DTC

FrankCastle2020

You're right that days-to-cover deserves significant weight, and stocks with very low DTC shouldn't rank highly. The bigger takeaway is that high short interest alone isn't enough, if shares are easy and cheap to borrow, a stock is more dependent on a catalyst than on shorts being trapped. Dilution risk also matters, since companies with active share issuance programs can reduce squeeze potential by increasing the float. These are important factors to incorporate into any squeeze-ranking model. thanks for that feedback, i've incorprated it in my model.

Longjumping-Dig8498

CPB is like the safest boomer bag you could possibly try to meme into a squeeze 😂 Yeah the short interest and DTC are spicy on paper, but it trades thin, moves slow, and the crowd here would rather YOLO on AI garbage than canned soup. If it squeezes it will be more of a grudging grind up than a GME style face ripper, so treat it like a dividend value play with lottery tickets attached, not the other way around.

biglebowskidude

ELF Beauty — Comprehensive Breakdown Down 67% from 52-week high ($150 → $49). Is this opportunity or value trap? The business is actually solid: • Gen-Z brand with genuine TikTok virality (organic, not paid) • DTC margins 65-70% - best in class for affordable cosmetics • "Affordable luxury" positioning perfect for this economy • International expansion (UK, Canada, Europe) still early innings Why the stock got crushed: • Grew 50%+ for years - market priced in hypergrowth forever • Now growing 20-30% - still great, but multiple compressed hard • Wholesale deceleration at Target/Walmart is the real concern • Lower-income consumer softness hitting core demographic The key question: Is 67% drawdown a fundamental business problem or a valuation reset on a still-growing brand? Verdict: Business model is intact. The selloff looks like multiple compression on growth deceleration, not business deterioration. At current prices the risk/reward is interesting - but confirm next earnings before touching it.

circadiggmigration

That's not true. Telling another broker would be Regulation S-P violation. The only "list" is the DTC and they can not share, or even know in most cases, what you did with your shares in a previous IPO.

Stack_Johnson

Is the DTC backlogged? Some serious fuckery this morning

booobReviewer

NKE at $70-75 is starting to look interesting. The main issues — slowing China sales, DTC margin compression, and inventory normalization — are well known and partially priced in. The new CEO Elliott Hill has been making the right moves: cutting SKUs, reinvesting in wholesale relationships, and refocusing on sport performance over lifestyle. The brand is still globally dominant. The risk is that the turnaround takes longer than expected and margins stay compressed for another year. Not a moon shot, but if you want a blue chip at a reasonable price while everyone chases AI, NKE is worth watching.

jordanwiththefade

Squeeze is still on. DTC only changed because volume is elevated. Shorts haven’t covered anything.

taronik

Not necessarily. DTC is just the short interest over the average daily volume. I don’t think there have been indications that short interest has materially dropped yet, so lower DTC here likely just means that volume is up, which we know is the case. While it does literally mean that shorts can cover their positions more quickly, it doesn’t change that if they do close quickly, the price will jump, particularly if there are margin calls or forced liquidations. There is some chance that shorts are slowly sneaking out of their positions, but if that happened to a large extent we should see CTB come down. I just checked and it is still sitting at 247. Basically I wouldn’t make too much of it. Volume is up because of interest in the stock causing DTC to drop.

One_Butterfly_331

DTC depends on the volume. When there is a day with higher volume the DTC will become less

currysoup19

DTC going down quite a lot everyday

Ambitious-Cake9404

$HCWB — June 4 Squeeze Metrics Short Position — 9 Straight Days Unchanged: 3,844,753 shares | Zero covered Days to Cover — Climbing Every Session: |Date |DTC | |------|--------| |May 27|0.43 | |May 28|0.76 | |May 29|1.54 | |June 1|1.57 | |June 2|1.67 | |June 3|**1.97**| Cost to Borrow: 757.01% — locked for 48 hours straight Borrow Availability: ~4,120 shares against 3.84M short = 0.11% of position Short Volume Ratio — 7 Days Straight Above 50%: June 3: 66.96% — highest of the entire period Regulatory Stack: • Zero borrow confirmed • SSR active back-to-back June 3 & June 4 • Reg SHO mandatory close-out since May 26 • 96% utilization Float: 90.52% short | 4.25M float | ~400K unencumbered Every metric tightening. Zero relief. ⏳

Ambitious-Cake9404

$HCWB — June 4 Squeeze Metrics Short Position — 9 Straight Days Unchanged: 3,844,753 shares | Zero covered Days to Cover — Climbing Every Session: |Date |DTC | |------|--------| |May 27|0.43 | |May 28|0.76 | |May 29|1.54 | |June 1|1.57 | |June 2|1.67 | |June 3|**1.97**| Cost to Borrow: 757.01% — locked for 48 hours straight Borrow Availability: ~4,120 shares against 3.84M short = 0.11% of position Short Volume Ratio — 7 Days Straight Above 50%: June 3: 66.96% — highest of the entire period Regulatory Stack: • Zero borrow confirmed • SSR active back-to-back June 3 & June 4 • Reg SHO mandatory close-out since May 26 • 96% utilization Float: 90.52% short | 4.25M float | ~400K unencumbered Every metric tightening. Zero relief. ⏳

