Reddit Posts
Do you guys ever ask your local homeless person or crackhead about stocks?(SF and NYC only)
Samsung raises foundry prices by up to 15% as AI demand fills its 4nm lines, report claims: Chinese customers accepting the largest hikes
Memory is the greatest opportunity in years
$NXST Nexstar being reported to FCC, FBI, AGs for violating civil rights under color of law as part of campaign to silence threat to merger
Opinion: the AI race is almost over. China is winning
Could someone please enlighten me?
$ARE Alexandria Real Estate is the best positioned REITs for the upcoming Biotech recovery
dead shoemaker (BIRD) +582% pivoting to AI GPUs. long post on why this is funnier than it looks and what it says about AI funding
Holographic/VR/AR Industry Development Weekly Report, Week 14
I'm not predicting a crisis. I'm identifying one that has already started.
I'm not predicting a crisis. I'm identifying one that has already started.
Google is about to replace Nvidia as the world's #1 value company
Google is about to replace Nvidia as the world's #1 value company
Top-Gainers towards the end of Pre-Market: Jan 22
Top-Gainers towards the end of Pre-Market: Jan 21
AI load growth is stressing the grid. Healthcare just opted out of the risk.
Top-Gainers towards the end of Pre-Market : January 13
Top-Gainers towards the end of Pre-Market
FPH - This dirt cheap California homebuilder is straight up undervalued AF
Holographic/VR/AR Industry Development Weekly Report
Is 165k in retirement enough to pump the brakes and move out? (29M)
19M $170K Networth & Asset Distribution (DETAILED) GTFIH
Does the threat of autonomous vehicles justify such a big discount on $UBER?
Michael Burry launches $379 annual subscription newsletter to lay out his AI bubble views after deregistering hedge fund
Commercial Real Estate Analysis (Office Focus) Working Draft
Small cap REIT DD - Mackenzie Realty Capital Inc. (Desperately Seeking Bagger Vance)
Tesla’s AI6 chip has been finalized using Samsung’s 2nm process
I hope some of you were in $HWH from my post, Shit blew up overnight.
Can Political Leaders Abuse Digital Currency for Personal Gain?
Can Political Leaders Abuse Digital Currency for Personal Gain?
College student in SF YOLOing $1,000. Please no trolls: I actually want to win
The Great Lay-Off'ening is already well underway. What will happen to the economy?
Senestech - Huge rodent pest management potential
A high IQ is a drag on your ability to pick winning stocks (I may be wrong)
A high IQ is a drag on your alpha but you just don’t know it.
Confused millennial looking for advice/recommendations on IRA investing.
How much risk tolerance do you have?
Tesla & Google heat up the Robotaxi race TSLA pops, GOOGL lags
$UP Lets fucking go up! NFA, looking tasty af. on SF Ai watchlist!
SqueezeFinder Artificial Intelligence Watchlist 19MAY2025
Minnesota House passes cannabis Policy agreement, sends it to governor
Federal Investigator is investigating Tesla's robotaxi plan
SF housing market is flashing red 🛑🛑
Sold all my Tesla shares before the crash. Here’s why I still think that was the right call (even at today's price)
On what time scale will Waymo's success affect Alphabet's earnings
07 comments by Janet Yellen as president of SF Fed right before the financial crash. Does this sound familiar?
American Battery Materials Acquires Substantial Mining Claims to Increase Domestic Production of Lithium
Bright Mountain Media, Inc’s Wholly Owned Subsidiary, Wild Sky Media, Announces Deal With Taboola.Com Ltd. (TBLA) A Global Leader In Powering Recommendations For The Open Web
SF Fed baseline forecast suggests that yoy shelter inflation will continue to slow through late 2024 and may even turn negative.
The Global Tin Market Supports Positive Price Outlook
The Global Tin Market Supports Positive Price Outlook
Let’s go Ccl to 35$ help me afford an SF tent
Paramount Group REIT (PGRE) Thoughts??? Work from home and high-interest rates effects
Best vehicle for shorting SF commercial real-estate?
