DMA

OrangeForeva

QQQ rejected off the 200 DMA. CPI tomorrow.

Karl151

QQQ rejected the $680 200 DMA at close and VIX popped back up above 20, nice

OrangeForeva

Short QQQ. Great short entry here at the 200 DMA.

OrangeForeva

Called it earlier that we would pump to the QQQ 200 DMA. Now we see how it reacts.

OrangeForeva

We will likely retest the QQQ 200 DMA around QQQ 278. I expect we'll at least get to 275 today. Tomorrow is CPI, so we could easily pop over it OR reject and sell off more. My bias is more selling to QQQ 620-630 this week.

OrangeForeva

Generally my thinking as well. I'm not convinced we'll get above or even to the 200 DMA with how weak the market has been.

OrangeForeva

Since SPY is on the 200 DMA and QQQ bounced there before, I might predict that we bounce tomorrow and/or Monday and maybe get QQQ 680 to backtest the 200 DMA.

OrangeForeva

Yeah, just waterfalled. We broke the 200 DMA last night but it was pumped back up. That was sort of a tell so I held puts overnight.

AllieOoopy

Multiple intelligent microprocessor based peripheral controllers Microprogrammed bit slice DMA channels bAll data transfers via DMA to minimize CPU overhead

TJMBeav

200 DMA around 730ish SPY. We gotta test that soon

autumnbreeznleaves

CITRINI could have issued these warnings in I don't know maybe July when the $SOXX was at ATH's instead of now when its below its 200 DMA. I do see the potential for a gap down to $368 for $SOXX. Let's see how KOSPI trades tonight first. Funny how narratives shift. Monday I was considering kicking my Gold position to cover my trading margin. After today I am considering holding gold and just sending in cash to cover.

Independent-Egg9086

Reclaimed 200 DMA in overnight, tomorrow going be spicy green.

NoAbbreviations1653

QQQ broke 200DMA it’s gg

Sweaty_Platypus69

Retail and hedge funds trying to push $QQQ away from the 200 DMA even by a couple of pennies...

OrangeForeva

NQ trying to break the low at the 200 DMA. Not looking good.

OrangeForeva

Nasdaq 200 DMA: "YOU SHALL NOT PASS!" https://preview.redd.it/qaa6h831uhzh1.png?width=1341&format=png&auto=webp&s=341da5574c3b5207a8c623d9f6cd11ed171c2103

DependentPangolin818

If QQQ breaks below 200DMA its OVER

RegularStudy9524

Not much support below the 100 DMA who would've thought

WingWorried6176

lol scripted QQQ taps 200DMA overnight then they drop negotiation headline exactly when it happens

OrangeForeva

I doubt they will gap us down under the QQQ 200 DMA overnight. Probably algos lurking to buy it up. Semis (SOXX) might want to retest their own 200 DMA as well.

__pickle_rick

Are the Q's under the 200 DMA?

Sweaty_Platypus69

$QQQ still struggling to even get pass it 100 DMA :happy:

OrangeForeva

90% certain we still have a date with the QQQ 200 DMA around 680 before we truly have a chance to bottom. Almost got there today.

OrangeForeva

I convert from bear to cautious bull next week at QQQ 685 and the 200 DMA. Maybe we don't get there, but seems likely at this point. Depends what 🥭does.

JustLurkCarryOn

QQQ is almost in correction territory and approaching the 200DMA. If you think it will find zero support there then you don’t know ball.

JustLurkCarryOn

If QQQ hits the 200DMA I’m going all in on calls 6 months out. Don’t be a panican.

OrangeForeva

We did it all! QQQ 700. Next stop 685 for the 200 DMA.

