LOT

Robinw9787

Thing is though that they already announced it theres just the vote which again is likely to pass. Theres no new news or actual trigger, and saying that theres just 300m shares is weird since 300m is A LOT of shares.

Lucky-Ambassador8285

Who downvoted me when I said memory was looking a LOT like silver.

PsychoSynthesizer

Christ, there's clearly A LOT of regards long MU, judging by the comments. The South Korean government is basically encouraging Samsung and SK Hynix to build more capacity to help grow employment in a deprived region. Apple asks for access to cheaper China memory. The memory cycle still exits, just may be a bit longer than before.

MadeAcctToUpvotethis

This (above) is the worst explanation and simple wrong and scary people on Reddit write so confidently when they havent thought it through. Yes there will be more shares, but the money americans pay for those shares will go into the company (which you own) so there will be more money in the company. Because it is highly valued it will be a LOT of money, which is Why companies like these do this currently.

aomt

Well, most people work, have a decent life, going out, going for vacation, have kids, parents, dogs... If they start messing around, it’s 5-10-20 years in prison. Beside losing their life as they know it, Russian prison is not the nicest place to be. They have A LOT to lose. If your sentiment “war ends cause people will protest” - yeah, good luck. It’s like, social media got invented in 2026. nothing before that, right? lol

PM_ME__YOUR_HOOTERS

There is a reason that a LOT of Korean shows have "gambling addiction" as a very prominent character flaw in the last few decades. Shit, it was basically the premise for Squid Game lol

ObservationalHumor

I also wouldn't rule out other qualitative aspects of models too. A lot of effort has shifted into vision capabilities and where western models tend to be really strong is in their instruction tuning which makes it far easier to deploy or use for a lot of people. Having a slightly better benchmark scores might not matter if you have to burn a ton of tokens getting it format data properly or produce sufficiently succinct output for a lot of users. Efficiency and hardware requirements are also a growing consideration which is why everything is moving towards MoE models with lower activate parameter accounts that split easier across GPUs and produce tokens much faster. There's also growing traction on the research front towards diffusion models with both NVIDIA releasing Nemotron Labs Diffusion and Google putting diffusiongemma out there. There is A LOT still going in the AI space aside from just benchmark results that needs to be considered in all this including stuff like device deployable models and so forth. Anthropic and OpenAI are already set to IPO and moving forward with per token billing. I think everyone is expecting end user spending around AI to get a lot tighter and a lot less experimental as things go forward, which means the economics here today are going to matter a lot more and all the messy stuff around getting real value through the deployment of these models that these companies have been avoiding is going to matter a lot more too. Personally I'm shocked a lot of these companies haven't been hiring more aggressively for consulting and deployment services but if that does become a massive part of it then the Chinese companies definitely are going to have a ton of trouble competing.

bartturner

> Hardly anyone under 30 uses search anymore... That is the most absurd thing I have read on Reddit in a long time. Google search is just killing it since the introduced AI overviews. They have been gaining market share as you can see for yourself. https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share But that is in ACTUAL users. If we look at the financials we can see Google search growth rate has accelerated and will likely continue to accelerate. What has happened is people are staying on Google Search a lot longer and that is why they are seeing the accelerated growth rate with search. Google ADDED $10 billion in new search revenue in the last year. That is more revenue than Google has ever addeded since day 1!! Can you believe that? After all these years Google has ADDED more revenue to search in a year than they have ever added before. See for yourself? https://abc.xyz/investor/default.aspx But what is so amazing about Google is that they keep adding additional cash cows. Their cloud business ADDED more revenue QoQ than any other cloud provider last quarter and their advantage will be a LOT larger this quarter. No company has ever added as much revenue Google will add to their cloud division in the next year. That is right. No company has ever added $230 billion of new revenue in such a short period of time. But what I am curious about is the lying? Why lie on things that are so easy to see that you are a bald face liar?

Sufficient-Skill9530

Oil is exactly where it was before the war started solely because of Trump jawboning and Bessent shorting the futures market. If oil jumps $15-$20, there’s going to be A LOT of shorts that need to be covered.  Now, that may not manifest in reality. Powerful players want to keep prices low and they have the means to do so, until they don’t. It’s a dangerous game to play when SPRs are getting low and things are kinetic again. 

Sufficient-Skill9530

There’s A LOT of short action below $85. If oil hits $85 it could actually spring higher. Look it up yourself, oil is being shorted as f. 

NativeTxn7

If inflation stays above 4% (or potentially even above mid-3%) I think it's very likely they hike before year end (maybe more than once). If we get a resolution in Iran, oil stays roughly where it is now, and inflation starts to trend down every month, then they may just hold rates steady to see what happens. Right now, it feels like the next chance of a cut is at least 12-18 months away (and it also seems a like a LOT of stuff would need to break the right way to make that happen). Markets are currently pricing in a <5% chance of a cut in the next 12-13 months (and basically 0% through the first quarter of 2027) while pricing in a 40-47% chance of a hike before the end of the year and basically a 1/3 or better chance of a hike throughout 2027. Certainly a lot of things can change between now and the end of 2027, but what people sometimes seem to forget is that it's not just the Chair of the Fed that gets to do whatever they want - it's a board made up of 12 voting members who all have a say. It's also funny (in a ridiculous, but completely predictable way) that Trump thought Powell was a moron for not cutting rates, but basically said this week about Warsh not looking like he's going to push for rate cuts any time soon "eh, what are you gonna do?"