SF police have arrested a fellow technology executive and associate of Bob Lee in connection with the April 4 stabbing of the CasApp founder
How to manage your 401k? I needed some diversification tips.
SF commercial real estate: Office vacancy 28% (CBRE). Rents have fallen 15% (JLL)
BlackStone's Woes and the upcoming CRE issues
SF Fed's Daly backs more tightening; too early to discuss March meeting specifics
Fed needs to tighten more as disinflation is far from certain, SF Fed's Daly says
What’s the better investment play: real estate or stock market
Looking for Tax accountant in SF BayArea or remote in US who has experience with options, LEAPS
It takes longer than you think, why the market won't bottom until Q1 2025
Stifel Financial Q4 earnings miss reflects wretched Institutional Group results (NYSE:SF)
Stifel Financial Q4 earnings miss reflects wretched Institutional Group results (NYSE:SF)
$100K of goods stolen from SF dispensary; video shows ‘professional criminals’ breaking in
Ferrari is celebrating 2023 with a NFT Giveaway of 900 NFTs with the release of the new Ferrari SF90 Model.
Looking for not-investment-advice for van-liver in SF and 200k a year tech job
Would you trade real estate derivatives if you could?
Unpopular Opinion: Owning your home not necessary a better financial decision than renting a similar property.
Paycom Software Calls $PAYC - NOV.1 Earnings Call
The Very Good Food Company (NASDAQ: VGFC) (TSXV: VERY) (FSE: OSI) To Present At Two Conferences
Just here to say that saw someone post about $BDSX and i’m glad he did.
Deal Announcement at TechCrunch Disrupt for OnlyFans? $VYGG is Team is Heavy SF and TC Audience.
Alright which of you dudes did I spot driving in SF this weekend?
Alright which of you dudes did I spot driving in SF this weekend?
Mentions
UKMTO & SAS SF have galloopped into the chat with tea and crumpets and strawberries & clotted cream
let's just say I'm a SF Giants fan.
Sanest SF CEO thinking right here
nah, actually an SF fan, but my dad is a big Phillies' guy
*Because you are not an androgynous looking tech bro based in a SF hot tub. Are you?*
And turning SF back into an insufferable vest wearing bro fest. GF is from there, lived there from 2010 to 2015, and frequently drive up a few times every year. It was almost done burning off the tech filth that ballooned rent a decade ago and conceivably killed the city, just for the last two years for Silicon Valley to reappear like the tech troll that it is.
But many people want to live in SF/Manhattan, due to personal reasons. $100K is doable but I can see why many won’t feel comfortable living off that amount alone for 30 years or so
It's cuz the homeless of chi are just bums. In NY and SF they always got the story.
It’s so much fun to walk in SF until a homeless drug addict shows up smelling like shit and drugs
I understand why Europoors like walking 🚶♀️ so much with gas at those prices :kek: :kek: They even walk up hills ‘n’ shit, like imagine walking everywhere in SF
Wait till it comes out he was really showing his SF colors 🏳️🌈
*If the owner of the SF 49ers is still in Ohio looking for anoos I am available for* *~~$20 $50~~* *$100 an hour. Very discreet. No cameras. No for real.*
My flight from SF to Boston is about to take off though. 1 hour late as usual - thank you United
SF, you are fucked below a Mio. income from META or OpenAI.
