SRS

InteractionNo8346

Doesn't trump eat/rape children with his friends? SRS question 

dAn_tHe_mAn7

You mention none of the negatives about WEN which suggests you are a bagholder. Wendy's has struggled with consecutive quarters of negative same-restaurant sales (SRS). In Q1 2026, U.S. same-restaurant sales dropped 7.8%, contributing to a 5.5% decrease in global systemwide sales. Wendys margins are being crushed by lower customer traffic, commodity inflation, and rising labor costs. You mentioned wendys are pushing project fresh but there is significant execution risk. Analysts are concerned about the consistency of these improvements across a vast, predominantly franchised network. As part of its optimization plan, Wendy's is closing 5%–6% of its U.S. restaurants. While intended to boost long-term efficiency, this creates near-term revenue headwinds and uncertainty regarding the impact on total system size.  Wendys has intense competition and is losing market share to more effective competitors. The brand has struggled to articulate a clear "value proposition" that resonates with price-conscious consumers in the current economic environment, especially compared to rivals like McDonald's or Burger King.  There is macroeconomic headwinds that has reduced discretionary consumer spending is hitting the quick service restaurant sector hard. Inflationary pressures on ingredients (like wheat, dairy, and beef) and energy costs show few signs of immediate relief. Wendys carries a high debt-to-equity ratio, which limits its financial flexibility and ability to return capital to shareholders such as through share buybacks.  Wendys brand is also damaged due to the dynamic pricing scandal from 2024 and consumers increasingly view Wendy’s as overpriced for the value they receive. Reports suggest that price hikes at Wendy's have outpaced general inflation, leading many customers to feel they are paying more for products that have decreased in size or quality. Fast food relies on being a safe, reliable and affordable choice. When customers feel a brand is manipulating its pricing model (the surge pricing fear) or simply charging too much, that psychological safety is broken. for many customers, the damage isn't just about the menu board, it’s about a perceived shift in the company’s relationship with its customers moving from a provider of affordable meals to a corporation prioritizing margin expansion at the expense of the consumer. Wendys have also started a coupon mailing campaign and this is a sign of a cooked company

First_Jacket_1728

What does SRS mean?

gainsusmaximus

SRS, probably a painful slow grind up untill the whole market shits itself until the inevitable Santa rally

marktrain1234

Both of those things are already happening with GRPN. On the "hedge funds buying all the shares" piece, Pale Fire owns 26%, Continental just went to 9.2% (filed today), Windward at 5%, insiders another 2%. That's 42% locked before you count any of the pod shop or concentrated long positions. CAR's squeeze trigger was Pentwater + SRS getting to \~40%. GRPN is already past that threshold. On the buyback piece, GRPN already authorized a buyback and has been executing it. Q1 they retired meaningful float. Continental's accumulation on top of an active buyback is exactly the CAR-style float compression you're describing, just without the merger framing. What's different from CAR: no take-private deal pending and no appraisal litigation forcing a hard close date. That's the missing piece. GRPN doesn't have the same catalyst forcing shorts to cover by a specific deadline. It just needs volume. What could become that forcing function: Q2 earnings confirming the turnaround (they beat Q1 and guided acceleration) Pale Fire going 13D-aggressive or signaling take-private intent SumUp IPO printing and re-rating the stake on GRPN's balance sheet Borrow tightening to the point where pod shops can't roll their locates and have to cover mechanically

ZemGuse

The thing is to learn a new language you need to be serious and study. You can’t just find one app and play on it for 10 minutes a day. There’s all kinds of resources for any language you want to learn out there but you need to spend at minimum 30 minutes a day just immersing in the language and listen to it. And then you need to do vocab study, preferably with an SRS system like Anki. And you need to study grammar. But you really need to actively study and immerse yourself in the language as much as possible.

