Reddit Posts
SK Hynix Says Three Years of DRAM, HBM Output Sold Out
MU YOLO: The Memory Super Cycle Is Not Peaking — It’s Broadening. 31% Upside to $1,400
AI Cycle Extends, Earnings Take Center Stage and the Fed
SK Hynix shares jump 11% after record quarterly profit, outperforming broader market
Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance Seek 10-Year DRAM Long-Term Contracts with Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix
DRAM DD: I spent $500k worth of AI tokens this month
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix eye $139 billion combined Q3 profit on AI chips
Where will DRAM by end of next year ?
Samsung Shareholder Returns Could Top 600 Trillion Won (453 billion USD) Over Next 3 Years
All eyez on $NLST now, google and SK case after $1.4 billion deal with Samsung and micron
Samsung Electronics Forecasts $420 Billion Operating Profit in 2027 Despite Stock Slump. HBM Prices to Rise 100–150%
Korean Chip Stocks Slide on China's DRAM Push
ASML and TSMC report back to back this week, and I think ASML’s own guidance has set a harder bar than people realise
Micron's CEO was asked if memory pricing holds into 2028. He answered a different question.
$NLST is changing the rules of the dram business with its patents
Another record quarter from MU, down 2%: why estimates are not expectations
PCE came out as outlined in yesterday's write-up, MU Earnings Review and a More Bullish Q4 Setup
MU update – dropped to $1,054 ahead of Wednesday earnings
What is the bull case for Micron and Sandisk beyond rising AI demand?
Possible Squeeze with NetList (NLST)
What is the bull case for Micron and Sandisk beyond rising AI demand?
AMAT: I Bought The Shovel Seller Instead Of The Gold Miner.
Im taking out an 800,000 loan and I'm taking stock suggestions
Why is SK Hynix losing so much market share and should investors be concerned?
Samsung Developing 8-Layer HBM4E Custom-Built for Nvidia, Targeting Transfer Speeds Up to 18Gbps
South Korea proposes record $597 billion 2027 budget to supercharge AI investment 🔥
SK hynix Eyes Intel Foundry for HBM4E Base Die Manufacturing
Samsung locks up most memory capacity for big tech (HBM spot prices surge) - Trendforce
NVDA Confirms the Memory Bottleneck, PCE Stays Mechanically Hot & Positioning Turns Bullish Into Jackson Hole
Nvidia customers notified about AI-related price hikes above 15%
CXMT planned to use stolen Samsung IP to develop its DRAM: former Samsung engineer who jumped to Chinese memory maker now behind bars
SK hynix & memory stocks are likely to have a rough next 5 days (KOSPI 5 day leveraged trading delay for new investors)
Will DRAM soon have option expiring on Mondays and Wednesdays too ?
forgot about this account and accidentally came back to over 100% gain from NBIG!
VIX Buying Points to a Short-Term Pullback Next Week but SPY Could Still Squeeze Above $780
What are your Top ETFs Picks so far this year? Beyond VOO, VT, VXUS?
SPY Is Coiling Below $775 What Could Trigger the Breakout
Samsung has surpassed the 80% HBM4 yield, entering the 'golden yield' phase, with third-quarter revenue expected to triple
I trade for a living - why I’m still bullish into CPI and the levels I’m trading on SPY, QQQ, oil and DRAM
Micron $MU reportedly can’t even meet half of the data center memory demand
Netlist (NLST) - Samsung settlement (8/5/26) and what comes next
Riddle me this: What should Micron’s lower price be?
After DRAM ETF …. Round Hill Investment released two new ETFS this month (NCLD & LYTE). How likely are you to buy them ?
SK Hynix to Invest 54 Trillion Won in Semiconductor Facilities. New Plants in Yongin, Cheongju to Produce Next-Gen DRAM, NAND by 2029
$1,510,891.00 in one month. Up 8,376% AMA
$1 billion of iPhone 18 Pro chips 'on the shelves awaiting packaging' due to DRAM shortages
CXMT Says No Thank You to Apple’s Demand For A Price Cut, as Huawei And Xiaomi Hand It Rare Leverage – Report
Memory capacity for all of 2027 has reportedly been booked and sold, with no more DRAM or HBM available
Why is it that retail sold semiconductors stocks are at 20x the average pace? All while memory prices hit records. Explain?
