Reddit Posts
STNG - Part 2 of my 4 part Red Sea Shipping Series
TNK - 2 p/e crude oil tanker DD, Part 1 of 4 of my Red Sea Shipping Series
60k shipping YOLO, STNG TNK TNP ZIM inside
Direction of Shipping Stocks?
Opinions on Enbridge after their acquisition of Dominion Energy Inc?
$TELL, trading at ATL’s, possible 100% gain
Today's most active penny stocks and why they're moving
Why Gas Prices Are Climbing and How I'm Positioning Myself for December
$NCNC demonstrates its X-SEPA lithium-ion battery technology. Proves it enhances lifetime and performance
The stocks of LNG shippings have risen for the second consecutive week.
Rio Grande LNG will be one of the lowest greenhouse gas emitting LNG facilities in the world! - $NEXT
Interview with NextDecade CEO Matt Schatzman about financing 18 B$ Rio Grande LNG terminal - NEXT
A new buy recommendation on NextDecade LNG brings on a bull stampede - NEXT
New LNG export facilities will add billions to Texas economy - Nextdecade $NEXT
TotalEnergies CEO Says U.S. LNG ‘Important’ to Strategy and European Natural Gas Supply - $NEXT $TTE
Natural gas price recovery: a tale of two tickers (AR and RRC)
TGLO, parent Delfin Midstream on target to be America's first Deepwater LNG port
The new UPI Weekly Report on LNG shipping stocks: Last week, the UP World LNG Shipping Index increased by 0.77 points or 0.51%, reaching 150.44, while the $SPX gained 2.42%. Despite this, there were significant fluctuations, with the gap between the best gainer and the biggest loser exceeding 57.
For those interested in LNG shipping stocks, there is a weekly update based on the UP World LNG Shipping Index. This index consists of stocks of 19 global LNG shippers.
CME Group: if you think WTI is a manipulated commodity or a necessity- it once upon a time was until 1983
How do I decide between initating a new position vs adding to an existing one?
Looking for help on when to initiate a new position vs DCA an existing one?
Playing the Gas Market: A Comparative Analysis of BOIL and UNG
Enterprise Group (TSX: E / OTCQB: ETOLF) - A Leaner Company To Benefit From Canada's Energy Resurgence And LNG Exports
NextDecade CEO Says Rio Grande LNG Financing Close, Likely Last U.S. Project to Reach FID in 2023
NextDecade: NEXT a Texas LNG producer that seeks FID in June (13$ price target)
NextDecade: NEXT a Texas LNG producer that seeks FID in June (13$ price target)
NextDecade (NEXT): a Texas LNG producer that is projected to FID in June (13$ price targe)
NextDecade surges as FERC approves Rio Grande LNG project
NextDecade surges as FERC approves Rio Grande LNG project (NEXT)
Nextdecade Rio Grande LNG to go forward after being approved by FERC today: NEXT
Watch out! Natural Gas has reached all time floor at $2.35 & Likely to go up a lot more from here, pay attention to BOIL
Don't worry, BOIL will not reverse split, Natural Gas WON'T stay low
Record Inflow of Funds into Gas ETFs: Easy Money or a Dangerous Game?
Penny stocks to buy now? 4 to watch in April
Why U.S. natural gas output keeps rising as prices sink. TIL oil production associated gas is a third of nat gas production.
China Shakes Up Global Energy Market with Landmark Yuan-Denominated LNG Trade Deal
Shell signs deal to offtake more LNG from Mexico Pacific export project (NYSE:SHEL)
Enterprise Group ($E.TO, $ETOLF.OTC): Cash Flow Machine, Deep Value, Squeeze Potential
FLNG- Heard the will be getting a nice jump today. 4/21 C
Sempra reaches positive FID for Port Arthur LNG phase 1; KKR buys stake (NYSE:SRE)
Shiftcarbon (CSE: SHFT, OTC PINK: SHIFF) Continues To Grow Carbon Offering
Lack of U.S. investment in gas pipelines 'scary,' Cheniere CEO says (NYSE:LNG)
Sempra says on track for Q1 FID of Port Arthur LNG export plant (NYSE:SRE)
Natural Gas will only rise up from here, plus Natural Gas prices will never fall again
Close to Impossible for rise in Natural Gas prices to end
LNG gonna be the next big profit or nah
Nat Gas redux on back of the triple digit drawdown 2-16-23
What's the largest holding in your portfolio right now? (and why?)
Freeport LNG exports first cargo since last June's fire - report (NYSEARCA:UNG)
Nat gas Draw down of -217 BCF and what the nat gas bears are missing
Natgas stops flowing to Freeport LNG export plant in Texas
Be fearful when others are Greedy, and be GREEDY when others are FEARFUL for Natural Gas
Downtrend over in Natural Gas. Watch out Natural Gas bears
Enterprise Group Subsidiary Awarded Project to Support Coastal Gas Link Construction (TSX: E) (OTCQB: ETOLF)
Natural Gas Prices will meteorically rise due to Seasonality. Pay attention and watch out
Morning Briefing 🌞 Jan 31st 2022 - Let's see if we're right again
Shell to combine LNG and upstream businesses, slim down exec committee (NYSE:SHEL)
Mahua Moitra was an investment banker working at JP Morgan, New York before joining Indian politics. She has been complaining about Adani's fraud to SEBI for a long time, yet SEBI never bothered to investigate the conman Adani
Morning Briefing 🌞 Jan 23rd 2022 - Easy opportunities to make money today!
