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A payment system is the next major evolution in DeFi, and how Web 3.0 will help us get there
Beating bear market by using an AI driven hedgefund
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Thanks for the reminder... I need to get my 🌽Off the exchange. I normally move to a hot wallet when I have more than I care to lose $500 or so. Then I will consolidate utxo's at about 2mil Sats into a cold wallet. BTW, if you sell your bitcoin, then buy back on another exchange you have a wash sale, and there are currently no wash rules with crypto like with equities. So if you can lock in any losses since btc is way down. This might be a good thing for you.
I hope 40k, but I think most likely 50531, my buy order BTW😂
BTW i contendo you two things: \>Bitcoin failed to be a payment option. It’s expensive, slow volatile and yet complicated. Not really, Bitcoin lighting its an excellent payment system, super cheap, privacy-preserving and fast, the tools to implement as payment system are opensource and widely available and less complicated to implement than using a CC payment gateway. \>Bitcoin failed as a store value. It’s too volatile. Gold and silver moved, BTC is down. Yes and No, It failed as at this stage it had become a trader's hostage, it derives into volatility, it decoupled to Silver and Gold because its HODLers not sparse enough, a big number of HODLers where at IT/Software industry, they are facing an deep liquidity crisis triggered by (guess who)? AI craze, not just AI is rendering obsolete number of Software related business models, but also is sucking huge loads of liquidity as a money-market blackhole, all that money has to come from any source, even if it means selling your loved bitcoins.
A little later I'll outline what I do. I wouldn't call these 'recommendations' because there is such a wide range of really good practices. I was getting a tumor the size of an XL egg sucked out of my brain when FTX went under. I was philosophical that my losses were part of the operation expense. But it would have sucked to come back to reality only to find that all my crypto was gone. (BTW. Don't trust people that say your only backup of wallet seeds should be memorization. When I woke up I had **no idea** what any of my passwords were.)
Restore your backup in a good wallet that is in a secure environment. I.e. whatever you trusted your bitcoin core to run on, you can similarly trust to run electrum or sparrow wallet too. Use that without waiting for full sync. If you don't have a mnemonic backup, use dumpwallet in console in bitcoin core (I think that still works) to export the keys and import them into into another wallet. Mind that change addresses and how they won't be backed up if the imported keys file isn't saved. Best option is to create a new wallet in sparrow, make your mnemonic backup. Then send everything from old wallet to new. BTW yes, if you spent coins from your addresses with some contorted "offline" method, that send will show up when using any other wallet. There is only one blockchain, and all wallets only look up your addresses from it, not tracking their own things. You do need all keys, one for each address in the wallet. If your send created a change address and you did not save the key for it, that's gone.
I just bookmarked this post, my goal is to post everyone's guesses in the future, because no one ever does unless they are correct BTW, I think of all the one's I've bookmarked, yours is more reasonable
BTW - this is exactly what I expected but was hoping you had some interesting approach. Unfortuantely I was right.
It is exactly my mindset change. Started to DCA in mid 2024, I remember back then the price was about $58k, I was - 1. checking the price constantly. 2. selling at $67k. 3. mood went down when the price drops to $53k. Then I started to get my mind under control and kept DCAing. Fast forward to today, almost 2 years later - 1. I have a decent bitcoin portfolio, definitely invested more than if it was just a few bets on bitcoin. 2. even with the weak bitcoin performance in the past few months (many even think it's bear market now), am still well above the water, indicating the power of DCA and HODL. 3. During the process, I've learned how to ignore FUD and all the noise. I've been listening to some imo good sources that help me keep faith in BTC and my DCA strategy. And recently, I noticed that I even started to ignore these positive sources too... it's like am in monk mode, all the up and downs, good and bad, am watching, observing, experiencing, with calmness. 4. Maybe I will sell a little at some point but am sure I will DCA more. My portfolio consists of BTC, gold, S&P 500 and cash, and I consider this portfolio to be my retirement fund and even pass to my kid so I am in absolutely no rush. BTW, recently I've been thinking about buying an ETF that consists of top tier non-US equities. Any recommendation?
