LOT
Lotus Technology Inc. American Depositary Shares
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I closed most of my positions. I think SPY chops around from here in this range. Didn’t make it out with 100% wins today since I was holding 690 SPY puts from 330pm yesterday purchased as it continued its 12 dollar recovery. But I closed them at the (current) bottom for a slight loss and made out on everything else. Left a LOT of money on the table , but I’m up on the day.
Contracts mean nothing if one of the companies goes out of business. Which is what will happen to openai if they can't come up with a LOT of revenue in the next few years.
Just imagine him naked saying this crap. It explains a LOT.
4. Is the most important one. In normal conditions 15% a year is great growth on account. Because options are capable of giving 100-10,000% gains under the right conditions, regards chase 10 baggers to their doom. 15-50% gains is a LOT by investment standards. Learn to take profit early and often and enter plays with a short time frame in mind. 1 and 7 are good too. It’s all about using rules and following them. Emotional trading will always fuck you up. Euphoria as well as despair. Some of my absolutely dumbest moves have been after a solid fire winning streak. Also, cut your losses. I don’t set stop-losses, I usually place orders to sell to close with my target price, so if a trade isn’t going the way I thought it would, I’ll close it out and take a small loss. If it’s a strong conviction play with enough time to expire to wait, I will, but sometimes it’s best to just walk.
A LOT of people I know got 17s this year. The product was actually worth an upgrade and the deals carriers put out were amazing. I can see that kind of demand
what do you think about tungsten or uranium? conflicts about to kick up and i have a gut feeling that the DiB is about to spend a LOT of money mining those two ores.
No, but they had a LOT of rules what they were allowed to invest in
I’m just now remembering that Elon wanted the model names to be S,E,X,&Y to spell SEXY because he is the biggest loser dork on the planet. Luckily, Ford already owned the rights to “Model E”, so he had to go with 3, spelling out S3XY in fucking leet speak. THIS IS THE RICHEST MAN IN THE WORLD, BY A LOT!
Even if they did, the humanoid robot market is A LOT smaller than the electric car market
I'd always liked Starbucks as an idea of business. But lately... if you go to our local Starbucks they're not clean, and teen baristas seem to not even xare to be there. Besides... I see A LOT of new cafés that embraced the initial idea of Starbucks and made it at good prices. Not to be that guy but how is Starbucks gonna keep growing when local places do the same or even better, at, less than half the price. In my city a café Latte costs like... 2,50 at most. 3 bucks at high end places. The same in Starbucks is 7 bucks.
It's a fast race to the bottom, though. I'm still not sure that trigger should be pulled, given what's at stake with the whole global reserve status and what not. Sanctioning that behavior and convincing the majority of voters to do the same is the only shot at maintaining normalcy going forward. If you have Trump v Trump then every 4 years down the line you'll have another "revenge tour", then again, then again, until you have politicians drone striking each other and the electorate purely for teh memes. With no reserve status and a like 40% interest rate the government would last weeks before running out of power totally. Then it just becomes a free for all for the oligarchs. He should have done something horrific with his legal immunity.. but I really don't know what that'd need to be to make SCOTUS reneg? I'm not sure it wouldn't just serve to lower the standard for the next guy coming in after him. The next president is going to have a LOT of power to dictate what the next 50+ years looks like, even just based on their decorum. Straight down the toilet or shall we swirl around a bit instead? I don't know if I'm personally ready for just how quickly things can all turn to shit. Are things already irreversably fucked? Were they when Biden was in office? What should he have done about that? It'd be a really tough decision to pull the trigger.
I will remember that until the day I die. Had A LOT of Dec 16 QQQ calls that day. Hurt my feelings.
Heed this warning OP. Go listen to the cleared hot podcast with the founder of deliver fund, there is a LOT of child sexual exploitation that goes on there. You should absolutely not let your kids within a country mile of that shit.
There's plenty of great companies out there that are traded at sub $100, that you can sell options on and wheel. It sounds like what u/breakyourteethnow is saying, is just wheels (so SELL csp's and if/when assigned, toggle to selling CCs... then when those are called away, back to CSP's... rinse and repeat), then use that generated premium to purchase LEAPs at the .75-ish delta. Those are just going to be somewhat deep-ish in-the-money. Just kind of depends on what the various strike spreads are and what not. But ultiamtely by going deep ITM, you're purchasing more of the underlying, and paying less "extrinsic" value (which is the portion you're basically paying to your insurance guy... their commission if you will for offering that contract). Taking the Ford example (F), if you looked at their options chain at the time of writing this, they're trading at $13.85. Their 15 JAN 27 (1 year out) has the next closes ITM call strike at $11.85. It's literally the first strike away from the current market value, yet it's at a .75 delta. So buy that one and let'er ride. 1 contract (100 shares) would require you pay \~$270 in premium. So how do I come up with that $270? Well... sell enough contracts to make that. Taking F yet again, you'd need to SELL enough contracts to generate that much. You could aim for weeklies (maybe target 7ish days out) and sell a bunch at-the-money, but you'd need likely around 25 or so contracts, which would require a lot of capital (probably $33,000 or so if doing cash-secured). But you can sell contracts further out, say the 30-45 expiration to generate more premium with less contracts... requiring less capital upfront. If you targeted Mar 6 (38 days out), you'd need only to sell \~7 contracts and yield enough premium to buy a single leap. But now since only selling 7, you need a LOT less capital (7 \* 13.50 \* 100) = $9450. If you're doing large cap companies... take GOOG for example, you're going to need a LOT of fodder to come up with the amount of premium to be able to buy a single leap. Alternatively... can also just work a job and save money, and buy a LEAP that way too. It doesn't "have" to strictly come from premium... although mentally it's nice. :)
A LOT of these people have been burned by PYPL in the last few years. People want to see it go lower cause they couldn’t stomach to see it go up without them in it, and their PTSD wont allow them to consider jumping in again
LLMs look like they're in a bubble. They hit the wall, scaling law only went a few iterations, and died. The broad field of Machine Learning, which is still accelerating, might be a LOT more local, i.e. not super-duper data centers but industries of machines and etc., generating a data tsunami that's processed locally by LOTS of locally generated inference models.
