MA

Romanizer

Prior cycles had a majority of traders acting on feelings, which was always a big mistake. You don't hold Bitcoin because you are emotional about it. And if you want to talk about figures: Last tops were 5x-20x the 200w MA, the top in 2025 was only 2x that. If you want Bitcoin to drop 70%+, you first need it to grow to $250k+.

Romanizer

That's not what I said. I said we will leave these figures behind us at some point. Especially if we look at the 200w MA: [https://charts.bitbo.io/ma-200w/](https://charts.bitbo.io/ma-200w/) We are already very close to it and only dipped below on very extreme events (been here for all of them). Anything below $60k is where you sell everything you have and take out as much of loan as you can to go all-in. If you sell because of price decrease, you don't understand what you are holding. Now is time to accumulate.

Romanizer

Below the 200w MA is where you sell everything you have and take out a loan to buy as much as you can. That MA is currently sitting at roughly $60k. Last bear markets only briefly went below that mark. Only the most lucky people got in at 60k.

HonkHonkChen

Bearish local structure, off we go to 62 to test 200 week MA, we go lower lol

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Post is by: Ok-Tumbleweed-2416 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rofh2c/crypto/ DOGE sitting on MA99 support at 0.088 and nobody cares Everyone watches Bitcoin, but $DOGE has a textbook setup at the lower range. Price hugs MA99 near 0.088 with volume spiking on each dip. Entry zone: 0.0880-0.0895, stop at 0.0855, targets at 0.0920, 0.0950, 0.1000. Roughly 2:1 reward to risk on the first target alone. The catch is the bearish MA stack. Broader trend is down, so this only works as a long with a reversal candle closing above 0.0895. Without that confirmation, you fight the trend. Would you take this entry at MA99 support, or does the bearish structure just push DOGE lower? *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

crossdtherubicon

Bad point. There is a difference between prediction and statistical significance (your model) and certainty. Nothing is certain. However, in the occurence of a major event or black swan event, price often explores fair value gaps, prior liquidity zones, and areas of prior major support. These can generally be seen on price charts and are strengthened when in conjunction with volume metrics. Looking on weekly and monthly charts make those predictions a bit more simplified. There is no one prediction model. In reality, you create multiple possible scenarios, some competing and conflicting too, and let the data reveal which models are appearing to be more likely in play. Finally, your models need to align to what type of trading or investing you're doing. You don't need models of 4h charts if you're swing trading, for example. Different tools will be more or less relevant based upon what type of trading/investing you're doing. Is a 200 day MA relevant for day trading? Probably not much, for the majority of your trades.

Romanizer

50% from the last high and near the 200w MA is historically an extremely good entry.

loxotbf

That 61.8% Fib and the 50-day MA lining up was the perfect trap, really shows how much structure matters in BTC.

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Post is by: Citadel_Research and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rmib85/built_a_behavioral_firewall_for_btc_dca_the/ Most crypto interfaces are optimized for engagement. More clicks, more trades, more fees. I built the opposite. The Welford Protocol enforces behavioral guardrails: — Z-Score engine (200-day MA): when BTC is statistically expensive (Z > +1.0), the buy form locks. Hard. — Sacred Buffer (Taleb): a capital reserve checked before every order. If you're below it, nothing executes. — ADX Circuit Breaker: trending markets suppress the Z-Score signal entirely. — Pedagogy layer: before each buy, the terminal shows you the cognitive biases you're about to trigger. The result: a system that makes buying harder, not easier — exactly when markets make you want to FOMO in. Descriptive only. The model allocates. You decide. Drop a comment if you want the live demo link. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