KMPItXHnKKItZ

Yeah! Broad market can do A LOT in 25 years

KyleFromBorrasca

Options are like drugs. You probably shouldn't do them, but enough people are going to anyway that we should talk about how to not lose everything in an instant. I'll be honest, I'm going to do them again, but I'm committing to six months of sobriety and a LOT of practice and educational material before I even consider it. And I don't expect to make money, I just expect to lose less.

Captain_Lou_Albano

AI has nothing whatsoever to do with "creating more stuff that people want to buy". Money made by a company can increase by BOTH increasing revenue AND by reducing expenses, and most AI work seems geared towards the latter by optimizing designs and doing what it used to take a lot of humans a LOT of time to do.

Shnofo

In Quebec's history, church and state were combined and it created A LOT of problems, until finally the "revolution tranquil" got rid of it. Now, if you are a public servent (paramédic, police, government worker, teacher etc.) you are not allowed to wear any type of religious symbol. Many people are calling Quebec'ers racist over this, because they cannot wear the hijab or get time off to pray in government buildings, but really, it's because they do not know of quebecs history and have chose to live in a place they know nothing about. Church and state must be separated

DSCN__034

Good luck on trading. I mess around mostly for fun. As I said most of my assets are in low cost indices. Now that I'm retired I have more time to try different things, but trading really is a hobby. Since the swing trading that I do entails a LOT of turnover it is best done in an IRA or the tax calculations would be too complicated. I have zero affiliation and do not recommend any trading sites but over the last year I've been following Blue Cloud Trading on YouTube. The guy's name is George and he does the 8-d and 24-d moving average trend trading I described. It is also known as Ichimoku Cloud trading, kinda weird, but it does work. It takes a little time to figure it out and develop entry and exit strategies. Like I said, I'm not selling anything, but since you asked, that's what I do. But don't expect to make a ton of money on this. It's actually low risk if you set your stops conservatively. My goal is to beat the spy and the rsp (equal weight s+p), and so far Ive been doing that, but with the small amount in my trading account and the time it takes I'm not convinced it's worth the time. I'm probably making less than minimum wage. Haha. (I may increase the amount I trade if I can continue to beat the market. We shall see.) I could look at the exact numbers if you're interested.

BigFarm-ah

You're not alone. Don't place any self imposed constraints on your limits. My dad always told me there is a LOT of money in the world. You ain't fucked you just gotta make your own way. An extra 60K sounds sweet but only 60K while thinking you are rich is fucking dumb. Aim higher.

Previous-Display-593

Your first point is silly. "Any growing business, especially at scale, would do better to focus on growing their core business rather than to dedicate expensive resources (engineers) to go on sidequests to vibecode all their SaaS." You know that are A LOT of business that are already large and can afford engineers. Not to "go on side quests" but to build boutique solutions perfectly tailored to the companies use case.

PermaCleaned

I spy a LOT of retards in this thread with no general idea what they’re talking about. It’s kind of baffling how many people think the main source of proposed income for SpaceX is space exploration.

ShadowLiberal

And a LOT of other stocks are also down a bunch to. I have 12 stocks in my portfolio, and 7 of them are cheap right now, and another 2 are trading at fair value.

Highway_Wooden

There's A LOT of GOP dicks in Texas.

GlorifiedPlumber

> I know this is a shit sub, but copilot is insanely useful for ~~engineering~~ software development/software engineering Out here in the traditional engineering world, it's fancy google with a little bit more organization on responses. Useful, sure... but there were other mechanisms for getting information previously. Insanely useful is a stretch. We're a top 3 EPC in America, we have more engineers than the majority of people, and we're DESPARATE to use AI to do ANYTHING. Make a deliverable... use less designers, use less engineers. It gets used, but NOT to "engineer" stuff, or to make deliverables. Because it turns out that is not the hard part. The ONLY successful implementations of AI we have seen, despite trying really hard, are people vibe coding / coding up tools they use in the "engineering" process. Once the tool is done, AI is out. Most of these tools are QOL management / coordination things, and not, "this produced an engineering document" of some form. A LOT of companies, especially smaller engineering firms, have "AI this and that" splashed all over their marketing documentation. They're VIRTUE SIGNALING hoping to get in on the DC spend action.

erggxx

Wow. This is my first time on here and there is A LOT of people on here that have no idea what they’re talking about. Might as well just go to the casino and play blackjack..

