Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Tomorrow’s play TQQQ 400 60 puts (4/11) and TSLA 280 puts (4/11)
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 29 - Feb 04 2024
How did you know that TSLA was priced for a 50% CAGR?
Buying TSLA calls during the dump, I thought we were in a bull market, no?
It's time for Inverse Cramer and buy TSLA
TSLA down, lots of people in puts popping Champagne - LVMH moon!
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
What do y’all think about using ChatGPT for stock researching?
Call me dumb but doesn’t this chart pattern show that $TSLA is about to shoot to the moon?
Imagine your only narrative to boost your company is restricting all other competitors, $TSLA puts
Any else else see this? $TSLA was watching it during after hours and saw the spike!
First time, am I doing it right? TSLA 185 1/26 call. Roast me
who had TSLA puts and show us your bag
Puts vs Short shares with calls as a hedge
Spent the rest of my life savings betting on a TSLA drop. Didn't think it would happen so soon.
Starting the year off right $TSLA and $ZIM
TSLA: testing 192 support and lower support near 176
What is wrong with TSLA to many short sells? I know Ev Market is not that great but...
This is heading towards extreme oversold territory. How much more will it go 🤔
Are you putting a Stop Order on your $TSLA shares tomorrow?
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Tesla Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 misses by $0.03, revenue of $25.17B misses by $590M
Just buy SEMI/AI and ride the hype. The roller coaster will end soon but for now it’s green day’s ahead.
Why I'm getting Tesla Puts, A Deep Dive into Earnings (A Must Read)
A Deep Dive into Tesla's Earnings (A Must Read)
Here's to $TSLA big miss on ER. Lotto for fun!
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
Nice timing for anonymous TSLA leak - reuters
So, this is kinda why I think Netflix will beat
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 22-28 2024
Just went full YOLO on TSLA - $208 per share with 2x Leverage 🚀🚀
A Lamborghini-Style EV: BYD Goes Upmarket to Outmaneuver Tesla
Congrats to the guy with TSLA 215 call options for today
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
Mentions
Both are in great put positions, but Tesla has less moat. Tesla the safer bet. No real news from either to prompt anything. TSLA investors are moving out to go into SpaceX anyway.
sounds like a busy day I’ll check out TSLA
OK, I'll play and go first. I bought puts Thurs before close for NFLX since I bought shares on the way down I am curious if I am going to add or get out of my position at market open. Also have some MSFT calls and IGV. MSTR might be on the up and up and PLTR and TSLA. I closed out all my calls in them last Friday the gap up was too great not to take profit eventhough many expire this Friday. Will get back in and be interesting if we open gap down and there's a bounce with trillions of money in cash that didn't get back in last week.
TSLA bulls look to ASTS to see your coming future after earnings. $270 not a meme.
The earnings aren't relevant, the relevant part is what happens just before. TSLA has fucking ran, so no matter what, the earnings will be red. Though, if the market is red Monday and Tuesday, it might just use that as an excuse to have the earnings hype make it green. It makes no fucking sense but that's always what happens with huge tech earnings.
That's silly since SpaceX is buying all the cars they don't sell. TSLA be going to the moon.
MSFT, META, NFLX, TSLA are all down already. It's so joever lmao.
$PLTR and $TSLA look around nervously..... They are not for eating!!!!!
I’m buying an unhealthy amount of TSLA puts at open.
TSLA, IBM and INTEL Earning is this week 👍
> TSLA is down this year. Wont matter when Elon rolls everything into one company... except to the bag holders.
TSLA overpriced, so.. buy high sell low!
Look at TSLA's P/E. You're using logic. We don't live in a logical market. Just follow along for the ride either way.
The whole market is gambling but playing TSLA earnings either way is just reckless lol
id like to think ive learned to never short TSLA but i havent
TSLA financials are gonna be shit but all they are gonna sell the future outlook and the stock is gonna pump of course. No idea how to play it
TSLA gapping up 6.9% for $420c bulls
I keep hearing ASTS and TSLA investors say this buy LEO is the one securing enterprise contracts left and right and prioritizing placement of satellites for enterprise connectivity first. Yeah they're behind schedule but it's a far cry from the complete failure I keep hearing redditors claim. They don't need to have 10,000 satellites like Starlink.
Probably TSLA somehow
Ima just full port 420 TSLA expiring on 4/20 because nothing makes sense anymore
I don't think so, this stock has a supported cult like TSLA
Assuming it’s TSLA or MSFT
6.9% gap up on TSLA to $428 will leave everyone saying “crap I didn’t buy $420c, IM AN IDIOT!”
Have TSLA, PLTR, MSTR, and bitcoin, not taught you anything about the stock market? Stocks go up because people buy them in order to sell them later for a higher price. Stocks go down because people don't. Valuations, earnings, performance, recessions, outlooks etc are all just justifications for stock movements, not the cause of it. Unless we get a liquidity crisis the stock market will continue to zoom.
TSLA is down this year. The punishment is just going slowly. Gas prices are currently helping them out.
