Reddit Posts
I saw one of my investments sail by ...
Sell any of these or hold all for the next 40 years?
Hey can someone help me with carnival Corp $CCL IM LEVERAGED TO THE TITS on longs
A year ago you guys made fun of me for breaking even finally
A year ago you all made fun of me for breaking even finally
Stock strategy idea. Help me understand why it's a bad idea?
NCLH unusual option activity, implied vol, and divergence
NCLH unusual option activity, implied vol, and divergence
WSJ - A Soap Maker Cracks the Code to ‘Made in America’
Are the Cruise Lines back? NCLH RCL CCL
God bless America. Reminder to take your profits.
tracking abnormal order trade volume for 'improved' return's
Bought 5 $CCL calls yesterday for $45 which expire today. Not Lambo money, but an honest day's work.
CCL earnings 10k loss then 14k gain. Market manipulation
Who is the main cause of the “sell-the-news” effect?
Stocks making the biggest premarket moves: Alibaba, Dice Therapeutics, Avis and more
For the love of Christ, hear me out on $OPEN.
Market Recap - 6/14/23 - I hope I triggered all your stops
CCL: I was accused on pumping the stock so I deleted all my previous posts. Keep holding, will post again when I sell, bye.
God bless the WSB CCL shill for convincing me to get some calls 🙌, you da real MVP
CCL: Next week 17 Earnings 25. Yes I deserve to dream.
Market Recap - 6/7/23 - Bargain hunting
Market Recap - 6/6/23 - rotation under way?
2023-05-08 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of a Maple Syrup Lover
Carnival stock sails higher on earnings beat, upbeat outlook (NYSE:CCL)
Why Carnival Corporation (CCL) Stock Has a Score of 4.5/10 even after upbeat earnings
Why Carnival Corporation (CCL) Stock Has a Score of 4.5/10 even after upbeat earnings
Carnival Q1 Earnings Preview: What to expect? (NYSE:CCL)
2023-03-06 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Buy CCL??? When will the Carnival start really popping off???
RCL just came out with bookings higher than 2019.. why do people feel like the debt is stopping this stock from fully recovering?
2023-01-20 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-01-16 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2023-01-16 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays) DD
Mentions
Carnival Corp (CCL) +25% 1M
CCL easiest calls of my life and still somehow wsbets is just absent on the trade Maybe I’ll actually make money this time around.
I thought after the success of "Poop Cruise" that CCL would drop.
Yeah, the ticker *CCL* definitely has that "Carnival" vibe to it — kind of ironic considering how volatile cruise stocks have been post-COVID. But don't let the name fool you: Carnival has been steadily rebuilding its balance sheet, and with demand for leisure travel back in full swing, it’s starting to look more like a turnaround story than a punchline
The fact that you idiots didn’t see the CCL trade and are also the poories taking cruises is hilarious.
Specifically, if it helps, I own a Sep25 CCL call at $27 strike. Bought it for $1.21 a week ago It’s more than 100% profit
I'm in Carnival, Royal & Viking right now. Sold Norwegian, b/c they were less ROI than others, and I wanted to reposition $ to other things. I feel cruise stocks are seasonal / cyclical. If we try to smooth out the lunatic fringe stuff, like COVID and trump's rug pulls, you notice they start to go up in January and then taper off around August. I thikn more folks are cruising during spring breaks and summer vacations, as opposed to thanksgiving and christmas when folks are doing family get togethers. I was going to sell my positions around August in anticipation of a drop-off, then buy them bakc around December like I did with RCL last year. There's also a perk that if you hold 100 shares of a cruise line they give you bonus cash to spend on a cruise if you go. But, 100 shares of a cruise company is a lot (RCL and CCL esp). In regards to cruises, they've gotten better since COVID. Wife and I did Carnival post COVID, and it was awful. Food was awful. Ship was mainly shops and activities were mainly them trying to get you to buy stuff. But, I have coworkers that have gone cruising lately, and the cruises are getting better with activities, food, etc. Royal Carribean is doing better, b/c they offer a better experience. Carnival has turned into the poor person's cruise company. But, lots of folks use it, b/c it's cheap compared to flying to a resort.
CCL dropped with COVID and never fully recovered to those levels, although its close now. So watch out for that $30 level as there are going to be bag holders ready to get out.