Yeah, that last cycle was trash for sure but alot went into that. For instance, the crypto president was horrid for the sector, doing all those tariffs cleaned this market out like crazy. I think we need someone that doesn’t care about crypto or even looks to put a lot of restrictions on it. Seems like it does better under pressure, then it ever did with the government’s approving of everything involvement. So, once it’s all passed and a democrat gets back in, then it will likely see better days. Like remember how bidens admin hated crypto but its performance was way better under him. Even with trump the first time he didn’t care for it at all in 2017 and yet it had its greatest run ever. Also 13 was really good under Obama and he didn’t do much of anything to it or for it. So, I do think that plays a factor, since if the democrats push to have strict regulation again, then it can clean up the sector some. Maybe it could even get some of wall street to step out of it again, which could be good as they seem to be bad for it aswell. BTW with those projects unfortunately most of them never do all that well from cycle to cycle. I do think they are good enough to have done better in a better climate which hopefully we will see soon enough whenever that is
I think it is unfair to say that the free baseline is gone. It is now just 1800 free income. in general that means that the government is pushing for people to first save into saver assets and only then do risky stock stuff. I don't agree with how the government is doing this BTW, but to say that we did not have an unrealized asset gain tax before this is wrong. If we want more positive changes to taxing (like box 2 shenanigans being removed and scales in box3) we should probably be voting more left/centrist as a country since everyone from the VVD and parties more right wing than that don't want to fix that.
What did I just read? You brought in the fall and are already done? That is not even 6 months. You never read once anywhere before buying you need to be in for at least four years? Never? What you did was not invest but speculate or gamble. Regardless, you can sell it anytime for the CURRENT PRICE but I would not suggest buy high and sell low. No you can't sell it back for what you paid for it. WTF? BTW Anyone who said there is no dumb questions lied to you. You should not be "investing" in Bitcoin or anything else for that matter since you seem to lack basic knowledge about investing.
BTW... this is a very different asset! It's volatile. Manupalated.... So "people who dont know how to invest" is not that appropriate here. We are here to help each other...
And you are NOT the only one who feels this way now....LITERALLY EVERYONE WHO HAS REASONABLE INTELLIGENCE FEELS THIS EXACT WAY AND IS LITERALLY DUMPING THIS "CURRENCY OF THE PEOPLE" BITCOIN AS WE SPEAK.... DECENTRALIZED MY AZZ.....AND BTW DAN PENA WAS RIGHT WHEN HE SAID WE RUN FAR AWAY FROM BITCOIN ONCE THE TRUTH ABOUT ITS CREATION CAME OUT.... Sorry CryptoBros....its now BYEBYEBTC and thats coming from the NORMIES now...
Pure hopium. Bitcoin crashed, not dipped, because the market simply isn't interested now. Let's stop trying to find excuses, it's a bit pathetic. I'm a Bitcoin maxi, BTW, and I don't need to be convinced about BTC's value.
BTW watch the Bannon interview, he doesn't say it, but he had to have knowledge of the development of BTC and the goals he was trying to accomplish in finance, BTC was the answer.
Huh? But why bask in other people's misfortune? BTW, I bought in 2017 what I was able to lose. And I'm doing very well. But that's besides the point. Why be so aggressive towards people that invest in whatever they want?
I, for one, think that is a thorough and solid analysis. Bravo. BTW, most of my "crypto friends" are Democrats. Most of my idiot investor friends who have no Bitcoin are Republicans.
And BTW don't invest in crypto before the most basic fundamentals.
Look guys u guys have been buying BTC when it's price was low. So u guys don't care about the 50 or 80% crash. But i am a new investor. I am not here to pass BTC to my kids I am here to take 50-60℅ profits. BTW u guys really think BTC will hit 50 million 1 day. First let BTC hit 10 million. Then we can talk.2 days ago People were saying its going to 40k😂 this year.
BTW every major crypto has been getting smoked, so it’s not just a Bitty story.
You don't believe in Bitcoin if chasing some number for price. BTW what was wrong with the answers in the couple dozen posts with the same question in the last couple of weeks?
BTW, the lnbits man was Ben Arc (IIRC) on nostr. Not been on nostr recently, but if he's still there you might be able to chat to him.
BTW it's Michael Saylor's birthday. He wrote on his X account: "If you want to get me a birthday gift, buy some bitcoin for yourself." Did you buy? I did at 72k. Next purchase: 71k if it gets there.