2x would make it almost the most valuable company in the world. They would need to recruit a LOT more idiot investors!
I've been buying NEXT (Next Decade) every time it dips below $5. They're building a huge LNG export facility near Brownsville, Texas. If you believe in LNG exports, it's a solid play if you're willing to be patient as they're still under construction. Let's start with the obvious negatives. You're getting no revenue until late 2027 at best, so a long time for no money to come in and they have a LOT of debt. Any sort of construction/regulatory delay is a risk. Given we're so far out from revenue, there's obviously a decent risk for dilution of existing shares which would obviously not be fun. Now, for the positives, they are currently building 3 trains on site, they've got 2 more with financing lined up and work will be starting on those as well. They have room for 10 total, making them a massive LNG export hub. So far, the construction has been financed against future revenue, not by selling additional shares, so that's helpful about the dilution concern. Bechtel is building the facility on a turnkey contract, they're the best in the world at building LNG infrastructure and are incentivized to complete it on time. They're currently ahead of schedule. There's been a relatively healthy amount of insider buying at the current prices, both by individuals and by their partners. That's always reassuring. They've also secured their financing on 20 year contracts, so the money IS coming, it's a question of when. Check out Cheniere Energy ($LNG). That's who NEXT is trying to copy. Cheniere currently exports 47 million tonnes per annum of LNG, NEXT's new facility is aiming for 50 when they're done. So there's plenty of profit and, eventually, a fat dividend, assuming they execute correctly. I think the market is still pricing this as a construction project and I think we're past the worst of that now which is why I'm happy to load up now. I think with their next earnings, if we see construction remaining ahead of schedule we'll start to see the stock rerate well above $5. Most analysts have a 1 year target in the $9-$10 range if you value that at all. That being said, I'm not sticking a ton of money in there, I've got about $5k right now. But I'm happy to let it sit for 2-3 years and see what happens. Should things go well and all trains come online, I think the eventual dividend will payout every year more than what I've bought my shares for now. And even a middling result should see some solid profit.
Someone was telling me this dude is 5'2" ... this explains a LOT. His custom gear looks like some generic totalitarian mid boss henchmen from Far Cry.
Dear sweet, sweet regards NFE (LNG infrastructure company) has over like 33% of its float shorted last I checked. Decent news in January for debt restructuring and a new contract to keep cash flow buoyant. They went from line $60 in 2022 to $1 this last month but swept $2 last night after news they won’t ded in the next few months. Nice rally but still a LOT of upswing. Beautiful short squeeze opportunity. Calls are beyond juicy too. Pulling back on their rally now. Hoping we don’t lose that momentum 🤞
A few years from now you will be losing A LOT more, and will think fondly of this moment. Might even laugh over a beer with your boys about it
This is appropriate for a FIRE sub. You might be familiar with Strategy’s Pref’s. I’d consider a barbell approach where you pull some out into STRC for “cash that isn’t totally trash”, pull some out into STRK for longer term growth only if you still believe in BTC & then you can keep playing with the third pile but you can afford to de-risk A LOT & leave the day job; focus on the finer parts of life. With ~$5M in STRC/STRK you’ll bring in $500k in ROC dividends so you’re financially secure even if things get a little sideways sometime in the future. Hell, tell everyone you manage a portfolio for a single client if you need to 😉
They won’t balance the budget. When I say they have no choice I partly mean this: If the government decided to balance the budget and cut military, social security benefits etc, then a LOT of Americans (who vote) will lose their jobs. The main source of income for the government is taxes. Less jobs = lower taxes = lower income for the government. Which means they will be back in the same position unable to pay off their debt.
