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Lotus Technology Inc. American Depositary Shares
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Tencent and Alibaba may or not be good stocks, but they certainly arent redundant to US conglomerate exposure. There are a LOT of scenarios where either could wildly outperform or underperform similar US tech companies.
DFLI pushers starting to sound a LOT like DVLT pushers were lmao
It's because Fox New made her their primary attack target when she was minority leader and you all fell for the Fox New propaganda hook line and sinker. Acting like she was the only one doing it, when as others have said, there a plenty of others, including A LOT of Republicans who have abused insider info way more than Pelosi not to mention Trumps obvious and in full display corruption. \*cough\*Binance pardon bribe\*cough\*
It is for shareholders! Also, the payment package is only filled if Tesla makes a LOT of profit too. Read it. It's only a few lines.
In the US, sure, I can see that. But in most other western countries you can retire even if you've never worked a day in your life, since the government makes sure everyone is taken care of, even if it ain't much, you get the minimum retirement. Plus if you're truly paycheck to paycheck like the OP said, I don't see saving 8-10k a year possible at all, maybe 1k a year if you skimp and scrape on a LOT.
I am betting A LOT on FGL the next couple days!
Minecraft makes this easier to understand imo. It's the fact that volume is proportional to the cube of length. If you dig a square out in Minecraft, you're left with a handful of dirt in your inventory. If you then keep digging and extend that square hole downwards, you end up with a LOT of dirt in your inventory. It's just that there's a lot of space to put stuff when you live in a 3D world. Also, our planet is pretty big compared to us.
True. I mean we’ve had run away debt for the past 20 years too and it’s all coming to a head: we now spend more on debt interest than the military, and we spend a LOT on military.
Disclaimer: I'm not an investor, and I have just a basic understanding of the intricacies of AI. I'm probably completely wrong, and I kind of hope I am. Random thoughts below: There's going to be a point where it contracts considerably and takes a lot of other economic growth with it. Right now, the entire U.S. economy is being propped up like a house of cards built on AI. Think about how much is actually being supported by AI expansion: data centers being built means construction and all of the infrastructure projects, like civil engineering, roads, power, cooling, materials, machinery, work crews, etc. People need to live close to their work, so there's probably a pretty good chunk of the real estate market that's people relocating for work. There's a LOT of stuff that's AI-related that isn't just AI. Eventually these construction projects will reach a saturation point where new construction slows dramatically and it becomes just maintenance with a little going into upgrading the existing facilities. When the "bubble pops," it'll be some kind of cutthroat corporate warfare with the bigger, more successful companies swooping in and buying the little ones for pennies on the dollar. And a lot of it won't be because they're necessarily "better"; they'll just have the capital in reserve to ride out the storm and wait for the little guys to run out of steam. The main thing that concerns me is the whole "AI taking our jobs" thing. The main purpose of AI that's been promoted is to increase efficiency and eliminate human "waste." Once these jobs are eliminated, that's going to be a VERY significant segment of the workforce. If fewer people are working, that means fewer customers buying their services, which means less demand for AI, and so on. And a lot of these jobs won't be replaced; this includes the engineers and technicians who are the ones doing all of the "heavy lifting" right now. I see a LOT of similarities to pyramid schemes, where the early investors benefit from whomever joins the game later until the market reaches a saturation point. If I was heavily invested (which I'm not), I'd keep my eye not on the stocks of the "big guys" themselves, but on little stuff like civil construction projects around the data centers and the land leases that are being made for new construction. As long as some podunk town in rural Idaho is hiring road construction crews and the city is selling land for data centers, there's still a good amount of growth going on. When those start slowing down, I'd think that's a good sign that there might be an overall slowdown coming. Of course, I probably have no idea what I'm talking about.
It’s a LOT more simple than this. Just ask yourself one question: “when do I need money?” Your time horizon will guide all your decisions. If you need money next month, then the decision is obvious. If you need money as an annuity, the decision is straightforward. If you don’t need money for decades, once again obvious! Now. If you don’t need the money ever, like it’s just play money, side money, etc. well once again there’s an answer for that as well.
there are a LOT of people who support sexual predators
Many of them are still up a LOT.
I could see it, but I wouldn't bet on it. A LOT of bad economic data will hit once the government finally reopens
I’m at a similar avg and not sweating too bad yet, its only been 10 min but it could be a LOT worse than hovering around .60 (in my opinion)
Yes I do.. I am in the building trades. The piping systems needing for cooling are IMMENSE. All of the electrical that is ran in a singular data center. The data center building itself. Etc etc etc. The list goes on and on. Humans have A LOT to figure out infrastructure wise to reach AGI or ASI. Compute power is just the tip of the iceberg in terms of infrastructure problems to reach AGI.