Sweaty_Platypus69

It;s still far away from its 200 DMA.. so quite a bit to go

__pickle_rick

SOXX bouncing off the 200 DMA like its a santa rally

autumnbreeznleaves

I bought 100 at $87.66 Thurs. $SOXX must hold $472.90 support (200 DMA) for this to work. If it breaks below I'm selling & cutting my losses. I want to be clear that leverage ETF's are not a buy & holds. I'm looking at selling half around $120 and the other half around $140 or whatever price that is on $SOXL when $SOXX comes near $530. Cheers

Nelsonsrightknacker

Now fast forward and that's 200k loss, stop. Look at the chart and the 200 DMA When they are below the 200 you short them. It even did a retest in mid august and rejected it. This islike someone coming up to you and shoving 1k Dollar bills in your pockets and you you wiping ur butt on them.

Nelsonsrightknacker

Try buying a stock over the 200DMA. And no you don't suck anymore than I would at landing a helicopter for the first time.

autumnbreeznleaves

If you think the $SPY is the entire market you have a narrow view and aren’t looking at the entire world. $VXUS is below its 200 DMA and has given back half its annual gains. I’m not buying the $SPY 3% below ATH and calling that BTD. I’m buying the whole world market index minus the overpriced US indices and looking long term.

OnceALoser

QQQ 3% away from 200 DMA. They way so many big stocks have already gone below 200 DMA already, I think it’s only a matter of time for QQQ to fall below it.

OnceALoser

Small caps closed above 200 DMA after spending 7 days closing below it. The question is if it will be rejected or the rotation will keep it moving higher.

JustLurkCarryOn

This is slamming at the last level of support before the 200DMA at $677. That’s why buyers are stepping in around $707/708. If this last line of defense fails, anyone that bought for a swing will leave in droves and short into the next support.

autumnbreeznleaves

You realize that if you want to hedge your bearish tendencies this is the time to buy as a hedge. I'm trading $SOXL, but I bought more $VXUS which broke below its 200 DMA. Now the trend for world ex US indices may now be broken like Gold broke this year. But these are the times to buy.

jasperCrow

QQQ back under the 100 DMA. Oof

JustLurkCarryOn

That nasty rejection of QQQ at the 50DMA yesterday looks ominous. Next move down should bring us to the 200DMA at $678 ☠️

autumnbreeznleaves

HAHAHA. The more I learn how the market and stocks are valued and traded, the more I realize buying indice ETFs like $VT and $VXUS is the way for me to go. I don't need some options trader or a DJT tweet blowing up a stock position I own. I can't identify what might be market fraud or guess when the stock market bubble will pop. I can BTD on $VXUS and $VT every time they hit their 200 DMA or maybe 100 DMA if I am feeling more aggressive. Obviously 1 day the dip may keep on dipping and that 200 DMA may no longer hold. But we could have a 50% correction tomorrow and all the indices would still be higher than when I was paralyzed by fear and was listening to all the doom & gloom starting in 2021.

RegularStudy9524

Don't worry guys should find support at the 100 DMA lmao

hodd01

SPy up 0.35% in 5 minutes defending the 20 DMA at 765.80

autumnbreeznleaves

I just wait until major ETFs come close to their 200 DMA to buy. $VXUS has been trading around 200 DMA for a couple days now so I’ve already bought. It might not work but everyone needs a plan. And usually it’s not buying the hot stocks that Reddit is cheering as that usually means they are expensive

OnceALoser

Common NBIS. You can do it. Only $1 away from 200 DMA. Take me to the promised land.

