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Lotus Technology Inc. American Depositary Shares
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The average person will have good enough AI to figure this stuff out. Humans have figured this stuff out it just takes A LOT of time & effort. Before the 2008 Great Recession Micheal Burry told his partners that mortgages were all mostly 💩. Burry’s partner thought he was insane for suggesting such a thing. Burry’s partner asks for proof thinking no one would actually do the task of looking through so much data. Burry did & it payed off in a major way. Now all that searching data can be done in seconds really by anyone smart enough to know where to look. AI will point you straight to the fraud, & connect all the dots. IN SECONDS.. This without a doubt a major issue for the Wall Street financial terrorists.
Rarity matters A LOT. Did units have 1 warrants or 1/2 or 1/3? That's probably the biggest factor.
And why would earnings come in strong? You dont think this will cost a lot of companies A LOT of money?
> Oil is used for A LOT more than just gas. Exactly. Doesn't it seem crazy that we are just burning the majority of it?
People come up to me and they say “Sir, please we’re winning too much. We don’t know what to do with all this money.” I made a A LOT of money for my friends over at the stock market….the market is “HOT” like no one has ever seen before! The Dow as at 50,000, but sleepy joe was asleep at the wheel. Do you think Obama had a stock market as bigly as this? The market….you know they sell these things called groceries there, right? But that’s the market for you. Lots of money. Very much. Lots of it”
Oil is used for A LOT more than just gas. The containers the gas is in are made from oil byproducts. Unless we figure out how to turn glass into plastic we'll never be off oil. Might be easier to modify bacteria to produce it than phase it out entirely.
He is a power hungry, egotistical, psychopath. I know a LOT of people who supported him still recently that have said they can no longer support republicans. Congress is sitting on its hands and allowing all this so they are just as complicit. I pray our country comes out of his term in one piece. Our kids and grandchildren will pay the price for what he’s doing and Congress is allowing.
Honestly, before I went almost fully boglehead, I used to buy (with little money) a few individual companies whose services I personally believed were used by regular people on a daily basis. But you know what I have found to be a rather good indicator that a company might be a good pick? If it's something that is spoken about a LOT online, but, also if people are just needlessly dumping on the company as well. I'm not sure if humans collectively are just very good at being "anti something" initially or if there are unscrupulous things being done to spin narratives online. But, I have made a TON of money buying some seriously hated companies on here. I always buy with a small amount in my Roth and then sell to buy an index within a few months. Do I recommend anyone else do this? Hell no. I only do it with a very small amount of money relative to my entire portfolio
Honestly, before I went almost fully boglehead, I used to buy (with little money) a few individual companies whose services I personally believed were used by regular people on a daily basis. But you know what I have found to be a rather good indicator that a company might be a good pick? If it's something that is spoken about a LOT online, but, also if people are just needlessly dumping on the company as well. I'm not sure if humans collectively are just very good at being "anti something" initially or if there are unscrupulous things being done to spin narratives online. But, I have made a TON of money buying some seriously hated companies on here. I always buy with a small amount in my Roth and then sell to buy an index within a few months. Do I recommend anyone else do this? Hell no. I only do it with a very small amount of money relative to my entire portfolio
No but someone is burning a LOT of cash to keep it under 100... like a LOT of cash.
To be honest, a lot of people probably make up the cost of the GLP-1 by eating out a LOT less.
I think your correct in everything you say ..except that the Tort is likely to be less than 10 years away. If I was to venture into Ozempic it would be a jump in jump out play ..before the shit hits the fan. When it comes to the product, people will always take the easiest least effort option (jab over exercise) so it will take A LOT of horror stories to stop its users from taking it. Weight gain and weight loss is an emotional thing and human emotions are extremely finicky Way too many people would rather pay the price of bad health and be slim over being obese and in better health. The oxy moron of GLP-1 :)
Oil executives aren’t alarmed of price hikes because the consumer pays that They’re alarmed that they would be funding A LOT of money to a country that actively hates them
The problem with that number is who is in the top 10%. That's just under 2 million iirc...1.8. Which includes a LOT of average people. Heck my mother is right there and her and pops (rip) live very boring conservative lifestyles, they just happen to live long enough and didn't piss away their funds. My neighbhood has multiple 10% people, nicer homes around me start around 1.3, and that's before we add their 401k, roth, brokerage funds and misc. So, as impressive as the 0% owns 90% might seem, it's really a huge number of ordinary people that saved over decades.
They tell me, SIR, this is one hell of a ceasefire. They tell me that they do, no one has seen anything like it not even Obama remember him. Barack HUSSEIN Obama who gave Iran A LOT of money can you believe that
Yeah. A LOT of oil production was taken out. There will just be less oil; despite it dropping, it's still up 50% from the beginning.
Surprised they don’t have “regime change in the US and Israel” as conditions. They could generate a LOT of popular support for that worldwide.
