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I read a thread yesterday in which a *LOT* of people were reporting that their Trump-supporting family and friends are starting to go quiet. I can't post links here, but it's in my comment history next to this one. Once the hardship kicks in, I think Trump's big mouth turn the tide.
Star Wars collector here and I can tell ya that a lot of us won't be able to afford action figures if this shit keeps up. A LOT of collectors are going to be pissed about losing their hobby, which for some, is very important for stress and mental health. I'm sure this will be the same story with lots of different hobbies people have.
Also basing your investment strategy on politics is a fools game. We’ve been through a lot of bad political decisions over the few decades. You would have lost a LOT of money had you pulled out of the market due to political heartburn.
I'm a Canadian watching this from the outside, but not really. Your president is incredibly corrupt and on his way to dictatorship as soon as you let him (which, apparently, is now). People need to step up to stop him. But every step is a step backwards. He has soft-launced taking over Canada and Greenland. He has launched being a dictator. Hes an idiot. And based on the polls, so are 46% of Americans. *I believe* he and the American voting system are being manipulated by Russia. Based on what I see HERE (i.e.: Reddit) no one wants Trump and no one believes in his lies. Based on what I see in real life, a LOT of people back him (Fox News, Newsmax, r/Conservative, etc...) Canada just had a National Election. In January it would have been a Conservative (Republican) Majority, but because Trump said his abysmal things, we as a Nation decided to not "split the vote" and vote overwhelmingly Liberal (i.e. Democrat). The Conservative/ Republican LOST HIS SEAT at the Senate and is now considered a big loser baby who needs to move out of tge Senate and his house (the House of the Opposition Leader). He's a big loser and all the smart people got behind it. America needs to do this. America needs to hold Trump up to his CONSTANT lies. America needs to push for better. You guys should figure it out, because your dumbass president is messing up the world for the rest of us. If you don't do something, you won't be able to vote three years from now. Figure it out.
That's hilarious. Just because there's no individual income tax in Texas does not mean we are a low tax state. The state exists on a base of sales taxes and user fees, varying local entities get their money from add ons to the sales tax and onerous property taxes. We pay a LOT in property tax here in Texas. And it can increase every year by a max of 10%, depending on what the local appraisal district says our houses are worth on the market (hint, it's never correct). Everything else I can agree with.
It takes a lot to really understand options, there’s not really a short and quick answer. Do a lot of research and, just a tip from someone who trades options, be careful trading options on smaller companies like this. Volume of options needs to be considered. When I first got into it I got options on something small like this and couldn’t sell them because there was nobody in the market. Try options with a simulator a LOT before you try it with real money
Yeah, I think it is. But asset values are holding up, and that carries a LOT of weight in our economy. Asset values. HUGE decisions are made based on that alone.
Bezos OWNS WaPo. That’s a LOT different than reporters begin gagged. As for anchors stepping downs, that’s normal after an election. Go google the same thing in 2017 and 2021. The point is… you’re claiming the media hasn’t called Trump out on his lies, and they have been for a decade. You keep going in different directions, but this is a fact. Sorry you missed it. https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/04/politics/fact-check-trump-time-magazine/index.html https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/10/politics/donald-trump-lies-fact-check/index.html?cid=ios_app https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/10/politics/donald-trump-lies-fact-check/index.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/lies-the-news-media-is-starting-to-describe-trumps-falsehoods-that-way/2019/06/05/413cc2a0-8626-11e9-a491-25df61c78dc4_story.html
Amen. I’m all cash (high interest savings account) as well now. Trump is determined to pursue a protectionist policy. Significant tariffs will remain regardless of what happens. Even if he does make deals, the old system of free trade and globalization with America at the center is over. America has lost all trust. It no longer perceived as a friendly, reliable and fair trading partner. Countries will create new trade flows with countries that are not pursuing such aggressive protectionist policies, like with China, Canada and Europe. I don’t quite understand why people are not seeing this and pricing it in. The end of the post-WW2 order will cause A LOT of pain. Trump and his followers are not at all hiding it. Just today Trump said he was ok with empty shelves at Wal-Mart. There is no way China is backing down from this when America is the aggressor.
The kids are gonna have the dolls. They’re just being sold elsewhere online by boosters for a LOT cheaper.
Americans should be far far more underconsumptive. Not defending Trump, but we waste a LOT.
That's a LOT less likes and reposts
A LOT better choice than what we are currently saddled with.
Anyone eyeing $BULL (WeBull) for a Short Squeeze? - this thing has come down a LOT since the IPO surge. It must have more juice in it - no? - I'm considering going long somewhere between here ($14 and $12), anyone have any thoughts?
