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Sea Change: Value Investing

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Boeing Safety Crisis part 2 - why I give a damn and you should too

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Why the economy won't crash, there will be no landing, it will only go higher

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Sea Change: Value Investing

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning December 18th, 2023

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning December 18th, 2023

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Market this year behaves in line with the long term average since WWII

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How is Babyboomers entering retirement/dieing and Millennial/Gen Z birthrates declining not a recipe for disaster for the market?

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The economy is bad - but so was 2020 - how did the stock market perform so well then?

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Some interesting quotes from Michael Hartnett's latest note.

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Investing discussion on a US-China war: which US companies will be the winners and losers, and which will just pull through?

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LEAPS on TLT

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Be Wary: SP500 Returns Depend on Timeframe, and Most Data Start at 1928

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Bear Porn

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let me know your thoughts and opinions

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How the Federal Reserve can Crash the Global Market at Any Time.

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Latest Zoltan Pozsar from CS - "War and Commodity Encumbrance" - Deep Dive Into Geopolitical Risk, Global Currency Networks and Commodity Markets

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The Price of Time The Real Story of Interest by Edward Chancellor Part 3 of 3

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The Price of Time The Story of Interest by Chancellor part 1-2 of 3.

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Post-WWII Economy Analog

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Hedge fund Elliott warns of more pain to come after 2022 market rout

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Hedge fund Elliott warns of more pain to come after 2022 market rout

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The world is on the road to “hyperinflation” and could be heading towards its worst financial crisis since the second world war, according to Elliott Management, one of the world’s most influential hedge funds.

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How did the stock market do so well in 2020 when it was the worst year for economic growth since WWII?

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If shit WOULD REALLY hit the fan cause of big P, what would happen to the different sectors? Crypt0? National banks? Foodstock? Oil? Gold/Silver? Indexes? Life insurance companies? Weapon companies? Chemical companies?

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Are we really reading books that biased towards the US market and the current (long-term) credit cycle?

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Jeremy Siegel: "I think we're gonna have the second-biggest housing price decline since post WWII period over the next 12 months." Agree?

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Jeremy Siegel: "I think we're gonna have the second-biggest housing price decline since post WWII period over the next 12 months." Here's how bad Jeremy Siegel, Paul Krugman and 5 others think it could get (via Business Insider). Who do you agree with? Where do you see prices heading?

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Yet another stagflation post

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October is frequently a "bear-market killer," known for its historically high returns, especially in years with midterm elections.

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October is frequently a "bear-market killer," known for its historically high returns, especially in years with midterm elections.

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How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Fed - a Bearporn Saga

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 29th, 2022

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 29th, 2022

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Current Strategy

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 22nd, 2022

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 22nd, 2022

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Post WWII U.S. economy and 2022/3

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WWII and 2022/23

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WWII

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WWII

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War and interest rates - Zoltan Pozsar

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How to make money of a political crisis over Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. Non-Chinese rare earth metal producers Lynas Corporation and MP Materials smell like a way to me.

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“Our metrics we use to evaluate the economy are tried and true. They have served us since pre WWII”

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House Prices Will Rise with Rates

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Learning from the Past: Money Supply and Inflation Fluctuations

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning May 9th, 2022

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning May 9th, 2022

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XBI DD INSIDE - Short Squeeze/Gamma Squeeze an entire ETF HUGE melt-up coming

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June 70 Puts mentioned on CNBC a few weeks back

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Biggest Rally in the Post-WWII Era Coming

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Investment Strategy Group within the Consumer and Wealth Management Division of Goldman Sachs

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 4th, 2022

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Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 4th, 2022

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Anybody else feeling suspicious of the last week’s pump ?

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Judgment day tomorrow with Powell speaking.. What are your predictions for tomorrow?

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This is NOT the end...

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Oil Markets and Geopolitics

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Reverse Correlation between oil and SPY

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Mental Gynamstic: Russia is winning

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Post-War rebuild of Ukraine

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Wow, there is a major War in Europe...what does it mean for my portfolio? Well...

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Wow, there is a major War in Europe...what does it mean for my portfolio? Well...

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Wow, there is a major War in Europe...what does it mean for my portfolio? Well...

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Putin's 7D chess play going according to plan

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From the start of WWII in 1939 until it ended in late 1945, the Dow was up a total of 50%, more than 7% per year. So, during two of the worst wars in modern history, the U.S. stock market was up a combined 115%.

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Whisky Thoughts - The Worst Case Scenario

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Yeah, 'Cause This Makes Sense...