Forward P/E is a bad metric to use when valuing cyclical stocks.
Forward P/E is a bad metric to use when valuing cyclical stocks.
202k Recent Losses (Positions attached)
What do you think will be the next product everyone wishes they had bought earlier?
Memory prices are quietly destroying demand for non-AI devices, June China smartphone shipments -17% YoY
We are literally reliving 1999 and just calling it “AI infrastructure” instead of “the internet.”
SK Hynix Rises Over 15% as Citi Says Chinese Memory Makers Won’t Impact Market in Short Term, Memory Tightness to Last Until at Least 2027
Selling $DRAM (up 13% today), evaluating alternatives.
Shorting SNDK to fund the MU long, anyone else playing this pairs trade in semis?
"Buy the dip" but ok what is the final dip after -40% of loss ?
Samsung Expands Hwaseong Fab to Break DRAM Bottleneck. Capacity to Grow 15% by Year-End
Samsung Prepares HBM5 Production, Targets 50% Speed Boost With 2nm Process
SK Hynix Q2 2026 Print: Revenue Surges 257% YoY to ₩79.3T as Operating Margin Hits a Mind-Boggling 76%! HBM4 Mass Shipments Underway. But Share Price plunged 22% to $130.
SK Hynix $SKYH Earnings Shed Light on Memory Capacity and Demand
Chip Rout Deepens on China Competition, Circular Funding Fears
Is the memory trade dead? I'm buying SNDK and DRAM etf
China’s CXMT Surges 466% in Asia’s Largest IPO of 2026
CXMT gained nearly $500B in one day
Are US Tech and Semiconductors still a good investment?
Top ways to invest in innovative companies through ETFs? High risk appetite
Mentions
lol the losers here thinking DRAM will help them escape the cycle of perpetual poverty 😂🫵
I am bullish on all, recently added DRAM, and long time holder of AMZN, MSFT and NVDA. If you were to give me the choice, you can be all in on DRAM or, all in on AMZN/MSFT/NVDA at equal weight, and cannot sell for 5 years, I'm without hesitation going with the latter. Ther latter group's success is driven by IP and products and services that you could potentially replace, but at lesser quality. The former group is selling commodity products and just taking advantage of bidding war markup to create their margin. One of these models has already created decade or decades of dominance. Other is riding a roller coaster of supply and demand dynamics. Now I'm invested in DRAM because the party isn't stopping for the next 2-3 years and potentially even more. But the underlying strength (or lack of) of the company is the reason why you see different valuation scale across the 2 groups. I plug RAM or storage into industry standard socket/connector and it works, doesn't matter which brand and it's equivalent performance. I swap NVDA AI GPU for AMD AI GPU, and well I lost 2 decades of CUDA advancements, and the very framework on which AI was developed past decade.
It’s actually insane. I don’t play DRAM it’s 5% for days in a row. The SECOND I play it, -5%. EVERY.SINGLE.TIME
No lol. There are lots of Americans invested in DRAM or EWY
Samsung will take DRAM and SOXX to the moon
How high is SK gonna carry my DRAM bags?
That’s why DRAM was always the play.
The cycle is guarteed to last for at least 5 to 10 years due to LTAs, here's something really interesting from the earnings call : "By increasing LTA coverage, our goal is to improve **longer-term demand visibility**, which can lead to stable revenue and earnings growth. The volume already secured under LTAs and the demand currently being discussed with customers taken together means that our DRAM and HBM volumes for the next 3 years through 2029 are effectively sold out. The volumes under discussion are based on customers' concrete purchasing plan, and are highly likely to come through. Overall, we believe our medium- to long-term sales visibility has significantly improved. As mentioned earlier, the volumes committed under LTAs account for more than 50% of total capacity in '27 and '28, and we plan to keep it similar over the medium to longer term. This arrangement will help us secure a reliable earnings base. At the same time, we can utilize the non-LTA capacity to flexibly respond to market conditions and demand for our next-generation products to keep strengthening our future competitiveness."
