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Not using XYZ platform has ZERO to do with "leaving thousands of dollars on the table" There are other brokers. I never told anyone what to do either. Re-read it. I said I wouldn't trust a dime on that platform, and I don't. There was stress during $GME. You don't think they will have issues next time the market is stressed? (Spoiler Alert: the Market is about to be stressed)
You can make a custom agent on gemini and give it instructions, so any time you prompt it, it will output the info you’re looking for. It’s usually a good practice to give it a kind of persona to draw from. For example you can instruct it like: You’re an expert stock trader, for every stock i ask you about, you will provide ABC fundamentals, XYZ technicals, and give your objective analysis whether it would make a good trade. Something like that but you get it. The actual instructions could be several pages long, and you fine tune it as you go. But the point, as i understand it, is partly that you don’t have to keep writing the same long prompts every time, because you created an agent/persona that has instructions in advance. You can make separate ones for sector research, trade ideas, coaching etc. you should still validate the info as needed, because it could be wrong about some things, but its very useful and helps save a ton of time.
Yeah QQQ/SPY (and frankly even though it's fallen a bit more, probably XLK too) being down "ONLY" XYZ level (like folks love touting) is keeping fairly significant technical damage hidden again. Maybe it won't matter but my optimism on that is low (as some would love to say "as per usual"). Timing on that may not be possible though, maybe financials/oil/etc will just rescue markets forever by continuing to run hard because the hard economic data is fine, and this year maybe ends up being... "The Revenge of the Old Economy" With the Dow up 25%+ with the XLK down 20-25%.
Aging is normal. The saying: XYZ has aged him. Means premature or accelerated aging.
If you look at corporate earnings they are still outperforming expectations by the normal amount they do in the S&P 500. Amazon did well and the only reason it’s going down is despite over-performing, because they saw their cloud - ai services having over performed and hang more upcoming demand they could not meet, increased capital expenditure to meet that demand. There is absolutely zero reason a long term investor would logically see this as a bad earnings. Yet the market freaked out and it tanked. Because the market isn’t based upon the numbers it’s based upon emotions. And big big number going up is scary scary so sell sell! I can’t find any evidence that the mag 7 are struggling with ai investments in a way to indicate a bubble exists or is popping. All I ever hear is “yeah bro. But if you look at XYZ it is clear it will hit financials soon”. When it does I will have evidence to make that conclusion and I’d change my stance. The only thing the market does have evidence for is unemployment is going up a lot. Actual concern for employees and workers. But because of inequality and the K shaped economy, good or bad ethically, unemployment does not in anyway affect the performance of market entities. It can be great at the same time as everyone else is suffering. This market is good for a long term investor
“yeah you look like you would like XYZ” 😏
About to be XYZ, Block Inc. I’m looking for $47.50 or below.
XYZ, Block Inc fka Square…disclaimer, current bag holder at $61.45 aps….todays drop is mind blowing to me….i feel like they are less stagnant than PayPal… but I also feel like PayPal’s current price is too low as well 🤷♂️
yeah i post this regularly when market "looks bad" and ppl are tempted to buy dip on XYZ - cuz it can always get worse sorry that i was late
But I do think that one day soon it will be able to do that. When it comes back asking for documentation of income and expenses then it’s prime time. “Create an order entry system using Salesforce customized for company XYZ”. Then when it starts asking questions and documents for analysis then I will be impressed. 15 years ago IBM came in to the company I worked at and demonstrated Watson. It didn’t work with the simplest of tasks. I’m guessing it’s progressed.
Yes. Value can be credited and destroyed in markets. Money does tend to flow around like you suggest, but you don't need equal amounts of asset value to shift from one place to another in an equal sum. XYZ stock has 1 thousand shares worth $2,500 each for total market cap of 2.5m. Tonight after hours the company reports earnings and during the call they disclose that the whole company is a ponzi scheme and is insolvent. 1 person sells a single share for $1 after hours. Now the single dollar in money movement has erased $2,499,000 dollars in value. 2.499 million in value has just been erased from the system.
Hmm single anecdote vs XYZ number of businesses. Do you know how anecdotes work?
I'm starting to think that HOOD, DDOG, COIN, APP, XYZ, DASH, and TTD getting added to SPY was all a huge P&D scheme lol
Ok, I think I misinterpreted your post when you said many wrong answers. I thought you were also referring to the *Loss Deferral Rules* section in IRS Pub 550 where for example: You own stock XYZ that is currently at $111 and there are options at $110 and $105 strike. You sell a call at a $105 strike (2 strikes below closing price) and receive $500. Then you close it with a buy to close at $600 for a $100 loss ($500 - $600) and still own the XYZ shares. In the Loss Deferral Rules section you cannot claim that $100 loss because it was part of a straddle. (I think the above is accurate, the Loss Deferral Rule section is complicated) One wouldn't normally start with the situation above, but when rolling Covered Calls on a rising stock price it can easily happen.
