MOAT
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
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WHY IM A SHORTING APPL IN THE SHORT TIME.
Is there any reason whatsoever that a "smart beta" ETF which has a long term track record of beating the S&P would be a bad investment long term?
I think Abbott ($ABT) is a strong future play soon, and here is why
For all the talk about SPY, VOO, VTI, etc, shouldn't BRK be a part of the conversation?
What are your thoughts about Weight Watchers (WW)? I prescribe weight loss medications, and they are very good. WW could be primed.
The impact of the release of quarterly statements on price movement: I made a graph showing the amount of statements released (averaged over all available years) and the percentual price movement of MOAT (averaged over all years and quarters)
$DIS is primed for a run up near earnings report. Price range around year 2014!
15 things to look at before picking a stock:
15 things to look at before picking a stock to minimize downside risk:
Paypal $PYPL drawdowns. Investors at all time highs: "Biz has strong MOAT". After a massive drawdown: "No MOAT".
Crayon Drawings for Impending Sell Off
Apple has strong MOAT with their ecosystem & high switching costs, but I think they peaked.
🚀🚀 2 for 1 special: Cheap tickets to the moon. $MVIS is finally primed & ready to blast off! Here is everything you need to know! 🔥🔥🔥
Why the smartest play might be just buying Google Stock.
15 tips to pick better stocks & be a better investor::
15 tips to pick better stocks, lose less money, be a better gamlbler and make better bets::
15 tips to choose better stocks & be a better investor:
HS Govtech , Recession resistant SaaS company HS.CN / OTC : HDSLF – Buy out target?
$LWLG up 16% in 2 days since lace last Possible Shortsqueeze update
LWLG - Probable Shortsqueeze developping
Solid Industries for an Unsteady Market ;
If you could only own 3 stocks, which would it be and why?
[$APPS] Digital Turbine- A true, honest multi-multi-bagger opportunity in a giant growing tasty pie.
[$APPS] Digital Turbine- A true, honest multi-multi-bagger opportunity in a giant growing tasty pie.
$YETI stock analysis + DCF, Intrinsic value of $65+ per share?
Voxtur Analytics - Blue sky breakout (VXTR.V / VXTRF)
SEC delisting Chinese stocks....conspiracy?
TSLA Is the only Megacap Tech stop that has huge upside now
$FB (Meta Platforms) Is Badly Undervalued
$FB Is Badly Undervalued | Meta Platforms DD
$FB Is Way To Undervalued Right Now | Meta Platforms Fundamental Analysis & Price Targets
Why You Should Consider $FB (Meta Platforms) After The Recent Drop
$FB (Meta Platforms) Fundamental Analysis & Price Targets
$FB (Meta Platforms) Is Likely Undervalued
Can someone explain to me - as if I am a 10 year old - the main differences to paypal, visa, adyen, GPN, .. ?
HITI - CEO Interview (ATB 10th Annual Institutional Investor Conference)
HITI - CEO Interview (ATB 10th Annual Institutional Investor Conference)
DD update on $VGFC [Very Good Food Company: Due Diligence & Research]
DD on $GMGT GAMING TECHNOLOGIES [Due Diligence, Research & Analysis]
$NNDM and why you Apes will love it ! Best Due Diligence!
DD update on $VRYYF [Very Good Food Company: Due Diligence & Research]
DD on $APGO - Apollo Silver Corp. [Due Diligence & Research]
DD on $APGO - Apollo Silver Corp. [Due Diligence & Research]
$GENI DD | I'm either a $GENIus or a retard. 260K position. Not a YOLO, because I know I'm right.
Genius Sports $GENI- Picks & Shovels for Sports Gambling
🚀 $CLSK DD my price target $38.30 by EOY, and $98.72 by EOY 2022 💎🙌 🚀🍌🦍
UXIN on my radar after NIO’s investment in them
UXIN on my radar after NIO’s investment in then
My analysis of Nio’s latest investment in Uxin.
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Four (4) Investment Rules That Will Maximize Your Returns
$SKLZ YOLO UPDATE: smol 230% GAIN - Closed first of my SKLZ PUTs
$SKLZ YOLO UPDATE: smol 230% GAIN - Closed first of my SKLZ PUTs
Mentions
This makes sense. I like the MOAT.
what your definition of a meme stock? most of these tickers are in emerging markets with either proven track records, tech MOAT, or big deals locked in. I'm not buying at these prices, but not selling either.