I've made A LOT of cash with a small Onds position and selling covered calls every time it gets one of those random +0.70 pumps. It always dial back in the following days so the premiums are free money.
Ok, this is purely my personal assessment, and there are LOT of assumptions, but I think it boils down to ONE major mistake. 1) They underestimated the replacements to the top guys they killed. They thought they had good intel, and eliminated 1st and 2nd line of leaders, leaving the guys they thought were neutral. annnd they werent, atleast they were not easy to negotiate with. Right now, things arent "great" but they also arent that bad, maybe the new guys are slightly moderate, if they agreed to no Nukes, No enrichment, etc. On Friday the 2 sides actually meet, we will see what the fate of Hezbollah, Hamas and the Houthis will be. If any progress is made there, it will be great, and if Iran takes 1% fee on Oil for it, then thats the cost of peace. The function of a compromise is that neither side gets a definitive win. So Its normal that it looks like the US lost, but in many ways they did not.
That moment when she comes over the first time and says ‘Wow you keep your house cleaner than a LOT OF OTHER GUYS’ 😭😭😭
I think Iran just realized how much leverage they have over the US and global economy. They are going to demand a LOT and I just don't see Trump and this admin being willing to admit how much they'll have to give up. I also think Trump secretly wants high oil prices to screw over China and benefit domestic oil producers. High oil prices are good for domestic oil production as long as it doesn't go too crazy and forces a contraction in economic activity. We are going to see oil bounce between 90 and 120 for a long time imo
I’m looking for a few good men to pool some money and order a LOT dominos delivered to the pentagon. We will then place calls on defense contractors and oil, and short SP for short term gains. Is this illegal? I really just want to give the gift of free pizza to our great leaders.
Exactly this. To be honest, 2 weeks is enough for me to forget about a LOT of things, but continuously threatening genocide because he has no other cards to play isn't one of them.
I work in finance, and I don't invest any of my money, because _i need it_. Investing is a long term game. Over a 5-10 year time frame? You can reasonably expect an upward trend on 'the market' overall. Over a shorter term? Odds are lower. In any given year you can see a -50% 'plonk' (with some stocks dropping more of course). So my 'investing' is: - emergency fund - enough money so I can tell my boss to F-O, and not be afraid to losing my job. - House deposit - need a percentage to get a mortgage. This needs to be liquid. - (after that) A mortgage - chews up most of my disposable. And sure, it might be sensible to lowball the repayments and effectively leverage yourself to invest, but ... some people prefer a bit more security. Thus my 'investing' is for retirement - I have a pension plan that's locked away but tax relieved (UK thing, but I'm sure a lot of countries have something similar). And I've a _bit_ stuffed into a world equity tracker as my 'investment' (again, in the UK you get stocks-and-shares ISAs which let you be tax-exempt and better still, paperwork exempt). But that's not much, and I'm only capturing 'average market' returns, which over a decade might be 5-10% above inflation per year. In my 20s I didn't, and knowing what I know: I still wouldn't. Because one of the things I know from 'working in finances' is there's a LOT of people sinking a LOT of money into even the thinnest market edges, and I don't have a superior insight. I'm not going to 'win' a game like that. Seriously smart people don't invest for themselves, they invest a few hundred million at high leverage ratios that a retail investor just do. 'active trading' is a negative sum game - for one person to 'win' a trade, another has to lose. But they both pay a transaction fee. So _on average_ you can expect to fail to beat 'benchmark', and as said you're playing against people with significant resources. But I can capture 'market average returns' over a long timeline, and that's exactly what I'm doing. My retirement now is growing quite nicely, and I'll have a decent chance of retiring early. So if you did want to 'be more active' my personal suggestion would be 'pick a strategy'. Not specific entities. Just an approach you think suits you. From what you're saying, you think you're good at valuing companies. That would seem to suggest a 'value factor' approach. E.g. go value some businesses and firms. Then compare that with their current share price. Identify a selection of businesses that you _think_ are 'below the line' and buy like, 2 shares in each of them. Come back in a few months, and see if you were right. But diversify. ALWAYS diversify. That's free risk mitigation. And never invest something you cannot afford to do without in the short-to-medium term even if you reasonably expect that longer term it'll pay off. Failing that, identify a fund that implements your desired strategy, and just buy $100 of that instead. I mean, I've gone for a world equity tracker - the Vanguard FTSE Global All Cap fund. It just buys 'everything' in proportion to the current market cap. (I mean, not literally, but pretty close). But in particular pay attention to fees - trading fees and ongoing charge - because as mentioned this is a _negative sum_ game, and if you're making 5%, but paying 1%, you're losing 20% of your expected return, and can _very easily_ flip net negative. Frequent trading can likewise do the same - every market transaction has a cost. Some platforms hide this cost in various ways, but ... it's still there, and they're not stupid - they _expect_ to make money anyway, so ask twice how they can permit free trading. But trivially buy $200 of stock with a $5 fee, and you should be _expecting_ it to take a few months to 'pay off' the transaction fee. Fixed fee diminishes if you buy more of course, but that's got it's own hazards...