We're also a nation that has to import a LOT of its raw materials. You think we got rich by manufacturing shit here? JFC
There is a DIFFERENT thing going on here, though. There is a risk to the dollar. We have $36 trillion in debt, and foreign governments are dumping bonds. The trend has been that more international transactions are done in currencies other than the dollar. There is risk to the economy caused by the drag that an additional tax (import duty, or tariff) is going to cause. If we get to a point in the negotiations where other countries start to impose reciprocal tariffs on services, which is where US software multinationals are vulnerable, we have another problem. This is not new. Look at the price of gold and gold miners, and the recent drop in the dollar versus other currencies. What is new is that we just insulted and threatened literally every country on earth, but not Russia for some reason? Our biggest trading partners are backing away from us, in a hurry. We are already in a recession. This isn't dire yet, but the trends are moving in the wrong direction. This COULD turn into a black swan event. There is a LOT of leverage in the US market. My point is that there are some risks here that we haven't seen since before WWII. Some of the stuff that is going on here hasn't happened in our lifetimes.
Because it’s a LOT of money for the top people to get out… They’ve been building it for years, can’t just dump it and they themselves are left holding the bags
A LOT of these people are living Paycheck to Paycheck and don't even have any savings let Alone investments, they chose this Guy even though he's directly Going against their own interests because in their minds they are Just temporarily embarassed milionaires being held back by all those freeloaders and immigrants.
I lost a LOT of money before I pulled out, but I’m at least happy to see that I would have lost even more money if I didn’t
He is, by a distance, the weakest POTUS in my lifetime. And that is saying A LOT.
Daemon, I appreciate your answer. It mirrors my views. But what if you were sitting on a huge amount of cash? I'm not talking 100s of K, I mean a LOT. What would you do in this environment? I know this thread is old, but I really need to know this, and from an outsider.
GDP. Jobs. De minimus. Student Loans. There are a LOT of catalysts this and next week. It could be a wild time when paired with all the earnings. This thing could hit 650 or drop to 500. What a time to be a day trader..
I don’t think you are following. China literally cannot eat the tariff. The tariff must be paid in America by the importer. China exports the goods, but they cannot pay it. There is no such thing as “external revenue service.” Trump expected prices to NOT rise, as in no pain at the consumer level. In order for the consumer to pay the same, the goods have to be discounted by 60 percent. The tariff is based on the import price (not its “value”). If the import price is lower, then so is the tariff. If the importer in the U.S. imports something for 40¢, they pay China 40¢ and they pay Trump 58¢. That’s a dollar (rounding). It was a dollar before, it’s a dollar now. The consumer doesn’t see the increase and “China” paid for it. That’s what the orangutan thought would happen because he’s dumb. Now, you’ll note that $1.45 is a lot more than 58¢. Yes, that does mean if this worked the way Trump thought it would he’ll make a LOT less than he said he would. That’s because he’s stupid. It’s all far too complex for his little brain. But even he doesn’t think China will pay $1.45. That’s what he promised, but he was just lying, just like how he promised Mexico would pay for his shitty wall.
As a former CEO, I can tell you that most CEOs know jack shit. Some have leading information, most are herding. Ray Dalio has good foundational ideas but has overlooked a lot. Don't worry, his predictions will come true. Eventually. Trucking revenues in Q1 were up but are coming down for obvious reasons. But there was a LOT of stockpiling in Q1. US businesses knew what was coming and they were front loading orders. I'm not sure what you're going on about with high taxes. Tax cuts are about to be passed, including what are likely very significant cuts to corporate taxes. Apparently taking into account a weaker dollar is heterodox thinking. Strange how the dollar has weakened by about the same amount as the baseline tariff rate. Gee, I wonder what the significance of that could be? A soft landing is still the most likely scenario. Jobs are up, inflation is way down. Imports are down and manufacturing orders are down, which are objective data points but quite consistent with front loading of orders. We shall see but right now, a recession is not the most likely scenario. Here come the downvotes.
Running crypto scams on the backs of dumbfuck americans is a LOT more profitable.
As a guy that literally provided my directors the data needed to make decisions on how many people we furlough, I can confirm that people at my company 1000% fall into the category that is concerned. I live in a decent sized town with A LOT of manufacturing, every company, some extremely large, some small, have laid people off, or made staffing cuts. STOCKS GO UPPPPPP!!!!
The company has A LOT of cash and some investors clearly think he’s gonna pull off a miracle with that cash…when Trump is out of power the only thing that can save him is the three headed monster: state street, vanguard and black rock because they have way too much capital riding on his success.
