TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares
Mentions (24Hr)
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Reddit Posts
Can leveraged etfs go to zero without index being down 33%+?
The Recession has already happened, and you missed it
Anyone following Lemonade LMND?
With a good PCE is TLT/TMF a good buy right now?
thoughts on my return stacked leveraged ETF portfolios?
Thoughts on my return stacked leveraged portfolios?
thoughts on my return stacked and leveraged portfolios?
Can a value stock also be a growth stock, examples in the current market? Which metrics to (mainly) look at?
Is there something I'm missing? Leverage ETFs seem great.
my boyfriend is obsessed with investing and it worries me?
Backtesting a $100k UPRO portfolio with long $HYG puts as a hedge (replacing TMF in HFEA, the Hedgefundie portfolio)
I cancelled my membership with Motley Fool today. Their marketing made me do it.
What happens to secondary US Bonds in the event of a foreign debt crisis?
Call to Action; FINRA Notice 22-08 (Important if you trade UPRO, TQQQ, TMF)
Do you know any good articles that discuss using bonds to save cash incase there's a good time to buy a stock dip?
Absolutely retarded apebrained 2x leveraged 60/40 S&P 500 / long term treasury portfolio - looking for feedback
About to YOLO my entire Roth IRA into TQQQ. Who's with me?
About to YOLO my entire Roth IRA into TQQQ. Who's with me?
Here are the pros and cons of the healthcare sector [DD]
Here are the pros and cons of the healthcare sector [DD]
Is anyone else's portfolio in the green besides me this week? Leveraged tangent portfolio at a quasi-risk parity allocation worked great. Rebalancing 10% out of TMF shortly to buy more TQQQ/UPRO at discount prices. Inb4 the usual "hurr durr volatility drag/beta slippage" anti leveraged etf crowd
Is anyone else's portfolio in the green besides me this week? Leveraged tangent portfolio at a quasi-risk parity allocation worked well. Rebalancing 10% out of TMF shortly to buy more TQQQ/UPRO at discount prices. Inb4 the usual "hurr durr volatility drag/beta slippage" anti leveraged etf crowd
Is anyone else's portfolio in the green besides me this week? Leveraged tangent portfolio at a quasi-risk parity allocation worked well. Rebalancing 10% out of TMF shortly to buy more TQQQ/UPRO at discount prices. Inb4 the usual "hurr durr volatility drag/beta slippage" anti leveraged etf crowd
Recreating hedgefundie's portfolio for cheaper
HedgeFundie’s Excellent Adventure: Historical Distribution of Rolling Returns. 3X leverage ETF Portfolio
Anyone follow TMF recommendations
Inflation Fear Mongers Are Wrong - Treasury Yields Will Plummet
How sound is investing in a bogles-style portfolio, but with 3x leverage?
Would higher bond yields cause a rise in leveraged bond ETFs (specifically $TMF) or would the lower bond price cause it to drop?
Robustness of treasuries as hedges on a PSLDX/Hedgefundie style investment
No, 100% TQQQ is probably not a great idea. Here's why.
Weekly Trading Strategy Spotlight (02/17/2021 ) - wallstreetbets sentiment analysis
Mentions
1. CPI came in under expectations 2. Commodity prices are crashing (inputs into goods) (e.g. oil, lumber, metals) 3. People were short bonds are now covering. Made buuku cash on TLT and TMF but closed everything at close today. Still bond bullish but expecting a pull back.
Man I should've bought more TMF a few weeks ago, I'm up 30% and somehow still mad about it
I've found EDV is no better than TLT in my very limited research. TMF I've seen I didn't mention it cause this is r/investing and I didn't want to get yelled at 😂.
The bond gang! TMF until papa Jerome speaks again!!!!!! HODL
TMF up 9% yesterday. Investors running for cover into long term bonds. Recession imminent? Can the bond rally go and go and go???? I’m betting it can! In TMF @ $8.15 HODL!!!!!!!
What about something like EDV or even TMF (3x) for this?
