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How to Know When to Go Long or Short on Bitcoin (a Swing Trader's Guide)
Built a Python trading risk-management module for Bybit futures (Dynamic Break-Even after TP1). Code and stats breakdown.
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Basically, you can identify a short squeeze in the Bitcoin market by watching for a sudden, aggressive price spike driven by massive waves of forced short liquidations and rising trading volume. Try to look for date/time correlations here: [https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?timeframe=1M](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?timeframe=1M) (the regular BTCUSD price chart, for example around 18 September and onwards to the peak) Then look into this: [https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/derivatives/short-liquidations?exchange=all\_exchange&symbol=all\_symbol&window=DAY&sma=0&ema=0&priceScale=log&metricScale=linear&chartStyle=column](https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/derivatives/short-liquidations?exchange=all_exchange&symbol=all_symbol&window=DAY&sma=0&ema=0&priceScale=log&metricScale=linear&chartStyle=column) (the SHORT liquidation chart for Bitcoin over all exchanges) - you could identify a similar spike in short liquidations. Another assisting graph to look into is this: [https://www.coinglass.com/liquidations/BTC](https://www.coinglass.com/liquidations/BTC) It tells you what is the status and volume of liquidations and to which direction they point to: LONG or SHORT.
SHORT ITT... That's it, I said what I said
Yeah — if you're looking specifically for the short setup, I wouldn't short BTC at $81K just because it's extended. The interesting area is above the current price, where the chart has a cluster of resistance. On your chart: $81.35K–$81.50K — immediate resistance. Your chart already shows the recent high around $81,478.87. $82.0K–$82.8K — much more interesting short zone. There's broader resistance around the $82.8K area as well. Reuters is independently flagging roughly $82.8K as significant resistance. $83K+ — if BTC gets through that decisively, I would not want to be stubbornly short. A clean breakout above that zone changes the setup considerably. What I'd actually wait for I wouldn't put a blind short at $81,500. I'd rather see: BTC pushes into $81.5K–$82.8K → takes out the highs → gets rejected → comes back below the level → lower-timeframe lower high → short. That's the juicy setup. Because what you're looking at right now is potentially a liquidity sweep. BTC runs above the obvious previous high, triggers breakout longs and short stops, then reverses. That's exactly the kind of move that can produce the short you're anticipating. And there's a pretty good reason not to rush it: BTC has already had a substantial recent rally, and $82K-ish is being identified as a major technical hurdle. So if I were mapping the trade from your screenshot, I'd mark: SHORT WATCH ZONE: $81,500 → $82,800 Best version: spike into the upper part of that zone + rejection. Invalidation: sustained breakout/acceptance above roughly $83K. First downside area: \~$77.4K Next: \~$75.5K–$75.7K And here's the important bit: don't short merely because BTC touches $82K. Let BTC prove that sellers are actually there. The 1D chart tells us where to watch; your M5/M15 chart should tell you when to pull the trigger. That's the difference between “I think it's going down” and an actual short setup. https://preview.redd.it/bwotd2t0fcnh1.jpeg?width=1268&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3245ec8ed2f4a102345ada3ef778874210db36ff
Lol is it fucking opposite day or something? This is euphoria? I harvest euphoria for a living, that is a big part of my longer-term position trading. This was a SHORT SQUEEZE, there was very little chasing, and to the extent there was any it was meaningless. Imagine thinking BTC is undergoing a blow-off top right now, my lord.
Largest SHORT liquidation. Not largest liquidation.
It has to be TOO obvious to short anything. But how could you short bitcoin when all alarms are off on US and Japan debt and currencies!! Bitcoin was made specifically for times like this AND you SHORT It when its is moment to shine!?!??! Full regard mode
Why tf would you 14x leverage Bitcoin in general. But SHORT... WITHOUT A STOP LOSS
they are often fake pumps that said find something that has gotten hype and buy its obvious counterpart SHORT TERM SELL AFTER PUMP EVERY TIME YOU CAN
I don't even think this is good advice. I would have collected as many seeds as possible without doing anything. Maybe 2-3 big steals right away, so it doesn't show a pattern yet, just to already have something in your pocket. Once you have collected the seeds, STEAL EVERYTHING OVER A SHORT TIME. Don't give people time to react. It should all be done after 3 days at most. Steal every Seed or address to a fresh address, so that noone can see a pattern. Randomize fees Make it look indistinguishable from someone moving from his own adress to annother self-owned address.