Reddit Posts
$HOOD - The Once and Future King (Slayer)
Donnie scheduling WW3 perfectly between Friday's closing bell and his Sunday tee time.
Why I think Berkshire Hathaway is the best investment right now
Trump buy Tungsten stocks > Be ready on RML most asymetric pennystock US under radar
Alright. I’m going to tell yall about a couple of areas that I think major expansion is coming very soon.
Anyone else excited for the REAL WW3 on Wednesday at 4:01 PM?
So now the US Navy is currently on its way to also block the straight of Hormuz and the market doesn't react at all?
Amazon to stock Lilly's new weight-loss pill at US kiosks, offer same-day delivery
Me after ignoring the WW3 is coming claims
Trump jawboning oil back under $100 — WTI traders in shambles
Me explaining to my family why WW3 is actually a bullish indicator for my portfolio
How do you think the Iran war will conclude?
With oil touching $120, is anyone actually doing the math on what happens if this Iran war runs another 6 months?
Which assets performance was the best during WW2 and could history repeat?
Trump blasted over decision that could start WW3
Trump blasted over decision that could start WW3
Update 2.0 GASS YOLO 1000 calls! StealthGas!
Iran and the Stock Market: 3 Likely Scenarios and 1 Unlikely Scenario
WW3 priced in. Qatar LNG hit, Gold breaches $5,400. Calls on defense or shifts at Wendy's?
Riedel Resources. Small Australian explorer in Arizona: POTENTIAL MULTI-BAGGER
Looking at my portfolio Friday + OPEX + GDP + PCE special combo day
WW3 about to start day after tomorrow.
Can you imagine if leaders had social media before WW2?
"WW3 Investors want to know if we are still planning for Feb 8th, 2026" 👀 -from the Epstein
Tomorrow may be Day 1 of WW3 in history books
Oh, so Greenland was another dump and pump operation?
Donald Trump Warns World ‘WW3’ Is Coming
Donald Trump Warns World ‘WW3’ Is Coming
Donald Trump Warns World ‘WW3’ Is Coming
Donald Trump Warns World ‘WW3’ Is Coming
The US has seized an oil tanker sailing under the Russian flag. WW3?
Considering what Trump just did in Venezuela and things that have been said and written Europe is going to have to fully arm itself independent of America. How should we invest?
WW3 is back. You know what to do on Monday :)
WW International Inc. - Expected to benefit from the GLP-1 trend
Added to Portfolio. Bottomed. Low Float. And WW
Bottomed.Low Float.and WW
AWS down, now Azure Outage. Cyber war?
When will Trump decide to say "sorry" to Xi Jinping ?
Gold -19% after-hours. Did WW3 happen or is Fidelity buggy?
Gold -19% after-hours. Did WW3 happen or is Fidelity buggy?
$TSM: The God-Tier Monopoly That Could Get Deleted by WW3. DD Inside.
Could the potential invasion of Eastern Europe by Russia cause a crash in markets?
As per Trump, look at these ANTIFA terrorist that fought for our freedoms in WW2.
Novo Nordisk Stock Tumbles 20% After Ozempic Maker’s Shock Cut to U.S. Outlook
Novo Nordisk Stock Tumbles 20% After Ozempic Maker’s Shock Cut to U.S. Outlook
Weight Watchers ($WW): Debt’s Gone, Drugs In, I’m Bullish
Weight Watchers ($WW): Debt’s Gone, Drugs In, I’m Bullish
Weight Watchers ($WW): Debt’s Gone, Drugs In, I’m Bullish
Major Bear Market Inevitable by October - why
China will not attack Taiwan!
Anyone else waiting for the S&P to crash
WW International Inc (WGHTQ)
Stock Market When: The Strait of Hormuz to Closes or WW3
WW3 Confirmed? What is going on right now???
WW3 Theme Video: Market 📈 or 📉 incoming!
Bloodbath? WW3? HOW RED IS tomorrow?
With the US Debt at over $37 Trillion, even a WW1 soldier is surprised as to why he is fighting in a Trump war
Which war profiteer stock is gonna make me rich while the world burns?
is an all out war between Israel - Iran inevitable or can diplomacy still prevail? $LMT $RTX $NOC
TACO may save the world. Can you believe the TACO may be the reason we won't have WW3? Take that in for a second. I don't know what's worse.