If you want to use SoFi for banking then that's fine but for investments I prefer Fidelity, although Schwab is also a great option but harder for DCA because you can't really buy fractional shares, only 'Schwab Slices". Just don't fall into the Robinhood trap. If you're using SoFi for strictly ETF based long-term tax-deferred investing in a Roth IRA then you should be fine but if you want to eventually get into short-term trading or dipping your toes into a taxable brokerage, then go with a more reputable broker. There are a LOT of stock options on Fidelity, Schwab, etc. that aren't available through SoFi (especially penny stocks and OTC). Also, SoFi has a slower trade execution speed compared to the top-tier brokers. I also found out the hard way that when I transferred my assets to Fidelity from SoFi, SoFi charged me a $100 transfer fee. **If you're transferring $25k+ then Fidelity will reimburse you**
Can I ask how you did this?? I somewhat nuked my account but I’m 22 and still a student and only had roughly 8k from a ~3k basis and blew it to $500 with 0DTE spy options on days where trump and Jensen Huang said something. Since EOY 24’ I’ve started paying more attention and since being back “in the game” I have ~+200% in the last month. Mostly from a biopharma call after ~90% dip and SOFI calls. Very interested to hear from your experience as I learned a LOT from my 0DTE roulette experience🤣. Good luck and god speed. 👊🏽
The good news is… it will DEFINITELY be 10x higher next week - because they will be reverse splitting 10:1 Bad news is… it will then continue to shrink. In August it was $24.5, so don’t think “It’s $2, how much lower can it go?” It can go a LOT lower.
Pretty much the whole constitution is being reduced to just vibes since there’s a LOT of 4th amendment rights being violated. It’s disgusting
If you carry a weapon and then proceed to resist arrest/apprehension/detention by ice the odds of you being shot increase by A LOT.
I think its worth discussion. American's will not believe this, but you have to look at the facts. Some big European pension funds are selling, the retail investors have not only started moving funds out of the US but are boycotting the actual products. Trump is strangling the US economy. There's threats of the EU pulling the nuclear finance bomb on the US if they continue to threaten the EU and NATO. That's before you get into the fact that the entire of the US stock is propped up by an AI bubble. If you want any indicator of how strong the anti-US sentiment is right now, just look at the German FA tabling the idea of boycott the World Cup. I can't stress enough that Europeans boycotting a world cup would take a LOT to even discuss. I'm not suggesting people en masse dump US stock tomorrow. But I think we're way past the point of laughing off the idea that its a riskier proposition than its ever been. Just put it all in the S&P and it will definitely go up over X amount of years I think is about to stop being true. If the US follow the trajectory they are on, they will lose all the things that allows the S&P to be so strong. Attacking your allies is a monumentally idiotic idea. If you attack your allies, what do you think your enemies are doing. Then we also have to factor they're a bad day away from a civil war, another ICE shooting today. How many deaths before they fight back? The US is too risky for me, I moved to the EU/UK a while ago. Ethically I also think its the right thing to do, I don't want my money funding the US.
Nah, their are a LOT of illegal immigrants in MN.
If this is true, you can make a LOT of cash by using it to your advantage.
I’ve come back from a LOT more than that. Keep your head up dawg, it’s just money
I have 1,000 shares I have followed this as closely as a dentist pulling teeth daily for a long time I truly believe it’ll be 400+ per share by summer and maybe 450 by end of year even So many positives this year for the turn around story an Wallstreet likes to price things in instantly I do believe we will see cautious guidance for the moment but by end of next quarter or two a LOT of smoke clears
For the last year bears have been preparing for a stock market crash. They have missed out a LOT of money. People posting 6 months ago selling all their stocks, they're down right now.
Yes, you can always learn. If you understand the stock market (sounds like you do), it’s just added layers of complexity. There are A LOT of moving parts with options and a lot of different strategies you can use. If you like following the market and are mathematically inclined you can make a lot more money than just trading stocks. That said you can also lose very quickly if you don’t know what you’re doing. Study up, maybe “paper trade” for a bit. I’ve just learned in the last year and once it clicks it’s amazing! (Someone else here mentioned, don’t do 0dte, unless you want to gamble for fun. Focus on longer time frames, you don’t need to hold the whole time but they don’t drop as fast when the underlying goes down). Have fun! (And make 🤑)
I see your point. But again, the stock price will be based around the deal, if it goes through, the market is now buying into the potential. Disneys acquisition of 21st century fox didn’t work out well because they acquired the parts of the company that made it a bad business. Netflix is leaving that out. Their limit for revenue growth hits a new ceiling after the deal. Not to mention Netflix loses A LOT of money buying streaming and licenses rights, with this deal, that is free cap space and the market will come to realize that and all jump in at once. I truly see this stock being 110+ by April
There's still a LOT of time if you want to make real money. Just buy and hold.
Which is a bummer because when you zoom out a few clicks, you realize there are A LOT of people out there who given the opportunity would happily pull off each one of your toenails off while watching in glee and yet Americans somehow see their neighbours as THE threat. Comfort and years of effective propaganda from every corner of the world really makes you start splitting hairs I guess.
OMG that's A LOT. Robinhood gave me nothing..
How many landlords own 12+ units/properties?? Uhhh, a LOT
She cooks me dinner every night. I eat a LOT of cake.
That’s A LOT of money to gamble on 0dte options.
Similar to my take. However, I don't think it's strictly about replacement of workers, more like a different, new kind of "worker". Just like how the tablet didn't replace the PC, but we can't imagine life without a tablet. That said, a LOT of companies will waste a shitload of their money on this before it's all said and done. Next edge for Investors is to find out which companies are worth it for good reasons, and which ones aren't. Common denominator for all this stuff though, is energy. US critically lacks energy, so whoever finds the next best energy solution will be the winner of 2026 and beyond imho
Since ample reserves regime became official in 2019 yea basically. And prior to QE in 2008 tail risk was A LOT higher than today.