I beg to disagree about the BTC performance bcz from $15k approx in mid 2023 to $125k in mid 2025 it has given returns like no other asset. During the last bull cycle everyone was expecting the ATH of max $90k but BTC surpassed the expectations. I don't know what was stopping you from taking profits at $125k zone. I would have withdrawn profits and cleared all my loans when BTC was made the ATH. BTW $35k average buy per BTC is impressive. Please take profits at the highest or else too much greed kills the profits. Good Luck 👍
Hows your daily rewards BTW? Did you restake it?
Diamond hands don't come cheap. learn, don't bet over your head, and in 4 years sit back and grin! OH YOU HAVE TO HOLD TO HOLD BTW!
50% of your fiat gains ? It seems you are misunderstanding how much is is you will have to pay ? If you buy 100 USD, bitcoin goes up, you sell at 125 USD, you will have 25$ worth of "gains", yet you will lose 25 % of your bitcoins, if it drops back to 100 USD you can rebuy the same amount of bitcoins and repeat? Where did you calculate that you need to wait that it drops 50%?, BTW in this scenario you are paying 12,5$ worth of tax
Well, it’s below $80K now. Don’t get greedy and use leverage. Now you know and have to live with the consequences. I’m afraid bitcoin will continue downward this year. If anyone thinks it’s a good idea to jump in to buy the dip, go ahead. I think there will be much better deals towards the end of the year. BTW, happy stacking 🤗.
>(BTW the weekly chart looks horrendous, check MA99) there it is, the MA99 (at least temporarily of course) broke in a dump just an hour later.
the problem is that BTC has failed at just about everything it was supposed to be and touted as. The store of value (that is why maxis have been pushing digital gold latelly: a safe haven in bad times) is just the last thing that is failing now (BTW the weekly chart looks horrendous, check MA99). again, what makes it a "digital gold" kind of store of value is that it performs in bad times. If we only go by the "but it pumped from 15 years ago!!!" then this is just the same like just about most shitcoin did. If we can equate BTC and let say DOGE (because BTC failed at everything else that it was suppose to be special) then BTC narrative is in a bad shape.
BTW, spelling (E)thereum, or Stable(coins) would get the post blocked by the Reddit filter.
BTW, how did you know about this staking platform?
The dollar keeps losing value against most assets, including burgers and French fries. So why the hell should crypto go down just because of some stupid four-year cycle? Crypto has to be better than that. The entire store-of-value use case is killed when it shits the bed even as the dollar loses a ton of value. We need crypto to look like a legitimate counter to precious metals. That means we don’t want to see 50–80% corrections every four years. I know it’s great for accumulating, but at what point does that hurt crypto more than it helps it? Gold and silver were slow movers for as long as Bitcoin has existed - until now. It’s moronic to wish for massive crypto corrections against the backdrop of metals, stocks, and even burgers sitting at all-time highs. Way to kill crypto’s attractiveness! BTW, I own both silver and crypto. I love what silver has been doing lately. I don’t like how crypto behaves as an asset. And since silver is harder to sell, I never want to see its price correct - I only want it to go up, up, up. That’s exactly what I want for crypto as well, because the dollar just keeps going down, down, down. I have zero interest in short-term trading. Most people lose money doing it.
Okay, so you're using AI to make an argument that systems that disincentivize bad behavior are better than those that prevent it. Can you actually argue how that is possible? BTW, POW already makes attempts at manipulation yield negative benefits to the attacker.
Very interesting, thank you for sharing. Oh and BTW, what prompt did you use for this?
BTC $100k by end of the month. You've heard it here first. (NFA BTW)
Moat devs don't suck. Have you even tried programming? Their projects might be useless but the devs are capable. Think about Algorand and Avax, they devs are superb. The projects have little use. BTW meme coin creators are mostly not devs.
I agree. BTW, how long have you been staking on this platform and how's your experience?
I think you are right. BTW, they support multiple chains, so we have a lot options
My bank gives me 3%, and thats backed by my country if it fails. So theres that. BTW do you know what happens when a stablecoin depegs ? It usually does not peg back. And then you lose it all. And that risk is not worth that 1% to me. Heck it is not worth 4% either. Just get an MSCI world index fund. 10% yearly average since they were created. and it wont crater in the blink of an eye.