Even shittier, unless you’re in entertainment and need the job opportunities I have no idea what people find in that city. Even Miami is somehow better and that’s a cesspool too. SF is great if you’re in tech and just overall a better city but NYC/Boston are for sure the best cities in America. Chicago is pretty good too. DC solid middle of the pack
That sounds horrid, but for some reason it reminded me of a place in SF that makes a delightful pie with thinly sliced roasted potatoes, whole roasted garlic and a basil pesto sauce
The instantly slow UIUX is what kills it for me. I don’t think the underlying functionality provided by SF CRM is THAT bad as other described, but it’s just too slow
goddammit I’m in, right after SF wins with a healthy dose of skepticism
Yeah and when I drive up the 5 between LA shithole and SF TechBro gangbang, I feel like I'm back in Ohio. Those folks would all happily leave CA if they could, even if it would make their lives objectively worse. Because they drink the right wing kool-aid straight from the tap.
everyone always think Cal is just 'LA shithole' and 'SF TechBro gangbang' when there's really a whole valley fully of farming there that no one thinks is part of cal
Moderna and its cancer vaccine actually has real world impact. SF based AI company with corny name working on agentic AI product #69420 with its 3 underpaid employees and founder giving motivational speeches on linkedin does not.
I’m in SF - it’s cloudy af
Sorry my bad. I consider SF northern Cali. But looking at the map, it looks like the middle. I was near SF, where I would expect products like this to thrive. But nada.
Yeah that makes sense. Think of it this way, in SF or LA perhaps even San Diego, you are more likely to find folks seeking that type of food. NorCal, where I'm from, can be anything from Napa up to Yreka. Most of CA north of Sacramento is rural, hunting land that doesn't really do the "meat alternative" thing. I can't find BYND in my local Safeway anymore or even the 2 targets we have. It's a shame.
wow, 30 to 1, and its only worth $11.63? I was in Northern CA a couple weeks ago looking for Beyond meat at Safeway and Target. Neither had it. You would think Target near SF would be the exact demographic for this.
Anyone in SF Bay Area wanna be friends? I like trading, bicycling, hiking, traveling, gaming/tech, and psychedelics
Had a really strange dream that I ran into Ella Langley at Anthropic’s office in SF. Weird
Well I have waymo multiple times in SF and LA. I only had 1 issue since it was a narrow street and there was human intervention needed. But other than that it has been really good experience so far. And the future of waymo is at scale is should get cheaper so it might get better. Currently it's maybe 10-15% more expensive.
[dis chick](https://www.reddit.com/r/interesting/comments/1vpvzqc/44sqft_apartment_in_ny_1200_a_month_shares_a/) pay $1200/month for a 44 SF "apartment" in NYC, shared bathroom wit 5 other ppl, no kitchen.
I've explained my strategy elsewhere. My personal income is around $750k. My household income is $1m. I'm almost the exact same age as you. 90% of my money basically goes into $VT. I buy VTI and VXUS but it's the same idea. 10% of my money I pick stocks that I hold and never sell. I include BTC in that, I bought two for $3k total in 2017. I work in tech so I've mostly invested in tech companies. I bought AMZN and GOOG in 2010 or 2011. I bought TSLA in 2017. I'm still holding those. I bought AMD in 2017. Most of these were $2-5k investments at the time. But most of my money is in a total world index fund. It's sitting at around $8m today. I have a $1m mortgage left on my $3m house in SF. You can look through my account history. I've been saying the same thing for years. You haven't mentioned investing *at all* until 1 month ago when you basically said you can't afford a Porsche, don't have much money, but are starting to invest and have lots of time because you're only 39. Like, that's great, good for you. But maybe take a seat on how smart you are about what the market will do in the future. You sound like an idiot.
No. Grocery stores have margins too. You must go to the source. Bring a cow into your SF home.