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Post is by: Citadel_Research and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rmi23e/built_a_behavioral_firewall_for_btc_dca_the/ Most crypto interfaces are optimized for engagement. More clicks, more trades, more fees. I built the opposite. The Welford Protocol is a PDF framework + a Next.js terminal that enforces behavioral guardrails: — Z-Score engine (200-day MA): when BTC is statistically expensive (Z > +1.0), the buy form locks. Hard. — Sacred Buffer (Taleb): a capital reserve checked before every order. If you're below it, nothing executes. — ADX Circuit Breaker: trending markets suppress the Z-Score signal entirely. Mean reversion doesn't work in strong trends. — Pedagogy layer: before each buy, the terminal shows you the cognitive biases you're about to trigger. The result: a system that makes buying harder, not easier — exactly when markets make you want to FOMO in. Available as PDF + Terminal software: → [https://welfordresearch.gumroad.com/l/ghffqj](https://welfordresearch.gumroad.com/l/ghffqj) Descriptive only. The model allocates. You decide. # → Live terminal: [https://welford-terminal.vercel.app/](https://welford-terminal.vercel.app/) → PDF + Terminal software: [https://welfordresearch.gumroad.com/l/ghffqj](https://welfordresearch.gumroad.com/l/ghffqj) Descriptive only. The model allocates. You decide. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

Lee911123

which just shows you that the people who say they're in it "for the tech" dont even understand what the tech is. \*posts about crypto debit/credit cards\* \*looks further and its just V / MA\*

LionRivr

I also weekly DCA. I’ve been looking into doing a weighted DCA where my weekly DCA increases as price goes lower. So for example, my weekly DCA is $100 but: - If price drops down to 200-week MA, I’ll do $150. - If price drops down to the lower band if the Power Law Theory equation, I’ll do $200. - If price drops below both of those, I’ll do $250. So it’s a mix of DCA + a “buy the dip” factor.

0xZennite

The ETF flow reversal is the key signal here imo. Retail panic sells while institutions quietly accumulate — it's been the pattern at every major bottom this cycle. The $65-67K BTC zone lines up well with the 200-day MA acting as support, which historically has been a strong accumulation area in bull markets. I'd keep an eye on whether the ETF inflow trend holds for another week or two before getting too aggressive though.

Ok-Meaning-7061

not really broski . These are key levels. and historically BTC goes a bit below the 200W MA which is where we are right now at 68.2 which has been acting as support. but the fact we keep bouncing off of it if we keep hitting it support will get weaker and break down

Feisty_Ad_4372

100W MA is a poor indicator it’s the 200W MA for btc that it already hit 58k range.

Ok-Meaning-7061

Finally some common sense in the comments. Until we break this down trend people need to stop calling the bottom . I would say we need to reclaim 85K and reach the 100W MA

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Post is by: sunny8888 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1rjzzy3/fear_greed_at_extreme_fear_etf_flows_quietly/ The sentiment-to-flow divergence right now is one of the most interesting setups in this cycle. Fear & Greed is deep in Extreme Fear, but the institutional money is telling a different story. **Key data points:** * BTC spot ETF: flipped from $1.6B outflows to $787M inflows in one week * SOL spot ETFs: $1B+ cumulative inflows, with Fidelity and Morgan Stanley now in * CRO: 1,111% WoW spike in whale transactions >$100K * KITE: +11.2% last week while broader market was -0.7% **Technical levels I'm watching:** * **BTC ($65-67K):** 200-day MA trending up, 50-day SMA providing daily support. Accumulation zone. * **ETH (\~$2K):** 60% below ATH. Break above $3K opens path to $4,500-$6,200 per analyst consensus. * **SOL (\~$80):** Descending channel, but $75-85 support holding. $110 breakout is the confirmation level. Alpenglow upgrade this quarter. * **KITE (\~$0.26):** ATH of $0.30 set Feb 26. Mainnet Q1 2026. AI payment infrastructure narrative. * **CRO (\~$0.08):** Falling wedge, RSI near 35. Classic reversal setup with whale accumulation. Historically, the best risk/reward entries happen when sentiment is this fearful and institutional flows start quietly reversing. That's exactly what the data is showing right now. Full analysis: [https://www.cryptobull.org/hot-coins/hot-coins-2026](https://www.cryptobull.org/hot-coins/hot-coins-2026) *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

OkBuy4754

Laddered exits beat vibes. Mine: 20% at 180k fib, 30% DXY>105, trail rest on 50-day MA breach. Written plan netted $40k this cycle.