The fact that they’re even pivoting at all is promising. I guarantee they’ve lost a LOT of Prime customers too, myself included, and are trying to save face and get some of us back.
Batteries revenue will grow a LOT. Consider the Spain/Portugal blackout. Stabilization of the grid is going to be a MASSIVE opportunity for the company.
US suffers more. **A LOT** more. The US's business makes up less than 2% of China's GDP.
I find that highly unlikely. Its clear a LOT of folks dealing with China have paid ZERO attention to chinas history. These tariffs are a guaranteed non starter for China. They wont "buckle" on this.
I've held onto it since IPO at 10 dollars and DCA'd my way to an .80 cent average. I am up a LOT right now just buying and holding through it all
Problem is a LOT of businesses can’t pass along such a high tariff - no one will buy. you don’t NEED a new TV or a new dishwasher or new clothes or toys or phones or patio furniture etc
I’m not saying to not give up, because if you have a problem and recognize it then please do. But for what’s worth, between 2017-2019 I lost about $25k (95% ish). Which at the time, was a lot for me. That was me living nearly paycheck to paycheck and depositing my leftover money every other week to simply blow it up. Never seemed like much, but then one day I had a reality check, and realized how much money was disappearing. I decided something needed to change. So what’d I do? I took a break, worked hard and got raises, saved that extra money for awhile, and then when I felt like I was no longer delusional and had the get rich quick mindset outta my mind, I tried again. I deposited about $15k all at once. I diversified, shares only with about 75% of it, and tried to “safely” day trade the rest, as I felt it met my risk management. But sure enough, next thing you know, I’m selling shares, making dumb day trades, and had about $5k of my initial $15k left. This is when I got help. This wasn’t life changing money, but I realized how big of a problem it could become, and that I’d never progress if things stayed the same. So, I started working with a financial adviser, and going to counseling (for unrelated things but at the end of the day, it all plays a role). Of course that cost me money too. But it was much less than I was losing. Fast forward to 2025. I’m now up in the mid six figures. I did get lucky with some Covid timing, and the Nvidia run. But nonetheless, I made it out. And to this day, I’m still trading. But it was a long haul, and I had lots of self evaluation and work I needed to do. So again, not saying you should keep at it, but I wouldn’t say you necessarily need to give up everything. I mean shit, as hard as it is, what really helped me is just pretending those losses never happened. I personally got a new brokerage account so I never had to see them. At the end of the day, you’re still young, and you have so much time. If you choose to stick around. I suggest a new account. Then budget for investments that you commit to not touching. If you choose to day trade or play options, USE MONEY YOU CAN LOSE. I know everyone says that, but NO ONE listens. I promise if you remove emotions, stick to a rule/budget, etc. you can do it. And it may take a LOT longer for you to see green than me. But again, that doesn’t matter. Pretend it never happened, and live your life. It’s only up from here. The only thing that will keep digging you deeper is not changing anything.
Great thinking, and I agree with a lot of it… but I’d be willing to bet that there are A LOT of different people/institutions that are short at varying price levels. If things continue the way they’ve been, then we should see a ramping up soon.
There's a LOT of death and misery between now and Mel Gibson in chaps fighting sex perverts in the desert.
if I had to guess, he's about to fire a LOT of people either at Tesla or some other companies. Or some books cookery.
a LOT of people. when someone asks this I assume theyre low IQ and cant check earnings reports
If this doesn't make sense to you, don't ever look into the stock market where "valuation" makes people a LOT of money. These money types also figured that you can buy and sell "debt" which is a level of insanity that normal people would never stand for.
a LOT worse is an overstatement the demographic transition was already well under way in china even before the one child policy had been implemented, birth rates plummeted from ~45 per 1000 in early 1960s to ~20 per 1000 by 1980 (which was when the one child policy was introduced), and declined further to ~15 per 1000 during the 2000s & 2010s this decline is completely in line with countries without any similar restrictions it didnt help with birth rates thats for sure, but it was not the "nail-in-the-coffin" by any means
The one-child policy made China's problem a LOT worse, and also it's the 2nd largest (or largest, depending on how you measure) economy in the world, so it's much more consequential.
Except for defense and PhD level software, commercial software development services are seen as a commodity that can be done cheaper outside of US. And I have first hand knowledge that a LOT of software devs at major companies are just coasting at their jobs, which is why when things get rough they get fired by the thousands w/o CEOs even hesitating.
