MA

shitcanfly

You do know there's something completely fucked in crypto if you hit the 50MA in February

Best-Bodybuilder9015

No, 40000, 200d MA. Gotta hit that

iamthefalcon

Soon it will be much below that MA! Keep buying!

AutoModerator

Post is by: Zestyclose_Sort1883 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r0ab9w/watching_btc_break_through_every_ma_on_the_chart/ Ouch. Watching the chart right now is brutal. As of this post, we’re sitting around $64.8k down almost 9% in an hour. The thing that stings isn’t just the number it’s seeing it slice through the MA7, MA25, and even the MA99 like they’re not even there. That’s not a dip; that’s a full breakdown. We’ve all read the macro script: high rates, less easy money, and a “risk-off” mood. But seeing it live is different. The money has to go somewhere, and right now, it looks like it’s sprinting into gold and silver, not digital gold. The old-school shiny stuff is hitting new highs while we’re watching supports break. It’s the ultimate “narrative test,” and for now, the narrative is safety, not speculation. Is this just the final flush of leverage? A delayed reaction to all the post-FTX distrust and miner stress? Or are we officially in a new phase where even crypto natives are quietly swapping some bags for physical metal? So, what’s the read? \- Is this a liquidity crunch where everything gets sold, and BTC is just the most liquid crypto casualty? \- Are you using gold/silver as a hedge right now, or are you all-in on waiting for the crypto pivot? \- With the MA99 broken, what’s the next real support level everyone is watching? Not looking for hopium or doom just realistic takes from people who aren’t just staring at the chart, but actually trying to make sense of it. Disclaimer: This is observation and discussion, not financial advice. I am long pain and short sanity at the moment. Trade safe. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

ricandreoli

In 2022, Bitcoin lost the 100-week moving average, dropped \~30%, printed a technical relief rally… and then fell another \~55%. The real bottom only came about 150 days after the 100W MA breakdown. The current structure looks dangerously similar. A bounce is not a bottom. If the symmetry holds, the cycle low may form around July, in the $34k–$40k zone. From there, markets historically begin to reprice roughly 530 days before the halving, pointing to October–November.

Fit_Aide_1706

Have you guys ever heard of Charlie Munger’s strategy? Basically waiting for the 200 week moving average of an asset and then when it dips or approaches close to that average, you ape into it. Going by that strategy, BTC’s 200 week MA would be at 58k.

SmoothDegree9761

This is nothing wait until the 50 day MA drops below the 200

Kalaazam

I don’t have a crystal ball, I just look at the 200 week MA on the weekly chart and compare that to the last previous 3 cycles, 200 week MA is our next destination and a tad lower as per history

SwimOld5053

There is no crystal ball on actuals. But very likely this is not the lowest point. Very likely that the price goes below (or way below) 200W MA, which is currently modest 58K ish. When? We'll see. Within 1 month? Within 4 months? Maybe 6?

Romanizer

To be fair, we also moved much further away from the 200w MA every prior bull run. I don't know if we get the same bear market without a comparable bull run.

Kalaazam

We haven’t officially hit the 200 week MA, this must occur first before we can start considering the bottom is in, just like it has happened in every previous cycle

SsoundLeague

BTC typically retraces 50% of ATH, as well as the 200 day MA being around 58-59k range. Not surprising it ended up actually retesting that 200 MA support. I don't think we are done yet, also expected numerous relief rallies to 70-75k even 80k before eventually falling once again. I still stand by my rule of the cycle. Until we break that rule in October, that's my plan.

HGDuck

200 MA and below that as has been the trend these past cycles to go increasingly lower. See you in November.

Agent-Orang31

Bought at 450, i am chilled. Starting to DCA as soon as BTC falls below the 200 week MA like it always does.

