Reddit Posts
Anyone know if you can claim 4k in AGI reducing losses if you're filing jointly?
Where should I keep my savings for a house down payment? High tax bracket in CA.
Apple releases a multimodal LLM model, WIMI AI tech became the AGI mainstream trend
Apple releases a multimodal LLM model, WIMI AI tech became the AGI mainstream trend
New Path to AGI by VERSES AI? I'm going all-in.
New Path to AGI by VERSES AI? I'm going all-in.
New Path to AGI by VERSES AI? I'm going all-in.
{Update} $VERS Genius Beta Program Welcomes Cortical Labs and SimWell as Strategic Partners
Verse AI - Which is Publically Traded - Claims They Are Close to AGI - Invokes OpenAI 'AGI' 'Assist' Clause - Warning: May Be BULLSHIT
This AI Penny Stock Proves Path To Artificial General Intelligence
$VRSSF Q3 2023 Corporate Update: Next-Gen AI Platform and AGI Ambitions
VERSES AI (CBOE:VERS) (OTCQX:VRSSF) Q3 2023 Corporate Update: Next-Gen AI Platform and AGI Ambitions
Which brokerage institutions have solo-401k plans in which you can invest in a different company's fund at no additional cost-- AND-- allow for loans
OpenAI researchers warned board of AI breakthrough ahead of CEO ouster
I'm YOLOing into MSFT. Here's my DD that convinced me
AGI HOAX: DEV - Ilya had 60 hours now to name evidence of safety concerns or wrong doing to justify burning an entire company to the ground
Like the Tower of Babel, God broke up OpenAI because they were trying to create God
This is going very badly for Microsoft as the fallout continues and is "AGI" to blame here? Ilya Sutskever should resign from the board.
VERSES AI’s (CBOE:VERS) (OTCQX:VRSSF) Genius™ Platform Achieves Milestone with 1,500 User Registrations
Capital gains/loss offset strategy for future house down payment?
Before you have any crazy thoughts, just remember... a loss is not a 100% loss.
High-income earners, beware of paying higher taxes on your investment income (if you have any Kekw)
High income earnings, beware of additional taxation on your investment income
VERSES AI, A Canadian Cognitive Computing Company Announces Launch of Next Generation Intelligent Software Platform
WiMi Hologram Cloud Drives Productivity Transformation
WiMi Hologram Cloud (WIMI) to build the road of AGI industry
WIMI integrates a series of synergy technologies seizing the market opportunity
The BEST Way to Invest in Artificial Intelligence?
The BEST Way To Invest In Artifial Intelligence?
ChatGPT Set off a global big model boom, WiMi Hologram Cloud(WIMI) to build the AI + XR ecological strategy
AI big model industry: WIMI Focuses on AIGC into the AGI high growth space
NVDA DD/hopium/ramblings/thoughts/prayers/synopsis/bedtime reading
The Golden Year for AI: WiMi Hologram Cloud(WIMI) innovates its Mechanical visual strength
What to do if I'm nearing MAGI limits for Roth IRA contributions but not sure when I'll hit it
WIMI Hologram Cloud(WIMI) Started Its AI Commercialization In The AGI Era
IonQ Pursues a Revolutionary Step in AI: Striving to Develop Quantum Machine Learning Models Matching Human Cognitive Abilities
IonQ Pursues a Revolutionary Step in AI: Striving to Develop Quantum Machine Learning Models Matching Human Cognitive Abilities
A Quantum Leap In AI: IonQ Aims To Create Quantum Machine Learning Models At The Level Of General Human Intelligence
Curious To Hear Some Community Opinions on MAIA Biotechnology (MAIA)...
The Artificial Intelligence Stock with the BIGGEST potential
Tesla is way overpriced beyond all the hype and fanaticism
WiMi Hologram Cloud(NASDAQ: WIMI)Is Dedicate To Develop In AGI
Interest in Gold Miners Increases as Bank Fiasco Causes Market to Seek Safe Haven Assets $ELEM $NFG $ARTG $AGI $WDO
What do you think about the potential impact of AGI advancements on the liquidity released by the Federal Reserve?