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Bitcoin has slipped below its weekly 200EMA, trading near $66,700, and is heading towards the 200-week moving average (200MA), a key level for long-term investors. The 200EMA reacts faster to price changes, while the 200MA is seen as a deeper value zone. The Fear and Greed Index shows 'Extreme Fear' at 11, following a selloff. Traders are watching if Bitcoin reclaims the 200EMA or moves closer to the 200MA, which currently sits at $58,400. Market sentiment, institutional activity, and macroeconomic factors remain critical for Bitcoin's next moves. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

Far_Significance8899

200 week MA 58k

Carrabs

Btc is pretty close to the 200 week MA, making it cheap even by 2026 standards.

Initial_PoetryWorlds

Do a bit more research, I advise, perhaps look up what RSI and 200 MA charts are and have a look at them on tradingview and understand the "why".

Mantis-Prawn

MA200 didn't go up as severely in previous cycles, so big chance that the down trend also isn't as severely.

Money_Software_1229

That's another perspective but MA200 might be quite lagging

CryptBeau

Every bull run has been overheated boss. Just because it didn't end in a blow off top is irrelevant. Peak to troff is what you want to measure, and that usually takes a year to find the bottom, but you do you. I will continue to use that capital elsewhere until we've found a true bottom. We haven't even hit the weekly 200MA yet lol

Rumbletastic

Historically and based on 200MA.. next week is false hope. But it'll get there eventually and surpass it by a wide margin. If you can afford to HODL, HODL

SerenityCerulean

Use MA for this strategy. Do between 100-150-200MA. And save rest of money in case we go under 200MA.

MyNi_Redux

Have you looked at the BTC chart with MAs drawn? This approach pretty much guarantees you'll round trip, wasting time and gains. Buy when the 20SMA crosses over the 50SMA to the upside, if you must use MA.

SerenityCerulean

I might get downvoted but I actually doubt we will. We didn’t get euphoria top, for that everyone thought we would. And you think we will get bottom if everyone would thought so again? We barely tapped 200 MA. That might be good enough and we continue to move on. I would love to be wrong because I have dry powder for that day to come. I already got 50% at 70k as I’m prepared for multiple outcomes.

SerenityCerulean

I do DCA in lump sum. For instance 10k, you can do 3k now, 3k at 200 MA. And keep rest for powder if we ever see super discount. Unlikely but it’s best for the strategy.

shitcanfly

You do know there's something completely fucked in crypto if you hit the 50MA in February

Best-Bodybuilder9015

No, 40000, 200d MA. Gotta hit that

iamthefalcon

Soon it will be much below that MA! Keep buying!

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Post is by: Zestyclose_Sort1883 and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1r0ab9w/watching_btc_break_through_every_ma_on_the_chart/ Ouch. Watching the chart right now is brutal. As of this post, we’re sitting around $64.8k down almost 9% in an hour. The thing that stings isn’t just the number it’s seeing it slice through the MA7, MA25, and even the MA99 like they’re not even there. That’s not a dip; that’s a full breakdown. We’ve all read the macro script: high rates, less easy money, and a “risk-off” mood. But seeing it live is different. The money has to go somewhere, and right now, it looks like it’s sprinting into gold and silver, not digital gold. The old-school shiny stuff is hitting new highs while we’re watching supports break. It’s the ultimate “narrative test,” and for now, the narrative is safety, not speculation. Is this just the final flush of leverage? A delayed reaction to all the post-FTX distrust and miner stress? Or are we officially in a new phase where even crypto natives are quietly swapping some bags for physical metal? So, what’s the read? \- Is this a liquidity crunch where everything gets sold, and BTC is just the most liquid crypto casualty? \- Are you using gold/silver as a hedge right now, or are you all-in on waiting for the crypto pivot? \- With the MA99 broken, what’s the next real support level everyone is watching? Not looking for hopium or doom just realistic takes from people who aren’t just staring at the chart, but actually trying to make sense of it. Disclaimer: This is observation and discussion, not financial advice. I am long pain and short sanity at the moment. Trade safe. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*

