Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Tomorrow’s play TQQQ 400 60 puts (4/11) and TSLA 280 puts (4/11)
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 29 - Feb 04 2024
How did you know that TSLA was priced for a 50% CAGR?
Buying TSLA calls during the dump, I thought we were in a bull market, no?
It's time for Inverse Cramer and buy TSLA
TSLA down, lots of people in puts popping Champagne - LVMH moon!
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
What do y’all think about using ChatGPT for stock researching?
Call me dumb but doesn’t this chart pattern show that $TSLA is about to shoot to the moon?
Imagine your only narrative to boost your company is restricting all other competitors, $TSLA puts
Any else else see this? $TSLA was watching it during after hours and saw the spike!
First time, am I doing it right? TSLA 185 1/26 call. Roast me
who had TSLA puts and show us your bag
Puts vs Short shares with calls as a hedge
Spent the rest of my life savings betting on a TSLA drop. Didn't think it would happen so soon.
Starting the year off right $TSLA and $ZIM
TSLA: testing 192 support and lower support near 176
What is wrong with TSLA to many short sells? I know Ev Market is not that great but...
This is heading towards extreme oversold territory. How much more will it go 🤔
Are you putting a Stop Order on your $TSLA shares tomorrow?
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Tesla Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 misses by $0.03, revenue of $25.17B misses by $590M
Just buy SEMI/AI and ride the hype. The roller coaster will end soon but for now it’s green day’s ahead.
Why I'm getting Tesla Puts, A Deep Dive into Earnings (A Must Read)
A Deep Dive into Tesla's Earnings (A Must Read)
Here's to $TSLA big miss on ER. Lotto for fun!
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
Nice timing for anonymous TSLA leak - reuters
So, this is kinda why I think Netflix will beat
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 22-28 2024
Just went full YOLO on TSLA - $208 per share with 2x Leverage 🚀🚀
A Lamborghini-Style EV: BYD Goes Upmarket to Outmaneuver Tesla
Congrats to the guy with TSLA 215 call options for today
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
Mentions
TSLA <--- Robotaxi mass rollout, Optimus, Cybercab, SpaceX IPO FCX <--- Strong Demand for Copper UNH, COST, RACE <--- Strong recovery from the lows MSTR <--- BTC rally, STRC, Major banks throwing their towels
TSLA, FCX, UNH, COST,RACE and our beloved MSTR
Still can’t get over the fact that I exited my TSLA position at $242 back in April and now the fcking stock is at almost double that price! Same for ROKU 😔 😔 😔
Your TSLA calls are deep ITM and still red. It’s like you’re winning but somehow fucking yourself at the same time. Impressive…
Not only are you red on NVDA, Gold, TSLA, and INTC, BUT LITERALLY ON A WEALTHSIMPLE PLATFORM TOO LOL
Bro manage to lose on NVDA, Gold, TSLA and INTC calls, you are peak retarded
And I mean that will never happen. The only way SpaceX would "buy" TSLA is if it lost 90% of it's to value.
Believe it or not probably TSLA.
Put a Reminder on this post 2 months ago. TSLA is now around the old ATH of 488 USD and has created a new ATH at 498 USD. Primary reason is that FSD Unsupervised looks like it is very close to release.
correct - the date of the mention matters. early 2025 was great for TSLA puts - it dropped from $420 to $230 in two months.
If this is buy and hold, scale out of TSLA and build up a large backbone of VOO/VTI. Tsla is currently trading at 317.5 PPE such that when it inevitably corrects to its actual fair value, your port is gonna get nuked if it's a significant portion of it. In fact, individual stocks picks are not great for long term holds as they are an uncompensated risk. In the future, if you plan on doing more market research, active trading, and account rebalancing, then individual stocks are good for capturing large sector moves/rotations and maximizing returns, but for a set and forget, VOO/VTI are the play.
!banbet TSLA 485 2d
!banbet TSLA 480 3d
Actually now that I’m thinking about it this is the perfect reason to invest in OpenAI because the more ridiculous a company’s outlook is the more you can hype it a la TSLA, CVNA, etc.
Your portfolio is two box spreads? Synthetic long at 200 and short at 440 and then synthetic short at 460 and long at 700. If so, this pnl graph looks within reason to reflect that -- mostly stable value. There is early exercise pricing in the puts (especially the 700P), so a falling TSLA level will tend to cause losses on the spreads, which seems to be present early in 2020 on here. This is not the portfolio I would use to reflect options values, but the graph seems to reflect the portfolio as I understood it.
