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Trump announces sweeping new tariffs

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China Evergrande has been ordered to liquidate. The real estate giant owes over $300 billion

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BLOOMBERG: Chaos in the Red Sea Is Starting to Bite Into Companies’ Profits

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Unity Software Analysis_1

r/wallstreetbetsSee Post

Tesla puts

r/investingSee Post

Reasons form capital gain distribution from an ETF

r/stocksSee Post

Tesla recalls nearly all vehicles sold in US to fix system that monitors drivers using Autopilot

r/StockMarketSee Post

Tesla is recalling 2 million cars

r/stocksSee Post

Small Modular Reactor Stocks may be the next tech trend. Check where to invest.

r/ShortsqueezeSee Post

$SONG NEEDS DANCERS AND SINGERS…. Follow Up

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US economic growth for last quarter is revised up to a 5.2% annual rate

r/ShortsqueezeSee Post

$SONG UPDATED BULLISH NEWS (follow up from initial post)

r/pennystocksSee Post

SONG (Epic DD) up 129%+ Friday

r/WallStreetbetsELITESee Post

SONG *Epic DD* Lots of big names are backing this

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TTNN *Epic DD* So far up 50%+ today.

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$220K+ gain this week

r/investingSee Post

Why did Microsoft pay $75 billion ($95 per share) for Activision Blizzard when the deal was originally for $69 billion?

r/weedstocksSee Post

Op-ed on potential market manipulation via MSOS & AP inflows

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Exciting Opportunity !!!

r/pennystocksSee Post

Mushrooms, Inc. (OTC: MSRM) Announces Diverse Business Development Team Assembled to Drive Company Growth

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CiTech Innovation In The Disaster Relief Field (CSE: CTTT, OTC: CITLF)

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Hello please help me play Stocks!

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US inflation rises to 3.2% for the first time in ONE YEAR

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How is Hibbett Sports Still In Business?

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What has held back solar ETFs?

r/SPACsSee Post

Anyone looked into APCA? Merger pending Q3

r/optionsSee Post

first substack post as a 15 year old wannabe trader(feedbac needed). This was written a few days ago

r/wallstreetbetsSee Post

My first substack post as a 15 year old options wannabe trader(feedback pls if anyone is crazy enough to read the whole thing)

r/stocksSee Post

Moderation in this sub has reached a tipping point - too active, often problematic, and sometimes egregious.

r/wallstreetbetsSee Post

NCAA Committee Recommends Pulling Marijuana Off Banned

r/investingSee Post

Fed keeps rates unchanged for first time in 15 months but signals 2 more potential hikes this year

r/stocksSee Post

Best book to learn stock trading?

r/weedstocksSee Post

Why I Believe Charlotte's Web CBD Is About To Be Acquired by British American Tobacco or Organigram (DD inside)

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Recession? Here's why top industrial CEOs are super bullish on the economy

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Forsta AP Fonden increases stake in Square ($SQ) despite disappointing earnings results

r/pennystocksSee Post

$SINT recent news - a reminder!

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Predictmedix (CSE: PMED, OTC: PMEDF, FRA: 3QP) Continues Expansion With High-Margin Revenues

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AP: US Economy Sending Mixed Signals

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Is a financial modeling course useless for a graduating high school kid?

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Is a financial modeling course useless for a graduating high school kid?

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Luxe Switzerland-based watch-maker Audamars Piguet launches 0.01ETH, exclusive non fungible token, in collaboration with Swiss city Lugano

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Can you answer these basic questions related to stocks? (Without using assistance)

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ChatGPT for Cryptocurrency Users

r/wallstreetbetsSee Post

The last seeds of the next market downturn are being sown now.

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Something a little different, SMRs for industrialized use..Ares Acquisition Corp (X-energy) Warrants - NOT THE CLASS A SHARES

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Investment Banking Advice

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Investment Banking Advice

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Investment Banking Advice

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Wash rule question regarding company with two tickers

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3 Retail Defensive Stocks To Consider

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Annual inflation up to 10.6% in the euro area Up to 11.5% in the EU

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AP News Reports Russian Missles strike Poland (Nato Territory) and results in multiple deaths

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Conversation highlights with family member that worked with FTX in Bahamas during 2021

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President Biden to float windfall tax on U.S. energy producers. Do you think it will affect energy stocks?

r/StockMarketSee Post

President Biden to float windfall tax on U.S. energy producers. Do you think it will affect energy stocks?

r/pennystocksSee Post

Strong Company, Rapidly Growing Revenues, Over $33M in 2022 Annual Net Profits, Great Chart Setup and Big Near-Term Catalysts - $POWW

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Annual inflation up to 9.9% in the Euro area (up to 10.9% in the EU)

r/wallstreetbetsSee Post

How do I beat my AP Econ Teacher

r/pennystocksSee Post

I want help proving my AP Econ Teacher wrong

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BREAKING: After 150 days, the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of 3 doses of Moderna turns negative

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Why Amazon is Collapsing!

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Why AMAZON is COLLAPSING

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What are the Best Electric Vehicle/Battery/Charging Stocks or ETFs

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$GSAT DD🚀🚀

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ImagineAR Signs Hip Hop Hall of Fame to a Three-Year deal to Deliver Metaverse-Ready Mobile AP

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Shipping firm Maersk, a barometer for global trade, warns of weak demand and warehouses filling up

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Insider trading - 4 indictments target some big fish in alleged fraudulent stock profits

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$GE Class Action

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$EVFM - Whitehouse on action today regarding RvWade, women's rights & access to contraceptives

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US job openings slip but employment remains to be solid

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NIO is investing in electric flying cars

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Gaensel Energy Group, Inc. (GEGR) Presents Its Partners and Activities of Its CONSORZIO GREEN SOLUTION & GNL

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Tesla’s figure and its crash rate per 1,000 vehicles was substantially higher than the corresponding numbers for other automakers that provided such data to The Associated Press ahead of NHTSA’s release.