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War and the US Market

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War and the US market

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1999 Repeal of Glass-Steagall was the worst deregulation ever enacted in US history. Creating Too-Big-To-Fail which caused 2008 Financial Crisis & Arguably The Unprecedented Jan 2021 (PCO or Cascading Bank Failure)

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Investment Strategy Group (ISG), Goldman Sachs' asset allocation professionals

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Putin is going to invade Ukraine (DD)

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Explanation please.

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Milton Friedman Money Mischief Book Summary

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Outrages predictions 2022 US inflation reaches above 15% on wage-price spiral

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Outrages predictions 2022 US inflation reaches above 15% on wage-price spiral

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Advice on WWII

Mentions

The USD replaced the PS after WWII. UK’s economic dominance didn’t collapse, it gradually shifted.

Mentions:#WWII#UK

That is a more apt comparison, thank u for humoring me I guess the answer is firms will keep their best and have them ramp up productivity? We aren’t in that post WWII glow up anymore though so I doubt it’ll shake out exactly the same but I do have to wonder where the ppl that lost jobs to computers ended up

Mentions:#WWII

If that black swan event is WWII. We all will be screwed.

Mentions:#WWII

What are you talking about? The WWII inherited from Biden was ended the first 24 hours in January 2025!

Mentions:#WWII

Just take a drive in the rust belt we used to make everything after everyone's factories were destroyed after WWII. My hometown in CT even has two closed down rusting mills that used to make clothing. That said the amount of pollution this produces and factory jobs tend not pay well anymore but it sitting there rusting is not a good look and a reminder that we lost it.

Mentions:#WWII

Ok, doesn't mean you can't find a common purpose What even is the UN by your measure? The Axis and Allies of WWII are on the same body

Mentions:#WWII

Crazy times? Well your not heading off to WWII, the American civil war, Vietnam. We are not living through the Great Depression. The plague in Europe. Those were crazy times!! It is difficult to watch deportations and the income inequality, housing shortages… in our time.

Mentions:#WWII

Yeah covid was once in a lifetime event for say health related issues and people being locked down worldwide. This didn't happen during 2000 or 2008 crisis. I am not even sure that in the US people got lockdown during WWII. That's why I say in its category. Think like 2000 and 2008 are "common" for sure. But my point was not that at all. Thing that you see once in a lifetime are very difficult to predict. You maybe had predicted covid 6 months in advance, I'd say nobody had.

Mentions:#WWII

We kicked your ass in WWII

Mentions:#WWII

How bout you take yours off and do some research on the lead up to WWII. If you actually do so, there are numerous similarities that are similar enough to explain why people are equating then and now.

Mentions:#WWII

Tbh, recovery from the worst financial disaster, like the Great Depression, took time, but since WWII, recoveries have been remarkably quick.

Mentions:#WWII

The USA is leading the world’s socialists including national socialists. So many WWII veterans are furious in their graves.

Mentions:#WWII

Our debt is close to the highest it's ever been in the history of the country, even higher than the post WWII decades and we had massive economic growth from exports to help us get out of that hole. We had presidents that were fiscally responsible, kept a fairly balanced budget and essentially let inflation work down our debt. These are unprecedented times with payment on interest eating up a greater percent of tax revenue and no plan to ever reduce deficits. Heaven forbid we hit a recession in the next 10 years.

Mentions:#WWII

Only if Germany has electric panzer during WWII

Mentions:#WWII

Won't be the world's largest economy for long. Brain drain is a real thing. Germany was the peak of physics before WWII. The fleeing of talent to America and America's open reception to anyone was a large part of what helped make America a super power (along with not having its cities bombed to rubble). Existing talent will leave and go elsewhere, new talent won't come in from internationally. It won't take long either, 5 years the effects will start to be seen, by 10 years they'll have set. We've already been seeing some symptoms of this for years with profit focus. US automakers got trounced by Japanese and Korean manufacturers in ICE vehicles, Tesla is currently getting trounced by BYD. DeepSeek was such a big deal and the propaganda machine spun up because they had an innovation US companies didn't, and they had to keep the insistence that they were just copying.

Mentions:#WWII#ICE#BYD

School is the problem, you don't learn shit. Hell, I learned more in CoD: World at War than I did about WWII in any history class. School taught us that there was a Holocaust and Nazis, that's about it. Sadly, you have to pretty much educate yourselves at this point. The public education systems are filled with teachers who either don't give a shit, or are so underfunded and overwhelmed that they simply fall short.

Mentions:#WWII

China would invite the winning countries of WWII, basically the 5 members of Security Council in UN. China as the host, invite US, Ruassia, UK, France. I don't see a possibility that Trump would refuse the invite.