If this is even \*partly\* true, why do companies like Trulieve and Curaleaf pay a LOT of money to lobby state legislatures to keep - or make - home grows illegal? While Canada, a slightly mature market, has about 10% of all cannabis consumers doing homegrows, the most used numbers in the US claim around 7% of the population is growing weed, and about 15% have said they would, if it were legal. From my own experience, more than half of adult rec cannabis users I know, just over 2/3 grow at home... all of them have one thing in common - they grow so much weed that their freezers are FULL of prime bud, which they readily share, and often give away. Scott's, particularly among cannabis growers, has a stigma against it, whether it's for past products, or for all, and that's that MiracleGro burns plants
Did you blow the entire England team? That’s a lot of cum to swallow . A LOT OF PROTEEEEEIN
90% of WSB is holding a LOT of calls, this only means one thing: my SPY $520 puts will still expire worthless.
I think there's a lot of truth to it, there are A LOT of people who don't know how much they make, they don't look closely at their pay because their life just works (no collections, not losing the house, etc.), or they don't want to look because it gives them so much anxiety so they just ignore it. But I also think the metric is overstated because a lot of people are just in a monthly mindset and don't know how much they make *annually*, especially if they have irregular income or need to factor in 401k match, etc. Not knowing annual income is still kind of bad, but not as bad. Then obviously there are a lot of people who have RSUs who legitimately don't know their income precisely because it depends on stock performance (or even annual bonuses that depend on performance at work). A lot of the time he'll talk to a couple where one partner knows the numbers and the other just has no idea what's going on.
ask your friends/family this, not us. because trump won by A LOT, it wasn't even close with him and Kamala. So even though everyone on the internet wants to deny it, some of y'all had to vote him in if he won by a landslide. or either y'all were so uncomfortable with a indian/black woman being president y'all didn't vote at all and were okay with a fascist leading the country.
I lost A LOT of money on 5/9 puts for that very strike last week.
Take a look at the subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/wolfspeed_stonk/s/T8fzIj3rXJ there is a LOT of good information and DD regarding Wolf abd potential Squeeze scenarios
Good point. If we only count federal it's much less. I did find the IRS page though, $90k to $201k pay 22%, not 13.5%. Not trying to argue at all, I'm just saying we pay a LOT of taxes. A much higher percentage of our total income vs. the ultra rich and the folks in poverty. The people in the higher brackets find ways to avoid taxes with accountants and stocks and what-not. We are right in the middle where we pay the most relative to our income. We aren't poor enough or rich enough for subsidies so it mostly goes toward taxes. Don't get me wrong, I'm not complaining about having to pay taxes, but reform is most definitely needed.
Check out [this comment.](https://www.reddit.com/r/AskUS/s/75kTAJjkDE) I’ll paste it too because it explains A LOT imo. Oohhh on that same note- I thought this was a fascinating take: *sorry I copied and pasted it, it’ll be long 😬 Despite his clear lack of personal religious conviction - his disinterest in or ignorance of the core tenets of any faith - Donald Trump successfully aligned himself with conservative Christian voters. His supporters were willing to overlook his character flaws, his evident disdain for religious principles, and his personal immorality. What mattered was that he, in their view, would defend their values and deliver on their agenda. For many religious voters, Trump became a symbol of power and vengeance - someone who would "fight for them," not out of any spiritual conviction, but because he promised to uphold their social and political priorities. This willingness to overlook his hypocrisy, to accept him as a "savior" despite his blatant disregard for their faith’s core values, reveals the extent to which personal grievances, power, and tribalism outweighed any moral consistency. The progression can be traced back to a cultural shift rooted in denial. The advent of Trumpism marked a profound moment in American history - an era in which facts, reason, and objective truth became increasingly irrelevant to large swaths of the population. This denial was not born from ignorance alone; it was a strategic decision to reject the uncomfortable realities of a changing world. Trump and his movement thrived on this denial. At its core, Trumpism is about rejecting the facts that contradict the deeply held beliefs of its followers. A significant aspect of this was the rejection of inconvenient truths about race, gender, climate change, and science. As America changed, these groups faced a crisis of identity - an identity deeply rooted in outdated worldviews that were increasingly being challenged by social progress, scientific understanding, and demographic shifts. In response, Trump and his movement provided a simple, yet powerful antidote: denial. Trump's followers were not only reacting to external changes, but to internal discomfort. They hated the idea that science contradicted their religion, that their hypocrisy was being exposed, and that their views on race and gender were increasingly considered offensive or outdated. To cope with these revelations, they did not engage with the facts or attempt to reconcile their beliefs with a modern world. Instead, they simply denied the facts -choosing comfort over truth, and aligning themselves with a figure who, rather than addressing uncomfortable realities, validated their grievances. Trump, as the leader of this movement, embodied and reinforced this rejection of reality. He empowered his followers to believe in an alternative version of events, a version where they were always the victims, where their discomfort was justified, and where their worldview was never in need of change. Trump didn't need to deliver coherent policy solutions or rational arguments. He only needed to assert that their fears and frustrations were valid, that the facts were lies, and that he would fight for their right to remain in denial. This denial is not just an individual failing - it is a systemic disease that undermines the democratic process. Trumpism capitalized on a toxic mix of denial and hatred. Many of his supporters found themselves not only rejecting uncomfortable truths but also fostering a deep resentment toward other Americans - particularly "liberals". This hatred became a driving force so powerful that many voters were willing to act against their own self-interest if it meant causing harm to their perceived enemies. They were driven less by the desire for personal gain and more by the satisfaction of seeing their "enemies" suffer.
