Reddit Posts
Oi, get on the car. The market took a sharp dive.
YOLO (~20k in puts): If $TSLA hits $200 by Friday I donate $5.5k to Special Olympics
Tomorrow’s play TQQQ 400 60 puts (4/11) and TSLA 280 puts (4/11)
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 29 - Feb 04 2024
How did you know that TSLA was priced for a 50% CAGR?
Buying TSLA calls during the dump, I thought we were in a bull market, no?
It's time for Inverse Cramer and buy TSLA
TSLA down, lots of people in puts popping Champagne - LVMH moon!
Question for people who profited from both TSLA and NVDA ?
What do y’all think about using ChatGPT for stock researching?
Call me dumb but doesn’t this chart pattern show that $TSLA is about to shoot to the moon?
Imagine your only narrative to boost your company is restricting all other competitors, $TSLA puts
Any else else see this? $TSLA was watching it during after hours and saw the spike!
First time, am I doing it right? TSLA 185 1/26 call. Roast me
who had TSLA puts and show us your bag
Puts vs Short shares with calls as a hedge
Spent the rest of my life savings betting on a TSLA drop. Didn't think it would happen so soon.
Starting the year off right $TSLA and $ZIM
TSLA: testing 192 support and lower support near 176
What is wrong with TSLA to many short sells? I know Ev Market is not that great but...
This is heading towards extreme oversold territory. How much more will it go 🤔
Are you putting a Stop Order on your $TSLA shares tomorrow?
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Retrace Inbound? 1-24-24 SPY/ ES Futures, QQQ/ NQ Futures, 10YR Yield, and DXY/ US Dollar Daily Market Analysis (Tesla Earnings)
Tesla Non-GAAP EPS of $0.71 misses by $0.03, revenue of $25.17B misses by $590M
Just buy SEMI/AI and ride the hype. The roller coaster will end soon but for now it’s green day’s ahead.
Why I'm getting Tesla Puts, A Deep Dive into Earnings (A Must Read)
A Deep Dive into Tesla's Earnings (A Must Read)
Here's to $TSLA big miss on ER. Lotto for fun!
Anyone get frustration with themselves not buy more Magnificent 7 ?
Nice timing for anonymous TSLA leak - reuters
So, this is kinda why I think Netflix will beat
Options Questions Safe Haven Thread | Jan 22-28 2024
Just went full YOLO on TSLA - $208 per share with 2x Leverage 🚀🚀
A Lamborghini-Style EV: BYD Goes Upmarket to Outmaneuver Tesla
Congrats to the guy with TSLA 215 call options for today
It’s 2024, how are you guys planning on taking advantage the “AI Craze”?
Mentions
My prediction for tomorrow is that Darden (DRI) will announce a $800b over 3 years plan to place AI kiosks in Olive Garden restaurants. NVidia will underwrite the costs and Palantir will data mine the kiosks. Each company will see a $400b market cap jump, and TSLA will see a $500bn increase. My puts will expire worthless and bulls will tsk tsk me for not having seen this coming.
Can’t say was nice knowing you but unless TSLA absolutely crashes tomorrow my ports finished so see you later gay bois ✌️
So calls! Going the TSLA way
SpaceX IPO in 2026 is going to impact $TSLA in many ways. There is rotation risk from TSLA to SpaceX as investors will likely want to diversify to gain exposure to SpaceX. The timing of a SpaceX IPO relative to where TSLA is terms of the return to growth will determine how large the rotation could be. The ideal scenario is to have TSLA scale Robotaxi, CyberCab, and grow earnings by H2 2026 to help Tesla enter the next major growth phase, then have SpaceX IPO. This will help mitigate some of rhe rotation risk. The less ideal scenario is TSLA struggles to scale Robotaxi, CyberCab, and grow earnings in time for the SpaceX IPO. This would frustrate TSLA investors and likely lead to a larger rotation into SpaceX
I pull everything from Thinkorswim. It shows the exact 4pm close as a line and live pre-market, straight from Nasdaq, zero lag. For backtesting I just grab the free CSVs from Yahoo Finance or Nasdaq.com. I keep it 100% TSLA-only. The edge is purely from its own psychotic personality (Elon tweets, thin overnight liquidity, etc.). SPY/Nasdaq can hurt on big macro days, but TSLA decouples so hard on real catalysts that filtering for the broader market actually lowers the edge. Prior-day volume is already baked into the overnight move (huge green day + green overnight = maximum exhaustion). Only extra thing I ever add is RSI >70 on the double-green fade days. It bumps the win rate another ~5%, but honestly most days I’m too lazy and just stick to the raw pattern. More layers = more paralysis for me.
