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Would have been nice to buy stock XYZ at $1 and sell it at $1000 It's a pointless thing to say. You have no idea when the stock has peaked or bottomed out.
#XYZ reports EPS of $969, estimate was $1.13 (drops 17% after-hours)
Exactly. Classic market manipulation. Have buddy at media company XYZ write dirt to send me cheaper shares
META $800 after hours during earnings 📞. Yes that’s a +20% move Two main reasons: 1. Capex significantly reduced, thx to efficiencies in AI 2. AI ROI is real, as demonstrated in XYZ I will link this comment during the call and say *told you so*
If HOOD dies, XYZ rises?
XYZ hasn't done well for me personally
That was my thinking. Maybe not "high chance" but still I was certainly running worst case scenario in my mind. Certainly didn't help matters that I never once owned a single share of the company. And I forget if robinhood (or other brokers for that matter) has information on your current employer? I thought it'd look massively suspicious if somehow some attention came to an account "employee of XYZ decided to randomly buy puts on XYZ the day before earnings despite never doing anything like this before, huh..."
In response to the nay sayers and "just buy spy and sleep boomers", I never understood the "against wallstreet" angle. A lot of the time people are making the exact same trade big funds are. I never understood this conspiratorial play that im making counter bets from a JPM trade desk. The truth is theyre just selling or buying a share from me to secure/enter a trade on a likely very different time horizon, or capture arbitrage. There is no mutual combat happening. Its like saying you're betting against your barista at starbucks because money changes hands, the existence of a transaction =/= competition. Also Any buying in any market is "risk" and gambling to a degree. buying and holding the S&P for 5 minutes during FOMC or for 5 decades is essentially the same "bet", the only difference is the time horizon. DCAing into the index is a bet on a lot of things to play out well; That the US GDP will remain strong in the short term, and long term. This is not a fact of life, there is no guarantee the S&P will go up, it just "sort of has" because long story short; history. The "just DCA and sleep" is tandem to the same "pull yourself up by your boot-straps" mentality boomers live and die by. Of course this thing designed to track equities in the biggest economic boom in all of history went up the last 80 years, the same way boomers trip into wealth. The same way some drunk hippie could buy a house for 5 dollars and turn it into 2 million in 50 years, doesnt make them a genius, it makes them lucky. Buying into the S&P right now is essentially making that exact same bet but over your life. So please, stop thinking you're a genius for running a boomer port; you're just lucky to be born in XYZ year.. But... things are shifting in the US, and there is some strong questions on the long term validity of US equities. Not saying dont DCA and sleep on the S&P , but the "just turn your brain off" approach cant work forever. Much like US housing wont be an investment vehicle forever. So as much as you dont want to admit it, DCAing into the market is a medium to long term "bet" that the US society will do well in the long term economically. Do you feel like US society is doing well? Most common counter is "the market doesnt track the economy, price is purely based off what others want". now we're really cracking an egg. Either the market correlates to a healthy US economy, or its a separate entity, and just "Does what it does irrationally". Eventually one day mr.market is going to decide EBITA and P/E ratios matter, and actual consumer spending matters. Won't feel like a great bet. At the same time, there really is no "other game" in town that grows wealth. Its all a gamble, try day trade, or pray on a long enough time horizon your money somehow becomes safe in a questionable equation. Or you can gamble on starting a business, or hoping your house appreciates enough to support a retirement, or your pension survives long enough to retirement, or social security survives to retirement. Its all gambling. You just pick the time horizon you want to participate in it. But one thing is true. Anyone with any real wealth before the age of 50; they chose a much shorter time horizon for their risk.
Used the XYZ method of describing achievements. Very professional.
I'm only 31 I had a 90% return last year on shares AMD XYZ INTC main plays
What do I currently own? NVO, UUUU, Nike, CCL, BUG, XYZ are some ones I’m currently big on for shares UUUU being my biggest and I fully expect over $100 a share in the future
Im just apprehensive that he says they’ll be spending XYZ amount still and that will scare people off. Nothing has really changed since last earnings has it? They fired people but otherwise is there any reason this earnings would be drastically different?
Not too much different than it ever has. But, it's a dopamine hit to remember from time to time and think "Yeah, I'm on the right track and I'm secure and safe in my castle if and when trouble comes knocking". On the flip side, the journey to acquire wealth has not always been enjoyable, so maybe it evens out. Skipping a vacation here, buying the cheaper version of XYZ there, nagging to get a bigger raise or bonus, etc... All those little things can be exhausting. The trick is to turn frugality into an enjoyable game and keep your expectation reasonable. When you have mastered alongside a steady income, you're on the right track.
I mean did you miss it because you made a mistake? Or did it just go up? Identify how you couldve known to invest in XYZ. Then apply that to the current situation and answer your own question? Otherwise you will just feel like you made a mistake every time you miss a parabolic move. So, how could you have to known to invest more last time? (Spoilers: you probably couldnt know)
It’s so funny when people are on here “stock XYZ is so overvalued 😭” okay then don’t buy it or short it. Fuck is complaining about it going to do little bitch
Ah the “This isn’t just about X, it’s XYZ” format. Gemini?
