TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares
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What should I understand about futures contract expiration dates when using futures for long-term leverage?
Yolo my life saving into a leverage etf
Just made a 10K loan to gamble in bonds
Why shouldn’t I buy $TMF now? It’s $3!!!!!
Putted 20k in bonds and down -20%
It's a great time to buy US Treasury Bonds (TMF)
Ray Dalio Says He Doesn’t Want to Hold Bonds, Cash ‘Is Good’
Wall Street Newsletter S03E02: Four Research papers from Jackson Hole Symposium 2023.
When Silence Speaks: The Market Implications of What Powell Didn't Promise
Why TMF Stands Out: Limited Decay and the Anticipated Rate Cut
Request Asset Allocation Feedback - With Recent Gain
Critique a 1.8x leveraged portfolio strategy that relies on 3x levered ETFs?
Can someone explain TMF??? Good idea in 2024?
The Weakening Pulse of the Markets: Why I See No Room for Further Rise
2023-04-27 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Velma Dinkley
2023-04-26 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of Harley Quinn
Navigating Market Uncertainty: A Bearish Outlook Amid Debt, Inflation, and Geopolitical Tensions
2023-04-05 Wrinkle Brain Plays - In the style of a Marine Drill Instructor
Anyone with a Motley Fool Subscription Mind Sharing the 2023 Recommendations??
Calculating the expected annual tax drag of a portfolio due to rebalancing
Wall Street Newsletter S02E07 : Why is there such a disconnect b/w Stock and Bond market?
Anybody able to share example CSV exports from Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, or E*Trade?
What are the bear arguments for long term bond etfs like TLT or TMF?
Can leveraged etfs go to zero without index being down 33%+?
The Recession has already happened, and you missed it
Anyone following Lemonade LMND?
With a good PCE is TLT/TMF a good buy right now?
thoughts on my return stacked leveraged ETF portfolios?
Thoughts on my return stacked leveraged portfolios?
thoughts on my return stacked and leveraged portfolios?
Can a value stock also be a growth stock, examples in the current market? Which metrics to (mainly) look at?
Is there something I'm missing? Leverage ETFs seem great.
my boyfriend is obsessed with investing and it worries me?
Backtesting a $100k UPRO portfolio with long $HYG puts as a hedge (replacing TMF in HFEA, the Hedgefundie portfolio)
I cancelled my membership with Motley Fool today. Their marketing made me do it.
What happens to secondary US Bonds in the event of a foreign debt crisis?
Call to Action; FINRA Notice 22-08 (Important if you trade UPRO, TQQQ, TMF)
Do you know any good articles that discuss using bonds to save cash incase there's a good time to buy a stock dip?
Absolutely retarded apebrained 2x leveraged 60/40 S&P 500 / long term treasury portfolio - looking for feedback
About to YOLO my entire Roth IRA into TQQQ. Who's with me?
About to YOLO my entire Roth IRA into TQQQ. Who's with me?
Here are the pros and cons of the healthcare sector [DD]
Here are the pros and cons of the healthcare sector [DD]
Is anyone else's portfolio in the green besides me this week? Leveraged tangent portfolio at a quasi-risk parity allocation worked great. Rebalancing 10% out of TMF shortly to buy more TQQQ/UPRO at discount prices. Inb4 the usual "hurr durr volatility drag/beta slippage" anti leveraged etf crowd
Is anyone else's portfolio in the green besides me this week? Leveraged tangent portfolio at a quasi-risk parity allocation worked well. Rebalancing 10% out of TMF shortly to buy more TQQQ/UPRO at discount prices. Inb4 the usual "hurr durr volatility drag/beta slippage" anti leveraged etf crowd
Is anyone else's portfolio in the green besides me this week? Leveraged tangent portfolio at a quasi-risk parity allocation worked well. Rebalancing 10% out of TMF shortly to buy more TQQQ/UPRO at discount prices. Inb4 the usual "hurr durr volatility drag/beta slippage" anti leveraged etf crowd
Recreating hedgefundie's portfolio for cheaper
HedgeFundie’s Excellent Adventure: Historical Distribution of Rolling Returns. 3X leverage ETF Portfolio
Anyone follow TMF recommendations
Inflation Fear Mongers Are Wrong - Treasury Yields Will Plummet
How sound is investing in a bogles-style portfolio, but with 3x leverage?
Would higher bond yields cause a rise in leveraged bond ETFs (specifically $TMF) or would the lower bond price cause it to drop?
Robustness of treasuries as hedges on a PSLDX/Hedgefundie style investment
No, 100% TQQQ is probably not a great idea. Here's why.