TSLA stock safe haven with low valuation right now
Interesting. Thanks for the response. Is there any reliable source for the overnight data? Also, is there any other correlation metric you look at? Like movement of its whole sector, SPY or something? Or it is totally isolated to TSLA. Does relative volume for previous day matter, or that is assumed to be priced into the overnight move? Just curious, I can see how it is better kept as simple as you put it, just wondering if it could benefit from something else simple too
When do TSLA 2028/2029 options open up? After debating with the smooth brains on here I’ve realized Tsla is pumped up only because of the retards, taco crime family and gop. There is nothing in that stock. 2028 elections will destroy Tsla and PLTR
Reality with TSLA is the edge is strong but messy and short-lived (1–3 hours). Buying options means I eat brutal theta and IV crush on the 32% of days I’m wrong, and one gap against me deletes months of gains. Selling premium turns the same 68% edge into small, boring, consistent wins and capped losers.
What else are you going to when your time outside of work is spent in a TSLA?
Overnight for me is just yesterday’s 4pm close vs tomorrow’s pre-market price around 9:15-9:25am. If it’s up 0.3% or more from yesterday’s close = green overnight, down 0.3% or more = red (usually just algos shuffling in thin liquidity, next day does whatever it wants, no edge). I don’t even look at the 9:30am opening print because that’s already regular-hours action. Has to be clearly outside the +/- 0.3% band to give the cleanest separation between “real signal” and “who cares” without throwing away too many days. Anything tighter and you get a ton of false signals; anything wider and you miss half the setups. It’s arbitrary enough to work, precise enough to matter. Same reason a lot of gap traders use 0.5-1% filters (I just tuned for TSLA’s specific volatility).
TSLA gap up tomorrow
Too soon. Wait till after inclusion then it’ll find a way down from this absurd valuation. I’m the guy recommending you buy puts on TSLA instead of the leveraged etf that didn’t move much.
I bought real 442.5 weekly TSLA puts at the very top today, I’m pretty green on em, thoughts on if they print tmr?
SpaceX IPO $ is ready bigger than TSLA entire mcap
I am a puss I can’t play TSLA although I made some money. Always scared me tbh
TSLA is now going to see ATH because of this post. Thanks for ruining portfolio, OP
His TSLA stock made him the world's richest person (you belong here)
I lost money on META I lost money on TSLA I lost money on NVDA I lost money on AMZN I lost money on MSFT Haven't traded GOOGL yet. Tomorrow seems like a great way to start ^(I don't like trading APPL because it's boring)
TSLA is also down in the AF....
I'm with ya. TSLA, PLTR and Meta are on my 'don't buy' list. Tesla has been caught up to and surpassed by other companies (and the sales #s are showing it versus Tesla being the only viable option), plus the whole Musk insanity. Meta wasted amazing amounts of cash on 'metaverse' and now is 'oh we'll do AI' but has no obvious path on how to monetize it at scale (compared to e.g. MSFT and Google/Alphabet), and Palantir - well, not sure I can justify that one, but I'll pass.
If I can see hot garbage like ORCL tank, I don't mind seeing my tech ETFs lose value. I am more than willing to risk losing a few % of my net worth if it means I get to see TSLA die.
TSLA ATH soon. calling it
I’m sorry but TSLA fanboy was cool in like 2021 They don’t have self driving. They sell cars. Describe this trillion dollar market that exists today for robots? Brother is main lining hopium
Well at least you know it's pure gambling. Personally I think it's stupid given the current market sentiment. Fundamentally it makes sense, based on what is known about CVNA. Unfortunately I don't think even you believe in this (you are betting way less than you did on TSLA), that is unless you're planning daytrading this shitco tmrw on the first drop you see. Good luck, I guess.
TSLA up 100% since Tim called the bottom😂
How is TSLA holding the 440 range. The stock market is all momentum and manipulation lately.
Apple, TSLA, Quantum, and now data centers in space
Dumbass LCID CEO said EU/US EV sales are declining and it's contaminating every EV stock except scam-ass TSLA
TSLA so close to ATH. stop selling
My iron triangle NVDA-GOOG-TSLA is fucking market-makers hard. 😂😂😂
TSLA puts so tempting..
TSLA is almost worth more than META while having <10% of the net income.
Not quite PLTR or TSLA level yet. The fact that their adding stocks to the S&P which have a p/e > 100 says something about these times.
Yup I personally think TSLA is a way for foreign money to funnel into musky, legally.