Informal-Level-7924

Either that or the majority of downturn is already over, I mean we might slowly drop another 15-20% from the current prices over the course of 6 months but the supply in profit is at 50% , BTC price broke below mining cost, and below 200 MA, every single TA tells us we are NEARING bottom, doesn't mean it can't fall another 10% and stay there for months but, we are no way going through another 50% fall of course this is all just guessing with long term TA but Monthly and Weekly RSI is in oversold category which happened only once in the 2022 bear market and the COVID crash so I am stacking hard at these prices to lower my average from 97,500 to possibly low 80's.

Rare-Magician-5521

wow did we just touch 200W MA in february...?

shitcanfly

I don't think it's normal to front run the 50MA in February though? Tera Luna crash only happened in 2022 May

Longjumping-Row-6147

Same every cycle. Hopefully people stack up once that 50week MA and 200weekMA cross (which looks like its gonna happen way sooner than a full year drawdown at this rate). You are very correct, we know buying the blood is the best long term strategy, whether we have the guts and the balls and the intellect at the time to play that move correctly when it comes is a very different story.

CrunchyMage

It regularly goes below the 200 week MA [https://charts.bitbo.io/ma-200w/](https://charts.bitbo.io/ma-200w/) But anytime you're buying/holding at the 200 week MA feels good, and anytime you can buy well below the 200 week MA feels amazing. I would LOVE to be able to buy at 40k

SerenityCerulean

Lmao, this is not a meme coin slop. It broke 50 MA, 100 MA, rejected after relief rally, we are due for bear run. And this is what pricing in looks like.

TexasBoyz-713

We went below the 200wk MA last bear

Few-Being3764

I think 58k is a reasonable target as the 200W MA, but that assumes this cycle is like previous cycles, which it hasn't been in many other ways.

tombrady011235

RSI and MA are a lagging indicator, not a leading indicator. It doesn't tell you anything about what's going to happen, just what has already happened

AbsoIution

I'm happy to lower the average, I had to sell around the $60k price mark about 18 months ago and it paid for my wedding, and a move to a different country. Unfortunately I got back in a little high. Average buy is $93k this time around, last time the average buy was $30k Hopefully I can capitalize on these tasty dips but I just started an MA and paying installments for the next 5 months on this!

CrAZiBoUnCeR

I hope you’re right. I always see people talking about RSI and MA and it seems to never work out but I haven’t documented and paid attention enough to say for sure the success rate. I’m still above my average buy price but we are getting close lol

Informal-Level-7924

I am just guessing but the weekly RSI is extremely oversold, the fear is in the worst extreme fear and the supply of btc in profit is around 50% I doubt we would stay below the 200 MA long enough, almost always it bounces from 200 MA or dips below and then goes up, I don't think we would go much below 67 maybe to 62 and then upwards. I just know when BTC falls this fast and this sharp and there is this much fear it should also bounce back up rapidly when momentum is gained back again and fear is away

shitcanfly

Damn are we front running the 50 MA

BallinLikeimKD

The time to buy is in the bear market not at the market cycle top. I was buying heavy under $20k and up to $30k during the past bear market. I’ll be a buyer again around the 200W MA and below after I sold 75% at over $110k this past cycle.

Potential_Routine814

I mean 40k is definitely possible but 50k is good bottom also I'll probs start buying around 58k anyways, but the 100 MA in the monthly is 46k and that is definitely a target

Kalaazam

200 week MA is more realistic, 20k would need a black swan event id say

bullett007

Price will go to the 200w MA which is approx $58k, find it's floor, then it's up from there. Buy all the way down, and all the way back up and your future self will thank you for it.

shitcanfly

What if it does. Imagine being at the 50MA 8 months ahead of schedule

duboilburner

My chart says we're still well enough above the 200 week. I show closer to $58k for that. Still have a ways to go. The cycles aren't getting as large a % gain peak to peak, and the troughs now go below the 200 WMA rather than it indicating the bottom. We went pretty decently below the 200 WMA at the end of 2022. Part of the maturing of the asset, I suppose. The up swings aren't as wild as they used to be and we can draw down under the 200 week MA.

gtwooh

Depends. At least to 200 MA which is current at 59.2k

OpticallyMosache

100% We used to say this was "earning your wings" But to be fair, this dump is happening faster than anything I remember experiencing Doesn't seem like we ever retraced to the 200W MA this soon in the bear

