Reddit Posts
CROX Upside Potential $122.17
Wait! Another weekend? Another trade opportunity shared by Journalist: PAYPAL
CROX Net Margin Seasonality (ignoring 2020 COVID distortion)
CMG, CROX, LYV: I tried to diversify, but all of my stocks went down by 10%
$CROX Q2 earnings- a mixed bag earnings resulted in a -15% drop
Sold my ATVI stock and bought CMG, CROX, LYV, and NVIDIA
Nike stock cut to sell as U.S. business faces challenges
What are your emerging retail stocks for the future?
Review my stock choices and let's learn to build a portfolio together!
Crocs shares dip as light sales guide overshadows earnings beat (NASDAQ:CROX)
CROX is in free fall today after a decent earnings report. Can someone help me understand why this is?
Short sold at one price- 126.68 avg. Today, showing a lower price- 123.98. Why?
Roast my portfolio (only 6 stocks, with the reasoning behind them and value estimates)
Crocs stock pops as quarterly profits impress (NASDAQ:CROX)
CROX: I have seen the future and it is made of foam.
Is it time to sell Crocs(CROX) after 165% rally?
This is a real thing. Time to buy puts on CROX
CROX is outperforming TSLA on the 5Y chart
What are good P/E ratios for different sectors?
Do I belong here? / Share your profit/loss journey
What is the seekingalpha for chinses stocks, or the Twitter or Stocktwits for china. Forums for chinese listed companies in chinese.
CROX beats earnings estimates, records Q2 revenue growth of 51%
Crocs (CROX) Earnings Release is Today and is set to BEAT Expectations
Important DD/info about $CROX: Addison Rae —> Addison Rae wears Crocs —> Addison Rae wears $825 Croc Boots. Why is this stock have a P/E of 5 after raising guidance for 2022. The rich don’t stop spending in a recession and the poor don’t stop following the rich. Come on guys, we can do better! 🚀🚀🤣
$CROX Fan here! revenue forecast $3.5B for the year, Market cap today $3.4B!!
Crocs analysis and valuation - A potential bargain? (Value $154.85 vs price $82.7) $CROX
CROX FINALLY Hit Bottom - Here are 20 reasons I'm buying today and expecting big returns
CROCS Stock Analysis, BUY or SELL? $CROX 2022 Outlook.
CROX: Technical Analysis
CROX craters on news of an acquisition.
Here is a Market Recap for today Thursday, Dec 23, 2021. Merry Christmas!
Here is a Market Recap for today Thursday, Dec 23, 2021. Merry Christmas!
drunk rant: Whats up with $WISH? Seriously what was up with that?
Up $100K (36%) in a Month on Options: These 5 Things Are Working
Crocs ($CROX) beats Q3 earnings and revenue expectations
Easy money-$CROX still has plenty of room to run and will crush earnings next month
Crocs, an undervalued growth stock in the making $CROX
Crocs (CROX) should be inside you and your boomer parents portfolio now.
Crocs ($CROX) Posts Record Revenue 4th Quarter in a Row, Smashes Revenue and EPS Estimates
Because reasons my smooth brain can’t explain
Crocs ($CROX) YOLOO. Bumper earnings coming up in a week
$CROX-undervalued play, relatively low volatility and will be pushing $200-$250 by the end of the year
Mentions
I don’t see those investments as “long positions,” so yes, I would have stop losses in place. If I have a true long position such as a diversified index fund, then that’s a long position and it’s buy-hold while adding more to it over time as a DCA. I do buy individual stocks as investments/trades, and I keep stop losses on them. If there’s a major increase, then I’ll increase the percentage drop stop loss, but otherwise it’s 10%. For example, I bought CROX 5 months ago and it jumped 35%, but it sold-off last week so the trailing stop-loss kicked in at 10% decline. I bought LLY last year and it has increased by 120%, but I have a 25% trailing stop loss on that one.
Imagine taking profit knowing that people died for your gains, and then yolo'ing them into CROX calls.
Are you really new to the trading ? Seriously ? Here readers are well metured and smart. Ok.. 4 stocks in portfolio is good hit. I chose GOOGL, COIN, CROX & BRK.B.
[CROX releasing collaboration with Pringles to add a mini-Pringles can 'holster' to the shoe](https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/pringles-and-crocs-combine-fashion-and-flavor-with-a-one-of-a-kind-crush-boot-first-ever-crocs-inspired-crisps-and-more-delicious-designs-in-global-collection-302113250.html). And an [image from the article](https://i.imgur.com/xaUIz33.jpeg). Two thoughts: - Sell it all - How long before CROX announces a partnership with Smith and Weson for a firearm attachment to the clogs? It would be in good American tradition.