RDDT has so many categories where the user contributed discussions are very valuable. Clearly advertisers are attracted to this fine segmentation. Given the number of Engaged DAUs globally RDDT has a LOT of headroom to monetize far higher than today.
Nice! It is A LOT of fun until you get banned. But hey IT'S worth it tbh!
Try buying pokemon cards and tell me how easy that is Gamestop has been making A LOT of money on selling Power Packs, which is getting rid of surplus inventory of cards. Plus they own enough Bitcoin ranking them 23rd largest company in the world holding Bitcoin, based on the 4710 Bitcoins they own Gamestop could stop selling everything, except Pokemon cards, and they'd still be profitable. Sure Pokemon card hype could die eventually, but it's greatly benefiting Gamestop. Ignoring this, idk, seems silly
Options are very much a double-edged sword, and if you don't REALLY understand the math behind them and have the stomach for the huge swings, they're best avoided. It takes a LOT of discipline to hold through the big down days. If I had just bought $70K worth of shares (at my average entry price on the shares) and held till now, they'd still be worth around $550K -- still a hell of a good return for \~9 months. There's still LOTS of room for IREN to run IMO -- the price targets I set when I entered this trade was around $180 by end of CY2026, with a range of $150-200. To put that in context, my price target for end of CY2025 was $50, and we blew through that in early October, so apparently I'm being very conservative.
>make products a LOT cheaper and more easily attainable Prices don't go down unless people stop buying - (which won't happen unless people lose jobs and don't have income to pay for products) Corporations are making profits There is no thought to making prices lower to benefit people. It's only to max the bottom line to benefit share holders.
Best UI out and very informative. I learned more about stocks from the UI/setup than I did at my university 🤷🏾♂️. That is saying A LOT! Long term buy/holding.
My MMA at a local credit union gives me a bit over 3.6%. I don’t see many short term CDs much over this mark…plus, I’m locked in for at least 6mos or else penalties. I see what you’re saying but I read in many places that the wealthy (not me though) use debt as a tool. I keep reading time in the market wins all, not so much timing the market. That said, I want jamb as much money into the market as soon as I can. I’m not getting any younger here and there will always be things that pop up in the home. If I held onto cash for every single thing that could pop up (non-emergencies), I feel I wouldn’t be maximizing what I could invest. A bit of background as to why I’m like this. 18yrs ago I invested in Tesla. I only put around $1,000 on it and sprinkled another $6K or so among other stocks such as FB (at the time), and a few others that just did ok. Obviously Tesla took off and it’s now worth almost $250K alone…a bit over 500shares. My point is, I had A LOT more money back then than just a few thousand dollars (I was 27 only engaged, no kids), I could’ve easily put another $10K spread over those few stocks where Tesla couldn’t been worth over a million now. Instant college savings and paid off mortgage. But no, I left tens of thousands in my account (remember, 17yrs ago). So now, I’m kicking myself - hard. Now I have severe FOMO and reading how people are making a killing themselves on stock like SOFI, PATH, NBIS, NVDIA etc, and feel my measly $700/wk in my brokerage account just isn’t doing enough damage (in a good way). This is why perhaps I’m struggling with this and asking you all for your perspectives…which I appreciate!
Now in toenails 381 billion dollars worth of toenails would occupy approximately 6.09 billion cubic feet of space, or the equivalent of about 2.38 million shipping containers. That’s a LOT of toenails! You could fill up over 2 million shipping containers with them. 👣
Now in giraffe farts Conclusion: 381 billion dollars worth of giraffe farts would occupy approximately 66.26 billion cubic feet of space, or the equivalent of about 25.9 million shipping containers. That’s a LOT of giraffe farts! Almost 26 million shipping containers full of air from giraffes. Talk about a stinky investment! 😂💨
Yep, I'm not a fan of what I've heard about universal health care, but it would remove A LOT of the administrative inefficiencies to have a single system.
The best way to achieve 2M in two decades is having a million now. Im not entirely joking...in that time frame you might be able to double things up maybe once, give or take, if you add money bit by bit. That means you have to invest over 5k a month for those 18 years which im pretty confident you are unlikely to do given your age and your post. Alternatively, you can try adding value yourself through whatever business you manage to do to increase the amount of money at the end of the month, but that requires luck, skill and yes, an initial cushioning investment (however small) and evne then it is not guaranteed to succeed, it will take a lot of time too. If you are out of sane options, you can always (not recommended) gamble with smaller stocks and other instruments but risk goes up a lot higher than ROI, to the point of you basically emulating a casino night. Im not saying you can't, plenty of people have done that, but unless you can invest a few thousand bucks a month for a very long time or have a LOT of luck and seed money, then yours is merely a dream, not an objective
There are a LOT of only fans out there...
