WW

Total_Schedule591

If POET had the same market pull as NVDA, WW3 🐥

SouthernRow2710

So peace talks got canceled.... the Pentagon told congress last week it would take 6 months to clear the strait of mines & they could only start *after* a peace deal was made. Food prices are already up ~8% over the last year. It's only going to get much worse. There's basically no way around $5 gas or even legit shortages (a lot of the world is already in early rationing). And.... markets are flat. The only conclusion I can make is that rich people are really, profoundly dumb/optimistic. Like... we're not sitting on the precipice of WW3 but it's a *real* possibility. If China decided to take Taiwan they could kill the US economy immediately.

Financial-Iron-1200

Didn’t want to say the full generation as my posts have been deleted before. It’s the post WW2 generation

Danne660

This war has so far been fucking nothing compared to WW2. Do you know what the stock market did after the US got involved in WW2? It went up.

Rock_or_Rol

Deepseek v4 WW3 possible Possible oil crisis Super El nino potentially forming Insane valuations + circular financing Insane productivity costs on current LLMs SBC earnings inflation < Earnings week!!! Woo!!

Royal_Warthog_9825

You keep inflation higher than bonds my friend, that doesn't mean hyper inflation and it wasn't my idea dumb ass, we did after WW2. Get mad at history. Look it up.

Royal_Warthog_9825

The opposite my friend. Warsh believes in what's calles financial repression. We were in the same situation post WW2. In 1946 we had a debt to GDP ratio of 106%. In comparison to today, we are at 126%. Repression paid off the debt. In essence you let inflation run hot while keeping interest rates low. People forget inflation kills debt too or "the value of the debt". Whether this works or not. make no mistake that asset classes will inflate while the dollar gets killed. For us regards that means stay away from fixed income and hold stocks / equities. Inflation will be higher that bonds, so that it kills debt. Black Rock published a paper in August explaining this. This is why I believe Warsh is the next fed chair.

DonCenote

Does WW2 only count as 1?

Messer_Nexus

Don't worry guys, nothing will ever happen. Just buy calls and make infinite amounts of money. WW3 - Buy more and more calls, the last day of the earth - Buy more and more calls. The market only goes up.

Odd-Look-7537

> Are conservatives not more fiscally responsible usually? I know nothing of italian politics. Usually no, but financial responsibility hasn’t really been a characteristic of the right nor the left in post WW2 Italian history. No one wants to take the popularity hit from being fiscally responsible. The necessary (but still not sufficient) cuts that have been done in the last 30 years were often accomplished through cabinets made of unelected, politically independent experts appointed by the President of the Republic. Now this current Meloni government has been relatively fiscally responsible: it hasn’t enforced the drastic measures that would be necessary, but it hasn’t created further debt and its carrying on a series of extremely discrete cuts. But this is because Meloni hands were tied by the disastrous financial situation that she inherited.

GrizzlyP33

You literally said “we started WW1, WW2, Vietnam, and Korea.” Perhaps what you’re confused about is what it means to “start” a war.

hanksht101

Woodrow Wilson declared war on Germany to start the USA in WW1. FDR declared war on Japan, Germany, and Italy to start the USA in WW2. Both those dudes, democrats.

GrizzlyP33

You think…FDR started WW2? And America started WW1?

m0nk_3y_gw

Dems started WW1 and WW2? amazing Civil War was started by the South, and the parties have flipped since then, so that was the forefathers of today's Republicans (you know, the ones that fly the traitor flag)

hanksht101

I mean, Dems go hard! We started the Civil war, WW1, WW2, Vietnam, and Korea. Granted we’ve tried to become more civilized since those days, but we have it in us to fuck some shit up.

bullrfuk

It's year 3637. Humanity went extinct 300 years ago in WW14. SPY still continues to pump 20-25% per year as algo-driven Fed computers in a secret underground bunker continue to bid up stocks.

