USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
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At least 6 more bull months, based on JPow's speech
My most degenerate possible upcoming YOLO.
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USDU outperforms VOO in the long term.
UUP? There's also USDU but with an even less active options chain than UUP.
This is great suggestion there is also UDN, USDU, UUP which are direct plays on the dollar. With all of these read the terms understand expense ratios, and if there is any decay, but way safer then jumping on futures, currency if you haven't traded them before.
I wasn't suggesting just saying where they can be found. If you want to bet against the dollar and you haven't traded currency or futures before check these ETF's. You can make the same hedges bets in a much safer way vs trying to figure out futures, currency, and options at the same time. FXY, YCL, YCS, FXE, EUO, ULE, FXF, UDN, USDU, UUP
You can get dollar funds like $UUP, $USDU if you're bullish on the dollar or $UDN if you're bearish on the dollar. You can also bet on Canadian dollars $FXC or Euro with $FXE. Canadian dollar has to go back up eventually it's a good play for the long term
I don't really know what you expect to find here, so I'll lob a curveball. Do your own research because it's a totally different flavor, but I like USDU. It's the US dollar levered against foreign currencies. CEW is the opposite. So if the dollar is doing well, USDU is awesome. If the dollar is doing poorly, CEW is awesome. Blending them will straighten out their volatility, and they're a fun market timing minigame to pair with very little consequence if you get it wrong.
Consider there is a CPI inflation report dropping around July 10. Also consider there is an FOMC meeting July 31. Oil and gasoline prices rose all though June. I think the June CPI report is not gonna be favorable for the imminent rate cut narrative Also the fed has outright come out and said they are not ready to cut rates yet. I think the higher forever narrative of the markets is gonna have more an more difficult moving forward. I dont think the rally is over. Far from it. I'm staying long the markets but I'm also building positions in SHY (1-3 yr treasuries) and USDU (US dollar bullish)
This is why I am 100% Cash 1 Year SPY Return: -5% 1 Year USDU Return: +5%
Appreciate the post, was in $USDU and was thinking of getting back in. This changes that.
All good questions that I don't have answers for. As for safe haven assets dollars have been good so far. Maybe plays on something like USDU if you think dollar strength will continue to climb. I'm also not sure oil is done yet even though the charts don't look great.
I added a 15% position in VXZ to my portfolio, and I regularly rebalance the entire portfolio. Added USDU as well with the risk of rising rates - but as interest rates (and if interest rates were higher to begin with) I add a 15% position to AGG. The rest is generally all equity, same as usual. Planning to play the dollar cost averaging game on the way down by rebalancing regularly. The rest of my portfolio's all a combo of equity and some specialized ETF's aimed to hopefully profit off commodity inflation. If the market drops, I figure I'll get about half or less of the downside. If it goes up, I'm still quite a bit long the market and should still see some modest returns. And if it goes sideways for awhile, I'll probably underperform and may even have a small loss when the market had a small gain. My timeframe for investing is less than a year though, so I am just fine being more cautious.
Most USD funds like USDU are up more than 11% over the past 12 months. That might not be much more than inflation, but it's significantly better than: stocks, bonds, gold, cypt-o, etc.
I'm noodling with a hedged position that holds IVV, QQQ, ITOT, VXZ, DBC and USDU as a way to hedge inflation and volatility while still being positioned for US-based equity growth. This position couldn't be permanent though, and as interest rates increase, my current thought is to start dollar-cost-averaging into bonds. If one had a long enough investment timeframe they could and possibly should not hold VXZ though... And VXZ would be awful if US markets and the vix correlated positively in an equity selloff
You can buy USDU without getting into forex
Calls on USD funds, UUP USDU, or puts on UDN
[Here is a chart of GLD vs. USDU (dollar bull fund)](https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/GLD#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). Almost a perfect inverse relationship, wouldn't you say? The S&P 500 is made up of global companies and performs based on earnings, slightly impacted by currency concerns so not a great comparison when talking purely about dollar vs. non-dollar assets. BTW, weird flex to come at someone so aggressively when you clearly don't have a grounding in basic investing concepts.