A LOT more P&S on stock subreddits, a lot less actual DD. If you do find some good DD on a stock then try and get in early as possible, retail sentiment seems to have a bigger impact on market swings now
Lol they're not worth more than nvidia because of hype. Google has way more source of incomes than nvidia and they do LOT more RnD. LOT more up to the point they have entire companies for speicifc purposes (see deepmind or waymo). Ask yourself a question, if (when) the AI hype goes away, who's going to be impacted long term? What will be nvidia business? Will they go back doing gaming GPUs?
"I'm scared this will drop a LOT more." So, buy a lot more. 💵
Half my portfolio is in META In 2021, stocks like META dropped 75%. Right now, META is down 20% from ATHs. I'm scared this will drop a LOT more. But I think it's still a good investment What do you guys think
feel like that describes a LOT of people right now, especially when you factor in the companies Nvidia has partnered with
I know it’s not enough to outweigh the losses. My point is, bro is 20 years old and can take A LOT of risk due to a presumably very long time horizon. There’s no point in panicking over a market drop that nobody is going to be able to accurately predict. He should deploy at least SOME of his cash and get it in the market to capture some of the upside and then deploy the rest during a down turn and wait for the recovery.
That would be the 13-14th if I'm not mistaken, which is more or less my own guess. A LOT of pressure will build over the next 2 weeks, especially if SNAP benefits don't get delivered.
You can't cut AI spending. You have to replace GPU's very often and it takes a LOT of energy to run
"A profitable trade is a good trade." (Maybe not a *great* trade, but a good one nonetheless.) And if your first purchase was over a year ago, your gains are Long-Term, which is a lower rate than Short-Term. Yeah, you could have done a bit better. You also could have done a LOT worse!
Way over hyped. They’re a glorified data analytics consultant company. Anyone who actually works with data (data scientists, data engineers, etc) knows how crappy the data can be and it can only take someone who’s super close already with internal data to recognize the issues with it. It’d be a LOT cheaper to just hire data engineers or other data professional than to hire Palantir.
THis is the exact shit ive been complaining about and preaching about for months. And its led to nothing but underperformance and slowly going insane lmao. "The market is forward looking" is one of the biggest lies and crocks of shit out there. If it truly were, things would be A LOT DIFFERENT right now. This market truly is 1999 levels of hype and mania combined with 2008 levels of awful debt and capatal mismanagement. And we have fucking Trump at the helm to guide us through whatever epic shitstorm is going to happen
If they are 10year options, don't sell. That is a LOT of option "premium" you would give up for nothing. If you need cash quick, then you do you.
I worked at a MAG 7 for several years. The overall talent ceiling was disappointing, yes some people were legit geniuses but most were fairly average and didn't deserve to be editing google calendars for 240k a year. There is A LOT of bloat. Could easily cut 50-75% of every team I encountered and you would most likely run faster as an org.
There's a LOT of NSFW stuff happening on my end. I bet most people would consider my behavior extremely inappropriate if they saw what I watched / engaged in. I don't care though, cause that's how I roll.
It might feel good to say that, but we are talking 30,000 jobs here... And that is just Amazon. UPS cut 40,000 jobs this year. Fact of the matter is as much as AI currently sucks at human interaction, it can handle logistics much, much better than a human can.... With facial and body recognition camera monitoring, AI assisted logistics, and line workers being replaced by robotics, The real job losses are will occur in middle management.... Ai will not fully replace humans, but it will make it so that 1 manager can now do the job of 50, which is still a LOT of unemployed folks competing with each other for the same job
If you would quickly check their SEC filings you would know that they have a lot of.. and I mean A LOT OF .. outstanding warrants at 0.35 0.8 and so on and on.
Not sure but I think a LOT ( not ALL by any means) of people have cash to pay for food if they have to....just have to resched. nails, lashes, extensions, tats, piercings, and ordering food IN a few weeks....none of those places take SNAP yet they do a land business.....
I think the entire us Economy is being propped up by AI growth. I'm not an economist, but an individual contributor at a tech company. When I go to my company's meetings and literally every revenue-driving conversation revolves around AI (when my company does a LOT more than that), it starts setting off the alarm bells. 1.5 years ago, our strategy meetings were way more diversified, talking about emerging markets and projects, with some discussion on how to leverage AI in there to drive growth in those markets. Now the conversation is just growth into ai.
Puts for me. Disney+ numbers will disappoint A LOT
Post inflation wages are up Discretionary spending is up Reddit makes it seem like everyone is struggling, but a LOT of people are doing REALLY well.