Definitely but I'm sure musky will have a contingency plan for that IPO. They will be probably announce some random date for robotaxi to avoid TSLA stock. losing value
It’s funny how TSLA is the only stock pumping as hard as SPY
TSLA back to 450, money is seriously meaningless it is just nothing I believe.
I saw you glazing Elon and TSLA everywhere lol. He ain’t gonna let you hit lil bro.
The stock market is not the economy. If stock market prices made any kind of sense TSLA would be worth 1/100 of what it is. The numbers are all made up.
I have this amazing stock that own, I legit think it has the potential to 3x by end of 2027. Not exaggerating, and it won't even take any execution. However, the market cap is $287 million so I can't even talk about it. So, I'll be a good user here instead. TSLA is so stupid. It's a cult. It's an obvious zero yet every keeps buying no matter how many puts I buy. It's obviously rigged because there's no way I'm wrong and the market is always efficient. Either that or IONQ. Now that's quality. Definitely not a meme. Quantum is obviously the future so I win again. Also random number predictions about the S&P at year end.
$TSLA option premiums pay me the cost of life. 🙂
TSLA going Uranus soon
ok ok fed cuts exactly what everyone was expecting. You can now sell off TSLA **this is financial advice**
Bruh TSLA, this scam stock is still green?
Ironically buying TSLA doesn't own those. So it's voodoo magic. TSLA valuation is inflated off companies that Tesla doesn't have full or any ownership of.
TSLA is going to get 50 Indians to remotely drive/monitor the Robotaxi making it look like it is 100% autonomous and stock will shoot to $500 before end of year
> Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (NASDAQ:TSLL) to Issue Dividend Increase - $0.58 Per Share Wait what?
I almost always pick my strike by delta first, not by a fixed % away. On TSLA that keeps me from accidentally selling a “5% OTM” put that’s actually 30-delta on a high-IV day and way riskier than I want. I typically do these setups on the red-day + green-overnight: 0DTE or 1DTE -> 8-15 delta (usually lands 3–7% OTM depending on IV) Weekly or monthly CSPs when I’m feeling extra bullish -> 20-30 delta, sometimes deep ITM (60-80 delta) if I’m happy to own more shares cheaper. I think your buying style is solid. Consistent % winners with tight stops is exactly how a lot of pros stay alive on TSLA. Selling premium is just the flip side, less about being right on direction and timing, only need the stock to not crater past the strike before expiration. Lower win-per-trade size, but way higher win rate and you get paid to wait.
Oh did TSLA get a rate cut too?
META: ray-ban glasses. GOOGL: follows with Warby Parker NVDA: makes chips for AI. GOOGL: follows with their TPU AMZN and MSFT launch cloud service. GOOGL: launches GCP TSLA: someday robotaxi. GOOGL: Waymo FTW. We will eat Uber and Lyft for lunch
Because Tesla stock doesn't just represent the Tesla Company. It's like an ETF for the musk empire. By buying TSLA, you also get exposure to SpaceX, Twitter, xAI, Neuralink, Boring Company and the rest of them.
$TSLA We are still at the foot of the mountain.
TSLA a canary? When it doesn't respond to fundamentals or sentiment? GTFO
I'm not asking for much, just a daily 10% drop on TSLA for a month straight after I buy long-dated puts...
No, there’s fucking scam TSLA too
But he shorted TSLL.. not TSLA
>I look at one stock: Tesla (TSLA). Michael Burry, the "Big Short" investor, recently called the company "ridiculously overvalued," citing shareholder dilution from stock-based compensation (SBC) and no buyback program. Imagine how much money a person would have lost if they shorted Tesla every time someone called it overvalued over the past 6 years. It's a breathtaking thought.
I made $15k on the TSLA crash to liberation day, then lost 15k thinking it would go lower. I now never touch TSLA
18 to 20 grands... that's big money! Agreed... TSLA’s IV is insane. I switched to CSPs about a year ago and it’s been way cleaner, better premium, no shares ever called away on gap-ups, I keep the full ride on rips, and if it dips I just wheel from a lower basis. On strong bullish, I’ll even sell deep ITM CSPs with longer DTE, still pull massive credit and basically lock in assignment at a big discount if it stays strong.
Still dont know why TSLA is valued this much when GOOG is eating their breakfast lunch and dinner with self driving
Two tickers to never short: TSLA and PLTR
That's fair. The short thesis isn't that TSLA is speculative—it's that the speculation is exhausted. Alphabet is a value play with actual cash flow and a massive competitive moat. TSLA has reached absurd levels based on FSD/robotaxi hype. When the high-volatility names crack, they take the speculative growth sector with them. High-beta stocks are the first to get burned in a market pullback.