Mentions:#WWII#UK

Zero fucks given because both EU and Canada bended over faster than the French did in WWII lol.

Mentions:#EU#WWII

I was thinking more like WWII

Mentions:#WWII

Serious comment? Maybe read the history of the WWII Pacific Theatre - for China the war started years earlier than in Europe

Mentions:#WWII

Geneva convention: most of it is because of Canadians in WWI and WWII. Let's puck around and find out 🤣

Mentions:#WWII

You are very right, cuz the last time the US was in an official war it was in WWII.

Mentions:#WWII

No facts to any public outlets. I mean he is the Commander in Chief and knows exactly how successful the operation was. One for the history books and for military strategy. It was only one of the most precise and successful airborne U.S. military operations ever. WWII and now this. Move your hatred and TDS aside and admit the facts now they’re known and understood for the most part. This operation was immensely successful. On many different fronts as well.

Mentions:#WWII#TDS

Yes, better entry prices do show up after record highs—but they usually arrive more slowly, and cost more in missed upside, than most of us expect. A quick reality-check on how often the market “gives you a dip”: New highs are followed by small pullbacks all the time. LPL’s long-term data show the S&P 500 averages roughly three drawdowns of -5 % to -10 % every year, and it suffers at least one 10 % correction in about two-thirds of calendar years.  When you sharpen the pencil to “How long do I have to wait?” the numbers get uncomfortable. A Clearnomics study looking at all post-WWII highs found that an investor who insisted on a -3 % pullback sat in cash for about 69 days on average and still missed ~2 % of upside while waiting. Holding out for a textbook -5 % discount stretched the wait to 291 days and forfeited roughly 13 % in foregone gains. My own Nasdaq-100 back-test (1985-2025 daily closes) echoes that pattern: • Median maximum drawdown within six months of an all-time high: -4.7 % • A dip of -5 % or worse has occurred in ~60 % of those six-month windows. • A deeper -10 % correction shows up only ~23 % of the time—and when it does, the index usually ends the same six-month span higher anyway. In plain English: you often get a wiggle room of 3-5 %, you sometimes get 8-10 %, and you rarely get the 15-20 % “fat pitch” while the longer-term trend is still rising. ⸻ What that means if you’re still on the sidelines Staying uninvested for the possibility of a pullback is itself a market call. History says the cost of waiting grows quickly unless the dip materialises fast, and that cost compounds if the trend keeps grinding upward. If you need to get money to work but want a margin of safety: – Split the stake. Put, say, half to work now and stage the rest in tranches every few weeks or at predefined technical levels (50-day or 100-day moving average supports often coincide with 3-6 % give-backs). – Pair entries with a decision rule for when to stop averaging down (for example, if QQQ falls 12-15 % you reassess fundamentals rather than automatically buying more). – Alternatively, use an options collar or a 5-10 % stop-loss to cap the downside while still getting market exposure; that lets the “waiting” budget pay for hedges instead of idle cash. ⸻ Bottom line Better prices are possible—small dips are statistically likely and larger ones remain a non-trivial risk—but the market’s default state after a fresh high is gradual follow-through, not immediate reversal. If your time horizon is months to years, scaling in beats sitting out; if your horizon is days to weeks, set clear levels and be ready to act quickly when they appear.

Mentions:#LPL#WWII#QQQ

I was more referencing the WWII pushing countries out of the Great Depression. But admittedly Vietnam wars effect was a blind spot.  Either way I’m not surprised with the current love affair with public traded companies with govt contracts (see Steve Miller and co.)

Mentions:#WWII

WWI folks didn’t think WWII would happen in their lifetimes.

Mentions:#WWII

New House bill projects more debt burden than fucking post-WWII levels, how is the regard circus still functional

Mentions:#WWII

That’s actually crazy. Everyone remembers the headline “ceasefire broken within hours” but when there’s no attacks between them for weeks, no one realizes just cuz there’s no headline? That was my entire point. Did you think in WWII all the fighting stopped immediately just cuz Germany and Japan surrendered?

Mentions:#WWII

That is not true. By a long shot. The US is just retracting back to the mean. Post WWII, the US had a monopoly on manufacturing and since the 1970s been the dominate banking center. People who were fortunate enough to live through this time period in US History had very easy lives. But, that monopoly was lost in the late 1970s and now the rest of the world is eroding trust in the dollar. So the average American is just falling back to the world mean. Which is traumatic for most.

Mentions:#WWII

... a ceasefire is not "ended". By that definition, the Civil War, the Revolutionary War, WWI and WWII are still in a ceasefire.