BTW, I warned that the HBAR scam was coming in 2019 and warned that his shitcoin would bleed to death since 2023. Only fools hold meme tech shitcoins long term. > Don't worry, *a new round of shitcoins will be coming with new hype. Soon people will be shilling about Cosmos, Polkadot*, **Hydera Hash**, *Fantom, Radix, etc.* Some of these other coins that are in the top 25 will be gone the way Stratis, Golem, MaidSafe, Bitshares, SingularDTV which were in the top 25 at this time in 2017. **(2019)** https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/bjohvq/daily_discussion_may_2_2019_gmt0/emd4p9j/ > And *like I predicted new shitcoin scams like Cosmos, Polkadot*, **Hydera**, *Fantom, etc did pump. And expecting these scams to be around in a few years is just as foolish as those people in 2019 who were expecting Stratis, NEO, IOTA, EOS, etc to be around* **(2023)** https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/17506yp/daily_crypto_discussion_october_11_2023_gmt0/k4ecz87/ > Shitcoins have rug pull tokenomics which are hidden by partnership and technology memes **(April 2023)** > - Avalanche 76 Million to 326 Million since 2020 (330% inflation in 2 years) > - **Hedera 6.6 Billion to 30 Billion (400% inflation in 2 years )** > - Algorand 1.1 Billion to 7 Billion (530% inflation in 2 years) > The irony is that people who invest in projects like this think Dogecoin's 4% yearly inflation is too high. These shitcoins last a cycle or two, see IOTA, ICON, OMG, etc, while something like Doge will continue to be around https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/12vattj/are_shitcoin_and_meme_coins_the_same_thing/jhatz9r/ > the market gives you indicators of who the sure losers are: **(2024)** > After being -90% since 2021 ALGO, ATOM, DOT, **HBAR**, etc ....are like another -50% since the beginning of 2024. The thing these chains all have in common is predatory tokenomics without any demand for the token. > Doubling down on losers and buying dying projects from previous cycles is a great way to keep losing more money https://np.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1elzgdl/what_l1s_do_you_think_have_a_lot_of_potential/lgweq5l/
Extremely weird thing to say and everything was in good faith. More probable you're young and have had 0 insight into what we experienced. BTW I can still clearly see you are using GPT to respond 🤣
BTW Trump’s WLFI would get to keep all of the interest for themselves if USD1 doesn’t pay yield. I wonder why he supports the structure. Call his bluff and tell him to go ahead and pull support. No one wants this shit bill. 3 more years of unfettered adoption means banks will slowly bleed out.
BTW, to mitigate the risk of paying high spread (hidden fee on the exchange), you might want to buy through Limit Orders, as going that route you can decide your own purchasing price. Then all they can do is charge you a transaction fees, which should be visible while placing the order.
BTW being 100% Disabled and retired.. Crypto is considered an investment for my situation and therefore not considered taxable income. Not having to worry about the taxes is a huge relief.
Bitcoin is going up in all currencys bro.... im canadian BTW
Bitcoin is going up in all currencys bro.... im canadian BTW
That’s the ultimate HODL. Much like getting locked up in jail for a decade. BTW, it looks like Starlink is free if you have a receiver already so they’re not completely cut off. [https://apnews.com/article/iran-protests-starlink-spacex-musk-satellite-9c153cf164959ddd99e4d0f0d4ebd544](https://apnews.com/article/iran-protests-starlink-spacex-musk-satellite-9c153cf164959ddd99e4d0f0d4ebd544)
And created far less. Cuban (who I am a fan of BTW) made his money during the dot come bubble by selling startups. None of them exist anymore. The other sharks have actually created things that still exist today.
Yep, like it shows on the left bottom of the image. BTW, I believe that CMC uses exactly the same source.
Money printer is about to run like old broken diesel engine, where leakage adds to thrust and only way to stop it is to put on 3rd gear (manual) and hit breaks. Or just wait for it to blow up. [https://youtube.com/shorts/O73G4RaTREU?si=-QomhboUm6zDEPH4](https://youtube.com/shorts/O73G4RaTREU?si=-QomhboUm6zDEPH4) BTW how do You do it with automatic gearbox?
If you are asking the question this way, no you should not. This is like being in Junior High Football and asking if you are ready to play for Alabama. Oh, BTW, you play Indiana University next week.
