IMF
Invesco Managed Futures Strategy ETF
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It was correlated because a lot of liquidity left the european bond market so yields just sky rocketed in greece Portugal, there were just no buyers you can see the graphs of both countries in 2011 until IMF stepped in. Once the market sees that the government cant pay its dues its game over. But thats why quantitative easing was created.
I wonder what the prediction markets are saying the odds are for the IMF determining we’re in a technical default on treasuries via our creative yen solution
As of April 2026, the IMF forecasts that the inflation in Iran will hit 69%. 69? Nice.
I was in Korea during the '97 IMF crisis, just a kid, but I gotta say, seeing people jump in front of subways is not a pleasant sight. The screams of the witnesses is a sound that stays with you. Oh, and people jumping off high-rises sound like a watermelon being dropped on the ground if you are within hearing distance. Also, the smell of being setting themselves on fire is not pleasant. But yeah, suicide jokes, cool.
South Korea is an liquidity blackhole Japan is slowly becoming a liquidity blackhole. And the fed, treasury is in no position to bailout two countries and itself at the same time via IMF and other means.
Koreans have an alcohol and gambling problem since the Korean war ended. They were 1 of only 3 countries who begged IMF for bailout, and they borrowed the most out of the 3(57 bil iirc) simply because the extremely overleveraged Korean traders caused KOSPI to crash a total of 75% over 8 months(that's equivalent to SPY dropping from current price of $740 to below $185 btw).
If anyone knows Korea and their history, you know they're powerless to stop it. The BoK has no leverage control and no effective QE policy they can use to stop the bleeding. IMF funds will be available only if this breaks internationally- so far it's a localized contagion. Also, if South Korea has to sell US treasuries to try to stem the bleeding, they'll just worsen their own markets as traders see desperation and short Samsung/SK Hynix harder, killing the KOSPI. We're seeing the death of an economy in real time, and to make it worse they need American dollars to pay for oil imports that they'd still need to function, by the way. The Strait of Hormuz hasn't made anything easier
The only people freaking out are Westerners who don't actually know anything about Korea's financial landscape. Now if bonds crashed, then we'd have a problem here. But majority of Koreans have way more in bonds, real estate, and commodities, than they do equities, and anyone over forty is heavily diversified since we learned from the '97 IMF crisis just how quickly shit can get bad.
Aight folks let's all short Korea and have them go thru IMF crisis again