DMA
Destra Multi-Alternative Fund
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Lumen - networks as the next constraint and cyber fronteir
MRAM: shorts built at $13-16 and never covered. 17.8% of float, 1.8M shares of call notional overhead, price just broke $18.30.
Journaling and Analyzing stocks with a web app certainly makes things easier
Tracked 34 sub-10M float breakouts and broke them down by setup type — the most common trigger was also the weakest one
Missed selling these today with all the hopium. $AMZN
Apple locked 450 million EU users out of its biggest Siri update ever
I am beginning to believe that retail FOREX brokerages are scams. Even brokers that advertise NDD with STP are still using LPs to perform ad
Tech Leaders Are Setting Clear Decision Points
Feb-Mar Liquidity Issues & Preemptive Signal Monitoring
Feb-Mar Active Liquidity Crunch Monitoring Checklist
SP500...real bear starting or just another shakeout?
"Nifty broke the 200-DMA and then chose violence. Here’s the data."
S&P500 currently trading below it's 50 DMA. If it closes below 50 DMA what do expect for next week?
$CRCL Short Case: Primed for a 15-20% Drop by Halloween
Is the Street Desperately Trying to TIME the Most Powerful Golden Cross to happen for BlackBerry Stock?
Thanks for BYND, WSB! ~!$2700 gain on ~$700 account (repost, wrong flair and content previously posted)
$PCSA - Why we went down, why it is ok, and why you should stop panic selling.
AAPL - Playing the Long Game (Not Just the Hype)
Top 5 Deep-Dive Watchlist: Dates, Floats, And Cash-Flow Stories
SPANISH BROADCASTING SYSTEM (SBSAA) - EXTREMELY UNDERVALUED, STOCK WILL EXPLODE
$REI Ring Energy - Bullish Trend Just Confirmed
Post-ER Shakeout = Gift: Bullish Wedge, Mid-$5s Target + 21-DMA Cross Point Up
[TSLA $317.5C 1DTE] 48 Contracts +142% Yield. My setup and plan for next week.
48x TSLA $300C overnight YOLO — +142% …and I’m just getting started
Kiddie Pool Sized Float - Olympic Sized Potential
$SPHL Springview Holdings Bullish Setup🚀
$NCNA we have too little information about this stock?
$BIVI--Up on Big Volume- $DATS-- Filled the Gap-- $RCAT--Reversal Over 200 DMA Three Stocks Hitting the Scans
US calls EU fines on Apple and Meta 'economic extortion,' that will not be "tolerated"
Meta, Apple fined 700 million euros for violating EU antitrust rules
Looking Back to the Future: $DUOT, $SING and Newbie: $SKYX
$BA Boeing levels -- where the bones in my ancient tortoise shell say price may bounce to the moon
DD: Scary Fast to a Recession Next Year
Mid-Month Technical Analysis Review of SPY QQQ IWM
Why I believe Apple's stock buybacks are misallocation of resources.
Trade Journal & Technical Review of September + Look Ahead for October
Rivian (RIVN) Up Over 5% & Closes Above its 5, 21, 50 & 200-DMA!
Technical Analysis Snapshot so far of September 2023
Is DCAing better than waiting out using a simple rule?
Watch Deutsche Bank (DB) - today's factory orders sending a signal of more trouble to come
Reasons other than IV that cause a skew in ATM prices ?
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 14th, 2023
WOW, NVDA 2 weeks from their earnings at 420!Bespoke posted the below chart
Rivian kissed the 200 DMA yesterday and closed at some old resistance. If it closes above these lines today, looks like it's gonna climb.
Morning Briefing 🌞 June 16th 2023
$DTSS bullish break above the 50 DMA yesterday
Sometimes it really does feel personal.
$OLB, $MIGI, $WULF, $RIOT, $MARA--Rebounding if Bitcoin rebounds after selloff last week
$SOBR chart, reversal confirmed watch for break of 8 DMA today
$DFLI beautiful double bottom chart
MARA ($MARA) stock price prediction: MARA ready to break $10 threshold?
The Bullish VIX Reading That I Called Out A Couple Weeks Ago Is Signaling Buy Again!
The Bullish VIX Reading That I Called Out A Couple Weeks Ago Is Signaling Buy Again!
The Bullish VIX Reading That I Called Out A Couple Weeks Ago Is Signaling Buy Again!