Nice gains so far — you're riding the recovery wave like a pro cruiser! 🚢 That said, CCL and NCLH hitting $60 again isn’t impossible, but it's not just about post-COVID rebound anymore. Debt loads are *heavy*, margins are tight, and interest rates aren’t doing them any favors. If travel demand keeps booming and they manage their debt like adults, sure, long-term upside exists. But don’t expect a straight line — cruise stocks are like actual cruises: sometimes smooth, sometimes stormy, and always a little overpriced at the buffet. Diversify a bit if you haven’t already. Love for cruising is great — just don’t let it be your whole portfolio compass.
https://imgur.com/NELppXo 4k to 80k so far this year on fidelity 3k to 18k on robinhood biggest wins were: CCL calls liberation day SPY puts GME puts(twice!) ASTS 0dte
Looks like some, like CCL, uses a company called StockPerks (https://stockperks.com/) to manage their perks systems so can see a comprehensive, but not exhaustive, list there too. If you want some eggs, then VITL offers free 18-pack of eggs every quarter if you have 100 or more shares.
Yep, CCL offers up to $250 for onboard credit if you own 100 shares same as NCLH. Looks like RCL has a $1,000 onboard credit tier but that's their world cruises. Other than that, aligned with the other two.
I’m up +234% on my CCL calls today and I sold at the top, I’m getting some hookers and cocaine tonight.
Win or lose. Idgaf cause CCL shot up and I’m up good.
CCL cruisin baby ! (Pun intended)
CCL finally doing me some good (knock on wood)
Last time I played CCL calls the fuckin Baltimore bridge come tumbling down, 2nd times the charm I hope.
Just watched Poop Cruise on Netflix. CCL Calls?
Lately it’s been a lot of JBLU, AAL, WBD, and ACHR. But I’ve thrown in CCL, NCLH, PFE and a handful of others in the past. It’s a bit of a rotation, I’ll do these few for a while and then the other group will get me a bit more premium so I’ll swap them out. I don’t pay attention to the Greeks as I don’t buy the contracts back. I just let them play out however they do. If anything, I’ll occasionally throw in a buy of a further put and create a credit spread to hedge it if there’s particularly bad news that’s going to tank the stock but that’s only happened a handful of times and were ultimately not necessary.
Lots of upside to CCL after cool down from earnings, new ATH in the coming 3 weeks or so
I have to play it safe and go CCL 27$ calls exp jul 18
CCL is Cheesecake Factory on the sea
CCL BABY. Just need NcLh to follow already
100 shares of cruise line stocks gets you onboard credit on cruises, amount depends on length of the cruise. I know that’s the case for NCLH, I’m sure probably RCL and CCL too.
!banbet CCL 28$ 48hrs
CCL selling off. Time to bail, think things going to pump harder than 🥭s cockpump
thanks for posting this wisdom. your sheer confidence alone inspired me to buy my first ever calls on CCL and i made $2.1k. i woke up late and missed out on an extra $1.5k at peak but i believe in you. may those ships reach the stars one day
Thanks CCL 😎 https://preview.redd.it/94vyuquo9w8f1.png?width=1536&format=png&auto=webp&s=9dcb900dd34009ef55db952a57b388102d43c170
Congrats to the tards who hit CCL
No one talking about CCL
$CCL 👀 Today I am winning money with friends!
CCL beat earnings so hard it crashed their investor relations website
finna cruise to these tendies $CCL
CCL is dogshit. Stock has done literally nothing in 30 years.
CCL releasing earnings tomorrow morning instead of today so i can stew in my nerves all night tonight
!banbet CCL 25$ 48hrs
CCL calls all the way long
fucking MMs wont let CCL go over 24 put my calls ITM you fucks
$CCL consistently failed to exceed its implied move post-earnings, suggesting options are frequently overpriced heading into the report https://preview.redd.it/4vey60lj2q8f1.png?width=786&format=png&auto=webp&s=28b8d8324dc6f6d9b488d46f9aa949f85c312a81
CCL https://preview.redd.it/l3s5fxm43p8f1.jpeg?width=730&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=07ed86c2400a98c99b21f6f5fffe9aeacbbbeaec
someone just dropped a 100k shares CCL sell clifford candle on my calls i hope thats not a sign for earnings
!banbet CCL $25 70 hrs
!banbet CCL 25$ 95hrs
!banbet CCL 25.50 95 hrs
!banbet CCL 25.50 96 hrs
CCL has been good to me in the best but with the current macro enviroment idk if people are taking cruises nvm i just looked up and saw that they have BNPL for cruises they're going to make 10 trillion dollars this earning
!banbet CCL $26.00 6/25
Why's everyone sleeping on CCL? I'm thinking of YOLOing a call...