Weekly Trading Strategy Spotlight (02/17/2021 ) - wallstreetbets sentiment analysis
Mentions
I use leveraged ETFs that are 2x or 3x exposure to crank up the exposure beyond 100%. TQQQ 32% UGL 12% TMF 12%
TMF +25% in one month, tsm +30% in 8 months
You don't have to believe me TMF's stock pick history is a matter of public record. Anyone who followed them since 2002 would have the same results. Anyway I'm looking for a replacement service not looking to discuss TMF. Sorry you missed the boat.
Im sinking down with TMF
\+50% CYN \+4% TMF \+28% DPRO \+20% MOB \-14% UAVS \-2% UMAC \-15% DELL 07/18 140 Call \-64% MU 07/18 140 Call Not great, not bad. Overall I'm in profit. You'd think I have some idea of what I'm doing but honestly, I have no fucking clue how I managed to have more than one position above 1% profit.
Ok, so tard level 1 bets are options. What are people doing for tard level 2? I think they are going to devalue the fuck out of the dollar over the next year. So...I'm thinking REITs should do well. Gold of course. Euro funds. TMF/TLT.
I ran that strategy through portfolio visualizer, 60% UPRO, 40% TMF rebalanced quarterly from 2019 to today. An interesting quote from the post: >**What are the risks of your strategy?** The main risk is that the S&P 500 and long Treasuries crash together in the same short period of time. In the past 30 years this has not happened, and I can't think of a real-world scenario in which this would happen. I acknowledge this risk and move forward having accepted it. Which is exactly what happened in 2022 where it dropped 67% due to long term treasuries dropping along with the S&P for an entire year. That portfolio underperformed the S&P 500 between 2019 and 2025.
Fuck it. I think these retards are going to cut rates. Buying a bunch of TMF mother fuckers. Devalue that dollar!
Umh I remember somebody messaging me about my funds, telling me they "already figured them out" or whatever. If it wasn't you (maybe through some other account, idk), then I apologize sincerely. As for the funds, yeah, I think you just forget them. it's a PIMCO fund, VCMDX and QRPIX. It's those three, yep, good job! As for resembling Bogleheads, RR, EliteTrader, Ayres+Nalebuff or any other website/book/resource, uhhh duh, I didn't come up with the concept of "grab a multi-asset, efficient portfolio, then leverage it to the Kelly Criterion" so you will obviously find similar concepts on other websites/books. This particular portfolio was put together by my advisor, who has done similar leveraged, multi-asset portfolios for more than a decade. Well before people like Steve Reading, comeinvest, HFEA, or whatever even posted. I've actually shown him some of those threads, he said to absolutely stay away from anything like HFEA back 6 years ago. I never touched TMF with a ten-foot pole thanks to him.
Buy some TMF, you'd get your 10% next Wednesday.
Treasury action tomorrow is going to show strong demand for US bonds. TLT will pop up. If you really want to play it risky TMF. You're welcome.
Not worth a penny imo. A year of SA and TMF taught me I certainly didn't need their services.
What you prefer: TMF or TLT calls LEAPS?
Trump without Elon, can't pass shit, lower yields ahead, Long TLT/TMF
Spending Bill gets held up in senate… spending/debt expectations decline… corn and spy down bonds up. Threw $160k into $TMF
I think the call went badly, all in shorts and TLT/TMF
As much as I personally hold and love TMF, I have to disagree with everything you said as misguided and wrong. High chance there's no rate cuts this year and any relief on LTT yields is temporary until things get a semblance of stability and sanity.
Am I crazy for thinking that the 10yr looks ready to free fall and that this might be a good entry for TMF?
60/20/20 - UPRO/TMF/UGL, DCA monthly, enjoy 30 million in 20 years. Feel free to pick this apart I'm still investigating, but pretty dialed in
TMF? TIPS? Which bonds? I'm regarded btw.
If you aren't in ZROZ, GOVZ, or TMF you've got no balls.
Full port TMF let's get this baby back to $100
I mean proportionally yes. The gains are bigger. I've made several TMF call plays this year for good returns
True. Do you ever trade TMF. I usually do those over TLT options for bigger gains
Might've got into TMF a little too early 
It's getting close to time to buy calls on TMF
Definitely not TMF, that’s a long bond fund. Sounds like you want to long the yield aka short the bonds
Wonder when it will be time to buy TLT/TMF. Historically the divergence between short and long end yields can be a lot higher, currently we're only around 1%.
Why not go full retard, and go TMF instead?
TLT and TMF absolutely getting crushed
HFEA strategist in shambles holding TMF. All time lows
Pretty sure the FED starts buying up bonds aggressively when they see it's getting too high too fast.. We have to time that moment and go all in on $TMF calls
I hold thousands of TMF and TLTs. Since Treasury is selling bonds the yield goes up and another sale happens this Thursday. Waiting with some cash to buy more on that day. Every time yield goes up, it is affecting economy and will eventually dropped by market. I just swing trade TMF and TLT, holding long until I get nice profit. Jan 2025 I bought TMF at $36.75 and sold it $46.9 with 27% appreciations. Now I started buying them again and again when it goes down. Buying more this Thursday! Good luck!!