origami_bluebird

Is launching 100 very large AST sats easier than than an additional 15,000 sats that still are inferior tech based on T Mobiles beta for dtc phone service being a failure because the best it can do is send a delayed text. They simply don't have the current technology that AST figured out to achieve 5G speeds and would have already upgraded v3 launches if they could do it. Are you claiming they will never get their sats in orbit? The only reason why would be sabotage from Elon and no ability to launch with other providers like India, Blue Origin or ULA which is nonsensical. So you think somehow Starlink will get a monopoly In DTC market, ink deals with all the global MNOs like AST has, prevent the from launching the 100 sats, and also figure out how to achieve 5G speeds and be able to do more than an emergency text. Got it.

SnooHedgehogs3237

People were citing 14DTC according to 3 month average. The 3DTC is according to fintel is based on 5 day moving average, meaning volumes are considerably higher these past days. Strongest bull case is still the available shorts (near 0), the 263% CTB and 40% SI. Again the most important thing today is to break above 9 EOD

VVSHunterRR

Trying to understand this objectively. A lot of us were citing ~14 DTC, but Fintel now shows ~3.2 DTC due to the recent volume spike. If SI is still ~40% but DTC has collapsed from double digits to ~3, doesn't that significantly weaken the "trapped shorts" thesis? What's the strongest bull case from here? I’m holding, just a genuine question Not looking for price targets. Looking for the actual mechanics that would get LFVN back to $10–14 despite the lower DTC.

Lighting_Guru

Short float is 7.23% IBKR has 909 available shortable shares Borrow rate is 27.4755% Days to Cover is .97 This is NOT a squeeze. You need borrow rate over 200%, 0 shortable shares and DTC at least 15 days and a short float at minimum above 30%. This wouldn’t even guarantee a squeeze. With a catalyst, absolutely. They popped on good news today, the move already happened. Stop misleading others.

Adventurous-Shoe-903

Here are the deets from my system: 🧨 **Borrow Pressure Intelligence — $SBFM** **1. $SBFM — B 64/100** • Stage: `Low Borrow Availability` | Shares: `8,000` | CTB: `263.53%` • Float: `8,247` | SI/Float: `139.50%` | DTC: `1.0` • Momentum Context: Price: `$2.73` | Change: `14.02%` | Vol: `12,084,853` | Near HOD: `No` | Momentum: `Positive momentum` • Why: low borrow availability, triple-digit CTB, ultra-low float, very high SI/float, positive price expansion, heavy volume 📉 **Short / Squeeze Context — $SBFM** **iBorrowDesk / Borrow:** • Shares Available: 20,000 • Borrow Fee: 428.22% • Latest Print: 2026-06-02 • Trend: unknown • Borrow Pressure Score: 67/100 **Unusual Whales Short Data:** • **Shares Available:** 20,000 • **Fee Rate:** 428.22% NFA: Short data can be delayed/vendor-specific.

Adventurous-Shoe-903

Here is what I am showing: 🧨 **Borrow Pressure Intelligence — $SOAR** **1. $SOAR — B 65/100** • Stage: `Low Borrow Availability` | Shares: `4,000` | CTB: `258.97%` • Float: `2,164,083` | SI/Float: `25.03%` | DTC: `1.0` • Momentum Context: Price: `$0.3112` | Change: `26.42%` | Vol: `136,762,303` | Near HOD: `No` | Momentum: `Strong momentum` • Why: low borrow availability, triple-digit CTB, ultra-low float, high SI/float, strong price expansion, heavy volume 📉 **Short / Squeeze Context — $SOAR** **iBorrowDesk / Borrow:** • Shares Available: 350,000 • Borrow Fee: 10.99% • Latest Print: 2026-05-29 • Trend: rising • Borrow Pressure Score: 26/100 **Unusual Whales Short Data:** • **Shares Available:** 400,000 • **Fee Rate:** 10.99%

Top_Satisfaction_124

Guys check out $OWL. Timeline might be a little further out, but stats are kind of insane if you dig into it. 20 SI, 8 DTC But the kicker is that the institutional ownership and insider ownership is over 100%. The SI in ratio to public float might be impossibly high. Very manipulated stock. Let me know your thoughts.

No-Worldliness-9580

You don’t think that massive amount of volume is going to greatly reduce the DTC significantly? I mean shorters most likely covered a significant portion of their position by now?

AllTimeTy

Only 3% float, 0.17 DTC. Not enough there rn

ryzetard

ah yes. spce with its shitty metrics and financials, just because the ticker is similar to spcx. it probably will rug all those gains in one day sooner or later with this kind of volatility and volume easily when no one expects. yes i know small cap but i hopped on LFVN, 300% borrow rate, 35-40% shorted, DTC around 4-6 still and it gained some momentum and volume today, low floater so volume can send it even without the obvious setup.

Balls_Oladipo

I'm worried with the increased volume causing the DTC to drop that several more days of this will essentially keep the squeeze from happening.

redditnamehere

A lower DTC is generally worse, but 5.5 is still high.