So I've been profitable on about 70% of my options... The losses I have are usually small, and about half of my wins are small too, but the other half are 80% or greater. I just pulled 114% profit on CCL last week, after holding it for about ten days. Am I doing it wrong? My losses are only like 20%, except for some lottery tickets I bought for like $20 that completely flopped.
No clue but damn I love me some CCL
I have some CCL calls expiring January 2026. The call dropped 98.7% today to $0.01 The stock is up 6.2% today. Price is $23.63 and breakeven is $34.62 I understand I have a huge uphill climb to even break even but why did it zero out when the stock is actually up today?
*Hold on, CCL…..I’m gonna…..riiight there…riiiiighht THEREEE!!* 🍆💦😫
Ehh dealer’s choice, tbh. On one hand going further out gets you more cash due to time value, on the other it gives the stock more time to move in either direction, sometimes in your benefit sometimes not. I chose weekly because it was a good balance of time and met my rate of return goals. But it’s different for everyone based on what they are looking for. Weekly worked for me so I stick to it. The major key is that it keeps emotion out of it. Yeah there will be times when a stock price will climb higher than what you will be assigned to sell it for, but you can’t chase the money being left on the table. Chasing is where people can lose, but if you leave it very structured and procedural it can treat you well. And in that example $25 was the stock price and the $50 was the option premium (listed at 0.50 but the final price is always that x100 shares). I don’t think CCL is doing that now, last time I checked a week ago or so it was a $23 price selling a weekly put for $25 (0.25/share for the contract) or something. It’s not always the same each week but roughly around the same percentage. I personally always do the trade on Mondays for that Friday.
Yeah the more pricey the shares, the more the options tend to be. I always say though to look at percentage gains, not the dollar amount. If it’s too pricey, go for a lower option for a bit! I personally used CCL for a while ($25ish range at the time, $50 option credits per week), and I know AAL is $11 and change last I checked and weekly options are $18ish. I personally like to do weekly but when I started that wasn’t recommended, it just always worked for me! But it’s a lower risk strategy, and therefore lower reward. It’s definitely not a strategy to get rich overnight on, but it can be consistent if done right!
Yeah I feel you. SPY and QQQ can get pricey real quick. Some cheaper ones I trade that still move well are PLTR, SOFI, DKNG, and sometimes RIOT or MARA if you're okay with a little more volatility. Ford (F) and CCL are also good if you want something slower and cheaper. Main thing is finding stocks with good volume and clean price action. I’m in a Bulltrix Trading group that focuses mostly on SPY(93% Win Rate) and other tickers...that if you ever want to check it out
It’s a buy. Their debt is about 15B more than before Covid but they have been paying it off significantly YOY. See this chart: https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/CCL/carnival/long-term-debt They’ve also been pretty successful in restructuring debt. They cut their debt from 32.5B down to 25B over 2.25 years. And the returns haven’t been bad. 55% over the past year. 165% over three years. If you look at pre-COVID — their dividend was about 2 dollars per share per year on 1B outstanding shares. So they paid out 2B in straight cash before Covid which shows you how much profit they print. Once they get their debt back to precovid levels which is about 2-3 years at the current rate I’m sure the dividend and also stock price will return. That’s assuming we don’t hit a recession or world war because both would sink CCL (see 2008) If you think about it, for every billion in debt they pay off and a billion shares outstanding — their price should go up a dollar per share. If that’s the case — at 23 dollars per share and only 15B over pre COVID levels for debt, they are currently under valued (38 vs 50 per share).