Inevitable-Kooky

Honestly, the best thing you can do is looking charts, i've been studying this thing seriously since for about 6 months and here's how I see it: Right now I believe bitcoin is in a bear market, not because of emotions of people or news or whatever it's something much more simple than that: The average price movement of the last 50 day is going down, The average price movement of the last 100 days is going down The average price movement of the last 200 days is going down. On charts it is called 50-100 or 200 day MA. Usually when all averages say it going down, well it is probably going down. So short term I expect the price to go down, not because I have a crystal ball, but more because it is the trend. It is not as random as people think. And yes bitcoin as historically followed a cycle of 3 year up and 1 year down, and right now we're roughly at the 3rd month of the down trend. Is it guarantee to repeat? No it is an observation it is not the truth. And I don't base any of my decisions on this honestly. If you take cycle as absolute truth, you’ll eventually get wrecked the day it stop working. For me, the most reliable thing is watching moving averages, volume and some others confluence, if buyers comes back I will see it in the chart. same things for sellers.

Tradewell3845

Some article I just read was talking about which no catalysts it can go to 200 MA in the mid-fifties, I don’t want to get flamed for having the wrong number. 72 k seems pretty low However, there’s a lot of room below $72,000. I never thought it would hit $1000 back in the day. But somewhere I heard something that has always whispered to me, “someday Bitcoin will be a million dollars. “ When I tried to buy it (under $2) , ETree acted like they were saving me from myself by refusing to buy it for me. I should have tried harder then. Now man I just can’t at these prices, but I admire the courage of those who would buy one today for 72k.

viberama977

The sooner the better. 200MA needs to be tested multiple times before the low is in.

shitcanfly

Yeah imagine reaching the 50 MA in the next week. Then something is truly broken

Ravynmagi

Eventually. We are still early in the bear market. But with all the aggressive selling the last few weeks, I suspect we will get some relief bounce before 60k, maybe around $68k. But I think $60k very likely, that's currently just a little above the 200 week MA and that always gets hit in the bear market.

BigDeezerrr

i see the 200 weekly MA commonly cited as a likely bottom if it keeps breaking. That's around $60k rn. Nobody knows for sure, but that's my likely scenario for a "bottom falls out" drop (and when I'll be heavily buying)

starbucksloverisbae

Benjamin Cowan would agree that BTC has a date with destiny. Destiny being 200 week MA.

ImJustBME

I ride with Ben Cowen. He says its likely going to touch the 200 MA like it does every post peak year. Im buying a little weekly but if it drops in teh 50's hopefully 40's im making big purchases and never looking back.

Kalaazam

Have a look at the 200 week MA and that is most likely your best bet

Kalaazam

200 MA is our destination at some point this year

shitcanfly

Pretty sure it sits at the 50 MA for a year. You got until later 2027

Spolveratore

I sold simply because btc always goes to the 200W MA... and tops in Q4 of post halving year... which it apparently did. So I DCA out of btc in summer 2025 and q4... Planning to re enter close to the 200W MA

Wolverine1850

200 weekly MA is $58k. We are not breaking lower than $50k outside of an apocalypse

djdimsim

I've crossed the line of "oh maybe this is isn't a bear market.." to "hurry up and dump to the 200w MA so I can go all in!"

djs1980

Broken down 100W MA so it's highly likely we see the 200W in the next 12months. Good time to stay interested and DCA.

Romanizer

200w MA is already at $70k. Bitcoin being under the 200w MA usually means: sell everything you have, get as much of a loan you can and go all-in (no leverage).

whereismyface_ig

On our way to the 200 MA, little bull trap bounce after that, and then we go even lower than the 200 MA. Buying puts all the way down and switching to calls in or around October/Nov 2026

SwimOld5053

The 200W MA has been a reliable metric for bear lows so far. Currently it's sitting at 58K, which will obviously come slowly down a bit as the moving average moves donwards. A likely scenario is somewhere 55-58K for bear lows this year somewhere between summer and end of year. Just a note that last time the price did go way below 200W MA (to around 16K) while the MA was at 24K. Mostly driven by FTX event. But that's still 34% below the 200W MA. Something similar (crypto related or not) is definitely possible. If it were to happen again with the same figures, we would be looking at prices around 38K. Absolutely not given though, but nearing the 55-58K sounds more realistic/safe scenario if one wants to try time the bottom without missing it. Who knows though.