I drink a LOT of coffee and the cheapest I can do for the week is about $8. Which would be 2x 10oz bags of Cafe Bustelo at about $4.15 per bag bought in bulk. But then there's also half and half or milk.
That's still a LOT for a single cup of coffee. People will gravitate to lower-quality coffees like McDonalds, 7-11, etc where you can get a similar sized coffee for like 1/3 of the price.
"It went well" friend at your absolute peak, like at your best, you were barely outperforming just buying and holding gold. Which is so much safer. For the level of risk you were at you should be aiming to be a LOT higher than that
> Genuinely curious. How does OpenAI intend to monetise their platform? Are they going to spam ads in people’s faces like Google and meta. Probably, but right now they are focused on improving their product. Considering Google does $200 Billion in ad sales a year, and ChatGPT/ChatGPT Search is likely to replace Google as the dominant source of information, OpenAI has a LOT of revenue/profit potential. OpenAI's biggest issue is the 95% of their users that are free users. If their 800 million active users produce $15 in ARPU a month(conservative estimate), that's $12 Billion a month, or $180 Billion a year.
A LOT OF DIFFERENT THINGS MANY OF THEM VERY IMPORTANT yeah, no deal.
They'rrrrrrre gonna buy a LOT of American NVDA chips and I'm going to tariff them for my second ballroom
Well, I’m not a bear and I own a LOT of GOOGL but these bears you speak of were right that ChatGPT is taking all the search away. The beauty of GOOGL is that they have multiple revenue streams. This beat was entirely about their cloud revenue.
Target Date Funds were designed exactly for people like yourself, and you honestly shouldn't choose anything else unless you do a LOT more reading (of books, not reddit posts) than you currently have. Target Date Funds have the "set it and forget" blend you're looking for, to be clear. You choose the date based on when you want to retire, and then that's all you have to do. You mean read something about Target Date Funds having tax consequences because of the bonds held within them - this is not important in a tax-advantaged account like the IRA you have your money in. Target Date Funds are perfect for tax-advantaged brokerage accounts like an IRA.
Idk man that call is still OTM and with earnings done will contract A LOT ok IV. He better hope it opens higher tomorrow.
Why would it matter at this stage? They really need A LOT to cover their debt and pay for Nagar shares, which they couldn't afford, they will do a RS eventually to stay above 1$ (nagar will continue dropping the stock) and they will price in any offering to get some cash to cover Nagar's losses and their debts. SCWO is dead crap, turns out firing 10% of your shares isn't the smartest move.
97.8% chance according to the cme watch tool....the website and other helpful trading tools should be pinned to the top, this question is asked A LOT. That website also has a trading/economic calendar with colored indicators showing how impactful various data sets are and you can organize it by country and day. Super helpful when you want world news, as far as trading, I use it to find days where a lot of important information is available and then I long or short volatility by using ladders or iron condors.
two things for the 350B in cash 1. He is running a business, you are not. when he buys, he buys big so he needs a big nest egg for things. Remember 350B is about 1/3 the funds market cap atm. 2. He is in hit late 90s. Having more room for your successor to make some adjustments over your items is not horrible. Plus there is a LOT of overvalued companies at the moment, and some that are good to realize how they are undervalued too. This means a heavy cash position is good....after all, cash is king. He is also a very conservative investor...not big growth but steady. 10-20% in cash is ok in that situation for permitting for a buying opportunity. 33% means a little cautious and looking for a sweat deal.
Nvda literally said they will have 500B or 0.5T next 5 quarters... Yes revenue. With their 62% net profit.. That is FUCKING A LOT
a bubble inflates really fast. and as long as youre out before it pops you make a LOT of money. That's how every bubble works
So like 10 dte? You better be right spot on about the direction cuz gamma is king now. Theta starts to matter a LOT LESS once you get to single digit days to expiry. The rate of decay from theta doesn't increase fast enough to keep up with gamma
its just potential money, you lose out on everything above the strike price which in this case is a LOT
I would argue ChatGPT knows a LOT more personal information than Facebook does nowadays
Right , he profits just a LOT less than if he’d done nothing
Not really. They gave Microsoft 5 years to do something with it, and then they were allowed to get back into mobile telephony. Immediately afterward, they licensed the name to some finns who continued the work. From what I understand, one out of every three cellular repeaters is an NSN product. Also, being the industry leader means they have a LOT of IP. I was told that Nokia's IP portfolio earns about $7 every time you buy an iPhone.
I’m ber. I’m currently short. And as much as I would love for this to happen, there’s a LOT of support to break through to get down that far.