Capt_Chickenpox

Only took a century for history to repeat itself. Question is how they are gonna start WW3 to go 3 for 3?

Interesting-Bite-468

I find it interesting that nobody is worried about the UNIQUE STAR ALIGNMENT OF Uranus into Gemini Saturday. 1st time in 84 years which promises tech glitches and global disruption. Last time this occured : 1. This weekend - Trump at war with Iran. 2. Second WW2 3. American Civil War 4. Declaration of independence. All 4 events involving the US... Major, major tech Disruption planned.. watch for the markets this afternoon and Monday! This is the most unique alignment and happens every 84 years and only once in your lifetime. CAREFUL

Professional-Tap2052

Look at yesterday's discussion here so many were sure WW3 started

Pathbauer1987

The market is not the economy. AI companies,.oil companies and military companies are doing great. So the market is reacting accordingly. Remember that in WW2 the Market performed better than in the great depression.

Professional-One972

Never. This company is apocalyptic. When your CEO writes a manifesto saying “demilitarizing Germany and Japan after WW2 was bad” and “some cultures are worse than others” - you are a f*cked up company on another level.

WailingWarbler

WW3

Rock_or_Rol

So… are my 4/24 SOXL $45 puts cooked or should I diamond hands for WW3?

FreddyKruger69

Ceasefire = tripled up level. Peace deal= WW3

Knarre30

Lets declare WW III so Spy can drop 2%. Immeaditly declare surrender and peace so we can pump another 13%

PeanutButterStout

You basically need WW3 to make a meaningful difference here. Im not saying its not going to happen, just that you’re trying to time a black swan event.

Report_Last

odd thing, when trump was reelected i cashed out my limited portfolio, and put it sgov, then i decided to get regarded with the xly and sbux, made a little money.... and now i have to pray for WW3, ah fuck it, i'll take the beatdown, won't be the first time

NotMe357

WW6 soon so we need nuclear power/weapons

SighRamp

imagine having military that's based off WW2 warfare instead of modern warfare and still thinking it doesn't matter so you keep spending billions of your money for defense kickback contracts on battleships are now obsolete cause of mines and cheap drones.

Moepenmoes

Rest of the year bollish, even WW3 won't tank the market 

-medicalthrowaway-

I’m conflicted by the fact we’re literally on the precipice of WW3 with the US talking about “taking the conflict global”… and how retardedly bullish everyone is over earnings season. To bull or to bear? So confused.

InformalMeal9828

Bers are so fucking stupid they don’t even realize they can still think WW3 is going to happen, buy LMT or NOC and make money

CumomEileen

WW

cannythecat

🐂 Believe in world peace. 🧸wants WW3

Rude_Assistance_4386

WW3 bullish for UNH and other health insurance. Tons of active duty and enlisted paying premiums for services they'll never receive due to being vaporized in the sandbox 📈

One_Confidence_7069

He's not even going, it was a lie? Or is he going and the lie is that he's not going? Lmao. Humanity is fucked because no one knows what is true anymore. See ya after WW3 caused by AI Gen'd Goth Gamer Girls manipulate the masses into picking up arms.

team-fyi

WW3 because 🥭 doesn’t understand time zones

Chief-Sheed

Bers are saying market pricing in WW3 after a drop from $711 to $707. Read that again and look at how regarded bers are.

sadfacepanda222

Not really, sequence risk is only a problem when you initially retire but if you park 500k in some index and leave it for 30 years the markets are bound to recover assuming we don't all die in WW3 or something.

CIMoneyMovers

He literally is justifying how this war is at 5 months, and how WW1 and WW2 was 4+ years, officially WW3?

mtnrnnr802

I was promised societal collapse, Chinese invasion, WW3, SPY 500.

Ok_Test_8920

721.07 will be the near term top for SPY then something something apocalypse sell off. After WW3 is declared calls and bigly $$ for those with proper radiation protection.