Buy ALAB. Sell CROX. Sell DKNG. For my algo overlords
Backstory: me and my then 12y/o daughter tried to buy GME when the hype started, first time buying stock for both. She'd actually had her own CashApp she never told me about, and must have lied about her age or something cause it let her trade stocks.. But it was same day Buy button for GME got turned off. So she clicked around bought CROX instead. CROX @ $77. Ima show her this tonight she's going flip out!! Cheers.
DFV is u/DeepFuckingValue aka Roaring Kitty who posted his GME DD here years ago, went bank on cheap af calls, kinda like your puts, about 3 yrs ago this week think. IMO the type of batshit crazy trade that makes r/wsb great and why i'm here. You load up on weekly OTM, puts on CROX, f'ing CROX!! .5 min spreads, low IV, expiring weeks before earnings, posted it, and then. This why I come to this sub.
Bruh, you be like the DFV of CROX …
Don't want to miss CROX again. I'm going to slowly work into a scattered call cluster with q3 expiry
It's mostly a nice assurance that trends aren't dying out. Not only was SBUX wildly popular in the older generation, it continues to remain popular among the younger ones. And the preferences of kids often passes the other way to their parents since they will go to the same locations or try the same products. Moreover, when we're talking caffeinated products, important to note that they are addictive. So while this may not apply to say CROX or ELF, having teens hooked on caffeinated drinks is definitely something that will continue into college / 20s.
From the Piper Sandler survey of teens: > Restaurants and Food Our spring survey features a new category which measures preferences of coffee, tea or beverage chains. **Starbucks ranked first among teens with 37% share**. Chick-fil-A remains the number one favorite restaurant. In the energy drink space, > Celsius over-indexes with teens, with 17% citing it as their favorite energy drink brand (vs. ~12% market; Red Bull and Monster under index. Great news for Celsius + Starbucks. Those teens will soon become adults with more money to spend on their favorite energy drinks + coffee. Though tbh SBUX is probably just #1 because they don't know many coffee chains and Starbucks have locations everywhere. ELF remains the #1 cosmetic brand. Kinda disappointed not to see CROX anywhere. Maybe more popular among younger kids and adults simultaneously?
Congratulations, and fuck you.... Seriously, CROX not what comes to mind for options, especially weeklies!! I been following for years, own shares @ $84, I'll be looking for your post later, good job!!
CROX and ANF maybe getting interesting? Also can't decide if I want to fuck with ALT and ADEA
Tough one CROX is the better company, no question. Is now the best time to buy it after the staggering rally it's had? Not sure.
If you had to pick one, would you pick UAA or CROX?
I mean some brands do really well. Like $DECK owns HOKA and UGGS and that stock is pretty much better than any tech stock in terms of performance. Also $CROX has been solid. Just in general, just not a fan of owning a retail company.
Will you rebalance CROX/ MA / MCK to VOO?
What happening with CROX ?
Yes it is way beyond crazy. I’ve asked many times but still haven’t seen a single good argument for BROS over SBUX. But there are many cases like this on the sub. It’s like people putting money into BIRK over CROX for example. Or TTWO over NTDOY is another example.
Your average is beating the S&P 500 by 3.14% (the nerd in me is gonna call that a win), that's a win in my book. You said you were long on 7 stocks that would outperform the S&P, in fact here is a quote pulled form that post: "None of my stocks will change the world as I see it, nor will they go bankrupt tomorrow. They're boring, extremely non-sexy, but generate real cash flow." Sounds like you made some good picks based on what you thought. Yes CROX is carrying some weight so far, 25% through the year, so good pick! But nobody knows where things will go, we all just speculate, congrats on your outperform!
CROX worked magic for me too. Thinking of selling it now though. Looks like it's run its course for now.
[You can see all my CROX commentary here](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1bj9efi/rstocks_daily_discussion_wednesday_mar_20_2024/kvshy00/) (in the attached links)
What's your long-term outlook on CROX? Think it pushes back towards or past its ATH, or starts to settle into this $135-150 range and consolidates? Wish I had trusted my gut and bought more before it broke past $120.
