ARR

trainingcoconut

No public information - didn’t realize companies of that size in that space had the ARR that could pay your role that much even with a high title. Maybe I should try harder on my own startups 🤣. Maybe I’m just a wimp. I don’t want to spend even that much that you spent even though I have a lot saved and my comp and side income is top tier (except for openai/anthropic types) for my level/age in bay area as an IC. Maybe I will be forced to if I ever have a kid.  Thanks for replying I appreciate it! Hope everything goes well and you recover your play losses!

JoeyVottoS

I am personally more focused on EOY ‘25 December ARR estimates going forward. I don’t believe that rev for q3 will surpass 200m.. though this is still a huge increase YoY. the MSFT contract only pays out when service starts, and we don’t know how much power is connected @ Vineland site (that will service the MSFT contract) past the initial 50mW that was announced on August 31. Total deal is for 300mW capacity. Heavier rev growth will be seen in ‘26 for sure.

fallweathercamping

Let me get this right. Perplexity’s revenue is at ~$200M ARR as of September or so. And they’re going to pay SNAP $400M per year?! Does anyone here use Perplexity? Be honest.

Due-Freedom-5968

Energy business, lithium refinery coming online in 2026, LFP factory In partnership with CATL about to come online, 3rd Megapack Factory about to launch. Ongoing improvement of FSD which will eventually lead to high margins high ARR subscription services. Bounce back of vehicle sales in Q3 as expected once factory capacity was ramped back to normal after retooling the global Model Y lines, Semi imminently launching etc. etc. Institutional investors are still buying in ad it has a very sticky base of retail investors.

yobabbymomsdaddy

Yes, of course. What investor hasn’t! Every position is different and there is so rarely a one size fits all. It is always a learning experience. Im going through this now with tost stock. It reported yesterday, 50% increase in free cash flow YoY, 30% increase in ARR YoY. I bought it down 27% going into the print. Barely up today and it’s flat on the YTD. It’s not really an AI stock and I’m assuming it is the economic back drop that is concerning for the market but idk. Bottom line, it is down 27% from the ATH and up 50% in FCF from a year ago. I think i just need to wait.

_hiddenscout

$TOST Q3 2025 Earnings Revenue: $1.63B (Est: $1.59B) EPS: $0.16 (Est: $0.19) Additional Metrics: ARR: $2.0B (+30% YoY) Locations: 156,000 (+23% YoY) GPV: $51.5B (+24% YoY) Adj. EBITDA: $176M (+56% YoY) GAAP Net Income: $105M Free Cash Flow: $153M Q4 Guidance: Adj. EBITDA: $140-150M Gross Profit (Non-GAAP): $480-490M FY2025 Guidance: Adj. EBITDA: $610-620M Gross Profit (Non-GAAP): $1.865-1.875B

unibash

The bottleneck is power. Specifically time to power. IREN has a 3 gigawatt pipeline. This deal for 200 MW is just the tip of the iceberg. If you doubted IREN, now is the time to rectify your mistake. 12% of total power allocated at 2.5b ARR. Not to mention their undisclosed pipeline. The train is leaving the station.

LumpaLard

I commented on the other post on this stock but: CSAI’s latest filings suggest revenue remains under $2–3 million annually with high cash burn. Achieving 300 percent growth would require both new client onboarding capacity and capital expenditure that the company cannot currently fund organically. Applying an 8x–10x EV/Sales multiple is unjustified for a microcap with no profitability, low visibility, and uncertain scaling. Such multiples apply to category leaders with high gross margins and sticky SaaS revenues.  Microcaps often cite “potential acquisition” as a bullish wildcard, but larger acquirers typically target companies with proprietary IP or recurring software ARR over $20–30M, not hardware-heavy firms with limited cash runway.  Microcaps frequently announce buybacks but never execute them; any valuation narrative based on stated but unexecuted repurchases is a bit premature The projection ($96M–$120M valuation) excludes net debt, share dilution, or operating losses. If CSAI requires new equity issuances in 2026, per-share value will likely erode even if enterprise value grows nominally.  Client examples - couldn't see any SEC or press-verified contract figures and without these, the client examples are marketing. I'll pass on this one but happy for someone to tell me I'm wrong!

Nightvill

You're saying they are shrinking but where are your numbers to back that statement? I looked at their earnings report and Adobe's subscribers isn't shrinking at all. Also they raised their guidance meaning they are growing and confident. Numbers don't lie, I stay with the FACTS. "The Digital Media segment: revenue of $4.46 billion (↑12% YoY), and ending ARR of $18.59 billion (↑11.7% YoY)." "Digital Experience segment: revenue of $1.48 billion, subscription revenue $1.37 billion (both \~11% growth in subscription)." "Adobe raised full-year FY2025 guidance to: Total revenue: $23.65 billion–$23.70 billion Non-GAAP EPS: $20.80–$20.85 Digital Media ending ARR growth target: \~11.3%." If anything Adobe is GROWING, they are also still a giant within their space. A market cap of 140B+, giant companies like these got the money and the right people to prevent their downfall.

salty0waldo

Was process engineering but have been moved into more operational technology now. Enjoy software engineering? I think part of it for me now was for a few years I couldn't keep up as much as I wanted with work commitments, so I kept a small portfolio of names I knew and followed. PEG and ROIC are solid, for some reason I gravitate towards free cash flow and ARR or long-term contracts.

Fit-Dingo6838

They are planning to IPO at valuation of 1 trillion having arround 12 Billion in ARR. Meaning a PS ratio almost three times the one of NVIDIA LOL Source: [https://www.reuters.com/business/openai-lays-groundwork-juggernaut-ipo-up-1-trillion-valuation-2025-10-29/](https://www.reuters.com/business/openai-lays-groundwork-juggernaut-ipo-up-1-trillion-valuation-2025-10-29/)

Ancient-Stock-3261

$S is definitely moving like CRWD did back in its early scaling phase. Market’s sleeping on how fast their margins flipped and how sticky that ARR growth is. Only caution; watch SBC and cash flow trends next couple quarters; that’s what’ll decide if the rerate actually sticks.

auggiewest19

Extremely nuanced advertising. Shit like you’ve never seen before. It’s going to know when you got a new dog and chewy.com will pay millions to make sure it links you directly to their shit to buy. AI service licensing packaged and sold to other software / tech cos as ARR. Those are just the easy initial answers. I guarantee these goons have more up their sleeve than this.

Crazy_Donkies

They will for a while.  I'm more worried about ARR and backlog.  They need critical mass, and I'm optimistic they'll get it.

PerfectReflection155

Come back and read this in 5 years. AI isn’t a bubble. OpenAI has hit $10 billion in annual recurring revenue, or ARR. People paying attention know what is coming next. AI powered robots. Who is already providing the necessary hardware for them? NVIDIA. Nvidia is working with many humanoid builders (1X, Agility, Apptronik, Boston Dynamics, Figure, Sanctuary, Unitree, etc.). Agility expanded its collaboration at GTC 2025. Jetson Thor, a Blackwell-based robotics SoC, became available on Aug 25, 2025. It targets humanoids and “physical AI,” with up to ~2,070 FP4 TOPS in a ~130 W envelope. AI has been tested as performing better than doctors at diagnosis. AI is said to be better than most therapist. AI is currently mid tier programming ability and continues to improve. AI efficiency and agents are currently being deployed for automation tasks. Robots and automation will and is resulting in job losses because of the value it brings. That doesn’t scream bubble to me. Companies like NVIDIA and AMD and Amazon and Google are going up and up from here.