ricandreoli

In 2022, Bitcoin lost the 100-week moving average, dropped \~30%, printed a technical relief rally… and then fell another \~55%. The real bottom only came about 150 days after the 100W MA breakdown. The current structure looks dangerously similar. A bounce is not a bottom. If the symmetry holds, the cycle low may form around July, in the $34k–$40k zone. From there, markets historically begin to reprice roughly 530 days before the halving, pointing to October–November.

Fit_Aide_1706

Have you guys ever heard of Charlie Munger’s strategy? Basically waiting for the 200 week moving average of an asset and then when it dips or approaches close to that average, you ape into it. Going by that strategy, BTC’s 200 week MA would be at 58k.

SmoothDegree9761

This is nothing wait until the 50 day MA drops below the 200

Kalaazam

I don’t have a crystal ball, I just look at the 200 week MA on the weekly chart and compare that to the last previous 3 cycles, 200 week MA is our next destination and a tad lower as per history

SwimOld5053

There is no crystal ball on actuals. But very likely this is not the lowest point. Very likely that the price goes below (or way below) 200W MA, which is currently modest 58K ish. When? We'll see. Within 1 month? Within 4 months? Maybe 6?

Romanizer

To be fair, we also moved much further away from the 200w MA every prior bull run. I don't know if we get the same bear market without a comparable bull run.

Kalaazam

We haven’t officially hit the 200 week MA, this must occur first before we can start considering the bottom is in, just like it has happened in every previous cycle

SsoundLeague

BTC typically retraces 50% of ATH, as well as the 200 day MA being around 58-59k range. Not surprising it ended up actually retesting that 200 MA support. I don't think we are done yet, also expected numerous relief rallies to 70-75k even 80k before eventually falling once again. I still stand by my rule of the cycle. Until we break that rule in October, that's my plan.

HGDuck

200 MA and below that as has been the trend these past cycles to go increasingly lower. See you in November.

Agent-Orang31

Bought at 450, i am chilled. Starting to DCA as soon as BTC falls below the 200 week MA like it always does.

Informal-Level-7924

Either that or the majority of downturn is already over, I mean we might slowly drop another 15-20% from the current prices over the course of 6 months but the supply in profit is at 50% , BTC price broke below mining cost, and below 200 MA, every single TA tells us we are NEARING bottom, doesn't mean it can't fall another 10% and stay there for months but, we are no way going through another 50% fall of course this is all just guessing with long term TA but Monthly and Weekly RSI is in oversold category which happened only once in the 2022 bear market and the COVID crash so I am stacking hard at these prices to lower my average from 97,500 to possibly low 80's.

Rare-Magician-5521

wow did we just touch 200W MA in february...?

shitcanfly

I don't think it's normal to front run the 50MA in February though? Tera Luna crash only happened in 2022 May

Longjumping-Row-6147

Same every cycle. Hopefully people stack up once that 50week MA and 200weekMA cross (which looks like its gonna happen way sooner than a full year drawdown at this rate). You are very correct, we know buying the blood is the best long term strategy, whether we have the guts and the balls and the intellect at the time to play that move correctly when it comes is a very different story.

CrunchyMage

It regularly goes below the 200 week MA [https://charts.bitbo.io/ma-200w/](https://charts.bitbo.io/ma-200w/) But anytime you're buying/holding at the 200 week MA feels good, and anytime you can buy well below the 200 week MA feels amazing. I would LOVE to be able to buy at 40k

SerenityCerulean

Lmao, this is not a meme coin slop. It broke 50 MA, 100 MA, rejected after relief rally, we are due for bear run. And this is what pricing in looks like.