the average SF person does this and they're smarter on average
***Almost*** always ending up right is a strong statement and time frames matter a lot. Let's go through the list: 1. **1 million robotaxis on the road, by 2020 (prediction July 2019)**: Zero delivered, used to claim existing cars would appreciate as "autonomous assets." 2. **Level 5 autonomy, by end of 2020 (prediction July 2020)**: Called it "basically solved" while people were dying in Autopilot-related crashes. 3. **Feature-complete full self-driving, by end of 2019 (prediction early 2019)**: Became an annual repeated promise, customers kept paying for the package on the strength of it. 4. **Full self-driving capability, by end of 2017 (prediction October 2016)**: A court later ruled the underlying 2016 promise "false advertising." 5. **Manned Mars mission, 2026 (prediction December 2020)**: Even the far more modest fallback, an uncrewed mission, has since been abandoned too. 6. **Neuralink human trials, by 2020 (prediction 2019)**: A medical device promise, missed by four years, while bigger claims (curing paralysis) kept stacking on top. 7. **AGI, 2026 (prediction April 2024)**: Made right after his 2025 AGI prediction had already failed. 8. **Cross-country autonomous drive, LA to New York, by end of 2017 (prediction October 2016)**: Missed by 8 years, eventually done by an outside owner, not Tesla. 9. **Uncrewed Starship Mars mission, 2026 (prediction March 2025)**: Quietly shelved with a 5 to 7 year delay just months later. 10. **Hyperloop LA to SF in 30 minutes**: Never built, arguably never seriously intended as an engineering project. 11. **Commercial Neuralink deployment, 2026 (prediction November 2022)**: A Chinese competitor beat Neuralink to actual commercial approval this year. 12. **External Optimus sales, late 2026 (prediction July 2024)**: The 8th slipped Optimus deadline per one tracker. 13. **Full rapid reusability of Starship, end of 2026 (prediction January 2026)**: Partial delivery but not scaleable at all. Anyone else want to chime in here?
It is more complex than just downside protection. Sarting with [Sequence of returns risk](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sequence-risk.asp) When you are younger risk is seen in the context of long term returns. However, in retirement there is the risk of outright failure. Would your relative rather have a portfolio with a 30% chance of leaving his heirs very wealthy, a 40% chance of doing OK and a 30% chance of him living out his life in a Medicaid nursing home, or one where the odds were 5%, 85%, 10%? Your relative needs to come to grips with sequence risk, inflation risk, longevity risk and market risk. The whole package is a tough nut to crack, and William Sharpe [far more qualified than anyone posting here] famously called living off of a portfolio the "nastiest, hardest problem in finance". [Book suggestion 1](https://www.amazon.com/Living-Off-Your-Money-Retirement/dp/0997403403/ref=sr_1_1?crid=JJILC39CPH1D&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.19zhh2mfVa-U48apMLCduzGO1ShynFsxddJirtOyOBwTov2DMIA1V8jxeISrX6-K7F1HARPka6aUExvhAR1sgrru0545Q77wvbszoMM-HYIKHbijo0JxTe05bcUT4gQwQG27EMRbrW6D8I5Rs9F7trKOLYuyTmy2EoV3iBJTwBQNjQoSCALY9992AYVceNVmK73q_vNextlBWVUCKTrTelQk38KG8a__g7RVqMoJQP0.0OzFgbi5w_EG4CieRyrOuEXArwF9f57yA-4lXcyHKao&dib_tag=se&keywords=living+off+your+money&qid=1786443488&sprefix=living+off+your+money%2Caps%2C186&sr=8-1) [Book suggestion 2](https://www.amazon.com/How-Much-Spend-Retirement-Investment-Based/dp/1945640022/ref=sr_1_2?crid=39SMRZFWP59XZ&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.WnAYktPR8wBy3vQSVBSSDivs19AXBLVF5bTXRFvSOAftML6GbK8GD6g-SF55jEdK5xOkaQ3GXDqk8A6IVBFVE8v3ABAmDcCdJRb-MD7VRHNLShyrjDpEmhndgiY2dd6hTPdOD1BMlLsNGMu97VpL7CFlpL1mOIu75ceBGXhFagJQS_aqx_QJQXzBCiJjlUJId6J7MDKys5RPpIcoCHFT6rnSHEYuowJUsfvjyXzozsU.TK2CvXDK5g6I6EY3bibim1ut0e6mkkxt1cH-v0sx-5I&dib_tag=se&keywords=wade+pfau&qid=1786443523&sprefix=wade+pfau%2Caps%2C161&sr=8-2) [Book suggestion 3](https://www.amazon.com/Bond-Book-Third-Everything-Treasuries/dp/007166470X/ref=sr_1_1?crid=6SBJWSXN90BI&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.fVr-jhRGe64HwwsW88qnRecJmk0qviTx9CbxzbyKHaCubvWvM__TxbTCIp34gNzQY2rElfGodGu_szXGtfE5z0AJ3BD9GatBVuMuJYKTICrvBgLxkCc58w4D8vrnO3Wm1EsP9ereUTapoNSTVzXBLdA7UUT1gcp-H6HzLMq7HCfARsEk6M5nMr1ffVxJJy9UFmKCTYTxwYP7BBwl7vRjizzK64zkscsniBuWAcRVyn8.cULq_FMG0GCRKnFMtsVFayAo07mhkbZW08fAeaTnHfk&dib_tag=se&keywords=the+bond+book&qid=1786443618&sprefix=the+bond+book%2Caps%2C166&sr=8-1)
