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Afghanistan is a much more complicated country. Iran is not super complicated. There’s a few groups. A LOT of people who like the west and want to overthrow the ayatollah. Almost no one in Afghanistan wanted an American way of life. Iranians do. They also have a leader in Pahlavi. I can understand why a lot of Americans see this as the next Afghanistan but it shows a very poor understanding of Iran. Remember each country is very different culturally and has very different politics. Iran is a modern educated country ruled by a small group of religious conservatives. Afghanistan was a fragmented very religious country that could only ever be held together by religion or a dictator.
This did look a LOT like "let me hit your ass on the way out."
wars are never "essentially" over anywhere... until seen with a LOT of hindsight.
I love America, serious world altering events, regularly interrupted by “YOU’RE NOT GOING TO PAY A LOT FOR CAR INSURANCE!!!!”.
Yeah this actually creates A LOT more uncertainty. What comes next??? It's not gonna be a liberal democracy that's for sure
OFFICIAL ANNOUNCEMENT GUYS A LOT OF PEOPLE HAVE BEEN ASKING IF I AM OKAY AFTER THE ATTACKS ON IRAN. PLEASE DONT TRUST UNAUTHORIZED SOURCES SUCH AS u/stupidber. I AM ALIVE AND WELL. I WAS ABLE TO ESCAPE WITH THE HELP OF THE CARTEL. I WILL POST PROOF OF LIFE OF ME AND REMY VERY SOON TAKE CARE AND GOD BLESS AMERICA
You're leaning mostly boglehead in your investment approach. It works, but it's boring. Nobody makes movies or rap videos about DCA investors. Also, new investors RARELY start with DCA, in fact they start by thinking they are the wolf of wall street. Example - a LOT of reddit around April 2025. Hence, a lot of new investors get burned by the market or their stupidity and then don't want to touch equities.
https://preview.redd.it/41ann3wwu6mg1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2d1243ca0c44adc91962dd46a7c5a9e624c5b2f1 THAT PUMP STARTING TO MAKE A LOT OF SENSE
So Altman is fine with roving ai death squads & horrifically in-depth mass surveillance of Americans? the DoD NEEDED to do this deal as fast as possible, because they have a LOT of lists to make & the midterms are coming, a soldier might not want to ‘you know’ a potential voter on polling day, but a fully autonomous drone squad? Shit, they have no qualms about morality. Calls on any company that sells EM weapons, anti-drone tech & personal defence equipment
some people learn whatever lesson you hopefully learned a LOT later in life
And you probably didn't watch the links I posted. Also look up the Mega group. There's a LOT of money being pushed to help Israel by the elite class.
Do you also take big fat dumps? Because then the market is about to be A LOT like you.
When CFO says “there is no ambiguity about that”… there is a LOT of ambiguity and that is because they are waist deep in this shit
Sounds like a LOT of people will be forced to liquidate their 401k’s soon 🤔
Did you get in this morning? I was away from my account all day, so I am still in, although I think I could have taken profit today. I can sort of shrug this off since my bet is far from a 90K YOLO, but so far this bet has been fun. Good Luck to anyone who signed on for this silliness. My summary of the situation is that there is a LOT of uncertainty. Like off the charts uncertainty about what will happen on either side of the conflict, and on either side of the OP's YOLO. Honestly if this goes to the moon I am likely to paper hands it, if I am paying attention. The only way I ride it to the moon is if I ignore my account for a few days.
I have don't have much going for me in my life other than my career, and this would require a LOT in life changes and work pressure to prove my worth at a company that will require 110% in late hours & long meetings compared to chill static conditions i enjoy currently. Basically convenience vs. ambition
NVDA's stock is falling b/c it needed to clear an options wall of ~$200/shr. So, given A LOT of folks were long calls into the print, & it didn't clear $200, brokers are selling stock to reverse sold calls. It's that simple. This isn't fundamentals. It's market mechanics
Markets in the short term are very technical. Usually before NVDA earnings there is a LOT of option volume expiring the friday of the same week. This all impact in price action, so it’s not all related to fundamentals.
There's little accountability or oversight in the US anymore if you think about it. I'm not saying THIS is the play, but ruling out China as a future opportunity, I'm not sure is as crazy a move as we think anymore. Though a LOT will come down to November.