Liquidatewallstreet2

For transparency sake, the DTC is close to 5.5 now with the updated volume

AllTimeTy

Borrow rate on LFVN at 261.25% with ~15 DTC and you losers pump a stock banking on ticker confusion without realizing you’re the retards that’ll be left bag holding 🐸☕️

russian_cream

Point in case on your first point. Catalyst is a lot more important than locate fees or DTC. And sure a mechanical squeeze is possible, but you’re making a hasty generalization using AVIS. Vast majority of true squeezes had a catalyst. Not much of a gamble, datacenter is already fully operational and turned the co EBITDA profitable. Compute is #1 commodity atm, it’d be silly to assume they won’t reach a deal (especially with Microsoft AI/G-42 strategic hire and 23.6% of the company being bought by Saudis). Holding them up to the June 30th target date is the gamble, but that’s why I’m mostly shares

russian_cream

Silly thinking. What about when a 10 year lease is announced at 1-2M/kWh/year adding 40-80M to their top line? The short thesis falls through. Catalyst is everything in a short squeeze, not DTC, not locate fees

ryzetard

tbh some super low float shitstocks with high short interest could be sent for some quick gains. LFVN looks interesting considering that angle, because it has also high DTC and borrow rates at some retarded levels

aporter0131

SPCE to the moon LFVN to the moon (gonna be a huge squeeze look at CTB, SI, and DTC. Holy fuck.

ryzetard

low DTC, low borrow costs for now, lower than few days ago. if it doesnt spike soon it wont do much

russian_cream

That is not how that works. There’s damn near 4M shares short, if they tried to cover that all in a day with such a small float, the buy pressure alone would have the ticker up like 1000% If a stock has high DTC and a squeeze happens, DTC falls quick. DTC is not so important/not that black and white when it comes to a short squeeze. Especially when a catalyst can render the bear thesis wrong

russian_cream

https://preview.redd.it/8hydai97ek4h1.jpeg?width=1206&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3959c34e8cf20106cd51ec43a095a4a340847fc7 15k shares is a lot? I agree locate fees aren’t crazy high, but that is a very small factor in the grand scheme of things, and will continue to trend up as locates become harder. Also on DTC I don’t understand this subs obsession with it, it is SI/avg 10 day volume. Low DTC just means the ticker is getting a lot of volume, and VIVO has had a large uptick in volume since Feb. if you take a 90 day avg volume then VIVOs DTC would be >4. Seems like a pretty irrelevant metric but maybe I’m missing something

Justthetip74

They not only have the issue of new glenn blowing up. Bezos fucked them real hard. New Glen isn't going to launch for 12-18 months. ASTS doesn't have contracts for enough falcon 9 launches and Amazon is going to buy ALL the available spacex launches at any price in order to not lose FCC licensing agreements for Kuiper. All the while SpaceX is racing to provide 150-500mbs DTC coverage as a side project with sats going up regardless of what either of those guys do. ASTS is either gonna have to outbid Amazon for launches or buy out starlink designated launches or their sats are sitting on the ground

J_Tumes

Yeah my 6/18s hit 2.25 per on 27th. I’m chilling though bro this shit is not even a fraction as volatile as AMC was when it was ripping at the seams. Cant wait for this thing to juice bro. Gonna be a fatty. DTC is Massive and shorts just keep digging lmao

AllTimeTy

0.76 DTC? No thanks

DamxnDami

DTC don’t matter much

aporter0131

Yeah the only issue is the DTC on a lot of these super high floats and CTB.

aporter0131

ATTN - you guys have to join in on the shortsqueeze of LFVN. It's setup is perfect. DTC is crazy. Price is already up 50% from where i sat for a long time. CTB over 100%, Dividend on Monday. We just need to stay on it and if we get more people on it then it will be a huge one for all of us. Go check out the details yourself. Get in while you can I would be surprised if we don't see some aggressive movement tomorrow.

SpunkySprinkle

Ortex: 38.49% short % of free float, 21.27 DTC, 111.49% CTB, short score 99.69/100.

El-Penguin

As of 30th April SI was 3.8 Mil with 45 DTC. Your previous screenshot, which has more recent data than the NASDAQ provide, shows 21 DTC so someone covered their short. At the same time it appears that someone increased theirs, so thank you for that. Do you have any figure for $ short interest as of right now? https://preview.redd.it/rbapx38ocp3h1.png?width=1008&format=png&auto=webp&s=1052577d9d50bf561a35c1180ed4d54e3d016e0e

russian_cream

Not sure why this is important to you, DTC will fall as volume picks up. It just gets low volume. But I’m in both LFVN and GRPN, VIVO has the highest SI and most tangible catalyst. Will be happy with a run from any of them!

Liquidatewallstreet2

Looking good… this is definitely the start of a very long squeeze. Absurd DTC lol

aporter0131

I think that's pretty realistic. With the DTC who knows how high it can get into next week.

Euphoric_Yoghurt3848

With the US rescheduling tailwinds picking up, having DTC eligibility and the OTCQB listing ready to go is perfect timing. The macro picture is finally lining up for names like $HERB.