kuyawake

OP: "Is the market misjudging this opportunity? Or am I misjudging the stock? What is the risk that I am not accounting for?" Since everyone in the comments and the OP seem to be very bullish, I'll just weigh on on what the risks might be that you may not be considering. I would HIGHLY encourage tempering your sentiments like "Assuming a 6 year ramp in manufacturing and widespread adoption by Oncologists, that puts the $3.28B – $20.5B in revenue at year end 2033" or "And this doesn’t even factor in all the other cancer types that it is going to flood into quickly after the first FDA approval." I can guarantee there will not be widespread adaption in 6 years. Hospitals and clinics are slow to adapt to something like this. For most clinics, adopting would require: 1. Oncologists who are enthusiastic about this procedure and trained for it. Many won't consider it until actual survival rate statistics are out showing better outcomes than current standard of care. It will take longer than 6 years just to get that data alone. 2. Physicists who've created a robust safety program handling alpha emitters, including shipping, handling, storage, treatment, etc. Managing Radon gas leakage. General regulatory compliance beyond which is expected in a "typical" rad therapy clinic that uses external beam. 3. Administrator buy-in 4. Favorable billing and insurance approvals Don't think this will be a widespread technique for a lot of other cancers. It is a promising technique for a very small subset of cancers. Despite your "scalpel vs. traditional radiation therapy" comment, existing radiotherapy procedures can be quite conformal to small tumors (read up on SRS: hint the last 'S' stands for surgery, SBRT, Gammaknife, cyberknife, particle (proton) therapy, etc) and they already use the concept of putting radiation directly in tumor with isotopes that emit electrons and gamma (brachytherapy). Alpha emitters have specific strengths over these techniques that make them more suitable for specific use cases, but in most other cases, there will not be a switch to alpha dart because the aforementioned modalities will be superior. The dose calculation in alpha dart therapy has a lot of uncertainty right now which might also prevent its rapid adopting. The physics of measuring absorbed dose from an alpha source is much more challenging than electron and photon sources. I'm not aware of any AAPM physics guidelines on how use alpha dart. It can take decades for a new radiotherapy procedure to start taking any foothold. Alpha dart is a baby. It might be very successful long term (I hope it is for the sake of beating cancer) but it will take longer than you think. I expect it will be confined to the research space for a while longer before seeing more widespread clinical adoption. And by then, you never know if there will be better options in the immunotherapy/chemo/vaccine space that is rapidly evolving.

Toankst

Misunderstood your use of "management" here. SRS Investment Management is part of the board, meaning they have influence over management, since they own about 49% and can’t buy more. As for other executives, I don’t know, but if I get paid in stock, I’d sell from time to time as the price goes up to invest on my own life, not the other way around. As long as that 49% elephant still there, I feel safer. The employee holdings are minimal, which is actually a good thing, fewer Form 4s to worry about.

Toankst

They can't, they already hold the maximum allowed. Avis had to hold a vote to increase the cap previously, allowing SRS to reach 49%. Going higher would require another vote, and I'm not even sure regulations allow it.

Toankst

If they didn’t do it when the stock was high, nothing prevented them from doing so, so it would make less sense to do it now since they own the majority of the shares and can easily push the price up again. And yes, they control a large portion of the float through SRS, which has representation on the board and the Avis chairman.

False-Community8534

Share became available to short yesterday, second half of the session. Means the shorts covered, Penn and SRS closed their swap positions or a combination.

Better-Space9078

100%. Pentwater and SRS can just stay put and see their stock underlying value double from the 5M retail inflow at $600 avg (let alone if SRS sells some post blackout) and whomever drove up this rollercoaster also pocketed a lot... all at the cost of retail ofc. But not sure about the dead cat bounce next week.

Bobrikorv

Not entirely sure how the financial mechanisms work here, but I'm not sure that the float can increase and the total amount of shares on the market can be increased by SRS or Pentwater. This entire case reminds me in some ways of the Hunt brothers when they hoarded silver.

TiredTired99

I thought there were some restrictions on Pentwater and SRS selling shares (e.g., SRS has board representation, short-swing rule for Pentwater). So wouldn't the price drop be more likely tied to Avis selling shares?

SkyaGold

Neither fund can sell rn Deutsche Bank analyst Woronka specifically noted that SRS, as an insider with board representation, likely cannot sell during Avis’s current quiet period ahead of Q1 earnings in late April/early May. On Pentwater, the Section 16(b) short-swing profit rule requires insiders owning more than 10% to return profits on trades made within six months of their last trade — meaning Pentwater likely cannot sell before at least September 20, 2026

08050221

Good analysis. Not sure if you know any possibility for this to go down other than new stock issuance announcement. SRS likely won't sell since they've been accumulating for over a decade. Pentwater can't due to short-swing rule. Also insiders (them included) can't as it's likely blackout period right now.

tasty-kake

Im not sure if they during the quiet time pre earnings given SRS is the largest holder and on their board.

08050221

This isn't Archegos 2.0. Brian Choi (CEO of Avis) was a partner at SRS. They're 100% in bed together. It's just about how much debt they want to get rid of.