All in on 2x Leveraged long TSLA weeklies
Yes I know but they can open the SpaceX IPO to whoever they want (first dibs) and there was a rumor the biggest TSLA shareholders would be first in line for SpaceX shares.
TSLA is weird in that EV cars are a luxury item today. An EV is more of a 2nd vehicle. You can make a 500 mile drive in an Tesla but it's more difficult than a hybrid.
TSLA is at $475 right now. If it say drifted down to $460 by short expiry, the delta on the long would increase from say .2 to .25, putting it closer to the money. A delta change of that magnitude could see a 20% increase in value in the long while the theta loss would be about 9% from what I can see on the greeks.
I'd say META and AMZN might be good 2026-2027 picks given they lagged this year. However I always thought META was always the weakest of the original big 5: Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta. Mainly because it relied heavily on it's social network monopoly/duopoly and strong network effect moat while not having any other plays or tier 1 hardware. Google has Pixel/chome/youtube/waymo, Amazon has fire while basically being the most diversified of the 5, Apple specializes in hardware but also has the services, MSFT does cloud/xbox/enterprise/bing while strangle holding PC, etcetcetc. That said, I wouldn't bet that META goes under. I'd probably rank the Mag8 in terms of stability & relevance in the long run: 1. MSFT/AMZN 2. AAPL/GOOG 3. META/TSLA/NVDA/AVGO However maintaining stability and relevance is not the same as potential upside. I think TSLA might become way more dominant because of Elon's vision, risk taking, ability to get things done, and financial engineering options (with loans or other M&A with Elon companies).
Yeah, it’s not the Mag 7, it’s down to the Mag 3 (META, TSLA, NVDA). Founders (FFF) all the way!
TSLA Q4 2025 delivery numbers are due at the end of next week. What are everyone’s thoughts?
These always age horribly badly for TSLA detractors lol. Has been for the past 8 years already
TSLA out obviously. Weirdly I think something like IBM if it manages to pull of some quantum computing coup. Potentially an energy company if they manage to solve fusion? Nvidia if there's a Taiwan invasion but also everything else will plummet too. If the AI bubble bursts it may lose value but I think it will find a new market in autonomous driving and robotics. Nvidia has had a few huge drops, 1st it was crypto collapsing - turns out that didn't matter, next was deepseek, turns out that didn't matter either - they are able to nicely pivot each time something potentially damaging happens so I think they are the company with most room to grow, which is lucky as they are priced very precariously atm. The main issue will be competition from China, they have a head start but China is going full speed ahead whilst Trump is crippling US businesses with his whimsical, on again/off again trade barriers.
You think SpaceX is going to IPO and then immediately buyout TSLA? What? The investor lawsuits would be unreal.
Google, NVDA, AMZN, TSLA all Gen X founders.
This is why Elon is pushing the UBI narrative. TSLA gonna shit the bed and he'll convince his meatriders that money is uneeded.....
No, haven't lost silver, lost the majority on TSLA calls [rode it down from $360 to $290 that week of June]. Then had CRWV calls [it plunged from arouns $140 to $100]. Then went all in on AAPL & RVPH. AAPL peaked Dec 3rd, I had $30k in the portfolio, but I held instead of selling bc my expiration wasn't until Jan 16, thought it had more gas in the tank. It rejected off of $288 and fell below $280 for the rest of December. Then RVPH got rejected with its FDA NDA submission, dropped from around $0.70 to $0.20 in a day, and all contracts immediately plunged to being $0.01. Just in time for Christmas. I saw the SPY hitting all time highs Christmas Eve and figured it was due for a pullback, so went all in on a put this Friday for it to fall to $685. It only pulled back to $689. Gathered everything and going all in on another SPY put on Monday but chances are, because I have puts, it will go to $700 instead of $680.
I view TSLA as more than just an EV company. I think long term they will win.
That's not how stock works. The SpaceX IPO will result in a company worth far more than TSLA could just "pay for" without a monster offering that would defeat the whole purpose. Also, you don't IPO just to have TSLA buy you.
the 1 week, 1 month, 6 month and 1 year charts disagree. 1 week: TSLA -2.6% RIVN +2.7% 1 month: TSLA +10% RIVN +24% 1 year: TSLA +10% RIVN +50%
Some have speculated that TSLA shareholders will get first dibs on Space X but I'm not sure that is official.