I thought the craze peaked in 2017. People lost A LOT in crypto & calls that holiday 4th then 1st quarter. Like, A LOT. You haven't missed out on gains any more than you've dodged losses. The only thing you (may) have missed out on were the meme options during Trump's first term. But you've plenty of time this go around. 🙃
The same way that industrialization benefitted the average American farmer who chose to move away from the family farm and into a factory during the Gilded Age. Yes, most of the money were funneled to the industrialists during that time, but there is a LOT of opportunities for small white-collar businesses to leverage AI and start undercutting the power of many entrenched companies or using the productivity gains to put them in a position where they have a better footing to compete with those entrenched companies. But you have to be *willing* to do this and you have to make that scary leap by starting up these things as first side projects, and eventually full on businesses. With less than 1% of Americans using AI but the vast majority of Americans unwittingly consuming the outputs of AI, this is a golden era of opportunity.
A LOT of pouty bitches in here because we are up.
AI is a tool, and not one that everyone will learn to use in a timely manner. But, it is clearly a very powerful tool, and the most impactful use cases for it will be revealed with time. AI can benefit the average end user in their day to day life, as essentially a human language connector to internet knowledge. Now, instead of searching Google, parsing content, and picking out useful info from a sea of articles, posts, websites, etc, we can just have a conversation with a humanlike representative of that same collection of knowledge. That is powerful from a UI perspective. Then there's work performance, helping automate various tasks that used to take individuals a LOT of time. Parsing documents, formatting documents, summarizing, writing and reviewing code, troubleshooting... Time saving is noticeable as an individual worker even without studies. And finally, there's the indirect but deep impacts of Ai being utilized effectively in significant industries. When Ai is able to model and confirm efficacy of new medications en masse, without waiting for a human to think them up, that will save millions of lives. When Ai is able to offer statistically more accurate assessments of individual health than human doctors, allowing us to offload the demand of first stage Healthcare to AI and free up human healthcare experts for the highest priority work, that will have a huge impact on us personally. And that's just one sector.
I myself had an era of options trading, but that game is made to fail if you don’t have a much higher pool of cash to try it out with and a LOT of time. A streak of losses with options is the best lesson to learn bc it’ll stick.
How does the investment weigh up? Eg. The 1424 per month invested for 8years: You contributed: $136,704 • Growth earned: ≈ $55,300 • Total value after 8 years: ≈ $192K That is a LOT of $851 It’s still better to take it earlier imo. From 62 to 70 is: 8 years = 96 months If the difference is $851 per month, then: 851 \times 96 = 81,696 Total difference over those 8 years: $81,696 So you made $192k over 8 years instead of waiting and then getting $82k total…
It's prediction markets and the changing landscape of "gaming" in the US. People are spooked about Kalshi and Polymarket eating their lunch. Not to mention Coinbase, Robinhood, etc getting into the game. If prediction markets remain, then there's a LOT of competition for the same people Flutter/FD are going after. Not to mention that they're live in 50 states, whereas FD/DK's products are not. Additionally there's an issue of taxes in regulated states which are leaps and bounds higher than what kalshi and Poly would be subjected to. A huge thing I think that you have to consider in terms of competition is that Flutter/FD is valued at 14.9Bn. They're about to compete with Robinhood, Coinbase, Kalshi etc who are at way higher valuations than them and have more in reserves. Additionally they have a very different brand identity than DK and FD. They're viewed as the new, innovative, interesting products where as FD and DK are viewed as old. They have a huge huge hill to climb. Not that they can't do it, but it got a hell of a lot harder. I also think their ceiling and upside is greatly reduced. Those multiples they were trading on were assuming big states like CA, TX etc coming online but now, kalshi and co are already live and acquiring users in those states which means FD/DK need to fight for those users if and when they enter that state. All this to say I'd stay away and would instead be interested in companies that will be touting prediction markets during the world cup like Coinbase and RH. They will also be getting a piece of that pie you mentioned but it will be viewed all as net new exciting news.
Wow level 5... Tasty only has level 0 for everyone, so everyone gets to Sell Naked (maybe an erotic thing). At Schwab level 3 gets you Naked. Not sure you understand this . You cannot sell a LOT OF SPY. First off what is the Point? A 50 15Dec28 gets you maybe 12 cents, so 12 dollars . Meantime it will still require 500 Buying Power, which is better than 5k for a Csp. That $500 BP is at Schwab you might find Fidelity will lock up a LOT MORE. So you are tying up 500 for over a year for a maximum 12 dollar return? Not sure what Buying Power is , well not something Fidelity really shows. Tasty, Tos both show you the BP as you create the order. Here is a vid explaining BP from the founder of Tos/Tasty from the Tasty trove of vids. [https://ontt.tv/3jAf4Ba](https://ontt.tv/3jAf4Ba) Buying Power Factors Oct 28, 2020 STOCKLESS TRADING [https://www.tastylive.com/shows/tasty-extras/episodes/a-refresher-on-bpr-06-29-2020](https://www.tastylive.com/shows/tasty-extras/episodes/a-refresher-on-bpr-06-29-2020) [https://ontt.tv/2CLbOjn](https://ontt.tv/2CLbOjn) What Affects Buying Power? Nov 14, 2019
Oh lmao he meant TAM. No wonder that was so far off. It’s more like $75 per share at a 30 billion cap though. They’d need closer to 40 to hit $100. But even that 30 billion market cap assumes A LOT (no dilution, getting 50% TAM, etc).