You could short sell ETF shares but imo shorting the market itself it's a terrible idea. You'd be better off shorting specific individual stocks. But unless you DYOR and seriously know what you're doing, you could totally end up getting steamrolled. Many many people have lost their shirts trying to short CNVA and TSLA for instance. The bear thesis being that both companies have terrible fundamentals and absurd valuations. The problem with shorting them though is that neither of these stocks trade on fundamentals. "The market can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent."
My favorite is all the crybaby posts about TSLA and the novels people type out about how it’s a $50 stock, they are glad it is going down etc Now it’s back at 400 but no one makes a post when it’s in the way up lmao
TSLA iS OVER 300 p/e I JUST WANTED TO REMIND Y'ALL
If he tacos TSLA and INTC will def print can smell 3x to 10x for contracts will be taking the risk on these.
TSLA is gonna post shit earnings and sky rocket cause it’s a clown market
This sounds very reasonable but has zero basis in TSLA reality.
Yea this dipshit must be "investing" in TSLA at 200 forward p/e and conflating it with "the market"
This isn’t my first time m, but I know. It was chop and slow for months before the crash and run up. I took some of the euphoria ride up on TSLA after Trump won the election. That shit was obvious as af. If I don’t think there’s a big to move to be made, I don’t really trade options tbh.
Personally I consider it the Mag 9 or TSLA/Amzn should be booted and replaced by AVGO/TSM.
There exists no rational market in which shit garbage like MSTR, TSLA, and the quantum fraud stocks thrive. So treat the market as completely irrational and you will.......still lose money.
Short TSLA with TSLZ. If the S&P and Nasdaq tank TSLA will tank even harder, and TSLZ is 2x inverse. So as TSLA goes down 1x TSLZ goes up 2x. Mush easier than Options. Only downside if you’re wrong and market keeps going up, this will go down even faster.
For all TSLA earnings players, the past year on earnings it has only moved AH and it would either pump or fall to flat by open.
!banbet TSLA 450 1w
It’s the complete opposite - better to apply leverage when you have higher conviction in something and leaps on an already volatile name such as TSLA or MSTR carries even more risk than simply buying stock.
TSLA 420 4/20 +4.22%
$TSLA was a great example. For the longest time, the stock was suppressed around $100-$200 for years and their sales/revenue were stellar. Just made no sense. I bought $8000 worth in 2022 and it became $20k worth at the end of 2025. Who knew? I'm sure opportunities like this are always there, if the fundamentals are correct and the time horizon is long.
LEAPS are much less risky than short-term options since their time value decays much more slowly, and since it gives you more time to be right about the price direction (especially for calls). A good example of when to buy a LEAP as opposed to shares is for a stock that you don't truly believe in for the very long-term, but which tends to have short spikes of extremely high share prices. Good examples of that would be TSLA and MSTR, which often spike into the 400+, but can go as low as 200 or even 100 sometimes
Then 1 year high was 212. Currently at 201. They are trying to take the high point over 52 weeks for each company. So NVDA may use November, while TSLA would use December.
TSLA earnings are around 4/20 this week, but the stock will jump to 420. Am I going to be right?
hopefully TSLA earnings save my $500 EOM calls 😭
This is solid fundamental analysis - refreshing to see actual math instead of vibes-based TSLA takes. Your DCF framework is reasonable, but I'd flag a few assumptions worth stress-testing: 1. **FSD/autonomy TAM**: The revenue projections here depend heavily on regulatory approval timelines that have slipped repeatedly. Every year of delay compresses the NPV significantly. 2. **Margin trajectory**: The price cuts to defend market share have structurally compressed auto margins. Even if volume recovers, the blended margin profile looks different than 2022-era models assumed. 3. **Energy storage (Megapack)**: This is the most underappreciated segment and your model might actually be conservative here. Utility-scale storage demand is accelerating faster than analysts expected. 4. **Brand erosion**: Harder to quantify, but Musk's political positioning has demonstrably hurt demand in key European markets. This is a real variable that most DCF models treat as zero. $190 as fair value is defensible. The question is whether you think current price reflects more pessimism than your base case or is still priced for perfection.
Iran could nuke the strait and it still wouldn’t stop TSLA $420 Monday
!banbet $TSLA 450 4d
it's all survivor bias. Absolutely no one was talking about TSLA calls or SPY calls the weeks before
TSLA or INTC must give a 10x either direction cant wait.
Yeah it was not out of the question for someone to turn 1K into 1 million just rotating between META, AMZN, TSLA, AVGO, and MSFT on this rally. You would have needed balls of steel to size bigger after each trade tho.
Generally prefer cash, but not afraid of Assignment. Got assigned MSFT a wholesome back, but picking up some CC premiums, and aiming for a May 17 $440 exit. Got hit with META, tried to average down (twice!) - aiming to ladder out with cc’s at $700, 715, and 730 in May. Also twice with TSLA, but cc’d out of them last week. All part of the game, lol.
ok fair point. Honestly in the future I think just mentioning without additional context will probably yield better result. That being said, it's a risky play. Their main bulk is in SpaceX and TSLA. SpaceX valuation at 2trillion puts the P/S ratio at 100x and P/E ratio at 200x and that's just crazy tbh. Not to mention a fee of 2.2%. With that context, the biggest companies in the world at 3-5 trillions are the likes of MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL and AAPL. Do i think with that SpaceX valuation they are going to take over that throne? No way. So the potential for stock growth won't even go past 2x probably. I wouldn't go anywhere near TSLA too to even consider BPTRX.