Mentions:#WWII

Over money. It’s always over money lol.  We weren’t talking design requirements so I don’t know why you mentioned it. The US has been at war 222 years of its almost 250 years in existence.  The US also being involved in conflicts and wars since 1945 is also true. Korean war Vietnam war, proxy wars with the USSR during the Cold War, countless police actions in South America where the A10 was actually first used, gulf war, Afghanistan war, reinvaded iraq. Thats just since WWII and makes up damn near 75 of the last 80 years.  I don’t get why you would lie about the US and its love for war. 

Mentions:#WWII

Your entry into WWI was due to a facbricated Zimmermann Telegram and your entry into WWII was due to the Japanese so kindly fuck off will you

Mentions:#WWII

Sure but the last war that was declared was what, WWII? The president can effectively declare war even without a formal declaration.

Mentions:#WWII

because 25% of the federal budget goes to the military the US is constantly picking fights in the middle east as a soft target to flood billions of dollars into the MIC to fight goat farmers. Good example is the A10, which was developed specifically for just the middle east, and in any real conflict it would never see the skies again because its too slow and fat. We've been doing this constantly since WWII. Since 1776 the US has been at war something like 222 of its 240 years of existence.

Mentions:#WWII

It’s a very large number no matter how you split it. We have one of the highest debt to GDP in the developed world, behind only Japan, Singapore, Greece, and Italy. Internally, we have not seen a ratio this high since WWII. Our interest payments are about to eclipse total military spending/total spending on Medicare.

Mentions:#WWII

It's certainly not completely implausable considering how many times the US military has gotten its ass kicked since WWII. They may have the most things that go boom but they're shit at training and accomplishing goals.

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

What's with the down votes? Post-war market rallies: WWII +30% in 1946 Korean War +25% in 1954 Vietnam War +38% in 1975 Gulf War +28% in 1991 Iraq War +26% in 2003 Russia-Ukraine ... WWIII ...

Mentions:#WWII

We're giving Israel $3.9 billion a year on average since WWII, our own government acts as their lapdog, and now they're genociding Palestinians, torturing prisoners, bombing Iran, and dragging us into yet another Middle East boondoggle. It's infuriating. 

Mentions:#WWII

$318 billion given to Israel by the US since WWII. Insane. 

Mentions:#WWII

The US absolutely sucks ass at trying to support the country it invades. Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan, etc. But what is lost is these countries lose in fucking hours to the US military, then we spend the rest of the decade trying to rebuild. It’s why we were so successful in WWII — nobody comes close to our capability to just bombing the living daylights out of people.

Mentions:#WWII

Lol blockbuster video was actually named after the WWII bombs called blockbusters, so that would kinda be full circle there

Mentions:#WWII

Exactly. Major powers entered and  came out of the war in a boom. But it didn't lift all boats.  I would blame that success for the rationale behind most wars post WWII as they were all trying to recapture what happened despite the fact that a global conflict like that hasn't and (I'll make the bold statement) won't happen again. 

Mentions:#WWII

So was it Vietnam or during WWII?

Mentions:#WWII

#Between 1940 and 1945, during WWII, U.S. GDP increased 74%. Thank you for your attention to this matter

Mentions:#WWII

It’s what we always do. We dominate from a military perspective, and lose the long term post war ground game. Last time we won that was WWII….

Mentions:#WWII

There's a vast, vast difference between our Project for a New American Century nation-building exercises in the the 2000s through the 2020s and the Gulf War, which might as well been called "Operation: Well fuck *THOSE* guys." The US kept trying to rebuild countries we bombed, mostly because of the feel good legacy of WWII and Korea. I don't think Trump's team gives a fuck so we're just going to drop increasingly large bombs of counties and brag about it on Signal to reporters who shouldn't have been added.

Mentions:#WWII

I agree, the US hasn’t really gone scorched earth since WWII. They’ve kind of been fighting on a leash, and it’s terrifying to think about the utter cataclysmic devastation that would occur should the entirety of the US armed forces be mobilized against an adversary.

Mentions:#WWII

Japan. WWII. But seriously. Who said anyone needed to surrender? Control of the strait is the important part. Iran doesn’t need to surrender.

Mentions:#WWII

I sold PPA at $115 and bought EUAD. Maybe a mistake, who knows. Both good WWII plays. Also EADSY.

Markets rose during and after us civil war, WWI, WWII. I guess the point is civilization keeps moving on. With that said, a fall of an empire wasn’t going for markets, see Roman, Spanish, British.

Mentions:#WWII

That's a bit of a stretch but the British pulled a lot of shenanigans redrawing borders post WWII. I would say the British, Spanish and Dutch are probably the worst offenders though as far as colonial atrocities are concerned.