Most of what I know about markets I learned by doing, not from courses or textbooks. I started investing in 2020, was a newbie and made a LOT of mistakes(a LOT). Learned the hard way that following secondary data sources however reputable they are is basically trading on someone else's conclusions. By the time you're reading it, so is everyone else. Thats when I started going to the primary source (SEC filings) and exploring alt data sources. if you're starting out I'd say the biggest thing is just get comfortable reading SEC filings directly. Not summaries, not someone's twitter thread about them, the actual filings on EDGAR. 10-Ks, proxy statements (DEF 14A), Form 4s for insider transactions. It's dry at first but once you know what to look for you start seeing things that nobody talks about. EDGAR full text search is super underrated, you can search for a person's name across every filing ever made. for the satellite stuff I was just messing around with Sentinel data from ESA which is free. Copernicus Open Access Hub has synthetic aperture radar imagery going back years. I was following some companies from the financial side and realized you could literally see things from orbit that they weren't talking about yet. the board member stuff came from noticing the same name show up in two different filings I was reading. That made me wonder how often that happens so I just started building a a product to track it. One thing leads to another.If nothing else atleast the mistakes I make now are much better than the ones I made before.
Youtube TV, *by itself*, is like $82 or something right? Most of the "cable replacement streaming" options are similarly ballpark. Add in netflix, disney+, ESPN and you're already over $125. That's still just TV/movies, haven't even gotten to things like spotify, audible, or "per single creator" shit like onlyfans, all which I assume are included in a "monthly streaming subscriptions" total. If things like "twitch subs" or "youtube superchats" are counted too that's probably even more still. For lots of people, the high seas are murky, and adblockers sound scary. Companies will just milk those people till they're completely dry. There's also the free trial subscriptions which automatically turn into annual subscriptions that catch a *LOT* of people out. Or they get "1st year" at a really good price, and forget all about it, then BAM the year two sub hits. $125 sounds very plausible to me, sadly.
VXUS is beating VOO, by A LOT too
You're missing the barrier to entry element. Yes there will be winners but even their profits will be crushed when ai companies with a good tools can replicate their entire stack for pennies on the dollar grinding up margin. That is going to affect every corner of software and is going to be an issue for all winners and losers. Your "ai isn't that good at stuff" argument has been proven irrelevant in the last 3 weeks. Claude released a whole enterprise set that already competes competently with what Salesforce (and a LOT of other SAAS) is doing at an enterprise level. Your opinion on ai is both ill informed and outdated. The automobile metaphor is completely irrelevant because there aren't non auto makers that are going to suddenly be able to rapidly manufacture automobiles for 30% of the current cost crushing margins and increasing competition for current auto makers. I understood your point. It's just not correct and your leaning on a poor knowledge of aixand inaccurate metaphors and history which isn't relevant to this current turning point.
Not an AI professional but I’ve read a lot about the technology and its potential (positive and negative) impact. Here’s my opinion: AI is here to stay and will significantly disrupt admin and entry level positions (been used in the background for decades and will only be more prominent as we move forward). It’s not a matter of IF but WHEN. That said, where we stand today, we have A LOT of work ahead of us before AI (specifically agentic AI) is ready to significantly disrupt industries and replace current systems and companies. AI is only as strong as its training data, which we can’t get enough of. Even with the information it is being trained on and the improvements with current training methods (supervised, unsupervised, reinforcement training, etc.) the systems continue to hallucinate responses, and operate in ways which were unexpected and undesired. Let’s also mention the actual current tech limitations of long memory, etc. that impact a full blown replacement of people and systems. Most businesses (besides the big dogs ) aren’t willing to invest in or trust a system that has a probability of making constant mistakes. Additionally, unless a companies AI is being developed internally on a proprietary system, businesses can’t and shouldn’t trust or rely on the security of current tech. Would you want sensitive client data shared openly? I sure wouldn’t. There’s a lot to be improved upon until it’s going to have the impact people think it’s currently having. I recently saw an interview with Jensen, where he was talking about timelines for buildout and he thinks we have another 6-7 years before we’re going to reach a whole different level. Take from that what you will. In terms of cyber security, ive read about how the introduction of AI in that sector actually is a good thing as it’s helping not only discover vulnerabilities and help with patches, but it’s also helping reinforce and strengthen such systems against future vulnerabilities - such as AI software attacks, etc. I wrote more than I expected but hope this helps. TLDR: I think that AI has years to go before it truly distrusts industries, systems, and companies and that the hits on stocks recently are overblown. It’s a lot of FUD that isn’t real.