I swear people on wsb have their own unique definition of what a "pump" is. I always see people like "omg the market is so ridiculous, pumping despite XYZ" and then I look at the pre-market and everything's noodling around a 1/3rd of a percent up. That's not pumping! That's sideways!
I'm assuming that he's buying the spread: Suppose you buy an XYZ Jun 50p and sell a May 45p for $2. If XYZ is above $50 at expiration, it expires worthless and you lose $2. That is the risk. If XYZ is below $50 at or before expiration, the spread will have to be worth $2 in order to break even. If less than $2, you have a loss. If greater than $2, you have a gain. The difference in strikes is not a factor unless you are assigned. The calculation is a bit different if selling the spread.
I think the easy part of the pump is over, but unless we easily swoop under the late Jan SPX ATH in like the next two weeks, if anything else occurs on the downside in 2026, it's going to be tame. (and if what I'm laying out there actually verifies, maybe you'd get something that is "somewhat" 2020 esque) Maybe it shouldn't be that way, but there's no use talking about how things should be XYZ way under Trump and I think the last few weeks made it clear. It's not him, but the folks working with him have figured out how to exploit market mechanics in a big way. What we saw for a good portion of the week was CTAs having to buy and gamma magic.
It's not difficult to understand. He says "Hey Bob, I'm going to post this tweet good news / bad news". Bob makes his trades. Trump posts on social media. "Hey Dan, I'm going to bomb XYZ", Dan enters his trades. Trump bombs. "Hey Ralph, I'm going to negotiate a ceasefire". Ralph enters his trades. Trump initiates negotiations. He's got a million ways for people to funnel money back to him, his children, his businesses, etc. Donations to the Trump presidential library. Check out the article today about the Kennedy Center grift. Baron's drink company. Whatever ... there's plenty of ways. Giving Trump reciprocal advance news of insider information they know.
Think of it more in terms of, "how does this strategy lose money, and how does it gain money". Say stock XYZ is currently at 100 and you sell a 95 strike put. You make your money if the price stays above 95 for the duration of the option. You lose money if the stock goes below 95. Here's another way to think about it. If stock XYz is at 100 and you sell both a 95 put and a 105 call strike and the price moves up, which option has a positive pnl and which has a negative pnl? If a stock is moving up and you sell a call you have a higher chance of losing. My strategy is using this + a momentum filter. If investors are buying a stock it has momentum to the upside. Similar to it's easier to stop a car going 20 mph than 60 mph. If I find a stock with momentum I can sell the option that is best fit to benefit from that direction as it is likely investors will continue to buy more of that stock, it is harder for a reversal to happen because the stock has so many buyers.
“Sit at home and enjoy the new world.” My brother in Christ, it was the largest wealth transfer to the ownership class in history. That QE pump was t for you or me, it was for the stinks, assets, and so leveraged XYZ companies wouldn’t go belly up.
Hyperliquid futures do not like this ! https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:XYZ100
Typo on ACE supposed to be AND. As far as CSP. It’s a cash secured puts. Say you want to buy shares of XYZ that is currently trading at $10 a share. You have $1k to buy 100 shares. But you rather buy it at $9 a share or $900 for 100 shares. So you use the $900 in cash hoping the shares go down to $9 a share in 7 days or 7DTE. By doing so you receive a premium of .05 a share or $50 for placing the trade. If the shares don’t get down to $9 a share by the end of the 7 days you get to collect the full $50 in premium you received plus your $900 in collateral gets returned to you. In a nut shell this is a Cash secured puts. AKA CSP. As far as the index’s and Vix. If the vix goes up the index’s goes down. And Vic goes down index goes up. It’s great for 0-1DTE trades. you can also look at the futures market post and pre market to get an idea of what direction the market will go in the morning.
Go ahead and knock it. It's just as dumb as you imply. Even worse is bandwagoning. "I saw some guy on WSB made $200k on XYZ, so I YOLO'd XYZ." Lemmings and cliffs.
It's covered in the sense that you only need to come up with the difference between the strikes of the long and short contracts. Meanwhile if you didn't have that option and price mooned you'd be on the hook for enormous amounts. If you're long calls in XYZ at strike 100 and price goes to 200 why would you choose not to exercise? Especially if you're short say strike 120. Are you just gonna choose to throw away that right and go buy shares for 200 to fulfill your obligation?
Either you don't understand margin or you talked to a broker who didn't know what he was talking about. If you sell a CSP, that means that you have 100% of the funds to cover assignment. For example, you sell an XYZ $100 put for $2 and you receive $200 (ignoring commissions). If you have $9,800 in cash in your account, then after selling the put, you'll have $10k in cash. If you get assigned, you buy the stock for $10k. You own it. Even if the stock goes to zero, there's no possibility of a margin call. OTOH, if you sell a naked $100 put, you'll need approximately $2k in margin to support the trade (20%). Then, it's a good idea to have more than $2k in the account to meet the margin should the stock drops. If assigned, you'll need $5k for the stock's initial margin requirement.