Absolutely a bear/put signal with the amount of AI slop write ups and schilling this fucking stock has been receiving. Means A LOT of redditors bought at the top here.
Sure, but also, the dude says a lot of things. He seems determined to attempt to bluster his way out of this. Game it out. You drop a nuke. Then what? You can't bluster any more since you've already done THE WORST THING POSSIBLE. QED, he won't. Since he and his administration are fundamentally lazy, and dropping a nuke would actually be A LOT OF WORK FOR THEM.
>When **debt** exceeds 100% of GDP, governments often encourage **high inflation** and keep interest rates below it to reduce real debt burdens. This transfers wealth from savers to debtors—known as **financial repression**—and acts as a **stealth default**. - Debt/GDP: 122.5% (CRITICAL) - Total Liabilities: $213.5T (EXTREME) - Liabilities/GDP: 679% (TERMINAL) - Interest/Revenue: 34% (DEBT TRAP) *TRUMP: WHEN OIL PRICES GO UP, WE MAKE A LOT OF MONEY*
I hope you guys understand it is completely over for the US economy. Who knows what happens today or tomorrow. But 6 months from now, your stocks will be a LOT lower. And oil MUCH higher,
>Why would they tell us this lmao It's not usually them, could easily be just one employee or the employee of a client who takes a screenshot and passes it to someone. Research is shared to A LOT of people in the bank. 1000s of people have access to this info and not every one end up following guidelines
Gas hit $4.11 a gallon in 2008. I think it's $4.11 now and... it's PROBABLY going a LOT HIGHER as 2026 unfolds. I know... you can adjust for inflation and blah blah blah but in the end it will be... whose policies and actions fkkd up oil prices more? Bush Jr. in 2008 or Trump in 2026?
>TRUMP: WHEN OIL PRICES GO UP, WE MAKE A LOT OF MONEY ✅️ Stealth default is obvious.
How the fuck!!! I dont even hold a college degree in finance and YET I consider myself a professional in the industry. Also im NOT surprised because in NYC whenever I would attend meetings when I was hunting for my mentors i meet A LOT of people who earned 100k+ and STILL lived paycheck to paycheck
In order to make all those batteries, you need A LOT of diesel.
"hold out long enough" implies that the US has the capability to eventually make them stop. The only way to force the strait open is a LOT of boots on the ground, period. I encourage you to find a resource that predicts that US can "force" the strait open with its current tactics. No one serious suggests they can.
It was just the last play that finally got me to breakeven. There were a LOT of trades in those 9 years. Moral of my story is don’t fuck with options 😂
A lot of you have become community members for a LOT of $tickers, and it shows https://preview.redd.it/44w5nzkw5jtg1.jpeg?width=115&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c899e78b056761689d616eb36aebf4b43ec520cc
Dropping in and out of some mountains to rescue one guy is magnitudes of difficulty lower than taking highly contested enemy territory and holding it indefinitely. They’re going to need a LOT more to pull that one off.
A LOT of Americans that probably make less than 60k a year
Ditto Even in a neural scenario after invading and we do okay while consolidating power, the global south will feel a LOT of pain. I just want to feel like the good guys again 😔
a few thoughts to a really interesting question. \- as you note, im extremely straightforward on the low probabilities of being a successful trader, same as the low probabilities of starting your own business, etc. low probability doesn't mean impossible. i wouldn't do this even here if i thought the probabilities were similar to hitting the lotto - thats more harmful than good IMO. i wouldn't bucket the entire group of those who attempt as disillusioned, although i would argue there's absolutely an element of that - aka you have to think you're able to outperform those stats. \- there is a LOT people can learn through the lens of trading, even if it ends up not being something they find as a good fit. just as the D1 athletes who never make it pro have a LOT to take away from their D1 experience to apply to other aspect of life. \- to reconcile these, i actually really enjoy working with people who see the odds as they are, acknowledge them and say to themselves "i think i can do this". its that exact mentality that leads to at least a better shot at making the thing work. same when i was applying for Marine Corps scholarships - it was a really low probability shot for me but I thought i had a chance and did it anyways, thankfully it worked out. some people find it's a good fit, others will find it's not but take what they've learned and apply it to other aspects of their life.
They’re printing A LOT of money, so based on the money supply, it’s like 16% down. I’m a regard so don’t trust what I say
He probably put A LOT of money on "opened strait and won war by Tuesday" But is America a Muslim country now? Because if a Muslim country is supporting Israel maybe this whole religion war is over?