08050221

CEO of Avis was a Partner at SRS

theepi_pillodu

BTW, Avis Budget Group's (CAR) New ATM Offering of 5Million shares right? And pentwater just bought a bunch of shares that were below $100 at that time. And for my understanding, I used grok on what short setup is in this case: >>In CAR’s case, here’s exactly what the “short setup” looked like: >>The stock had a huge number of shares shorted — over 86% of the shares available to trade were sold short by people betting the stock would go down. At the same time, two big funds (Pentwater and SRS) bought up and locked away most of the actual shares that existed. So there were almost no real shares left in the market for the shorts to buy back. >>When the stock started rising, those short sellers got scared and had to buy shares to cover their positions. But there were almost no shares available, so they had to bid the price higher and higher to get anyone to sell. That created the massive squeeze we’re seeing now. That combination — extremely high short interest + very low actual shares available — is what people mean by a “perfect short setup.” It’s why CAR went from around $100 to over $700 so fast. Is this explanation wrong? Basically my understanding is that Avis sold 5Million shares directly to public and these hedge fund guys just bought 86% of those 5Million shares. People who bet it would drop, had to buy the stocks to cover their positions(this is what I did not understand). So, the stock went up. 1. There is no insider trading happening right? 2. The business is losing money already, so unless they say AI, or partnership with some other company the stock had to crash, isn't it?

gaana15

Apologies I asked Gemini to summarise the long thread for learnings : This postmortem analyzes the intense price action of $CAR (Avis Budget Group) following a massive rally and explores why the short squeeze setup remained potent despite the stock being "irrationally" high. ​Summary of the Post ​The "Trap" Mechanics: OP explains that the Short Sale Restriction (SSR) and LULD halts (Limit Up-Limit Down) act as impediments for shorts. When SSR is triggered (after a 10% drop), shorts can only sell on upticks, making it difficult to drive the price down without "natural" long sellers [09:43]. ​Supply vs. Demand: Despite Avis offering 5 million shares "at-the-market" (ATM), OP argues the market absorbed this easily, and major holders (SRS, Pentwater, and ETFs) are not selling, keeping the float extremely tight. ​Retail Sentiment: Using premium trade data, OP notes that retail traders were net short as the market rose. This creates a "squeeze" because these traders are eventually forced to buy back their positions to close losses [01:14:45]. ​The Outcome: OP concludes that there is little incentive for smart money to "crash" the stock right now. The setup remains dangerous for shorts because "retail shorts are trapped and screaming for help." ​Personal Growth: OP credits the linked Andrew Mack podcast for helping them stay humble, leading them to close a losing short position for a $55k loss rather than risking total liquidation, ultimately recovering some profit through hedges [20:19]. ​What OP is Trying to Say ​OP is highlighting that market mechanics (rules/regulations) often override fundamental logic during a squeeze. Even if a stock price is "crazy," the combination of restricted short selling (SSR), locked-up institutional shares, and a constant stream of forced buyers (trapped retail shorts) creates a floor that prevents the price from falling. OP's core message is: Don't fight the mechanics of a squeeze based on "valuation" alone. ​Ideas & Reflections after Reading ​Mechanical Edge vs. Fundamental Edge: OP’s analysis of SSR trigger times and LULD bands shows that their "edge" wasn't just knowing the company—it was knowing the plumbing of the exchange. For traders, tracking SSR status is a vital risk-management tool. ​The "Psychology of Pain": The mention of wholesalers (Citadel, Jane St.) having the best data on retail pain is a reminder that retail traders often act as the "liquidity" for larger firms. Being on the same side as the "trapped" crowd is a recipe for liquidation. ​The "Best Loser Wins" Mentality: Referencing Andrew Mack’s podcast [20:08], the idea that "excursion is your only signal" is powerful. If a trade goes against you immediately, cutting it (as OP did for a $55k loss) is often the only way to survive to trade another day. ​Data Segmentation: OP suggests that "boring" binary output specs from exchanges are a "Senior year project" worth doing. Learning to segment retail vs. institutional flow using tools like Databento or Polygon provides a much clearer picture of who is actually "trapped."

08050221

Ya it's at like what 300 now? Main point is that even at current prices, the debt doesn't reduce by a significant margin. SRS selling risk is largely negligible because that's not how they've historically operated. Rlly do think that the squeeze was orchestrated to fix the balance sheet.

08050221

I left this as a comment on another post about AVIS. Want to check my logic with others, I've left out some of the more technical details to make it digestable. This will likely go higher. The setup right now: 2 large holders control a significant chunk of the supply and aren't lending, meaning that short utilization rate is currently around high 80's percentage. Avis has $29 billion in debt. They can issue 5 million shares ATM. One of the holders is SRS (a tiger cub), who's accumulated Avis for 15 years. The risk of them selling their stack in one go is minimal. The other is Pentwater, the risk here is much higher but still somewhat far. If we think of the motivations here: it is in the interest of both Avis and SRS to clear at least a significant portion of the debt. This is assuming that SRS is a long-term holder (which they already are) and are investing based on fundamentals (which they do). Likely, the current run up was engineered to clear the debt of the business. If we assume that 5 million shares were all issued at $750 dollars, that only covers a bit less than 4 billion of the debt. Likely, Pentwater will exit after Avis issues the 5 million shares. Retail interest hasn't really picked up, but the setup is there. Given that insiders are currently in a blackout period where they aren't technically allowed to sell, the earliest date is a few days after the next earnings. Insiders applies to both SRS and Pentwater. Yes, they can "sell" with financial engineering, but the immediate impact isn't too high.