Castopliani

Next step is to start WW3 and make a ceasefire that extends every 2 weeks. Infinite money

Ninefingerzs

https://preview.redd.it/8tmqtmzt3gwg1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=57f4086aebe6cde098d88b77f8f9ebf8db12cef4 Is WW3 priced in

rhuffq

My prediction: Ceasefire expires with no deal Israel fires missiles within 4 hours after the ceasefire expired renewing fears of WW3 SPY hits 800

jasperCrow

Is it time for calls on WW3? 🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳🇷🇺

KarlLachsfeld

WW3 was never on the table.

you_are_temporary

I mean he really isn’t. Market doesn’t give a fuck anymore and doesn’t believe anything more serious than one-off altercations could happen. They can flip flop these negotiations for weeks and the market wouldn’t give a shit, WW3 is off the table and that’s all that matters

captain_ahabb

You should read about what happened when Britain tried to re-impose the gold standard after WW1 if you think the gold standard is good.

whatidoidobc

We have an actual dictator in place that is actively destroying relationships with our allies, jumpstarting WW3, and robbing the nation blind. This time IS different. You can pretend things have always been this dire but that's untrue and I think most of you know that. You don't want to accept reality, that's cool. But when this finally collapses, I hope you come to your senses.

Anxious_Cheetah5589

British pound used to be the global reserve currency. Britain gave up the gold standard in 1915, WW1 happened, and the gravy train ground to a halt. Britain could no longer afford her far flung empire. Her military is a shadow of its former self. And British wages and standards of living have lagged behind America's. Don't let a failure of imagination stop you from seeing the possibilities.

BreachlightRiseUp

4/5 stars - WW3 killed my dog but I’m killing these bers with my calls

Choice_Potato_6279

WW II wasn't that bad for stocks and it was during times of paper handed silent generation, these days everyone has diamond hands (except redditors).

Flat_Scientist8214

Petrol prices? Up. WW III Chances? High. Days? shortening. Weather,? warming, portfolio? diminishing. Hotel? Trivago.

Novel-Yak1927

That jacket is a WW deterrent and will be written about in legend

Prestigious_Suit_202

I cant wait for MMM >!Market Manipulation Monday!< followed by some sweet TT >!Taco Tuesday!<. You already know its gonna be a sweet ass WW >!Winning Wednesday!<. Can't forget TiT >!Triple it Thursday!<, and I kind of have a feeling were gonna have a FF >!Freaky Friday!<. but no matter what BRF >!ber r fuk!<. Jah Bless.

srvivr21

are you the same person that complained about the whole Country tanking when he took over? and did the same thing when he mentioned putting bases in Greenland and suddenly we were supposedly nvading them?? and now we are in WW3 ? but not really. Maybe sign off and just relax for a bit. :)

IvoryTowerResident

US attacked an Iranian ship, ceased their crew. Strait is closed. Stock down 0.5% Semis are down 0.16%. You are literally pray for WW3 to profit off of your shorts

skyplt29

So...what is more likely; S3 or WW3?

LesbeGoddess

WW3 resumes but as long as your calls print amiright

ConsulCasper

bro the US has been doing a psychotic oil price fixing scheme since WW2 it’s like most of the reason for Israel existing. If anything putin and khomeni would be moving oil to what its price should be

newbrevity

WW3 soon when countries cant get oil and get desperate. Thanks to all the MAGA dumb fucks who thought this would help.

Educational_Word_895

I don't believe the relations will reset just because there is a new administration. The damage goes way beyond the current administration's term. They managed to utterly destroy everything the US has built since WW2. Sure, there will be another president, but they will be fighting an uphill battle just mitigating the fallout. Repairing the damage to institutions will take a lot if time and effort, and whats left is mkre fragile to the next authoritarian attack, which I believe is almost guaranteed to come. There are far more capable Trumps, bestowed with the gift of actual strategic thinking coming our way. I sincerely hope that I am wrong and this is some kind of fluke, but I don't believe things will default back. There is going to be back and forth, but the structural trend suggests that the US is heading for authoritarianism over the long-term. That is not a development exclusive to the US, is is happening all over the West. The US is just exceptionally stark.

heybobson

Seeing a bunch of these admin officials either drunk or high reminds me of high ranking Germans in WW2, and how they needed to stay high on drugs in order to carry out their leader’s insane wishes.