Crazy_Donkies

$500mm in potential ARR capacity, and it's trading at 34x THAT number.   Good luck.  

Hearts08

DVLT back to back positive news! Nature's Miracle Crowns Datavault AI with 35% Royalty License with Multi-Million-Dollar Global Technology License https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/nature-miracle-crowns-datavault-ai-134200917.html Datavault AI Launches 2 Innovative Data Unions to Tokenize Insurance and Accounting Data, Unlocking ARR for Independent Operators https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/datavault-ai-launches-2-innovative-192100223.html

Wild-Bathroom-9502

# Datavault AI Launches 2 Innovative Data Unions to Tokenize Insurance and Accounting Data, Unlocking ARR for Independent Operators

te7037

Up 38.4% at 68.91 cents after hours. Watch $DVLT as well but there is a potential share dilution in the future as the company has just filed for SEC Form 14A: [Datavault AI Launches 2 Innovative Data Unions to Tokenize Insurance and Accounting Data, Unlocking ARR for Independent Operators :: Datavault AI Inc. (DVLT)](https://ir.datavaultsite.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/370/datavault-ai-launches-2-innovative-data-unions-to-tokenize)

te7037

Bro was doing very well today. Tomorrow, it will boom again! [Datavault AI Launches 2 Innovative Data Unions to Tokenize Insurance and Accounting Data, Unlocking ARR for Independent Operators :: Datavault AI Inc. (DVLT)](https://ir.datavaultsite.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/370/datavault-ai-launches-2-innovative-data-unions-to-tokenize)

Hearts08

DVLT good news coming out in case you haven't seen it yet. Datavault AI Launches 2 Innovative Data Unions to Tokenize Insurance and Accounting Data, Unlocking ARR for Independent Operators https://finance.yahoo.com/news/datavault-ai-launches-2-innovative-192100223.html

SophisticatedLogic

I can almost picture a Big Short 2 scene- Michael Scott is dancing with an AI stripper in VR who tells him she is propped up by 10,000 GPU’s and needs $200 billion investment to show tits in next version, while the current ARR for the model is $20M/year. Yep. It’s a bubble. 💯

Raiders780

Opportunities are everywhere and this is a great one. It’s ARR is higher than the current MC. Not a bag holder at all lol why the negative attitude just simply stating a good opportunity to make money

salty0waldo

That was the roadblock I ran into on BMI, valuation. Top line growth was forecasted into mid to high single digits so I was trying to see what amount of ARR they would have. Mainly mechanical and ultrasonic meters was still interesting but was hoping they offered a strong SaaS like Nalco does with water treatment. EMR reports on Nov 5th, excited to see what they. Haven't looked at ABB since Q2 report, missed Q3 report have to catch up first.

mowlawnforhobby

The deal represents roughly 9bn in net present value of the company. That's 36% of the company as of today's close (22 Oct). If the subsidiaries are worth a sum of 5bn (conservative), Then the core business apart from MSFT is valued at just 10.77bn... Actually it's under 10bn when considering cash on hand. So it's trading at only 9x 2025 ARR and about 4-5x 2026 ARR (without MSFT). What a steal at these prices. If the trend continues from February, share price will be $133 post earnings.

ChuckOfTheIrish

Mix stocks, mutual funds/etfs, T-Bills (higher return than HYSA with short turnarounds and no state/local tax), and some market hedges (precious metals and stocks like WMT/MA/V that perform well in a downturn). Puts a ceiling on returns but helps to build a floor in case things go south. While it could certainly be a bubble, the AI growth has much more rational backing than dot com ever did, where revenue was not there and companies with under $1M ARR were getting astounding valuations around and over 60x their revenue while actively losing money. AI does have inflated values, but there is at least revenue to back a price around 60-90% price of most valuations (excepting some wild ones like PLTR which has a P/E over 600). So while I can see the bubble "bursting", I think a firm floor is in place compared to 25-30 years ago. I'm actually a little glad to see some (relative) stagnation in AI valuations as it shows the market has become a little more aware of what happens when betting entirely on potential.

AntoniaFauci

I never do AH but this time I did, betting on this being an overreaction. Netflix is dominating. They’ve unlocked a huge source of addicted wrestling fan customers who are price insensitive. They’ve only just started cracking the single live event jackpot. Advertising growing at 100% ARR. Stuff like the Brazil tax thing is something accountants can creatively position in time or spread over time. Deciding to kitchen sink it here and now seems deliberate. Not sure the reasoning though. Maybe to sandbag? To stay off the radar of the tariff terrorist? Other? Conventionally, corporate accounting looks to defer tax hits for as long as possible, and to draw them out over time. So why take this all up front if not to turn a big blowout into a “miss” headline?

PeaceForMost_NotAll

It really isn’t. It’s likely they end with 1GW of capacity by year end 2026. If we go by ARR of 5-10M per MW we’re conservatively talking 5-10B ARR for a $27B market cap

HorseTanker

OpenAI released a browser leading to GOOG dropping $50B in value. This new browser will help OpenAI improve their $12B in ARR by at least $1B, pushing their valuation from $500B to $10T.

PaperHandsTheDip

$GAP - if anyone missed it. Some massive fucking whale bought in on Friday. Over 85k calls bought by him alone, over 100k calls bought in aggregate on Fri. [https://x.com/fl0wg0d/status/1979978849644405083?s=46&t=ARR699bhK-4qfhygMoG77w](https://x.com/fl0wg0d/status/1979978849644405083?s=46&t=ARR699bhK-4qfhygMoG77w)

BookishBabeee

The biggest thing for me is execution consistency. CrowdStrike has managed to grow ARR and maintain 30%+ margins while adding modules. Not many SaaS companies pulled that off post-2022. The risk is valuation compression if growth slows, but the business fundamentals are strong

orangeyougladiator

There is no free cash flow anymore. It’s all debt financing AI now. Which is why interest rates are being slashed, corporate pressure. The amount of money being spent by all these companies because they’re each trying to be the market leader in a $100bn ARR market is beyond dumb, which is why you’re seeing everyone partner up to further squeeze the competition.

Over-Team-5437

💯 They lack any major catalysts though and I want to see 150 million ARR at end of Dec for some street cred.

shakoy69

ARR

GoldChallenge6287

Among other things. Gold has no “real return” factor - interest, dividends, growth. It’s return is more or less the rate of inflation. This hedge is replicated partially by TIPS, REITs and global equity exposure but over a long timeframe, gold either drastically underperforms equities or outperforms for decade long stretches. So yes, right now it seems like a missed opportunity but over 20-30 years, that 5% allocation may cause a 200bp drag on your ARR.

Crazy_Donkies

Isn't it trading at 30x ARR?  While NBIS may be at 10x?  Even BITF may be at 8x or 9x.

KRock1287

I do think a lot of IREN backers are hoping that they can compete with NBIS and CRWV and I just don’t see that happening. So much of IRENs plans for expansions are just agreements at the moment. No official lease deals. Every IREN backer just spits the most absolute bull case that they’re going to have 2.9GW leased out by 2026. Going to be interesting earnings on Nov 25th to hear their guidance and GPU ARR.

PlayerPlayer69

And his correction on my mistake still doesn’t change the fact of the matter. $6B TTM and $700M ARR mean nothing when the operating expenses of the company exceeds that by 10-15%, and they are constantly operating at a loss. They spend a *significant* chunk of their budget yearly on R&D efforts that don’t churn out the same monetary returns. Therefore, this dude is literally betting $110-120k on the hope that Snap somehow doubles in stock price in two months, over a Kylie Jenner collab.