It's something new to a LOT of Americans. It's called REALITY! You should try it out! It opens your eyes WIDE to the TRUTH!
2 trillion$ value It's going to take a lot, I mean A LOT of capital to move that stock. Don't get too excited bruh.
damn. I slept through a LOT
how far CAN it drop?? CAN?? A LOT. how much will it drop? Dunno
I mean, you know a LOT about your co-worker's husband. How?
This is one of the dumbest posts I’ve ever read on here, and that’s saying a LOT.
strategy: sell PCS on weekly basis (but sometimes I sell a bit earlier in the week prior if I see a nice entry point). Expiry will always be Friday (or if markets are close that day, Thursday like this week) No stop loss Always hold to expiry Generally depends on my mood. If i am feeling sad, I only throw in a few contracts. If I am feeling happy I throw in a lot more. If i am feeling angry or revenge trading i throw in A LOT
Dude, you’re so dumb.. I don’t get how you don’t understand this.. I bought, 2 weeks before the fund was publicly listed, 500 shares through Fundrise’s preIPO buying round. You don’t understand anything what I’m saying here. People who were already in Fundrise already were investing in VCX, it was just called the Innovation Fund. Some had been doing it for 5 years, I only got into it for the last 2 years. So in February they had stated that all If holders would each get a max of $10k worth of shares to buy that wouldn’t be unrestricted. So when the IPO finally listed and it jumped so much on day 1, on day 2 I set a limit sell for $500 for all of those 500 shares. My thinking, I wanted to hold them long term to couple with my 3200 restricted shares, but if I was going to part with them it would have had to be at a premium. Well, it hit $576 I believe, prob should have set it higher, but still made a nice $250k in revenue, netting $240k from that single investment. But I choose to go one step further and factor in the $50k of the 3200 shares that were converted, so I essentially have net $190k from a 2 year old investment and still have 3200 shares of this awesome company that I’m simply going to hold for a decade at least. Before you start spouting off things you obvs have no clue about, you should do some research on what Fundrise was as an investing app first. And the type of investor it attracted. Learn that, and then you can maybe have a better understanding of what happened. Until then, you’re ignorant to what is actually going on here and just upset you didn’t get into Fundrise. But a lot of people didn’t, I was told by a great mentor of mine and he had told 300 other people yet I was the only one to invest, granted just a fraction of my overall portfolio bc I DID look at Fundrise as a risk. It wasn’t liquid, you couldn’t take out shares, it was always locked up. So people that have those restricted shares went into knowing full well their shares were always going to be locked up for even longer than what they will be NOW! So when Sept come along, you’re going to have this demo of people that put very small percentages of their overall portfolio into Fundrise and the IF so when their VCX shares become unrestricted a LOT of them won’t be selling, especially those that sold their preIPO shares already. Bc we have already made a profit, so why would we share come Sept?!? That will only make the fund spike even more, bc EVERYONE is going to short this stock on Sept 18th, and then lose all their money when no one sells. To be able to understand what VCX truly is, you need to first fully understand the investor that got into Fundrise, and what that was. Until then, you’re just an angry person that doesn’t understand what you’re talking about. And that’s ok, I also told 200+ ppl about Fundrise over the past 2 years and only 1 friend of mine put a little more than $5k into it. He did sell his preIPO shares for more than me though, I believe he sold them at $550. I knew anything over $250 per share was a bit high, but I knew FOMO would kick in so I set it at a lofty $500 range, bc honestly I didn’t event want to sell those shares, but if I was going to it was going to have to be at a ridiculous price. Luckily it went to $500 and higher. It’s now settle into the price range where I think it’s properly valued at. It’s prob closer to $150 per share but it will get there over the upcoming year and continue to grow.
Hard to say. Since we're in a news driven market, whatever news determines the direction. You're down A LOT and, honestly, there's no saving it. The market would have to go WAY the freak up for you to make any money from the trade. In options, the shit goes against you WAY more than it goes in your direction.
Economy couldn’t be better? Yes it could have been A LOT better if we didn't have a handicapped toddler for president. If he just did nothing and played golf we'd be in a much better place.
Fuck if I know mate. But I’m reading a LOT of perma-bull “invincible market” comments lately, and that’s exactly what people thought before previous crashes. Timing is the only question.