See you at 7700 when the same people will be saying I think the market is going down because of XYZ should I invest? Stay poor. That time in the market thing is a complete farce. Everyone should just time the market. /s
A little of both. Let's say you are comparing a CSP on XYZ 100p May 17 vs. a put credit spread on XYZ 100p/95p May 17. In both cases, it's the same short 100 strike put, so in both cases they would have identical theta, indeed identical everything, because they are literally the same contract terms. However, you are correct that in the case of the vertical spread, the **net theta** of the spread will be lower than for the CSP, because the 95p long put has theta with the opposite sign to the short leg, so part of the short leg's theta is canceled out mathematically. You can think of this reduction in theta and the reduction of the opening credit of the spread (compared to the equivalent CSP) as the cost of having a long leg to protect your downside. It's basically the cost of the defined-risk nature of the vertical spread. Hedges aren't free and the cost of the hedge has to come from somewhere, so it ends up coming from your net opening credit and net theta.
Basically it comes down to self control. If you can't use that -- avoid the places that you find yourself spending money. Every time you were going to buy the coffee, wanting to buy XYZ, etc - pocket that money. Keep track of what you would have spent & physically put it in a jar at home (try it for a few weeks). You'll be shocked at how quick it grows & also how rewarding it is to see it. I have friends who employ similar strategies
Well yah, I try to restrict context window to sub 100k tokens. Yeah -- I'm using claude code. I pay for max ($200 / month). Basically - I tell it what data I want and give it permission to write and run a script. It'll spit me out a python file, fill a CSV with the relevant data (or whatever I want). I have restrict the scope / context to the directory / folder I'm running it in. But it has access to everything INSIDE the folder too. If I have a design doc - I can upload a pdf and it'll read it, then know the plan, etc. Basically it's like 100 back and forths of telling it what I want (data, scripts, execute XYZ, it's thoughts, etc) - and I iterate towards a solution. It's not just "a chat" - the actual chatting is kept to a minimum. I'm using it to do the raw computations, estimations, write the code, gather the data, etc. Basically - directing agents.
It depends on how much you are up. Let’s say for example you bought 100 shares of company XYZ for $10 a share or $1000 and for whatever reason it’s now up to $20 a share or $2000. You can sell 50% of the shares and still keep your original investment in dollars. That’s option 1. Option 2 is if you have 100 shares you can always do the wheel strategy sell Cover calls for above your cost avg. then if they get called away. Place cash secured puts till your assigned shares.
Jack Dorsey about to shit his pants when XYZ tanks at market open 📉
Holy fuck at this point just sit the Tasnim and Axios reporters down in a room together and have em battle it out. My financialjuice feed for the last 48hrs has literally been “USA did XYZ- Axios” followed immediately by “Iran claims USA did not do XYZ- Tasnim”
You are exactly correct. Nobody is willingingly going to spend money to move existing systems over -- thats just dumb. >\> validate a new system when a company already has to pay Microsoft for support for those legacy internal and external systems? It basically reduces down to a question of "how much do we pay for the legacy system / maintenance. How much does new feature XYZ cost & how much does it cost to move over?" Maintaining old systems is exactly what is going to happen, but new systems / features will likely become "much cheaper" due to monetary pressures (other companies doing the same thing / offering a similar set of featuers are doing it 10x cheaper), or even end up in-house. MSFT is going to have to offer more for the same price to compete.
The idea is that instead of having to outsource the work to "the professionals" (large teams that specialize in XYZ with software backgrounds) -- you can now have a team of like 1 guy internally doing the same thing
Let me start with the obvious. You have the right to remain silent. Use it. Delete this post. Big executives do face huge consequences. You just don’t hear about it. I don’t think that most members of Congress do insider trading within the definition of the laws. I think a few are stupid but they have to use information from inside the company that the rest of the world doesn’t have. Let me give you a couple of examples. Imagine that a member of Congress is helping the XYZ company get a factory built in their district. They are made aware that the final building permits have been approved and all regulatory hurdles have been cleared. They buy XYZ stock. That’s not insider trading because all of that is a public record. It’s just a public record that nobody knows to pay attention to. The same congressman has all of the depositions related to an upcoming hearing about ABC company. If they were made in a closed hearing, that’s not public information. However, they know exactly how they will trade. A week later, the necessary questions are now asked in public. Once in the public domain, trades are legal. Again, the difference is that unless you attend the hearing or watch it live if CSpan is covering it, you’ll not know. The other difference is that the congressman knows which hearings contain useful information and which don’t before the hearing even starts. Is it unethical? Very. Is it illegal? Only if they use information that is from the inside of a company. They don’t really need to do that. They are naturally collecting a ton of “outsider” information just doing their jobs. Did you break the law? There are not enough facts here to answer that. Will your company find out? If your name is John Smith, likely not. If you have a highly distinct name and they compare the registration of their shareholders to their employee lists possibly. Delete this post. This is a legal question not an internet question. You really need competent counsel as to what your choices are.