DRAM and DISK gonna go to 0.
MU and DRAM down after hours
Sold my DRAM calls at $1,300 loss on Monday. Same calls are now $500 in the green.
ok, here is my non-biased bull/bear story. also, did you know: SKHY, the US-listed version (10 US shares = 1 Korean share), trades about 47% above the Seoul price held up partly by a cap on how many Korean shares can be converted into US shares. # Bulls say * Q3 revenue ₩104.6T (+32% q/q) and operating profit ₩83.3T at a 79.7% margin beat expectations by \~9–10%; Q4 DRAM shipments guided up by the mid-20s percent. (SK hynix 3Q26 results release (news.skhynix.com) and Form 6-K (sec.gov), 2026-10-28 — IFRS; SK hynix 3Q26 earnings call, 2026-10-28 (transcripts: Motley Fool, Investing.com): LTAs with 14 customers >50% of 2027–28 capacity, \~5-year terms, prices within an agreed range; HBM4 to pass HBM3E in Q4; Q4 DRAM bits +mid-20s% q/q; demand > supply through 2030 (company view)) * Long-term agreements with 14 customers (up from \~10 in July) cover more than half of 2027–28 capacity; HBM4 is in full production and expected to outsell HBM3E in Q4. (SK hynix 3Q26 earnings call, 2026-10-28 (transcripts: Motley Fool, Investing.com): LTAs with 14 customers >50% of 2027–28 capacity, \~5-year terms, prices within an agreed range; HBM4 to pass HBM3E in Q4; Q4 DRAM bits +mid-20s% q/q; demand > supply through 2030 (company view)) * ₩98.7T of net cash and \~₩100T of 2026 dividends and buybacks; at the Seoul price the stock needs only \~3 years of peak profit in our cycle model. (SK hynix 3Q26 results release (news.skhynix.com) and Form 6-K (sec.gov), 2026-10-28 — IFRS; NovaWatch SKHY valuation snapshot 2026-10-28 (markdown files/dcf-tests/skhy\_2026-10-28/snapshot.md + skhy\_reverse.py): the cyclical-v2 DCF engine on authored IFRS inputs, same lens as Micron) # Bears say * SKHY costs \~47% more than the same share in Seoul ($162.79 vs $110.73); that premium has swung between \~33% and \~53% since July and can close by the US price falling. (ADR premium: Bloomberg 2026-07-14 (\~51%) and 2026-10-07 (\~38%, lockup expiry); Korea JoongAng Daily / Seoul Economic Daily (2.5% conversion cap); NovaWatch prices 2026-10-28: SKHY $162.79 vs ₩1,487,000 ÷ 10 ÷ ₩1,342.86/$ = $110.73 (+47%)) * The 80% margin compares with −24% in 2023 and 15% in 2022; our model puts the US price at \~5 years of peak profit and \~$128 a share. (SK hynix annual results 2022–2025 (IFRS, via the Mint Yahoo relay / company releases): revenue ₩44.6T, ₩32.8T, ₩66.2T, ₩97.1T; operating margin 15%, −24%, 35%, 49%; NovaWatch SKHY valuation snapshot 2026-10-28 (markdown files/dcf-tests/skhy\_2026-10-28/snapshot.md + skhy\_reverse.py): the cyclical-v2 DCF engine on authored IFRS inputs, same lens as Micron) * No disclosed price floors (Micron disclosed floors on $134B of contracts); Samsung held \~33% of HBM in Q2 and a 2028–29 capacity wave is coming. (Micron FY26 10-K (filed 2026-10-09, sec.gov): $134B of contracted revenue at minimum prices; price floors on most strategic agreements; Competition research 2026-10-28 for the Micron review: TrendForce 2027 outlook (2026-08-04), Counterpoint HBM share Q2-26 (Samsung \~33%), SemiAnalysis/TrendForce on CXMT capacity; 2028–29 capacity wave (Samsung P5, SK hynix Yongin, Micron Idaho-2))
Lol, you actually think some random big company can just stroll into advanced DRAM and HBM in 3-5 years and start eating Samsung and SK hynix’s margins? That’s adorable. This shit takes decades of process know-how, tens of billions in fabs, EUV mastery, and yields that don’t suck—plus customers who won’t even talk to you until you’ve proven you can ship real volume without blowing up their servers. High margins exist exactly because it’s a brutal, specialized game that most “we want a piece” companies keep failing at. Keep dreaming though.