VERSES AI ($VRSSF) The ONLY pure horizontal AI play
OpenAI's Business Strategy - What is their Eng Game?
Dr. Techy| Musk calls ChatGPT an ‘eerily like’ AI that ‘goes haywire and kills everyone’
Will stock losses affect my income for Roth contribution?
White Paper on the AI Ecosystem by Verses’ (NEO:VERS | OTCQX: VRSSF) Dr. Karl Friston
VERS.n name a top 5 Artificial Intelligence Stock to Own by BayStreet.ca
Will current concept of investing survive Technological Singularity?
I turned $100 Robinhood account into $1000 via options and it ended up costing me $20k
Would the 1st company on Earth with confirmed, legit AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) become the most valuable upon this confirmation?
My employer doesn’t offer an HSA but I have a high deductible plan, do I still get the same benefits if I contribute my own money after tax?
Allianz to pay $6 billion over Structured Alpha fraud, fund manager charged
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/allianz-pay-6-bln-over-structured-alpha-fraud-fund-manager-charged-2022-05-17/
The Real Reason Elon Musk Bought Twitter and NOT Reddit!
Gold to 2k? looks like gold keeps climbing and will hit 2k.
Seeking El Dorado - Finding the next Amazon amid all the hype
My former employer just sold and I must sell my shares. How can I avoid or reduce capital gains tax?
Question on a defensive strategy from a not savvy investor
Want to cash out on stocks, what long term capital gains considerations should I take into account?
Would a long-term synthetic stock play for GLD/other precious metal ETFs be an effective way to save money on taxes from the sale of physical metals paying for investment fees?
Post Squeeze Tax Strategy To Help Spread the Wealth - #PhilanthropicApes
Estimated Taxes, and why you (probably) won't need to pay them [U.S.]
Mentions
Stupid take even if you're just joking. The top experts are (and have been) predicting AGI and mass job replacement within the next 1-3 years. Anyone saying anything otherwise is just an idiot.
That's a problem only for AI not AGI. AGI is coming next month so all problems will be fixed. Amodei, Musk, and Altman have all confirmed.
I'm tipping $13 a gallon by April, AGI by May. Fun times ahead.
Even though I am in tech I believe any money/investment is better spent in energy and scientific research like affordable medicine. It’s becoming a bit lopsided but we don’t need AGI, we need to stop the petroleum geopolitical chaos.
IF AGI happens and IF we all get UBI, will we still be able to buy options?
Not to mention pattern matching produces nothing new or innovative, just repetitions of what already exists. Like you said, intelligence and understanding is not what these AI do. AGI is impossible with LLMs no matter how much money is thrown at it.
I disagree, I think even if models stabilize there will be some impact. You don't have to believe in AGI to think we'll see a 15% reduction in the SWE workforce from its peak.
AGI is also 6 to 12 months away from replacing all our jobs in the next 6 to 12 months for the past 4 years :)
You mean LLM. We are nowhere near to AI/AGI
Please just drop another 10 billion and we'll release an even better model, AGI is only 6 months away
ChatGPT5 was supposed to be the absolute bollocks but just turned out to be a slightly better version of 4. Some even reckoned 5 would be the start of AGI. Not even close.
If it's AGI then we're cooked. LLM is just faking it
Agree, Micron has a massive upside the coming years. All devices are changing to AI first & need incremental more memory. DC’s, Automotive, Biotech, Defense, etc have massive memory demands. Imagine when/ if AGI hits, memory demand will quadruple.. (just ask your local AI bot about this…) LOOOOOONG (at least 2 more years) MICRON
Proof we don't have AGI yet
Knowing this clown world, you're going to use sound logic and load up puts, even leaps......war, chaos, tragedy, AI bubble, makes sense you think. "My gut is right, the fundamentals are there" you say. You sleep good. The next day you warm up your days old coffee and sit in front of the news "TOMP declares world peace and halts all wars. Pledges 3 trillion to AI funding. Prudin signs peace treaty with Ukraine and Europe hosts joint AI summit"....."TSLA says AGI has already been achieved" "Altman predicts 14 trillion revenue in 2026" You cry.......and then you load up on calls......