Noble_Bastard

Are bers trying the same old bullshit as every weekend about the imminent black Monday upcoming, and WW3 again?

rukasteam

There's probably hard liners in Iran just like in WW2 Japan that do not want to budge on the strait and uranium.

Opposite_Day_9771

I've been searching for an alternative scenario. The only thing I came up with is that the IRGC gives up and there's a regime change. History states air only campaign has never caused regime change. Do you realize how big Iran is? Eastern Iran hasn't even been hit yet. You don't need to be by the shores ala WW2 style to hit ships. Drones and missiles can hit them 100 miles away. Imagine someone invading the US. That's a lot of land to cover.

Iratewilly34

Trump and his cronies are the only ones who benefited from the tariffs. I bet he shares info to make them richer since having rich and powerful people in your pocket pays off. I'm sure trump himself illegally is making money from the tariffs amongst other illegal activities. Hes not to be trusted, every word is a fucking lie and we are supposed to trust this man to lead a nation of 350m people?!?! Nevermind now hes using the military to attack an oil rich nation. He even said he wants their oil the dirty bastard. We also know Trump knew the Iran war could last years. Im sure hes looking for a loophole so he can start WW3 just to try and pull a Roosevelt and get a 3rd term unopposed just like a tyrant would. I bet Xanax and every other anti anxiety medications prescriptions have gone up 90% because they fear Trump is biting off more than he knows what to do with. In fact he doesnt know how to be a president,in fact he stopped acting like he knows and just does what he wants to do. The rest of us will suffer from his consequences while he moves to Russia to hang with his buddy putin.

DriftWoodBarrel

Bol so fuk they don't even know it yet. Everyone is talking about the straight, but there's also the fact right after the US lifted sanctions Ukraine immediately targeted Russian oil refineries. WW3 is still on the table.

achilliesFriend

Its WW3 because its arabic war

regaltax

When’s WW3 moving to a 4 day workweek?

Crazy_Donkies

Never forget bears predicted economic disaster from the following: Venezuela. Cuba. Greenland. WW3. NATO issues. Yen carry trade unwind. South Korea deleveraging. Empty shelves.  Empty ports. China crushing us. India crushing us. EU crushing us. AI bubble. Depreciation scams. Overvalued tech like dotcom. Liberation day recovery is fake. No one is trading Mangos tweets anymore.  Michael McBurry. Data centers are going to zero. Bond yields. Inversions. Government debt. Individual debt. Debt funds and bank runs. Warned banks last week would report disastrous earnings and we should short the banking funds.  Precious metal shortages.  Recovery from liberation day is fake. ICE deportations are going to crush labor leading to empty shelves. Home prices to collapse. Skyrocketing unemployment.  PPI CPI  Dollar devaluation. Oracle and CRWV killing the market by going to zero. ----- Today is what now?  Different?   Fuck big orange and buy the fucking dip.

BoringRedHorse

Did you know that the prisoners in German WW2 concentration camps were medically experimented on? What's the big gotcha there? That was a social assist for public healthcare, was it not? /s

Gom_KBull

*\*Spirals into WW3\** It's going to be ☝ a fantastic war 👐 Probably the greatest 🖐war ever in history ☝️ Everybody☝ is already saying "oh mister prezident, 👐 you created such a beautiful war." 👐 And I ☝ say "yes, its the biggest and 🖐 you're welcome." because Im so nice. ☝

Andrew_Higginbottom

"During the Vietnam war, America dropped more than the combined total of all bombs dropped during WW2 onto Vietnam. The Vietnamese did not surrender to the Americans.  During the Korean war, America launched a terror bombing campaign against the North Koreans. America was able to push them back out of South Korea before China intervened. Technically we are still at war with North Korea. Our terror bombing campaign only strengthened their resolve.  During world war II, Germany had every major city bombed extensively. That did not cause them to surrender. They only surrendered after the Soviets had taken their Capital. " Has nothing to do with my counter statement to your statement of bombing creates radicalization. "Most people don't care what type of government they live under." Now your talking bullshit, real hot steaming bullshit.