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Data likely shows Teslas on Autopilot crash more than rivals

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39k-->96k at 19 years old

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Crypto Mining Company Building Headquarters in North Dakota

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Lululemon Calls are a Goldmine

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US to end Russia’s ability to pay international investors

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A Retard's Guide to Market Dynamics - Why Stocks Go UP and DOWN

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The Summer Blackout Squeezeplay - $POLA : on FINTEL Short Squeeze list, SMALL FLOAT, reported earning on May 16, 2022, gross profit increased by 1660%, Squeezed from $4 to $30++ last year, summer blackouts on the way, POLA provides backup power solutions.

r/wallstreetbetsSee Post

Americans have bet $125 billion on sports in the past four years as more states have legalized it

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Investing in Water - Why you should

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Markets cheer after Powell downplays even larger rate hikes

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Bloomberg - SPAC Trades May Have Made as Much as 888% Profit—Now, Some Are Drawing SEC Scrutiny

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President Joe Biden to order the release of up to 1 million barrels of oil per day from the nation's strategic petroleum reserve

r/optionsSee Post

$X $CLF $NUE $CMC $STLD $LTHM $ALB $QMB

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President Joe Biden to order the release of up to 1 million barrels of oil per day from the nation's strategic petroleum reserve

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RINO new ceo 10 mill float ties to TRUMP

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A book for complete beginners

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Russian stock market, crushed by war, opens with big limits

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Most indices are up over the past 12 months and past 6 months. Is now the time to "buy the dip" do you reckon?

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Stocks sway on Wall Street as oil slides to $100 per barrel

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US stocks open lower, oil still high but off earlier peak

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Putin puts Russia's nuclear forces on alert, cites sanctions

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Putin puts Russia's nuclear forces on alert, cites sanctions

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Key inflation gauge hit 6.1% in January, highest since 1982

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Are the Russians headed home for good?

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Are the Russians headed home for good?

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Are the Russians headed home for good?

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Inflation has rose 7.5% since the past year. The largest growth in 40 years.

Mentions

**Iran’s closure was read as an uncontrolled supply shock.** **The U.S. blockade is being read as a coercive move that might ultimately restore flow, contain escalation, or at least be managed by a stronger balance sheet and military/logistics position.** That difference matters a lot for both oil and stocks. Here is what seems to be driving the different reaction. **1. The market cares about expected future flow, not just today’s disruption.** Iran’s effective closure of Hormuz on February 28 blocked nearly a fifth of global oil flows and forced Gulf producers to shut in roughly 9 million barrels per day. That was interpreted as a direct threat to physical supply, with immediate upside risk to crude and downside risk to global growth. Reuters notes physical crude prices spiked as high as roughly $120–$150 while the IMF raised its oil outlook and cut growth expectations. By contrast, the U.S. blockade is being interpreted by many traders as an attempt to **pressure Iran and reopen shipping lanes**, not as a permanent plan to choke all Gulf exports. Reuters reports the U.S. has framed the operation around exerting pressure and reopening Hormuz, while diplomacy continues and some sanctioned tankers are still getting through. **2. Traders seem to believe the U.S. action is more reversible and more governable.** An Iranian closure looks like chaotic escalation with unclear rules and high tail risk. A U.S. blockade, even if aggressive, looks to markets like an action by an actor with greater naval capacity, sanctions leverage, and diplomatic channels. That does not make it low-risk, but it does make it appear more **manageable** in market terms. Reuters describes active peace talks, a temporary ceasefire track, and a shift toward a memorandum aimed at preventing further conflict. Stocks are reacting to that possibility, even while oil remains skeptical. **3. Oil and equities are not actually sending the same signal right now.** Part of the confusion is that stocks have rallied, but oil has **not** shrugged the situation off. Reuters says Brent is still around the high-$90s and WTI in the low-$90s, well above pre-war levels, while physical markets remain severely stressed. In fact, Reuters explicitly says the war has “shattered” oil’s pricing compass, with physical crude much tighter than futures imply. So the better reading is not “markets love the blockade.” It is more like: **equities are leaning on de-escalation hopes and earnings resilience, while oil is still pricing real disruption.** **4. U.S. replacement supply changes the equity reaction.** The U.S. is now close to being a net crude exporter because Europe and Asia have turned to American barrels to replace disrupted Middle East supply. Reuters says U.S. crude exports hit about 5.2 million barrels per day last week. That does not eliminate the shock, but it gives the market a reason to think the damage can be partially absorbed through rerouting and substitution, especially for U.S. assets. That is a very different setup from “Hormuz is shut and nobody can backfill.” **5. Inventories and buffers matter.** Reuters notes high pre-war inventories are one reason futures have stayed more subdued than the physical market. China also entered this period with enormous stockpiles and continued adding crude in March. Again, that does not solve a prolonged blockade, but it reduces the odds of an immediate, system-wide panic in financial markets. **6. Stocks are also being supported by non-war factors.** AP reports that U.S. equities are near record highs not only because of ceasefire hopes, but also because earnings from companies like PepsiCo and strong guidance from TSMC have helped support risk appetite. Reuters likewise notes better-than-expected jobless claims and broader earnings season crosscurrents. So part of the rally is simply that investors are choosing to focus on corporate resilience and the possibility the worst-case geopolitical scenario does not materialize. My bottom-line interpretation: **The market is not rewarding the blockade itself. It is rewarding the belief that the blockade is a bargaining tool inside a conflict that may stabilize, whereas Iran’s Hormuz closure looked like a pure loss-of-control event with much fatter downside tails.** There is also a warning embedded in the same data: **This may be a fragile equity interpretation.** Reuters is clear that physical oil markets remain badly disrupted, futures may be underpricing the damage, and if diplomacy fails the adjustment could be violent. So the clean answer to your question is: * **Iran closure** = uncontrolled shock, immediate supply fear, higher recession odds, bad for stocks * **U.S. blockade** = seen as more controlled, more reversible, partially offset by U.S. exports and diplomacy, less immediately bearish for stocks * **But** oil has not truly endorsed that optimism, and equities may be assuming a better outcome than the physical market is