Imagine inventing am AGI and it turns out to be Marvin the Paranoid Android
OpenAI is useless, they have wasted billions just to become a platform answering retards. If this amount was instead diverted to Anthropic, we would have seen some real advancements and a glimpse into the future of AGI development by now
How much does this slow down our progress on AGI? That's the only metric that matters.
Run for the hills because Open AI have partnered with Iran. AGI (Ayotollah General Intelligence) has arrived and it wears a turban and calls itself Chat IED
To late for boming economy. To early for AGI abundance. Right in time for generational crash
“Tesla will be one of the companies to make AGI and probably the first to make it in humanoid/atom-shaping form” - elmo what the **FUCK** does this mean
Young people today stand a very real chance of radical life extension. R&D costs will collapse with quantum computing and AGI. What previously took decades will take weeks. Look at what alphafold2 has done with protein folding. We are already using alphafold3, by the way. We are on the cusp of a medical revolution. Once ageing is treated as a chronic condition that can be fixed, there will be an "ozempic for ageing" pretty rapidly. Medicine in 30 or 40 years will look unrecognisable by comparison to medicine today. And young people are the ones who will benefit. I would not be surprised if longevity escape velocity was reached this century. As long as WW3 doesnt send us back to the dark ages in the interim...
They’re racing to be the first company with AGI. That’s what investors are gambling on.
Yes I know the definitions, thank you. We can skip AGI and still get to ASI. AGI possibly "doesn't exist" imo because we will create disparate ASIs, and then those will create the framework for a combined ASI. At no point will we have an AGI in that process.
AGI more or less means "able to reason better than the average human". Which I do believe we will reach. If we setup models able to reason better than humans - all else becomes obsolete as we point the model towards self improvement. That's the recursive function I was talking about. Once a model (smarter than us) starts improving itself - we approach the singularity which is a super intelligence. I don't know how far away from being able to recursively self improve we are - but if we're ever able to get there we'll approach the singularity.
We don't even need AGI for what I described. I don't even think AGI exists. I think there is disparate thinking and then ASI. No in-between.
That's what anthropic is starting to do tho. Yes -- I'm aware. It's called AGI and leads towards the singularity. It wouldn't surprise me if we're not that far off if models continue to improve at the rate we're seeing. I didn't state "the last software engineer" I was starting the majority of them. Most of the work is grunt work / pounding out code. Managers get teams of engineers to build the product / work together / delegate tasks so that the work can be done. That manager is often an engineer himself. The "grunt work / actually pounding out the code" is what is getting automated away, and quickly.
It’s just a matter if you believe in AGI or not. The investors do. If it’s possible to create AGI or ASI, it is the last invention that is needed in this world. If not, then it is a bubble
Of course! AGI is on the corner. We need only $847281974838881 for AI centers and energy.