duboilburner

My feel on it is we probably don't have a black Monday. If anything, I half expect some level of recovery. There's a reasonable amount of long SPX options MMs have on their books for tomorrow at the moment--if we can get above 7685, things get a lot more stable and slow moving. But, beware the VIXperation on Wednesday and beware end of Month shenanigans. 7650 has the real potential to be a pinnable magnet on the 30th. We will likely chop around either side of it the next couple weeks, but I have a feeling the near 14.5K puts MMs are long there will act as a sort of magnet. Can also think of it as a customer holding the other side of that trade made a massive bet that we don't sink far below that strike by month end. For tomorrow's expiration, 7650 is actually a large short strike--MMs mostly short puts there. If spot happens to be above that, and vol starts expanding, that's where we get pulled towards until vol chills out again. If we do happen to be near 7650 tomorrow and vol starts to relax, it becomes pretty easy to get back to 7690 and then start to find some stability that slows us down anything above that. Mondays can often be days where we either start a reversal of a red week before, sometimes we get pent up demand over the weekend where people flood in early and pump price all day. % of stocks above 20 DMA, 50 DMA and 200 DMA graphs barely budged on Friday despite the large down move. If we don't get a hard sell by Nov 6 that pushes us below 7500 emphatically, expect us to magnet back towards 7700 through Nov 20, judging by what I see for Nov 20 OpEx currently. Similarly, to the upside, if we can't smash above 7900 by Nov 6 and find some stability after doing so, expect reversion back towards 7700 once again. Seems to be the magic number we have a hard time straying too far away from since August. Things still kind of appear to want to keep doing that. Sectors churn back and forth and the index goes virtually nowhere. 7350 is of increasing interest for December OpEx, though... Bit far out to be making much in the way of predictions, but something to keep an eye on when we get to the Nov expiration.

GhettoMuppet

200DMA (QQQ 670-680 supply zone, 10-12% correction).

OnceALoser

Nasdaq has lost 50% of its gain it made since July drop. If it doesn’t bounce here, the next stop is 61.8% Fibonacci retracement which is another 5% drop from Friday close and coincides with 200 day moving average at around 674. Even though I have lost big, I just hope it touches 200 DMA and be done with it. Let’s make money till the year end.

Over-Young8392

only 24% of iwm above 50 DMA. he might be right, from claude so double check

autumnbreeznleaves

$VXUS bounced off its 200 DMA this morning. I bought that EFT heavily for the 2nd straight day. A stronger DXY vs the other crap currencies and a US 10 yr above 5% creates a good buying opportunity for international ex-US ETFs in my opinion.

Sweaty_Platypus69

QQQ holding the 100 DMA strong though... so likely it will pamp not drill. (Unless it goes below it then yea..)

jlw993

NBIS lower than 200 DMA

OnceALoser

Last time NBIS closed below 200 DMA was in Feb 2026 when it closed below $76.

IntrepidToday0

Long dated puts allow you to collect a fat premium at a far OTM strike price. Think NBIS $150, MU $700, META $500, etc…. I only do it on big red days (4% or more) AND at strong support level (50 DMA). Only do this on AI/Tech stocks that are in long term uptrend.

ash-t-1

i've mentally compared IBKR & Etrade rolls, etc, and they are about the same. curious which asset are you looking at. is it PFOF or DMA level on IBKR?

Sozebj

Does not get above 200 DMA.

URMomPaysFirMyCalls

Is it time to buy the Banks sitting on 200 DMA before earnings?

scientia_analytica

I hope you waiter for it to be at least beloow 200 DMA. Right?

exphx23

Do what makes you feel comfortable. Buy bonds. Invest the coupons in a dividend growth fund. We are at record highs with only about 40% of stocks above their 200 DMA with a declining OBV. While some stocks are strong, the market isn't. Don't count on a rate reduction to help the recovery. With the current debt issue, if the economy crashes, rates may need to increase to entice others to purchase our debt. It is extremely naive to assume the market will always go up. It was only a year ago in the real estate market that everyone was paying over asking price. How did that work out? The market will correct, when, who knows. The traders who acknowledge this adjust their trading as conditions change. Believe what you want about the future of the market. Just don't end up being the "bagholder".

andytobbles

MU is about to take off, its trying to get over the 1M 50 DMA right now

Friendly-Motor-3201

For the deleted comment - We run a parallel simulation apart from calculating the optimal size and send it through just to check if it actually get filled, that reduces the deviation you mentioned however run results haven’t been good cuz of the latency issues with brokers ,I use DMA for all the data

mojo0220

Very undervalued. If you have a long time horizon, keep accumulating near or under the 200 DMA! You’ll thank yourself in 10 years time or sooner.