TurboTax is so confusing because it constantly wants to review and recheck stuff. Like are we done with XYZ section or not?!?!
To the guy asking about a journalist who went missing: I know the guy. Although, come to think of it, I haven't heard from him lately. Last I heard, he was going to visit the XYZ consulate in a country that shares a name with a bird. I'm sure he's fine though. Lol, who would mess with the richest guy alive and the owner of the big Washington DC newspaper? He would never sell out his staff for some red money for his AI and space adventures.
To the guy asking about a journalist who went missing: I know the guy. Although, come to think of it, I haven't heard from him lately. Last I heard, he was going to visit the XYZ consulate in a country that shares a name with a bird. I'm sure he's fine though. Lol, who would mess with the richest guy alive and the owner of the big Washington DC newspaper? He would never sell out his staff for some red money for his AI and space adventures. Censored Zoomer terms like [completely deleted]are starting to make a lot more sense now that the US is occupied territory.
To the guy asking about a journalist who went missing: I know the guy. Although, come to think of it, I haven't heard from him lately. Last I heard, he was going to visit the XYZ consulate in a country that shares a name with a bird. I'm sure he's fine though. Lol, who would mess with the richest guy alive and the owner of the big Washington DC newspaper? He would never sell out his staff for some red money for his AI and space adventures. Zoomer terms like "un-a...." are starting to make a lot more sense now that the US is occupied territory.
To the guy asking about a journalist who went missing: I know the guy. Although, come to think of it, I haven't heard from him lately. Last I heard, he was going to visit the XYZ consulate in a country that shares a name with a bird. I'm sure he's fine though. Lol, who would mess with the richest guy alive and the owner of the big Washington DC newspaper? He would never sell out his staff for some red money for his AI and space adventures. Zoomer terms like "u-na***" are starting to make a lot more sense now that the US is occupied territory.
To the guy asking about a journalist who went missing: I know the guy. Although, come to think of it, I haven't heard from him lately. Last I heard, he was going to visit the XYZ consulate in a country that shares a name with a bird. I'm sure he's fine though. Lol, who would mess with the richest guy alive and the owner of the big Washington DC newspaper? He would never sell out his staff for some red money for his AI and space adventures. Zoomer terms like "unalive" are starting to make a lot more sense now that the US is occupied territory.
Yeah it may not matter for today, but the rip is clearly getting sold with this go in tech. Best case scenario may still yet end up being back to "hey XYZ company is screwed because of what you're seeing pushed out in AI," the kind of stories that Iran pushed to the side.
Market means to go ahead and buy now. Which is probably fine unless youre buying a lot of a company. Or youre buying something volatile. Limit lets you say you want to buy (or sell) XYZ at or below (or above when selling) a specified price.
My guess is in a day or two the ceasefire will be broken, oil will surge, he'll say he's gonna level the country if they dont do XYZ in 48 hours. Push the deadline back 1 or 2 times, say there are new talks that are going well, rinse repeat.
I wonder if people forsaw oil to spike up to load up position in crude around Feb or early March I was chit chatting with chatgpt to explain to me how energy trading works and that piece of ahit didn't tell me "buy OIL NOW because of XYZ"
Well done man 👏 It’s hard to avoid getting sucked into dog C’s like Matt G-spot when you’re coming from a position of general curiosity and willingness to learn. The internet sluths are dark twisted creatures preaching XYZ, but it comes with a price.
We are going to open green. "But but but what about XYZ??? " Nothing CRAZY unexpected happened over this weekend which means we open green. End of story.
I know a friend who has a whole bunch of different bank and investment accounts, but that was primarily from chasing after those "open an account and meet XYZ conditions to receive a bonus" offers.
This post looks like it was written by Claude Opus 4.6 with the sentence structure and saying things like “something = XYZ. Classic” “This combo doesn’t exactly scream ‘new bull run’” also very Claude-esque, then the ending asking audience for their opinion.
When you sell CSP, Fidelity requires you to have a cash equivalent as collateral. (assuming you are approved for CSP only.) Cash equivalents are cash, money market funds, T-bonds of less than 1 year in maturity. Money market funds used as collateral will earn interest. When you sell naked puts, you can use buying power as collateral. Most of your securities have BP. For example, SGOV has 70%, money market has 100% and Treasuries of less than 1 year have 97%. Money market funds used as collateral will not earn interest. When you have a margin account, you can buy securities with a loan from your broker. Say you want to buy $1000 of XYZ. You will find from the website that there is an initial margin requirement of 50% and maintenance requirement of 30%. (This is typical. Some stocks are higher.) That means you must have 50% or $500 of BP as collateral to buy. After purchase, the collateral is reduced to 30% or $300. The difference between what you owe and the BP is a loan. For Treasurys, the initial requirement is 10% and the maintenance is 3%. That means you can buy it with 10% but you will have a huge loan. I use Treasuries in my account instead of keeping SPAXX. SPAXX will not earn interest if it is used as collateral to trade options.