Freeport LNG seeks U.S. OK to restart part of export plant; natgas pops 9% (NYSEARCA:UNG)
Bottom is in for Natural Gas, buckle up, only up from here
An update to Euro/US macro situation. FT: Eurozone set to avoid recession this year as economists’ gloom lifts
An update to Euro/US macro situation. FT: Eurozone set to avoid recession this year as economists’ gloom lifts
Close to Impossible for Natural Gas Prices to go much lower from here
A truly different environment - how do you think the stock market will play out from these events?
Latest Zoltan Pozsar from CS - "War and Commodity Encumbrance" - Deep Dive Into Geopolitical Risk, Global Currency Networks and Commodity Markets
LNG Cheniere energy most overvalued energy stock.
ZIM does not have a 113% dividend yield but still impressive
ZIM does not have a 113% dividend yield but still impressive
ZIM does not have a 113% dividend yield but still impressive
Well played...Natural-gas futures sank roughly 9% due to Twitter spoof by corporate impersonators
Natural-gas futures sank roughly 9% due to Twitter spoof by corporate impersonators
US Gas Plunges After Unconfirmed Report on Freeport LNG. Wasn't there a DD about this last week?
$TGLO about to EXPLODE- ($5-$20) BULLISH -Reverse Merger +$200M market cap already
$TGLO about to IGNITE- ($5-$20) BULLISH -Reverse Merger +$200M market cap already
$FLNG - Hold Onto Your Gas, Winter Is Coming
Mentions
Equinor is an interesting option to look at. It's Norwegian with muted exposure to the US, and while its involved in oil and LNG, it has the lowest footprint out there for those. They've also been building a lot of renewables as part of their long term zero-carbon goals.
Yes they own the biggest nuclear fleet, Ceg owns the biggest gas power production, they don't own natural gas production ( slightly higher than vst gas power production if they successfully acquire cagnex by year end), the solar wind and hydroelectric is tiny. Their new gem is owning the biggest geothermal production now but then again CEG is trading at a huge premium over VST, VST is trading at a huge discount vs the same companies in this sector like LNG CEG and TLN, also.VST has a much more aggressive hate buy back.
Energy analysts are notoriously retarded and always predicting over supplies. EIA revises their demand forecast up every single year. I work in the industry. Royalty companies and natural gas / LNG names will continue to crush it.
I made a huge mistake back in 2022/2023 when I thought LNG prices were going through the roof due to Russia cutting off EU, so I put a lot of money in a 3NGL ETF. I did not realize that the average holding period is supposed to be 3 days or less lol. The leverage down is way harder than going up. Especially with commodities that track the futures contracts. A huge spike or drop is usually quickly corrected and you need another spike (russian invasion) or something crazy to get the returns you imagined. So only if you expect multiple crazy events quickly after each other, it makes sense to buy -3 or +3 leveraged ETFs imo
**Powell Industries (NASDAQ: POWL)** reported first quarter Fiscal 2026 results for the period ended December 31, 2025, with **revenues of $251.2M**, **gross profit $71.4M (28.4%)**, and **net income $41.4M ($3.40 diluted EPS)**. New orders totaled **$439M**, backlog reached **$1.6B**, and cash and short-term investments were **$501M**. Quarter-over-quarter declines reflect typical seasonality; year-over-year comparisons show stronger margins, higher orders, and backlog expansion driven by Electric Utility, LNG, and data center megaprojects. **First Quarter Key Highlights:** * Revenues of $251 million increased 4%; * Gross profit of $71 million, or 28.4% of revenue, increased 20%; * Net income of $41 million, or $3.40 per diluted share, increased 19%; * New orders totaled $439 million, an increase of 63%; * Backlog as of December 31, 2025 totaled $1.6 billion, an increase of 16%; * Cash and short-term investments as of December 31, 2025 totaled $501 million. >Brett A. Cope, Powell’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “Ongoing levels of solid project execution drove a strong start to our fiscal year, as we delivered a gross margin of 28.4% despite the typical seasonality and lower volumes that define our first quarter. We also experienced high levels of order activity across most of the markets we serve, as the $439 million of awards booked was the highest quarterly total in over two years and led to a book-to-bill ratio of 1.7. Activity in our Commercial & Other Industrial market has accelerated considerably, as this market accounted for almost one-half of our awards in the quarter, and the average project size that we are pursuing and winning has grown substantially, highlighted by our first megaproject^((3)) order in the data center end market. Also, we won a very large LNG award to support a project along the U.S. Gulf Coast, as this market continues to exhibit favorable dynamics. Overall, our fiscal year is off to a great start, and our results continue to demonstrate both the breadth of investment in electrical infrastructure, as well as Powell’s unique ability to deliver engineered-to-order solutions.”
Where did I say they had to buy American oil? And they do buy Saudi oil. And Russian LNG
Ambitious: Neither China nor Russia are credible threats to Greenland, especially given it is part of a NATO country Firstly, the costs of warfare in the Arctic is astronomically expensive, and it's such a low probability event. Which is not the same as setting up Military Bases or warning systems to deal with these regions. And what would you exactly mean by China is not a credible threat to Greenland? An invasion risk? Peking does have something called the Polar Silk Road Initiative. An extension of economic advantages, geopolitical advantages, and potential military advantages. /////// The Polar Silk Road (PSR) is a strategic initiative by China, officially introduced in 2018 as part of its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), aiming to develop shipping lanes and infrastructure in the Arctic. China formally declared itself a "near-Arctic state" and seeks to enhance its influence in the region, which is traditionally governed by Arctic nations. //////// The Yamal LNG project is significant, and Russia's Sabetta port. As they work on trying to work on their arctic oil exploration and extraction of natural gas. \- China’s "Polar Silk Road" initiative, integrating Arctic shipping lanes with increased infrastructure investment, introduces significant military implications by advancing Sino-Russian cooperation, enhancing dual-use surveillance capabilities, and potentially facilitating submarine operations in the Arctic. \- This expansion challenges Western interests, prompting increased NATO surveillance, Arctic infrastructure development, and concerns over hybrid threats to critical infrastructure.