That's not a wash sale because there are no replacement shares. Other posts are correct mostly, but leave out an important element. A wash sale can occur from repurchasing the same shares within 30 days after disposition. But it can also happen if you buy more shares within 30 days before the sale. For example, if I own 100 shares of xyz and it goes down from 10 to 8 and then buy 100 more shares of XYZ then two days later sell 100 shares of XYZ I cannot claim the loss. Even if I use a first in first out accounting method or allocate the sold shares as the earlier, the loss will be disallowed under wash sale rules. So the answer to your question is it is not a wash sale as long as you didn't own any other ABC shares before or if you use the most recently purchased shares as the allocation
I've been negative on PYPL on here since it was discussed as something people should buy instead of NVDA in 2023 because "it was cheap and NVDA was expensive." The "branded checkout button" doesn't have a moat. I've continually brought up the fact that much of the theme broadly has been terrible - nobody ever mentions that XYZ has done similarly poorly over the last 5 years and the theme ETFs (FINX) have, too. If the theme is broadly not what it was 4-5 years ago (commoditization, among other issues) I'm still not seeing why PYPL is so compelling. Maybe it eventually finds a floor, but 1) people have tried to call that floor on here for 3 years now and have been wrong and 2) when it eventually finds that floor, what keeps it from wandering around those levels for years rather than the bounce people hope? You mention HPQ given the new CEO and shareholder returns. That stock offers a sizable yield and the share price is where it was in 2017, 2011, 2007 and 2000. People have kept talking up the buyback. Buybacks can be done poorly and buybacks for something that is potentially a melting ice cube is not compelling. The "but the buybacks" refrain - I'd rather a cheap oil company with assets buying back. In terms of value, most of the last 5-6 years has been a market of narratives and this doesn't have one - cheap and maturing has to be cheaper than ever before before getting some interest and even then no guarantee of a V-shaped recovery, L-shaped also possible. Maybe this will get more attention if value works again, but waiting for that to happen over the last 2-3 years to potentially benefit stuff like this has been considerable opportunity cost. Good luck - genuinely. I'm not someone looking to dunk on people, just trying to have the kind of back-and-forth discussions that used to be had on here.
You might disagree thatLLMs are simply a commodity, but you're simply wrong. You mistake a first mover advantage with a moat. And for what it's worth, Google actually has the real first mover advantage. Much of the machine learning studies that laid the groundwork for openAI were originally developed at Google, they just weren't first to market. I don't consider meta or grok as real competitors. The top 3 currently are anthropic, openAI, and google. Whereas China is absolutely a competitor and is close on their heels. Give it another 2 years and there will be at least another 3 competitors. A good analogy for your confusion about first mover advantage is that in the early days of fintechs PayPal and SQ (now XYZ) had first mover advantages. But then every bank that had the ability to, created a p2p payment system of their own. Their moat vanished, and investors were left holding the bag, realizing that it wasn't a moat at all. They had just started running the race before everyone else. Good luck with your future endeavors.
This is the scenario where I’m getting decent capital appreciation on my underlying asset. Let’s say XYZ stock goes from 100 to 110. But my strike price on the covered call I sold is at 110.5. That means the option expired worthless as it’s not in the money which is good for me because I don’t have to pay anything to close the position so I get to collect the option premium for selling plus the capital appreciation of the underlying XYZ stock. But if XYZ blows past the strike price I set, let’s say it jumps to 120, I would be forced to sell my 100 shares of XYZ stock at the 110.5 strike price I set instead of being able to sell it at the market value of 120
the only impact higher stock prices have on the company is the ability to borrow at lower vs higher interest rates or raise money through shares. even if everyone sold XYZ at once the company would still make a shitload of money the market regulates itself in terms of consumer decisions and profit maximization
Why is XYZ dumping? Is it because of PYPL?
I’ll wait for XYZ stock to go down 10-20% to buy, it’s such a great company! When it falls: WTF happened? Is it dead? Is the economy cooked?
Some of that stuff is way too technical....but as a momentum investor I also feel like value investors are the dumbest investors in the room that think theyre the smartest "oooohhhh have to buy XYZ bc P/E is under 19 and bc nothing else matters is its impossible for it to stay there forever!".
Yep. It's hilarious how clueless people in r/investing are about market functionality and are trying to give XYZ news excuse instead of mechanisms at play in the market itself and not news driven.
haha yea I feel you but unfortunately big corp doesn’t work like that, and most of the reason behind it is risk management, you have better things to worry about than if XYZ software was breached or something else, service agreements and contracts exist for a reason and safety/compliance is one of the biggest.
in B4 "what does this have to do with XYZ" gets posted infinitely as the most brain rotted thought terminating cliche ever
You mean like SQ - Block - XYZ ? Dumbfuckery. Still the same shit pile.
I’m out of the loop but I feel like I don’t hear as much talk about real world use anymore. I know Jack Dorsey the CEO of $XYZ (Block, which owns Square, CashApp, Tidal, Bitkey) is still saying it’s the future but I just don’t hear much talk about it actually making huge progress. Am I just out of the loop and many people are still thinking it will be ubiquitous around the world? Seems like people only talk about it as a store of value these days.