Good morning 🌞 my fellow $LLAP 📡 🛰️ bulls. Just a friendly reminder 🚨 that there is HUGE 🧐 open interest in calls, and shorts 🩳 🔥 who got gapped up on are still under water and posting hate online. 20 DMA bounce and MAC D goes green today.
Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning March 6th, 2023
Disruptive search engine tech with a massive IP valuation in the $B's trading under 25 cents a share (BBLR) Looks like she could run!
BBLR I have a feeling this will be a big one. Looking at the chart and recent IP/Patent valuation I think you will feel the same way.
Latest from Charlie McElligott on Equities, CTAs, Volatility & Skew - FLOATING IN THE ETHER
Latest from Charlie McElligott on Equities, CTAs, Volatility & Skew - FLOATING IN THE ETHER
Latest from Charlie McElligott on Equities, CTAs, Volatility & Skew - FLOATING IN THE ETHER
Charlie McElligott's 2/21 Desk Note - FLOATING IN THE ETHER -> Thoughts on equities, CTAs, vol & skew
Nomura's Charlie McElligott 2/21 Desk Note -> FLOATING IN THE ETHER (Equities, CTAs, Vol & Skew)
Nomura's McElligott on Vol, Skew, CTAs & US Equities Levels -> 2/21/23 Desk Note
$QQQ 2-hour chart looks set for an open below the 13 SMA and the 8-DMA. We could be set for a fall toward $296.
Technical Analysis & Trades: SPY QQQ IWM // TSLA CHTR UNG AMGN
Technical Analysis & Trades: SPY QQQ IWM // LVS UNG PFG AXP WBD K KHC
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Do what makes you feel comfortable. Buy bonds. Invest the coupons in a dividend growth fund. We are at record highs with only about 40% of stocks above their 200 DMA with a declining OBV. While some stocks are strong, the market isn't. Don't count on a rate reduction to help the recovery. With the current debt issue, if the economy crashes, rates may need to increase to entice others to purchase our debt. It is extremely naive to assume the market will always go up. It was only a year ago in the real estate market that everyone was paying over asking price. How did that work out? The market will correct, when, who knows. The traders who acknowledge this adjust their trading as conditions change. Believe what you want about the future of the market. Just don't end up being the "bagholder".
MU is about to take off, its trying to get over the 1M 50 DMA right now
For the deleted comment - We run a parallel simulation apart from calculating the optimal size and send it through just to check if it actually get filled, that reduces the deviation you mentioned however run results haven’t been good cuz of the latency issues with brokers ,I use DMA for all the data
Very undervalued. If you have a long time horizon, keep accumulating near or under the 200 DMA! You’ll thank yourself in 10 years time or sooner.
Risky spot, bols. Vix about to bounce off 200DMA and resistence for SPY.
Yea $Goog is too overvalued right now.. wait for it to drop below its 200 DMA before going in.
CRDO is getting wrecked even after a beat. The guide wasn’t strong enough for the valuation. I’d watch $175–180 around the 200DMA as an interesting entry zone. September seasonality keeps me cautious, but the long-term thesis still looks strong.
I am using Adobe suite for 8 years now. Premiere, AE, LRC, Photoshop, Illustrator. Today I am using only Premiere and sometimes Lightroom. There is no reason for me to keep the full suite price anymore, there are way too many tools out there you can use in exchange, maybe not free use but as efficient as Adobe tools. Now for stock, investors just don't see validation in the company and you just need to look at the chart. Adobe is the pure poster child of the software crisis versus the AI. Even with the nice run from June of \~50%, share price currently at the December 2022 and April 2020 lows, and it's way far from 150-DMA. Adobe has to do something incredible to get investors attention back. P.S. Adobe creative just raised their subscription prices (at least for my subscription) this year for the first time in many years.
If the 20 DMA holds then it’s 215, there’s a gap fill to 213. Wouldn’t be surprised if we wick down and then close above 215.
Would love QQQ to fall below 200 DMA so I can load up on QLD
Buying Bitcoin below the 200 DMA was such a good play. It's the ultimately trade against the debasement of fiat money, as evidenced by the pump that occurred right after Bessent's "bond buyback" announcement. The USD is officially screwed.
QQQ going back to its 50 DMA folks.. and if doesnt hold that line.. expect a nose dive.