#Dumb bols say "we are only down a few percent from ATH". Exactly, this crash has A LOT more to go LMAO🤌
Actually, being majority owned and controlled by David Ellison, Paramount has A LOT to do with it. The Ellisons are well documented Trump cronies that have directly benefited by engaging with this type of shady crony capitalism. Oracle (Lary Ellison) also was a windfall beneficiary of the rigged US TikTok deal. They are entrenched with the kleptocracy.
Growth is down, inflation is sticky, job creation is weak (no one believes the last JOLTS numbers), new fed chair after May who doesn't like QE and a midterm elevtion year. There is going to be A LOT of chop. People who know how to navigate it will do very well, but those who don't are going to be capsized. Best of luck out there!
Probably going to tank. I work for a competitor and the regulatory playing field for GLP-1s has changed a lot to the point where there is a LOT of competition but not even in the same way...some people run it out of their garages illegally, only packing the API and absolutely no liquids and people buy it and mix it themselves. If it's just the API, there's a much longer BUD, and buying in bulk makes more sense. Yes there are risks associated with this way, but it's disclosed and when people can save over $200-300 a month compared to HIMS, they usually don't care. A lot have been issued notices by the FDA but they don't care. In the owner's eyes, it's just raw API powder.
I agree with you here totally. I often marvel at how these things come to happen (collapse) and seeing the comments on here, I see A LOT of heads in the sand. That’s how it happens. If this isn’t the perfect storm I don’t know what is.
Invest a LOT early, and adjust down as life progresses (IF you have to)....that early dump will make you a millionaire. I was told "Get to $100k as FAST as possible and be as risky as possible in a smart way (i.e. Nasdaq/S&P, not speculation investments). If you do that by 30, then if you didn't contribute another penny, you'd have $1.7m at a 10% return. $3.9m at a 13%.....I did that by 30, and am still able to max out my retirement accounts with 4 kids and a mortgage.
''A big short term issue is their current obligations coming up, they will HAVE to dilute/offer shares as part of the payment arrangement, no two ways about it, and then refinance their debt, they have a LOT of money coming due soon, and so this indicates about a 15% dilution, PLUS more debt.'' I like the CEO's reaction to this. People tend to worry about the payment obligations, because their recent acquisitions are too succesfull. What do you prefer, a too succesfull acquistion, or a poor acquisition? He prefers the first option (and me too, actually). The market is bearish because of too succesfull acquistions... Sounds ironic.
They killed all the people wiling to protest. A LOT of them.
CRDOF is looking good. Currently they FCF their market cap in sanout 1.5 years. The list of non impaired companies currently doing that is.... Negligible. Already up about 5x in last year. Obviously there are risks so bet sizing is requisite. But I would not be a bit surprised if 3x this year. As Ray Dalio points out most people still are way underweight precious minerals and need to move away from their Treasury allocations. So in addition to being a superb value stock investment it helps a lot of people properly diversify. Disclosure: I own a LOT of it
Ahhh! Was wondering why im not seeing anyone on this whole post mentioning think or swim, i havent traded in a few years but that’s what I used on PC and loved the look of it. It was a bit in depth but he really good guides and help section and could be customized A LOT. Is the Schwab version similar to how think or swim used to be
🎢 1. You’re Paying for Drama The call costs $4.38 The put costs $1.58 Total = $5.96 Because each contract controls 100 shares: 👉 $5.96 × 100 = $596 You’re spending $596 just to play. For you to win, SPY has to move a LOT before 2/23. 🧊 2. If SPY Doesn’t Move Much… You Melt If SPY just wiggles around 687… Both options lose value every single day. That’s called time decay. It’s like buying ice cream in the sun. If nothing exciting happens fast… it melts. You can lose most or all of that $596 very quickly. 📏 3. It Has to Move More Than You Think You need SPY to move roughly: Above ~$693 or Below ~$681 Just to break even. That’s a big move in a short time. If it only moves a little? You lose money on both sides. 🎰 4. It’s Basically a “Big Move Lottery Ticket” You’re not betting on direction. You’re betting on explosion-level volatility. If there isn’t news or a major event? This is usually a fast way to donate money to market makers. 👩🏫 Simple Version You’re paying $596 hoping the market freaks out tomorrow. If it doesn’t? You probably lose most of it.