GhostEntropy

The 200 week MA is 57k. Many bitcoin bear markets have reached that level.

No-Surprise-9790

Weekly 200 MA is 57k

Smooth_Imagination

Moving very fast. On a saturday unusually high volume.  Looks like pure intentional manipulation.  I think its going to the 200 weekly MA at 69 to 70 but not straight away, its much too fast.  But I think at the 200, there will be a bounce as the MACD line looks like it might cross there assuming a few weeks. 

gtwooh

On the weekly: 69.3 is the 50% level, 200 MA is 58, Golden pocket is 52.1 to 55.8

hduynam99

riskₜ = 1 / (1 + exp(− (MDₜ + c) )) MDₜ = k ⋅ ((RSIₜ + RVIₜ)/200) ⋅ (ln(1 + Pₜ + ε) − ln(1 + MAₜ + ε)) MAₜ = rolling mean(Pₜ, ma_days) ε ≈ 10⁻⁶ here

xbriannova

Based on my analysis of Bitcoin prices, there is a rational argument for lower prices. For the lowest possible price, I use the 312 and 364 weeks moving average to estimate the value. Currently, those tools suggest a price of $42.4k to $48.2k, but that's assuming if prices crash immediately. Those values will keep increasing. If the MA trend continues constantly, it suggests a price of $52.2k to $59k. Of course, this is entirely theoretical. I might potentially ladder into Bitcoin as the price decreases to those level, just like how I laddered out of Bitcoin as its price surges towards $126k. And just like how I sold the rest of it close to those levels, I will buy a huge amount of BTC close to the bottom. There's more data, but I guess this is enough for now.

piggleii

200 W MA still a fair way away though.

beanbalance

>(BTW the weekly chart looks horrendous, check MA99) there it is, the MA99 (at least temporarily of course) broke in a dump just an hour later.

beanbalance

the problem is that BTC has failed at just about everything it was supposed to be and touted as. The store of value (that is why maxis have been pushing digital gold latelly: a safe haven in bad times) is just the last thing that is failing now (BTW the weekly chart looks horrendous, check MA99). again, what makes it a "digital gold" kind of store of value is that it performs in bad times. If we only go by the "but it pumped from 15 years ago!!!" then this is just the same like just about most shitcoin did. If we can equate BTC and let say DOGE (because BTC failed at everything else that it was suppose to be special) then BTC narrative is in a bad shape.

PatMu5tard

Weekly close below weekly 100MA 💀

_magician

Wait until it touches the 200MA

Revenantjuggernaut

What two indicators you speak of?! I definitely know how to utilize volume,MACD,vwap. It’s the MA numbers that confuse me to a point I mean obvisually it’s straightforward but like….

Revenantjuggernaut

Whats dialing the numbers in mean??! Cuz I know for different coins BTC example they use different MA numbers

Revenantjuggernaut

I’ve seen for BTC they use different like 50 MA

toqchista4

# I built my own trading bot in Python I’ve been experimenting with automated scalping bots that focus on adaptability rather than static indicator signals. Instead of relying on fixed EMA/MA crosses or RSI 30/70 thresholds, the system adjusts parameters dynamically in real time. For example, in trending markets, RSI boundaries shift upward, allowing the bot to follow momentum more naturally. In non‑trending conditions, it reverts to a more static state but remains ready to adapt. Another key element is diversification. I run multiple bots with different profiles - some aggressive, some conservative, some focused on shorts, others on longs. They operate across different timeframes (1m, 3m, 5m, 15m) and use varied risk allocations. The idea is similar to hedge‑fund style portfolio diversification: when one profile struggles, another balances it out. The architecture is written in Python, around 5k lines, with persistence handled via JSON so the bots can recall state after downtime. Risk management is built in: each bot only uses a small fraction of capital, gradually laddering positions and adjusting older entries mathematically to improve exit probability. I’ve had this system running for over a year, including during volatile periods, and it has remained resilient. What I find most interesting is how the adaptive RSI logic and multi‑bot diversification interact — sometimes one bot closes early, while another rides the trend longer, creating a natural hedge. [video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLmMfpnGuK0): [bot's files](https://www.mediafire.com/file/38azm0o5h36ydfq/Trading_bot_Bybit_API.rar/file)