Unpoplar_opinion_bot

DMA

ThatOneRedditBro

Risky spot, bols. Vix about to bounce off 200DMA and resistence for SPY.

Sweaty_Platypus69

Yea $Goog is too overvalued right now.. wait for it to drop below its 200 DMA before going in.

Which_Cost8015

CRDO is getting wrecked even after a beat. The guide wasn’t strong enough for the valuation. I’d watch $175–180 around the 200DMA as an interesting entry zone. September seasonality keeps me cautious, but the long-term thesis still looks strong.

CatchAfilM

I am using Adobe suite for 8 years now. Premiere, AE, LRC, Photoshop, Illustrator. Today I am using only Premiere and sometimes Lightroom. There is no reason for me to keep the full suite price anymore, there are way too many tools out there you can use in exchange, maybe not free use but as efficient as Adobe tools. Now for stock, investors just don't see validation in the company and you just need to look at the chart. Adobe is the pure poster child of the software crisis versus the AI. Even with the nice run from June of \~50%, share price currently at the December 2022 and April 2020 lows, and it's way far from 150-DMA. Adobe has to do something incredible to get investors attention back. P.S. Adobe creative just raised their subscription prices (at least for my subscription) this year for the first time in many years.

andytobbles

If the 20 DMA holds then it’s 215, there’s a gap fill to 213. Wouldn’t be surprised if we wick down and then close above 215.

Groundbreaking-Gap20

Would love QQQ to fall below 200 DMA so I can load up on QLD

ThoseGelInsertThings

Buying Bitcoin below the 200 DMA was such a good play. It's the ultimately trade against the debasement of fiat money, as evidenced by the pump that occurred right after Bessent's "bond buyback" announcement. The USD is officially screwed.

Sweaty_Platypus69

QQQ going back to its 50 DMA folks.. and if doesnt hold that line.. expect a nose dive.

LeBhikariLe

META now well and truly below 200 and 50 DMA

Lazy_One_8463

# 💡 Кто заплатит после IPO OpenAI и Anthropic? Исторические убытки от субсидирования доступа не будут погашены единовременным сбором, а перераспределены **каскадно через принудительную монетизацию уже сформированной зависимости**. Нагрузка ляжет на тех, чья стоимость отказа стала максимальной: |Стейкхолдер|Доля нагрузки|Как именно платит| |:-|:-|:-| |**Корпоративные клиенты (B2B)**|\~60–70%|Прямая наценка: рост тарифов за токены, оплата SLA/памяти/безопасности; vendor lock-in делает миграцию дороже обслуживания.| |**Партнёры / Стартапы / Интеграторы**|\~20–30%|Не деньгами напрямую, а возможностями: каннибализация успешных продуктов платформой, блокировки при попытке конкурировать, вынужденный рефакторинг под нативные API с повышенной маржой для платформы.| |**Публичные инвесторы**|0% прямых затрат, 10–15% риска волатильности|Принимают структурный риск: премия возможна только при доказанном устойчивом cash-flow без критического churn и регуляторных штрафов. При срыве стратегии — переоценка мультипликаторов.| |**Конечные потребители**|\~5–10% косвенно|Через цепочку операционных наценок в SaaS, финтехе, логистике и других сервисах, где AI стал core-процессом.| # ⚙️ Триггер монетизации После IPO фокус сместится с `burn-rate growth` на `cash-generative pricing`. Платформы активируют: 1. **Тарификацию по usage/memory/SLA** вместо flat-субсидий и бесплатных квот. 2. **Tiered access:** приоритет вычислений, ранних релизов моделей и техподдержки только для enterprise с долгосрочными контрактами. 3. **Барьеры миграции:** жёсткие лимиты API, сложности экспорта промптов/контекста, расширенная трактовка «конкуренции» в офертах (прецеденты блокировок ByteDance, Windsurf уже зафиксированы). # 🛡️ Что может изменить расклад Сценарий `power play` не является необратимым. Рынок ответит координированными контрмерами: * **Оркестрация и open-weight модели** (LiteLLM/vLLM + Llama, Mistral, Qwen) снизят switching costs до уровня инфраструктурных затрат. * **Bargaining-пулы enterprise-клиентов** вынудят переход к capacity-based pricing вместо usage-based rent extraction. * **Регуляторное давление** (FTC/EU DMA) может запретить дискриминацию через ToS и ввести стандарты portability данных. В этом сценарии финансовый груз частично вернётся к самим платформам в виде скидок, SLA-гарантий и операционных затрат на удержание клиентов. `Power play` превратится в `commodity race`. # ✅ Итог в одном предложении **Платят те, кто не диверсировал стек:** корпоративные клиенты — деньгами и архитектурной гибкостью через lock-in, партнёры — инновациями и долей рынка через каннибализацию, инвесторы — терпением к волатильности; стратегия перекладывает исторические убытки субсидирования на экосистему в момент, когда отказ от платформы становится экономически невыгодным, но рыночный отпор (open-source + оркестрация + регуляторика) способен вернуть счёт за монетизацию самим платформам.