tasty-kake

SRS can’t sell pre earnings anyways. Youve got another SRS on the board of Avis besides Jagdeep

cfaawlday

The SRS analysts are still green on Bloomberg 🤣

Fit_Equal6932

Check out Pentwater's latest filing this morning, he took delivery of 34700 shares from the synthetic longs he had expiring On Friday. He is happily chugging along. He has half a million up for September. Read up on SRS strategy, they have been in this since 2010 and have had several opportunities to cash out, they haven't. Read up all on what they have done, got on the board, forced buy backs to increase stake and reduce float, forced dividend declaration (that was a big piece of how they made money, cold hard cash as dividend of $10 that one time). Now Pentwater joins them. The play is something different and big, They don't give a rat's ass about what the stock is doing day to day.

JoeDrater

I have been thinking, with IV reaching 400 what prevents SRS and Pentwater to cash in by selling OTM covered calls? If those calls started to get ITM they can just sell some shares to supress price without totally crashing it.

tomgreen99200

> These two big investors also own cash-settled equity swaps that push their combined ownership above 100%. SRS held 2.9 million shares via swaps and Pentwater, 10.2 million shares, the Avis proxy states.

shikarin

SRS and Pentwater bought over 100% of the outstanding stock through outright ownership or cash-settled swaps.

shikarin

SRS and Pentwater bought over 100% of the stock/swaps.

Sterncat23

What about this isn’t legal? SRS is the largest shareholder and control the board

JoeDrater

Basically SRS and Pentwater bought entire float, probably not illegal but should be lol, this is crealrly intentionally manufactured.

Location_Next

How tf is this legal? “SRS is headed by Jagdeep Pahwa, who is also Avis’s executive chairman”

JoeDrater

Yeah I wonder about the end game too. I think SRS has historically not sold much, but I guess Pentwater might start taking profit?

Fit_Equal6932

Yes, if you ask me I will bet on this for the next day or two. Whatever float is left also keeps getting soaked by ETFs in the general risk on market. It will crash, everything does. No one is going to step in to make it go down though. Retail shorts keep getting trapped and today's 20% gain means if it triggers reg SHO after 10% drop tomorrow then those people are stuck for 2 more days. But then again market is good at teaching you. I was short and taking the pain for 10 days but markets proved me wrong. Some of my intraday plays were working with the swings but Friday and today is a different regime. I don't know how SRS and Pentwater use this for their profit long term.

cfaawlday

Wait an Indian dude at SRS investment management is triggering the squeeze in $CAR 🤣🤣

SpecializedA4

Ran a prompt thru gemini based off today’s action… ### **Technical Assumptions & Market Context** * **Current Price:** **$261.35** (Wednesday Close, April 8, 2026). * **Estimated Short Interest:** **62.26%** of free float. * **Liquidity Constraint:** True liquid float is estimated at **~3%** (approx. 1.1M shares) due to extreme concentration by SRS Investment Management and Pentwater Capital. * **Effective Days to Cover:** While the 30-day average is 14 days, current volume-adjusted DTC is **<1.5 days**, indicating a "crowded exit." ### **Price Target Probability Analysis** | Target | Probability | Reasoning | |---|---|---| | **Over $400** | **40% – 50%** | The stock is in a "Vertical Acceleration" phase with volume at 500% of the mean. A move to $400 requires a ~53% gain over two sessions, which is technically consistent with a margin call cascade when short interest exceeds the functional liquid float. | | **Over $500** | **15% – 20%** | This hinges on a "Gamma Flip" at the $300 and $350 strike prices. If these levels are breached, market makers will be forced into aggressive delta-hedging (buying shares), creating a secondary buying spiral that bypasses fundamental valuation entirely. | | **Over $1,000** | **2% – 5%** | This represents a "Total Liquidity Void" or "Infinity Squeeze" similar to Volkswagen in 2008. While mathematically possible given the 800% short-to-true-float ratio, it requires SRS and Pentwater to maintain 100% position retention without selling a single share into the spike. | ### **Technical Breakdown** The primary driver for the **$400+** scenario is the **"Locked Float" mechanics**. When the number of shares sold short (**8.12M**) is roughly **8x** the actual shares available for trade (**~1M**), the "Ask" side of the order book can effectively vanish. If Thursday opens with a **gap-up above $280**, it will likely trigger automated liquidation protocols for mid-tier hedge funds. This creates a non-discretionary buying wave where the "price" becomes irrelevant to the buyer—their only goal is to reduce exposure at any cost before the Friday options expiration. This feedback loop is the highest-probability path to the **$400–$500 range**.