my man is writing this from OpenAI SF hq lol 2 things my fellow degenerate. 1. cost of token go down as time goes right now you use 1000 usd of claude code and pay only 20 bucks 2. open source is the key and China knows it Kimi and DeepSeek are seducing dev from around the world including America COIN CEO said it is easier to plug in Chinese AI and let it work on American soil than use these expensive tokens all the time. 3. Every other company is sticking the AI sticker alike dot com pet dot com is now new shoe company turned into compute company. 4. You only need a limited amount of compute as not all can pay for it and its darn expensive to run DC around the world specially with all the legislation being passed against them in DC and CAL.
man that was rough and soothing at the same time I was born in '02 so a baby in front of yall thanks for sharing my teacher worked for Ken Griffin back in dot come times and he lived in Cal SF and in 08 crisis he said they did'nt had neigbors for north of 8 years. AI bubble is bigger and badder than housing one. From PE to hedge funds to pensions funds to 401ks to SpaceX crap in your retirement accounts to debt by MAG7 to fear of DeepSeek destroying the MOAT of US tech lead in AI to Iran and oil prices and so much more 2026 feels like a graduatation course in one year. Stay safe yall.
Hey man, I’m basically you but 4 years in the future (SF and all). My only advice is to absolutely make sure you have a beefy emergency fund. I did not, and I had to actually move back in with my parents for like 6 months when I got laid off. Other than that l, Get US citizenship if you can in that 5 years. Marry into it if u gotta. It makes a crazy difference investment wise.
Ever since Spirit Airlines went out of business. My flights from SF Bay Area to LA has doubled or tripled and I don’t think it’s the war. Southwest unaffordable now too
This logic is extremely flawed. Few clarifications: 1) You mention Waymo gaining market share in SF, sure, but why are uber bookings in SF growing/accelerating? (The answer is self driving increases TAM) 2) Ok, now “if AI were to get 10x better”, yes that would be great for self driving companies, inclusive of the 20+ companies uber is partnered with? Are you suggesting every self driving player will try to build their own ride hailing network? If so, that is an insane assumption. That scenario strongly points towards a consolidated network 3) Where profit comes from - there is so much wrong here. But to simplify, you’re missing: a) how much of North America profit comes from mobility vs. delivery b) incorrectly extrapolating average booking $s with profit (id recommend thinking more through *why* booking amounts would be higher, think through things like cost of labor, insurance, etc) c) Uber’s advertising revenue is growing rapidly - this is one of the main catalysts for improving margins 4) Lastly, on AVs, I’d recommend imagining an extreme scenario, where an AV player takes 50% share in any market. That would mean: (a) there must be enough cars to match peak demand times such that wait times aren’t an issue AND (b) be profitable. You’ll quickly realize that (a) vs. (b) is a major issue, enough cars to match peak demand also means those cars will sidle idle most of the time as demand is variable. Hopefully it starts to click that a hybrid network is the most likely outcome here
Waymo didn’t actually pass Lyft in market share in SF. The “analyses” that said that excluded trips that Waymo couldn’t do like to and from the airport, and trips out of the geofence at the time.
