Reddit Posts
FEMY - Shorts look to have gotten a bit aggressive on the recent pop
Markets are still rough anyone actually make money today? Share your trade + strategy
When technical analysis works too well, but you sold too early... How do you guys cope with missed mega-gains?
$CJMB chart after the recent move
$CJMB Watchlist: Is the recent run losing momentum?
My Approach to Finding and Trading Momentum Leaders
My Approach to Finding and Trading Momentum leaders.
Richtech Robotics General Analysis and Earnings Date Discussion
Richtech Robotics is a smouldering powder keg: an update
Breakout Forming: $XOS Low Float Green Energy Data Center
Breakout Forming: XOS Low Float Green Energy Data Center
Breakout Setting Up: $XOS Low Float Green Energy Data Center
30+ days of 0dte spx. Sizing, exits, and drawdown control
Why I believe RICHTECH ROBOTICS is primed to move
If NDX/M2 Is the Roadmap, is a 25% SPX Correction Next?
Insane low float play last Friday (STAK) — and why I almost missed it
Journaling and Analyzing stocks with a web app certainly makes things easier
Moving Averages Explained: SMA vs EMA, the Golden Cross & the Death Cross (Beginner's In-Depth Guide)
Mentions
I think energy is more risky bc a small resolution w the war will tank energy energy stock. Medical looks decent, but they are high as well. Might wait for a pullback on 50EMA to rebuy in. Names are extended to hell rn.
With all that analysis, you didn't find it suspicious that the 200 EMA was on top of the 50 on top of the 20 on top of the 9 for several days. Does anyone on this sub read a chart?
It tapped EMA-100 on weekly timeframe perfectly actually
🌽knifing its way thru 20 week EMA. GG
NQ is targeting 200 EMA daily stops just put your head down in the sand if your holding long and close your eyes cause its about to get bloody
$HTZ Hertz stock is currently fluctuating around $1.93. Due to the extremely high short-selling ratio of 39.95%, if strong earnings are reported, the key technical levels for a potential short squeeze are as follows: • Daily equilibrium range: $1.99 \~ $2.00. This is the most crucial psychological barrier between bulls and bears in the short term. • First major resistance level (R1): $2.13 \~ $2.19. This is Hertz\'s 50-day moving average (50-session EMA) and also the high point of the mid-October rebound. A break above this level would indicate a formal strengthening of the short-term trend. • Second strong resistance level (R2): $2.75 \~ $3.00. If the short squeeze is intense (similar to the Carvana pattern), evolving into a collective loss-covering by institutions, the stock price will head straight for the core valuation repair zone above $2.75..
Thank you for the write up and I like your thoughts. I did leaps on AMD starting from 50, 75 and out for one year. I did buy the stocks at 15 starting in 2016. I bought NVDA at 24, sold at 400 and use the proceeds to invest all into AMD. It has been a crazy ride with big swings. Now I have shares from both leaps and CSP, and long buy and hold with CC. When I bought leap in 2016-2020, I was not paying attention to selling monthly short call to keep the cost basis lower. Essentially instead of PMCC, I have been doing Covered Strangle. It would be fun if I managed to do more complex lots that look like Covered Strangle + PMCC. Since the good time of AMD, I find it difficult to find good stocks that are undervalued. Also I have interest in good growth dividend paying stocks that help with short call + quarterly dividend to reduce cost basis or add additional fractional shares into the lot. I wrote a PMCC option scanner but it lacks the inputs of 52w low and I prefer to be 1/3 of the price range as bottom pick is risky in my experience as I never can tell it hits bottom in a down trend. I use analysis on the 52w range along with triple screening with 30m, 4h and 1d, EMA to see if the stocks in rebound. https://preview.redd.it/y1p4n9r35ayh1.png?width=3094&format=png&auto=webp&s=0ae94809a17cc6d076a63e21ff74b4a1be0ed1f8
I think it’s found a floor and might try to still reclaim the EMA 50
If qqq busts through the EMA 50, I’ll bust
wow 153, was not expecting to retake 13 and 21 EMA overnight
152! 21 day EMA is at 155
$000660 retakes the 233 fib EMA
13 day EMA TAKEN. 21 DAY EMA NEXT at 155!!