Hate and still purchase = MOAT. Adobe stocks will surge up one day, but it is very difficult to say how low will it get and this is the main issue. Surging up will happen on earnings releases so it is almost certain that small risk has to be taken to hold trough either Q1 or Q2. All of the potential negativity is already soaked in, the earnings will probably be stellar as always and this will prevent any large selloffs. I am looking for plateau, see NOVO_B as an example. Take a weekly chart and see the volumes. Already it seems that Adobe buyers are coming into the mix and RSI is slowly rising. Barring total collapse (always possibility with Trump) Tech stocks are getting delicious towards Q1, not just Adobe. So this is also competition in that regard.
I’m new to Reddit and have been following the discussion around Uber for a while. In my view, Uber’s long-term outlook will ultimately be decided by whether safe AV driving becomes a commodity or not. The bear case, in my opinion, is that Waymo (and potentially Tesla) will be the only two companies capable of delivering truly safe AVs over the next several years. In that scenario, Uber’s role as a supply-and-demand aggregator would become far less relevant, and those two companies would capture the majority of the market. Uber wouldn’t disappear, but its core ride-hailing business would be structurally disrupted. However, I believe it is far more likely that safe AV technology becomes commoditized over time and therefore does not provide a durable moat. This is supported by the fact that multiple companies are planning to deploy Level 4 robotaxis globally starting in 2026 (e.g. Baidu, [Pony.ai](http://Pony.ai), Lucid). IMO this strongly suggests that the underlying technology doest not offer a durable MOAT. Additionally, the projection of AV deployment, and Waymo’s expansion in particular, has not been as fast as expected. Optimistically, Waymo will only operate around 5,000–10,000 robotaxis by 2027. That leaves significant time for competitors to catch up technologically and offer a comparable product. As a result, it seems likely that in the medium to long term, several providers will operate similar robotaxi fleets—much like the traditional automotive industry, which has never been dominated by a single manufacturer despite heavy regulation. Since AVs remain extremely expensive, and only Waymo can currently absorb these costs (largely because it is backed by Alphabet), other players such as Lucid, PonyAI will likely depend on external distribution networks to maximize utilization. This is where Uber’s key advantage comes into play. Uber already operates a global demand-supply matching platform at scale, which it can offer to AV providers that lack direct consumer reach. Ultimately, the decisive factor for customers choosing a ride-hailing app is getting from A to B as quickly, safely, and comfortably as possible. If Uber offers that via AVs, users will choose Uber; if Waymo offers it more effectively, they’ll choose Waymo. A very plausible outcome, in my view, is a duopoly-like structure similar to Visa and Mastercard, where both Uber and Waymo dominate due to strong distribution, high user engagement, and embedded ecosystems (e.g. Waymo leveraging Alphabet assets like Google Maps). The robotaxi market is enormous, and in a world where AV technology becomes increasingly commoditized, the platform that aggregates demand, optimizes fleet utilization, and controls customer access is likely to win. **TL;DR:** AV technology is likely to become commoditized, meaning Waymo’s current technological and regulatory advantage won’t last. Time works in Uber’s favor, as other companies can catch up technologically and will likely rely on Uber’s platform for distribution. The most probable outcome is that Uber and Waymo coexist and dominate the robotaxi market.
This. PE is very useful, but you have to evaluate the business holistically. This could be other financial numbers. Top line growth rate, gross margins, profit margins, netcash / debt. If a business have a very high PE, but all those other numbers are very good. You could can see PE dropping fast. You also have to look into user satisfaction/engagement. Is there a MOAT that prevents users to switch to an alternative. What is the competitive landscape?
They are pricy, but I wouldn’t say overvalued. It is practically a monopoly that is near impossible to copy. Their MOAT is incredible. I don’t see them losing their position in the coming 5 years for certain, and probably 10 years. ASML’s high NA EUV machines are being sold for ~400mln a pop, and they can’t even satisfy demand and backlog. A great watch to understand their market position is the recent video by Veritasium explaining how insanely complex and hard to copy their machines are.
What is the valuation of an unprofitable business without a MOAT like OpenAI?