No debt, multiple mou's, links to nato, only ncif certified company in canada (which is pushing ncif compliant HPC) cheap renewable electricity, mou with paypal, solid infrastructure, great management, cheap, multiple catalysts, a LOT has been in the works. This train will reach a $ soon
There is absolutely a reason. The only reason the stock was as high as it was prior to its massive freefall was due to the expectation they'd get A LOT more than they did from the Samsung lawsuit. That said, it might end up going up a bit as we hit catalysts for the Apple lawsuit. But clearly you should do some more DD on things before making a decision.
Do yourself a favor and NEVER target over what your need is. For example, if you want 3k a month then target 3k a month. Split your options so they make 3k combined. Don't go into options and see all the juicy premiums and say, "Wow, I need 3k but I can make 6k on the highest options". That mentality ruins people. First determine if you an diversify your options enough so that you are making small trades (not putting all your money in 1 or 2 options), then determine how much you can make on low risk options. If it equals 3k, that's all you need. Anything else you make that month is just icing on the cake. Doing that will let you know if you can make 3k. It's a LOT better to determine how far off you are from your goal and then save up enough (or start options trading at a lower goal) until you have enough to make the 3k than to trade risky options just to try to make your goal. After I make my goal, I trade very low risk options. If I find my normal strategy hasn't gotten me what I need that month, I'll get a little riskier towards the end if I find tickers that still meet my strategy.
a LOT more than twice. Each of these squeezes took WEEKS not days to complete. With several significant drops along the way. I dont know if all you people weren't around when GME and AMC happened, or you just have terrible memory. But what is playing out right now with BYND is 1:1 following the same pattern and script as GME/AMC
The top 10 in other countries tend top be top 10 because these other countries have few mega-sized businesses and so the ones they do have tend to dominate their stock markets. The US has a LOT of big businesses, but they are still dwarfed by these behemoths. That in itself is not the problem. The problem is that the price on these companies are pretty high and they are all in tech--which can be very boom/bust--and have a lot of overlapping businesses, and so if things don't go to plan the fall could be very dramatic. But for example, look at the top 10 Canadian companies: 1 tech company, 2 infrastructure companies, a pipeline, a mining company, and 5 banks. 5 banks in the top 10 is very heavy concentration in one sector, but banks (and especially big Canadian banks) are pretty resilient and even with valuations that currently seems high their P/E ratios are in the teens right now.
a LOT of them recently like 0% chances of finding the actual valid information
3x leveraged ETFs can drop a WHOLE LOT more than 3.70 in two weeks, especially with earnings coming in. If you're bullish, you're almost certainly better off just buying the shares
I work for Novo, he's cutting a LOT of positions
> I DO have the luxury of having specced out a (admittedly small) heat exchanger with tantalum actually! /r/instrumentation /r/plc /r/controltheory here. I was on a commissioning job where I go into the field, verify install, and "buy" a loop on behalf of the company. In this case Dow. The installers (lowest bid of course) had installed 21 Thermowells into a batch process heater and slid the Tantalum sheaths (think "metal condom" that say between the cheap mass produced TW metal and the very process specific AND VERY VERY EXPENSIVE Tantalum that was literally just being used as a barrier to the process. These had to be machined and pressed to perfectly fit the TW as well. The installers slid these off, and had stepped on them flat. Like walked over them as if they were part of the packaging. I called the whole crew out and we took A LOT of pictures. Then called our company's off site bosses to request legal advice. The boss said something like, "It's super expensive to get these guys out of bed. Do I need to call now or can we wait until tomorrow?" I was like there is something like $120k in metal + machining with a 20 week lead time, made by one manufacture in the world and this is going to hold up the operation of C-train (Thankfully this section had 4 parallel trains) for whatever daily profits that will lose them AND we haven't yet reported / explained anything to the client. They called legal. We went out there with four cameras and videoed everything. Then we had LEGAL in on a group conference call with the project manager, Dow's traveling project consultant, and the plant manager, as well as Dow's legal team. Thankfully the first thing we did was go to the warehouse and explain in no uncertain terms were the other three crates of the TW sheaths to be given to the construction installers or anyone until they got a call from the plant manager because there had been an issue. Union guys so they were cool with that even though we weren't in the chain of command. I'll give you one guess who was doing the installing... MMR you got it in one. But you get what you pay for. >"Piranha Etch" or "Piranha Solution". Dow has Tickle (titanium tetrachloride) and Teal (Tri-etheal aluminum) on this same site and the has mat for those is wild. One of the things is like, "if the solution eats through the pipe, and it can do that, do not use a regular fire extinguisher. Everything will make it burn more and at a temp to further compromise the piping. Put water on it.... more burning, fire extinguishers... more burning... foaming material in plant wide fire water... more burning. But there are these purple fire extinguishers around. They have THEIR OWN HAZMAT PAGE because they are toxic as fuck, but whatever is in them will put out the fire. Oh yeah how far is the concentrated tank and holding from the cyclohexane pumps? (super flammable, under pressure, and pumps, so they will eventually have seal issues) about 40 yards. I didn't work it but another Dow site had FOOF in he R&D lab, and that's like mad science levels of fuck-off-I'm-going-home. * Do you react the oxides and acid first (with your chemicals) or they just pump it and let it eat away at the pipe 90s?