As you can see, I sold SNDK puts and got like $150K in premiums up front. So my account had like $235K in cash, and I just bought 3 month treasuries. I make like $150 a week on those, completely risk free, no margin interest applied to anything unless an assignment occurs. Now with Schwab, you can get way better portfolio margin EPRs compared to Robinhood. Basically if you have $100K, on robinhood you might be able to sell put leaps that are deep OTM with a nominal value of $200K. But Schwab? You can go up to like $800K, as you can see I've done here. If you sell leaps, you get so much cash up front you can buy treasuries. If you sell shorter dated options, you don't get much cash up front so you can't do this treasury arbitrage stuff. Also, my SNDK puts are at 210 and 200 strikes. My break evens on these are like at $170. Even if this stock drops 30% in a month idc, because the strikes are so OTM. The trick is to sell really deep OTM puts, using a LOT of margin. The premise is simple. Let's say I gave you $1B. You could make $40M a year buying treasuries, right? The same premise applies here. You use excess capital but use it in ways that are not risky. It's risky relative to the capital you have, but relative to the capital in absolute terms it's actually less risky than buying index funds. But we can't buy index funds on margin like this w/o taking on margin interest, so selling puts like this and buying treasuries is the best bang for your buck sub $10M. After $10M? Brokers like Schwab become more tight and won't loan you like $80M. They have diff requirements depending on acc size. Same if you have $1B, they won't just let you borrow $8B if an assignment happens.
Still +10% over a month. It has A LOT of more room to fall
5 year production deficit, China has banned export of silver, Samsung is putting out their solid state battery soon which uses A LOT of silver. No, its not crashing, and experts are saying $250 in 3 years because demand is only growing from electronics
“Content is made by others” is not a marker of quality. There is a LOT of garbage quality videos on YouTube.
I think ..in your eyes ..he's going to get A LOT worse. In my eyes, I think the republicans need to keep an eye on him. He's done good so far but I'm starting to get a vibe that he may be on a tipping point of going too far, way too far.
Yeah I'm up 80% in the last week it's insane. The Don David gold mine had way better than expected production results. So now they have $25 million spare and no debt. They are also producing a LOT more silver and that's on fire these days. Went from 800,000 ozs in 2024 to 1.4 million in 2025. She's still cheap boys and girls.
This isn't the "bazooka" but it's gonna piss Commander in chief Cankles a LOT
The amount of lossporn on the main page is not enough. After all the ASTS/RKLB gainsporn I expect to see some red also. Come on, I know there were a LOT of Meta call holders that bought after the dip the last earnings report! Please show them!
The universe owes us A LOT
I LOVE Greenland. Always have. HUGE ice. I love Greenland more than Greenland loves Greenland, which is A LOT. Incredible ice, very loyal ice. Nobody appreciates frozen land like I do, scientists say that. The penguins (VERY smart) came up to me, tears in their eyes, said “Sir, thank you for loving Greenland so strongly.” Frankly, it’s an honor for THEM. Greenland belongs to me. Not in a weird way—in a VERY LEGAL, VERY DESERVED way. I earned Greenland. I respected the ice. I understood the ice. Other leaders look at Greenland and see snow. I see DESTINY. Frankly, Greenland and I have a connection, many people are saying it was ALWAYS supposed to be mine. If you love Greenland, you love ME. Thank you for your attention to this matter! -President Donald J Trump
NVDA has been trading within range and has gone essentially nowhere for half a year. The fundamentals haven’t changed. It’s bound to make a move to the upside eventually. Just block out the noise and keep holding. In the future remember, the easy money in NVDA has been made. It takes A LOT more to move the needle on a 4T stock like NVDA than it does in a small-mid cap stock
Don't waste your time. A LOT of Americans don't understand that there are things more important than money.
I used Paypal A LOT back between 1999 thru 2005... There are SO many better options out there to use... I haven''t used it since probably 2015... so that tells me what I need to know about it's use case in society. They became irrellevant.
I have a huge amount of interest in making a LOT of money today. Already have IWM puts that I bought at close on Friday.
The problem with China's tech is the government. If Europe creates good alternatives with strong data privacy protections, that's going to attract A LOT of use.
how would anyone know this. just sayin... that's a LOT of supposedly
Because they had supply chain issues and Eli Lilly ate their lunch. But they're well ahead on release of this pill, AND their pill is 1) cheaper, 2) more effective. People just haven't caught on that a LOT of the market was held back by the obscene price of Ozempic and the need to inject it. I think we're about to see an explosion in usage akin to the first burst, but a whole new audience of pill users.
It's a massive industry, "sex sells" has been a phrase since forever for a good reason. Even if just 5% of porn consumers pay for it, there are A LOT of people who watch porn.