TexasBoyz-713

We went below the 200wk MA last bear

Few-Being3764

I think 58k is a reasonable target as the 200W MA, but that assumes this cycle is like previous cycles, which it hasn't been in many other ways.

tombrady011235

RSI and MA are a lagging indicator, not a leading indicator. It doesn't tell you anything about what's going to happen, just what has already happened

AbsoIution

I'm happy to lower the average, I had to sell around the $60k price mark about 18 months ago and it paid for my wedding, and a move to a different country. Unfortunately I got back in a little high. Average buy is $93k this time around, last time the average buy was $30k Hopefully I can capitalize on these tasty dips but I just started an MA and paying installments for the next 5 months on this!

CrAZiBoUnCeR

I hope you’re right. I always see people talking about RSI and MA and it seems to never work out but I haven’t documented and paid attention enough to say for sure the success rate. I’m still above my average buy price but we are getting close lol

Informal-Level-7924

I am just guessing but the weekly RSI is extremely oversold, the fear is in the worst extreme fear and the supply of btc in profit is around 50% I doubt we would stay below the 200 MA long enough, almost always it bounces from 200 MA or dips below and then goes up, I don't think we would go much below 67 maybe to 62 and then upwards. I just know when BTC falls this fast and this sharp and there is this much fear it should also bounce back up rapidly when momentum is gained back again and fear is away

shitcanfly

Damn are we front running the 50 MA

BallinLikeimKD

The time to buy is in the bear market not at the market cycle top. I was buying heavy under $20k and up to $30k during the past bear market. I’ll be a buyer again around the 200W MA and below after I sold 75% at over $110k this past cycle.

Potential_Routine814

I mean 40k is definitely possible but 50k is good bottom also I'll probs start buying around 58k anyways, but the 100 MA in the monthly is 46k and that is definitely a target

Kalaazam

200 week MA is more realistic, 20k would need a black swan event id say

bullett007

Price will go to the 200w MA which is approx $58k, find it's floor, then it's up from there. Buy all the way down, and all the way back up and your future self will thank you for it.

shitcanfly

What if it does. Imagine being at the 50MA 8 months ahead of schedule

duboilburner

My chart says we're still well enough above the 200 week. I show closer to $58k for that. Still have a ways to go. The cycles aren't getting as large a % gain peak to peak, and the troughs now go below the 200 WMA rather than it indicating the bottom. We went pretty decently below the 200 WMA at the end of 2022. Part of the maturing of the asset, I suppose. The up swings aren't as wild as they used to be and we can draw down under the 200 week MA.

gtwooh

Depends. At least to 200 MA which is current at 59.2k

OpticallyMosache

100% We used to say this was "earning your wings" But to be fair, this dump is happening faster than anything I remember experiencing Doesn't seem like we ever retraced to the 200W MA this soon in the bear

Inevitable-Kooky

Honestly, the best thing you can do is looking charts, i've been studying this thing seriously since for about 6 months and here's how I see it: Right now I believe bitcoin is in a bear market, not because of emotions of people or news or whatever it's something much more simple than that: The average price movement of the last 50 day is going down, The average price movement of the last 100 days is going down The average price movement of the last 200 days is going down. On charts it is called 50-100 or 200 day MA. Usually when all averages say it going down, well it is probably going down. So short term I expect the price to go down, not because I have a crystal ball, but more because it is the trend. It is not as random as people think. And yes bitcoin as historically followed a cycle of 3 year up and 1 year down, and right now we're roughly at the 3rd month of the down trend. Is it guarantee to repeat? No it is an observation it is not the truth. And I don't base any of my decisions on this honestly. If you take cycle as absolute truth, you’ll eventually get wrecked the day it stop working. For me, the most reliable thing is watching moving averages, volume and some others confluence, if buyers comes back I will see it in the chart. same things for sellers.