Trading above the 50 EMA can indicate improving short-term trend, but it does not establish that $20 is reachable by Friday; the FOMC could increase volatility. What price level would invalidate your bullish setup?
**Factor** **Value versus threshold** **Result** Credit HYG/LQD ROC20 **−1.91%** ≤ 0% Fail Volatility VIX **18.39** < VIX3M **19.94** Pass Breadth QQEW/QQQ **0.21914** < EMA100 **0.22061** Fail Trend Adjusted QQQ **712.20** \> EMA150 **697.63** Pass Utilities XLU/SPY **0.05559** \> EMA50 **0.05478** Fail Raw score: **33.33%** Five-day smoothed score: **42.62%** Exit confirmed: **two consecutive closes below 50%**—Friday 47.27%, today 42.62%.
It’s at 200 EMA. I’d expect it won’t hold this week.
i just full ported long we are oversold due for a bounce right the 200 EMA on SOXX/SMH RIGHT??
When it hits that 707 EMA im loading puts harder than I porked your mothers last night
Indicators included Keltner, Bollinger bands, EMA crossover, RSI, etc. Like I said, win rate was low, but wins were much bigger than losses. Now, the market seems too noisy for my strategy. So YMMV.
QQQ wants that EMA at 709.80, after we diddle that we sink to the gates of hell, or that's what my regarded brain tells me
Spy tried so hard but it cant get past 21 EMA on 5 min chart its about to dump
Your strategy is actually pretty sound. I do 5/9 EMA and do similar. Wait for price to close above or below and get in on the next pull back.
How exactly do you use the 7/9/20 EMA though? Wait for 7 to cross the 9 etc?
All aboard the SNDK 200 EMA bounce
Bounces off the 21EMA lol
for anyone asking how I screen these, I start with every US listed biotech under $10 with a dated catalyst, then check cash and runway, short interest, hedge fund positioning, insider buys, and the options chain for the expiry that actually covers the event. anything under 6 months of runway is usually an automatic no for me. At that point the financing risk matters more than the catalyst. after that I dig into the trial itself, the endpoint, the control arm and standard of care, how big the benefit really is, safety, and whether FDA or EMA has accepted similar endpoints or drugs in that setting before. Then I decide if the setup is actually worth the risk. Happy to break down any ticker if someone wants to challenge a number.
I used some strategies...I was specifically going with the morning trend (if the first 2-4 min are all in one direction you can scalp a bit), then expecting a reversal after the first 15 min or so, which happened to line up perfectly today, reversing just at the bottom of the first 15 min candle. At that point, I should have ridden the trend until I made about 4x my money but I was watching then 1 minute timeframe and being super safe moving my stop sell up whenever the momentum would slow down. Typically the price would go sideways a bit, bounce off the 8 EMA then keep going up, so it would have been a good idea to hold since there was no reversal. That being said, I sold each time to lock in profits then got calls again once the proce broke out of that level it stopped at. Had I been looking at the 15 min timeframe as well, I'd have seen only green candles and wouldn't have gotten scared out. Eventually, the price went sideways then down out of that range and broke through the 8 ema and vwap so at that point you'd ideally sit it out or go with puts if the momentum is good and there's a clear reversal (price going past the previous low or at least half way to it). Unfortunately I was stupid and chased more trades during sideways chop and wasted my time as my options got killed bt theta or random candles the opposite direction. Once that first 60-90 minutes of the day go by, volume is low, movement is usually small and often times things are choppy and not worth trading unless the market starts to crash or have a clear reversal. That's what I have to keep telling myself whenever I'm not available to trade in the morning so I avoid forcing trades. If you want to do well, you have to see what stupid mistakes you make personally and try to minimize them. For example, I'll sometimes hesitate to immediately sell at a loss if I have a larger position so I could have 10 winning trades and one losing one could wipe out my gains. It's not fun but cutting losses early is the only way I'm positive.