LMT will build your fighter jet to the moon
Mentions
We have a proud history of pulling stupid stunts like that. We renamed Sauerkraut in WW1, and WW1 indirectly caused Prohibition because of anti-German sentiment
Fun trivia. In the early days of WW2 the US prohibited the export of planes to Europe. So the set up run ways that crossed Canadian border. Parked the planes near the border and let Canadian drag them across the border with farm trucks and horses. [https://www.canada.ca/en/air-force/corporate/reports-publications/royal-canadian-air-force-journal/2016-vol5-iss2-08-horses-on-the-payroll.html](https://www.canada.ca/en/air-force/corporate/reports-publications/royal-canadian-air-force-journal/2016-vol5-iss2-08-horses-on-the-payroll.html)
Getting a lot of WW3 videos and AI killing on my feed and I’m not even looking them up
Lowering the interest rates are very much possible and it makes sense you need heavy inflation to make the debt go down in value the government did it after WW2 no reason they won’t do it again
🥭 wants to have credit for creating world tension necessary to start WW3
Housing only crashed big once in the last, what, 70 years? (Ignoring the great depression period and WW2 and whatnot) And only because it was specifically the one thing every regard was levered to the tits on. It genuinely can never crash again. Only if stocks crash so epically that we do enter another great depression.
Generals, admirals and army sec resigning. Troops literally jumping ship. Dollar knocking on death’s door. Bitch slapping a key nato member in the gulf with sanctions. Warships getting hit. Inflation and the diesel crack. Incredibly low munition stockpiles and low SPR. Increasing likelihood of nuclear weapon usage since WW2 while Russia pressuring east and west Europe and our allies in east Asia is increasingly vulnerable. China scooping up our dumped geopolitical diplomacy standing. Flagrant disregard of war powers. Congress: “this is fine. Don’t want to upset aipac or the 🥭 man before midterms!”
*Sir we're running WW2 level deficits, this isn't sustainable.* Mango: So you're telling me we just have to start a war?
[https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/sep/04/fuel-price-surge-diesel-farmers-uk-us](https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/sep/04/fuel-price-surge-diesel-farmers-uk-us) The numbers are really simple. They are not Iranian numbers, they are literally numbers that come from every country that moves oil through the strait. What fucking news are you reading? \> Despite people like you falling for their BS Iran has not sunk a single ship in the strait or even scratched a US warship. Falling for who's bullshit? We can clearly see our Oil reserves are at their lowest level since WW2. It looks like the US is at historic lows too. This has hit every country in the world, There's a full on oil crisis in Australia. Japan is also fucked. Pretending everything is fine is absolutely nuts at this point
https://preview.redd.it/as00omzbmpnh1.png?width=1319&format=png&auto=webp&s=c3ecdad5e495d1188cfd3579dd30e75dad818695 WSB sees WW3 and asks one question: calls or puts?
Youre comparing WW2 to what was a supposed to be a fee weeks long military operation. Of course its not in the same level, but its also gotten out of their hands eith no real plan.
It's not even, though. Deployments in Vietnam were longer than Iran. Deployments in WW2 were longer than Vietnam.
Many port calls. Not saying that. I’m saying I could do 200 plus without a call standing on my dick. I don’t give a fuck what you say. I would do it. My dad was in WW2 Navy in the Pacific from 1940-1946. His discharge hangs 1 in above mine for a reason. Fuck then pussies. I would follow orders not try to kill myself.
Useful idiot to the unelected and unqualified cabinet members and advisors like Stephen Miller. Trump's aggressive, confrontational intl politics and zero-sum game mentality are the first steps to a bitterly divided world and to WW3.
Anything to avoid taxing the wealthy. He's doing what Germany did after WW1. It didn't end well.
My guess is it shoots up in the morning +.6%, drops hard to flat/slightly negative, then bounces back eod to +.3-.4%. Then Tuesday will be another giant shrek dick back to near ATH barring WW3.
**South Korea prepares Hormuz military deployment** I swear we are inching closer to WW3 😳
There are still parts of France from WW1 that are no-go zones.
There is a lot less risk to refill when you haven't started WW3 surprisingly
You're claiming we're producing ammo faster than we did at the height of WW2? Sure buddy
We're already in WW3 aren't we? China joining will just be a formality atp. Puts on young men.
The US can't and won't inflate away the debt. We can't grow our way out of our deficits. There's too much and this isn't post WW2. Bond yields would spike. Markets aren't dumb. Over half of fed spending carries COLA. Short term treasuries will mature and new debt will be at higher and higher interest rates. It would make everything so much worse. It's not going to happen.
