Reddit Posts
Ampere vs LightShed: two conflicting outlooks on legacy media streaming services: Disney+, Max, Peacock & Paramount.
Does FSR really look like a buy or YOLO?
WBD and Paramount merger talks, why are the stocks down, surely this is bullish for the synergies?
Warner Bros. Discovery in talks to merge with Paramount Global
Warner Bros Discovery currently has a 58% Probability of Bankruptcy - Macroaxis
People bought TTWO cuz trailers, Warner discovery stock anyone? WBD in time for Dragon and gold eggs?
WSJ - Hollywood Writers Reach Agreement With Studios, Streamers to End Strike
Hollywood studios, writers near agreement to end strike, hope to finalize deal Thursday
Hollywood studios, writers near agreement to end strike, hope to finalize deal ThursdayI
Warner Bros. Discovery Says Ongoing Strikes Will Mean $300M-$500M Hit to 2023 Earnings
SAG-AFTRA Gears Up For Possible Strike Against Video Game Industry
SAG-AFTA votes for strike authorization against at least 10 game companies
WBD narrows streaming loss thanks to 3x higher content licensing revenue ($410M). More "co-exclusive" deals coming.
Anyone still holding WBD after T split?
$AMC Barbenheimer Biggest Box Office Weekend Post-Pandemic $301 Million Estimated
‘Barbie’ Opens to Record-Setting $155 Million, ‘Oppenheimer’ Shatters Expectations With $80 Million Debut
Now that all the anti Hollywood weirdos are out and about....
What are some stocks that worth selling covered calls?
Massive Box Office Weekend Incoming $AMC $WBD Barbie FTW!
Astronaut Barbie will take MAT and WBD to the 🌙
Astronaut Barbie will take MAT and WBD to the 🌙
Moderation in this sub has reached a tipping point - too active, often problematic, and sometimes egregious.
Writers/Actors strike - who wins and loses
Warner Bros Discovery - licencing to Netflix
General question: Impact of Hollywood strikes on media stocks
Regional Bank Troubles, Streaming Wars, Writers' Walk Out. Suggestions/discussions!
2023-04-28 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Vanellope von Schweetz
2023-04-27 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Velma Dinkley
HBO max changing to MAX… and it’ll be a hard fall for WBD
My LONG picks for tomorrow What are your thoughts?
Warner Bros. [WBD] Looks to Close Deal for ‘Harry Potter’ HBO Max Series
Warner Bros. [WBD] Looks to Close Deal for ‘Harry Potter’ HBO Max Series
Real Life 'Ted Lasso'? Apple May Get Into English Football - Just Not AFC Richmond
"The Making of Harry Potter," a Warner Brothers Studio Tour set to open in Tokyo in the summer of 2023. $WBD
2023-02-28 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
Warner Bros. Discovery finally bailing out of regional sports - report (NASDAQ:WBD)
Warner Bros. Discovery draws positive notes despite ad-driven earnings miss (NASDAQ:WBD)
WBD earnings call: year of building, new 'Lord of the Rings'; stock turns up (NASDAQ:WBD)
Thoughts on Warner Bros earnings after the bell? Are they overvalued at this point?
$WBD - Harry Potter is going to make $billions this year...and you can too!
What are your thoughts on SQ ahead of their earnings calls today?
'Magic Mike' dances way to cinema win on Super Bowl weekend (NASDAQ:WBD)
Technical Analysis & Trades: SPY QQQ IWM // LVS UNG PFG AXP WBD K KHC
Peak Recession is over. The Bulls Have It in 2023—and Last Year’s Losers Are Winners
WBD has $50.4bn in debt, DIS has $45bn, PARA has $15.6bn, and NFLX has $14bn. Netflix is the only one making money on streaming.
I sold all my growth and high risk stocks to tax loss harvest Dec 23-28. And feel horrible as the market has had a massive rally since then.
Netflix stock soars on the dollar’s slide
Netflix stock soars on the dollar’s slide
A great example of the market getting it wrong: WBD vs PARA
WBD on a rip, any idea why? No major news. Just over sold?