I rode a %1200 profit to 0 because I’m a brokie now and only had 1 day trade left 😂 I thought we were going to get A LOT more volatility. Still surprised it stayed flat for so long
I bet you could buy a **LOT** of perfectly-prepared tomahawk steaks for the price in **ONE** tomahawk missile.
Get ready for a LOT of irregularities, especially with Elon involved again.
Fidelity will go much lower but you need a LOT of assets. Some wealth managers have bundled rates that are pretty close to sofr.
Is this not bad because now the government has to pay back A LOT of money to companies? And that money will have to be borrowed no?
*Nasty. What a nasty question. You should smile more. You're fake news. Worst account on reddit. Terrible. What happened to Andrew was a shame. I won texas by... A LOT.*
You may be right but I don't think everything is totally in place to start it this weekend. Iran leadership cares a LOT about self preservation too so I wouldn't be surprised if they agree to some bullshit "deal" to hold onto power a while longer.
They’ve become very adept at it. Gotta keep that stock price buoyed however they can. A LOT is depending on it.
Man that's a LOT of TL won't read, feel better?
>Unlike all the smooth brains who complain about our cold, dystopian, jobless future, I accept our robot overlords and load up on Amazon calls. Amazon at $200 is free money 🤦♂️ Yes, AMZN is mega undervalued but... * We're going to need a lot less low level office grunt workers. * We're going to need a lot more people in trades and services. Already huge shortages. AI helps some workers become A LOT more productive. Others it will have very little effect for a long time if at all. Even the guy bagging your fries, it's been nearly impossible to replace with robots.
Retarded take. * We're going to need a lot less white collar grunt workers. * We're going to need a lot more people in trades and services. AI helps some workers become A LOT more productive. Others it will have very little effect.
I think I figured that out post-2009. Yeah, those options always busted out. Just should have kept 3 or 4 shares of those stocks and kept trading DDM (3X DJIA ETF). That happens A LOT. You have to get the move right on options plays within hours.
You can take a LOT more risks with a million dollar cushion, and risk can increase returns. You can't make big mistakes when you are starting out. One wrong move can put you back years.
Actually my entire OPINION has to do with SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL is NOT EQUAL to ANTISEMITISM so in that way I do not need to know more about the actual Nation. I am not specifically commenting on Israel. I am commenting on the stupid damn ANTISEMITE crap that y'all run out with any time anything critical of the country gets said. The fruit is not hanging low enough for you to manage reading comprehension. Further, I have the damn right to have an opinion as to how my country's money gets spent, since it is collected up from me and my family and my friends and my neighbors and so on. They don't get to TAKE OUR GODDAMN MONEY then ALSO act like it's not our place to criticize what they do with it. Tell you what cut off American funding their aggressions and y'all won't have to worry about the criticism any more. I have asked several times and I am not surprised that you won't, because no one EVER DOES, but WHAT DOES ISRAEL DO FOR THE UNITED STATES? WHY must we behave as if they are more important than any other nation or alliance on the planet? A LOT OF US REALLY WANT TO KNOW. And I am not being a smartass we NEVER get any ANSWER on that and we are talking TRILLIONS of dollars when we can't afford to give free lunch to poor children in the USA at school, so how can we afford to finance that nation that way all the damn time??!!
in other words 50% sounds like alot, but taking 50% less than planned loss , yes that is actually A LOT , lot of savings that adds up over time
Been getting promotions every year while working half as much as my coworkers because I'm not clinically brain dead. By the way if any of you need a reference, let's just say I have a LOT of sway at Walmart.
I looked into these last summer. The gist was that the power requirements were too high and the capacity was too low. The machines use a LOT of power per acre, and cover ground very slowly. The fuel alone would be in the range of $10-20/acre/pass, and you'd have to do at least three passes per season for grain crops. If you're thinking of building small drones that could recharge from banks of solar panels, the system cost would probably be more than the current cost of the farmland. The machines currently being designed are for vegetables, that have a much higher harvest value and shorter growing season, so you might only make one pass per harvest. Any system using the current type machines is going to involve a lot of tillage too. That has its own set of trade offs, though it probably is necessary for most vegetable production.
I am definitely increasing my percentage of cash. I've been an Engineer for 30ish years now, and this AI circus smells a LOT like the dot bomb crash of 2001.