If I were you, I would sell a covered call on the 100 shares at 220 for Jan 16, 2026. I think it will earn you about $1,600 by that time if it doesn’t reach that price. Think about it as earning 7% interest on your 23k investment… better than current high yield savings account :) And you can buy another 16 shares to do 2 covered calls. And if the stocks go up, you are happy to part with them. I did this to my CCL that I bought at $30 4-years ago and able to bring down the average cost down to near the stock price now.
the market crashed. anything i bought was bouncing up and down. i bought CCL at $8 a share and sold at $18 within a few weeks i bought NIO at 3$ and sold at $15 (if i waited till it hit 60 a share i would've hit 1 million in 2021) i bought ZOM at $0.13 and sold at $1.30 i bought ZOM again at $0.85 and sold at $2.60 i bought CRTM $0.38 and sold at $0.90 I bought AMC at $2.00 and sold at $6.50 (the day before it hit $20 otherwise i wouldve made 300k off of this one trade, i traded after hours too the night before, this one still hurts) i bought NYMT at $1.25 and sold at $4.11 I bought GEVO at $0.50 and sold at $2.00 (this went to $20, again wouldve hit 1 million if i didnt sell early) i bought WKHS at $1.34 and sold at $3.33 (this also hit $20 range, again wouldve made 1 million if i didnt sell early) everything i did was just good timing, and in my opinion i did it all correctly, i didnt get greedy and keep waiting, if i held all of these stocks and never sold i would be in the red over 50% on every. single. one. When i started buying RYCEY the stock just behaved differently and i knew it would be my long term play. so as i cashed everything out, making sure i had enough to pay the short term capital gains tax, i was taking gains and my income and kept buying more and more shares or RYCEY. only stock i have held since middle of 2021. and it continues to be the only stock that i buy.
Still in, this quarter is at present looking bad... All gains vanished. Tesla meme is the worst hitter...CCL is just bad. Should have listened to you! Next time!
Princess (under CCL) runs their 3+4 sail free and 50% off sale year round now so they are attracting a lot of families when before they were known as the 'senior' cruise line. Lol your point #2 isn't wrong either. Been with Princess for years, they're nickel and diming the SHIT out of passengers now for everything. Just last week they shut down canned soda with the drink package, Last year I switched on over to Virgin Voyages and I don't see myself on Princess ever again unless a casino offer comes my way
CCL has been so flat since the pandemic. I like Royal Caribbean instead.
CCL is Red Lobster, RCL is Truluck's
Idk. If you get the cheapest room on a carnival cruise, you're still going to have decent food and entertainment. I would say CCL and rcl are the same in terms of quality and target the same market segment. Disney is higher end than either. I would highly recommend going on a 6-7 day cruise at least once with CCL or rcl. Then at least you can say you hate it.
The CCL cruisers will be replaced by the Royal Caribbean cruisers who still w at to cruise, but not pay the premium for RC.
Have you ever been on a CCL cruise? Their customers will be the first to cut back in the recession
CCL does have debt but they also post positive earnings every quarter so they will pay it off. So its a good long term investment. I bought it at beginning of Covid. RCL did better since covid. So might be too late to get in that
I have about 20 that I watch. Some more steady than others. NVIDIA, TSLA, SMCI, CRWV, MBX Biosciences, AMC, GME, Ford pays grear dividends even though it doesn't move much, AMD, AAL, and I like CCL because my wife and I tale a lot of cruises. Carnival gives you $100 onboard credit if you hold at least 100 shares. I recommend just watching and playing small money. Once you're find a rhythm you're comfortable with, grow each one by adding money out of pocket. Most importantly, it is never withdraw any gains. Just keep rolling them over and exponentially grow your portfolio.