This is not about complacency or even sentiment, there is no thought process in this at all, and it doesn't matter in which market it happens. You are at the right place to understand this, but instead you bring all that stuff. In 2020 something new happened: people were locked up, bored-bored-bored, and cashed up. Robinhood was ready for them, and they liked it as an unsupervised teenager likes \[you know\]. Before that, there were smart money (Wall Street), dumb money (retail, CTAs, pension funds and such) and a few speculators. That is where all your slides apply, until 2020. In 2020 and to this day, a third group entered the game: you, fine people. Unlike smart money, group3 has zero risk control, infinite pain tolerance, and cooperative behaviour with near real-time coordination. Unlike dumb money, group3 has near real-time reaction, complex trading instruments, leverage stacked upon leverage (options) and a tight grip on gamma (because market makers need to hedge all your bets to maintain zero market risk). You are the very weapon of mass destruction that Warren Buffet warned about, but empowered and emboldened beyond his imagination. You know what happened to stocks and who did it. XYZ full port yolo - and there goes $100k into some bs stock that should not even exist. Market maker gets all that risk and hedges it with other derivatives, so that you go long calls, and they go long with futures with a multiple, no less than 10. Your $10\~100k calls created $0.1\~1M directional bet for that bs stock or SPY or whatnot. Millions of people did it, and now a trilli is flying directionally for no particular reason, moving market, triggering the dumb algos that chase momentum and such. Self-reinforcing move creates a trend that makes no sense but everyone is happy and posting screenshots. That is how stocks went up from April till recently, but then stopped. Why? Because attention shifted to other things - not bitcoin this time, which is why it is in the toilet. Silver, other metals - suddenly people started posting stuff about metals they couldn't spell a week ago, and chasing up stocks that have nothing but name. And it worked, all that stuff spiked. But at some point the attention shifts, the hot trilli finds another airport to land in, and the highly leveraged big disappears, leaving behind a trail of bags and stunned holders. This is the force that moves markets now, but not all markets, only the once that got attention. Silver market has just upset much of group3, and left behind too many bags and burnt accounts, which is why all that talk of physical shortages and this or that will not hold the price up. It was hot trilli that did the spike, and now it most likely will move on, for a while. If it stays, silver will paint another spike in weeks. This will be the attention test. Next potential airport is oil. Not for some particular reason, but because it is fresh. Trump will say something or look mean at Iran - oil goes up, hot trilli flies into UCO, and behold, oil does silver now, much to the surprise of analysts and other people who try to make sense of the cycles. This is the cycle: hot trilli lands - airport spikes; hot trilli departs - pile of bags is left behind. Find which market is next trilli airport, and you have advantage over most of Wall Street and all of dumb money.
For anyone in payments stocks (TOST, XYZ, FISV, FOUR, PYPL), what do you think it would take to change the sentiment at this point? Feels like it’s been super low since summer of last year. MA just had solid earnings which makes me slightly optimistic
I tried doing the math myself before I searched the internet and found your thread... but I figured it out after seeing your work: earlier in the chapter he had dividends for XYZ stock during the 6 months of holding (remember it was $1 / share). Putting $1000 of dividends in the equations will correct your math to match the book.
The people I'm referring to work at Msft, Boeing, Cisco, Amazon. Performance of company is not tied to the stock at the moment, it's tied to AI use, well outside Boeing. If you couldn't figure it out XYZ is AI...
I wish I knew, seriously. They’re not all “deals” it just seems many people don’t think of investing until things are high. They buy high, sell low. If you DCA you’ll catch deals. I just remember things being down after Covid and I had some liquid cash to invest. So what’s big? Well I’m in tech and always think computers. Didn’t even have ai on the mind then. But tech always advances. So I avoid the vapor ware stuff and what would be good for that? Copper is always needed. So I bought. AMD was low years ago and I couldn’t figure out why. I personally switched to them from intel so I bought. AMZN, I realized years ago I use them every day. Ordering stuff constantly. Many of us do…so I invested. I accidentally hit the ai bumps by just investing in tech overall so once it became popular I looked at what else can go up related to it, energy stocks. So I researched what energy companies feed the data centers. Just DCA and recognize when things are high, everyone talking about it. And be wary. And when everyone is scared to invest, be more willing to go in. Anything but “oh everyone is talking about XYZ and XYZ has tripled last year so I’m going in!”
-!banbet XYZ 999 3w -You can visit - cannot post (I think you can thumbs up/down) -ban length idk - I’ve gotten a week mostly. - as long as it “hits” = you win.
Yes. Yes they do, at least on a general scale. To think they don't is naive upper management mind set. Especially when you're a company like Microsoft saying to the public XYZ when you and all you're coworkers know XYZ is not improving the company. Or you're in sales and see the sales dropping because of XYZ.
*>****If you only buy options (long calls/puts), your maximum loss is the premium paid (plus fees), so you generally can’t lose more than what you put in.*** *You can lose more than the account if you sell options (naked or some spreads), or if an option position results in you holding stock on margin after exercise/assignment.* *--------------------------------------------------------------* Maybe that is accurate (with generally added in there) but it is really misleading to me at least (and I feel others who maybe looking into using margin). If I buy of $100,000 marginable stock XYZ I then can buy $10,000 of call options (not a naked sell or in a spread) with a $10,000 loan with the margin available because of the borrowing power stock XYZ. If stock XYZ goes to $0 and my call options expire worthless then my total positions is $0. But I have borrowed $10,000 and therefore my account is negative $10,000 and I didn't sell short any options (naked or in a spread). So your account can go negative when using margin and not selling any options. I know what I said above is unlikely to happen (most likely the brokerage will sell portions/all of XYZ before going negative), but your comment is really misleading.