Based on A LOT more, posting on MLK idiot
Wage growth> inflation, unemployment, value of the dollar and the CPI trend matter a LOT more than GDP. GDP is useless as a positive metric if unemployment, lower class spending and wage growth are both going down
5 inches is A LOT. More than anyone would need
The fact that you bring up countries that lost in WW2 is weird. We are talking about willingness to act not if they were victorious. Indeed the European military is weak, I even said so in my first comment. It has been the American agenda that they should be the sole military super power after WW2. It’s been part of how they have had power over Europe. Everyone one of your previous presidents understood that Europe was part of the American hegemony but now that Pax America is unraveling quickly in realtime Europe is scrambling to adjust to the new reality. That does not mean Europe doesn’t have teeth. Militarily Europe have no leg to stand on. As an economic super power we still have the equivalent to nukes to deploy, especially against America since the ”deal” in the American hegemony was that Europe back America influence every economic decision on the world stage and America will handle the military might. You should read up on Roosevelt post war designs. Again to reiterate, I’m not saying anything about victory, I’m talking about mutually assured destruction without actual nukes being used. There is no way America survives if Europe decides to crash American economy. We own to much of your state bonds and your currency and stand for to much of you import / export for your economy to survive. And once Europe dumps American assets the rest of the world will panic sell to not be bag holders and to china and other actors that are no fan of USA will capitalize and try to make their own currency into the world currency reserve. USA have A LOT of enemies around the world which makes the act of attacking allies so very very stupid.
LOL health insurance/ car insurance/ home insurance/ food does not feel up by three %. It's a LOT more and wages aren't going up! But hey If Trump says 3%.. your wallet must be lying to you!
Or, conservative administrations have sucked at improving the economy--not opinion, fact. The market is up but the dollar is down, and it's down A LOT.
Except I think the DXY roleplayed a "LOT" less than people like to think involving last year in propping US markets. I think there's a better chance than many people like to think that part 1 of the market correction had remnants of the Yen crisis from summer 2024 ridden all over it...then part 2 was all on Trump. If tech does what I think could be possible involving 2026, the likelihood of a fresh secular bear market starting in Trump's term is fairly low. He will be handing tough economic circumstances to whoever is the next president with Medicare/Social Security probably needing to be addressed in the future (which has a much better chance of being GOP than reddit.com likes to think), but you'll have to ask me in 2028 if whether it'll mean a secular bear market is handed to the next president or not.
There's no way the bond market can defy gravity forever and they all know it. It's already Wile E. Coyote hanging *waaaayyy* over the cliff. But you're right, none of them can just exit on a dime. There's not enough exit liquidity for one of them much less all of them. So they need a plan (a LOT of plans) to bring the burning plane gently to the ground...ideally without letting the other passengers (ie, Americans) onto the fact their plane is on fire and there's no saving it. But anyone can see this is happening if they simply follow the wonky financial press. Not the "money" shows like Fox Business made for the rubes, but the real financial news. Massive burst in real trade deals around the globe all centered around excluding the US. Massive burst in gold reserve and exchange structures being fleshed out, again to the exclusion of the US. Massive burst in weapon system deals looking to cut out US suppliers. This all started happening during the first Trump regime, but leveled off with Biden. With Trump 2.0 it's taken off like a rocket as the world has realized that Trump 1.0 wasn't an accident, that turning the US into a toxic shithole *especially* when it comes to finance isn't a mistake it's the plan, it's the point. They'd all certainly like to have more buffer time to shift a century of international economic momentum to the new non-US centered system, but Trump's insane Greenland gambit may well have them all slashing their economic umbilical cords much earlier than they planned. But they've had a decade to see this coming and so most of them are about as ready as could ever be. The next few weeks (maybe days...) will likely be some of the most interesting times the world has ever seen. China didn't invent that curse for nothing, after all.
Except they aren’t callable, so that would be useless. All they’d be able to do is sell them (at a premium) in the open market. Which would affect interest rates, but also make a LOT of banks and investors (not the gamblers on WSB) extremely happy, as they’d be getting free money based on a desperate attempt at crashing the global market
I disagree, while what gets announced or proposed goes well beyond reason, what gets actually applied always remains within some """"reasonable"""" range. Hence the "TACO" saying. And there's been a LOT of gains, exactly in the pockets we'd expect to see growing. Hell, even WSB's finest don't want to jump on options after his tweets, look at the mood here, I see sad people expecting a flat market.
EU is the biggest consumer of US tech. EU is literally the reason the US gets to have multiple multi-trillion dollar tech companies: EU is buying all of the tech products. Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta etc, all make massive parts of their revenue from EU markets. The EU right now is discussing the option on banning or heavily restricting access to US tech in retaliation, which would absolutely destroy the US markets (and yes, it would hurt the EU a LOT as well).
With Europe? I can see why with China but Europe has a LOT less leverage. There are some double edged sword things they can do that Reddit is frothing about that hurts them more than US. But even bilateral 25% tariffs we won’t bat that much of an eye I guess the Supreme Court can intervene and he might respect their ruling. That is the TACO scenario.