The best way to hedge is owning long puts. Given recent market turmoil, they're more expensive now. You can lower that cost with a put spread but a short put 30% OTM won't defray much of the cost (1-2% to maybe 13% if one or twelve months out). You can eliminate the cost with a long stock collar. Backspreads can be effective but they have their risks. Every few years when the market looks sketchy, I hedge my portfolio, some individually (collars), some with SPY or IWM options. I buy IWM or SPY put LEAP spreads 10% OTM and 10% wide with a cost of about 1.5% of the proceeds being hedged. Because I'm comfortable shorting equities, 10% OTM gives me modest protection and between the two, I can offset a decent amount of portfolio loss. With a normal cooperative market during the year, I cover and re-sell the short puts and/or roll the long leg down, lowering the cost of the position of to a net outlay of half a percent or better. If the market is higher after 6-9 months and the short puts become worth very little, I close them, ending up with long protective puts which then provide full protection below their strike price. How effective they are depends on the index's current price. If the long puts have any decent salvage value, sometimes I roll them out to the next hedge to avoid the increased theta decay during the last few months. To be clear, the objective is to have 10% of inexpensive portfolio protection that is 10% OTM in the early part of the year. If it's later in the year, it turns into very low cost long put protection. In 2020, I had a lot of leftover long March SPY puts worth 10 cents two weeks before expiration. When the market tanked due to Covid, I rolled, selling them for $15 to $21. I rolled them down 2-3 more times that month. Between these leftover puts and individual position hedges, I was down less than 10% when the market dropped 35%. Reasonably easy to recover from. And this was despite owning several 1,000 share positions in large caps that lost more than 50% during the drop (CCL, DOW). I survived the collapse of stocks hit hardest by the pandemic because of this hedging. This year, the tariff talk troubled me. In early February, I bought Sep and Jan IWM $210 puts outright and I have rolled them down 3 times to $175, putting a nice gain in my pocket. They're now free and if the market manages to reverse, I don't care if they expire worthless. They offset a large chunk of my portfolio's loss which I booked when I rolled and that is what they were intended for. Who knows, maybe they pay off even more in the next 4-8 months??? One can only hop :->)
I disagree with most of the answers that you've received. Hedging a portfolio is very different than trading short term. Every few years when the market looks sketchy, I hedge a lot of my positions, some individually, some with SPY/IWM options. I buy IWM or SPY put LEAP spreads 10% OTM and 10% wide with a cost of about 1.5% of the proceeds being hedged. Because I'm comfortable shorting equities, 10% OTM gives me modest protection and between the two, I can offset a decent amount of portfolio loss. With a normal cooperative market during the year, I cover and re-sell the short puts and/or roll the long leg down, lowering the cost of the position of to a net outlay of half a percent or better. If the market is higher after 6-9 months and the short puts become worth very little, I close them, ending up with long protective puts which then provide full protection below their strike price. How effective they are depends on the index's current price. If the long puts have any decent salvage value, sometimes I roll them out to the next hedge to avoid the increased theta decay during the last few months. To be clear, the objective is to have 10% of inexpensive portfolio protection that is 10% OTM in the early part of the year. If it's later in the year, it turns into very low cost long put protection. In 2020, I had a lot of leftover long March SPY puts worth 10 cents two weeks before expiration. When the market tanked due to Covid, I rolled them down, selling them for $15 to $21. I rolled them down 2-3 more times that month. Between these leftover puts and individual position hedges, I was down less than 10% when the market dropped 35%. Reasonably easy to recover from. And this was despite owning several 1,000 share positions in large caps that lost more than 50% during the drop (CCL, DOW). I survived the collapse of stocks hit hardest by the pandemic because of this hedging. This year, the tariff talk troubled me. In early February, I bought Sep and Jan IWM $210 puts outright and I have rolled them down 3 times to $175, putting a nice gain in my pocket. They're now free and if the market manages to reverse, I don't care if they expire worthless. They offset a large chunk of my portfolio's loss which I booked and that is what they were intended for. Who knows, maybe they pay off even more in the next 4-8 months??? One mroe thing, if your long puts were intended as a hedge and they're nicely profitable, IMHO, roll them down rather than sell short puts against them.
> It would literally only be Canadians that they're losing. Got it, so -80% on bookings, because who in their right mind goes to a country that's openly hostile towards you and wants to annex you. What do we need to short? All the clown stocks like CCL that barely survived covid?
Selling CCL puts has been great
Sorry it was so rough for you in 2020. I'm long since retired so not blowing up has been my number one priority. I hedge individual positions and occasionally buy some long dated index puts for tail risk. In 2020, I had a number of 1,000 share positions. Most were down hard. The worst were DOW and FL down \~50% and CCL down \~80%. With the hedges, overall I lost less than 10% which was easy to recover from.