Mentions:#WWII

Yea u/InevitableAd2436 , they are pre WWII suburbs with town centers. Scattered through out North America, before Levitt came in and created the new American Capitalism engine with his Levittowns.

Mentions:#WWII

I am not sure if you're being snarky. Its hard for me to pick up on sarcasm through this medium of communication. I know this has been said before, but after being a suburban single family homeowner for some years I strongly believe that American Capitalism was built on suburban homeownership, right after WWII with Levittowns. It is a system designed to keep you consuming. There are not many great alternatives for living in America since the ENTIRE ECONOMY is built upon this system.

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

Assuming it's a relatively minor war, then it won't make a big difference. If a major war (WWI/WWII levels) brews, then you can trigger a much bigger sell off but that's much less likely.

Mentions:#WWII

Trump was worried about WWII starting at the Georgia Rally until he remembered that’s the one Putin fought in

Mentions:#WWII

If Americans get drafted and stop working to go fight that’s gonna cause some issues bud. Probably won’t happen but check out the economy after WWI and WWII.

Mentions:#WWII

Appeasement “for now” is still appeasement — and history shows it doesn’t solve the problem, it delays it and makes it worse. That’s exactly how WWII escalated: small concessions led to greater demands. We’ve seen this pattern before, and we’re seeing it again. The idea that giving Putin land now will somehow resolve the territorial dispute and allow Ukraine into NATO later assumes he would actually stop. But Putin has shown — repeatedly — that he sees concessions as weakness and an opening to push further. He invaded Georgia in 2008, took Crimea in 2014, and launched a full-scale invasion in 2022. Giving him land doesn't end the conflict — it just moves the goalposts. If we reward aggression with territory, it signals that force works. It tells Putin — and others like him — that military expansion pays off if you apply enough pressure. That’s not a strategy for peace — it’s a dangerous precedent that makes the world less stable. And NATO won’t admit Ukraine while it has active territorial disputes. So appeasement doesn’t actually bring Ukraine closer to NATO — it potentially locks them out permanently, especially if Russia stirs up more unrest along any new “border.” As for aid — yes, it costs something. But the cost of not helping Ukraine defend itself is far greater. If Putin gets what he wants now, where does it stop next time? Moldova? The Baltics? It’s not about dragging NATO into a war — it’s about making sure we don’t have to. Peace is achieved through strength and resistance — not by conceding land and hoping for the best.

Mentions:#WWII#NATO

You're misrepresenting what I said — I didn’t call for global war. That’s a strawman and a false dilemma. The point is: appeasement has historically failed. Giving land to an aggressor doesn't bring peace, it encourages future aggression. That’s exactly what happened with Hitler before WWII. We're not talking about sending NATO troops in. Continued sanctions and aid to Ukraine are what actually reduce the chance of a broader war. If we reward Putin with land, the question becomes: where do we draw the line next time? Peace through strength and resistance, not concession.

Mentions:#WWII#NATO

You keep guzzling that military industrial complex kool aid. Meanwhile we haven’t won a war since WWII.

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

> will never be the same Never is a strong word. If reddit existed during WWII, this is what everyone would be saying about Germany and Japan.

Mentions:#WWII

Capitalism isn’t prevailing lmfao. The US created institutions to extract wealth from colonized nations post WWII and that is how our economy functions. We have no infrastructure, amenities, or services to actually prove that capitalism is prevailing, unless you consider the option to pay for overpriced commodities as prevailing

Mentions:#WWII

Please no. We didn't fight WWII to be ruled by Germany

Mentions:#WWII

So this was how war bonds worked in WWII? Massive marketing to get folks to buy IOU's from the gov? The reward is profit, the risk is they lose the war & nothing matters anymore anyway?

Mentions:#WWII

WWII brought to you by Carls Jr. Israeli and Pakistan war, Sponsored by TBD

Mentions:#WWII

Anyone else see the interview where 🥭 said Putin fought in WWII and Russia lost 51 million people? Yea, that's whose running our country right now

Mentions:#WWII

Iran's air force is incredible out-dated, like early Cold War era. This was never a threat to Israeli aircraft. They would be instantly shot down. The major threats to Israeli aircraft were its radar network + surface to air missiles (the Russian S300 being the biggest threat). In 2024, an Israeli mission took out some of the radar for the S300, claiming Iran was now vulnerable to aerial attacks. It turned out they weren't lying, and they were able to fly in dozens of stealth fighters in the past few 48 hours with ease. Still, the paths were narrow. Today they claim to have completely eliminated took out remaining air defense assets, which is why you'll see chaotic fire from 'dumb' AA guns like it's WWII. This means the jets will fly unrestrained over even the capital, like it is Lebanon or Gaza.