Mate. Can’t believe all these people telling you to keep holding the bag. I’m going to give you the genuine advice you want based on decades of experience investing. -20% is the time to get out! Lower than that it gets harder and harder to recover because of the asymmetrical nature of percentages. That means to recover from a 50% loss your investment needs to gain 100%. To recover from a 25% loss you need to gain 33%. So what these guys are telling you is that a stock that has just lost 25% of its value is suddenly going to rebound 33%. In the market I admit this can (and does) happen but you need to ask yourself how likely is it. Also, this advice goes double if it’s eating at you. Psychologically if you keep opening your portfolio to a field of red you will be much less likely to invest in the future - which will cost you way more in the long run than your immediate loss on XYZ stock. Sell it. Take the loss. Sleep better. And come back renewed and ready to use your remaining capital to take advantage of the next thing.
Take it. Insist on it to be enriched. Then call every XYZ agency and inform of terrorists uranium drop off.
*> So my understanding is that because I set Schwab to tax optimization, it didn’t report wash sales* Actually I don't think setting it tax optimization caused Schwab to not report wash sales. For example I think if you used the tax optimization setting to sell 100 shares of XYZ for a loss and then later (within 30 days) simply bought 100 shares of XYZ which would cause a wash sale I am 99% sure that would show up as a wash sale in the 1099s. I think whatever you did that would be part of the 1258 tax law problem is just not tracked by Schwab just like I have encountered with the IRS Publication 550 Loss Deferral Rules (https://www.irs.gov/publications/p550) I have encountered which is also not tracked by Schwab whereas the regular wash sales are tracked and applied in the 1099s.
SoftBank doesn’t exactly have the best reputation of being good at investing… Here is what bothers me about AI: new Company XYZ has to buy expensive as fuck nVidia GPUs/hardware, right? So XYZ gets investments and spends a shitload of money on hardware… they generate not nearly enough revenue because that is just true all around. Ok, say 18 months down the line nVidia releases new and improved hardware rendering XYZ’s setup obsolete. Do investors dump more money to upgrade XYZ’s hardware or do they instead invest in newer company QRS?
Does that really work? Hey boss, can we switch our 401k to XYZ?
Your statement starts with an XYZ comparison lmao. You ran this through an LLM and then told it to “sound human”. You also didn’t hyphen self-identifying but hyphened every single compound adjective above. Nice try.
You might be on to something. I mainly dislike Windows and Microsoft software just because _I have to click through so much shit_. Every time I open up M365 admin, it gives me 3 popups with tips. When you open teams, there's like 2 popups you have to click away. Outlook, the same. Copilot? Since a few weeks it keeps throwing this super annoying popup when you start typing. I'm clicking myself in to a hernia just so I can browse the web. (4! 4 fucking questions now on first time Edge start). It drives people mad around me in IT. Yes yes, I know about feature XYZ, I was asked this **yesterday** already.
I keep seeing people say the dxb housing market is down XYZ % but almost all of it is in the mega high priced properties (~$20m+). I read all this talk and thought I'd get a decent deal on a $2-3m property and pretty much no reductions or increase in availability. I still wouldn't buy anything off plan ever after 2008/9.
To the people that always went "aw man I wish could have bought MSFT at XYZ price," your wish will soon be granted.
I love how theres dozens of posts about how XYZ stock is down the the technical analysis behind it. Hey retards there’s a war on, people took profit and are waiting until Trump says something stupid again before going back in. I can’t stand these reactionary “analysis” posts that completely ignore the elephant in the room.
Probably the best methodology post on WSB in a while. If you have a GitHub for this, I'd genuinely love to contribute. Happy to send patches. Two ideas for Part 3: Event based alpha - You already say macro/event calls need a different framework. Easy way to do it: tag each call with the nearest event (FOMC, earnings, election, wars), then score returns over a tight window like T-2 to T+5 instead of rolling 30/60/90d. "Hedge into election week" or "buy XYZ into earnings" or "buy this ETF during the war" should live in its own scoring lane. Confidence/Clarity based scoring-- Since your biggest limitation is noisy extraction on hedged writing. Fix: score each call by hedge-word density ("could," "may," "remains constructive"), bucket into high/low clarity, compare alphas. I’d score each call on a simple rubric: exact ticker named, explicit direction, clear time frame, concrete trigger, and low hedge-word density. Then bucket calls into high vs low clarity and compare alpha. Something like: high clarity calls show +4.1% 60d alpha, low clarity show -0.6%. Tells you if the edge is real or just the parser reading clean writing more accurately. "Buy NVDA into earnings" and "we remain constructive long term" should not be scored the same way.
INTC is really due for one of those “XYZ Company might possibly consider maybe investing in Intel or work with them in some capacity potentially” stories
The thing you're missing is that Trump is an actual moron suffering from dementia. > How do they know what the cause was? They don't. The fact that you think they do is completely bonkers. I've literally seen headlines changed on the same article from "Markets rise on XYZ..." to "Markets decline on XYZ..." and the only thing they change is the article title and the numbers.