META now well and truly below 200 and 50 DMA
# 💡 Кто заплатит после IPO OpenAI и Anthropic? Исторические убытки от субсидирования доступа не будут погашены единовременным сбором, а перераспределены **каскадно через принудительную монетизацию уже сформированной зависимости**. Нагрузка ляжет на тех, чья стоимость отказа стала максимальной: |Стейкхолдер|Доля нагрузки|Как именно платит| |:-|:-|:-| |**Корпоративные клиенты (B2B)**|\~60–70%|Прямая наценка: рост тарифов за токены, оплата SLA/памяти/безопасности; vendor lock-in делает миграцию дороже обслуживания.| |**Партнёры / Стартапы / Интеграторы**|\~20–30%|Не деньгами напрямую, а возможностями: каннибализация успешных продуктов платформой, блокировки при попытке конкурировать, вынужденный рефакторинг под нативные API с повышенной маржой для платформы.| |**Публичные инвесторы**|0% прямых затрат, 10–15% риска волатильности|Принимают структурный риск: премия возможна только при доказанном устойчивом cash-flow без критического churn и регуляторных штрафов. При срыве стратегии — переоценка мультипликаторов.| |**Конечные потребители**|\~5–10% косвенно|Через цепочку операционных наценок в SaaS, финтехе, логистике и других сервисах, где AI стал core-процессом.| # ⚙️ Триггер монетизации После IPO фокус сместится с `burn-rate growth` на `cash-generative pricing`. Платформы активируют: 1. **Тарификацию по usage/memory/SLA** вместо flat-субсидий и бесплатных квот. 2. **Tiered access:** приоритет вычислений, ранних релизов моделей и техподдержки только для enterprise с долгосрочными контрактами. 3. **Барьеры миграции:** жёсткие лимиты API, сложности экспорта промптов/контекста, расширенная трактовка «конкуренции» в офертах (прецеденты блокировок ByteDance, Windsurf уже зафиксированы). # 🛡️ Что может изменить расклад Сценарий `power play` не является необратимым. Рынок ответит координированными контрмерами: * **Оркестрация и open-weight модели** (LiteLLM/vLLM + Llama, Mistral, Qwen) снизят switching costs до уровня инфраструктурных затрат. * **Bargaining-пулы enterprise-клиентов** вынудят переход к capacity-based pricing вместо usage-based rent extraction. * **Регуляторное давление** (FTC/EU DMA) может запретить дискриминацию через ToS и ввести стандарты portability данных. В этом сценарии финансовый груз частично вернётся к самим платформам в виде скидок, SLA-гарантий и операционных затрат на удержание клиентов. `Power play` превратится в `commodity race`. # ✅ Итог в одном предложении **Платят те, кто не диверсировал стек:** корпоративные клиенты — деньгами и архитектурной гибкостью через lock-in, партнёры — инновациями и долей рынка через каннибализацию, инвесторы — терпением к волатильности; стратегия перекладывает исторические убытки субсидирования на экосистему в момент, когда отказ от платформы становится экономически невыгодным, но рыночный отпор (open-source + оркестрация + регуляторика) способен вернуть счёт за монетизацию самим платформам.
Adobe only 1% away from 200 day moving average. Last time it closed above 200 DMA was December 2024.
are you talking about market orders here? i guess it wouldnt matter if youre sweeping the market for top layer of liquidity. i was thinking more of wheb you see where the order is from an exchange, you directly go there to take liquidity or if you see a lot of activity in an exchange, youd go add liquidity there to try to filled. personally, ive used schwab forever and dont think it is really an issue with speed but DMA is the next step.
Waiting for AAPL to ready 200 DMA
The pattern is real but I would be careful calling the source of those returns defensive. A Jan 27 200 strike doubling twice came from the underlying making roughly 27 percent moves levered by the option, not from anything defensive about WM. Low vol names like this are exactly where a LEAP is cheap in extrinsic, so the delta is doing almost all the work and there is little vega tailwind to help. That is fine on the way up, but it means the option tracks the stock close to one to one rather than getting the convexity kick a higher IV name would give you. The risk that is not being priced is the flip side of the thing you like. "Rarely below its 200DMA for more than 1 to 3 months" is a backward looking regularity, and single name regularities tend to break right after you size up on them. On a two year option the daily theta is small, so the real cost of being wrong is not decay, it is capital parked in a levered bet that grinds sideways under your strike while you wait for a rebound that used to be reliable. The thesis can work, just size it as the leveraged single name bet it is, not as a defensive sleeve that happens to pay like a lottery ticket.