The Ketamine Kid has channeled at least 5 great SF stories as if they are stuff he will do n the next decade. He is at gold medal level "this way to the egress."
Every time I visit Canada I just laugh because the entire country is freaking out about how expensive everything is while having similar minimum wages and median wages as Americans dollar amount wise but their groceries and restaurant meals are genuinely dirt cheap Vancouverites would kill themselves if they found out a Mcdonalds combo in Seattle or SF or LA costs like 17 dollars
*It's a strange new world when sales come in "otherworldy" and when you look at the number it'sa six cent beat. Must be some kinda SF tech bro stuff.*
*Yep I can see him being real popular with the SF hot tub crowd.*
*Is it just me or does this Leopold guy look like an androgynous vampire. I can see how he would fit right into the SF Ai world.*
Sam Altman reveals the investing advice billionaire Peter Thiel gave him that helped him amass a $3.3 billion net worth without OpenAI equity *"Get into my SF hot tub and let's play pee-pee?"*
I just left a company that sold their SF and Boston offices in 2022 and tried to replace it with a combo of Scottsdale, Orlando and Austin. By 2025 they started renting offices in both with expansion plans. I was involved in multiple interviews where candidates turned down large pay increase to move from the bay to Austin or Orlando. With COL adjustments we're talking essentially 100% increases. The problem is once talented tech people make more than $250k a year their location becomes much more important than the next marginal dollar. Educated people have been moving to the Northeast and Midwest for multiple years now. I expect Chicago to have a huge Renaissance
I am on my second coffee also, I have SF Bay black coffee Hazelnut creme flavor
Should really be not disclosing it on your SF86.
I mean it’s like real estate in major cities like NYC or SF. You’re paying $1m+ for a 1000 sq. Ft. shack built 100 years ago or an apartment that should be worth way less if it was anywhere else.
Dude wasn't a Wall Street regard. He was from SF and the big guys didn't like him. Everything was liquidated yesterday. It is part of the reason today popped off.
gonna buy some more puts. my account is all bear gains!! I already have calls!! its called a house. I lived in SF since I was 6 years old and I am 40 now and sold the house nearly 3 years ago. Now its all in another house. How much upside do I need?!?!?
https://markets.ft.com/data/announce/detail?dockey=600-202607290600PR_NEWS_USPRX____SF14625-1
That price buys you a cardboard box in SF
i was champion in 1990s, but ever since SF2 champion edition i retired
nah i sold my family house in SF and got 1,308,000. I do 0dte for fun
>Samsung Electronics, Broadcom Agree on $200 Billion Advanced Memory and Foundry Deal couple more deals likely to follow as the Korea-US meeting in SF yesterday had all the big dogs at the negotiating table next week's playbook might be the same as this past week, long semis in anticipation of hyperscaler capex growth, sell into the pop and short it back down. play the range we're going to be stuck it in for awhile
I literally have published Deep Mind papers, live in SF a 10 minute walk from Anthropic and am roommates with an OpenAI member of technical staff leading a research team. I promise I'm not talking out of my ass here, I frequently talk to many people working in these labs. OpenAI is having a hard time raising more at these valuations, and they're delaying IPO BECAUSE their numbers are so bad and they don't think they can get a $1T+ IPO right now. Open source Chinese models are undercutting prices and making it extremely hard to turn a profit on training runs. To increase revenue right now, OpenAI has to increase burn rate, and the ratio of revenue to burn rate has stayed basically the same. They're not getting meaningfully closer to profitability. The subscriptions are INCREDIBLY subsidized. This is well known. I don't even know how you can try dispute that point. API prices are the actual cost of inference + small profit margin. There's so much analysis online showing that you can get like 20-50x more tokens per dollar on subscription if you squeeze every drop than on API. Me personally, I'm easily doing like $4k-5k worth of tokens every month on 2 $200 dollar subscriptions. It's not sustainable. I basically only use Chinese open source or gemini flash lite models in production because the cost to quality ratio is so much better on those.