[All my 2024 predictions are here](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/18xgbhu/rstocks_daily_discussion_wednesday_jan_03_2024/kg6vrx8/). Though I think I was a bit too gloomy on oil. TLDR: > Short: AAPL (-15%); PSCE (-10%); MPW (-20%); TSLA (-20%); VALE (-5% as iron ore rally breaks down); US natural gas producers. > Top 5 Picks, say equal weighted: CELH + CROX + DAKT + ENPH + UI. (I don't hold CELH/ENPH, but may in near future)
Ok peeps CROX whats going on
That's great, but stuff like that will work until it doesn't. If you found something that works for you, I'd stay stick with it, however, long term success might not be there as well as just the time sunk into what you are doing compared to just sitting and waiting. I don't think the market is "manipulated" but I do think larger whales have more sway over what happens, but that goes back to the idea of just buying and holding things. All that movement you are talking about is a short term. Don't get me wrong, sometimes it pays off to be contrarian or do go to the beat up sector, but sometimes it won't work. Like even with CROX that you pointed out elsewhere. What if you did Footlocker instead of CROX. you'd be thinking a bit different than just buy low beat up names.
That's what I asked about CROX @ $90. Who buys plastic slippers? Here we are @ $140. That's what I asked about Spotify. WTH is potify anyway? Ive never heard someone say they use it. It's making new ATH every day. That's what I asked about facebook. Only grandmas and granpas use it now in the USA. Here we are @ $500. Investing doesn't have to make sense. Buy low sell high.
What a day, get your CROX calls on discount 5/17 140c for earnings
CROX calls were the play all along.
what a tear $CROX has been on this year love my rubber shoes
$T was a good play for me. When the lead cable news came out in July I loaded in the 13s. I’ve lost good money on memes/penny stocks but one technique that seems to produce reliable results is buying during maximum negative sentiment. BUD, CROX, etc. examples of plays that made money
CROX (corcs )is way better than Nike IMO. Crocs also owning Haydude brand. These brands are Gen-Z brands.
I feel amazing with small caps where they are now. Been in a regional bank since the weeks after SIVB last year and up very nicely in EWBC. also started buying CROX last year and after some pain for a while, the position is up over 50%. Got into oil and commodities late last year into February also. Up over 30% in FANG, over 20% on FCX. And I feel like these stocks are nowhere near the top with small caps and cyclicals where they are.
CROX continues to go up
I have a pretty big stake in AVUV and AVDV for my small cap exposure, to the point that they are 21% of my entire portfolio across my Roth/Taxable. I also do own many individual small and mid caps. However, my broad thesis about small cap value, [laid out here](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/y9xr61/theres_more_to_index_funds_and_stocks_than_vti/), does not imply much about the attractiveness of individual small cap stocks. There is enormous variance in the fundamentals of small caps that you have to just research them individually. Small cap ETFs can be like minefields sometimes, e.g., regional banks that can get 0-ed out in a heartbeat, but thankfully AVUV is very diversified and not top-heavy whatsoever. My reasons for holding the small/mid caps I do (AMR, BTU, HCC, UI, CROX, CELH, DAKT, RCM, CLFD, just to name a few) have nearly nothing to do with my bullishness on AVUV.
Nobody mentioned it anywhere today or yesterday, but CELH is expanding to Australia/New Zealand! (On top of Ireland/Canada/UK). It looks like they made some deal with Pepsi to possibly give up margins in return for faster growth? And some analyst reduced the PT. Nothing is really known just yet about the details of this agreement. One of my bear cases for CELH is that Pepsi just buys the whole thing and caps the return. Without reflecting any of this past week's news, I still think CELH is roughly around fair value (+/- 10%). Coal had a nice day it seems. HCC +4% (I'm back in the green), AMR/BTU +2.5%. And small/mid caps more generally: AVUV + 2.3% (I get taken aback on days like this because I forgot just how much money I've invested in AVUV and what a +2% day now means for me). AVDV + 0.9%. UI +4%. CLFD +6%. CROX +2%, DAKT +2.7%.
SMTC and CROX saving me. NVDA you suck
Here's the makeup of my portfolio at close today: 34.01% -- $VOO 12.64% -- $LVMUY (LVMH) 11.56% -- $AXP 11.47% -- $DTE 10.00% -- $CROX 5.83% -- $FSELX 5.69% -- $H 4.32% -- $KO 3.63% -- $SCS I try to play it safe with two thirds of my portfolio: a minimum of 33% of my portfolio stays in VOO, and I try to keep another \~33% in stable blue chips like AXP, KO, and LVMUY (LVMH). That last third gets split up between between stable speculative plays (DTE and SCS due to yield with some strong upside potential as well) and more volatile speculative plays like semi-conductors with FSELX, retail/apparel with CROX, and luxury and business travel with H.
CROX will be my play this week. I feel like everyone is hyping CCL and that's got me on edge on that one lol
Get you CROX calls for next month ER now and sell before the ER. 4/26 150c. Crocs have been kicking ass.
CROX the true retail fashion of America. 