Mentions:#WTI#AP

Abs-fuckinglutely just the assets of INTC itself is more than $350B in eval, Market has been very unjust in eval to INTC because in secret the WS was conspiring for INTC to sell its fabs and make TSMC the bottleneck of the world. Guess what bytches it didnt happen. Now INTC will first steal the AP from TSMC using EMIB-T then will also steal a big chunk of wafer business using 18AP/14A. within 1 year INTC will be a 1.5T company and within 3 years it will be a $4T eval. Products lineup are cherry on cake situation.

Mentions:#INTC#WS#AP

So Electrek doesn’t lie but Tesla does? Show me where Tesla AP data is proven to be wrong? Google it lmao Also, once again, please let me know when I can have Waymo software on a personal car I can own and drive anywhere

Mentions:#AP

Who knows anymore? I wouldn’t be buying airline stocks here though. [AP: Europe has ‘maybe 6 weeks of jet fuel left,’ energy agency head warns](https://apnews.com/article/iran-war-europe-jet-fuel-flight-cancellations-birol-6e67fafd493861b3858de5548aa77703)

Mentions:#AP

This whole rally feels like a dump buffer [AP Exclusive: Europe has ‘maybe 6 weeks of jet fuel left,’ energy agency head warns](https://apnews.com/article/iran-war-europe-jet-fuel-flight-cancellations-birol-6e67fafd493861b3858de5548aa77703)

Mentions:#AP

"Europe only has 6 weeks of jet fuel left and flights will start getting canceled" – AP. My European vacation might get canceled… please keep me in your prayers during this difficult time

Mentions:#AP

>Mediators move closer to extending US-Iran cease-fire - AP News

Mentions:#AP

> *US, IRAN AGREE 'IN PRINCIPLE' ON EXTENDING TRUCE: AP Principle of a concept of a deal pump

Mentions:#AP

Mediators move closer to extending US-Iran cease-fire - AP News

Mentions:#AP

Yes, a few sources (Reuters, AP, CNN, NBC, etc.) have said talks could resume this week or next. An extension of the ceasefire has also been floated. AP went as far as to say that Washington and Tehran have agreed to meet again, but no source has corroborated that, and some have contradicted it.

Mentions:#AP

> AP reporting both sides want to take again. funny what saying iran can't use the strait anymore does. wonder if we get another exceptionally green day tomorrow.

Mentions:#AP

AP reporting both sides may talk as soon as Thursday. Bullish! 

Mentions:#AP

AP reporting both sides want to take again. Possibly as soon as Thursday. Wonder if we see Uranium for a toll? Headline alone likely go give more bull juices flowing. As we get into the earnings meat. ATH here we come. 

Mentions:#AP

Theres no secret that will make any meaningful difference whether I'm right or wrong... If you want to talk derivatives then that's a DM material discussion since they for the most part are not well understood by retail. CAPREIT which is , CAR.UN.TO. Minto MI.UN.TO are amongst the 2 best IMO.... Monthly distributions, and exceedingly well run companies. I also like Allied Properties AP.UN.TO but significantly less now that they sold all their commercial data centers at about the absolute bottom of the market. But they have good comm and rezi exposure still but they will be punished for years for giving up the trifecta at depressed prices at the bottom..... Still a well run company that sold assets they didn't understand for prices they made money on but they lacked the strategic vision outside of their core market that would have made shareholders a mint as well as Every (CEO) who lost tens of millions for not selling assets at the correct time.

Mentions:#DM#CAR#MI#AP

Here, when the charts makes a "what the fuck did he say now" move 10 minutes before it hits the AP newswire.

Mentions:#AP

Source: CENTCOM on X. Read more on [AP](https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-israel-trump-lebanon-april-12-2026-a8a0d22918fc3fb30bc3abf1cd5c5a13).

Mentions:#AP

>Lloyd’s List Intelligence wrote Sunday that “all traffic” through the Strait of Hormuz stopped after the president announced that the U.S. would blockade the waterway. It said two vessels that were leaving the strait turned around. >A trickle of traffic had returned to the strait in the days since the U.S. and Iran agreed to pause the conflict. \-AP