In 2021 I wasn't allowed to open my business at 100% capacity. I was FORCED to take a shot if I wanted to work, the government ducked me a cost/opportunity of 460.000€. In 2022 a war between brothers happened. Ukraine and Russia young men began slaughtering each other. Inflation rised. Basic products (food mainly) increased A LOT. But hey what's government enforcement and mandatory vaccines and a war killing 100 of thousands of men compared to Trump's mumbles?? Somo of you guys arw so r dumb
Man... you don't need to be an elder or a veteran in investing to remember how 9 months ago THIS SAME NARRATIVE, was everywhere, and then market soared A LOT. And some of the Mag7 stocks did more than well.
That an expensive freaking option. $60,000 is a lot of money for option, and any option that pricey means you stand to lose some serious money if something really goes wrong. Like, if you are selling a CSP on a $600 dollar stock, there's A LOT of room for it to fall. In reality, anything could happen.
Im just a guy from Ireland, but im able to look at this completely indepently and remind you there is more than just left and right wing Americans on reddit. You are missing out on A LOT of money. Of Course USA stocks should be the backbone of your portfolio but if you can do some research trying to ignore your bias (which I know is near impossible, bred into you Americans from day 1) you will invest in China, even if you dont want too for moral reasons. But I yhink being American you can look past that now. Ignoring space stocks which are on a ridiculous rise, 40% of my returns last 2 years have been Chinese stocks. And the deals Europe and Canada are gonna be making with China... get in before it's too late.
Reading other subs and WSB, there are A LOT of people with false hopium on how this won’t affect the markets lol. That proves to me too many people are over leveraged and desperately trying to cope. A lot of people will be destroyed on Tuesday. A lot of news outlets in Europe reporting how they can’t be a pussy this time against mango and retaliate hard. You’d be a fool to think Europe will not retaliate back harder than ever, they are done looking like Mango’s bitch.
Failed how? Democrats have proven to the better party for the past 40+ years, by a LOT! Blame Republican voters for being ignorant idiots. America thrives when Democrats are in control, and suffers when Republicans are in office. * Corruption: In the past 50 years, there have been 91 people in the executive branch who were convicted of felonies. 2 were Democrats, in the Clinton administration, and 88, whoops, forgot Trump, **89** were Republicans, some in *every* Republican administration since Nixon. * $$ you say? Reagan, Bush 1, Bush 2, and Trump each blew up the national budget deficit, and thus the national debt when they were in office. Presidents Clinton, Obama, and Biden each **lowered** the national budget deficit, with two of them cutting the Republican disasters in half, and Clinton actually handing over a budget *surplus*. * Jobs, you say? The last 16 years of Republican administrations have LOST 2 million net jobs (Trump lost 2.7 million jobs, the first time, over a million this time). Meanwhile, the last 16 years of Democrats have added ***50 million*** jobs! * Personal disposable income has grown nearly 6 times more under Democratic presidents. * Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has grown 7 times more under Democratic presidents. * Trade deficits under Republican Presidents have been 39% higher than under Democratic Presidents. * Business investment has grown twice as fast under Democratic Presidents. * Corporate profits have grown over 16% more per year under Democratic presidents. (they actually declined under Republicans by an average of 4.53%/year) * In the past 30 odd years, Republican admins added only 1 Million jobs (and currently losing those), Democratic admins added over 50 Million jobs. * Average annual compound return on the stock market has been 18 times greater under Democratic presidents. * Republican presidents have added 2.5 times more to the national debt than Democratic presidents. * Under Democratic Presidents' annual spending increased by an average of $36.9 billion per year. Under Republican Presidents' annual spending increased by an average of $78.6 billion per year. * Republican administrations increased welfare, + 19.16% per year vs 5.76% per year under Democrats. * The biggest expansion in the food stamps program came during the Nixon administration. * Since the recession following WW1, EVERY recession and Depression were during Republican administrations. And Trump is going for his second one. https://www.forbes.com/sites/adamhartung/2012/10/10/want-a-better-economy-history-says-vote-democrat/#49d9ddcccb44 And don't forget the [molestation and sexual assaults Republicans/conservatives are guilty of.](https://www.dailykos.com/history/user/CajsaLilliehook) Conclusion: America is a better place when Democrats are in charge. But what about the state level, how do Democrats compare to Republicans? By any metric, blue states are better off than red states: [education level by state](https://www.thebalancemoney.com/state-ranking-by-education-4589755) [child poverty rate by state](https://www.thebalancemoney.com/us-poverty-rate-by-state-4585001) [teen pregnancy rate by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/teen-pregnancy-rates-by-state) [welfare rate by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/welfare-recipients-by-state) [gdp per state](https://www.statista.com/statistics/248023/us-gross-domestic-product-gdp-by-state/) [food stamp rates by state](https://www.zippia.com/advice/10-states-people-food-stamps/) [life expectancy by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/life-expectancy-by-state) [federal dependency by state](https://wallethub.com/edu/states-most-least-dependent-on-the-federal-government/2700) [rate of rape by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/rape-statistics-by-state) [violent crime rate by state](https://www.statista.com/statistics/200445/reported-violent-crime-rate-in-the-us-states/) [guns deaths by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/gun-deaths-per-capita-by-state) [homicide rate by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/murder-rate-by-state) [prison population by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/prison-population-by-state) [suicide rate by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/suicide-rates-by-state) [teen suicide rate by state](https://www.statista.com/statistics/666791/states-with-highest-number-of-adolescent-suicidal-deaths-in-us/) [poverty rate by state](https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewdepietro/2021/11/04/us-poverty-rate-by-state-in-2021/?sh=d73514a1b38f) [obesity rate by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/obesity-rate-by-state) [infant mortality rate by state](https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/infant-mortality-rate-by-state) Democrats are better for America and all Americans, period.