I'd just like to point out.....what's all this "we/we're" crap? We aren't on the same team, and investing isn't a team sport anyway. I wish you well, but at the end of the day, I'm going to do me, and you're free to do whatever you want. And also, not for nothing, but if you're making your trading decisions based on "news" you have a LOT to learn. Finally, the fed isn't cutting rates in June, and I'd go so far as to say there will be zero rate cuts for the remainder of the year. Hell, a hike would be more likely in my opinion.
america you have too much blood internally inside ur body makin u heavier when the Exanguination Service comes to make ur blood external you are gonna lose a LOT of body weight it will be a weightloss bonanza for america
I mean yeah. I was a normie who got captured by Skyrim, which is largely considered by fans to be a stripped down version of Oblivion, mechanically. They share a LOT of DNA. In fact I had to resist the urge to fire up Skyrim and warm myself in its bosom just because it was more familiar and less intimidating to figure out.
No country anywhere pays us a tax. When China gets tariffs from US, it makes the price of the product go up for the consumers in the US. And the US gets a LOT of products from China!
The fed controls the front end of the curve through interest rates but that ripples to the rest so yes they’re different but same affect. There is a LOT of debt coming due and needs to be rolled over. Lower fed rates = lower yields on short term treasuries = we can refinance at a cheaper interest rate because we can’t afford to do it at the current rates.
Scale 50K without much daily effort? Best bet would be an asset allocation ETF but a conservative esrimate if you pick a good one would be 30% over 3 or so years. Making money is a LOT of work. There are no shortcuts.
My guy those parenthesis are doing a LOT of work
Can you explain how exactly we were being tariffed to death? Because I didn't notice it. But I am noticing that now my hobbies (flashlights, knives, 3D printing) are suddenly a LOT more expensive. Almost like I'm actually being tariffed to death now.
Yeah, that's the point--your comment is a perfect example of how this line of thinking goes. I don't blame you for it--it's logical, really, to see all the things Trump and say it's impossible that he's a failure and doesn't know much about business. How can that he be a failure and an idiot, with all the stuff he has? Read my comment again--I didn't say he doesn't have those things, I'm saying he's a failure \*and\* still has them. I'm saying he "failed upward." But I feel you--what does that even mean? It's because people like you and me have *no frame of reference* for how much money he started out with. Fred Trump build a LOT of properties in Brooklyn and Queens, and he was fantastically successful. I actually lived in one of those buildings, and to be fair, it was a well-constructed building--and that's the point: all the success that Donald Trump had was when from Fred Trump was telling him what to do, and using Fred Trump's connections. The Commodore Hotel and all those early Trump victories--that was when Fred Trump was basically running Donald Trump's business, and that's when Trump made most of his money. Once Donald Trump went out on his own, it's almost amazing how many businesses he ran into the ground. The casinos, obviously, but also the airline (everyone forgets about that), the vodka business, the steak business, the sham university that he got sued for, etc. It's almost amazing at how badly he did. Time and time again, he showed terrible judgment and even worse management skills. There was even--and this is hilarious, you can look this up--Trump tried to fund a team (the NJ Generals) in a league that was going to topple the National Football League. Ha! Brainiac. And that's the point--he *really* sucked at business. And banks would no longer lend him money. And why would they? Imagine you have a friend and he came to you and he was like, "Bro, I just destroyed 15 companies. I want to start another. Can you lend me a bunch of money?" I imagine you'd be like, "Ummmmm I'll pass." And that's basically what \*every single bank in the United States\* did, after Donald Trump didn't have Fred Trump running the show for him. And that's the point: for the overwheming majority of people on planet Earth, ONE of these failures would be game over. Donald Trump, with all the money that Fred Trump had given him, was basically allowed the equivalent of endless lives in a video game. The one thing you can kind of credit him for--well, two--is 1) that he (or his attorneys, really) used the bankruptcy laws very well, and he never declared personal bankruptcy and kept a lot of the assets he made when Fred was running the show (Mar a Lago, etc.). And 2) is that he never really gave up--he couldn't get banks to lend him money (until he went to Russian oligarchs, as his sons said, but that came later) so he started leasing his name to properties. That's kind of funny, when you think about it--he was, by the, a failed businessman, but he had spent so much time publicizing himself that he could put his name on building projects and get money for it. *The Apprentice* was similar--the producers for that show had to do a lot of work