HBO Max ($WBD) is back on Prime Video Channels ($AMZN)
HBO Max ($WBD) is back on Prime Video Channels ($AMZN)
HBO Max ($WBD) is back on Prime Video Channels ($AMZN)
HBO Max ($WBD) is back on Prime Video Channels ($AMZN)
HBO Max ($WBD) is back on Prime Video Channels ($AMZN)
2022-11-29 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
2022-11-28 Wrinkle-brain Plays (Mathematically derived options plays)
WBD - Long term Bullish, short term bearish/neutral - IVR 6 - strategies to buy shares using options
Why I'm bullish on Curiosity Stream ($CURI) - Deep Value Play (DD)
Why I'm bullish on Curiosity Stream ($CURI) - Deep Value Play (DD)
Why I'm bullish on Curiosity Stream ($CURI) - Deep Value Play (DD)
AMCX - Wall Street Played You Like A Fiddle
2022-10-25 Better Tasting Crayons (Mathematically derived options plays)
With today’s surprise what stock are you looking to sell?
How there have been not a stockholder revolt against what David Zaslav have been doing in Warner Bros. Discovery?
WBD Insiders claim David Zaslav may be looking to 'flip' WBD to Universal Comcast
WBD a monster in the making (Continuation: last post was taken down because of links)
Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) a monster in the making (Re-post because OG got banned for several hours before being unlocked)
Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) a monster in the making
Don’t care about the charts or the numbers, WBD will squeeze like backyard lemons
Mentions
LULU, WBD, GOOG, DIS and DNUT if you feeling really spicy
Not so sure about this. WBD going to sue (and probably win) rights… a contract is a contract.
The truth is, WBD cant really afford this given their debt; Amazon is clearly the better and richer partner. BUT WBD will take a payout to get lost. That will be worth something vs leaving empty handed.
WBD tank is interesting. Narrative I am seeing is this will hasten linear networks. When Disney and Comcast are clearly in the title of the NBA deal articles and will air games on NBC, ABC, and ESPN. Maybe they mean pay cable? Netflix never had NBA rights and was able to succeed in streaming.
Watch it ! - I need WBD to pump asap
Agreed. I wish it wasn't WBD vs AMZN. I want to know more about matching rights. But WBD vs AMZN is a different sentiment than the previous WBD vs Comcast threads. When those two were fighting over the rights. I wonder if NBA is breaching their contract by rejecting the matching rights.
Yea. I kind of wish it wasn't WBD vs AMZN. I want to know more about matching rights. But this would involve AMZN losing if WBD wins and Mag 7 losing at anything isn't a topic this sub would want to discuss.
They can still continue to exist without WBD existing.
WBD tried to block it. But Amazon put them *on a poster*.
Netflix and Comcast has survived without having NBA rights. Comcast just got back in. WBD will get less carriage fees but can still use the money elsewhere.
[$WBD](https://x.com/search?q=%24WBD&src=cashtag_click) earns $200M of Ebitda from NBA. Amazon's package has fewer games and costs $400M more per year than current Warner package. Add on top $5.4B loan needed to secure this deal and I wonder where the profit comes from? This seems good for Warner Bros to not have to lose money just to keep the NBA.
AMZN got those NBA ads up quick! Sorry WBD
Puts on WBD dudes lost the bid on the NBA Contract
Will AMZN and DIS pop off because of the NBA deal? And will WBD drop to new low?
Amazon will be here for 10 years, can’t say this for WBD
Honoring my dead grandpa who left me shares, which I sold all in Dec 2019. Started buying last year in the 80s. I don’t see much downside and if so I’ll buy more. I’m long-ish depending on how things play out. Currently holding a few hundred shares. Other than that, I’d just be echoing the positive aspects you’ll probably find all over Reddit. To top it off though, I live in Orlando and I’m a season passholder for the wife and kid. Anecdotally, it’s all good at DIS. Cruises included. Brazilians and Latin America are Disney crazy. expanding parks. Not crazy about asset heavy stocks for the future, but that’s where I’m seeing value now. Looks like WBD just lost its NBA deal to dis amazon and Comcast. Own WBD too (low 7s).
WBD about to spiral into being bought out real soon
I'm buying more WBD $10 Jan 16 calls. Losing the NBA shit contract to Amazon is bullish. Plus, now they can spin off their debt. Plus plus still acquisition target.
Tech is so dead, WBD is the future.
Cup n Handle on WBD.....if you play anything other than FDs on big tech.
It's been a dog for a long time...but there is a legit cup and handle on WBD right now. Do what you will, not financial advice.