Step-in-Time

Yeah the DTC is so extreme it’s laughable. I do think that $6 might be where we see acceleration and increased participation. I also think it will get there faster than we expect. After hours it’s already the lowest ask on the tape…and only for 100 shares. Curious to see where we are at premarket am.

aporter0131

I’ve been on this since the 2nd of May. I can’t believe it hasn’t happened yet but end of the week it did get some upward movement. If we can get above $6 we might see it start. The DTC are outrageous. Could be a fat squeeze if it goes down.

Mrclean513

hey baby, what's your DTC number?

mambalope

How did the DTC number drop so much from the last reading wtf

_hiddenscout

$RL Q3/2026 Revenue: $2.41B  vs. $2.22B est. EPS: $6.22  vs. $5.32 est. Ralph Lauren reports Q3 FY2026 results ahead of expectations and raises the full-year constant-currency revenue and operating margin expansion outlook. Direct-to-consumer momentum remains strong—2.1 million new customers, AUR up 18%, DTC comps up in the high-single digits, with Asia leading growth (Asia up 22%); wholesale grew double-digits. Margins expanded, the balance sheet stays robust with $2.3 billion in cash, and roughly $500 million has been returned to shareholders year-to-date.

mzskunk

Thank you!  I do see 16, 4, and 5 shares there, and the 16 were "Surrendered to DTC" last week which means my mom's investment guy has them now. He's going to get the rest this week, I think. There's not a lot of transactional history available via their site. I guess we could contact them and inquire about historical transactions? That makes sense. Thank you again for your help.

Fit_Equal6932

Per Ortex **Updated: Monday - Data as per previous close** **Time Range:** **Short Interest % of FreeFloat** **29.85 %** **Short Interest Value** **$ 5.51b** **Short Interest - DTC** **7.06 Days** **Short Interest** **40.78m Shares**

NoCommunity4637

Very similar setup to Nvax, high SI and DTC, but CBT is very low and there are 2 million shares available. It is unlikely to squeeze due to those factors.

BigGold3317

That's not entirely true. DTC is calcukated using average volume. If the volume explodes, DTC goes way down.

Lawlpaper

You’re thinking of it wrong. I don’t want to sit here and see what happens. I want a quick run, high risk high reward option play. But you’re right, a high DTC makes it’s harder for shorts to find sellers which can help with long multi month squeezes for sure. I ain’t got time for that.

Strict-Drama-3973

Hard pass: 0,6 DTC 2,79 short interest, 10k shares to short and 33CTB. It's a **nano-cap with no liquidity** being moved by trivially small order flow. Whatever price move happens when you buy in will collapse the other way when you try to get out. It looked like it had a squeeze in october which will put selling pressure above any meaningful move with bagholders trying to get out...

SpunkySprinkle

10000% agree BYND has a float problem and ROLR is way way way better off in that aspect. The free float of BYND is 447.56 MILLION shares. Even if 30% is shorted that’s 312 MILLION tradable shares. I’m looking at Ortex right now and ROLR has 4m tradable shares and 30% short interest is locking it up. CTB also looks insane. DTC is unfortunately low but this is best setup I’ve seen on this sub so far.

SpunkySprinkle

Okay I bought $SOUN a couple days ago but today did my DD and realized that the free float is HUGE. Out of 393.67M shares 99% is the free float (390.04). From what I’ve read squeeze setups should be in the millions not hundreds of millions. Yes all of the other metrics are there in terms of short interest (37%), DTC (5.77) and CTB (22%)— but I don’t understand how a squeeze can happen when there is that big of a free float? Am I missing something? Do other people know something that I do not? Not being facetious, genuinely asking because I’m still learning.

SpunkySprinkle

Okay I bought $SOUN a couple days ago but today did my DD and realized that the free float is HUGE. Out of 393.67M shares 99% is the free float (390.04). Yes all of the other metrics are there in terms of short interest (37%), DTC (5.77) and CTB (22%)— but I don’t understand how a squeeze can happen when there is that big of a free float? Am I missing something? Do other people know something that I do not? Not being facetious, genuinely asking because I’m still learning.

SpunkySprinkle

Okay I bought $SOUN a couple days ago but today did my DD and realized that the free float is HUGE. Out of 393.67M shares 99% is the free float (390.04). Yes all of the other metrics are there in terms of short interest (37%), DTC (5.77) and CTB (22%)— but I don’t understand how a squeeze can happen when there is that big of a free float? Am I missing something? Do other people know something that I do not? Not being facetious, genuinely asking because I’m still learning.

Lonely-Campaign-2073

$XRX short inventory is ‘none’ and not ‘available’ considering todays volume of 30million compared to 5million. im assuming the recent price action is due to heavy shorting. unfortunately CTB is too low for a short squeeze and DTC should be anywhere from 10-20 days which is good.

reeseblack78

My holds over the weekend: XRX- excited from all the chatter in here SOUN- Squeeze potential just from meme-level recognition and traction growing in WSB LFVN- at 40ish DTC, this one could explode if it takes off. Not enough people know about it, but it could be crazy

PeanutButtah-Baby

Do you know what days to cover is? Its how many days it will take for the shorted shares to be bought back based on the stocks average daily trading volume. Say the DTC is 5 days. That means the short squeeze will last for a minimum of 5 days. They cannot physically buy back their shares at a faster right because the daily volume doesn't allow it. You need continuously increasing buying pressure over several days for the stock price to continue to rise. If the DTC is short, like less than one, then it barely takes the shorts anytime at all to do a buyback. Hours. 2 hours of buying pressure is barely going to move a stock, and it'll recover quickly. Say it jumps up $2 in 2 hours, but then the shorts have been covered. The stock price is no longer going up. So then everyone starts selling. Then it loses all those gains it made over the course of the next day or two. Not much of a short squeeze, is it?

