Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Tomorrow’s play TQQQ 400 60 puts (4/11) and TSLA 280 puts (4/11)
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 29 - Feb 04 2024
How did you know that TSLA was priced for a 50% CAGR?
Buying TSLA calls during the dump, I thought we were in a bull market, no?
It's time for Inverse Cramer and buy TSLA
TSLA down, lots of people in puts popping Champagne - LVMH moon!
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
What do y’all think about using ChatGPT for stock researching?
Call me dumb but doesn’t this chart pattern show that $TSLA is about to shoot to the moon?
Imagine your only narrative to boost your company is restricting all other competitors, $TSLA puts
Any else else see this? $TSLA was watching it during after hours and saw the spike!
First time, am I doing it right? TSLA 185 1/26 call. Roast me
who had TSLA puts and show us your bag
Puts vs Short shares with calls as a hedge
Spent the rest of my life savings betting on a TSLA drop. Didn't think it would happen so soon.
Starting the year off right $TSLA and $ZIM
TSLA: testing 192 support and lower support near 176
What is wrong with TSLA to many short sells? I know Ev Market is not that great but...
This is heading towards extreme oversold territory. How much more will it go 🤔
Are you putting a Stop Order on your $TSLA shares tomorrow?
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Tesla Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 misses by $0.03, revenue of $25.17B misses by $590M
Just buy SEMI/AI and ride the hype. The roller coaster will end soon but for now it’s green day’s ahead.
Why I'm getting Tesla Puts, A Deep Dive into Earnings (A Must Read)
A Deep Dive into Tesla's Earnings (A Must Read)
Here's to $TSLA big miss on ER. Lotto for fun!
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
Nice timing for anonymous TSLA leak - reuters
So, this is kinda why I think Netflix will beat
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 22-28 2024
Just went full YOLO on TSLA - $208 per share with 2x Leverage 🚀🚀
A Lamborghini-Style EV: BYD Goes Upmarket to Outmaneuver Tesla
Congrats to the guy with TSLA 215 call options for today
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
Mentions
Bought into TSLA for about $8000, sold it for around $12,000. Would be $640k today, but would have sold it a thousand more times along the way.
🙏 I’ve tried to apply this pattern elsewhere but based on my testing, I have concluded that this edge lives almost exclusively with TSLA. I’ve tested this overnight logic on the usual high-volume suspects like NVDA, AMD, AAPL, META, SMCI, COIN, and MSTR. What I found after running the same backtesting on them for 2023 through 2025 were overall mixed results. NVDA had a brief hot streak in late 2023 where it worked okay (maybe a 58% to 60% hit rate), but that edge evaporated once the stock shifted to trending hard instead of mean reverting. SMCI and MSTR definitely show flashes because they act like mini TSLAs on steroids, but the risk reward is terrible because when I was wrong, the gaps were absolutely brutal. AAPL, AMD, and META were basically coin flips; they had no reliable, repeatable edge. The key here is that the core pattern ("red day plus green overnight" which means the next day tends to run green) actually works on options with any expiry, but the risk, reward, and practicality change dramatically. None of the stocks I mentioned have true daily 0DTE (Monday through Friday expiry). All of them have weekly expirations (Fridays), so I can only trade (simulate) 0DTE on Fridays and 1DTE on Thursdays (next day expiry). I specifically use 0DTE/1DTE options because they have the maximum Theta and Gamma, which lets me either: SELL puts on the bullish setup (Red Day + Green Overnight) to harvest maximum premium as the stock runs, or BUY puts on the bearish setup (Double Green) to get massive leverage on the fade (although I don’t buy puts much). Ultimately, the pattern seems to rely on a specific, perfect convergence of three things: insane retail/options gamma, "Elon level" news volatility, and thin overnight liquidity that causes the pre market crowd to massively over position themselves. TSLA is the only unicorn where all three line up consistently. Every other stock I tested was either too efficient, too slow, or the blow ups were too savage to make the long term risk reward worthwhile. I’m still looking/waiting for another stock that ever ended up with that same perfect storm of degeneracy to establish the trade card to game it.
Except pltr and TSLA, but oh no it's nvda and MSFT causing the bubble
📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: Amazon's Zoox Partners with T-Mobile Arena for 2026 Robotaxi Launch $AMZN $GOOGL $UBER $TSLA $WRD $PONY 👉 𝐊𝐞𝐲 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬: ➤ 𝐙𝐨𝐨𝐱 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐓-𝐌𝐨𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐀𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐚 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐫𝐢𝐝𝐞-𝐡𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐞𝐫𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞.