FML shouldve bought more DRAM
Samsung, Micron, SK Hynix, Kioxia = DRAM makers SNDK = selling thumb drives at walmart
It takes 3-5 years to build a fab and mass produce HBM and high density DRAM, it’s not even about buying them out, it’s about that it’s not something someone can just show up and catch up to the biggest players.
Been seeing memory is sold up to at least 2028. Hard indeed, hmmm. I was hoping DRAM would pull triple digits but it’s an odd one.
Any idea on when to sell DRAM? I got in kinda early at 45, no idea when to sell though.
Fair point, the DRAM ERs have been absolutely insane, and growth only continues, so should be fine either way
The AI demand part is real, but "nowadays most demand is AI" is where I'd push back a little. HBM is a big chunk of Hynix's profit now, but it's still a minority of the memory bits the industry ships. Phones, PCs and servers still drive most of DRAM and NAND volume, and that part is as cyclical as it ever was. Worth remembering how recent the last bust was: Hynix lost money in every quarter of 2023, during the same AI boom, because regular DRAM prices collapsed. The cycle didn't go away, AI just added a second, more profitable leg on top of it. The thing I'd watch isn't CXMT, it's capex. Memory cycles usually turn when everyone builds capacity at the same time because margins look great. Samsung, Micron and Hynix are all expanding HBM right now. If that lands at once, pricing gets tested even with strong demand. Not saying it can't run, just that "cyclical" and "AI winner" aren't mutually exclusive. No position.
So much DRAM fomo from the top to the bottom .
the margin is the insane part to me, 79.7% operating margin on 104.6T won of revenue. DRAM prices up high 20s in one quarter and HBM4 only just started shipping in earnest, it becomes the main product in Q4. and theyre returning like 100T won to shareholders this year on top of it, thats not a normal memory cycle
Memory is a highly volatile business (no pun intended) so P/E ratios are typically much lower (5-10x) than many other tech related companies that have much more consistent growth. Also, if you're down on DRAM, you were late to the party. I think we're nearing peak AI hype right now. If you can manage to get to break-even on this bounce, it may be wise to unload your position. Just my 2 cents for what it's worth.
Yeah sure but pretending like memory is immune to this just not true at all. DRAM is like 40% off ATH to this day
“Elon predicts robots will drive more memory demand than anything else on earth”. Hmmm. Full ports DRAM
Let's imagine coreweave goes under. Plenty of other customers are fighting for memory. And what is most important the demand for compute is growing, so one neocloud doesn't matter. SKHYNIX signed 14 long term agreements through 2029 on their HBM and DRAM products
Look at DRAM and tell me that isn't the most bullish thing u've ever seen goes down -1% and immediately recovers and shoots above
Yet somehow I'm down on DRAM. Come on with this. Would've been better off investing in Tesla who makes as much money as a lemonade stand over these companies making quarterly profits high enough to buy small countries.