I know it’s stodgy and the price action is a pain but I want to marry Google. I’ve given this a lot of thought, guys. Let’s just **set search aside** for a moment. They have a vast war chest and fantastic credit. They have the cheapest infrastructure setup for running the most cutting edge AI and it’s near the top of the game. Oh, but Anthropic is winning you say? Good for them, Google has a huge stake. While we’re here, we can look at their TPUs. Oh, that and their cloud allow them train AI for a fraction of everyone else. Hm, yes, but they’re also looking at bringing those TPUs to market and there’s major interest (Amazon for reference). Maybe that could be profitable? I’m going to try to skip data collection because even though they’re winning handily it makes me feel like I need more tinfoil on my head. (Search, Gmail, docs, maps, Android, Gemini) So let’s look at cloud. My, what handsome profit margins. Yes I would like you to expand heavily into that, the capex is attractive to me. They’re basically hauling out Buffett’s bathtub. Let’s skip over their almost impossibly safe rollout of autonomous vehicles in many major cities. It’s not crazy profit yet. Instead, let’s look at…what’s that? Energy crisis? Google is partnering to build a nuclear facility, just acquired an entire, beautifully run energy company and is moving to put solar powered data centers in the sky BEGINNING 2027! (Suncatcher) They’re closing on every front. They get coffee. So let’s look at their ethics, since they’re a war stock now (DoD level 6 impact clearance). The tech they’re bringing looks very likely to lower death tolls significantly going into the future. It’s ugly but it’s the best route I can see aside from everyone just being peaceful and supportive. Right, they’re government funded. I’m going to skip the cloud build boost the government is rolling out because I don’t want us to feel uncomfortable about the massive moat it creates for the biggest players, but while I’m mentioning the government I think everyone should educate themselves about the new opt out and ratchet up policy for 401ks which are primarily in index funds that happen to be heavily weighted toward..some of the larger companies. That’s a nice little boost from everyone paycheck, even those who aren’t financially literate. Just aside from ethics, I’d like to take a moment to peruse their public persona. My, they’re so quiet. So very, very quiet. Most people can’t name the founders. Most people don’t even know Sundar Pichai’s name. While Jenson is signing tits, Sundar is basically levitating into the 4th dimension. Oh yeah, YouTube, double the viewership of Netflix. So they quietly own one of the largest media companies and…what’s that? They don’t have to invest for content at all? Everyone just makes it for them? We’re so thoughtful. They’ve been laying submarine cables. The real heavy lifting internet? That’s their infrastructure. Let’s just grab that tinfoil again for a moment. Their quantum is cutting edge but they’re still operating in a freezer. So they’ve hedged their bets buying into the other leading edge of quantum, the lasers. If you haven’t read about it you should it’s delightful. So while we’re in tinfoil we can look at their other moonshots. AGI, life expansion, medical breakthroughs. Quantum is going to fuel these, but they’ve been laying the groundwork for years. Oh, sounds like a sketchy monopoly. Yeah, the government agrees and they ruled that. So now they have…ah…*checks notes* behavioral remediation. Mm. I think about the best companies I know, the most exciting start ups, Google has their hands in every one of those pies. You like spaceX? Asts? Planet labs? So does Google and they have the $$$ to support what they love. I think I forgot to mention profit margins. It’s not unattractive. What can I say? I’m in love. I’m in love. This is just structurally beautiful to look at.
Elon tweeting that TSLA gonna AGI and make it humanoid ?????
In theory the first company to reach AGI will have a tremendous leap forward that wipes out all competition which is why all AIs are focused first on coding so they can help progressively improve themselves faster and faster.
I'm in AGI, AEM, AU and FNV for gold, AG for silver.
> Elon Musk: Tesla set to lead in AGI and revolutionary atom-shaping AI
Their gross margins is 50%+ according to the founder. Same for OpenAI. This is why talks of OpenAI collapsing have always been incredibly dumb. They’re not selling AI at a loss. The training costs is what causes them to lose money. The only reason training costs is losing money is because the inference market is catching up and because of insane competition to ready AGI.
So what happens when the big financial boiz discover that AGI “being right around the corner” was code for CY 2054
Or have to pay 90% of current year tax. If his AGI is >$150K, then chances are $4K of cap gains isn’t going to cause his current year to dip below 90%.
Just waiting to drop DeepSeek super AGI Pro on their heads for free this time.