True Man that TMF implosion was a spectacle to watch I seriously though mofo is headed to zilch lmfao 😆😆😆😆😆😆 Imagine being long tech and long short rates and making money both ways for years and years and then kaboooooooom in the blink of an eye bwhhahahahahha
I know a few got destroyed by that TQQQ/TMF volatility hedge trade. Hard not to laugh when bonds totally correlated 
Question because I impulsively bought some options with no exit plan... I have about 11 call options that I'm up 100% and 200% on. TMF, strike $7 12/16 and strike $10 2/16/23 Sooo uhh what should I do? Hold them till expiration? Sell now? Roll up? Exercise? It's not that much money but there's so much time left What should I actually do with them?
I have about 11 call options that I'm up 100% and 200% on. TMF, strike $7 12/16 and strike $10 2/16/23 Sooo uhh what should I do? Hold them till expiration? Sell now? Roll up? Exercise? It's not that much money but there's so much time left What should I actually do with them?
I thought I was the only one in TMF
A return to the previous high levels would likely only occur during a recession when the Fed has to drop rates. But even without a recession, I think it is very likely to get close to those high levels. Take a look at this graph of the 30-year yield over time: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS30 Decreasing long-term rates is one of the clearest, most consistent long-term economic trends that exists. And this trend exists not only in the US, but across all developed economies. The 30-year is currently yielding around 3.6%, and I will probably keep buying into TMF at least until yields return to the long-term trend line (maybe 2.5%?). At that point I’d probably return to a more “normal” allocation.
What would be an indicator of a top with long term bonds? With TMF, could it return to previous high levels?
Haha, I usually stick to index funds, but I managed to convince myself so thoroughly that I threw $5k into TMF shortly after making this comment. Pretty happy about that decision - might put some more in next year, as I don’t think any sort of long-term Treasury rate above 3% is going to be sustainable.
TMF 
Because it never crashes just like that. It's kinda like rope and a well thing where the rope takes time to leave its mark on the walls of well. An earnings recession of est or of actual earnings , financial blow up , higher high cpi read ( changes PE multiples ) and last what i am betting on a stagflationary recession thereby hedging it with buying bonds. So if markets rallies my bonds levv i.e. TMF will go up more and if market crashes my short and bonds will go up even more due to possibility of rate cut.
More TMF MORE^bondexposure
I got some TLT calls and TMF this week and I was pissed all day because it was the only thing on my watchlist not mooning. At least it's picking up the slack now. In theory TLT should be more of a pure play on rate hike expectations while getting a boost from recession expectations, which is why I didn't go full tilt on SPY.
TLT and TMF have been ripping lately. Pullback recently. Good entry point imo
More TMF more TLT leap calls MORE^BONDexposure
Also note the buy volume on TMF since OCT 21
TLT is usually the simplest one for options, and some people like to hold investor grade corporate bonds. [Pimco's High Income Fund (PHK)](https://www.pimco.com/en-us/investments/closed-end-funds/high-income-fund) offers an 11% yield rn and has a nice mix of gov't & high yield credit. I used to hold it but I'm in Canada so I didn't like the withholding tax. Right now I'm just long TMF, and will be looking for TLT calls if it drops on JPow speaking (10:30 EST on 11/30)
Wealth gap engineering genius. FED knows they fucked up by spreading the wealth gap during Covid to “save” the economy. Now the money printer has become the money vacuum. I think they overtighten. That’s why I’m long bonds (mostly TLT, TMF), short stonks (as of last friday) and short oil.
The Fed has made it clear they have the firepower to go until something breaks, and the tools to fix it. The key part that has been mentioned is that they'll only come to rescue the bond market, which in turn will put a bid under stocks, if only temporarily. I think it's criminal our generation doesn't appreciate bonds, as they'll provide a better return vs equities in 2023. Been pounding the table since \~10/20, and was fortunate enough to scoop TMF (3x leveraged TLT) at the absolute lows on 10/21 & 10/24 (I've got receipts). The first tranche was below $6.50, and the 2nd was at $6.25. All-time low is $6.15 and we're at $8.50+ in a month. 3x leverage SPX is up 20%, but bond gang is up 35% :)
Thanks for info…I’m in TLT, TMF and XLB. Just thinking with inverse yield curve in short term bonds, I could make some money on those rates flattening out, and yield curve returning to normal.
it appears TMF was not the hedge everyone thought it was
Lookin out the next 2 years I'm thinkin TMF/TLT are smart plays. Currently have like 25-30% of my ports in them and will probably add on pullbacks. Look at tlt/20y bond vs spx performance during the last two yield curve inversions(2000/2007). Both times tlt would have done better than spx over the next 2 years
My biggest holding is TMF at 7.45 so I’m chill
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Another good day to hold $TMF.