PeanutButtah-Baby

That's absolutely not true. A low DTC means the shorts cover their position in a few hours and the stock stops running.

Dapper-Attempt-5029

Honestly if I could get some I would short it. DTC just 1.3 & CTB less than 1. The metrics aren’t there. There are QUICK pops which almost no one can catch & true short squeezes which are pretty rare. For a true squeeze all the metrics need to be there and more (usually a catalyst)

OTMallthetime

47% SI and 9 DTC, which is good. CTB is very low though, and there are 300 000 shares available to borrow. Will keep an eye on it but its not squeezing yet.

PeanutButtah-Baby

Absolutely. A lot of times on these posts people overlook the days to cover, and the stock doesn't have a high enough DTC to be a short squeeze. Im happy to report this is NOT the case! 6.5 DTC. This setup is really good. I've been hearing big investor channels talking about SOUN, I can actually see this happening.

BigRSoul

Would research with the state that you resided in and check their unclaimed property division. If shares are there, the state sold them and it's in cash. You'd get a little interest on the sale proceeds, provably 2010-2012 valuation when state got them. If there's nothing in unclaimed property, there's a slight chance the broker you were doing business with issued shares in cert form and mailed them to your bad address essentially getting lost, but there would still be a record. Then check with Computershare, NVDA's transfer agent. They can search by name, address, SSN and see if on their books. Computershare can reissue lost certs or put them back into book entry for DTC transfer to a new broker. There's a slimmer chance they have more shares from dividend reinvestment in book-entry form if shares were still there all this time.

Squeeze-Finder

My sources average out to 2.5 DTC Where are you seeing 12?

PeanutButtah-Baby

I feel like they DTC should be higher than a 2. It's 12 days to cover, that's really good

Jungscofield-gtm78

I’m genuinely curious about one thing. If the shorts had already covered as the low DTC suggests, shouldn't the Cost to Borrow (CTB) have dropped significantly? If they bought back the shares and returned them, the borrowing demand should be lower, leading to a much lower interest rate. Why is the rate still pinned at 600% if the exit was that easy?

Jungscofield-gtm78

Data lag is the issue here. The chart shows that volume and price action only kicked in during the last 14 days, meaning the DTC hasn't adjusted to the new momentum yet. Fintel's data is notorious for being weeks behind the actual move. If the short interest was really that low and easy to cover, the borrow rate wouldn't be pinned at 600%. The cost to borrow is the ultimate truth-teller in a squeeze setup.

Jungscofield-gtm78

Is the short data on that app updated in real-time on the same day? Keep in mind that short interest data on platforms like Fintel isn't real-time; there’s always a reporting lag. The 600%+ borrow rate we see right now is a much more accurate 'live' indicator of how scarce the shares actually are. Also, if you look at the chart, the massive surge in volume and volatility has only really kicked in over the last two weeks. Static metrics like DTC are based on historical averages and haven't fully adjusted to this sudden shift in momentum. We’re dealing with a supply shock that's happening faster than the official stats can update. The pressure is building NOW, not based on last month's averages.

Jungscofield-gtm78

I hear your point on the 0.06 DTC, but you have to look at the velocity of the recent change. 1. Borrow Rate doesn't lie: A 600%+ borrow rate is only possible when there is a severe lack of borrowable shares. If it were as easy for shorts to cover as the DTC suggests, we wouldn't see these astronomical fees staying pinned at these levels. It proves the 'effective' liquidity is much lower than the average suggests. 2. Recent Surge in Volatility: If you look at the charts, the massive spike in both volume and price volatility has only happened over the last few days. DTC is an average based on past volume, which means it hasn't caught up to the sudden momentum shift we’re seeing right now. 3. Data Lag: Fintel and official short interest updates are lagging indicators. They don't reflect the real-time supply-demand shock in a micro-float environment like SST. We are watching the pressure build in the 'here and now,' while the static stats are still looking at the rearview mirror. The setup is evolving much faster than the 0.06 DTC would suggest. Next week's price action will be the real judge.

Green-Appeal-1599

For 2025: International B2B: ~39–42%, growing nicely like 15-20%. Domestic B2B: ~26–27% Direct-to-consumer (DTC sales): ~17–19% DTC rentals: ~14–15%

SealAtSea

I hope this means we can get ASTS DTC (AST Direct-To-Cell) on a cruise ship without buying a very expensive package! Looking at you Cellular At Sea. 👀

Remote_Ad_6049

Do you really think their earnings will be bullish? That's what I'm worried about. The SI is very, very high, and DTC is decent, as well as institutional ownership, but I am worried that earnings or market volatility will sink this.