A LOT of 655p were sold yesterday. Like more than 2x the amount of 655c. Dealer hedging. Nothing is bullish right now, do not be fooled lol
robinhood, the brokerage, auto closes a LOT of the options expiring that same day around 15 minutes before market closes (3:45pm est). 0DTE means zero days to expirations. aka the options that will expire today. This can fuck with the price of the underlying (the stock or etf of a given options chain) as the price will be "allowed" to move in a direction that market makers/dealers/sellers of options as they are no longer exposed to the options they sold. almost all the options you buy are sold by people holding or short those shares. example. I own 100 shares of SPY and sell 1 call option at the $670 strike price. if the price is below $670 at the time of expiration, I keep the "premium" of the option I sold. If it goes above, i will have to sell my shares for $670. anyways I dont want to get into this further as you can ask google or chatgpt to explain further, but long story short, lots of retards here buy retarded 0dte options on the robinhood platform, and given that rule of closing at 3:45, things get weird
In today's world, you have to realize not every product is a public company. Just think, stockholders are going to expect profit growth quarter after quarter after quarter... it's not as easy as people think. At the end of the day IPO is just for early investors to cash out. To be fair, there are a LOT of publicly traded companies that should not be public.
A fresh person, but we have had A LOT of problems with you … more predatory behavior
IMO this is temp bounce. People were hopeful before Good Friday. I think next week we will see a LOT more red. I’ve got a little cash ready to go
Current WTI contracts expire on 17 April - 10 days before Brent Crude on 27 April. Gives three weeks before the Brent rollover so less 'panic'. May WTI is a LOT lower.
It’s becoming increasingly obvious that they are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible, hoping the crisis ends before real consequences set in. Energy supply shocks are deeply scary and damaging. But time is running out. Given the structure of oil and gas supply chains, they have about 2 weeks before Europe is severely affected; Asia is already feeling the pain. (Fuel rationing is already in effect in some countries) It´s very short sighted IMO, because this risks an actual crash instead of a slow decline like we had for the past month but rest assured there is A LOT of money riding on this. Anyways best of luck and Happy Easter!
SPY may actually go to 655 today lol a LOT of 655p were sold for today. I'd expect a dump AH though
this open is going to be extremely difficult to mentally process lol. the numbers on my screen are going to change A LOT and then keep moving
it's not true. Iran has a lot of silos deep underground that can't even be fully destroyed by bunker busting bombs. at best you disable it but they can repair it and bring it back online. and they have a LOT of them all throughout the country
My prediction: 1) He will announce one of two things: either he is winding down the war, or he is amping up the war. Market seems to already priced in his willingness to wind down the war, so there should only be a big surprise if he just amps up. My personal opinion is he should amp up, but this will be a big surpise for the market and will impact a LOT of things, particularly petrodollar. 2) If he chooses to wind down, the war itself probably does not change and will have very real consequences on the geopolitics of the middle east. It will seem that Iran is the victor and will have a better time preparing for the next war with US's adversaries money and military equipment, as well as infrastructure support.
>*PEZESHKIAN SUGGESTS US ENTERED WAR AS PROXY FOR ISRAEL Sorry sir we did this to devalue the debt >POWELL: US FEDERAL BUDGET IS ON AN UNSUSTAINABLE PATH ✅️ TRUMP: US MAKES A LOT OF MONEY WHEN OIL PRICES GO UP
Think long term. That is more worrisome. There is a LOT of potential in the markets right now. We really are at an inflection point. But unfortunately, we don’t have a political system to steer us through this. The system is incompetent through out, outdated and petty. I mean both sides of the aisle. And clearly some country in Asia is looking to steal the thunder.
Please don't roast me. If this isn't the right place to ask, let me know. What do we think starting price for this one will be? I'm coming into a little - A LOT LITTLE - money this summer and am considering investing in this.
This. A toll would essentially only impact Asia, which I doubt they want a bief with. Specifically, USs #1 adversary. They'd be helping Trump tariff China lmao. If it's big enough to actually impact global trade, alternatives will be made. Red sea, Venezuela business case looks a LOT more attractive, lessening restrictions on Russia, etc. They would lose that leverage entirely in a matter of a few years. This investment again ultimately helping the US. There is no winning play for Iran at the moment. We can just blow their shit up and walk away at any time we please. Their "friends" China/Russia won't even vote on UN resolutions supporting them. Their neighbors don't exactly like them.
>And, regardless of party, the next President will have a LOT to the clean up. And without Trump’s ability to pump/manipulate the market, I think it will be a painful ride for a while. I don't think any single President could possibly clean up the mess that is about to made of the whole world order. The US empire is basically dead with this series of moves Trump has made to damage our relationship with allies and destroy the US's control of the economic order. This could massively accelerate the loss of USD as the reserve currency. We are looking at numerous crises looming. The AI bubble, and other bubbles, were just waiting to pop even before this war happened, and now every nasty thing that was brewing due to the mass speculation and tariffs is going to pop due to a global resource crisis that is barely setting in. The government is understaffed, dysfunctional, and Americans are saddled with debt while millions are getting kicked off of healthcare and numerous programs got funding cuts. This is a multigenerational crisis that will see a massive contraction in the standard of living in this nation.
lol dating profiles that say "I'm not a 1 night stand kind of chic (sic) as I know my worth and what I deserve"..... you immediately know she's been pumped and dumped A LOT
Elevated VIX, extreme fear sentiment, oversold RSI and good valuations relative to guidance, estimated EPS growth and future cash flows makes me buy A LOT currently (as I did during last spring).