TSLA IPO when I was a young adult who was broke and living in deep credit card debt but wicked interested in the stock and financial markets.
Fair enough, what’s your next play besides TSLA
I was SOOO close to betting against TSLA this week... Glad I held back. OP, you got lucky once, bet smaller.
I lost a month of theta gains trying to short TSLA back when no one had teslas but it was still valued more than every other car company combined.
Even if you own 20 stocks across most of the sectors and asset classes I wouldn’t consider it a diversified portfolio. It will most likely have increased risk and volatility compared to a broad based ETF. While I like some of the stocks you mentioned I personally would consider adding a core broad based ETF like VOO to the portfolio and have it be at least 50% of your portfolio’s allocation. Some stocks I like that you didn’t mention are META, TSLA, AAPL, & NFLX. My favorite pick of the ones you mentioned is NVDA.
I'm guessing we're all in agreement: TSLA calls on Tuesday?
Will you try TSLA for earnings or nah?
Mine was options on TSLA and NVDA during the tariff drop last year. I can’t say I regret it now as I’ve made other decisions since then but at one point yes I regretted the gains I could’ve madd
I ask ChatGPT to screen for weekly put-selling opportunities around earnings using a rules-based approach. It focuses on names where the implied move is meaningfully higher than the stock’s historical earnings moves (confirmed by term structure), with high institutional ownership for liquidity and stability. Valuation is a secondary filter—mainly checking that forward multiples are in line with (or below) 5-year averages, PEG isn’t extreme, and that I’d be comfortable owning the stock if assigned. Strikes are set off the implied move (≈1.4x to the downside) and typically land around 15–20 delta. The goal is to capture IV crush, not make a directional bet. This week’s setups (based on April 17 closes): * TSLA (\~409) → sell the 370 put * INTC (\~68.5) → sell the 62–62.5 put * IBM (\~253) → sell the 235 put * UNH (\~325) → sell the 300 put * BA (\~180) → sell the 165 put * PG (\~165) → sell the 155 put
Should I have done it on Pepsico or Abbvie instead? Maybe I should've went for a higher P/E like NVDA or TSLA.
Yea for sure brother take some gains so even if you do lose, it doesn’t sting as bad. Your expiration date is a decent time away so there is enough time to potentially make even more monies. $HOOD moves slow compared to something like $TSLA….unless there’s news. I got in earlier this week with expiration for today and made almost 6k (check profile for proof). Either way good play, breaking 10k is hard! Hopefully next week is green but after the pump this week it’s better to not risk it.
TSLA puts for earnings re way too obvious....so im buying calls
U made all that strictly on TSLA
Netflix market is nowhere near as big as big guys like MSFT Nvda AMD TSLA
There were multiple 100 baggers this week. TSLA calls, SPY calls, HIMS calls. And guess what? I hit none of them.
TSLA has surprised me for the last 5 years! Talk about really good marketing and financial engineering
The rally helped, but it was staggered a bit where SPY popped and then TSLA did a mega outsized move on Wednesday. I’m actually kicking myself because I put my money in positions where if I yoloed them and waited another day I’d have an experience like OP. Had SPY calls through last week, then MSFT calls over the weekend, withdrew a bunch and put a small amount into TSLA 395c. Had the plays but not the heart. Difference between turning $700 into $5k vs. $350k.
TSLA, but the market isn't rationale
TSLA & MSFT Calls next week 😋
TSLA going to 500 again, no clue why
If you think that the market will dump next week with TSLA earnings among other things, idk to tell you
TSLA will determine the fate of SPY
JP Morgan on CNBC saying TSLA has a downside to a 146$ price target tells me to go all in on 12/31 500 calls
TSLA calls could be the move because bad earnings are priced in.
From the dude's X feed: Weekly Highlights 🏆 $NKE 44c 0.30 to 2.78 (+825%) $HIMS 22c 0.51 to 7.68 (+1,400%) $TSLA 420c 0.01 to 1.70 (+16,000%) Compounding these Trades turns $2K into $39.8 Million💰 All you need to know about him is his last sentence. Full out scam artist no doubt
Yeah TSLA ain't closing below 400
If you want to get to 2.07mil buy TSLA 365 puts for earnings early next week
nah, i stay away from TSLA
TSLA gonna dump hard one of these days. This AI5 taped out bs is not gonna last.
one look at TSLA is enough to convince me the entire market is a meme stock at this point.
AAPL calls: $17,650 PLTR calls: $13,250 TSLA calls: $13,400 MSFT calls: $8,000 I made $47,000 today (I had some losses on puts as well) Oh yeah - if I sold my NFLX calls yesterday, that would be up another $10,000 FU NFLX
Here's a freebee im watching, short TSLA at 420 next week if it happens.