Optimal_Image5192

I’ve been thinking a lot about this recently. I commented this exact concern on someone else’s post and everyone downvoted me :(. But I think frontier labs and other hyperscalers must be experiencing immense margin compression cause they are the customers for the entire chain. Again I can be wrong and a lot of things can change, but optics and narrative define price action imo. I think that if all these hardware bottlenecks keep up-charging the people that are building the models, that's great for all the $MUs and $NVDAs, but the people who design these AI models have to pay the price. Now if OpenAI, for example, goes and tries to sell these models to customers like you and me or more importantly enterprises, they have to convince them to buy their products and integrate them. The way to convince them is by claiming it will save them a LOT in operational costs. Now if the prices for their supply chain keep going up every quarter, at some point OpenAI will have to up charge their consumers. This will make adoption so much slower than it already is. If you're bearish your bet is that the adoption and the ROI for hyperscalers will be slower than the time these companies can remain solvent. If hyperscalers collapse, the whole supply chain and bottlenecks, all that is over. I think we probably end up in a situation where Nvidia and Micron take a stake in these hyperscalers/frontier labs from all the FCF they’re generating. Mutual benefit type of deal ? Idk, but this has been concerning me for past few days, and I think this is why market has been choppy even after the print yesterday and PCE coming in-line.

Hot_Philosopher_6558

Mag 7 would save A LOT of money 

Syllabub_Visual

So my physician father was broke until his 50s and this year he’s gonna make a cool 40m. How? He built and sold a practice and made tens of millions from that. After that he went into the private equity game and raised money and bought hospitals and raised the prices to bring in more revenue and he’s about to make a lot of money from the price increase. I’m feeling particularly bullish on healthcare stocks for that reason. Point is, healthcare is booming (it’s the only recession proof industry) and a boomer doctor who didn’t make money for decades somehow managed to find a way to make A LOT…

_FIRECRACKER_JINX

XNDU is the REAL play here, you've all largely missed the boat already on IONQ. XNDU is the Canadian IONQ and the Canadians are A LOT more generous with their research funding these days :/

1cenine

Short answer is "probably, usually, yes." 401ks are a tax-deferred vehicle that lowers current taxes, grows tax-deferred, and may withdraw at retirement at a lower tax rate than your current earnings. A LOT written/said about this. Learn up on that. Anyway like everything, depends on your situation and habits. If you're a very diligent and disciplined investor/saver, plan to retire very early (and understand how to - I mean *plan*), need the liquidity sooner, then 401ks can be restrictive. I'm personally a diligent index fund investor and am on track to "retire" pretty well before 401k withdrawals are allowed penalty-free, so I'm more anti-401k than many people. But for so many people it's a very valuable tool to build a foundation, especially if contributed to automatically. Set-it-and-forget-it can probably save the retirement of people who would otherwise get to 55 years old and realize they have nothing.

DeeDee_Z

I got to this question by looking at where some shirt-tail relatives (whom I speak with about investing from time to time) are putting their money for their grandkids. And the answer was the same today as it was with their kids a generation ago: a Mutual Fund company, whose A-shares carry a 4.75% front-end load. And I thought, "Sure, that was "bog-standard" practice 25 years ago, but the industry has changed A LOT since then" -- B shares are obsolete, C shares still exist, exchange-traded funds are the only thing that MOST investors will even \*consider\* nowdays. So I asked.

All_FIREdUp

OP clearly doesn’t know wtf they are talking about. Bitcoin is the future of currency. Just because it is extremely volatile and nearly impossible to transact with even after 18 years doesn’t mean the potential is there. ALSO. It’s a store of value. And sure I might be down 50% but half my original value is stored. Now into my next point. Take all of those great features and then comes along a company that purchases a LOT of bitcoin and that’s the genius of it, that’s the whole business model. It’s so simple. User your fuckin head next time OP

Meloff42

I learned a LOT here. I am glad there are people like OP out there. I can literally see the other side of Hell...

TimeTravelingChris

It's funny people think this is a good thing. All those data centers just became A LOT less sustainable cost wise.

icallitadisaster

I've been building my position in this company for years. I work in the field. If this drug gets to the market it will be the new standard of care to treat depression. There is a LOT of research on psilocybin and depression. One theory on the mechanism of action for depression is that it's related to synaptic pruning in the brain, psilocybin encourages new synaptic connections and new growth pathways in the brain. I've been holding since before it did a reverse split and I've been picking up more. It's a long shot but I've hit long shots before.

Jacobpapi

AXTI will print A LOT

thctetro

Actually I am... I was not like this 6 years ago. I have A LOT more money than before but I got angrier too. Also lost a lot of patience as well. Imagine that, wierd.

redpillbluepill4

I bought a LOT at 11.80 this AM

hardcrepe

Boo, this thing doesn’t tell you how many times you’ve won or lost now? That takes a LOT of the fun away.