Master-Monk-8690

During the Vietnam war, America dropped more than the combined total of all bombs dropped during WW2 onto Vietnam. The Vietnamese did not surrender to the Americans.  During the Korean war, America launched a terror bombing campaign against the North Koreans. America was able to push them back out of South Korea before China intervened. Technically we are still at war with North Korea. Our terror bombing campaign only strengthened their resolve.  During world war II, Germany had every major city bombed extensively. That did not cause them to surrender. They only surrendered after the Soviets had taken their Capital.  Iran's government isn't the greatest. But they have provided their citizenship a relatively stable and healthy life. Most people don't care what type of government they live under. They just want to live a good life. Repressive regimes only brutally repress the minorities in their respective countries. The minorities that they repress do not have the strength to topple their government. They already hated the government before America started bombing them. They didn't have the strength to topple their government then and they don't have the strength now. America could turn Iran into a bowl of ashes, and the minorities that are oppressed in that country would still have difficulty gaining control over the ashes.  Terror bombing historically does not work. Sure, there might be one or two exceptions to the rule. But there are always exceptions to rules. 

Sovetcki

I bought 5 4/21 695p... Let's hope for WW3 boys

Revelati123

This market would rip on WW3, probably 2x on news of a planet killer asteroid heading this way. Whole planet just decided "Well fuck it, if we all gonna die may as well die rich!"

decollimate28

Look at war and death rates before and after the US entered WW2. You’re welcome!

CoolConfusion3606

Stocks go up on news events so an acceleration of events is upwards movement. Under this framework WW3 is extremely bullish with nuclear war being moreso until enough humans die causing events to slow down. At that point I reccomend dividend stocks.

chiswis

the only people having WW3 rn are the buls and the bers

Me-Regarded

Oh my gawd, I'm pretty sure you are just messing with me now. I called those huge green Mondays like three weekends in a row when 99.99% of WSB was predicting WW3. My vibe kung funis top notch

voxpopper

Must be rough to lose your life savings at a casino after the Japanese took his shins in WW2.

sentrypetal

Trump has lied thousands of times. There will be no deal with Iran. Just accept it. The US will keep the blockade in place for another month or restart bombings as it thinks that Iran is under pressure and will collapse. A month is how long before the delusional Trump and the US citizens realise that blockades do not result in regime change. The siege of Stalingrad should have proven that to anyone, humans if attacked and in fear of the homeland will resort to starvation before they budge. The Iranian people are under a significantly less brutal regime than Stalin and as far as they are concerned the US is no different from WW2 Germany or WW2 Japan. After all this bombing campaign makes Pearl Harbour look like a kids fight.

MeanCryptographer585

1. Sell a shit ton of oil futures.  2. Say strait open.  3. Profit.  4. Buy a shit ton of oil futures. 5. Threaten WW3 6. Profit.  Repeat. 

BlindBullseye_1988

Puts for Wednesday maybe Monday. There always good news Friday and then sunday WW3 about to start again, then Monday afternoon, shrek slaps us with his dong

BarryMcKockinner

A lot of Jewish people did eventually immigrate to New York, and many chose to emigrate to Israel after 1948. Jewish people and Arab Palestinians actually fought together in WW2. I imagine that the Jews expected less anti-Semitism and conflict with the independent nation of Israel. There were heavy anti immigration restrictions in the US following WW2, the Brits were facing an economic crisis, and the jews definitely couldn't and did not want to go back to Europe. I just hate when people think there's some simple solution to this where everybody lives happily ever after. It was unprecedented.