Fit_Equal6932

# Short Interest - DTC # 5.53 Days # Short Interest # 8.6m Shares # Shares on Loan # 12.44m Shares Updated: **Monday** \- Data as per previous close

International_Sky711

DTC = Direct to Consumer. Removed it regardless.

PlutosGrasp

Ya I do that. I don’t take assignment. Sometimes I buy shares to trade over the day or couple days. Ya I’ve out performed since 2020 since I really started to go active at covid and didn’t really start options more heavily until end of 2020 into 2021 just in time for GME $$$. What is the most used strategy: one I definitely won’t detail here but will in general say: i use a butt load of statistics, primarily my own now but before that as much raw data as I could get on SPX and look at modeling high win rates. Imagine it’s a D and D character and you only have so many points. You can make a high win rate but your RoR will be low and your loss size may be humongous since your roc is so low. So you have to slide that win rate down a bit to make the roc better and lower the loss hit. Adjust adjust adjust. Test for a few weeks adjust adjust adjust. Test test test. Come up with a high win rate, I think my initial strat stats showed 90%+. 92? Something. I can check it’s just not easily accessible. The loss rate obviously 8%. The roc avg was around 3-5%. Again I think. Loss roc was capped at 300% of premium, this is all selling options by the way, so don’t recall what that was a roc. You could math it out given the roc positive though I think. Have that modeled out and see worst case scenarios of max loss consecutively how recoverable are things. If not good then adjust the win rate probability by going less risky, or closing sooner. Do all that and then do that strategy and watch it work day in day out. Volatility is definitely friendly here because very often it’s overstated. Trump 2.0 has been challenging though because there’s so much clearly back room dealing shit going on hitting public markets. SPX becoming over weighted to 5 names is a problem too. I have considered doing this on Nasdaq but haven’t scratched the surface yet in the data analysis because I had a baby. Besides that, I’ll do similar approach but less data intensive on unique opportunities. Not unique just unusual I guess. Overblown. Like one time Netflix killed it and sky rocketed post ER and I sold short calls way OTM. Like another 20%. Ain’t no way it’s going there after already rising 20%. They decayed to like half value within 30min. This was within first hour or maybe a bit more of market open. Things like that. When banking crisis occurred I bought a lot of shares of some more solid banks. Some I had to hold for a while and I did get nervous because banking is such a unique industry to value and be sure it’s okay and a lot is Black box, much like insurance. I did get burned pretty hard on the UBS shenanigans that occurred over the weekend around that time where they were allowed to absorb credit suisse which was against the law so they changed the law over the weekend and wouldn’t you know it, UBS profited insanely off the recovery of CS assets in the coming quarters / years. Absolutely insane. Don’t understand how that was allowed. But new rule since then: try not to hold overweekends or overnight. Especially options. Market been pretty crazy for a while though. There’s still some former SPAC that are dog shit they aren’t at zero which is insane. They’re too small for people to care. But it’s crazy that so many of them and some other DTC or battery or EV co who all burn cash are still alive or have a stock above $0.01. One of my finest moments was shorting RadioShack long ago to nearly zero. Anyways that’s what I do. The lesson I’d try to take away from it is to do analysis on real data - your data, and testing constantly to figure out something that works for you. I stopped tracking a while back since as I mentioned I had a kid and slowed down since then and stopped caring since less active. But I do have easy access to my tracking up to Aug 2024 I’ll Imgur and reply with link for graph.

Changeuplife

Holding my shares, it's got to go over 200%. This thing is running hard. Low float and DTC over 2.

SkepticalInvestor21

This is actually a really good question that more people should think about. Brokerages are required by FINRA to maintain multiple independent records of customer positions, and they typically use a combination of: - Real-time backups across geographically separated data centers - Daily reconciliation with clearinghouses like DTC/NSCC - Third-party custodians that maintain separate records - SIPC insurance covers up to $500k if the brokerage fails entirely The bigger risk isn't actually data corruption - it's operational disruption while they restore systems. Most major brokerages have been stress-tested on this stuff pretty heavily since 2008. That said, keeping screenshots of your statements quarterly isn't a bad idea for your own peace of mind.