Maybe? It went up A LOT, so it's not crazy that it dumps a bit after hours. I just got in at $1, banking on the hope that it picks up later tonight and tomorrow. It has a while before it stays up for get, if it ever gets there, but I think it has at least one more pump on this news. But I also sold some BYND as a loss to buy CODX so what the heck do I know lol.
Not really. But I think this means we will see A LOT of volatility, before we can happily live ever after
After winning THREE Elections, BY A LOT, I am now getting the best Polling Numbers that I have ever received. People see how strong the Economy is, the Trillions of Dollars of Investment pouring into our Country, the Record Setting Strong Border (After years of millions of criminals pouring through it, totally unvetted and unchecked!), ending 8 wars in eight months, no men playing in women’s sports, no transgender for everyone, rapidly falling Energy prices, and much more! Despite all of this, the Radical Left Losers are taking fake ads, not showing REAL Polls, but rather saying that I’m Polling at low levels. These are the people that I’ve been beating for years, and am continuing to do so, but by even bigger margins. These ads should not be allowed to run because they are FAKE! BUY AMC
You guys going hard on this ... if this actually moves please CONSIDER bailing in the 5-7 range at most. This one will leave a LOT of bagholders if it actually runs. I dont expect any crypto treasury plays to spike next till U.S. govt shutdown ends.
Boo hoo. Everyone of us with brains warned the regarded. Hell, I made over 5K on it, didnt get greedy and pulled out over 7. Everyone with a brain pulled out before the massive and TOTALLY ovbious drop. Moreover, a LOT of us (myself included) repeatedly nicely tried to explain. A fricken reddit mod even tried to explain AFTER explaining this was an artificial play and a scam by space rat. The clowns got pissy, screamed about apes strong, diamond hands, posted AI slop DD & Images, abd ignored ALL THE WARNINGS. The time for empathy has passed. Now is the time for tough love....bagholder
Also it’s not always easy to say how serious of a bubble you’re in at the beginning. The Dotcom Bubble bursting was a complete financial disaster for a LOT of people in the space….but everyone else was fine, and the big boys in the space lived on Happily Ever After and made a lot of money for their shareholders for better or worse. Meanwhile, today, I don’t think many could have predicted ~2-3 years ago that the AI field would not only be a bubble but would be basically holding up a faltering economy. And even today I don’t think we *really* know what this bubble bursting will look like; it seems closer to 2007 than Dotcom, but who knows.
Why would this be "aggressive" considering BRKB's defensive tilt and large cash holdings? We wouldn't need this money for 12+ years. My reasoning is that since BRKB has a strong defensive tilt and a LOT of cash on hand, it would be a good place to be invested in this environment for 2 reasons: 1) I don't want to miss out on growth--while conservative, it's beat the market consistently, 2) with little AI/Big Tech exposure and money on hand, it's positioned to not suffer as much when the market corrects and to take advantage of any correction. Counter thoughts?
I think that narratives cooked. With every redditor and their mom telling people to buy gold I bet it has A LOT more room to fall
The same reason why some gamblers think they can beat the house. Few actually do consistently, and the ones that do this consistently spend A LOT of time learning, following, studying, etc. while being extremely disciplined. Most people are both not that smart nor disciplined, which is why most people won't win.
Yep. Because the rich people keep a LOT of their money in the market. They won't let it crash unless they don't get hurt that bad.