Not for them. We (the West, and really the rest of the world) have a LOT more to lose. The new Ayatollah had his whole family killed. Do you think he cares about "economic destruction"? Look at Ukraine war. Russia did have a lot to lose economically and they are still going through with it. And Putin didn't have his whole family killed and Russians are not religious fanatics.
There are a LOT more of those people now, is the point. Previously people like that were just uninformed or willfully ignorant. Now they have biased media feeding them, social media grouping them with likeminded people, and politicians catering to their delusions. It so different. Night and day.
Because there are A LOT of buyers today and not many sellers :-)
Kamala Harris lost A LOT of votes in critical cities and states like Michigan due to supporting Israel. A non-significant percentage of the electorate votes heavily based on Israel. I disagree strongly with your position. There is a lot of counter evidence
First time? The market has irrational optimism with Trump, even going back to Trump 1.0. Really wasn’t much actual reason for the market to do well in his first term. Economy was OK but nothing to warrant the ratios we saw. There was a day that I distinctly remember the market being down pretty heavy. Trump in a morning press gaggle said something simple along the lines of “I think the markets should be up”. Boom, market turns and ends up on absolutely nothing of substance. That’s when I realized that this was no longer a rational market following business fundamentals. It was irrationally hopeful, tied to the words of our “business first” President. COVID hits. He can’t cover or BS his way around that and the market had a flash crash. Initial quick rebound but really took off in 2023. Fast forward to today, and it’s rinse and repeat. He talks and knows the right things to say, and the market eats it up. There’s no rhyme or reason to any of it. Now what we don’t know and can’t predict is when/if we hit the point of a COVID type event that Trump can’t BS or paper over. The BS can pump the market for a while, but that makes the falls that much more severe. And, regardless of party, the next President will have a LOT to the clean up. And without Trump’s ability to pump/manipulate the market, I think it will be a painful ride for a while. It’s an odd catch 22: he pumps the market, removing it from fundamentals and making it artificially high, which benefits investors but is bad for the overall health of the market; but then he leaves and a price has to be paid for that artificial value, hurting investors in the short term, but maybe the medicine needed to get us back to a more stable and rational market. Just invest for the long term and hope your period of investment outlasts the instability.
Same. I had a pair of wool runners that I wore a LOT for multiple years. they're still in decent enough condition for being a few years old.
Few will make A LOT of money and the poor people will pay for it all.
French here, we will have a LOT of jokes incoming about the american people being surrendering monkeys in the next decades
**Jan 2** Warns Iran not to kill protesters. *"The United States of America will come to their rescue. We are locked and loaded and ready to go."* **January 13** Tells Iranian people *"TAKE OVER YOUR INSTITUTIONS"* - *"HELP IS ON ITS WAY."* **Late January** Comments on NATO: *"We've never needed them. We have never really asked anything of them."* Also says NATO allies *"stayed a little back, a little off the front lines"* in Afghanistan. (More than 1,000 coalition soldiers died in Afghanistan.) **Feb 25** - State of the Union address claims Iran is *"working to build missiles that will soon reach the United States of America."* (US intelligence says this is not expected until 2035 at the earliest.) --- ## WAR BEGINS **Sat, Feb 28 ~2:30 AM** *(Markets closed - Saturday)* War announced via 8-minute Truth Social video from Mar-a-Lago. Not an Oval Office address - a social media post. Calls for regime change. Says Iran's *"menacing activities"* endanger the US. **Feb 28** *"Khamenei, one of the most evil people in History, is dead."* **Mar 2 (Mon)** Medal of Honor ceremony: *"We will easily prevail... Whatever it takes."* Also: *"Nobody else could have done this but me, and you know that."* Also: Claims projected timeline was *"four to five weeks, but we have capability to go far longer."* Also: Complains Democrats are only mad *"BECAUSE I DID IT."* Also: *"We have a virtually unlimited supply of these weapons."* **Mar 3 (Tue)** *"Their air defense, Air Force, Navy, and Leadership is gone."* Also tells reporters he attacked Iran because he *"had a feeling"* Iran would strike first. (Secretary of State Rubio had given a completely different explanation the day before.) **Mar 6 (Thu)** ***"There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!"*** **Mar 7 (Fri)** *"Iran, which is being beat to HELL, has apologized and surrendered to its Middle East neighbors, and promised that it will not shoot at them anymore."* SAME DAY: *"Today Iran will be hit very hard!"* SAME DAY - on an apology from Iran's president to neighboring countries: *"That's a surrender right there. I called it a surrender tonight."* **Mar 7** UK considers sending aircraft carriers. Trump: *"That's OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don't need them any longer - But we will remember. We don't need people that join Wars after we've already won!"* Also: *"This is not Winston Churchill that we're dealing with."* --- **Mar 8 (Sat)** *(Markets closed - Saturday)* Oil prices surging. Trump says they will *"drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over."* ***"ONLY FOOLS"*** would think otherwise. SAME DAY: Hegseth on 60 Minutes: *"This is only just the beginning."