*> So, if I start buying options on margin in my high risk strategy/account can I lose more than I put in? Or will margin calls and forced selling by the broker prevent that?* I have never bought anything on margin and so my actual knowledge of it is somewhat limited but here is how I see it. As you stated the brokerage will use margin calls and force selling to prevent that from happening (total account going negative) but mathematically it could happen you could lose more than what you have put it. Let's say you bought stock XYZ with $100,000 you have and then you use the margin borrowing to buy options with the margin available. If suddenly stock XYZ goes to $0 (and the stock options you buy also take a hit) your account will be negative and there really isn't a way the brokerage could sell anything to prevent your account from going negative because it happened so quick. But of course stock XYZ going to $0 instantly like that is unlikely and I am not aware of a margin account going negative but like I said my knowledge of this in the real world is very limited, and I mean **VERY** limited. I don't even personally know of a person actually using margin to buy stocks, but mathematically I would say it's possible, but how likely, not a clue.
with a strong dollar, it takes 100 dollars to buy 1 share of XYZ stock. with a weak dollar, it takes 150 dollars to buy that same 1 share of XYZ stock.
I would recommend Charles Schwab: Trader Talks on YouTube. They record live videos everyday and have a huge backlog, you can definitely search through their catalog for specific things you’re looking for. Most, if not all, have example trades as well. Other brokerages probably have something similar as well. Just steer clear of anyone saying they can guarantee profits if you do XYZ. Usually the ones hammering the on risks of each strategy are more reliable than the ones that only show their gains.
You're still simply shorting puts. I'd start with synthetic half lot short straddles struck at say 30-delta. Long 50 XYZ -> short 1 call. There is no edge in the wheel; it's simply rolling short puts via synthetics.
So my stupid understanding is she is selling lets say AMZN but buying some "leaps" bc she thinks in the short term it will lower and then recover making her XYZ?
It’ll suck for a while and you’ll spend a long time thinking “I could’ve bought XYZ with that money instead but you’ll get over it eventually. You just have to walk away from your gambling once and for all. I was in the same boat and still not recovered financially but the guilt is gone. But you genuinely have to never want to gamble again
Hmmm. Square. XYZ calls
Wish I bought more XYZ
crazy shite you can tell which user here a bot by just looking at how fuking genetic their comment is. "stonks go up" "wish i bought more XYZ" "bers" "bols"
crazy shite you can tell which user here a bot by just looking at how fuking genetic their comment is. "stonks go up" "wish i bought more XYZ" "bers" "bols"
crazy shite you can tell which user here a bot by just looking at how fuking genetic their comment is. "stonks go up" "wish i bought more XYZ" "bers" "bols"
No no. I'm saying that you got the basics of warrants wrong. Which means that the rest of your post is also likely unfounded speculation. You cannot pick two out of the HUNDREDS of SPACs that have merged since 2021 and say "Oh XYZ will be just like these two!". It is far more likely that Palladyne ends up bankrupt or delisted like the majority of SPACs. If you think I'm kidding you should look into just how many fail.
Selling without having an urgent expense to pay for is panic selling. Nobody calls it that when they do it. They will call it “diversify, rebalance, shift gears, pivot, protect from XYZ, doing like Buffet and being mostly cash, dry powder for dips, etc”. If someone wants to diversify, they should just use new monies toward that new allocation. Low on UK, great, focus new contributions there.
Low brow headline but I’ll accept. Really should just read that XYZ group or person shared the opinion that he acted like an idiot. News telling you how to feel. You need to know that you’re supposed to slam.
\* >90% of the time, price WILL go below your entry. Which is why you stagger entries rather than go all in. \* Never sell 100% of anything. \* No trading within 3 days of a news event (GDP, War, etc) \* When you are up 100%, sell 50% of your position to have the rest ride free (eliminate risk) \* If you are hearing about XYZ stock, you are likely already too late. \* If the 4 year cycle continues to hold, retirement accounts go in SPX for the first 2 years, RUT for the next year, then safety for the 4th year \* Gold and Silver prices are irrelevant. Trade the goldsilver ratio instead. If you got silver at 120:1, trade it for gold if the ratio drops to 60:1. Etc., and back and forth for the rest of your life. \* No leverage, unless there is an abnormal above average amount of volume. This vastly lowers chances of being chopped up and getting stopped out with hunts. Mainly possible when there is low volume. \* After breaking a trend line (up or down), price will ALWAYS move one more time in the intial direction, usually to back test said trend line. That's your exit signal and you typically have around 2-3 weeks to make that decision, rather than trying to time tops or bottoms. Way more relaxing.
The US has 30 trillion in outstanding bonds. This is on the order of 1/10,000th of the us debt. Literally on the scale of you boycotting XYZ grocery store in your city. Now if they want to do this for investment reasons then more power to them.
$HOOD $SQ $XYZ $SOFI $COIN ALL TANK AFTER HOURS AS CRYPTO DOWN BIG Bitcoin [$BTC](https://x.com/search?q=%24BTC&src=cashtag_click) tumbles another 2k
I wish more regards would understand PYPL stock IS the cosmic battle between good and evil they have been waiting for. PayPal and Venmo have the network effects already, now they are building a crypto backbone, and they are adding banking services. This is the central bank killer. It's exactly the same kind of threat as silver. It means there is a future where normal people use real money between each other. PYPL and HOOD and XYZ and MSTR are tip of the spear and it's already in their neck. All we have to do is push. With PYPL we can all make a fortune right now. They are giving the calls away for free. This is is the moment when the Game Stops. Somebody smarter than me make a post.
"This is why XYZ is great! Buy the dip!" At some point maybe someone will wake up and realize this shit is over. There's no going back and the market will burn.
And I bet XYZ after UVW too.