BTW...Maduro and his complicit corrupt wife were arrested by FBI agents who were flown in to Caracus on helicopters. This was a law enforcement operation, not a military incursion.
BTW there a a select few (maybe like 2) YouTubers that are actually worth a f***. The goat just retired so that number is shrinking…
BTW the peak of 2021 was 100% November ... Go take a look at the charts.
Well I'm not going to write and whole article and post it on reddit is not the place that. So calling that the title said. But FYI no everything is happening around USA. I talk about ETF because they got released at January 2024, BTW the biggest was GBTC before converting and now is Microstrategy having even more that GBTC used to have. Also 2024 was a bull year and everyone was calling 2025 to be the top because 4 years circle. Pick the context you like it more there is a lot.
OK... but here's the catch. Having this seed phrase backed up this way is pretty good in terms of being robust, especially with a secondary location. You're not going to forget or misplace it if you plan this out reasonably well. You might even keep one in a home fire-safe. BUT, your security is a bit weak, as anyone who happens to gain access could steal your Bitcoin. So, relatively high security risk. To compensate for this, you'll want to add what is known as a passphrase. This is an actual Bitcoin standard thing which combines with a seed phrase and adds extra entropy, generating a unique new private key, based on these two pieces of information. The downside.... a bit more complexity. You MUST have both the seed phrase (maybe in your safe), and this passphrase to access the wallet. However, this adds a bunch of security and flexibility. Now we can also stamp this passphrase into metal (it can be multiple words, or a character string similar to a password... like 12+ characters minimum... lowercase/uppercase matters, numbers, even symbols). Be sure you learn about passphrases enough to have basic understanding! But, this passphrase can be stored somewhere like a safety deposit box at a bank. Neither piece is good by itself, so someone robbing your home is out of luck with just the seed phrase. You could include instructions with that copy in the safety deposit box for a basic inheritance setup, as such boxes are turned over to family. You could even store the passphrase in a password wallet... just use caution here. Nobody might know it is a passphrase, and that's probably good. But, it won't be recognizable like a seed phrase on its own, so storing it digitally could be safe as a backup. (Kind of depends on if you want access to it w/o the trouble of going to the bank... not having access ups security in case of a robbery, for example.) Other benefits, too. Since you're adding in entropy, if the hardware wallet's seed phrase generation had any flaws, you've mitigated that problem. This setup also takes pressure off the security of the base seed phrase, so in certain situations, you don't have to be quite as careful with it (like, say you temporarily did need to go all digital, or non-metal in luggage for country-fleeing)... having this split info provides protection. BTW, the base seed phrase is a valid wallet... so you could put some amounts of Bitcoin there and use it as a form of decoy wallet, or indicator that base seed phrase ever got compromised. Hope this helps... a lot there, but with a bit of effort, this really isn't as scary as it looks. After you've done this and a few transactions, it won't be all that scary any longer. And, so long as you have learned enough to basically understand what is going on, you should be able to maintain it. Just keep learning and a bit of an 'ear to the ground' in terms of Bitcoin knowledge so you hear about security things or changes to Bitcoin protocol (if/when they happen).
I made a poll for the rest of the sub: [https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1pzxl77/what\_is\_your\_expectaion\_for\_2026/](https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/1pzxl77/what_is_your_expectaion_for_2026/) Whose knows how many have sold. Maybe we need a poll of that. BTW I am bullish. I think the sellers will get exhausted quicker than 2022.
If there is no ATH in 2026, the 4 year cycle belivers are still vindicated because it topped in q4. But if we see an ATH in 2026 they are wrong. BTW sentiment has changed so much recently that most think 2026 is not bullish. Now is the time to buy. Us contrarians will win.
BTW THIS IS HUGE BUYING SIGNALS FOR ALT COINS, WHEN PEOPLE ARE GETTING DESPERATE! Just heads up to any smart people now even tho I usually just troll here.
It said credit-based right there? Bitcoin solves exactly this flow as it can be used as a dynamic balance sheet asset to prolong credit cycles and grow with inflation. That's exactly the solution that made it click for me. You should ask your AI model how banks can leverage Bitcoin to get more info on that. BTW: How would you answer OPs question?
Crypto is ONLY for money you can afford to lose. Its not a traditional investment. BTW, the S&P 500 is outperforming Bitcoin now. The days of getting rich quick with crypto are over.