SOXL hit that 200 DMA and said SKURT SKURT
They buy and hold until their indicators show that the trend is over. Easiest is when prices break below the 200 DMA. Then you could say the trend is down and then they’ll reweight to be less risky.
still think QQQ will test 100DMA again for real bounce back
Sell at open, both SPY and QQQ need to test 220DMA before truly bouncing back
Last time SOXX closed below 200 day moving average was May 30th 2025. Then it kept closing above it. The closest it came to touch it again was March 30th 2026 when it was 5% away. Then massive rally happened. Today SOXX closed 8% above 200 DMA. Will it touch it or shoot back up. Let’s see
Qqq goes down to 650 if this is a fake bottom Also at 100DMA which is insane considering SPY has barely budged Something is up. Seems like big money is selling vol to the tits to an unprecedented level
Uhh Kospi trading under the 200 DMA. wtf is actually happening.
He saves the real ones for under the 200 DMA. Fucked until then.
Right on! ORB, sub 1 & 10M, 200-DMA, 8/21 EMA [jkoth2@gmail.com](mailto:jkoth2@gmail.com)
Get ready for market implosion to the 200DMA
SPY on the 1 month 60 min failed to tap the 200DMA. That was the indicator before the dot com crash.
Honestly? There is no strategy. Pick black or red, choose a couple dollars OTM, and pray. This is gambling. I could try to make up some stuff about how I have a smaller list of companies that I monitor, leg into your positions, sell at 20-30% gains, don’t buy until 1-2 hours post market open, focus on companies that Trump talks about, find companies at their 200 DMA, etc. That’s also the same strategy that got me -$500K in the first place.
Pump, fuck with markets so they trade sideways and eventually dump, wait for 200 DMA to be crossed, reverse course. This will be our 3rd time folks.
The last time (March 2026) everyone was freaking out about the crude oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse, I just BTD on $VXUS, $VT, $GLD, and $EWJ when they hit support levels. The world will figure out how to solve this cluster f\*ck b/c there's too much money at stake and everyone will lose if a resolution to the crude oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse doesn't appear. Find what you want to own and then look at the charts. I will use $VXUS as an example b/c its my largest position and it's usually pretty boring. The 100 DMA is $82.51 so I bought 100 shares Friday morning when we came close to retesting that level. If we fall thru that support level then the next level of support is $79.56. I will buy another 100 shares if we retest that level. If that doesn't hold then the next level of support is the previous crude oil rig tanker zombie apocalypse low of $74.53 on March 31st. I will buy another 100 shares if we reach that price. There are no guarantees in life; and no one knows when a top or bottom will occur or if we start rallying. But the idea is to ALWAYS have a plan. You need a plan in case stocks rally. You also need a plan in case stocks crash. Good Luck.
Yesterday I saw someone do all this technical analysis on how some stock is a DOUBLE DEATH CROSS and it’s going to plummet once the 10DMA is about to cross the 50 or 200 or something, then he goes, “or it could bounce off it and go even higher” and I was just laughing to myself. “The stock is gonna go down… or it might go up.”
For reference you can look at pretty much any stock that had a huge run up during COVID. The drawdown created a \~1 year bear market across the market. Currently, leveraged trading is at all time highs. Derivatives (options) trading is also at all time highs. Big traders take big profits. There is some skepticism generally about capability, capacity and profits for many companies in the space. I'm watching for these stocks to move down to their 200 DMA and will be paying more attention to what happens at that point, which will be more waiting because depending on earnings, surprise news, etc. we don't know where any bottom is at this time. How low can this stuff really go? Way lower than you think.
Market just CRUSHED through the 50DMA Bull dead ☠️🐂
EU DMA antitrust order targetting search
Vibes. Volume picked up compared to prior days. Dropped below 50 DMA. Shit no one cares about can drop like a rock and nobody bothers to save it. Too much money to be lost letting put holders get repeated exponential gains.
thats a pass for me, below the neckline, losing 200 DMA, CDS blowing out, Open AI looks to be on shaky grounds
its at the 200DMA atm, now or never for the bounce
Never buy stocks under their 200 DMA let alone stocks trading below their 200 WMA. Every rally will be met with bagholders looking to sell & get out of their losing positions.