DRAM just 1 candled -1% then completely recovered for fun? lmfao
DRAM just 1 candled -1% for no reason lmfao
some DRAM itm puts gotta be the move right
Happy I loaded up on DRAM in the 40s
All the homies love DRAM lmao 🤌🏼🎃👻
The detail I'd look at for the cyclical vs structural argument is on the earnings call: DRAM average prices rose by a high 20s percent quarter on quarter, while DRAM bit shipments grew about 10%. So most of this quarter's jump is price, not volume. That's what the "it's cyclical" side points at, because price is the part that reverses when supply catches up. The other side of it: they say long term agreements already cover more than half of their 2027 and 2028 capacity, across 14 customers, and there was the report yesterday about Alibaba, Tencent and ByteDance wanting 10 year DRAM contracts. Buyers locking in years ahead is not what a normal memory peak looks like. The thing to watch is probably capex, not the next beat. They also said capex will rise significantly next year, mostly for the Yongin fab. Memory cycles usually turn when Samsung, Micron and Hynix all add capacity at once, so how much of that new capacity is already sold under contracts matters more than the margin headline.
Yet my DRAM is still far underwater.
$SKHY now expects memory demand to outpace supply through 2030 with DRAM demand growing over 20% in 2027 alone.
SOXL and DRAM gang eating
Anyone have DRAM OR RAM?
Fucking nuts Glad i held DRAM I knew those shady cocksuckers like ken griffin were trying to shake people out
Terminators need a lot of DRAM
Jesus SK HYNIX $SKHY Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS \- Revenue: $78.9B (Est. $74.8B); +328% YoY \- Oper Profit: $62.8B (Est. $58.5B); +632% YoY \- Oper Margin: 80%; +3,300 bps YoY; record high \- QoQ: Revenue +32% / Oper Profit +38% Q4 Guide: \- DRAM Bit Growth: Mid-20% QoQ \- NAND Bit Growth: Mid-single% QoQ incl. Solidigm Q3 Pricing & Volume: \- DRAM ASP: High-20% QoQ; bits \~+10% QoQ \- NAND ASP: Mid-20% QoQ; bits slightly lower QoQ \+1% ON kospi up 5% Lets fuckin go! Need ATH on AMD, mu, sandisk
damn DRAM is my favorite etf... so much fun 🎢🛝🪜🛝🪜
Fuck yeah DRAM I wanna wake up to $55 tomorrow
Do the results + potential 10 year LTA and musks comment on how robotics will consume all RAM prove that memory isn’t the same boom and bust cyclical sector anymore? Buy DRAM and hold long term?
Better dividend yield in Korean shares, should they lean harder that way. Looks like the ten percentish buyback cadence is aligned with MU. Will Samsung join the buybacks-before-supply expansion not-a-pact? Time will tell. HBM is currently more convex than DRAM, optics, nand, hard drives, gpus, etc. STX fell off a little bit and barely beat analysts and if analysts know what is going on, that's a problem. Own the space.
SK saved DRAM no more Bill KOSPI
Once again I am asking DRAM to hit 70 by end of month or I'll lose the my kids.
Better than my 67 DRAM avg
"if was as if a million DRAM longs cried out in terror... and were suddenly silenced"
I have so many 1DTE straddles on DRAM I'll be eating cup noodles for a year if it doesn't move
3% or less DRAM move tomorrow = me homeless
If DRAM has a less than 3% move tomorrow I'm homeless
Interesting that the ask is for 10 years when DRAM pricing has historically swung so hard. I wonder whether these agreements fix volumes with prices reset periodically, or whether suppliers would really accept a fixed price for that long.
GOOGL makes sense. DRAM, I would rather buy Sk Hynix and MU separately. DRAM ETF has few shares and a lot of synthetic Total Return Swaps with Nomura and Goldman which will eat into your profits. I would also buy more SK Hynix than MU because Sk Hynix has half the P/E of MU so it has more upside. MSFT I actually sold already. It went up more than 50% in the last couple of months so i think the upside is limited for now.