Character_Set3454

Obligatory "have you tried doing the opposite".   But also sorry to hear this if SRS.   If April fools then the am calling the internet police to backtrack your megabytes.

mneymaker

Someone has made seriouuuuuus money on the SNDK run and I am talking about millions from early January till now. Whoever that is DO NOT POST GAINS OR I LL BE GETTING SRS ITCHING. FU AND CONGRATS AND GTFO I AM ENVY AF

GreasyJones

QXO’s growth story is being overstated. Their scale came from a hostile acquisition of Beacon, not from organic expansion or a long-running roll-up strategy. Beacon and SRS completed most of the industry consolidation themselves over the past decade. The independent, mom-and-pop suppliers that once fueled M&A-driven growth are largely gone. The roofing and siding distribution market is now concentrated among a few dominant players: QXO (Beacon), SRS (Home Depot), and ABC Supply. With consolidation largely complete and homebuilding activity slowing, the remaining growth levers are pricing discipline, modest volume gains, and operational efficiency. That points to steady, utility-like returns—not explosive growth.

New_Competition_410

SRS

jerk1

anybody here remember SRS?

LessAd8017

SRS ADVICE: With your last 1k buy 400 AMC and sell weekly calls for $3. It's a slow and boring recovery but you gotta get back up to 2k.

FinestObligations

Yupp. I’ve been on Reddit since the first year and I’ve never gotten banned except from meme subreddits like SRS, Pyongyang etc. But now I’m banned from multiple of the popular subreddits. And I don’t go out of my way to be toxic or bad mannered. It’s gotten really bad.

SeveralBollocks_67

(srs no troll plz) ##**SRS**

SorbetEntire5348

NVDA , AMD, PLTR. or MSFT Dip. (which do I buy? SRS)

Iforgotmylines

It’s trading at basically 1.2 to 1 on revenue. Most restaurants when they sell have 2-3x multiple. 95% of restaurant chains had bad Q1s. If they report any positive SRS growth for Q2 plus strong new opening forecasts they could pop. I’ll take a swing for earnings.

No-News908

Does no one realize that $CAR may be what most thought GME was. The float is likely 100% locked and shorted shares are looking at around 50% of what is thought to be publicly available. 70% confirmed to be held by Penwater and SRS.

MoneyAstronomer9401

Also apparently harel Gadots speech at SRS was well received by everyone in attendance and made a good impression. This has been an accumulate and hold position since early December for me. At 80k shares I’m comfortable but wish I had more powder to throw at it. I don’t see a scenario where this isn’t a home run as the device is simple and management seems to be on top of the 510k process keeping in touch with the FDA regularly 

MoneyAstronomer9401

This is some what incorrect Paul Mullen was let go about a month and a half ago. This was a rumor circulating early June on stocktwits. Which I later confirmed personally through talks with investor relations. Christina is taking over Paul mullens position the two are not working in tandem. Although I still think the buyout theory is still a very strong possibility, it seems too coincidental that microbot continues to hire ex Stryker and intuitive sales employees. This recent one comes directly after the SRS conference in France which intuitive, Stryker, and J&J attended. I also randomly stumbled upon another possible link to support a Stryker buyout thesis a few months ago. Talked to a Stryker sales rep who was a customer of mine in Tampa who told me Stryker recently drastically cut its spine division and was directing more funds to endovascular tech. So Stryker, intuitive, J&J buyout? Is still very possible. 

jluc21

No that was QXO before they bought out Beacon. Beacon had nothing to do with anything related to AI. In fact, i personally know some higher ups in Beacon that are already fired because of AI from QXO. There’s a difference in a successful accusation and Roofing business and I will give you a better example. Home Depot took over SRS almost two years ago now. They allowed SRS to keep their current system running, and they did not change anything. They kept all the same staff and they are using SRS as an advantage for Home Depot itself. It has worked tremendously and grown both companies individually. QXO is taking a much different approach, especially by trying to put their own audience that they sell to out of work. There is a high percent chance that if this AI is the only thing they are banking on that they will go lose massive profit in the next five years.