Thats 100% valid, I just prefer share cannibals like AZO/CROX/MCK Different strokes for different folks
DD or just gut feeling like I did with CROX today lol
Not sure, tbh I don't really follow market action for SBUX. I just chalk everything up to China. SBUX down? Weak consumer in China. HCC down? Chinese steel markets in a glut. CROX? Chinese counterfeits competing with it. META down? China's US social media ban getting priced in finally. China China China.
if youre new to money and have no clue where to park it, just use common sense along with some effort/discovery. Simple analogy - CROX i see many people wear them, i happened to see many retail outlets garnered attention for being fashionably ugly(no publicity is bad publicity) manufacturing it seemed simple yet brand was important. crox was my best bet, sitting at 160% returns. if you cant use common sense then crossing the street is in itself a gamble. No amount of spreadsheet data is going to beat a well thought of story, and gosh does tesla have many stories to tell. AI is, currently and for the foreseeable future, the name of the game; with AGI being termed as a new species amongst us. The first step is to believe in that notion/concept/idea, the general philosophy of your investment has to stem from this, mine was the idea that AGI is here to takeover and drive our lives to be more efficient and productive. Tesla cars are literally robots running around in our streets with the current fsd 12.3 stack, so will teslabot (optimus)in the near future. if that future doesnt make sense to you then, DO NOT invest in tesla. Tesla is the perfect stock for a newbie to buy because their programs are transparent and currently used in the real world. Elon as a chief is even more transparent than others through is views shared on X. now on to the next step, breaking it down by revenue streams. TESLA = Electric cars+ FSD/robotaxi+ energy The auto industry is a cyclical industry, with interest rates as high as theyve been for a while and uncertainty in china it is obvious for revenues from auto sales to take a hit and thats where youre seeing the topline take a hit. Tesla margins are the best in the industry and the envy of their competitors because elon has redefined the way cars are manufactured in the factory and then sells cars directly to customers. .. Couple great cars with great self driving software the two acting as a symbiotic relationship with one another your going to have unbeatable sales with formidable margins. Add to that Robo taxis and self sustainable household energy. youve got yourself a company with a unique business and no competition in sight. my two cents, its getting late here.
NKE better not take my boy CROX down tomorrow
NKE is garbage. And will get worse before (if) it gets better. The news around the business is just terrible and consumer fatigue is at an all time high. Just read up on any of their key pillars (Jordan brand as an example). CROX fam preach! 🐊
Based on guidance, it looks like you can buy a faster growing company with better gross margins at a 60% valuation discount in the form of CROX... Though I am getting the impression the worst is near over for Nike. 13% reduction in inventory is pretty good. LULU also reported 9% reduction in inventory. If retail companies are finally getting inventory down to manageable levels, could be a sign the bottom is here for earnings growth.
To further your point, Nike as a brand in the West has always relied on star athletes (MJ, Tiger Woods, LeBron, etc) to promote the brand and "influence" you to buy the shoes. With the sea of influencers on social media promoting other brands and having a significant sway.. NIKE go down. You want a real winner, take a look at CROX and the trashbag feet people with their trash bag feet kids out in the wild.
I sold the rally at +6% on CROX. Will buy back in a few days. Selling large rallies has been working well for me this year, because next day or two it usually dips. I'm exiting CROX after another +10%. After that I rate it as a hold, though I'll have deeper value elsewhere to put my money in.
Thanks to the guy who mentioned CROX last week. We printing.
Don’t waste your time with these fools. They’re the same people that shit on META at lows, they shit on NFLX at lows, they shit on XOM at lows, they shit on CROX at lows, DKNG, VZ, list goes on and will forever. They simply don’t like to make money. And they shit on PYPL, now at lows. Let’s see how this one turns out - I’m with you and I’ll be watching. Sure, it’s not as straightforward as some of the others mentioned, but sometimes people forget there are thousands of employees working these profitable companies, all working to try and sustain their business and future.
Day three of looking for people with CROX positions
My only worry with CROX is like all things fashion it is cyclical. But they seem to have a very loyal customer base among millennials and gen z that makes me think they will be lifetime users.
Not unconventional but here are unloved businesses from my portfolio: Footwear: **CROX** - big fan of their products and marketing strategy. The numbers speak for themselves if anyone puts in the bare minimum of effort to understand their business and business performance. Trades at 10X after a 40% run up in recent months. Blows my mind people are still putting money into NKE or BIRK or ONON by comparison. Consumer: **MODG** - Never golfed a day in my life but a big believer in their business. Boyar Research has done some good work on this. Here's a [video from Yet Another Value Podcast](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUDrpKMszCA) where this is discussed. Here's an [interview with their CEO](https://overcast.fm/+M3iOKrRAo) on The World According to Boyar. It's a very capital intensive business but should pay off big over the long term.