At one point in 2021, fintechs like PYPL, SQ (now XYZ), AFRM, UPST were all the rage. Some of them reached $100 and $200 billion caps. The similarities to some of the overhyped and the overpumped stocks today are eerily similar. A year later, they all lost 70-90% of their values and some of them never reached the ridiculous 100x sales multiples we see today.
Same here. Not worth it at all for a service that should be free imo Conspiracy theory: not long after my subscription ended, I lost the ability to type an address for directions. I have to do the voice command to say "take me to XYZ restaurant in abc town". I can't prove it but I suspect they remotely disabled that on purpose. It lets me try to type but fails to yield results so I don't think it's a function that they publicly acknowledge is linked to the subscription
Yea at this rate I am thinking “5k seems inevitable “ but I’ve thought that also about so many things. I got tested on upside for coinbase so many times and kept telling myself “it always comes back” and right as I roll up puts, yep that’s when we crash back to reality. The big one though was oil. 2022 when Russia attack Ukraine. Oil got to about 130. I remember I had two of the 160 calls short dated about 30 DTE and we opened Sunday gap up. I was like “this is ridiculous! Countries will just pump more oil. This is completely unsustainable.” People here were insistent that oil would go to 200 in a week because supply blah blah blah the normal “you don’t understand the complexity in XYZ.” I was ready to bet the farm selling the multiple $200 call naked calls but then said “you have a family now, ya can’t do that”. So I took a loss and rolled out. I even made a post called “what am I missing that these calls are so juiced” people unanimously said I was missing a lot. Nope. I wasn’t missing anything looking back. The $200 calls were selling for $500 a piece that evening and I sold 2 of them in a different account. Of course next day they were at $50 a piece. That being said this run is way worse. But I firmly believe we will see a massive correction back to about 3500 at some point. But we could hit 10k before that happens so I have to be careful. I’ve reduced my size and selling weekly calendars now anytime we push up. I keep rolling them. Right now have the 4600 naked calls short dated and then the debit spread 4630/4730 30DTE. We shall see how this week goes. Each week the trade works it’s about $1500. I know I’ll get bit again, but hoping that I can collect enough before then to make the bite less that collected amount. Before I was just essentially selling naked calls and puts trying to keep a strangle on.
I really really wish the headlines would make it more obvious that "putting a tariff on XYZ country" is **AN IMPORT TAX ON AMERICANS**. I know you guys know this, but there's still a ton of bozos in the US that think other countries are footing the bill
Yes it works, but your thesis or execution can fail. Eg, buy 100 shares XYZ, buy 2 short-dated ATM puts and then when your delta magnitude breaches greater than 30, trade shares to cut your delta magnitude in half (eg, start at delta 0 and stock moves up and you sell 15 shares to go from delta 30 to Delta 15). The big question is, if you spend $500 on the puts, will you do enough buying and selling to profit more then your $500 volatility premium? What about $300? $1200?
The net sale price of shares sold by the assignment of a call is the strike price + the call premium you received when you sold the call. So in your example the 1099B from your broker should show that you sold the shares for $4.50 strike + $0.35 call premium or $4.85 total. That is a gain of $0.10 so you can buy XYZ with no wash sale issues.
It's so funny watching the analysts put price targets on shit: "XYZ company price target set to $25" meanwhile it's already at $32 and ripping 10% a day +. They're all fucking guessing. Every single one of them.
\> “i earned my way to being an exec of XYZ company at 27” \> *look inside* \> company owned by parents Many such cases
President Rump creates tariffs out of thin air, XYZ country gives him lots of money, and these imaginary tariffs go away. Literally free money for him
It’s a human problem. It’s why I will always have a job (advisor). Panic selling is too natural. Look at this sub, watch all the “excuses” to sell from thing to buy another. None of them talk about needing the money to pay for something, it is fear mostly guiding them. Some are greed, like they want higher growth. But most are just plain old fear. I will always have a job for affluent (or aspire to be) people that want a truthful honest organizer and motivator. 90% of my job is reminding them: invest more auto. Why are you selling? Do you have something urgent to pay for? Why am I just hearing about this now when the markets are down over XYZ news cycle? The game is accountability. LeBron James. Messi. Ronaldo. They all pay millions for extra fitness, coaching, advice, why? Because it WORKS, it’s mostly about accountability. Someone is paid to care. Make a plan, and it their job to make sure you stick to it.
Just remember its total return that matters ABC appreciates 10% XYZ appreciates 5% and pays a 5% dividend QRS appreciates 2% and pays an 8% dividend They all return....10% there is no reason to really choose QRS over ABC or really visa versa If you need income you can always buy ABC and sell 5% a year.
I guess I'm going back to April of last year. The credit cap situation makes me feel exceptionally bullish on XYZ, UPST, SOFI, etc
🌽 and $XYZ diverging by 7% yesterday is making me want to blow up my fun account on some 2DTEs
That’s a good motivator if you are below average, and a good ego boost if above average. But does your drive to invest start to fade as you break above average? The classic “I’m doing better than most, I can afford XYZ”
1. Google Ads for product placement 2. Google Search: Best Product from XYZ website (Amazon, WallMart etc) 3. Google Agents: Make purchase 4. GPay: Payments * For self collect items Schedule time and waymo picks you up. Google Mall in 2030 to get a wholly integrated pipeline ?
XYZ, AFRM, KLAR, PYPL going up?