Tradewell3845

Some article I just read was talking about which no catalysts it can go to 200 MA in the mid-fifties, I don’t want to get flamed for having the wrong number. 72 k seems pretty low However, there’s a lot of room below $72,000. I never thought it would hit $1000 back in the day. But somewhere I heard something that has always whispered to me, “someday Bitcoin will be a million dollars. “ When I tried to buy it (under $2) , ETree acted like they were saving me from myself by refusing to buy it for me. I should have tried harder then. Now man I just can’t at these prices, but I admire the courage of those who would buy one today for 72k.

viberama977

The sooner the better. 200MA needs to be tested multiple times before the low is in.

shitcanfly

Yeah imagine reaching the 50 MA in the next week. Then something is truly broken

Ravynmagi

Eventually. We are still early in the bear market. But with all the aggressive selling the last few weeks, I suspect we will get some relief bounce before 60k, maybe around $68k. But I think $60k very likely, that's currently just a little above the 200 week MA and that always gets hit in the bear market.

BigDeezerrr

i see the 200 weekly MA commonly cited as a likely bottom if it keeps breaking. That's around $60k rn. Nobody knows for sure, but that's my likely scenario for a "bottom falls out" drop (and when I'll be heavily buying)

starbucksloverisbae

Benjamin Cowan would agree that BTC has a date with destiny. Destiny being 200 week MA.

ImJustBME

I ride with Ben Cowen. He says its likely going to touch the 200 MA like it does every post peak year. Im buying a little weekly but if it drops in teh 50's hopefully 40's im making big purchases and never looking back.

Kalaazam

Have a look at the 200 week MA and that is most likely your best bet

Kalaazam

200 MA is our destination at some point this year

shitcanfly

Pretty sure it sits at the 50 MA for a year. You got until later 2027

Spolveratore

I sold simply because btc always goes to the 200W MA... and tops in Q4 of post halving year... which it apparently did. So I DCA out of btc in summer 2025 and q4... Planning to re enter close to the 200W MA

Wolverine1850

200 weekly MA is $58k. We are not breaking lower than $50k outside of an apocalypse

djdimsim

I've crossed the line of "oh maybe this is isn't a bear market.." to "hurry up and dump to the 200w MA so I can go all in!"

djs1980

Broken down 100W MA so it's highly likely we see the 200W in the next 12months. Good time to stay interested and DCA.

Romanizer

200w MA is already at $70k. Bitcoin being under the 200w MA usually means: sell everything you have, get as much of a loan you can and go all-in (no leverage).

whereismyface_ig

On our way to the 200 MA, little bull trap bounce after that, and then we go even lower than the 200 MA. Buying puts all the way down and switching to calls in or around October/Nov 2026

SwimOld5053

The 200W MA has been a reliable metric for bear lows so far. Currently it's sitting at 58K, which will obviously come slowly down a bit as the moving average moves donwards. A likely scenario is somewhere 55-58K for bear lows this year somewhere between summer and end of year. Just a note that last time the price did go way below 200W MA (to around 16K) while the MA was at 24K. Mostly driven by FTX event. But that's still 34% below the 200W MA. Something similar (crypto related or not) is definitely possible. If it were to happen again with the same figures, we would be looking at prices around 38K. Absolutely not given though, but nearing the 55-58K sounds more realistic/safe scenario if one wants to try time the bottom without missing it. Who knows though.

GhostEntropy

The 200 week MA is 57k. Many bitcoin bear markets have reached that level.

No-Surprise-9790

Weekly 200 MA is 57k

Smooth_Imagination

Moving very fast. On a saturday unusually high volume.  Looks like pure intentional manipulation.  I think its going to the 200 weekly MA at 69 to 70 but not straight away, its much too fast.  But I think at the 200, there will be a bounce as the MACD line looks like it might cross there assuming a few weeks. 