The diversity of DISs income compared to WBD or PARA warrants a larger multiple
I love that dumbass stocks like WBD and HE are up today. Makes me feel good about being a dumbass.
Ironically he says he'd buy back in at 65$ at the low end - at that level Disney's ratios are still higher than WBD or Paramount, so there may even be some more room to come down.
Where are you getting these projections from? 2028 having the same FCF as Google today seems.... not believable. That represents a 1000% increase from today's FCF of 6.16 billion - and an annualized growth rate of 250% Furthermore, your revenue estimate also beggars belief - as most analysts are shooting for 39-43 billion as the estimate for 2025. Somewhere less than 5% per year. So you're saying sometime in 2026-2028, we will go from 43 at best to 172? They have to pack 150% per year increases in sales in 2026 and 2027 to make it. We can look at WBD analogues like Paramount (film + linear TV) to see that their revenues have not fluctuated downward significantly during this secular downturn, so I'm assuming what you did was take the growth in Discovery's numbers from the Time Warner acquisition and project that out into the future - which is problematic unless they can find Warner Bros. sized companies to merge with every year.
WBD has a market cap of 20 billion and they're thinking of spending 19.8 billion over the next 11 years to carry the nba? Am I the only one who thinks this is stupid? Also, I read somewhere the Amazon package specifically states that it is a streaming only package, so they wouldn't be able to air games on tnt anyways.
WBD- Warner Bros Discovery- Announces they may be splitting off parts of the company to make it viable again. It's been on a 8 day uptick. $8.65. May hit $10 by Tomorrow. $12 by Friday. hopefully. Analysis of averages seems to indicate a strong increase on people "bouncing off the bottom".
WBD calls ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
> Warner Bros Discovery ($WBD) shares soar after conclusion of Shark Week hosted by John Cena.
WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) MOVING UP NOW!! GO CHECK IT OUT!! Company is looking to separate various assets to make it less bloated. It's near the lowest it's ever been, now it's moving up, up, up!
Thanks. Yeah every option i've done well on has either been a put/call for earnings with a big move or cheap otm calls like 6 months out on some neglected stock that starts a run. ill sell a couple to get back my cost and let the rest ride. Been doing that with INTC/WBD/HE now. Did it with oil stocks in 2021 and did really well but i let myself lose too much the past year getting emotional and playing puts. ill try to mess around and get better on scalping profits quicker if i play index options.
Why is WBD up 🤨 Maybe this is a good or bad sign for Netflix
I mean everybody knows WBD - game of thrones, Harry Potter and a whole host of insane IPs.. and they were at the same market cap of DJT!!! Clearly seemed like something is off what with the olympics, election year and other ad streams coming up, was a no brainer and I think JPM and Bank of America analysts downgraded it to strong sell at 7$.. That was my cue
Apparently this: "Warner Bros. Discovery ($WBD) is considering splitting its digital streaming and studio businesses from its television networks to boost its declining share price, the Financial Times reported Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter." Happy for you man ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4276)
Why is WBD popping - I bought @7$ for 30k usd, I am not complaining
WBD and INTC are the real MVPs, protecting my wallet from NVDA and AMD.
Am I the only regard that decided to hold onto WBD calls
Anyone got thoughts on WBD? I’m holding some shares that I’m really torn on selling for a small gain or rising out a while longer. I personally feel like the $6-$7 range might have been a bottom and can see a rebound but curious if anyone else has thoughts?
EPI and WBD steady mobbin today. Lets go India and Hollywood.
Why is WBD mooning? No complaints since it's my 3rd largest holding and I got in at low $7s
I've traded on direct inside info 3 times and lost money all 3 times. The worst was this one fortune 100 ceo saying they're missing top, bottom, and future revs look weak. When they released their earnings, missed top, bottom, but raised guidance. Stock went up 5% and my puts expired worthless. The following quarter, their Rev was significantly lower than the previous quarter, even though he lied that they would increase previously. I watched as their stock dropped more than 20% while I sat on the sideline. Here is another tidbit. Comcast buying WBD is a done deal. Don't ask how much money I've lost on that one, so far. I'll delete that last line tomorrow when I wake up, just in case it comes to fruition.
WBD, Fox, Comcast...People being glued to CNN/Fox/MSNBC.
Calls on WBD? I can't turn off the TV.