The EU will halt nothing. We're taking Greenland. Trump will get his way, the EU wussies will back down, and all this talk about "the decline of US power" will be swept away. A message is being sent to everyone in the world, high and low, although most of them do not yet "have the ears to hear". They will listen and learn soon. The United States military is the ultimate power in the world, and we will not be stepping aside or bowing down to Europe or the Global South. We are too big to lose and fight, and we are too big to fail economically. Denmark is not too big to fail. Neither is England or Germany. I suspect France will side with us when push comes to shove. We are going to get our way, and there will be a global resurgence of American Influence. Most of you don't understand that because you have not read any of Pete Hegseth's books. Of all the places to look for an explanation for what's going on, it is there. You can start with The War on Warriors, American Crusade, or Battle for the America Mind. Trust me, reading these books will change you, or at the very least it will change the scope of your opinions on what is going on, and why. I don't think it's possible to understand exactly what is going on, and the forces that are moving in certain directions, without reading Pete Hegseth's books. You are putting too much on Trump himself. There are A LOT of other people in this country who realize this is our last chance to make things right, and they will not let this chance pass by. The EU and NATO can make "rabble-rabble" noises like on South Park, but they won't do anything because they CAN'T do anything.
The counter point to what you just said, and I agree with you is this: Trump presently is getting infusions in both hands and is wearing compression socks to help with circulation and to mitigate blood cloths. A few months ago it was infusions in just 1 hand and no compressions socks. Trump is 100% aging out and is trying to take the country down with him. With his slurring of speech and that 1/2 of his face hangs down by his mouth, 100% Trump has also had a stroke recently. There is A LOT of medical evidence that Trump won't survive to the end of his term.
Yea, they bought the spectrum's rights, AKA leased it. It is for usage in Canada and the USA, yes, like I mentioned. FCC approval is imminent, Brendan Carr is on our side. Stop trying to correct me on things I got right. > Oh and they need new chips in phones to use it AND block 3 satellites, so it won't be useful for at least 2 years. New chips by next year, Apple and Google are both looking to get them on asap. B3 will take its time, yes, but in 2 years ASTS' manufacturing chain will already be running full steam at most likely more than double the speed it is these days, so no worries there. > This puts them essentially on the same playing field as Starlink who are doing something similar with S Band spectrum. Not at all. In 2 years Starlink might very well still not be launching V3 satellites and only if they have already fixed Starship issues. By then they may have already lost the NTN war simply by not being an existing alternative, while ASTS will have already completed 50% if not more of their constellation, providing as you mentioned, way better service overall than lousy SMS that don't get sent because of a couple of clouds... > I have done a LOT of DD, it's really ironic how AST bulls hear what I'm saying and automatically assume I haven't done research because I'm not bullish. Agree to disagree then, only time and the market will tell who was right here today, my money is on ASTS
Lol yes I know all of this. In fact, they didn't buy Ligado they leased it and still need to obtain approval from the FCC to use it and solve multiple legal challenges. And even then, Ligado would only be usable in North America. Oh and they need new chips in phones to use it AND block 3 satellites, so it won't be useful for at least 2 years. This puts them essentially on the same playing field as Starlink who are doing something similar with S Band spectrum. I have done a LOT of DD, it's really ironic how AST bulls hear what I'm saying and automatically assume I haven't done research because I'm not bullish.
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan is absolutely not 100% “priced in”. Priced in means the risk is factored into the asset price not that the asset is priced with certainty that something will happen. So for example, 40% of people think China will invade and 60% think the status quo continues. Only 40% of the risk is “priced in”. With certainty that it happens you still have A LOT of upside. Especially for a cataclysmic event like a Taiwan invasion. A more recent example of something that everyone knew would happen but that was not “priced in” is the Trump tariffs back in March 2025 triggering a massive selloff.
LOT - Lotus The Eletre’s planned retail price in Canada could fall by about 50%, and expects accelerated wholesale deliveries using its existing Canadian network of 6 authorized dealers.
To be clear, SF has a LOT more than 9000 employees, it is more like 80000. Yes staff were laid off, but absolutely no where near half of staff.
To be clear, SF has a LOT more than 9000 employees, it is more like 80000. Yes staff were laid off, but absolutely no where near half of staff.
A LOT of my kids friends and a lot of my young relatives use Snapchat heavily. I don’t know anyone with a Tesla, yet it’s worth $1.5 trillion.