Mentions:#AA#WWII

i’m so tired of the middle east. why did the US and allied forces during WWI and WWII draw their borders without understanding their opposing cultural and religious beliefs, whether it be sunni and shias muslim sects of faith, hindus and muslims in India and Pakistans…and btw, let’s pack in another religious ethnostate of Israel in the mix right in the middle

Mentions:#WWII

Criticizing Russia is to dangerous and might lead to WWII. Full support for Israel bombing and occupying Gaza, South Lebanon and parts of Syria is no big deal.

Mentions:#WWII

https://x.com/BulwarkOnline/status/1933207285733756966 Trump: "Russia fought with us in WWII and everybody hates them. And Germany and Japan, they're fine — some day somebody will explain that...Everybody hates Russia and they love Germany and Japan...It's a strange world." WW2 round 2 is bullish

Mentions:#WWII#WW

Trump is accelerating what was already an ongoing, inevitable process. After WWII, the U.S. was the only major industrial power left unscathed. Since that time, other industrialized nations have recovered, and unindustrialized nations have caught up in modernization. Our relative position head and shoulders above the world was never going to remain that way, without extreme global oppression by the U.S. keeping **everyone** else down -- which was never our strategy or goal. Trump and his stupid policies are a \*reaction to\* falling U.S. dominance, more than they are a \*cause of\* them.

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

Interestingly, Hershey did have multiple government contracts during WWII

Mentions:#WWII

The issue is trade restrictions, China has a trade surplus of $1 trillion and whoever tells you about a natural advantage, in a free economy there are mechanisms that will lead to this being balanced out naturally, this suggests that China is much more mercantile than everyone else, even without looking at specific cases, industries and policies and the nature of trade after WWII and the Cold War. Trump's methods are irrational, but they have a valid reason: international trade is less free than many are willing to admit, and that creates a lot of problems.

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

I love these types of comments. “Oh iMaGinE bEiNg sO yOuNg”. Yeah imagine someone being this young and in the market less time but still making more money and better investing decisions than you. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/05/02/investing/us-stock-market There you go. We had the biggest winning streak in the S&P in over 20 years. https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/04/09/stock-market-posts-third-biggest-gain-in-post-wwii-history-on-trumps-tariff-about-face.html Also we had the third biggest single day rally since WWII. https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/06/09/sp-500-did-something-unseen-years-move-stocks/ Also the indexes posted their biggest gain in the month of May since 1990. But yeah tell me you didn’t get to experience any of these rallies without telling me you didn’t get to experience them. Username really does check out. Someone is just jealous they sold at the bottom in April.

Mentions:#WWII

Is it more severe than WWI and WWII? If not, buy it, don't believe any economists or the news. They are all idiot. . Look at the DJI in WWI & WWII, and DJI now. Also, look at the S&P in 2008 and now. Which one is higher??

Mentions:#WWII

Hell, yes. 2/3rds in plain ol' CDs and the rest ETFs of foreign bonds (like iGOV) and tiny amounts in silver and Swiss Francs. I missed the partial recovery since tariff liberation day, but I don't care. Rough waters, dead ahead. These are historic times. The secret of the USA's power for 170 years was its energy production -- for most of that period being the largest single producer. WWII was won on American oil. Ultimately money is energy and prosperity is energy per capita and it made us powerful and wasteful. It's the big reason the dollar became the reserve currency -- ultimately backed by the petroleum and natural gas used in agriculture, manufacturing, and for the hot baths we take as normal (they weren't normal even 100 years ago). Now USA oil production -- extended with the miracle fracking -- has peaked. It will decline and take our arrogance and massive military with it. Add to that we can tell what actions of government are stupid, which are merely crypto grift, and which are literally Soviet funded designed to wound us -- with the result NATO and the post-WWII stability and FDR ideals are threatened or fundamentally dead. So it's not normal times. The usual pieties about the market alway coming back do not apply. Suggestion: buy dry beans (the only unequivocally valuable and durable asset) and learn Chinese.

Mentions:#WWII#NATO

Look at the stock market during the Civil war, WWI, and WWII to get a feel for how they responded. Short answer is not as bad as you think

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The US hasn't won a war since WWII.

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WWI and WWII was started from the oval office?! Not sure if Merz really likes to hear that?

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r/stocksSee Comment

BINGO was first used by WWII pilots to signal low fuel. Many theorize it came from the game BINGO, which means game over.

