Should have an opportunity to lock in 20% gains and move onto the next play.
More SPX calls today. FOMC is priced in and ched ain’t no bitch.
Lets see: FOMC this week...hmm? Futures expiring, monthlies expiring...hmm? Gap needed to fill....hmm? Just in case you were wondering
Dream statement by the FOMC: we will continue the growing effects of the OMICRON variant, and will use all the tools at our disposal to prevent the collapse of the WSBerse.
FOMC and triple witching this week. Bulls r fuk
Tomorrow FOMC nail in the coffin 😂 😂 😂
A week ago I said SPY would be around 464 going into FOMC today. Yesterday, I bought calls. Durrrrr
Everything unfolding according to plan. Yes, son, this is the dip. Go ahead and buy 😏 FOMC rate hikes, JPOW rrrrrrrb, quad witching, and 6.8% CPI all BULLISH. 17 SPY 6/17/22 455p
1. Market doesn't care about omicron 2. Market doesn't care about the other ongoing shit. 3. Market does care about FOMC and interest rates. 4. You have got a 50/50 chance on UVXY printing. Better odds than most plays here
Yes, that’s exactly why only 30%, I can’t catch the bottom! There’s uncertainty. If market crashes after FOMC, I have 70% of cash to buy more and average out. If it goes up, I’ll try to find late movers to buy using that cash
Might want to wait until Thursday, FOMC meets today and tomorrow.
Anything risk on is getting absolutely pistol whipped behind the Wendy's dumpster right now. C0rn, IWM, meme crap, weed, non-AAPL QQQ, Cathie's knife collection etc. Thinking of mixing together a few small December 17-23 calls that inverse what the market is pricing in post-FOMC. My main boomer port is already pretty risk off so I can afford to put my clown shoes on here lol. I'm also going to short the fuck out of any significant upwards fake money pump. Still eyeing a BITI entry around 51-52k and another bigger one if it breaks above there and paints a higher low. My gut is telling me the FOMC meeting is going to lead to another potential juicy fake out similar to the last two CPI prints.
Anything risk on is getting absolutely pistol whipped behind the Wendy's dumpster right now. C0rn, IWM, meme crap, weed, non-AAPL QQQ, Cathie's knife collection etc. Thinking of mixing together a few small December 17-23 calls that inverse what the market is pricing in post-FOMC. My main boomer port is already pretty risk off so I can afford to put my clown shoes on here lol. I'm also going to short the fuck out of any significant upwards fake money pump. Still eyeing a BITI entry around 51-52k and another bigger one if it breaks above there and paints a higher low. My gut is telling me the FOMC meeting is going to lead to another potential juicy fake out similar to the last two CPI prints.
Day before FOMC? I think not.
It's FOMC day so it doesn't matter where it opens really. Matters where it closes.