As we speak, someone is ramping up gold and silver production. (great for the environment, BTW) As we speak, some smart kid is utilizing AI to build a company that disrupts the exploration/mining/refining industry. Study supply/demand response.
I've used Retoswap, a Bisq fork for Monero, to acquire Monero. I've often bought at market price and never above 1% markup. Yes, there are sellers offering worse prices, but you just wait for a better deal. BTW I usually find better prices buying Monero on Retoswap than buying Bitcoin on Bisq (I've never traded on Bisq, but have it on my laptop just because I was curious about it).
I think DCA works for bitcoin. But how many folks who bought at the top have the investing mindset instead of speculating to make some quick bucks? BTW, has anyone talked about the security budget problem in this sub? What’s the general sentiment here?
Like any good investor (read: not gambler), come back in 5 years. BTW, retail is never sidelined. You don't need to buy an entire Bitcoin to invest, just like stocks, just like gold. And FWIW, I'm not selling BTC for Gold. In fact, reading more and more that people are selling gold (now that it's ATH) for Bitcoin (which is not an ATH). The cycle is happening.
Your line is messed up BTW btc went all the way to 82k ish fyi
Well despite that fact it still did better than BTC this year. BTW I own BTC but this year sucked. I will continue to own it though.
Why not, BTC > ETH // Solana > shitcoins > memecoins. Because yes, no matter what people are saying, Solana is in the top 3 cryptos, like it or not. Now for long term, while BTC seems obvious, it really depends, because if you're staking your SOL, that's something like 7% APY, which is not bad at all. BTW inb4 the "solana is all about memecoins huehue", check Shopify, Revolut, Google Cloud BigQuery and Visa, for real case utilities.
Wait no, hold on. If all the treasuries get tokenized on there, then Canton "disappears" the US can claim 0 debt. I'm saying this half sarcastically BTW. But there's idiots that think this.
BTW, you can get it for just 51 USD with the code START15 (-15%). I was in their email list and got this code, so I think they forgot to turn it off. I have many miners and this one is my favorite, because, yes, the odds are low, but with enough time they rank up and it's much more affordable compared to alternatives. It is not like you're gonna win within 2 days. But it's gonna run for years on my desk, and one day... Hope this helps.
BTW, you can get it for just 51 USD with the code START15 (-15%). I was in their email list and got this code, so I think they forgot to turn it off. I have many miners and I must say this is by far the best way to get into the niche, because, yes, the odds are low, but with enough time they rank up and it's so cheap compared to alternatives. It is not like you're gonna win within 2 days. But it's gonna run for years on my desk... Hope this helps!
BTW you can do exactly the same with any asset and a regular bank. People do that with company shares. But they avoid going over 30%. Now, compare share volatility and crypto volatility, and guess how high your ratio should be if you want to be safe ...
Which part are you referring to? The first sentence of the second? I challenge you to debate me on this issue for a few posts. Let's see if who is right. BTW I am not against you getting a mutual fund.
But bitcoin has only been around for 16 years. How do you even compare it stocks that have been around much longer? Especially with the huge drops we see with bitcoin that we dont see with other long lasting stocks. BTW, Im not against Bitcoin at all and weekly DCA.
What is the point in hiding names? The guy is anti bitcoin, BTW. Full bingo of the Linkedin headline :): "CFO | AI Expert | Investor | CA (AIR 20) | CMA (AIR 5) | CFA (L2) | Ex-Citi | Ex-HSBC | Ex-Genpact | Investment Banking | Private Equity | Private Debt | IPO | M&A |"
So you own 1628.6% of the whole Bitcoin market and still want to work for normies on Reddit. That's so humble and wholesome. BTW, this guy is a scammer, ban him
Don't worry, mate. I'll talk to him. You're hired, BTW.
I'm not BCH gang. I actually home mine BTC, hoping to hit the lottery. And I've been in the 21 million club since 2017, when it only cost $1200 to be a member. Diamond hands BTW! I did give like 120,000 doge to the NASCAR team once, that would have been nice to hold.
Sure, If you know the one which will survive, go ahead! BTW. You have better chances at roulette, it's 2,6%to hit a 35x there!