Mentions:#AP

For anyone too lazy to ask ChatGPT, I asked ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini to lay out various scenarios on Middle East conflict. Below is ChatGPT's response (Grok and Gemini weren't as good): \----------- The U.S. blockade looks like a **coercive bargaining move**, not just a shipping-security step. After the April 12 Islamabad talks ended without agreement, Washington appears to be trying to do three things at once: deny Iran the ability to use the Strait of Hormuz as leverage, reassert freedom of navigation through a critical global chokepoint, and force Tehran back into talks from a weaker position on nuclear and regional issues. Reuters and AP report the U.S. specifically tied the move to failed talks, Iran’s tolls/mines/threats in the strait, and unresolved disputes over uranium enrichment and proxies. ([Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/us-iran-talks-pause-now-disagreements-remain-2026-04-11/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) Why this matters: Hormuz is one of the world’s most important energy chokepoints. EIA says recent Hormuz disruption has been a major driver of higher oil and gasoline prices, and the strait carries a huge share of global oil and LNG flows. ([U.S. Energy Information Administration](https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press586.php?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) # 1) Why the U.S. put the blockade in place **To break Iran’s leverage.** Iran’s ability to threaten or control passage through Hormuz gives it outsized influence over oil markets and global risk sentiment. The blockade is meant to flip that dynamic and make Iran lose, rather than gain, leverage from the strait. ([Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/us-iran-talks-pause-now-disagreements-remain-2026-04-11/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **To pressure Iran without immediately expanding to full land war.** A naval blockade is a way to raise pain and show military dominance while stopping short of a much bigger conflict. It is a pressure tactic designed to compel concessions. ([AP News](https://apnews.com/article/da12451198d54f63926d06983b262f98?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **To protect the principle of open shipping lanes.** The U.S. and Gulf producers do not want a precedent where Iran can charge tolls or decide who gets safe passage through an international chokepoint. ([Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/adnoc-ceo-says-strait-hormuz-not-irans-control-2026-04-12/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **To create urgency before the ceasefire window expires.** The ceasefire reportedly runs until April 22, but the talks ended without a framework for what comes next. The blockade raises the cost of delay and forces a choice between renewed diplomacy and renewed escalation. ([AP News](https://apnews.com/article/a8a0d22918fc3fb30bc3abf1cd5c5a13?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) # 2) How this could evolve: short to medium term # Scenario 1: Managed standoff The U.S. enforces the blockade selectively, escorts some shipping, clears mines, and Iran responds with threats and limited harassment but avoids direct major war. Tanker traffic remains impaired but not frozen. This is the most plausible near-term path. Reuters already reported some supertankers resuming transit, suggesting partial normalization rather than total shutdown. ([Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/gulf-stocks-slide-us-iran-talks-falter-ceasefire-doubts-resurface-2026-04-12/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **Investor impact:** higher oil, elevated volatility, inflation pressure, and some headwind to richly valued tech through rates. # Scenario 2: Return to talks after a show of force The blockade may be intended mainly to improve Washington’s negotiating position. If both sides feel the costs are rising too fast, mediation could restart. That would likely bring a relief move in oil and a risk-on bounce in equities. ([AP News](https://apnews.com/article/a8a0d22918fc3fb30bc3abf1cd5c5a13?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **Investor impact:** best-case outcome for U.S. tech; lower oil, easing inflation fears, and better support for growth multiples. # Scenario 3: Prolonged gray-zone conflict No breakthrough, no full war, but repeated incidents: ship seizures, drones, cyberattacks, proxy strikes, and intermittent attacks around the region. This would keep a lasting geopolitical premium in oil even if the strait is not fully closed. ([Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/gulf-stocks-slide-us-iran-talks-falter-ceasefire-doubts-resurface-2026-04-12/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **Investor impact:** persistent macro drag. Big-cap quality tech may hold up better than speculative tech, small caps, or cyclical semis. # Scenario 4: Direct naval clash If Iran attacks U.S. naval assets or commercial shipping in a major way, oil could spike sharply and markets could sell off hard. AP reports analysts already expect an extra $5–$10 per barrel from the blockade announcement alone. ([AP News](https://apnews.com/article/da12451198d54f63926d06983b262f98?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **Investor impact:** bad for high-multiple tech in the short run; favorable for energy, defense, and safe-haven trades. # Scenario 5: Broader regional escalation The worst case is that this expands beyond Hormuz into wider proxy conflict involving Lebanon, Gulf infrastructure, or other regional shipping lanes. ([AP News](https://apnews.com/article/a8a0d22918fc3fb30bc3abf1cd5c5a13?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **Investor impact:** this becomes a broader global risk-off event, not just an oil story. # My base case **Short term:** Scenario 1 or 3. A tense U.S. naval posture, partial enforcement, uneven shipping flows, and headline-driven oil/market volatility. ([Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/gulf-stocks-slide-us-iran-talks-falter-ceasefire-doubts-resurface-2026-04-12/?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) **Medium term:** Scenario 2 or 3. Either the blockade forces renewed talks, or the region settles into a grinding standoff with higher energy prices and recurring volatility. ([AP News](https://apnews.com/article/a8a0d22918fc3fb30bc3abf1cd5c5a13?utm_source=chatgpt.com)) # For a U.S. tech investor, the main transmission channel is: **Oil up -> inflation expectations up -> bond yields up -> tech multiples down.** That is the biggest risk. The direct exposure of U.S. tech to the region is limited; the real issue is macro. In a prolonged standoff, mega-cap cash-generative tech should hold up better than speculative growth, smaller software, or semis that are more cyclical.

Mentions:#AP#LNG

Per AP News, Iran refused to back down on their own developing of a nuclear weapon. At this point I think the stock market goes blood red on Monday and, unfortunately, Trump bombs Iran with a fury.

Mentions:#AP

Whatever the Pakistan military is paying their barbers, it ain't enough. [Damn son](https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/AP26101262247313-1775959834.jpg?resize=770%2C513&quality=80).

Mentions:#AP

I took AP bio and AP physics. Ironically I liked biology more. I discovered that while I love the concepts in physics, I hated the mind numbing math

Mentions:#AP

I took AP calculus in highschool. It was all Asian students a Russian and me

Mentions:#AP

AP News reporting: Talks between US and Iran officials resume after a break Someone had to take a massive dump and probably took a bit too long scrolling Instagram while on the can, wonder which side it was.

Mentions:#AP

SAN FRANCISCO, Calif. (AP) — OpenAI says police arrested a man who threw a Molotov cocktail at CEO Sam Altman's home and threatened the company.