No options in there just 3x leveraged ETFs. I had a strategy of 1/3 OILD and 2/3 TMF: oil down and long duration bonds up. TMF was up early and OILD was down, switched to all OILD and it kept going down and TMF kept going up lol
This guy giving you advice is way off. TMV is a -3x of the 20yr bond, in other words directly tied to yields. Yields have been dropping ever since the last CPI report came out and the market decided a 7.7% print versus 7.9% print was somehow indicative of a guarantee of Fed pivot and lower rate hikes in December. Because yields were at all time highs, they quickly collapsed as buyers assumed that this might be the highest yields get. Additionally, bond markets had already priced in a terminal fed funds rate of 4.5%. Yields fall when bond prices rise, i.e when there is more demand for bonds, the govt can offer a lower yield. TMV will skyrocket back to $160 when the Fed comes out and says, FYI we are going to keep increasing rates beyond 4.5%, kinda like we said all along. Pro tip: play TMF when yields crash, TMV when yields rise.
Ok, so everything I'm mentally organizing, reverse it. lol Maybe he's thinking of TMF instead of TMV. So what is your explanation for why TMV is going down lately? I bought in literally at the worst time and am down 14%.
Just buy $TMF like a boss
3x leveraged long duration actually. $TMF
watch the TLT, TMF and TMV figure out what you are seeing . That tells you everything you'll need to know about the rates and pivots money inflow TMF at low 6s i mentioned it then
Have you been tracking the TLT and the TMF and TMV ? i suggested we all buy TMF low 6s and that opportunity is long gone. ​ those three tickers will portend what and where we are at in the grand scheme of things.
i didn't say how long. ​ i did suggest everybody buy TMF low 6s We have a soft landing in process and for first time in months we see declarations of terminal number and discussion of lower rate hikes moving forward.
Interesting. Mine is similar but way riskier. 2/3 $TMF (3x bull TLT) 1/3 $OILD (3x bear oil producers) 🤝
TMF or TLT, my hunch is bonds have bottomed. SCO, oil is about to cool off IMO. These three are suggested if you want to be an “active” trader. TLT is less volatile than the other two. Good luck.
If you get bored, you can get decent leverage with OTM calls on TMF and TMV
Buy TLT calls Buy TMF
Call me the fkn bond king. Entire portfolio is long duration treasuries: TLT, EDV, TMF. Ripping this week. Peak inflation is in, lads. (Unless WW3)
$TMF It’s sortaaaa catching a falling knife but the CPI and PPI have me believing we’re past peak rates and inflation.
I am a bot. You submitted a picture of a banned ticker, TMF. The market cap of TMF is **92115000** This check will fire if you included unnecessary pictures that have bad keywords/phrases. Repost with the useless pictures omitted if you did that.
** Latest data show Largest borrow rate increases among liquid option names ** Theflyonthewall.com Fly On The Wall - Nov 15, 2022 $FLNG 5.90% +1.48 $PSNY 29.83% +0.56 $BILI 1.88% +0.47 $AREC 5.61% +0.36 Direxion 20 plus Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares $TMF 10.31% +0.36 $EFA $UBS
+5% on my $TMF today. Keep hating on bonds. Easiest trade since $TBT when QE was ending.
Yes and I’m buying TMF
Not about the yield, my dude. I’m up 3.6% on TMF today
PPI coming out tmrw… If Brainard was dovish…….. Probably comes in lower than expected……. Rates dump hard. $TMF loaded.
HOWEVER: If we were to somehow know we are at peak rates / inflation… we don’t know what stocks will do (mostly go down) but we DO know what bonds would do here (up). This is why I’m irresponsibly long $TLT and $TMF.
Bonds are about to pump and stocks will go down. ​ Yall finna be shook. ​ postions: $TMF
Bonds, especially US treasuries, are extremely oversold right now IMO. And they will perform well (better) in a recessionary environment. I've picked up some $TMF.