Google was low because there was possibility they would be forced to sell Chrome. DOJ last September ruled they don't have to sell Chrome. Also, many people wrongly assumed ChatGPT would destroy Google's search dominance. Which was never going to be the case even in best case scenario for GPT. Google has Google cloud, YouTube, Android and countless other assets on top of search. YouTube alone deserves market cap higher than Netflix. Don't forget they are the leaders in autonomous taxis, not Tesla. Google was undervalued because of fear not because of numbers. Okay, what does PayPal have? What MOAT do they have? What do they provide that hundreds of other companies don't provide in one form or another? Is there any distinct advantage of using PayPal? What they do seems easy to replicate, hence they have lots of competition. Sure you might still make money but it's not a company with bright future five years down the line. Short term, it's a gamble and you might make some money. Good luck!
Can't speak to it on a technical basis, but as a company? Man it's so shit. They've got no real MOAT, AI is eating their lunch, and everyone who uses their services these days absolutely hates it. Won't be touching it with a mile long pole personally
DPRO I would add to the list there. ABAT is another, need batteries to run these drones so don't forget about that sector. LPTH is in a competitive space and I struggle to understand what MOAT they have there if any? Look forward to doing my due diligence into SPAI and PDYN
Don’t confuse current market share with future. Azure growth rate is faster than AWS. Azure is also gradually increasing their market share. If the huge capital investments can’t reverse this then amazon is in trouble. It’s difficult for AWS to outgrow Azure in the long run because Microsoft has enterprise apps which is a MOAT unlike Amazon which sells only the cloud service.
MOAT https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_moat
I didn´t say they are undervalued, but I like the price relative to the fundamentals. Depending on what you believe the companies will produce in cash flows in the future both of them can be both undervalued, fairly valued and overvalued. No one knows for certain how the future looks like. BN. Traded at a 35% discount to NAV, fantastic historical performance (+19% CAGR over last 30 years), diversified, insiders owning a lot of stock and very optimistic guidance for future cash flow growth from operating activities. NVDA. Good forward PE relative to estimated EPS growth for the coming years, market leader, strong MOAT, high ROIC and great management.
Why doesnt prime just replace netflix? Becuase it has a MOAT and a strong brand. The wors Uber has become interchangable with a Taxi
That is a dumb take. Amazon has one of the most impregnable MOAT out of all MAG7 (along Microsoft)
The concept you want to explore is a MOAT: some competitive advantage that makes a company difficult or impossible to overtake. eBay had no real moat, just a strong network effect. They relied on users to do all the shipping and procurement and listings and everything. Amazon has immense infrastructure that acts as a moat. Distribution hubs, shipping logistics, last mile delivery fleets, customer base, vendor base, computing backbone... Amazon was able to build massive scale by being the first mover, as well as by using the AWS cash flow. It's hard to imagine an organic growth company ever competing. It would have to be a merger of Walmart plus UPS plus Microsoft.
Yes, NVDA has better MOAT. But it’s easier for AMD to beat their estimates. So I always go with the rule “ I don’t know what I don’t know”. So I would rather go with both than just one of them. There’s no limit on how many stocks you can hold in your portfolio.
Why can't we talk about MOAT? It's up almost 14% YTD
Drones are the new way wars are fought. The drone budget from FY 25 to FY 26 is 10x. The U.S. military Short Range Reconnaissance budget is going from $70 Million to over $700 Million. Plus $1 Billion extra for attack drones. $2 Billion for small unmanned ships that Ukraine has used to destroy a lot of Russian ships, oil assets, etc. $RCAT is the only licensed US manufacturer of Ukrainian USV drones. These are proven in war and won 5-0 at REPMUS. RCAT (Redcat Holdings), may very well increase its revenue from $40 Million in 2025 to $400 Million in 2026. They have the only SRR drone that works in GPS denied war zones. There drones work even in areas where radio jamming occurs. There competitors drones don’t work, radio gets jammed and software doesn’t work. This is a huge MOAT that Wall Street doesn’t seem to know about. Once the Full Rate Production is signed, RCAT stock will fly!
As an investor, I make choices based on realistic valuations. I use revenue, profit, EBITDA and MOAT and future predicted earnings to make smart choices and diversify my portfolio. That's why today my highest preforming asset *checks notes* ...is a meme stock.