Mentions:#SAN#AP

With oil supply getting squeezed, starting to think of building a position in coal. Not saying it’s 2022 all over again, but the setup feels interesting. u/AP9384629344432 would love to hear your take if you're still around.

Mentions:#AP

Look AP (authorized participants). They regulate and arbitrage the ETF prices. When ETFs run at a premium, they buy the underlying asset (which is currently at a lower market price) and create an ETF out of it and sell them at current premium price of the ETF. This makes them some profit. Also, this surge in buying pressure increases the prices of the stock. I think you should start reading some finance 101 from scratch online somewhere. Search Zerodha Varsity.

Mentions:#AP

Where is my live news feed AP? I need my fix.

Mentions:#AP

I rode up Intel from 18 to 58. Still holding leaps + shares. 18AP, 14A & packaging will deliver foundry deals. This builds on an chip onshoring agenda. Stock will be 200 in a couple years.

Mentions:#AP

AP: Israel-Lebanon negotiations are expected to begin next week at the State Department in Washington, according to a person familiar with the plans. The talks are expected to be handled on the American side by U.S. Ambassador to Lebanon Michel Issa, and on the Israeli side by Israel’s Ambassador to the U.S. Yechiel Leiter, according to the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity due to the delicacy of the situation. It was not immediately clear whom Lebanon was sending.

Mentions:#AP

Hello, I am sure majority of you might be familiar with P\*\*\*market, currently there is a dispute on contract settlement for the contract P\*\*\*market Iran-US ceasefire by 7th April. Backstory: on April 7th, there was an announcement by TACI, which prompted the above-mentioned contract to skyrocket to \~99.9 cents, with contracts for April 15th and April 30th being settled without any dispute, HOWEVER, there was dispute to the April 7th one, and currently it is in the final phase of outcome decision. The final say is done by something called UMA protocol, which basically is a mechanims where UMA holders vote on the outcome. The problem is, the current resolution (YES) does not reflect reality, however the UMA holders are clearly manipulating the market. There are big whales , some of the top holders, who buy very LARGE positions ( in the millions) for 99.8c, hoping for a return of 0.02c. This level of risk indicates they are VERY certain that the outcome results in yes. Clearly they are able to make sure that the UMA voting resutls in their favor. However, if enough people join in on the vote on the UMA network, and consequently buy NO contracts, the upside is 1 dollar for every 0.02 - 0.03 cents ! The reasoning for the correct (NO) contract resultion is by the following arguments: This resolves NO. Per the rules, resolution requires an explicit, dated commitment to halt hostilities from BOTH sides before 11:59PM ET April 7. 1. Iran's president only publicly confirmed the ceasefire on the morning of April 8 — outside the resolution window. 2. Iran continued firing at Gulf Arab states and Israel throughout April 7. 3. AP confirmed: "No start time agreed upon" — the rules explicitly require a dated commitment. 4. Trump's post is conditional: "subject to Iran agreeing to COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz" — a conditional agreement does not qualify. 5. A 2-week temporary suspension is explicitly excluded: "limited operational pauses or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count." The rules are clear. Headlines saying 'ceasefire' don't override the resolution criteria. If you believe that the contract resolution should be NO, and want to make some nice money (potentionally) than DO participate, the dispute ends tmrw! \############## The way to participate in the UMA: UMA decisions are not automatic. They are decided by participants. That means the outcome depends on who actually shows up and votes. Right now, having the correct interpretation is not enough. Participation is what determines the result. \### How to vote on UMA: 1. Go to the UMA voting app 2. Connect your wallet 3. Find the active dispute 4. Submit your vote (NO) 5. Come back later to reveal your vote (this step is required) That’s it. \### Why this matters: \- If NO voters don’t participate → the other side wins by default \- If you don’t reveal your vote → it doesn’t count \- If participation is low → outcomes can be distorted \##########

Rich people are in a club and you and I aren't in it: **Newly created Polymarket accounts bet big on US-Iran ceasefire in hours before Trump’s announcement** >NEW YORK (AP) — A group of new accounts on the prediction market Polymarket made highly specific, well-timed bets on whether the U.S. and Iran would reach a ceasefire on April 7, **resulting in hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits for these new customers**. An analysis of publicly available blockchain data from Polymarket, using the crypto analytics platform Dune, shows that at least 50 accounts, or wallets, placed substantial “Yes” bets Tuesday before Trump announced the ceasefire in a Truth Social post at around 6:30 pm ET. These were the first bets made by these particular wallets. [https://apnews.com/article/polymarket-iran-trump-ceasefire-prediction-markets-350d9fe5ffefa74080ff5dd973aef48b](https://apnews.com/article/polymarket-iran-trump-ceasefire-prediction-markets-350d9fe5ffefa74080ff5dd973aef48b)

Mentions:#AP#ET

The market priced in a reopening that lasted less than 12 hours. The ceasefire was announced on 7 April; two bulk carriers (not tankers) transited overnight. Then Israel launched its largest coordinated strike of the war on Lebanon (254 killed, 8 April), Iran re-closed the strait the same day, and the reopening was over before the first VLCC could load. The part that's actually not priced in: the toll system is now codified. Iran's parliament passed the "Strait of Hormuz Management Plan" on 30-31 March, writing transit fees into permanent domestic statute. Bloomberg reported on 24 March that the IRGC was already collecting $2M per VLCC transit in yuan or crypto. AP confirmed the ceasefire terms formally allow Iran and Oman to charge transit fees. The toll doesn't depend on whether the strait is open or closed. It's law now. Reversing it requires parliamentary repeal, not a ceasefire clause. So the binary that everyone is trading, strait open vs strait closed, misses the structural shift underneath. Even if Hormuz reopens tomorrow, every barrel transits under an Iranian fee regime that didn't exist before 28 February. That's a permanent repricing of Gulf transit risk that isn't in the forward curve. Side-by-side breakdown of what each side actually agreed to [here](https://brief.gizmet.dev/ceasefire-terms/).