Dealer_Existing

Yeah the google search is terrible, but you definetely don’t know or experienced the capabilities of AI. I’m using the claude app and cowork a LOT and it is extremely accurate in specific tasks. It’s as good as it’s user in the end

Dealer_Existing

Mehh the hallucinating part is not real. It is trained on a LOT, so the accuracy on 95% of stuff jn life is very high

Concept-Plastic

I swear I feel so bad for spending even $600 on myself ( I want a PS) WHILE I FUCKING LOST A WHOLE LOT MORE THAN THAT ON OPTIONS YESTERDAY 🤡

Dealer_Existing

I mean, I can get a LOT of shit done and automized with just my claude $20 pro subscription. Getting the 4.8 to max out takes some serious effort. Fable is another atory lmao

Thin_Cat8817

looks like we are sidways til Q2 earnings, which probably wont be great. input costs went up a LOT in Q2

Thin_Cat8817

Good luck with that, hyperscalers getting slammed for AI expenditure and nothing to show for it so far in revenue, they will have to pullback in spending, especially if rates are raised. A LOT of future expected gains are already baked into DRAM stocks, if theres even a whiff of a spending cut from a single big name like Meta or Microsoft, they will plummet. 100 by end of year is basically the ultimate bull case where spending increases even more from here Good luck dude

theNeumannArchitect

Hey man, that's a lot of food for thought. It gave me a new perspective on theta. I never considered you can just buy the contract back halfway through if it's in the green. Which means you can open a new one sooner if you wanted to. You're able to just capture that theta value in a sense. I've heard people talk about it but it never really clicked. One side note about you mentioning it gives you more time to be right. Another reason I like weeklies is because I'm wrong a LOT lol it's nice only needing to be right for 5 days rather than 30 days. Can't count the number of times my CSP or CC expired right at the strike and then ripped in AHs. But the great thing about the wheel is it's very forgiving and getting exercised on a stock you already like at an entry point you want isn't the worse thing. I'll take your advice and try a 2 week, 3 week, and 4 week next Monday to see how it feels. I'm about 8 years into my hands on investment journey and one year into my selling CSPs and CCs strategy. 95% of my investments is VOO. Then I take the other 5% to be aggressive and use a small amount of margin to sell CSPs. I've read thousands of comments and advice over the years and 99.99% of it is just straight garbage from people. Especially at this point once you have the basics down. It truly is rare to come across someone that I can tell is competent and their advice is genuine. So thanks again, I'll chew on what you've shared and let it digest.

Syllabub_Visual

Moved from the shitty golden state to Miami a couple weeks ago and I’ll all say is that it’s probably been the most enlightening experience I’ve ever had. I mean my parents have been here for a couple years anyways and got a new tech job here, not much different from my old one but at least it’s in a city that has all the bells and whistles. So I met this hot Colombian at a bar and being a 26 year old who’s never been in a serious relationship it got my dopamine up. I then get introduced to a whole squad of them, both Colombians and Venezuelans and blondes and the one I met at a bar was actually very very in to me once I told her how much my father was worth. He’s a doctor and a boomer who just turned 69 (nice) and let’s say he made a lot of money starting and selling practices and that’s why he has a waterfront house with a pool in Miami. I then took them over to the house (much better than my 800 sqt apartment in the city center) and let them use the pool and now this time I actually have all these girls into me even though I’m pretty average looking. No I don’t have access to my parents’ money but my tech job at least pays enough where I can pay for bottle service (and in fact found out so many of these girls are bottle girls and they’re not rich at all). Now I have promoters reaching out to me saying they’ll hook me up even more. No girls in SoCal really cared about my situation but girls here care A LOT. This may be my first hookers and blow experience and I’m actually really excited now. Even if money is the only reason they want me, the only thing I care about is that they’re hot…

Spy300

Price it >TRUMP: PROBABLY TALK ABOUT CUTTING RATES WITH WARSH >TRUMP SAID OF WARSH “HE THINKS YOU HAVE TO LOWER INTEREST RATES” >TRUMP SAYS HE THINKS WARSH UNDERSTANDS HE WANTS LOWER RATES, WOULD NOT HAVE GOTTEN JOB HAD HE SAID HE WANTED TO RAISE RATES >TRUMP: WARSH WILL CUT RATES WITHOUT WHITE HOUSE PRESSURE >TRUMP: WHEN OIL PRICES GO UP, WE MAKE A LOT OF MONEY >TRUMP: FRANKLY, GAS PRICE HASN'T GONE UP AS MUCH AS I THOUGHT >TRUMP: I HAVE THE GREATEST PLAN OF ALL, WON'T REVEAL WHAT IT IS >TRUMP: 'WORLD’S MOST POWERFUL RESET!!! >BESSENT: RATES PEAKED THE DAY BEFORE WARSH WAS SWORN IN >BESSENT: 100% APPROVE OF THE FED GETTING RID OF FORWARD GUIDANCE >DALY SAYS FORWARD GUIDANCE NOT GOOD AT THIS JUNCTURE >WARSH: I DONT BELIEVE IN FORWARD GUIDANCE >WARSH: MY PREFERRED INFLATION MEASURE IS PCE TRIMMED MEAN >TRUMP: “I LOVE THE INFLATION”

Puretardation

I see a LOT of pain in the coming year. Buckle up SPCX investors

rugbyliebe

My dad a good old time grifter and conman used to say "a good economy needs stupid people". He was not a wise man, but this simple sentence explains a LOT about how the USA works.

KillerWhale1999

Anyone have some small caps that could 10x like CLFD? Trying to find similar ones that are small with A LOT of upside.