PatientBaker7172

Anthropic is projecting $20–26B in ARR by 2026, up from an expected $9B at the end of this year

Accomplished-Air439

This is just as funny as ARR - annualized recurring revenue. Lol

Seadog98

Minerals are the play. China won’t buckle, Aus is the US new ally. I’m loading up here on dips. Entered UUUU today on that giga dip. Also loading up on some ASX micro caps as US likely to partner with Aussie. COB (Cobalt Blue), LYC (Lynas), ARR (American Rare Earths), NTU (Northern Minerals)

Seadog98

I entered UUUU today on that giga dip. Also loading up on some ASX micro caps as US likely to partner with Aussie. COB (Cobalt Blue), LYC (Lynas), ARR (American Rare Earths), NTU (Northern Minerals)

Seadog98

Someone tell me the best rare earth plays. I have too many in my watchlist… UUUU, ARR, ILU, COB, VHM, NTU, ARU

brata474

Any further thoughts on this?? GPT telling me ARR is the only NASDAQ-listed, low-cap, Australian-linked REM company with current US exposure and potential to directly benefit from an Oct 20th geopolitical REM-focused meeting between Trump and the AU PM.

Forsaken-Data4905

They've passed 12B ARR in July.

MitchCurry

OpenAI has contracted at least $450B in spending by 2030 and over $1T in total. Their recent ARR was $10B at the midway point of 2025.

shirosith

CXAI, SONM, WWR, DVLT, NUAI CXAI - workplace AI, and has a strong partnership with Google. Solid financials and exceeded EPS expectations for the last three quarters. Expecting the same for Q3. “The company achieved its largest ARR renewal with a Fortune 50 client and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud for Agentic AI technologies.” - https://www.stocktitan.net/news/CXAI/cx-app-inc- On Oct 10, Wolverine Asset Mgmt purchased over 1m+ shares of CXAI, effectively making them the biggest institutional holder — bigger than Vanguard! Very bullish! https://whalewisdom.com/filing/wolverine-asset-management-llc-sc-13ga-2025-10-10-cxai SONM - Read this SONM update from this OP. SONM has signed a LOI for reverse take over (RTO) with an unnamed full stack AI factory provider, and the theory is that they’re QumulusAI. QAI also secured $500m in funding recently. This is an early bet, but very convincing- https://www.reddit.com/r/pennystocks/s/ui06oaPIpQ

shirosith

CXAI, SONM, WWR, DVLT, NUAI CXAI - workplace AI, and has a strong partnership with Google. Solid financials and exceeded EPS expectations for the last three quarters. Expecting the same for Q3. “The company achieved its largest ARR renewal with a Fortune 50 client and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud for Agentic AI technologies.” - https://www.stocktitan.net/news/CXAI/cx-app-inc- On Oct 10, Wolverine Asset Mgmt purchased over 1m+ shares, effectively making them the biggest institutional holder! Very bullish! SONM - Read this SONM update from this OP. SONM has signed a LOI for reverse take over (RTO) with an unnamed full stack AI factory provider, and the theory is that they’re QumulusAI. QAI also secured $500m in funding recently. This is an early bet, but very convincing- https://www.reddit.com/r/pennystocks/s/ui06oaPIpQ

shirosith

CXAI, SONM, WWR, DVLT, NUAI CXAI - workplace AI, and has a strong partnership with Google. Solid financials and exceeded EPS expectations for the last three quarters. Expecting the same for Q3. “The company achieved its largest ARR renewal with a Fortune 50 client and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud for Agentic AI technologies.” - https://www.stocktitan.net/news/CXAI/cx-app-inc- SONM - Read this SONM update from this OP. SONM has signed a LOI for reverse take over (RTO) with an unnamed full stack AI factory provider, and the theory is that they’re QumulusAI. QAI also secured $500m in funding recently. This is an early bet, but very convincing- https://www.reddit.com/r/pennystocks/s/ui06oaPIpQ

YsDivers

Iren spent maybe like 900M on all their AI gpus and they're gonna get 500M ARR on all of them after install next year probably gonna recoup like 1.6 - 2B ish in revenue by the time they're depreciated to 0

YsDivers

HIVE is worth <2B mcap Compare the MW, gpus, balance sheet to CIFR I think hive is way more undervalued Hive AI HPC quality/progress also seems way better CIFR deal = 300M AI ARR per year @ 7B mcap using 168 MW after deal with Fluidstack HIVE targets 100M AI ARR @ <2B mcap using 17 MW CIFR doesn't provide GPUs, only the datacenter infra (racks, power, cooling, etc.), that's low margin business HIVE rents out GPUs and basic software services. Extremely high margin

shirosith

CXAI, SONM, WWR, DVLT, NUAI CXAI - workplace AI, and has a strong partnership with Google. Solid financials and exceeded EPS expectations for the last three quarters. Expecting the same for Q3. “The company achieved its largest ARR renewal with a Fortune 50 client and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud for Agentic AI technologies.” - https://www.stocktitan.net/news/CXAI/cx-app-inc- SONM - Read this SONM update from this OP. SONM has signed a LOI for reverse take over (RTO) with an unnamed full stack AI factory provider, and the theory is that they’re QumulusAI. QAI also secured $500m in funding recently. This is an early bet, but very convincing- https://www.reddit.com/r/pennystocks/s/ui06oaPIpQ

Crazy_Donkies

Do you know what seperates the two? PATH is $1.8 billion ARR in a hot industry with key partners.  POET has less revenue than a good lemonade stand in a college town.

shirosith

CXAI, SONM, WWR, DVLT, NUAI CXAI - workplace AI, and has a strong partnership with Google. Solid financials and exceeded EPS expectations for the last three quarters. Expecting the same for Q3. “The company achieved its largest ARR renewal with a Fortune 50 client and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud for Agentic AI technologies.” - https://www.stocktitan.net/news/CXAI/cx-app-inc- SONM - Read this SONM update from this OP. SONM has signed a LOI for reverse take over (RTO) with an unnamed full stack AI factory provider, and the theory is that they’re QumulusAI. QAI also secured $500m in funding recently. This is an early bet, but very convincing- https://www.reddit.com/r/pennystocks/s/ui06oaPIpQ

TheBlickster

Ahh ok I see. I have an account through Public where I try to only trade with max 5% of my port and the rest is investments. Then I have a smaller account on Schwab for divs only (ADX, ARR, JEPQ, and MSTY), not too invested into that since Im young and should be investing more into growth stocks.

ThTruthIsOutThere

Wrong. IREN is a neocloud, with much higher margins and no partnerships needed! ARR is actually 1 billion+ from BTC mining plus 500M from the AI expansion which will soon be 1 to 1.5 billion+ into 2026. Now compare the market caps again. It's all about power. You will see over the next few months as GPU purchases are announced and projects come online. Margins are poor on partnerships by the way as compute values go up due to scarcity of land and power. Much more upside on IREN than NBIS or Coreweave.

shirosith

Let’s go! Not many Redditors are aware of this yet. I found this ticker a few days ago and it’s been gradually going up. I’ve been sharing this ticker in those penny stock lounge posts to raise awareness. Here’s what I shared about their Q2 in some of my other posts. “The company achieved its largest ARR renewal with a Fortune 50 client and expanded its strategic partnership with Google Cloud for Agentic AI technologies.” - https://www.stocktitan.net/news/CXAI/cx-app-inc-

AlternativeMine586

No basis of reality?? Revenue: $362 million, a 14% increase year-over-year. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $1.723 billion, an 11% increase year-over-year. Net new ARR was $31 million. Cash Position: $1.52 billion in cash. Debt: The company has achieved debt-free status. Working with, OpenAi, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Snowflake and a high percentage of other fortune 500s. Seems to be within reality to me

gu3ri1la

I've been in this for a while and hold some stock + long calls. What sold me was as follows. I do not think they have a particularly stellar management team. But they are executing and carving out a niche against larger competitors like ServiceNow. Their clients genuinely appear to find value in their products and services. Listen to / read the last 2 earnings calls. They are transitioning to an ARR model. Their customers are renewing and expanding their contracts. Clearly they're doing something right by creating sticky products (now focused on agentic) that enhance the value of the employee experience in mid-size orgs and departments within larger Fortune 500 orgs. My best guess is that we see $2 - $3 in the next several months. It's not necessarily a 10x play but one could at least 2x which is nothing to sneeze at. I've been a bit surprised there's been little chatter about this on social over the past few months because their fundamentals are improving (unlike some of the meme stocks that are getting more attention). Just my 2c. NFA.