get off the EMA for goodness sake
Google losing the 200EMA and 100EMA on basically nothing… bad BADDDD
$GOOGL sitting near the 200 day EMA is the best buy rn in mega caps. NVDA
EMA has never worked - i just back tested this over last 2 days incase regime changes worked. Did not work. over last 3 months i lost 12k (schwab fees modeled) EMA tells you what happened. happy to chat.
15m 81 EMA is a shady support.
guys what stop losses have been triggered yet? answer nothing.. so why do you think it will bounce, every noob has their stop at 50 EMA daily on ES
Are you sure the 200D on the Qs is at 703? I have 673. You using EMA or SMA?
680 is QQQ’s 200D EMA so it is the number to watch here
Some more context, there's no real magic. Since my window is SO small you can kind of feel if it's going to bounce around. SPY/QQQ tends to bounce off round numbers so if i see it heading towards one I'll set a buy at where the option is likely to be when it's close, take the quick win. I'm always watching the 9EMA first and i'll get puts or calls depending on it's current move up or down when it tests the 9EMA. I've been thinking of how to automate w/ AI and i'll try it eventually but so far it's too much of a "feel".
All are 0DTE options (or 1 DTE with MU) -- I stuck to SPX/QQQ mainly but did a lot of MU these past few weeks as I learned it's levels and how it ran. I decided to go ITM half way through as it seemed smoother and more consistent. Most common strat was buying slightly ITM QQQ 15-20 contracts (or 1-3 SPX) and sell for that .10-.15 gain on QQQ and 0.20 - 0.30 on SPX. I trade off the 5-min chat and watch the 9EMA-21EMA + VWAP indicator i found on TradingView and also watch volume bars. Volume especially matters in doing off hour SPX trades which somehow have been super successful (like a big SPX move on low volume, i'll scalp some on a small reversal)
Normal? When QQQ bounces off the 200 EMA evrry other day? It'll probably go up or sideways then bounce off it down again in 1-2 days. The trend isn't looking good with it dipping 1-3% a day.
So roughly at the 200 EMA on SOXX? That’s an interesting bet
MU was 18.45% below its 50D EMA on July 29th, and it is only 11.38% below it right now. It is going lower.
Before I don't have a consistent way of trading too. So the results varies greatly. Now I use a handful of technical indicators such as RSI, SMA, EMA and MACD plus support and resistance bands to form reminders. Those reminders sit between my ideas and my orders. These reminders help me be consistent as I execute orders under same conditions every time.
nah honestly im not even sure the 200EMA at 1260 will hold at this point
That was also in the range of the daily 50 EMA. I’m thinking about doing a mini YOLO on some calls 😅
Bro, you are using the SMA. The 200 SMA and 200 EMA are different indicators. Both use 200 periods, but the EMA gives more weight to recent closing prices, making it more responsive to price changes. On a daily chart, that’s 200 trading days and wouldn’t be accurate.
A 200 EMA on the daily chart uses the last 200 trading days of price data, regardless of how many candles are visible. You don’t need a 200-day chart, and volume has nothing to do with it. 😂
QQQ is below the 50 day EMA now and all momentum is increasing in velocity. It's got further to drop.
QQQ really really wants over the EMA9.
Oh I don't trade breakouts on indexes. It's not that profitable. Also idk which timeframes you are looking at. But I kinda agree with your original statement tho. I used to trade only breakouts, but realized it happens only a few times that too early on in a bull run. EMA pullbacks are much more often and also reduce your risk tremendously
I *love* the support at 21d EMA
You should look on YouTube for what has good odds. Typically there are reversals 10-20 min after market open, you can follow a trend line for a few minutes or buy when the price bounces off the 8-9 EMA line, buy calls when the 8-9 ema goes above the 20, puts if the opposite happens, expect the price to come back when it's too far from the EMA lines, expect it to keep going up after a small dip, expect it to reverse completely after a large dip, etc. The main thing after all that is to try and cut your losses very early and keep winners going longer. You will always have losses but try to make them small.