The chart is incredibly deceptive at best. > Represents market share across Sexual Health, Dermatology and Mental Health * BetterHelp only offers mental health services * Curology only offers dermatological products This would be similar to NKE saying they're taking market share in footwear but comparing themselves to CROX and BIRK.
I wonder why I lose money. Im long CROX, and was just about to pick up a pair for myself at a reasonable $30, but on the way there saw a pair of knock offs at dollarama (which I sold before it's massive run up two years ago) for $5
[A somewhat unsettling graph on net-charge-offs for Capital One](https://i.imgur.com/CdCjvG5.jpeg). What makes this most unsettling was it was posted by one of the most bullish (but serious) [accounts on Twitter](https://twitter.com/wabuffo/status/1768705094151794840), who, by the way, has otherwise nailed his predictions of strong US macro the past 2 years. [Similar trend for Synchrony Financials](https://twitter.com/wabuffo/status/1768704008061956475). By contrast, though, "JPMorgan credit card delinquency, net charge-off rates slide in February." So this could just reflect different levels of exposure to subprime credit borrowers. Granted you could still have macro be largely unaffected by subprime borrowers experiencing some credit stress, since generally most Americans have strong credit / balance sheets and will continue spending as usual. --- Anyway today's buys: $200 of VXUS, $200 of VTI, 2 shares AVUV, 3 shares AVDV. RCM is looking a bit odd, as it's just under the price offered by one of its bidders. So market must suspect they simultaneously reject this offer, don't get a higher one, and then fail to execute. HCC/AMR appear to have stabilized finally. CVS has been pretty strong recently. JPM to ATH. CROX just shy of $130.
But why is everyone so interested in buying stocks that have already made +100%? Sorry, not to upset or mock, but $DECK has already made +80%. It's like buying ANF or RL today. IMpossible for me. Same for $CROX. The train has left, too bad.
What do you mean "on a monthly basis"? You keep saying that in your post. NKE is overvalued and all the news surrounding the business is predominantly negative. I may be biased but I'm only putting my money into CROX in footwear.
Lol same, never had a CELH nor worn CROX
Hey brothers unite in some CELH and CROX - maybe sip some celsius out of a clean crocs slipper? I don't drink celcius and don't wear crocs (I have a pair of Hoka recovery slides so I'm getting closer), but don't want to fight the trends of the masses. Still smh for not buying DECK at $275 considering how many pairs of Hoka's I continue to shell out for.
If we’re speculating on brand names, I’d rather just buy more CROX.
CROX TO $133 call 3/24 exp
Found another [CROX](https://open.substack.com/pub/kairosresearch/p/crocs-cultish-casual-and-cheap?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=23ti9i) write up, for those who are interested.
[I have done a valuation of CROX again using Damodaran's spreadsheet](https://i.imgur.com/XEKg7Pv.png), fair value $213 (58% higher). Unlike [my own spreadsheet](https://i.imgur.com/scYupxH.png) which just uses a 15% discount rate, this estimates intrinsic value using the actual cost of capital. (My model has intrinsic value of 110, but it is also very conservative) For revenue growth I use 5% for next year (high end of guidance) and then 10% for years 2-5, then convergence back to risk-free rate. I think this will be easy to beat. [If you want to see the inputs I used in this spreadsheet, check here](https://i.imgur.com/u4X9fII.png). And I [separately capitalized operating leases](https://i.imgur.com/RVmpPvM.png).
I like the stock! Let’s go CROX
What do I need to understand for investing in REITs to not be stupid? TLDR; O & ABR APPEAR to be quite discounted at present. How do I understand how REITs make money and how to value them? Would these be good buys? At 33, I'm new to investing. about 3 years ago, I started an IRA and max that every year. Passive global equity indexing is my bread and butter, followed by actively managed US small cap value exposure. I also have a taxable account that I'm treating like a savings account for a house downpayment (miniature dollhouse with a puddle-side view). In my taxable account, I'd say 50% of my holdings are in individual companies. More purchases were made based on the convictions of others than I'd like to admit. I hold BTI, WM, CROX, CVS, CP, KO, ALB, MO and some others. The truth is that I don't understand any of these industries deeply. Many renown investors have advised over the years that if you don't understand an industry/business that you want to invest in, you'd probably be better off buying index funds. I've been shooting from the hip a little and I'm wanting to reel things back in and try my hand at doing a proper valuation. How would I go about understanding REITs specifically? Or any other industry for that matter? I appreciate any and all advice. Hope you all have a great start to your week!