“We’re sorry, Mr. and Mrs. XYZ, your home has been selected for reduced power consumption so our AI algorithms can continue functioning at full capacity. Please turn your A/C up by 5 degrees and do not turn any lights on for 24 hours. Otherwise, we will notify your power company who may administer steep fines for not complying with this request. Thank you for your cooperation!”
Metals are speculative assets based around nonsense and religion. The idea that “omg semiconductors need metal so SLV should go up 5000%” is retarded. Japan and China will liquidate gld and slv holdings until the strait is reopened, because having cash is way more important when you need to buy food or fill up your car. There’s no “it’s supposed to be XYZ”. If you went to any dealer and tried to sell GLD/SLV pretty much anywhere in the world at spot nobody would accept it. Kind of a sign that they’re beyond overextended no?
I put my money on he tries to placate the markets by saying Iran agrees to XYZ and we are no longer going to bomb their infrastructure. If Iran was smart they would burn all their oil down to the ground before Trump takes it by force. I mean honestly it’s about oil. He thought Iranians would just roll over like Venezuela. I think he underestimated them and now doesn’t know what to do because his temper tantrums are not working.
"my stock is different, during a recession it won't go down because they won't stop buying <XYZ>!!!" Enjoy -20%.
I'm a Boglehead too for most of my portfolio, but I've been pretty successful with my gambling account. If you believe in the efficient market hypothesis, then a passive index fund is the best investment because all available information is already priced into the market. But that applies to all other securities too including stocks and options. You're bearing more "uncompensated" risk by holding a single stock, but a 1% chance of making $100 is mathematically equal to a 10% chance of making $10 or a 100% chance of making $1. If you have some edge where you get some valuable new information first, you can make a lot of money by being the first person to bring it to market. The same logic applies to day trading. Everyone has book learning. Algos price everything perfectly with all available information. But if some high school knucklehead idiot is the first to figure out that Monster energy drinks taste great, they can make a fortune. That's something that algos, AI, and pretentious Wall Street types who don't drink trashy gas station energy drinks can't figure out. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/17/monster-energy-drink-stock-is-best-performer-of-the-last-30-years.html An A- student in microeconomics might try to risk competing against the A+ students at macroeonomic trading and they'll get killed. But an F student is more likely to be wise enough to stay in their lane. Mastering a niche has been the main way species have survived for billions of years. Your wife shouldn't tell her student that they *can't* succeed because it's fundamentally not true. She should teach them to be humble and recognize when they have an advantage and when they don't. Passive index investing is the optimal investment when you have no additional information over the rest of the market. It's silly if you have material inside information that XYZ stock missed earnings and is worth significantly less than the market knows. It's illegal to trade on that kind of information so every trader's edge is right at the border between what only they know and what everybody else knows. Passive investing rewards humility and patience. Active investing rewards learning new information first and acting decisively when an opportunity arrives. There's a pendulum that swings between active and passive investing that keeps these two concepts in line. If everyone is a passive investor, securities in the index will be mispriced. If everyone is active, there's too much competition to generate alpha. This pushes investors one way or another and it's self correcting. Ultimately, that student will figure out what to do on their own. If they're successful at trading they'll keep doing it. If they're humble enough to recognize their own limitations, they'll keep their gains. If they aren't, they'll lose their shirt. As long as they know passive index investing is available, they'll eventually figure out how to do it. If you want to speed this process up, tell them that evil Wall Street firms are scamming them with fees and spreads. Also, billionaire market makers are spying on them and trading against them Passive index investing is the way to keep your own returns and coast off of Wall Street's stock analysis work for free. That's how Jack Bogle persuaded everyone a few decades ago and his argument is even more relevant today than in the past.
The time to buy TOST has long since passed. They were a good play right before they went into the black. Eg late in 2023 around $15 to $20/share. Now it trades at P/E 51 (!) SquareUp (Block): XYZ trades at P/E 28. The core part of that business is payment processing. Owners make the decisions about which platform to use and owners understand what the pay for processing much better than barriers to exit / switching. A dicey time to play restaurant POS stocks. I sold TOST in 2024 and bought MO. If they can get a product on track to compete with Zyn their stock will go even higher. If not, it stays in a slow climb while paying 8% divs
Anyone remember back in the GWOT days when Bush would regularly announce killing the top Al Qaeda deputy in XYZ country? It was always some random guy nobody had ever heard of. Meanwhile, the target everyone cared about was just chilling in his mansion with his porn and video games. Trump and Israel have taken that vibe to the extreme. They can’t kill the Supreme Leader or reopen the Strait of Hormuz. So they’re just bombing random people and things, then trying to spin it as a big success. It’s always timed to hit the morning newspapers, but markets fade as traders digest the information.