HBO Max and Prime are both way better than cluttered NFLX at this point. What’s even watchable on there? I think it’s mostly foreign shows that are popular. WBD is way undervalued for having the best streaming content imo.
$WBD I mean it’s at $7 a share people!
I was literally sitting on 200 k for like a year doing absolutely nothing waiting for the dip - said fuck it like three weeks back, and started unloading. Intc ( DCA @ 31$ ) Para ( DCA @ 10.5$) PFE ( DCA @ 26$) Baba ( DCA @ 75$) WBD ( DCA @ 7$) 50 k on Intc and baba ~30 k on the rest.
I am thinking WBD, because of a specific project hitting theaters July 2025
Calls on WBD. Zaslav is attending Sun Valley along with a bunch of people who could buy them...
Im up to my eyeballs in WBD leaps
Yea I need more tech stocks, less media stocks like Disney and WBD Those been weighing me down But perhaps undervalued
Skydance buying Paramount is the best deal for Paramount in terms of keeping the company going as currently constructed. Skydance wants to be in the media business. They are less likely to strip it for parts and will continue to make movies and television. However, that doesn't mean it's a good business. Hollywood is in decline and this is a vanity project for a billionaires son. My belief is that within 10 years this will be seen as a total heist by Shari Redstone of the Elison family. Media companies like paramount are a total crap shoot right now, besides Netflix. The share prices could be cut in half and I'd still stay the hell away. Perhaps I'm jaded because I had WBD for a couple of years and finally realized the loss earlier this year. But as I learned more about the industry the more I realized that it's a terrible investment.
Same. WBD soured me on streaming/ media as you said. The more I learned about the industry the more I realized it's a terrible investment. Will there be some winners after consolidation, sure. But I don't have a clue who it'll be and how long from now. Hollywood is in decline.
WBD. The FCF figures are impressive and debt’s getting paid down aggressively. It’ll still probably take a few years for sentiment to change and for the price to start recovering.
This isn't the deal that shareholders wanted and I'd be surprised if there's any enthusiasm after the merger is done - genuinely, why should there be? Badly managed asset with a stubborn majority shareholder in a lousy industry that previously had one absurdly overpaid CEO and now has 3 co-CEOs. So many people tried to hype this and WBD all the way down hoping for a buyout and now the deal (and any deal where people have to do group work on Reddit to figure out the end result is probably not a good one) is that the company remains public and able to continue to disappoint new bagholders. People kept going "look at the IP" and thinking buyout and the problem is that you have management that wants to continue being overpaid as long as possible more than they want to do a good job monetizing assets - it's like all the people who kept doing sum of the parts stories on Madison Square Garden and not taking into account that Dolan is the CEO.
You can buy WBD which I think has no positive future and I will keep PARA. We will both be happy. Skydance merger won’t get thru the courts, there will be hundreds of lawsuits to stop it by PARA shareholders. Paramount + streaming losses are narrowing and they are growing subs at faster rate than any streaming service. A JV with Max or Amazon or Apple would be nice as streamers will be consolidating in the next few years. In a few quarters most streamers will find a path forward and complete better with Netflix. Good luck to you.
After holding bags for PARA and WBD, I am about done with streaming/media plays.
WBD. They have to payoff a bunch of debt from the merger and they seem to be falling behind on output of “prestigious” new shows but after that even a value 1/4 of Netflix is a great improvement. Netflix has 260 million subs Max has 100m.
I love WBD here. Max is a fantastic streaming service and market is terrified of their debt that they are paying down rather quickly.
The only thing that can give WBD stock a good day is someone else making deals with PARA
WBD. Warner Bros. Discovery. Three years ago David Zaslav was relatively unknown as CEO of Discovery. Now, blind hatred of him is everywhere on the internet! We are at maximum negativity. All because he and his CFO are cleaning up the studio’s financial house. Everyone from the NBA team owners to star actors and producers want more and more money. And past leaders kept paying them more with little concern that the math was not working. Zaslav and his CFO are making good decisions for the long term health of the company and the industry. It still might not be enough but I believe they will succeed. People are very very passionate about their shows. If the studios can unite in a new Hulu joint venture it could be a true equal peer to Netflix and reduce churn. $25 a month for Netflix, $30 a month for new Hulu, and whatever Venu costs for those that want sports. 300 million subscribers for Netflix and new Hulu.