I like delta-neutral diagonals, but with a much longer calendar spread. Buy long for protection, 5-6 months out, then sell short to collect the rent. Sort of a poor man's CSP. They're also incredibly difficult to actually lose money on, the general worst case is you break even after grinding for a few months, but the safety net means they're very capital efficient and unlock the power of margin leverage. Take a look at TSLA 11DTE 450p right now. Pays $500 at .2 delta. Sell that and buy a 137DTE .2 delta for $2500. You've just paid off 20% of the long in only 8% of it's lifespan. If the stock finishes just above 450 after 11DTE you've made incredibly bank - you collected the initial $500 and the long leg's delta swell will more than offset its theta burn. If the stock drops to $450 quickly, no problem, just roll it out and down while the long vega explodes in value. If the stock goes up, the delta loss on the long might be more than your initial premium, but no problem, just sell another .2 delta 11DTE, continue paying off another 20%ish of that long with still 115DTE on the long leg to act as runway for you to roll out and down if the stock reverses.
TSLA doesn't belong in that group. So, that is the obvious answer.
TSLA. And if we are to believe AI will be the revolutionary technology it could be, the next largest company will be some company that has heavily monetized AI outside of its infrastructure.
I would say META is most likely. It's already faltering and losing relevance. NVDA has a chance to be hurt as others catch up and the newer more specialized chips continue to become more relevant. I'm not sure about the TSLA hate. They might hurt short term from Elon's antics. As refineries close on the west coast, alternative vehicles will become more important. It's also hard to predict how the driverless taxis and robots will change things. One way to build more housing is upwards and with little to no parking. This makes alternative transportation like driverless cars attractive. Elon also has a plan where all of his companies are helping each other. Twitter changes minds, xAI feeds his companies, Tesla supplies batteries, solar power and robots, the boring company learns to build in difficult environments and then spaceX takes them all to Mars and beyond. SpaceX could even replace TSLA given the hype already gaining for its rumored ipo.
In no particular order, ENPH, TSLA, and RKLB. (I just got back into ENPH after getting out at $310.)
I see that most people haven’t gone very deep on ASTS yet, it’s taken me a year of following and learning to understand just how far ahead of Starlink technology they are. This is a good sign that it is still underestimated, undervalued, and misunderstood in my opinion. I’d encourage anyone curious to check @thekookreport on X for an amazing and recently updated due diligence doc. But that requires work right? So here’s some pumps I mean points: ASTS has already purchased or secured via MVNO partnerships the multi level bands of spectrum needed for worldwide direct to device. Starlink does not currently work on the lower spectrum needed, yes they acquired some for the US, but Elon’s twitter fingers ruffled some Euro feathers in those markets already. Starlink = thousands of satellites needed with around 60 sats “deorbiting” aka burning up monthly, but yeah they do have the Space X fast cheap hook up. Asts = 60 bluebirds needed. 6 currently up, factory production is full ramped and they have 60 scheduled be up by 2027. Asts is NOT limited to just Space X for launch. Multiple launch partners now exist and worldwide launch capacity is growing, getting more competitive, and cost effective. Predicted operating margins start at 50 percent, with network efficiencies pushing it higher. Full Disclosure I own TSLA, RKLB, ASTS, and don’t really know what I’m talking about.
YOLO'd in 0DTE options. Lost big on NVDA calls, and possibly TSLA call soon (Expires 2nd Jan). Now I am going back to my books to first understand the concept deeply, before botting it again!
Possibly as a general rule you are right, but i’ve definitely outperformed the alternative using this strategy as it allowed me to scoop big positions in META, GOOG, TSLA on their large pullbacks. META the gold star for sure. When that dropped below $150 in 2022 I 10x’ed my position but I would not have been able to that if I didn’t have dry powder.
HOOD save the wrapping paper and just give me a few shares of TSLA
Don't forget Elon too lol. Whenever he opens his mouth then TSLA will dumps.....
I'm also bag holding TSLA stock from $480
Full ported ATM 2x long TSLA calls (TSLL) exp on Friday. Wish me luck. Tell me why it won’t work
Unironically, WSB doing better than most hedge funds the past decade. We called TSLA and NVDA run ups
Yeah bro TSLA is allergic to anything over 490
600 of it is locked up in RVPH contracts that dwindled down to $0.01 a contract and as a result can't be sold [have to be at least $0.05, they just got BTFO'd by the FDA so that isn't happening within the next fiscal year]. So it's even less than that. Should probably go all in on TSLA but haven't traded them since June when Elon got on twitter and we saw the massive sell off from $360 to $290. I had calls that week blew up my account once vowed to stay away from TSLA like the plague.