Everyone complains about wanting a dip to buy & then when it comes everyone claims the top is in. I have no idea what will happen but I was watching $SOXX, $MU and $DRAM bounce off their 50 DMA. Could they go lower? Yeah. But yesterday was the dip to buy if you believe.
Look at the 50,20,10 DMA. They’re all coiling at 740. We may be choppy for the next week or so right around this $740/$750 zone.
10DMA, 20DMA and 50DMA all coiling at $740. We will likely touch them again. Breaking through would be definite downside movement for a few weeks.
NVDA fighting for its life on the 50DMA. This hyperscaler manufacturing their own chips news might be the nail in the coffin.
You can't spell To the MOON without $FUBO... Whoops, yes you can. But $FUBO can go to the moon on this final break of its 50DMA... Premiums cheap = insane bags when she reaches escape velocity
I might be wrong; but I would rather BTD on stocks above their 50 DMA over BTD on stocks below their 200 DMA. I've made plenty of mistakes trying to time the bottom in stocks like Pfizer and At&T. I'm tired of trying to be a hero.
Look how we kept above the 50 DMA. Last year we didn’t close below it after the tariff rally started until October. New ATH inbound.
Microsoft’s strategy to blow past the 200DMA is to first lower the 200DMA by an extreme amounts A bold strategy, let’s see how it works out for them
I see Berkshire Hathaway is finally above it's 200 DMA. It looks like institutions are buying insurance over semis.
SPY hasn’t made a new ATH since June 2 & the 5 of the MAG7 have rolled over below their 50DMA.
Rule #2 - The 200 DMA is TicketMaster selling 1-way tickets to Hell. If you buy anything below that price have fun on your journey to your new destination.
All but RBRK are below there 200 DMA btw
They all are going down. Remind me when they cross 200 DMA. And better opportunity to buy
My Man-Strology technical analysis says closing Meta shorts before it breaks the 200DMA tomorrow would be in my best interest. But I’m too focused on FraudX to care
Look at 200 DMA for the win
The algos will 100% close out tomorrow right around the 20 DMA.
We really done went and hit the 50 DMA and then went 🚀
No, but I am open to the possibility that we retest the 200 DMA just like we did in March. The chart patterns look very similar on $VTI and $VXUS as they did around this same time in March.
Every insanely overvalued tech stock is crazy not to dilute now. This market is as retarded as it gets. That's what happens when you run 100% in a month, six sigma above the 200DMA.
The algos are set on the 50 DMA and they won’t stop until they give it a smooch
That's why I have been firing off my dry powder on $VT, $VXUS, and $GLD when they hit their 200 DMA. Gold just went below its 200 DMA this week so I BTD there. I trade more than I should but my core positions are the entire world stock market & gold with 6 months of emergency cash. Rome didn't fall due to a lack of money printing. It had more to do w/ not being able to feed its population with coins that no longer had any silver in them.
Against my better judgement of never buying anything under its 200 DMA I added some $PHYS (Gold). Gold futures are attempting to bounce off their 50 WMA and I don't think anyone on this reddit sub has mentioned buying Gold for awhile now. Let's see if the inverse reddit trend still works : )
It was pretty easy to find the bottom. When the doji was 45 degrees linear to the top of the 54th candle it always bounces unless the 221st DMA goes parallel to the opening.
Or you can wait around 50DMA at 355is. Remember after a big drop there should be price consolidation zone where the price should go choppy sideways for few days before people to feel confident enough to deploy their capital.
ya not pretty cant reclaim the 200 DMA
The hot cashier thesis is fundamentally unassailable, and I will not be taking questions. But actually, the options data backs you up on the Jan 2027 leg — long-term sentiment bullish (+3.5), PCR 0.63 showing heavy call buying, expected move ±$23.73 meaning $130 strikes are very much in play. Bouncing off 200DMA with 3% up today is a clean technical entry. The June $117 calls are the scary ones tho — 9 days, needs 4%+ move, short-term sentiment is actually bearish (-3.5) with PCR at 1.50. Max pain sits right at $113, which is exactly where you are now. Long thesis is solid. Short-dated calls are a gamble. Good luck! https://preview.redd.it/xkxdc15j245h1.png?width=2880&format=png&auto=webp&s=10ceec45f5bf553cda9e7f091f8eb211e6dd4715
We know the insiders are selling. GOOGL is even selling shares. Who is actually buying at these insane valuations? I get the debasement thing but seriously this shit is wacked. Parabolic moves with stocks 6-10 standard deviations above their 200DMA? wtf? Every hot tech stock immediately gets a 3X leverage ETF? I guess we'll know we're getting close when they all start announcing stock splits and the retarded people get their last gasp to get in. smh
S&P 500 & QQQ made new ATH’s today yet not one Mag 7 stock did. In fact, 5 of them closed below their 5, 10 & 20 DMA & 8 EMA.