VerdantPathfinder

ahhh, but you can follow a spec, can't you? I'm also an engineer and can do rough framing and drywall work. Plumbing and electrical repairs? Sure. Running a waste line or wiring a main board? No way without a LOT of research and telling the local government inspector I'm a DIYer and double check *everything*. But the thing is I can do the work. I can read the specs.

OpeezyonHeezy

Haha hell no But seriously, I have cut back on options A LOT and have stuck towards investing rather than gambling. I took a break from options entirely for about a year after blowing my account at 18 and since then I've been focusing on primarily investing. I was lucky enough to start investing in SPY and Tesla last year around march which allowed me to get a slight rebound even though I was buying stock instead of purchasing contracts. I didn't get back into trading options until a few months ago and have only been sticking to buying contracts with more than a 9 month expiration date or leaps (1 year+) and have been sticking to calls rather than puts. Whenever I looked at my past trades (the dozens of losing trades that blew up my past account) most of my losing option trades were puts and ever since I've gotten back a few months ago I've been up a surprising amount. Even so, options is very risky and neither you nor I should be doing them especially since we're both still so young (I'm 20). I've came to terms with the fact that I'm unlikely to ditch options completely which is why I started doing leaps in the first place as it's much "safer" than short term options and keeps my buying power near 0.

JB-America

I posted this about about Adobe - it applies for Figma as well “The key argument against Adobe and SaaS stocks in general isn’t that they are underperforming or won’t be able to incorporate AI into their products—it’s that it is becoming easier, cheaper, and faster to develop alternative solutions. They are trapped in the Red Queen’s race: in this new AI reality, you have to run as fast as you can just to stay in the same place. A great part of the industry's growth potential (if not 60–80%) will likely be eaten by AI-native new entrants who don't carry the legacy weight of these giant corporations. The rational (or irrational) fear is that we can't see the full scope of this disruption yet. There's a strong sentiment that giant new sharks are lurking in the deep ends of the SaaS sea, waiting to emerge out of the blue and eat the incumbents' lunch. I make this comment in the spirit of contributing: I was 50% allocated to SaaS stocks bought earlier this year. I truly believed the counter-theory, and it was deadly to my $$$ - lost a LOT of money between January and April”.

delamerica93

Dude this is an awesome comment thank you. This professor is a fuckin G I love him so much already. I think my existensial crisis right now is...if I double this money every 10 years, is that even going to be enough for retirement? I just don't know. I'm going to have to sit down and do a LOT of math to figure some things out, but either way thanks man.

REEMFMetalHead

Oh ho! That's a fantastic find! https://preview.redd.it/jsv7i6pbwx7h1.png?width=1336&format=png&auto=webp&s=c5cea82247be3656f5570e03a8d59abdd3a86b46 I'm digging that weekly chart A LOT!

PulIthEld

non AI DD: LOOK AT THE GRAPH BRUH, its fuckin DOWN A SHIT LOWAD but it MAKES A LOT OF MONEY with ROBOTS.

Teripid

This is the MOU with a lot of outstanding parts. Still things should start moving (and I think I saw a BBC report that 3 fully loaded Iranian tankers were past any blockade). Still there are a LOT of carrots for Iran. Still who knows what this'll work out or what will happen with those next confirmations. The 300 billion number is.. well astronomical.