UnderstandingDue1549

Lmao you’re an idiot. The lawsuit stemmed from FuzzyPanda’s report and it was already proven they didn’t interview anyone. They are short sellers who used GLASSDOOR REVIEWS to write the hit piece that Rezolve was overstating its revenue growth. Then, 2 days later their quarterly report came out and it was not only well above expectations, they gave 500m ARR guidance for 2026 which was not expected or necessary. After that article came out and lawsuit hit, if you think they still went through with lying about their earnings then you’re just coping. You’re probably a 🌈 🐻 with a huge shirt position or some dolt who bought at $8 and upset it didn’t moon yet.

AlternativeMine586

That’s highly inaccurate. As I stated, a high PE doesn’t solely mean something negative. Path as a company, has great finances and works with a large number of the Fortune 500, including all of the big Ai players. Now that they are moving further into Ai, I believe that PE could be reflexive of the upset growth potential. Revenue: $362 million, a 14% increase year-over-year. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $1.723 billion, an 11% increase year-over-year. Net new ARR was $31 million. Cash Position: $1.52 billion in cash. Debt: The company has achieved debt-free status.

Nice_History5856

I do not know if they reported yet, but Q2 was 30mm in new ARR, estimate for Q3 is 50mm. Buying any company like this is just a gamble it will evolve into a mainstream tool with a broad user base. The RPA capabilities have a lot of potential for cost savings at client sites, so sales should ramp as companies look to eliminate manual processes.

ThTruthIsOutThere

Rapid GPU deployment and expansion, rapid rise in ARR in AI, analyst upgrades, rerate as an AI neo cloud and catch up to Coreweave and Nebius marketcap. Either Coreweave and Nebius collapse or IREN catches up to them in market cap.

AlternativeMine586

I’ve been very adverse to some of these pump & dumps. However, one in particular has been interesting. PATH (0% ownership currently) Check out these financials boys.. Revenue: $362 million, a 14% increase year-over-year. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $1.723 billion, an 11% increase year-over-year. Net new ARR was $31 million. Cash Position: $1.52 billion in cash. Debt: The company has achieved debt-free status.

YsDivers

They updated their AI cloud ARR today 225M Last we knew it was 2.4M * 12

Crazy_Donkies

If IREN is 30x forward ARR, NBIS should be $250 a share. $2b ARR x 30?

Crazy_Donkies

So we are still piling into IREN when they just confirmed their market cap is 30x forward ARR?  I guess....

gorgcsubsdownvoters

I don't have, but I'm waiting for earnings to see progress on achieving their ARR target. There are still rooms to achieve $100 I believe.

HorseTanker

OpenAI will join Softbank and ORCL in investing $500B in Stargate project. OpenAI is investing $300B in ORCL. OpenAI is buying 10% of AMD. OpenAI is constantly investing billions in NVDA chips that will be redundant in a few years. OpenAI valuation is at $500B. OpenAI ARR is $12B. ~~OpenAI~~ EnronAI

YsDivers

I'm actually worried about their monthly report. their ai cloud revenue has been growing really slowly, and estimating 250M ARR by dec 2025 and 500M ARR by end of q1 2026 when they've been slowly going from 1.2M -> 2.4M rev over the last 5 months is kinda scary

CloutCr7

500m ARR by Q1 2026 from 22k gpus currently and they can triple that in short order per ceo. 1.4GW site coming live April 2026 and best operational btc mining company for the cherry on top.

MilkshakeBoy78

> Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is the normalized annualized value of all predictable, recurring revenue from subscription-based customers over a 12-month period. HIVE is targeting HPC 100m ARR in 2026. > Headquartered in Canada with a global reach, BUZZ HPC is one of the first and few Canadian sovereign AI platforms operating at scale. Since 2017, it has deployed supercomputing environments across Canada and the Nordics. Its Tier 3+ data centres powered entirely by renewable energy and engineered with ultra-low Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) host thousands of industrial-grade GPUs across North America and Europe used for AI model training, fine-tuning and inference. Through its Green GPU initiative, BUZZ HPC combines AI innovation with sustainability, offering localized expertise and global infrastructure. HIVE owns BUZZ HPC. they own a data center for HPC in canada and they are upgrading it to tier 3 and adding blackwell gpus. and they will run HPC in Bell AI Fabric data centers. and most of HIVE data centers are powered fully/partially by renewables. ---- even if HIVE mines 10 BTC a day instead of 12 for 2026 and the price of BTC goes down to 100k. That is 365m in BTC. so if they reach 100m ARR in HPC and you add 365m in BTC for 2026 that is 465m in revenue with a market cap of 1b.

yk3rgrjs

Nebius is justified, undervalued even. Take ARR guidance for december + microsoft deal revenue, assuming no problems in execution and also no further growth. We're at a forward looking 2026 P/S of ~6 currently... Maybe take a deeper look into the company.

ParsnipResident7671

They said $500 mm ARR for q1 2026.. with that pace they can easily achieve min $1500 ARR in 2026

minicotexx

I would disagree. Their ARR growth has been decreasing YOY from high 2X% to a low 1X% as of last quarter. ARR is the cleanest measure of recurring revenue power. You eliminate lumpy license deal and highlights contract durability. It means their customers are not renewing OR worse not even increasing their spending. This is not a good look for a high growth SaaS company.

PatientBaker7172

50% NBIS group. A full-stack ai cloud datacenter and much more. Here's a dd: The risk reward with NBIS is very strong. They have a track record at Yandex of building out 20 DCs. They know what they are doing which is why Microsoft signed the deal with them. Also NBIS is 400 engineers strong. Two more greenfield sites will be announced by EOY & could be generating revenue by Q4 2026. NBIS could be guiding ARR of 5-10B by 2026 EOY. Nvidia has a strategic partnership with Nebius that grants Nebius priority access to Nvidia's latest and most powerful GPUs. As an early adopter of NVIDIA Blackwell, Nebius worked with research group LMArena in collaboration with NVIDIA to bring LMArena’s Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) system into production using GB200 NVL72 infrastructure. Nebius's supercomputer, ISEG, ranked 16th on the Top 500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers. Other companies under the group: Avride: A company that develops autonomous cars and delivery robots for sectors like ride-hailing and logistics. Their self driving car subsidiary is launching with Uber in October. They also just expanded their food delivery robots to a second college this semester. TripleTen: An edtech platform that offers training and reskilling for tech careers in the U.S. and Latin America. Toloka AI: A company that partners with businesses to provide data for developing generative AI. ClickHouse: An equity stake is held in this open-source column-oriented database management system. This doesn’t factor in a potential IPO of Clickhouse which they own just under 30% of. Outside of Microsoft they still guided up to 1.1B ARR by Q4 2025. Nebius Group Price Target Raised to $206 at Northland, Named New Top Pick After Microsoft Deal. When choosing a company, always look at the debt. Their main competitor coreweave has $9 billion debt while NBIS has net cash $693 million. CoreWeave (CRWV) — Net debt ≈ $9.00B (Total debt $11.05B − cash & restricted cash ≈ $2.05B) Nebius (NBIS) — Net cash ≈ $693M (Cash $1.679B − total debt $986.2M ⇒ net −$693M) Provides soveign ai datacenter for marquee customers like Israel gov, uk gov, France gov, shopify and crowdstrike. Next palantir. Hold for 10-15 years. 36x 10 years. Eom $200. Sometimes -30% and overall up $3600% Never sell like Elon Musk, Larry Ellison and Jeff Bezos. This is true wealth. Best of luck.