Mentions:#WWII

While historic data is interesting, and useful in context, the global financial environment today is pretty different from what it was even just 25 years ago. If you go all the way back to the 70s or 80s, things were dramatically different then compared to today as far as supply and demand pressures for gold The biggest change going on today is that the world is becoming less dominated by the US both militarily and financially. Though the dollar is still the global reserve currency, countries are increasingly doing international trade in alternative currencies, like Euros and Yuan. In terms of geopolitics, the US has moved away from traditional post WWII alliances, and more towards transactional interaction with other countries where the interests of each nation shift depending on the matter being negotiated. It is increasingly in every sovereign state's interest to become less financially dependant on the US. Diversifying the holdings of their central banks and sovereign wealth funds is one big way to do that. Having some US bonds may give them some leverage with the US, but not so much that their fortunes are bound at the hip. This issue was made clear in 2022 when a sizable portion of Russia's state funds were frozen by the US and Europe. China in particular took note, but they were not alone. With trade and defense even Europe is learning this lesson now. Gold is a hard asset not controlled by any authority. It's a store of value not subject to devaluation the way fiat currencies can be. Given rising levels of government debt (compared to GDPs), that is particularly germane today. There may come a time when a cascade of events may cause multiple governments to decide between defaulting on their debt, or inflating away the debt by devaluing their currency. Japan unfortunately may be the canary in the coal mine. Japan's current debt to gdp is over 200, and heading higher. For a while they could sustain this normally unthinkable level of debt because the rates on their government bonds were so low. If you look at the rate on Japanese long bonds, they have been steadily rising since 2022. While it's still 2 to 3%, it makes a big difference when they were paying 0 to 1 percent pre-pandemic. The carry trade unwinding may mean upward pressure on US rates as well. Regardless, investors may get increasingly nervous about other countries with high debt levels (the US included), and governments will be forced by the market to pay higher rates, making it even harder to service their already high debt levels. As you might expect given the current climate, central governments have been net buyers of gold for 16 consecutive years, and they buy by the ton. If anything surging demand for precious metals, crypto and the like may just be getting started.

Mentions:#WWII

I don’t know if you know this, but battleships have been obsolete since WWII. It is what military theorists call „an evolutionary dead end.”

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I think that's the point. Why? Your guess is as good as mine. But they know the outcome of this madness. What's *really* going on? Is it simply a matter of bash and dash for self enrichment? Surely the big money could stop such a crude play. Blame what's coming on China so they can sell us on the idea of a war with China? Funny how WWII came along and bailed so many out of the Great Depression. Whatever's going on they using us as cannon fodder.

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

We had that after WWII with a very conservative Republican POTUS that paid it off by taxing the extraction class. That will never happen now because Republican voters worship extreme wealth over God, family or country. We are very fucked.

Mentions:#WWII

Wages go up because a huge portion of your workforce is out getting shot at, so the labor pool drops to nothing. That puts a huge hit on productivity, as does shifting manufacturing things beneficial to an economy to making munitions and such. All the 'induced demand' is for weapons, and you get to enjoy rationing. I don't know of any new investments going out in a wartime economy, aside from investing in repairing tons of leveled structures. You're not going to invest in making a new SUV when 90% of your steel needs to go into tanks/planes/guns. WWII wasn't as bad for us on that front because we never had to fear the Axis being so stupid as to attempt a mainland invasion of the US; "gun behind every blade of grass" and all that.

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> Hawaii would be okay No worries, just like WWII Hawaii has always been a tarket for several warheads. Everything would be horrible there at the same time as everywhere else. I mean if Mississippi is a target what makes you think they would miss Pearl Harbor?

Mentions:#WWII

China being war mongering in the rest of the world (excluding its own civil war) is not something we've seen in the last 30 years. The US and other nations have clearly warred more than China. The post WWII era and post Cold War era.l are quite different from each other. There is no embargo or arms race or blatant proxy antagonism between China/US like there was with the Soviet and West.  In fact where China is doing business deals, the US is the one now claiming that it may use force on contemporary Allies in order to take land/resorces for itself. In my read the only people proposing cold-war like stances with China, and fear of China as a military threat ready to invade/strike nuclear powers because why not, are Military Contractors and Ghouls of the deep state.

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I don't disagree; over the long term, the US market has outperformed. I just don't know whether or not we can expect the next 10-30 years to resemble the last 50. We were the main beneficiaries of a globalizing world while our economy was unmarred by WWII. We don't have the same tailwinds today but we could continue to outperform. Depends when you need your money, I guess.