CCL and Google or I’m out
I asked AI about this: The post you shared is a dramatic take on current financial events, but let’s break it down with some facts: 1. **China’s U.S. Treasury Holdings**: China does hold a significant amount of U.S. debt—approximately $759 billion [A](https://www.forbes.com/sites/joelshulman/2025/04/09/us-rally-at-risk-as-china-may-be-dumping-treasuries/?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fbWVzc2FnZUlkIjoiV1lOaDhqdWtnRDhUcHNxR1RwSlhmIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrRGVzdGluYXRpb24iOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmZvcmJlcy5jb21cL3NpdGVzXC9qb2Vsc2h1bG1hblwvMjAyNVwvMDRcLzA5XC91cy1yYWxseS1hdC1yaXNrLWFzLWNoaW5hLW1heS1iZS1kdW1waW5nLXRyZWFzdXJpZXNcLyIsImV2ZW50SW5mb19jb252ZXJzYXRpb25JZCI6IllrWUwzTXVFSkhiNTZGUUpmWVY2VSJ9&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). However, while selling off these holdings could impact the bond market, it would also hurt China economically, as it would devalue their remaining holdings [B](https://www.spectator.com.au/2025/04/could-china-collapse-the-us-economy/?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fbWVzc2FnZUlkIjoiV1lOaDhqdWtnRDhUcHNxR1RwSlhmIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrRGVzdGluYXRpb24iOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LnNwZWN0YXRvci5jb20uYXVcLzIwMjVcLzA0XC9jb3VsZC1jaGluYS1jb2xsYXBzZS10aGUtdXMtZWNvbm9teVwvIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NvbnZlcnNhdGlvbklkIjoiWWtZTDNNdUVKSGI1NkZRSmZZVjZVIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIn0%3D&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). 2. **Japan and South Korea’s Role**: Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, with over $1 trillion [B](https://www.spectator.com.au/2025/04/could-china-collapse-the-us-economy/?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fY29udmVyc2F0aW9uSWQiOiJZa1lMM011RUpIYjU2RlFKZllWNlUiLCJldmVudEluZm9fY2xpY2tEZXN0aW5hdGlvbiI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cuc3BlY3RhdG9yLmNvbS5hdVwvMjAyNVwvMDRcL2NvdWxkLWNoaW5hLWNvbGxhcHNlLXRoZS11cy1lY29ub215XC8iLCJldmVudEluZm9fbWVzc2FnZUlkIjoiV1lOaDhqdWtnRDhUcHNxR1RwSlhmIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIn0%3D&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). There’s no concrete evidence of coordinated dumping of U.S. Treasuries by Japan, South Korea, and China, though geopolitical tensions and trade policies have led to shifts in financial strategies [C](https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/economy/uncertainty-the-only-sure-thing-as-market-chaos-reigns/ar-AA1CLIB0?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fY2xpY2tEZXN0aW5hdGlvbiI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cubXNuLmNvbVwvZW4tYXVcL21vbmV5XC9lY29ub215XC91bmNlcnRhaW50eS10aGUtb25seS1zdXJlLXRoaW5nLWFzLW1hcmtldC1jaGFvcy1yZWlnbnNcL2FyLUFBMUNMSUIwIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX21lc3NhZ2VJZCI6IldZTmg4anVrZ0Q4VHBzcUdUcEpYZiIsImV2ZW50SW5mb19jb252ZXJzYXRpb25JZCI6IllrWUwzTXVFSkhiNTZGUUpmWVY2VSJ9&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). 3. **Fed’s Intervention**: The Federal Reserve has signaled readiness to stabilize markets if needed [D](https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/why-the-bond-market-matters-for-your-finances-and-the-economy/ar-AA1CCL8n?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fY2xpY2tEZXN0aW5hdGlvbiI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cubXNuLmNvbVwvZW4tdXNcL21vbmV5XC9tYXJrZXRzXC93aHktdGhlLWJvbmQtbWFya2V0LW1hdHRlcnMtZm9yLXlvdXItZmluYW5jZXMtYW5kLXRoZS1lY29ub215XC9hci1BQTFDQ0w4biIsImV2ZW50SW5mb19jb252ZXJzYXRpb25JZCI6IllrWUwzTXVFSkhiNTZGUUpmWVY2VSIsImV2ZW50SW5mb19jbGlja1NvdXJjZSI6ImNpdGF0aW9uTGluayIsImV2ZW50SW5mb19tZXNzYWdlSWQiOiJXWU5oOGp1a2dEOFRwc3FHVHBKWGYifQ%3D%3D&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). Rising Treasury yields and concerns about foreign investors pulling out are valid, but the Fed’s intervention aims to prevent systemic collapse [E](https://www.cnbctv18.com/market/us-stock-market-live-updates-us-market-crash-dow-jones-nasdaq-snp-500-tariff-pause-china-yields-gold-oil-liveblog-19587706.htm?