PatientBaker7172

There's more opportunities like NBIS group. A full-stack ai cloud datacenter and much more. Here's a dd: The risk reward with NBIS is very strong. They have a track record at Yandex of building out 20 DCs. They know what they are doing which is why Microsoft signed the deal with them. Also NBIS is 400 engineers strong. Two more greenfield sites will be announced by EOY & could be generating revenue by Q4 2026. NBIS could be guiding ARR of 5-10B by 2026 EOY. Nvidia has a strategic partnership with Nebius that grants Nebius priority access to Nvidia's latest and most powerful GPUs. As an early adopter of NVIDIA Blackwell, Nebius worked with research group LMArena in collaboration with NVIDIA to bring LMArena’s Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) system into production using GB200 NVL72 infrastructure. Nebius's supercomputer, ISEG, ranked 16th on the Top 500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers. Other companies under the group: Avride: A company that develops autonomous cars and delivery robots for sectors like ride-hailing and logistics. Their self driving car subsidiary is launching with Uber in October. They also just expanded their food delivery robots to a second college this semester. TripleTen: An edtech platform that offers training and reskilling for tech careers in the U.S. and Latin America. Toloka AI: A company that partners with businesses to provide data for developing generative AI. ClickHouse: An equity stake is held in this open-source column-oriented database management system. This doesn’t factor in a potential IPO of Clickhouse which they own just under 30% of. Outside of Microsoft they still guided up to 1.1B ARR by Q4 2025. Nebius Group Price Target Raised to $206 at Northland, Named New Top Pick After Microsoft Deal. When choosing a company, always look at the debt. Their main competitor coreweave has $9 billion debt while NBIS has net cash $693 million. CoreWeave (CRWV) — Net debt ≈ $9.00B (Total debt $11.05B − cash & restricted cash ≈ $2.05B) Nebius (NBIS) — Net cash ≈ $693M (Cash $1.679B − total debt $986.2M ⇒ net −$693M) Hold for 10-15 years. 36x 10 years. Eom $200. Never sell like Elon Musk, Larry Ellison and Jeff Bezos. This is true wealth. Best of luck.

PatientBaker7172

Do a deep dive in nbis. There's more opportunities like NBIS group. A full-stack ai cloud datacenter and much more. Here's a dd: The risk reward with NBIS is very strong. They have a track record at Yandex of building out 20 DCs. They know what they are doing which is why Microsoft signed the deal with them. Also NBIS is 400 engineers strong. Two more greenfield sites will be announced by EOY & could be generating revenue by Q4 2026. NBIS could be guiding ARR of 5-10B by 2026 EOY. Nvidia has a strategic partnership with Nebius that grants Nebius priority access to Nvidia's latest and most powerful GPUs. As an early adopter of NVIDIA Blackwell, Nebius worked with research group LMArena in collaboration with NVIDIA to bring LMArena’s Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) system into production using GB200 NVL72 infrastructure. Nebius's supercomputer, ISEG, ranked 16th on the Top 500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers. Other companies under the group: Avride: A company that develops autonomous cars and delivery robots for sectors like ride-hailing and logistics. Their self driving car subsidiary is launching with Uber in October. They also just expanded their food delivery robots to a second college this semester. TripleTen: An edtech platform that offers training and reskilling for tech careers in the U.S. and Latin America. Toloka AI: A company that partners with businesses to provide data for developing generative AI. ClickHouse: An equity stake is held in this open-source column-oriented database management system. This doesn’t factor in a potential IPO of Clickhouse which they own just under 30% of. Outside of Microsoft they still guided up to 1.1B ARR by Q4 2025. Nebius Group Price Target Raised to $206 at Northland, Named New Top Pick After Microsoft Deal. When choosing a company, always look at the debt. Their main competitor coreweave has $9 billion debt while NBIS has net cash $693 million. CoreWeave (CRWV) — Net debt ≈ $9.00B (Total debt $11.05B − cash & restricted cash ≈ $2.05B) Nebius (NBIS) — Net cash ≈ $693M (Cash $1.679B − total debt $986.2M ⇒ net −$693M) Hold for 10-15 years. Never sell like Elon Musk, Larry Ellison and Jeff Bezos. This is true wealth. Best of luck.

judge_mercer

>If that ARR is maintained If AI is a bubble, then it *won't* be maintained. I think the better argument against a dot-com crash scenario is that these companies can afford the investments they are making, and any crash probably wouldn't cause them to go out of business. Position: https://preview.redd.it/e3nmkhxevpsf1.jpeg?width=1756&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d8c5da4308e6420c3c7557c730cb8c784910d218

smokeyjay

Rubrik -cybersecurity company that focuses on cloud security, data protection, identity protection, among other things. \> rule of 40 - growing revenue 51% with 19% FCF margin. Quarterly revenue more than 300 million w/ a market cap of 16 billion. NRR is 120%. ARR growing 35% to 1.25 billion. Stock dilution is slowing to projected 2% increase for 2026 as they become more discipline and shareholder friendly. On a valuation metric, they are cheaper while growing revenue faster than many of their other competitors. They also have partnerships w/ Microsoft and crowdstrike. Bear case- cybersecurity is pretty competitive. I like to go to /r sysadmin and reviews seem overwhelmingly positive. There stock dropped after earnings despite beating expectations because they guided lower than expected. I initiated a position then in the high 70s. With the recent high profile ransomware attacks, I think its overall bullish for the sector.

Chad_Permabull_GOD

OpenAI at 500B valuation is a complete STEAL. TAM is 8b customers, and if just 10% subscribed to the cheaper plus plan, that would be 200B USD of low marginal inference cost ARR. Does 2.5 price/sales sound reasonable for the most advanced AI humans have ever seen?