ybl84f1

*"To me, POC, the Value High and Value Low act as guideposts when i am about to place a trade. Fully aware that they shift over time"* Usually when Redditors proclaim some technique and then it's back-tested against historic data the observation/suggestions/advice resolve to something like "well these are just things to consider and not always true", or in this case they're "*guideposts*". And because these "guideposts" are not always true...and not true enough regularly or consistently (at least by themselves) to trade successfully over the long term, they eventually devolve into something like your statement "*not all things go as planned , but one needs to be situationally-aware*". In other words volume profiles are data and it's unclear what other factors may make a volume profile useful data or not to consider and when to. *"On the last point about market destroying trading patterns posted in public , I am not so sure I agree with this. If you count the number of studies and indicators in TOS, it will make your head spin."* Well - firstly, the *number* of studies on TOS (and I've written some) doesn't tell you anything about the existence of predictable patterns. It's probably a better indicator of number of investors that can code if anything. If you spend any amount of time in multiple Reddit forums you'll realize most of the investors here do not make significant money over time consistently - or at least as measured by the fact that you never see a post from them again! They start with a post of a screenshot of some well-timed trade with the title "Look Ma I Made It" using their own study for resistance levels that works - until it doesn't. They use their own custom RSI (like a stock is supposed to have some spring physics inherent in it) and make money on the breakout - until that fails. Those studies don't predict anything because any patterns that possible might form in the chaotic data of a stock price would be immediately noticed and exploited by the millions of traders in the market, and it would then cease to exist due to the very act of exploiting it. Secondly, if repeatable patterns existed, you would have trillionaires that simply traded and doubled-down their gains each (pattern) time period. I mean really - why spend 20 years blowing up rockets when you could make all that money simply typing on a keyboard (although it is cool to watch the rockets explode). Even Buffet - one of the richest men on the planet had many losses during his long career. (And his famous decade-long bet beating hedge funds should tell you something). Thirdly, many of the Redditors on these forums "prove" their hypothesis by claiming their "method" works repeatedly. And perhaps their method did. But consider this - in 2025 if you bought NVDA only on the days of a full moon you could have made a LOT of money. Since they made a lot of money it's absolutely proof, right? Keep in mind it's possible to flip a coin and get heads 12 times in a row too, not to mention that in 100 flips you may have more heads than tails even though the odds are 50/50. Consistent data patterns over the long run don't exist (for a variety or reasons besides the act of exploitation). Lastly - for those that argue there are repeatable patterns, my challenge for them is very simple - just post the criteria for how the pattern sets up and what will then follow. My favorite is "resistance levels" - like we're giving some physical attribute of mass and boundaries to a stock price. For those that believe they exist just post your technical setup (e.g. "*if the 20-day moving average is withing the 3-month average for more than 7 days it will not break out for at least 7 days*" or whatever) and the technical result predicted. It turns out when you probe them on this with actual market data that 1) whoops it doesn't always work (*"well these are just things to consider and not always true"*) and 2) you'll usually flush out that they are very guilty of the Sharpshooters Fallacy. As I demonstrated above I am happy to run someone's theories against data and I've never failed to disprove anyone's predictive strategy. One way to look at a stock price is within 3 concentric circles; the innermost being the ***company*** itself (the financial metrics, TAM/SAM/SOM opportunity, execution, etc). The next larger circle is the ***industry*** that company is in. (It didn't how profitable and growing your horse-and-buggy business was when the automobile started being produced). And both of those circles are subsumed by the last - ***macro-economics***. For example Federal interest rates directly accelerate or brake the entire stock market. Or a wildly profitable company in an industry growing quickly could be stopped with a single import tariff. All the volume profiles and RSI indicators and Ascending Flag patterns that you can tease out over an arbitrary period mean absolutely nothing when you have a subprime mortgage crisis. I'm glad your methods work for you. Cheers.

Unfair-Refuse-5545

Yeh, but it is losing A LOT of money. Makes sense its big.

No_Cod972

Price is what you pay, value is what you get. And we got a LOT of value with Mango.

Immediate_Fun_5320

Amazon Leo actuallt probobly won’t be a real competitor for a while, the issue with starlink is that their projected market doesn’t really exist- they have already captured the lions share of everyone willing to buy somthing like starlink, and cellular through starlink won’t be in very high demand unless they launch a LOT of starlink v3, plus they probobly won’t even have edge cases to go after as ASTspacemobile is already going after those right now. I’m just not even really sure where the market is for 5, 10x more revenue from starlink tbh. Not even anything with competitors. Also, starship development is getting EXPENSIVE. Starship MUST get within the launch costs they need or none of these plans work and they have spent 15-40B+ on nothing, and there are serious reasons to think it might not.

VariationAgreeable29

Lolol there are gonna be a LOT of bag holders talking about this stock nonstop in here (yes, even more than now). Elon fanboys are the worst kind

Spy300

Price it >TRUMP: PROBABLY TALK ABOUT CUTTING RATES WITH WARSH >TRUMP SAID OF WARSH “HE THINKS YOU HAVE TO LOWER INTEREST RATES” >TRUMP SAYS HE THINKS WARSH UNDERSTANDS HE WANTS LOWER RATES, WOULD NOT HAVE GOTTEN JOB HAD HE SAID HE WANTED TO RAISE RATES >TRUMP: WARSH WILL CUT RATES WITHOUT WHITE HOUSE PRESSURE >TRUMP: WHEN OIL PRICES GO UP, WE MAKE A LOT OF MONEY >TRUMP: FRANKLY, GAS PRICE HASN'T GONE UP AS MUCH AS I THOUGHT >TRUMP: I HAVE THE GREATEST PLAN OF ALL, WON'T REVEAL WHAT IT IS >TRUMP: 'WORLD’S MOST POWERFUL RESET!!! >BESSENT: RATES PEAKED THE DAY BEFORE WARSH WAS SWORN IN >BESSENT: 100% APPROVE OF THE FED GETTING RID OF FORWARD GUIDANCE >DALY SAYS FORWARD GUIDANCE NOT GOOD AT THIS JUNCTURE >WARSH: I DONT BELIEVE IN FORWARD GUIDANCE >WARSH: MY PREFERRED INFLATION MEASURE IS PCE TRIMMED MEAN >TRUMP: “I LOVE THE INFLATION” ✅️

M00NFAC3_69

brother, thats just tuition, you will likely lose A LOT more before you learn how to do this right, if ever.

mapoftasmania

We are in a cyclical shift to AI and other speculative stocks. When the cycle ends we will see the usual “flight to quality”.  Netflix is underestimated - its ad-supported business still has a LOT of runway. It’s a moderate growth stock with a blue chip balance sheet. 