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading at $589.50, showing short-term downside momentum as it remains below its MA-20 and MA-50 but above the long-term MA-200 support at $557.38. Mixed momentum signals and oversold conditions suggest potential for a rebound. BCH is expected to trade between $570 and $620 in the coming week, with a 75% probability of price increase if it holds above $570 support. Key resistance is at $616.45, and breaking this level could lead to further gains. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

ADHD-Developer

Not necessarily, if it doesnt get down there u can wait for price to cross 50W MA upwards (2 week confirmation) and get back on the bull bus

ADHD-Developer

Its not about 4yr cycle.. i don’t actually follow that, i just follow fair price value .. you know what a moving average is ? Its an average price, 200 W MA is a large data set of 200 weeks of price movement, ide rather buy the average on the longterm than buying the top on short term.. thats it really

ADHD-Developer

200 W MA .. price always goes down their even on big instruments like S&P , buying and holding at a higher price is a scam

MemeyOreos

honestly respect the discipline. everyone fomoing into random levels while youre waiting for the 100 day MA is the difference between trading and gambling. if it holds there SEI usually follows BTC structure pretty clean too

Arijan101

Where in your post did you specify you were shorting? You wrote that the 100 day MA($90.5k) is a good buying spot to place a buy order.

Enough_Angle_7839

Good approach. Focusing on real support levels instead of reacting to every dip is exactly the right mindset. The 100-day MA around $90.5k is a logical decision zone. Either price shows clear acceptance there, or the market confirms weakness and moves toward the next major level at the 100-week MA near $87.2k. Leverage definitely plays a role too — too many early longs often just delay a proper move. There’s a useful breakdown of how current liquidation positioning could affect these levels here: [https://btcusa.com/liquidation-map-signals-potential-short-squeeze-in-bitcoin-and-ethereum/]() Risk management first, always.

Either_Junket6500

I don't look for one specific thing. BTC doesn't hold on moving averages like more stable instruments do, it can look like it's broken them only to reverse. Wick rejections are a good indicator when they happen. I usually switch to a lower time frame, like the 1h and try to buy when that's showing support/resistance as well. For example, this short I opened, I watched it test the 100 day moving average, switched to 1 hour chart, all the short term MAs crossed below the 100, it went cleanly below the 100 hourly MA and I sold. My stop loss above the peak and target was 50 day moving average. I closed a bit at $92k and I've closed the rest now, it was pretty close to my target and I don't want to chart watch today 😅 I've got some price and movement notifications set that'll tell me when to look out for my next trade.

Sea-Environment-5938

Solid take. Too many people confuse a red candle with a "crash" and jump into leverage before price even finds real support. Watching the 100D MA and waiting for confirmation and setting a stop below is way more disciplined than trying to catch every dip. Curious what you’re using for confirmation volume, wick rejection, or a reclaim/close above the MA?

StopBitchinStartLivn

If the chart surfs the 10-20 I will not necessarily use it as a setup. I’ll use it as an indicator of longer term trends but I’m looking for further acceptance as well. I currently only trade US stocks that already have momentum, not necessarily speculative cryptocurrency. For my trades I’ll risk 1% portfolio (I may even decrease to 0.75% here) and base my position size on an appropriate support level / stop loss if there is one applicable. If trades are successful I trail my profit on a rising 10MA or 20MA if the stock is more volatile

Either_Junket6500

I'm currently shorting. *Queue gasps, mocking and warnings* 😂 The 50 and 100 daily moving averages have both moved below the 200 and the recent daily peak faltered at the 100 day moving average. I'm not saying it's going to crash, or keep going down, but I'll be watching closely if it gets to the 50MA. It's a high reward to risk ratio trade.