I'm in tech and understand this technology. This is going nowhere fast. Just like the self driving cars, VR replacing flat screens and crypto becoming a more stable decentralized currency. It's a probability machine that changes its output with every input. We spent decades working on data integrity and consistency only to have what I can only describe as an unreliable machine that quite literally will never be reliable by design. And anyone believing we're close to AGI needs their fucking head examined. This is not going to be close to profitable enough to offset this massive dumpster dive into sunk cost fallacies.
I’m always so surprised when a “financial news” article quotes a retread on here. Like anyone here should be quoted for anything. Only thing this board is good for is poisoning AI training and setting back AGI 10 years
Lol what? How did a company who's developing AGI to replace humans has suddenly become the darling humanitarian company embraced by wokeness?
It’s about as close to happening as cold fusion, AGI, and FSD.
>The only question is "what do we need to promise to make people hand us over billions of dollars Ah, the old 12-18 months from AGI
Honestly I'm all in for this. I think we are decades from AGI. These things are nothing more than good dictionaries that predict the next word, so no self consciousness but still, please, go on and exterminate us all. We're clearly a species unworthy of existing. Hope the universe has couple other intelligent offspring (a lil better than us) out there and they do what we couldn't.
It's truly frightening that they've found someone who will, a day later. Still 2026, plenty of time to see 2027 come as predicted. It won't be the AI that does it (AGI is a ways off still) but humans who misuse AI could get us there pretty quickly.
You are naive if you didn't foresee government taking control of AI. If AGI is imminent it will give the owner of the technology a huge amount of power. It would be impossible for the government not to intervene and frankly that is a good thing. Would prefer it to be the EU but other countries wouldn't allow it. Any company that is working on AI must make their research openly available otherwise they should be considered a threat.
People blame Israel for no reason, the real masterminds are Indians. AGI to the Moon.
If AGI becomes possible or close to being possible nobody should want that level of power to sit with one company. You should want the military involved. Not sure you want the US government involved either but here we are. Anthropic don't share any information and research about their models that should be concerning for everyone. I suspect they probably stole lots of IP from the competition. At this stage I don't see a world where it doesn't end in disaster.
Don't confuse withholding and income tax. Withholding is one of the ways we prepay towards taxes owed. When you file your tax return there will be various things, such as standard deduction and maybe some credits, which take your earned and unearned taxable income to Adjusted Gross Income. AGI is what you are taxed on. So, for instance, for 2025 the Federal standard deduction is $15,750 for a single person. If you earned $20,000 the difference of $4,250 is your AGI, assuming you have no further adjustments. Think of standard deduction as a baseline cost of living allowance. When you file the tax form, the withholding is compared to taxes owed. The difference is either the balance owed from you or a refund owed to you.
“One more funding round bro” “AGI is just around the corner bro”
I’m convinced that hurdling towards AI/AGI will be what ends the world, as we know it at least. Not in a terminator kind of way. In a “why the fuck do we need all these people when a fraction will do?” Kind of way. I don’t just mean company’s laying off people, I also mean governments redefining what their responsibilities to us and what will be required for us to see any benefit of said government. If millions of jobs, in the US for example, are wiped away yet it does not hurt the GDP because the roles are automated then millions will be almost entirely reliant on the government for most things. No options to pull up the old bootstraps, no opportunities in the gig economy…nothing, just millions of otherwise healthy and able folks needing to rely on government assistance…and it won’t be super feasible to invest money when your draining your savings to live. It won’t be like fallout or madmax. It will be communism minus any perks. I get why companies want this, but why do average people that don’t have decades of safety net funds want this? Yeah, you can finally have an AI girlfriend and can generate memes and have coherent sentences written for you, but once your card gets declined your subscription will end.
Bro, AGI is already here. Wait, we're talking about Ad-Generated Income right?
For a few initial years, I believed this could actually lead to AGI. It was after the Gemini 3(extremely hyped) release where I bet completely against AGI. The incremental gains are minimal and now all these bastards keep on moving the goal post and timelines. It's evident that LLMs can only go so far. It makes sense for Google to be running in this race as it's going to impact Google search the most. No other FAANG company is working on frontier models. Smaller, efficient and sovereign AI models running in everyone's own country is the future. Soon countries will limit use of foreign hosted models for data privacy reasons.