I reiterate that the small banks are completely underowned. As short term rates are being forced down, bank earnings are literally booming. An example, ISTR a bank benefitting from the LNG and US shale natural gas boom, despite reaching ATH, is cheaper than it was a month ago at 9x fwd EPS. Guided EPS is 50% higher than pre-covid yet it's only 17% higher. There is still 20-30% easy upside from here. INDB trading at valuations near covid lows despite EPS literally at ATH. WAL still trading at discount valuations despite recent loan losses equivalent to 0.1% of loans. If not for the AI trade, these would have been the best investments of the last 2 years. There is a good reason for this: Post-covid inflation from Russian War and reopening, was like a mini-1970s great inflation event. Inflation boomed from oil, then fell back down quickly. The same thing happened with banks, inflation became so high that Fed raised rates, pushing banks to extremely undervalued prices. Now that inflation is back down and interest rates fall, bank stocks are booming as it happened post-1980s. At some point they will become fairly valued, but it's still 20%+ from here because we haven't reached the interest rate bottom, nor are they even trading at normal valuations.
Tbh I pasted the post on my gemini chat (all the prompts were created to work well on the economy world) it's reply: **1. 🛢️ Energy Sector (US Oil & Gas) - BULLISH** * **The Shift:** India replacing Russian oil with US (and potentially Venezuelan) oil creates massive new demand for US exports. * **Impact:** US energy producers and exporters (LNG/Crude) will see increased order flow. * **Your Portfolio:** This reinforces the "Real World Assets" thesis. Energy demand is shifting to trusted allies. **2. 🛡️ Defense Sector (The "Lockheed" Angle) - SUPER BULLISH** * **The Context:** Historically, India bought most of its military hardware from Russia. Trump's post mentions a commitment to buy "$500 BILLION" in US products. * **Implication:** A pivot away from Russia likely means a pivot **towards US Defense contractors** for future jets, missiles, and tech. * **Direct Impact:** **Lockheed Martin (LMT)** and similar defense primes could see a generational influx of contracts from India to replace Russian legacy systems. **3. 💻 Big Tech & Manufacturing - BULLISH** * **The Deal:** Modi committed to buying "Technology" and lowering barriers to "ZERO". * **Impact:** Companies like **Microsoft (MSFT)** and **Tesla (TSLA)** (which has been trying to enter India for years without high tariffs) now have a red carpet entry into the world's most populous market. * **Specifics:** If India drops tariffs to zero as Trump claims, Tesla could finally launch effectively in India. **4. 📉 Geopolitical Risk - MIXED to LOWER** * **Russia:** This isolates Russia economically, potentially forcing a faster end to the Ukraine war (as Trump claimed). * **Market Sentiment:** Markets hate uncertainty. If this signals a path to ending the Ukraine conflict, the "War Risk Premium" on oil might drop, but the volume of trade for US companies increases.
Shout out to my fellow regards LNG ain’t for everyone that shit stressful
I am convinced a kinetic war is coming between the US, Israel and Iran that will further escalate polarization between those within American hegemony and BRICS. This could very well kickoff this week. If war does begin soon, those antagonistic to the US will start dumping US treasury bonds and the US will be forced to print USD to high heaven to pay for the conflict, which would devalue USD. Assuming world elites and institutions know this is coming, which they undoubtedly would know if it was, it makes sense for them to drive gold prices down temporarily to make skittish retail investors jump ship as we saw on Friday, then gobble up gold positions at deflated prices. There is simply no way that the price of gold will not soar to unprecedented levels if a major war begins. Iran is not Iraq. It is massive, mountainous, has a large well educated population able to withstand hardship, and has reasonable offensive capabilities. Also, this war is an existential threat to the state. The Iranian regime watched what happened to Iraq, Syria, Libya, etc., and know that they are entering a total war scenario once it starts. In which case, Iran would certainly close the Strait of Hormuz and the Houthis would attack any ships they can in the Red Sea. I don’t need to overstate the effect this would have on regional economies, the price of oil, LNG, and so on. There are just too many coincidences aligning. The new Fed chair being named, the release of even more damning Epstein files, the fact that the new Fed chair is named in the damning Epstein files, the US government shutdown, it’s just too much at once. We also can expect that Netanyahu will continue to escalate because if things normalize in Israel, he faces very real culpability for his past corruption and Gaza conduct. I believe something is coming to a head between Iran, Israel and the US and I fear bad times are inevitable. Gold is always seen as a safe refuge in turbulent times. Make of this what you will.
Waiting for LNG to give me a sign rn. Further dump or reversal 🤔
Indian LNG imports are negligible compared to their energy mix. It is increasing, but will take a few years to reach a significant portion.
So weird they’re getting from the LNG from the U.S. when Qatar is so much closer to India.
They are getting LNG for electricity from the US. Calls on us producers
India is getting LNG from the US
Buy VG and other us based LNG companies. USA is the main supplier for India.