Buying DRAM is my love language
10 year contracts is the tell here. cloud guys dont ask for decade long DRAM deals unless theyre genuinely worried about supply, thats not normal procurement. memory is becoming the bottleneck everyone ignored while staring at GPUs, and samsung and hynix know it so they have all the leverage in those negotiations
The tell is who's asking. Buyers only ask for 10-year contracts when they think the shortage outlasts the next cycle. In memory that's never been a safe bet, and that's why sellers usually refuse to lock in price. Two details make this more interesting: 1. They're hedging, not picking. Tencent already signed a \~$2.9B long-term server DRAM deal with China's CXMT in June. So the ask to Samsung and Hynix looks like buying time until CXMT can scale, not a vote against it. 2. The shortage is already showing up in US earnings. Amazon raised 2026 capex from $200B to $220B in July and named memory prices as the main reason. What I'd watch: whether Samsung or Hynix actually sign anything near 10 years. If they do, it tells you they think prices stay high long enough that locking in volume beats riding the spot price. Positions: none.
DRAM finally cracked $50. Let's see if it can handle the sell wall there.
Ok so DRAM has a chance or
Buy DRAM and SOXX and hold on. YOLO Options
Imagine you are one of the 27% of Microsoft employees who just got offered an exit. You have a $8,000 /mo mortgage Your entire net worth is in the $DRAM ETF, which you bought because you are afraid AI will replace you. You're down -22% and you are very scared. What do you do next?
RAM is the 2x DRAM etf so deffo FULL PORT AHEAD
It's interesting that Elon keeps referring to RAM, not DRAM. Anyone here know why?
am I fkd? DRAM AVL SPCX ORCL RDTL SOXL CVNA SKHY APLX CRWV
NCLD -32% since inception 🤌 Didn't even get a giga rally first like DRAM.
like i said yesterday DRAM 50 not a meme
DRAM to hit 60 by next week ez
Cisco traded at 100X forward earnings at its peak. MU is currently 4X and there's still a shortage of DRAM. Bad Comp
Easy short DRAM and NCLD.
Neoclouds can sell their NVIDIA chips at 2x or 3x price now. They got it before DRAM shortage. Fear is overblown. They were smart to go all in early.
I own 1000 shares of DRAM @ $55. Am I cooked?
if the world really was a simulation imagine how much compute would be needed long DRAM
For a second I read that as EWY and was excited to get some super cheap SKHY or DRAM calls. Brazil is ok too I guess. Petrobas and embraer jet may be good buys here.
DRAM is down like 40% from its highs lol
Would you take your money out of CRWV and just put it on DRAM at these levels?
Are you getting exposure to the entire industry through an ETF like DRAM?
AstroZan on X 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗗𝗼𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗹𝘆 #𝗪𝗧𝗜 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗧𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗨𝘀? 𝟭𝟬/𝟮𝟰/𝟮𝟲 🔴 𝗧𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗟𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘀 — 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 The monthly #WTI chart shows oil testing a powerful, long-term descending resistance line originating from the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) oil price peak. Following that historic top, WTI established a lower high after the COVID dislocation, followed by a third lower high in April 2026. See the three red circles marking these major tops. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗶𝗴 𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: Why should oil suddenly break above this multi-decade resistance when the Iran conflict, at least in its current form, has not produced a disruption comparable in scale to the GFC or COVID? 🔴 𝗧𝗵𝗲 $𝟭𝟬𝟯 𝗟𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹 — 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗥𝗵𝘆𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴? WTI is currently trading near $103, a historically important price zone. Notice the horizontal red line connecting three major resistance tests. Each previous encounter was followed by a significant price breakdown. 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗲𝗮𝘁 𝗻𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸, just as oil bulls anticipate a geopolitical breakout on renewed Iran war fears? The chart suggests the risk may be to the 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡𝗦𝗜𝗗𝗘, not the upside. 🟢 𝗠𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘄𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗲, 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝗦𝗲𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗗𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗦𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹! Friday's price action in $SMH, $SOXX, and $DRAM supports the broader bullish equity reversal thesis. Remember: 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘀 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡, 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝗢𝗨𝗧 𝗼𝗳 𝗮 𝗰𝗼𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻. On Friday, semiconductors demonstrated relative strength. $VXN behaved better than $VIX, while $SOXX and $SOXL closed positive despite the VIX remaining near 20. This is a 𝗕𝗨𝗟𝗟𝗜𝗦𝗛 𝗗𝗜𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗚𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗘, suggesting that underlying market strength may be developing even as fear remains elevated. 