I don’t watch the market any more! (except, actually, Reddit stock now and then - RDDT!) Certain stocks (formerly HD, Home Depot, for example) move in tandem with, and are reliable proxies for, the overall market. The put-call ratio on HD, for example, was the worst in its ENTIRE history, on the Thursday/Friday before 9-11 hit. I didn’t know WHAT was wrong, nor WHAT was going to happen. But I figured something, somewhere must be very, very, very wrong. The indicators, the charts, etc., if you can read them, tell you what you need to know to stay SAFE more often than not. And you should have risk management strategies in place, always, just in case!!!! Learn risk management. Above all! Get out at 5% max loss. This is what I learned from books written by the old guys, who’d been trading forever. I don’t know if investors . com is any good, nowadays. But that’s the company that used to be owned by William O’Neill. Look for volume changes, vix volatility index, put-to-call ratio (!), especially learn about the Golden Cross and the Death Cross (of moving averages, share price, volume strength) which are (or at least used to be!) rare but extraordinarily, wonderfully, reliable indicators. Read William O’Neil’s books, and STUDY other teachers who are OLD, so they’ve gone through a LOT of booms and busts and have “seen it all.” If you focus on trading one stock only (becoming a specialist in all its chart patterns, its balance sheet, leadership, earnings and other events, industry activity), I believe “intuition” kicks in to an amazingly great degree. 🔮 Read Jack Schwager’s books. !!! The books are old, so you can see which traders (who were all doing well at the time interviewed) ended up succeeding long-term, and which strategies *didn’t* keep succeeding! Historical, though! So what worked in older markets (mid-late 1990s tech stocks, for example) will not necessarily be evergreen strategies you can still use today. There are even private companies that will train you to trade their money for them, nowadays. There is no 100% guarantee on predictions, but *especially* with all the self-fulfilling prophecy involved in giant firms that trade on technical indicators, the job of crash prediction, I believe, should continue to become even easier. Especially if you also learn about macro-economics and watch a non-biased source of news focused on financial nitty gritty, accuracy. I’m complicating it, here, perhaps. Maybe *start* with William Oneill’s books. And Peter Lynch, maybe: “One Up On Wall Street” - well named!!! The individual investor has the advantage, according to these guys. William O’Neill used to repeat, over & over & over & over at his live seminars: “Huge investors are like elephants getting out of a bathtub. They cannot hide how the ‘water level’ changes!” They cannot hide when they are selling off such giant positions. But they can’t sell all at once, because the sale of their own shares would move the market down, resulting in them getting a worse price for their own shares. So if you learn the signs (volume!! charts!) that BIG investors are getting INTO or OUT of a position (the “bathtub,” lol), you can follow in their footsteps (and buy/sell when they are)! Okay, I just gotta shut up now, lol…. 🤣 As if I know wth I’m talking about!!!! 😃☔️☂️☔️☂️☔️☂️🔮☂️☔️☂️☔️☂️☔️ Love and hralth and serenity are what matter. That I do know, I think…. Love to ALL ✨💖✨
I hope you are right. I’ve used RPA heavily (mostly UIPath) a decade ago, and then decided to make a big investment as they were the best. I lost A LOT as a result. Please make this pump.
What?! They have only been able to keep going because of the EV credits. Without that they are going to sink unless they make a LOT of changes.
The United States has barely ever attacked any foreign power directly. It’s mostly all done through proxy wars and disruption of regions. Nobody does it better. Well, the Middle East has learned A LOT, and given us a taste of our own medicine in the last 10-15 years. Regardless, The U.S. accounts for 64% of Chinese exports. That number is ugly for both sides, as it shows dependency by both nations. Who has the leverage? It ebbs and flows, but you would have to be downright silly to think China can cut off that cash stream and not be affected in the slightest. For how big the Chinese economy is, it doesn’t even crack the top 50 wealthiest nations (current ranked 73rd). Nor the top 25 in PPP (currently ranked 77th). There is a lot of poverty in China, and the reason is simple. There isn’t enough wealth to pass around as they have the largest population in the world. 5 times the population The U.S. has. That’s a lot of mouths to feed, and bodies to treat in a system that heavily depends on government services. Your issue is you’re looking at China from the perspective and experience of an American, but the two nations are vastly different. China has to be huge, and depends on value greatly to survive. So again, you don’t cut off your largest customer…
This is very good analsis, and I agree completely. But, unfortunately, everything is broken & nothing makes sense & the clowns running the show will just pump fake fronts into infinity over and over again. I've been bearish for about a decade & I'm poorer for it (by A LOT). I think the move with this is basically, 1) if you have money in it, get out now 2) if you were considering investing, don't, but 3) if you are considering shorting, also don't. This is in my list with companies like CVNA. It's literally driving me crazy that it isn't crashing. I've tried many times to catch my lotto on a waaaaay OTM put, but it's just wasted money. We got many problems with the modern exchange, one is that a lot of people are actually stupid, another is that the bulk of trading is conducted by algos that don't care if something is stupid, and another is that very smart people are taking advantage of the first two conditions. It's all fraud. Not just QUBT, the whole thing is a fucking sham. Our entire economy (on paper) is a fake. And, it has been demonstrated many times that the government will just inject fake fiat every time it looks like it might finally collapse. I can't wait to see the fund managers in shambles, leaping from the rooftops of their high rises and painting the pavement. But I will literally probably be dead first. I don't believe in short positions, anymore. Not without illegal insider info, which I will never get because I'm nobody.