European countries aren't interested in purchasing American LNG because they can't rely on the the frenetic and unpredictable trade policy of the admin... ART OF THE DEAL LMAO 🤌
I've been long holding NFE, NEXT, LNG and VG .. let's go!
Once we share our gains, we can start to see the pattern of which sectors are doing best. To me, it seems Metals & Miners like Gold, Silver, Copper, Lithium, Aluminum & Rare Earths are all going to take off this year, from this new world-wide demand and build-out needed in Electric, Renewable Energy, AI Data Centers, Batteries & Energy Storage Technology. Natural Gas would also be a top pick for me, i.e. Comstock Resources (CRK) - since they are a pure-play Natural Gas Provider based in Texas focusing on selling its production to Gulf Coast LNG exporters, targeting international markets.
Eh, the USA still produces the most oil, LNG, and has more aircraft carriers. They may be 1870’s England, but if their wars vs what knocked the UK down are not comparable.
That’s why natural gas has been going up so much in recent days. Iran’s ace card is to mine the sea, preventing the delivery of LNG.
Agreed on NFE. Shorts can't seem to brute force it below black rocks position still. And shares avail are slamming 0 again, from a squeeze standpoint this is still poised. Also imo poised for a great long. I was saying earlier in the nfe forum that current geopolitics are likely to shift America whether they like it or not to isolationism. Causing them to have to rely on domestic LNG solutions. https://preview.redd.it/o2hdxseiv9gg1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=30801d99c1e5bfc6714f7f1667752956c7089872 [https://fintel.io/ss/us/nfe](https://fintel.io/ss/us/nfe)
They're more like Cheniere in that they're actively exporting LNG now. They'll be more stable and less risky than NEXT, which is great. But with less risk it's not going to payout like NEXT can. I was looking for high risk, high reward plays for 10% of my portfolio while the rest sits in VOO. NEXT fits that better than VG or LNG does for me. If it hits, great, I've got a fancy boat in my retirement. If it doesn't, I really only ever wanted a kayak anyway.
Canada and India have high level talks regarding energy supply and diversification. Meanwhile, Canada has record exports of LNG.
Slightly different but in another commodity market there is a ratio that has been blown out for a long time as well. Crude oil 7 : nat gas 1 . The reason for the ratio is the energy density equivalent of the two commodities which for the longest time were pure energy. Now they branch off into different products but regardless $70 oil should mean roughly $10 nat gas and as the world continues to rapidly increase LNG export/import capacity that ratio will naturally, over time, come back into play.
I've been buying NEXT (Next Decade) every time it dips below $5. They're building a huge LNG export facility near Brownsville, Texas. If you believe in LNG exports, it's a solid play if you're willing to be patient as they're still under construction. Let's start with the obvious negatives. You're getting no revenue until late 2027 at best, so a long time for no money to come in and they have a LOT of debt. Any sort of construction/regulatory delay is a risk. Given we're so far out from revenue, there's obviously a decent risk for dilution of existing shares which would obviously not be fun. Now, for the positives, they are currently building 3 trains on site, they've got 2 more with financing lined up and work will be starting on those as well. They have room for 10 total, making them a massive LNG export hub. So far, the construction has been financed against future revenue, not by selling additional shares, so that's helpful about the dilution concern. Bechtel is building the facility on a turnkey contract, they're the best in the world at building LNG infrastructure and are incentivized to complete it on time. They're currently ahead of schedule. There's been a relatively healthy amount of insider buying at the current prices, both by individuals and by their partners. That's always reassuring. They've also secured their financing on 20 year contracts, so the money IS coming, it's a question of when. Check out Cheniere Energy ($LNG). That's who NEXT is trying to copy. Cheniere currently exports 47 million tonnes per annum of LNG, NEXT's new facility is aiming for 50 when they're done. So there's plenty of profit and, eventually, a fat dividend, assuming they execute correctly. I think the market is still pricing this as a construction project and I think we're past the worst of that now which is why I'm happy to load up now. I think with their next earnings, if we see construction remaining ahead of schedule we'll start to see the stock rerate well above $5. Most analysts have a 1 year target in the $9-$10 range if you value that at all. That being said, I'm not sticking a ton of money in there, I've got about $5k right now. But I'm happy to let it sit for 2-3 years and see what happens. Should things go well and all trains come online, I think the eventual dividend will payout every year more than what I've bought my shares for now. And even a middling result should see some solid profit.
Dear sweet, sweet regards NFE (LNG infrastructure company) has over like 33% of its float shorted last I checked. Decent news in January for debt restructuring and a new contract to keep cash flow buoyant. They went from line $60 in 2022 to $1 this last month but swept $2 last night after news they won’t ded in the next few months. Nice rally but still a LOT of upswing. Beautiful short squeeze opportunity. Calls are beyond juicy too. Pulling back on their rally now. Hoping we don’t lose that momentum 🤞
LNG up 34% what the actual fuck. LNGS longs are just free money rn
LNG had the dirtiest bear trap today damn
Surely LNG can’t pump like 15%+ everyday right? Like at this rate pretty sure Nana isn’t it make past this winter
100% anything tracking LNG, NFE for the shortsqueeze
VG for LNG exposure CCJ / UEC nuclear. Eyeing UUUU now
LNG up but 70% past week but 🥭 gonna tariff Canada and it feels kinda cold today. Pump more this week?
Step 1: download meteorological app Step 2: buy LNG futes accordingly Step 3: profit
LNG is up 75% and the actual companies related are following. Calls on NFE, CQB, XOM and oil
Technically they do produce LNG from Altamira.