to imply that he was successful, because anybody who wanted to look it up could see that he was a failure. This is all to say--read the story about my friends-of-friends again. It would be crazy to call them "success stories." It's like-- **I finally have it, here it is, here's what I'm trying to say: when I take little kids bowling and they put up those bumpers on the side of the lanes so that the balls can't go into the gutter, and then my kid gets a strike, I don't say my son is a great bowler. He got a strike, sure, but the way things were set up, it was difficult for him** ***not*** **to get a strike. That's what it's like been like for Donald Trump: yes, he has the trappings of wealth, but he didn't get them through achievement, he got them because his wealth and his father's connections made it almost impossible for him to lose those things.**
A whole lot of "economists" last week, now a while bunch of manufacturing experts. Maybe just stop spouting shit you don't understand? Manufacturers have beef trying to get out of China for years. They are getting expensive, shipping is a pain IP theft is a problem, cccp is increasingly hostile to foreign business. This is the kick in the pants a LOT of companies will use to pull corner manufacturing in favor of, Sri Lanka, Phillipines, Vietnam, Cambodia etc. This hurts China a LOT right as the beginning of their demographic decline is starting. China will get desperate and do something stupid, like invade Taiwan
RIVN is so undervalued if they succeed it’s insane. It seems to be pretty binary, either they’re worth $0 or they’re worth A LOT more than the $10B market cap they’ve been floating at. Personally I believe they’ve solidified their existence and it’s just a matter of time until their massive R&D investments of the past few years are evident to the public.
My farts smell rancid, and I fart a LOT
The thing is, if you made it to 2.5M, it means you are *doing* something to earn a LOT. Why stop and collect a measly 110k?
> It basically created a 3 week delay from implementation. There’s also a LOT of other stuff where the impact of various admin policies, including but not limited to tariffs, has an inherent delay. Examples: Tourism bookings are way down across the board, for a number of reasons heavily tied to the current Admin, but this mostly hasn’t hit yet because we’re mostly in the “off season” for international travel to the U.S. come summer, when the money isn’t being spent, and it’s going to be a rough season in a lot of places. Or, for home grown stuff - the steel tariffs are already raising construction prices, but very few projects that have broken ground will be stopped - it’s better for the owner to just take the hit at that stage, but a TON of projects in design, especially early design, are being put on ice. The industry is currently very busy, but the forward workload is falling off a cliff.
This is like a post from a child, I didn’t do it!! It’s everyone else’s fault. For someone labeled a “Alpha” he wines a LOT!!
I know wsb is liberal hive mind of terrible investors now, but we all saw this coming. The comic is funny because it's true is that libs will cry when the market is red, they will cry when the market is green. I mentioned in this subs hundreds of times that the USA isn't imploding and that a minim 10% drawdown was expected in q1 for the last 7 months at least. But you all just said I succ djt dicc and was going to be poor. Well I dont, and im not, but libs are crying nonetheless and I have no problem selling them puts at the bottom and buying their -99% calls at the bottom. If there's any solace i have had while watching my retirement accounts fluctuate, its that I was being positioned to take a LOT of liberal campaign contributions fro them before they could give them to the next dei crook to run for president.
There is a LOT of talk about how these tariffs are going to ruin everything, and many major powers are threatening to move away from the US, but at the end of the day no one wants to leave money on the table simply because of ethics and slight inconveniences. The reason Trump goes hard one day and backs down another, is because it gives him slack to work with. Ya, a 20% tariff on china is bad, but compared to the 150% he was threatening, it really isn't anything at all. Suddenly, it looks outright reasonable. The Tariffs are also being used to manipulate the markets. He's telling companies his plans before enacting them. So they act accordingly. Outside companies get blind sided constantly, but his allies know how to manipulate the situation to make things work better. Additionally, Trump's policy IS actually helping american industry. Companies that were considering shutting down plants here are saying they'll stay open because of the volatility of the situation. Even if you have the plant in Mexico ready to go, all the imports from Mexico will be taxed so heavily that you won't actually be saving any money from a lower wage cost. And in addition to retaining american jobs, companies are opening plants in america for the exact same reason. AGAIN, america is a huge fucking market. There is a TON of money to be made here, and most companies aren't going to leave that money on the table simply because the cost of importing is too high.