Continuing with some more weekend DD (you can find my takes on AMR/HCC/RCM below). Now I'm on Crox. I've mentioned before I've done some [simple DCF modelling before](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1arcj33/rstocks_daily_discussion_options_trading_thursday/kqllmgj/) and my conclusion is the stock is fairly valued using consensus revenue estimates and very conservative multiples. But if you allow for multiple expansion the stock is very undervalued. I consider these 'base cases' though. How about a more dramatic bull case? Someone who sees a triple? For that, I recommend reading this [VIC write-up](https://valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/CROCS_INC/0600213403) on CROX from August 2023. This author clearly knows this company inside-out and presents some very intriguing points on why you should look past Hey Dude weaknesses and why this is a management to trust. Also, I would read all 27 comments for some back and forth. I'll give a brief summary of some of the most interesting points: - The reason Hey Dude seems to have decelerated so viciously was due to pipeline fill. CROX bought Hey Dude and needed to distribute it to its existing channels. This means a sharp one-time increase in wholesale purchases just to get it on the shelves, so the comparables were always going to look rough. If you strip out the portion of demand that is actual consumer sales, that looks like much steadier growth. It's also likely CROX messed up and put out too much product on the shelves, forcing discounts. But it's been a few quarters and by now the worst of the inventory overhang on the shelves is over. - Hey Dude hasn't actually finished expanding internationally - It's only 20% of the business and 80% is their stronger Crocs brand - They have swiftly met their net leverage targets and are now open to massive share buybacks (now at 1.3x net debt / EBITDA, in their target of 1 to 1.5) - This company has often had periods of mispricing which leads to huge opportunities. The company nearly 20xed from Covid lows. - Insiders are showing confidence with many buy signals - The pre-2017 business saw terrible management, and the company has fundamentally improved since then with their new marketing strategies, no more channel stuffing (which forced discounts of CROX by third-party sellers). - There has been a cultural shift around wearing CROX that occurred around Covid time but is persisting. (But it's also happening in China, suggesting this is not some fad unique to the US) Long story short, this guy gives several scenarios with fair value ranging from $73 to $538. Read the whole write-up to see which scenario seems most reasonable to you. I came away thinking my own modelling was way too conservative, and I now believe the company is still quite undervalued. I may add more shares in the near future. Position: Shares at $87 cost basis, 1% of port. ---- On a separate note, but on December 3rd, 2023 I wrote about a company called ORN. I didn't really take a long or short viewpoint on it, was just summarizing it. But it appears the long story is seemingly working out, with the company's stock up 38% since then. They provide marine infrastructure services, some of which is very specialized underwater operations. It's a very deep value type of company, with past issues of horrible margins in some of its acquired businesses. The bull case is that management finally starts targeting high margin business and not just adding sales for the sake of adding sales. I'm still not interested in the company but mentioning it in case anyone is.
I have both right now, the stock call outs are pretty good but almost all the same type. Breakout consolidation, his style is to try and catch the 2nd leg up after the 1st one. AMD, CAVA, CROX are some of his current underway plays. He has NVDA, COIN, UBER, MAR as potential longs atm going into next week
|Companies|Allocation| |:-|:-| |NXST|17.75%| |UVE|14.50%| |BWMX|14.50%| |STLA|10.00%| |ALSN|9.00%| |BTI|9.00%| |CROX|7.75%| |ACGL|6.75%| |VLO|4.75%| |TUI|1.75%| (34.00% discretionary;; 21.25% financial; 17.75% comm; 9.00% industrial; 9.00% staple; 4.75% oil) (29.00% small cap; 36.25% mid cap; 30.50% large cap) (3.82% dividend; 1.06 beta)
Currently my portfolio is roughly 70% index funds, which are partitioned into something resembling VT with a very heavy small cap value tilt (AVUV + AVDV) relative to the market. 30% is individual stocks (too much, I know). Includes a wide variety of blue chips, megacap tech, coal, and a few assorted small/mid caps (e.g., CROX). All individual stocks are US. I'm a year out from finishing my PhD and hope to substantially raise my income after that.
CROX is a better investment in every single respect.