gtwooh

On the weekly: 69.3 is the 50% level, 200 MA is 58, Golden pocket is 52.1 to 55.8

hduynam99

riskₜ = 1 / (1 + exp(− (MDₜ + c) )) MDₜ = k ⋅ ((RSIₜ + RVIₜ)/200) ⋅ (ln(1 + Pₜ + ε) − ln(1 + MAₜ + ε)) MAₜ = rolling mean(Pₜ, ma_days) ε ≈ 10⁻⁶ here

xbriannova

Based on my analysis of Bitcoin prices, there is a rational argument for lower prices. For the lowest possible price, I use the 312 and 364 weeks moving average to estimate the value. Currently, those tools suggest a price of $42.4k to $48.2k, but that's assuming if prices crash immediately. Those values will keep increasing. If the MA trend continues constantly, it suggests a price of $52.2k to $59k. Of course, this is entirely theoretical. I might potentially ladder into Bitcoin as the price decreases to those level, just like how I laddered out of Bitcoin as its price surges towards $126k. And just like how I sold the rest of it close to those levels, I will buy a huge amount of BTC close to the bottom. There's more data, but I guess this is enough for now.

piggleii

200 W MA still a fair way away though.

beanbalance

>(BTW the weekly chart looks horrendous, check MA99) there it is, the MA99 (at least temporarily of course) broke in a dump just an hour later.

beanbalance

the problem is that BTC has failed at just about everything it was supposed to be and touted as. The store of value (that is why maxis have been pushing digital gold latelly: a safe haven in bad times) is just the last thing that is failing now (BTW the weekly chart looks horrendous, check MA99). again, what makes it a "digital gold" kind of store of value is that it performs in bad times. If we only go by the "but it pumped from 15 years ago!!!" then this is just the same like just about most shitcoin did. If we can equate BTC and let say DOGE (because BTC failed at everything else that it was suppose to be special) then BTC narrative is in a bad shape.

PatMu5tard

Weekly close below weekly 100MA 💀

_magician

Wait until it touches the 200MA

Revenantjuggernaut

What two indicators you speak of?! I definitely know how to utilize volume,MACD,vwap. It’s the MA numbers that confuse me to a point I mean obvisually it’s straightforward but like….

Revenantjuggernaut

Whats dialing the numbers in mean??! Cuz I know for different coins BTC example they use different MA numbers

Revenantjuggernaut

I’ve seen for BTC they use different like 50 MA

toqchista4

# I built my own trading bot in Python I’ve been experimenting with automated scalping bots that focus on adaptability rather than static indicator signals. Instead of relying on fixed EMA/MA crosses or RSI 30/70 thresholds, the system adjusts parameters dynamically in real time. For example, in trending markets, RSI boundaries shift upward, allowing the bot to follow momentum more naturally. In non‑trending conditions, it reverts to a more static state but remains ready to adapt. Another key element is diversification. I run multiple bots with different profiles - some aggressive, some conservative, some focused on shorts, others on longs. They operate across different timeframes (1m, 3m, 5m, 15m) and use varied risk allocations. The idea is similar to hedge‑fund style portfolio diversification: when one profile struggles, another balances it out. The architecture is written in Python, around 5k lines, with persistence handled via JSON so the bots can recall state after downtime. Risk management is built in: each bot only uses a small fraction of capital, gradually laddering positions and adjusting older entries mathematically to improve exit probability. I’ve had this system running for over a year, including during volatile periods, and it has remained resilient. What I find most interesting is how the adaptive RSI logic and multi‑bot diversification interact — sometimes one bot closes early, while another rides the trend longer, creating a natural hedge. [video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLmMfpnGuK0): [bot's files](https://www.mediafire.com/file/38azm0o5h36ydfq/Trading_bot_Bybit_API.rar/file)

coinfeeds-bot

tldr; Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is trading at $589.50, showing short-term downside momentum as it remains below its MA-20 and MA-50 but above the long-term MA-200 support at $557.38. Mixed momentum signals and oversold conditions suggest potential for a rebound. BCH is expected to trade between $570 and $620 in the coming week, with a 75% probability of price increase if it holds above $570 support. Key resistance is at $616.45, and breaking this level could lead to further gains. *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

ADHD-Developer

Not necessarily, if it doesnt get down there u can wait for price to cross 50W MA upwards (2 week confirmation) and get back on the bull bus