X is also "shifting focus" to AI and data. Coincidentally, Musk just got a LOT of data from DOGE activities that were then fed into his AI for "efficiency".
If it were me I'd focus on paying off your debt. The freedom you'll feel is priceless. Also, there's no guarantee that we've hit bottom on the market. There's a LOT more that has to play out. Get your house in order now.
Which is EXACTLY why there is a trade deficit. American consumers buy. A LOT. Americans mostly sell services—education, research, consulting, software—which aren’t counted in trade numbers similarly.
Another way to look at things is the following... Ads are served where the consumer's attention is. You don't spend all day talking with ChatGPT but A LOT of people spend basically their entire day on YouTube or jumping across websites for both work-related and leisure-related reasons. In my view, in order for Google or YouTube to truly be hurt long-term there needs to be a major shift in the attention economy, meaning how/where consumers choose to spend their time. If you look at it from that angle Reddit and Netflix are a bigger threat to Google than any LLM. Have you thought about this ? What is your take ?
Fair enough. If you look back to the 70s gold has a LOT more upside if the USA does enter stagflation. That said I can see why it's unappealing looking at the chart. I think maybe in your case a small allocation (maybe 10% of your portfolio) into a bond ETF is a fine option if you're just looking for for stability. I think for passive income stocks are better than bonds due to the growth you get and buying individual company bonds seems risky (even Microsoft)
That's a LOT of damage. Sorry for your losses buddy. Thank you for sharing
Exactly. Everyone on the Trump wagon is getting filthy rich especially with all the insider trading going on, all anti-Trump politicians are getting filthy rich because they are asking for more and more donations to “fight Trump” (read pretend like they are against him but secretly love him), the media love Trump because A LOT MORE REVENUE, it’s just the regular people that are suffering and living with the consequences and the fallout. More and more people need to become aware of the class war and not the normal scapegoats which are the poor immigrants and gays and blacks
yea, for now, stay away from the Derivatives (Options) until you have a LOT more experience. I suggest you start with an industry you know, (if you don't want to go with an ETF like SPY). For instance, I managed an IT Dept for a National Homebuilder, and when Microsoft went to a subscription model back around 2013, and since I was the one ordering the licenses, I knew exactly what to invest in. MSFT. Saw the same thing happening to the Chips, and bought Broadcom (AVGO). Tech has been getting hammered that past quarter and might still have a leg down, but it will always come back. AI, Quantum Computing, all need advanced chips. And stay away from the Penny Stocks! They are just that for a reason. Might as well gamble on the outcome of the NBA championships. Probably better odds. IMO! GL!
There must be a LOT of very stupid people buying high or the MMs would not keep pumping it up and dumping on them over and over.
I mean, it's really simple. Many institutions hold large portions of Tesla stock. If it fails, they lose a LOT of money. They stop being able to pay out people's pensions, etc. Basically, Tesla failing is bad for pretty much everyone who isn't an electric auto company or someone shorting Tesla. Therefore, they are going to make sure it succeeds by pumping it up to sustainable levels.
The Chinese government is most likely lying this time for posterity/PR. There is a CNN article with an update and there are a LOT of named ground sources and the exemptions are already in effect.
Noooo, can you get back in? This thing has a LOT of steam.
Don’t piss on yourself like that because we all have to learn. Trust me, there were A LOT of fuck ups for myself along the way. Fear really made me miss out on a lot of opportunities but the thing is, you get up and you keep on going . Sometimes time is the only thing that’ll help you elevate. I’ve been in business for myself for the last 11 years and I’m still trying to get to that sweet spot. Idk how old you are but the best thing I can tell you is that you cannot escape time. All these social media influencers got folks thinking that you go from 0-100 real quick and anybody with REAL SUSTAINABLE SUCCESS would detest that. Anybody can strike it big from something that’s not meaningful. But to build something, that’s going to take LOTS OF TIME. LOTS OF FAILURES that turn into LOTS OF LESSONS. Idk where you are in your journey now but DON’T STOP. If I had did that, I wouldn’t be in the position that I’m in today. YOU GOT THIS ! 🙏🏾 I Believe in you!
He is A LOT more disfigured than that.
It’s very good. Between EU, NATO, ICE, all the stuff Elon is 100% going to be using them for, and general sentiment I have a LOT of faith in positive price action. I honestly might buy a naked call just because, but I know IV is going to squeeze the pink soy mush out of my hard earned tendies for that.