You missed the crux. Everyone knows it's overvalued. The point is that TSLA is a high-beta stock that moves twice as fast as the market. High-beta stocks are the absolute worst thing to hold when the market stumbles. If the S&P correction hits, TSLA falls harder and faster. This is a risk trade, not an investment, and the risk has gotten too high.
Good. You won't miss the crash if you're not here to see the charts. Sentiment is proof of the bubble. See you when TSLA hits your cost basis next year. 🐻
Remember when Elon tweeted “I’m taking TSLA private” and everyone here was going crazy
We can all agree that Musk is a GOAT CEO, but the idea that he can repeat what he did is ridiculous. The amount of pure hopium in TSLA is batshit crazy. Melon lost his way a long time ago. The only original thing he has “successfully” brought to mkt is Cybertruck, which is an abomination, and has 0 sales. He did something never done before, then became political and torpedoed one of the best companies in the world. There is 0 chance it will go back to what is was. Only a matter of time before mkt gives up on musk.
How on earth is TSLA still green. This stuck is just pure retard
Sold more TSLA at 452.2 (cost 446.5) and took profit, 😆😆😆
The market is severely broken when the biggest scams are green while the mag7s are red. What the fuck dudes. TSLA CVNA
SPY down TSLA up, it’s over
TSLA actually has a higher forward PE but I do think these are the two most expensive large+ stocks. I add the large+ qualifier because the math can get funky for companies that are just above break even on earnings.
I never said $0. TSLA holders would definitely have to pay for shares. They'd just have early access and would have to wait for IPO and price fluctuations/spikes.
TSLA does not have daily options. I think it's specific to your broker.
This just sounds like gap strategy with extra steps? I have noticed TSLA has a tendency to retrace through gaps but it can also take time to do so which means theta is not on your side.
Goog red, TSLA green - make it make sense.
Unsurprising that Grok is the only one that thinks TSLA will see a significant bump from rate cuts. That stock is as high as it will go for the time being.
So when spacex goes public does the cult finally abandon TSLA in favour of a new plaything?
they shit all over TSLA in 2013 when the stock cost $68 --"It's bankrupt"
That’s how it used to be. TSLA is one of the few tickers that now has 0DTE options every single day (Mon–Fri). They drop them at like 3am ET and they expire at 4pm the same day. Just pull up the chain in whatever broker you use and you’ll see expirations literally labeled: Dec 10, 2025 (0DTE) Dec 11, 2025 (1DTE) Dec 12, 2025 Dec 13, 2025 (weekly) etc. Same for calls and puts, full strike range. Been this way for TSLA (and SPY/QQQ) since mid-2023 when the exchanges started daily expirations. So, every morning you can sell a put that dies at 4pm. That’s why the theta on these red-day + green-overnight setups melts so fast, literally hours of decay instead of days. Welcome to the casino!
I bet you that we will know TSLA FSD is a fraud or jackpot way before SpaceX going to IPO, so NO
Can’t wait for dogshit TSLA to crash next year. It has a habit of crashing after hitting all ATH
On the red-day + green-overnight setups (the short-put side): If TSLA is under ~1500 contracts of OI at the strike I’m looking at, I just skip it completely, liquidity matters more than being “perfect.” I usually go 7–15 delta, whatever is closest to that. Ends up being roughly 3–6% OTM on 0DTE or 1DTE. This range gives me says $2–$4.50 credit on 0DTE (sometimes more if IV is juicy), and TSLA only has to stay flat or go up a tiny bit for me to keep 80-100% of it by noon or EOD. I never chase farther than that because breakeven gets too wide and I hate tying up capital on a maybe. Rather do 5 small clean wins than one hero trade that can nuke the account if Elon speaks.
No edge lasts forever in a stock like TSLA… Elon tweets or robotaxi teases can nuke any technical setup.
Lazy way… open Thinkorswim (free with Schwab), pull up TSLA daily chart, turn on extended hours, add the simple study “plot ON = close(period='DAY')” so you see yesterday’s 4pm close as a line. Then just scroll back and look: if pre-market the next morning is above that line = green overnight, below = red. Takes 5 seconds per day. I did 2024–2025 in a couple evenings. TradingView works the same if you pay for it, or grab free Polygon data and slap it in Excel/Python if you want to get fancy. Manual scrolling is honestly perfect for this because the sample is small and you instantly spot the days Elon nuked the pattern anyway. No expensive tools needed.
Why is TSLA allergic to go red..?