>Chatgpt 5 is literally trading stocks like most humans We don't have AGI yet. This was always the outcome, since ChatGPT is modeled after human behavior. An AI would need the faculties to be able to tell good human information vs bad, and in a lot of training data, like Reddit where most info is grabbed, is indistinguishable. It'd take a lot longer and a LOT more resources to cross reference each comment with the actual financial outcome, and that's absolutely necessary to get a reliable model output. They have started deeper research on the topic, though, hiring a ton of Wall Street talent to provide high-quality human training data for fine tuning a stable financial model. Even then, the tools being developed now are more for people who understand the financial world and would know that the information coming back was flawed at first glance. It's further compounded by the fact that a lot of 'normal' folk with normal educations and no real further education in finance will still have this same result even when the systems are fine-tuned just because there is a lack of domain knowledge on the user's part (i.e. they don't know the correct questions to ask that matter and over-hype the information received). Eventually, though, the power of the systems will be pretty insane. The whole idea behind today's models is predicting the next token in a series. That's something we've never been able to do with finance, and if GPT or other LLMs actually do so, it'll be huge (and disruptive to the nth degree).
This is true, depreciation and cost-of-capital overtaking power-efficiency as the margin driver for cloud providers is a huge industry shift, if interest rates go lower soonish the bubble is gonna get a LOT bigger.
I pay for a handful of TA experts time because they do in-depth analysis on a lot of charts every day/week/month and tbh I would rather pay someone else to do that so I can focus more on trading. One of the analysts I subscribe to has developed common sense proprietary indicators that have made me a LOT of money in a short amount of time, and also kept me from making some dumb decisions based on hype. I subscribe to one Patreon because I enjoy listening to his daily updates on the market and he helps me see what charts I want to focus on for the coming week.
This is not legal advise, I am not a laywer. Small claims court is often cool up to like 6k. It likely costs like a hundred bucks to file a no lawyer claim. It will cost robinhood A LOT of money to not pay you the 5k knowing you made a good faith trade based on the timing. You can inform them that their costs in legal fees to even defend this would likely outstrip the cost they save... if you wanted to tell them about that. Not saying you'd be able to keep your account open after though. Make good choices lol
You're right - "investing" is just slow trading. Something a LOT of these folks don't get... probably because they'd rather believe they were smart than lucky.
Full disclosure - I'm invested in QS but not without extensive research. However the total addressable market for solid state batteries will be in the multiple TWh range over the next 10 years and there is room for *multiple winners.* Lithium ion is what we currently use, and it's on its way out. It's getting near the theoretical limit of what it can achieve chemically so we have to move to new chemistries and formats for better performance. There are an array of different chemistries competing for the crown - the frontrunners being sulfide and oxide chemistries as these are the closest to commercialization. Some batteries have anodes, some don't. Some are better for EV (generally considered one of the larger markets) and some are better for drones or stationary storage. Next generation battery-producing companies tend to go after the EV/transportation market because it dwarfs all other markets and has the most stringent safety and performance requirements. There's the most room for growth here as opposed to a company that produces batteries for military drones that don't need to be recharged many times because they are expendable. I would start by looking at AMPX, ENVX, MVST, SLDP, and QS. Factorial and ProLogium are good ones but they are private and can't be invested in. All of these companies can play some role in the future and their technologies each have their own challenges. You can still invest in CATL if you want and they have their sulfide chemistry research as well. I was only replying to the commenter that I do not believe sodium ion will change the world and that sodium ion is not a good reason to invest in CATL. Personally I think QS has the goods and so do Corning, Murata, Volkswagen, and at least 5-6 other undisclosed companies. I will link you to the [QS Blog](https://www.quantumscape.com/resources/blog) on their website ONLY because it is a FANTASTIC resource to learn about all of these things. I am not suggesting you buy into QS. Their QS blog is just *so dang good* that it really helps you understand why we need new batteries and why they have been so hard to develop. It gives you basic information you need to make informed decisions. It will also help you understand how to better evaluate each of the companies I have listed and it will help you realize which parts of the technology tree are dead ends. Of course it has a QS bias, but I think you will learn a LOT in one place. Just read all of the articles and you will come away a lot smarter. Then go and pick which companies you want to invest in with your newfound knowledge.
Hear me out. 10k is a lot. But it's not A LOT. Just get yourself back together, forget the get rich quick mentality, build an emergency fund, and start investing in good old sp500 on a monthly basis. Once you are back to your 10k, you can start playing with some individual stocks for no more than 5% of your portfolio. No option. No meme stock. Just goodold, profitable, well managed companies.