jluc21

Well I know they’re trying to create a robot that gets on the roof and actually does the work and it is concerning for a few reasons: 1.) That product will never work and cannot replicate the speed of a human crew. [It is explained really well here](https://www.reddit.com/r/STEW_ScTecEngWorld/s/vsH6CIudPY). 2.) Roofing Companies (the sole source of their money) will not buy their product or use their services if they are trying to take money away from their crews and their actual work. I’ve actually talked to a few other roofing owners in my area and around the nation that agree they’re not going to buy from a company that’s actively making a competitor to put them out of business with AI. Think about it, why would I give money to a company that’s working on a robot to compete with me or take over my job or food of my crews plates? It doesn’t make sense. Blue Collar is probably the one industry where it’s super easy to just find another distributor that will do the same job just as good for the same price. I am curious to know what else they’re doing besides that in the AI, but I cannot emphasize enough how easy it is to fuck up in this sector. ABC, SRS, and all these other companies will eat them alive if they do not stay sharp (outside of the AI which is completely different)

its-me-reek

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/shQd185SRS haven't sold from Feb

CigInside

Pretty wild shit. I would go extra long on SRS https://x.com/barchart/status/1928305686766666028?s=46

Over-Independent4414

We are reclaiming the word that was used against us for so long. But only we can say it, if anyone else does it's hate speech. I'll be monitoring SRS.

VariatCA

🥭: "Okay guys I TOTALLY haven't backed down or cancelled tariffs or anything, they're all just... delayed indefinitely! Yeah that's it, I'm SUPER SRS about tariffs but we're just going to delay them forever."

yodogyodog

He’s serious about trolling the serious trolls in hopes of seriously being able to curb the non-serious trolling and the serious trolling into an entire new etf with the stock ticker symbol: SRS. Seriously as serious gets, broadcasted live this early morning at 8am EDT on Sirius satellite radio.

Jedi_Mind_Tricks_247

Are you sure about that? If so, sell everything. That is the same thing that has been said for the market for the last 5 years. Yet here we are in 2025 at just about ATH. Same with the housing market and all the people that cashed out in 2022 and 2023 waiting for a crash to buy back in. I agree nothing can go up for ever...he'll i even short the markey with UVXY and RE with SRS but you don't know when and can't time it.

Phoenixchess

Carvana's [vertically integrated business model and nationwide logistics network covering 81.1% of the U.S. population](https://beyondspx.com/article/carvana-co-cvna-the-remarkable-transformation-of-an-automotive-disruptor) makes it a risky put play right now. Their infrastructure is solid and they're executing well. Take those profits. For HD, their Mexico and Canada stores are outperforming U.S. locations. Plus they just made a smart move [acquiring SRS Distribution to expand their pro contractor business](https://beyondspx.com/article/the-home-depot-inc-hd-a-resilient-home-improvement-giant-navigating-macroeconomic-headwinds). Those puts could burn you. The home improvement market isn't as weak as many think.

brett_baty_is_him

Robot makes the argument that people will renovate current home instead of buying a new home, their acquisition of SRS distribution, and hurricane recovery demand all are tailwinds for them. I’m not confident that it’s right but the renovate instead of buy was an interesting take to me. We’ll see how it plays out

stevenseagulls

SRS growth is driven by sales and customer counts, so not sure why lower quality would be a factor in driving top line SRS is my point. That contributes to bottom line with stronger margin, not SRS.

db2901

Because musk always finds a way (SRS)

Witty-Swordfish4838

SRS distribution is not ticker srs i dont know what ticker srs is, srs distribution was a roofing company hd bought

Lenderman1

SRS pro shares. Short the fuck out the RE market. If the market drops, i retire. I have 4k at current price and it's a gold mine if and when the RE market corrects. It was 25k a share in the GFC. This is less than 1% of my portfolio, but if it hits...im out!

Superb_Deal7559

BECN or BLDR, HD acquisition of SRS will benefit the company as well.

bkbikeberd

Many of those people who lost jobs will take jobs for less money. It's nasty but, that's what the gov wanted and what they will get. I also don't disagree with hedge funds buying up more real estate but, they ain't gonna buy up the whole damn US. We are at about 4.3 to 4.4 percent unemployment. That's not bad at all if you look at [historical data](https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-situation/civilian-unemployment-rate.htm). You seem to think it's all or nothing when in fact it's Oochie Wally Wally and One Mic at the same time. The trick is to make sure people don't own anything and rent everything like Housing, Music, Adobe software etc... Keep folks in state of perpetual debt. It's the reason they don't cure diseases but rather give you medicine to live with the condition and then make the price of that medicine astronomical. The housing market won't crash anytime soon. There is a shortage of homes not a surplus. What about unemployment you say? It's too low for a crises at this time and going into the holiday season hiring will kick back up. Now that rates are high enough to lower they got some tools to ramp up the economy. This is WSB if you feel like housing market will crash there is an ETF for that $SRS $DRV. Go get this money. Scared money don't make no money.