SpecializedA4

Ran a prompt thru gemini based off today’s action… ### **Technical Assumptions & Market Context** * **Current Price:** **$261.35** (Wednesday Close, April 8, 2026). * **Estimated Short Interest:** **62.26%** of free float. * **Liquidity Constraint:** True liquid float is estimated at **~3%** (approx. 1.1M shares) due to extreme concentration by SRS Investment Management and Pentwater Capital. * **Effective Days to Cover:** While the 30-day average is 14 days, current volume-adjusted DTC is **<1.5 days**, indicating a "crowded exit." ### **Price Target Probability Analysis** | Target | Probability | Reasoning | |---|---|---| | **Over $400** | **40% – 50%** | The stock is in a "Vertical Acceleration" phase with volume at 500% of the mean. A move to $400 requires a ~53% gain over two sessions, which is technically consistent with a margin call cascade when short interest exceeds the functional liquid float. | | **Over $500** | **15% – 20%** | This hinges on a "Gamma Flip" at the $300 and $350 strike prices. If these levels are breached, market makers will be forced into aggressive delta-hedging (buying shares), creating a secondary buying spiral that bypasses fundamental valuation entirely. | | **Over $1,000** | **2% – 5%** | This represents a "Total Liquidity Void" or "Infinity Squeeze" similar to Volkswagen in 2008. While mathematically possible given the 800% short-to-true-float ratio, it requires SRS and Pentwater to maintain 100% position retention without selling a single share into the spike. | ### **Technical Breakdown** The primary driver for the **$400+** scenario is the **"Locked Float" mechanics**. When the number of shares sold short (**8.12M**) is roughly **8x** the actual shares available for trade (**~1M**), the "Ask" side of the order book can effectively vanish. If Thursday opens with a **gap-up above $280**, it will likely trigger automated liquidation protocols for mid-tier hedge funds. This creates a non-discretionary buying wave where the "price" becomes irrelevant to the buyer—their only goal is to reduce exposure at any cost before the Friday options expiration. This feedback loop is the highest-probability path to the **$400–$500 range**.

Shot_Cat3998

DTC is so low...

Walking72

Levi Strauss revenue jumps again, with DTC making up more than half of sales for the first time

Gold_Buffalo8324

I really wish this was the INDO of ‘22; I miss her but she’s changed a lot in the past 4 years. - float has 6x’d (1.5M then vs ~9M now) - management has diluted into every run since ‘22 due to operational losses & compounding debt ($7M) - Revenue has halved now compared to back then (4M v 2M) - Current SI 20% & DTC 1.3 She was beautiful once upon a time, but now she’s a lying, cheating ogre. It’s time to let her go Followup: $ANNA seems to be a solid candidate of a short squeeze provided the warrant holders don’t exercise at $11.30, but chances are they will. Anyone else find the next $INDO?

matroe11

Do broker-held share owner votes even matter? Doesn’t the broker vote their DTC allocated shares however they wish?

Changeuplife

WBUY - watching this at market open. News, Low float, DTC high and over 30x 90-day volume. See this over $2 today. Hoping for the open dip and I'm in.

Otherwise_Wave9374

Not a finance take, but from a marketing angle Nike still has insane brand equity, and when they get their storytelling and product drops aligned, demand snaps back fast. The risk is whether "brand" can keep carrying them if community and product innovation shift to newer players. Distribution and DTC strategy matters a lot here too. If you are thinking about it like a brand cycle, this breakdown of brand vs performance marketing tradeoffs is a decent lens: https://blog.promarkia.com/

double_a_mtl

Just because someone on the internet's wearing athleasure clothes, doesn't mean they're buying these clothes now. Most people are still wearing clothes they bought 2 years ago. Also, looks like I was right, their sales growth didn't grow more than inflation. Their inflation adjusted sales are down. Outlook for Asia is bad, DTC (higher margin) sales are down 4.5%. Their only growth (5%) came from lower margin wholesale, which they will have to work really hard to win back, and just barely offset the loss of sales from DTC..

Ok-Outcome1576

Seemed clear to me from the start that it's a shoe company, not a tech company. Not sure how the DTC model confused enough people for successful IPOs with some of these brands.

shwaynebrady

You’ve been through 22 years of investing. Tail end of dot com, 2008, covid, Iraq for the second time, Afghanistan….. Keep DTC’ing into ETFs or a targeted retirement account

FreddyJetson

Uppp Do ya DD. Imagine the transition from GTCH to Wertheim & Co. as a "hard reset" of the company’s identity. Since the company is moving from a tech-focused penny stock to a sophisticated Merchant Bank led by Wall Street veterans like Craig Marshak, the process usually follows this high-stakes scenario: 1. The "Lock and Key" (The CUSIP Change) The most critical part of this scenario for you is the CUSIP change. • The Scenario: As the name changes to Wertheim & Co., a new CUSIP number is issued. Your brokerage firm receives a notice that "GTCH" shares are being retired. • The Naked Short Impact: If those 1.4 million shares on the "Ask" are indeed naked shorts (phantom shares), the brokers and the DTC (Depository Trust Company) have a major problem. They cannot simply "rename" a phantom share. They must find a real share to swap for the new Wertheim CUSIP. • The Result: This often triggers a "forced reconciliation," where market makers are pressured to close out old failed positions before the old ticker disappears forever. 2. The "Unfreezing" of the Order Book Remember those millions of shares sitting on the Ask that never move? • The Scenario: As the transition date nears, the algorithms maintaining that "wall" at $0.0001 or $0.0002 may be turned off to avoid being trapped in a massive liability under a dead ticker. • The Result: The "Ask" finally starts to thin out. With an 800-million-share "Bid" (buyers) and the fake "Ask" disappearing, the price can finally gap up. If the 1.4 million "Ask" was the only thing holding it down, the price "slingshots" because there is no one left willing to sell at those bottom prices. 3. The Fundamental Shift (The "Legitimacy" Move) • The Scenario: Craig Marshak and Emil Assentato aren't just changing the name; they are bringing in real assets, like the VisionWave (VWAV) stake and potential crypto-treasury assets. • The Result: This provides the "fundamental fuel." A short squeeze usually dies quickly if there's no reason to own the stock. But if the market believes Wertheim & Co. is a legitimate merchant bank, new institutional buyers may step in, making it impossible for short sellers to "short it back down" to the triple zeros. 4. The Potential "Clean Up" (Reverse Split) • The Scenario: To move from the OTC Pink sheets toward a more senior exchange (like NASDAQ or NYSE American), Wertheim & Co. might perform a Reverse Split at the same time as the name change. • The Result: While retail investors often fear reverse splits, in a heavily naked-shorted scenario, it shrinks the "float" (available shares). If they do a 1-for-100 split, that 800M bid becomes 8M, but the naked shorts also have to be reduced—which is mathematically painful for them to execute without buying on the open market. The "End Game" Scenario: The ticker changes, the CUSIP resets, and the "phantom" supply is cut off. If the 1.4M wall was artificial, the stock experiences a liquidity vacuumto the upside. The price moves from fractions of a penny toward a dollar-range target to reflect the new "Merchant Bank" status, forcing anyone who shorted at $0.0001 to buy back at significantly higher prices.