Was making bank off of TSLA earlier this year in May. Went all in on May 30th, then watched in horror while Elon ripped his crack pipe and TSLA tumbled from $360 to $290, rode the fall all the way down. Later on same thing happened with CRWV. Almost made a significant portion back with $300 AAPL calls for Jan 16. AAPL peaked Dec 3rd then fell below $280 for the rest of the month. Poured $6k into RVPH, med penny stock that had a very good subreddit community. FDA denied their application, requested an additional Phase 3. Overnight stock dropped from nearly $0.70 to the $0.20s and the stock options dwindled to a penny per contract. Now going all in with the remnants and dregs of what I had and throwing everything against the Santa Rally, puts on the SPY, last ditch effort to recoup something, anything. Lost $1800 today and going to lose everything come Monday unless we get a pullback, which probably ain't gonna happen cuz Santa Rally. This was my first year trading, tried to walk away after my first $13k loss but kept thinking I could win it back. Now I am deeply in debt and have virtually tripled my first big loss and am simply depressed. Seeing this subreddit and videos on YouTube has entirely changed my perspective on money and finances and as a result will never be satisfied making what people make in a single trade in a year. But now it is looking like I will have to work an additional 10 years straight and stay far away from Robinhood just to pay off debts and avoid bankruptcy. Wish life came with a do-over button but I'm a fuck up, life expectancy definitely redefined this year.
Can still put that 1,500 in TSLA
Good luck sir, that stock does not trade on normal fundamentals. I will be really happy if it implodes one day. Same goes for TSLA
TSLA got smashed EOD down almost 1% in last 15 minutes, someone must have made money there
TSLA has to buy silver. LoL.
TSLA more about the bond market. Which of course affects stocks but indirectly. But, yes, probly worth more concern than it’s getting. We did elect a bunch of maroons, OK w a $37 Trillion deficit, so we get what we deserve, I guess
TSLA calls, expect dumping
You can see the exact moment where the N word was said on the 1 month chart for TSLA
And just like that I’m holding TSLA puts for next week
Because 650 is still 5% more than I sold for lol, so probably mental illness on my part. But I was watching intently and hoping it'd keep going down. Then I would've bought. Not to be contrarian but just to share my POV > Dollar down so more thrown into equities I use DXY to track the value of the dollar. Since I sold out in July, DXY went from 98.4 to 97.8. A couple weeks ago it was at nearly 100. So essentially no change over the timeframe I sold out. > profits continue to soar, profit margin averages near ATHs SPY's PE ratio is higher now than in July when I sold. > rate cuts The dot plot is unchanged since I sold and there's been no substantial sentiment change around rates since July, has there? The fed has been easing rates and that was priced in / understood well before July. Since July the Fed has done 2 25point cuts which were both telegraphed and known well ahead of time according to cmegroup.com. I'm just salty I lost and will end up having to chase an assumption to make up the difference, then will buy back in. But in my mind I've been sitting here every day thinking WTF the market is being carried by like three stocks (NVDA, GOOGL, TSLA) and the second something makes them go down I can buy in, but it just didnt happen.
Omg fuck TSLA. Sold for a loss, I'm over it
First learn how to scrap you TSLA regard…
Is TSLA still a good ticker to buy? Seems like it’s already on the top end of value. Just a novice asking here.
Warm-up with 3 sets of refreshing WSB to get the blood pumping, then hit 5 sets of SPY 0DTE calls expiring today (failure mandatory), superset with 4 sets of NVDA weeklies at ATH for pure FOMO hypertrophy, move on to 3 sets of TSLA lotto puts because “it feels toppy,” followed immediately by AMRAP PLTR calls until conviction or account balance gives out, cool down with 2 light sets of AMD sympathy plays, and finish the workout with a brutal drop set of GME/AMC based solely on a single comment that says “something’s brewing,” ending with a protein shake made of cope, screenshots of unrealized gains, and telling yourself tomorrow you’ll size smaller (you won’t).
Yeah tell that to my pre double split TSLA shares bro. See you in the drive thru.
I always laugh when I see[ Lidar Stocks.](https://finance.yahoo.com/quotes/LAZR,AEVA,INVZ,HSAI,OUST,ARBE,LIDR,MVIS/) I did a lot of research on them a couple of years ago. Today, most except for HSAI are at or near historical lows. OUST only look good because people forget the 1:30 reverse split. There are too many players and the technology still has short falls relating to signal degradation with age and various environmental condition affecting it. For me, it is stay away due to technology issues and too many players to know the winner. Remember TSLA only uses camera. In the automotive segment, I personally feel they will need a combination of camera, radar and Lidar to get to the safety numbers for true autonomy. For building security / surveillance, any may be good but the technology shortfalls still over ride it be completely economical. Good Luck.