There needs to be some differentiation here. LNG is not "natural gas," nor are all countries' natural gas consumption and LCOE the same. S+W LCOE in the US is higher than almost all over the world, because of lack of subsidies, regulatory pressure by a pro-fossil fuel admin, and tariffs on China. S+W LCOE is lower all over the world. Meanwhile US PIPED natural gas LCOE is very low, competitive with S+W, because of shale. However world natural gas LCOE is very very high, and uncompetitive with S+W or coal, unless you are Europe who is forced to phase out Russian piped natural gas. So whether natural gas is competitive against S+W depends on relative local LCOEs. Local LCOE of global countries is massively towards S+W, as LNG is so much more expensive. This is why LNG, as in non-US natural gas consumption, is not set to grow much faster.
I think it's my phasing, was referring to natural gas as LNG.
The reason why turbines are such a long wait IS part of the bearish case. Not sure we're talking about the same things here. LNG is for US exports, the US doesn't consume LNG, the global demand for natural gas is what affects LNG. That natural gas turbines are such a long wait IS why LNG is bearish. If turbines for electricity generation doesn't come online and requires years of wait times, how could a power plant consume more LNG?
Because LNG turbines are still a path forward for a lot of data center and other energy names since there is a huge backlog to hook to the grid. Companies are looking to diversify and both have strong growth. For example, it's about a 7 year wait time for an LNG turbine [https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/electric-power/052025-us-gas-fired-turbine-wait-times-as-much-as-seven-years-costs-up-sharply](https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/electric-power/052025-us-gas-fired-turbine-wait-times-as-much-as-seven-years-costs-up-sharply) They are in such demand right now, that companies are actually retro fitting jet engine to use them as turbines. I'm very bullish on BESS in general, but LNG is going to take a while to phase out.
Agreed on BESS, but why LNG? They are actually opposite theses. LNG is naturally much more expensive than local pipeline prod, 3 times as expensive. Natural gas is thought to be a "bridge fuel" for inconsistent solar and wind. BESS makes S+W more consistent, so that challenges the need for natural gas. The LCOE for S+W is lower ex-US because there are either subsidies or freer trade with China, but even in the US, S/W LCOE is lower than natural gas where piped is 3 times cheaper. European natural gas consumption for example has decline for 3 years, so EU is not a LNG growth story.
Most power generation is going the way of LNG and BESS.
A bit of DD. I actually bought this company as a long hold about two weeks ago. They’re considered critical infrastructure. They have a $12.8 billion in assets. 440 million of that is cash They have $10.7 billion in liabilities. 9 billion of that is debt. They had 1.7 billion in revenue trailing the past 12 months with that currently declining as they sell off assets to raise money to service debt. Revenue is not currently expected to grow much in 2026, however FEMA has already guaranteed $660 million to them in 2026. So hopefully revenue will be more with the added payment from FEMA. They are currently trading at a market cap of 350 million, which is a fraction of their liquidation value. Ultimately if they can gain some runway, and LNG value increases, especially if they can continue to grow their charter revenues with long term FSRU contracts and finish a 3 billion dollar deal with Puerto Rico to supply natural gas and build a power plant there. Combine that with their restructuring, they should have a chance to pay down their debts and increase their revenues and potentially become profitable. Ultimately they were trading at a market cap of 7.7 billion in 2023. Which is a multiple of 22x from the current price. I don’t suspect we will see anything that high for many years. However, I do think they have a current value of roughly 1-1.5 billion which is around 3x to 4x their current trading value. I’m holding based on that current net enterprise value while I watch over the coming year to see if they can successfully execute a turn around. Based on that I’ll decide if I want to continue to hold. My hope is they will successfully execute a turnaround and make a recovery back to a market cap of $4 or $5 billion by 2027. But that’s a best case scenario. https://ir.newfortressenergy.com/static-files/7678d91e-4360-457c-8722-cd90beeaaffc#:~:text=Our%20Fast%20LNG%20asset%20has,committed%20to%20use%20the%20proceeds
LNG up another like 10% today full port LNG calls last Friday was a literal generational opportunity wtf
Bc my VG leaps are printing and LNG will be the fastest energy to scale for data centers
I would not be worried about any exit 3 to 4 years from now. This will be a $30-$45 stock and around that time. A lot of their debt will be under control and they will come out with a really higher dividend. That will be very attractive. They are in the growing phase right now. That’s the reason they have so much debt, but they are in position to be the big Hall at the trough when it comes to LNG purchasing shipping delivering and selling. Cheneir energy group stock is selling for around 250 or so right now and VG will overtake them in a few years as far as market, share market cap and everything else So what evaluation do you think venture global stock will be at that time it will be 10 to 20 X what it is right now