OnceALoser

Adobe only 1% away from 200 day moving average. Last time it closed above 200 DMA was December 2024.

loldogex

are you talking about market orders here? i guess it wouldnt matter if youre sweeping the market for top layer of liquidity. i was thinking more of wheb you see where the order is from an exchange, you directly go there to take liquidity or if you see a lot of activity in an exchange, youd go add liquidity there to try to filled. personally, ive used schwab forever and dont think it is really an issue with speed but DMA is the next step.

Traditional-Bad-3839

Waiting for AAPL to ready 200 DMA

ThetaEdgeHQ

The pattern is real but I would be careful calling the source of those returns defensive. A Jan 27 200 strike doubling twice came from the underlying making roughly 27 percent moves levered by the option, not from anything defensive about WM. Low vol names like this are exactly where a LEAP is cheap in extrinsic, so the delta is doing almost all the work and there is little vega tailwind to help. That is fine on the way up, but it means the option tracks the stock close to one to one rather than getting the convexity kick a higher IV name would give you. The risk that is not being priced is the flip side of the thing you like. "Rarely below its 200DMA for more than 1 to 3 months" is a backward looking regularity, and single name regularities tend to break right after you size up on them. On a two year option the daily theta is small, so the real cost of being wrong is not decay, it is capital parked in a levered bet that grinds sideways under your strike while you wait for a rebound that used to be reliable. The thesis can work, just size it as the leveraged single name bet it is, not as a defensive sleeve that happens to pay like a lottery ticket.

Sick0h

SOXL hit that 200 DMA and said SKURT SKURT

ensui67

They buy and hold until their indicators show that the trend is over. Easiest is when prices break below the 200 DMA. Then you could say the trend is down and then they’ll reweight to be less risky.

Past-Entertainer335

still think QQQ will test 100DMA again for real bounce back

Past-Entertainer335

Sell at open, both SPY and QQQ need to test 220DMA before truly bouncing back

OnceALoser

Last time SOXX closed below 200 day moving average was May 30th 2025. Then it kept closing above it. The closest it came to touch it again was March 30th 2026 when it was 5% away. Then massive rally happened. Today SOXX closed 8% above 200 DMA. Will it touch it or shoot back up. Let’s see

MyDMDThrowaway

Qqq goes down to 650 if this is a fake bottom Also at 100DMA which is insane considering SPY has barely budged Something is up. Seems like big money is selling vol to the tits to an unprecedented level

jasperCrow

Uhh Kospi trading under the 200 DMA. wtf is actually happening.

Sick0h

He saves the real ones for under the 200 DMA. Fucked until then.