Like /u/No-Sympathy-686 said, but I go with 150% of a month's normal expenses. I've got one credit card in particular that swings A LOT!
I think you did a lot of people A LOT of good and free no less. I wasn't one of them but thank you on their behalf. I'm looking forward to any help I can get, just need a little performer that will rebound say 35 to 50 % in the next 4 months or so. Prescriptions are killing me. Don't let 'em get you down. No love for the haters.
Here is the thing, we as a country are trying to prop up shitty companies making shitty products for nostalgia purposes (Ford,GM,etc) while China is progressing at a pace we can’t even begin to compete with. It’s isn’t over but if we don’t get realistic about who comes out the other side of history we are going to have a LOT of catching up to do.
A million less jobs is A LOT less overhead!
There's a LOT of government regulation around how these plants can be run. Secondly, they're a giant energy manufacturer. You're essentially just repeating the same propaganda that fossil fuel industries have been pushing for the last several decades because they know they can't actually compete with nuclear fission, or God-Forbid, Fusion. If we actually went full throttle toward researching Fusion to the same degree we did competing in the Space Race, we could solve all energy needs, forever, within the next couple of decades.
This is my sense as well (it's ironic that I'm almost always right on the medium-term macro trends but still manage to lose money at every step of the way there). We haven't had an actual bear market in a while - 2022 qualified, but I mean something like 2008-2011 or 2001-2003 - where instead of people feeling in their bones that any dip was temporary and the direction was up, the consensus becomes the default direction is down and any bump is a bull trap. I'm not saying everything is crashing etc etc - this is more like the SaaS-pocalyse where investors looked at P/E ratios and just said "this is overvalued at this level". So I think we have a couple years of grinding down, and for some stocks a LOT of grinding down (like the 200 P/E ones we all know about).
We get taxed A LOT in the US. It’s just not as transparent as a lot of EU companies. While you might get taxed on unrealized gains, at least your gains won’t be wiped out in one unexpected hospital visit. Rant aside, I think the solution to this is to take shorter positions on stocks.
I actually took into consideration government and devaluing when I did a refi from 5.7 to 3.5 a few yrs ago. We could have paid down -30k in the process but instead did a +20k cash out and the decision was a good one. Investment Returns on the 50k swing were excellent and the "value" on the mortgage has gone up. There was a sweet spot with those low cost mortgages that shielded a LOT of people from housing inflation.
It seems like they're trying to target people with a LOT of stocks/options/etc. People that will never realise the papers, but instead borrow money in the ban with those papers as a security for the loans? That would be my initial take on it..
Epstein has been dead for seven years. The market is up a LOT since his death..
Designers of all kinds use Pinterest A LOT. At least they did before it got filled with ai.
I hate coin so much, but I'm conflicted because I baghold HOOD. I have no choice to root for it and it makes me sick. But I really do think it to hits at least 80 soon. There are a LOT of believers
I’m happy to you asked! I would have had a different answer for you if you asked me a year ago, but now? 100% what I’m doing requires a lot of intuition which if AI ever gets… well we’re all screwed. But besides AI if that’s not what you meant I think I’m just starting to see the start of where this field could take me. I see myself working in the “content space” for as long as it lets me, you meet a lot of shit people but you also meet A LOT of cool people, the work is ever changing which I love a lot and obviously the money is well, stupid good.
I understand thanks for taking the time. But in your second example I see two issues: - if your goal was to stack nvda, you now have 100 shares at a substantially worse price - if you dont plan to stack the stockpile that particular stock you’re selling puts for, then it kind of sucks - and finally, I find its a huge endeavour to have to buy 100 shares for the potential to make a mere few dollars. Realistically you’d be selling a LOT of put contracts and therefore that means you’d potentially have to buy 1000-10000 nvda shares at a worse price which is just absolutely absurd
Adding to this, there is a LOT of complexity in options not covered here. For example some are taxable based on the predicted value (like mentioned above), which could mean taxes on something you can't sell. Some are taxable only when the company goes public. There also may be a private market for company shares where the company will buy them back, or they may be transferrable to others so you can do a more private sale. There are potential questions about how stock dilution happens as well (if the company issues new shares dropping the effective price and increasing the number of shares, what happens to your contract?).