VG (Venture Global) DD — LNG With Lawsuits Ticker: VG What it is: U.S. company that exports natural gas overseas as LNG Why it matters: Europe + Asia need gas for decades ⸻ What VG Does (Plain English) Venture Global builds LNG export plants. They take cheap U.S. natural gas, liquefy it, put it on ships, and sell it overseas at higher prices. Their edge: modular construction → build pieces off-site → assemble faster → ship LNG sooner → get paid earlier Assets: • Calcasieu Pass – already shipping LNG • Plaquemines LNG – turning on now • CP2 LNG – approved and funded, next big build Getting 4 projects approved (FID) in under 6 years is fast for LNG. ⸻ Contracts / Demand (Why Revenue Exists) VG signs 20-year contracts where buyers agree to take LNG or pay anyway. Recent deals: • Eni – 2.0 MTPA • PETRONAS – 1.0 MTPA • Naturgy – 1.0 MTPA • SEFE – +0.75 MTPA • Atlantic-SEE – 0.5 MTPA • Tokyo Gas – 1.0 MTPA MTPA = million tons per year Total recently signed: ~5+ MTPA, mostly Europe & Asia utilities locking in supply. ⸻ Ramp / Operations (Are They Actually Shipping?) Q3 2025: • ~100 LNG cargoes shipped • ~372 TBtu exported Translation: ships are moving and money is coming in, not just PowerPoints. ⸻ The Problem (Litigation) Why the stock is cheap. VG sold LNG on the spot market while plants were still “commissioning” instead of delivering to long-term customers. Result: • BP already won ~$1B • More cases still open (Shell, Repsol, Galp, others) • Separate shareholder lawsuits from the IPO Best case: settlements, clarity, stock rerates Worst case: more payouts, stock stays stuck ⸻ Valuation (Why Look At It) P/E = price relative to earnings • VG: ~9–10x • Cheniere (LNG leader): ~11x • Energy sector avg: ~18–20x Market is discounting VG because of legal risk, not because LNG demand disappeared. ⸻ My Position (Skin in the Game) • 2,481 shares, avg $7.68 (started around $17) • 6× $10 calls (LEAPS) exp 1/21/2028, avg $2.28 Long-term bet that LNG demand stays strong and lawsuits don’t get worse. ⸻ TL;DR • Real LNG exports • Real long-term contracts • Real lawsuits • Cheap if legal risk clears, dead money if it doesn’t (Spain risk just cleared) ⸻ Disclosure: AI was used to organize this write-up. All facts, numbers, and positions were reviewed and verified by the author. Not financial advice. I just ship gas bags, not wisdom.
\>Europe routinely forgets that they still give more money to Russia You understand profits and revenue are different things though right? We are literally having this conversation on r/stocks, you have to know why this logic doesn't go up. And even then, Europe is consistently lowering reliance and buying more and more American LNG. It's mad you can complain about that as "leeching" while imports of gas from your country quintupled. Simultanious hot and cold type logic. \>You are relying on emotions for Europe’s POV but now the US cant use that same line of thinking? Huh? You can, I literally told you I won't argue with that. What would be really, really silly is me denying MAGA emotions exist and thinking you guys will forget what you believe. Which is what you were doing for incomprehensible reasons. Again, it's fine if you don't want to have any form of positive relations with Europe. That's policy. It just truly baffles me that you think that's either temporary or a one-way street.
FYI I just bought 35k worth of LNG stock since it’s underperformed spot price
I think we were talking about non-US sources. I agree the US has plenty of options for LNG export to Europe. Canada, even though they have immense resources suffers from regulatory and political burden. Let's see if that changes anytime soon. I doubt it.
$NEXT is a LNG company trading low. Bet it jumps to $15 by march and make me a thousand-aire
> Possible but unlikely anytime in next 10 years. The issue is getting pipelines permitted and built to east coast but also LNG facilities permitted VG is ready now and investing to 7x their capacity over the next 2-3 years
Possible but not probable. Another big challenge is all the "first nations" who own land in and around the vicinity that would be opposed to an LNG export facility or refinery for crude export. It's possible you could negotiate with them and give them equity or some other terms to make a deal work for negotiating easements and land use. But you are still subject to federal and provincial regulatory scrutiny / barriers on top of that.
Possible but unlikely anytime in next 10 years. The issue is getting pipelines permitted and built to east coast but also LNG facilities permitted and built on east coast. Getting a pipeline from BC or Alberta over to Quebec or New Brunswick is the real challenge. Canada would have to modify their environmental regulations to make that happen plus sell it to the NIMBY provinces of Ontario, Quebec, et al. Until there is major regulatory and cultural shift in Canada, there are too many barriers now to attract that type of investment in my opinion. Source, I work for a large Canadian pipeline company.
LNG up 20% yesterday and 20% today Jesus Christ why did no one tell me this was gonna happen 😢
US LNG a security risk thanks to Trump (weird that Europe decided to go that route)
plenty of LNG in the middle east and africa. add nuclear + renewables (cheap thanks to china) and batteries/electrification are gonna make it easier to take the hit and eventually will replace most of it. the next 5 years are gonna be hard no matter what for the EU, the 5 after that might be catastrophic for the US, republic ending (it wouldn't be the first time that a republic ends and another one takes its place)
Europe can't get passed their own self-interest to stop importing Russian LNG that is financing Russia's war in Ukraine.
They switched from importing LNG from Russia to the US. It's going to suck for Europe when the US invades Greenland and they have to find another supplier again.
Huh, good luck with your "done with the blackmail" Guess they'll heat their homes with good wishes "In 2024, the EU imported over 100 billion cubic meters (bcm) of LNG. The United States was the largest supplier of LNG to the EU, accounting for almost 45% of total LNG imports. Imports from the US in 2024 were more than double what they were in 2021."
Nerds talking about Silver when LNG blowing up like crazy
Enjoy relative stability of O&G, LNG, and bank stocks. Maybe suffer a small dip, hopefully thats all. Keep collecting my dividends and reinvesting on pullbacks.
You are a year deep into tariffs all across the world that weren't there in January 2025 but you have somehow convinced yourself nothing has changed? You started his presidency at a 0-10% tariff on nearly all products and you are here at 10-25% on most trading partners and that is now seen as normal. The EU was supposed to put retaliatory tariffs for US tariffs on EU steel. US tariffs on steel are at 50%, the EU is rolling around its second retaliatory talks after they backed down on the first one, ended tariffing diamonds and a signatory of almost $1T of LNG by 2028.