Good point about China and WW3. If TSM is undervalued due to geopolitical risk, that's a risk I'm willing to take and profit from. Besides, TSM is building fabs in Arizona, Japan, and Germany. As those progress, that may de-risk TSM sufficiently that the risk discount fades over time. I think it's a bit of theater, because apparently there's a Taiwanese law requiring the newest, smallest node manufacturing to remain in Taiwan. But like you said, it's highly improbably China's going to invade due to the economic consequences.
TSM wins no matter who wins the AI race. I hold it and looking around at my other AI related holdings I’m convinced more and more I should concentrate my investments in it. As far as geopolitical risk, if China were to move it would spark WW3.
My other comment: >The difference is Europe while it has a few bad apples, overall has much stronger fiscal policy now. Some with extremely low debt and even surpluses. All while arguably caring for their citizens better than we are. >Given we have war time deficits not seen since WW2 during peace time, the world is right to be concerned about us. >Really there are only two countries people are truly concerned with currently and its Japan + the US with huge global ramifications.
The difference is Europe while it has a few bad apples, overall has much stronger fiscal policy now. Some with extremely low debt and even surpluses. All while arguably caring for their citizens better than we are. Given we have war time deficits not seen since WW2 during peace time, the world is right to be concerned about us. Really there are only two countries people are truly concerned with currently and its Japan + the US with huge global ramifications.
The good old days when we could laugh at dementia patients instead of being afraid they'd start WW3.
And here is the website that lists all the countries by colors and dates ranging from early 1500's to 1945 (i.e post WW2 era). [https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Atlas\_of\_colonialism](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Atlas_of_colonialism) I am not gonna argue with you bud. The reason I asked how old you are is precisely to find out what age I am dealing with. This is well known history that is documented.
Ahh I don't want to get into who "civilized" who. That's gonna lead to a different rabbit hole. But based on history, slavery definitely did not end because of Europeans, quite the contrary, actually. Slavery began because of them, and they don't get to take "moral" credit for ending it after the colonies fought for their independence after WW2. "That area of the world" is where it is because it was fucked with by other countries for multiple generations. Almost every country in that region is either a French, English or a Dutch colony. All because of it's natural resources.
Y'all don't realize we are in the precipise of WW3... China supplying Iran with weapons and making escalation claims that they will protect their own interest. How do you think US will get out of this hyperinflation and dollar devaluation? Yes... War. Boots on the grounds after Midterms is not a meme
WW2's end brought fabians and nazis wolves in sheeps clothing who have intentionally destroyed a free republic with war and debt
> Golden Age of America People forgot (or were never taught) that the golden age was golden for a handful of extremely wealthy while most of America suffered constant cycling recessions, poor access to medical care, minimal education, constant war, and more. It wasn't until about 1950 that the US was an established economic powerhouse (due to WW2 destroying most other nations), far after the 'Golden Age' of economic abuse ex railroads and more. And then it took another few decades to guarantee the right to vote to non whites. Took until the 70s to allow women to have their own bank accounts. It's easy to spot educated people. They don't support Trump or fascism.
America is unique they made NATO countries, Japan, Korea all US colonies. That is American way of having colonies. Traditional way of having colonies went out of fashion during WW2. US General decide the fate of of NATO, Japan and South Korea armies due to command of chain. I plan to be that general one day.
Its not bullish, but this market is on another level of retarded, that even if WW3 starts, shit will still find a way to go up. Play what is in front of you and not what you think the market should be. Just don't go full retard.
By protestors or something or are we actually starting WW3 now?
It has been exciting though, my best years in the market in 25yrs trading. Just have to buy when it looks like 🥭 has finally started WW3 on the darkest of days... Then wait for the taco
Can we please get WW3??? 🥺🙏🙏🙏
Wtf is this 😐 whats your thesis? Bubble pop and/or next step in WW3
Somewhere out there in the world is a documentary about the prostitutes who worked in Pearl Harbor during WW2. Apparently they could do 50-60 sailors an hour.
Ironically, the US was seen as a good anti-colonial Western nation in the Middle East, and many American archaeologists and scholars built facilities in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon. Then everything went downhill after WW2 thanks to Truman
If Kharg is destroyed the current gas prices at the pump will look like chump change. Iran may not have nuclear weapons but China and Russia do and probably more than willing to sell to them. WW3 inevitable due to a pedophile president not wanting his open secrets out in the open.