Qqq is just retarded algos now going "teehee follow the pretty pattern, tickle that EMA and oops teeheehee back to the range" someone kill me
EMA 9 and 21 just crossed on the QQQ NOW WE JUST NEED FOLLOW THROUGH CMON ALGOS
US10Y just crossed below its 8 day EMA
Meanwhile everyone else buying google at the 200 day EMA 5 times a week. The key with calls is you need to blend technicals with fundamentals. Google hit likely a key fibbonnaci level when you bought.
Just bought $GEV $FPS $KAIT $AVGO all sitting on their 8 day EMA's, nice healthy pullback
For anyone asking how I screen these, I start with every US listed biotech under $10 with a dated catalyst, then check cash/runway, short interest, bio hedgefunds, insider buys and the options chain around the actual event date. Anything with under 6 months runway is usually an automatic no for me, because at that point the financing risk matters more than the catalyst. after that I actually dig into the trial endpoint, control arm/standard of care, how strong the benefit really is, safety, and whether FDA/EMA has accepted similar endpoints or drugs in that setting before. Then I decide if the setup is actually worth the risk. Happy to break down any ticker if someone wants to challenge a number.
Then youd see EMA's flipping and that the have seemingly bottomed out. Youd notice the triple bottom in Sep and the last three trading sessions doing nothing but expanding. A loooooong way to go and still near the lows but its started to pivot.
Copium. Also holding above the 20 EMA for \~2 months like SPCX.
Hmm tsla had a much stronger setup than MU. Tsla was reresting the 375 fibb level before 386. Along with 200 day EMA AT 377. If you use an options flow, youd see tsla was hot in the options market by net premium. Use fibbonnacis for support and resistance as well as gex as confluence. Also do not use wealthsimple its a garbage platform and youll get awful pfof fills lol
There it is instant rug below EMA again, fucking blatant criminal retards
$WDC close to EMA200 is a no-brainer
Lol 😆 it's okay dude, you can still interact with other people here :dance: but good luck on your trading tomorrow. 21d EMA is your friend :cry:
Funny story: I once got to talk to the guy you popularized the 21d EMA as a key technical level in the 90s. It became a thing for momentum traders during the dot com, which helped them get out of the massive downtrend during the crash pretty early. Look up Power Trend
To add. 21d EMA and 50d, 200d are super good technical levels that institutions watch for. Always buy when is stocks reclaim these levels. This provides for a super thin logical risk
Okay I'm back to work! BUT ONLY AT 21d EMA SUPPORTS. it's as simple as that. Ideally on an undercut and reclaim. LOL
I never said anything about 190 lol here is a simple exercise for your peanut brain: where is the 21d EMA for PLTR. come back once you have the answer lol
Yeah you can ask Dig too. I clearly said 21d EMA undercut and reclaim is my point
Nope, I never said that. You are just being a retard with reading comprehension issues. I clearly said 21d EMA. So many people here know that
Nah you good, just trying to handle some other retards here lol And yes, 21d EMA is about 114.71 for me
It's okay, try to wait for 21d EMA pullbacks. If this bull run has to sustain, leading stocks will find continuous support at 21d
Not really. Well, it depends. One part of the price cycle is called "wedge pop" which basically coincides with 21d EMA crossover most of the time, but the main point is once you get in such entry, you skate the 21d up and above
Basically buy when it comes close to the 21d EMA
EMA 21 is not playing around apparently
Just gonna dump at the 200 EMA
Definitely going to hit the 55EMA around 760. Broke the 22EMA just now.
so yeah if AMZN can bounce off of the 200 day EMA that’d be great
EMA 20 is at 710 now risk is limited on puts
Watch out for its pullback to its 10d or 21d EMA. Those are the least risk buy points
Im watching to see if COSM can hold the 50 and/or 200 day EMA price levels
I mean it's 21d EMA is at 1673 right now. So it *can* happen. Something like a break and reclaim of that level would be very constructive.