if you (a retail investor) authorize a fund manager to use your money to mirror a known index then you would expect your money to be invested in whatever is included in that index. I don’t see it as a 1) wealth transfer 2) from passive investors to SpaceX insiders. First of all, in theory, no net wealth is being transferred. What’s occurring is an exchange of risk profiles. Assuming the stock is being purchased by the fund at a more-or-less market price, the two items (dollars and equity) are assumed to be of equal value in that moment. Thus, no wealth is being transferred. What is being exchanged, fundamentally, are the risks borne by both parties, as well as the benefits. Insiders who have tons of equity may be seeking an opportunity to diversify and investors may be seeking a chance to cash in on speculative future stock appreciation. Secondly, I’d argue that when a fund sells shares of XYZ Corp to make room for a certain number of SpaceX shares, the exchange is really happening between those who buy the XYZ shares from the fund and those who are selling the SpaceX shares for dollars. The passive investor still has his money invested exactly where he wanted it - in an index of the 500 largest corporations in the US. Nothing has changed there.
Also LLMs have become lazy. They say do you want me to check the timing for real? No, just saying howdy when I actually typed what time does my nearest XYZ store close I think they just served cached content first to save compute and do real work only when prompted to
Everything I say is honest and I'd be the first to say yes to a public debate of anyone who feels I've unfairly criticized them. I spend most of my waking hours trying to "un-fancy" the language. I don't want to use jargon to obfuscate- in fact, I often take down people publicly who do that, because I can see right through it. Whatever job you do, you have deep memory of all its nuance. It's no different for me, I was a market maker for my whole adult life. the things that are complex or jargon, are just intuitive to me because I engaged with them nonstop 24/7 forever- anyone else would have the same outcome. And you must be confusing my commentary with someone else. I remind people even in our promotional material, our onboarding material, in my tweets etc- that we have a probabilistic edge because we have modeled buying and selling which must be done by a large cohort. The extent to which that determines outcomes depends, like any other system, on our cohort's relative contribution to the order flow any given day. There is no way to say "because dealers hold XYZ we will certainly land at 123" - you or I could make a trade ourselves and disrupt the state of things, yielding a different outcome. Foolish to assume otherwise.
Umm... So, why would U be a long-term investor in companies that lose money, and don't pay dividends? A simple criterion for long term investments should be that the company is profitable, and consistently makes money, and the company pays dividends. Companies that aren't profitable and don't pay dividends should be avoided for long term investing. And U should also reinvest your dividends in order to put the "Magic of Compounding" to work for U. So, U are burning money just for fun? Sure, its good to have separate accounts for short term trading and long-term investing, but U shouldn't just be throwing your money away for fun. Old Warren Buffett had simple rules for investing, Rule 1 don't lose money, Rule 2 never forget Rule number 1. And for your short-term trades, U should always have a simple trading plan, before U enter the trade. Here is an example... # Pre‑Trade Checklist For Short‑Term Stock Trades Here is a simple, repeatable pre‑trade checklist for short‑term stock trades (long only) using Moving Averages, RSI, and MACD — follow the steps below before entering any trade. Keep position size small, set a clear stop loss, and only trade when at least two indicators agree. **Quick guide** * **Timeframe:** This checklist can be used on any timeframe from 5‑minutes, 60‑minutes, or daily charts for short‑term trades. * **The Goal:** Buy stocks that are clearly moving up, and then sell them when they start to slow down. * **Indicators:** Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD. * ***Rule of thumb:*** Enter only when 2 of 3 indicators confirm the same direction. **Pre‑Trade Checklist for Long Only Positions** **1. Trend check with Moving Averages** \- Confirm stock price is above the 20‑period EMA, and the 20 EMA is above the 50 EMA. If true, the trend is bullish. If the stock price is not above the 20‑period EMA, and if the 20 EMA is not above the 50 EMA do not go long or buy. **2. Momentum check with RSI** \- RSI rising above 40 and below 70 supports a healthy uptrend. The RSI is between 40 and 60 and going up. Avoid going long and buying a stock if the RSI is already above 70 (overbought). **3. Confirmation with MACD** \- MACD line crossing above the signal line, or MACD and MACD histogram are both rising, which confirms bullish momentum. **4. Entry, Stop, Target:** * **Entry:** Enter position on a stock price pullback to the 20 EMA, when MACD indicator is rising. * **Stop loss:** Put a stop loss order in below recent swing low. * **Target:** Look for 3 to 1 risk/reward opportunities. Example if stock XYZ is trading at $10, and its previous swing low was $9, you place your stop loss order at$ 8.99, and your upside price target price is $13. So, you are risking $1 dollar in order to make 3 dollars. **5. Volume check** \- Volume should be rising higher on the move to confirms entry. Declining or decreasing low volume is signal of weakness or indecision by investors. Stocks going up higher on low volume is a short-term bearish signal.
So funny, my XYZ puts I got after it jumped up now up 50% 😎
Anyone see XYZ tanking into either a bounce or drop into that huge gape
When you have this entire sub screaming *XYZ are ded* you inverse.
Regards: “I invested in XYZ company because it it progressive” XYZ company: supports the heritage foundation because corporations don’t give a fuck about politićs. Moral investors are the biggest clowns of them all.