* **Mar 9 (Sun)** Press conference at Trump National Doral Miami: *"All gone. We could call it a tremendous success right now."* SAME EVENT: *"We could call it a tremendous success right now, as we leave here, I could call it, or we could go further, and we're going to go further."* CBS News phone call: *"I think the war is very complete, pretty much."* Republican Issues Conference speech - on sinking Iranian ships: *"I said, 'Why don't we just capture the ship? We could have used it. Why did we sink them?' They said, 'It's more fun to sink them.'"* SAME DAY: Also says the war is ***"both complete and just beginning."*** SAME DAY: *"We've already won in many ways, but we haven't won enough."* SAME DAY: Threatens Iran will be hit ***"TWENTY TIMES HARDER"*** if they disrupt oil flow. Also says it is *"my honor to"* work to secure the Strait of Hormuz, insisting the oil supply mostly benefits other countries. **Mar 10 (Mon)** Demands Iran immediately remove naval mines. *"If for any reason mines were placed, and they are not removed forthwith, the Military consequences to Iran will be at a level never seen before."* Hegseth: *"Our will is endless."* Also Hegseth: *"I want the American people to understand this is not endless."* **Mar 11 (Tue)** Kentucky rally ***"And we've won. Let me tell you, we've won. You know, you never like to say too early you won. We won. We won the - in the first hour, it was over. We won."*** SAME DAY to Axios: War will end *"soon"* because there's *"practically nothing left to target."* Also: *"It ends any time I want it to end."* **Mar 12 (Wed)** *"They are pretty much at the end of the line. It doesn't mean we are going to end it immediately - it is only a question of when."* **Mar 13 (Thu)** Fox News interview - on when the war will end: ***"When I feel it in my bones."*** But also: *"I don't think it's going to be long when it's over."* **Mar 14 (Sat)** *(Markets closed - Saturday)* Truth Social: ***"We have already destroyed 100% of Iran's Military capability"*** SAME POST: *"...but it's easy for them to send a drone or two, drop a mine, or deliver a close range missile somewhere along, or in, this Waterway, no matter how badly defeated they are."* Calls on China, France, Japan, South Korea, UK to send warships: *"Countries of the World that receive Oil through the Hormuz Strait must take care of that passage, and we will help - A LOT!"* Also dismisses reports US planes were destroyed in a Saudi base strike: *"Four of the five had virtually no damage, and are already back in service."* --- **Mar 15 (Sat)** *(Markets closed - Saturday)* Truth Social: *"Many Countries, especially those who are affected by Iran's attempted closure of the Hormuz Strait, will be sending War Ships"* - names China, France, Japan, South Korea, UK. NBC interview: *"They've not only committed, but they think it's a great idea."* **Mar 16 (Mon)** ***Market open: S&P up 1%, Dow +325 pts on hope of coalition*** White House event: *"Numerous countries have told me they're on their way."* Asked which countries: ***"I'd rather not say yet."*** Says Rubio will announce. (No announcement ever comes.) Also: *"Some have to travel an ocean."* Also: *"I know that we'll protect them and if ever needed, if we ever needed help, they won't be there for us."* SAME DAY: Germany: *"This is not our war; we have not started it."* Spain, Italy, Australia, Japan, South Korea all decline. Trump declines to give a timeline: *"I don't want to say... if I'm two days late, you'll criticize me."* **Mar 17 (Tue)** Truth Social (morning): NATO allies *"don't want to get involved"* - calls it a *"one way street."* THEN: ***"Because of the fact that we have had such Military Success, we no longer 'need,' or desire, the NATO Countries' assistance - WE NEVER DID! Likewise, Japan, Australia, or South Korea. In fact, speaking as President of the United States of America, by far the Most Powerful Country Anywhere in the World, WE DO NOT NEED THE HELP OF ANYONE!"*** Oval Office with Ireland's PM: *"We don't need any help, actually."* *(This is ONE DAY after "numerous countries told me they're on the way.")* Also: The war *"has been long prosecuted as far as I'm concerned, almost from day one."* **Mar 19** publicly threatened to “massively blow up the entirety of the South Pars Gas Field” if Iran attacked Qatar again. (Would be an economic and environmental disaster) Japanese reporter asked why allies weren’t informed before the Feb 28 strikes. Trump replies with “...Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor, OK?” Truth Social: The Strait *"will have to be guarded and policed by other Nations who use it - The United States does not!"* ALSO: *"If asked, we will help these Countries in their Hormuz efforts, but it shouldn't be necessary once Iran's threat is eradicated."* **Mar 20 (Thu)** Reporter asks what he means by saying the war was won: *"Oh, I think we won. We've knocked out their Navy, their Air Force. We've knocked out their anti-aircraft. We've knocked out everything. We're roaming free."* Rejects Pope Leo XIV's call for a ceasefire: ***"You don't do a ceasefire when you're literally obliterating the other side."*** **Mar 20 (Fri)** ***"Without the U.S.A., NATO IS A PAPER TIGER! They didn't want to join the fight to stop a Nuclear Powered Iran. Now that fight is Militarily WON, with very little danger for them, they complain about the high oil prices they are forced to pay, but don't want to help open the Strait of Hormuz, a simple military maneuver that is the single reason for the high oil prices. So easy for them to do, with so little risk. COWARDS, and we will REMEMBER!"*** Help is on the way -> Numerous countries coming (won't say who) -> Everyone says no -> WE NEVER NEEDED HELP -> Why won't anyone help -> COWARDS -> We will REMEMBER -> We NEED NOTHING -> Why would we be there for them
Looks like he ate a LOT of baby meat too. Like, way too much.