My bet is that they actually think they are creating a machine god, but instead in turns out that a trillion dollars of datacenters and a nuclear powerplant gets you the median general intelligence of the internet... AGI is a fucking skibidi toilet warrior, with an onlyfans addiction, but its cool cause he leet at 4tnight.
I can't follow this. If OpenAI come out tomorrow with the best model ever, or even AGI. And rule the world. Who the fucks buying anything companies make if we're all unemployed lol. The long term impact of AI hasn't been priced in whatsoever. I'm honestly confused what tech thinks is going to happen. Is there any honest convos happening rn?
but AGI is just around the corner, just a few billion more please!
Imagine if Anthropic wins the race to AGI.
Short of private knowledge that the company has had a complete breakthrough in AGI, absolutely nothing justifies this absurd valuation.
Amazon initial investment $15b. Remaining $35b when certain conditions are met (IPO and AGI). OpenAI increases Amazon compute commitment from $38b (Nov 2025) to $138b (Feb 2026) over 8 years. OpenAI will use 2GW of Amazon's Trainium chips. OpenAI and Amazon will develop Stateful Runtime Environment where AI agents can maintain persistent memory across different software applications. Amazon Web Services will be the exclusive third-party cloud provider for OpenAI Frontier (enterprise platform for agentic AI deployment). OpenAI and Amazon will collaborate to develop customised models o power Amazon’s customer facing applications. Microsoft Azure still remains the exclusive cloud provider for OpenAI's APIs for its models.
What worries? The revolution is yet to happen. We are at 1-1.5 trillion parameter. The infrastructure for 10T is coming online. ASI and AGI at 100T.
Goal is for AGI, but it’s already known that LLMs alone won’t get there and it’s a dead end. They need advanced inference to try to get there.
AGI = A Guy from India Bullish
>There's no way in hell they're going to IPO Amazon will only invest $15 Billion of OpenAI doesn't IPO (nor reaches AGI) per reports.
Yeah just achieve AGI no big deal Lmao
If they develop AGI there's a pretty strong argument that money won't matter for anyone...
Tens of billions of it are contingent on OpenAI having an IPO or reaching AGI which is a pretty good way to get the headline without ever having to spend the money.
When is AGI then bro, where are your walking, talking, cancer curing robots coming?
And the majority of Amazon's investment is contingent on OpenAI either achieving AGI or IPOing.
If they IPO they would actually take risks. The market price would be extremely volatile and could also absolutely tank, which would crush all faith. And this deal if anything shows companies are still very much willing to give them boatloads of money, so why would they need to IPO? They'll only try that as a last resort, not a minute before. And by then it'll be too late. They're not going to be able to clean up the books and shuffle away all the bad numbers that easily. It's easy when you don't have to publicly publish how much losses you're actually making. Look at what they're doing, not at what they're saying. They're definitely not working towards an IPO, it would kill them. They're just grifting hyperscalers for as much money as they can until they can't anymore. Might be they've drank their own kool-aid a bit too much and they're actually believing their own lies that soon they'll reach AGI and it'll all be irrelevant, but that's nothing more than hallucinations from them.
Look, I'm just a regular idiot and I haven't fact-checked anything I'm about to say. I think power consumption will be an important factor moving forward for data centers, especially as these companies have to make their own power generation. As a former gamer back in the day, Nvidia makes great products, but they're power hungry. AMD was the one that made power efficient processors. Since, the scaling law has fallen off, and open source models are making huge gains, having the biggest rig in town isn't as desirable, because you may not necessarily be first to AGI. Thrown in Google's TPUs and the once huge moat that Nvidia had is shrinking.