You’ll be able to buy back in on the retest of the 200 DMA. It’ll pull back to it and bounce back to the upside.
Added to $SONY as it bounced off its 20 DMA. It looks like the market is selling its crude oil hedge & buying Gold as a hedge today. I will admit I was pretty damn nervous BTD in $PHYS Wednesday morning but when nothing in this market seems to make sense I like to BTD in Gold.
Investing is NOT done through apps or an app developer. It's done through a broker which is regulated by the jurisdiction where they provide their services. If you plan to use some random app - you ought to be aware of the risks. What country are you in? If you want access to the African markets and you are in the US - Ibkr is the only regulated retail US broker that I'm aware that provides access to the South African stock market. I don't know if any other US brokers provide DMA to any other African market. Countries that you mentioned - Ghana, Egypt, and Nigeria have capital controls in place. So I don't expect that you will find brokers outside of those countries to offer access. So - if you identify a company that you want to invest in - you may have to open an account in those countries or do some sort of private placement.
NXE looks like it may bounce on the 200 DMA at around $10.06. Left a comment as what a fantastic stock picks you have.
I'd say look at recent tech-y IPOs like Coreweave - that took 20 days to pick up, but it also coincided with the April 2025 liberation day crash, once 20DMA was in, it took off, absolutely parabolic and booked about 350% + in gains, then sold off. Given that Musk is acellerating it's addition to the Nasdaq funds in something like 15 days post IPO, that might be an even more immediate parabolic run-up. I'm not sure. But I think the really short runway plus the very thin public share float is going to do something...don't know what, but there's so much energy behind this IPO. Similarly, Cerebras, an AI-linked tech name that IPO'd in the last week, there was an immediate selloff from shareholders, went from $386 something to $270 something, and it's still looking for it's footing, 5 days post-IPO. Don't quote me on any of this, just making observations. All that to say, I have no idea.
The Customer Priority rule mentioned upthread is specifically an exchange level rule at ISE, CBOE, BOX and MIAX. It gives Priority Customer orders price and time priority at a given price level over Professional, Market Maker and Broker Dealer orders. It does not force any MM to take losing fills. The rule exists because exchanges want to subsidize retail flow to keep their PFOF and rebate ecosystems healthy. On the single lot priority observation, that is not a rule, it is auto quoter behavior. MM auto quoters typically do not pull or reprice on 1 lot prints because a single contract is unlikely to signal informed flow. A 5 lot print at the bid will trigger most auto quote logic to refresh, which is why your 5 lot order sits longer than your 1 lot. The threshold varies by underlying but for SPY and QQQ it usually sits around 3 to 5 contracts. If you actually want PC priority routing, you have to flag the order as Customer at a venue that respects it. Some retail brokers do this by default through SMART or IBKR routing, others route to PFOF wholesalers (Citadel, Virtu, Susquehanna) which gives you NBBO obligation but not actual exchange priority. The wholesaler will typically internalize and skip the exchange entirely if the order qualifies. Routing DMA to CBOE C2 with the Customer flag is the manual way to test whether your fills change at scale.
I still might add a small tax lot to $VXUS today, but I still have a lot of dry powder since I tend to be a bit too bearish for my own good so please take what I say with a grain of salt. Everyone needs a plan. I want to be clear b/c I know I trade too much w/ 10% of my port and I post those trades here. I am talking dry powder. I will only add more dry powder to my foundation of $VT, $VXUS, and $GLD once we hit fear or the 200 DMA.
I just have my list ready. I'm not smart enough to know what stocks to buy so I just watch the 200 DMA and pull the trigger on $VT, $VXUS, and $GLD when they are about to hit that level. I feel if it doesn't make you feel physically & mentally sick when buying, then there will be better opportunities to buy in the future.