Drone stocks are gonna be such an obvious play in hindsight, 2-3 years from now. Donny has pretty much increased global instability / tensions to levels not seen since WW2 and every country seems to be increasing defense spend at unprecedented levels.
Well, you know. That ideal self. You know which one! ^^^The ^^^one ^^^just ^^^before ^^^WW2
> the realistic way is rebuilding relationships with China That's not something that can properly happen. Since the late 80's the CCP narrative is the "never forgive the foreigners for what they did to us" (previously it was a victor narrative). The government specifically leaves historic sites destroyed by foreign forces as ruins, while the order of magnitude more things that were damaged or destroyed during the cultural revolution are rebuilt and they pretend like nothing ever bad happened to them. Even if Japan takes accountability for what it did during WW2 China will not stop until it achieves what it considers revenge.
If there's any cause worth fighting WW3 for, defending Israel is a worthy one. I believe it's the duty of every God-fearing American to live and die for Israel.
Who in their right mind thinks: yeS im sEllIng bcUs they Excahnged a few miSisoles oh no WW3!!!
My Uncle was in the Merchant Marine during WW2 and his ship impacted another ship in New York Harbor. They still had to go along with the rest of the ships in the convoy. His ship could not keep up and was never heard from again. Radio silence means no SOS would be sent. They all drowned alone in the dark. It sucked for a lot of people then as it does now. War is worse than hell because theoretically people did something to be sent to hell while war has plenty of people that never did anything but are still involved.
Can we call this one WW America?
FREAK THE FUCK OUT! WW3 TOMORROW! :sorrow:
I would caution against using wisdom from the last century in the current one. The 1930s (when Graham cut his teeth) were a completely different time than 2026. Just Glass-Steagall, Basel III, 401ks, index funds, and Fed Reserve independence from the executive make this a completely different world. And there are even more changes on top of these like WW2, Bretton Woods, the gold standard, etc. Bull markets last far longer than they did back then and are more resilient even if the underlying economy is going through shocks.
Yep, they've been doing to since the end of WW2. The alternative is to increase taxes or reduce spending and we know it's not going to happen. So we are going to hear loads of speeches stating that they are committed to fight with inflation, but will let the inflation "eat" the debt.
After 9/11 the Canadian military contributed 40,000 troops to Operation Enduring Freedom. As a percentage of population this is roughly half the amount of troops as the US sent. The Royal Canadian Navy had its largest deployment since WW2 in support of the US counter terrorism operations. Don’t be so quick to forget our friends
South Korea is threatened by North Korea and Japan is not allowed to have an army of significance since WW2. Has it crossed your mind that the US is there for their own interests? You think countries were pleading for that or something? Just like US bases in Europe are for their operations in the entire hemisphere. Without those bases US has no country they could invade lol
Most recent one I'm aware of is the US trying to rename lake Ontario to lake America. America is literally trying to annex Canada now (& has threatened to for it's other allies too). It has the highest potential of any country to start WW3 at the moment imo. At least it takes eyes away from the debt crisis ig.
What you mean 'fine'? America hasn't won a war since WW2...
Did I miss the start of WW3 or something?

The inertia the orange fscist started will get the US into a spiral of death and possibly WW3.
2008 was a -55 percent crash peak to trough, we have one of those about every 40 years. We aren’t nearly there yet. We will have a crash and that crash will probably be brought on by a black swan, I’m betting on a giant west coast earthquake to kick it off, like a 1906 San Fran earthquake scenario. Then I dunno what. We would have to extinguish the US dollar and create all new currency like post WW2 Germany. (Japan came back from complete devastation also in 1946 to be the greatest economy on earth by 1985). Truth be told if we did collapse, long term, it probably would be good for us. Anyway why worry about it, when it happens we are all fucked. If you want to truly prepare start buying things you can trade for now. Whiskey, cigarettes, chickens, bullets. Everything else will be worthless. Think “book of Eli” shit here.
All money is imaginary. Except precious metals. Especially since we went off the gold standard and since we hit 40T in national debt. A dollar is worth what people think it is. We are headed to some post WW2 Bismarck scenario but again not just yet. Our debt is no longer sustainable. Especially with f-tard McGee steering the ship. I say we have a good year before shit collapses. Why? Because most collapses are discovered about two years before they collapse. The RE market collapse was announced in Fortune magazine in 2005. It didn’t collapse until 9/2007 and then through 3/2009. We came out ok on the other end due to massive government intervention. I don’t know we have a lot of those left in us.