Europe is going to be using their Anti Coercion Instrument, which lets them ignore US IP and Patents. Canada is willing to sell them LNG. Chips are made with machines only produced in the Netherlands. And the biggest South American trade union just signed a deal with the EU to bypass the States. The US cannot win against the rest of the world combined. All for resources you weirdos could just buy fair and square from the Greenlanders who rightfully own them. Don’t steal other people’s shit and expect everyone to just keep doing business with you.
Checking out LNG companies. What’s the consensus of these tickers LNG and SLB? SLB reports earnings 1/23/26 and has been bullish the past 3 months. LNG is a major transporter with many assets, contracts, and the future appears to be promising. Thanks
Cooooope. First of all we are not codependent at all. The EU exports nothing to the US and most of those trillions in investment is your pension funds etc that provide your generous social welfare programs. So the US provides your security so you can invest in our economic casino to provide generous welfare. You wouldn't have your free Healthcare if it wasnt for us. And you can't just devest your money elsewhere it would destroy your current social contract. On top of that, the US exerts control through the NATO supply chain. If the EU broke away from the US you would be literally defenseless for a decade while you tried to build your own defense industrial complex. Oh and you would have to do that with what energy? How's germany doing? After nordstream 2 your only source Of LNG is the US. And even if you think you are going to buy from Iran or something the US could just blockade shipments. So good luck with your fantasy. Also I'm sure the European nations will collaborate well in this new world order instead of reverting to your historical state of fighting amongst each other unless a hegemon imposes order. When was the last time ya'll were united? Napoleon. Before that? Charlemagne sort of. Before that? Rome and that is a stretch. On the other side WW1 and then WW2 literally destroyed most of the world. You are lucky the US lets you pretend to be independent.
The EU swapped Russian for American depdency: today, US accounts for ~16% of oil and ~45% of its LNG of imports. G. Luck/s
How about, immediately the USA could withhold crucial parts to their defense? Let alone holds the keys to untold intelligence about their defense that if they were threatened they pass to Russia to sort out. How about if they boycotted their LNG from being delivered to Europe? How about their access to USA manufacturing (nuclear devices) How about their $39 billion of pharmaceuticals the US sends to Europe (1/3 of what Europe sends to them). I’m not saying any of this is right mind you, but acting like Europe could punish the USA without impunity and worse results for themselves is asinine.
Sentiment is so bearish on oil. I bought last year as a hedge against things going seriously pear shaped, which they have been this year. whats more opec cutting supply and drilling is freezing up all over. Oil and LNG seem like a good place to be at the moment even if I'm not buying it to hold for 30 years. It's all cyclical, and seems like we're coming up from the supply/demand bottom here.
Oil still isn't that. You are right, but it's still transitioning. I'm really bullish on utility solar, LNG, and offshore oil.
Fastest energy is solar $TE and LNG $VG
Im a nuclear advocate of sorts, and i still think LNG has a place for now. Thought I am still excite about these SMR,s until then big oil has my bet
Uranium plants take long but clean and a lot more energy than solar and LNG. Especially with newer research on nuclear fission coming out every year.
Had me in the first half but I’m long batteries/solar and LNG
The area i’ve been focused on last few years is shipping. Containers, bulk, crude tankers, product tankers, LNG all have different seasonalities and headwinds/tailwinds. Its cyclical industry, and gets only perfunctory coverage from most investment agencies. Therefore, if you have people who are extremely knowledgeable, you can predict trends before the market catches on to them (like the current set up for tankers). One example: there is currently a company buying all the VLCC’s they can find (think Hunt bros and silver). If they can get a critical mass, they will be able to control rates, which means they will go through the roof. So you just need to be aware of which companies have exposure to VLCC spot rates. I pay a lot for this info, but have made 100x that amount in return. Also get other(non-shipping) ideas from members, such as the macro set up that would lead to this crazy run up in PMs. I caught on a bit late (last April), but early enough for it to have paid off hugely last year
LNG doesn't look promising until 2028. Over supply and rescued demand in Europe and China.
The problem is There are so many bottlenecks in the distribution of Natural Gas, its becoming more and more difficult to build pipelines, and I know there are a number of LNG facilities set to be constructed, but not sure where thy are at in that process, as I believe the recently approved facilities are many year off? I would focus on that in any DD research.
All in on venture global $VG future LNG mafia. Dirt cheap. Chart 📈 reversal just began. Get in!!
I think this what most others have said - definitely a high tide coming for infrastructure, energy build out, and all energy sources. I just wish some shop - maybe ARK - would launch a "Future Energy Innovation" ETF. It could still hold things like XOM, CVX, LNG, OKE etc but would also have sort of a best of IFRA, EINC, FUTY, FIDU, CTEC, ICLN. Kind of the next wave of energy infrastructure, which appears will be needed after AI gets incorporated into all aspects of business.
It’s for $VG in Louisiana for LNG not oil.
If AI pops or tech crashes, people rush to real assets as a hedge just like the dot com bubble. Energy stocks are not just LNG and uranium price trackers. Because WTI is not responding to the AI boom at all, anything related to WTI will hedge against the AI bubble
Alternative to LNG though, it’s not like nuclear will have pricing power when every home is already on a cheap and abundant commodity. I wouldn’t hege on long term utility, private SMRs are the only real path to profitability for nuclear imo
That’s true but that was used to build infrastructure but once it’s built it’s high probability and low overhead look at the history of all the major LNG producers in the world. They were in this same spot early on
I'm still going into some power/infrastructure names, especially stuff with LNG. It's still an AI play, but power demand is there and there is names trading a good valuations. Also still think aerospace/defense is a great sector to be in.