You can't just declare MOAT Michael
CRM has an important MOAT too, it's certainly difficult for a company to move away from their ecosystem once they start using it.
>PLTR has a significantly larger MOAT than SpaceX. I don't think you understand enterprise contracts. They last 1-3 years, and then you can cancel. Not really a moat. But then again, 1-3 years is probably an eternity for a subreddit that trades options that expire in 1 week.
$FLWS - 1-800-FLOWERS: The Setup Nobody's Talking About SQUEEZE MECHANICS (This Week) 526K FTDs hit T+35 forced settlement Dec 16-19 Dec 19 OPEX stacks gamma on a ~5M share float 9.4M shares short vs 600K available to borrow (15.7x imbalance) Shorts dumped 2.5M borrowed shares Dec 12 to push it from 4.40→3.90 - couldn't break support, running out of ammo AI TRANSFORMATION (2025) New CIO (Zelikovsky) hired Dec 8 for "AI and digital commerce" - stock ripped 30% New CEO (Villagomez) - first non-family CEO ever New CMO (Babcock) - ex-Home Depot Entire C-suite rebuilt this year. AI chatbots already driving 70% increase in customer interactions. DATA MOAT 30+ years of consumer gifting and logistics data Uber Direct + Uber Eats partnerships launched 2025 This data could be worth hundreds of millions if monetized through AI VALUATION $1.4B revenue at ~$250M market cap Actually profitable Conservative target: $10-15 | AI execution target: $20-30+ (detailed modeling in follow-up DD) Valentine's Day + Mother's Day catalysts ahead Bears see "dying flower company." I see a logistics data company mid-transformation. POSITION: 155x $5 calls 12/19, plus shares. If squeeze doesn't hit, I'm exercising and holding for the turnaround. Not financial advice - do your own DD. I could be wrong on timing, and you can lose 100% on options.
What would say SpaceX’s MOAT is compared to competitors such as rocket lab or blue origin.
PLTR has a significantly larger MOAT than SpaceX. I don't think you understand enterprise contracts.
PLTR makes $4B annually with a 437B mcap , at least SpaceX has a MOAT and is the future.
Plus Google now has a foot in the foot to take market share away from Apple with the Pixel and also the return of Google Glass next year to go against Meta Rayban. ANDDD they own YouTube/TV.. ANDDD they definitely have their hand in the bowl of robotics and quantum computing as well. Autonomous driving cars with Waymo. I mean they have THE MOAT
I wouldn't say a MOAT but they're significantly expanding operations in the East Coast next year and they just recently got into the European market. I feel like SOFI is going to get to 50 by the end of 2026
Does SOFI have a MOAT?
It is not only low p/e, it is low p/e + MOAT + Narrative change. The narrative change is meta will reduce metaverse spending, even if they shift this money to AI it will be better as metaverse is a shit show. thats what the investors wants. I trust in the Zuck if you dont, then dont invest in meta.
Very happy to see this post as I never know why this stock never gets d attention, it should be as talked about as mag7 but at least should be aswell known as baba at bare minimum - they have an absurd MOAT on top tier fabs their core bussiness model and enough demand to fill up any fab they get up and running with increasing margins due to demand- in a heavy PPE manufacturing and semi manufacturing industry that’s absurd and imo r set up to dominate the next decade minimum- intel management is a joke
cool thank you. interesting -- apparently they have a bit of a MOAT... you know, from decades of literally mapping the interior of millions of homes.
Not sure they have a bigger MOAT than NVDA right now. NVDA has 92% of the market. Apple... does not.
I work in tech, and agree with all of above. OpenAI has no MOAT, they are just one model. From what I hear don't sleep on Anthropic on AWS/GCP for Enterprise Customers- where the real money is. Plus AWS-GCP has monster cashflow to finance such things. Also Microsoft has a history of using free/cheap to kill competitors, I'll admit I'm not as knowledgeable on their AI offerings at this moment, but do not doubt them long term. Microsoft will lose the first 8 innings, then hit grand slams in 9th.
OpenAI wont be around in 2030. Google does everything OpenAI does, but better now. They already catched up and lapped them. They have direct integration with android and search, and can afford to burn more money. OpenAI really doesnt have any MOAT. Google even make their own chips for god sake.