You’ve hit the nail on the head. This is my biggest self-critique. Given, I decided to withhold all of my personal life and hobbies from this post, keeping to a financial perspective. For context I’ll give short, typical backstory: Obviously we all start somewhere, mine was smoking weed daily by the age of 13, skipping school and eventually getting expelled. I felt like the embodiment of wasted potential I found something when I started working that I never respected previously. Routine & structure. Routine & structured ways of living - even outside of work - completely changed my perception of myself. Where it was “I’m gonna be rich / attractive / insert trait” has now turned into “I’m doing everything I possibly can to ensure XYZ” and I love it. As much as I hate work, experiencing the 3 week holiday we just had for Christmas, I got tattooed, went 4x4ing on the beach, camped out with good people, shot clay targets with shotguns. Trail runs, gym sessions, go karts. All the things that life is supposed to be lived for - I still missed the perception of self worth from my structured living. I missed being that dude that gets up at 4 am, checks his stocks, hauls ass at work, just to come home shower and lift / run just to go to bed and wake up to do it tomorrow. I actually felt more anxiety and more self conscious. It’s so strange because it’s such an isolated potentially unfulfilling life - but I can’t get enough.
I work in data center industry. Building AI for a group I will not name. The big issue is it costs a substantial amount of money to build AI. The capital costs I’m seeing first hand are INSANE. These guys want everything in 6months/short timelines (ridiculous/almost impossible timelines). Everyone’s bidding promising to hit it. Not hitting it. And then so much money is being thrown into the ether from so many inefficiencies because what’s being asked for isn’t reasonable. That means millions of dollars gone to re-fixing work. Re-designing. Un-optimized schedules and task sequencings. Inefficient cheap solutions to provide equipment in a timely manner. Versus waiting 48-32 weeks for decent efficient equipment. I’d like to say there is a lot of unrealized potential for AI. But I’m starting to lean on the argument that it is a bubble. Because the costs seem to be growing almost exponentially with the money made (from what I hear) being almost linear in growth. Also starting to hit bottlenecks in power that can be reasonably provided by the grid. AND cooling limitations. I just can’t imagine anyone reaching cash positive for 30-50 years. I could be wrong as I haven’t looked to much into cash coming in. But I believe a large part of the incoming cash is just the funds from another company to build (IE: open AI giving company XYZ 100billion to provide F amount of compute by XXXX date). Basically one company pushing point of bankruptcy. And the 7 others profiting off of it
I have been looking for company names in various articles (mainly from yahoo.finance TBH, as they post articles from many sources). if it sounds interesting I add it to my list on a piece of paper on the dining room table. I will then look more in-depth on Yahoo.finance and Fidelity research (where I have all my investments). Yahoo will show similar stocks that I will look at as well. I will stare at the financials presented and pretend I'm smart and understand them. I'll look at the charts showing earnings and revenue to see if they are going up or down. (up good, down bad. Right?) I'll look at the articles that say "should you buy XYZ or PDQ?" or "is it too late to buy ABC?" and I'll add those to my list to look at. I'll look at the projected 1 yr price target, and if it is only projected to be up a little, or is projected to be lower than what it is now, I will usually cross that off my list. If what I see in the projection is that it is projected to gain 50% - 100% - 200%, I will add that to my Fidelity watch list. Not that I expect it to gain that much necessarily, but seeing a projected positive $ is certainly better than seeing a projected negative number! I will then look at my Fidelity watch list and see that I have added a bunch of stocks of various industries - biotechnology, mining, ai, consumer, defense, tech - Then I relook at those and either select one or 2 from each industry and throw some money at them, or I throw a little at each. That's my indepth, highly technical, fundamentals-based guess to investing. I then go down to my local coin shop and buy some silver and look at how pretty it is, and it makes me happy.🙂
Dam I’d love 10% Cap on my credit cards why everyone all sudden a credit card / interest rate expert? Saying this won’t work because XYZ got me dead asf
don't get me wrong: we want to use it, we're not against it, but it's just not working out. We have major issues with hallucinations and unpredictable outputs. I've spent hours with skilled engineers (like, double digits of years in the field) watching them fight Gemini: "why did you delete XYZ?" -> "Oh you're right, I deleted this without you asking me to do that. You should always review and validate the output of AI tools, blablabla"
Let's simplify the analysis by considering an inverted short strangle. It's functionally the same structure, but without the gain/loss caps that the extra long legs introduce. So you sell an itm put and an itm call, for example when XYZ is 100, you short the 110 put and the 90 call. You get $20/share credit total, $10 from each leg. Even without drawing a chart, you can see right away that this doesn't work. In a normal short strangle, where both legs start OTM, there's some room for the stock price to move off the center value without losing too much on either leg. Each leg wants the stock price to go more OTM, but more OTM for one leg *eventually* goes ITM for the other leg. But while both legs are still OTM, you can still net a credit, since the premium on the losing leg won't change by much, depending on the delta of each leg. This is not true when both legs are ITM. The losing leg will lose a lot more for every $1 move of XYZ, since it's delta will be higher. This narrows the profitable "hill top" of the P/L chart significantly, compared to the equivalent OTM short strangle. So effectively, sure, you start with a larger opening credit, but you also lose that credit much faster, for the same dollar move of the underlying price. All the additional long legs do is put a cap on that open-ended loss.