🚀 𝗠𝘆 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 $𝗦𝗠𝗛 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝘀 𝗙𝗹𝗮𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴! My custom $SMH coiling/compression indicator currently shows compression 𝟮𝟱𝟬% 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 than at the March 30 bottom. It is also 𝟮𝟬% 𝗴𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿 than at the July 29 bottom. This degree of compression suggests 𝗘𝗫𝗣𝗟𝗢𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 𝗨𝗣𝗦𝗜𝗗𝗘 𝗦𝗤𝗨𝗘𝗘𝗭𝗘 𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗞 heading into next week, particularly if the bullish semiconductor signals are confirmed. ⚠️ 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼 𝗜 𝗔𝗺 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴: The principal short-term risk to my bullish outlook is an unexpected escalation with Iran, potentially involving a sudden, decisive, one-and-done military operation or leadership-targeting strike. Such an event could trigger a 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗳𝗹𝘂𝘀𝗵, followed by a 𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗘-𝗗𝗔𝗬 𝗩-𝗦𝗛𝗔𝗣𝗘𝗗 𝗥𝗘𝗖𝗢𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗬 as the initial panic subsides. This will keep the long geometric structure in tact with a daily price wick. One speculative political scenario is that @netanyahu and @realDonaldTrump could view the approaching elections as a narrowing window for decisive action. Should Netanyahu lose his bid for another term, a caretaker government could face greater political constraints on launching further strikes. 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝗰𝗲𝗻𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗼, 𝗺𝘆 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝗮 𝗿𝗮𝗽𝗶𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗮𝗹, rather than a sustained breakdown. 𝗠𝘆 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸: 𝗕𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 #𝗪𝗧𝗜. 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗦𝗲𝗺𝗶𝘀. 𝗨𝗽𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗦𝗾𝘂𝗲𝗲𝘇𝗲 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗘𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀. I will discuss the $SMH chart and its extraordinary compression setup in a separate post later today.
how abt 50 DRAM monday…
i’m going w 51 DRAM monday
what does DRAM open at
Nobody is going to tell you to panic sell and get the fuck out before they dump everything and you are left holding the bag. Go read this article https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/memory-storage-stocks-rebound-western-155816327.html The article uses almost all positive terms including"Stocks Rebound", "stocks climbed", "rebounding", "topped analysts' expectations", "shaking off some of their blues", "Shares of the hard drive maker were recently up", "earnings that exceeded Wall Street's expectations", "figures topped analysts' estimates", "outlook also exceeded consensus projections" A tiny little section says "it may be getting harder for some of the market's biggest AI winners to impress" Wake the fuck up. This was a down or flat week after a massive selloff. The VIX has freaked out twice in the last 10 days. WDC STX SNDK MU DRAM and all of these AI suppliers have been fucking devastated, 30% down in the last 30 days and 40-50% off of their May highs. Did you read about Anthropic's S1 IPO filing today? The one all the mainstream media said would be getting filed. No? They didn't tell you? And they are not going to.
Nobody is going to tell you to panic sell and get the fuck out before they dump everything and you are left holding the bag. Go read this article https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/memory-storage-stocks-rebound-western-155816327.html The article uses almost all positive terms including"Stocks Rebound", "stocks climbed", "rebounding", "topped analysts' expectations", "shaking off some of their blues", "Shares of the hard drive maker were recently up", "earnings that exceeded Wall Street's expectations", "figures topped analysts' estimates", "outlook also exceeded consensus projections" A tiny little section says "it may be getting harder for some of the market's biggest AI winners to impress" Wake the fuck up. This was a down or flat week. WDC STX SNDK MU DRAM and all of these AI suppliers have been fucking devastated, 30% down in the last 30 days and 40-50% off of their May highs. Did you read about Anthropic's S1 IPO filing today? The one all the mainstream media said would be getting filed. No? They didn't tell you? And they are not going to.
DRAM and ~~chill~~ freak the fuck out