Ask your favourite AI which MaG7 has greatest MOAT …
Comma AI’s open source kit is like 80-90% of the way there to Tesla. They don’t have a significant MOAT on autonomous driving.
AI chip is stretching it. Anything can be called an AI chip by that logic. The only real AI chip that has some MOAT to it is a GPU or an AISC chip. TPUs from Amazon, Google, etc can still qualify as AI chips, but Tesla’s HW4 which has Samsungs exynos architecture, AMD CPU and GPU cannot be called an “AI chip” IMHO.
Bunch of random hate going around: ORCL has specific integration with database hand holding inside of Azure data centers mitigating competition friction on top of backing up 27 European Union countries, the US, AUS, UK, etc are also utilizing them for data Sovereignty. They have decreased FCF (Still like +20B) but, this is expected during high Capex events. However. with their backup with all of these points their MOAT is incredibly strong alongside the "Co Locate with the data location" idea. Easy to switch to, hard af to switch from. Not necessarily saying there is zero risk as there always is some but, I doubt to an incredible level that this is a warning sign for anyone on that list. Put/call @ 0.89 / CDS spread increase by 25 BPS. It's highly likely it's hedging, go to bed. With how rates have been I'm surprised everyone didn't issue even more.
bruh, ChatGPT data is the MOAT
Well I aks Gemini which of the MAG7 has the biggest MOAT and it said MSFT…. which is funny at least. I also Believe in Google, but of course uf they lose ad business market share stock will go down short term . Long term they have best chances to succeed.
MOAT etf - 30 shares bought at $99 on Oct. 13 Sold today for $99.24. Usually a good ETF for hanging on to your cost basis short term or very slowly going up long term. Why sell? I want that dry powder 😩 black Friday sales are coming early to the stock market.
I honestly wonder why people were afraid that GOOG -which is printing 100billion per quarter, can literally throw billions at individual AI researchers, and has a nobel laureate lead a division that originally invented transformer architecture- would not be able to in the long run crush some autistic snake oil salesman that is Scam altman, who at this point is just buying time with his pyramid scheme deal announcements. They have literally no MOAT, and all their actually capable AI researchers fled long time ago..
If this is the level of analysis you're applying then I would recommend you don't short anybody. Your takes are too shallow and lack any business rationale. * Increase prices shows price elasticity, aka they can get qway with increasing prices. Secondly, if you increase $1 hotdog to $2, that's a drastic increase but it's a cheap hot dog. Same with streaming services. If Chipotle double their prices, they lose half their customers overnight because the actual value of an one off meal is low. A month's worth of streaming content which equates to hours upon hours of entertainment is still good value. Price increases is about more about the principle than the value of the service. * Advertisement exploding is a net positive. It is a revenue stream to offset the price increases. Think of your favourite show of all time. Would you refuse to watch it if it has ads? No. You'll be pissed but you will watch it. This is how enshittification works. Product is worst but company has a MOAT so we have to suck it up. * Consumer sentiment doesn't translate into economic outcomes. Humans need to be entertained and streaming services are fair value compared to $70 games, $100 nights out and there's only so much TikTok one can consume in the evenings. Feel free to short the streaming services, you might learn something valuable from the experience :)
META’s AI failed. What MOAT do they have to deserve a trillion dollar valuation?
Meta is so overvalued! What MOAT it has?
Duolingo's growth was never sustainable so the valuation is course correcting. It may not have a technical MOAT but it has extremely high brand recognition. I couldn't name you another language app with a gun to my head. But maybe the brand awareness has peaked so what's next? The company is expanding into Chess so I'm curious if it has the potential to be general education app, like a mainstream version of Brilliant. They know how to engage users and that level of expertise is much harder to replicate. If I was Duolingo, I would be looking to spin off new apps into new verticals. Also your insight into their marketing dollars is something I haven't heard from any of the commentators talking about Duolingo over the last week. Nice one.
What is Rivian’s MOAT? I struggle to find any.
Wait for the weightloss pill to be in production this stock will skyrocket. Big MOAT i tell ya!