I bought LEAPs for WBD and PARA recently. It seems likely that either they will merge streaming or somebody will buy Paramount outright.
WBD really going into 6 territory
Wondering what this deal would look like, kinda a Hulu deal? Maybe a 70:30 split, leading to WBD eventually buying paramounts stake out? Either way consolidation seems bullish for those that are surviving, like it for WBD increasing their catalog.
just put my entire net worth ($100 obviously) into $WBD bout to print wildly. can’t go tits up.
All the content providers are struggling. The overall market pie is shrinking. More and more people are cutting the cord. WBD is struggling with their business model. I am also not optimistic about Venu Sports.
WBD is getting all sorts of synergy between Red vs. Blue coverage on CNN and Green vs. Black coverage on HBO ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
Yeah but are you going to put your money where your mouth is and go all in on $PARA and $WBD? Because those are the only real options. Unless you invest in up and coming platforms (like I have) 😉
Netflix could just buy Paramount for the NFL rights alone. Cut the rest of the fat off, absorb P+ and their IP. I mean it's nuts that their market cap is $283b more even though they only have $4b more in revenue than Paramount. Then Amazon could buy WBD, them we're left with a big 3. Netflix, Amazon, and Disney, with rates starting at $40/month with ads.
Netflix could just buy Paramount for the NFL rights alone. Cut the rest of the fat off, absorb P+ and their IP. I mean it's nuts that their market cap is $283b more even though they only have $4b more in revenue than Paramount. Then Amazon could buy WBD, them we're left with a big 3. Netflix, Amazon, and Disney, with rates starting at $40/month with ads.
Let’s not get carried away. He didn’t fight in a war or anything. He’s a pretty boy politician turned beloved old decrepit king. He’s basically Vizzy T. I want to make jokes about him behind his back, eat ice cream with him, and cry when he barely manages to walk 10 feet to deliver a speech about basic human decency. PS: Paddy Considine got robbed at the Emmys and if you aren’t buying WBD calls you’re an idiot. It’s Netflix with significantly higher quality standards.
WBD is basically charity at this point. Load up for generational wealth
I’d rather avoid the entire sector and take my chances on the other thing people do when they aren’t sick or getting their prescription drugs: entertainment. Opened a long position in both $WBD and $PARA. Feel like they have a better turnaround story than $WBA, $RAT or even $CVS. I have $CVS on a watchlist - at least they have their PBM business which could be an interesting pivot for them.
Cap Losses Strategy Question... Thanks in advance for any input or thoughts. I am trustee and POA for my 96yo father and handling all his financial matters due to Alzheimers. He has a portfolio that generates almost enough to cover his expenses, and the rest is covered by me and my siblings. He has some positions with unrealized losses which is what I am seeking advice on. These are things like KHC, PFE, SHEL, WBD, OGN, etc. Knowing that all cap gains/losses are erased upon someone passing away... 1. Should I sell those positions to offset income & cap gains taxes for the remainder of his life? Or... 2. Should I keep them for the (small) dividends they bring in? Just thought I'd see what the braintrust of this group had to say. Thanks again for your time.
Oh I'm not saying you would be the one to attack my positions, but inevitably someone will. I guess I'll share some I like. I really like INTC, CCB, WBD, BABA, CVS, DIS, and a few others.
Used to work at $T corporate, they split our stock with $WBD during the spinoff and it immediately fell off a cliff. $T matches 401k with their own stock (and in this case it a percentage was converted to WBD), but you couldn’t sell or reinvest that match until you vested. It was a joke. Lost so much dollar basis from that.
I have been wheeling WBD for months. Sorry to see it go out of range.
WBD has MORE debt then their entire market cap ($39.15 billion vs a 17.59 billion market cap). That's typically when a stock is considered to be at serious risk of bankruptcy. And IMO they've been really mismanaged with all the content that they've canceled after already filming it, instead of realizing much earlier on that it's better to cut to cut their losses now.
WBD, BABA, BTI, MO & Nike
I liked WBD until I read about the differences between WBD and PARA and how WBD’s balance sheet was weaker than it appeared because they don’t have the backlog of unreleased content that other platforms have. Maybe you’ll make a lot of money if cable tv is more entrenched than the market has discounted.
You wanna talk about "beaten down"? How about WBD?
WBD needs to release home version of the Dune popcorn bucket.
And WBD was green. Opposite Day.