>google is quietly winning the AI game with gemini 3 At work, they have us use a custom in-house AI to take meeting notes, then they have us feed Gemini with that transcript, and we're supposed to send those bullet points to our managers. ...But then, our managers candidly admitted that they take those bullet points and dump them right back into Gemini to expand the bullet points into paragraphs. Also, our in-house AI will often (like 40%+ of the time) just throw an error and refuse to generate a transcript, so if you relied on it to do your note-taking for you, you fucked up and have to re-watch the whole meeting to take your own notes, to feed them into Gemini for bullet points, so that your leaders can re-expand them into paragraphs. Meanwhile, I have sat with several of our engineers and wasted approximately a week's worth of billable time in 2025 due to Gemini's inability to successfully complete a task. I have an informal survey going on with the engineering group, and so far the response rate shows 0% success on any engineering tasks attempted with Gemini in 2025. I can echo this myself: we've had Gemini do the whole "yes, you are correct, I have made a mistake and should not have done XYZ." song and dance over and over, and it never quite get it right, so we always have to manually edit its output or re-do the entire thing manually.
At Schwab I put my cash in SWVXX which is some sort of cash mutual fund that gets 3%+ interest. But since it's a mutual fund when I sell the shares the cash only show up late that night. Let's say I have $0 actual cash in my account. If I buy some shares of XYZ costing $10,000 my account balance at that time shows -$10,000 (negative). But as long as I enter a sell order of $10,000 of SWVXX before the market closes (and therefore subsequently that night the SWVXX shares are sold and $10,000 cash is added to my account) I am have never been charge margin interest. Not sure exactly what the rules are to get charged margin interest, but that is how it works at Schwab.
International law is only valid under the following circumstances: Giving dictators what they want Giving up strategically valuable parts of your country to other countries with an extremely tenuous relationship because a Chinese judge in the UN said so Writing about how awful and mean XYZ country is and never doing anything about it What international law is NOT: Deposing actual dictators Doing anything at all
I wonder why when we have articles like this people say "China" instead of Chinese companies. No one says "America" orders XYZ.
And we cant reasonably tell u if u just say “this is XYZ” because to actually give feedback you need to outline the actual strategy. Like “Im shorting futures when XYZ hits certain level, and long when XYZ hits that” Then we can say “yeah this a fluke” or “yeah u are reverse-engineering the graph”. Right now it is not debatable at all because nobody knows what you are doing, just that “it is a chart of THIS (that we dont know of). I want you to look at THIS (that we dont know of). And give me feedback kf THIS (that we cant know of).”
First of all, any chart/technical analysis should be, at best, a secondary confirmation rather than what you start with. The most important thing is identifying favorable option mechanics for your goal - for example, appropriate Greeks and volatility. This should be the primary driver of which option you select for deeper analysis - "Are the mechanics of XYZ option favorable for what I'm trying to do?" This is where you need to do research on what works best for your specific strategy. Then, look at options flow. Is there any unusual activity in terms of volume, OI, etc.? Plenty of retail services offer this, though in my view leave a lot to be desired for true "unusual activity" assessment. Only after you evaluate option mechanics and flow, should you use trend information as confirmation/conviction. If you're looking to buy a long call, is the uptrend in your favor? Quick hitters: avoid 0DTE, avoid the theta cliff (which you already do), be wary of gamma/vega impacts to your strategies.
> What are your thoughts on this? I think you didn’t need to copy and paste this to four different subs. “XYZ may go one direction before it goes the other direction” is such a waste of time. Don’t post this stuff.
Here are a few tools that you could use to examine this problem but none of them will be perfect. The classic example are the SPIVA studies but those compare the real world after-fee performance of active managers to the frictionless hypothetical performance of the index. They also seem less concerned with how appropriate the benchmark may be as a measurement of a fund. So, one step better than SPIVA would be to compare active managers against the performance of a real-world index fund that serves as an appropriate benchmark. (IVV/VOO for US large blend, IEFA or VEA for international developed etc.) This is the level you can easily achieve for analysis using a tool like Morningstar or a heatmap. Morningstar allows you to compare an index fund against its peers in a category. A heatmap tool could provide risk-adjusted performance comparisons or pure performance comparisons but these are typically available to financial professionals. Going beyond this level would require you to determine which finds actually seek to outperform their benchmark long term… which is squishy at best. Some funds include language such as “seeks to outperform XYZ benchmark” or “seems to provide a smoother return over a full market cycle compared to XYZ benchmark” which can signal that they are trying to compete or trying to provide *risk adjusted* returns. Unfortunately, many funds give no specific language either way. There are other problems like funds closing over time, management philosophies changing, style drift and a half-dozen other variables that could confound your data. If I recall correctly Ben Felix or one of his guests did mention that pre-fee performance of active managers is actually very competitive or maybe even bears the index? None of this gets you closer to your goal of a proper benchmarking study. As someone who has also considered this problem (and has access to more data/resources than a retail investor I have found it difficult to solve but I hope some academic puts it to the test in a rigorous way. My general takeaway from the time I spent pursuing this question is that different parts of the market favor different styles: US large blend is so efficient that a pure index works great. Factor based investing seems to work well for small caps. Active managers hold up better in international markets but the index still does very well. Bonds seem to be the one area where active management can find an edge.