I did $TMF, but I shouldnt have. It was a lucky purchase I made based off the Previous comment, I got lucky hahah
TMF is entertaining, 3x 20 year treasury BULL etf. We can play options on it
you the OG TMF bagholder right - i remember your name - what did you do with those bags bruh
$JAAA, $BSV (short end corp plus government) and VGLT (lower fee TLT.) $BLV is long end corp plus govt. I bought some TMF today for a trade.
Time to go long triple levered 20 year bonds? TLT Calls? TMF??!! LFG
Time to go long triple levered 20 year bonds? TLT Calls? TMF??!! LFG
I keep buying TLT and TMF whenever it is pulled back including today. So far accumulated thousands of shares .
>POWELL: APPROPRIATE TO RECONSIDER AVERAGE INFLATION TARGETING TMF clear for launch.
I'm actually going to load the TMF. I see this game really well now.
TMF can’t stop hitting all time low
>POWELL: APPROPRIATE TO RECONSIDER AVERAGE INFLATION TARGETING There not going to raise for inflation. Plus they're buying treasuries again. We load TLT and TMF here
Look at TMF. It's up 3% today because whales are buying the attractive bonds
There are total bond ETFs like TOTL that you can use and you can leverage it using a short box. But I don't really see how that would work because the short box will be slightly above the risk-free rate. I guess it would also depend on what type of duration and credit quality you are looking at. There are also leveraged constant duration ETFs like TMF and UST. Leverage can be very risky though - I lost quite a bit during the orange-swan event.
All they know is UPRO and TMF and quarterly rebalance. Anything more modern than a boomer broker UI confuses them
That said, I'm hugely down on my TMF calls tho
Been selling at the money calls on TMF since last December. Fairly solid results.
Bought some TMF 40c 5/30 at close today. Fed just backstops whenever yields get yippy. Easy money.
I just want TLT to go to the moon. Got assigned 3k shares of TMF @ 39.50 Friday
I'm just talking about a rebound-trade via TMF calls 1-2 weeks out from TLT hitting below 87.25, not a long-term *investment* in TLT.
Guys, keep an eye on TLT; if that falls below 87.50 again, get ready to buy TMF calls about a week or two out. The Fed will always prevent bonds from crashing, by buying them up, and subsequently boosting TLT back to 90. Easiest repeat trade of the year, I think.
TMF as well. 2x leverage
Well, we know now what happens whenever it does; the Fed steps in and buys bonds to prop it up; thus, bond prices aren't going to crash. Weekly TMF calls are the play if TLT drops below 87 every time.
You know... every now and then this sub gives you a gem. I listened to that regard about TMF calls. Theyre making $$$.
Trump getting his way is treasury yields going down. That makes TMF go up.
Other bond long duration funds did badly since it launched as well like ZROZ, TMF. It's somewhere in between those two volatility wise, but, if it delivers on the investment thesis, a bit better. A powerful diversifier that doesn't need to take up so much space in a portfolio to have a big effect.
Tariffs will cause trade to go elsewhere and countries who previously trade with the US will need less USD reserves which will lead to them dumping their treasury positions. Meaning TMF is gonna have sell pressure.
They use LEAPs on like 7 year bonds, so the theta decay is almost negligible. You get the better yield at the middle of the yield curve, and it's long volatility. The design of it gives great convexity, and you get longer duration (more capital efficient) exposure than say EDV/ZROZ/GOVZ without sufferjng from volatility decay like with TMF or TYD.
Fed is going to be put in a bind - they'll have to cut to prompt growth, but the man-made supply shock that is tariffs and the trade war is going to drive prices high at the same time as growth craters. There's a word for this - stagflation. And Treasuries are where you **don't** want to be in that case. Sure, TMF will print - but it's printing in dollars, that are losing their value as quick as TMF gains. So, agree on inflation, but you're going to want gold and farmland for a long bet instead. Countries aren't coming back to the dollar, and the flight from it has just begun. They **will** want to nuke their own currency, since what most countries are going to try to avoid is losing exports due to appreciation. So in the long term, who knows what will replace the dollar. In the near term, every country is going to be scrambling for gold, since they don't want to be at the mercy of Mad King Donnie, or the psychos that put him in power.
Get away from TMF. Trust me, bro. It did great before November 5, and it has been downhill since. And if Trump gets his way, it is not going to get any better…
You can get killed holding TMF. Ask those who ran HFEA, if you can find anyone who will admit to it.
Is he? I don't actually see how this is a pro-gamer move. Treasuries have been way more shit than they ordinarily should be during a downturn, and there's legitimate fears that it could become even worse if the incompetent orange manages to tank trust in the faith and credit of the US government even further. My TMF has been burning nothing but holes in my pocket. I do certainly hope that this is the prelude to some huge treasury bull run because I'm sitting in the same boat, but right now I don't really see it coming yet.