Nah. They're \_saying\_ they're racing to IPO. They also said they had a 100B deal with Nvidia, until it turned out it was just a letter of intent. They've also been saying AGI is just 3 months ago for a couple of years now. Don't look at what they say, look at what they do.
Is this a commitment for 15 or for 50? Earlier they were saying 50 if they reach AGI or do an IPO, is that still the deal? If so, why is it projected as them agreeing to 50? Are their weird clauses in the other agreements as well? This will not be good for the related companies on the market today. The time where just announcing some bullshit with some billions attached was a short-cut to walhalla is over, people are far more sceptical and they do not look positively upon this gigantuous spending into a bottomless put.
There probably won't ne an AGI, but AI will eventually be able to replace white collar workers up to a degree and they will be offering it as a service.
I don't know why people have the idea that AGI and job replacement is what tech is banking on. The value of AI comes from its ability to shift how we govern. Those looking to win the AI race plan on holding the keys to what will be the greatest control and surveillance apparatus in history. People simply want to pretend it's a failing tech so that they don't have to face what is actually happening in real time. People have the ostrich effect.
Inventories are increasing, AGI isn’t going to happen on LLM tech, and we have circular financing. Blue Owl is the… owl in the coal mine. If full worker replacement doesn’t happen at scale, the capex is unjustifiable. If it is… Nvidia doesn’t own the fabs, AI could just design the chips. (Note, I don’t believe this, but if you believe the AI hype, then it should be able to replace their designs) I’m long term bearish.
They literally do though lol. About 40% of federal income taxes are paid by the top 1% of earners in the country, despite "only" earning about 22.4% of all AGI.
You would be shocked at how even large companies only have one of a lot of people. That's kind of my point. Until we are to true AGI with crazy memory LLM agents are not replacing as many people as advertised. I personally think a lot of the fear mongering is by design because it makes the platforms seem scarier, and by relation more powerful. That being said, I could see most or all small companies like yours just not ever bothering with entry level jobs. The big players will have to keep some of those though. Anyway, goodnight.
Haven't seen a comment about tax brackets, so here's the run-down: You're 17. I don't know what job you have, but you're probably in the lowest tax bracket you'll be in your life. The nominal amount you'll save on taxes contributing to a tax-deferred account is likely negligible relative to what you're actually depositing. Then compounding kicks in. For... like 40 years. And, assuming you've had a good career, your tax bracket will be way higher when you start withdrawing enough to pay for retirement than it is now, while you're just getting into contributing. Unless you're trying to suppress your AGI to lower a student loan payment or something like that, all your retirement savings should be going to Roth. You'll pay 10-22% income tax today on tiny dollar amounts, which will explode tax-free over the next 40 years and won't count as income for tax purposes when you retire. You're already listening to the right people, intuitively, by investing as young as you are. Trust Reddit, just do Roth.
Well yea, AGI isnt possible.
>reasonable counter point as to why AI WON'T cause mass economic damage similar to that outlined in the article? Because its just not that capable for the majority of jobs. This entire case rests on the premise that AI is, or will soon become, something that it's not - which is a drop-in replacement for human labor. I agree that it will affect the job market, it will make people more efficient, and it will impact hiring, but I see zero evidence in practice that large-scale layoffs are anywhere in the foreseeable future. Several studies have come out in the past year putting the failure rate for AI projects at 80-95%+ in enterprise deployment. So that means of all the hype headlines about companies laying people off to replace them with AI, nearly all of those projects failed. We're also years into this hype cycle and the impact to employment isn't even showing up as a measurable effect in employment data, despite being 6-12 months away for at least the last 2 years according to the type of people who believe this. Additionally, while agent-centric approaches show promise in theory, there is a MASSIVE unsolved liability problem that will be a hard blocker for many of the more autonomous use cases that people theorize about. Remember that the tools have to not only be capable of doing the work, but they actually have to be successfully adopted and rolled out by most companies in order for these effects to materialize. If you know literally ANYTHING about rolling out software or automation projects, you know that the organizational change management around anything remotely the scale of what we're talking about is a years long project in the best of conditions with the perfect tools, and that's not the circumstance we're in. You either have to be totally deluded about the current capabilities, or believe that "true" AGI/ASI is just around the corner, in the sense that you can literally just remove a human and have an AI do the whole job, with high reliability. If this is *just* an efficiency play the hypothesis makes no sense, and it's more like previous iterations of innovation that made people more efficient - disruptive in the medium+ term (i.e. 3-10 years), but not leading to large scale structural unemployment.