Sorta depends on if governments care about emissions and if people look at the math on methane as a resource vs. oil. I think LNG is pretty viable long-term. What's more, VG is pretty undervalued for the amount of infrastructure they have in the LNG space. NFA, blah blah. I think it's a safe long play.
I’m also long shares and leaps but wondering if LNG will even matter anymore with VZ ramping up coming online.
1. Germany depended on cheap Russian oil to grow and prosper. Now it's suffering the consequences of being forced out of that dependence, and America and our LNG don't care how much we're reaming Germany for profits. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_economic_crisis_(2022%E2%80%93present) 2. Japan, we economically destroyed with currency manipulation via the Plaza Accord, because it competed with American hegemony. It's still going through a decades-long recession, even today. 3. The same balkans who can't contribute their fair share of 5% GDP towards defense?
But when it comes to energy , Canada also supplies the majority of electricity to the Northeast US and is one of the largest suppliers of NG to the US LNG industry. Saying that the US can now cripple Canada to giving away the critical minerals because of oil is not a true perspective of the entire picture and how Canada is moving already to diversify from the IS when it comes to the IS markets. LNG on the west vials being doubled in Kitimat with another plant coming online in 2028 in Squamish. Then you have the push now to put another oil pipeline to Prince Rupert which with this invasion is going to be all you hear out of Danielle Smiths mouth. Venezuela oil is going to take years to get to market but the diversification from the IS is already underway and will only accelerate.
I actually think alternative energy like nuclear, LNG, and maybe even clean should do well here.
Idk if overall market will move much but probably gonna be great for alternative energy stocks. Nuclear/uranium, LNG, and maybe even clean energy could get a boost here.
Pretty interesting. Learned about how jet engines are being retrofitted to work as turbines for LNG power and now there is talks about using old navy reactors for data centers. >Texas developer HGP proposes repurposing decommissioned Navy reactors for Oak Ridge data center, targeting 450-520MW by 2029. Cost: $1M-4M/MW vs new build, requiring $1.8B-2.1B infrastructure capital plus DOE loan guarantee. Navy carriers/subs use dual A4W (Westinghouse) or S8G (GE) reactors. Unproven regulatory path but addresses baseload gap faster than new nuclear or gas plants.
I think this post overstates certainty where there really isn’t any. Yes, bondholders have leverage, but leverage doesn’t mean they want to wipe equity. Creditors care about maximum recovery, and forced zero-out restructurings often destroy value by disrupting contracts, triggering covenants, and killing optionality tied to LNG assets. That’s exactly why forbearance extensions exist. Those extensions are not meaningless. They signal lenders believe the company is worth more alive than rushed into court. If equity were already dead, there’d be no need to keep extending timelines. Also, dismissing prior institutional equity (many of whom bought well above $10) is too simplistic. A lot of funds hold both debt and equity and benefit from repricing events, even if the long-term structure changes. A squeeze does not require equity to survive forever, only temporary forced repricing. Most importantly: a squeeze does not require a miracle turnaround. It only needs crowded shorts/puts, thin liquidity, and uncertainty around outcomes. Deal clarity, asset sales, or even timeline extensions can all force hedging and covering. Finally, the idea that “pre-arranged bankruptcy = no squeeze” is historically wrong. Markets squeeze into restructurings all the time when positioning gets too one-sided. There are real risks here, dilution, conversion, recap,but risk is not certainty. And certainty is exactly what squeezes punish.
A company full of assets and potential profits that the creditors can easily analyze and audit and verify are going to want to take all the equity at the lowest possible price? You do know dilution doesn't have to be right away and dilution right away erodes public trust even further that'll lead to collapse of the stock if you go by that logic. During Cheniere's time of distress the LNG market wasn't even a big thing and they had to get the biggest bail out, stayed at their lowest low for 3-4 years, they restructured multiple times, no possible idea if anything is going to even work out. After the storm they gradually diluted, starting from 2008 to 2024 went from 48 million to 220 million shares. What's the price now? Meanwhile NFE at a time where LNG market is predicted to double in a few years and your thought is creditors are going to wipe equity? And when interest rates are lower than the 2000s. So doesn't seem logical for creditors to wipe equity for pennies at the moment. When they can verify and confirm NFE possible outcomes negotiate to ensure their principle can possibly be regained before demolishing equity. Wes Edens doesn't need to perform any insane miracles, he and the bondholders all have to do is assess and see if all they have to do is really wait the year and and verify if the possible profits are enough to bring nfe back to health. And as collateral they can come up with healthier ways to dilute rather than instant equity wipe. It's precedented already. Many of NFE current projects are the right plays that bondholders want, proof that business works. Brazil needs a power plant, Puerto Rico needs LNG and upgrades to their power grid. Brazil phase one ebitda and Puerto rico operations aren't even reflected wholly onto q3 2025 earnings as well. Q4 earnings will provide us with more details in Feb or March. repost: automod removed first one.
tbf Carillion was a construction and service company that had worse financials + didn't have the potential revenue not an LNG company where margins are much higher than a construction and service company.
The themes I would invest in are 1) deregulated electricity (aka merchant generation), 2) Permian production, and 3) LNG exports. Buy those three for the next 3 years and you’re golden.