InstructionOver5952

Right on! ORB, sub 1 & 10M, 200-DMA, 8/21 EMA [jkoth2@gmail.com](mailto:jkoth2@gmail.com)

ckami_91

Get ready for market implosion to the 200DMA

ThatOneRedditBro

SPY on the 1 month 60 min failed to tap the 200DMA. That was the indicator before the dot com crash.

ty072599

Honestly? There is no strategy. Pick black or red, choose a couple dollars OTM, and pray. This is gambling. I could try to make up some stuff about how I have a smaller list of companies that I monitor, leg into your positions, sell at 20-30% gains, don’t buy until 1-2 hours post market open, focus on companies that Trump talks about, find companies at their 200 DMA, etc. That’s also the same strategy that got me -$500K in the first place.

Sick0h

Pump, fuck with markets so they trade sideways and eventually dump, wait for 200 DMA to be crossed, reverse course. This will be our 3rd time folks.

drew-gen-x

The last time (March 2026) everyone was freaking out about the crude oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse, I just BTD on $VXUS, $VT, $GLD, and $EWJ when they hit support levels. The world will figure out how to solve this cluster f\*ck b/c there's too much money at stake and everyone will lose if a resolution to the crude oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse doesn't appear. Find what you want to own and then look at the charts. I will use $VXUS as an example b/c its my largest position and it's usually pretty boring. The 100 DMA is $82.51 so I bought 100 shares Friday morning when we came close to retesting that level. If we fall thru that support level then the next level of support is $79.56. I will buy another 100 shares if we retest that level. If that doesn't hold then the next level of support is the previous crude oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse low of $74.53 on March 31st. I will buy another 100 shares if we reach that price. There are no guarantees in life; and no one knows when a top or bottom will occur or if we start rallying. But the idea is to ALWAYS have a plan. You need a plan in case stocks rally. You also need a plan in case stocks crash. Good Luck.

cakestapler

Yesterday I saw someone do all this technical analysis on how some stock is a DOUBLE DEATH CROSS and it’s going to plummet once the 10DMA is about to cross the 50 or 200 or something, then he goes, “or it could bounce off it and go even higher” and I was just laughing to myself. “The stock is gonna go down… or it might go up.”

residual-nature

For reference you can look at pretty much any stock that had a huge run up during COVID. The drawdown created a \~1 year bear market across the market. Currently, leveraged trading is at all time highs. Derivatives (options) trading is also at all time highs. Big traders take big profits. There is some skepticism generally about capability, capacity and profits for many companies in the space. I'm watching for these stocks to move down to their 200 DMA and will be paying more attention to what happens at that point, which will be more waiting because depending on earnings, surprise news, etc. we don't know where any bottom is at this time. How low can this stuff really go? Way lower than you think.

ckami_91

Market just CRUSHED through the 50DMA Bull dead ☠️🐂

CD274

EU DMA antitrust order targetting search

Sick0h

Vibes. Volume picked up compared to prior days. Dropped below 50 DMA. Shit no one cares about can drop like a rock and nobody bothers to save it. Too much money to be lost letting put holders get repeated exponential gains.

IvoryTowerResident

thats a pass for me, below the neckline, losing 200 DMA, CDS blowing out, Open AI looks to be on shaky grounds

IvoryTowerResident

its at the 200DMA atm, now or never for the bounce

drew-gen-x

Never buy stocks under their 200 DMA let alone stocks trading below their 200 WMA. Every rally will be met with bagholders looking to sell & get out of their losing positions.

drew-gen-x

Everyone complains about wanting a dip to buy & then when it comes everyone claims the top is in. I have no idea what will happen but I was watching $SOXX, $MU and $DRAM bounce off their 50 DMA. Could they go lower? Yeah. But yesterday was the dip to buy if you believe.

Exciting-Serve-2676

Look at the 50,20,10 DMA. They’re all coiling at 740. We may be choppy for the next week or so right around this $740/$750 zone.