WW3 is coming. I'll be on the team with the Vietnamese.
Doom and gloom sells. Always has been this way in general. Cuban missle crisis, Y2K, WW3, .... on and on. I am old, this is not new random bro. Make your picks, and roll with it.
NVDA saved the market and the world once again ... When this company miss we gonna have WW3 best case scenario LMAOOOOO
Since the end of WW2 really.
A good example is how ruthless the Canadian soldiers were during WW1
Don’t forget Canada supplying the US military industrial complex with aluminum during WW2.
The USA don’t do well in wars. Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iran etc. Even WW2, they did great on the battlefield but not so great in Yalta. Stalin won that. No contest.
I mean look how far Germany went after WW1
Japan did this with bombs in WW2. Also China a few years back seemed to be pretty successful crossing the US.
I find it funny how after WW2 we bullied Japan into being our bitch
"Hey WW2 Germans we will storm the beaches in 2 weeks! We swear!"
This sounds like a WW3 announcement
The Iraq war in 2003 was definitely a military victory. The occupation afterwards obviously got supremely messy though for a lot of complicated reasons. Nobody really outright wins wars these days on their own, in terms of like achieving unconditional victory and terms. You can always throw an asterisk to basically any conflict in some way. The US also hasn't gone like truly full-in on a war since WW2. Even Korea and Vietnam were not executed in a similar manner as WW2, with a lot more restraint shown. If anybody takes all this to conclude the US military actually sucks, then that's very much the wrong lesson. Wars/conflicts are necessarily complicated.
There was GLOBAL tariffs last year, old news. Now we are all watching the "oil shock of the century" possibly escalating into WW3 and bond yields potentially unraveling and causing the collapse of the USD and global financial system as we know it. But by all means let's talk about if we are tariffing liquor vs lumber at 10% instead of 5%
When will WW3 happen? Do you have a specific week? looking to avoid any dealflow those days
Investing in gold and silver is less about growth and more about “insurance” against crashes in value of paper money. A US dollar is worth a US dollar because the government says it is. We aren’t on the gold standard anymore (ended in the 70s). Think of it this way, at the end of WW2, would you rather have 1 million in USD of German Reichsmarks or 250,000 in USD of gold?
We have given security guarantees to our allies going back to WW2. We have a strong military because of our logistics and their reliance on our guarantee. If we alienate allies, they will be forced to question the relationship and start building up their military. This leads to nuclear proliferation in the long run. A simple but effective example, we backed out of military exercises with S. Korea and gave a nod to N. Korea because they have nukes. What does this signal to Iran? It says that the only way we will be respected is if they have nukes. And what does it signal to S. Korea if we repeatedly do this? That we are unreliable and they need to build up their military.
If Investors do not buy and drive indexes he will bomb the s\*\*\*t out of them I guess. Of course after winning in Iran, annexing Greenland and Canada and starting WW3
Rosie O’Donnell is back? Just kick off WW3
If by AI boom you mean AI bubble you are right, boom is the phase before bubble bursts. Happened to trains during industrial revolution, to radio during times in between world wars, to electronics after WW2 and internet/telecom during 2000. What makes this technological revolution different?
Simple man's language: Scott has an income of $55,000 per year. Scott spends $75,000 per year ($10,000 on guns). Scott grows his debt by $20,000 per year. Scott has total debt right now of $400,000. Scott has fixed unfunded liabilities of $1,750,000 and is less than 10 years from retirement. Scott's own employees say that his 130% debt will be 690% by the year 2096. Scott needs to refinance roughly $100,000 in the next 12 months to stay solvent. What is happening now? Scott has a Japanese friend who is his biggest lender (despite being in even more debt) that just told Scott he might need to unwind $110,000 of Scott's debt to the open market. Therefore Scot sent his Japanese friend "$50-$100" this summer to keep him calm and ask him to not dump the debt. The credit card companies Scott borrows from are refusing to give him cheap debt anymore, and are giving him 19 year highs on interest rates. Scott said on August 19th that because nobody is buying his credit card debt that he will "at least double" the rate he is buying back his own credit card debt with new debt he takes out. The credit card companies didn't like that and offered him even higher rates 24 hours later. If Scott goes bankrupt we have WW3, because Scott has been buying lots of guns. Scott would rather dilute Dollars he is borrowing in and watch himself starve than go bankrupt. You can buy 100% of the insurance in the world against Scott's insolvency for $15,700. Scott himself has said publicly that he wants to buy insurance against himself and that people should consider buying it. Scott's friends say they want to back his debt with the insurance against his debt - because the insurance is that cheap and the debt is that bad. This insurance plan's cost to buy went up 30% over the last 3 days. Why? Because people are starting to doubt Scott. Scott is America. The insurance plan is Bitcoin.