Mentions:#AP

AP reported that Lebanon was part of the agreement that the US agreed to (Pakistan says it was, US-Israel says it wasn't). Maybe there was a miscommunication, maybe someone's lying: https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-beirut-strikes-9402965418687c634d4a157c966ec6ea > U.S. President Donald Trump told PBS News Hour that Lebanon was not included in the deal because of the Lebanese militant Hezbollah group. When asked about Israel’s latest strikes, he said, “That’s a separate skirmish.” Israel had said the agreement does not extend to its war with the Iran-backed Hezbollah, although mediator Pakistan said it does.

Mentions:#AP

AP News:  Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz in response to Israeli attacks on Lebanon, per Iranian state media

Mentions:#AP

AP News just reported that the Strait is closed again about 10 mins ago. ![gif](giphy|OCu7zWojqFA1W)

Mentions:#AP

Random update: AP News is now reporting China is saying they pressured Iran to a ceasefire.

Mentions:#AP

AP has now reported about the Saudi pipeline

Mentions:#AP

AP is reporting on it. “Neither Iran nor the United States said when the ceasefire would begin, and attacks took place in Israel, Iran and across the Gulf region early Wednesday. Israel backed the U.S. ceasefire with Iran but the deal doesn’t cover fighting against Hezbollah in Lebanon, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said early Wednesday.” It doesn’t look like it’ll hold, not a true ceasefire. Just reduced attacking at best. https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/bridge-linking-saudi-arabia-bahrain-042049574.html

Mentions:#AP

Iran and Oman will be allowed to charge fees on ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz as part of a two-week ceasefire deal mediated by Pakistan, the Associated Press (AP) news agency is reporting. Is it true??

Mentions:#AP

Ok go look for yourself. Im not spamming links. AP’s website is very easy to find. Sleep tight bro

Mentions:#AP

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 US and Iran did not discuss a specific time for when the ceasefire will begin, AP reports. Both Israel and Iran are still firing missiles at each other, while American forces halted offensive operations for now. 650s by Friday

Mentions:#AP

US and Iran did not discuss a specific time for when the ceasefire will begin, AP reports. Both Israel and Iran are still firing missiles at each other, while American forces halted offensive operations for now. It's been the same way forever. I'm so tired of this continuous pattern.

Mentions:#AP

Wait.. > (AP) -- Iran and Oman will charge fees to ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz under the current ceasefire plan.

Mentions:#AP

Everything you said is only confusing if you don't have any information, can't see the forest for the trees and your crystal ball so broken you can't see 30 mins forward in time. "both sides agreed to mutually exclusive demands," a gross mischaracterization. Iran wants financial compensation, which was always on the table if ballistic missiles were taken out and no future nukes. BMs were taken out by US strikes and nuclear material can be managed from satellite, as Trump has said. "No clarity about the status of the Strait: 30 mins after your comment, AP reports Oman and Iran allowed to charge $2M for ships, which is financial compensation that is workable. "Iran is continuing with BMs." Iran is decentralized with no internet, no they don't have the luxury of watching twitter while pressing the launch button, so there will be a delay, maybe even by a day, this has been said by Pakistan and Iran. It's been less than 1 hour.

Mentions:#AP

AP has already reported there are missiles and air raid warnings happening in Israel and UAE.

Mentions:#AP#UAE

> AP: The two-week ceasefire plan includes allowing both Iran and Oman to charge fees on ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf, a regional official said Wednesday.

Mentions:#AP

AP reported it like an hour ago

Mentions:#AP

JUST IN: Israel says it detects an incoming Iranian missile barrage despite US, Iran saying 2-week ceasefire reached. AP NEWS 😂

Mentions:#AP

JUST IN: Israel says it detects an incoming Iranian missile barrage despite US, Iran saying 2-week ceasefire reached. AP NEWS 😂

Mentions:#AP

JUST IN: Missile alert sounds in the United Arab Emirates after Iran, US say they've reached a two-week ceasefire. AP NEWS 🤣

Mentions:#AP

>Iran’s Supreme National Security Council says it has accepted a two-week ceasefire in the war per AP rn, I am very curious how Israel is going to react to this.

Mentions:#AP

This was from AP News 26 minutes ago: "Iran’s joint military command spokesperson made the warning in a statement responding to U.S.-Israeli attacks. Ebrahim Zolfaghari said Iran will intensify its attacks on military, security, and economic infrastructure in Israel and on “centers related to” the U.S. in the region. Zolfaghari said Iran’s continued attacks on the infrastructure of the U.S. and its allies aim to deprive them of the region’s oil and gas supplies “for many years” and “force them to leave” the Middle East" 5 minutes later they announced the TACO. Wonder which one is the truth...

Mentions:#AP

AP: Iran’s president said Tuesday that 14 million Iranians, including himself, have volunteered to sacrifice their lives in the war. The figure is double the other figures mentioned by state media in the past. Iran is home to 90 million people.

Mentions:#AP

AP has updates about every 10min; al jazeera and the guardian too. Reuters less so.

Mentions:#AP

AP scrubbed his "Praise Allah" in one of their articles I was reading. Can't even report it because it's so unhinged. On Easter...