Ill give you a real, non-political answer. Clean energy requires a LOT of upfront funding and you need the proper infrastructure to support it. Huge upfront costs are not sexy and the US infrastructure is long overdue for an update.
All I'm hearing is that there is a LOT of buying about to happen.
Amazingly well done! I can't see the image linked in your edit, but can only guess you took on a LOT of short-term gamma risk to land those premium gains. I guess with all the chaos right now, VIX is up there, bringing up implied volatility across the board.
Those dudes at r/oil posting nonstop not knowing the difference between gasoline and oil, and expecting it to hit 200, 300, 400 usd, and liking each other comments, only shows that nobody knows shit and basic education has failed A LOT of people.
Hey now, he stole a LOT of money with that ballroom, I'll have you know!
a LOT of diamond hands reporting back to work tomorrow https://preview.redd.it/bzv31690j2sg1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=eadc45071127986381d6a687619154d480c90867
I have zero money in QC but I do have a couple of bets in optical, so it isn’t like I’m disagreeing with you. But just to be clear, I defined the class of problems precisely: binary quadratic optimisation problems, and I made no claim of generalisation beyond that class. But it remains that it is a very important class of problems. Travelling salesman is relevant for a LOT of problems in logistics management.
Excuse me! You should all be thanking President Trump for crashing the market for his shorts and raising gas prices to make oil companies richer. We’re making a LOT of money! /s
Just give it time. You have the disadvantage of dumping a LOT in right before a downturn before getting into stocks. it's gonna be a psychological hit. That's completely natural. It's easier for folks who start in stocks and see it grow because you get "acclimated" to the wings as your investment grows. You got right into it with BIG number swings. That's tough to watch. But don't worry. Most important advice if you don't need the money for an emergency short term is just try not to watch it and over think it. Downturns are completely natural and fine. You have plenty of time for it to recover. This is no greater of a downturn so far than we had last year. If it's like that, stocks will be back up and higher within another 6 months. But no one knows for sure. If you are ok waiting for 5-10 years before needing the money, you're statistically incredibly likely to be absolutely fine.
I mean, I’m hoping for the golden tweet. Not because anything is better, but A LOT of people bought a LOT of puts on Friday at close. It would be anarchy in here
a LOT of people were saying this 11 months ago.
What a fair amount of people don’t realize is for every day the Strait of Hormuz is shut down it takes on average 7 days to get it fully opened again. Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz on March 2nd, today is March 28th. If the Strait of Hormuz was full opened today it would take around a 1/2 a year for everything to return to pre March 2nd levels. Also, the global supply chain uses oil and gas for everything! Everything is about to get A LOT more expensive.
I bailed on a lot of speculative stuff (aka stuff I heard about on Reddit) but am holding on to the ones I believe in. Biggest position is 8k shares of ATAI. Down $3k now, should have taken profits this fall when it was up $14k 🤦♂️🤦♂️. I learned a LOT about investing and trading this past year so it hasn’t been all bad. It’ll all come back, learning to be patient.
Not defending the orange booger, but the Germans knew the U.S. was coming. They unalived a LOT of allied troops landing at Normandy and would’ve massacred even more of them if they knew their exact landing zones. Even if they had impeccable intel and knew 100% i don’t think they would have been able to hold the huge volumes of troops landing on the beaches.
Besides tech I like other compounders like Visa or luxury especially Ferrari that got dragged down a LOT
The only possible dispute would be a debate about whether their wording would lead any reasonable person to believe they had won beyond a reasonable doubt. This is because I'm in California and there's some California specific law about declaring winners. They're shielded by a LOT of fine print though and held the sweepstakes through a separate LLC