ImakeBADinvestmentsx

Well look at it this way. At the minimum google has made $10b a year from ai investments. 2b a qtr minimum from gemini/cloud/direct ai. If that ARR is maintained then the 200b of ai investment is around 5% of ARR growth a year. Not to bad tbh

LarryStink

This is from GROK.  UiPath (NYSE: PATH) presents a compelling investment opportunity as a leader in robotic process automation (RPA) evolving into an enterprise-grade orchestrator for agentic AI, positioning it to capture significant value in the expanding automation market. With a market share exceeding 60% in RPA, UiPath benefits from a sticky customer base, strong recurring revenue metrics, and strategic partnerships that enhance its AI capabilities, all while trading at a discounted valuation relative to peers. Market Opportunity and UiPath's PositionThe global RPA market is maturing into a broader enterprise automation ecosystem, with UiPath's total addressable market (TAM) projected to grow from $61 billion in 2023 to $93 billion by 2025, driven by AI integration for complex workflows. Agentic AI—autonomous agents that reason, plan, and execute tasks—represents the next frontier, with 90% of U.S. IT executives identifying improvable processes and 77% planning investments in 2025. UiPath's platform uniquely bridges RPA's rule-based automation with AI, enabling end-to-end orchestration where agents, robots, and humans collaborate. This differentiates it from pure-play AI firms, as UiPath focuses on execution in regulated environments like finance and healthcare, where competitors like Automation Anywhere and Blue Prism lag in AI depth and market share. Recent partnerships underscore UiPath's momentum: integrations with OpenAI (for ChatGPT and GPT-5 in workflows), NVIDIA (for secure Nemotron models), Google (Gemini-powered voice agents), and Snowflake (Cortex for data-driven actions) enable scalable, governed agentic automation.  The launch of Maestro as an orchestration layer further solidifies this, allowing enterprises to manage multi-agent workflows, APIs, and UI automations—directly competing with platforms like Palantir but with RPA's proven scalability. Financial Strength and Growth DriversUiPath's fiscal 2025 results demonstrate resilience amid macro uncertainty: full-year revenue reached approximately $1.5 billion (trailing 12 months as of July 2025), with ARR at $1.666 billion (up 14% YoY) and dollar-based net retention at 110%, indicating strong customer expansion and low churn.  Q2 fiscal 2026 (ended July 2025) saw revenue beat estimates, with EPS of $0.15 versus $0.09 expected, and non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow of $328 million supporting $1.7 billion in cash reserves.  The shift to enterprise focus has stabilized customer counts, with AI features like Agent Builder driving upsell potential. Projections for fiscal 2026 include ARR growth to $1.82 billion, fueled by agentic AI adoption and partnerships, with path to GAAP profitability already achieved in prior quarters. UiPath's AI strategy—integrating models via AI Center and Fabric for drag-and-drop ML in RPA—expands use cases beyond repetitive tasks to intelligent decision-making, positioning it for durable growth. Valuation and Upside PotentialAt around $13 per share (as of early October 2025), UiPath trades at a forward P/E of ~19.6x and P/S of 4.9x, below RPA industry averages (forward P/E 28.9x, P/S 5.85x), implying undervaluation given 9-14% revenue/ARR growth and AI tailwinds.  Analyst consensus targets ~$13.30, with bulls eyeing higher if agentic products like Maestro monetize effectively, potentially driving multifold returns as the stock (down from 2021 peaks) reflects prior skepticism now being dispelled.  Long-term, UiPath could dominate as the "control plane" for enterprise AI, with network effects from its 10,000+ customer base amplifying adoption. Risks and Considerations  Challenges include slower revenue growth from extended sales cycles in a cautious macro environment, competition from incumbents like Microsoft Power Automate, and execution risks in scaling AI features.   Insider selling and past leadership transitions warrant monitoring, though recent beats and partnerships mitigate near-term downside. UiPath remains a hold-to-buy for patient investors betting on AI orchestration's transformative potential.

naked_space_chimp

Rezolve AI just blasted its guidance for 2025 and 2026, raising its annual recurring revenue (ARR) target to $150 million for 2025 and a whopping $500 million for 2026. They crushed first-half 2025 expectations with $6.3 million revenue, a 426% year-over-year jump, and gross margins hitting 95.8%, trust me that is fucking insane for SaaS. They've got solid partnerships with Microsoft, Google, and Tether, and over 100 enterprise customers like H&M and Urban Outfitters. Cash on hand after recent raises is around $230 million, so they have the war chest to keep scaling.

jdwolosh12

I would encourage you to check out their earnings from today. Lots of positives. 95% gross margins, 150m ARR projection for 2025 (originally projected 70m), 500m ARR guidance for 2026. Until proven otherwise it is becoming very attractive for a long term hold. Still an undervalued price of entry as long as they deliver. I’m sure trading would be great too.

BagelsRTheHoleTruth

Here's a breakdown. Not sure where the truth lies... Rezolve AI (RZLV) Stock: A Tug-of-War Between Bullish Guidance and Short-Seller Allegations New York, NY – The narrative surrounding enterprise AI-commerce company Rezolve AI (NASDAQ: RZLV) has become increasingly complex, marked by a significant guidance upgrade from the company and a volley of serious accusations from a short-seller. This has left investors questioning the company's true standing and future prospects. At the heart of the bullish case is Rezolve AI's recent financial disclosures. The company recently announced its second-quarter 2025 results, and while it missed revenue expectations, it met earnings per share (EPS) forecasts. More significantly, Rezolve AI substantially raised its full-year 2025 guidance for Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) to $150 million and initiated an ambitious 2026 ARR guidance of $500 million. This optimistic outlook is reportedly fueled by strategic partnerships with major tech players like Microsoft and Google and a recently secured $200 million in an oversubscribed financing round. However, a starkly contrasting view has been presented by short-selling firm Fuzzy Panda Research. In a recently published report, the firm alleges that Rezolve AI has been misleading investors through deceptive practices. The core of Fuzzy Panda's claims includes: * Overstated Revenue and AI Capabilities: The report contends that Rezolve AI is exaggerating its revenue figures and that its income is not primarily derived from its advertised AI solutions but from unrelated sources, such as soccer ticket sales. * Questionable Technology: Fuzzy Panda asserts that Rezolve AI's proprietary Large Language Model (LLM) is merely a "ChatGPT wrapper," implying a lack of genuine technological innovation. * Acquisition-Fueled Growth: The short-seller claims that Rezolve AI is acquiring struggling companies to artificially inflate its growth metrics and customer numbers. Rezolve AI has vehemently denied these allegations, issuing a formal statement that dismisses the Fuzzy Panda report as "misleading and inaccurate." The company maintains that the short-seller is motivated by a desire to profit from a decline in the company's stock price. In its rebuttal, Rezolve AI has defended its accounting practices, the integrity of its customer and partner relationships, and the legitimacy of its technology. The conflicting narratives have contributed to significant volatility in Rezolve AI's stock price. Following the upbeat earnings and guidance announcement, the stock saw a substantial pre-market surge. Conversely, the release of the short-seller report has exerted downward pressure on the share price. This situation presents a classic case of market friction, where a company's optimistic projections are challenged by skeptical analysis. For investors, the "what gives" lies in determining which narrative holds more weight. Is Rezolve AI a rapidly growing AI powerhouse with a bright future, or are its foundations less stable than they appear? The resolution will likely depend on the company's ability to deliver on its ambitious guidance and a more thorough vetting of the claims and counter-claims in the coming quarters.

GlitteringLock9791

RZLV had pretty good earnings and is currently being shorted, so pretty cheap at around $5, might drop bellow on open tomorrow. they have increased their ARR for this year to 150M from 90M and announced a 500M revenue target for next year, which would put the share price next year in the $20 range and this eoy probably $10. Its what I am holding, planning to exit at $8 hopefully this month tho.