I’m also looking at tickets but for October. Considering flying to SF and then to Tokyo because SF has special flights through Zipair (a subsidiary of Japan Airlines) for under $300 each way. I feel like a lot of people don’t know this. Also select other cities have the same type of tix, I think just less than if you’re flying from San Francisco.
Uh, as someone who is in San fransisco pretty frequently, people do in fact jaywalk in SF.
Really? He just said no SF contracts till Neutron. They ALREADY got 1.3 Billion for Electron! They will get MORE for Electron just like SpaceX still gets contracts for Falcon 9.
The solution is the permanent underclass becoming high end baristas for the ultra wealthy. Sell $20 lattes in SF
planning to drive from SF to Houston. any thoughts?
I explored SF and NYC - considering they both have jobs outside of fashion/hollywood. NYC seemed to win hands down
That’s leaves the fashionistas in SF, the dressed to the nines legislators in the capital, hot wives in OC, & bodacious beach bodies spanning San Luis Obispo to Baja California then Oh, yeah, & the 🅿️®️🔞🧲 capital is in the Valley
Every other car lol? The rate of teslas is higher in Southern California. It’s maybe 1 out of every 7. Outside of that and the Freemont/SF/SJ/Hayward/Oakland/Union City area: you’re looking at a much lower rate. Hondas and Toyotas seemingly account for over half the cars in the state.
You couldn’t even afford my current suite in SF 😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
in SF, starter homes are going for 2m now. i live in the bay, my "starter home" (2/2) cost 1.2m. i have a 45 minute commute to SF. if you go far enough to have a 1.5 hour commute from SF, you can get a starter home for 800k in a shit area or 1m for a decent one.
Why do people act so confused about NYC, SF, etc., sky-high rents. I'm not a "sophisticated" economist, but basically, if you don't build units to at least match population growth, rents go up. I know, pretty mind-blowing stuff. The new housing bill will likely make it worse. They are easing financing... Which means more buyers, and absent corresponding a supply increase, prices will go up even more. The FED can't do shit unless they start building apartments in National Parks. Local governments are the only solution. "The [21st Century ROAD to Housing Act](https://bipartisanpolicy.org/issue-brief/inside-the-deal-whats-in-the-final-21st-century-road-to-housing-act/) is a landmark federal law that **eases housing financing**. By relaxing federal rules on community banks, **broadening access to FHA mortgages**, and streamlining funding processes for affordable housing, the legislation simplifies lending and construction."
But moving off IBM DB2 is considerable which likely requires IT consultants - or just integrate SF to stream data from DB2.
Keep in mind a lot of these technologies have been testing for well over a decade; Audi had cars driving from SF to Vegas without driver input in 2015. You should consider the companies that make key components to ADAS, like lidar, sonic sensors, and GPU/sensor fusion. Velodyne is the only name I know
How the actual fuck does Cathie wood have a job in finance. I feel like a fucking crackhead from the SF streets could be a better stock picker than her
It's definitely low and contrarian. I just don't see a new-housing or home-improvement turnaround on the horizon yet. Is there something you see that I don't? I don't think you are wrong, just early. I see the consumer economy pretty bad off right now because of the Iran War oil shock. Inflation is going to be up. Consumers are freaked out and there will be ongoing inflation pressures in food and other commodities over the next 6 months at least. Everything I have heard about the housing season this year is bad, EXCEPT in SF bay area where AI tech is handing out money to a select few who are buying, and a few other specific locations. I remember how long it took for the consumer to turn around after 2009. What was "jobless recovery" then is "K-shaped" now... but worse. I don't know if things actually get better this time without something major happening. I don't know how Trump is going to pay back Pulte.
I'm from SF. 4.8k is not a high mortgage here. Mortgage for SFH is like 5 digits. I would only ever buy a home once you have kids and need to figure out a good school district. Buying a home in an area with shitty schools is a death sentence.