Jumpy_Counter1293

Chat gpt to the rescue: The thread you shared appears to be discussing a potential opportunity in commercial real estate and the broader stock market due to economic pressures, such as interest rates and a possible asset bubble. Here’s a breakdown of the key points: 1. **Commercial Real Estate Bubble**: The post suggests that there’s a “feeding frenzy” in commercial real estate, with prices dropping (“half off”) and forced foreclosures on the horizon. This implies that commercial real estate is in trouble, which could create opportunities. 2. **Interest Rates and the Fed**: The Fed’s actions on interest rates are crucial. If rates stay high, the post suggests that this will negatively impact residential housing next, causing further market disruptions. 3. **Stock Market Outlook**: The post predicts a potential 20% rise in the S&P 500 (SPY) by the end of the year, possibly due to a surge in certain sectors or the market pricing in the Fed’s actions. ### Investment Strategies: 1. **Short Commercial Real Estate ETFs**: - **SRS (ProShares UltraShort Real Estate ETF)**: This is an inverse ETF that gains when real estate stocks decline. It’s a leveraged ETF, meaning it can produce higher returns (and higher risks). 2. **Long Residential Real Estate ETFs**: - If you believe the Fed might intervene and lower rates to prevent a broader housing crash, **VNQ (Vanguard Real Estate ETF)** could benefit as lower rates might stabilize the residential market. 3. **REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts)**: - Consider investing in REITs that are well-positioned to buy distressed commercial properties at a discount. Look for those with strong balance sheets, like **PLD (Prologis)** or **O (Realty Income)**. 4. **Broader Market Exposure**: - **SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF)**: If you agree with the sentiment that the S&P 500 could rise another 20%, investing directly in SPY could be a straightforward way to benefit. ### Risks: - **Leverage**: Leveraged ETFs like SRS can amplify losses, so they are risky if the market moves against you. - **Timing**: The market’s reaction to Fed decisions is uncertain, and timing your investments correctly is critical. Investing in this environment requires careful consideration of the risks and staying updated on economic indicators and Fed actions.

SqueezeStreet

Check out palisades radio SRS Rocco interview on YT about bitcoin mining. Not only is it not free it's prohibitively expensive. Having said that I don't doubt bitcoin can/will hit 100k

80sCocktail

Home Depot shares fell after the company lowered its full-year guidance for earnings per share and comparable sales. CEO cited higher interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty as factors impacting consumer demand. Despite adjusted earnings for the second quarter beating expectations, comparable sales declined by 3.3%. Analysts project a 1% year-over-year decline in second-quarter sales. There are concerns about weak demand and the impact of Home Depot's recent acquisition of SRS Distribution on earnings per share.

RilSG

HD is going to bag both puts and calls regardless of er. They will likely miss but outlook is positive with rates coming down and synergies from SRS acquisition. My regarded guess is it falls 3-4% but closes the week green.

ClenAndOptions

SRS is the best performing Inverse RE ETF

StripClubJedi

get you some SRS to offset the losses!

Ubuiqity

Looks like the deal is closing this Monday, June 17th. What changes will occur at SRS as a result?

jonny-Vapez

Won’t be SRS Profibility, if HD bought them…

Training_Baker5454

It started because they bought SRS and no one was happy about it. Then it just kept the momentum down with the rest of the market.

DerrickBagels

I got a $15 put on SRS right at close

CommissionNo7942

How will this change SRS Distribution model?

Vindaloo6363

HD plus SRS puts them way ahead of all the competition in residential roofing and siding. HD’s costs should really improve SRS’s profitability.

Purple-Ad-3492

Short-selling stocks or bonds of CRE CLO issuers or investing in hedge funds or ETFs that specialize in shorting or hedging against risks in the commercial real estate market. Some CRE CLO issuers or related companies include: 1. Arbor Realty Trust Inc. 2. Ready Capital Corporation 3. Blackstone Mortgage Trust 4. New York Community Bancorp (mentioned in the article) 5. Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (historical reference) Examples of hedge funds and ETFs that focus on real estate or structured credit markets and may incorporate strategies related to shorting or hedging: 1. **Hedge Funds**: * Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC * Canyon Partners * Fortress Investment Group * Citadel LLC * Baupost Group 2. **Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)**: * ProShares Short Real Estate ETF (REK) * Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3x Shares ETF (DRV) * ProShares UltraShort Real Estate ETF (SRS) * ProShares Short High Yield ETF (SJB) * Direxion Daily MSCI Real Estate Bear 3x Shares ETF (DRVN)

phatelectribe

You’re talking about incremental changes since 2000. Side impact bars, passenger and side (shoulder, curtain etx) airbags, crumple zones, ABS as standard , TPMS, SRS, etc, etc) were used in Mercs at that time. Also brake assist systems were rolled out in the 90’s and by 1998 is was federal law to have at least dual airbags systems on every new car. Merc invented ESC in 1995 and were one of the leaders in safety features. Have they got better? Sure, but the vast majority of big improvements in safety features came between the 80’s and 90’s. By 2000 you were driving a very safe vehicle, now they’re just even safer so suggesting it’s irresponsible to drive a Merc from 2000 is abject nonsense. Again, if you were arguing 70’s or even 80’s but by 2000 90% of the basic safety features we have today were in place.