Been hanging on to these TSLA shares since $215. Exit price is $490. Come on baby, you can do it.
Do we really see one of these to fall? Amazon, Google or Apple. Nvidia - possible Fb - possible TSLA - a matter of time
Feels like a +3-4% day for TSLA tomorrow. No reason why. Just makes sense for it to have a needless pump tomorrow.
Wouldn’t it be hilarious to drive a Lucid with TSLA for license plate? Lol
TSLA is backed by Elon retarded cult unlike Broadcom
Have you seen TSLA P/E ratio ?
Would been better if it said TSLA
These TSLA 450c 0dte are calling me. Might do it for the memes.
These TSLA 450c 0dte are calling me. Might do it for the memes.
I feel like the spreads are often too big on SPX (often as high as 5-10% or more compared to 1 cent on SPY) so they may not be the best for short term scalps, but would definitely use them if I’m looking to may a more long term play or if I’m really confident that there will be some big price action. Will look into futures as well. But my other 200k is mostly in long term etfs as well as a bit of NVDA and TSLA.
🙏 Agreed! It certainly seems to follow a clear pattern of sentiment reversal, which is a classic market behavior. Peak fear. Peak greed. These drastic sentiment shifts, creating those predictable exhaustion points that mean-reversion strategies, like the TSLA trade pattern, is trying to exploit.
Yall really thought AVGO with that PE was going to hold? Lmao. It ain’t a cult like TSLA.
Love the roulette analogy! Basically, I’m using a specific TSLA trade pattern to create a statistical bias (a 63%-68% win rate) that exceeds the random 47.4% you get betting red in American Roulette. The biggest difference is that while Roulette has a fixed -5.26% EV that guarantees the house wins, the TSLA trade pattern has the potential for a positive EV. The entire positive edge hinges on options trading skill and proper trade management (like strict stop-losses) that keeps the average loss small enough. If average loss is less than 2.125 times credit, it’s a win; otherwise, the pattern collapses into speculation, proving that even a great statistical bias requires rigor and knowledge of options mechanics to avoid gambling-like outcomes.
My only hope for tomorrow is..TSLA 500
I remember a few months ago Elon says something along the line "If TSLA Shareholders vot e to agree for his $1T package, then he will allow them to buy SpaceX when it IPO". Now he plans to IPO SpaceX in middle or later 2026 for around $1-1.5T. That actually make sense. To get his $1T pay package then he need to pump TSLA stock up high, so by IPO SpaceX he will differently boost the price of TSLA up alot and it will takes alot of Space stocks with it too.
Im still down for shorting TSLA but I'm almost break even with everything else I've done.... Yay loss write off I guess?
I love Elon but how the market allows TSLA to trade at 200 forward PE that's just absurd
If AVGO shits the bed, what happens to the rest of Mag7 aside from the fraud TSLA
Is Elon anticipating a TSLA crash and needs a new source of liquidity?
TSLA a true fat ho. Fck you Elon and Kimball. Dumb name btw.
Can I get a SPY 690 with a side of TSLA 460 plz
Fuck it, I'm going all in on my vol trading strategy today. Selling options on LULU / ORCL / HOOD / CVNA / TSLA. Let's get this paper.
BTO 1x TSLA 12/19 440c @14.91; BTO 1x TSLA 12/19 450c @9.79
BTO 1x TSLA 12/19 440c @14.91; BTO 1x TSLA 12/19 450c @9.79
GOOG 285. NVDA 210. AVGO 450. TSLA 0(bcuz fuck Tsla and I don’t even have positions in it)
The 2 could not be more dissilimar. MSTR is a pure hedge on bitcoin. Bitcoin goes up you do well; Bitcoin goes down you do poorly. TSLA is a technology company that also builds cars. Their cars aren't the path to future earnings, the cars are simply a component. Automation and robotics are the source of TSLA's value. There's also his other companies like Boring Co that is building a tunnel in Nashville that will be used exclusivelt by TSLA vehicles.
Can TSLA go to 500 today
When shit hits the fan, defensive stocks like TSLA, PLTR and CVNA hold value. When market pumps, meme stocks like TSLA, PLTR and CVNA pump the most.