Almost done with the top left one. Possibly the next one will be either Lyn Alden's "Broken Money" or Lawrence Lepard's "The Big Print". BTW anyone here read Natalie Brunell's "Bitcoin is for everyone"?
Oh wow, I don't expect to solve a block and win the BTC lotto, but it's nice to wake up and quickly check my Phantom wallet on the off chance. BTW, I haven't won a lotto jackpot either! 😅
> It wasn't CIA BTW. Explain why you think this.
Explain why you think this. It wasn't CIA BTW.
The fake news stays but with community notes to name and shame the sauce. Ah, if only the world could be taken over by an ai that thinks it’s ok to kill 20 people type A to save one person type B because muh equity. Give it six months and you may have your wish. BTW Grok also thinks 35% chance that Jack the Ripper is Charles Allen Lechmere and it’s defo him so 35% = dead cert.
Here is the game BTW [https://buck.meme/](https://buck.meme/)
Bitcoin is dropping because of the four year cycle. Second week of October 2025 was the 200 week top. It was predicted three years ago. The bottom will be in November 2026 The next top would be 150 weeks after the bottom. BTW, this is my third 4 year cycle. I plan on doing this for another 40 years. i’m going anywhere.
This occurred in November BTW, not an additional purchase
Post is by: Series7Trader and the url/text [ ](https://goo.gl/GP6ppk)is: /r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1pgr9im/understanding_tail_risk_the_hidden_threat_behind/ Understanding Tail Risk: The Hidden Threat Behind Market Extremes *By Series7Trader* *December 7, 2025* 3 minute read. Non shill content. TLDR - * Tail risk = rare, extreme market moves that can erase years of gains in a single event. * Left-tail risk (downside) is what kills accounts: crashes, liquidations, regime shifts, contagion. * Right-tail risk (upside) is where massive unexpected winners live (squeezes, volatility breakouts, catalysts). * Pros build their risk systems around the tails, not the average day: volatility-based sizing, strict stops, hedging, stress tests. * Survival edge: you don’t design a strategy for normal markets—you design it so you’re still standing when the market goes off-script. Tail risk refers to the possibility of extreme price movements- events that sit far outside normal expectations but carry disproportionately large consequences. These are the violent dislocations, liquidity shocks, and sudden volatility explosions that wipe out portfolios in minutes. They are rare, but when they hit, they hit hard. Most traders focus on everyday fluctuations. Professionals focus on the tails - the zones where standard models break, correlations converge to one, and the market stops behaving rationally. And all markets naturally and always behave irrationally. Set your stop watch. What Tail Risk Actually Is Tail risk comes from the statistical shape of market returns. Most activity happens in the “center” of the distribution -ordinary volatility, typical swings, nothing unusual. But deep on the edges of that curve are the tails, where extreme upside or downside events live. For practical trading purposes: Tail risk is the danger of a low-probability move that creates high-impact losses. Examples include: A sudden 20–40-80% single-day crash A liquidation cascade across leveraged markets A flash crash triggered by a liquidity vacuum A macro catalyst that detonates risk assets, Fan favorite. CRUX: These events are infrequent, but are frequent enough that they define whether a trader survives or disappears. Left Tail vs. Right Tail Left-Tail Risk (Downside) The one every professional is obsessed with. It includes: Market collapses Forced liquidations Systemic contagion Abrupt regime shifts Left-tail events destroy capital fast. Managing this side of the distribution is the foundation of institutional risk control. Right-Tail Risk (Upside) The counterpart — massive unexpected gains. The Unicorn White Swan. Some strategies are designed to hunt right-tail events (volatility breakouts, structural squeezes, catalysts), while risk systems are designed to defend against left-tail impacts Why Tail Risk Is the Real Account-Killer CRUX: Tail events violate assumptions. Assumptions are the wallet killer. Volatility spikes A portfolio that looks safe under everyday volatility can be obliterated by one tail event because the magnitude is so much larger than what the trader sized for. Retail traders rarely prepare for these events. Institutions assume they’re inevitable. How Professionals Manage Tail Risk Institutional frameworks revolve around absorbing or avoiding tail-event damage. This includes: Volatility-aligned position sizing Strict stop-loss architecture Diversification across uncorrelated exposures Hedging with futures and options Scenario analysis and stress testing CRUX: The mindset is simple: You don’t build a strategy for normal days. **You build it for the outliers.** A Simple Mental Model Think of tail risk like a natural disaster. A hurricane might only hit once every few years - but if your house isn’t built for it, one strike is all it takes. Tail risk works the same way. (BTW hurricanes can also occur statistically one after another - but that is.... Tail Risk). You can be right 90-99% of the time, but a single left-tail event can erase years of progress. Traders who succeed long term aren’t the ones with the highest win rate; they’re the ones who remain standing when the market goes off-script. *100% organic content. Non A.I. generated.* *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/CryptoMarkets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
If more printing is done then yeah there will be consequences before being sent into a bearmarket, that's for sure. Might be a case of we either do that or have a 2025 situation right into a brutal bear market. So I guess whatever they feel is the lessor of two evils. BTW these checks are supposed to be from the money he made on tariffs, which was quite a bit, so if that’s truly the case, then more money shouldn’t need to be printed, if what he saying is true.