Cult like behavior and a LOT of sunken cost fallacy
"we're doing A LOT of insider trading..."
aka sees a possible moment to buy A LOT of the market
My mom had a vacation planned this year but after the stock market not doing great, she lost more of her retirement funds than she was comfortable with. So she canceled her trip to stash away more for retirement. I think her story is pretty common in the US right now. A lot of recreational flyers are older folks who have the cash to burn. But they are also the ones impacted the most by the poor economy since their retirement funds are shrinking and their anticipated expenses are going up. We even noticed her neighbor, who is what we call a “snow bird” that travels south to Florida every year, hasn’t made his annual trip. A LOT more people are laying low.
To be fair, Monday afternoon almost broke the 400s again. Not saying the bottom isn't in, just that a LOT has happened in the markets this week
This week helped a LOT, like 5-6% down from ATH now and back at a goal number. Could have been much worse. Probably not a bad time to sell calls on a few things 👍
I appreciate your thoughtful and detailed post and I agree with all of the wisdom you have assembled. I am mostly a long-term, buy & hold investor, but I am looking for opportunities where they arise. I'm not opposed to a quick profit if an otherwise excellent investment happens to be volatile in the short-term. Hence, I was happy to take a 6.7% return on the S&P on April 14, after only holding the shares for 10 days. I bought them at the bottom of the dip, intending to hold them long-term, but I couldn't pass up the quick profit. Then, I bought again on the next dip and have since sold again for another quick profit, though not as much this time. My only regret is that I didn't buy a LOT more shares. But I am too risk averse. I don't necessarily subscribe to the efficient market theory. If everybody knew everything, there would be no ups or downs in the market, only smooth sailing. I am even more risk averse when it comes to individual stocks. But there was a time back around 1999, when a tip from a reliable source led me to buy CNET three days prior to the earnings announcement. They hit it out of the park and so did I. It returned 30% in 3 days. I knew in advance exactly how high the stock could go, since it had already traded to that level once before. Sure enough it did and triggered my limit order to sell. I was very busy in those days and information wasn't so readily available as it is today. Now I'm semi-retired and have time to focus on identifying opportunities. There is one 'theory' that I do subscribe to, but it is not a theory. As the real estate people say, "You make your money when you buy, not when you sell." In other words. the price you pay is the most critical factor in determining your profit. For this reason, I am happier when the market declines and I tend to cry when it goes up. I believe it will go up sooner or later anyway, but in the meantime, please run a fire sale and let me stock up at a discount. Hopefully, the next 4 years of reality TV in the White House will provide many opportunities for me. Cheers!
Lol, the price explosion between 2012 and 2024 did A LOT more damage to society, Than the crisis in 2008 and aftermath
We could just build more. Wait, don't we get A LOT of our materials from Canada. We should tariff them. That sounds like 4D chess. /s
Free float is 727 million. It would take a LOT to pump this. Stick a fork in it.
I agree with the point. We should not tariff Canada. It’s fucking insane. Because it isn’t about fent at all, that was a dumb scapegoat. But just to point out - given that a spec smaller than a half grain of rice will kill you, 40 pounds is enough to kill a LOT of people.
SOUTHWEST CEO, on CNBC "There is a LOT of economic weakness. It's mostly on the consumer side. The business side is holding up fairly well." It's been "a very rapidfall off. The most I've seen ex-COVID." And: [https://financialpost.com/news/us-economy-lose-billions-foreign-tourists-stay-away](https://financialpost.com/news/us-economy-lose-billions-foreign-tourists-stay-away)
The tourism projections are already saying the US will lose billions of dollars this summer alone I think. And as an American I’m glad people aren’t risking their lives to visit, what with all the *LEGAL citizens* being detained and transported to camps overseas now! I’m hoping when that number becomes a reality it’ll kick a few of those assholes in the butt realizing we make a LOT of money from tourism as well!
You shoildve bought LEAPS puts. It will go down later this year by A LOT like 50% what’s worth now lol. Elon confirmed he’s part time CEO of Tesla and competition amongst other car makers are takkng away Tesla market share. The core business of Tesla is done.
Wow this is a LOT of comments in the daily!
Musk makes a LOT of promises about Tesla that they never deliver. He was saying this for almost a decade now, saying"its this year, no later then next year" over and over and over. I think people need to stop listening to people who have lied to them. More importantly? Other companies are ahead of them now. Waymo is running some right now.
I was being facecious. Yeah, China's a great place. They murdered a LOT of students at Tiananmen Square. Let's not pretend it didn't happen like the CCP wants us to. https://www.amnesty.org.uk/china-1989-tiananmen-square-protests-demonstration-massacre