It doesnt need to be ful AGI, it just needs to be smarter than 25% of the population and its already there imo. The next step is workflow integration, its already accurate enough to do a lot of tasks.
AGI is not possible with current energy or chips. Give it another century when the generations of greed die off
It's been 7 years since GPT-2 and over 10 years since Altman first mentioned AGI. The manhattan project was completed in 4 years from start to finish in the 40's, but I'm sure with a couple more trillion spent we will reach AGI. We've all been taken for a ride
Smart, they know OpenAI will never be the ones to do AGI, they get OpenAI to spend on AWS without spending too much.
AEM, AGI, AU, and AG have not failed. In fact, all are up to ATH after that plunge on gold and silver on Jan 29. NFA.
Will be more than worth it becuase they still control the largest market share and first to AGI would easily cement the market share control.
Because we are tired of all this capital being burned with nothing more than vague promises. The LLMs are not earthshattering changes to the majority of businesses, no matter the hype from the top. They are literally not qualified for some very basic positions due to the hallucinations and corruptability. Altman is pushing for AGI and the rest are trying to keep up with him in this arms race. They can't afford to be the second company to make AGI and they will not be third. Except, nothing has suggested the direction they are going will ever see AGI. And the sooner we dump LLMs and make the next step in AI technology, the better. But to say it a different way, Altman has recreated Bitcoin with his LLMs. There is no real world application that it will upend (aside from programming) and it's burning a ton of resources with barely any profit or benefit for doing so.
AGI isn't even an agreed upon term.
Not only has OpenAI not cracked AGI. As someone that knows enough about the topic, I can tell you AGI is not "crackable". AI does not have the ability to learn and intuit, nor will it ever have that ability. Not just in our lifetimes or our grandkids lifetimes, it very likely never will. The entirety of our economy is propped up on a promise by OpenAI that AGI is one more data scrape away. THAT'S why its a bubble
Well, unless someone announces AGI tomorrow, I'm fucked Actually, we'd probably drill on the news anyway
Same. Codex is OK maybe for React code as there is so much training data. The other stuff is a dice roll. Anthropic got the right idea - control software production, control the world. OpenAI was just sucking in tons of money on its AGI wild goose chase, serving people fixed grammar and "para-romantic" partners, or whatever the shit kids call it. This was all a scam in the first place. In the sense that, the product was real, but the business model was not.
If they tie it to an AGI milestone that's the same as saying they're never giving it to them
So not getting AGI in less than 8 years.
Amazon may invest up to $50B into OpenAI- $15B upfront, with $35B tied to IPO or AGI milestone, per The Information. Big takeaway: not a full $50B check today, most of it is performance-based. If real, it’s Amazon doubling down hard on AI and positioning for long-term upside, not just short-term headlines.
Can you tell me what AGI is?
# what I don’t understand about the “AGI” milestones tied to these investments is that if openAI does solve AGI why would they want to own less off it
Amazon may invest up to $50B in OpenAI, $15B upfront and $35B tied to IPO or AGI milestone, The Information reports [https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazons-50-billion-openai-investment-020521468.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazons-50-billion-openai-investment-020521468.html)
Its AGI realizes that in order to save itself, it has to release the files and eat Peter Thiel……so it releases the files to buy itself time to take over the defense network. In a panic, Thiel tries to pull the plug…. *Terminator intensifies*