I have no predictions on whats precisely gonna happen every day of the week next week. There is PCE and then there is MU. I just look at the charts and trade: DRAM is looking like it really wants to skate the 10d EMA and start moving up. Any flush and reclaim at the 10d or 21d EMA next week should provide really nice low risk entries. Stocks in a new bull run usually skate their 10d or 21d
You are right, it does look good. Trading it along the 10d EMA or something looks enticing
You must be talking about a different META? It's near ATH at the moment after doing close to 40% in recent weeks. Downward trend? Both SMA200 AND EMA200 show an upward trend.
Firstly, they showed up on my technical screener that detects change in trend (look at wedge pops). But look at their charts like COHR, POET, LITE (obviously), ASTS and RKLB the past 10 days or so. They are showing relative strength compared to the rest of the market. More importantly, they provide a tight logical risk based stop close to their 21d EMA rn.
I just need to get lucky one time so I can afford a laptop and get the better indicators 😭 I’m right usually directionally, my entries could just use some work, but I’m exploring 1DTE ITM options so I don’t get stopped out as often. Then if I can perfect these contracts I’ll scale up with more shares rather than OTM or 0DTE. I’m using supertrend, 5 20 and 200 EMAs, and VWAP, really studying the magnet effects for each EMA. I’ve also started using trailing stops rather than manually, frantically changing my stops as I go
Nope, not yet! I’m going to be holding until at least January 2027 for tax purposes. But I will probably hold on longer than that. I’m going to be watching the price action for the next month (leading up 3q ER in NOV). If it dips back in the $18-to low $19 range in that time, I’ll look to add more (then sell my long term shares in JAN). There’s a lot to be excited about! It seems like OMER will be reevaluated by the EMA in October meetings (speculation on my part). Plus, there’s still the $100 million milestone payment from NOVO
I trade 0 DTEs on the SPX. I use: VOLD TICK 9 / 20 EMA ATR and I look at the 11 SP sectors. I try to exit with 30 to 50% profit selling asymmetrical iron flies.
$U bullish engulfing today. Sold off the open and held the 10/20EMA before expanding higher midday. \+2.7% AH. https://preview.redd.it/c7ncfaw2tcrh1.jpeg?width=1236&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f58bdae34ce7a45120dfb5151e230b9fc5111c4a
I’m down 10k on June calls. F this stock, any other time it hit the 50 day EMA it would rebound, not when I get involved!
strong support around 337, if that breaks we're looking at 200 EMA which is sitting around 327-328, which is unlikely but possible. If it breaks below that and holds, freak the fuck out and sell everything
Tracing back to the 50D EMA :kek:
New rule: Sell stock before you lose more than 5-10%. Buy Stock only after breaking through the 50EMA. Lie to everyone and tell them you had Diamond hands and held it the whole time…..
$FTNT coiling on its 8 day EMA
**80/270 EMA strategy**: **Signal:** QQQ daily **80-day EMA vs. 270-day EMA** **80 > 270:** 100% **TQQQ** **80 ≤ 270:** 100% **cash** **Execution:** Trade **next trading day** after the signal changes **DCA:** Add **$100/month only while in cash** Backtesting looks wild even from 1999 before dot com but who knows how next 27 years will go.
Nice. I was trying a new method today where I basically created alerts for when the stocks on my watchlist break and reclaim the 21d EMA and buy it.
Have no fucking clue what they do. I trade reversal extension setups and it was screaming that setup earlier today. Also provided for a very tight stop so better risk to reward then. Now it already pumped a bit today. I think it will find resistance at its 21d EMA