They Keep putting hype or ai stocks in, Past picks have been lot of high beta stocks that have been tanking lately. TTD, XYZ, APP, COIN, CVNA, HOOD. All down big since addition
Can you tell me how you distinguish the S&P movement whether it is retail or institutional money? I hear that all the time everywhere from Reddit to on TV to independent financial advisors. The oy say oh it’s retail is doing this retail is doing that or the smart money is doing this a smart doing that. They don’t have a separate level 1,2,3 that flags each trade or volume as to whether it was retail or institutional. Every time I hear “retail traders are doing an XYZ and that’s why the markets doing ABC” I’m thinking oh yeah this person is just making stuff up because they don’t know either.
Who can be surprised by these job numbers? Every other headline has been about XYZ tech company cutting thousands of jobs, that doesn't even include the thousands of small businesses that have been hampered ever since liberation day. Everyone you hear from looking for a job says it's more painful than walking a mile on broken glass barefoot. The only silver lining it that this gives Warsh and Trump justification to push for rate cuts, but even that cope is challenged by the reality of higher energy prices for as long as the war in Iran lasts for. It's going to be an ugly month.
It was just an example honestly i originally wanted to use some of my local companies or XYZ but I decided using actual company names would be easier for the example. And your right in todays age unless a company does active buy backs/sell shares or issues new ones the money we put in via stocks does not magically reach their balance sheet. Shares just give you the right to technically influence company decisions but with the amount the average person holds its useless. Which should raise some questions like wait what does actually owning shares give me and wouldn't that money better serve me by starting my own buisness.
getting "XYZ stock is down 5%" alerts every fucking minute
If these damn XYZ 62p hit Ill grow a stupid ass beard like Dorsey
Still sideways from 3m ago, you good. And a lot of things underpriced right now. Maybe dont buy SPY, but discounted software companies maybe? Or international etfs thay have been doing great but took a hit recently? Plenty out there to buy. Try B, ZTS, XYZ, MU, Brazil or Mexico etf, VEU + IEMG + IDEV...
Did a Buy-Write in NVDA at 175 & 185, wrote puts on BRKB and GOOG, let short puts run for the boomer port. In the regarded port, closed short dated long calls on POET, MSTR & ACHR, write short calls on TSLR (following big guy’s lead to bring it down,) closed short calls on XYZ (didn’t want to hedge,) bought some speculative crap and set a bunch of GTCs bc I’m in meetings all week (too many to list.)
“Could” doing a lot of the heavy lifting I think every sub should auto ban any article with a headline like “What XYZ COULD mean for XYZ” or “XYZ COULD XYZ according to this “expert”.”
Every Public CEO just got an idea XYZ, surges over +20% after announcing plans to cut over 40% of their workforce.
Intended to buy a XYZ $50C today's morning, but fat fingered and naked shorted it. Typical wsb style.
Simplified answer here. Yeah CC is covered calls. You need to own 100 shares of the underlying stock to sell 1 CC. Your shares will be held as collateral until expiration, CC buyback, or assignment. Buy 100 shares of company XYZ at $50. Figure out a price you would be okay with selling those shares at, say $55 for 10% gain. Sell CCs at the $55 strike at whatever expiration you think fits your stock, the longer out the date the higher the premium you will receive but also the more time the underlying has to reach your strike for assignment. Think it's going up 10% in the next month? Sell the $55 strike call option expiring in a month to pocket the premium and hopefully also get assigned and pocket a 10% return. Typically don't sell calls on a stock you don't want to sell because eventually you will be assigned. Though if you are wheeling that doesn't matter as much because as soon as you get assigned you pick an entry price you wouldn't mind getting back in and you sell CSPs (cash secured puts) at the price you would like to buy back in at. Want to re-enter XYZ at $50 where you originally bought it for? Sell CSPs at $50 strike, pocket premium and if it closes below your strike at expiration you'll get assigned the shares and you can start selling calls again. Main two risks: selling CCs locks your shares in collateral so on a sudden drawdown of share price and you're caught in it, no stop losses you would need to buy to close your CC and then sell your shares to get out. However the CC acts as a bit of a hedge because you'll profit on it as the share price decreases. Selling CSP can be risky on a sudden downturn because company XYZ might tank to $30 and you're locked into buying at $50. On this example it's more devastating than the CC because you can't buy back your CSP without incurring a loss if it blows past your strike. You also limit upside with CCs but that's why you pick a strike you would be happy to sell at.
Can you do one help and add my Substack to the list. I’m pretty sure I’ll be in top 3 because some of them blew up recently: NBIS, RKT, XYZ. RIOT, LUNR(about to blew). May be if you track my Reddit, it’ll be even better. I posted about NBIS around 40’s(though I got in at 20’s, didn’t had Substack during that time lol). Link: https://substack.com/@getdeepsignal?r=57i6ns&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=profile&shareImageVariant=image
Short XYZ, long some cheap call LEAPS for bottom fishing (Rezolve,) bc I am regarded. Will check in during the hour of power/sour.