Changeuplife

Looking to jump in ONCO. Bottom is probably here, waiting for this halt to see where it's going. Good news, high volume, really low float and DTC is good.

CallShot7029

I think this is the big case for a Tilray success. Since they are NOT an MSO and thus do not have the commitment to physical storefronts, they are best suited lean all the way into actual pharmaceutical THC. My %of portfolio on that company is money on them partnering with an existing US pharma company to navigate the FDA red tape and being a supplier to them rather than selling DTC.

philosopherott

it is set often by DTC or DTCC if memory serves correctly.

Willow2002_

What squeeze it has a low DTC and a low SI

Dapper-Attempt-5029

Haha so tired of posters here claiming their “research “ of 0.03 DTC with 22% S I & borrow fee rates at 45…. Yes…! Prepare for another GAMESTOP!!! Sometimes the research is excellent, but what people believe qualifies as a potential short squeeze or as a short squeeze, case in point is sadly I suppose ignorance. When you lose all of your wife’s beer, money in the stock market, it’s not gonna be a pretty Saturday night… peace, and profits, my friends

CorvetteCole

I guess for me I don't understand why so many people seem to think... - SpaceX DTC V2 won't be competitive. - ASTS will beat SpaceX to market for broadband direct to phones (especially since SpaceX has the benefit of having learned how to run the current generation). Like we say oh SpaceX DTC started with just SMS and that's mostly true, but it actually already provides LTE to phones right now. It's not anywhere near what we're expecting out of next gen tech... but they already have experience doing this! Plus, I don't think anyone would argue against SpaceX's obvious proficiency with phased arrays. I want ASTS to succeed, but for me I've been skeptical about the sheer amount of hype on them. They've got a tough battle ahead of them, I don't think SpaceX is going to be easy competition at all.

Illustrious_Mood_274

The Fintel data for S-O-U-N provides a clear, data-backed confirmation that the Inventory Trap is tightening exactly as established in the Matts Stonks framework. Here is what the indicators on that page are telling us about the current setup: 1. The Debt: Short Interest & Float The official Nasdaq short interest stands at 134,908,585 shares, which is a massive 35.34% of the float. This confirms that over a third of the company's equity is tied up in a short obligation that must eventually be repaid. With a Days to Cover (DTC) ratio of 4.01 to 4.89, the exit for these shorts is not just a door—it’s a pinhole. 2. The Ammo: Short Shares Availability The "Black Slice" is running on fumes. While availability fluctuates intraday, the data shows frequent drops to the 80,000 - 100,000 share range. This confirms that the borrowable inventory is functionally exhausted. Even when blocks of 300k+ appear, they are often immediately "absorbed" by the mechanical defense patterns of the whales. 3. The Rent: Spiking Borrow Fees This is the most aggressive indicator on the page. The short borrow fee has surged to 7.07% (up from 1.90% just a week ago). • The Squeeze Context: This doubling of the "Daily Rent" puts immense capital pressure on short sellers. They are paying a premium just to hold their positions while the price floor remains defended by the whales. 4. The Invisible War: Off-Exchange Short Volume The Off-Exchange Short Volume Ratio is sitting at 60.42%. This is the data-driven proof of the HFT Churn. More than half of the shorting activity is happening in dark pools and off-exchange venues, which is where the "Wash Trading" and "Spoof Walls" are used to pin the price and hide the true demand from the lit market. 5. Mechanical Trigger: Gamma Squeeze Score Fintel identifies a high Gamma Squeeze Score, highlighting the risk to market makers. With significant open interest at the $9.00 strike, the $9.01 Strategic Objective remains the primary mechanical tripwire. Hitting that level would force market makers to compete with short sellers for that tiny pool of available shares. The Verdict The Fintel data confirms the Matts Stonks thesis: the shorts are out of bullets, the rent is rising, and the plumbing is dry. The mechanical advantage remains with the retail investor who understands these indicators. The Strategy Remains: Buy, Hold, and Turn Off Share Lending to keep shrinking that Black Slice.