Glittering-Health889

Low percentage above the 200 day MA signals washout, not guaranteed upside, polymarket pricing usually reflects that alts are a conditional trade

ButtBooties

Remember bois, don't FOMO, stick to your plan. However, if you see BTC break above the 50 week MA \~102k, consider throwing your plan out the window.

Ok-Cardiologist2945

Still too high compare to 100MA and 200MA

SaltySn0w

It's over dude, if in any best case imaginable we could make some sort of double top. But propably not! Small pump into 100sh maybe and the market rolls over. We have Gaussian channels turning read on multiple time frames, we got a incredible bearish divergence in the RSI, we gut CMU turner red on the 2 Month, we got a 2 day death cross 200/50 MA, Stochastic RSI 1 Month is super low, 2 month turned sharply down. See you at the next bottom in a few month collecting Bitcoins

WEM-BenjaminGrahammy

You’re absolutely right: In a BTC bull (e.g., 150k/200k/1M+), fixed BTC principal could echo this—USD payments rise faster than house value, eroding equity monthly. Borrower “owes more” in dollars despite paying down, risking underwater scenarios (house worth $500k but payments hit $10k/mo). No one rationally sticks with that without hedging. It flips the crises (strong BTC appreciating vs. weak local fiat), but outcome could be similar: “financial suicide” for unhedged borrowers, plus higher default risk for lenders if collateral lags. But key differences/mitigations in this BDM setup: • 365-day MA smoothing: Lags rapid spikes (unlike instant CHF shocks), so payments rise gradually—time to hedge/refinance/exit. • 0% interest vs. usury: Total repaid is fixed BTC (no compounding doubles/triples like 7% fiat loans). Appreciation “replaces” interest, but only bites in bulls—and for BTC maxis, it’s a feature: borrow “cheap” early BTC, repay in inflated USD while holding BTC to hedge. • Borrower bet: Yes, it’s betting BTC stays stable/declines relative to house/income (or you hedge aggressively). Not for fiat-only folks; suits those viewing BTC as superior money. • Shared risk: Lender bears bear markets (payments drop), borrower bulls—but collateral (house) gives lender recovery option. It’s not mass-market safe—definitely riskier than stable fiat loans, and could worsen “burden” in hyper-bulls without caps/floors on MA adjustments or BTC collars. The anti-usury goal is ethical lending via BTC’s strength, but your point nails why it needs strong hedges/default protections to avoid crisis repeats.

WEM-BenjaminGrahammy

A lender could buy BTC, hold it, and get full appreciation with zero credit risk or hassle. That’s often the simplest play. But this Bitcoin-denominated mortgage (BDM) appeals to lenders who want to: • Deploy capital productively now (e.g., help someone buy a house today) instead of waiting. • Earn a return tied to BTC’s growth while providing real utility (liquidity to borrowers). • Use the house as collateral for protection—if default happens, foreclose and sell the property to recover value. • Avoid explicit interest (riba) for ethical/religious reasons, while still benefiting from BTC’s historical appreciation vs. USD (in bull/base scenarios, lenders see big USD profits from the fixed BTC principal repayments). It’s not risk-free (credit/default risk exists), but the collateral + MA smoothing make it more balanced than pure spot lending. Many prefer passive HODLing, but for those wanting to lend ethically without charging interest, this bridges the gap.