Imagine timing the market as a bull…. Then imagine timing the market as a bear….. only thing harder is than timing downfall of scam companies (CVNA, NKLA, TSLA).
Fucking GOOG is up $125 YTD, and TSLA and MSFT both up $50+. What's going on??
TSLA technicals are great to trade on rn. Algos must be stuck in some recursive loop.
The surest investment anyone can make is Dec 2028 PUTS on TSLA and PLTR.
My TSLA calls -90% hahahaha fml
With QQQ down 1.25% that whore of a stock TSLA should be a lot lower
They make too much money. The market likes companies that have declining sales and super high valuations. If only they could start performing poorly like TSLA, they'd skyrocket!!! (barely /s....)
Brighter side: TSLA is diving.
I only want Elon and his rich buddies to be fucked. Not normies. But yes, please: F*CK TSLA and AI.
Gud morn regards, just another reminder TSLA isn’t worth jack shit. Waymo has Tsla beat BY A MILE with robotaxi while melon was dodgeing in the dumpster fire that is the White House
TSLA and Xai are gonna make data centers in space with SMCI in a few years. He will steal the idea from Google
All I want for Christmas is for TSLA to go to $0.
TSLA Maybe nothing happens today but highly confident it’s overvalued and priced for perfection and the company is not on track for perfection by any stretch of the imagination.
Bought back some TSLA around 448.6, target 489.
It is extremely difficult to short a bull market. Overvalued equities increase in value during a bull market. Many have been overvalued for most of their existence as public companies. AMZN is a typical example but there are many others. Many smart people bet against TSLA because of all the bullshit and they all lost money.
I can haz TSLA to 397 EOD?
Just need TSLA to have a -15% day and so I can avoid debtors prison.
Is TSLA under $400 too much to ask?
-155% TSLA, 200% cash, 55% ETFs right now.
Impressive drop on ORCL. Let’s see TSLA, NVDA, and PLTR’s corrections.
My prediction for tomorrow is that Darden (DRI) will announce a $800b over 3 years plan to place AI kiosks in Olive Garden restaurants. NVidia will underwrite the costs and Palantir will data mine the kiosks. Each company will see a $400b market cap jump, and TSLA will see a $500bn increase. My puts will expire worthless and bulls will tsk tsk me for not having seen this coming.
Can’t say was nice knowing you but unless TSLA absolutely crashes tomorrow my ports finished so see you later gay bois ✌️
So calls! Going the TSLA way
SpaceX IPO in 2026 is going to impact $TSLA in many ways. There is rotation risk from TSLA to SpaceX as investors will likely want to diversify to gain exposure to SpaceX. The timing of a SpaceX IPO relative to where TSLA is terms of the return to growth will determine how large the rotation could be. The ideal scenario is to have TSLA scale Robotaxi, CyberCab, and grow earnings by H2 2026 to help Tesla enter the next major growth phase, then have SpaceX IPO. This will help mitigate some of rhe rotation risk. The less ideal scenario is TSLA struggles to scale Robotaxi, CyberCab, and grow earnings in time for the SpaceX IPO. This would frustrate TSLA investors and likely lead to a larger rotation into SpaceX
I pull everything from Thinkorswim. It shows the exact 4pm close as a line and live pre-market, straight from Nasdaq, zero lag. For backtesting I just grab the free CSVs from Yahoo Finance or Nasdaq.com. I keep it 100% TSLA-only. The edge is purely from its own psychotic personality (Elon tweets, thin overnight liquidity, etc.). SPY/Nasdaq can hurt on big macro days, but TSLA decouples so hard on real catalysts that filtering for the broader market actually lowers the edge. Prior-day volume is already baked into the overnight move (huge green day + green overnight = maximum exhaustion). Only extra thing I ever add is RSI >70 on the double-green fade days. It bumps the win rate another ~5%, but honestly most days I’m too lazy and just stick to the raw pattern. More layers = more paralysis for me.