Theta gonna eat and yeah, we're cruising pretty high above the 200 DMA....
Oh btw it's DMA you muppet. Don't look silly next time.
Not yet. You never wanna buy a dip (not even sure if this is one) while it's dipping. Find where it finds technical support on volume (my guess for MU is 10 or 20 DMA) and then buy the bounce back. Or else you will be continuously averaging down which is a no-no
History always repeats! A 30% pullback on a leading stock while the entire market corrects 5-10% is not new. We will see! Also 30% is a good pullback for me, but I wouldn't mind getting back in at 15-20% either. I think it will find support at the 10 DMA
whats the problem buying things near all time high? I cant even remember the last time SNDK traded under 10 DMA
Short answer - Yes. What you're doing is "reversion to mean" algo, but with leveraged. When things are "soft" in terms of DMA, you're swooping in, leveraged strongly. As long as you didn't sell, you didn't have to be right twice. So, this 'algo' will certainly outperform in a bull market, as every dip got a rebound. You can backtest this for 2020-2023 and let me know 😉
MU more than twice its 200 DMA. Only other time was 1995.
I bought $WEAT again as my hedge. $6/bu for wheat is about a 10% pullback from it's 2026 top and the Wheat fund bounced off its 50 DMA early today. I'm looking at what is up in my port and its all boomer stocks like Kraft Heinz, Conagra, Berkshire Hathaway & Gold. A higher DXY is gonna kill my World ex-US positions as well. I wouldn't be surprised if this market makes a sudden rotation into the boring boomer dividend stocks as well.
*SNDK is only $1000 higher than it's 200DMA. What are you doin?*
🌽 overbought and bounced off the 200DMA. Pump or dump, place your bets
SNDK could drop 40% and it'd still be above it's 50DMA
WDC sold its last shares at $545 and that was just in February. SNDK now 300% above it 200DMA. When SNDK starts its financial engineering and announces its stock split, That will be the beginning of the end.
Chart is interesting --building a base on near term support at 50 DMA. I have not checked for recent dilutive financings and warrant coverage.
I run every stock I evaluate through IBD ( Investors business daily). BULL has a relative strength of 18 ( out of 100) which means that 82% of stocks outperform this one. Stocks tend to make big moves when their RS is 85 or higher. At LEAST this is above its DMA's, but it's still pretty weak. On an A to F scale, I give it a C- .
There are tons of weak stocks to short. I wouldn't bet against TSLA. Especially with it trading above both its 50 and 200 DMA. Reminds me of guys shorting AAPL back in the day when I was trading 30 years ago.
It is a beautiful chart. It’s bouncing nicely along its 50DMA. https://preview.redd.it/dq0l1cogh5zg1.jpeg?width=482&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f9dceafc85ed06a0d044fa8e02cc44389c669edf
No one knows, but if you just wait & BTD on $VT, $SPY, or $VXUS every time they hit their 200 DMA over time you'll be ahead of 90% of the gamblers & DCA's bros in the world.
Yeah agree. Ill buy more on the first pullback to 10 DMA. It almost always respects that when on a run
I think the 200 DMA is a good general rule of thumb to think about trimming. At the same time, fund managers with yearly targets is a tough gig. Gotta be able to hold through multiple financial years
Software will be the next sector to go vertical clock it. IGV regained the 50 DMA for the fist time in 7 months, gapped up above it, then dropped back down on the retest and bounced HARD back above the 20 DMA. Textbook technical breakout, next stop > daily 200 at 101~. I bet we get there within two weeks or so.
Came across this on x/twitter >"SOX working on its 17th straight up day, an all-time record. It’s now 43% above its 200 DMA, the widest spread since June 2000. Of course into the March peak it got much more extreme at over 100% above its 200 DMA, but that was largely considered the biggest bubble in the modern era. Outside of that we are in extreme/unsustainable territory. 17-day rate-of-change over 42%. This is perhaps the wildest stat because it exceeds the move into the March 2000 peak. It is only exceeded by the move out of the Oct. ‘02 bottom, which came after an -80% bear market. So this is the biggest such move into a new high in the history of the semiconductor index."
Most likely. I doubled down on ODTEs. MAG7 are breaking down. SPY needs to drop below 200DMA in the next hour for a knife to happen.