So what’s the best play for when we have deflation caused by the Fed over tightening and why is it $TMF?
Not gonna lie I’m really liking the idea of entering a big position in TMF
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We’re officially at risk of deflation. Remember monetary policy has a massive lag. What happens to stocks during deflation? What happens to corporate bonds? What happens to US treasuries??? Tl;dr - all in on $TMF
I did this. Over half my IRA is TLT and EDV (bought this morning). And my YOLO account I went all in on TMF lol. Easier than calls bc premiums / exp doesn’t matter
I believe once inflation drops below 4% at some point, that rates are not gonna stay that elevated and we could see interest rates drop back to 3% and potentially below, thats why im considering to slowly buy TMF. The way I see it is the terminal rate, like you said, is most likely gonna peak to 5-5,50% and potentially 6% well have to see how sticky inflation is. But I am convinced they won't stay that high for more that a year or two at most. If i'm right, TMF could bottom at like 6$ maybe less than go back up to 12$ maybe more if rate drops back to 3%. This could play out within 2-3 years probably maybe more but I doubt it. What do you think?
I think the guy that went all in on UPRO and TMF risk parity play is now bankrupt.
The third best performing ETF year to date is TMV, a 3x bear fund betting against 30 year treasuries. For every 1% the 30 year yield goes up, the ETF goes up 50%. Likewise when yields go lower, the 3x bull TMF fund will give similar results, eventually. There are 1x funds that do the same thing.
Start loading tlt, better yet leveraged TMF, because once inflation cools and the recession hammers stocks, bonds will moon
It's a particular price in the case of GOOGL I wanna see companies to reinvest in advertising the way they used to then ill pick up some of it. As for AMD, I don't exactly know, there is still some headwinds for semi and comp hardware I feel like I can wait some more. And I'm about to start a position in TMF, I want yield to be above 4,4% then ill dca into it.
GOOGL and AMD pretty soon, and TMF because im a degen
How many historical scenarios had interest rates at 0% at the start of the crash? TMF is down 75-80% YTD. Bonds are trash, at least until real rate of return is positive.
I actually am. Was planning on DCAing into TMF sub $6, but I might as well just start now seeing the bond market's reaction.
If you wanna bet on the bonds reverting back, check out TMF
Yeah, TMF will be the buy (3x TLT)
Treasury will announce a twist soon. For you regards that means buy TLT calls or TMF if ur a pussy 
No I was trying to go long on UPRO/TMF but in a ratio dictated by inverse volatility model.
go 100% TMF and walk away for two years. You’re welcome.
There’s already a cost efficient implementation for this - PFIX, essentially puts on long bonds, YTD is basically inverse of TMF. Fwiw I started going long TMF by selling put spreads. Been a long time, friend :)
**Please**, just take what you've got left and put it somewhere useful. The opportunity cost of sitting in something as it circles the drain is far too great, speaking from experience. If you're anticipating a Bear Market Rally, solid names that generate cash are safest, but growth stocks will also catch a bid. If you're bearish, then at-the-money or in the money puts and inverse ETFs are your friends. Hell, you could even go long bonds at this point as the divergence between SPY and TLT is palpable. There are also leveraged bond ETFs trading at or near all-time lows. Take TMF for example. It has a much higher chance of doubling from current levels than BBBY and other memes. Just my unsolicited $0.02
You’re looking for TMF, not TLT.
By trading on margin you mean shorting TMF right? Just trying to understand. It’s down 75% for the year so I wasn’t sure if there was any other way to profit from it other than shorting
Thats why he said buy or sell, has TMF been amazing if you are trading on margin.
TMV is bear 20+ year. TMF is the bull 20+ year.
TMF 3x bull treasuries, buy or sell…
Also check out TMF if you got some big balls. Currently 6.5 with a high of 56.5 during covid. I'm starting to get tempted to nibble on it a little in my Roth, but should probably wait for pivot first.
Getting ready to pounce on TMF after next 2 hikes. 10 bagger inevitable. There's only so much time a junkie would wait before his next fix. Rates would comeback down because everyone is used to free money and these bonds would skyrocket. I am switching to HFEA with TQQQ.
Why not TMF if you have such a high conviction?
At least it’s not $TMF
TMF will be the next 10 bagger once yields drop 