Significant_Onion_25

Back in 2007, I did something similar. However, it was timing the recovery. I swing traded DIA thinking it was going to go down again, and it didn't. However, everything else I bought I held so a good lesson was learned. There may be another strong entry point, and the flirting of WW3 might be the trigger. It can be a scary time to invest, but that's how this administration rolls.

piesown232

For real bless the media for spreading mass fear and convincing everyone we headed for WW3 took advantage of that dip

CBWorldwide

Securing profits today before the Prez announces WW3 Saturday night 😂

Weekly-Magazine2423

I’m legit unsure what type of event would prime a correction- if a global pandemic that literally keeps people from working for a year and drives mass supply shortages won’t do it, what will? WW3 (which has arguably already begun) would only boost gov spending and lift tech and industrials. As the market becomes fully financialized, actual macroeconomic conditions are increasingly irrelevant. I don’t disagree the the buck has to stop somewhere- but where? And when it happens, will it just be so apocalyptic that the market isn’t even be a concern anymore?

Humble_Code_6501

So... WW3 cancelled i guess

butthead4206969

Calls on WW3

psioniclizard

I can watch on the BBC the number of ships getting through or being stopped. I never said they weren't stopping anyone. But outside of America no one is saying it seems particular effective yet from what I am seeing. I really don't think those articles prove what you think they do. China are basically saying "if you stop our ships it could lead to problems" and Trump appears to have backed down on that after saying how him and Xi are best buddies or whatever. 13 ships is great but at least 20 got through from what I was seeing so not even half. But my main point is Iran is more set up to deal with economic hardship than the US. As soon as gas prices go up in the US Trump TACO's out because that is the main thing the US cares about. If/when there economy contractions in America, you think the country will just grin and bear it? On the flip side, what do Iran actual gain from a deal unless they can get something they didn't have already and some grantee Trump won't just start bombing them again in 6 months when he gets bored? The US have already proven they can't actually move their navy too close to the shore and just bombing people doesn't actually work (but that was understood since WW2 by most people). So instead they will resort to be a bit of old skool piracy. This is not because I think Iran are in a strong position, but the current regime knows if they back down too much they will likely be overthrown anyway by more extreme groups and they country has literally been planning for this war for 40 years. If Trump really had Iran against a wall he wouldn't be looking for a deal. Which goes back to one of the oldest truths about war, you rarely look to negation on somewhat even terms if you are winning the war.

skilliard7

This is pretty stupid. Unlike WW2, the engineering, tolerances, and processes behind modern weapons are far too complex for manufacturers of most consumer products to viably produce with available machinery.

DarkR124

> Trump admin starts approaching auto manufacturers to produce weapons like WW2 Time to get some F calls boys.

-CaduceusRex

That's fair. It's always a struggle to get quality information out once you see momentum coming in. I can literally watch them move in real time while I'm trying to skim through 10-K's and pull charts. It makes me understand why some people just say "WW." But this has further to go IMO and it's given me dips to levels I feel comfortable adding so I feel like this went up at a favorable time. You're right though, on the few setups I decide to actually post about I try to speed-DD and get them out as soon as possible. Double-edged sword though for sure.

ChristianM97

Did WW3 start?

Visinvictus

Sure, I just think a lot of people haven't seen an actual bear market and don't understand that the "market always goes up" is really more of a long term thing. Also I think a lot of people don't understand that markets going up has been due in large part to government policies, America's economic dominance post WW2, and well run institutions. In many countries where corruption, inefficiency, or bad policies take over the stock market is stagnant or negative for long periods of time and returns to investors are awful.

Standard-Top-5942

I think people don't realize that the mag7 isn't tied to the US economy. Not only that it's not even tied to the US and operates more internationally than domestically. So US politics won't upend it. WW3 will but Trump is so obviously not into that.