Doubt. A lot of white collar tasks are repetitive and structured, but there are sooooo many non-standard edge cases that crop up and AI won't know how to handle them because each one is too rare to train them for. Large parts of people's jobs could be automated but you'll either need to train people a lot and give them time/incentive to actually learn to prompt and build agents etc or else hire expensive consultants to come and do it for them and then keep coming back to refine them. I worked with accounting and finance departments my whole IT career. What could be more structured than that? But so much of my job ended up figuring out how something went wrong when it shouldn't have or helping people to handle unique situations the software normally could not handle. A trap that analytical people (which includes most IT people) fall into is thinking that other people are also analytical and can figure things out. After decades of working with other people let me tell you: a LOT of workers are shockingly lacking in analytic ability. This MSFT AI CEO I suspect is falling into that trap.
Managers masturbate to AI labor savings hype but for real, it’ll probably cut mid and lower management by A LOT 😂
Can second this. Lost $2,500 in February of 2025 (literally around the same time of year when the tariff dip had just started), and after that I realized I had A LOT more to learn, started buying more shares with my option money, and started building positions. Sitting at 13% all time gains now even after this correction, where some of the stocks I own are down 25%-45%
A big short term issue is their current obligations coming up, they will HAVE to dilute/offer shares as part of the payment arrangement, no two ways about it, and then refinance their debt, they have a LOT of money coming due soon, and so this indicates about a 15% dilution, PLUS more debt. Sure, it is not a bad business, and I own quite a bit, but, thats their current negative. The neutral/uncertainty is also big, they are very reliant on current monetiziation of places, via affiliate links, which may or may not remain profitable long term, they are trying to get away from this, but it is still a big risk of displacement. Their larger growing segments of recurring revenue like optic odds, are "overpriced" many say aswell so it isn't certain those will remain popular long term/that those services will remain necessary forever. I think they're a great cigar butt though, I don't think they will last forever, but if the business can maintain for 10 years, which I do expect, and then slowly taper off, I think it'll do well as an investment, with their debt paid off after only a few years, they will be printing money for a little while.
This is what people need to hear. Registered Republicans support him at around 95%. 36% is overall. But when you have a sizable core group who will see no wrong, you can get away with a LOT.
I want to love Rivian, but I keep hearing quality nightmares. There are a LOT of them where I live.
list of counties which are discussed in the news in relation to epstein files: \-US \-Russia full list of countries who are mentioned A LOT in Epstein files: \-US \-Russia \-Israel \-France (Epstein spent a lot of time in Paris) \-Turkey (Epstein-Gülen connection) \-UK (Prince Andrew, Lord Mandelson etc. ) \-UAE (Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem) disclaimer: this list is incomplete
I think the issue is that the US AI industry has a LOT of very obvious flaws in their business model, and a lot of these companies are so interconnected that it could create a very real domino effect I mean the list of the AI issues for American companies is MASSIVE 1. Most likely going to be shut out of the European and Chinese markets (Turns out that other countries don’t want the child p*rn manufacturing machines) 2. US companies have lost their ability to recruit top talent from all over the world 3. Exposure to legal and regulatory risk, think EU,GDPR, Copyright, liability for models making mistakes 4. Chinese models are much more computationally efficient and the US has softened export controls on top end hardware 5. Incredibly vulnerable to supply shocks (chips, electricity etc) 6. Probably the most important, short term moron C-suite people, who don’t understand the tech or how it will be implemented, are going to faceplant on implementing the tech. TLDR: Insane geopolitical/legal risk, no path to revenue and dogshit implementation of the enterprise scale
Yep. A LOT more. Especially in states where you can marry *checks notes* teens before their brains are even fully formed.
Google is literally my only AI play besides a small position in in Nvidia and ASML. I am holding Google since 2019, should've bought A LOT more. But hindsight is always 20/20.
I bet he has quite a bit, he’s A LOT older and SHE was HIS boss. 😂
I bought A LOT during COVID when it was $15. I almost got out when it hit $120 a couple weeks ago. Now I'm just gonna ride it out.
When it’s your son daughter mother…. PC kills Fast (6 months) and terribly with the body eaten from inside. Extremely painful and vomiting/incontinence … Getting 2 more months (or more) with loved ones is a LOT. And this is a Wearable device. Not a drug with side effects.
Yeah. Automation and increased productivity are inherently good things, but if they displace a LOT of people at once with no safety nets, it could get ugly.
Great earning but A LOT of debt
Yessir, long is the way to go! There’s A LOT to be excited about moving forward
That’s a LOT for a blue chip stock. It’s not like it’s a potential “up and comer”.. it’s fucking Amazon
There won't be an AI winner. AI is a commodity. All you need is the compute and the expertise (which is widely available) and you can match the top model. In the next year you are going to see a LOT of catch up from Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon, along with many others, including the Chinese.