Agree data is big. All SF startups are just data labeling companies right now Idk about $ZETA. Let us know
What is this screen shot even suppose to represent. It doesn't show the the job title, the location or relevant information. Amazon is not paying 300K for mid level Dev Ops anywhere outside of SF / NYC.
Reminds me of a former boss of mine that lived in SF Bay Area. She rented a home at an older age and I asked her why she hadn’t bought, her answer was that she was waiting for the market to drop because it would. It’s been 15+ years and the area she lived in has not dropped. She ended up moving a few years ago.
I can actively assure you, living in Cali, the teslas on FSD are objectively better than the morons in Porsche (recent example) and most other cars driver by humans near SF.
Yeah we know SF is higher, but were talking for the entire state
Not homes in SF brodie https://preview.redd.it/di87pq59k5bh1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bf7dc0f8b24de08eb4f984ddf1d7704f60c34f73
OpenAI gonna gift 5% to Trump. We are all gonna be on hook if AI bubble pop thus there is no AI bubble. its a smart move to buy house in SF with OpenAI stocks
SF real estate is insane right now. Bought a house in 2024 for $1.8 now valued at $2.3M.🚀🚀
since they’re selling homes in SF for pre ipo stock i’m gonna go half cash half stock
Texas is the new SF, last I heard shameful behaviors
If anyone owns property in SF let it be known if the building is over 100 years old, good luck getting property insurance. State Farm dropped us at $8k/year and now we pay $14k/year for some half ass city sponsored insurance
I personally believe that especially the senior engineers are the ones which are a) not present in a manufacturing company that needs ERP and b) are the least likely to want to put their name under a program which they did not write. ERP is not as important to tech as it is to companies with complicated and internationally integrated logistics. Take any gas turbine manufacturer, they procure parts from both inhouse and foreign suppliers, assemble them in house in NA or EU and then ship them world wide, yet their senior engineers won't be able to create anything close to SAP or SF
Just wired the deposit for my Ferrari SF90. FUCK YOU BEARS LMAO IM UP $1M TODAY
We used to have them here in SF Bay Area. But now somehow looks like vanished.
the platform vs product framing everyone is using kind of skips the actual question, which is whether AV operators choose to distribute through uber or just go direct. uber only wins the platform argument if spinning up your own rider app and network is harder than renting ubers reach. waymo in SF is the counterexample, theyre running direct, no uber needed. so its not really robotaxis kill uber yes or no. its a margin story. uber probably survives as a distribution layer, but the take rate gets thinner because it no longer owns the supply side. the bull take in here that uber keeps a bigger slice per ride once the driver is gone is likely backwards, you lose pricing power when you dont control the cars and the AV operator does. munich being any carmaker actually fits that, uber renting itself out as distribution. real business, just lower margin than the toll booth people are imagining. and a chunk of this is already in the stock given how its traded.
yes, price is probably the deciding factor for most people. Waymo is actually already running in SF without surge pricing, which is what Uber is most hated for. If Waymo keeps prices flat and Uber spikes during rain or concerts, the habit breaks fast
Very good observation Asset-light, third-party fleet, keeps the toll. Exactly. Robotaxis just swap the asset owner, Uber stays the marketplace. But for Waymo. Google doesn't need a marketplace. They have Maps, the data stack, and enough brand trust to own the rider directly. They're already doing it in SF and Phoenix without Uber.
Waymo's already doing it without Uber in SF and Phoenix. They have Google Maps, the navigation data, the full stack. They don't need the toll booth
SF software can be easily replaced by a 20 year old with claude or codex
Yes, but that goes for software that's basically a fancy excel wrapper. ERP systems like SF or SAP are so deeply embedded in logistics, sales, and accounting that any replication via vibe code needs to be done across departments. I just don't see a large company trusting vibe code from an intern in accounting to handle information channels that need to be secure.