I've been doing some research into the payment space to understand it better. A great and very light intro on the subject is "Anatomy of a Swipe". It's about 240 pages but lots of pictures and they keep repeating concepts in different bite-size ways to make it easily digestible. I finished in like 3 days. Highly recommend it to others: https://www.amazon.com/Anatomy-Swipe-Making-Money-Move/dp/1641374470 Anyways, I've come to the conclusion that PYPL is not only not dead, but its moat and core competency is still intact with opportunities to continue strengthening it. However weaknesses are real and need to be clearly stated: * Hasn't been innovating enough in all the ways the payment space is changing. Focusing on Braintree is good though. * The payment is space is wide and extremely rich in diversity. For example, technically even Uber and Lyft are payment companies. They pioneered having cash available to drivers immediately. It was a game changer for them. Now all 1099 gig companies will be like this. Merchants, contractors that have earned cash want the ability to get it immediately instead of two weeks or month later. * Increasingly merchants want lots of different services and tools to reduce expense management, control spending (devs can create custom code to limit restaurant bills entertaining for example), and PayPal probably needs to do better on this front. * PayPal's fees are among the highest and obviously merchants do not like them. Cutting those to compete could destroy margins. They do have one massive strength. Their buyer protection and brand power is actually still pretty amazing among many consumers. Extremely generous 180 day period to get a refund. For reasonably sized purchases where risk of getting scammed, it is considered a godsend. Here is an example from the wiki of r_backslash_artcomissions (mods don't allow the normal link I think). >**Use PayPal and use buyer protection.** >If an artist doesn’t accept PayPal I won’t even consider the notion of a commission. PayPal is that important. If you use almost any other form of payment you open yourself to fraud as your means of disputing the transaction are almost entirely in the hands of the other party. >PayPal has a generous 180 day dispute period, and I encourage you to familiarize yourself with the process. I have personally used PayPal safely to buy stuff from really far away countries that I wouldn't feel great just mailing a check or other payment service. I have read other stories of people buying a high quality guitar, vintage collectibles, etc. This explains why revenue and income can slowly increase if they invest in maintaining the value proposition of protecting consumers and keep developing Braintree. Ultimately the network processors like MC and V set the gold standard on how to lucratively play this space. You are the trusted middle man and you keep doubling down to make sure trust is high. Also Amex charges insane fees and merchants balk but still accept it because they know their consumers won't budge on using it, willing to go elsewhere. So while PayPal needs to stay vigilant and lots of potential disruptors, plus risk of brand erosion, I do not believe it is dead. Shoutout to u/AP9384629344432 for getting me on this play, got in PYPL at $53.00. Hope you are still holding or benefited from CROX! It's arguably a bit rich now and revenue was disappointing in 4Q, but I am still holding.
I've been doing some research into the payment space to understand it better. A great and very light intro on the subject is "Anatomy of a Swipe". It's about 240 pages but lots of pictures and they keep repeating concepts in different bite-size ways to make it easily digestible. I finished in like 3 days. Highly recommend it to others: https://www.amazon.com/Anatomy-Swipe-Making-Money-Move/dp/1641374470 Anyways, I've come to the conclusion that PYPL is not only not dead, but its moat and core competency is still intact with opportunities to continue strengthening it. However weaknesses are real and need to be clearly stated: * Hasn't been innovating enough in all the ways the payment space is changing. Focusing on Braintree is good though. * The payment is space is wide and extremely rich in diversity. For example, technically even Uber and Lyft are payment companies. They pioneered having cash available to drivers immediately. It was a game changer for them. Now all 1099 gig companies will be like this. Merchants, contractors that have earned cash want the ability to get it immediately instead of two weeks or month later. * Increasingly merchants want lots of different services and tools to reduce expense management, control spending (devs can create custom code to limit restaurant bills entertaining for example), and PayPal probably needs to do better on this front. * PayPal's fees are among the highest and obviously merchants do not like them. Cutting those to compete could destroy margins. However they have one massive strength. Their buyer protection and brand power is actually still pretty amazing among many consumers. Extremely generous 180 day refund period. For reasonably sized purchases where risk of getting scammed, it is considered a godsend. Here is an example from the wiki of r_slash_artcomissions (mods don't allow the normal link I think). >**Use PayPal and use buyer protection.** >If an artist doesn’t accept PayPal I won’t even consider the notion of a commission. PayPal is that important. If you use almost any other form of payment you open yourself to fraud as your means of disputing the transaction are almost entirely in the hands of the other party. >PayPal has a generous 180 day dispute period, and I encourage you to familiarize yourself with the process. I have personally used PayPal safely to buy stuff from really far away countries that I wouldn't feel great just mailing a check or other payment service. I have read other stories of people buying a high quality guitar, vintage collectibles, etc. This explains why revenue and income can slowly increase if they invest in maintaining the value proposition of protecting consumers and keep developing Braintree. Ultimately the network processors like MC and V set the gold standard on how to lucratively play this space. You are the trusted middle man and you keep doubling down to make sure trust is high. Also Amex charges insane fees and merchants balk but still accept it because they know their consumers won't budge on using it, willing to go elsewhere. So while PayPal needs to stay vigilant and lots of potential disruptors, plus risk of brand erosion, I do not believe it is dead. Shoutout to u/AP9384629344432 for getting me on this play, got in PYPL at $53.00. Hope you are still holding or benefited from CROX! It's arguably a bit rich now and revenue was disappointing in 4Q, but I am still holding.