Exactly the models themselves are not a MOAT nor is there much revenue to be there from licensing. The compute is what’s going to be the commodity. Unless AGI is achieved then the whole current paradigm shifts
Korean fried chicken has been supported by the following secular tailwinds: preference shift towards more Asian cuisine in recent decades (think of it as a MOAT of sorts), fatigue from American fried chicken that traditionally entails all purpose flour in the coating, as opposed to Korean fried chicken’s rice flour mix, which introduces a nice crispiness that is otherwise difficult to attain, and finally more private investor dollars chasing growth of not only Korean, but also other styles of fried Asian chicken. Hopefully this color helps! — Jay
UNH is a massive company, what the fuck are all these ones you bought? What is their MOAT? Only FI is not a penny stock by market cap, the other two are random no-name companies. Look at the last couple of times FI had a major drop. The best you were getting was a 10% gain but every time over the long run it continued lower. Not good.
All about growth so if they are lying or not, we will find out next week earnings call. If they can maintain near 40% growth,, the valuation is very reasonable comparing to other SaaS with similar growth rate (PLTR). Don’t get me wrong, 25x rev is high which is what I said earlier. You’re paying a premium at this price for their projected growth and MOAT. And comparing to other SaaS like PATH, the TAM is much larger for FIG, customer based is more diverse (dev, non-dev, retail, enterprise) , MOAT is much stronger. They are expanding into other areas, they might have to beat Canvas. But at least they don’t need to face MSFT like PATH needs to face. Give me your DD too, you buying?
The brand name is the MOAT. OPEN AI is already the Google of LLMs. My kids don't use Claude or Gemini or whatever MSFT LLM is called.
Pretty sure they have it figured out. Turnaround has been underway for over a year. Haven’t read this earnings yet but typically Criss is really conservative on guidance. It’s sorta hard I imagine to grow the top line once you get to a certain TPV when your product isn’t very sticky or convenient. I’m not a fan of the product or really understand how they have a MOAT, but its fundamentals always interest me. It’s price action is pretty interesting as well.
Here is the real reason, so i sincerely hope you read this because I think you misunderstand the AI argument. It's not that AI generation tools are going to replace Adobe. It's that the software MOAT is going away. Its that AI programming will very soon be able to create cheap or open source competition to replicate the majority of Adobe services which will undercut their profit margin significantly. We still do not have a great open source PDF tool, that will very quickly change with automated AI programming tools. Then after that will be photoshop clones and after effects etc. Thats why Adobe is 9x multiple. Because its no longer a tech company with a tech MOAT, its a branding company relying on brand power and user support to maintain revenue. And as others have stated, users hate Adobe. TLDR, Adobe is not a company id invest in and I think its multiple will likely continue to shrink, we may not see price collapse as inflation is still raging though.
Whats the price target here? Whats their MOAT? I don’t use Cannabis, if Rescheduling does happen what would a Cannabis user be using this for?
I don't use ChatGPT. Would be hypocritical of me if I write this long ass post about googles MOAT and then am using chatGPT. I am a gemini person. Also didn't use AI to write it. Its all me. Did use it to proofread it as it is pretty long so wanted to be sure about grammar etc. But you are free to think what you want. Its a free world!
MOAT etf is just soldiering on saving my port when everything is tanking. If you're looking for something not-VOO for safety it's been good to me for over a year.
I’ve been looking at starting a position. Your thoughts on Amazon entering the market? Seems like a huge competitor for a company with no MOAT?
Cash is King. After that, some precious metals and Established, large-cap companies with a MOAT
This was a great response. thank you Mark. Ive been doing a deep research whenever I have time into HGRAF. I am prepared to invest around 30-40k USD into this. but right now it's currently at like 2.13 a share. Do you recommend I wait for it to drop to like 1.90 or 1.80 again or just buy now? ALSO, what price target do you think stock will actually surpass? From the sounds of it, it seems like they have a MOAT and it's only a matter of time before they take a significant chunk of the TAM for graphene .
They announced HERS will be bringing in over 1 billion in revenue in 2025 and no MOAT what are we in 1985? They have 90-90% recurring revenue 82% of customers stay beyond 3 months
Because their widget volume doesn’t scale to end-user demand. If Nvidia makes 10x more GPUs it doesn’t mean ASML will sell 10x more lithographers. I’ve been trying to explain this to r/valueinvesting, who thinks that ASML is like the best play out there because MOAT. But DEMAND and VOLUME are more important.