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fbWVzc2FnZUlkIjoiV1lOaDhqdWtnRDhUcHNxR1RwSlhmIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NvbnZlcnNhdGlvbklkIjoiWWtZTDNNdUVKSGI1NkZRSmZZVjZVIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrRGVzdGluYXRpb24iOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmNuYmN0djE4LmNvbVwvbWFya2V0XC91cy1zdG9jay1tYXJrZXQtbGl2ZS11cGRhdGVzLXVzLW1hcmtldC1jcmFzaC1kb3ctam9uZXMtbmFzZGFxLXNucC01MDAtdGFyaWZmLXBhdXNlLWNoaW5hLXlpZWxkcy1nb2xkLW9pbC1saXZlYmxvZy0xOTU4NzcwNi5odG0ifQ%3D%3D&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). 4. **Trade War and Tariffs**: The escalating trade war between the U.S. and China, including high tariffs, has undoubtedly strained relations and impacted global markets [F](https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-04-11/trump-tariffs-trade-war-bond-market/105160614?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fbWVzc2FnZUlkIjoiV1lOaDhqdWtnRDhUcHNxR1RwSlhmIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NvbnZlcnNhdGlvbklkIjoiWWtZTDNNdUVKSGI1NkZRSmZZVjZVIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrRGVzdGluYXRpb24iOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmFiYy5uZXQuYXVcL25ld3NcLzIwMjUtMDQtMTFcL3RydW1wLXRhcmlmZnMtdHJhZGUtd2FyLWJvbmQtbWFya2V0XC8xMDUxNjA2MTQifQ%3D%3D&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). However, claims of a “global run on the U.S. debt system” remain speculative [A](https://www.forbes.com/sites/joelshulman/2025/04/09/us-rally-at-risk-as-china-may-be-dumping-treasuries/?copilot_analytics_metadata=eyJldmVudEluZm9fY29udmVyc2F0aW9uSWQiOiJZa1lMM011RUpIYjU2RlFKZllWNlUiLCJldmVudEluZm9fbWVzc2FnZUlkIjoiV1lOaDhqdWtnRDhUcHNxR1RwSlhmIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrU291cmNlIjoiY2l0YXRpb25MaW5rIiwiZXZlbnRJbmZvX2NsaWNrRGVzdGluYXRpb24iOiJodHRwczpcL1wvd3d3LmZvcmJlcy5jb21cL3NpdGVzXC9qb2Vsc2h1bG1hblwvMjAyNVwvMDRcLzA5XC91cy1yYWxseS1hdC1yaXNrLWFzLWNoaW5hLW1heS1iZS1kdW1waW5nLXRyZWFzdXJpZXNcLyJ9&citationMarker=9F742443-6C92-4C44-BF58-8F5A7C53B6F1). While the post captures the anxiety surrounding these issues, it leans heavily on hyperbole. The situation is serious, but not necessarily apocalyptic.
US tourism is down 20% yoy. Canadian tourism to the US is down 70% yoy. Travel advisories from Germany, the UK, China, etc. Delta has withdrawn its 2025 guidance altogether. The US travel industry is cooked. Position: CCL $18P 4/11
I saw a way otm call on CCL print 28,000%. Dude only put in like $100. So you beat him in $ but lost in %
I want to buy CCL so bad. What's the move? Buying through the UK market. American market it's at $19 meanwhile British is at £11. Do I just buy on opening tomorrow?
I know this is not penny stock but i made 2700plus today with CCL
Also, FUCK this fool for fucking my CCL by mentioning taxing cruise lines and then never mentioning it again. Dropped $4-5 in a day because of him. Not a peep since. Where u at now? Why not say it again, tax em to hell! Also he said this about the Tariffs like what he prob would say to comfort a victim - “My advice to every country right now is: Do not retaliate. Sit back, take it in, let’s see how it goes. Because if you retaliate, there will be escalation. If you don’t retaliate, this is the high-water mark,” he warned.
I’ve been buying most of the morning. CCL BAC ULCC Will be bagging money in the next few years on those.
Be careful, compare Royal Caribbean and Carnival. Royal recovered after the last dip, CCL never did.
Anecdotally, a buddy of mine works with cruise line bookings (I think CCL) and says people are cancelling or postponing their cruises next winter. They're not comfortable dropping $5K on tropical vacation when they're unsure if they'll even have a job by Christmas. If the recession doesn't pan out then I'd expect that to come pouring back quick. But remember after '08, airlines spent the next decade collapsing and consolidating.