I learned 2 things in my 21 years in investing 1- Don't try to predict markets, try to understand if the business you're buying will be here in 25 years. If you just own the SP500, not even a need for the 2nd part 2- Use the markets as the tide. Don't fight against it because it is illogical and understand that the whole world is not Reddit or your circle of friends/age group in your city. What I am trying to say in examples is, Just because you're grom a major US city and you're 30, don't think Facebook is not growing (when Meta was at 88). Just because the news are yapping about the end of oil dependance don't think oil is dead (5 years ago) Just because pandemic happened, people is not going to stop going out/being social (Peloton, zoom... hype) Just because Apple products are overpriced, obsolescence programmed, no innovation... blah blah blah, doesn't mean they have a fanbase, Apple is seen as a symbol of status and since I begar readings rhose critiques, the stock price has gone up may be 20 fold. What thinks I see today, that I want to think I am seeing right, after all those years of learning The trend now is AI and companies energy related but... For example food stocks and beverages PEP, MDLZ, KHC, CAG, GIS... are struggling. BUT. I don't know if people is gonna use AI that much, what I know for sure, is that people is going to keep eating. Brand loyalty is not that strong anymore, but all of us prefer the real Pepsi, the real Oreos and the real Heinz ketchup. Another thing about food stocks. 2 things. One is the GLPs. I am seeing already (my wife is a surgeon and does plastic surgery) people want to have the cake and eat it. So, what people want, is not to be thin. But to be able to eat more cookies and then be thin. Even if that costs money, surgeries or even side effects. And second, just because in some areas of Europe, US, Australia and Japan, we are more health aware, that doesn't mean the rest of the world is like us. I've been A LOT in African countries (arab and black african) and in both cultures eating A LOT, and eating brands is seen as a symbol of status. In my last travel to Morocco, the cousin of the friend I traveled with to Fez, was having like 8 Pepsi cans/day. And he liked it to put the Pepsi outside of the car wile driving and walking by the street with the can. Totally unexplainable to me. Another trend Nike is on the shitter, but same thing. EVERYBODY was on Nike clothing and shoes in Morocco (for sure 80% fake) but still it is a symbol of status for them. And I looked at it. Do you know which brand is the most valuable and likable in all Africa? Nike. So I won't be so bearish when a whole continent, that is gonna double their population in the next 25 years, loves that brand. And Africa while super poor is a continent where wealth is gona 4x in those 25 years.
Economy is doing very bad. GDP has grown, but GDP per capita has shrunk every year for the last 5 years (2% shrink total, the worst 5 year stretch in Canada since the Great Depression). The majority of Canada’s economic “growth” is simply real estate costs increasing due to massive immigration quotas. Essentially, the economic pie has been getting a bit bigger, but the amount of people looking for a slice has gotten a LOT bigger. While I agree we could be doing worse, we could also be doing so much better. We have so many resources, so much land, and such great people, yet we refuse to pop the housing bubble, leaving the younger generations in the lurch. Young people are leaving at the fastest rate in Canadian history, and if we don’t course correct, QOL will (continue to) go down the drain.
Of course, thats always the same. You dont get rich playing a safe game. If you want 50x or 100x you need to invest when their is still a high chance that they dont make it and go bancrupt. I got in at 10 usd, doubled up at 6 usd and doubled up again at 3 usd. I went through a valley of pain in these years. My average is just below 5 usd. When it started to go up, people told me to sell when i break even. They told me to sell at 15 usd, at the 35 spike in 2024 again, because 7x is a great gain. It bleeded down to 20 again. Damn it.... Then we hit 60, but a few weeks later, we were at 35 again. Should i sell? Hold on? After we hit 100 it went down to the 50s again.... So what i want to say: even if you got in early its not easy to get these 20x winners, because you will be tempted to sell A LOT of times.
8mil would’ve been fk you money in the 90s, not now though. Now 5-10 mil is financial freedom. However, Hospice at old age for your parents, your spouse, and yourself will eat a 8 mil principal to zero when the time comes. Fuck you money comes at 50 mil. That’s when you can do whatever you want. Which is still a LOT less than a billion. And there are lots of billionaires who absolutely will never be able to use that amount of money ethically.
I haven't sold a share. It's not too early, but unless you put a LOT of money in, it won't be an obscene amount of money out now. I'm not selling until they at least get the whole constellation active, so 2-4 years.
> Then there is a swiss company that went public recently thay has A LOT of products that they love. It is called Galderma. Galderma has been a great investment. It's definitely not cheap/a lot is priced in at this point but was nice to see L'Oreal take their investment from 10% to 20% not that long ago. Thanks for your comments.
If we would know we would all be billionaires. Facts are there have been a lot of times in which gold for example has gone up A LOT very quickly and the dropped back down. In the late 70s as well as more recently in 2011. You probably have heard that gold it’s for “capital preservation” instead of growth. However the reality is that if you look at say the last 20 or 25 years gold it’s considerably up in comparison to stocks. There’s arguments this time it might not deflate in the same way it did back in early 2010s or the 80s. But there’s also arguments that it will. Generally speaking it would be cautionary to not have more than say 10% of your portafolio in precious metals. After all they do not have any cash flow.
I bought a batch of MU calls (10) for its march earnings Strike = 190 (yes, I am fucking old and conservative so deep ITM) 10 contracts, but may add if it tanks more (and it will). And near the DAY of earnings depending on IV and theta, I will offload my entire position. this is a "buying into expanding volatility play" And dear regards, I almost NEVER buy options other than the FD inside a spread so I don't get fucked too bad. But this time, the company is not trading at the level it can. LOT of upside.