In your back-and-forth with u/nivek_123k it sounds like you're looking for things to Wheel. But your OP strongly implies that you already hold SCHX & SCHG, so is that correct? Because if so, you can do CCs to your heart's intent. Though SCHG is better for that. But even SCHX, if you sold the 37DTE 29-delta 28C you'd net 0.7% over those 36 days (from tomorrow). That apy's to just 7% if you were able to do that month after month. That's hardly worth the bother though, or the risk of losing your shares (or the bother of rolling the Calls). And if you're looking to accumulate shares (whether starting from scratch, or to add to shares you own), CSP'ing right ATM is the perfect use-case for those. The SCHX 20Feb27P is at a Bid/Ask of 0.05/0.20, with a Last price of 0.15. That's optimistic given that spread, but you'd surely get filled at 0.10. And 0.10/27.00 in 6 trading days (Monday is a holiday) is an apy of 15%. Not bad for something you were going to buy anyway. The SCHG Puts are a LOT juicier though: The 20Feb31P would sell for 0.27. And 0.27/31.00 in 6 trading days gives 0.87% ROI, which converts to an approximate apy of 36%. Do that every week or so if you're DCA'ing into SCHG anyway, and you're starting out with a 36% head start. Or if you don't want that much bother, sell the 20Mar31P for an apy of \~22%. Less return because it's less work. And if you're "pretty new" to options (I read that as "*very* new" because I bet you haven't read a book) read some of this book (it's a pdf): [Options for the Beginner and Beyond,](https://www.r-5.org/files/books/trading/schoolbooks/W_Edward_Olmstead-Options_for_the_Beginner_and_Beyond-EN.pdf) by Professor Olmstead of Northwestern University Chapters 1 through 5, plus 14 for Covered Calls should do it. Ignore all the "strategies" in the book for now (or forever, but do read Chapter 6 about LEAPS Calls when you want to think about using them instead of shares). Cheers.
I heard they need A LOT more sponsors, and it's unconstitutional anyway...Also, wouldn't Trump need to sign this? Either way, meh. But, looking at the current anti-weed discourse from grifters on Twitter, + this bill getting two new sponsors this week, tells me that the prohibitionists are moving. I think we should be seeing *something* new about the rescheduling process soon.
Yes for every 100 shares you can sell 1 option. If it stays under $420, it means you pocket the entire credit for which you sold the options at, because they're going to expire worthless, but since you're the option seller you keep all of that, and all your shares. You will be automatically assigned if it expires Friday market close above $420. Alternatively, you could roll the option for next week, perhaps for $425, and collect another round of credits. You could also just buy back your options for a fraction of the cost as they'd probably be worth jack shit if it's like $420.20 at market close. Yes rolling is typically a new date, say the week. You could also roll to the same week if the stock took a hit say going from 405 to 395, you could roll and change to sell 410s instead since you're confident it won't hit 410 by Friday. There are A LOT of routes you could take to protect your shares. I wouldn't get worried about getting exercised, because you can do the opposite the next week and sell puts instead. I sell options on a weekly basis between calls and puts. Good work watching videos, you should take a week to learn as much as possible while selling calls 5% out. I typically target 2-3% because the deltas are a lot higher and I don't care if I get exercised, I'll just sell the opposite options next week. Good luck!
You are correct that the US can't be a super power forever. You are incorrect on the first paragraph. No one boycotted the US 20 years ago. I'm not sure what you are talking about. If you are referring to the fact that in 2000 most countries bought primarily from the US and now most countries buy primarily from China (https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/how-china-overtook-u-s-in-global-trade-dominance-2000-2024/) this was not due to some sort of global boycott. This was simply due to various market factors - China's industrialization, China's plan to be a manufacturing super power, China offering cheap labor that US companies were happy to utilize vs expensive domestic labor, NAFTA, and on and on. Almost all countries were involved with the GWOT, and frankly those that withdrew (like France) drew backlash for not supporting it (although the economic impact of the backlash was minimal, if anything. It was all PR bs). Its not like <insert random latin American country>one day decided "man what the US is doing is terrible, lets go buy from China", no. What occurred was that China offered them cheaper products made quicker, and those countries were happy to buy more from them than the US over time. No one is boycotting Trump. Again, I don't know what you are talking about. The US manufactures very little in the grand scheme of things. We export a LOT of petroleum products, medical equipment, a LOT of food products (soy, corn, beef), defense and aerospace products. We certainly do not export consumer electronics, toys, light bulbs...ya know...the stuff that drives the middle class economy - this is China's business and will be for the foreseeable future. That aside, exports have been trending up for some time now.