It is a gradual move towards that. In a sense the election has been rigged after WW2 in USA with various methods, two party system is a huge rigged mechanism, it is the facade of Democracy. However the state system has to be dissolved, first it will appear as giving more freedoms to states but actually what it does is probably to reduce their means to fight back. It is actually quite similar what happened in Russia, but from different reasons. What you need fundamentally is the support of population to do what Putin did in 2000-2010 I could argue there never was any need to rig elections in Russia, but it became eventually necessity. Not from reasons of losing support, but avoiding political attacks that so easily undermine these sorts of regimes.
Simple man's language: Scott has an income of $55,000 per year. Scott spends $75,000 per year ($10,000 on guns). Scott grows his debt by $20,000 per year. Scott has total debt right now of $400,000. Scott has fixed unfunded liabilities of $1,750,000 and is less than 10 years from retirement. Scott's own employees say that his 130% debt will be 690% by the year 2096. Scott needs to refinance roughly $100,000 in the next 12 months to stay solvent. What is happening now? Scott has a Japanese friend who is his biggest lender (despite being in even more debt) that just told Scott he might need to unwind $110,000 of Scott's debt to the open market. Therefore Scot sent his Japanese friend "$50-$100" this summer to keep him calm and ask him to not dump the debt. The credit card companies Scott borrows from are refusing to give him cheap debt anymore, and are giving him 19 year highs on interest rates. Scott said on August 19th that because nobody is buying his credit card debt that he will "at least double" the rate he is buying back his own credit card debt with new debt he takes out. The credit card companies didn't like that and offered him even higher rates 24 hours later. If Scott goes bankrupt we have WW3, because Scott has been buying lots of guns. Scott would rather dilute Dollars he is borrowing in and watch himself starve than go bankrupt. You can buy 100% of the insurance in the world against Scott's insolvency for $15,700. Scott himself has said publicly that he wants to buy insurance against himself and that people should consider buying it. Scott's friends say they want to back his debt with the insurance against his debt - because the insurance is that cheap and the debt is that bad. This insurance plan's cost to buy went up 30% over the last 3 days. Why? Because people are starting to doubt Scott. Scott is America. The insurance plan is Bitcoin.
Both sides fuck everyone over. They tell a different version of the same lie. No one has balanced a budget since Clinton. The national debt hasn't been zeroed since Andrew Jackson. Obama raised the national debt nearly $10T. Trump first term raised it 7.8T. Biden added $8.4T in 4 years. No president/congress is being fiscally responsible with our money. National Debt to GDP is at 125% right now. Above the previous high of 106% reached near the end of WW2. We are being told not to worry, that we will grow GDP to get out of this but that is unlikely.
Mom called me in the middle of the night to tell me that she's worried we'll have WW3 really soon this time because someone in a talkshow said it. I said alright and laughed, told her goodnight, and now she's sending me angry texts
This weekend is WW3. Spy calls it is.
The US has invaded 8 sovereign nations since 1950 along with innumerable clandestine hostile acts of various forms of terrorism, primarily economic. The first 2 wars after WW2, the dems were in power, the last 6 the reps were in power. Every time there is a massive propaganda campaign to guilt other countries into joining some coalition of the damned with americans threatening to leave NATO. You're viewed now as the bad guys and leaving NATO will make you North Korea adjacent.
I’m not assuming anything. I’m applying RISK. A 30yr bond carries DURATION RISK. You have to factor in the fact that inflation has been way above target for 6yrs now, the government continuing to massively increase debt and deficits vs GDP, geopolitical risks, oil shock risks, and most importantly now that not only is the government not actively fighting inflation but are actually MANIPULATING government debt which will likely full inflation higher, not lower. So when you factor all of this in buying a 30yr treasury at 5.3% is not a good proposition. No more talking. Just watch. You already provided the example, Japan. When they implemented financial repression to spur growth after WW2 bonds severely underperformed while asset bubbles were created everywhere else. This led to the opposite of financial repression which is when bonds actually massively outperformed.