Ah, yes. After some consideration I did move from TMF into UGL. I don’t see stagflation leaving us anytime soon and I am tired of my bonds being down +90% since I bought them.
I'm going to have to just go all in on TMF and TLT leaps if the 30y yield breaks 5 again
LETFs has been hedging with gold for months now. After the bond massacre TMF was out and managed futures and gold was what most people decided on
I hope you did a good profit. or cost reduction. I think I'm going to wait a bit, see more bond selling and then bet on Feb 2026, which is when I think J Powell might get replaced. I have done zero research, but it's in my mind. Soon as it is confirmed that J Powell is good as gone within six month from that point forward, I think I'll go all in on TLT, and maybe even TMF. Because 0% interest rates are pretty much a guarantee at this point. It could make me a millionaire, maybe i'll go with 110Cs March 2026.
I saw a tic Tok suggesting 95% SOXL, with 5% TMF as a good balanced portfolio. That was enough research for me. Thinking of getting some this UVXY I keep hearing about too though.
I just bought the TMF today lol
I bought a pretty decent chunk of TMF. 10 year goes above 4.5%, that'll be the sell signal
Got filled on TMF for 39 a share. Will regret.
Seriously considering TLT/TMF here. The one thing the 🥭 admin has not flip flopped on, is the desire to drive down the ten year. Which is objectively hilarious bc everything they've done has caused it to rise. But the SPX can drop 20% in 20 days and they don't give a fuck. But the minute the ten year starts getting close to 4.5% they swoop in like a concerned parent.
There’s 30k+ open interest at strikes $85 and $80, too. I exited GLD and loaded $45c 8/15 on TMF. Which of us is the most regarded? Haha
If the 10yr yield drops, it could set up a pretty textbook H+S. TMF could be a good buy here. I still don't trust Asia though to not keep dumping
Me looking at my TMF 
For visibility purpose, writing here. Op , u/zebirke, your father is true guru. Why doubt about such a father? Here are my true findings (and I practcailly use it). Eight years before, I started my own algorithmic journey, wrote a script Dec 2017, but completed workable version Dec 25, 2018 - found bottom of market was Dec 24th (19.5% drawdown). From then on, I escaped from all recession (2020), corrections (appx 15%-25%). My algorithm measures the so called waves of your father's findings. Market prepares ahead to make a possible top or possible bottom that my algorithm. Market moves first and then media/news reports correct as well as fake news (not at all related). >The weirdest thing he says is that the markets create the news. He genuinely believes that there are wave movements that cause events. He is pretty right about this weirdest thing. Yesterday, you see my algorthmic test message [https://imgur.com/AalUaou](https://imgur.com/AalUaou) When I get this message, I buy and will also get sell trade like this [https://imgur.com/1jLXSSE](https://imgur.com/1jLXSSE) The above is day trade cycles (waves). Same way, I have swing trade cycle and long term cycles. Caveat: When high volatility period, day trade cycles fail, but swing trade skewed, but long term cycle runs fairly. During Jan 2025, I moved entire money to bonds, TLT and TMF (when it was 36.75%), holding 80% with it, but day trading 20% (every day cycle). Last week when TMF went up $46.90 sold all TMF, TLT, Bonds and this week near bottom moved to TQQQ,SOXL, QQQ,SMH almost 90%. My over all (due to bonds) [https://imgur.com/Oms8D3O](https://imgur.com/Oms8D3O) This 2025-01-12 post copy [https://imgur.com/CAbnxcR](https://imgur.com/CAbnxcR)
No individual company names. I'm married to the macro: TLT/TMF and UUP puts, and GLD calls as the U.S. and the dollar collapses and permanently destroys its international reputation.
This might be a really good spot to buy TMF. I don't think they'll let the ten year go above 4.50%
Time to load up on TMF?
Bought a bunch of TMF thinking I'll be safe and month ago 
Good lord, who are the poor bastards writing GLD, TLT/TMF, and UUP put contracts lol
I need that dollar to keep tanking so my ADR shares keep rising. Same with bonds to bottom fish TMF
Right, they downvoted me when I purchased TMF at $36.75 and told me I was wrong (during Jan 2025). Since I was strong on my analysis, I ignored them. Last week, I sold all TMF at $46.70 (it went up $48.5 IIRC). Now, I started buying TQQQ ($39 onwards) and SOXL ($7.80 to $9.5), holding still. IMO, Market may go up and down, but correction has reached a bottom cycle. Since I am fine with my analysis, never post such and mind my own business. Good Luck to you.
Uhhhh break even on my TQQQ and TMF after all these years, sold both fuck it
TMF puts, GLD calls *NFA. Am retard.*