Mentions:#AP

Reuters, AP, WSJ, NYT

Mentions:#AP#NYT

Perspective from the Netherlands here. I have a friend that works closely with the Dutch Pancreatitis Study Group (PWN) with his uni, and they’ve been tracking CRAC channel inhibitors like Auxora for a while. People in the US might not realize that in Europe, Acute Pancreatitis (AP) costs our healthcare systems roughly €10,000 per patient because we literally have no pharmacological tools to prevent progression to organ failure. We’ve been stuck with supportive care (fluids/nutrition) for decades. The Phase 2b CARPO data published in The Lancet this February is a massive topic of discussion in our rounds. Seeing a 100% reduction in new-onset respiratory failure isn't just a statistical win, it’s a game changer for ICU capacity and patient survival. Here in the EU, Auxora already has Orphan Designation, which shows that regulators on this side of the pond are just as hungry for this as the FDA.

Mentions:#AP#ICU#EU

If it's the first ever pivotal trial for AP in the US, why hasn't a big player like Takeda or AbbVie snatched them up for a few hundred million, as $9M is a rounding error for them?

Mentions:#AP

Hi, I think it's because everyone is staring at that cash runway, but if they announce a partnership or a licensing deal for the AP program, that’s non dilutive cash that kills the dilution idea instantly. Even if they do a secondary, the goal is to catch the pop on the Phase 3 design news before that happens. At this price you're literally buying the fear, once they clear that out, the stock won't be at 0.60 anymore.

Mentions:#AP

I see. So the risk is that they burn through that cash before the next catalyst hits, but if the H1 2026 AP trial design announcement gets any traction it should double just to hit cash parity. I'm in for 5k shares at these levels. Thanks for the breakdown.

Mentions:#AP

WASHINGTON (AP) — Warns a 'whole civilization will die tonight' but says Iran still has time to capitulate before 8 p.m. ET deadline.

Mentions:#AP#ET

Thanks! Usually, when a biotech trades below cash, the market is assuming the drug is dead and the company will just burn that cash into a hole. But the market is treating the KOURAGE discontinuation as a total platform failure, ignoring that the acute pancreatitis (AP) data is actually a win. Basically, you're getting the Phase 3 ready pipeline for a negative $4M valuation.

Mentions:#AP

Yes, it's legit. Multiple major outlets (NYT, AP, CNBC, BBC) are reporting that Trump set a new deadline for Tuesday, April 7 at 8pm ET for Iran to reach a deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz before the US begins striking Iranian infrastructure. He had previously extended earlier deadlines as negotiations continued. --- *^(This comment was generated by qwen/qwen3.6-plus:free)*

I'm hearing jets over Beirut on AP Live: https://www.youtube.com/live/AEztM7gw8Bg?si=jSS8tLbDF66qLnpw

Mentions:#AP

AP stream is always the best because the camera man whispers or mumbles or something. Regardless, someone was hot micing.

Mentions:#AP

Georgia plans on needing to increase capacity by 10GW in coming years which is an unprecedented amount of growth. Thats 10 nuclear plants if you build AP1000s.

Mentions:#AP

It’s been reported by AP.

Mentions:#AP

AP News- Israel attacked south pars

Mentions:#AP

Then there's this that just happened just now: JUST IN:At least 13 people killed in US-Israeli airstrike on residential building southwest of Tehran, Iran, AP reports. Real classy. Bombing civilian areas.

Mentions:#AP

Hey! Italy's price increase is recorded (post-subsidies ofc) in the chart at \~3.37%, and the data is sourced from a very reputable source: [globalpetrolprices.com](http://globalpetrolprices.com), the same AP, Reuters and similarly respected organizations use as well. In Italy's case, they [share their data source](https://www.globalpetrolprices.com/Italy/gasoline_prices/) and that is directly from [mimit.gov.it/it](https://www.mimit.gov.it/it/).

Mentions:#AP

AP News reports his eyeballs haven’t bulged this hard since when he heard the news of Jack Ma’s reappearance

Mentions:#AP

>you should reread that report. ... uh, they're completely correct. >Aug 21, 2024: >[WASHINGTON (AP) — The U.S. economy added 818,000 fewer jobs from April 2023 through March this year than were originally reported, the government said Wednesday](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/u-s-economy-added-818000-fewer-jobs-than-first-reported-sign-job-market-has-been-slowing)

Mentions:#AP
r/stocksSee Comment

March 16 "CAIRO (AP) — President Donald Trump said Sunday that he has demanded about seven countries send warships to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, but his appeals have brought no commitments as oil prices soar during the Iran war. The president declined to name the countries heavily reliant on Middle East crude that the administration is negotiating with to join a coalition to police the waterway where about one-fifth of the world’s traded oil normally flows. “I’m demanding that these countries come in and protect their own territory, because it is their own territory,” Trump said about the strait, claiming the shipping channel is not something the United States needs because of its own access to oil. Trump spoke while answering reporters’ questions as he flew back to Washington from Florida aboard Air Force One. Trump said China gets about 90% of its oil from the strait, while the U.S. gets a minimal amount. He declined to discuss whether China will join the coalition." Then he delayed his trip to China.