SPAC_Time

deSPAC Rezolve Ai ( RZLV RZLVW ) having a roller coaster week. RZLV stock had risen from $1.13 in April to above $7 in September, making it ripe for a short seller. On Monday, [Fuzzy Panda issued a short report](https://fuzzypandaresearch.com/rezolve-ai-rzlv-faking-arr-declining-revenue-dan-wagner-chatgpt-wrapper/). RZLV immediately issued a PR to sipute the report, and the CEO did a CNBC interview as well. RZLV closed at $5.95 Friday, $5.24 Monday, and $4.98 Tuesday. RZLVW dropped from $2.42 Friday close to $1.60 Tuesday close. Today, RZLV released the anticipated earnings release. [Rezolve Ai Raises 2025 Guidance to $150M ARR and Initiates 2026 Guidance to $500M ARR Exit Rate as Strong Growth Shatters Analyst Forecasts](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/10/01/3159397/0/en/Rezolve-Ai-Raises-2025-Guidance-to-150M-ARR-and-Initiates-2026-Guidance-to-500M-ARR-Exit-Rate-as-Strong-Growth-Shatters-Analyst-Forecasts.html) RZLV about $6 premarket, RZLVW $2.30

Confident_Potato_714

Yeah man. With an ARR increase that fatty mcpatty this thing has some wheeeeels

redguy726

$RZLV 🚀 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/10/01/3159397/0/en/Rezolve-Ai-Raises-2025-Guidance-to-150M-ARR-and-Initiates-2026-Guidance-to-500M-ARR-Exit-Rate-as-Strong-Growth-Shatters-Analyst-Forecasts.html Half a billion in guidance

PatientBaker7172

$NBIS group. A full-stack ai cloud datacenter and much more. Here's a dd: The risk reward with NBIS is very strong. They have a track record at Yandex of building out 20 DCs. They know what they are doing which is why Microsoft signed the deal with them. Also NBIS is 400 engineers strong. Two more greenfield sites will be announced by EOY & could be generating revenue by Q4 2026. NBIS could be guiding ARR of 5-10B by 2026 EOY. Nvidia has a strategic partnership with Nebius that grants Nebius priority access to Nvidia's latest and most powerful GPUs.  As an early adopter of NVIDIA Blackwell, Nebius worked with research group LMArena in collaboration with NVIDIA to bring LMArena’s Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) system into production using GB200 NVL72 infrastructure. Nebius's supercomputer, ISEG, ranked 16th on the Top 500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers. Other companies under the group: * **Avride:** A company that develops autonomous cars and delivery robots for sectors like ride-hailing and logistics. Their self driving car subsidiary is launching with Uber in October. They also just expanded their food delivery robots to a second college this semester. * **TripleTen:** An edtech platform that offers training and reskilling for tech careers in the U.S. and Latin America. * **Toloka AI:** A company that partners with businesses to provide data for developing generative AI. * **ClickHouse:** An equity stake is held in this open-source column-oriented database management system. This doesn’t factor in a potential IPO of Clickhouse which they own just under 30% of. Outside of Microsoft they still guided up to 1.1B ARR by Q4 2025. Nebius Group Price Target Raised to $206 at Northland, Named New Top Pick After Microsoft Deal. When choosing a company, always look at the debt. Their main competitor coreweave has $9 billion debt while NBIS has net cash $693 million. * **CoreWeave (CRWV)** — **Net debt ≈ $9.00B** (Total debt $11.05B − cash & restricted cash ≈ $2.05B) * **Nebius (NBIS)** — **Net cash ≈ $693M** (Cash $1.679B − total debt $986.2M ⇒ net **−$693M**) Hold for 10-15 years. Never sell like Elon Musk, Larry Ellison and Jeff Bezos. This is true wealth. Best of luck.

IceyFoxes

what about the overselling of the partnerships by the CEO? pick your poison between the CEO and fuzzy, both have own interests in the stock i think the ceo has 1) poor history 2) like to overhype things: a lot of their filings are honestly immaterial but phrased to create hype 3) too involved in retail sentiment, i mean why do they need to reiterate no dilution as press release? or deny short report but not come out with actual proof? if u want to wait for earnings, then be consistent and wait for earnings? fuzzy is trash too they aint no hindenburg i think wagner will go ahead and claim 100+M ARR but revenue barely shows gains at its current rev P/S is over 8000, so they better hit some monster rev gains to change my view right now 0 proof of products, clients (organic), and moat its a big if true moment; if wagner aint lying but i wouldnt bet my money on that

IceyFoxes

whats stopping the RZLV CEO from going full elon musk and announce 100-200M ARR (while having 100K rev)?

TheBayWeigh

If you’re in the US and are an iPhone user I just released an app called Magic Signal. It not only does the market research but also has institution-grade data (80+ data points like IV, Greeks, etc). The first week is free so if you cancel before the first week you don’t pay. I just looked up NBIS and here’s the result I got from Magic Signal just to give you an idea of how much detail there is (Reddit not letting me paste tables): “Company Overview: Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is a leading enterprise within the Communication Services sector specializing in next-generation AI cloud infrastructure solutions. With a focus on high-performance computing, Nebius serves major technology platforms and enterprises seeking scalable, AI-driven cloud capacity. The company has rapidly expanded its market presence through large-scale contracts, aggressive capital raising, and ongoing investments in cutting-edge infrastructure—positioning Nebius as a pivotal enabler of global digital transformation. Key Highlights: Secured a $17.4 billion, 5-year AI GPU cloud infrastructure contract with Microsoft, materially enhancing revenue visibility and establishing Nebius as a tier-one provider to hyperscale clients. Raised approximately $4.3 billion through underwritten stock offerings and convertible notes, fortifying the balance sheet for further AI infrastructure-scale investments. Reported a substantial year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 2025, driven by surging institutional demand for generative AI and cloud compute capacity. Maintains a low debt load and robust cash position, allowing for flexible business execution during market volatility. Current valuation at ~4x conservative 2027 ARR estimates suggests potential for significant share price appreciation as business momentum continues. Technical Analysis: Technical Indicators Metric Value Interpretation RSI (14-period) 60.18 Neutral, no overbought/oversold SMA (20-period) $105.20 Bullish (current price above SMA) Current Price vs SMA +2.38% Bullish, supports positive bias MACD (12-26-9) -0.7241 Bearish momentum strengthening MACD Line / Signal 4.56 / 5.28 Bearish crossover 52-Week Range $14.09–$114.85 Near upper end, strong uptrend Options & Volatility Metrics Metric Value Interpretation Put/Call Ratio 0.34 Bullish (calls favored) Call Volume 84.02K Lower than average, cooling bullish sentiment Put Volume 28.60K Well below average Implied Volatility (30d) 82.80% High, but not extreme Realized Volatility 149.25% Stock can move sharply Expected Move (30d/7d) $18.64/$7.81 Wide trading ranges expected Call/Put Open Interest 405.11K / 271.43K Bullish OI distribution (59.9% calls) OI vs 30d avg +19% calls, +21% puts Growing engagement Key Interpretations and Signals: While the price trend is bullish (current price above SMA), MACD reveals emerging bearish momentum—suggesting caution near current highs. The RSI in neutral territory supports a possible continued upward move, but not without volatility. Strong institutional options positioning (low put/call ratio, higher call OI) indicates bullish sentiment among advanced traders. High volatility metrics portend substantial price swings—risk and opportunity for active participants. Market Analysis: The $17.4 billion contract win with Microsoft represents a step-change in Nebius’s industry status and earnings potential, driving near- and mid-term sentiment. The competitive AI/cloud infrastructure sector is in hypergrowth, with Nebius’s aggressive capital spend (planned $2 billion capex in 2025) keeping pace with rivals and capturing market share. Institutional demand and analyst upgrades have driven recent share rebounds, but value estimates for NBIS remain highly dispersed due to differing growth assumptions. Despite recent volatility, sector tailwinds and the company’s repeat contract wins support a robust market opportunity pipeline through the next several years. Investment Outlook: Short-term (1–3 months): BULLISH | Confidence: 70% Price action is supported by bullish technicals (above SMA), robust options activity, and visibility from the Microsoft deal. Growing total open interest and favorable OI distribution skew suggest traders anticipate further upside. Catalysts: Q3 growth updates, announcements of additional AI platform partnerships. Risks: Rapid sector rotation, profit-taking after recent sharp gains, or negative technical reversals (bearish MACD). Medium-term (3–12 months): BULLISH | Confidence: 80% Sustained capex and a strong post-raise balance sheet empower Nebius to win further contracts and outpace sector growth. Recurring revenue from long-term cloud deals adds stability to revenue and profit forecasts. Drivers: Execution on infrastructure expansion, onboarding new enterprise customers, industry-wide AI adoption trends. Headwinds: Margin pressure from capital intensity, persistent competition from better-capitalized peers. Risk Assessment: Execution Risk: With ambitious infrastructure expansion and multi-billion-dollar contracts, any delays or cost overruns could undermine investor confidence. Competitive Pressure: The AI cloud market features formidable incumbents (e.g., Microsoft, Amazon, Google), which could impact Nebius’s growth trajectory and pricing power. Valuation Debate: Wide analyst fair value range ($7–$334) reflects material uncertainty on growth sustainability—sharply shifting investor sentiment remains a possibility. Volatility: Recent price swings and high realized volatility increase the risk for leveraged or short-term traders. Concentration Risk: Revenue is increasingly tied to a small number of very large clients, raising potential client concentration issues. Summary: Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is positioned as a dynamic leader in the rapidly expanding AI cloud infrastructure space, underpinned by transformative contract wins (notably with Microsoft), a strengthened balance sheet, and strong institutional backing. While recent technicals and options markets suggest bullish sentiment, volatility remains high and short-term technical momentum is mixed. Investors should weigh the clear near- and medium-term growth prospects—driven by recurring enterprise demand and large-scale capital deployment—against sector competition and execution risks. Overall, NBIS offers compelling exposure to structural AI megatrends, with potential for continued outperformance should it deliver on expansive growth targets. Disclaimer: All information presented is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice

PatientBaker7172

$NBIS. A full-stack ai cloud datacenter and much more. Here's a dd: The risk reward with NBIS is very strong. They have a track record at Yandex of building out 20 DCs. They know what they are doing which is why Microsoft signed the deal with them. Also NBIS is 400 engineers strong. Two more greenfield sites will be announced by EOY & could be generating revenue by Q4 2026. NBIS could be guiding ARR of 5-10B by 2026 EOY. Nvidia has a strategic partnership with Nebius that grants Nebius priority access to Nvidia's latest and most powerful GPUs.  As an early adopter of NVIDIA Blackwell, Nebius worked with research group LMArena in collaboration with NVIDIA to bring LMArena’s Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) system into production using GB200 NVL72 infrastructure. Nebius's supercomputer, ISEG, ranked 16th on the Top 500 list of the world's most powerful supercomputers. Other companies under the group: * **Avride:** A company that develops autonomous cars and delivery robots for sectors like ride-hailing and logistics. Their self driving car subsidiary is launching with Uber in October. They also just expanded their food delivery robots to a second college this semester. * **TripleTen:** An edtech platform that offers training and reskilling for tech careers in the U.S. and Latin America. * **Toloka AI:** A company that partners with businesses to provide data for developing generative AI. * **ClickHouse:** An equity stake is held in this open-source column-oriented database management system. This doesn’t factor in a potential IPO of Clickhouse which they own just under 30% of. Outside of Microsoft they still guided up to 1.1B ARR by Q4 2025. Nebius Group Price Target Raised to $206 at Northland, Named New Top Pick After Microsoft Deal. When choosing a company, always look at the debt. Their main competitor coreweave has $9 billion debt while NBIS has net cash $693 million. * **CoreWeave (CRWV)** — **Net debt ≈ $9.00B** (Total debt $11.05B − cash & restricted cash ≈ $2.05B) * **Nebius (NBIS)** — **Net cash ≈ $693M** (Cash $1.679B − total debt $986.2M ⇒ net **−$693M**) Hold for 10-15 years on all ups and downs. Never sell like Elon Musk, Larry Ellison and Jeff Bezos. This is true wealth. Best of luck.

krunkn

Nebius because it isn’t just a data center pick. They own 100% of AVRIDE an autonomous driving solution already deployed delivering 100,000 deliveries of goods/food on campuses across the US and partnering with Uber for self driving taxi solutions. Also they own part of Toloka an ai datasets and labeling platform as well as Clickhouse a very popular open source database management solution. You get data center ARR with upside growth of their subsidiaries with more big companies looking for compute everyday.

raannathr333

You’re right. And they have $1.7B in ARR; $1.52BB in cash; and no debt. We’ll see what they make of it, right?

PayingOffBidenFamily

They raised guidance to $900m to $1.1 billion for this year, they were already projected to have $1.5B in organic ARR next year, add the $3.5B from msft you have 5... they will probably actually have much more because they stated they will have 1 GW of contracted capacity end of 2026, they are closing on two new greenfield sites which will no doubt be sold capacity to hyperscalers.

PayingOffBidenFamily

>Similar data centers trade at 20–25x LOL coreweave and nebius are at 5x ARR, hard pass bub

DakkJaniels

Let me fix that for you: I was watching *Mugen Train* for the 17th time and realized something. *Nebius rhymes with Nezuko.* And just like Nezuko, NBIS starts small but then kicks demons (competitors) straight through a mountain when the box comes off. Here’s the DD: * These guys already built 20+ data centers back in their Yandex arc. That’s basically like Tanjiro grinding training arcs until his forehead scar started glowing. Microsoft saw that and immediately signed the deal. No breathing techniques required. * They’ve got **400 engineers strong**. That’s literally the entire Hashira lineup times 50. Each one swinging a Blackwell GPU instead of a Nichirin blade. * Two greenfield sites dropping by EOY = season finale cliffhanger. Revenues start rolling in by Q4 2026, right when the “Upper Moon” level expansion arc begins. Guidance? $5–10B ARR. That’s not a number, that’s the Infinity Castle. * Nvidia partnership = *sun breathing*. NBIS gets first dibs on Blackwell GPUs like Tanjiro getting the first slice of Nezuko’s bamboo. They even helped push LMArena’s Prompt-to-Leaderboard (P2L) into production on GB200 NVL72 hardware. Translation: Demon Slayer Episode 19 levels of overpowered. * Their ISEG supercomputer ranked **16th in the world.** That’s like being Upper Moon 3 on the Top 500 list. Not Muzan yet, but you can smell the final battle. * Subsidiaries are side arcs that actually matter: * **Avride** = autonomous cars & delivery robots. Basically Nezuko running errands at light speed. Launching with Uber in October. * **TripleTen** = training new demon slayers (edtech reskilling). * **Toloka AI** = providing demon blood samples (data) to train generative AI. * **ClickHouse** = the secret swordsmith village arc. They own \~30%, IPO potential is a secret technique in the back pocket. * Even *without* Microsoft they still guide $1.1B ARR by Q4 2025. That’s before the Upper Moons even show up. * Debt check: CoreWeave (the Akaza of the group) is carrying **$9B debt**. NBIS has **$693M net cash.** That’s like fighting Akaza while you’re wearing *plot armor* made of cash bricks. This is a **Tanjiro stock.** It always gets back up. Even after a beatdown, the OST swells, the scar glows, and NBIS powers through with Nezuko GPU Formation. I’m putting $750k into NBIS. Holding 10-15 years, riding every breathing technique and every body pillow spike. Wealth isn’t made by trading, it’s made by holding until the end of the season. **Best of luck, fellow slayers.**