TSLA stock safe haven with low valuation right now
Interesting. Thanks for the response. Is there any reliable source for the overnight data? Also, is there any other correlation metric you look at? Like movement of its whole sector, SPY or something? Or it is totally isolated to TSLA. Does relative volume for previous day matter, or that is assumed to be priced into the overnight move? Just curious, I can see how it is better kept as simple as you put it, just wondering if it could benefit from something else simple too
When do TSLA 2028/2029 options open up? After debating with the smooth brains on here I’ve realized Tsla is pumped up only because of the retards, taco crime family and gop. There is nothing in that stock. 2028 elections will destroy Tsla and PLTR
Reality with TSLA is the edge is strong but messy and short-lived (1–3 hours). Buying options means I eat brutal theta and IV crush on the 32% of days I’m wrong, and one gap against me deletes months of gains. Selling premium turns the same 68% edge into small, boring, consistent wins and capped losers.
What else are you going to when your time outside of work is spent in a TSLA?
Overnight for me is just yesterday’s 4pm close vs tomorrow’s pre-market price around 9:15-9:25am. If it’s up 0.3% or more from yesterday’s close = green overnight, down 0.3% or more = red (usually just algos shuffling in thin liquidity, next day does whatever it wants, no edge). I don’t even look at the 9:30am opening print because that’s already regular-hours action. Has to be clearly outside the +/- 0.3% band to give the cleanest separation between “real signal” and “who cares” without throwing away too many days. Anything tighter and you get a ton of false signals; anything wider and you miss half the setups. It’s arbitrary enough to work, precise enough to matter. Same reason a lot of gap traders use 0.5-1% filters (I just tuned for TSLA’s specific volatility).
TSLA gap up tomorrow
Too soon. Wait till after inclusion then it’ll find a way down from this absurd valuation. I’m the guy recommending you buy puts on TSLA instead of the leveraged etf that didn’t move much.
I bought real 442.5 weekly TSLA puts at the very top today, I’m pretty green on em, thoughts on if they print tmr?
SpaceX IPO $ is ready bigger than TSLA entire mcap
I am a puss I can’t play TSLA although I made some money. Always scared me tbh
TSLA is now going to see ATH because of this post. Thanks for ruining portfolio, OP
His TSLA stock made him the world's richest person (you belong here)
I lost money on META I lost money on TSLA I lost money on NVDA I lost money on AMZN I lost money on MSFT Haven't traded GOOGL yet. Tomorrow seems like a great way to start ^(I don't like trading APPL because it's boring)
TSLA is also down in the AF....
I'm with ya. TSLA, PLTR and Meta are on my 'don't buy' list. Tesla has been caught up to and surpassed by other companies (and the sales #s are showing it versus Tesla being the only viable option), plus the whole Musk insanity. Meta wasted amazing amounts of cash on 'metaverse' and now is 'oh we'll do AI' but has no obvious path on how to monetize it at scale (compared to e.g. MSFT and Google/Alphabet), and Palantir - well, not sure I can justify that one, but I'll pass.
If I can see hot garbage like ORCL tank, I don't mind seeing my tech ETFs lose value. I am more than willing to risk losing a few % of my net worth if it means I get to see TSLA die.
TSLA ATH soon. calling it
I’m sorry but TSLA fanboy was cool in like 2021 They don’t have self driving. They sell cars. Describe this trillion dollar market that exists today for robots? Brother is main lining hopium
Well at least you know it's pure gambling. Personally I think it's stupid given the current market sentiment. Fundamentally it makes sense, based on what is known about CVNA. Unfortunately I don't think even you believe in this (you are betting way less than you did on TSLA), that is unless you're planning daytrading this shitco tmrw on the first drop you see. Good luck, I guess.
TSLA up 100% since Tim called the bottom😂
How is TSLA holding the 440 range. The stock market is all momentum and manipulation lately.
Apple, TSLA, Quantum, and now data centers in space
Dumbass LCID CEO said EU/US EV sales are declining and it's contaminating every EV stock except scam-ass TSLA
TSLA so close to ATH. stop selling
My iron triangle NVDA-GOOG-TSLA is fucking market-makers hard. 😂😂😂
TSLA puts so tempting..
TSLA is almost worth more than META while having <10% of the net income.
Not quite PLTR or TSLA level yet. The fact that their adding stocks to the S&P which have a p/e > 100 says something about these times.
Yup I personally think TSLA is a way for foreign money to funnel into musky, legally.
Definitely but I'm sure musky will have a contingency plan for that IPO. They will be probably announce some random date for robotaxi to avoid TSLA stock. losing value
It’s funny how TSLA is the only stock pumping as hard as SPY