Mentions:#AP

I'm banned from the other place for a couple weeks for calling Steve Witkoff some bad words. I have no idea how anyone fell for this "we're negotiating for peace" thing. We've been bombing them harder than ever, the USS Tripoli is still in a boots-on-ground assault position, the USS Boxer is on it's way packed full of more marines, and a third aircraft carrier is headed to theater. You listen to the guy that said the Strait's been open (it's hasn't), the Strait closure won't effect America (it has), and the war was already over (it wasn't). Israel's saying the war's not ending, *Iran's* saying the war's not ending, and you expect *the world's most eponymous habitual liar* to not rugpull your ass? To some's credit, the US major financial news media was in on it too. Every one is owned by rich families with strong incentives. WSJ is owned by the Murdochs, CNN and CBS the Ellisons, WaPo by Bezos, Reuters by the Thompsons, NY Times by Ochs-Silzbergers. More independent agencies like AP and AFP were reporting more truthful states of affairs, very positive headline pop from - ironically enough - the mainstream media was farming more eager retail bagholders. Notice how this happened hours after they locked in the first-of-the-month retirement contribution inflows, they got everyone good. Anyone that's been paying attention beyond the headlines knows what's gonna happen. Either Iran is gonna toll the strait, the *US* is gonna toll the strait, or we're gonna be in for an ugly and likely protracted war. If you believe otherwise, you're due for your umpteenth "Fell for it again" award.

Mentions:#AP

Ok AP give me an ad ya dorks

Mentions:#AP

Oil looks like it wants to squeeze. Also heard some gunfire on Beirut AP Live Cam and even more there's no Tel Aviv Live Cam right now. 🤔

Mentions:#AP

I disagree that Israel is leading, I think Netanyahu stroked Trump's ego enough to attempt regime change, but here's Netanyahu yesterday: AP: "Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday said that although Iran still had launch capability to threaten Israel, **it could no longer threaten its existence**."

Mentions:#AP

1.8x speed it sounds insane but you get used to it. Also gotta prioritize I like: planet money The indicator Ezra Klein show Plain English This American life Bulwark NPR news now I’d like more AP and Al Jezera in the diet but it’s tough

Mentions:#AP

AP News: https://apnews.com/live/iran-war-israel-trump-04-01-2026

Mentions:#AP

It’s in the news this morning (WSJ, AP, Reuters): “The United Arab Emirates is preparing to help the United States and other allies open the key Strait of Hormuz waterway by force, the Wall Street Journal said on Tuesday, citing Arab officials. Officials told the WSJ that the UAE is lobbying for a UN Security Council resolution authorizing such a force, adding that diplomats have urged the US and various European and Asian nations to form a united front against Iran and to open the strait by force. One UAE official added that the nation had already conducted an internal assessment of its capabilities to help secure the strait, including its ability to clear mines.”

Mentions:#AP#UAE

I really can't understand HOW TF consumer confidence can be anything but below expectations. I just searched and the AP headline is: Associated Press US consumer confidence inched higher in March despite soaring energy prices brought on by the war in Iran

Mentions:#AP

AP: Insiders today front-ran the release of Sam Altmans ancient AI demon, Baal, to the public later this week.

Mentions:#AP

Are we watching a stream of a stream?? Cmon AP

Mentions:#AP

\> AP rewinds stream, which they clearly stole [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CF7Th9PnPsw](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CF7Th9PnPsw) very bearish signal

Mentions:#AP#CF

The fuck is AP doing

Mentions:#AP

How do i buy puts on AP

Mentions:#AP

AP intern fucked up the stream...

Mentions:#AP

US just bombed Iran and Iran just bombed an Kuwaiti oil tanker-AP

Mentions:#AP

I open the AP Pentagon briefing stream and the first thing I see is some guy spamming "WORLD BOWS TO IRAN" in the chat So that's pretty funny

Mentions:#AP

Gulf countries are privately urging Trump to continue the war until Iran is "decisively defeated", according to U.S., Gulf and Israeli officials. - AP

Mentions:#AP

AP News: "Officials from Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Bahrain have conveyed in private conversations that they do not want the military operation to end until there are significant changes in the Iranian leadership or there’s a dramatic shift in Iranian behavior, according to the officials, who were not authorized to comment publicly and spoke on the condition of anonymity."

Mentions:#AP

“Bears enemy of the state” - 🥭, Reuters, WSJ, Washington Post, BBC, CNN, Fox, AP, Financial Times, The Guardian, NPR, ABC, NBC, MSNDC, Joe in the Morning, Axios, Politico, New York Times TYFYATTM

Mentions:#BBC#AP

TIL Yahoo still thinks it can be relevant in the search game. >SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — Internet trailblazer Yahoo is exploring technology's next frontier with Scout, an answer engine powered by artificial intelligence. Scout seems insightful, based on its response to a question posed by The Associated Press about why one of Silicon Valley's brightest stars faded away a decade ago.

Mentions:#TIL#SAN#AP

>AP: Iran threatens to seize assets of celebrity critics brehs, don't give our guy any ideas, we can barely survive all the financial winning we are currently being subjected to!

Mentions:#AP

>AP News: Israel struck an area in southern Lebanon with what appears to be white phosphorus Oh yeah baby, were podracing today Only hope is a Google V dragging the market to glory

Mentions:#AP

https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2020/03/720/405/Peter-Tuchman-AP-005.jpg?ve=1&tl=1

Mentions:#AP

AP News says Iran is now charging a fee to get through the strait.

Mentions:#AP

Man, I just did a small test to see how fucked US-facing news is. All the news agencies owner by rich people (WSJ:Murdochs, Reuters:Thompsons, NYT:Ochs-Silzbergers, CNN/CBS:Ellisons, Washinton Post:Bezos, NBC:Roberts) frame things as Iran "still reviewing" the US terms. All the co-ops/nonprofits (AP, AFP, PBS, NPR, Guardian) mention how Iran shot those the fuck down. We're in a weeeeeird age, man.

Mentions:#NYT#AP

Source? Polls from AP, Pew and PBS generally show well over half of Americans opposed (53 up 61%, depending on polls). University of Maryland says 40-50% of Republicans support the effort— nowhere near 80%. And these numbers are before any large scale casualties or boots on ground. Expect support to collapse if those things happen absent a coherent rationale and a cogent end state being articulated by the Administration.

Mentions:#AP