Liquidity is indeed important, but the correlation to OI is weak at best, non-existent most of the time. OI doesn't tell you anything you couldn't get better from the bid/ask spread. For example, suppose you are looking at XYZ calls and the 100 strike has 5000 OI and the 105 strike also has 5000 OI. The 100 strike has a 1.00/1.05 spread and the 105 has a .90/2.00 spread. Clearly, the 100 strike has better liquidity, but what told you that? The OI? No, the OI gave zero information. Worse, what if the OI on the 105 was 6000, so higher than the 100 strike. The strike with higher OI has a worse bid/ask spread, so what did OI do for you? It might have misled you. Furthermore, OI is ambiguous for time. You can't tell if 5000 OI happened because of 5000 contracts being created yesterday, or 50 contracts created per day over the last 100 days. Both will have 5000 OI, but one history is very different from the other, in terms of interpreting liquidity.
CC provide some limited downside protection in the form of premiums. Say you buy XYZ at 50 and sell CCs for 2. As long as XYZ stays above 48, you are profitable. One of those books (Options as a Strategic Investment) I was told I didn't read covered this.
"Dewey, Cheatham, and Howe are exploring a shareholder derivative suit against XYZ for fraud, misrepresentation, etc. Shareholders are encouraged to reach out to the firm." Considering that the SEC basically doesn't exist except as a stepping stone for newly-minted JDs and never does anything, I consider this a buy signal once the sell-off slows. Looks like it's Roblox's turn.
The answer is there is no practical difference. Every time you make a managing trade, it is synthetically equivalent to making that trade on it's own (or more accurately, layering it onto your existing position). Example: Say you are long the XYZ 100 Call. You roll up from 100 to 110 by selling your 100 strike call and purchasing the 110 strike call. That order would look something like this: \-1 XYZ 100c \+1 XYZ 110c If we look at this order in isolation, we can clearly recognize this as a call credit spread. So **every time you roll a leg, you are layering a synthetic vertical spread** (or calendar/diagonal spread if you are rolling between expirations). The cool thing about this is the performance of that management specifically is exactly equal to the risk profile of the layered trade. Let's say in our example that the 100c/110c credit spread is worth $0.25 in credit. That means that: \- We will receive $0.25 credit for rolling, reducing our risk by that amount \- If the stock expires below 100, the management will have outperformed by $25 (compared to not managing the position), equal to the theoretical profit of the layered trade \- If the stock expires above 110, the management will have underperformed by $75 (compared to not managing the position), equal to the theoretical loss of the layered trade **TLDR:** Any time you are considering any management, you can easily visualize the outcome of that management (compared to not managing the position) by treating the order as a standalone position and putting it into an options calculator or something similar. The theoretical profit of the standalone position is the theoretical outperformance of the managed position vs the unmanaged position, and vice versa Hope that makes sense!
Just to throw in my 2c.... What ahs worked reasonably well for me is to use many different resources, and be skeptical of ALL of them! For example - I may watch a few youtubers occasionally, and listen to what stocks they are currently focused on......but ONLY so far as " ok maybe ill look into stock XYZ further..." but that's all. Same goes for Reddit, or media, or that friend at work, or whatever....only ever use it as a starting point! Learn how to do a good quantitative Analysis (if you dont already) - that you can use to at least determine the more fundamental and basic financials. That way you can take the stocks your hearing about or being told about - and at least have a basic starting point grounded in statistics. - On a related note, I feel like one of the most common mistakes I see endlessly is - not having patients! A stock will be identified say on here for example and your QA analysis shows that it is in fact currently priced really well/undervalued. Well time and time again I see people pile into it, thinking it should go up because its undervalued - but when it hasn't moved 2 or 3 weeks later - they are posting about how its "shit" or "what's the deal with XYZ stock" and they bail out and move on to the next hottest thing. Often times in my experience - if you just had some patients, you would have been rewarded. If the stock was a "good" buy 3 weeks ago.......and *nothing has changed about it or the macro environment since then* , then there's no reason to bail on it! but people get really impatient and want to be "doing" something when they really should just be waiting! Good luck
your the one buying the stock. If you are doing your own due diligence and not relying on FOMO you should be the one telling us this. IMO its far more helpful (all admit, does more damage to your ego) is to post your thesis for a company and let reddit tear it down and test it, than just asking if you would buy XYZ stock. If you really like a company you should love hearing negative feedback because it forces you to do more research, consider points you might not have thought of, and steel strengthens steel
I think this is a huge mistake. If you originally bought XYZ stock for $1 and it’s now worth $10, then every dollar increase in stock price represents a 100 percent increase in value. Now say you sell at $10, immediately rebuy, and now the price moves to $11. Instead of making a 100% increase in value for that dollar you are now only making 10% because you reset your cost basis to $10 instead of $1.
TPL, DECK, SMCI, COIN, TTD, XYZ, etc All way down since SP500 added
Yeah it can't get the info fast enough for the reps that buy a stock the day before signing a defense bill that favors it or some bombs start dropping or whatever. That sort of realtime insider trading disclosure would actually be a security leak. Oh shit senator XYZ just bought a ton of Ratheon, (current target country) goes to defcon 1.
Thanks for the tip, I genuinely did not know this. Also, as Google Assistant is still the default for Google Maps, I've been noticing that it is being gimped as time goes by. I ask it for the nearest coin op car wash, and it's like Sorry I Don't Fucking Understand. Or I say, what is the Ex Dividend Date of XYZ and it spits me the same answer, like come the fuck on, I know it is more than capable of answering.