divurchic

It’s not about doom and gloom, you are missing the whole point. Remember this is the r/stocks subreddit. When the crash happens it will be a huge opportunity to buy low or like I did short the stock market now when the shorts are cheap. SQQQ/ SPXS/ SRS/SDOW were low this week so I bought a bunch. Just sit and wait now. A friend of mine made some money on puts this week. It’s all about the money!

_Zap_Rowsdower_

Gamble is so stupid he just stood there listening to the jokers little story WHY SO SRS he could have easily fought him off. Lmao what an idiot.

NightOfTheLivingHam

Its all the antiwork people infecting the site. Just how SRS used to brigade the site a decade ago.

lmao_just_lmao

Your idea would depend on predicting how interest rates will change in the future. Even the so-called experts are pretty bad at it. There are plenty of ideas that would work extremely well if you could just predict the future. Now I'll address some specifics of your post. \- It's not EFT, it's ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) \- SRS does not short "housing", it shorts an index of Real Estate Investment Trust companies (REITs), which include many things other than residential. It's weighted by market capitalization and the largest REITs with the highest weight in the index are non-residential, things like warehouses, data centers, telecom towers, hospitals, and retail. However you're not 100% wrong because yes the whole index is interest rate sensitive. \- What do you mean "invest in indexes that focus on treasuries"? Go long or short treasury bonds? If interest rates fall, then treasury bonds rise in value and you should be long. If interest rates rise, treasury bonds decrease in value. Do you understand this? \- The Federal Reserve has a so-called dual mandate from congress - "to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates." Stable prices means they should keep inflation at a stable level, which they've chosen as 2%. Maximum employment, most people seem to interpret as just keeping the unemployment rate low. But it seems like Jerome Powell interprets "maximum employment" to mean that the labor force should grow as long as there are people out of the labor force. Following this mandate, the Fed will usually respond to inflation or employment levels, depending on which one needs to be addressed. Can you predict the rate of inflation and employment going forward? Then (maybe) you can predict interest rates. If you really can predict these things, then you don't need to play with real estate and treasury bonds specifically. There are lots of ways to do it. But the trouble is predicting these things better than the market, better than all the experts, so you can get into positions before it's priced in. Good luck with that.

IWantToPlayGame

You’re back to SRS BUSINESS in February?

Iwillgetasoda

SRS can be the new GME?

benji3k

Thi is good for us. this will be the next big short aka The Big Short Kingz . So ive already bought a Put on SRS and a call on GEO with all these neo crims running amok. I expect to be wealthy in the next 2 years but may come sooner idk.

leftunreadit

I don’t know what SRS is ? 😭

BakaGaijiin

lookup SRS DRV REK if you guys are for shorting the housing market.

mdizzle109

SRS is like inverse real estate, but it’s at 52 week high atm

Plenty_Cattle2554

$BNKD $SRS q

Training_Addition950

Ticker. SRS

Thomas-The-Tutor

SRS, ultrashort real estate, is technically an option.

ArbitraryLabel

okay, sure whatever but how is my SRS position green in both stock and put option?

RapeySurprises

SRS monthly breakout

RapeySurprises

YOLO: STLA 21C 8/18 @ .18 | BABA 110C 8/18 @ 1.30 | SRS ATM LEAPS | UVXY weeklies for downside hedge

0DTEtookmeToSkidRow

fucking hell I have unknown calls blocked so i dont even check my voicemails much anymore Just checked For the past 6 months this 1 scam bitch has been leaving me the same voicemail from a different number every time "Hi my name is Kaylee Frazier from SRS" Looked it up on google, apparently this is happening to a lot of people. I wish i knew her irl i would bodyslam her fr

NormanClegg

Yesterday I bought short emerging markets etf EDZ, short China YANG, short real estate SRS and a smidge of short Japan EWV with all my ready cash cause I didn't sell enough holdings to prepare for a big drop and felt pretty foolish about it until today.

_Kenway

real estate inverse ETF, you already missed the big move. if you want to lose money = REK (x1 leverage), SRS (x2), DRV (x3, very risky right now)

ArbitraryLabel

if i didnt hedge my 100 SRS shares with 3 puts i would pour vinegar in both eyes rn