An untouchable MOAT would keep me calm
PL is discussing their MOAT and long term strategy at an investor event in New York tomorrow.
Guys, what’s the difference between ANET, ALAB, AVGO? Just trying to wrap my head around on what the MOAT for each.
Oracle is a software company with the greatest MOAT on the planet. Their database is absolutely indispensable for most enterprise company and no company takes that decision lightly. Thereby, their gross margin was unbelievable for most of the history. Compare that to Amazon. They operate in the lowest margin, most cutthroat industry (i.e. retail). When Amazon invests money from their retail operations to build AWS, their gross margin improves. When Oracle invests money from their software to invest on Oracle, their gross margin will go down. Not to mention, they woo their customers by under-provisioning compared their competitors like AWS, GCP and Azure. Thereby their gross margin on cloud is expected to be lower than them. The whole AI play by Oracle is a sham. Oracle's gross margin will simply just go down from here, not up. Their stock price is definitely in bubble territory.
A lot of acquisitions now are similar to Pharma acquiring a start up whose drug has just entered clinical trials. The market has to be there. And then there is a smaller fish with a big enough MOAT available for sale at fair price. That is a good acquisition. One way to find out serial acquirers is go back to their annual reports, break down into parts and see how much return each acquired business is returning. You sir, have no idea what a serial acquirer is, and no idea what I have been talking about in this comment and my OC. But had the audacity to put together a list of MOATs and well managed companies acquiring well established smaller businesses with MOAT as a sarcastic rebuttal to my OC.
Concur -- no reason that you must be 100% in one ETF. I use VOO, VTI, QQQM, DIA, MOAT, and others. Pick ones that work for you.
I am still trying to find a single person who can give a coherent explanation for how OpenAI is supposed to become profitable, let alone profitable enough to justify its valuation. Just one of many model providers with absolutely no MOAT. The models aren't superior anymore, they have no own data, no own NPU, TPU, or GPUs, no distribution platform like Android/iOS/Windows, and not even an existing advertising ecosystem to capture the potential migration from subscriptions to ad-based free chat bots.
What's the reasoning for said play? Balance sheet or MOAT?
lol not really. Oracle has a terrible record in media business… if you know they exit the media business last year and lost billions on their media companies; MOAT, BLUEKAI, and GRAPESHOT. A company that is so weak in media, running tik tok. Good luck. And if you read, requires you to download and install a new app haha 😆
Its momentum does not make it a good investment. You are making a bet based on story. Beside the fact it hasn't a strong MOAT and competes in a competitive field, It lacks profitability (poor ROE, accumulating deficit), it has very concentrated client base. But again, gambling means you are making a bet. Some work, most don't. Paying a mag7 at excessive vuation is also a sort of gamble (although the quality of the business makes it less risky to my eyes)
There is MOAT. Figma has largest repo of designs
Figma is a strong AI play which will Multiply. People say MOAT. In AI world for some companies there is branding and onboarding and usability as MOAT. Also FIGMA can also have data as unique moat. Imagine Figma having Multi Model LLM trained on all designs . A user can ask just design something and Figma will share the same instead of templates.
feel like they don't have a MOAT, and the stock just always shits itself
They’re called “Pain”pal for a reason. Even people who use it dislike. Too much competition, outdated business model, not a competitive MOAT, I would stay away. Much better fintech investments out there IMHO.
MOAT and TAM…are the big ones for me. And then the rest..
the company's MOAT, or competitive advantage. a strong moat usually translates to consistent revenues. take apple for example, their moat is their strong brand and loyal customer base. nvidia's moat is obviously their AI chips. being the only player in town can help create this moat. amazon's moat is its ecommerce dominance and cloud computing (AWS). just find companies that do one thing well, or have a quasi-monopoly in its industry.