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r/stocksSee Comment

The German army in WWII were widely using meth… And his Seig Heils to the rally crowds looked extreme manic. What are the odds he was sober when he decided to do that?

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

The German army in WWII were widely using meth… And his Seig Heils to the rally crowds looked extreme manic. What are the odds he was sober when he decided to do that?

Mentions:#WWII
r/stocksSee Comment

The German army in WWII were widely using meth.. And his Seig Heils to the rally goers looked extremely manic. What are the odds he was sober when he decided to do that?

Mentions:#WWII

The last time Congress declared war was WWII. But the other wars still happened after that.

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Greenest since WWII

Mentions:#WWII
r/investingSee Comment

Since you're young and in this for the long haul you should consider the long term effects of the current administration's policies. The US University system has been the best in the world since WWII and has led the world in scientific research - that research in turn has driven much of the tech innovation in this country for the last 60 years or so. Now the current administration seems to want to kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. You won't notice an immediate effect, but over the next decade and beyond we'll definitely be noticing the economic effects - slower growth, faster transition to China being the leading tech hub, etc.

Mentions:#WWII

Reddit is there anyway you can stop giving this moronic child constant advertising. I have been on Reddit for over 10 years and I don’t remember so many enlarged idiot posts from anyone. It’s just like our media Trump is out there telling us his administration is the best that has ever existed. Same happened during his first term when Trump was telling us Light and insecticide would kill COVID. Then he asked, while on cable, Debra Birx to look into this. That should have been the Gong Show Moment - when a giant hook came on the stage and dragged fat boy off. Our media is selling Trump. I don’t remember a post on here, X or anywhere which states the opinion promoted by this guest are not supported. By your inaction millions believe what he is saying. I am perplexed. Why doesn’t our media spend their time under our bridges interviewing those sad people who live there. They have as much credibility. It is the media’s job to tell the truth. The inaction is telling the rest of us it doesn’t matter if you prevaricate. I am wondering when legal cases are going to reference Trump’s as a reason a crime is not really a crime. “…The Generals have been reduced to rubble…They have been reduced to a point where it’s embarrassing to our country…” Torture works. Ok, folks?” You know, I have these guys – ‘Torture doesn’t work!’ – believe me, it works. And waterboarding is your minor form. “It is always a great honor to be so nicely complimented by a man so highly respected within his own country and beyond.” "Global warming is fine because we'll have more oceanfront property. " The way I understand geography and physics, if anything we'll LOSE coastline. If I happen to be president and I see somebody who’s doing well and beating me very badly, I say go down and indict them, mostly they would be out of business. They’d be out. They’d be out of the election. He has been and is doing this. “I was down there and I watched our police and our firemen down there on 7/11,” Trump told his at the rally in Buffalo, New York. Trump is talking about 9/11. “And I met with the president of the Virgin Islands,” Trump added, seemingly unaware that the Virgin Islands is a US territory, making him their president. t a White House press briefing, Mr Trump inaccurately claimed that the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic helped end WWII – a conflict that didn’t even start until two decades later.

Mentions:#WWII

WTF. Do you not understand the level of rationing that occurred in the US? Resources, food, clothes, medicine. It was so bad we had a national speed limit of 35MPH... Imagine taking a roadtrip at 35MPH. Travel was restricted and tourism basically halted. US citizen were rounded up. Wages were frozen. If you think today is worse than WWII for the US I feel sorry for the level of ignorance you live in.

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We were losing WWII until Midway/Stalingrad.

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That second point is a really important one that people don’t ever think about. During the U.S. “Golden Age” for manufacturing you could impose tariffs or whatever other means you wished because the rest of the world was still recovering from WWII, other had no choice but to pay it. Now that other countries have recovered their infrastructure it’s an open market plus shipping is no longer the impediment it once was. Impose a tariff, buyers just go elsewhere.

Mentions:#WWII

Post WWII, I agree with you. Pre WWII, there’s all kinds of wild stuff, but the American stock market wasn’t what it is now and neither was its military. America was a kind of large, unique banana republic for a long time, but that can’t really be compared with today. So I take your point. Really what I was pushing back at was the idea that America cannot recover from what Trump has done. I don’t think that’s true, because a recovery is always possible where investors stand to make money, because so much of the American economic system runs through the stock market. It’s easy for me to imagine a successor to Trump reversing a few policies and boom, the US is right back to where we were, because investors want to see the US successful. They’ll make it happen because they stand to gain from it. But that’s a different topic. As to your comment, yes, I think my comment misrepresented American history.

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Yes! Unless all materials are made domestically, which hasn't been the case since WWII finished.

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Idk WWII was pretty bad

Mentions:#WWII