PriceAlert354

Of course. That truly happened to me. The fact I even openly say it to people is crazy bc I was SO ashamed I did that. I literally could’ve just put that in SPY or shit even bonds, and probably have my retirement set. But instead I got greedy and March 25 with trumps tarriff tantrum, I panicked and broke every single rule I had for myself and had learned. I was devastated and depressed. Eventually I had to just accept what’s done is done. People have lost much more than that and recovered. Life is long. I’m grateful for the lesson. Now I know I need to protect my capital. Especially when another 0 comes along. All I had to do was take 100k and throw it in SPY and I would’ve been set. Next time, maybe just buy shares and hold. That’s all I do now and while I have A LOT of ground to make up, I know eventually I will make it all back and more.

G0RD0N_CLARK

It's going to be a LOT weird.

AllCapNoBrake

Has always been the case...just need a LOT more retail to finally wake up to that.

Hot_Philosopher_6558

Ppl not realizing how INSANE spcx is right now, usually when market goes down algo mass selling results in most going red or low percentage but spcx holds, meaning investors are buying A LOT

Goonslopenjoyer321

People be shitting on msft because of the stock performance. Very true but the company is great and makes A LOT of money. The market will give the stock attention again, its just not the right time right now.

obvnotlupus

He is saying that options will be released tomorrow, and a lot of people are going to buy calls. Market makers who sell those calls will need buy more stock to have a neutral position on the stock. Normally this does not happen in enough volume to have a big effect on the stock, but the theory is: 1. This is an insanely betted-on stock which at the moment has no options, so the moment options are available a LOT of people are going to buy them; 2. The volume of available shares is laughably small (like 5% of total shares) so the stock is extremely volatile and will respond more to large volumes changing hands

PsychoMantittyLits

I want to lose a LOT of money!

Beagle001

To be fair, I goto Autozone A LOT

Noderly

It's overvalued by A LOT by financial metrics. History shows us that, when the tides change, companies with outrageously high valuations drop outrageously far down. We've been in a long bull run. If the bull run changes to a prolonged bear market, good luck with this stock.

Noderly

Lol the moment the economic markets shift, this thing is dropping faster and harder than a strippers' clothes. There's going to be a LOT of hurt people from this one.

Imaginary-Writer-125

Tbh SPCX still has a LOT more to run Low float but remember that 🌽 is still above 66k, plenty of money in the market

P1um

>All of these companies have accomplished a LOT more than RKLB ever has financially. That's true but the market only cares about what could be in the future. Ford, Ebay, etc. these businesses can be easily replicated nowdays.

greenpride32

RKLB is currently worth $68b and has never made a cent of profit. For reference, it is worth more than TGT (Target), AFL (Aflac), F (Ford), O (Realty Income), VST (Vistra), EBAY (eBay); and many many more. I tried to list more commonly known names. All of these companies have accomplished a LOT more than RKLB ever has financially. RKLB certainly has potential to generate more profits than those companies in the future. But "space economy" isn't exactly a concrete industry, and there are many unknowns and uncertainties. So you're dealing with a fairly high risk/reward ratio there. These types of stocks can have very wild swings because nobody is buying the stock at elevated share prices because they believe they are buying at fair value, it's purely momentum and greater fool theory.

jrex035

Yep. My problem was that I thought the fundamentals of a key global commodity would snap markets out of this mania we're seeing around chips and AI, not least of which because both are deeply negatively impacted by the Strait closure. Instead, once again, nothing matters and nothing ever happens. There's still a long way to go before we get back to anything approaching a full normalization of the Strait, with a LOT of potential for things to go wrong, but apparently none of that matters either. It really is incredible.

Important_Ad_7764

hvor mange shares har du? jeg har kun 50.000 og overvejer købe flere, men har ikke så mange penge, så er lidt bange da den er lidt volatil. What do u think will happen to the stock? i want to buy more but im afraid it will go down A LOT after the WC and my average cost right now is 0,2 svenske kroner.

throw_keeb

there's only so much money in the prediction market for ceasefire nonsense - looks like on the order of millions from a quick search? apparently the mou is going to give them, among other things, a LOT of money - allegedly on the order of hundreds of billions

moriya

Yeah, 20 year vet here - you’re 100% right, janitors aren’t getting any equity. Even among the rank and file it varies a LOT by role. Some very senior engineers are getting loaded up with stock, some roles (sales) are cash heavy, but for most general roles you’re getting equity as a nice bonus, not a substantial part of your package. About the lowest rung on the totem pole that would get any equity exposure is office ops (front desk, etc). Cleaning, catering, etc is all outsourced out to third parties - they aren’t getting anything.

_Meow_o_Meow_

A lot of people? My sister makes like 90k and she bought a house.... depends a LOT on the where.

Abe2025

A LOT of people are making enormous anount of money through schemes, money laundering, beating systems. Example, there is a sheriff in a small town jn Arkansas who had many expensive vehicles and owned property just as big as the politician jn the picture of this post. Meanwhile people who went through college and make a difference in life make pennies and can hardly afford living. Its REALLY messed up

dproton

Ironically though, i do know A LOT of gamblers (sportsbooks and casinos).