MOAT etf not too bad right now, their largest holding is Estee Lauder which is also just chilling, and their earnings are tomorrow, I have no idea if it will move either way. Estee Lauder is old lady stock but it's Morningstar fair value is like $30 over where it's at right now
This. And Value stocks and growth stocks are not mutually exclusive. It's a classic misunderstanding. You can have companies have a high PE and still be cheap/fairly priced, and you can have companies with a low PE and still be expensive. RDDT is a value stock because of its strong fundamentals. It has a strong MOAT and is very addictive. The high level of engagement is a goldmine for advertisers. They are only in their infancy when it comes to their ad targeting and can command a much higher price per DUA in the future, so it is more in line with their peers. And the financials and earnings support that fundamental narrative. +60% growth in every earnings so far, and with 78% in the latest earnings. On top of that, they have 2B in net cash. They can weather a recession if that should come around.
VanEck has entered the chat with their MOAT ETF. No need to research, pull it up and buy what you want within their holdings.
I know all what P/E means bucko. With WMT its the same case Costco in terms of a consumer staple. They’re expensive but they clearly execute better than their retail peers and have a large MOAT. Why order something and wait for it, instead of just driving to the store and picking it up? I think thats the problem that most AMZN bulls on here run into when trying to evaluate this company.
SRFM in takeoff mode. I don’t think many of us realize how big the MOAT can be for SurfOS
Yeah time will tell. They have all that cash and and between rate cuts and high demand for short term treasuries incoming, they need to divest and reinvest elsewhere or risk it becoming closer to dead capital. Fannie Freddie $FNMA $FMCC would make a lot of sense because they can buy a block from the us govt without leaving their fingerprints on the price action. Biggest MOAT of maybe any business and a fortress balance sheet. Stuff Warren likes. Maybe it will be his last big buy before retirement.
comments like this make me that much more bullish on ASTS lmfao. even with the recent run it’s amazing how people still don’t know what kind of technological MOAT it has. quite literally 2 years of separating itself from Starlinks/GSAT/Iridium/whatevers obsolete tech and comments like this still come up. so glad im an early investor in this one
> Not being able to move Cannabis across state lines is a benefit to the MSO operators that have made very shrewd supply-chain operations. Effectively it creates a MOAT for the top operators in the state. I consider that a significant threat, not a positive.
The proponents of S3 don't want repeal of federal law. Not being able to move Cannabis across state lines is a benefit to the MSO operators that have made very shrewd supply-chain operations. Effectively it creates a MOAT for the top operators in the state. Repealing 280e is huge for most companies. And we haven't even scratched the surface of the significant possible benefits that can happen with safe banking or even up-listing. Increases in sales, better financing rates, insitutional ownership, possible better margins if the hemp products are no longer competing with cannabis, etc. etc The list goes on....
Don't entirely disagree but it's a MOAT nonetheless Same can be said for NVDA and CUDA
I think they should just rename the ticker to "MOAT" at this point Because this is the company I'm reminded of when someone says "moat"
I didn’t notice they were for EOY 27. Given how much time he has, these could definitely work out, so I was being a bit extreme. It’s just that he is kind of backing himself into a corner with these where he needs a moon in the short to medium term. A slow gradual grind up will fuck him, sideways or down for a while before going up will fuck him, and holding through a rally and eventually pullback could fuck him if he’s greedy. I’m also not impressed by AMDs prospects. I love Lisa Su, but my sense on the situation is that NVDA has been aggressively and successfully defending their MOAT. On a relative or % basis or whatever, AMD just isn’t matching, keeping up with, or catching up to NVDA. If AMD does start showing concrete evidence of stealing market share - get the fuck in for sure.
If you can't beat the market go with VOO. MOAT doest not beat VOO therefore you do not buy MOAT. 3/4 - I don't like seeing the word "undervalued". Do you want to know which stocks have been "overvalued" (ie traded at premiums) for the past 20+ years? MSFT AAPL GOOGL AMZN Why do stocks such as that trade at premium? Because the more people think those companies will succeed going forward, and bid the prices up. Do I really care if the PE ratio is 40-50 when top and bottom lines are going year in and year out, and projected to continue into the future? Isn't that better "value" than a company bouncing between profitablity and loss and growth and decling growth with 15 PE? There is a reason why it's "cheap". To be blunt with you, you failed at picking individual stocks because you seeked your so called "value". Basically looking for intrinsic means the security is already fairly valued - or in other words it won't grow/increase in value.
I commonly use ETFs as a starting point. MOAT is good if you like the Morningstar MOAT rating system. I like looking through small and mid cap value ETFs and then filtering further.