The CROX stay on during the sex
Birk will run into the same problem that Yeti has which is can it expand out from its singular product. Looking at comparables tho, CROX is up all time, YETI is kind of listless. BIRK was always well run, so I’d be all in on calls for now, but on LEAPs. The PE ratio is a hangover from the IPO and will settle in over time or should only trim ever so slightly every ER.
Hoping to print money with these CROX puts
Despite my boneheaded move on LUNR, my three other picks CROX, ONON, and CELH has been doing well so maybe i'm only 25% regarded. Taking 2/3rd off the CELH position tomorrow before ER even though i'm confident they'll beat cause market's 100% regarded.
Yo, is CROX going to pop off this week ????
USO; K; HE; CELH; FTNT; MRO; WM; ICLN; ABBV; CROX They are using sonic attacks on me. Google "Havanah Syndrome"
My life depends on CROX, ONON, and CELH performance in March
Anyone have any links to readings/analysis for the international equity earnings outlook for 2024 or onward? I can find loads of articles on the S&P 500's earnings estimates (e.g. FactSet's earnings insights), broken down by sector or other categories. Discussion on international equities is often long term focused, about how in history the US/ex-US alternate between outperforming the other. I'm not really interested in that right now. I want to see what the estimates are for earnings growth the next 2-3, so I can make back-of-the-envelope calculations on what kind of returns would be reasonable while keeping the multiple in a certain range. In short, anyone have any tactical (anti-Boglehead / pro-market timing) and earnings-driven bearish/bullish arguments for ex-US stocks? Let me explain what I'm *not* interested in, not that you should let that stop you: - Historical data on ex-US/US cycles - Relative valuation of US vs. ex-US / mean reversion arguments - Why America is awesome - Why you don't trust Chinese stocks - Why you should just buy Mag 7 (I'll admit it's getting a bit annoying when you write a post/comment about some unrelated stock/topic and people immediately pounce with their opinions on Mag 7; look I love META but sometimes I just want to talk about CROX) - S&P 500 is already internationally diversified - The value (or lack thereof) of diversification Those are all interesting questions/takes but not really what I'm asking for / have been discussed to death here. Thanks in advance!
**Your scorecard:** |Stock|Recommendation|Result| |:-|:-|:-| |[DKNG](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1arg0t2/dkng_and_dash_earnings_after_the_bell_time_to/)|Calls|*💸* or ❌ (depending on call strike and sell time)| |[DASH](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1arg0t2/dkng_and_dash_earnings_after_the_bell_time_to/)|Puts|*💸* | |[UPWK](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aqnbm3/earning_plays_for_max_tendies_tonight/)|Calls|❌ | |[CROX](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aqnbm3/earning_plays_for_max_tendies_tonight/)|Calls|*💸* | |[FSLY](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aqnbm3/earning_plays_for_max_tendies_tonight/)|Cals|❌ | |[QS](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aqnbm3/earning_plays_for_max_tendies_tonight/)|Puts|*💸* | |[ABNB](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aq456f/earning_plays_for_tonight_and_tomorrow_morning/)|Puts|*💸* | |[HOOD](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aq456f/earning_plays_for_tonight_and_tomorrow_morning/)|Calls|*💸* | |[LYFT](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aq456f/earning_plays_for_tonight_and_tomorrow_morning/)|Calls|*💸* | |[KHC](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aq456f/earning_plays_for_tonight_and_tomorrow_morning/)|Calls|❌ | Godspeed.
Roll my CROX winnings into ONON and CELH?
I legitimately think this is retail investors greatest edge, paired with a basic understanding of reading financials you can do great. Over the years my best returns have come from this. NVDA, SHOP, INTU, CROX, AMZN, NFLX, AAPL, META
CROX. I bought Crocs 3 years ago after going in one of the stores. Place was packed. I spent close to $130 on 3 pairs for my boys and some jibbitz. When I was checking out I asked the lady if they were always that busy. She said, “We get a delivery every two days because we sell out.” I went home and bought 100 shares.
I’m with you on CROX because it has consumer sentiment behind it. Not as convinced with the other plays but I’m happy to start buying LEAPS on CROX as it’s been on my radar awhile