WEM-BenjaminGrahammy

Thanks for the solid critique—fair points all around. 1. Lender could just buy BTC instead?Totally valid—no credit risk if you HODL. But this setup lets the lender deploy capital now (fund a house purchase) while still capturing BTC appreciation through fixed BTC principal repayments. It’s productive lending vs. passive holding, with the house as real collateral for default protection. 2. Borrower defaults anyway?Default risk exists in every mortgage, but the 365-day MA smooths volatility so payments don’t spike wildly like spot BTC would. In bull runs, payments rise gradually (and borrowers can hedge with BTC). In bears, payments drop—burden shifts to lender. Still 0% added cost vs. traditional 6-7% mortgages that double/triple the principal over time. 3. Pricing borrowers out / favoring savers?The goal is flipping the script: BTC’s expected appreciation becomes the lender’s return without explicit interest/usury. Borrowers get true 0% cost access to capital; lenders get compensated by BTC’s growth (historically strong vs USD). In a pure BTC future, it’s just wallet-to-wallet with no riba at all. It’s not perfect—needs legal/tax work and risk modeling—but it’s a bridge idea to make lending halal/ethical (I’m not Muslim btw) while leveraging BTC’s properties. House collateral helps on credit risk. Does that shift the view at all, or still a non-starter for you?

ardus666

What's the current 200w MA?

-irx

There is no timeframe for you question, the markets are chaotic and unpredictable. But we will probably test the 21MA in the next 1-3 weeks. We also should see if the latest run up is impulsive or corrective. These only gives some more probability that we are in a bear market or not, Once we go below 75k then we can say with very high probability that it's the bear market.

MaMu_1701

Sorry. 50 week MA.

MaMu_1701

Not out of the woods yet. Hold your horses. Retest of 50MA rally very common in early bull. If we pass 50MA without major rejection however…

FastVideo9700

How do I find out 200 MA?

ADHD-Developer

Sell everything and buy back when btc is at 200 week MA. Simple and profitable

-irx

Bear market is not confirmed. If we can't climb above 21 weekly MA (which is around 100k currently) or if we go below april low (75k), then we can start talking about bear market.

Th3onib

Were technically still in a bull run, altho we are at the end of it, BTC has liquidity around 108k, so we might pump there n then that's it. The way you know when the next bull run is, go to BTC on monthly time frame, take your % ruler tool, and spread it from the top to -77% and the next run will be after we bottom around 40-30k. I suggest learning basic technical analysis, you do not need to spend any money, there is enough free info out there , learn about MA EMA SMA cross overs on big time frames then go back in time on the chart to see what happens when crosses happen. Good luck

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Chainlink (LINK) has broken its 21-day moving average for the first time since summer, signaling potential upward momentum for altcoins in the next 2-3 months. Analyst Michael van de Poppe highlights this as a positive development, with historical data suggesting similar MA breaks often precede 20-50% rallies in altcoins. However, sustained growth depends on Bitcoin stabilizing above key levels, as altcoin strength remains fragile without a Bitcoin breakout. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

Smooth_Imagination

Yeah it still happens all the way down to lower timeframes, the 50 and 200 MA and EMA levels are common ones that affect short term movements.  Liquiquidity sweeps will naturally mirror so you have both largely agreeing. 

Smooth_Imagination

If you pay attention to key moving averages on higher time frames you can see BTC is actually testing the 50 SMA.  It wasnt simply liquidity sweeping, price movements test price level hypotheses - in this recent periods case "is BTC worth the valie at a key MA?". It gets there and if the market says yes, it breaks and hold above flipping resistance to support, then it tests the next key level as determined by various methods used by significant numbers of traders. If the hypothesis "is BTC worth this much?"is rejected it retests recent lower support. Momentum may carry it below that, then the hypothesis is asked again, abd it will tend to revent back. Once it rejects a lower price the higher hypothesis will be retested. Momentum also plays a role in the shorter time frames.  Look at the 50 MA on the daily chart, everything is now clear. 

ardus666

It will hit the 200w MA in August and start rising after October 2026.

thecryptoguide13

The 200-week MA is the ultimate historical floor, but the current institutional bid depth has likely shifted that baseline much higher for this ccle

Kalaazam

Actually best time to buy would be when we go back to the 200 week moving average and or below, which is around $67K right now. Thats my signal to buy in not because its October 2026, we might be down at the 200 week MA by then maybe or maybe not