$TSLA TO $480 please and ty
You could’ve held TSLA/AAPL/MSFT/META/AMZN for a year and had some returns, or held SLV for 3 days and came out ahead of all of them.
I wish TSLA could get a low volume pump
Someone just put $41.5 Million into $510 $TSLA calls this is wild someone must know something
Dude, stop buying puts on TSLA for your own good. We all know it's 5-10x overvalued using a FCF or EPS model, but it genuinely does not trade on fundamentals. When people say it trades as a meme stock, to be more precise, it trades on short-term options activity and the subsequent price action that results when market makers (who buy or sell options) need to buy or sell the underlying to cover up their underlying. Consider TSLA vs. MSFT and BRK.B. I chose these because they are also two megacaps in the trillion dollar club and because they have similar prices per stock, meaning that the value of each options contract will be similar. Now look at how much difference there is between the option volume for the 0DTE: |Underlying|Current Price|Call Volume|Put Volume| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |[TSLA](https://optioncharts.io/options/tsla)|480.09|831,847|542,274| |[MSFT](https://optioncharts.io/options/msft)|487.47|30,369|13,214| |[BRK.B](https://optioncharts.io/options/brkb)|498.20|1,652|1,228| TSLA has nearly 30 times the 0DTE call volume of MSFT and more than 500 times the 0DTE call volume of BRK.B. Those stocks trade on expectations of future earnings, TSLA trades on arbitrage and hedging. You might think you're smarter than an army of apes, but they're going to rip your arms off until enough of them leave.
TSLA hold a pump challenge impossible difficulty
HOLY !!! someone just bought 41.5 million dollar $510 $TSLA calls someone must know something
oh yes, TSLA also fucked me good, call options I sold at -50% 15 mins ago are now itm
Still 3 hours for TSLA to absolutely ream my hole 🤤
Over Xmas dinner I found out who and why people are buying TSLA to all time highs They think by this time next year, Elon will have AI robots in every house and robotaxi will wipe out Uber and Waymo
BTO 2x TSLA 1/2 480c @8.95 BTO 2x SLV 1/2 68p @2.2
BTO 2x TSLA 1/2 480c @8.95
Thanks for taking the time to respond to my points one by one. Let's start with SpaceX IPO. They recently sold at valuation of $800 billion so with $25 billion in revenue, that's a P/S of 32. Even if they do reach the $1.5 trillion circulated by some media outlet, that's still a P/S of 60. I will be the first to admit if I am wrong if it IPO's above $1 trillion. RKLB is still more expensive today that what SpaceX will IPO at in 2026. 1. You proved my point, they need to continue to raise money just to stay relevant whether to invest in R&D or acquire new tech/companies. 2. R&D will continue to be high, even after Neutron, just to keep pace. And until robots and AI can build space systems faster and more efficiently, the labor costs associated with building space systems and rockets will continue to eat at the margin. 3. Thank you. Yet they're trading with absolutely zero risk. Even TSM is trading at a discount because of its geopolitical risk. 4. The difference in the cost of Falcon9 (\~$65-$70 million) and Neutron (\~55 million) is not that wide for most companies when SpaceX can launch almost 200 times a year now from both coasts, and they're likely to drive launch costs lower and lower in the next few years. Can RKLB afford to compete head to head on cost alone, or availability? 5. ASTS can't afford to wait for RKLB (that's if Neutron is suitable for the 6500 kg satellites) and as far as New Glenn, Amazon and Blue Origin have more immediate plans for Kuiper. 6. I disagree, it may bring up more investors leading up to the IPO but most will flee once the real numbers behind SpaceX and Starlink, it won't make sense to own second fiddles, almost exactly like TSLA vs. RIVN/LCID.
Your mom is a TSLA bol?
Omg I understand why TSLA is going to 0. Options chain expiring today is wildly bullish. The call to put open interest is like 10-1at every strike
Bought back TSLA at 474 and 474.5; what a dive! 😋
Had the option to get TSLA or MSFT puts...I took MSFT :sadpepe:
TSLA puts looking juicy as fuck. 👀
Scalped TSLA calls for 1.4k. Only 1.9k down today now I guess
cmon TSLA regards pump it one last time for me
TSLA bulls experiencing what TSLA 🐻 feel like every other day
If this drop gets 40x bigger on TSLA, It'll get close to a realistic valuation
Im gna need TSLA to V to 490 please
"For my next trick, I will make 1 month of your profits disappear for no reason"- TSLA
META and TSLA is screwing me so good
Damnit sold my puts too soon on TSLA….thought it will bounce at 476