Vivid-Snow-2089

we need a nuclear reactor, or a massive source of energy in space first for those big ass ions, and if you do the reactor, that's a LOT of mass... and cooling... yeah it's complicated it basically needs to be a government program for a long time, akin to the space race budget, with a massive political will behind it and we are fragmented and divided nowadays with no one agreeing on anything

TendstobeRight85

One has had a LOT more success, to the point its the industry flag-bearer. To be clear, getting the tech to make rockets land and be reusable is NOT something that can just be replicated. It takes both time and money. Space X had a LOT of government backing early on that gave it a massive head start, while a lot of its competitors either didnt focus on re-usability, or didnt have the live experience to build on. And as crappy as Elon is as a human being, he is very good at selling an idea, and soliciting investment from both private and public donors.

thebiglebowskiisfine

I bought SpaceX in a private placement at $9 per share and a lot of TSLA in 2013. I'm waiting for FSD to launch and might wait for the eventual merger. I have ridden TSLA to 480 and down to 130 and back up. My ASP is $12. My SpaceX shares are now locked for 180 days. It doesn't really bother me because I have no debt and other investments. I can stomach the extreme volatility, and there has been a LOT over the years.

onerandomcomputerguy

It happened A LOT during COVID times (even still these days just less so). I wasn't anywhere near that but I messed up a lot of plays that would have been millions

hobopwnzor

I think it's that and there were a LOT of naked shorts that were about to not make delivery.  There were also people selling shares they didn't have on an institutional level which is criminally illegal. Rather than having to arrest multiple fund managers and investigate a bunch of big names they decide to just shut it down.

Visual_Collar_8893

You have to factor in how much you also risked to make that 7k. The Risk Reward ratio is the key. Many ways to use the same capital for proportionally bigger gains. Also, after taxes, that 7k is a LOT less than 7k.

smoothie4564

Merging a company losing a small amount of money with a company losing A LOT of money is a smart move? Yes, that was a gamble that paid off but most of the time that would be a catastrophic move. That is equivalent to going to a casino, putting all of one's money on 36 red, the ball lands on 36 red, and claiming to be a genius. Musk may have played his cult members into giving him 75 billion dollars for a mere 4% of a company burning through cash, but I will not be one of those people.

pseudonominom

Data centers generate A LOT of heat, though. Radiators only do so much. They’re not nearly as effective as using ground-based heat sinks and water. There’s a reason they use so much water

Etherius

So… it’s pretty inarguable that there’s a LOT of potential in space. Orbital data centers, orbital solar collectors, and more. The problem is that’s all speculative right now. SpaceX remains the most cost effective way to get payloads into space and whatever you think of Musk, they do it well. But… they were already doing that without the IPO. IPO wasn’t to raise cash for operations, it was an exit strategy for insiders This company is losing money on a LOT of capex. I get that. But just how big is the market for “getting shit into space”?

KMPItXHnKKItZ

Shares are a long game and to build wealth over an average working lifetime, unless you trade with A LOT of money and/or get lucky/get in when a stock really pops. Options are for losing money right after you open the position and before you can even click to sell it.

siazdghw

You say that but look at the employees of Nvidia, Valve, etc. literally millionaires still doing their 9-5. People like money. A LOT. Also if you're a space enthusiast, which most employees are, there is no better company to be involved with. The only other option is taking significant pay cuts and being years behind to work at a smaller rocket company to have more input.

DrElkSnout

My biggest failure as an investor has always been letting go of positions that I originally thought were worth holding long term. Do with that information what you will, but I'd have a LOT more money if I just let some shit ride for 20 years.

DrElkSnout

My biggest failure as an investor has always been letting go of positions that I originally thought were worth holding long term. Do with that information what you will, but I'd have a LOT more money if I just let some shit ride for 20 years.

StrebLab

You are handwaving the cooling problem away A LOT. Look how large the cooling arrays on the international space station are. A typical data center would have easily 1000-2000x the heat output of the ISD when considering only the waste from the computation, not even the heat it would absorb from the sun. The arrays would need to be literally multiple square kilometers in size. And that is for ONE data center I'm not saying it is impossible, I am saying it is an extremely, irredeemably stupid idea that adds way more cost and complexity to a system that can already be done cheaper and easier on earth. The idea is peak stupidity. It would take years to make a single data center and will require continuous maintenance and switching out of parts. The cheapest rockets are never going to be as easy and cheap as just driving to a location on land. Maintenance is nightmare. Every step of the entire process is technically possible but way more work and way more expensive than what we can currently do on land. The idea is just dumb and once again is more Elon Musk magic over promising and under delivering. Still waiting on the Tesla Roadster that was supposed to come out in 2020.

Sir-Hamp

I’ve been out of work for months due to an off-site injury. I’m not broke but have time to learn something new. Would you say it is a difficult thing to pick up on? I thought about taking classes to learn the basics and going elsewhere for deeper knowledge of the market. I don’t mind starting small, shit I have a LOT of time on my hands right now lol.

Syllabub_Visual

Retail investors wanted to put $75 billion into spacex, the entire amount they planned to raise. A LOT of regards out there, but you know what, just trust Elon…