Yeah. FAFO is probably the greatest piece of wisdom of the 21st Century, BTW.
Well bring it on, cheaper coins for you and me if so. BTW, I wouldn't be surprised if he keeps the reserve at $2b and doesn't use it. Seems like just a way to apease the institutions / rating agencies
It's a common misconception that nobody did this but there are people who did just exactly that. You can look at addresses on the blockchain. Some Satoshi-era whales have moved their coins to native segwit addresses or to multisig addresses (native segwit multisig or other) and that's obvious too: these keys exists, the coins are still there. Some whales sold 1% of their coins and are obviously HODLing for life. Because the post's author would not have held this long doesn't mean nobody did. BTW that bullshit post is everywhere: somehow it's successful and reposted everywhere on LinkedIn: not exactly a proof that it's a good post. On the contrary.
Lol if you had read my history you'd not be telling me about how good crypto has been to you. Biden's bull run basically retired me at age 35. BTW none of trump's convictions have been overturned by any courts. One appeals court undid a fine he was ordered to pay, but kept the discovery of liability intact. So you're also just wrong about the bullshit you think you know. You asked me to stick to crypto. I told you that no matter what evidence anyone produced of their claims about Trump committing fraud, you would say the evidence wasn't enough. You disagreed, so I asked you if legal convictions and liabilities were firm enough evidence for you, and you sprawled there too. So you proved my point about needing to be completely unreasonable and downright stupid in order to support the con artist dipshit currently occupying the highest office. His time is coming soon though so I'll be sure to stay in touch
I don't specifically dislike ETH BTW or have some problem with it. And I'm definitely not a BTC MAXIST in the sense of "arghhhhh nothing else can exist" lol. When you say assumptions what did you mean by that out of curiosity? You've been around since BTC was $600 so ill make a presumption that you have a thorough understanding of how BTC works and that an actual protocol fork would take mass consensus, that's an immutable truth. Lastly it's not even that we value different things, I see ETHs value I hold a good amount of it. My reply to you was really triggered by your PoW is garbage comment. Being Pow is the very thing that will keep BTC the number one store of value of any digital asset in the entire crypto sphere. Really lastly lastly why do you hope I'm a wholecoiner 😂? What do you care lol. I've given more BTC away than what most people will ever hold in their life 😉.
Just buy with everything you have. It is dirt cheap right now. NFA BTW, Reddit is a poor source for financial advise.
very interesting! keep going. BTW the sound on the videos is awful
I put a couple of words in CAPS to highlight them in my comment that really made this comment unnecessary. LOL I happen to be almost at 0.1 BTC myself and 10 years from now happens to be around my retirement age. Having 100,000 dollars at retirement with so little investment (over 17 years total) on my part would be really nice. It's almost a ridiculous outcome for an "investment". Understand Bitcoin is just part of my saving for retirement. BTW why does your scenario have no further investment in Bitcoin over the next 10 years?
OP has 2,000 dollars in his bank BTW
congrats, you just discovered money is something that needs to be used, not stashed. BTW you arent getting 10% without serious risks. Unless you can figure what risks those are, dont invest in anything. There arent safeguards either in crypto. Also the money you have in that bank ? It is insured. You get your money back (up to a certain point) if the bank goes belly up. Want something relatively safe - ish and better than banks ? Get some bonds or shares in a major index funds. The latter usually perform around 7 to 10% per year on average since they have been created.